Double top 84782–84797, lower highs since 21:45 UTC, 84078 neckline intact.
London lifted BTC out of the 82514–83109 Asian range, and NY extended to an 84797 day high after an 83159 dip at the open. A 84782 lower high after NY close has turned into a two-hour slide to 84167. Price sits on the 38.2% NY rally fib, below ema20 (~84430) and just above the 84078 swing low, RSI(14) ~38, with the soft USD backdrop giving no follow-through.
Support: 84,078.41, 84,000.00
Resistance: 84,430.00, 84,781.63, 84,796.62
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84078 swing low completes the double top and exposes the 84000 round number and 50% NY rally fib (~83980)
Recovery back above ema20 near 84430 neutralises the post-NY slide
Reclaim of the 84782 lower high and 84797 day high voids the double top read
Thu 12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk
23:33 UTC
Post-rally range, pulling back from day high · RSI 43 · price 84,279.19
84,078–84,797 range under a thrice-tested top; price in lower half, early Asia session.
The NY rally ran from 83,160 to an 84,797 day high, helped by a soft dollar after weak US housing data, then hit rejection three times near 84,780–84,800. The late NY leg lower has tagged the 84,210 late low with RSI(14) near 43 and price under EMA20, holding just above the 38.2% NY rally fib at 84,171 and the 84,078 swing low that marks the range floor.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84,078 swing low breaks the post-NY range and puts the fib 50% at 83,978 in play
Reclaim of the 84,430 minor high returns focus to the 84,797 day high
Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
23:18 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, pulling back inside range · RSI 46 · price 84,332.13
84078–84797 range since NY; lower highs off range top.
London broke above the Asian range (82514–83109) and NY extended to the 84797 range high on soft US housing prints. Late-NY retest of the top at 84782 was rejected, and early Asia session now sits just above the 84209 swing low and the 38.2% of the NY rally fib, below EMA20 but holding EMA50 near 84200; RSI(14) at 46.
Support: 84,209.26, 84,078.41
Resistance: 84,500.00, 84,796.62
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84209 swing low and EMA50 exposes the 84078 range low and the 50% NY rally fib near 83978
Break of the 84078 range low turns the twin rejections near 84790 into a double top
Reclaim of 84500 psych and EMA20 puts the 84797 range high back in play
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled macro risk
23:04 UTC
Up from London open, now ranging below the cap · RSI 47 · price 84,410.04
84080–84800 range since NY open; three rejections near 84780.
London broke above the 82514–83109 Asian range at 07:15 UTC and NY extended the move to 84797 on a soft-dollar backdrop. Since then the range top near 84780 has rejected three times, and the after-NY fade to 84367 sits at the 50–61.8% bounce fib of the 84078–84782 swing, just below EMA20.
Support: 84,280.00, 84,078.00
Resistance: 84,780.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
Close below the 84280 NY pullback low exposes the 84078 swing low
Break of 84078 would turn the three-touch range top into a lower-low sequence
Close above 84780 range top opens the 85000 round number
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 84,433.02
Post-NY range 84080–84800, third rejection at range top.
BTC cleared the Asian range high near 83110 in London, then rallied from 83160 to 84797 during NY hours as soft US housing data eased some of the hawkish Fed pressure. Since then it has held a 84080–84800 range, with a double low at 84078. A third rejection at the range top late in the session has pulled price back to 84430, near the 23.6% retracement of the NY rally, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 84,280.00, 84,078.00
Resistance: 84,797.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84280 swing low puts the 84078 double low back in play
Close above the 84797 range top breaks the post-NY range
Thu 12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
22:33 UTC
Uptrend paused, ranging below day high · RSI 58 · price 84,550.89
Post-breakout range 84078–84797, range top rejected three times.
BTC cleared the Asian range (82514–83109) in London. NY then ran it from 83159 to an 84797 day high as a soft USD undertone offset hawkish Fed pricing, and price has since held an 84078–84797 range. A third test of the range top near 84782 was rejected after NY close, leaving price at 84550 just above the 84503 late low and slightly below EMA20.
Support: 84,503.00, 84,078.00
Resistance: 84,797.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84797 day high breaks the range; the 85000 round number is the next reference
Failure to hold the 84503 late low exposes the 84078 range low, close to the 38.2% fib of the NY rally
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift USD and this read
22:18 UTC
Uptrend, compressing under session high · RSI 61 · price 84,698.72
Higher lows since NY open; tight range just below 84797 high.
The NY open dip to 83159 was bought, with the dollar's soft undertone behind the move. Price cleared the Asian range top near 83110 and ran to the 84797 session high. The 19:00 UTC pullback held the 84078 double low, about 43% into the NY-leg fib, and late-NY price is now compressing below the session high. RSI(14) sits near 61, with the minor low at 84604 and the evening base at 84353 underneath.
Support: 84,603.83, 84,353.10, 84,078.41
Resistance: 84,796.62, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84797 session high opens the 85000 psych level
Loss of the 84604 minor low exposes the 84353 evening base
Break of the 84078 double low negates the NY-leg higher-low structure
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD catalyst
22:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing below range top · RSI 55 · price 84,702.72
Higher lows pressing the 84,780–84,800 cap after the NY leg.
BTC broke above the 82,514–83,110 Asian range in London and extended through NY to a range top at 84,796. Two pullbacks held a double low at 84,078, roughly a 44% retrace of the NY rally, despite the hawkish Fed backdrop. Into the Asia session, higher lows off 84,560 and the 84,280 swing low are pressing that cap again, with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84,796 range top opens the 85,000 round number
Failure to hold the 84,560 higher low breaks the rising trendline and points back to the 84,280 swing low
Loss of the 84,078 double low would mean a deeper retrace of the NY rally
Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
21:47 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 57 · price 84,729.69
Higher lows intact, late-NY retest of 84,800 high.
BTC broke the Asian range high near 83,110 in London and extended through NY to a 84,797 session high, helped by a softer USD after weak housing data. The 84,078 swing low held as a higher low, about 44% into the NY leg, and price is back testing the session high in thin post-NY trade.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84,797 session high opens the 85,000 psych level
Loss of the 84,400 pivot puts the 84,078 swing low back in play
Break below 84,078 swing low and the rising NY trendline negates the higher-low chain
Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims (f/c 200K) is the next USD catalyst for this read
Higher lows from 84078 pressing a flat session-high cap near 84800.
London broke the Asian high at 83109 and NY carried the rally to an 84797 session high, helped by a softer USD after weak housing data. The late-NY pullback held the 84078 double low, about a 31% retrace of the rally, and higher lows since, the latest at 84562, have price back under the session high with RSI(14) neutral at 56.
Support: 84,561.87, 84,078.41, 83,109.47
Resistance: 84,796.62, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84797 session high opens the path to the 85000 round number
Break of the 84562 higher low and the rising trendline shifts the read to range
Loss of the 84078 double low prints a lower low and deepens the rally retrace
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
London broke above the 82,514–83,110 Asian range, and the NY rally ran to an 84,797 session high on a softer USD after Tuesday's housing misses. Since 16:30 UTC price has held between the 84,078 swing low and the session high, with a double low near 84,280. Lower highs at 84,772 and 84,740 form a descending trendline into late NY, and RSI(14) is neutral near 54.
What it said to watch
Close above the 84,740 lower high and the 84,797 session high breaks the lower-highs trendline and opens the 85,000 round number
Loss of the 84,280 double low reopens the 84,078 swing low, about a 44% retracement of the NY rally
Thu 12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims (f/c 200K) and USD direction could materially shift this read
21:08 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into late NY · RSI 55 · price 84,585.85
Post-breakout range 84080–84800, lower highs forming.
BTC cleared the 82510–83110 Asian range at London open and extended through NY to the 84796 session high, helped by a soft USD after the housing misses. Since then it has held an 84080–84800 band. The 84078 swing low sits near the 38–50% zone of the NY rally fib, and the lower highs at 84771 and 84739 are capping the band. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 in late NY hours.
Support: 84,280.18, 84,078.41
Resistance: 84,738.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84796 session high breaks the lower-high sequence and resumes the NY uptrend
Loss of the 84280 pullback low puts the 84078 swing low back in focus
Break of the 84078 swing low exposes the NY rally fib 50% near 83980
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could jolt risk sentiment and the USD into the Asia session
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled macro risk
NY range 84078–84797 with lower highs after breakout.
London broke above the 82514–83109 Asian range, and the NY rally cleared the 83770 breakout to print a 84797 session high, helped by a soft USD after the housing misses. Late NY is now ranging 84078–84797, with a lower high at 84739 capping price and demand holding the 84353 range base.
Support: 84,353.00, 84,078.00, 83,770.00
Resistance: 84,739.00, 84,797.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84797 session high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 84353 range base exposes the 84078 swing low
Loss of 84078 opens a deeper NY rally retracement toward the 83770 breakout
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-breakout range 84078–84796, lower high at 84771.
London cleared the Asian range high near 83110, and NY extended the Asia-to-NY leg to a session high at 84796 against a soft USD after Tuesday's housing misses. A lower high at 84771 and a retest of the 84078 double low followed. Late NY hours have price coiling between the 84353 minor low and the 84520 minor high, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 84,353.10, 84,078.41
Resistance: 84,519.92
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84520 minor high reopens the 84796 session high
Loss of the 84353 minor low exposes the 84078 double low and rising support
Break below the 84078 double low sets a lower low and moves the read into a deeper retrace of the NY leg fib
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could jolt risk sentiment and shift this read
NY breakout above the Asian range high, then a 84078–84797 range with a lower high at 84772.
BTC broke above the Asian range high at 83109 in London. The NY session extended the move from the 83159 dip to a session high of 84797, helped by the soft USD after this week's housing misses. Since then price has ranged, with a twin-top cap at 84797/84772 and the 84078 range low holding twice. Price now sits just above ema20 near the 23.6% retrace of the NY rally, below the 84520 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 84,280.00, 84,078.00
Resistance: 84,520.00, 84,797.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84520 lower high reopens the 84797 session high and the 85000 round number
Failure to hold the 84280 swing low brings the 84078 range low back into play; a close below it breaks the post-NY range
Close below 84078 also loses the 38.2% retrace of the NY rally, exposing the 50% near 83978
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk that could shift this read
London broke above the 82514–83109 Asian range, and the NY session extended the run to an 84797 session high as the USD stayed soft after yesterday's housing misses. Late NY has stalled into consolidation: a lower high at 84772 was rejected, price slipped through the 84280 prior low to retest the 84078 swing low, and it now sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 84,280.00, 84,078.00
Resistance: 84,520.00, 84,797.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84520 bounce high reopens a test of the 84797 session high and the lower highs trendline
M15 close below the 84078 swing low breaks the NY higher-low sequence and brings the 38.2–50% zone of the NY rally fib (84170–83980) into play
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Post-NY-rally range 84280–84800, false break below range low reclaimed.
London broke the Asian range high near 83110 and the NY session extended to a 84797 session high, in step with the soft USD after yesterday's housing misses. Since 16:30 UTC price has ranged 84280–84800, printing a lower high at 84772. The 18:30 UTC dip to the 84078 swing low quickly reclaimed the range low and held short of the 50% fib of the NY leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 46.
Support: 84,280.00, 84,078.00, 83,980.00
Resistance: 84,605.00, 84,772.00, 84,797.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 84605 breakdown level puts the 84772 lower high and 84797 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 84280 range low again and a break of the 84078 swing low exposes the 50% fib near 83980
Late NY into Asia session hours with no scheduled US data in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims are the next macro risk
NY leg 83,159→84,797, then lower high and range 84,280–84,800.
London cleared the Asian range top near 83,110, and NY extended the move from 83,159 to an 84,797 session high, helped by an easier dollar after the soft US housing data. A lower high at 84,772 was rejected and price dipped to 84,078. That dip held the prior swing low and the NY leg fib's 38.2–50% zone, then reclaimed the 84,280 range low late in NY, with RSI near 49.
What it said to watch
Close back below the 84,280 range low exposes the 84,078 swing low again
Break of the 84,078 swing low opens a deeper NY leg fib retrace toward the 50% near 83,980
Acceptance above the 84,500 round number puts the 84,797 session high back in play
Meta earnings tonight and Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims (f/c 200K) could shift USD and risk tone
Lower high at 84,772, price testing 84,280 neckline.
London broke the Asian range at 07:15 UTC, and the 83,159 flush at the NY open was absorbed. The NY leg then ran to an 84,797 session high, helped by a softer USD after Tuesday's housing misses. A rejection at the 84,772 lower high and the 19:00 UTC dip to the 84,078 pullback low put a double top in play; price sits back on the 84,280 neckline with RSI(14) near 46.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84,078 pullback low confirms the double top; the 50% fib of the NY leg near 83,978 and the 83,787 breakout pt sit below
Recovery through the 84,772 lower high and 84,797 session high negates the double top read, with the 85,000 round number next
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could shift risk tone and the USD backdrop into the Asia session
Lower high at 84,772 under 84,797 session high, testing 84,270 range floor.
NY session turned a 13:30 UTC dip to 83,159 into a run to the 84,797 session high, well clear of the 82,514–83,109 Asian range and the 83,590 London high. Late NY has printed a lower high at 84,772, and the 84,604 breakdown bar has pushed price back onto the 84,270 range floor. RSI(14) is neutral near 51, and the soft-USD backdrop has not extended the move.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84,270 range floor completes a small double top. The 38.2% fib of the NY rally (~84,170) and the 83,865 breakout shelf sit below.
Recovery through the 84,604 breakdown bar and the 84,772 lower high negates the double top. The 84,797 session high is the range cap.
Loss of 83,865 brings the 83,590 London high into play as the deeper reference.
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift risk sentiment and USD. Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled US data.
18:47 UTC
Uptrend, pausing near session high · RSI 62 · price 84,601.83
Post-breakout consolidation, 84280–84797 range since 15:00 UTC.
London broke the Asian range high near 83110, and NY extended the move to an 84797 session high, helped by a softer USD after weak housing data. Since 15:00 UTC price has been in consolidation between the 84280 range low and the session high. Supply is capping near 84800 with a lower high at 84772, and RSI(14) has cooled to about 62.
Support: 84,280.00, 83,980.00
Resistance: 84,797.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84797 session high opens the 85000 round number
Loss of the 84280 range low exposes the fib 50% retracement of the NY rally near 83980
Meta Q3 earnings could jolt risk sentiment late in the NY session or after the close
NY rally into 84280–84797 consolidation, higher lows off range low.
London broke the Asian range high at 83128. The NY rally from 83159 then cleared 84000 as the dollar softened after weak US housing data. Price has since held a range from the 84280 range low to the 84797 session high and is pressing the top again, with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 84,280.00, 84,000.00
Resistance: 84,797.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84797 session high breaks the consolidation and opens the 85000 round number
Failure to hold the 84280 range low exposes the 84000 round number and the NY rally fib 38.2% near 84170
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could shift risk tone and this read
Late-NY consolidation 84280–84797 after London/NY breakout leg.
London broke the Asian range high near 83110. NY swept down to 83159 at the open, then the NY leg ran to a session high at 84797, with soft US housing data keeping USD heavy. Price is now consolidating 84280–84797 late in NY, and the 84280 swing low has held twice just above the fib 38.2 near 84170. RSI(14) is around 58, neutral.
Support: 84,280.00
Resistance: 84,797.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84280 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the fib 38.2 near 84170
A close above the 84797 session high opens the path to the 85000 round number
Meta Q3 earnings and Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims are the next risk-tone tests for USD and BTC
NY breakout above London high, now consolidating 84275–84797.
BTC cleared the Asian range high at 83109 at London open and stalled at the 83590 London high. Early NY dipped to 83159, then pushed through the London high to a session high of 84797, helped by a softer USD after Tuesday's weak housing data. Late NY is consolidating, with twin lows at 84275 holding above the 38.2% retracement of the NY rally fib.
Support: 84,275.00, 84,000.00, 83,590.00
Resistance: 84,797.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 84275 twin lows breaks the consolidation and exposes the 84000 round number, then a retest of the 83590 london high
M15 close above the 84797 session high opens the 85000 round number
Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims is the next scheduled USD catalyst after a quiet Asia session
Asian range break higher, now 84,270–84,800 consolidation.
BTC broke the 82,514–83,109 Asian range at London open and extended through NY. The leg off the 83,159 NY open low set a session high at 84,797, with a soft dollar after weak US housing data in the background. Since London close price has held an 84,270–84,800 consolidation, and the swing low has held twice near the 23.6% fib.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84,270 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 38.2% fib near 84,170 and the 84,000 round number
Close above the 84,797 session high resumes the NY leg toward the 85,000 round number
Loss of 84,000 puts the 83,590 london high, the prior breakout level, back in play
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk; no events in the next 8h
84,270–84,800 consolidation after NY-session breakout.
London cleared the Asian range top near 83,110. NY then dipped to 83,159 and rallied to an 84,797 session high, helped by a softer USD after the weak housing data. Late NY has held the range low at 84,270 twice and is pausing above the 38.2% NY rally fib near 84,170, with RSI(14) cooled to the low 60s.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84,270 range low exposes the 38.2% NY rally fib near 84,170 and the 84,000 round number
Close above the 84,797 session high opens the 85,000 round number
Thu 12:30 UTC US Initial Jobless Claims (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read via the USD
NY leg from 83159 to 84797; marginal higher high rejected, pullback testing 84270 swing low.
London broke the Asian range high at 83109. NY then ran from the 83159 NY-open dip to a 84797 session high, helped by a softer dollar after the weak US housing data. That marginal break of the 84730 first peak printed on a lower RSI(14) reading (~74 vs ~84) and was rejected back to the 84270 swing low. The ema20 near 84160 sits close to the 38.2% fib of the NY-open leg.
Support: 84,270.00, 84,160.00, 83,770.00
Resistance: 84,730.00, 84,797.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84270 swing low turns the 84730 first peak and 84797 session high into a double-top read and exposes the ema20 / 38.2% fib near 84160
Recovery through the 84797 session high would cancel the bearish RSI divergence
Loss of the ema20 shifts focus to the pre-NY high at 83770, near the 61.8% fib
Meta earnings after the US close could shift risk tone and the dollar into the Asia session
Asian range broken higher; NY HH/HL chain, pulling back from session high.
London broke the Asian range (82514–83109) and NY extended the leg on a softer dollar after weak US housing data, recovering a 13:30 UTC dip to 83159 and printing a session high at 84797. That high came on a lower RSI(14) than the 84728 peak, and price is easing after London close toward the 84269 swing low, which sits on the 23.6% retracement of the day's move fib.
Support: 84,269.20, 84,000.00
Resistance: 84,796.62, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
Break below the 84269 swing low ends the NY higher-low sequence and exposes the 84000 round number
M15 close above the 84797 session high negates the bearish RSI divergence; 85000 round number is the next reference
Meta earnings tonight and Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims (f/c 200K) could shift USD and risk tone
16:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 70 · price 84,541.90
HH/HL chain since NY open; Asian range broken higher.
BTC cleared the 82514–83110 Asian range in early London and capped near 83590, the london high, into midday. NY open swept down to 83160 and reversed, rallying to a session high at 84797 against a softer USD after weak US housing data. Pullbacks since have held above the 84269 swing low, with RSI(14) near 70 and price above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 84,269.00, 83,978.00, 83,590.00
Resistance: 84,797.00, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84269 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the fib 50% at ~83978
Acceptance above the 84797 session high opens the 85000 round number
Loss of the fib 50% puts the 83590 london high back in play as the breakout retest
Meta earnings tonight and AI-credit headlines could jolt USD and risk appetite after NY close
16:32 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 71 · price 84,618.81
HH/HL chain since London; higher low at 84269 holding below 84727 high.
London broke the Asian range high near 83110 and the NY leg extended from the 83159 open wick to a 84727 session high, with the dollar soft after weak US housing data. Higher lows at 84269 and 84315 held, and price is back retesting the session high late in NY hours with RSI(14) near 71.
Support: 84,269.20, 83,589.94
Resistance: 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84727 session high opens the 85000 round number
Break below the 84269 swing low ends the higher-lows chain and exposes the 83590 london high
Meta earnings tonight could shift AI and risk sentiment and alter this read
HH/HL chain; tight range 84270–84590 under the 84728 session high.
London cleared the Asian range high near 83109 and ran to the london high at 83590. After the NY open dipped to 83159, the NY leg broke out through 83864 to the 84728 session high, helped by a softer dollar after weak US housing data. Price now holds a shallow pullback low at 84269, under the 38.2% of the NY leg, with RSI(14) near 71.
Support: 84,269.20, 83,589.94
Resistance: 84,727.69, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84728 session high extends the HH chain toward the 85000 round number
Failure to hold the 84269 pullback low reopens the 83864 breakout area
Loss of the 83590 london high would negate the NY breakout structure
Meta earnings tonight and Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims could shift USD and risk tone
London lifted BTC out of the 82,514–83,128 Asian range. NY bought the 83,159 NY open low wick and ran through the 84,000 round number to a 84,728 session high as the dollar stayed soft. After London close, price is coiling between the 84,269 pullback low and the 84,586 lower high, just above the 23.6% fib of the NY leg, with RSI(14) near 67 after cooling from the push.
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 84,269 pullback low breaks the HL chain and exposes the 84,000 round number and the 38.2% fib near 84,130.
A close above the 84,586 lower high reopens the 84,728 session high and the 85,000 round number.
Losing the rising support from the Asian low would mark the end of the intraday uptrend read.
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could shift risk tone and the dollar, and with it this read.
15:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 68 · price 84,420.03
HH/HL chain from Asian low; NY leg extended, first pullback in progress.
London broke the Asian range high near 83109, and the NY-open dip to 83159 held above the 83136 higher low before the NY leg ran to a 84728 session high on a soft-USD backdrop after weak US housing data. Price is now pulling back to the 84269 swing low, with RSI(14) cooling from the 70s.
Support: 84,269.20, 84,130.00
Resistance: 84,727.69, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84269 swing low exposes the 38.2% fib of the NY leg near 84130
Loss of the 83786 prior high would retrace most of the NY leg toward the rising support trendline
Close above the 84728 session high opens the 85000 round number
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close and any AI-driven risk-off could materially shift this read
15:33 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 66 · price 84,382.07
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; London broke the Asian range high, NY extended.
London cleared the Asian range high near 83110. NY swept to 83159 at the open, then ran to a session high at 84728 as a soft USD on weak housing data underpinned risk. The rejection from that high is holding above the 84269 pullback low and the 23.6% fib near 84205, with RSI(14) cooling to about 66.
Support: 84,269.20, 84,078.41
Resistance: 84,727.69, 85,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 84078 breakout low opens a deeper retracement toward the 38.2% fib near 83880
Close above the 84728 session high resumes the HH chain, with the 85000 round number next
Meta Q3 earnings after the NY close could shift risk sentiment and the USD, materially changing this read
15:17 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 78 · price 84,513.93
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian low; NY leg stretched away from the base.
London broke the Asian range high near 83109. NY then accelerated after the open wick to the 83159 NY wick low was bought, clearing the 83786 pre-NY high and the 84201 breakout level to print a session high at 84727. RSI(14) at 78 is stretched and the latest bar is easing off the high, with a heavy USD after soft US housing data as the backdrop.
Support: 84,201.27, 83,159.42
Resistance: 85,000.00
What it said to watch
Holding the 84201 breakout level keeps the higher-low chain intact. A return below the 83786 pre-NY high would signal the NY leg failing.
An M15 close above the 84727 session high puts the 85000 round number in play. Repeated rejection there with RSI rolling over from near 80 points to a stall.
A break of the rising support from the Asian low, near the 83159 NY wick low, would end the intraday higher-low structure.
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift risk sentiment and the USD, moving this read after the NY close.
15:04 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating in NY session · RSI 79 · price 84,514.93
Higher highs and higher lows; Asian range broken above, NY leg extending.
London broke the Asian range high near 83,109 but stalled at the 83,590 london high. The NY open flushed to an 83,159 ny low, then rallied through the london high to an 84,632 session high as the soft-USD backdrop held after weak US housing data. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched, with the 84,064 breakout lvl as first support on the rising trendline.
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 84,064 breakout lvl would mark the first lower-low of the NY leg
Rejection at the 84,632 session high or the 85,000 round number would cap the extension
Loss of the 83,590 london high returns price to the morning range and puts the ny low at 83,159 and the rising trendline in play; the ny leg fib maps the pullback depth
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could shift risk sentiment and this read
14:47 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 73 · price 84,128.35
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian low; Asian range broken higher.
London cleared the Asian range high near 83110, and NY pushed through the 83590 London high to a session high of 84201. The 13:30 UTC spike to 83159 (the NY spike low) was fully bought back, leaving an intraday higher low near 83750 and the higher-lows trendline from the 82514 Asian low intact, while soft US housing data kept the USD heavy. RSI(14) at 73 is hot but not extreme; ATR(14) is around 235 USD per bar.
Support: 83,750.00, 83,590.00, 83,159.00
Resistance: 84,201.00, 84,500.00
What it said to watch
M15 acceptance above the 84201 session high exposes the 84500 round number
A close back below the 83750 intraday higher low puts the 83590 London high and the 50–61.8% fib of the 83136–84201 leg in focus as a retest zone
A break of the 83159 NY spike low and the higher-lows trendline would end the intraday higher-low chain
US Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled USD catalyst for this read
14:33 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY session · RSI 70 · price 83,911.59
HH/HL chain since London broke the Asian range high.
London cleared the Asian high at 83109 and NY opened with a sweep to 83159 that was bought straight back, extending the HH/HL chain to a session high at 84064 alongside a softer USD after Tuesday's housing misses. RSI(14) is near 70 and price sits just under the high; the 83499 higher low and the rising trendline mark the nearest structure.
Support: 83,499.04, 83,159.42, 83,109.47
Resistance: 84,064.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 84064 session high extends the NY leg
Close below the 83499 higher low breaks the micro HH/HL chain
Loss of the 83159 sweep low and rising trendline exposes the 83109 Asian high near the 61.8% fib
DXY break of the 101.50 three-week low vs a rebound through 101.80 could shift the USD backdrop for this read
14:18 UTC
Uptrend, higher highs since London open · RSI 68 · price 83,798.71
HH/HL chain off the Asian low; NY-open flush reclaimed, new session high.
London broke above the Asian range at 07:15 UTC, and NY pushed through the 83589.94 London high to a session high at 83864.64. The NY-open sweep to 83159.42 tagged the 50% retracement and the rising support line before reversing, with the 83499.04 higher low holding since. A softer USD after Tuesday's housing misses frames the move; RSI(14) is at 68, firm but not stretched.
Support: 83,589.94, 83,499.04, 83,159.42
Resistance: 83,864.64, 84,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83864.64 session high opens the 84000 round number
Closes back below the London high and the 83499.04 higher low would turn the NY breakout into a false break
Loss of the 83159.42 NY open low breaks the rising support line and the HH/HL chain
No scheduled US data before Thu jobless claims (12:30 UTC); renewed USD strength is the main macro headwind
14:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending in early NY · RSI 63 · price 83,662.86
Higher lows from the 82514 Asia low; London broke the Asian range high.
London broke above the 82514–83110 Asian range and set a london high at 83589.94. Early NY flushed to a spike low at 83159, near the 50% fib of the rally, which was bought back, and price then printed a fresh session high at 83864.64. RSI(14) sits near 63, and a softer USD after yesterday's housing misses is the backdrop.
Support: 83,589.94, 83,159.42
Resistance: 83,864.64, 84,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 83589.94 london high puts the breakout under pressure
Loss of the 83159 spike low, near the rally's 50% fib, breaks the higher-low chain
Close above the 83864.64 session high opens the 84000 round number
Meta Q3 earnings later today could shift risk tone and this read
13:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, NY open dip absorbed · RSI 64 · price 83,605.93
London broke above the Asian range high and printed higher highs. The NY open flush held near the 50% fib..
London cleared the Asian high at 83,109 and stepped up to an 83,787 session high, helped by a softer USD after weak US housing data. The NY open bar flushed to 83,160, near the 50% fib of the Asia low-to-session high move, and was rejected straight back to the 83,590 London high. RSI(14) is around 64 and ATR is roughly 185 USD per bar.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83,787 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 84,000 round number.
Failure to hold the 83,590 London high puts the 83,160 NY open low and the 50% fib back in play.
A close back below the 83,109 Asian high returns price inside the Asian range and negates the breakout read.
Meta Q3 earnings later today could shift risk tone and the USD; Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims are the next macro catalyst.
13:33 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from NY high · RSI 58 · price 83,496.05
Higher lows since Asia; Asian range broken higher.
BTC cleared the Asian range (82514–83108) in London, held a higher low at the 83136 swing low and pushed to an 83787 NY high into the NY open. The first NY bar is rejecting back under the 83590 London high, with RSI(14) cooling to ~58. Tuesday's soft US housing data eases rate pressure slightly against a still-hawkish Fed backdrop.
Support: 83,356.20, 83,136.44, 82,514.13
Resistance: 83,589.94, 83,786.73
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 83356 pullback low exposes the 83136 swing low and the rising trendline
M15 close back above the 83590 London high reopens the 83787 NY high
Loss of 83136 breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 82514 Asian low back in view
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift risk sentiment and the USD
Higher highs and higher lows since London open, Asian range cleared.
London broke the Asian range high near 83110 and built higher lows off the 83136 pullback low. The London-NY transition then pushed through the 83590 London high to a session high at 83770, with RSI(14) firm in the upper 60s but not stretched. A slipping USD into Meta earnings offers a mild tailwind.
Support: 83,590.00, 83,356.00, 83,136.00
Resistance: 83,770.00, 84,000.00
What it said to watch
Hold of the broken 83590 London high on a retest keeps the breakout read intact
M15 close back below the 83356 swing low and the rising trendline turns this into a false break
Clean clearance of the 83770 session high opens the 84000 round number
Failure to hold the 83136 pullback low ends the higher-low sequence
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift USD and risk tone and materially change this read
13:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, grinding under the session high · RSI 59 · price 83,473.07
Higher lows since the 83136 swing low, capped below 83550–83590.
London broke the Asian high at 83109 and ran to an 83590 session high before rejecting. The pullback on that London leg held the 83136 swing low, and price has since stepped up in higher lows to an 83550 recent high, with a soft USD (DXY ~101.70) after weak US housing data in the background.
Support: 83,356.20, 83,136.44, 83,109.47
Resistance: 83,549.99, 83,589.94
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 83356 higher low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
Loss of the 83136 swing low and Asian high at 83109 puts price back inside the Asian range
Close above the 83590 session high clears the London rejection wick
NY open and Meta Q3 earnings tonight (AI-sentiment risk) could shift this read
London broke the Asian range; higher lows since the retest.
London broke the Asian range top near 83,110 and set a session high at 83,590. The pullback low at 83,136 held above that range top. A run of higher lows, the latest at 83,378, has carried price back above yesterday's prior high at 83,305 and up to 83,550 into the NY open. RSI(14) near 58 shows no extreme, and soft US housing data yesterday leaves the macro tone mildly supportive.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83,590 session high opens the 84,000 round number
Break of the higher-low line and the 83,378 higher low puts the 83,305 prior high back in play
Loss of the 83,136 pullback low negates the Asian range break
Meta earnings after the US close could shift risk tone and this read
Higher lows off 83136 retest low, capped under 83533–83590.
London broke the Asian range high near 83110 and ran to a session high at 83590. The pullback retested that breakout zone at the 83136 retest low, and a higher-low trendline has since carried price back toward the 83533 recent high, with RSI(14) neutral near 61 and ATR(14) around $150. There is no BTC-specific catalyst; soft US housing data only marginally eases the hawkish-Fed pressure.
Support: 83,305.26, 83,136.44
Resistance: 83,533.01, 83,589.94
What it said to watch
Last bar slipped to 83408, sitting on the higher-low trendline; a close back below the 83305 prior high breaks the HL chain and exposes the 83136 retest low
M15 close above the 83590 session high extends the HH/HL sequence; failure at the 83533 recent high again leaves a lower high
Price holding above the 50% of the London leg fib (~83050) keeps the breakout read intact
NY open at 13:30 UTC and Meta earnings tonight as risk-tone inputs; jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC
12:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows into NY open · RSI 62 · price 83,454.09
Asian range broken higher, higher-low chain since 05:45 UTC.
London broke above the asian high near 83109 and printed a session high at 83590 before a rejection wick. The pullback held a higher low at 83136, about a 42% retrace of the London leg, and price is now grinding into the 83493 recent high with higher lows above yesterday's 83305 prior high. RSI is near 62, not stretched; soft US housing data drove yesterday's NY rally off 81200 and still anchors the backdrop.
Support: 83,305.26, 83,136.44, 83,109.47
Resistance: 83,493.05, 83,589.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83590 session high extends the London leg
Break below the 83136 higher low ends the higher-low sequence and puts the asian high at 83109 back in play
Failure to hold the 83305 prior high opens a deeper retrace of the London leg
NY open in ~1h and Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift risk tone
12:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, compressing below range top · RSI 57 · price 83,378.18
London breakout above the Asian range, then higher lows under a 83520 cap.
London cleared the Asian high near 83110 and spiked to an 83590 session high before rejection. The pullback low at 83136 held near the 38.2% fib of the 82514 asian low to 83590 leg, and higher lows since are pressing into the 83520 range top through the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) neutral at 57. Soft US housing data are giving risk a modest relief tone.
Support: 83,136.44, 82,514.13
Resistance: 83,589.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83520 range top reopens the 83590 session high
A break of the higher lows line and loss of the 83136 pullback low turns the move into a deeper retrace toward the 82514 asian low
No US data due in the next 8h; NY open risk tone and DXY around 101.75-101.80 are the near-term drivers
London broke above the Asian range; lower highs from 83590 against a flat 83136 floor.
London cleared the Asian high at 83109 and spiked to an 83590 session high, which was rejected. Price has since compressed between the 83136 London low, held twice, and a lower high at 83467, sitting just above the prior NY high at 83305. There is no BTC-specific catalyst; soft US housing data is offering mild relief against the hawkish-Fed backdrop.
Support: 83,305.00, 83,136.00, 83,109.00
Resistance: 83,467.00, 83,590.00
What it said to watch
Close below the 83136 London low breaks the floor and opens a retest of the 83109 Asian high
Close above the 83467 lower high ends the lower-highs sequence; 83590 session high is next
Loss of the 83305 prior NY high puts the consolidation floor back in play
Rising support from the 82514 Asian low runs under the 83136 London low and underpins the intraday uptrend
NY open in under 2h with no scheduled US data in the next 8h; Thursday jobless claims and Friday PMIs are the next macro risk
HH/HL chain above Asian range, shallow pullback held.
London broke the Asian high at 83109 and ran to an 83590 session high that was rejected. The pullback set a higher low at 83136, about 42% of the London leg, and price is back above yesterday's 83305 prior high, pressing the 83519 swing high into the London-NY transition. The tape is macro-only, with no BTC-specific news; yesterday's NY spike came as weak US housing data landed. RSI(14) near 64 shows no extreme.
Support: 83,305.00, 83,136.00, 83,109.00
Resistance: 83,519.00, 83,590.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83519 swing high reopens the 83590 session high; acceptance above it extends the HH sequence
Slipping back below the 83305 prior high puts the 83136 higher low back in focus
Failure to hold the 83136 higher low breaks the London HH/HL chain and exposes the 83109 Asian high
NY open is close, with no US data due in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims is the next scheduled catalyst
London breakout above Asian range, now lower highs above 83136 swing low.
London cleared the Asian high at 83109 and yesterday's NY high near 83305. The spike to the 83590 session high was rejected, and price has since printed a lower high at 83519 and a minor high at 83402. The pullback held the 83136 swing low above the Asian high, RSI(14) is near 58, and soft US housing data are the only macro input with no BTC-specific news.
Support: 83,136.44, 83,109.47
Resistance: 83,402.15, 83,519.02, 83,589.94
What it said to watch
Close below the 83136 swing low and the 83109 Asian high reopens the 38.2–50% zone of the London leg near 83180–83050
Close above the 83402 minor high and 83519 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence back toward the 83590 session high
NY open at 13:30 UTC is the next liquidity test of the range; US Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the macro read
London broke the Asian range high; HL at 83136, LH at 83519.
London broke the 82514–83109 Asian range and spiked to an 83590 session high that was rejected. The 83136 pullback low held between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the leg off the Asian low, but price is still capped under the 83519 lower high. Soft US housing data drove yesterday's NY-session surge from 81540 into this range.
Support: 83,136.44, 83,109.47, 82,514.13
Resistance: 83,519.02, 83,589.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83519 lower high reopens the 83590 session high
Close below the 83136 pullback low and the 83109 asian high would make the London breakout a false break, with the 82514 asian low back in view
NY open in ~2.5h; no scheduled US data before Thursday's jobless claims
10:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 65 · price 83,349.21
London broke the Asian range high; higher low now forming above it.
London cleared the Asian high at 83109 and ran to a London high of 83590. The pullback low at 83136 held just above the breakout, near the 38.2% retracement of the 82514–83590 leg. Price has since turned higher from there, with RSI(14) at 65 and the lower high at 83519 capping it so far. This builds on yesterday's NY surge from 81200 after the soft US housing data.
Support: 83,136.44, 83,109.47, 82,514.13
Resistance: 83,519.02, 83,589.94
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the Asian high at 83109 turns the breakout into a false break
Close above the lower high at 83519, then the London high at 83590, resumes the higher-high chain
Loss of the higher lows trendline opens a deeper test toward 83050, the 50% retracement
NY open in ~3h; with no US data due, risk sentiment and DXY behaviour are the main swing factors
10:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 57 · price 83,173.40
London broke Asian range high, then failed above prior high; lower highs since 83,590.
London cleared the Asian high near 83,105 and spiked to an 83,590 session high, but could not hold above yesterday's 83,305 prior high. A run of lower highs since then has pulled price back to the 38.2% fib of the London leg near 83,180, and RSI(14) has cooled to ~57. The macro backdrop stays two-way after soft US housing data, with no BTC-specific catalyst.
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 83,305 prior high negates the false break read; 83,519 lower high is next
Failure to hold 83,105 asian high exposes the 50% fib at 83,050 and the fib 61.8% at 82,925
Break below 82,514 asian low would fully unwind the London leg
NY open in ~3h with no US data scheduled; equity risk sentiment is the main swing factor
10:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back after rejection · RSI 57 · price 83,178.40
London broke the Asian range high, spike rejected, lower high now retesting the breakout.
London broke the Asian high near 83110 and the prior high at 83305. The spike to the 83590 session high was rejected, and a lower high at 83520 followed. Price has slipped back to the 38.2% fib near 83180, testing the breakout from above, with RSI(14) cooled to ~57 against a soft-growth US backdrop after yesterday's weak housing data.
Support: 83,110.00, 82,925.00, 82,514.00
Resistance: 83,305.00, 83,520.00, 83,590.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 83110 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range
Failure to hold the fib 61.8 at 82925 exposes the asian low at 82514
Close back above the 83305 prior high reopens the 83520 lower high and the 83590 session high
No US data in the next 8h; Thursday's jobless claims are the next scheduled macro catalyst
London broke above the Asian range, then rejected at 83590; pullback holding the prior high.
London cleared the Asian high at 83109 and yesterday's prior high near 83305, wicking to an 83590 session high before rejecting. Price is mid-London, retesting the 83305 prior high after a pullback low at 83258 and a lower high at 83519. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-60s despite a firm-USD macro headwind.
Support: 83,305.00, 83,258.00, 83,109.00
Resistance: 83,519.00, 83,590.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 83258 pullback low turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the asian high at 83109.
The 38.2% fib of the London leg sits near 83180, between the pullback low and the asian high.
A close above the 83519 lower high and the 83590 session high resumes the higher-high sequence.
The USD-driven macro headwind could weigh on this breakout if the dollar keeps bouncing.
London breakout above Asian range, lower high after 83590 rejection.
London cleared the Asian high at 83109 and ran to an 83590 session high, which was rejected with a long upper wick; the bounce stalled at a lower high near 83519. Price is now retesting the 83300 prior high, yesterday's NY spike peak set on the weak US housing data, with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-60s.
Support: 83,300.00, 83,105.00, 82,514.00
Resistance: 83,519.00, 83,590.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 83300 prior high puts the 83105 asian high and the 50% retracement of the London leg (~83050) in play
Close above the 83519 lower high and 83590 session high resumes the higher-high chain from the 82514 asian low
Loss of the 82514 asian low would negate the London breakout
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims is the next macro catalyst
London broke the Asian range high and yesterday's high; higher lows since the Asian low.
London cleared the 83109 Asian range high and yesterday's 83305 prior high. The 83590 session high was rejected at 08:45 UTC, but the dip held at the 83105 pullback low, near the 38.2–50% fib of the Asian low-to-high leg. Price is back near 83480 mid-London with RSI(14) hot around 79, despite a firm-USD macro headwind only partly eased by weak US housing data.
Support: 83,305.26, 83,105.48
Resistance: 83,589.94, 84,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 83305 prior high returns price to yesterday's range
Break of the 83590 session high puts the 84000 round number in play
Loss of the London rising trendline and the 83105 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Oil/Iran-driven USD swings into NY open could materially shift this read
London broke the Asian range higher, retest of 83105 held, higher lows from 82514.
Early in the London session, price broke the Asian high at 83109 and wicked to a session high at 83590, which was rejected back to 83105 before buying returned; price is now holding above yesterday's NY prior high at 83305. RSI(14) is near 76, firm but short of extreme, with no BTC-specific news and the USD steady near 101.80 DXY.
Support: 83,305.00, 83,109.00
Resistance: 83,590.00, 84,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 83305 prior high would turn the break into a false break
Loss of the 83109 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and below the 50% of the London leg fib
Acceptance above the 83590 session high leaves the 84000 round number as the next reference
No US data in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims is the next scheduled macro risk
London break of the Asian range, wick rejection above prior high.
London lifted price through the Asian high at 83110 and swept yesterday's NY prior high at 83305. The 08:45 UTC bar printed a 83590 session high but closed back at 83136, and price is now retesting the Asian high with RSI(14) cooling to ~67. The firm-USD, hawkish-Fed backdrop after the hot core PPI stays a headwind, partly offset by soft US housing data.
Support: 83,110.00, 82,515.00
Resistance: 83,305.00, 83,590.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 83110 asian high turns the London break into a false break and exposes the 50–61.8% retracement of the asian low to session high leg, near 83050–82925
Acceptance above the 83305 prior high reopens the 83590 session high wick
Loss of the 82515 asian low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
A renewed DXY push toward 102.35 would extend the USD headwind on this read
08:47 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the prior high · RSI 70 · price 83,251.32
London breakout above Asian range, higher lows from 82514.
London lifted price off the 82514 session low and broke the Asian high near 83109. Price is now pressing yesterday's NY prior high at 83305 with RSI(14) near 70, short-term hot but not stretched. There is no BTC-specific news; softer US housing data gives modest macro relief.
Support: 83,109.47, 82,514.13
Resistance: 83,305.26, 83,500.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 83305 prior high would leave a double-top shape against yesterday's NY peak
A close above 83305 opens the path to the 83500 round number
A close back below the 83109 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and tests the rising tl near 82980
Loss of the 82514 session low breaks the London higher-low sequence
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing range top · RSI 65 · price 83,114.47
London broke above the Asian range high with higher lows since the Asian low; retest of the breakout in progress.
London lifted price through the Asian high at 83,109 to a session high at 83,235. It is now retesting the Asian high, with RSI(14) near 65 and yesterday's NY-open prior high at 83,305 capping overhead. The macro digest still flags a firm USD as the headwind, softened by weak US housing data.
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 82,973 pullback low turns the Asian-range breakout into a false break
Close above the 83,305 prior high clears yesterday's NY spike top
Loss of the 82,514 asian low breaks the higher-low chain along the London trend
Rejection at the 83,235 session high with a fall back inside the Asian range puts the range read back in play
08:17 UTC
Intraday higher lows, stalling at range top · RSI 63 · price 83,017.58
Range 82,514–83,128; third test of range top since midnight UTC.
London opened with a lift from the 82,514 Asian low into the 83,110–83,128 band, a cap now tested three times since midnight UTC. The 83,128 session high was only marginally cleared, and price is holding just below it with RSI(14) near 63. Yesterday's NY spike high at 83,305 sits above, and soft US housing data has trimmed the dollar headwind without adding a fresh driver.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83,128 session high breaks the range top and opens the path to the 83,305 prior high
Loss of the 82,889 pullback low and the rising support line exposes the 82,651 london low, near the 61.8% retracement of the Asian low to session high leg
Break below the 82,514 asian low ends the higher-low sequence and turns the range read lower
No USD data in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims is the next scheduled risk
08:03 UTC
Intraday up-leg, pressing range top · RSI 65 · price 83,027.56
London breakout off Asian base, testing overnight highs.
The London open lifted BTC from the 82,514 asian low through the 82,970 breakout level and into the 83,109–83,128 asian high zone, which has capped price since late NY. RSI(14) is near 65 and not stretched. Yesterday's NY-open spike high at 83,305 sits overhead, against a firm-USD macro backdrop.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83,128 asian high breaks the overnight range and opens the path to the 83,305 spike high
A slip back below the 82,970 breakout level puts price back inside the range and exposes the 82,514 asian low
A break of the rising lows line near 82,500 would turn the intraday structure into lower lows
Renewed DXY strength during London hours, flagged in the digest, is the main headwind to a range break
07:47 UTC
Range, early London push testing the top · RSI 63 · price 82,995.60
Asian range 82514–83110, third rejection at the range high.
The early-London leg off the 82514 Asian low retested the 83110 Asian high, its third tag since midnight UTC. The current bar is fading just below that level with RSI(14) near 63, keeping price inside the 82514–83110 Asian range. Yesterday's NY-open spike high at 83305 caps above, and the macro backdrop of a firm USD and hawkish Fed pricing remains a mild headwind.
Support: 82,651.00, 82,514.00, 82,287.00
Resistance: 83,110.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 83110 Asian high breaks the range and brings the 83305 NY spike high into view
Losing the 82651 London base turns the London leg into a failed push and puts the 82514 Asian low back in play
A break below 82514 exposes the 82287 swing low from yesterday's NY session
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims is the next USD event risk
Early London lifted BTC off the 82514 swing low and through the 82800 break level that capped the Asian range. Price is now pressing the 83109 Asian high, which held twice overnight and sits below the 83305 prior high where yesterday's NY spike was rejected. RSI(14) is near 65 and not stretched, and USD is flat ahead of Friday's PMIs.
Support: 82,800.00, 82,514.13
Resistance: 83,109.47, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83109 Asian high breaks the lower highs line and opens the path to the 83305 prior high
Rejection at 83109 that drops back below the 82800 break level returns price to the Asian range
Failure to hold the 82514 swing low breaks the higher lows line and confirms a lower-low
Thu 12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims is the next scheduled USD risk
07:17 UTC
Post-spike consolidation, lower highs since Asia · RSI 53 · price 82,682.94
Inside Asian range 82,514–83,109, lower-high sequence from 83,109.
Monday's NY-session spike from 81,200 to the 83,305 monday high came as US housing data missed, then faded to the 82,161 ny pullback low. Asia was rejected twice at the 83,109 asian high and has printed lower highs since, with the 82,514 asian low near the 38.2% retrace of the ny spike fib. That dip below the 82,610 asian floor was a false break, reclaimed within an hour. Early London now trades mid-range just under the 82,800 lower high, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 82,800 lower high and its trendline breaks the lower-highs sequence and puts the 83,109 asian high back in play
Acceptance back below the 82,610 asian floor and a break of the 82,514 asian low would confirm a lower low, with the 82,161 ny pullback low next
Above 83,109, the 83,305 monday high is the remaining cap from the NY spike
No US data in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC Jobless Claims and Fri PMIs are the next scheduled macro risk via the USD
Lower highs off 83305 NY high, Asian range 82514–82843.
The NY open drove price out of the 81200–81670 London range to an 83305 NY high alongside soft US housing data, then rejected hard to the 82161 spike low. Overnight highs at 83109 were capped twice, forming lower highs. The Asian session has held a tight 82514–82843 range. Price sits near mid-range at London open, just above the 38.2% retrace, with RSI(14) flat near 52.
Support: 82,514.13
Resistance: 83,109.47, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82514 asian low breaks the 38.2% retrace and exposes the 82161 spike low near the 50% level
Close above the 82843 asian high and the lower highs trendline reopens the 83109 overnight hi
Acceptance back above 83109 would bring the 83305 ny high back into play
06:47 UTC
Sideways to lower, lower highs since 83109 · RSI 56 · price 82,733.89
Lower-high/lower-low drift inside Asia session range 82514–83109.
Asia session has printed lower highs since the 83109 double top. The session low at 82514 sits on the 38.2% fib of yesterday's NY spike from 81203 to 83305. Price is back at 82734 between the 82611 swing low and the 82844 swing high ahead of London open, RSI(14) near 56, and soft US housing data has not broken the drift.
Support: 82,611.00, 82,514.00, 82,161.00
Resistance: 82,844.00, 83,109.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 82844 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline
Close above 83109 double top reopens the 83305 spike high
Loss of 82514 session low (38.2% fib) exposes the 82161 post-spike low
London open range expansion; ATR near $125 per bar sets the expected move size
Firm USD backdrop (DXY ~101.8) ahead of Thu Jobless Claims and Fri PMIs
06:32 UTC
Sideways after NY spike, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 82,652.98
Lower highs inside post-spike range, Asian range intact.
Since the NY-session spike from 81,202 to the 83,305 NY high, BTC has held a range above the 82,161 spike low. The Asian session printed lower highs from the 83,109 Asian high to the 82,844 lower high, and a 82,514 Asian low near the 38.2% retrace. RSI(14) near 47 with price just under both EMAs, and the macro read remains a firm-USD headwind ahead of London open.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82,514 Asian low and 38.2% retrace exposes the 82,287 swing low, then the 82,161 spike low
Close above the 82,844 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high trendline and puts the 83,109 Asian high back in focus
Acceptance above the 83,305 NY high would end the post-spike range read
A renewed DXY push from ~101.80 or a jump in oil/Iran headlines could weigh on the range floor
06:17 UTC
Pullback from the NY rally, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 41 · price 82,572.07
Asian double top at 83110, range floor broken late Asia.
Yesterday's NY rally ran from 81203 to 83305 and has since retraced. Asia then capped twice at the 83110 double top. A run of lower highs followed, and late Asia cut through the 82620 asian floor to an 82514 session low, near the 38.2% retracement at 82502. The firm USD in Asia fits the drift lower, and price sits below both EMAs heading into London open.
Support: 82,514.00, 82,290.00
Resistance: 82,620.00, 82,840.00, 83,110.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 82620 asian floor would turn the break into a false break
Failure to hold the 82514 session low exposes the 82290 swing low near the 50% retracement
Close above the 82840 lower high breaks the descending sequence of Asia lower highs
Firmer DXY around London open would extend the macro headwind noted in the digest
06:04 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia high · RSI 40 · price 82,563.08
Asian range floor broken; lower highs at 83109 then 82843.
Yesterday's NY open spike lifted price from 81203 to 83305, and Asia printed a double top at the 83109 asia high. A lower high followed at 82843. Late-Asia trade has since broken the 82620 asia floor to a 82514 session low, near the 38.2% fib of the NY rally, as DXY firmed back toward 101.80 on oil.
Support: 82,514.00, 82,287.00, 82,161.00
Resistance: 82,620.00, 82,843.00, 83,109.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 82514 session low opens the 82287 swing low and 50% fib area, with the 82161 post-ny low below
Recovery back above the 82620 asia floor would mark the range break as a false break
A close above the 82843 lower high and the falling trendline invalidates the lower-high sequence
London open in the next hour may extend or reverse the break; USD/oil headline flow is the main driver with no US data in the next 8h
05:47 UTC
Pullback from NY high, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 82,629.00
Descending highs off 83,110 double top, pressing session low.
BTC has faded from the 83,305 NY high set in the 13:30 UTC spike. Equal highs at 83,110 in early Asia formed a double top, and a lower-high sequence has followed since. Price is testing the 82,570 session low late in the Asia session, with RSI(14) near 40 and below both EMAs, while a firm USD keeps the macro backdrop a headwind.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82,570 session low extends the lower-high sequence toward fib 38.2 of the NY rally at 82,502, then the 82,161 spike low
Close above the 82,843 lower high breaks the descending trendline and neutralises the double top read
London open within ~1h typically expands the Asian range; ATR(14) is ~$112
Thu 12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims is the next scheduled USD risk
05:33 UTC
Sideways after NY spike, recovering mid-range · RSI 58 · price 82,800.81
Asian range 82611–83109, lower highs below 83305 NY high.
The 14:00 UTC spike to the 83305 NY high followed the weak Pending Home Sales print. It faded, and Asia has since held a lower-highs range, with sellers capping 83109 twice and the 82611–82621 Asian low absorbing four probes. Late Asia has price back near the 38.2% of the Asian swing at 82800, testing the 82844 minor high into London open.
Support: 82,611.02
Resistance: 82,843.77, 83,109.47, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
A close above the 82844 minor high puts the 83109 Asian high back in play
Failure at 83109 again keeps the lower-highs sequence from the 83305 NY high intact
A close below the 82611 Asian low breaks the range and exposes the 82161 NY low
London open taking out either Asian range extreme sets the session direction
Firm DXY near 101.80 remains the macro headwind behind the capped highs
Tight Asia-session range under a double top, lower highs pressing the range floor.
The double top at 83109 capped the overnight push. The Asia session has since compressed into an 82611–82775 band, with lower highs pressing the asian low and price hugging flat EMAs. The wider structure still holds above the 82287 swing low and the 38.2% retrace of Tuesday's NY spike to the 83305 ny high, a move that came after the weak US housing data.
Support: 82,611.02, 82,287.38
Resistance: 82,774.84, 83,109.47, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82611 asian low confirms the double top break and exposes the 82287 swing low
M15 close above the 82775 lower high breaks the trendline and reopens the 83109 double top
Firmer USD on oil / US-Iran headlines could add pressure on the asian low
04:47 UTC
Pullback after NY spike, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 82,679.95
Double top at 83,109; lower highs compressing onto the Asian low.
Weak US housing data around the NY open drove a spike from 81,200 to the 83,305 spike high. Price faded to the 82,162 post-ny low, then ground back up into a double top at 83,109 during the Asia session. BTC is now compressing late in the Asia session between the 82,611 asian low and a lower high at 82,775, sitting on the 50–61.8% fib of the 82,287 swing low to double top leg, with RSI(14) near 41.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82,611 asian low confirms the double top and exposes the 82,287 swing low, then the 82,162 post-ny low
Close above the 82,775 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 83,109 double top
London open could break the tight Asian range; US-Iran and USD headlines remain the main macro swing factor
Lower highs inside Asian range, rising trendline intact.
The NY open drove a leg from 81,200 to 83,305 as the USD softened on weak US housing data. The 82,287 swing low later held, and Asia printed a double top at the 83,109 asian high. Price is now compressing above the 82,611 asian low at the 50% fib of that swing, just under EMA20, with RSI(14) near 47.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82,611 asian low breaks the rising trendline and the double top neckline, exposing the 82,287 swing low
Close back above the 82,770 lower high reopens the 83,109 asian high
London open (~07:00 UTC) is the next test of the Asian compression; US-Iran headlines remain a two-way USD risk
04:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling below the spike high · RSI 47 · price 82,704.92
Higher lows since the NY spike, double top at 83,110, tight 82,611–82,755 band.
Weak US pending home sales during yesterday's NY session drove a spike to the 83,305 spike high, which faded to the 82,162 spike low. Higher lows since then ran into a rejection twice at the 83,110 asian high. Price is now compressing between the 82,611 asian low and the 82,755 range top, with the asian low sitting on the 61.8% fib of the 82,288–83,110 leg and near EMA50; RSI(14) is neutral in the high 40s.
What it said to watch
A close below 82,611 (asian low / 61.8% fib) breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 82,288 swing low.
A close above the 82,755 range top reopens the 83,110 asian high; the 83,305 spike high caps above that.
London open is the likely trigger for a move out of the band.
US-Iran headlines remain a two-way USD wildcard that could shift this read.
04:03 UTC
Pullback after NY spike, lower highs in Asia · RSI 38 · price 82,632.00
Asian double top at 83,110; price pressing the Asian low.
The NY spike from 81,203 to the 83,305 NY high, helped by softer USD after weak housing data, gave back about half in one bar. Late in the Asia session, price rejected twice at the 83,110 Asian high and is now pressing the 82,610 Asian low, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 38.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82,610 Asian low confirms the double top and opens the 82,287 swing low, then the 82,160 spike low.
Reclaim of the 82,755 lower high breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 83,110 Asian high.
London open in about 3h is the first test of the Asian range. US-Iran headlines driving USD are the main unscheduled risk, with no US data due in the next 8h.
03:47 UTC
Sideways-to-lower after NY spike, momentum faded · RSI 48 · price 82,648.98
Asian double top at 83,109; 82,680 neckline lost, price holding the asian low.
BTC ran from 81,200 to the 83,305 NY high as weak US housing data softened the USD, then retraced to 82,161. The Asian session printed a double top at 83,109 and slipped below the 82,680 neckline. Price is now coiling on the asian low at 82,611, near the 61.8% fib of the 82,287–83,109 leg and capped by ema20 near 82,755.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the asian low at 82,611 extends the double top and exposes the 82,287 swing low, then the 82,161 ny retrace
Reclaim of ema20 near 82,755 and a return to 83,109 would neutralise the double top read; 83,305 ny high above
US-Iran headlines can jolt the USD at any time; next scheduled US risk is Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims
03:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, rolling over in Asia · RSI 42 · price 82,689.94
Double rejection at 83109, neckline broken, coiling near the 50-61.8% fib.
Asia session rejected 83109 twice (00:30 and 01:30 UTC), breaking the rising trendline off the 82287 swing low and dropping price below EMA20 to an Asian low of 82611, near the 61.8% fib of the 82287–83109 leg. Price is now coiling around 82690, just above EMA50, with RSI(14) near 42. The NY high at 83305, a spike on soft US housing data and a softer USD, remains the window top after fully fading.
Support: 82,611.00, 82,287.00
Resistance: 83,109.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82611 Asian low opens the 82287 swing low
Reclaim of the 83109 Asian high reopens the 83305 NY high
US-Iran headlines moving USD and yields could shift this read before London open
Lower highs below 83305 NY high; Asian range 82611–83109.
NY morning broke the London range off the 81203 NY low and ran to an 83305 NY high as USD softness added support. Asia then capped twice at 83109, an asian high double top, and slipped to an 82611 asian low. Price is now sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 82,611.00, 82,287.00, 81,203.00
Resistance: 83,109.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82611 asian low extends the pullback toward the 82287 swing low, near the 38.2% fib of the NY rally
Recovery above the 83109 asian high voids the double top and reopens the 83305 NY high
Close above the lower-highs line from the NY high breaks the fading-momentum read
US-Iran headlines driving USD and yields can jolt the range during the London open
Lower high at 83109 vs 83305 NY high; testing Asian range low.
NY open lifted BTC from 81203 to the 83305 NY high, helped by a softer USD after weak US housing data. Three overnight rejections at the 83109 triple cap set a lower high. Late-Asia selling has broken the rising trendline and price now sits on the 82611 Asian low, with RSI(14) near 42 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 82,611.00, 82,287.00
Resistance: 83,109.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82611 Asian low breaks the overnight range and exposes the 82287 swing low, near the 50% fib of the NY rally fib
Reclaim of the 83109 triple cap would undo the lower-high read and reopen the 83305 NY high
Holding back above the broken rising trendline would restore the higher-low chain from 82287
US-Iran headlines could move the USD and shift this read before the London open
02:47 UTC
Sideways after NY spike, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 82,693.93
Lower high under 83305; twin Asian highs at 83109 with price back at the Asian low.
The NY open rally ran from 81202 to the 83305 NY high as weak US housing data softened USD, then a single bar reversed it to the 82161 NY low. Asia twice stalled at the 83109 Asian high, a double top under the lower-highs line. Price is back on the 82611 Asian low, about 29% into the NY rally fib, below EMA20 and just above EMA50.
Support: 82,611.00, 82,361.00, 82,161.00
Resistance: 83,109.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82611 Asian low confirms the double top and opens the 82361 swing low, then the 82161 NY low
Reclaim of the 83109 Asian high voids the double top and puts the 83305 NY high back in play
Unscheduled US-Iran headlines moving USD and yields could break the Asian range
02:32 UTC
Intraday pullback after lower high · RSI 40 · price 82,621.01
Double top at 83109 in Asia session, 82680 neckline broken, testing Asia low.
The NY-session spike from 81203 to the 83305 NY high came alongside a softer USD after the US housing misses. It was rejected within the hour. The Asia session then printed a lower double top at 83109, and price has slipped through the 82680 neckline to sit on the Asia low near 82617, with the 61.8% fib of the 82287–83109 leg at about 82600.
Support: 82,617.02, 82,287.38
Resistance: 82,679.95, 83,109.47, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
A close back above the 82680 neckline negates the double top read
Failure to hold the Asia low and the 61.8% fib near 82600 exposes the 82287 swing low, then the 82161 spike low
A close above the 83109 double top reopens the 83305 NY high
Unscheduled US-Iran headlines moving the USD could shift this read before Thursday's jobless claims
02:17 UTC
Pullback from NY spike, momentum fading · RSI 40 · price 82,649.98
Lower high at 83,109 under the 83,305 spike high; rising trendline and 82,680 neckline broken in Asia.
Price spiked in the NY session from the 81,203 day low to the 83,305 NY high as weak US housing data softened the USD. The late-NY grind stalled at twin highs near 83,109, and the Asia session has now broken the rising trendline and the 82,680 neckline, with RSI(14) near 40 and price below EMA20.
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 82,680 neckline negates the micro double top
The fib 38.2 at 82,502 is the next test, then the 82,287 swing low; losing the swing low exposes the 82,161 spike low
A close above the 83,109 twin highs puts the 83,305 NY high back in play
Unscheduled US-Iran headlines moving USD and yields could override the intraday read
HL chain 82287 → 82680; Asian high at 83110 rejected twice.
BTC broke out of the 81200–81650 range at Monday's NY open and spiked to the 83305 NY high. The spike low at 82160 held, and lows have stepped up since, from the 82287 swing low to the 82680 Asian low, which sits on the 50% fib. The Asian high at 83110 has rejected price twice this session, leaving price mid-range near 82890 with RSI(14) neutral at 51, as softer US housing data and a weaker USD offset the hot-PPI headwind.
Support: 82,680.00, 82,287.00, 82,160.00
Resistance: 83,110.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83110 Asian high opens a retest of the 83305 NY high
Failure to hold the 82680 Asian low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 82287 swing low
Loss of 82160 spike low unwinds the NY breakout leg
US-Iran headlines moving yields and USD could materially shift this read before London open
01:47 UTC
Recovering within Asia range, neutral momentum · RSI 51 · price 82,905.70
Higher lows since the rejected NY spike, capped below 83110–83305.
The NY-open spike from 81200 was rejected at 83305 (ny high), and the spike low near 82160 held close to the 50% of the NY spike fib; since then a rising lows line runs 82290 (swing low) to 82680 (asia low). Early Asia session is ranging 82680–83110 with RSI(14) neutral near 51, while softer USD after weak US housing data has offset the hawkish PPI backdrop.
Support: 82,680.00, 82,290.00, 82,160.00
Resistance: 83,110.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83110 asia high puts the 83305 ny high back in play
Close below the 82680 asia low and the rising lows line opens a retest of the 82290 swing low
Loss of the 82160 spike low would negate the higher-low sequence off the NY spike
Renewed USD strength on Iran headlines or yields back above 5.12% could break the range lower
01:32 UTC
Recovering after NY spike-and-fade, higher lows intact · RSI 49 · price 82,854.75
Higher-low chain from 82160, capped below 83110–83305.
The NY-open spike from 81200 to the 83305 NY high came as weak US housing data softened the USD, then faded to 82160 near the fib 38.2–50% zone. Higher lows since the 82288 swing low carried price into early Asia, where the 83110 Asian high was rejected and the pullback held the 82680 Asian low and the rising trendline; price is flat near 82850 with RSI(14) ~49 just under EMA20.
Support: 82,680.00, 82,500.00, 82,288.00
Resistance: 83,110.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82680 Asian low and rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain, exposing fib 38.2 near 82500 and the 82288 swing low
Close above the 83110 Asian high reopens a test of the 83305 NY high
Iran deal headlines driving USD and yields could jolt price outside the Asian range
01:17 UTC
Up off NY breakout, now in pullback · RSI 44 · price 82,715.91
Lower high at 83109 under 83305; intraday higher-low chain broken.
NY session broke out of the London range (81200–81650) and spiked to the ny high at 83305. The move came as the USD softened after weak US housing data, and it was rejected within the hour. Buyers held the swing low at 82287, and price ground up to a lower asian high at 83109. Early Asia has unwound to the asian low near 82680, breaking the rising support and sitting on the 50% retrace, with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 82,680.00, 82,287.00, 82,161.00
Resistance: 83,109.00, 83,305.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 82680 asian low extends the pullback toward the 61.8% retrace near 82600 and the 82287 swing low
Recovery above the 83109 asian high reopens the 83305 ny high
Loss of the 82161 spike low erases the higher-low structure from the NY breakout
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Iran/oil headlines moving the USD are the main swing factor
Higher lows from 82287 swing low; Asia high at 83109 is a lower high under the 83305 NY high.
The NY breakout from the 81200 London base (14:00 UTC, as weak US housing data and a softer USD hit) spiked to the 83305 NY high. A sharp rejection followed, and price has since built higher lows from the 82287 swing low. Early Asia stalled at the 83109 Asia high, a lower high, and the pullback is now testing the rising trendline near 82850, with RSI(14) neutral around 51 and price sitting on EMA20.
Support: 82,753.87, 82,287.38
Resistance: 83,109.47, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the rising trendline and the 82754 Asia low breaks the higher-low chain from 82287
Acceptance above the 83109 Asia high reopens a test of the 83305 NY high
Below 82754, the fib 38.2 near 82500 and the 82287 swing low are the next references
No US data in the next 8h; Iran deal headlines moving USD and yields remain the swing factor
00:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding back toward the NY spike high · RSI 62 · price 83,034.56
Higher-low chain (82162 → 82287 → 82754) after the NY open breakout.
The NY open rally broke out of the 81200–81650 London range and ran to 83305 (the ny spike hi), with USD off its highs after weak US housing data. A rejection there sent price back to the 82162 spike low. Higher lows since then have carried price back to test 83109, the early Asia high, with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 82,753.87, 82,287.38, 82,161.52
Resistance: 83,109.47, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
A close above the 83305 ny spike hi extends the higher-low chain; a stall below 83109 and 83305 leaves a lower-high cap
A break of the 82754 higher low and the higher-lows trendline turns the grind into a range
Loss of the 82287 swing low and 82162 spike low puts the 61.8% retrace of the NY rally near 82006 in view
US-Iran headlines driving USD and yields remain the swing risk during Asia hours
Higher lows from 82,287 inside the 82,160–83,305 post-spike range.
The 14:00 UTC NY spike from 81,200 to the 83,305 spike high reversed in a single bar to 82,160. Since then, a higher-low chain off the 82,287 swing low, with a softer USD on weak housing data and Iran-deal hopes as the backdrop, has lifted price to the 83,097 Asia high early in the Asia session. The 82,750 shelf held three times overnight and sits near the 38.2% retracement of the rally fib; RSI(14) is near 62, with no extreme.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83,305 spike high takes price out of the post-spike range
Loss of the 82,750 shelf breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain, exposing the 82,287 swing low
A stall at the 83,097 Asia high, below the spike high, keeps the range read intact
Iran-deal headlines moving oil, yields and USD are the main swing factor for this read during Asia
HL chain off 82287 pivot low, pressing late NY high below spike high.
The NY session spike from 81203 to the 83305 spike high met sharp rejection, but the retrace low at 82162 (about 54% of the NY spike fib) held near the Asian high as USD softened on weak US housing data. Since then a higher-low line from the 82287 pivot low to the 82754 higher low has lifted price back into the 83064 late NY high in early Asia session, with RSI(14) at 62 and no extremes.
Support: 82,753.87, 82,287.38, 82,161.52
Resistance: 83,063.52, 83,305.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 83064 late ny high exposes the 83305 spike high
Failure to hold the 82754 higher low breaks the HL chain and opens the 82287 pivot low
Loss of the 82162 retrace low puts the NY spike fib 61.8% near 82006 in view
No US data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines are the main USD swing risk for this read
00:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend after breakout, pulling back · RSI 58 · price 82,834.78
Higher low at 82287, lower high vs 83305 NY high.
Soft US housing data at 14:00 UTC (Pending Home Sales -7.3%) broke the 81200–82200 London range, with a spike to the 83305 NY high that reversed to 82160 within an hour. The late-NY rally from the 82287 higher low stalled at the 83063 swing high. Early Asia session is now holding the 82760 micro low near the 38.2% of that late-NY rally, with RSI(14) ~58.
Support: 82,287.38
Resistance: 83,305.26
What it said to watch
Break below the 82760 micro low exposes rising support and the 61.8% retracement near 82585, then the 82287 higher low
M15 close above the 83063 swing high reopens the 83305 NY high
US-Iran headlines driving USD and yields could shift this read during Asia hours