BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 13 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:27 UTC
Downtrend, oversold after range break · RSI 25 · price 68,261.82
Lower highs and lower lows since the 81,104 swing high; 73–75.5K range broken lower, consolidating above 68k psych.
BTC has printed a clean lower-high sequence along the descending trendline from 81,104. The hot US CPI print and hike repricing tipped it out of the 73–75.5K range into a flush to the 67,506 swing low. The rebound stalled at the 70k pivot just shy of the fib 38.2% (~70,260), and the cooler PPI failed to lift price. Price sits below a falling EMA(20) at 71,517 and EMA(50) at 73,698, RSI(14) is oversold at 25 and ATR(14) has expanded to roughly $1,129, so the move is extending rather than compressing.
Support: 67,505.66
Resistance: 70,093.81, 71,516.89, 72,630.01
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 70k pivot (70,094) breaks the immediate lower-high and opens the ema20 at 71,517
Failure to hold psych 68k and a break of the 67,506 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
Prior low at 72,630 near the fib 61.8% and the descending trendline caps any deeper rebound; a close above it invalidates the downtrend read
RSI holding above 15.1 on a new low would set up a bullish divergence at the swing low
Fed's Jefferson in ~90 min and Warsh Mon 17:00 UTC could materially shift this read over thin weekend liquidity
Three weeks of lower highs, stepping down from 81,892 to 81,104, 75,597 and 74,719. The 73,000–74,700 base gave way on a range break to a 67,506 swing low, and the bounce stalled at the 70,094 bounce high, below the 38.2% retrace of that leg. Price sits under a falling ema20 (71,854) and ema50 (73,918). RSI at 26.7 is oversold and ATR(14) has expanded to about $1,136, so the trend is extending rather than compressing; even the softer PPI print failed to lift BTC against hike fears and a firm dollar.
Support: 68,000.00, 67,505.66
Resistance: 70,093.81, 71,853.54, 72,630.01
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 70,094 bounce high and the 70K psych level would mark the first higher high since the selloff
Failure to hold the 67,506 swing low confirms another lower low; the 68,000 round number is the nearer floor
Reclaim of the ema20 and the lower-highs trendline would challenge the downtrend read; the 72,630 prior low is the next cap above
Fed's Jefferson in ~6h and Chair Warsh on Mon 17:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:03 UTC
Downtrend, oversold after capitulation leg · RSI 29 · price 69,349.63
Lower highs and lower lows since the 81,104 swing high; 73.2K–74.7K range broken lower.
BTC has printed a clean sequence of lower highs from the 81,104 swing high, and the breakdown from the 73.2K–74.7K range ran to a 67,506 swing low as a hawkish Fed repricing and a firm dollar drove a $1.6B long liquidation flush. The bounce has stalled at the 70,094 bounce high, under the 23.6% fib of the decline, with price below a falling ema20 that sits beneath the ema50. RSI is oversold at 28.8 after a 15.1 trough, and ATR has expanded to about $1,109, so swings are running wide.
Support: 68,000.00, 67,505.66
Resistance: 70,093.81, 72,168.74, 74,124.45
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 68,000 psych zone and the 67,506 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
A close above the 70,094 bounce high opens the path to the ema20 near 72,169
Only a reclaim of the ema50 at 74,124 and the lower-highs trendline would challenge the downtrend read
Fed's Bowman and Daly later today, with the soft PPI offering only slight relief, could materially shift this read
Fed Chair Warsh on Monday is the larger event risk for the next swing
Lower highs and lower lows since the 81,104 swing high; fresh swing low at 67,506.
Lower highs and lower lows have run since the 81,104 swing high, and each bounce has been capped beneath a falling lower-highs trendline. The latest leg cut through the 72,630 prior low to a 67,506 swing low as the hot US CPI, DXY above 103 and ETF outflows weighed. Price sits below both EMAs, with EMA20 under EMA50 and both sloping down, while ATR(14) has expanded to ~110,700 pips (~$1,107), a trend-extending regime rather than compression. RSI at 24.6 is oversold after a 15.1 extreme, and the rebound off the swing low remains beneath the 70,000 round number.
Support: 67,505.66
Resistance: 70,000.00, 72,454.13, 74,718.71
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 70,000 round number would mark the first reclaim since the breakdown; the 23.6% fib of the 81.1k-67.5k leg sits near 70,715
Failure to hold the 67,506 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
US PPI at 13:30 UTC, followed by Bowman and Daly, could materially shift this read
Recovery above the ema20 at 72,454 and then the lower-highs trendline near the 74,719 lower high would break the downtrend structure
Lower highs and lower lows; consolidation broken lower.
BTC has made lower highs and lower lows since the early-November 81,100 high. The 73,000-75,000 consolidation gave way this week, and the latest impulse from 74,719 printed a 67,505 swing low, with price well below a falling ema20 (72,818) and ema50 (74,532). RSI at 15.1 is deeply oversold, but ATR(14) jumping to about $1,080 shows the leg still expanding as the dollar holds a 19-month high and 10Y yields sit above 5%, leaving the 70,000 psych level and the 71,165 prior low overhead.
Support: 67,505.66, 65,000.00
Resistance: 70,000.00, 72,818.14
What it said to watch
US PPI at 13:30 UTC, then Fed's Bowman and Daly, could materially shift this read in the next few bars
H4 close back above the 70,000 psych level would mark the first reclaim after the leverage flush
A retrace into the 50% of the 74,719-67,506 impulse near 71,100 lines up with the 71,165 prior low as overhead resistance
Failure to hold the 67,505 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 65,000 round number
Lower highs trendline and ema20 near 72,800 cap the structure unless reclaimed on a closing basis
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, extending into oversold · RSI 23 · price 70,810.02
Lower highs and lower lows since the 81,104 swing high.
BTC has printed a clean sequence of lower highs from the 81,104 swing high, the latest at 74,719. This week it broke below the 72,630 prior low that had floored the mid-week range, reaching a 70,601 swing low as the hot US CPI print and 10Y yields above 5% weighed on risk appetite. Price is below a falling EMA(20) at 73,321 and EMA(50) at 74,797, RSI(14) is oversold at 23.1, and ATR(14) has edged back up toward $900 as the leg extends, with the 70,000 psych level the next reference below.
Support: 70,601.25, 70,000.00
Resistance: 72,630.01, 73,321.20, 74,718.71
What it said to watch
US PPI Fri 13:30 UTC, followed by Bowman and Daly, could materially shift this read
H4 close below the 70,000 psych level extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery back above the 72,630 prior low would mark the range break as a false break
Lower-high line and ema20 near 73,300–73,500 cap any rebound unless reclaimed
Retracement toward the 38.2% level near 74,600, alongside the 74,719 lower high, is the area where the downtrend structure would be tested