Tight consolidation below session high after FOMC spike.
The Fed hold triggered a sharp spike from 0.69235 to 0.69882 on heavy volume, followed by a pullback to 0.6945 and a slow grind back to 0.6958. Price is now coiling in a tight low-volume Asian range just under the 0.69638 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.6945, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69638, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 break above 0.69638 reopens the fomc high at 0.69882
Loss of 0.6945 exposes the session low at 0.69235
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Recovering after FOMC fade · RSI 56 · price 0.69577
Higher lows off 0.6945, holding above session base.
The Fed hold at 18:00 UTC spiked AUDUSD to 0.6988 before fading hard to 0.6945; Asian session has since ground back to 0.6958 in a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 and ATR has compressed to ~8 pips as the post-FOMC volatility drains out.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69638, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6945 swing low reopens the 0.6924 session low
Reclaim of 0.6964 swing high puts the 0.6988 fomc high back in play
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Recovering after FOMC spike-and-fade · RSI 57 · price 0.69577
Mid-0.6950s grind up off pullback low.
FOMC hold sparked a sharp spike to 0.69882 that was rejected and faded to 0.69476 into the close. Asia session has clawed price back to 0.69577, roughly the 50% retrace of the FOMC rally, with RSI mid-range and both EMAs below price. Earlier Q2 CPI miss set the two-week low at 0.69226.
Support: 0.69476, 0.69226, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6964, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69640 minor high reopens the 0.69882 session high
Loss of the 0.69476 pullback low reasserts the downside toward the 0.69226 day low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Recovering after FOMC whipsaw · RSI 55 · price 0.69589
Consolidating mid-range post-spike.
The FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to a session high at 0.69882 before it faded back to the 0.69468 swing low. Price is now consolidating around 0.6959 in thin Asia hours, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.69468, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6964, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69640 prior high reopens the 0.69882 spike high
Failure to hold 0.69468 swing low exposes the 0.69235 day low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
Consolidating above mid-0.6950s in thin Asian trade.
FOMC hold (~18:00 UTC) spiked AUDUSD to a session high of 0.6988 before the move was rejected back to 0.6947. Price is now grinding higher around 0.6959 in thin Asian-session liquidity, holding above the 0.6947 swing low after the earlier CPI-driven leg down to 0.6924.
Support: 0.69466, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69638, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69466 swing low reopens the 0.6924 session low
Close above 0.69638 recent high puts the 0.6988 session high back in play
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to a 0.69882 session high before it was rejected back to the mid-0.6940s. Price is now grinding higher to 0.69587 in thin late-session trade, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI neutral near 56.
Support: 0.6946, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.6988
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69720 swing high opens the 0.69880 session high
Loss of 0.69460 recent low reopens the 0.69235 session low
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
23:02 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows · RSI 57 · price 0.69587
Post-FOMC spike retraced, grinding higher in Asia.
The Fed hold spiked AUDUSD to a 0.69882 session high before rejection dragged it back to 0.6945. Asia session has since ground the pair back to 0.69587, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69720 opens a retest of the 0.69882 session high
Failure to hold 0.69448 swing low exposes the 0.69235 two-wk low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The Fed hold at 18:00 UTC spiked AUDUSD off the 0.69235 session low up to 0.69882 before the move faded back into NY close. Price has since stabilised mid-move around 0.6958 — near the 50% retrace of the FOMC rally — on thin late-session volume, holding above the 0.69460 pullback low.
Support: 0.6946, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69720 reopens the 0.69882 session high
Loss of 0.69460 puts the 0.69235 session low back in play
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst
22:46 UTC
Range after spike-and-fade · RSI 52 · price 0.69561
Consolidating below faded highs.
FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69882 before the move faded back to 0.69447, leaving a false break at the top. Price now consolidates around 0.6950-0.6961 in thin Asia-hours trade, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.69447, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69610 range top reopens the 0.69882 session high
Loss of 0.69447 swing low reopens the 0.69235 day low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6923 to 0.6988 on the FOMC hold during NY hours, then faded back to consolidate around 0.6955, holding the 50% retrace of that spike. Asia session is thin and directionless, RSI(14) neutral near 53 with price pinned between 0.69460 and the 0.69586 recent high.
Support: 0.6946, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 reopens the 0.69882 spike high
Loss of 0.69460 exposes the 0.69235 session low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD side
22:31 UTC
Spike up then fade, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69561
Consolidating below rally high after sharp NY move.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6922 to 0.6988 through the NY session after the FOMC hold, then faded back to the mid-0.6950s, retracing roughly 61.8% of the move. Into Asian hours volume has thinned and price is consolidating between 0.6945 and 0.6959, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6959 range top opens a retest of the 0.6972 pullback high
Failure to hold 0.69448 range low reopens the 0.6923 session low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD side and shift this read
22:17 UTC
Post-FOMC spike fading · RSI 51 · price 0.6956
Recovery off session low, rejected at spike high.
FOMC hold near 18:00 UTC spiked AUDUSD to a session high 0.69882 as stretched USD longs unwound, but the move was rejected and faded back to 0.6956, roughly the 50% retrace of the rally. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and price is idling just above EMA20 into thin Asia hours.
Support: 0.6948, 0.6922
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6988
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6970 reopens the 0.6988 session high
Loss of 0.6948 swing low exposes the 0.6922 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to the 0.6988 session high before sellers rejected it back to 0.6947; price now steadies near 0.6956 into thin Asia liquidity. Recovery is holding above EMA20/50 but capped well below the swing high at 0.6972.
Support: 0.6947, 0.6923
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.6988
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6972 swing high reopens the 0.6988 session high
Loss of 0.6947 swing low exposes the 0.6923 session low
Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend flushed then reclaimed, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69536
Consolidating below faded spike high.
AUDUSD flushed to a session low of 0.69219 before the 18:00 UTC FOMC hold triggered a sharp spike to 0.69882, which was rejected and faded back into the mid-0.6950s. Now consolidating around 0.69536 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69720 reopens the 0.69882 session high
Failure to hold 0.69448 targets the 0.69219 session low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst
The FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69882 before the move was fully retraced back into the 0.695 area. Price is now consolidating 0.6947–0.6957 in thin early-Asia hours, holding just below EMA20 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.69466, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69707, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69707 reopens the 0.69882 session high
Failure to hold 0.69466 exposes the 0.69235 prior low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next cross-asset catalyst for USD
FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69882 before the move fully reversed back to mid-0.695s. Price is now consolidating around 0.6952, holding a 0.5/0.618 retrace of the spike; supply capped the highs at 0.69720 into the London-NY close.
Support: 0.69466, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69720 negates the reversal and reopens 0.69882
Failure to hold 0.69466 confirms a lower-low toward 0.69235
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD side
21:46 UTC
FOMC spike faded, back to range · RSI 47 · price 0.69522
Impulse up rejected, retracing into prior range.
The Fed hold at 18:00 UTC spiked AUDUSD off 0.69235 to a session high 0.69882, but the entire move faded back to 0.695 into Asia hours. Price is now mid-range, RSI(14) cooled to neutral after the post-FOMC surge.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 revives the FOMC-driven upside toward 0.69882
Close below 0.69448 swing low reopens the 0.69235 day low
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD catalyst for this pair
21:31 UTC
Faded rally, back into range · RSI 47 · price 0.69491
Spike to session high, rejected back to mid-range.
FOMC hold drove a NY-session spike to the session high at 0.69880, but the move faded fast back to 0.695 with sellers capping the 0.69720 swing. Price is now consolidating near 0.695 on thin late-session volume, roughly 60% back into the 0.69235-0.69880 up-leg.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.6988
What it said to watch
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.69448 reopens the 0.69235 session low
Reclaim of 0.69720 swing high needed to threaten the session high
AUD spiked to a session high of 0.69882 through NY hours as the Fed held and the USD softened, then faded on lower highs back to 0.6949, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Now drifting in thin late-session liquidity, holding above the 0.69448 recent low.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69448 exposes the 0.69235 session low
Reclaim of 0.69575 swing high reopens the path to 0.69882
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.69513
Post-FOMC spike rejected at highs, retracing.
FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD off 0.693 to a 0.69882 session high before sellers faded it back to 0.695, unwinding most of the pop. Soft Q2 CPI keeps the currency heavy; price now stalling into the low-volume session close around the 61.8% retrace of the FOMC leg.
Support: 0.6945, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6970 reopens the 0.69882 session high
Failure to hold 0.6945 opens the 0.69235 day low
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
21:16 UTC
Post-spike fade, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69513
Consolidating below FOMC high after failed push.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 on the FOMC hold before fading the entire move as USD steadied, now coiling near 0.6950 into the Asia handover. Buyers stepped in at 0.69448 late in NY; RSI(14) neutral near 49 after the rejection at highs.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69448 reopens the 0.69235 prior low
Reclaim of 0.69575 swing high needed to retest the fomc high at 0.69882
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst
Range after volatility spike, holding above 0.6945.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 on the FOMC hold before sellers rejected the move and faded it back to 0.69448 through the NY afternoon. Price is now consolidating near 0.69545, mid the post-decision range with RSI back at neutral.
Support: 0.69448, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69700 reopens the spike high at 0.69882
Loss of 0.69448 exposes the 0.69235 prior low
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
V-recovery off session low, now retracing under spike high.
FOMC hold at the NY-afternoon 18:00 UTC print sparked a sharp rally from the 0.69219 session low to 0.69882, which was then rejected. Price has faded to 0.6950 — roughly the 50% retrace of that spike — with RSI(14) back to neutral near 48.
Support: 0.69466, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69720 reopens the 0.69882 session high
Loss of 0.69466 swing low targets the 0.69235 session low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Sweep of session high then rejection back into range.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69882 on the FOMC hold then was rejected, fading back to 0.695 through late NY hours. Buyers have since stepped in around 0.6945 while the lower-highs sequence off 0.69882 caps the bounce; RSI(14) mid-range near 47.
Support: 0.6945, 0.69367, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6945 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.69367
Reclaim of 0.6972 reopens the 0.69882 session high
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
20:46 UTC
Choppy, faded FOMC spike · RSI 47 · price 0.69502
Post-spike retrace, lower high forming.
FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to 0.69882 before fading roughly two-thirds of the move back to 0.695. RSI(14) cooling off the spike; session low at 0.69448 held on the pullback with price now pinned mid-range.
Support: 0.69448, 0.6930, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69834
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69448 session low exposes 0.69300 spike low then day low 0.69235
Reclaim of 0.69834 fomc high needed to threaten the spike top
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
20:31 UTC
Spike faded, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 0.69452
Full retrace of FOMC pop, lower highs.
FOMC at 18:00 UTC spiked AUD/USD to 0.69882 then faded the entire move back to 0.6945 into late NY — dovish-tilt USD unwind gave AUD a pop that failed. RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as price sits back on the pre-spike 0.6945 shelf.
Support: 0.69414, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69414 confirms a lower low toward 0.69235
Reclaim of 0.69575 needed to reopen the 0.6988 session high
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset the USD leg
20:31 UTC
FOMC spike faded, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.69452
Post-spike retrace, back at breakout base.
The FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69882 on heavy volume, but the pop was fully unwound back to 0.69452 — a classic sell-the-fact fade of the hawkish-hold. Price is now sitting on the 0.69420 base it broke from, RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69420 exposes the 0.69235 session low
Reclaim of 0.69575 would question the fade
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could materially reprice the USD leg
Spike above range then complete reversal to pre-spike levels.
FOMC hold (Fed 3.75%) spiked AUDUSD to 0.69882 before a full reversal wiped the move back to the 0.6945 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 41. Classic sell-the-fact fade with pre-fade 0.69700 now capping.
Support: 0.69452, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.6970, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69452 session low opens toward the 0.69235 prior low
Reclaim of 0.69575 recent high then 0.69700 pre-fade would re-open the 0.69882 spike high
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
20:17 UTC
Spike higher then full retrace · RSI 46 · price 0.69466
FOMC sweep of highs, reversal back to origin.
FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD off 0.6930 to 0.6988 in NY hours, but the move was rejected and fully retraced back to 0.6946. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price sits below EMA20 and EMA50, the FOMC pop unwound.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69838
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69420 opens the 0.69235 session low
Reclaim of 0.69575 needed before FOMC high at 0.69838 comes back into play
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
20:02 UTC
Spike up fully reversed, back to pre-move levels · RSI 43 · price 0.69474
FOMC sweep of session highs then rejection back into range.
FOMC hold at 21:00 broker time sparked a USD dip that carried AUDUSD from 0.6933 up to 0.69882, but the entire spike reversed within four bars back to 0.6947. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as price sits mid-range near its EMA cluster.
Support: 0.69414, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.6972, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69575 reopens the 0.69720 swing high
Failure to hold 0.69414 exposes the 0.69235 session low
Core PCE / Q2 GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could reset the USD leg
20:02 UTC
Spike higher then fading, back to mid-range · RSI 49 · price 0.69474
FOMC spike to 0.6988 rejected, retracing into prior range.
FOMC hold sparked a NY-hours spike from 0.6924 to a session high of 0.69882 on USD softness, but the move was rejected and price has faded back to 0.69474, near the 62% retracement of the leg. RSI(14) cooled back to neutral as the spike unwound; now mid-range between 0.6940 and 0.6970.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6970 prior high reopens the 0.69882 session high
Failure to hold 0.6940 range low exposes the 0.69235 session low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could reset this read
19:46 UTC
Post-FOMC spike, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 0.69564
Impulsive rally then retrace off session high.
The FOMC hold at 18:00 GMT triggered a sharp NY-session rally from 0.6933 to a session high of 0.69882, then price rejected and retraced to 0.69564. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s as the impulse fades; buyers stepped back in near 0.69543.
Support: 0.69543, 0.69414, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69543 reopens 0.69414 then 0.69235
Reclaim of 0.69838 puts the 0.69882 session high back in play
Thu US Core PCE / Q2 GDP (12:30 GMT) could reset this read
The 18:00 GMT FOMC hold triggered a sharp USD-driven leg; AUDUSD ripped from ~0.6933 to a session high 0.69882 before retracing to 0.69564, right on the 50% retrace of that move. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s off the spike and price is holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69543, 0.69414, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.69543 swing low reopens the pre-FOMC range
Reclaim of 0.69838 puts session high 0.69882 back in play
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could reset the USD leg
Downtrend reversed by FOMC spike, now pulling back from session high.
The FOMC hold at 21:00 broker time triggered a sharp AUD bounce off the 0.6923 low, spiking to a 0.6988 session high before rejecting back toward 0.6965. RSI(14) cooling from the spike; price now consolidating above the pre-FOMC 0.6933 base with the 0.6988 high capping.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6950, 0.6933
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6988
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.6950 negates the FOMC bounce and reopens 0.6933
Break above 0.6988 session high opens the path toward 0.7025
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could reset the USD leg
NY session ripped higher after the dovish-lean FOMC hold hit USD, AUDUSD surging from the 0.69219 session low through the prior 0.6940-0.6955 range to a session high at 0.69882. RSI(14) near 71 shows the move is hot but not yet stretched; price holding just under the session high into 0.69835.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6953, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.69882, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.69882 opens the path toward the 0.70000 psych level
Loss of the 0.69700 breakout base would signal the surge is fading back into range
US Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could reprice the USD leg
AUDUSD ripped from the session low at 0.69235 to 0.69882 through the NY session as the FOMC hold and dovish-lean tone knocked the USD, unwinding stretched dollar longs. Price now sits just under the session high with RSI(14) around 71 — short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive move.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69575, 0.69235
Resistance: 0.69882, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69882 opens the path to 0.70000
Failure to hold the 0.69700 breakout retest signals the rally stalling
Warsh presser tone and Thu Core PCE could materially shift the USD leg
19:02 UTC
Sharp uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 78 · price 0.69841
Post-FOMC breakout, fresh higher highs.
AUDUSD ripped ~65 pips off the 0.6922 session low into NY as the Fed held and the USD softened, breaking the prior 0.6950 cap and printing 0.69852. RSI(14) near 78 — short-term hot after a near-vertical run; price is now consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6953, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6970 negates the breakout and points back into the prior range
FOMC presser (Warsh) still live — a hawkish tilt could reverse this USD-driven bounce
Sustained trade above 0.69852 opens the path toward 0.7000
AUDUSD ripped ~50 pips off the 0.6922 base into the NY afternoon after the FOMC hold and softer Warsh tone knocked the USD, snapping the day's grind lower and breaking the intraday range top. Move is vertical with RSI(14) near 74; last bar stalled right at the 0.69852 session high.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69534, 0.69336
Resistance: 0.69852, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.69700 negates the breakout and reopens the 0.69534 swing
0.70000 round number just above — area to watch for rejection or extension
Lingering FOMC/Warsh reaction still driving the USD leg in coming bars
Base at 0.6922 broken higher into fresh session high.
AUD/USD ripped ~50 pips off the 0.6922 base into 0.6973 as the dollar sold off on the FOMC hold, reclaiming the earlier CPI-driven losses. RSI(14) is hot near 71 after three impulsive up-bars; price is stalling just under the 0.6977 prior high.
Support: 0.69534, 0.6922
Resistance: 0.69735, 0.6977
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference live — a hawkish tone could unwind the spike back toward 0.6953
M15 close above 0.6977 opens the path higher toward 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.69534 pullback low signals the spike is fading
18:46 UTC
Sharp recovery, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 0.69717
Range break higher off session low.
FOMC hold triggered a sharp squeeze off the 0.6922 session low, AUDUSD ripping to a session high of 0.69735 as stretched USD longs unwound. RSI(14) running hot near 71 after a ~50-pip vertical move; price sits right under the session high.
Support: 0.69534, 0.6935, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.69735, 0.6977
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69735 opens the path toward 0.6977 prior high
Failure to hold 0.69534 pullback low negates the range break
Warsh FOMC presser live — could materially shift this read next bar
Breakout above intraday consolidation off session low.
AUDUSD spiked off the 0.69219 session low after the Fed held rates, closing near 0.6957 with RSI(14) surging into the high 60s. The move broke the 0.6935–0.6945 consolidation and stalled at the 0.6961 spike high; price is holding a shallow pullback above 0.69478.
Support: 0.69478, 0.6935, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69773
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69478 pullback low reopens the 0.6935 prior range
M15 close above 0.6961 spike high extends toward the 0.69773 prior high
FOMC press conference (Warsh) live — could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 0.69567
Double bottom then FOMC breakout.
NY session Fed hold at 3.50-3.75% sparked a spike off the 0.6922 double bottom to 0.6961, now easing back to 0.69567. A weak USD downtick is lifting the Aussie despite yesterday's soft CPI; the FOMC leg dominates the last hour of price.
Support: 0.69478, 0.6930, 0.69222
Resistance: 0.6961, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference underway — could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 0.69610 session high opens the path toward 0.6970
Failure to hold 0.69478 pullback low re-exposes the 0.6922 session low
AUD/USD spiked from 0.6933 to 0.6961 on the 18:00 GMT FOMC decision — a softer USD reaction lifting price off a two-week low base near 0.6922. Now holding 0.6959 just under the spike high; RSI(14) around 66 after the sharp reclaim.
Support: 0.6933, 0.6922
Resistance: 0.6961, 0.6975
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference 18:30 GMT can materially reprice this move
Close above 0.6961 spike high opens 0.6975 prior range
Slip back below 0.6933 breakout base negates the reclaim
AUDUSD ground down all session to a two-week low near 0.6922, tested twice, before ripping from 0.6933 to 0.6961 on heavy volume as the 18:00 GMT FOMC decision landed dovish-leaning for the USD. Price now holds 0.6959, RSI(14) back to the mid-60s after the vertical move; spike high at 0.6961 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6922, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6961, 0.6977
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT could sharply extend or reverse this move
Reclaim above 0.6961 spike high opens the path toward 0.6977 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6922 session low reopens 0.6900 200-dma
Consolidation break above 0.6935 into NY afternoon.
The 18:00 GMT FOMC decision triggered a sharp ~30-pip spike to 0.6960, breaking the 0.6920–0.6935 consolidation that held through the prior hours; the dovish-leaning USD read lifted the Aussie off its session low. RSI(14) is climbing toward 69 but not yet extended.
Support: 0.69333, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69773, 0.7000
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference 18:30 GMT could reverse the spike
close back below 0.6935 prior range negates the breakout
push through 0.6961 session high opens 0.69773 window high, then 0.7000 psych
AUD/USD spiked from the 0.6923–0.6934 consolidation to 0.6961 on the 18:00 GMT FOMC decision, snapping the prior two-week-low downtrend. The move drove RSI(14) up near 71 in a single bar; 0.6975 prior high is the next area to watch above.
Support: 0.69336, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69773
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 opens path back toward 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.69336 negates the spike and reverts toward 0.69219
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT can extend this volatility
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.69337
Lower highs, basing near 0.6922.
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide into the NY session, hitting a session low of 0.69219 before repeated demand around 0.6922 stalled the decline. Price has ground back to 0.69337, RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s toward neutral, but the sequence of lower highs since the 0.69590 peak keeps the intraday bias offered.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69509
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~14min) will dominate the next bars and can override this structure
M15 close below 0.69219 confirms a fresh lower-low
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.
AUDUSD stayed offered through NY hours, extending the post-CPI slide to a session low near 0.6922 before buyers stepped in twice to hold it. Price is grinding back toward 0.6934 with RSI(14) recovering from a low read; the descending sequence of lower highs is still intact into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.6922, 0.69285
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6951
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~15m out) is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
Break of 0.6922 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim above the 0.6946 swing high and 0.69510 prior high would break the lower-high chain
Hold of the 0.69285 minor pivot keeps the base intact
Lower highs / lower lows, small bounce off session low.
AUDUSD extended the CPI-driven slide, printing a fresh session low at 0.69219 before a shallow bounce into 0.69309. Sellers still capping under the descending swing high at 0.69509; move remains below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range. FOMC (18:00 GMT) is imminent and dominates the next-bar read.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69339, 0.69509, 0.6950
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~30min out could override this intraday structure
Loss of 0.69219 confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close back above 0.69339 session high challenges the down-leg
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69309
AUDUSD extended a third-session slide after the Q2 CPI miss, printing a fresh low at 0.69219 before a shallow bounce to 0.6931. Price holds below EMA20/50 and is coiling under the 0.69339 recent high, with RSI(14) mid-40s and no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69339, 0.6945
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~30m) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Close below 0.69219 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69339 opens the 0.69450 swing high
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69314
Lower highs and lower lows, testing session low.
AUD ground lower through the NY session in a third leg down, marking a session low at 0.69219 after the Q2 CPI miss left the Aussie the softest major. A modest bounce to 0.69314 is underway with RSI(14) lifting off the low-40s, but price remains below both EMAs. FOMC decision within the hour is the dominant risk to this read.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69386, 0.69457
What it said to watch
FOMC decision within ~45min can override intraday structure entirely
M15 close below 0.69219 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69386 swing high needed to break the descending highs
AUDUSD in a NY-session downtrend after yesterday's soft Q2 CPI, printing an over two-week base near 0.6922 with buyers stepping in twice. Current bounce to 0.69314 is holding below the descending swing highs and RSI(14) mid-40s — no upside break yet.
Support: 0.6922, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6949
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.6922 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.6949 needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 41 · price 0.69284
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide, breaking to a fresh session low at 0.69219 before stalling near 0.6928; AUD is the softest major after yesterday's Q2 CPI miss. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 40, and every bounce has capped under the 0.6930 recent high.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69302, 0.69465
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~1h (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
M15 close below 0.69219 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69465 needed to challenge the downtrend
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69284
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUD is the weakest major post-CPI miss and M15 shows a clean stair-step lower into the NY afternoon, printing a fresh session low at 0.69219 before a shallow bounce to 0.69284. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not oversold — capped repeatedly around 0.69300.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6944
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~1h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close below 0.69219 confirms continuation of lower lows toward 0.69000 psych
Reclaim of 0.69440 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 0.69239
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD grinding to fresh session lows near 0.6922 into the NY session, extending the post-CPI-miss slide with price capped below the falling 0.69300 highs. Break under the 0.6945 shelf accelerated the move; RSI(14) around 37, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6945
What it said to watch
FOMC decision due within hours — likely to override this intraday read for USD direction
M15 close back above 0.69300 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69219 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69239
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide through the NY session, breaking to 0.69219 after the failed 0.7000 test earlier. Price is pinned near session lows with bounces capped at 0.69302; RSI(14) around 38, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69302, 0.6946, 0.69509
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69302 eases the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69219 confirms continuation to the round 0.69200
FOMC decision imminent — could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69264
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD grinding lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 0.69219 after yesterday's soft Q2 CPI and repeated 0.7000 rejection. Price sits below EMA20/50 in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain; RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6949
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~1.5h could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.69300 micro high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69200 psych confirms continuation of the downtrend
AUD ground lower through the NY session to a fresh session low at 0.69219, weakest G10 after yesterday's soft Q2 CPI miss. Price broke the 0.69386 shelf and is consolidating just above the low with RSI(14) near 38 — no meaningful bounce yet.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69386
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69386 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.69219 confirms continuation toward the 0.6920 psych level
FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is grinding lower through the NY session, printing a fresh two-week low at 0.69219 as the CPI-miss selloff extends into FOMC. A late leg down from 0.69509 broke below the prior 0.6940s consolidation; RSI(14) near 33, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.6920, 0.69219
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6944
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69300 bounce high needed to stall the lower-low sequence
Loss of 0.69200 psych opens further downside
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
AUD the weakest major after yesterday's Q2 CPI miss, and NY hours delivered a fresh leg down through 0.6935 to a session low at 0.69219, RSI(14) near oversold. Sellers pressed the last two bars with no bounce yet; price sits at the lows heading into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6949
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
M15 close below 0.6920 opens the path to the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.69490 prior swing would ease the downside pressure
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide through the NY session, breaking the 0.69450 consolidation floor to print a fresh low at 0.69226 before a shallow bounce to 0.6928. RSI(14) near 37 with lower highs intact; sub-0.6950 CPI low now behaves as resistance.
Support: 0.69226, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69509
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2h (18:00 GMT) can materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.69450 would neutralise the fresh-low read
Failure to hold 0.69226 opens the path toward the 0.6900 round number
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69281
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY session extended the post-CPI AUD selloff, breaking to a two-week low at 0.69226 before a shallow bounce to 0.69281. RSI(14) recovering off oversold as price stalls under the 0.69386 swing high; sequence of lower highs and lows intact into the FOMC.
Support: 0.69226, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69386
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.69226 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69386 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide, breaking the 0.6945 range base during NY hours and printing a fresh session low at 0.69226 before a shallow bounce to 0.69287. Price sits well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not extreme; the descending chain of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 0.69226, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6945
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69450 range base would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 0.69226 session low confirms continuation toward the 0.6900 psych level
FOMC decision (18:00 GMT, ~2h out) can materially shift this USD-driven read
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI-miss slide through the NY session, breaking to a fresh session low at 0.69235 before stabilising near 0.69287. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 31; the 0.69460 swing area now caps rallies.
Support: 0.69235, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69235 opens the path toward the 0.69000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.69460 swing high would ease the downside pressure
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read via the USD leg
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide, breaking the 0.6940 consolidation to a fresh session low at 0.69235 during late NY hours, RSI(14) near 31. Price is pinned just above that low with the FOMC decision imminent.
Support: 0.69235, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69386, 0.6946
What it said to watch
FOMC decision within the hour is the near-term driver — capable of overriding this structure
A close back above 0.69386 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69235 confirms continuation toward the 0.6920 area
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 0.69252
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD extended the post-CPI slide, breaking the 0.6950 two-week low and printing fresh session lows at 0.69226 into the NY session, RSI(14) around 33. Chain of lower highs intact with sellers capping each bounce below 0.6940.
Support: 0.69226, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69386, 0.6950
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~2.5h) is the near-term driver and can override this structure
Reclaim of 0.69386 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69226 opens the path toward 0.6900
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69283
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide, breaking the prior 0.6940 base and printing a session low at 0.69226 before a shallow bounce to 0.69283. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into the FOMC, with RSI(14) near 34 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.69226, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6944
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.69440 consol top would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69226 session low confirms continuation lower
AUDUSD grinding to fresh session lows near 0.6923 during NY hours, extending post-CPI weakness with price pinned below EMA20/50. The last hour saw a clean break of the 0.6938 intraday base; RSI(14) around 32 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.69226, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6950
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim above 0.6950 would invalidate the lower-low structure
Sustained break below 0.6920 opens further downside
NY session drove AUD/USD to a fresh session low at 0.6923, extending the break sub-0.6950 that followed yesterday's soft Q2 CPI. Two sharp down-legs into the current bar with RSI(14) near 31; price sits below EMA20/50 with the 0.6945 zone now capping.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6950
What it said to watch
FOMC in ~3h is the near-term driver and could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.6950 invalidates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6920 opens the path toward 0.6900
AUDUSD sold off through the 0.6946 range base late in the NY session to print a fresh session low at 0.6923, extending the post-CPI slide. RSI(14) near 31 as price accelerates lower into the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the near-term driver; USD reaction will define the next leg
A reclaim of 0.6946 would neutralise the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.6920 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69374
Lower highs and lower lows.
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI decline through the London-NY session, sliding to a session low at 0.69347 after the softer Q2 CPI trimmed RBA hike bets. A weak bounce was capped near 0.69509 and price is back pinned at the lows into the FOMC decision, RSI sub-40.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69463, 0.69509
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3h is the dominant driver and can override this read
Close below 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69509 lower high needed to break the downtrend structure
AUDUSD grinding lower through NY hours after the soft Q2 CPI miss kept the Aussie the weakest major; price is pinned at the 0.69347 session low with RSI(14) near 41, not yet oversold. Rallies capped under a descending resistance line, last rejection at 0.69509.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69509
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and can invalidate this read
Loss of 0.69347 session low confirms continuation lower
M15 close back above 0.69509 swing high breaks the descending sequence
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69462
Post-drop consolidation above session low.
AUDUSD gapped ~34 pips lower during Asia after the soft Q2 CPI print, then ground down to a session low at 0.69347 through London. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.6935 building a double bottom, with price now recovering to 0.6946 and RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.69347, 0.69386
Resistance: 0.6952, 0.6959
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3.5h (18:00 GMT) is the dominant driver and can override this read
M15 close below 0.69347 confirms a lower low
Close above 0.69520 opens the path back toward 0.6959
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 50 · price 0.69462
Ranging 0.6935-0.6957 after sharp drop.
AUDUSD dropped sharply to 0.69347 during the Asian session on broad post-CPI AUD softness, then based and drifted sideways through London-NY between 0.6935 and 0.6957. Price is grinding back toward the 38.2% fib at 0.69489 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; no clean break either side yet.
Support: 0.69386, 0.69347
Resistance: 0.69489, 0.69571
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~3.5h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower low
Break above 0.69571 session high invalidates the range read
AUDUSD dropped sharply through the Asian session to 0.69347, in line with the soft Q2 CPI keeping the Aussie the G10 laggard. Price has since chopped sideways between 0.69347 and the 0.69509 session high, drifting into mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46 ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.69347, 0.69384
Resistance: 0.69509, 0.69576
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
Close below 0.69347 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 0.69509 session high opens the path back toward 0.69576
AUDUSD slid to a session low of 0.69347 before a modest bounce, with a chain of higher lows building back toward 0.69428. Price is capped below the 0.69509 swing high and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46. FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.69382, 0.69347
Resistance: 0.69509, 0.69571
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Break below 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close above 0.69509 opens the path to 0.69571
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69489
Consolidation above session low after CPI drop.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the 01:30 GMT Q2 CPI miss, dropping ~35 pips to a session low of 0.69347, then consolidated in a tight 0.6938–0.6957 band. NY hours have lifted price off the lows to 0.69489 with RSI(14) back near neutral; the descending highs still cap into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69347, 0.69386
Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69576
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69576 breaks the chain of lower highs
Loss of 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC 18:00 GMT (~4h) is the dominant near-term driver for this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69489
Sharp drop then drift to session low, minor bounce.
AUDUSD sold off hard (~34 pips) during London as AUD stayed the softest G10 after yesterday's soft Q2 CPI, then bled lower to a session low at 0.69347 before a small NY bounce back to 0.69489. Structure is a chain of lower highs/lows; RSI(14) recovering from oversold territory but no reclaim of the 0.69554 swing yet.
Support: 0.69347, 0.69386
Resistance: 0.69554, 0.6959
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~4h) is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
Close below 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 0.69590 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Lower highs, holding above session low after bounce.
AUDUSD sold off sharply mid-window on the soft Aussie CPI aftermath, printing a session low at 0.69347 before grinding sideways in a shallow bounce to 0.6944. Lower highs still cap under 0.69463 and RSI(14) sits mid-range at ~51 — no directional resolution ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.69347, 0.69386
Resistance: 0.69463
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~4h away is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
M15 close above 0.69463 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower low
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 44 · price 0.69444
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD grinding lower through the NY session, extending the soft-CPI slide that gapped price down near 0.69480 in the London window. Sellers marked fresh lows at 0.69347 before a shallow bounce to 0.69444; descending highs still capping and RSI(14) mid-range at 44.
Support: 0.69347, 0.69382
Resistance: 0.69463
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Close back above 0.69463 recent high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69347 session low confirms continuation lower
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 0.69452
Lower highs/lows, fresh session low then rebound.
AUDUSD extended soft-CPI losses, dropping through 0.6970 during the Asian session and grinding to a fresh session low at 0.69347 before this bounce to 0.69452. Price is chopping under the 0.6955 range top, sitting just above EMA20 but capped below EMA50; FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.69485, 0.69555
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69347 confirms a lower low
M15 close above 0.69555 negates the downtrend read
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 50 · price 0.69452
Lower highs, lower lows since Asia-session drop.
AUDUSD sold off sharply in the Asia session on the soft Q2 CPI print, then chained lower highs through London toward a session low at 0.69347. Price is now bouncing to 0.69452 off that low, RSI(14) back near neutral, with the 0.695 round number and 0.69576 swing high capping overhead.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6941
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT tonight is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.695 breaks the lower-highs chain
Break below 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower low
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 42 · price 0.6941
Lower highs, fresh session lows.
AUD/USD grinding to fresh session lows near 0.6935 after the soft Q2 CPI leg lower, holding a sequence of lower highs capped under the 0.6945 pivot. RSI(14) mid-40s, no reversal signal. FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.6935, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6935 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.6945 pivot needed to challenge the 0.6959 swing high
FOMC decision ~5h away could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 41 · price 0.6941
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
AUDUSD stair-stepping lower through the London session after the soft Q2 CPI gutted RBA hike bets, printing a fresh session low at 0.69347 and holding sub-EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 41, no oversold extreme; price coiling just above the low into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69447
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~5h out is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
M15 close below 0.69347 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69447 swing high breaks the descending structure
AUDUSD stair-stepping lower through the session, pressed to a fresh session low at 0.69347 before a shallow bounce to 0.69418 — Aussie stays offered after this week's soft CPI. RSI(14) near 40, no oversold extreme, price capped by a descending resistance line off the 0.69579 swing.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69579
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read
Loss of 0.69347 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.69450 breaks the descending resistance line
AUDUSD extended a third day of losses after the soft Q2 CPI print, sliding from the 0.697 shelf to a fresh session low at 0.69347. Price is grinding lower along a descending channel, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 40 — offered but not oversold ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6945
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (~5h) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
AUDUSD extended lower through the NY session, holding below EMA20/50 after the soft Q2 CPI print gutted RBA hike bets; a sharp mid-window flush from 0.6970 to 0.6948 set the tone. Price is now pressing the session low at 0.69347 with RSI(14) sub-40, no relief bounce so far.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69450 swing high would ease the downside pressure
FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
AUD extended lower after soft Q2 CPI knocked out the drop candle near 0.6970, and price has since built a chain of lower highs, now pressing session lows around 0.6935. RSI(14) mid-40s, no divergence — sellers still defining the range top near 0.6945.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69347 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69450 breaks the descending series of lower highs
FOMC tonight (~18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
AUDUSD grinding lower through the London session to a fresh low at 0.69347, extending the soft-CPI slide with a steady lower-high chain. The impulsive drop near 04:30 broke below 0.6950 and price has since bled down under EMA20/50; ATR compressed to ~5 pips as the market coils into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6945
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant catalyst — likely to reprice this read
Break below 0.69347 extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.69450 breaks the intraday lower-high chain
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69373
Lower highs, lower lows, drifting into session low.
AUDUSD slid a third straight day after soft Q2 CPI, breaking sharply through 0.6950 mid-window and grinding to a session low near 0.6935. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 37, no relief bounce so far into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69347, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6945
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (~6h) is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this read
Break below 0.69347 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69450 would ease the immediate downside pressure
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69385
Lower highs / lower lows since mid-window drop.
AUDUSD grinding to session lows near 0.6938 after a sharp mid-window drop off 0.6970 on the soft Q2 CPI aftermath; a chain of lower highs has capped every bounce since. Price now sits just above the 0.69367 session low with RSI(14) subdued but not oversold.
Support: 0.69367, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69450 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
AUD extended a third day of losses after the soft Q2 CPI print, gapping lower to 0.6948 mid-session and then grinding to a fresh session low at 0.6938. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; the bounce to 0.6958 was sold and lower highs keep forming into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69381, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69576
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close below 0.6938 session low opens the path toward the 0.69367 flash low
Reclaim of 0.6945 swing high would break the lower-high chain
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 43 · price 0.6943
Lower highs, pressing session low.
AUDUSD grinding to session lows near 0.6943 after a sharp early flush to 0.69367 on the soft Q2 CPI miss. The recovery stalled at 0.6955 and price has printed a chain of lower highs since, drifting back toward the session low into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.6939, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6955
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.6955 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision tonight 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 0.6943
Lower highs, floor near 0.6939.
Downtrend intact after soft AUD CPI knocked price to a 0.6937 spike low; the London session has ground sideways in a tight 0.6939-0.6945 band. RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips as price coils below EMA20/50 into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69554
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
Close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower low
Break above 0.6945 opens the path to the 0.6955 swing high
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 0.6940
Lower highs into a tight base above 0.6939.
AUDUSD sold off sharply mid-window on the soft Q2 CPI print, flushing to 0.69367 before a shallow bounce to 0.69576 that faded. Price now grinds along the lows near 0.6940 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) around 41, ranges compressing into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69576
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
Close below 0.6939 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69576 bounce high needed to ease the downside pressure
AUDUSD sold off sharply after the soft Q2 CPI print, breaking from ~0.6985 down to 0.6937 in one impulse and holding below both EMAs since. Price is now grinding sideways near the lows around 0.6940, RSI mid-40s, with lower highs capping every bounce ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.6939, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6939 confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close above 0.6955 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
AUDUSD sold off sharply mid-window from 0.6977 to 0.69367 as the Aussie stayed offered on soft Q2 CPI, then bled lower in a chain of lower highs to test the session low at 0.69388. Price is pinned in the mid-0.6940s below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; momentum is heavy but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6948
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69480 needed to break the lower-high sequence
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69441
Consolidation after sharp drop.
AUD sold off sharply mid-window on the soft Q2 CPI follow-through, dropping from 0.6970 to a session low of 0.69367. Since then it has consolidated in a 0.6940-0.6955 band with RSI stuck in the mid-40s; the 0.6950 psych level and 0.69551 swing high have capped recovery attempts.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69551
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69551 negates the consolidation read
FOMC in ~6.5h is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into lows · RSI 41 · price 0.69425
Lower highs, consolidating near session low.
AUDUSD swept lower on the soft Q2 CPI print, dropping to 0.69367 before a shallow bounce to 0.69579 faded into a chain of lower highs. Price is now pinned in a tight 0.69388-0.69460 range near the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s and flat; FOMC tonight is the next catalyst.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69579
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69579 bounce high needed to break the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD extended yesterday's soft-CPI slide, sweeping the Asian range low near 0.6937 before drifting to session lows at 0.6939 through London hours. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 40; no relief bounce has held above 0.6954.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6954
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Break of 0.69388 confirms continuation to the 0.69367 spike low
A close back above 0.6954 would break the sequence of lower highs
AUDUSD grinding lower through the London session after an Asian-hours flush from 0.69721 to 0.69367, with the recovery capped at 0.69576 — the soft Q2 CPI keeps the pair offered. Price now drifting in a tight low-volatility range near 0.69400 with a chain of lower highs; ATR compressed to ~4 pips ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69576
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant catalyst — likely to break this compression
Close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim above 0.69540 breaks the sequence of lower highs
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide, dropping sharply on the 0.697 breakdown and grinding a descending channel of lower highs into the session low at 0.69388. RSI(14) sits mid-30s, weak but not oversold; ATR(14) near 5 pips reflects a slow, orderly bleed.
Support: 0.69388, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69513
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (~18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close above 0.69513 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69388 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 0.69367 spike low
AUDUSD sold off sharply mid-window on the soft Q2 CPI print, dropping to 0.69367 before consolidating in 0.6945-0.6957. Price then broke that range lower and is grinding at session lows near 0.6940 into tonight's FOMC, RSI(14) near 36 but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.69394, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6950
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
Close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69500 round number needed to ease downside pressure
AUDUSD dropped sharply through 0.6970 on the soft Q2 CPI follow-through, then bounced to 0.6958 before rolling over into a steady descending grind now pressing session lows at 0.69394. Lower highs are intact and RSI(14) sits near 39, with FOMC tonight the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.69394, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69555, 0.6958
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 GMT) will likely reprice this read entirely
Break below 0.69367 confirms fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69555 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Lower highs / lower lows, pinned near session low.
Downtrend on M15 after the soft AU CPI drove a spike-down to 0.69367 in the Asian session; price recovered to the 0.69590 swing high then ground out lower highs and lower lows through London, now pinned near the session low at 0.69395. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s with no bounce yet, ATR ~26 pips.
Support: 0.69395, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6959
What it said to watch
FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Break of 0.69367 spike low opens fresh downside
Close back above the 0.69590 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD sits at session lows near 0.6943 after a sharp impulsive drop to 0.69367 during the Asian session, extending the soft-CPI selloff. Price has since ground sideways-to-lower under a chain of lower highs, capped around 0.6955; RSI(14) mid-30s but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69395, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6955, 0.6950
What it said to watch
FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.6955 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower-low
AUD/USD grinding to session lows near 0.6940 after soft Q2 CPI kept the Aussie offered; a sharp Asia-session drop through 0.6950 set the tone and London has extended it. RSI(14) in the mid-30s, not yet oversold, price pinned below EMA20/50 with a clean chain of lower highs.
Support: 0.69395, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69554
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.69367 flash low confirms another lower low
M15 close back above 0.69554 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC tonight (~8h) the dominant catalyst — hawkish hold could extend the slide, dovish tilt lifts toward 0.6970
AUDUSD is grinding lower through the London session, printing fresh session lows near 0.69395 after a sharp drop from the 0.69700 area. Bounces have been capped at the 0.6955 swing high with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR around 34 pips; the soft Q2 CPI keeps the Aussie offered into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69395, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.69513
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69367 spike low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.6955 swing high neutralizes the lower-high structure
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant near-term catalyst
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 36 · price 0.69401
Chain of lower highs and lower lows.
AUDUSD extended the post-CPI slide, a sharp Asian-session breakdown from 0.6970 to 0.6937 setting the tone, and price is now grinding to fresh session lows near 0.6940 under both EMAs. Lower highs remain intact with RSI(14) around 36, no sign of a base yet.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959
What it said to watch
FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.69590 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69367 spike low confirms continuation of the downtrend
AUDUSD extended its soft-CPI slide through the NY session, with a sharp break lower near 0.69367 followed by a lower-high chain capping at 0.69458. Price is pinned at the 0.6940 session low into tonight's FOMC, RSI(14) soft near 33 but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69458
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close above 0.69458 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.6940 opens a retest of the 0.69367 spike low
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into London · RSI 34 · price 0.69432
Lower-high, lower-low chain sub-0.6950.
AUDUSD grinding lower through London hours, a fresh session low near 0.6940 after the sharp Asian-session drop to 0.69367 on soft Aussie CPI. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 34; the 0.6950 psych level has capped every bounce this session.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6954
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT tonight is the dominant catalyst
M15 close back above 0.6950 psych would break the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.69367 spike low extends the downtrend
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69432
Lower highs, consolidating near session low.
AUDUSD sold off sharply mid-window after soft Q2 CPI, printing a spike low at 0.69367 before a shallow bounce stalled into the 0.69579 session high. Price is now grinding a chain of lower highs and consolidating tight near 0.6943, capped by the descending resistance into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69579
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~8h out is the dominant catalyst and can break this range in either direction
Loss of 0.69400 exposes the 0.69367 spike low
M15 close above 0.69540 breaks the lower-high chain
AUDUSD extended its post-CPI slide, breaking the mid-session base to a fresh two-week low at 0.69405 with RSI(14) near 38. Descending highs from 0.69590 have capped every bounce through London hours; price sits pinned to the session low into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.69405, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69555, 0.6959
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69555 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69405 session low opens the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
AUD extended its post-CPI slide, a sharp Asia-session drop through 0.6950 setting the tone before a chain of lower highs pressed price to a fresh session low near 0.6941. RSI(14) in the low-30s, not yet oversold, with supply capping each bounce at 0.6954.
Support: 0.69405, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6954
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69367 opens further downside
Reclaim of 0.69540 breaks the lower-high chain
FOMC tonight is the dominant near-term catalyst
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69434
Range break lower, grinding under 0.6950.
Downtrend on M15 into London morning, printing lower lows after the Asia session swept down to 0.69367. Price grinds below the 0.6950 psych level, capped by a chain of descending highs, RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.69405, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6950 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.69405 opens the path back toward the 0.69367 sweep low
FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69434
Lower highs and lower lows below EMA20/50.
AUDUSD is grinding to fresh session lows near 0.6940 during London hours, extending the Asia-session break below 0.6950 that followed the soft AUD Q2 CPI print. A chain of lower highs from 0.6959 caps price under the EMA20/50, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched. FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 0.69405, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.69405 opens the spike low at 0.69367
M15 close back above 0.6959 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision tonight will drive the USD leg and can override this read
AUDUSD stayed heavy after yesterday's Q2 CPI miss, with a sharp flush to 0.69367 followed by a capped 0.6945-0.6957 range through the London session. Price has since broken the range floor and is grinding toward the session low at 0.69417, RSI(14) near 36 and no bounce yet.
Support: 0.69405, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6957
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69367 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.6957 negates the range break
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, consolidation breaking down toward spike low.
AUDUSD sold off sharply through Asian hours to a spike low of 0.69367 after the soft Q2 CPI print, then consolidated 0.6945–0.6957. London is pressing the range lower again, price back at 0.69417 with RSI(14) near 37 and holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69405, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6955
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
Close below 0.69367 spike low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6955 range top negates the downside pressure
AUDUSD grinding to fresh session lows near 0.6944 during London hours, extending the post-CPI-miss slide; price stayed pinned below the 0.6959 lower high all session. Sequence of lower highs and lower lows intact, RSI(14) soft near 37 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.69415, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69367 spike low opens further downside
Reclaim of 0.6959 lower high would break the lower-high chain
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 0.6944
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD extended its Q2 CPI-miss slide, dropping sharply mid-window to 0.69367 before a shallow bounce to 0.6959 faded. London session is grinding out fresh lows into 0.6940, price pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37, still short of oversold.
Support: 0.69405, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6959 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69405 session low opens the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 37 · price 0.69422
Lower highs into post-CPI drop, grinding toward session low.
Soft Q2 CPI miss gapped AUDUSD ~34 pips lower to 0.69367; the 0.6945–0.6957 rebound stalled and price is now rolling back toward that low, RSI(14) near 37. Sequence of lower highs intact through the London-NY hours.
Support: 0.69367, 0.69415
Resistance: 0.69557
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69367 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69557 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC / Warsh presser (~18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD gapped lower on the soft Q2 CPI miss, breaking to 0.69367 before consolidating around 0.6950. Sellers have since pressed a fresh leg to 0.69415, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34; the 0.6959/0.6970 area capped every bounce.
Support: 0.69415, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69554, 0.6959, 0.69703
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69554 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69367 confirms downtrend extension
FOMC decision (~18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver into the next session
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, pressing new lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69438
Lower highs into range low retest.
AUD gapped ~34 pips lower during Asia on the Q2 CPI miss, then consolidated 0.6945–0.6959. London session is now grinding lower with a chain of lower highs, retesting the 0.69420 range low as RSI(14) sits near 34.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69420 opens the 0.69367 spike low
Reclaim of 0.69590 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC / Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 0.69438
Post-CPI drop, failed recovery rolling to session lows.
AUDUSD gapped down hard on the soft Q2 CPI miss, spiking to a 0.69367 flash low before a corrective bounce stalled at 0.69579. Price has since rolled over into fresh session lows near 0.69438, RSI(14) sub-45 with lower highs intact.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69579
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could override this read
Range-bound below post-drop pivot, drifting to range low.
AUDUSD gapped ~35 pips lower during the Asia session on the soft Q2 CPI miss, plunging to 0.69367 before consolidating 0.69420–0.69590. Price is now easing back toward the range low with RSI(14) near 39; the 0.69590 swing high has capped every bounce.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69420 opens the path to the 0.69367 spike low
Reclaim of 0.69590 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision tonight (~18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Downtrend after CPI drop, now grinding lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69462
Post-drop range breaking toward session lows.
AUDUSD gapped lower on the 01:30 UTC Q2 CPI miss, spiking to 0.69367 before recovering into a 0.6942–0.6957 range. Price is now sliding back toward session lows near 0.6946 into the London session, RSI(14) sub-45.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6955
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69420 range low opens the 0.69367 cpi low
Reclaim of 0.69550 range top negates the slide
FOMC decision ~18:00 UTC is the dominant driver next
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 44 · price 0.69508
Range-bound below post-CPI drop.
AUD dropped ~35 pips to 0.69367 during the Asia session on the softer Q2 CPI miss, then consolidated in a 0.69420–0.69590 range. Into London hours price is drifting back toward the range floor with RSI(14) mid-40s and holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69420 opens the 0.69367 cpi low
Reclaim of 0.69590 range top needed to negate the lower structure
FOMC decision ~10h out could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.69508
Range after CPI-driven leg down.
AUD gapped ~35 pips lower into the Asian session on the softer Q2 CPI miss (3.8% vs 4.0%), tagging 0.69367 before stabilising. Since then price has consolidated 0.69440–0.69590 through the London morning, currently pinned near the base with RSI(14) around 44.
Support: 0.6944, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69440 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.69367 spike low
Close above 0.69590 reopens the 0.69700 pre-drop area
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser could override this range read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 51 · price 0.69537
Sharp break lower then base-building.
AUD dropped ~35 pips to 0.69367 during Asia hours on the softer Q2 CPI miss (3.8% vs 4.0%), then based and clawed back to 0.6954. Price is consolidating between the 0.69465 range low and the 0.69590 session high, RSI back to neutral around 51.
Support: 0.69465, 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69590 opens the path back toward the 0.69700 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 0.69465 reopens the 0.69367 cpi low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Recovery grind after sharp drop · RSI 51 · price 0.69537
Based after CPI flush, higher lows.
AUD flushed to 0.69367 during the Asia session after cooler Q2 CPI (3.8% vs 4.0%) undercut the RBA hike case, then based and ground back to 0.6954. Recovery is holding a chain of higher lows but stalling under the 0.6959 session high, RSI(14) balanced near 51.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69590 session high opens the path back toward 0.6970 pre-drop level
Loss of 0.69420 post-drop low reopens the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC today is the swing factor and could override this intraday read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend off CPI drop, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69528
Sharp Asia drop then sideways recovery below prior range.
AUDUSD dropped sharply to 0.69367 on the Asia-session Q2 CPI miss, then buyers recovered price to 0.6959 where supply has capped twice. Now consolidating 0.6942–0.6959 into London, sitting near the 61.8% retracement of the drop.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69590 range top would extend the retracement toward the 0.69700 pre-drop area
Loss of 0.69420 swing low reopens the 0.69367 session low
FOMC decision ~11h out is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend from CPI drop, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.69528
Sharp break lower then higher-low consolidation.
AUDUSD dropped ~35 pips into 0.69367 during the Asian session on the softer Q2 CPI miss, then based and clawed back into a 0.6942–0.6959 range. Price holds mid-range near EMA20 at 0.6953, capped below the pre-drop shelf at 0.69703.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.69703
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.6959 session high opens path back toward 0.69703
Failure to hold 0.6942 exposes the 0.69367 session low
07:02 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.69525
Sharp break lower, higher lows into recovery.
The soft Q2 CPI print at the Asian session drove a sharp break from 0.69700 down to 0.69367 on the largest bar of the window. Price has since consolidated in a 0.69420–0.69590 range with buyers stepping in on higher lows; RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to a neutral ~47.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69590 session high opens the path back toward 0.69700
Failure to hold 0.69420 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 0.69367 cpi low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 46 · price 0.69525
Sharp drop then tight range near lows.
AUDUSD gapped ~35 pips lower during the Asia-London handover after the soft Q2 CPI print, tagging 0.69367 before basing. Since then price has ground back into a 0.6942-0.6959 range, holding above rebuilt EMA20 but capped well under the pre-CPI 0.69700 shelf.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69420 session low reopens the 0.69367 cpi low
Reclaim of 0.69590 session high needed to challenge the 0.69700 pre-cpi shelf
FOMC decision later today can override this intraday range read
06:47 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69534
Sharp break lower then basing.
AUD/USD dropped ~35 pips into 0.69367 on the softer Q2 CPI miss during the Asia session, then based and clawed back to a recovery high near 0.69590. Price is now consolidating around 0.6953 with RSI(14) back mid-range; today's FOMC is the next driver.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69590 recovery hi opens path to the 0.69700 pre-cpi level
Failure to hold 0.69420 session low confirms a lower low toward the 0.69367 spike low
A soft Q2 CPI print drove a ~35 pip flash drop to 0.69367 during the Asia session, and AUDUSD has since clawed back roughly half of it, grinding up on higher lows into early London. Now consolidating near 0.6953 between the 0.69510 floor and the 0.69590 session high, RSI(14) neutral around 50.
Support: 0.6951, 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk to this read
Close above 0.69590 opens the path back toward 0.69700 psych
Failure to hold 0.69420 reopens the 0.69367 flash low
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.69539
Sharp break lower, grinding higher lows since.
AUD dumped ~35 pips to 0.6937 on the 01:30 UTC soft Q2 CPI print, then ground back to 0.6954. Recovery is holding a rising sequence of higher lows off 0.6942, with the 0.6959 session high capping so far.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.6959 opens the path back toward 0.6970
Failure to hold 0.6942 reopens the 0.6937 spike low
06:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 52 · price 0.69539
Consolidation above 0.6942 post-drop.
AUD/USD gapped ~35 pips lower on the soft Q2 CPI miss, tagging 0.69367 before buyers stabilised the market. Price has since ground back up into a 0.6942–0.6959 range, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s; the pre-drop 0.697 area is untested.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6959 opens the path back toward 0.697 pre-drop level
Loss of 0.6942 swing low re-exposes the 0.69367 cpi low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:17 UTC
Recovering off a sharp drop · RSI 57 · price 0.69586
Base building, higher lows after impulse down.
AUDUSD gapped ~40 pips lower to 0.69367 on the soft Q2 CPI miss, then carved a rounded base and is grinding back up, now retracing ~50% of that drop into 0.6959. Higher lows since the flush; 0.69670 pre-drop shelf is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 0.6944, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6977
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.69670 pre-drop shelf extends the retrace toward 0.69770 swing high
Loss of 0.69440 base low re-opens 0.69367 session low
FOMC decision later today can override this intraday structure
AUDUSD dropped sharply to 0.69367 during the Asian session on the soft Q2 CPI miss, then based around 0.6945 and is grinding higher into London, now 0.69586 — near the 50% retrace of the drop. RSI recovered from the sub-30 flush; price back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 0.6945, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.69700 fills the CPI drop and reopens the pre-drop swing high
Failure to hold 0.69450 base exposes the 0.69367 sweep low
06:02 UTC
Recovering from sharp drop · RSI 56 · price 0.6957
Grinding higher off post-CPI low.
AUDUSD dropped sharply through 0.6970 to 0.69367 on the softer Q2 CPI print, then consolidated and clawed back to 0.6957. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to mid-range as buyers stepped in around 0.6942.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.6942 reopens the cpi low at 0.69367
Reclaim of 0.6970 would fully retrace the CPI drop
06:02 UTC
Recovering off spike low · RSI 56 · price 0.6957
Sharp drop then base build.
AUDUSD gapped ~34 pips lower to 0.69367 after the soft Q2 CPI miss, then based around 0.6942 and ground back to 0.6957, stalling at the 38.2% retrace of the drop. Price is back above EMA20 but capped below the 0.6970 pre-drop shelf; RSI(14) near 56 after basing.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6985
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6970 opens the path back toward 0.6985 session high
Loss of 0.6942 re-exposes the 0.69367 spike low
05:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing after drop · RSI 54 · price 0.69552
Sharp break lower, now consolidating above 0.6942.
AUDUSD gapped ~35 pips lower into the 0.6937 low on the soft Q2 CPI miss during the Asia session, then based between 0.6942 and 0.6957. Price is grinding back to the session high at 0.6957 with RSI near 54; the pre-drop 0.6970 shelf remains untested.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69571, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 pre-drop level would erase the CPI-driven leg lower
Loss of 0.69420 session low reopens the 0.6937 spike low
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.69552
Range break lower, now basing 0.6942-0.6955.
Softer Q2 AU CPI triggered a sharp Asian-session flush to 0.69367, breaking below the prior 0.6970 range. Price has since based between 0.69420 and 0.69555, now grinding back to retest the range top with RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69555, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69555 opens the path back toward 0.69700 pre-cpi zone
Failure to hold 0.69420 range low reopens the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after drop · RSI 49 · price 0.69518
Sharp break lower then consolidation above 0.6942.
AUDUSD gapped ~35 pips lower on the soft Q2 CPI print (3.8% vs 4.0%), tagging 0.69367 before basing. Price is now consolidating 0.6942–0.6955 in the Asia session with RSI(14) back near neutral; the session high at 0.69551 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69551, 0.6967
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69551 opens a path back toward the 0.6967 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 0.6942 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after CPI drop · RSI 50 · price 0.69518
Range broke lower, base forming near 0.6942.
AUDUSD gapped ~34 pips lower off the 01:30 UTC soft Q2 CPI miss, printing 0.69367 before buyers reclaimed into a 0.6942-0.6955 base through the Asia session. Price now sits at 0.69518, back above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 50; session high at 0.69551 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69551, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69551 session high opens the path back to the 0.697 prior range
Failure to hold 0.6942 base confirms a lower low toward the 0.69367 cpi low
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser could materially shift this read
05:17 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 0.69547
Post-drop consolidation, higher lows forming.
AUDUSD gapped lower to 0.69367 on the soft Q2 CPI print, then consolidated in a 0.6942–0.6956 band through the Asia session. Higher lows are building off 0.6942 with price pressing 0.69547 into the recent 0.69562 high; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-range.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69562, 0.6966
What it said to watch
FOMC today (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
Close above 0.69562 opens the path toward the 0.6966 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 0.6942 confirms a lower low toward the 0.69367 cpi low
05:17 UTC
Downdrift, stabilising after CPI drop · RSI 51 · price 0.69547
Sharp drop then consolidation above the low.
AUDUSD dropped ~34 pips into 0.69367 on the softer Q2 CPI print at 01:30 UTC, then based in a 0.69420-0.69551 range through the Asian session. Price is edging back to the session high at 0.69551 with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69551, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69700 would erase the CPI drop
Failure to hold 0.69420 reopens the 0.69367 cpi low
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range break lower, now consolidating above the low.
AUDUSD dropped ~35 pips on the 04:30 broker-time bar as the soft Q2 CPI print undercut RBA hike bets, printing a spike low at 0.69367. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.69420-0.69535 band through the Asia session, clawing back toward the range top; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69535, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69535 range top reopens the pre-drop 0.69700 zone
Failure to hold 0.69420 exposes the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC today is the dominant risk and could override this read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after drop · RSI 44 · price 0.69525
Sharp break then basing near lows.
AUDUSD dropped from 0.69700 to 0.69367 around the 01:30 UTC AU CPI miss, then based between 0.69420 and 0.69560. Price has since ticked back to 0.69525, roughly the 38.2% retrace of that drop, RSI recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6956, 0.6970
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.69560 opens the path back to 0.69700 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 0.69420 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.69367 spike low
04:47 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69466
Sharp break then sideways above spike low.
Aussie gapped lower in the Asian session, dropping from 0.6970 to a 0.69367 spike low on the soft Q2 CPI miss. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6942-0.6953 band, capped by descending lower highs; RSI sits mid-40s with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69535, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69535 bounce high would break the descending highs
Loss of 0.69420 swing low reopens the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend after impulsive drop, now flat · RSI 42 · price 0.69466
Consolidation below broken support.
AUDUSD dropped ~35 pips in a single bar at 04:30 broker time on the softer-than-expected AU Q2 CPI print, breaking the 0.6970 shelf. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6942–0.6950 band, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s and a failed poke back toward 0.6956.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69562, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6950 range top would ease the drop momentum
Loss of 0.69420 session low reopens the 0.69367 cpi low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 0.6943
Lower highs, lower lows after impulsive drop.
AUDUSD broke sharply lower during the Asian session, a single 33-pip bar dropping from 0.6970 to 0.69367 as the AI/chip rout hit the Aussie post soft CPI. Price has since consolidated in a 0.6942–0.6954 band and is now probing fresh session lows, RSI subdued near 38.
Support: 0.6942, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69535, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69535 post-drop hi would ease the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69367 spike low extends the downtrend
FOMC today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A sharp 34-pip flush around 01:30 UTC broke the 0.6970 range and printed a session low at 0.69367. Price then coiled in a 0.6945–0.6956 consolidation with lower highs and is now edging back toward the session low, RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.69367, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.6956, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Break of 0.69367 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
M15 close back above 0.6956 negates the consolidation drift lower
FOMC today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.69452
Sharp breakdown then tight range near session low.
AUDUSD gapped ~34 pips lower in the Asian session, extending the offered tone after the soft Aussie CPI miss, printing a spike low at 0.69367 before basing around 0.6945. Since the drop price has ranged 0.69435–0.69562, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 41 but still sub-50.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69562
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.69562 would negate the breakdown structure
Failure to hold 0.69435 opens a retest of the 0.69367 spike low
04:17 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after drop · RSI 40 · price 0.69452
Range broken lower, now consolidating below.
AUDUSD dropped sharply in the Asian session, a 33-pip slide to 0.69367 as the soft CPI AUD downgrade played through, then stabilised in a tight 0.69436–0.69500 band. RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 40, ATR only ~7 pips — thin, coiled conditions ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.69436, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69562
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69436 reopens the 0.69367 spike low
Reclaim of the 0.69500 psych level needed to challenge the 0.69562 swing high
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend after sharp breakdown, now basing · RSI 41 · price 0.69456
Impulsive drop then consolidation near lows.
AUDUSD gapped ~34 pips lower in the Asian session, with a single M15 candle spiking to 0.69367 as the soft CPI print and risk-off tone weighed. Price has since consolidated between 0.69436 and 0.69535, drifting back toward the lows; RSI(14) around 41, no reclaim of the 0.6970 pre-drop area.
Support: 0.69436, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69535, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69535 opens a retest of the 0.6970 pre-drop area
Break below 0.69367 extends the breakdown
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~14h) could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend after sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 41 · price 0.69456
Range break lower, basing near session lows.
AUDUSD gapped ~34 pips lower on a single bar into the Asia session, snapping the 0.6970-0.6980 range as post-CPI AUD selling extended. Price is now consolidating 0.6944-0.6953 just above the 0.69435 session low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 40. Lower highs since the drop keep supply capping the bounce.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69530 needed to challenge the 0.69700 pre-drop shelf
Break of 0.69435 confirms continuation toward the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:47 UTC
Downtrend after sharp drop, now flat · RSI 41 · price 0.6948
Range break lower, consolidating above spike low.
AUDUSD sold off sharply in the Asian session, a single M15 bar dumping from 0.6970 to 0.69367 as soft CPI unwound RBA hike pricing. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.69435–0.69530 band; sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold to the low 40s.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 pre-drop area would repair the downside break
Break of 0.69367 spike low extends the sell-off
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) could materially reshape this read
03:47 UTC
Downtrend after breakdown, consolidating · RSI 39 · price 0.6948
Range break lower, now basing.
AUDUSD broke sharply below the 0.6965 Asian range mid-session, spiking to 0.6937 before basing between 0.6944 and 0.6953 — the soft Aussie CPI keeps the pair offered. RSI(14) recovered off the flush but sits below 40, price capped under the prior range.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69535, 0.6967
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69535 puts the 0.6967 prior range back in play
Failure to hold 0.69435 reopens the 0.6937 session low
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:32 UTC
Downtrend after impulsive drop, now flat · RSI 37 · price 0.69447
Range low broken, consolidating below.
A sharp sell candle near 01:30 UTC broke the 0.6970 range low and bottomed at 0.69367, in line with the soft-CPI AUD tone. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.69435–0.69562 band; RSI(14) cooled to the mid-30s and sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69562, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69562 challenges the 0.6970 prior-range floor
Loss of 0.69367 confirms continuation of the lower-low
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant risk for this pair
AUDUSD dropped sharply through the 0.6970 base during Asia hours, printing a 0.69367 spike low as the soft CPI and risk-off tone weighed. Price now consolidates in the 0.69445–0.69560 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to ~38.
Support: 0.69445, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69562, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 prior base would negate the downside break
Loss of 0.69445 session low reopens the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision today could materially shift this read
AUDUSD spiked ~34 pips lower at 01:30 UTC on the soft Q2 CPI miss (3.8% vs 4%), printing a low of 0.69367. Price has since consolidated between 0.6944 and the 0.69562 bounce high through the Asia session, holding below the broken 0.6970 shelf that now acts as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 0.6944, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69562, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69562 bounce high reopens the 0.6970 prior support zone
Break below 0.6944 range low exposes the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 40 · price 0.69474
Sharp break lower, now consolidating above the low.
AUDUSD dropped ~35 pips into 0.69367 on the soft Q2 CPI miss (3.8% vs 4% f/c), then stabilised in a 0.6945–0.6956 range during the Asia session. RSI(14) recovering off oversold but price sits below EMA20/50; the bounce high at 0.69562 has capped the retrace so far.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69562, 0.6970
What it said to watch
FOMC decision later today is the dominant risk and could override this M15 read
M15 close above 0.69562 opens a retest of the 0.6970 pre-drop area
Break below 0.69435 exposes the 0.69367 spike low
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69492
Range broken lower, low swept and partly recovered.
AUDUSD broke the 0.69700-0.69770 Asian range with a sharp drop to 0.69367 on the soft AU Q2 CPI miss, then recovered to 0.69492 with a long lower wick — a sweep of session lows. RSI(14) is lifting off oversold as price stabilises between 0.69435 and the 0.69562 bounce high.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69562, 0.6970
What it said to watch
FOMC later today is the next swing factor and could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.69700 negates the range break
Failure to hold 0.69435 reopens the 0.69367 session low
AUDUSD broke sharply out of the 0.6970-0.6977 range, dumping to 0.69367 on soft Q2 CPI (3.8% vs 4%) that reinforced the RBA pause read. Price has since clawed back to 0.69492 with RSI recovering from oversold; the 0.6970 range floor now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.69367, 0.69435
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6977
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6970 range floor negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6937 spike low opens further downside
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD dumped ~34 pips to 0.69367 in one bar as soft Q2 CPI (3.8% vs 4% f/c) hit during Asia hours, breaking a tight 0.6968-0.6985 range. Price has since retraced to 0.69475, stalling under the 0.69562 bounce high with RSI(14) recovering off the drop.
Support: 0.69367, 0.69435
Resistance: 0.69562
What it said to watch
reclaim above 0.69562 would repair the range-break damage
failure to hold 0.69367 spike low confirms a lower low
FOMC today is the next swing factor for USD direction
AUDUSD sliced ~34 pips lower to 0.69367 on the softer Q2 CPI print (3.8% vs 4% f/c) during the Asia session, breaking the prior 0.6970-0.6980 range. Price has since bounced to 0.69475, stalling short of the 0.69562 bounce high; RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.69367, 0.69435
Resistance: 0.69562, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 would invalidate the downside break
Failure to hold 0.69367 confirms continuation lower
FOMC decision later today is the next swing factor for AUDUSD
Asia session broke sharply lower after the soft Q2 AUD CPI print, one M15 bar dropping ~33 pips and sweeping to 0.69367 before buyers lifted it back to 0.69533. Price now bases below the 0.69700 pre-drop shelf with RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 0.69700 negates the range break
Failure to hold 0.69435 reopens the 0.69367 sweep low
AUD ranged 0.6970-0.6985 through the Asian session before a sharp downside break to 0.69367, with the soft Q2 CPI miss keeping the pair heavy. Price has since clawed back to 0.6953, but sits below EMA20/50 and the reclaimed 0.6970 range floor now caps.
Support: 0.69445, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6979
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today is the dominant risk and could override this read
Reclaim above 0.6970 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.69445 reopens the 0.69367 spike low
02:17 UTC
Downtrend after sharp break · RSI 30 · price 0.69499
Impulsive drop, now consolidating at lows.
Asia session saw a sharp AUDUSD flush from the 0.6970 shelf to a 0.69367 session low as softer Q2 CPI reinforced the extended-pause read. Price is now consolidating between 0.6944 and 0.6950 just above the low, RSI(14) near 29.
Support: 0.69367, 0.69435
Resistance: 0.6966, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.69660 prior range would neutralise the downside break
Loss of 0.69367 session low confirms continuation lower
FOMC decision + Warsh presser later today is the next swing factor
AUDUSD dropped sharply from 0.6970 to 0.69367 on the softer-than-forecast Q2 CPI print, breaking a multi-hour 0.6965–0.6977 range floor. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.69500 handle, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 0.69435 session low is the immediate demand shelf.
Support: 0.69435, 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6969
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.69690 negates the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.69435 opens the 0.69367 spike low
FOMC statement today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off sharply into the Asian session, one 34-pip bar slicing through the 0.6965 range floor to a 0.69367 low as the Q2 CPI window hit. Price is holding near the lows around 0.69447 with RSI(14) stretched into the high-20s; the prior floor at 0.6965 now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.69367
Resistance: 0.69665
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69665 range floor invalidates the breakdown
FOMC ~16h out is the next major driver for this pair
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh impulsive leg · RSI 25 · price 0.69447
Range broken to the downside.
AUDUSD collapsed ~34 pips on the 01:30 GMT Q2 CPI print, slicing through the 0.6963–0.6986 Asian range and printing a spike low at 0.69367 before a shallow bounce to 0.69447. RSI(14) near 24 is oversold after a soft print reinforced the RBA pause read; 0.69700 is now overhead supply.
Support: 0.69367, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 would negate the downside range break
Failure to hold 0.69367 opens continuation toward 0.69300
AUDUSD knifed lower off a softer Q2 CPI print during the Asia session, breaking the 0.69700 range floor and spiking to 0.69367 before a shallow bounce to 0.69475. RSI(14) is stretched near 26 after the impulse; price sits well below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69700 range floor would negate the downside break
FOMC in ~16h can materially reshape this read
Failure to hold above 0.69367 spike low reopens downside
AUDUSD broke down hard out of the 0.6970-0.6985 range on the soft Q2 CPI print, spiking to 0.69367 before closing near 0.69475. RSI(14) near 30 reflects the momentum shock; prior range floor at 0.6970 now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.69367, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6985
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6970 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.69367 opens further downside toward 0.6930
FOMC ~16h out could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, breakdown on CPI · RSI 38 · price 0.69479
Range broken lower, spike recovered.
AUD dropped sharply into the 01:30 GMT Q2 CPI print, spiking to 0.69367 before recovering to 0.69479 — a downside sweep of the prior 0.6965–0.6985 range as the soft print reinforced the RBA extended-pause read. RSI(14) near 38, price below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6985
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.69700 prior range would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold above the 0.69367 spike low reopens downside
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT triggered a sharp drop — AUD sliced through the 0.6970 range base to a 0.69367 session low, closing 0.69479 and confirming the soft/extended-pause read. Price had chopped 0.6968–0.6978 all through the Asian session before the print broke it lower.
Support: 0.69367
Resistance: 0.6970
What it said to watch
Recovery back above 0.69700 range base would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 0.69367 session low opens deeper downside
FOMC decision ~16h out could reset the USD leg of this read
01:17 UTC
Choppy, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69669
Range within session, lower highs into CPI.
AUDUSD faded the 0.69859 session high and is grinding back toward the 0.69628 session low, price below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-40s. Sub-0.7000 chop persists as Australia Q2 CPI looms — the print will drive the next leg.
Support: 0.69628, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI imminent — a binary re-pricing event for AUD
Loss of 0.69628 confirms a lower low and extends the intraday slide
Reclaim of 0.69770 needed to challenge the 0.69859 session high
01:17 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.69669
Lower highs since NY, coiling pre-CPI.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.69859 NY session high and is grinding lower into the Asian session, printing lower highs with price now at 0.69669 below EMA20/50. Thin, pre-event volume ahead of Australia's Q2 CPI in ~135 min; a binary re-pricing risk per the AUD digest as Aug RBA hike odds sit near 20%.
Support: 0.69621, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~135 min) is a binary driver — a hot trimmed-mean could snap the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.69621 confirms continuation of the lower-low structure
Reclaim of 0.69770 negates the lower-high read
FOMC ~16h later adds a second USD-side risk
01:03 UTC
Range, drifting to lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69692
Range-bound, testing lower edge.
Asia session grinding lower into the Q2 CPI print, AUDUSD easing off the 0.69859 session high back toward the 0.69625 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 42; still range-bound between 0.69625 and 0.69770.
Support: 0.69625, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~30min) is a binary re-pricing event for AUD
M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low out of the range
Reclaim of 0.69770 range top puts the 0.69859 session high back in view
AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6969-0.6977 band during the Asian session, below EMA20/50 after fading from the 0.6986 session high. Price is compressing just above the 0.6964 low with RSI mid-range as the market waits on Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.69621, 0.69682
Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~135 min) is a binary re-pricing event that will drive the next leg
Break below 0.6964 confirms a lower low and opens deeper downside
Close back above 0.6986 puts the 0.7000 psych level in view
00:47 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.69737
Consolidation mid-range after fade from session high.
Early Asia session chopping between 0.6970 and 0.6977 after fading from the 0.69859 session high, RSI(14) flat near 50. Price sits mid the prior advance off 0.69628, no directional structure in play ahead of the Australian Q2 CPI print.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69628
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~135 min) is a binary re-pricing event for this range
Close above 0.69770 reopens the 0.69859 session high
Loss of 0.69700 exposes the 0.69628 swing low
00:47 UTC
Rangebound, coiling · RSI 47 · price 0.69737
Consolidation after fade from session high.
AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6970-0.6977 band after fading the 0.69859 session high, RSI(14) flat mid-range. Price is pinned sub-0.7000 into the Australian Q2 CPI print, with no intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~135 min) is a binary re-pricing event for AUD
Reclaim of 0.69770 then 0.69859 session high needed to resume upside
Loss of 0.69700 exposes the 0.69625 swing low
00:32 UTC
Sideways, coiling · RSI 49 · price 0.69744
Tight range mid-way in prior rally.
AUDUSD is coiling in a 0.69690–0.69770 range through the Asia session after fading the earlier push to the 0.69859 prior high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and price is pinned around EMA20 — no directional structure ahead of Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~1h) is a binary re-pricing event that will break this range
M15 close above 0.69770 targets the 0.69859 prior high
Loss of 0.69689 exposes the 0.69625 swing low
00:32 UTC
Sideways, low momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.69744
Tight range into CPI.
Asia session grinding sideways in a 0.6970–0.6977 band after fading the 0.6986 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips. Consolidation tightening ahead of Australia Q2 CPI in about an hour.
Support: 0.69698, 0.69644
Resistance: 0.69771, 0.69824, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~1h) is a binary re-pricing event that can break this range
M15 close above 0.69771 opens 0.6982 session high
Failure to hold 0.69698 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
Range between 0.6962 and 0.6986, retracing off session high.
AUDUSD rallied to a session high of 0.69859 then faded, price now back at 0.69697 below EMA20/50 having retraced most of the up move. Choppy range between 0.6962 support and 0.6986, no clean directional structure ahead of the Q2 CPI print.
Support: 0.69644, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.69771, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~75min) is a binary re-pricing event that overrides this range read
M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a lower low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 0.69771 puts the session high back in play
00:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69697
Consolidation below mid-window highs.
Quiet Asian session; AUDUSD chopping 0.6969–0.6977 after fading the 0.69859 mid-window high back toward session lows. RSI(14) mid-range near 42, no momentum in either direction as price coils ahead of the Australian Q2 CPI print.
Support: 0.6969, 0.69624
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~75 min) is a binary re-pricing event that will drive the next leg
Sustained M15 close below 0.6969 exposes the 0.69624 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6977 reopens the 0.69859 session high
00:02 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69714
Pullback from 0.69859 session high, parked at 61.8% fib.
AUDUSD drifted off the 0.69859 session high through thin Asian hours and is resting at the 61.8% fib (~0.69712) of the prior London-NY rally. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 and ATR compressed to ~2.7 pips as volumes thin out ahead of Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69644, 0.69621
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~90m) is a binary re-pricing event and will drive the next M15 leg
M15 close back above the 0.6977 range top reopens the 0.69859 session high
Loss of 0.69644 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69621 swing low
00:02 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69714
Consolidation after pullback from 0.69859.
AUDUSD faded from the session high at 0.69859 back to 0.6971 during Asia hours, now chopping in a tight 0.6970-0.6977 range below EMA20/50. Move is on hold ahead of Australia Q2 CPI in ~135 minutes, the key swing event for RBA hike pricing.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69625
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~135min) is a binary re-pricing event that will override this range
M15 close above 0.69770 reopens the session high at 0.69859
Failure to hold 0.69700 exposes the 0.69625 session low