AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 0.70253

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove AUDUSD off 0.6980 through the 0.6950 cap and up to 0.70326, clearing the 0.7025 resistance flagged in context after the soft US GDP/PCE batch weighed on USD. Asian session is now consolidating just above 0.7017, RSI(14) back to mid-40s and price slipping under EMA20.

Support: 0.70173, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 reopens the upside continuation
  • Failure to hold 0.70173 exposes the 0.7000 round number
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations later today could shift USD tone

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.70253

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

AUDUSD ripped through 0.6980 into the NY session to print a session high at 0.70327, powered by broad USD softness after the Q2 GDP miss and cooling core PCE. Thin Asia trade has since coiled between 0.70173 and 0.70327 with RSI(14) flattening near 52 and price slipping back under EMA20.

Support: 0.70173, 0.70024, 0.69835

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70327 resumes the rally
  • Loss of 0.70173 session low opens 0.70024
  • AUD PPI (~01:30 UTC) could reprice the range

23:32 UTC

Uptrend, stalling near highs · RSI 54 · price 0.70252

Consolidation below session high after impulsive leg up.

London-NY session drove AUDUSD from ~0.6973 up to a 0.70327 session high on broad USD softness after the Q2 GDP miss and cooling PCE. Asia hours have consolidated inside 0.7017-0.7030, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s with price hovering just under EMA20.

Support: 0.70173, 0.70024, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.70173 (asia low) exposes the 0.7000 round number and the rising support line
  • Reclaim and close above 0.70327 (session high) resumes the up-leg
  • Australia PPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) could shift this read

23:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 47 · price 0.70252

Consolidation below 0.7032 session high after NY rally.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.6946 through NY hours to 0.7032 as a soft US GDP/PCE batch pressured the dollar, then stalled and is now consolidating around the 0.7025 pivot flagged as resistance. Thin, low-volume Asian bars show the move digesting just below the session high, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 0.70173, 0.70024, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70252, 0.70326

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7032 session high opens continuation
  • Loss of 0.70173 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Australia PPI at 01:30 GMT could shift this read

23:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.70262

Consolidating near session highs after NY rally.

AUDUSD broke the 0.7004 level in the NY session and ran to 0.70327, clearing the 0.7025 resistance flagged in the macro read despite the soft-CPI dovish backdrop. Price has since coiled 0.7017-0.7032 through thin Asian hours, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s as the drive stalls.

Support: 0.7017, 0.70044, 0.69946

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7017 range low opens a retest of the 0.7004 breakout
  • Reclaim of 0.70327 session high resumes the intraday drive
  • Australia PPI 01:30 GMT could shift the read

23:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 55 · price 0.70262

Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6950 area during the London-NY window, running to a session high of 0.70326 as a softer USD (Q2 GDP miss, cooling PCE) undercut the dollar. Price is now consolidating in the 0.7017–0.7032 band through the Asia session, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range and price slipping just under EMA20.

Support: 0.7017, 0.7000, 0.69753

Resistance: 0.70326

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 session high extends the breakout
  • Loss of 0.7017 swing low opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Australia PPI at 01:30 GMT could shift the read

23:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.70294

Consolidation at session highs after impulsive rally.

AUDUSD broke higher through the London-NY window, tearing from 0.6975 to a session high 0.70326 as a softer post-FOMC USD fuelled a corrective bounce that reclaimed the 0.7025 area. Price is now coiling 0.7020–0.70326 into the quiet Asia session on thin volume, RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak.

Support: 0.7020, 0.7000, 0.69745

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the rally leg
  • Failure to hold 0.70200 opens a slide back toward 0.70000 round number
  • AUD PPI (01:30 GMT) could shift this read within the next bars

23:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling at highs · RSI 55 · price 0.70294

Consolidating just below session high after NY breakout.

AUDUSD ripped through 0.7000 during NY hours as a softer post-FOMC USD lifted the pair off the 0.6946 low, tagging 0.7032 before stalling. Price is now grinding sideways in the 0.7017-0.7032 band on thin Asia-session volume, RSI cooling back to the mid-50s.

Support: 0.7017, 0.7000, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.70327 session high would resume the advance
  • Loss of 0.70170 swing low opens the 0.7000 breakout retest
  • Australia PPI at 01:30 GMT (~2.5h out) could shift this read

22:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.70295

NY rally then Asia consolidation near session high.

AUDUSD ran from 0.6974 to 0.7033 through the NY session as the soft-PCE, post-FOMC USD unwind lifted the pair through the 0.7025 pivot. Price has since gone quiet in a tight Asia-session range around 0.7025–0.7033, RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR compressed.

Support: 0.7017, 0.7000, 0.6974

Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.7017 range low would negate the consolidation and reopen 0.7000
  • M15 close above 0.7033 session high extends the breakout
  • Australia PPI (01:30 GMT, ~3h) could break this quiet range

22:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.70295

Consolidation below session high after breakout.

AUDUSD ran from 0.6946 through the 0.7000 round number during London-NY hours and now consolidates between 0.7017 and the 0.7032 session high, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s. Move fits the corrective-bounce toward 0.7025 flagged in context after the soft AUD CPI; buyers held 0.7017 through the Asian open.

Support: 0.70173, 0.7000, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70327 extends the breakout leg
  • Failure to hold 0.70173 opens 0.70000 round number
  • Australia PPI at 01:30 GMT could shift this read within hours

22:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 0.70278

Consolidating near session highs after NY rally.

NY session drove AUDUSD from ~0.6975 up through the 0.7025 resistance to a 0.70327 session high, a corrective bounce off the 0.6965 pivot in line with the softer post-FOMC USD. Price is now consolidating 0.70170-0.70327 into thin Asia hours, RSI cooling toward mid-range.

Support: 0.7017, 0.7000, 0.6965

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.7024

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70327 session high opens the next leg higher
  • Failure to hold 0.70170 swing low negates the consolidation and reopens 0.70000
  • AU PPI at 01:30 GMT could shift this read

22:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 56 · price 0.70278

Higher highs then flat consolidation below 0.7033.

AUDUSD broke higher through the NY session, clearing 0.6980 and extending to a 0.70327 high, reclaiming the 0.7025 area flagged as resistance. Price has since gone flat around 0.7027-0.7032 into the Asia handover, RSI(14) cooling off the extension with no fresh drive.

Support: 0.70173, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 0.70173 breaks the consolidation and threatens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Sustained trade above 0.70327 opens continuation of the rally
  • Australia PPI at 01:30 GMT could inject fresh direction

22:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70274

Consolidating below session high after NY breakout.

AUD broke out through 0.6985 into the 0.7020s during NY hours as the dollar softened after the FOMC hawkish-hold and disinflationary PCE. Price has since consolidated 0.7017-0.7033 into the Asia session with RSI cooling to the low 50s; the session high at 0.70327 is capping.

Support: 0.70173, 0.7000, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70327 (session high) extends the breakout
  • Loss of 0.70173 (session low) opens the 0.7000 round number
  • AU PPI at 01:30 UTC (~3h) could shift the range read

22:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.70274

Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.

A strong NY-session rally lifted AUDUSD off 0.6946 to a session high 0.70326, clearing the 0.7025 resistance flagged as a prior lower-high cap. Price is now consolidating just above that breakout level in thin early-Asia trade, RSI cooling from overbought.

Support: 0.70173, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Holding above 0.7025 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reverts to range
  • Loss of 0.70173 recent low opens the 0.7000 round number
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

22:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 0.70276

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ran higher through the NY session after soft US PCE/GDP prints pressured the dollar, clearing the 0.7025 SocGen resistance and printing a session high at 0.70327. Price is now consolidating in thin Asia trade just under that high, holding above the 0.70173 recent low with RSI cooling from the extension.

Support: 0.70173, 0.70024, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.70173 recent low breaks the rising-support sequence
  • Break above 0.70327 session high extends the intraday advance
  • Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves off 0.7025

22:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70276

Consolidation below session high after breakout.

AUDUSD ripped from mid-0.6950s to 0.70327 as soft US GDP and a core PCE miss knocked the dollar, clearing the 0.7025 lower-high zone. Price has since gone flat 0.7020–0.7032 on thin late-NY/Asia-open volume, RSI back near 50 as the impulse cooled.

Support: 0.7020, 0.70173

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.70327 reopens upside continuation
  • Loss of 0.70173 swing low confirms a lower low
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

21:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.70208

Pullback after session-high tag, holding above 0.7000.

NY session drove a clean breakout through the 0.7000 round number, tagging a session high at 0.70327 as USD softened on the in-line PCE and hawkish-hold fade. Price is now consolidating in the mid-0.702s through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling back near 54 with the 0.70173 recent low holding so far.

Support: 0.70173, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.70256

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.70173 exposes the 0.7000 round number
  • Reclaim of 0.70327 session high needed to extend the breakout
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

21:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.70208

NY rally into late-session consolidation off the highs.

NY session ran AUDUSD hard off 0.6975 to a 0.70327 session high as the USD softened post-PCE/GDP miss and the hawkish-hold fade extended. Price then stalled and drifted back to 0.7020 into thin late-session flow, slipping under the 0.7025 SocGen cap with RSI cooling toward neutral.

Support: 0.70173, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.7025, 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.70173 session low opens 0.7000 psych
  • Reclaim of 0.7025 socgen cap needed to retest the 0.70327 session high
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 0.7020

HH/HL rally stalling into consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD ran a clean HH/HL sequence off 0.6946 up to a 0.7032 session high, then stalled and consolidated just under it before slipping back to 0.702 in thin late-NY/rollover trade. Momentum has cooled with RSI back near mid-range and price sagging below EMA20; the 0.7017 low is the first pivot holding the retracement.

Support: 0.7017, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7032

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7032 resumes the uptrend leg
  • Loss of 0.7017 opens the 0.7000 round number
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 0.7020

Higher highs into consolidation near session high.

AUDUSD broke above the 0.7000 round number during NY hours on a softer USD (weak Q2 GDP, core PCE miss) and ran to a session high 0.7033. Price has since consolidated near the highs and eased to 0.7020 into the Asia handover, RSI cooling from stretched levels.

Support: 0.7017, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7000 round number negates the breakout
  • Break above 0.7033 session high resumes the advance
  • AU PPI at 01:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

21:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.70236

Breakout leg, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a sharp breakout from 0.6980 through 0.7025 to a 0.70327 session high, aided by a soft-Fed USD and the Building Permits beat. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7017–0.7032 range with RSI cooling back to the mid-50s, holding above the 0.7000 round number.

Support: 0.7017, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.7045

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70327 session high opens continuation
  • Loss of 0.70000 round number negates the breakout read
  • US PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the USD-side driver

21:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.70236

Consolidating at session highs after breakout.

NY session drove a clean breakout off 0.6946, clearing the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7025 resistance flagged in context to peak at 0.70326. Price has since stalled into a tight 0.7020–0.7032 range as the session winds down, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-50s.

Support: 0.7020, 0.7000, 0.6974

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.7020 swing low opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Sustained hold above 0.70326 session high extends the breakout
  • US ECI Fri 12:30 GMT could reprice USD and shift this read

21:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 0.70292

Higher highs, consolidating under session high.

AUDUSD ran hard through 0.7000 and the 0.7025 resistance into the NY session on a softer USD (GDP miss, benign core PCE) and steadied above it. Price is now consolidating 0.7022-0.7032 just under the 0.70326 session high, RSI cooling off the rally.

Support: 0.70223, 0.70115, 0.70024

Resistance: 0.70326

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70326 session high extends the intraday rally
  • Loss of 0.70223 swing low breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.70115
  • US PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift USD tone

21:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.70292

Consolidating below session high after strong NY leg.

AUDUSD ran ~85 pips through the NY session from 0.6946 to a 0.70327 high as soft US GDP/PCE pressured the dollar, clearing the 0.7025 area flagged as the near-term flip level. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.7028-0.7032 band, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s and ATR compressing to ~6 pips.

Support: 0.70216, 0.7012, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.70327 extends the leg higher
  • Loss of 0.70216 swing low signals the breakout is stalling
  • US PPI (Fri 01:30 UTC) could shift the USD read

20:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.70288

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD ran hard through the NY session, clearing 0.7000 and the 0.7025 pivot flagged as key resistance, printing a session high at 0.70327. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.70240-0.70327 band into the NY close, RSI(14) cooling from stretched into the low 60s as the move digests.

Support: 0.7024, 0.70115, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70327, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70327 extends the breakout
  • Loss of 0.70240 opens a pullback toward 0.7000
  • US PPI Fri 01:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations could shift USD tone

20:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 0.70288

Higher highs into NY, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ran a clean NY-session rally off 0.6974, clearing the 0.7025 resistance flagged in the macro read as USD faded post-FOMC. Price is now consolidating 0.7024–0.7033 just under the session high with RSI(14) cooling off the spike.

Support: 0.7024, 0.70024

Resistance: 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70327 extends the uptrend leg
  • Loss of 0.70240 range low exposes the 0.70024 breakout base
  • US ECI/UoM data Fri 12:30-14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 0.70288

Higher highs, tight consolidation at session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD sharply off the mid-0.6900s through the 0.7025 cap to 0.70327 as the dollar faded post-FOMC, overriding the soft Aussie CPI backdrop. Price now grinds in a tight 0.7027-0.7032 band just under the session high, RSI(14) cooling around 61.

Support: 0.70115, 0.70024, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70327 session high extends the up-leg
  • Loss of 0.70115 pullback low signals a deeper retrace toward 0.70000 round number
  • AUD PPI (YoY) Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the intraday read

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 0.70288

Higher highs into consolidation below 0.7033.

AUDUSD broke through 0.7000 during the NY session and ran to 0.70327 as the USD faded after the Fed's hawkish hold, RSI cooling from overbought. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.70216–0.70327 band, holding above the 0.7000 psych line.

Support: 0.70216, 0.7000, 0.69815

Resistance: 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.70216 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Break above 0.70327 session high extends the run
  • US ECI + UoM inflation expectations (Fri) could shift the USD side of this read

20:16 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 0.70316

Higher highs, tight coil at session top.

AUDUSD broke the 0.70000 psych level during NY hours and ran to a 0.70326 session high, defying the soft-CPI/hawkish-Fed backdrop that has capped rallies. Price is now coiling tightly in a 0.70280-0.70326 band with RSI cooling from the impulse; breakout base at 0.69815 held on the pullback.

Support: 0.70115, 0.7000, 0.69815

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.70115 swing low reopens the 0.70000 psych level
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

20:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 63 · price 0.70316

Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove AUD/USD up from the mid-0.6900s and cleared the 0.7025 cap flagged as the lower-high sequence, helped by USD softness after the Q2 GDP and core PCE misses. Price now grinds sideways just under the 0.70327 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s and flattening.

Support: 0.7024, 0.70115, 0.70038

Resistance: 0.70327

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70327 opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.70240 signals an intraday pullback
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 64 · price 0.7031

HH/HL chain, coiling below session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD off 0.6946 and broke the 0.7000 psych level after soft US GDP and core PCE undercut the dollar. Price now coils 0.7024-0.7033 into late NY, RSI(14) mid-60s and holding above rising EMAs.

Support: 0.7024, 0.7004, 0.6984

Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7033 extends the sequence of higher highs
  • Loss of 0.7024 range floor opens a retest of the 0.7004 breakout
  • AUD PPI 01:30 GMT could shift this read into the next bars

20:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening at highs · RSI 61 · price 0.7031

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

NY session rallied AUDUSD off 0.6974, breaking the 0.7025 cap that had held the sequence of lower highs, as soft US GDP and core PCE weighed on the dollar. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7027-0.7032 band just under the session high, RSI easing from the impulse.

Support: 0.7025, 0.70024, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the breakout higher
  • Failure to hold 0.7025 puts the breakout retest back in play
  • AUD PPI (YoY) Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the read

19:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 65 · price 0.70314

Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a clean breakout above 0.7000, extending to a session high at 0.70326 as USD softened after the GDP and core PCE misses. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.70216–0.70326 band with RSI(14) easing from overbought, holding the round-number 0.7000 well above.

Support: 0.70216, 0.7000, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70326

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the uptrend leg
  • Loss of 0.70216 range low opens a retest of the 0.70000 round number
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the intraday read

19:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening at highs · RSI 64 · price 0.70314

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating at session high.

NY session extended the rally off the 0.6945 London lows, with a clean breakout through 0.6982 after the soft US GDP/core PCE prints faded the dollar. Price now grinding sideways at the session high 0.7028-0.7032, RSI(14) cooling into the low-60s as momentum flattens.

Support: 0.70216, 0.70024, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 opens continuation toward 0.7050
  • Failure to hold 0.70216 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations Fri 12:30-14:00 UTC could shift this read

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 64 · price 0.70306

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

AUD/USD ripped through 0.7000 during the NY session as the dollar came off on soft US Q2 GDP and core PCE, tagging a 0.70326 session high. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7020–0.7032 band, RSI(14) cooling into the low 60s after the run.

Support: 0.7020, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the sequence of higher highs
  • Loss of 0.7000 round number would retest the 0.6980 breakout
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could reprice the RBA pause read

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 0.70306

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD broke sharply higher through NY hours, running from mid-0.6900s to a 0.70326 session high as the dollar sold off on the Q2 GDP miss and soft core PCE. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.70216–0.70326 band, RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak.

Support: 0.70216, 0.70115, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70326 session high extends the up-leg
  • Loss of 0.70216 swing low opens 0.70115 and the 0.7000 round number
  • US ECI (Fri 12:30 UTC) could reset the dollar move

19:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 63 · price 0.70278

Higher highs, consolidating under session high.

AUDUSD broke the 0.69815 NY range top around the US GDP/PCE misses and ran to 0.70326, USD softening across the board. Price is now consolidating just under the session high in a tight 0.70240–0.70326 band, RSI(14) cooling from the impulse.

Support: 0.70115, 0.7000, 0.69815

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the leg and ends the lower-highs sequence
  • Loss of 0.70115 breakout base negates the intraday breakout
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

19:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 0.70278

Higher highs into session-high consolidation.

NY session drove a clean break above the 0.7025 cap, extending to a session high at 0.70326 before stalling. Price now consolidates in a tight 0.70216-0.70326 band, RSI cooling from overbought as the impulse fades. The breakout above prior lower highs held on retest around 0.70120.

Support: 0.70216, 0.7012, 0.70024

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7040

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70120 breakout level would negate the intraday uptrend
  • M15 close above 0.70326 session high reopens the path toward 0.7040
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations Fri could shift the USD side

19:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.70287

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a clean break above the 0.7025 cap, tagging a session high at 0.70326 on the soft US GDP/core PCE-led USD fade. Price now coils in a tight 0.70216–0.70326 range, RSI(14) cooling into the low 60s with the prior resistance flipping to a floor.

Support: 0.70216, 0.70115, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7040

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.70216 breaks the consolidation and reopens 0.70115
  • Rejection at 0.70326 session high keeps price range-bound
  • Reclaim of 0.7025 as support sustains the breakout structure

19:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 63 · price 0.70287

HH/HL chain into consolidation below session high.

NY session drove a clean break above the 0.6965-0.7025 resistance zone as the USD faded on soft US GDP/core PCE, tagging 0.70326 before stalling. Price now consolidating in the 0.7022-0.7032 band, RSI(14) cooling from the rally into the low-60s.

Support: 0.70216, 0.6998, 0.6965

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.70216 breaks the rising structure and reopens 0.6980 breakout
  • Reclaim and hold above 0.70326 opens the path toward 0.7050
  • UoM inflation expectations Friday 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-side read

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 65 · price 0.70279

Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.

NY session breakout drove AUDUSD from the mid-0.6900s through the 0.6965-0.7025 resistance zone to a session high of 0.7033, riding the post-FOMC USD fade after soft US GDP and core PCE. Price is now consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; the 0.7025 breakout level is holding on the pullback.

Support: 0.7024, 0.7015, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70240 pivot would signal the breakout is stalling
  • A close below 0.70150 breakout level reopens the range
  • US UoM inflation expectations Friday 14:00 UTC could shift this read

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 0.70279

Higher highs, higher lows post-breakout.

AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6984 cap into the NY session, leaning on broad USD softness after soft US GDP and core PCE, tagging a session high at 0.70326. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.70216–0.70326 band just under that high with RSI elevated but flattening.

Support: 0.70216, 0.70115, 0.70044

Resistance: 0.70326

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the uptrend
  • Loss of 0.70115 pullback low breaks the rising sequence
  • UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-side driver

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 64 · price 0.70285

Higher highs / higher lows, stalling at session high.

NY session rally lifted AUDUSD off 0.6974 and cleared the 0.7025 resistance flagged as the lower-highs cap, driven by the soft US GDP and core PCE prints knocking the dollar. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.70326 session high with RSI(14) cooling from the push.

Support: 0.70115, 0.70024, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7040

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 opens the path toward the 0.70400 round number
  • Failure to hold 0.70115 swing low signals a pullback into the 0.70024 pullback low
  • AUD PPI (Fri 01:30 GMT) and US ECI/UoM data could shift this read

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 0.70285

Chain of higher highs and higher lows.

AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6965 cap and 0.7000 psych during NY hours as the dollar came off after the soft US PCE and Q2 GDP miss, tagging a session high at 0.70326. RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme; higher-low structure intact with the pullback low at 0.70120 holding.

Support: 0.7012, 0.7000, 0.6982

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.70326 session high opens continuation
  • M15 close back below 0.70000 psych breaks the higher-low sequence
  • US ECI/UoM data Fri could shift the USD-side read

18:16 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 67 · price 0.70307

Higher highs, breaking prior lower-highs.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.6965-0.7025 resistance zone, breaking the sequence of lower highs as the dollar stayed soft after benign core PCE and a weak Q2 GDP print. Price is holding just under the session high at 0.70326 with RSI(14) hot but not extreme.

Support: 0.7024, 0.7000, 0.6965

Resistance: 0.70326

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70240 breakout would signal a failed break
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT and US ECI/UoM later could shift this read

18:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 66 · price 0.70307

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through 0.70 during NY hours after benign US PCE and a Q2 GDP miss softened the dollar, tagging a session high at 0.70326. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.70216–0.70326 band with RSI(14) hot but not extreme; the sequence of higher lows off 0.70024 remains intact.

Support: 0.7012, 0.70024, 0.69835

Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70326 extends the breakout; failure to hold 0.70120 breaks the higher-low chain
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT and US ECI/UoM later could reset this read

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 67 · price 0.70302

Chain of higher highs/higher lows, fresh breakout.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the mid-0.6900s and through the 0.7025 cap after soft US GDP and core PCE knocked the dollar; price printed a fresh session high at 0.70307 with RSI(14) around 67. The move holds a clean higher-high/higher-low chain, with 0.70120 the last defended pullback low.

Support: 0.7012, 0.70024, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70307

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70120 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Failure to hold the 0.7025 breakout zone reopens the 0.70024 pullback low
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT and US ECI/Michigan later could shift the read

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 63 · price 0.70302

HH/HL chain, consolidating near session high.

AUDUSD ran through 0.7000 during NY hours as the dollar softened on the benign core PCE and a Q2 GDP miss, tagging a session high at 0.70307. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7020-0.7030 band with RSI cooling off, holding well above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.70115, 0.70024, 0.69808

Resistance: 0.70307

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.70115 swing low would break the HL chain
  • M15 close above 0.70307 extends the move higher
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations Fri could re-arm USD and cap this rebound

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 0.70279

Higher highs, consolidating at session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD up through the 0.7025 resistance zone that had capped the recent lower-high sequence, extending to a 0.70286 session high with RSI(14) hot but short of extreme. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7022-0.7028 band just under that high, holding well above the 0.7011 swing low.

Support: 0.70115, 0.70024, 0.6984

Resistance: 0.70286, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70115 swing low would negate the breakout and reopen 0.70024
  • M15 close above 0.70286 session high extends the run
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.70279

Chain of higher highs, consolidating at session top.

NY session pushed AUDUSD through the 0.6965 cap and the 0.7000 psych level, extending to a session high at 0.70286 on broad USD softness after the FOMC hold and soft US GDP/PCE. Price is now stalling in a tight 0.7020-0.7028 range with RSI(14) cooling from the highs; the up-leg's rising support off 0.70024 remains intact.

Support: 0.7020, 0.7000, 0.6965

Resistance: 0.70286

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70286 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.70200 swing low breaks the rising support and opens 0.7000 psych
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the near-term read

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 64 · price 0.7023

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a clean breakout through the 0.7000 round number and the 0.7025 cap, with AUD lifted by post-FOMC USD softness (soft PCE/GDP). Price now consolidating 0.7020-0.7028 just under the session high, RSI(14) easing from its highs as the leg stalls.

Support: 0.7012, 0.7000, 0.6984

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70280 session high extends the breakout
  • Failure to hold 0.70000 round number reopens 0.69840 prior high
  • AUD PPI (Fri 01:30 GMT) could shift this read

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.7023

Higher highs / higher lows, stalling at session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level as USD softened post-FOMC (soft PCE/GDP), tagging a session high at 0.7028. Price is now consolidating in the 0.7020s just under that cap, RSI(14) cooling off from overbought as the leg loses steam.

Support: 0.70024, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7028 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.70024 swing low would break the intraday rising structure
  • AUD PPI 01:30 GMT could shift the read for the next session

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 65 · price 0.70237

Higher highs, holding above breakout.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7025 resistance to a session high at 0.7028 after soft US PCE/GDP knocked the dollar. Price is now consolidating 0.7012-0.7028 with RSI(14) elevated but off its peak.

Support: 0.7012, 0.7004, 0.6984

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.7012 range low would break the higher-high chain
  • Sustained break above 0.7028 session high opens continuation
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 0.70237

Higher highs post-breakout, consolidating near session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 round number and up to a 0.70280 session high, brushing off the soft AUD CPI backdrop as post-FOMC USD softness dominated. Price is now consolidating in the top of the range with RSI(14) easing off the highs; 0.70024 swing low held on the last pullback.

Support: 0.7000, 0.70024, 0.6984

Resistance: 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70280 session high extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.70000 round number would signal the breakout is fading
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 69 · price 0.70275

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7025.

NY session drove AUD/USD through the 0.7025 resistance after soft US GDP/PCE knocked the dollar, breaking the recent sequence of lower highs. Price now consolidating at the session high near 0.7028 with RSI elevated but not extreme.

Support: 0.70115, 0.70024, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7028 extends the breakout toward 0.7050
  • Failure to hold 0.7002 opens a pullback into the breakout base
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations Friday could shift this read

17:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 65 · price 0.70275

Higher highs, higher lows since London.

NY session drove a clean breakout through the 0.7000 psych level and the prior 0.7025 cap, extending to a 0.70280 session high with price above both EMAs. RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not stretched; buyers stepped in twice at 0.70120 on the pullbacks.

Support: 0.7012, 0.70024, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.70120 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Rejection at 0.70280 session high keeps price capped
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 70 · price 0.70246

Higher highs, above 0.7000 psych.

NY session broke above the 0.7000 psych level and ran to a session high at 0.70280 as a soft US GDP print and confused Fed presser knocked the dollar. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but consistent with the trend; price holding the highs into the close.

Support: 0.70115, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7037

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70115 swing low would stall the breakout
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych level reopens the 0.6980 prior range
  • AUD PPI (Fri 01:30 GMT) and US ECI/Michigan data could shift this read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 71 · price 0.70246

Chain of higher highs and higher lows off 0.6973.

NY session drove a clean break above 0.7000 and through the 0.6965-0.7025 resistance zone as the USD softened after the Q2 GDP miss. Price is grinding session highs near 0.7028 with RSI(14) hot around 71; the 0.7025 area is the level that ends the recent sequence of lower highs.

Support: 0.7012, 0.7002, 0.69835

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70120 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Failure to hold 0.70020 breakout retest cools the move
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the read

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 68 · price 0.70265

Chain of higher highs and higher lows off London lows.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level into the 0.7025 macro cap, a firm rally off London lows as the USD stayed on the back foot after soft Q2 GDP; the soft AUD CPI failed to weigh. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extreme with price pinned at the 0.70280 session high.

Support: 0.7000, 0.70024, 0.69835

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Sustained hold above 0.7025 macro cap would end the sequence of lower highs
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych flips the intraday structure back toward the swing low
  • Fri AUD PPI and US ECI/Michigan data could shift this read

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 72 · price 0.70265

Higher highs, HH/HL chain intact.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.70000 round level and cleared the 0.7025 cap flagged as the end of the lower-highs sequence, printing a session high at 0.70280. RSI(14) near 72 shows the leg is hot but not yet stretched; buyers held every dip on the way up.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6973

Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70000 round level would stall the breakout read
  • Failure to hold above 0.70237 prior high risks a pullback into the swing low at 0.69730
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations Fri could inject fresh USD volatility

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 0.70252

Chain of higher highs and higher lows, breakout intact.

NY session drove a clean break through 0.7000 and the prior 0.7025 cap, printing a session high at 0.70276 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Move follows broad USD softening after the mixed-to-soft US data; price holding above the 0.69808 breakout with a chain of higher lows intact.

Support: 0.7012, 0.7000, 0.69808

Resistance: 0.70276, 0.7050

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70000 round number would signal breakout failure back into the range
  • Rejection at the 0.70276 session high caps the move; a close above opens the 0.70500 round number
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 0.70252

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7025.

NY session impulse cleared the 0.6965-0.7025 resistance zone in a sharp leg from the mid-0.698s, with AUD/USD rebounding as the dollar softened after the weak US Q2 GDP miss. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the trend; price is pressing session highs at 0.70276 after a shallow pullback held above 0.7000.

Support: 0.70115, 0.7000, 0.6982

Resistance: 0.70276

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.7000 would negate the breakout and reopen 0.6982
  • Acceptance above 0.70276 extends the higher-high sequence
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the intraday read

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session highs · RSI 68 · price 0.70225

Chain of higher highs / higher lows.

NY session drove a clean breakout through the 0.7000 psych level, tagging a session high at 0.70237 as USD gave back some of its post-FOMC bid. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not stretched; the 0.7025 resistance zone is the cap on the recent lower-highs sequence.

Support: 0.70024, 0.7000, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7025 ends the run of lower highs flagged in context
  • Loss of 0.70000 psych opens a retest of the 0.70024 pullback low
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the read

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 0.70225

Higher highs into session high, testing cap.

NY session drove a clean breakout above 0.7000 as the dollar softened post-FOMC, AUDUSD grinding to a 0.70237 session high with RSI(14) hot near 72. Price is now pressing the 0.7025 cap the wider read flags as the level that ends the sequence of lower highs.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69743

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70250 confirms the break of the lower-highs sequence
  • Loss of 0.70000 round number reopens the 0.69800 prior high
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations Fri could shift the USD leg

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 66 · price 0.70199

Higher highs, broke 0.7000 psych.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70237 as soft US Q2 GDP knocked the dollar. Pullback held 0.70024 and price is retesting the highs into the 0.7025 lower-high cap; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69808, 0.70024

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7025 would end the sequence of lower highs
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 negates the breakout
  • US UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 66 · price 0.70199

Higher highs and higher lows since London.

NY session broke AUD/USD above 0.6980 and drove to a session high of 0.70237, right into the 0.7025 cap flagged as the level to end the run of lower highs; USD softened on the mixed US GDP/PCE mix. Price is consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) around 66, holding the prior 0.70020 breakout.

Support: 0.7002, 0.69835

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7025 ends the lower-highs sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.70020 opens a retrace toward the 0.69835 swing high
  • UoM inflation expectations later today could shift the USD read

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 64 · price 0.70112

Broke above 0.7000, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD through 0.7000 to a session high at 0.70237 — the short-covering leg toward the 0.7025 area flagged in the macro read. Price is now consolidating near 0.7010, holding above the round number as momentum cools.

Support: 0.70024, 0.7000, 0.69745

Resistance: 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.7000 keeps the intraday breakout structure intact
  • Rejection or break at 0.70237 session high sets the next direction
  • UoM inflation expectations later today could shift the USD leg

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.70112

Higher highs since NY open, now consolidating below session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 round number, printing a session high at 0.70237 as the soft US Q2 GDP print pressured the dollar. Price is now consolidating around 0.7011 with RSI cooling from the rally; the 0.7000 breakout level is the pivot to hold.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70000 negates the breakout and reopens 0.69800
  • Break above 0.70237 session high opens the 0.7025 prior high
  • UoM inflation expectations later today could shift the USD leg

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.70083

Higher highs, broke above 0.7000 psych.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 round number to a session high at 0.70237 as USD stayed soft after the US GDP miss. Price is now consolidating just above 0.7000 with RSI cooling from the impulse; the breakout base at 0.69808 sits below.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69808, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.70152

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70000 opens a pullback toward the 0.69808 breakout base
  • M15 close above 0.70237 session high extends the leg
  • Fri US ECI / UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD leg

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 63 · price 0.70083

Higher highs into 0.7024, shallow pullback.

NY session broke above the 0.6980 shelf and ran to a session high of 0.70237 as USD stayed soft post-FOMC and after the US GDP miss. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) cooling from the impulse but holding above midline.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69815, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.70152

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70000 psych opens a retest of the 0.69815 breakout lvl
  • Sustained break of 0.70237 session high extends the uptrend
  • AU PPI (Fri 01:30 UTC) and US ECI/UoM later could shift this read

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.70036

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7000 psych into session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD off 0.69745 through the 0.7000 psych to a session high of 0.70237, breaking the day's range as a soft-USD tone (GDP miss, hawkish-but-muddled Fed hold) undercut the dollar. Price has since eased back to retest 0.7000, RSI(14) cooling from the rally near 62.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6984, 0.69745

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.70152

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70000 opens a retest of 0.69840
  • Hold above 0.70000 keeps the breakout structure intact toward 0.70237
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, breakout extending · RSI 64 · price 0.70036

Higher highs, fresh session high then pullback.

NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.70000 psych level, tagging 0.70237 before easing back to 0.70036 as USD softens post-FOMC and on the GDP miss. Momentum cooling on the pullback but the breakout base at 0.69800 remains untested.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.70000 psych keeps the breakout intact
  • Close back below 0.69800 breakout base negates the move
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC and US ECI/UoM data could shift this read

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 67 · price 0.70123

Higher highs after 0.7000 break.

NY session drove a clean break of the 0.7000 psych level, tagging a 0.70237 session high before easing back to 0.7012 as USD dip-buying capped the extension. RSI(14) cooling from overbought but structure of higher highs/lows intact above 0.7000.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6982, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70000 psych negates the breakout read
  • Close above 0.70237 session high opens 0.7025 resistance
  • US ECI and UoM inflation expectations Fri 12:30/14:00 UTC could reset this read

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 74 · price 0.70123

Breakout above 0.7000, HH-HL chain into NY.

NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.7000 psych level, tagging a session high at 0.70237 before easing to 0.7012 — consistent with the short-covering leg flagged once AUD reclaimed 0.6965. RSI(14) near 74 shows momentum extended after the vertical push.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69808, 0.69745

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70000 negates the breakout and puts 0.69808 breakout base back in focus
  • A push through 0.70237 session high opens the 0.7025 digest resistance
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 0.70141

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7000.

NY session drove a clean breakout through the 0.7000 psych level, printing a session high at 0.70237 as USD softened on Fed-credibility doubts. RSI(14) near 71 shows momentum hot but not yet stretched; the 0.70044 breakout level is the first area to watch on any pullback.

Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69835

Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70000 psych negates the breakout read
  • Break and hold above 0.70250 resistance opens continuation
  • Loss of 0.69835 prior high would confirm failed break

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 72 · price 0.70141

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7000 psych.

NY session AUD broke through the 0.7000 psych level in a clean impulse to 0.70237, RSI(14) running hot near 72 as USD softens on Fed-credibility doubts post-FOMC. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.70044 breakout, holding the day's highs.

Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70237

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.70000 negates the breakout read
  • 0.70237 session high — area to watch for rejection or extension
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 82 · price 0.70193

Chain of higher highs, fresh session highs.

NY session drove a clean break above the 0.7000 round number, tagging a session high at 0.70222 as short-covering carried AUD toward the 0.7025 resistance flagged in the macro read. RSI(14) is hot above 80, so the leg is stretched even as buyers keep pressing higher highs.

Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69808

Resistance: 0.70222, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7025 extends the run toward higher projections
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 round number would stall the breakout
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the near-term read

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 79 · price 0.70193

Higher highs, fresh breakout above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level and up to 0.70222, extending a clean run of higher highs as post-FOMC dollar credibility doubts weighed on USD. RSI(14) near 79 shows the move is hot but momentum still one-directional; price is holding just below the session high.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69731

Resistance: 0.70222, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70000 psych would negate the breakout and open a return toward 0.69800
  • Close above 0.70222 session high exposes the 0.7025 prior high
  • Friday US ECI / inflation expectations could shift the USD leg

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stretched · RSI 79 · price 0.70172

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70192, clearing the prior 0.6965 cap as USD faded post-FOMC on lower real yields. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched, but structure remains a clean higher-high sequence.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69814, 0.6965

Resistance: 0.70192, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • 0.70250 resistance — area to watch for rejection or break
  • RSI near 79 signals short-term overbought; a stall below 0.70192 flags exhaustion
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych would put price back into the prior range

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 78 · price 0.70172

Breakout above 0.7000, higher highs.

AUDUSD broke the 0.7000 psych level during NY hours, extending to a session high at 0.70192 with RSI(14) near 78 — short-term hot. The leg ran off the 0.6946 low as USD softened post-FOMC into month-end.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69743, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.70192, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.7000 psych would negate the breakout
  • 0.7025 prior high — area to watch for rejection or break
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD leg

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 75 · price 0.70034

Higher highs, breakout above 0.70.

NY session extended the intraday grind higher, clearing the 0.70 round number and tagging a session high at 0.70066 with USD softer post-FOMC. RSI(14) is hot near 74 but consistent with the trend; the 0.70 breakout is fresh and unretested.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.69743

Resistance: 0.70066, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6980 negates the breakout read
  • 0.7025 resistance — area to watch for rejection or break
  • Fri US ECI / UoM inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 74 · price 0.70034

Chain of higher highs and higher lows, fresh break of 0.7000.

NY session pushed AUDUSD through the 0.7000 round number to a session high at 0.70066, extending a steady HH/HL climb off the 0.6946 London-NY low as USD softened post-FOMC. RSI(14) near 74 shows momentum hot but not yet extreme; the 0.7000 level is the immediate pivot the break needs to hold.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6984, 0.69745

Resistance: 0.70066, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.70000 on a close puts the swing low at 0.69745 back in focus
  • Acceptance above 0.70066 opens the path to the 0.7025 supply zone
  • US ECI / UoM inflation expectations Fri 12:30-14:00 UTC could shift this read

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 62 · price 0.69817

Higher highs and higher lows since London.

AUDUSD is grinding higher into the session high at 0.69840, retesting the 0.69882 spike high from the earlier Asian-session pop. Rising lows have held through the NY session and RSI(14) near 62 leaves room before it runs hot; USD dip-buying on the hawkish Fed hold is capping rebounds so far.

Support: 0.69745, 0.6966, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69882 extends the uptrend
  • Loss of 0.69745 breaks the rising-low chain
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 0.69817

Higher highs and higher lows since London.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours to retest the 0.69841 session high, holding a chain of higher lows off 0.69588. RSI(14) near 63 leaves room before overbought; the 0.69882 Asian high just above is the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 0.69745, 0.6970, 0.69588

Resistance: 0.69841, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69882 opens continuation toward 0.6965+ prior structure
  • Loss of 0.69745 swing low breaks the rising sequence
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, intraday grind higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69778

Higher highs, higher lows off London lows.

NY session extending the intraday climb; AUDUSD reclaimed the 0.6965 pivot and is pressing the session high near 0.6984 despite a firm USD. Higher-low chain intact off the 0.6946 low, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before it runs hot.

Support: 0.69745, 0.6965, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69745 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Close above 0.6984 opens the path to the 0.69882 prior high
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift this read

13:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 59 · price 0.69778

Higher lows grinding into session high.

AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6922 dip and ground higher through the NY session, tagging 0.69840 repeatedly without a clean break. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) near 59 leaves room before overbought.

Support: 0.69745, 0.6965, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69840 opens the 0.69882 spike high
  • Close below 0.69745 breaks the rising support and prints a lower low
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

13:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.69754

Higher highs, higher lows off mid-0.6940s.

AUDUSD ground higher through the session from the mid-0.6940s to a 0.6984 session high, RSI(14) cooling from the push as price pulled back to 0.6975. The 0.6984 top capped the last leg; the 0.6965 round number and 0.6946 swing low mark the intraday demand shelf below.

Support: 0.6974, 0.6965, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.7025

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6984 opens the path to 0.7025
  • Failure to hold 0.6965 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday channel
  • AU PPI (Fri 01:30 UTC) could shift this read

13:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 0.69754

Higher highs into session high, pulling back.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the mid-0.6900s up to a session high at 0.69841, where rejection capped the push and price is easing to 0.6975. USD dip-buying on US-Iran safe-haven flows and the hawkish Fed hold keeps rebounds in check; RSI(14) around 59, no extreme.

Support: 0.69745, 0.6960, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69841, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69841 opens the path to 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.69600 signals a lower-low after the run-up

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 64 · price 0.69802

Higher highs, higher lows into session top.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY hours off the Asian low near 0.6922, printing a fresh session high at 0.6984 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price is stalling just under the 0.69840 session high and the 0.69882 prior high; the rising-support chain off 0.69579 remains intact.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6970, 0.69579

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69750 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Break above 0.69882 prior high extends the intraday advance
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC and BoJ decision could shift the read

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 0.69802

Higher highs and higher lows off London low.

AUDUSD ground steadily higher through the London-NY transition, printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.69460 session low into a session high at 0.69841. RSI(14) near 65 — firm but not extreme; USD dip-buying on US-Iran risk is the cap on any extension.

Support: 0.69742, 0.6970, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69841, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69841 session high opens the path toward 0.69882 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69742 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US Core PCE/GDP reaction could shift the USD leg materially

12:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69813

Higher highs and higher lows since London.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session in a steady HH/HL chain, now testing the 0.6984 recent high with RSI(14) around 63 — firm but not stretched. Rebound from the 0.6920s came despite the soft AU CPI narrative, with USD dip-buying failing to cap price so far.

Support: 0.69742

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69882 opens continuation higher
  • M15 close below 0.69742 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

12:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 0.69813

Higher highs and higher lows through NY.

AUDUSD ground steadily higher through the London-NY session, printing a clean HH/HL chain from the 0.6946 swing low and now testing the session high at 0.6984. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; short-covering continues after the earlier defence of the mid-0.6900s.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6965, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69841, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6984 session high opens 0.6988 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6975 recent low breaks the rising sequence
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the read

12:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 66 · price 0.69825

Higher highs and higher lows since mid-window low.

AUDUSD grinding a steady chain of higher lows into the session high at 0.69840, RSI(14) firm but not extreme near 66. The earlier Asian pop faded but demand rebuilt through the London-NY transition; price now presses fresh highs ahead of the US GDP/core PCE cluster.

Support: 0.69748, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.6984, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP + core PCE in ~15min (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69882 spike high extends the breakout
  • Loss of 0.69748 recent hl breaks the higher-low chain

12:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 68 · price 0.69825

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

NY session grinding higher in a steady channel, price pressing the session high at 0.69838 with RSI(14) hot near 68. USD firmness has capped rebounds all week, but AUDUSD is building HH/HL structure off the 0.69748 swing low into the US GDP/core PCE cluster due in ~35min.

Support: 0.69748, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP/core PCE data cluster in ~35min could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69882 prior high extends the channel
  • Failure to hold 0.69748 swing low breaks the HH/HL sequence

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 66 · price 0.69819

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

NY session grinding higher, AUDUSD pressing the 0.69838 session high with price holding above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) around 66. Move retraces the soft-CPI slide from earlier in the window; rebounds have been capped near 0.6988 while dip demand steps in on the rising support line.

Support: 0.69742, 0.6966, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP / core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69882 opens the path toward 0.7025
  • Failure to hold 0.69742 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session highs · RSI 67 · price 0.69819

Higher highs / higher lows since London.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours, printing a clean HH/HL chain from 0.6946 up to test the session high at 0.69838, RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme. Price stalls at the top with a doji into the US GDP + core PCE cluster due imminently.

Support: 0.69748, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP + core PCE cluster ~12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69838 opens the path to 0.69882
  • Failure to hold 0.69748 breaks the HL chain

11:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 0.69757

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

NY-hours grind extended the M15 uptrend to a session high at 0.69829 before stalling; price now coils around 0.6975 above rising EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 61 is easing off the highs, and the US GDP/Core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.

Support: 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • 12:30 GMT US GDP / Core-PCE data could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69829 session high opens the path to 0.69882
  • Loss of the 0.69700 range floor would break the higher-low sequence

11:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69757

Higher highs and higher lows off 0.6946.

NY session ground out a steady HH/HL chain from 0.6946 to a session high at 0.69829, now consolidating just below near 0.6976 with RSI(14) easing back from the low-60s. US GDP/Core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT sits directly ahead and is the near-term driver.

Support: 0.6969, 0.6959, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP/Core-PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Close back below 0.69690 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • Break above 0.69829 session high extends the uptrend toward 0.69882

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 59 · price 0.69762

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY into a session high at 0.69829, now stalling around 0.6976 as USD dip-buying caps the rebound. RSI(14) near 59 off the highs; the rising sequence of higher lows holds while 0.69700 is respected.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69700 breaks the rising higher-low chain
  • Close above 0.69829 opens the path back to the 0.69880 prior high
  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read via the USD leg

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 64 · price 0.69762

Higher highs / higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through European hours off the 0.6946 session low, tagging 0.69829 before easing to 0.6976. Steady higher-low chain intact but candles are shrinking into the session high, RSI cooling from the high-60s. USD churn after the divided Fed hold has capped rebounds.

Support: 0.69691, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69829 opens the path toward 0.69882
  • Failure to hold 0.69691 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69761

Higher highs into session high 0.6984.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 0.6984 before easing to 0.6976; RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched. Buyers stepped in at each higher low from 0.6946, with the up-leg intact while 0.6971 holds.

Support: 0.6971, 0.69462

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP + Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~75 min) could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 0.6971 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Close above 0.69838 opens the path back to 0.6988

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 0.69761

Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.6946 base.

NY session ground higher out of the 0.6954-0.6960 consolidation, tagging a session high at 0.6983 before easing to 0.6976 with RSI(14) cooling from the high 60s. Higher lows have held since the 0.6946 base; the breakout zone around 0.6966 is the first support on any pullback.

Support: 0.6966, 0.6954, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Q2 GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~75m) could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 0.6966 breakout zone flags a failed continuation
  • M15 close above 0.6983 opens the path to 0.6988

11:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 0.69771

Higher highs/higher lows since NY.

AUDUSD extended the NY rally through the London session, tagging a session high at 0.6983 before easing to 0.6977, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s but still firm. A chain of higher lows off 0.6946 keeps the rising support intact; the move follows USD dip-buying failing to cap the bounce off mid-0.6900s.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69588, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6960 breaks the rising support
  • US GDP / Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~90m out) could materially shift this read
  • Acceptance above 0.6983 session high opens 0.6988 spike high

11:02 UTC

Uptrend, higher lows intact · RSI 62 · price 0.69771

Rising sequence of HH/HL off 0.6946.

London session grinding higher in a clean HH/HL chain off the 0.6946 low, pausing just under the 0.6983 session high with RSI(14) around 62 — hot but not stretched. Price sits above EMA20/50 as the intraday leg from 0.6946 stays intact.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Q2 GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~90m) is the dominant risk and can override this read
  • Reclaim of 0.69838 session high opens 0.69882 day high
  • Loss of the rising trend / 0.69460 swing low breaks the higher-low structure

10:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 70 · price 0.69791

Higher highs and higher lows since London low.

London-session pop to 0.69838 faded early, but price ground back up in a rising sequence to retest the session high, RSI(14) near 70. Current bar sits at 0.69791 just under the 0.69838 top with buyers stepping in on each dip along the rising support line.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6946, 0.6923

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially reshape this read
  • M15 close below 0.69460 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
  • Sustained break above 0.69838 opens the path toward 0.7000

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.69791

Higher highs, higher lows.

London session grinding higher through a chain of higher lows, price now testing the session high at 0.69838 with RSI(14) near 70. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 0.6946 range low; the 0.6988 prior high is the next area to watch above.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6954, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~105 min) could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 0.6970 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • Close above 0.69882 opens the path toward 0.7000

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 0.69755

Higher highs and higher lows.

AUDUSD grinding higher through the London session, printing higher lows off 0.69660 and pressing the session high at 0.69829, RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched. Momentum tracks the USD-side theme with US Q2 GDP and Core PCE due ~2h out — the swing risk into the next bars.

Support: 0.6966, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69829 opens the path to the 0.69882 prior high
  • Loss of the 0.69660 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 67 · price 0.69755

Higher highs and higher lows since London low.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, printing a stair of higher lows off 0.6946 and pushing to a session high at 0.69829 before easing to 0.69755. RSI(14) near 67 shows momentum extended but not stretched; the move breaks the earlier 0.695–0.696 consolidation.

Support: 0.69588, 0.6946, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.69829, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69588 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Reclaim above 0.69829 session high reopens 0.69882
  • US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.69798

Higher highs and higher lows since London.

AUDUSD ground higher through London off the 0.6946 swing low, taking out the 0.6960 pivot and pressing back toward the 0.69882 session high; RSI(14) near 71, hot but consistent with the trend. Recovery held despite the rates-differential drag, with the pair now testing the upper end of the day's range.

Support: 0.6960, 0.6946, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.69882, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69882 opens the path to 0.70000
  • Failure to hold 0.69600 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 0.69798

Chain of higher highs and higher lows through London.

AUDUSD ground higher through London, clearing the 0.6950 pivot and stacking higher lows to print 0.69798 despite the bearish AUD macro tone. RSI(14) near 71 shows momentum hot but not extreme as price approaches the earlier session high at 0.69838. Move sits below the 0.69882 spike high struck earlier in the window.

Support: 0.69588, 0.6950, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69838 session high opens the path to the 0.69882 spike high
  • Loss of the 0.69588 higher low breaks the intraday uptrend structure
  • US Q2 GDP and Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~2h out) could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 0.69728

Higher highs, higher lows since US-session rally.

London session extending an uptrend, printing a fresh session high at 0.69755 with price now 0.69728 above the 0.6965 area flagged as near-term resistance. RSI(14) hot near 67 but not extreme; buyers held the 0.6946–0.6950 pivot on the last pullback.

Support: 0.6960, 0.6950, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.69755, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • US GDP / core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 0.6950 pivot breaks the higher-low chain
  • Close above 0.69755 opens the 0.6988 spike high

10:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 0.69728

Higher highs, higher lows intraday.

London session extended the recovery off 0.6946, reclaiming the 0.6965 pivot and pressing a fresh session high at 0.69755. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; buyers stepping in on each dip into the rising support.

Support: 0.6966, 0.6950, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69755, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Q2 GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~175min) could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 0.69660 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Break above 0.69755 opens the path back toward 0.69882

09:47 UTC

Short-term uptrend, recovering into range top · RSI 64 · price 0.69703

Higher lows off 0.6946, grinding back toward session high.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69882 mid-window then faded, but a chain of higher lows off 0.6946 has price back at 0.69703 pressing prior-high resistance near 0.69720. RSI(14) at ~64, firm but not stretched; a soft Building Permits reaction earlier shows rates narrative still dominating.

Support: 0.6959, 0.6950, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Q2 GDP / core-PCE cluster ~12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69838 opens the path back to the 0.69882 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69590 recent pivot breaks the rising-lows sequence

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69703

Higher lows, testing session high.

AUD ground back up through the London-NY session, printing higher lows off 0.69458 and pressing toward the 0.69838 session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched. The earlier Building Permits beat failed to move price — rates-differential tone dominates — but dip demand has held the ascending structure intact.

Support: 0.69543, 0.69458, 0.6922

Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Q2 GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~within the hour) could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 0.69838 opens the path back to the 0.69882 range high
  • Loss of 0.69543 breaks the higher-low sequence

09:32 UTC

Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 64 · price 0.69677

HL sequence off 0.6946, probing session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY window, printing higher lows off 0.6946 and now testing the 0.69710 recent high with RSI(14) near 64. The earlier spike to the 0.6984 session peak still caps; buyers stepping in around 0.6960 have kept the recovery intact.

Support: 0.6960, 0.6946, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6971, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69710 opens the path back toward the 0.6984 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6960 puts the 0.6946 swing low back in play
  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, higher lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69677

Recovery off 0.6946, HH/HL chain.

London session ground higher off the 0.6946 low, reclaiming the 0.6965 pivot with a fresh session high at 0.69709; RSI(14) around 64, room before hot. AUD firmer despite the rates-differential drag, but the sequence of lower highs from 0.69838 still caps overhead.

Support: 0.6965, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69709, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • Sustained hold above 0.6975 opens the path back to 0.69838
  • Loss of 0.6965 pivot returns focus to 0.6946 session low
  • US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Recovering, pushing range top · RSI 64 · price 0.69674

Range base held, breaking above 0.6960.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69882 session high during NY hours then bled back into a 0.6946–0.6960 range. London has pushed price back through the 0.6960 ceiling to 0.69674, RSI(14) near 64 — a breakout attempt from the range base, with 0.69720 swing high next.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 0.69460 range base reopens the 0.6950 pivot and 0.69235 spike low
  • Failure to clear 0.69720 keeps price inside the recent range
  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the key near-term driver

09:16 UTC

Recovery, near-term uptrend · RSI 63 · price 0.69674

Higher lows, pressing into session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session off the 0.6946 swing low, now breaking the 0.6963 range top into the 0.69684 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s. The 0.6965 near-term resistance flagged in the macro read is being tested; the sequence of higher lows remains intact above 0.69543.

Support: 0.69543, 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6972, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6972 opens the path toward the 0.6988 spike high
  • Failure to hold 0.6946 swing low negates the recovery sequence
  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the dominant near-term USD catalyst

09:03 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 0.69599

Consolidation with higher lows below session high.

AUDUSD consolidated 0.6950–0.6963 through Asia after the NY spike to 0.6988 faded, now grinding back toward the session high on higher lows into London. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI near 60 — no extreme. Soft Aussie CPI keeps the pair pinned, but the read is a contained intraday drift higher.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69462, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69631, 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Q2 GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) is the key driver that could shift this read
  • Close above 0.69631 opens the path back to the 0.6984 spike high
  • Failure to hold 0.6950 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure

09:03 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 0.69599

Higher lows off 0.6946, below spike high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 into the London session on USD softness, faded to 0.6946, and is now grinding back up through 0.6960 on a chain of higher lows. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 60 — recovering but capped under the 0.69631 session high.

Support: 0.69497, 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69631, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.69631 opens the path back toward the 0.6984 spike high
  • Loss of 0.69497 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
  • US Q2 GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read

08:47 UTC

Recovering after pullback, upward drift · RSI 60 · price 0.69604

Consolidation below session high.

A sharp rally lifted AUDUSD from the 0.69235 spike low to a session high at 0.69838 before fading into a 0.6946–0.6963 consolidation. Price is drifting back toward the top of that range at 0.69604 with RSI(14) around 60, holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69631, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69631 opens the path back to the 0.69838 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69460 swing low reopens the 0.69235 spike low
  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off intraday low · RSI 59 · price 0.69604

Higher lows within a shallow range below the spike high.

After the post-Fed spike to 0.69882 faded, price bottomed at the 0.69460 swing low and has since carved higher lows back toward the 0.69631 recent high. RSI(14) mid-range near 59, price holding above EMA20/50 — a controlled grind, not a fresh impulse.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.69631, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69631 opens the path back toward the 0.69882 spike high
  • Loss of the 0.69460 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support

08:32 UTC

Recovery, consolidating higher · RSI 60 · price 0.69617

Rising lows into recent high.

AUDUSD spiked off the 0.6922 low to a session high of 0.69882 as the post-Fed USD slide let AUD recover from CPI-driven weakness, then pulled back and consolidated mid-0.695s. Rising lows into 0.696 during the London session, price now edging back toward 0.69720; RSI(14) ~60, room either way.

Support: 0.69497, 0.6946, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Q2 GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
  • Loss of the 0.69497 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence
  • Close above 0.69720 opens the path back to the 0.69882 session high

08:32 UTC

Recovering off lows, minor intraday uptrend · RSI 61 · price 0.69617

Higher lows off 0.6946, capped below session high.

London session sees AUDUSD grinding back to 0.6962 after basing at the 0.69460 swing low, a chain of higher lows holding as USD demand from the hawkish Fed hold cools. Price still sits well below the 0.69838 session high; RSI(14) near 61 with room before hot.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69651 opens the path back toward the 0.69838 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69460 negates the higher-lows sequence
  • US Q2 GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read

08:16 UTC

Rally faded into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 0.69561

Ranging after NY spike, mid-range.

A sharp NY-session spike lifted AUDUSD off 0.6922 to a session high at 0.6988 before sellers capped it and price faded back. Now consolidating between 0.6946 and 0.6960 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6935, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 range top reopens 0.6984 session high
  • Loss of 0.6946 range low exposes 0.6935 swing low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Range after spike, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.6950

Consolidating below post-news high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 on the post-FOMC USD wobble then faded back into a tight 0.6945–0.6960 range through London hours. Price now sits at 0.6950, hugging its EMAs with RSI flat near 47 — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6919

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6945 range low reopens the 0.6919 swing low
  • M15 close above 0.6960 session high shifts focus back toward the 0.6988 spike high
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Range after NY rally faded · RSI 47 · price 0.6950

Consolidating below session high, mid-fib of the up-move.

NY session ripped from 0.6923 to the 0.6988 high on the post-FOMC USD wobble, then faded back to sit mid-fib around 0.6950. Price has consolidated 0.6945–0.6960 into the London session with RSI(14) neutral near 47; range top 0.6960 has capped repeated pushes.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6923

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 reopens the 0.6988 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6945 exposes the 0.6923 prior low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Range, momentum flat after spike faded · RSI 54 · price 0.69545

Consolidation inside 0.6946-0.6962.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6984 during the NY session then faded, and has since chopped between 0.6946 and 0.6962 through the Asia into London hours. Price is mid-range at 0.69545, RSI near 54 — no directional setup while the Fed dovish-hold/soft-AU-CPI backdrop keeps the pair heavy sub-0.6950 pivots.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69375

Resistance: 0.6962, 0.6972

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69620 session high opens path back toward 0.69720
  • Loss of 0.69460 session low exposes 0.69375 swing low
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Consolidating after spike higher · RSI 53 · price 0.69545

Range-bound mid 0.695 after impulsive rally faded.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 on the dovish-read FOMC hold yesterday, then faded and has since coiled between 0.6946 and 0.69618. Price sits mid-range at 0.69545, roughly the 50% retracement of the rally, RSI neutral near 53.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.69618, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 0.6946 opens the swing low at 0.69219
  • Reclaim of 0.69618 puts the 0.69882 day high back in play

07:31 UTC

Range after spike faded · RSI 47 · price 0.69525

Balancing inside 0.6946-0.6962.

A liquidity-thin spike ran AUDUSD to 0.6988 before fully reverting; price is now ranging 0.6946-0.6962 with rejection capping the range high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and ATR has compressed to ~8 pips as London trades sideways.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6962, 0.6972

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6962 reopens the spike zone toward 0.6972
  • Close below 0.6946 confirms a lower low back toward 0.69235
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could break this range

07:31 UTC

Range-bound after FOMC spike faded · RSI 51 · price 0.69525

Consolidation in mid-0.695s, post-spike pullback.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 on the dovish-read FOMC hold, then faded straight back into a 0.6946-0.6962 range where it has chopped through the NY-Asia handoff. Price sits mid-range near 0.69525 with RSI(14) flat around 51 and no directional structure in play.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69618, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.69618 range top reopens the 0.69882 spike high
  • Loss of 0.69460 range low exposes the 0.69235 2-week low

07:17 UTC

Recovering off intraday low, range-bound · RSI 57 · price 0.69597

Higher lows into range top after rally faded.

AUDUSD recovered off 0.69460 through the London session, the last bar pushing to 0.69618 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price stays boxed in the 0.69460–0.69720 band carved after the earlier spike to the 0.69882 range top; AUD remains soft after the Q2 CPI miss trimmed RBA hike odds.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69618, 0.6972, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69720 opens the path back toward the 0.69882 range top
  • Loss of 0.69460 exposes the 0.69235 range low
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could reset this range

07:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 58 · price 0.69597

Range after spike, testing top.

AUDUSD recovered from 0.6946 back to the 0.6962 session-high area into early London hours, after Wednesday's CPI-miss slide was partly offset by the dovish-read Fed hold. Price has ranged 0.6946–0.6962 for several hours; the last leg tagged 0.6962 with RSI(14) only mid-50s.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6935, 0.6923

Resistance: 0.6962, 0.6984

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6962 opens the path back toward the 0.6984 spike high
  • Loss of 0.6946 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6923
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Range after FOMC spike, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69553

Consolidating mid-range post-rally.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 as the USD was sold after the Fed's 9-3 hawkish hold, then faded to sit near the 50% retrace of that rally around 0.6955. Price has since coiled in a 0.6946–0.6960 range through the London morning with RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.69719

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 range top reopens the 0.6972 swing high
  • Loss of 0.6946 session low confirms a lower-low and cracks the range
  • US Core PCE / Q2 GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could break this consolidation

07:02 UTC

Range-bound after sharp rally faded · RSI 54 · price 0.69553

Consolidation, holding 50% of the rally.

AUDUSD spiked from the 0.69235 day low to a 0.69882 session high as the post-Fed dollar slide dragged DXY sub-101, then pared to settle into a 0.6946–0.6960 range. Price is pinning the 50% fib of that rally near 0.6955 with RSI(14) flat around 54 — no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 range top reopens the 0.69882 session high
  • Break below 0.6946 session low exposes the 0.69235 day low
  • US Core PCE + GDP cluster in ~6h can materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Range after news spike faded · RSI 46 · price 0.69506

Consolidation between 0.6946 and 0.6961.

The post-FOMC/CPI spike to 0.6988 has fully faded; AUDUSD is now grinding sideways between 0.6946 and 0.6961 through Asian hours, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Range top at 0.6961 has capped the last several attempts.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 session low opens the path toward the 0.6923 prior low
  • Reclaim of 0.6961 range top needed to challenge the 0.6988 spike high
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster in ~6h could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 0.69506

Consolidating below faded rally peak.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69838 on the post-FOMC dollar slide then faded, and is now ranging around 0.6950 into a ~61.8% retracement of that rally. Recent bars mark a swing high near 0.69610 with rejection there; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69610 swing high reopens the 0.69838 session high
  • Loss of 0.69460 session low confirms a lower-low
  • US Core PCE + GDP in ~6h could materially shift this read

06:32 UTC

Downtrend within range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69488

Lower highs since spike, ranging 0.6946-0.6956.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 on the FOMC-day repricing then faded, printing lower highs and now grinding back to 0.69488 as the soft Q2 CPI keeps the Aussie heavy. Price is boxed between 0.6946 support and the 0.6956 swing high, trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43.

Support: 0.69458, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.69558, 0.69635

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69458 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.6922 prior low
  • Reclaim of 0.69558 swing high needed to challenge the 0.6963 session high
  • US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read

06:32 UTC

Drifting lower within range · RSI 44 · price 0.69488

Range below rejected spike high, lower highs.

The London session has faded back to the session low near 0.6946 after the earlier spike to 0.69882 was rejected. Price now sits under EMA20/50 in a 0.6946–0.6958 range top band, RSI(14) mid-40s with lower highs capping each bounce.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69219, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6958, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 (session low) confirms a lower low toward the 0.69219 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6958 range top negates the softening read
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 43 · price 0.69465

Range after spike faded, drifting toward session low.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 overnight then fully retraced, now grinding the 0.6946-0.6956 range through the London morning with AUD soft after yesterday's Q2 CPI miss. Price sits on the 0.69458 session low with RSI(14) around 43; range top at 0.6956 capping intraday bounces.

Support: 0.69458, 0.69414, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6956, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6945 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.69235 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 0.6956 range top needed to unwind the drift lower
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, fading from spike · RSI 40 · price 0.69465

Lower highs after spike rejection.

A NY-session spike tagged 0.6988 before fading; price has since bled back through the range and is pressing the 0.6946 session low with RSI(14) near 40. A chain of lower highs caps rallies below 0.6956, keeping the near-term drift soft into the Asia session.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6956, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 opens the 0.69235 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6956 range top negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read

05:47 UTC

Sideways after spike fade · RSI 48 · price 0.69535

Range-bound, mid-range.

AUDUSD is consolidating between 0.69480 and 0.69610 after the earlier spike to the session high at 0.69880 was rejected and faded through the Asian session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and ATR(14) has compressed to ~5 pips — no directional setup in play, price pinned at EMA20.

Support: 0.6948, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69610 range top reopens the move toward the 0.69880 session high
  • Loss of 0.69480 range low exposes the 0.69235 swing low
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read

05:47 UTC

Sideways, drifting off session high · RSI 46 · price 0.69535

Range-bound below 0.6961 after spike faded.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 mid-window then faded, and price is now coiling in a tight 0.6949–0.6961 range around 0.69535 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46; a modest gap-up to 0.696 has been filled back into the range as buyers absorbed at 0.6949.

Support: 0.6949, 0.69219, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6961 reopens the 0.69838 session high
  • Break below 0.6949 exposes the 0.69219 session low
  • US PCE/GDP cluster ~12:30 GMT (in ~7h) could break this range

05:32 UTC

Consolidating after NY spike, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.6954

Tight range post-rally, holding above day low.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 during NY hours then faded, and is now grinding a tight 0.6949-0.6960 range into early London with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price sits mid-way on the retrace of the NY rally off the 0.6922 day low; no setup in play.

Support: 0.6949, 0.6922

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 reopens the path to the 0.6988 spike high
  • Failure to hold the 0.6949 session low exposes the 0.6922 day low
  • US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read

05:32 UTC

Rangebound after post-FOMC spike faded · RSI 51 · price 0.6954

Ranging 0.6948-0.6963 below spike high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 during NY hours on the FOMC hold then faded, and has since coiled into a tight 0.6948-0.6963 range with RSI(14) flat near 51. Price is pinned at the 61.8% retrace of that spike leg, EMAs converging — no directional structure in play.

Support: 0.6948, 0.6923

Resistance: 0.6963, 0.6982

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP cluster in ~7h could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.6963 range high opens the path back toward 0.6982
  • Break below 0.6948 range low exposes 0.6923 day low

05:17 UTC

Range after NY spike, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.69526

Consolidation between 0.6948 and 0.6963.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 during NY hours then faded back, and has spent the Asian session ranging 0.6948–0.6963 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of that spike move, drifting toward the session low at 0.69479.

Support: 0.69479, 0.6935, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69635, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69479 confirms a lower low out of the range
  • Reclaim of 0.69610 session high reopens the spike high at 0.69838
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT today could materially shift this read

05:17 UTC

Range after spike fade · RSI 46 · price 0.69526

Consolidating below prior spike high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 during the NY session on post-Fed USD flows then faded back. Asian session has since coiled in a tight 0.69494–0.69610 range, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and volatility compressed to ~5 pip bars.

Support: 0.69494, 0.6942, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69610 recent high reopens the spike-high area at 0.69882
  • Loss of 0.69494 recent low exposes the 0.69420 swing low
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT could break this range

05:03 UTC

Pullback from NY highs, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69491

Fading NY spike, lower highs into Asia.

NY session spiked to 0.69882 after the softer US data flow then faded steadily; Asian session has drifted lower in a tight range, now pressing the session low near 0.6948 (the 61.8% retrace of that rally). RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~9 pips — momentum is quiet with lower highs capping under 0.6960.

Support: 0.6948, 0.6935, 0.69226

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6948 opens the 0.6935 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6960 range top needed to break the lower-highs sequence
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could reset this range

05:03 UTC

Drifting lower off intraday highs · RSI 43 · price 0.69491

Range below 0.6950 after spike, lower highs.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 then was rejected, unwinding a post-CPI/FOMC volatility burst, and has since coiled in a tight range below 0.6950. Price is grinding along the swing low near 0.6945 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; a lower-highs sequence caps rallies below the 0.6961 recent high.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6922

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6945 swing low opens the session low at 0.6922
  • Reclaim of 0.6961 recent high needed to break the lower-highs sequence
  • US Core PCE / Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT (~7h out) is the key catalyst that could shift this read

04:47 UTC

Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 45 · price 0.69522

Consolidation under NY spike high, lower highs.

NY session spiked to 0.69882 on the post-Fed USD wobble then faded; Asia has coiled into a tight 0.69494–0.69610 range, holding around the 61.8% retrace of that move. RSI(14) neutral near 44, ATR(14) compressed to ~9 pips — no momentum in play.

Support: 0.69494, 0.69466, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.6972, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69610 opens the path back toward 0.69720
  • Failure to hold 0.69494 exposes the 0.69466 swing low
  • US Core PCE / GDP 12:30 GMT (~8h) could break this range

04:46 UTC

Consolidating after spike, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69522

Range-bound below descending highs post-spike.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69838 during NY hours before rejecting; price has since coiled into a tight 0.6950–0.6961 range with RSI(14) flat near 46. Softer AU Q2 CPI drove the earlier dump to the 0.6923 swing low, and the pair is now drifting sideways below the descending post-spike highs.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6950 psych opens session low 0.6944 then swing low 0.6923
  • Reclaim of 0.6961 recent high needed to re-challenge the 0.6984 spike high
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Range after NY spike, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.6953

Consolidation below faded session high.

NY session spiked to 0.6988 on the FOMC-hold reaction then faded straight back, leaving a rejection at the session high. Price now consolidating 0.6950–0.6961 through Asia, drifting toward the 0.6950 psych level with RSI(14) flat near 45.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6935, 0.6923

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6950 psych opens the 0.6935 swing low
  • reclaim of 0.6961 recent high needed to re-test the 0.6988 session high
  • US data cluster later in the session could shift the range read

04:31 UTC

Consolidating after spike fade · RSI 46 · price 0.6953

Range 0.6949-0.6960, lower highs since spike.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 on the US data cluster/Fed hold reaction, then faded to consolidate between 0.6949 and 0.6960. Lower highs are stacking below 0.6960 as price stalls near the 50% retrace of the impulse; RSI(14) is flat mid-range.

Support: 0.6949, 0.6935, 0.6923

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.69838, 0.6900

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6960 challenges the lower-high structure
  • Loss of 0.6949 range low exposes 0.6935
  • PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift the range read

04:16 UTC

Faded from session high, drifting soft · RSI 44 · price 0.69512

Consolidating below spike high, lower highs.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69882 during NY hours, then faded through Asia and is now consolidating between 0.69490 and 0.69600, sitting on the ~61.8% retrace of that impulse. RSI(14) mid-40s and lower highs since the spike show momentum cooling, with AUD still pinned near 0.6950 on the soft CPI / hawkish-Fed backdrop.

Support: 0.6949, 0.69414, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6972, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69600 reopens the 0.69720 swing high
  • Loss of 0.69490 range low exposes 0.69414
  • PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

04:03 UTC

Range after FOMC spike, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.69506

Ranging below faded spike high, lower highs forming.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 on the FOMC-hold reaction then faded, now ranging 0.6945-0.6965 in early Asia hours. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and lower highs capping off the swing high at 0.6965.

Support: 0.69448, 0.69226

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69651 swing high reopens the 0.6988 fomc high
  • Break below 0.69448 range low exposes 0.6923 session low
  • AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

04:02 UTC

Up-spike faded, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69506

Consolidating below post-FOMC high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 during the NY session as the USD firmed post-FOMC, then faded back into a 0.6950-0.6961 band. Price is drifting lower into the Asia session with RSI(14) mid-range near 44; the spike high has been rejected and recent highs are stepping down.

Support: 0.69494, 0.6942, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6950 exposes the 0.6942 swing low then range low 0.69219
  • Reclaim of 0.6961 recent high needed to challenge the 0.69882 spike high
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Range after NY spike faded · RSI 44 · price 0.69536

Ranging, minor lower highs into Asia.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 during NY hours around the FOMC hold, then faded and is now ranging 0.6949–0.6963 through the Asia session with RSI(14) neutral near 44. A shallow lower-high sequence is capping the topside while 0.6950 holds on the downside.

Support: 0.69494, 0.6945, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69635, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69635 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.6945 opens the path toward the 0.6900 200-DMA
  • AU PPI Fri 01:30 GMT could shift this read

03:46 UTC

Ranging after news spike, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69536

Consolidation below rally high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 in the NY session post-FOMC then faded, and Asia has settled into a 0.69494–0.69610 range around 0.6954. RSI(14) sits near 46, no directional push, price pinned to the EMAs after the post-CPI dovish AUD backdrop.

Support: 0.69494, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69610 opens the path back toward the 0.69882 rally high
  • Failure to hold 0.69494 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6900 200-DMA
  • AUD PPI at 01:30 GMT Fri could break the range

03:32 UTC

Pullback, lower highs after spike · RSI 44 · price 0.69508

Fading post-FOMC spike, drifting into Asian range.

The post-FOMC spike to 0.69882 has bled off through the Asian session, leaving a chain of lower highs (0.69882 > 0.69719 > 0.69651). Price is drifting at 0.6951 between the session low near 0.69494 and 0.69651; RSI(14) mid-range, no setup in play.

Support: 0.69494, 0.69414, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69719, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69651 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 0.69494 exposes the 0.69414 swing low
  • US Core PCE + Q2 GDP 12:30 GMT could reset this read

03:32 UTC

Range after NY spike, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69508

Consolidation below session high, lower highs.

Post-FOMC NY spike to 0.69882 faded and Asia has ranged between 0.69490 and 0.69635, printing lower highs and now leaning on the range floor. RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR compressing to ~6 pips — no momentum either way into the US session.

Support: 0.6949, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69635, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69490 range floor opens the 0.69235 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69635 recent high needed to challenge the 0.69882 session high
  • US Core PCE / advance GDP at 12:30 GMT could break this range

03:17 UTC

Range after spike, lower highs · RSI 46 · price 0.69522

Consolidating mid-range below session high.

A sharp spike swept up to the session high at 0.69882 before fading, and price has since drifted back into the mid-range around 0.6952 on a chain of lower highs (0.69882 → 0.69651). RSI(14) is neutral near 46, ATR(14) ~8 pips; a gap sits in the late Asian session but structure remains contained between 0.6946 and 0.6965.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6946, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.69651 breaks the lower-high chain
  • US Core PCE / Q2 GDP 12:30 GMT could shift this read
  • AUD PPI (YoY) Jul 31 01:30 GMT is a near-term risk

03:17 UTC

Range, drifting off the highs · RSI 44 · price 0.69522

Consolidation after NY spike, lower highs building.

AUDUSD ripped from ~0.6930 to a 0.69882 day high on the FOMC/CPI-driven repricing during NY, then faded and has been consolidating 0.6950-0.6965 through the Asian session. Price now drifts toward the 0.6950 psych level with RSI(14) mid-range near 44 and a chain of lower highs since the spike.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6950 opens the path back toward 0.69460
  • Reclaim of the 0.69651 lower high reopens the 0.69882 day high
  • US Core PCE / Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Range after intraday pop · RSI 52 · price 0.69549

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD bounced off the 0.69235 session low and popped to 0.69882 during US hours before fading back into a 0.6950–0.6960 range. Price now sits mid-range near the 50% retrace of that move, holding above EMA50 but under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral around 52.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6961, 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69610 gap high opens the path back to the 0.69651 swing high
  • Failure to hold 0.69500 psych exposes the 0.69460 swing low
  • US Core PCE / Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69549

Consolidation under spike high after CPI-driven flush and rebound.

AUDUSD was flushed to a 0.69219 cpi low on the soft Q2 CPI print, then spiked hard to a 0.69882 spike high before fading back. Price is now consolidating between the 0.69460 range low and the 0.69651 swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 49.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE + advance GDP at 12:30 GMT is the imminent risk and could break this range
  • M15 close above 0.69651 swing high reopens the 0.69838 spike high
  • Loss of 0.69460 range low exposes the 0.69235 cpi low

02:47 UTC

Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.69576

Consolidation under session high after impulsive move up.

A sharp rally off 0.69235 spiked to a session high at 0.69882 during NY hours, then faded back into a 0.69500–0.69651 range through the Asia session. Price sits mid-range near 0.6957 at the 50% retrace of that move, RSI neutral near 53.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69452, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69651 swing high reopens the 0.69882 session high
  • Loss of 0.69500 range low exposes 0.69452 swing low
  • US Core PCE 12:30 GMT could materially shift the USD side of this read

02:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69576

Consolidating below session high after spike.

A sharp NY-hours spike ran AUDUSD to 0.69880 before fading back, and price is now consolidating around 0.6957 in thin Asia trade, sitting close to the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) neutral near 53; a thin-liquidity gap higher into 0.69605 was held. Structure is a tight range between the 0.69500 session pivot and the 0.69651 swing high.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69414, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69651 reopens the 0.69880 session high
  • Loss of 0.69500 session pivot exposes the 0.69414 pullback low
  • US Core PCE later today could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Recovery off session low, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 0.69601

Range after sharp two-way swing.

AUDUSD sold to a session low of 0.69226 on the soft Q2 CPI print, then spiked to 0.69882 during NY hours before rejection dragged it back. Early Asia now consolidating 0.6950–0.6965, RSI(14) neutral near 57 with price holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69476, 0.69226

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69651 reopens the 0.69882 session high
  • Loss of 0.6950 exposes the 0.69476 pullback low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could reset the range

02:31 UTC

Recovery bounce, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.69601

Consolidating below 0.6972 after rally off 0.6923 low.

AUD/USD snapped back from the 0.6923 CPI low to tag 0.69882 before sellers capped it, and price is now consolidating 0.6950–0.6972 into the NY-Asia handover. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55 — no extreme — with price holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69414, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6972 opens a retest of 0.69882
  • Loss of 0.6950 exposes the 0.69414 session low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could reset this range

02:16 UTC

Range after a faded spike · RSI 52 · price 0.69582

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69882 mid-window before fading back into a 0.6945–0.6960 range; the follow-on thin Asian bars printed a small gap into 0.696. Price sits near the 50% retrace of that spike with RSI(14) neutral around 52.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69226

Resistance: 0.6964, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6964 recent high reopens the 0.69882 session high
  • Loss of 0.6944 recent low exposes the 0.69226 session low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could break this range

02:02 UTC

Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 46 · price 0.69514

Range-bound after NY spike rejected.

Asia session ranging 0.6946–0.6965 after the NY spike to 0.69882 — a USD-led move on the hawkish-hold FOMC and firm oil — was rejected and faded. Price is ticking back toward the 0.6946 swing low with RSI(14) near 46, sitting just under the 0.6950 psych level.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6950, 0.6922

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6946 swing low opens the path toward the 0.6922 asia low
  • Close above the 0.69651 swing high needed to retest the 0.69882 session high
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.69514

Consolidating mid-range after spike rejection.

AUDUSD spiked sharply off 0.6923 to a 0.69882 session high before sellers rejected the level, price fading back to 0.6951. Now consolidating between the 0.6946 swing low and 0.6964 swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 47.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.6964, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6946 reopens the 0.69228 session low
  • Close above 0.6964 puts the 0.69882 session high back in play
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Pullback after intraday spike, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69514

Consolidation below 0.6960 in Asia.

Quiet Asia session, ranging 0.6945–0.6960 after the pullback from the 0.6982 session high set on the NY spike. Last three bars slipped from 0.69635 toward 0.6950, price now sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 0.6945, 0.69219, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.69635, 0.6982

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69635 recent high reopens the 0.6982 session high
  • Loss of 0.6945 swing low exposes 0.69219 session low
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

NY spike faded, now drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.69514

Range after rejection at session high.

NY session spiked to 0.69882 on the post-FOMC USD swings before fading back through the close; the AUD stays heavy after yesterday's soft Q2 CPI. Asia has ranged 0.6950–0.6964 and price is now slipping to test the 0.6950 psych level, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6946, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.6964, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6950 exposes the 0.69460 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69640 asia high reopens the 0.69882 ny high
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could reset this read

01:31 UTC

Pulled back from spike high, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.69514

Faded off 0.6988 session high, holding above 0.6945.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.6988 session high on the US-session data volatility then faded, and is now consolidating around 0.6950 in a thin Asia session, RSI(14) mid-range near 44. Price sits below EMA20 with the swing high at 0.6965 capping and the 0.6945 range base holding.

Support: 0.6945, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6965, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6945 opens the path toward the 0.69235 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.6965 needed to retest the session high
  • AUD Building Permits (01:30 GMT) and US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

01:31 UTC

Ranging, off NY high · RSI 49 · price 0.69514

Range after NY spike, capped at asia high.

NY session spiked to 0.69882 post-FOMC then unwound; Asia is now ranging roughly 0.69460–0.69651. Price rejected the asia high at 0.69651 and drifted back to mid-range near 0.69514.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69651 reopens the ny high at 0.69838
  • Loss of 0.69460 range low exposes the session low at 0.69235
  • AUD Building Permits and US Core PCE later today could break the range

01:16 UTC

Range, drifting off intraday high · RSI 45 · price 0.69514

Post-FOMC spike faded, consolidating mid-range.

FOMC hold spiked AUDUSD to a 0.69882 session high during NY hours before the move faded. Price is now consolidating near 0.695 in early Asia, drifting off the 0.6965 minor high with RSI(14) neutral around 45.

Support: 0.6948, 0.69235, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6965, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6948 recent lows opens the 0.69235 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.6965 minor high would re-target the 0.69882 session high
  • Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could reprice the read

01:16 UTC

Faded post-FOMC spike, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69514

Pullback into recent range after rejection at session high.

NY session spiked to a 0.69880 high around the FOMC hold then faded through the London-NY transition; price now grinds near 0.69514 in early Asia with RSI(14) neutral. Buyers stepped in around 0.69410 while supply capped the 0.69640 swing high.

Support: 0.6941, 0.69235, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6964, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69640 needed to re-challenge the 0.69880 session high
  • Loss of 0.69410 exposes the 0.69235 spike low
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Recovery stalling, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.69514

Post-spike pullback within recent range.

FOMC hold removed the hike premium and spiked AUDUSD to 0.69882 before the move faded back into the 0.6945–0.6965 range. Asia session now drifting lower off 0.69635, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price back below EMA20.

Support: 0.6945, 0.69235, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69635, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69450 reopens the 0.69235 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69635 puts the 0.69882 spike high back in play
  • AU Building Permits at 01:30 GMT could add intraday volatility

01:03 UTC

Spike faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69514

Consolidating below NY high, lower highs.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6988 during NY hours on a post-CPI relief bounce, then faded back to 0.6950 with RSI(14) cooling to neutral. Asian session is consolidating in a 0.6946–0.6965 range under a sequence of lower highs, capped near 0.69651.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6935, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69838, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Building Permits due 01:30 GMT could break the Asian range
  • M15 close above 0.69651 reopens the 0.6984 ny high
  • Loss of 0.6946 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6935

00:46 UTC

Recovered off lows, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.69514

Rally off 0.6923, retracing into EMAs.

AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6923 dip with a sharp post-FOMC spike to 0.69882, then faded. Price now grinds near 0.69514 after a rejection at the 0.69651 session high, sitting just under both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral around 47.

Support: 0.69448, 0.69228

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69448 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69651 needed to resume the recovery
  • AUD Building Permits at 01:30 GMT (~45m) could jolt this range

00:46 UTC

Spike faded, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.69514

Mid-range after post-FOMC spike, lower highs forming.

AUD/USD spiked to a session high of 0.69882 after the Fed held rates (USD hike premium unwound), then faded back into the middle of the range near 0.6951. Now consolidating 0.69460–0.69651 with RSI(14) neutral; the session high was rejected and lower highs are forming.

Support: 0.6946, 0.69219

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69460 opens the session low at 0.69219
  • Reclaim of 0.69651 puts the session high at 0.69882 back in play
  • AU Building Permits 01:30 GMT could move AUD in the next bar period

00:31 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.69579

Consolidating below session high after rebound.

AUDUSD swept the 0.6923 session low then spiked to 0.6988 before rejection pared the move back to the 0.6947 area; price now consolidates near 0.6958 in thin Asia-session flow. RSI(14) sits neutral around 54, with the post-CPI bearish backdrop still capping rallies below the 0.6988 session high.

Support: 0.69466, 0.69235, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69651, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • AUD Building Permits at 01:30 GMT could inject volatility into thin Asia flow
  • Loss of 0.69466 opens the 0.69235 session low
  • M15 close above 0.69651 exposes the 0.69882 session high

00:31 UTC

Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69579

Consolidating below NY spike high in Asia session.

AUDUSD bounced off the CPI-driven 0.6922 low with an NY-session spike to 0.69838, then faded and is now consolidating around 0.6957 in the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 56, ATR compressing to ~6 pips as the range tightens between 0.6949 and 0.6964.

Support: 0.6949, 0.6939

Resistance: 0.69635, 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69635 opens the path back to the 0.69838 ny spike high
  • Failure to hold 0.69490 session low reopens 0.69390 swing low
  • AU Building Permits 01:30 GMT could jolt this consolidation

00:16 UTC

Recovery, higher lows · RSI 59 · price 0.69625

Climbing off pullback low after sharp rally.

AUD spiked from 0.69235 to 0.69882 during NY hours, then retraced roughly two-thirds to 0.6948 before Asian-session buyers stepped back in on a chain of higher lows. Price now 0.69625, grinding quietly with ATR compressed near 9 pips; RBA CPI-miss context still frames the broader slide but the immediate intraday tone is corrective-higher.

Support: 0.6948, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6988

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6948 negates the recovery and reopens 0.69235
  • Reclaim above 0.697 opens the path back to the 0.6988 spike high
  • AU Building Permits 01:30 GMT could jolt this quiet Asian range

00:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 0.69625

Range recovery, higher lows since NY pullback.

AUDUSD gapped up through NY hours to a session high at 0.69882 after the CPI-miss slide to 0.69235, then faded and is now grinding back up on higher lows into 0.69625. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 57; the 0.6950 psych level held on the pullback.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69414, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6972, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6950 psych opens a retest of the 0.69414 swing low
  • Break and hold above 0.69720 swing high targets the 0.69882 session high
  • AU Building Permits 01:30 GMT could inject volatility next bar

00:02 UTC

Recovery within range, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69597

Consolidating below session high after NY spike.

NY session ripped from the 0.69235 session low to a 0.69882 session high before rejection faded it back to the 0.6947 pullback low. Asia is now consolidating in a tight 0.6955–0.6960 band, RSI(14) mid-range, no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6947, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69882

What it said to watch

  • Asia close above the 0.6970 swing high reopens the 0.69882 session high
  • Loss of the 0.6947 pullback low exposes the 0.69235 session low
  • US Core PCE/GDP (Thu 12:30 GMT) and AUD Building Permits (01:30 GMT) could break this range

00:02 UTC

Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 58 · price 0.69597

Higher lows into Asia after London-NY spike faded.

Asia session is grinding higher off the 0.69235 session low after the London-NY spike to the 0.69838 session high faded back into range. Price now sits at 0.69597 on a chain of higher lows with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~15 pips.

Support: 0.6948, 0.69235

Resistance: 0.69838

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Close below 0.69480 swing low negates the recovery
  • Reclaim of 0.69838 session high needed to challenge the intraday range top

All markets that day · Today’s AUD/USD Live Scan in the terminal