AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 27 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69865
Week-long range, testing lower half.
AUDUSD has held a tight range around the 0.7000 pivot all week, capped repeatedly near 0.7011 and the 50-DMA at 0.7028 as risk-on from US-Iran de-escalation faded into position-squaring. Price rolled off 0.7011 through the NY session and now sits below EMA20 near 0.6987 with RSI cycling in the low-40s. The 0.6982-0.6968 zone marks the lower band of this week's range.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7011, 0.7028
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech (28 Jul) and Q2 CPI (29 Jul) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.6968 confirms a lower low out of the range
Reclaim of 0.7000 and a break of 0.7011 reopens the 0.7028 cap
AUDUSD has been pinned around the 0.7000 psych pivot all week, with rallies capped near the 0.7020 50-DMA zone on de-escalation-driven risk-on. Price is now drifting the lower half of the range and sits just under EMA20/EMA50 into the Asia close, RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 0.6964 swing low remains the range floor.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6964 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6940
Reclaim of 0.7020 needed to reopen the week high
RBA Gov Bullock speech (28 Jul 03:05 UTC) and Q2 CPI (29 Jul) can shift this read
22:02 UTC
Sideways, pinned near 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69882
Range, mid-range after recovery off week low.
AUDUSD is capped under the 0.7000 pivot after recovering from the 0.6964 swing low mid-week, with price now coiling in a tight band around EMA(50). RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and the two failed pushes toward 0.7010 keep the range top respected. The 50-DMA cap at ~0.7028 has framed the ceiling all week ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6964, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7010 opens the path to the 0.7028 cap
Failure to hold 0.6964 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6900
RBA Gov Bullock speech and Q2 CPI Wed could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 0.69882
Ranging around 0.7000 pivot.
AUDUSD has churned around the 0.7000 psych pivot all week, capped near the 0.7005 prior high after the US-Iran de-escalation softened the dollar early Monday. A weekend gap higher faded back into the range, and price now sits just below EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Demand has repeatedly held above the 0.69618 week low, while the 50-DMA cap around 0.7028 has capped every rally.
Support: 0.69826, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70280 (50-dma cap) opens the path back toward the range top
Failure to hold 0.69618 week low confirms a lower-low
RBA Gov Bullock speech (28 Jul 03:05 UTC) and Q2 CPI (29 Jul 01:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has pivoted around the 0.7000 psych level since Monday's open, probing 0.7020 twice before rejection near the 50-dma cap at 0.7028, then dipping to the 0.6962 week low before recovering. Price now drifts at 0.6989, below EMA20, with RSI(14) mid-range as traders square up ahead of RBA Bullock and Wednesday's Q2 CPI. The US-Iran de-escalation and softer USD underpinned the 0.70 handle this week, but rallies have stalled at the Fibo/50-dma zone.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7028 invalidates the range-cap read, opening 0.7025+
Break below 0.6968 confirms a lower-low, exposing 0.6962 then 0.6800
RBA Bullock speech and Q2 CPI (29 Jul) could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Sideways, capped at 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69889
Range beneath the 0.7000 pivot.
AUDUSD reopened the week near 0.6995 and has churned between 0.6962 and the 0.7010 week high, with the 0.7000 psych level repeatedly capping upside into the NY session. Price now sits just under EMA(20) after fading from 0.7010, holding above the 0.6968 support zone with RSI(14) drifting sub-50. The 50-DMA cap around 0.7028 remains untested this week.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7028
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech (28 Jul) and Q2 CPI (29 Jul) are the near-term catalysts for this pair
FOMC this week could materially shift the USD leg of the read
H1 close above 0.7010 opens the path toward the 0.7028 50-dma
Failure to hold the 0.6968 support zone exposes the 0.69618 swing low
20:03 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69917
Sideways below 0.7000 pivot.
AUDUSD has spent the week hemmed around the 0.7000 pivot, testing 0.7020 twice and getting rejected as the 0.7028 50-DMA cap held; the mid-week dip to 0.6964 was bought back. Price now sits just under EMA(20) (~0.6996) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s after the softer USD tone from US-Iran de-escalation faded into the NY session. The tape is compressing, awaiting Bullock and Q2 CPI for direction.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7020 opens the path to the 0.7028 50-dma cap
Failure to hold 0.6968 swing low exposes 0.6942
RBA Bullock speech and Q2 CPI Wed, plus FOMC, could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Sideways, capped near 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69917
Range around the 0.7000 pivot.
AUDUSD has consolidated around the 0.7000 pivot since Monday's open, with rallies rejected near 0.7010 and the wider 50-DMA cap at 0.7028 still unbroken — consistent with traders squaring up ahead of Australian CPI and the FOMC. Price slipped back under EMA(20) into the NY session with RSI(14) mid-range and holding above the 0.6985 session low. The 0.6965 swing low from earlier in the week remains the range floor.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6965
Resistance: 0.7010, 0.7028, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7010 then 0.7028 invalidates the range cap
Failure to hold 0.6985 exposes the 0.6965 swing low
RBA Bullock 28 Jul, Q2 CPI 29 Jul and FOMC this week could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Sideways, range-bound around 0.7000 · RSI 45 · price 0.69886
Week-long range, 0.6964–0.7020, pivoting on 0.7000.
AUDUSD has spent the week pinned to the 0.7000 pivot, capped repeatedly near 0.7020 and the 50-DMA at 0.7028 while holding above the 0.6964 week low. Price slipped back under EMA(20) into the NY session, with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s and no clear directional impulse. AUD stalled at the 38.2% Fibo/0.7028 zone as traders squared up ahead of Bullock, CPI and the FOMC.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.70207, 0.7028
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech (28 Jul) and Q2 CPI (29 Jul) could break this range
H1 close above 0.70207 opens the path to the 0.7028 50-dma cap
Failure to hold 0.69800 exposes the 0.6964 week low
FOMC decision this week is the dominant USD catalyst
AUDUSD gapped higher into the new week and probed 0.7006 before stalling; the pair has since slipped back under EMA(20) toward 0.6988 with RSI(14) leaking to the low-40s. The 0.7000 psych pivot has capped rallies all week while the 0.6962 swing low anchors the range floor, keeping price boxed as traders square up ahead of AU CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6964, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108, 0.70207
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech (28 Jul) and Q2 CPI (29 Jul) could break the 0.6962-0.7020 range
H1 close above 0.7020 reopens the 0.7020-0.7028 cap zone
Loss of 0.6962 confirms a lower low toward 0.6900
FOMC this week is a dominant catalyst for the USD leg
AUDUSD has been boxed around the 0.7000 pivot all week, with the psych level capping repeated attempts and demand stepping in near 0.6962. Price slipped back under EMA(20) into the NY session with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s — consolidation, not conviction, as noted with oil-driven USD softness offsetting revived RBA hike bets. The 0.7021 week high and 0.6962 base define the range.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6964, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70108-0.70207 band
Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6900
RBA Bullock (Tue 03:05 UTC) and Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) can break this range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD-leg catalyst
AUDUSD has been pinned around the 0.7000 pivot all week, with the earlier dip to 0.6962 bought back but the 0.7011-0.7021 zone capping every push. Price now sits just below EMA(20) and holding above EMA(50), RSI(14) hovering mid-40s — consolidation rather than conviction as the market waits on RBA CPI and FOMC. The soft USD from US-Iran de-escalation has kept a floor under the pair without forcing a break.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6972, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7011, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7021 opens the path back toward the week high extension
Loss of 0.6962 confirms a lower low and exposes deeper downside
RBA Gov Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) plus FOMC (Wed) could materially shift this range read
Consolidation around the 0.7000 pivot after mid-week recovery.
AUDUSD is boxed either side of the 0.7000 pivot after recovering off Thursday's 0.69618 week low, with RSI(14) flat near the mid-line and price pinned to a near-flat EMA(20). The digest reads this as consolidation not conviction — a firmer USD into FOMC and lingering RBA hike bets have kept the pair coiled, with the 0.70108 week high capping the topside. Sub-0.7000 trade since the NY session leaves the 0.6985 shelf as the immediate demand zone.
Support: 0.6985, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70108 opens the path toward the 0.7025-0.7028 cap
Loss of 0.6985 exposes the 0.69618 week low
RBA Bullock Tue and Q2 CPI Wed could materially shift this read
FOMC Wed drives the USD leg of the pair
17:03 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 46 · price 0.69938
Range around the 0.7000 pivot.
AUDUSD has consolidated either side of the 0.7000 pivot since the week reopened, coiling between 0.6985 and 0.7006 with price pinned to the EMA20. The dominant move of the week was the slide from 0.7020 to 0.6964; the subsequent recovery has stalled around the 50-61.8% retrace, keeping the pair boxed near 0.70 as noted in the AUD digest. RSI(14) is cycling near midline with no divergence.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7006, 0.7020
What it said to watch
RBA Bullock Tue and Q2 CPI Wed are the domestic swing factors — either can break the range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could drive the USD leg regardless of AU data
H1 close above 0.7006 opens the path to 0.7020; loss of 0.6964 exposes a lower low
16:03 UTC
Range-bound, pinned near 0.7000 · RSI 45 · price 0.69914
Consolidation between 0.6985 and 0.7010.
AUDUSD gapped up into this week's open and has since coiled around the 0.7000 psych pivot, holding a 0.6985–0.7010 range with a softer USD (US-Iran de-escalation, weaker oil) offering a floor. The week's dominant move was the slide from the 0.70200 high to the 0.69618 week low; price has retraced back into the range and stalled ahead of 0.7025. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 with price under EMA(20) but above EMA(50) — no clear directional impulse.
Support: 0.6985, 0.6970, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7010 range top reopens the 0.7025 cap and week high
RBA Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) plus FOMC could materially shift this read
16:03 UTC
Sideways, pinned near 0.7000 · RSI 47 · price 0.69914
Consolidation, recovering off week low.
AUDUSD has coiled around the 0.7000 round number since the weekend gap up from Friday's 0.6980 close, with a softer USD on US-Iran de-escalation offering support but no follow-through. Price stalled repeatedly near the 0.7005 session-high cap and now sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering below 50. The week's low at 0.69618 marked demand stepping in on Wednesday's drop, and higher lows have since rebuilt.
Support: 0.6985, 0.69618, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.70207, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70050 reopens the 0.70207 week high
Failure to hold 0.69850 exposes the 0.69618 swing low
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and RBA Bullock Tue 03:05 UTC are the domestic swing factors
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is a USD-side wildcard that could reset this read
15:03 UTC
Range-bound around 0.7000 · RSI 44 · price 0.69915
Consolidation, capped below 0.7010.
AUDUSD gapped up over the weekend to open near 0.6995 and has coiled around the 0.7000 pivot ever since, with a softer USD on US-Iran de-escalation lending support. Monday's push to 0.70108 marked the week high and lower highs have since formed, while price now sits back near the 38.2% retrace of last week's recovery. RSI(14) is mid-range near 44 and price has slipped just below EMA(20).
Support: 0.6985, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70108 opens the path back to the 0.7028 50-dma cap
Loss of 0.6985 exposes the 0.69618 swing low
RBA CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC this week can materially shift this range read
AUDUSD has spent the week penned around the 0.7000 pivot after strong June jobs revived RBA hike bets, but every push higher has been capped near the 0.7020 week high and the 38.2% Fib/50-DMA cluster at 0.7028. A mid-week down-leg to 0.69618 was bought back to 0.7000 before the pair slipped again; price now sits just under EMA20 and above EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-40s. Range structure remains intact into a heavy event week.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7028
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock (Tue 03:05 UTC) and Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) can break this consolidation
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
H1 close below 0.69618 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6968-area downside
H1 close above 0.7028 clears the fib/50-dma cap toward the week high
14:03 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69934
Consolidation around 0.7000 pivot after midweek dip and recovery.
AUDUSD is consolidating either side of the 0.7000 pivot after the midweek slide into the 0.69620 week low was bought back, with the pair now chopping just under EMA20. Firm June jobs and PMIs have kept a bid under the pair but attempts higher stall near the 0.70050 this-week high, well shy of the 0.70280 50-DMA cap flagged in context. RSI sits neutral near 47 with price holding above EMA50 into a heavy calendar week.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7020, 0.7028
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the swing factor — a hot print could push through 0.70280
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
H1 close below 0.69800 session low exposes the 0.69620 week low
Sustained break above 0.70050 this-wk high opens the 0.70200 week high
AUDUSD is penned around the 0.7000 psych pivot after recovering from Wednesday's dip to 0.6962, with a small gap higher into Monday's session open holding. Price sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, and the 0.7028 fibo/50-DMA cap flagged in the AUD read remains the ceiling on this week's rallies. Two attempts at 0.7010 have stalled while demand has stepped in near 0.6980.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7010 opens the path back to the 0.7028 fibo cap
Loss of 0.6980 exposes the 0.6962 recent low
RBA Gov Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) plus FOMC could materially shift this read
13:03 UTC
Sideways, consolidating near 0.7000 · RSI 51 · price 0.69954
Range-bound after mid-week dip and recovery.
AUDUSD gapped higher into this week's open near 0.6995 and has since coiled in a tight band around the 0.7000 psychological pivot, pinned between EMA20 and EMA50. The mid-week slide to 0.69618 was fully retraced but momentum has stalled with RSI cycling around 50; the 0.7010 week high has capped this week's rebound. AUD remains supported by a softer USD after US-Iran de-escalation, though gains are held back by the 0.7028 Fibo/50-DMA cap flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.6992, 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7010, 0.70207, 0.7028
What it said to watch
Australian Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the swing factor — a hot trimmed-mean print could push through the 0.7010/0.7028 cap
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
H1 close above 0.7010 opens the path back toward the 0.70207 range top
Failure to hold 0.6968 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 0.69618 swing low
13:03 UTC
Sideways, capped near 0.7000 · RSI 50 · price 0.69954
Consolidation around weekly pivot.
AUDUSD gapped up into Monday's open near 0.6995 after Friday's 0.6981 close and has since coiled in a tight 0.6992-0.7011 band around the 0.7000 pivot. Price is tracking just under EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50), with RSI(14) parked mid-range as the pair digests last week's blowout jobs beat. The 0.7000 handle has capped the recovery from midweek's 0.6962 low.
Support: 0.6992, 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7011, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7011 opens the path back toward 0.7020 week high
Loss of 0.6992 exposes 0.6968 week low
RBA CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range
AUDUSD gapped higher into this week's open and climbed off the 0.6962 week low, testing 0.7010 before settling either side of the 0.7000 psych pivot. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-50s — the recovery has stalled rather than extended. The 0.7028 fibo/50-DMA cap flagged in the AUD read remains the ceiling on any push higher, and the Aussie jobs beat continues to underpin the base.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7028
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7010 opens the path to the 0.7028 fibo/50-dma cap
Failure to hold 0.6980 ema20 exposes the 0.6962 week low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC this week are the dominant catalysts for this read
12:03 UTC
Sideways, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69987
Consolidation around 0.7000 pivot after mid-week dip.
AUDUSD is penned around the 0.7000 pivot after slipping to a 0.6962 swing low mid-week and grinding back on the strong Aussie jobs and PMI beats. The Sunday reopen gapped up from last week's 0.6980 close and price now sits just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling near 53. Attempts higher have stalled below the 0.7009 week high, with the 0.7028 50-DMA/38.2% Fibo cap still the ceiling.
Support: 0.6997, 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7009, 0.7028
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7028 opens the path toward the five-week high
Failure to hold 0.6968 confirms a lower low toward 0.6962
Australian CPI Wed and FOMC this week could materially shift this read
11:03 UTC
Recovery, momentum slowing near round number · RSI 56 · price 0.70022
Rounded recovery off week low, capped below 0.7020.
AUDUSD carved a rounded recovery from last week's 0.69618 low back to the 0.7000 round-number pivot, aided by a softer dollar as Mideast de-escalation drained the safe-haven bid. A weekend gap higher into Monday's open held, and price is now grinding sideways just under the 0.70108 day high with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 0.7020 five-week high remains the immediate ceiling capping the move.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69807, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7020 opens the path back toward the 5wk high extension
Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number reopens 0.69807 and the 0.69618 week low
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:03 UTC
Recovery off midweek low, momentum flattening near 0.7000 · RSI 56 · price 0.70022
Rounded base, consolidating at round number.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base off the midweek swing low near 0.6962 and gapped up over the weekend to reclaim the 0.7000 round number — a USD-led recovery per the digest rather than fresh Aussie strength. Price now holds just above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s, consolidating below the 0.7020-0.7025 five-week high that capped attempts earlier in the week. The 0.70108 day high is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.6998, 0.69807, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.7022
What it said to watch
RBA CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the pivotal event and could reset this read
Hourly close above 0.7022 opens the path back to the 5wk high
Failure to hold 0.7000 round number exposes 0.69807 prior-wk close, then the 0.69618 swing low
AUDUSD carved a base near 0.6962 mid-week and has ground higher in a rounded recovery, sitting back at the 0.7000 psych pivot after the weekend gap. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s; the move has been USD-led as easing Mideast tensions trimmed dollar demand rather than a fresh AUD catalyst. Session highs around 0.70108 have capped the last two attempts, keeping the range top intact.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6976, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70108 opens the path to the 0.7025 5-week high
Failure to hold 0.69950 weekly open re-exposes the 0.69760 swing low
RBA Gov Bullock (Tue) and Wed CPI are the swing factors that could reprice this read
AUDUSD has ground higher since Monday's open, recovering from Friday's 0.6966 low and now pressing the 0.7000 psych level, aided by a softer USD as US-Iran tensions eased. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s; the 0.70108 Monday high has capped the latest push. A weekend gap left the week reopening near 0.6995.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6990, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.70108 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes 0.6990 then the 0.6966 week low
RBA Bullock Tue 03:05 UTC and Wed CPI 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7023 and sold to a 0.6962 double bottom mid-window before grinding back to the 0.7000 psych pivot — a USD-side driven recovery as easing Middle East tension pressured the dollar. Price now holds just above EMA20 with RSI in the mid-50s, capped this session by 0.7006 and the wider 0.7025 50-DMA that has repeatedly rejected rallies. Consolidation persists into Wednesday's trimmed-mean CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7006, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7025 clears the 50-dma cap and opens fresh upside
Failure to hold the 0.7000 pivot exposes 0.6968 then the 0.6962 week low
AU trimmed-mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range
AUDUSD is consolidating right on the 0.7000 psych pivot after recovering from the midweek swing low at 0.69618, with a weekend gap up leaving price back above EMA20 and EMA50. The move higher has been USD-side driven as easing Middle East risk pressured the dollar rather than fresh AUD catalysts. The 0.7025-0.7028 50-DMA cap has repeatedly rejected rallies this week, keeping the pair boxed roughly 0.6962-0.7025.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7025 clears the 50-dma cap and opens fresh upside
Failure to hold 0.6968 exposes the 0.69618 swing low
RBA CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid from Monday's ~0.7025 area to a 0.6962 week low into Thursday, then based and recovered toward the 0.7000 round number, reclaiming EMA20. Price gapped up into this week's open (Friday 0.6981 close to 0.6995 open) and is now consolidating just above psychological 0.7000 with RSI cycling mid-range. Resistance at 0.70108 and the 0.7025 five-week high has capped, with USD firmness the wider cap on the Aussie.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7000 keeps the recovery structure intact; loss of 0.6980 reopens the 0.6962 week low
H1 close above 0.7025 five-week high needed to extend the recovery
RBA Bullock Tue 03:05 UTC and Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC are the week's catalysts and could reset this read
08:03 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.70023
Choppy range, higher lows since Fri.
AUDUSD sold off through Tuesday-Wednesday to a swing low at 0.69618 before carving a rounded base and reclaiming EMA(20) into this week's open near 0.6995. Demand has stepped in on each dip, lifting price back toward the 0.7010 week high, with the June labour beat still underpinning RBA hike bets. Momentum is constructive but capped below the 0.7025 five-week high.
Support: 0.69618, 0.69807, 0.6974
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.70257
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70108 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.69807 reopens the 0.69618 swing low
RBA Bullock speech Tue and Q2 CPI Wed are the week's swing factors for this read
AUDUSD has ground back up from the 0.69618 week low into 0.7010, carving higher lows since Friday and reclaiming both H1 EMAs. The five-week high near 0.7025 and the mid-week 0.70200 prior high still cap the recovery, while the weekly open around 0.69960 is acting as the pivot on pullbacks. Price stays hemmed in the 0.6970-0.7010 band the digest flagged ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6996, 0.6974, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7011, 0.7020, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70110 day high opens the path to the 0.70250 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.69960 weekly open reopens the 0.69740 swing low
RBA Gov Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) could materially shift this read
07:03 UTC
Recovering from week lows · RSI 61 · price 0.70055
Higher lows off a base.
AUDUSD gapped up at the week open and has ground back above EMA(20) after basing near the 0.6964 week low, with RSI(14) cycling higher toward 60. The psych 0.7000 level has flipped from cap to floor on the latest legs, while 0.70108 day high is the immediate ceiling. Broader move remains hemmed under the 0.7025 five-week high as USD firmness caps.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.70108, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70108 opens the path back to the 0.7025 5-wk high
Loss of 0.7000 psych re-exposes 0.6980 swing low
RBA Bullock speech Tue and Q2 CPI Wed are the week's swing factors for this read
AUDUSD gapped up into Monday's session and has clawed back to the 0.7000 round number, recovering roughly 62% of the prior week's slide from 0.7026 to the 0.6962 wk low. The June labour blowout kept a bid under the pair but rallies stalled near the 0.7025 five-week high. Price now sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range, consolidating into Wednesday's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69924, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.7025-0.7028 cluster opens retest of the 5-week high
Failure to hold the 0.6962 wk low confirms a lower low
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this read
06:03 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near 0.70 · RSI 56 · price 0.70021
Midweek downtrend reclaimed, base near 0.6962.
AUDUSD sank from the 0.7025 5-week high early in the week to a swing low near 0.6962, then carved a rounded base and gapped higher on this week's reopen back to the 0.70 round number. Price now holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, consolidating just under the 0.7005 prior high as strong AU jobs and a firm USD keep the pair pinned around 0.70.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6974, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.70250 reopens the 5-week high; failure to hold 0.70000 exposes the higher-low structure
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and RBA Bullock Tue 03:05 UTC are the decisive catalysts for this range
Loss of 0.69740 higher low signals the recovery is stalling toward 0.6962
AUDUSD sold from the 0.7025 area early in the week down to a 0.6962 week low before demand stepped in twice around 0.6962-0.6964, forming a double bottom and lifting price back toward 0.7000. It now sits just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, consolidating in a 0.6968-0.7018 band as firm USD caps upside ahead of the Fed. The move reflects the two-way tone: RBA hike bets floor the Aussie while hawkish-Fed repricing has capped each bounce.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7018, 0.7025
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:05 UTC could shift the read ahead of CPI
AU CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst for this week's range
H1 close above 0.7018 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.6942
Consolidation below 0.7005 after basing near 0.6962.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962 into Friday and has since recovered above EMA(20), now consolidating in the 0.6976-0.7005 band. The week's slide from 0.7026 reflected firmer USD and hawkish-Fed yield repricing after a hot week's US data, with the Aussie holding its priced-in RBA support. Price sits mid-range with RSI back around 54.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7020, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7005 opens the path back to the 0.7020-0.7026 week high
Failure to hold 0.6968 re-exposes the 0.6962 weekly low
RBA CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
AUDUSD recovered off Wednesday's 0.6962 weekly low and held above EMA(20) through the weekend gap, now consolidating around 0.6998. The range top at 0.7005 has capped the bounce while the 0.7025 five-week high remains the swing cap; RSI(14) sits mid-range as the pair coils. Price is drifting sideways ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI, the week's swing factor for RBA hike pricing.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7005 opens the path to the 0.7025 five-week high
Failure to hold 0.6968 exposes the 0.6962 weekly low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and RBA Bullock Tue are the key catalysts for this read
Consolidation under 0.7000, higher lows since midweek base.
AUDUSD sold off through midweek to a weekly low near 0.69618 as a firm USD and hawkish-Fed repricing capped the Aussie, then based twice around 0.6962-0.6964 and recovered toward the 0.7000 round number into this week's open. Price now sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling back through the mid-50s, but 0.7005 has capped the latest push. The 0.6968-0.7005 band frames the current consolidation.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7005 opens the path to the 0.7028 50d sma cap
Loss of 0.6968 re-exposes the 0.69618 weekly low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:05 UTC and Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC are the key catalysts for this read
0.6960-0.7026 weekly range, price back at 0.7000 pivot.
AUDUSD churned in a 0.6960-0.7026 band all week, dipping to 0.6964 midweek before recovering into the Monday open, which gapped up ~15 pips from Friday's close. Price now sits back on the 0.7000 pivot with RSI(14) around mid-range and holding above EMA20; the strong June jobs print kept RBA hike bets alive but firm USD capped the 0.7026 prior high twice. The 50-day area near 0.7028 remains the near-term cap.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7026 opens the path back toward the 50-day cap ~0.7028
Failure to hold 0.6980 re-exposes the 0.6964 week low
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:05 UTC and Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7007, tagged 0.7026 early then sold through the 0.7000 pivot to a 0.6964 base into Friday's NY session as a firm USD absorbed the strong June jobs beat. Price has since carved a rounded base above 0.6964 and reclaimed 0.6980, now churning back at the 0.7000 psych pivot with RSI mid-50s. The ~0.6964-0.7000 range remains intact heading into Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6964, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020, 0.7028
What it said to watch
AU Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the deciding catalyst for the range
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:05 UTC could shift near-term tone
H1 close above 0.7028 (50-sma cap) opens the path higher
Failure to hold the 0.6964 base exposes 0.6942 then 0.6900
02:03 UTC
Recovering off week lows · RSI 59 · price 0.70046
Higher lows since week low, back above 0.7000.
AUDUSD sold from the 0.7026 week high into a 0.6962 double bottom before recovering; a weekend gap-up reopened above the 0.7000 psych pivot and price now trades 0.7004. RSI(14) has cycled back near 60 and both EMAs sit below price, but the 50-day cap around 0.7028 that framed the week's high remains untested. AUD strength this week traced back to the blowout June jobs print, though a firmer USD has kept 0.7000 as the pivot.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.7011, 0.7026
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the week's pivotal AUD driver
H1 close back below 0.6980 negates the recovery and reopens the week low
AUDUSD spiked to a ~5-week high near 0.7025 early in the week on the blowout June jobs print, then a firmer, oil-led hawkish USD dragged it back to midweek lows around 0.6962. Since then a rounded base and higher lows have carried price back to the 0.7000 pivot, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range and price holding above EMA20/50. The 0.6970–0.7000 box that has framed the week is intact, capped near 0.7025.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7028
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (next hour) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7025 puts the 50d sma cap at 0.7028 in focus
Loss of 0.7000 pivot and 0.6980 swing low reopens the 0.6962 week low
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant risk for the week's range
AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 midweek to a low near 0.6962 as a firmer USD and hawkish-Fed repricing offset Thursday's strong jobs beat, then recovered into Friday's NY session. Monday's Asia open gapped up from the 0.69807 Friday close and price is consolidating just below the 0.69953 weekly open, holding above the H1 EMA(20). The 0.7000 psychological pivot and prior high at 0.7020 cap the topside, with RSI(14) hovering mid-range around 53.
Support: 0.69807, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69953, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:05 UTC could shift the read
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the week's pivotal event for AUD
H1 close above 0.70000 opens the path back to 0.7020
AUD/USD ran to a near five-week high at 0.7025 on Thursday's blockbuster jobs print, then rallies were faded as a firmer USD and higher oil pressed it back to a 0.6962 week low. Price has since clawed back above EMA20 and opened the week with a gap higher into the 0.70 pivot, RSI(14) cycling back to the mid-50s. The 50-day SMA around 0.7025 remains the cap on the week's range.
Support: 0.6982, 0.6974, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7025 reclaims the week high and the 50-day sma cap
Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
AUD Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
AUDUSD sold off from Tuesday's 0.70263 week high down to 0.69618 as firmer USD and oil-driven hawkish-Fed repricing offset Thursday's strong jobs print. Since that midweek trough price has carved a rounded base and reclaimed EMA20/EMA50, cycling back toward the 0.7000 pivot into Monday's open. Recovery has stalled just under 0.70005, which capped the last push.
Support: 0.69807, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.70207
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70005 reopens the 0.70207 week high
Failure to hold 0.69807 exposes the 0.69618 week low
RBA Bullock Tue 03:05 UTC and Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could reset this read