Thin Asia-session chop, AUDUSD holding a 0.6970-0.6977 band after bouncing off the 0.69621 session low and stalling below the 0.69859 bounce high. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with volume drying up into the Q2 CPI print.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69771, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event for this read
Close above 0.69771 targets the 0.69859 bounce high
Break below 0.69700 exposes the 0.69621 session low
23:47 UTC
Sideways, Asian drift · RSI 54 · price 0.69757
Range after intraday recovery stalled.
AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.6970–0.6977 band through the thin Asia session after the recovery to 0.69859 stalled. Volume has bled to near-nothing into the current bar; no setup in play ahead of the Q2 CPI print.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~1h45m) is a binary re-pricing event for this read
M15 close above 0.69790 opens the path to the 0.69859 swing high
Failure to hold 0.69700 exposes the 0.69630 session low
23:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69755
Consolidation after fade from NY high.
AUDUSD faded from the NY session high at 0.69859 and is grinding a tight Asian-session range around 0.6970–0.6976 on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 47.5. Price sits near a 50% retrace of the prior rally with no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.69698, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69773, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event for this range
M15 close above 0.69773 reopens the 0.69859 high
Loss of 0.69698 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
23:32 UTC
Range, drifting after recovery · RSI 49 · price 0.69755
Consolidation below session high.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.69621 swing low to a session high at 0.69859, then faded into a tight 0.6970-0.6979 range on thin Asia-session volume. Price is pinned near EMA20 with RSI flat around 49, no directional impulse ahead of Australia's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event that can break this range either way
Close above 0.6979 opens a retest of the 0.69859 session high
Loss of 0.6970 asia low exposes the 0.69621 swing low
23:17 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 48 · price 0.69743
Consolidation sub-0.7000, tight Asian range.
AUDUSD is coiling in a tight Asian-session range between 0.69700 and 0.69790 after fading the 0.69859 NY high. RSI(14) neutral near 48, ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no setup in play ahead of Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI in ~2h is a binary re-pricing event that will break this range
M15 close below 0.69700 exposes the 0.69621 session low
M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the 0.69859 session high
23:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69743
Range after failed push to session high.
AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.69700–0.69790 band through a thin Asia session after the earlier push to 0.69859 was rejected. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 and price is pinned around the EMA20, with no directional structure ahead of the Q2 CPI print.
Support: 0.69698, 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event that can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.69790 targets the 0.69859 session high
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69627 session low to tag 0.69859 before fading back to 0.6972; last bars are low-volume drift in the quiet Asia hours. RSI(14) near 44, price pinned just under EMA20 with no active setup — ranging 0.6970-0.6985.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69627
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych area
Loss of 0.69627 confirms a lower low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next volatility trigger for this pair
AUDUSD rejected the 0.69859 session high and slid back to 0.69719, now consolidating in thin Asia-session trade. Price is pinning the 61.8% retrace of the 0.69621-0.69859 up-leg with RSI(14) neutral-soft near 44.
Support: 0.69698, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69765, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69698 confirms continuation toward the 0.69621 session low
Reclaim of 0.69765 pivot needed to re-approach the 0.69859 session high
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the primary catalyst to break this range
AUDUSD rejected the session high at 0.69859 and has drifted lower into Asia hours, now testing the 61.8% retrace of the London-NY rally near 0.6971. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; the pair stays penned below the 0.7000 cap the digest flags.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6970 exposes the 0.69621 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6979 puts the 0.69859 session high back in play
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the key near-term risk to this range read
22:47 UTC
Mild intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69708
Lower highs after 0.6985 peak, drifting into range mid.
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.6985 session high through the NY session and is drifting near 0.6971 in thin late-day/Asia-open trade, RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits mid-range having retraced ~60% of the 0.6963–0.6985 bounce, capped by lower highs into the 0.6976 area.
Support: 0.69695, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.6985
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6976 reopens the 0.6985 session high
Break below 0.6963 confirms a lower low toward the session floor
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (within hours) could materially shift this read
22:32 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69726
Consolidation after rejection off session high.
AUDUSD is drifting in a quiet late-session range between 0.69700 and 0.69790 after buyers pushed to 0.6986 and were rejected mid-window. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; AUD stays capped sub-0.7000 ahead of tomorrow's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69700 exposes the 0.69625 session low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this range decisively
Rejected at session high, drifting back into range.
AUDUSD stalled at the 0.6986 session high and has drifted back to 0.6972 on thin Asian-hour volume. Price sits mid-range between 0.6965 and 0.6986, slipping under EMA20 with no clean structure in play ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6965, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this Asian range in either direction
Loss of 0.6965 confirms a push toward the 0.69621 range low
M15 close back above 0.6986 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
22:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69742
Consolidation after faded rally.
AUDUSD is coiling around 0.6974 on thin late-session flow after the bounce from 0.69627 stalled at the 0.69859 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed to ~2.5 pips — no directional setup in play ahead of Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69627
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this compression
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.69627 swing low
22:17 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 45 · price 0.69742
Consolidation below session high after rally faded.
AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.69859 during the prior window then faded, and now ranges quietly around 0.6974 in thin late-Asia trade — right on the 50% retof that leg. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of tomorrow's Q2 CPI; RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.69713, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this range
22:02 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 47 · price 0.69745
NY rally faded, mid-range in thin Asia trade.
NY session pushed to 0.69859 before fading; price has since drifted back to 0.6974 in thin Asian trade, tracking sub-0.7000 heaviness as the market waits on Australian CPI. Holding a narrow 0.69700–0.69790 band with RSI near neutral, no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the session high at 0.69859
Loss of 0.69700 exposes the session low at 0.69644
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively
22:02 UTC
Downtrend faded to flat range · RSI 45 · price 0.69745
Consolidation after NY fade off session high.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.69860 session high back to 0.6974 and is now coiling in a tight 0.69700–0.69790 range through the Asia open, volume thinning and RSI(14) neutral near 45. Price sits right on EMA20 with the window low at 0.69625 still intact.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6986
What it said to watch
Australian Q2/June CPI at 01:30 GMT (~3.5h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close below 0.69700 reopens the 0.69625 swing low
Close above 0.69790 reactivates the 0.69860 session high
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.69645 swing low during NY and peaked at the 0.69859 session high, but has drifted back to 0.6972 into the thin Asia open. Move is retracing toward the 61.8% of the NY bounce; pair remains penned sub-0.7000 ahead of Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69645, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
Break below 0.69621 range low confirms a lower low
M15 close above 0.69859 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
21:47 UTC
Pulling back after NY rally faded · RSI 43 · price 0.69723
Session high rejected, drifting lower into Asia.
NY session rallied off 0.69629 to a 0.69859 session high, then rejected and faded steadily through late NY into Asia. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.6971–0.6976 band, RSI(14) cooling near 42; the 0.7000 psych cap remains untested ahead of Wed's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69629
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych mark
Break below 0.69695 session low exposes the 0.69629 swing low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this consolidation
21:32 UTC
Drifting lower into thin Asian trade · RSI 44 · price 0.69719
Faded off session high, back mid-range.
AUDUSD recovered through the London-NY session to a high of 0.69859 before fading back to 0.69719 as liquidity thinned into the Asian handover. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s with no momentum; price now hovers at the 61.8% retrace of the 0.69621-0.69859 leg, capped under 0.6976.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69759, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69700 psych level exposes 0.69625 session low
Reclaim of 0.69759 swing high needed to re-approach 0.69859
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next Asian bars
21:32 UTC
Pullback from NY high, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69719
Retrace into thin Asia trade, consolidating below session high.
NY session pushed to 0.69859 then rejected, and price has drifted back through the 61.8% retrace to 0.69719 in thin, low-volume Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed near 3-4 pips — no active momentum with AUD heavy sub-0.7000.
Support: 0.69644, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.69961, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69644 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.69621
Reclaim of 0.69859 needed to negate the pullback
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
21:17 UTC
Range after recovery bounce · RSI 46 · price 0.69738
Ranging 0.6970-0.6980 post rebound off session low.
AUDUSD is drifting in a tight 0.6970-0.6980 range in late NY/low-volume hours, having recovered off the 0.69625 session low up to 0.69859 before fading. Price now sits mid-fib of that bounce with RSI(14) neutral near 46; AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69625 session low reopens downside
M15 close above 0.69790 bounce high needed to retest 0.69859
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69625 session low back to 0.6985 before fading to 0.6974, now consolidating on thin late-session volume with RSI(14) neutral near 45. Pair remains capped well below the 0.7000 psych mark, in line with the AUD's heavy tone into tomorrow's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69850 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69700 puts session low 0.69625 back in play
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session pushed AUDUSD up to a session high at 0.69859 before rejection, then faded steadily through late NY into Asia back to the 0.69730 session low. Price now coils in a tight 0.69730–0.69760 band below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range around 43; the 0.7000 psych ceiling remains untested.
Support: 0.6973, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69730 session low exposes the 0.69644 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69790 prior high needed to re-open the session high
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~4h out) likely dictates the next leg
Pullback off session high, holding above session low.
AUDUSD ran from the 0.69649 session low to 0.69859 during NY then faded back to 0.6973, stalling well below the 0.7000 cap. Price now churns between the session high and 0.6965, RSI(14) mid-range and offering no extreme; Aussie remains penned sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.69649, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next catalyst for this range
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 test
Loss of 0.69649 confirms a lower low and opens 0.69621
20:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69742
Consolidating mid-range after bounce.
AUDUSD sold to a 0.69628 range low during the session then recovered to reject 0.69859, and is now flat around 0.69742 into late NY/early Asia hours. Price sits mid-range just under EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.6973, 0.69644, 0.69628
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69730 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~5h) can break this consolidation
AUDUSD rallied through NY from 0.6965 to a session high at 0.69852 before rejection dragged it back to 0.6974, where it has gone flat into the Asia open. Price sits below EMA20 but is holding the 50-61.8% retrace of the up-leg; 0.6985 caps and 0.69644 marks the pullback floor.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69644, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this consolidation either way
Close above 0.69852 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69644 swing low confirms a lower-low
20:32 UTC
Choppy, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.6974
Recovery faded, consolidating below recent high.
NY session recovered off the 0.6962 window low up to 0.6986 before supply capped and price faded into the late session, now coiling quietly around 0.6974. Range-bound sub-0.7000, with the psych mark and the 0.6986 swing high untested from below.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively
Loss of 0.6965 session low opens the 0.6962 window low
Reclaim of 0.6982 supply needed to re-test the 0.6986 swing high
20:32 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.6974
Recovery from session low stalled below 0.6985, pulling back.
AUDUSD bounced from the 0.6962 session low to 0.6985 through the NY session, then rejected and drifted back to 0.6974 — roughly a 50% retrace of that leg with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Aussie stays heavy sub-0.7000, penned between 0.6965 and 0.6985 ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6965 reopens the 0.6962 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6985 needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych cap
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range
Retraced off session high, coiling near mid-range.
AUDUSD eased to 0.6975 after rejection at the 0.6986 session high, roughly the 50% retrace of the London-NY rally off 0.6965. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with bars compressing into 3-4 pip candles; the pair holds sub-0.7000 in line with the heavy AUD tone.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6965
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6965 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
reclaim of 0.6986 needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych cap
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range
20:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.6975
Consolidating below NY session high.
AUDUSD rounded off the session low at 0.69625 through NY, peaked at 0.69859, and has since gone flat near 0.6975 with volume drying up into the Asia handover. Price sits around the 50% retrace of that recovery, still capped well below the 0.7000 mark ahead of Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next range-breaker
Failure to hold 0.6974 reopens 0.69625 session low
Close above 0.69859 puts the 0.7000 psych cap in play
20:02 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 43 · price 0.69742
Faded off session high, mid-range drift.
AUD recovered off the 0.69644 swing low to a session high at 0.69859 before fading, now drifting into 0.69742 around the 50% retracement of that leg with RSI(14) mid-range. Aussie stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69770 reopens the 0.69859 session high
Failure to hold 0.69700 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this intraday read
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69625 swing low through NY, tagged the 0.69859 session high then faded to consolidate near 0.6974 at the mid-point of the move. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46 with price pinned just below EMA20 into tomorrow's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69735, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
Loss of 0.69735 session low exposes 0.69644 swing low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can force a break of this range
19:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.69762
Rally into 0.6986 rejected, tight consolidation.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.6962 session low through NY, tagging a 0.6986 session high before rejection, and is now drifting in a tight 0.6973-0.6978 consolidation with RSI(14) neutral. The advance stalled below the 0.7000 psych cap, and price has slipped back under EMA20.
Support: 0.6973, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6973 range low reopens the 0.6962 session low
Close above 0.6986 session high revives the push toward 0.7000 psych
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after retracing half the NY bounce.
NY session bounced twice off 0.6964 and ran to a session high at 0.69859 before stalling; price has since retraced roughly half the move and is coiling around 0.6975. Aussie stays penned below the 0.7000 pivot with tomorrow's Australian CPI the next directional catalyst.
Support: 0.69739, 0.69643
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69739 exposes the 0.69643 swing low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Recovery stalling, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69768
Tight consolidation under session high.
AUDUSD pushed off the 0.6965 base to a NY session high of 0.69859 before the level rejected it, and price is now coiling tight around 0.69768 — the 38.2% retracement of that up move. Volume thinning into the NY close with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.6965, 0.69624
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6965 base reopens the 0.69624 session low
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next binary risk for this pair
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.69625 session low during NY hours and pushed to 0.69859 before rejection capped the move. Price has since eased back toward the 38.2%-50% retrace of that leg and is drifting in a tight 0.69738-0.69770 band as the session winds down, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69738, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69738 pullback low exposes the 0.69625 session low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~6h out) likely to break this range
19:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.69754
Tight range under session high after intraday bounce.
AUDUSD carved out a session low at 0.69625 then rallied through NY hours to a session high of 0.69859 before easing back to 0.6975. Price is now pinned in a tight ~5 pip range, RSI(14) neutral near 47, coiling ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
Loss of 0.69695 swing low reasserts the downside toward 0.69625
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively
NY session rallied off the London low near 0.69625 to a session high at 0.69859, then faded back to 0.6975 where price has gone flat. Move stalls into the 50-DMA/0.7000 cap flagged ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI; RSI(14) back to neutral after the pullback.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69700 reopens the 0.69625 session low
Close above 0.69859 puts the 0.70000 psych level in play
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can override this intraday read
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69621 swing low through London-NY, tagged a session high at 0.6986 and was rejected, fading back to 0.69755. Now coiling in a tight 0.69735-0.6976 range, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; the pair remains heavy sub-0.7000 per the risk-off tone ahead of Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69735, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.69735 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
Australian CPI ~6h out could break this consolidation
19:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.69755
Higher low off 0.6962, consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD rallied from the 0.6962 swing low through London to a session high of 0.6986, then faded into NY to consolidate around 0.6975, just under EMA20. Move stalled short of the 0.7000 psych level flagged as the cap into tomorrow's CPI; price now sits near the 38-50% retrace of the intraday leg.
Support: 0.69734, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69734 range low reopens the 0.69625 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high needed to challenge 0.7000 psych
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can materially shift this read
18:47 UTC
Recovery leg fading, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69747
Bounce off 0.6962 lows, retracing rally into 0.69859.
NY session rallied off the 0.6962 session low to 0.69859 then faded, retracing roughly half the move to 0.69747 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Aussie stays heavy sub-0.7000 ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI, penned between 0.69660 and the session high.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6966, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69660 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.69621
Reclaim of 0.69790 puts the 0.69859 session high back in play
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC could materially shift this read
NY session rallied off 0.69649 to a session high of 0.69859 before rejecting; price has since faded to 0.69747, holding around the 50% retrace of that leg with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. AUD stays capped sub-0.7000 into Wednesday's Australian CPI, in line with the broader risk-off tone.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69740 opens the 0.69625 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69859 needed to retest the 0.7000 psych level
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this range
Pullback into 50% of the NY rally after rejection at 0.69859.
NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.69621 base up to a session high of 0.69859 before sellers rejected there; price has since faded back to ~0.69746, roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of tomorrow's Q2/June CPI.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69695 opens the 0.69621 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high needed to revive the rally
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially reset this read
18:32 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69746
Rally rejected at 0.69859, retracing intraday move.
NY session pushed up to 0.69859 then got rejected, and price has faded back to 0.69746, roughly the 50% mark of that leg. Still capped well below the 0.7000 psych level; sub-range chop between the 0.69859 session high and the 0.69649 swing low.
Support: 0.69649, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the run toward 0.7000
Loss of 0.69649 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69621 range low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~7h) can materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69759
Rally off 0.69621 rejected at 0.69859, drifting lower.
AUDUSD based at 0.69621 and rallied through late NY to a session high of 0.69859 before sellers capped it, unwinding to 0.69759 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price now sits just under EMA20 and the pullback is testing the 0.69742 area, with the pair penned sub-0.7000 ahead of Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69738, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69738 pullback low reopens the 0.69621 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69820 prior high revives the push toward the 0.69859 session high
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD clawed off the 0.6963 demand zone through the NY session but the rally stalled at 0.69859 and has since faded to 0.6976, back below the EMA20. Aussie stays penned sub-0.7000 with the 50-DMA/psych cap intact ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.70000 psych cap
Loss of 0.69660 demand exposes the 0.69620 swing low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this intraday read
NY session drove a recovery off the 0.69663 base up to a session high at 0.69859, but the move faded into late NY back to 0.69753, dipping under the EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 49 as the rally unwinds; the pullback holds above the session low for now.
Support: 0.69663, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.69859
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69663 session low confirms the recovery has failed
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high needed to resume the up-leg
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC thereafter could reset this read
18:02 UTC
NY uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 0.69753
Recovery off session low, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69621 session low up to a session high at 0.69859, with the Aussie the G10 laggard sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's CPI. Last six bars have faded back to 0.69753, RSI cooling to ~52 as price dips under EMA20.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69859 puts the 0.70000 psych cap in play
Loss of 0.69700 swing pivot exposes the 0.69621 session low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can override this read
17:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69751
Higher lows into NY, now retracing off session high.
NY session drove AUDUSD up to a session high at 0.69859, capped well below the 0.7000 psych level, and price is now retracing toward the 0.69663 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s as the pullback develops; AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000 ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69663, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this read entirely
M15 close below 0.69663 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69859 needed to re-target the 0.7000 psych cap
NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.6962 range low up to a session high at 0.69859 before sellers capped it; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price retraces to 0.69751, back below EMA20. Pullback is holding above the 0.697 swing area while the 0.7000 psych cap stays untested, consistent with the AUD staying penned sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69644, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
Loss of 0.69644 session low confirms a lower-low and unwinds the bounce
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next material driver for this pair
NY session rallied from the 0.6966 range base to a session high at 0.69859 before easing back to 0.69778, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's Q2 CPI, with buyers previously stepping in around 0.6963.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold the 0.69660 range base confirms a lower low toward 0.69630 session low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this intraday read
Higher lows off session low, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove a recovery off the 0.69621 swing low up to 0.69859, then price faded to 0.69778 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range. AUD stays penned below the 0.7000 psych cap ahead of tomorrow's Q2 CPI, keeping the bounce corrective for now.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.7000 psych cap
Loss of 0.6966 pullback low negates the intraday higher-low chain
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could override this read
Rally off 0.6962 base, pulling back below session high.
NY session drove a steady recovery off the 0.6962 base, reclaiming through 0.69745 to tag a session high at 0.69859 before easing back to 0.69793. Advance capped below the 0.7000/50-DMA ceiling flagged as the recurring cap; RSI cooling from the rally.
Support: 0.69745, 0.69645, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 opens the path to the 0.7000 cap
Failure to hold 0.69745 breakout puts 0.69645 swing low back in play
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this read
Higher lows off 0.6962, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove a clean rally off 0.6965 to a session high at 0.69859, and price is now pulling back to the 0.6976 breakout shelf near the 38.2% fib. RSI(14) has cooled off its highs toward mid-range as the impulse loses steam ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6966, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69859
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69760 breakout shelf negates the pullback-continuation read
Reclaim of 0.69859 session high extends the intraday uptrend
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially reset this range
NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6962 session low to a 0.69859 high, now easing back to 0.69825 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising support off 0.6966, but the 0.7000 psychological/50-DMA cap flagged in the AUD read remains untested.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69660 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Rejection at session high 0.69859 keeps price penned below 0.7000
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, stalling under 0.6986.
NY session rallied ~20 pips off the 0.69621 session low into 0.69860 before stalling, now easing to 0.69825 with RSI(14) cooling from mid-60s. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI; the 0.6986 session high and 0.7000 psych remain the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69860 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold 0.69660 swing low reopens 0.69621 session low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this range
Higher lows off session low, breaking recent range top.
NY session drove a clean recovery from the 0.69625 session low up to 0.69859, breaking the 0.6976 range top and pushing price above both EMAs. Last bar stalled at 0.6982 with RSI cooling from the mid-60s; the 0.7000 psych cap sits just overhead.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69859 session high opens the 0.7000 psych mark
Loss of 0.6976 prior range top negates the breakout read
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next material driver for this pair
Higher lows off session base, pullback from session high.
NY session rallied off 0.6965 to a session high at 0.69859, breaking the 0.6976 shelf before easing back to 0.6982 with RSI cooling from the low 60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around the 0.69645 swing low earlier; 0.7000 psych cap remains the ceiling into tomorrow's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69645
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6976 breakout level negates the recovery read
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Rejection or break at 0.7000 psych — area to watch
16:32 UTC
Recovering uptrend off session base · RSI 66 · price 0.6984
Range floor held, breakout higher into NY.
AUDUSD based around 0.6963 through the Asian/early-London hours then lifted through 0.6975 into NY, printing a session high at 0.6986 with RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched. The 0.7000 psych level, aligned with the 50-DMA/38.2% Fibo cap flagged for AUD, remains the ceiling into Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6975 negates the breakout and returns price into the range floor
Rejection or break at the 0.7000 psych level — area to monitor
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, rallying into resistance.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base near 0.6963 through the Asian/early-London hours, then pushed higher into NY to 0.6986 with RSI(14) heating toward 71. Rally stalling just under the 0.7000 psych mark that has capped every attempt.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6965, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 psych extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold the 0.6975 breakout base confirms fade
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
16:17 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 72 · price 0.69849
Double bottom, higher lows into NY.
NY session bid off a double bottom at 0.6962, with buyers stepping in twice around the swing low before a clean recovery leg into 0.6985. RSI(14) is hot near 72 as price probes the session high; the 0.7000 psychological cap sits overhead.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6965, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6994 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.6970 negates the recovery and re-exposes the 0.6962 double bottom
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant AUD catalyst and could reset this read
16:17 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 69 · price 0.69849
Breakout from base, higher highs.
NY session rallied out of a 0.6963–0.6972 base, printing a fresh session high at 0.69849 with RSI(14) elevated near 70. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6962 through the London-NY transition; the 0.70000 psych cap and 38.2% fibo hurdle now sit overhead.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6966, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.69849, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70000 clears the psych cap and opens path higher
Loss of 0.69750 negates the breakout and returns price into the base
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
16:02 UTC
Recovering, short-term uptrend into NY · RSI 66 · price 0.69832
Double bottom off session low, range break higher.
AUDUSD based twice at the 0.69621 session low through the mid-window drift, then NY hours drove a clean break above the 0.6963–0.6973 range up to 0.6983, retracing ~62% of the earlier decline. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extreme; the 0.6989 prior-high shelf and 0.70000 psychological/50-DMA cap sit just overhead into Wed's CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Rejection at 0.6989–0.70000 caps the bounce and reasserts the range
M15 close back below 0.69700 negates the range break
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant AUD catalyst
16:02 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 0.69832
Higher lows off session base, testing prior swing.
NY afternoon session: AUDUSD carved a double base near 0.69620 through the mid-window and has rallied ~20 pips into 0.69832, clearing 0.69754 with RSI(14) near 68. Recovery aligns with a two-way risk read ahead of Wednesday's AU CPI; supply sits at the 0.69940 prior swing and the 0.70000 psych cap.
Support: 0.69754, 0.69621, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69827, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69940 opens the path toward the 0.70000 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.69754 breakout re-exposes the 0.69621 session low
AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC later Wed are the dominant catalysts
15:47 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69804
Higher lows late NY after intraday decline.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962-0.6964 through NY hours and rallied to 0.698, reclaiming both short EMAs as risk-off pressure eased. The prior session high at 0.69824 caps the bounce, with 0.7000 the standing psych barrier flagged into Wednesday's Australia CPI.
Support: 0.69644, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69824, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69824 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 psych cap
Loss of 0.69644 session base re-exposes the 0.69621 session low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant AUD catalyst and could reset this read
15:47 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69804
Double bottom, higher lows building.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962 through the day and rallied into the NY session, reclaiming EMA20/50 and pressing the session high at 0.69824. RSI(14) near 64, room before it runs hot; the bounce fits AUD stabilising after this week's risk-off slide, but 0.6994/0.7000 remains the overhead cap.
Support: 0.69713, 0.6966, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69824, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69824 exposes the 0.69940 prior high and 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.6962 session low
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
15:32 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69799
Double-bottom bounce off 0.6962, HL chain into NY.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962 through the London session then pushed higher into NY, last printing 0.6980 with RSI(14) around 64. The Aussie stays sub-0.7000 amid tech-led risk-off, but buyers stepped in twice at 0.6962 and the recovery has reclaimed both fast EMAs.
Support: 0.69649, 0.69621, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.69649 reopens the 0.6962 swing low
Close above 0.69940 exposes the 0.7000 psych cap
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is a binary risk that can override this read
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962 through London and has since climbed to 0.6980 into NY hours, RSI(14) firming to the high-60s. Price is now testing the 0.6800 round level after a clean recovery off the session low.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 round opens the path to the 0.6994 prior high
Loss of 0.6966 recent pivot reopens the 0.6962 session low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, bounce in play · RSI 60 · price 0.69756
Consolidation off session low, testing 38.2% retrace.
AUDUSD carved a base at 0.6962 through the NY session and just popped to 0.69756 on the final bar, tagging the 38.2% retrace of the 0.69989–0.69621 slide. Demand held twice at 0.6962–0.6966; the 0.69765 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69765, 0.6989
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.69765 opens the 0.6989 prior high
Loss of 0.6966 reopens the 0.69621 session low
Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC are binary risks that could override this read
15:02 UTC
Sideways after intraday slide · RSI 45 · price 0.69678
Range-bound near session lows.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6999 to a 0.6962 session low through London hours then stabilised, and NY has since chopped in a tight 0.6962–0.6974 band with RSI(14) neutral near 45. Price sits mid-range at 0.6968, capped below EMA20/50 with no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.69621, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6994
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6974 reopens the 0.6994 area
Loss of 0.69621 confirms a lower low toward 0.6960
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC later are twin catalysts that could break this range
15:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69678
Range base after London selloff.
AUDUSD faded from 0.6996 through the London session and has since coiled in a 0.6963-0.6974 band, printing at 0.69678 near the range base with RSI in the mid-40s. Price sits just under EMA20/50; movement is muted ahead of the AUD CPI and FOMC double-header.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69738
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and opens the range base
Reclaim of 0.69738 puts the range top back in play
Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC later that day are twin catalysts that can override this range
14:47 UTC
Leg down stalling into range · RSI 48 · price 0.69688
Ranging 0.6963-0.6974 after intraday decline.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6996 area to a 0.69625 session low as an AI/chip-stock risk-off tone weighed on the Aussie, then based and is now ranging 0.6963-0.6974. RSI(14) back to neutral near 47 with price pinned to EMA20; the pair holds the 0.6970-0.7000 band flagged into CPI.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69738, 0.69961, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 0.69738 needed to challenge the 0.6996 prior high
AUD CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) ~11h out is the dominant catalyst for this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 46 · price 0.69688
Consolidation above session low.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6990 toward a 0.6962 session low through the London session as an AI/chip-driven risk-off tone weighed on the Aussie, and has since gone flat, ranging 0.6963-0.6974. Price is pinned to EMA20 with EMA50 capping overhead; RSI(14) mid-range near 46, no momentum edge into NY.
Support: 0.6963, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6990
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6963 range floor confirms a lower-low continuation
Close above 0.6974 range top reopens 0.6990 prior high
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT then FOMC are the twin catalysts that will break this range
14:31 UTC
Range after intraday selloff · RSI 50 · price 0.69693
Chopping 0.6962-0.6974 post-decline.
AUDUSD slid from ~0.6994 to a 0.69621 session low through London, then settled into a tight 0.6962-0.6974 range into the NY afternoon with RSI(14) flat near 50. AUD stays capped well below the 0.7000 psych level as traders hold fire ahead of the CPI/Fed double-header.
Support: 0.69644, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69738, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69738 recent high opens 0.69800
Break of 0.69621 session low confirms a lower low
Australia CPI 01:30 GMT then FOMC are twin catalysts that could void this range read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 0.69693
Range after lower low, holding ~0.6965-0.6974.
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 0.69621 before recovering into a tight 0.69645-0.69738 range. Price now sits mid-range at 0.69693 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; no directional setup while the range holds.
Support: 0.69645, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69738, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69738 swing high reopens 0.69800
Australia CPI (~11h) and FOMC are twin catalysts that could override this range
AUDUSD faded from a failed push toward 0.7000 into the 0.69625 session low, and is now consolidating a tight 0.6962-0.6974 band during NY hours with RSI(14) hovering near 48. Traders are sitting on hands ahead of Wed CPI and FOMC; ATR(14) around 5 pips reflects the compressed range.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6954
Resistance: 0.69738, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69738 opens a retest of 0.6990
Break below 0.69625 confirms a lower low toward 0.6954
Australia CPI ~11h away could break this range
14:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 49 · price 0.69683
Consolidation in lower part of range after fade from 0.6996.
AUDUSD faded through the London-NY session from the 0.6996 area down to a session low at 0.6963, and is now chopping in a tight 0.6963-0.6974 band with RSI(14) flat near 49. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with no directional impulse as traders hold ahead of Australian CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.6963, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6982
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6974 opens a retest of the 0.6982 prior high
Loss of 0.6963 session low confirms a lower-low and extends the fade
Australia CPI (~11h) then FOMC are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
AUDUSD faded from 0.6994 to a 0.6962 double bottom through the London-NY sessions, then ground back to 0.6972 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Recovery is shallow and capped under the 0.6974 swing high; traders are sitting on hands ahead of Wed CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6980, 0.6994
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a lower low and voids the double bottom
Close above 0.6974 opens the path back toward 0.6980
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT then FOMC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD faded through the NY session from 0.6996 toward a 0.6962 base, then carved higher lows back to 0.69721 with RSI(14) mid-range. Pair remains pinned under 0.7000 as traders sit on hands ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6965
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6974 opens the path to 0.6980
Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a lower low
Australian CPI (~11h out) is the next structural catalyst
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69663
Faded from 0.6999, ranging above session low.
AUDUSD faded through the London-NY transition from 0.6999 down to the session low at 0.69620, then chopped in a 0.6962–0.6974 range with a firm USD reasserting into the FOMC event risk. Price is fading back toward the lower half at 0.69663, sub-EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 44.
Support: 0.6962, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6974
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69620 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 0.69740 breaks the range top
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD faded from a failed 0.7000 test early in the window to a 0.69621 session low, then based twice near 0.6963 and ground back to 0.6970 through the London-NY transition. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR ~3.6 pips; price is consolidating just under the 0.6974 recent high with Australia CPI ahead.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69621, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6974 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.69621 session low confirms a lower low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range
AUDUSD faded from near 0.7000 to a 0.6962 double bottom through the London session as a firm USD reasserted, then ground back up into NY hours on a chain of higher lows. Price holds 0.6970 inside a 0.6962-0.6976 range, coiling ahead of Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69758 swing high opens the path to 0.7000
Loss of 0.6962 double bottom confirms a lower low
Australian CPI in ~12h could break this range decisively
13:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69709
Lower highs into a range base near 0.6965.
AUDUSD faded through the window from the 0.7000 area to a 0.69621 session low as a firm USD held bid into the FOMC. Price is now basing in a tight 0.6962-0.6976 band; RSI(14) neutral near 51, no directional impulse into event risk.
Support: 0.69621, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 0.69758 opens the path back toward 0.6980
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT then FOMC later — can reset this range
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 area across the window to a London-session low at 0.69625, where buyers stepped in twice, and is now grinding back to 0.6971. RSI(14) recovered off its lows to mid-range; ATR(14) sits near 4 pips with price back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69747, 0.69804, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69747 swing high needed to confirm the recovery
Loss of 0.69625 session low confirms a fresh lower low
AUD Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the near-term risk that can break this range
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce forming · RSI 52 · price 0.6969
Faded from 0.7000, basing above session low.
AUDUSD faded from a failed test of 0.7000 through the London-NY window down to a session low at 0.6962 as a firm USD reasserted, now recovering to 0.6969 and holding just above the EMA20. Bounce is shallow — price sits below the 38.2% fib of the down move (0.6977) with RSI(14) mid-range around 52.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6977 (38.2 fib) extends the recovery toward 0.6990
Failure to hold 0.6962 session low confirms a lower low
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could move the USD leg; AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT the larger risk
AUDUSD faded from a failed 0.7000 test through the session down to a base near 0.6962, twice defended, and is now consolidating tightly around 0.6965-0.6970. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to mid-range as price sits on hands ahead of AU CPI.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.6990 needed to unwind the fade
AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next material catalyst for this read
Consolidation above session low after morning fade.
AUDUSD faded from 0.7000 through the London morning to a session low at 0.69621, with a firm USD capping the pair. Price is now grinding back toward 0.6970, carving higher lows off the base as traders sit on hands ahead of Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69621, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69730 swing high opens a retest of 0.6980
Loss of 0.69621 session low resumes the downtrend toward the range floor
Australia CPI (~13h) and FOMC could materially shift this read
Faded from 0.6996 to double bottom at 0.6962, recovering.
AUDUSD pinned under 0.7000 ahead of CPI, faded from 0.6996 through the session to a double bottom at 0.6962 during London hours. Price is grinding back toward 0.6970 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; lower highs at 0.6996 and 0.6975 still cap the bounce.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 0.7000
Loss of 0.6962 double bottom confirms a lower low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.69682
Lower highs into a 0.6962-0.6975 base.
AUDUSD slid through the London-NY transition to a session low of 0.6962, with a firm USD pre-FOMC weighing on the Aussie. Price is basing 0.6962-0.6975 with twin lows near 0.6962; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as the sell-off stalled.
Support: 0.69621, 0.6960
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6960 psych
Reclaim of 0.6975 swing high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is a binary event that will override this base
12:17 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69667
Consolidation above a double bottom at 0.6962.
AUDUSD sold off through London into the mid-0.696s and is now consolidating, with matched lows at 0.69625 and 0.69621 forming a double bottom. Price sits below the 0.69730 swing high under a descending resistance line; RSI(14) mid-range near 44 as the market drifts ahead of Aus CPI.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6973
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69620 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
Break above 0.69730 clears the descending resistance line
Aus CPI 01:30 GMT then FOMC are binary events that can override this read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69667
Boxed at session lows after leg down.
AUDUSD leaked lower through the London session, printing a swing low at 0.69621 before stabilising. Price is now boxed 0.6962–0.6976 with RSI(14) mid-range, USD firm on pre-FOMC caution while AUD stays pinned sub-0.7000.
Support: 0.69621, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69758, 0.6994
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 0.6976 exits the range toward 0.6970-round breach then 0.69758
Aus CPI (~13h) then FOMC are binary catalysts that override this intraday read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session from ~0.6996 to a session low at 0.69621, and is now consolidating in a tight 0.6962-0.6965 band just above it. RSI(14) is subdued near 43 with price capped under EMA20/50; the pair stays boxed sub-0.7000 as traders sit on hands ahead of Australia CPI and the FOMC.
Support: 0.69621, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69707, 0.69758, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.696 psych
Reclaim of 0.69707 minor pivot would ease the lower-highs sequence
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later could reset this read entirely
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flatlining at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69652
Lower highs into a tight range near session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the session from the 0.7000 rejection, bottoming at 0.6962 and now consolidating in a 0.6962-0.6970 range with RSI(14) parked in the mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50; sub-0.7000 cap intact ahead of tomorrow's Aus CPI.
Support: 0.6962, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69758, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6970 range top breaks the recent lower-high chain
Loss of 0.6962 range low confirms continuation of the downtrend
Aus CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) then FOMC are the catalysts that resolve this range
AUDUSD ground lower through the session, printing a session low at 0.69620 before basing in a tight ~15-pip range just above it. RSI(14) around 41 as the sell-off loses pace; price remains below EMA20 and EMA50 with the pair pinned under 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6976
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69620 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69730 breaks the lower-high sequence
AUD trimmed-mean CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69632
Lower highs into 0.6963-0.6973 range.
AUDUSD slid off 0.6994 through the NY session, printing a session low at 0.69625 before stabilising in a tight 0.6963-0.6973 band. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, ATR compressed near 5 pips as price coils just under 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.6973 needed to break the consolidation
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower from the 0.7000 area through London, printing a session low at 0.69621 before stabilising near 0.6966. Price is consolidating just above the low with RSI mid-range; sellers capped the last bounce at 0.69735, and the whole tape stays coiled ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69621, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69735, 0.69804, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.69735 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Australian CPI in ~14h could break this consolidation either way
AUDUSD leaked lower through the London session, sliding off the 0.7000 pivot and printing fresh session lows at 0.69621 as a firm USD ahead of the FOMC capped bounces. Recovery attempts stalled at 0.69747, keeping the lower-high sequence intact; RSI(14) mid-40s, no oversold stretch yet.
Support: 0.69621, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69747, 0.69805, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69747 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.69621 extends the downtrend toward 0.6960
Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC ~16h later could reset this read
AUDUSD ground lower through London, slipping from 0.6996 to fresh session lows at 0.69621 with price pinned below EMA20/50. The 0.70000 pivot capped early and each bounce has stalled near 0.69735; RSI(14) around 41, no oversold stretch yet.
Support: 0.69621, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69735, 0.69758, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69621 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69735 would break the lower-high chain
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session from the 0.7000 area, printing a fresh session low at 0.69621 with EMA20/50 stacked above price. Chain of lower highs (0.69758, 0.69747, 0.69667) keeps the downside sequence intact; RSI(14) near 37, soft but not yet extended.
Support: 0.69621, 0.6954
Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69621 confirms the next lower-low; a reclaim of 0.69747 breaks the lower-high chain
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day are the dominant catalysts and can override this intraday structure
London session broke the 0.697 base and printed a fresh session low at 0.69625, AUDUSD now hovering 0.69657 under the 50-day SMA cap flagged into Wednesday's CPI. RSI(14) soft near 38 but not yet oversold; sellers holding the 0.69747 swing high on the last bounce.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69747
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69747 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.69625 opens continuation lower
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69636
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.7005.
AUDUSD rolled over from 0.7005 through the NY session, breaking below the 0.6970 shelf and printing fresh session lows at 0.69636, retesting the prior swing low near 0.69625. RSI(14) around 38, no oversold extreme yet; pair coiling below 0.7000 with the 50-day SMA capping the daily read into Wednesday's AU CPI.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms continuation lower toward 0.6960
Reclaim of 0.6975 breaks the lower-high chain
AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can override this intraday read
AUDUSD ground lower through London off the 0.7000 area, dropping to a session low at 0.69644 as the pair eased ahead of Wednesday's CPI. A bounce into the 0.69758 swing high faded and price is now back retesting the session low; RSI(14) sub-40, no oversold extreme yet.
AUDUSD leaked lower through the London session from 0.7005 toward the 0.69625 swing low, consolidating 0.6968-0.6976 before the last bar broke down to retest lows. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; move ties to the softer-USD grind and positioning ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69804, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6960
Reclaim of 0.69758 swing high negates the breakdown read
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day can override this structure
AUDUSD sold off through 0.6980 into early London, sweeping a session low of 0.69625 before stabilising in a 0.6965–0.6975 band. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the mid-40s as price coils below the 0.69758 range top, sitting just above EMA20 but under EMA50.
Support: 0.69644, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69758 range high opens the path back toward 0.69807
Failure to hold 0.69644 confirms continuation to the 0.69625 swing low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC later that day could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing into range · RSI 45 · price 0.69714
Sharp London-open leg down, now consolidating above session low.
AUDUSD sold off at the London open from 0.6980 to a 0.69625 session low, then recovered into a tight 0.69695–0.69758 range. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s and price is chopping just above EMA20 but under EMA50; no clean intraday setup in play ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69804
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and voids the range floor
Reclaim of 0.69758 session high opens the path back toward the 0.69804 pre-drop high
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read
09:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 0.69714
Lower highs into a tight consolidation.
AUDUSD leaked lower from the 0.7000 area through the session, with a sharp early-London leg down to a session low of 0.69644 as a firmer USD weighed. Price is now consolidating 0.6965-0.6975 just under the 0.6980 swing high, RSI(14) recovering to mid-40s from the drop.
Support: 0.69644, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.69804
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69644 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 0.6975 recent high reopens the 0.69804 swing high
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid off 0.7000 through the Asian session to a session low near 0.69625, then buyers stepped in twice to base and lift price back to a 0.6970-0.6976 consolidation into London. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-40s; the 0.69758 session high caps for now.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69758 opens the path to 0.69800
Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a lower low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
09:17 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.69722
Based near session low, ranging.
AUDUSD sold off through 0.69804 during the Asia-London transition into a session low at 0.69625, then stabilised and is now consolidating 0.69660-0.69758 with price back on the EMA20. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as the pair pins around the 0.7000 pivot theme ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.6966, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69804, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.69804 negates the breakdown read
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD slid from the 0.7000 area through the NY session, sweeping down to a session low of 0.69625 before demand stabilised it into a 0.6965–0.6975 base. USD held firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC while AUD idled near the 0.7000 pivot; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as the sell-off flattened.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69935, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69760 breaks the consolidation and reopens the 0.6993 area
Loss of 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD leaked lower through the London hours, sliding from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69644 as the pair drifts off 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI. Price has since based in a 0.69644–0.69760 range with RSI back to neutral; range top capping, session low holding so far.
Support: 0.69644, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69804, 0.6990
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69760 opens the path back toward 0.69804
Loss of 0.69644 confirms a fresh lower low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
London session extended the slide from 0.70000 down to a 0.69625 swing low, with a softer USD failing to lift AUD ahead of Wednesday's CPI. Price has since chopped in a 0.69625-0.69758 band, RSI(14) flat mid-40s and price capped under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69758 range top breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms fresh lower-low continuation
Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC are the dominant catalysts and can override this range read
08:47 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69699
Lower highs into session low, now basing near 0.6970.
London session pushed AUDUSD down from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69625, and price is now consolidating around 0.6970 just below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Move stalled ahead of Wednesday's Australia CPI and the FOMC; the swing high at 0.69758 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6985
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69758 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this range read
Asian session ground AUDUSD down from 0.7003 to a swing low at 0.69625, price now consolidating 0.6965–0.6975 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) recovered off the lows to the mid-40s as the sell-off stalled; pair pinned near 0.6969 into Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69747 session high opens 0.6990
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the range-breaking catalyst
AUDUSD sold off through the London session from 0.7000 to a session low of 0.69625, then based twice around 0.6963 and clawed back to ~0.6970. Price is now pinned in a 0.6966-0.6976 range, RSI(14) mid-band, with the 0.7000 psych level capping any recovery ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69656
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69758 swing high opens the path back toward 0.7000 psych
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle through the London session, sweeping down to 0.69625 before buyers stabilised the pair. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6965-0.6975 band as the market defers to Wednesday's Australian CPI, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the key risk and can break this consolidation either way
Loss of 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
M15 close above 0.69758 negates the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69625, then bounced to 0.69758 before easing back to 0.6968. Price is basing just under the descending swing highs, RSI mid-40s, with AUD pinned ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
AUDUSD drifted down through Asia from 0.70050 and the London open pushed price to a session low of 0.69625 before buyers stepped in. Now chopping 0.69625–0.69758 near the 0.7000 psych pivot, RSI(14) mid-range, as the pair squares up ahead of Aus CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69658
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69758 opens the path back to the 0.69800 swing high
Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Aus CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid off 0.6996 through the London open, printing a session low at 0.69625 before basing between there and 0.69758, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 45. Price is holding just under the 0.7000 pivot with buyers stepping in twice at 0.6964.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69758 opens the path back toward 0.7000
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
Session low at 0.69625 holding, higher lows since.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 handle through the session, bottoming at 0.69625 in early London before a grind back to 0.69758. Price now consolidating around 0.6969 with higher lows forming, but still capped below the 0.6975–0.6980 supply and stalled below EMA20.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69686
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69758 opens the path back toward 0.6980
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC ahead can override this intraday read
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 psych level through the session, printing a low at 0.69625 where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Price now consolidating 0.6963–0.6976 below EMA20, RSI(14) recovering off the lows. AUD is squaring ahead of Wednesday's Aus CPI and the FOMC.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69686
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69758 swing high shifts the near-term structure
Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms a lower-low continuation
Aus CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid off the 0.7000 pivot through the Asian hours, printing a session low at 0.69625 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 0.6973. The move fits the digest read of a pair capped below 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI/FOMC; RSI(14) has recovered from oversold but the sequence of lower highs is intact.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69805, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69805 needed to break the lower-high chain
Australia CPI Wed and FOMC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the London session from 0.6994 down to a 0.69625 low, then buyers stepped in and the pair is consolidating 0.69625–0.69758. Slide off the 0.7000 pivot fits the two-way tone as traders square into Wednesday's CPI/FOMC.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69800 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
07:17 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.69739
Lower highs, double bottom forming at lows.
AUDUSD sold off through late Asia toward 0.69625 as traders squared into Bullock and Wed CPI, with buyers stepping in twice around 0.6963 to form a double bottom. Price has recovered to 0.69739, retracing roughly a third of the drop; RSI(14) lifting from the low-40s but still below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
Reclaim of 0.69800 needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych pivot
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
AUDUSD leaked lower through the London morning, capped below 0.7000 and printing a session low at 0.69625 as traders squared into Wednesday's CPI/FOMC double-header. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.69625-0.69695 and price is grinding back toward the 0.69808 swing high, RSI(14) recovering from oversold territory.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69808, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69808 opens the path back toward 0.69940
Loss of 0.69625 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session drove AUDUSD down from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69625, price now consolidating ~0.6969 below both EMAs as traders square into Bullock's speech and Wednesday's CPI. RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 43; the sequence of lower highs is intact.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69691
Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6994
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69747 session high needed to break the lower-high chain
Bullock speech today and Wed CPI/FOMC are the material risks ahead
London session extended the slide, sweeping to 0.69625 before buyers stepped in twice near 0.6963; pair bounced to 0.69747 then eased back to 0.6969. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling, AUD capped ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6990
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69747 then 0.6990 would negate the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
06:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69721
Lower highs and lower lows, corrective bounce.
AUDUSD lost 0.7000 and sliced through 0.6980 into the late Asian session, printing a session low of 0.69625 before buyers stepped in for a bounce to 0.69721. RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the pair remains pinned to its downside as it consolidates ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI and the FOMC.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69800 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 0.69625 exposes sub-0.6970 continuation
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could reset this range
06:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69721
Lower highs, lower lows; broke 0.6980.
Asia session drifted lower, breaking the 0.6980 shelf and sweeping to a 0.69625 session low before buyers lifted it back to 0.69721. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI recovering off oversold levels, AUD pinned near 0.6970 into Wed CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.69625, 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6980 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a lower low
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69708
Lower highs, lower lows below 0.6980.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.6980 in late-Asian trade, printing a new session low at 0.69625 before stabilising just under the 0.6970 psych level as 0.7000 failed to hold. RSI(14) near 39 with price capped by prior support turned resistance at 0.69807; structure remains a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.69807, 0.6994
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69807 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 0.69625 swing low extends the downtrend
Australian CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could reset this read
AUDUSD broke the 0.70000 psych into early London and sold to a session low at 0.69625 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.69708. RSI(14) recovering from oversold as the pair consolidates the drop ahead of Wed CPI and FOMC; overhead 0.69740 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych invalidates the downtrend read
Loss of 0.69625 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Australian CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) + FOMC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD lost the 0.6985-0.7000 Asian range and accelerated lower, printing a session low at 0.69625 before a shallow bounce to 0.69682. Move fits the soft AUD tone into Wed CPI; price now capped under 0.6970 with RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6979, 0.6994
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6970 would negate the range-break read
Loss of 0.69625 opens the sub-0.6970 zone flagged as deeper support
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 pin and broke lower through the London session, printing a session low at 0.69625 as the extended-pause RBA narrative weighed. Price is now consolidating just under the reclaimed 0.6970 psych level after a small bounce, still below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69725, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 psych would ease the fresh lower-low read
Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the down leg toward 0.6950
Australian CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read
06:03 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69664
Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 0.7000.
AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 psych level during Asia and extended to a 0.69625 session low as the softer commodity-currency tone weighed. A modest bounce off the low has stalled below 0.6969, with RSI(14) near oversold.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6969 needed to ease the corrective tone
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could reset this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69664
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown from 0.6990 shelf.
AUDUSD rolled over through the 0.6980 shelf during Asian hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.69625, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet stretched. The failure to hold above 0.7000 earlier in the window has given way to a clean lower-low sequence into 0.6966.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.69804, 0.69952
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69804 breakdown level would neutralise the lower-low read
Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the decline toward 0.6960
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day will dominate the next sessions
05:47 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 32 · price 0.69679
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
AUDUSD leaked lower through the Asian session, breaking 0.6980 and sweeping to a session low at 0.69625 after failing to hold the 0.7000 pivot. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not yet at an extreme; a shallow bounce to 0.6968 is capped below the 0.6973 pivot.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.6994
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.69625 exposes the 0.6960 psych level
Reclaim of 0.6980 would neutralise the downside break
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later that day can reset this read
AUDUSD failed above 0.7000 through the Asian session and rolled over sharply into the London-NY handover, printing a chain of lower highs and lows down to 0.69625. RSI(14) sits near 31, short-term stretched, with price extended below both EMAs after the break of the 0.6990 shelf.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6990 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms continuation toward 0.696
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day can override this intraday read
Asian session broke AUDUSD below the 0.6985 shelf that held through the prior day, cascading to a session low of 0.69625 with RSI(14) near 33. AUD easing off 0.7000 as it squares into Wednesday's Aussie CPI and the FOMC.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.698 prior shelf would negate the breakdown
Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the down leg toward 0.6950
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later that day could reshape this read
AUDUSD sold off through late Asia, breaking the 0.6980 swing and printing a fresh session low at 0.69625, with the 0.7000 psych pivot now well overhead. RSI(14) near 31 reflects the extended leg down but is not yet at a sub-20 extreme; the decline fits the digest's failed-hold-above-0.7000 corrective tone.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6980 would stall the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the down leg toward 0.6960 psych
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
AUDUSD sold off sharply through the 0.6982 prior support into fresh session lows at 0.69642, RSI(14) around 27 and oversold. Move fits the digest read of the pair failing to hold 0.7000 and easing under a firm USD ahead of Wednesday's Aussie CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6982 prior support needed to ease the corrective tone
Failure to hold the 0.69642 session low confirms continuation of lower lows
0.6950 round number is the next downside reference below current price
Aussie CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day could reset this read
05:17 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 0.69644
Lower highs, lower lows; breakdown below 0.6980.
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session, snapping the 0.6980 shelf and printing fresh lows at 0.69642 with RSI(14) near 24. Price stalled below 0.7000 all day as traders square into Wednesday's CPI and FOMC; the last leg was one-directional with no bounce yet.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6980 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69642 confirms continuation toward the 0.6950 round number
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session, slipping from the 0.6996 swing high and breaking the 0.6980 shelf to print a session low at 0.69695. RSI(14) is oversold near 30 and price sits well below EMA20/50; the pair is squaring near the lows ahead of Wednesday's Aussie CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69961
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6980 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69695 confirms continuation lower
Aussie CPI Wed 01:30 UTC then FOMC could reset this read entirely
AUDUSD spent most of the last 24h pinned in a 0.6985-0.7000 range before selling off sharply into the Asia session, breaking down to a session low of 0.69695. RSI(14) near 31 as the pair sits below EMA20/50; a softer USD read hasn't stopped the corrective slide with the market squaring ahead of Wednesday's CPI/FOMC double header.
Support: 0.69695, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6990 would invalidate the breakdown and put price back in range
Failure to hold 0.69695 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the late-Asia hours, breaking the 0.6980 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.69695 as the 0.7000 pivot held as a cap all day. RSI(14) near 32 with price below both EMAs; the pair leans on 0.6970 with 0.6994 the nearest lower high.
Support: 0.69695, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6980 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms the lower low, exposing 0.6950
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later that day can materially reset this read
Asian session slid off 0.6994 and broke the 0.6980 shelf, driving a 90-pip leg to a session low at 0.69695, RSI(14) near 31. Price now hovering at 0.6973 below EMA20/50 as AUD stays pinned under 0.7000 ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.69695, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6980 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69695 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day could reset this read
Price broke the 0.6980 floor of the day's 0.6980–0.7011 range and slid to a fresh session low at 0.69695, dropping ~24 pips in the last hour of the Asian session. RSI(14) is pressing into oversold near 30 as the pair sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69695, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7011
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6980 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 0.6970 psych opens the 0.6960 round level
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
AUDUSD broke below the 0.6985–0.7000 Asian range and slid to a fresh session low at 0.69695, RSI(14) near 29. The 0.6980 prior support now caps as the move stays one-directional into the Sydney close.
Support: 0.69695
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6980 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.69695 confirms continuation lower
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
Sharp leg lower into the Asian session broke below the 0.6985–0.6994 range and printed a session low at 0.69713, RSI(14) near 34. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with the 0.6994 swing high and 0.70000 round number capping above.
Support: 0.69713, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69800 prior swing would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 0.69713 session low opens further downside
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key risk that could reprice AUD
Late Asia sold off through the 0.6980 range floor to a fresh session low at 0.6971, RSI(14) near 32 as the day's grind lower accelerated. AUD context stays pinned below 0.7000 with the pair failing to hold the figure ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.69713, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6980 (broken supp) invalidates the breakdown read
Sustained trade below 0.6970 psych confirms the lower-low
AU CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially reset this intraday read
Asia session sliced below the 0.7000 psych level and extended to a fresh session low at 0.69763, RSI(14) near 31. Sellers pressed a chain of lower highs off the 0.7011 top; 0.7000 now caps as prior support flips overhead ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.69763, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6994
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69763 opens the path toward the 0.69700 psych
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later Wed can materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid through the Asian session, breaking below 0.6980 to print a fresh session low at 0.69763 as it failed to reclaim the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) is cooling into the low 30s but not yet extreme, and the lower-high, lower-low chain remains intact after rejection at 0.6994.
Support: 0.69763, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6994 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69763 confirms continuation lower toward 0.6970
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later Wed could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slipped from the 0.70108 window high and broke below the 0.6985 range floor into early Asia, printing a session low at 0.69807 with RSI(14) around 40. Price capped repeatedly below the 0.6994 swing high and the 0.7000 psych pivot, consistent with the digest's 'pinned near 0.7000, capped above' read ahead of CPI.
Support: 0.69807, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69940 negates the range break lower
Failure to hold 0.69807 confirms a lower-low extension
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian session drifting lower, slipping from the 0.7010 area to a fresh session low at 0.69807 as the last bar broke the 0.6985 shelf, RSI(14) near 40. The 0.7000 psych level and descending lower highs have capped every bounce into the current session.
Support: 0.69807, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.69936, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6980 opens continuation lower
Reclaim of 0.69936 swing high negates the breakdown read
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 prior high through London/NY and bottomed at 0.6981 into the Asia open, where buyers stepped in twice. Price is grinding back toward the 0.7000 psych pivot, holding just above its EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no clean break in play.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.7010
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path back toward the 0.7010 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6981 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6985 session low downside
Australia Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC this week could materially shift this read
Consolidating below 0.7000 after downswing from 0.7010.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6981–0.7000 in the Asia session after fading from the 0.7010 high, with buyers stepping in near 0.6981 and price now grinding back to 0.6990. The 0.7000 psych cap remains intact; RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR ~5 pips.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.70108
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 psych invalidates the range top
Failure to hold 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Range under 0.7000, drift lower · RSI 48 · price 0.69868
Capped at 0.7000, ranging above 0.6981.
AUDUSD was rejected off the 0.7000 psych level early in the window (peak 0.7011) and slid to 0.6981 through the NY session before recovering. Price now ranges 0.6981–0.6996 in quiet Asian hours, pinned near the 0.7000 pivot ahead of the Fed and Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.70108
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 invalidates the capped-range read
Loss of 0.6981 exposes a lower low toward 0.6900
Australia Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Mild downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.69868
Range after fade from 0.7010.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 prior high through the London-NY session and is now consolidating in Asia between 0.6981 and 0.6994, pinned just below the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) is flat around 47 with price sitting on both EMAs; the market context read of consolidation, not breakout, holds ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6994 opens the path back to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.6981 session low confirms a lower low
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70108 day high through the session to a 0.69818 low, then rounded back up to 0.6993 in Asia — stalling exactly at the 38.2% retrace of that drop. Price is consolidating below the 0.7000 pivot with RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 0.69818, 0.6987
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could immediately shift this read
M15 close above 0.7000 psych opens a retest of the 0.70108 day high
Failure to hold 0.6987 exposes the 0.69818 session low
Asia session grinding back toward 0.7000 after tagging the session low at 0.6981; price now 0.6993 with RSI mid-range, no extreme. AUD remains pinned below the 0.7000 psych cap ahead of the Bullock speech.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69875
Resistance: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.7011
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.6996 recent high opens the path back to 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold 0.6981 session low confirms a lower-low
AUDUSD is coiling in a tight Asian range near 0.6990 after being capped at the 0.7000 psych level early in the window and sweeping down to 0.69810. Price has clawed back to the middle of the range with RSI(14) neutral around 53 and ATR compressed at ~5 pips.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69875
Resistance: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could break this range
Close above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70108 session high
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70108 session high to 0.6981 through the London-NY session, then stabilised and is grinding back toward 0.6991 into the Asia session. Price is pinned below the 0.7000 psych cap with RSI(14) neutral near 53; consolidation, no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69855
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (in ~20m) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.7000 opens a retest of the 0.70108 session high
AUDUSD rejected from the 0.70108 session high early London and drifted lower through the day, sweeping the 0.69810 low during Asian hours before recovering to 0.69931. Pair remains pinned below the 0.7000 psychological pivot as flagged in the macro read, with two-way risk into the Bullock speech.
Support: 0.69875, 0.6981
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70061, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (imminent) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70000 reopens 0.70061 prior high
Loss of 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low
02:32 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69931
AUDUSD pinned in a tight range below 0.7000, having faded from the 0.70108 session high to a 0.69810 low before recovering to 0.6993 during Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral near 54, no directional impulse yet with the pair capped ahead of the 0.7000 psych level.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69875
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.7000 reopens 0.70108 session high
Consolidating below 0.7000 after pullback from 0.70108.
AUDUSD ground down from the London high at 0.70108 through NY, printing a session low at 0.69810 late in the day before Asia buyers stepped in and carried it back to 0.69940. Price is now consolidating around 0.6993 just below the 0.7000 pivot, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips in the overnight lull.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69855
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.7000 reopens the path to the 0.70108 prior high
Failure to hold 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low
02:17 UTC
Downtrend earlier, recovering into Asia · RSI 55 · price 0.69927
Session low swept, base building below 0.7000.
AUDUSD slid through the London-NY hours from the 0.70108 high to a session low of 0.69810, which was swept and reclaimed early in the Asia session. Price has since recovered toward 0.6994, RSI(14) back to mid-range near 55; still capped below the 0.7000 pivot flagged as the 38.2% Fibo cap.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69855
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.7000 opens path toward the 0.7025 prior high
Failure to hold 0.69810 confirms a lower-low
02:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 0.69895
Sliding off 0.7010, ranging near 0.699.
Asian session: AUDUSD is consolidating 0.6981–0.6994 after sliding off the 0.70108 prior high, the move USD-driven with the pair capped sub-0.7000. A sweep of the session low at 0.69810 was bought back, RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69855
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6994 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69810 confirms a lower low
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downdrift, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.69895
Range below 0.7000 psych after fade from London high.
AUDUSD faded from the London high at 0.70108 and has spent the Asia session consolidating in the low 0.6990s, with the 0.7000 psych cap intact. A dip to the session low at 0.69818 was bought back toward 0.6994, RSI(14) mid-range near 47.
Support: 0.69818, 0.69855
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6994, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (~1h out) could break this consolidation
M15 close above 0.70000 psych reopens the London high at 0.70108
Loss of the 0.69818 asia low confirms a fresh lower-low
Asia session drifted lower from the 0.7011 prior high to a 0.6981 session low, then recovered to 0.6991 with RSI(14) lifting back to mid-range. Pair is pinned just under the 0.7000 psych pivot per the AUD-glued-to-0.7000 read, holding above reclaimed EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69875
Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 opens the path back to the 0.7011 prior high
Failure to hold 0.69810 confirms a lower session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (in ~1h) could materially shift this read
01:47 UTC
Downdrift, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69911
Ranging below 0.7000 after sweep of session low.
Asia session swept the 0.69810 session low then recovered to 0.69911, still trading below the 0.7000 psych level. Pair pinned in a tight range as USD softness holds AUD near 0.7000 ahead of RBA Bullock and Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69875
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych opens the path back toward the 0.70108 prior high
Break of the 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low
RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:05 UTC and CPI on 29 Jul could reprice the range
AUDUSD ground lower through the session from 0.7011 to a 0.6981 low, then recovered to 0.6990 into early Asia as the pair stays pinned near the 0.7000 pivot on USD softness. Dip below 0.6985 was swept and bought back, RSI(14) mid-range around 52.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:05 UTC could shift this read
M15 close back above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7005 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6981 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
01:32 UTC
Downtrend easing, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69915
Consolidation under 0.7000 after intraday slide.
AUDUSD slid off 0.7010 through London-NY and swept 0.6981 before buyers lifted it back toward the 0.7000 psych pivot in Asian hours. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as the pair coiled in a tight 0.6981–0.6992 band; price sits above EMA20, below EMA50.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69865
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7005 prior high
Loss of 0.6981 session low confirms a lower-low
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could break this range
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70108 session high in a chain of lower highs and now sits pinned below 0.7000 near 0.6986, a USD-led drift on Mideast de-escalation. Late-session trade swept the 0.6981 low before a shallow bounce to 0.6992; thin Asia volume has price consolidating, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to challenge the descending highs
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could shift this read; Q2 CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC looms
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.6986
Lower highs into session low, thin Asia trade.
Thin early-Asia trade sees AUDUSD grinding lower under the 0.7000 psych level, a chain of lower highs from the 0.7011 window high on USD softness. Session low 0.6981 held into a shallow bounce to 0.6992 that faded; price back at 0.6986, below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6987
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7011
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6992 recent high would break the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 0.6981 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6968
RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC and AUD Q2 CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC could reprice this read
AUDUSD drifted off the 0.70108 high through London/NY and swept the 0.69810 session low before recovering into thin Asia hours, now pinned around 0.6989. Move is USD-led on Mideast de-escalation; RSI(14) flat near 49 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC could shift this read
Q2 CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC is the primary risk into the next sessions
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych would negate the lower-high structure
Loss of 0.69810 session low confirms continuation lower
01:03 UTC
Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69889
Range after lower highs off 0.7010.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 session high through the NY session and is now pinned near 0.6989 in thin Asian-hours trade, with the pair glued to 0.7000 on broad USD softness. Price dipped to a 0.69810 session low before recovering; RSI(14) neutral near 47 and the 38.2% fib at ~0.6992 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.69924, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC could inject volatility
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych re-opens the 0.7010 session high
Loss of 0.69810 session low extends the downside leg
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7010 through the NY session on broad USD softness, then coiled just under 0.7000 into thin Asia hours. Last bars swept the session low at 0.69810 and recovered, RSI(14) around 42 with the pair pinned near the 38.2% fibo cap at 0.69924.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69826
Resistance: 0.69924, 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69924 (38.2% fibo) reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69810 session low confirms continuation lower
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could shift this read
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, drift lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69875
Lower highs, testing session lows.
AUDUSD ground lower off the 0.70108 session high, slipping under the 0.7000 psych pivot and breaking a multi-hour consolidation to a fresh low at 0.6981 during Asia hours. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; no extreme, just steady drift.
Support: 0.6981, 0.69826
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC could shift this read
AU CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC is the next major driver
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, slowing into Asia · RSI 43 · price 0.6985
Lower highs, session low swept.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the session off the 0.7010 prior high, capped below the 0.7000 psych pivot. Thin Asia bars swept the session low at 0.6981 before a minor recovery to 0.6985; RSI(14) mid-range near 43, price under both EMAs.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7028
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could shift this read
Break below 0.6981 session low opens the 0.6968 downside pivot
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to challenge the 0.7010 prior high
AUDUSD capped at the 0.7000 psych level through London-NY and drifted lower on thin overnight flow, printing a fresh session low at 0.6981 before a small bounce to 0.6985. Sequence of lower highs intact; RSI(14) mid-40s, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (~2.5h out) could shift this read
Sustained break below 0.6981 session low exposes the 0.6968 area
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to break the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 prior high through the London-NY session and is grinding into a fresh session low at 0.6982 during thin Asia hours, price below both EMAs. Gains capped at the 0.7000 psych pivot all session; RSI(14) near 34, weak but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7010
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 broker time could jolt AUD in the next bars
Break of 0.6981 session low exposes the 0.6968 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6992 swing high needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych pivot
Asia session grinding lower off the 0.7000 pivot, price sitting on the 0.6981 session low with RSI(14) mid-30s and trading below both EMAs. Momentum is faint — bars are running under 3 pips — but the sequence of lower highs from 0.7011 stays intact.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7009
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6990 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.6981 opens the 0.6970 area
RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 early-session peak and has been pinned near 0.6985 through thin, low-volume Asia hours. Descending highs remain intact and RSI(14) sits mid-40s; price is capped by the 0.6990 zone with the 0.69826 session low the immediate floor.
Support: 0.69826, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.69896, 0.69966, 0.7000
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~3h out could shift this read
M15 close below 0.69826 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69966 needed to break the descending-highs sequence
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.69849
Lower highs, capped below 0.7000.
AUDUSD drifted off the 0.7000 psych cap through NY into a thin Asian session, printing a session low at 0.69826 before basing near 0.6985 on subdued RSI. Price rejected the 50-DMA/0.7028 zone earlier and now trades below EMA20/50 with volume light ahead of RBA Bullock.
Support: 0.69826, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108
What it said to watch
Break of 0.69826 session low exposes the 0.6970 digest low
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych neutralises the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could jolt this quiet range