BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Saturday, 31 October 2026

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling after breakdown · RSI 39 · price 77,468.69

Lower highs from 84797; 79450-81900 range broke lower, now a tight base above 77035.

Lower highs have built since the 84797 swing high. Thursday's US GDP/PCE batch, a strong growth beat with sticky core and little dovish fuel, produced a spike to the 81893 lower high that reversed straight through the 79450 range floor, printing a 76227 swing low. Price is now compressing in a 77035-77700 band below both EMAs, with EMA20 under EMA50; ATR is contracting fast from the breakdown expansion in thin weekend trade.

Support: 77,035.00, 76,227.00

Resistance: 78,250.00, 79,450.00, 81,893.00

What it said to watch

• H4 close above the 78250 fib 23.6 lifts price out of the post-break base; a return above the 79450 range floor would undercut the range-break read
• Loss of the 77035 range low exposes the 76227 swing low; a close below it extends the lower-low sequence
• Lower-highs trendline from 84797 runs near the 81893 lower high; it stays intact while price holds below that line
• ISM Manufacturing PMI and Prices Paid (Mon 15:00 UTC), then Tuesday's US midterms, could break the current ATR compression

17:41 UTC

Downtrend, pausing after breakdown · RSI 37 · price 77,530.62

Lower highs from 84,797; range floor broken, tight base above 77,000.

Lower highs have been in place since the 84,797 peak, and the week-long 79,170-81,900 range gave way on Thursday after strong GDP and sticky core PCE left little dovish fuel. The drop printed a swing low at 76,227. Price has since built a tight base above the 77,035 base low, below both EMAs, with ATR contracting from the breakdown spike.

What it said to watch

• H4 close above 78,400 (fib 38.2 of the breakdown fib) would mark the first lower-high challenge
• Reclaim of the 79,300 range floor would turn the breakdown into a false break
• Failure below the 76,227 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
• Lower highs trendline from 84,797 caps near the 81,893 swing high
• Weekend thin liquidity, then Mon ISM Manufacturing and Prices Paid (f/c 54.7 / 77.5) and the Nov 3 midterms could materially shift this read