BTC/USD AI Live Scan, weekly chart, Friday, 10 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD weekly chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
19:05 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 36 · price 63,521.04
Lower highs, lower lows off Q4 peak.
BTC topped near 126K in Q4 2025 and has been in a persistent multi-quarter downtrend since, carving lower highs and lower lows. Price sits deep below the W1 EMA(50), confirming a bearish macro regime, and is now attempting to base around the 57.7K YTD low after a Warsh-dovish-driven bounce back toward the 63K supply wall. Rallies remain unsponsored per the ETF outflow backdrop, leaving price boxed between 60K and the 63.9K cap.
What it said to watch
Weekly close below 57,741 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim and hold above the 63K supply wall needed to challenge the lower-high structure
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:05 UTC
Downtrend from Q4-2025 peak · RSI 40 · price 63,521.04
Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off YTD low.
BTC is in a macro downtrend since the ~126K peak in Q4 2025, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows and sitting well below the W1 EMA(50) — regime is decisively bearish. Price has bounced off the ~58K YTD low to reclaim the low-$60Ks but stalls into the $63K supply wall, a move the digest ties to dovish Fed signals rather than returning demand, with ETF flows still bleeding. RSI(14) near 40 is mid-range, offering no extreme signal at this timeframe.
What it said to watch
Weekly close above the $63k wall opens the path toward the $67k swing high
Loss of the $60k round number exposes the $58k ytd low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read