Higher lows off Tuesday base, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD based near 1.1361 into Tuesday, then rallied hard through Thursday's NY session to a 1.14723 week high after the soft US payrolls print trimmed Fed hike bets. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation, slipping back below EMA(20) and holding near the weekly open at 1.14213 with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The 1.1470-1.1500 band flagged as the ceiling on rallies capped the move, and the 1.14550 swing high has capped attempts since.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14213, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower-low, exposing 1.14213 and 1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14550 reopens the 1.14723 week high
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US payrolls print, then stalled below the 1.1470-1.1475 two-week high. Since then price has drifted into a tight consolidation around 1.1435 through thin Independence Day liquidity, easing back toward the 38.2% retrace of the Thursday impulse. Price sits below EMA(20) but holds above EMA(50), with RSI cycling back to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1410, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14475 re-opens the 1.1462 week high
Failure to hold 1.14285 exposes the 1.1410 pivot
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 1.1438
Consolidation below week high after NFP breakout.
EUR/USD bottomed at 1.1361 mid-week before a NFP-driven surge Thursday NY session carried it to the 1.14723 week high as the soft 57K US jobs print knocked the dollar. Since that spike price has consolidated in a 1.1435–1.1455 band, drifting back to the EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The 1.1472 spike high has capped the pair, and the ~1.1435 floor is now the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1410, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 opens the path back toward the 1.1500 zone
Failure to hold 1.1435 exposes the 1.1410 prior swing
ISM Services Mon and thin US-holiday liquidity could whip this range
EUR/USD spiked to a two-week high at 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP print — a dollar story more than a euro one — before stalling and rolling into a tight consolidation. Since then price has held a 1.1435–1.1455 range, drifting back below EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing toward the mid-40s. The spike high at 1.1472 capped the move and remains the level that has yet to be reclaimed.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 spike high opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1435 range low exposes the 1.1410 support zone
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and thin holiday liquidity could shift this read
EUR/USD popped from the 1.1385 support band to a 1.1472 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP print — a dollar-driven move, per the digest. Since that spike the pair has consolidated below 1.1462 with a series of lower highs, and price now sits just under the H1 EMA(20) at ~1.1444. RSI(14) has cooled back toward 48 as the rally stalled below the 1.1470-1.1475 two-week high.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1420 swing low would confirm a lower-low and open the 1.1385 support band
H1 close above 1.1462 prior high re-engages the 1.1472 week high
Eurozone Retail Sales and Lagarde (Mon) plus ISM Services could shift this read
The dominant move of the week was Thursday's NFP-driven spike that pushed EURUSD to a 1.14720 two-week high as the soft US jobs print knocked the dollar. Since then price has drifted into a lower-high consolidation, slipping under EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50) and above the 38.2% retrace of the impulse. The 1.14620–1.14720 zone has capped attempts, keeping the pair boxed between there and the 1.14350 session floor.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1410, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14620 reopens the 1.14720 two-week high
Loss of 1.14350 exposes the 1.14100 support band
ISM Services and Lagarde on Mon could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.14723 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K), then stalled and has been consolidating between the 1.14545 session-high cluster and 1.14348 day low since. Price is drifting back under EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing into the mid-40s as the USD-led bid loses steam. The broader rally off Wednesday's 1.13613 low remains intact while day-low support holds.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1420, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14348 confirms a lower-low and puts 1.14200 in play
A close above 1.14545 reopens the 1.14723 week high
ISM Services and Fed's Waller Monday could shift the USD-led read
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.14378
Higher highs into week high, now consolidating below it.
The week opened near 1.1426, sank to a 1.1361 low, then rallied hard through Thursday's NFP miss (57K) that pressed the dollar lower, spiking to a 1.14723 week high. Since then price has consolidated and slipped back to 1.1438, dipping under EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50) with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The 1.1455–1.1470 zone has capped two attempts, leaving 1.14285 as the near support being tested into Friday's thin holiday trade.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14037, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14550 reopens the 1.14723 week high
Failure to hold 1.14285 exposes the 1.14037 fib 61.8 level
Mon ISM Services and Lagarde could materially shift this USD-led read
Higher highs into week high, now pulling back under EMA20.
EUR/USD surged from the 1.1361 week low to a 1.1472 high after Thursday's soft US NFP print (57K) pressured the dollar, the dominant move of the week. Since that spike price has consolidated below 1.1462 and has now slipped under the H1 EMA20 near 1.1443, with RSI cooling back toward 47. The 1.1410 pivot is the first structural floor below spot as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1370, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1450 / EMA20 re-engages the 1.1462 session high
Loss of 1.1410 pivot opens the 1.1370 support band
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC and Lagarde speech could shift this read
Higher highs off midweek low, now consolidating below EMA20.
EUR/USD ripped off the 1.1361 midweek low, spiking to 1.1472 on the soft US NFP print (57K) that pressured the dollar. Price has since stalled, drifting back below EMA(20) into a 1.1436 pullback with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The 1.1462-1.1472 zone has capped two attempts and remains the this-week ceiling while price holds above the 1.1410 pivot.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1370, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes 1.1370
Reclaim of 1.1462-1.1472 resistance opens the path to 1.1500
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC and Waller speech could reset the USD read
Higher lows since NFP low, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD ramped from Thursday's 1.1361 NFP low to a 1.1472 week high as the dollar sold off on the soft 57K payrolls print. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation, pinned around the EMA20 near 1.1446 with the 1.1454 prior high capping and RSI cooling back to the mid-50s. Higher lows off the NFP spike remain intact but the 1.1454/1.1472 supply band is holding attempts for now.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1454, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 week high opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1400 round number breaks the run of higher lows
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could reshape the USD-led read
Higher lows since Thursday low, capped under 1.1472.
EUR/USD rallied off Thursday's ~1.1361 low into the weak US June NFP print (57K), spiking to 1.1472 as the dollar sold off, then settling into a tight consolidation around 1.1440 just above EMA20. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range near 53 with no push to extremes, and the week high at 1.1472 has capped the last two attempts. Price is holding above the 1.1420 EMA50 shelf that framed the prior range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1370, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 opens the path to the 1.1500 psych cap
Loss of 1.1420 ema50 area exposes 1.1370 uob support
ISM Services (Mon) and Eurozone Retail Sales could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 1.1440
Higher lows off Wednesday low, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD rallied off Wednesday's 1.1361 low and spiked to a 1.1472 two-week high on Thursday's soft US NFP print, a move driven by USD softness rather than a euro catalyst. Since then the pair has consolidated in the 1.1440-1.1462 zone, now sitting back at the EMA20 near 1.1442 with RSI cooling to the mid-50s. Resistance at 1.1462 has capped the retest, with the 1.1472 week high the next barrier.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1400, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1472 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1440 EMA20 exposes 1.1400 psych level
Mon ISM Services and Wed FOMC minutes are the key USD catalysts for this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) then settled into a 1.1440-1.1460 band, holding above the Thursday low near 1.1361. Price is coasting along EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling near 50 as the NFP-driven USD-weakness leg loses steam. The week's advance is a dollar story; the 1.1470/1.1500 zone has capped upside twice.
Support: 1.1437, 1.1400, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14723, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14620 reopens the 1.1470/1.1500 resistance zone
Loss of 1.14370 swing low would break the rising-lows sequence
Mon ISM Services and FOMC minutes Wed are the key drivers into next week
Higher lows since Wed, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD rallied off Wednesday's 1.13613 low to a week high of 1.14723 on the soft 57K NFP print that knocked the dollar. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.14400–1.14620 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 1.14620 session high has capped the last two NY pushes, leaving gains stalled just short of the 1.1470 cap flagged in the digest.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14285, 1.14097
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14620 then 1.14723 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14400 range floor exposes 1.14285
US ISM Services and Fed repricing are the dominant driver for the next sessions
Higher highs since Thursday, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD broke higher into Thursday's NY session on the soft 57K US NFP print, spiking to a week high near 1.1472 before consolidating in the 1.1440s. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling near 58, but the 1.1470/1.1472 area has capped the advance and momentum is flattening. The dominant impulse off Wednesday's 1.1361 low remains intact.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1370, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 week high opens the path to the 1.1500 psych barrier
Failure to hold 1.1410 weekly open exposes 1.1370 swing low
ECB's Nagel 15:00 UTC and Monday US ISM Services could shift this read
Higher highs since Thursday low, consolidating near week high.
EUR/USD has been climbing since Thursday's 1.1361 low, with the sharp expansion bar off the soft US NFP (57K) driving the breakout to 1.1472 before stalling. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 and is consolidating in the mid-1.1400s, with RSI cycling in the upper half. The 1.1470/1.1500 zone has repeatedly capped upside, and the pair sits just under this-week's high.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14285, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1470 opens the path to 1.1500
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.1440 exposes 1.14285, then weekly open at 1.1410
EUR/USD has trended higher since Thursday's 1.13613 low, with the NY-session spike after the soft US NFP print driving the move to a week high at 1.14723. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 but has stalled in the 1.1460/1.1470 zone, which capped the last two pushes; RSI sits mid-50s with pullbacks so far finding support near 1.14300.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1400, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14723, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14723 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
Loss of 1.14000 shifts the read lower toward the 1.13613 week low
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read intraday
Higher lows since Wed low, consolidating below highs.
EUR/USD reversed from Wednesday's 1.1361 low and broke higher on Thursday's NFP miss (57K), spiking to a 9-day high at 1.14723 before settling into a tight mid-1.1440s consolidation. Price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI cycling in the upper half but flattening as the 1.1470 area caps. The 1.1440 floor has held through the NY session, keeping the higher-low sequence intact.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1400, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1470 opens the path to 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1440 opens a retest of 1.1400
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this USD-driven read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.14471
Higher highs and higher lows since midweek low.
EUR/USD has been climbing since the midweek 1.1361 low, with the sharp NFP-miss spike Thursday driving a run to a week high at 1.14723 before consolidating in the mid-1.1440s. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half, but the 1.1470/1.1500 zone flagged in the macro read continues to cap the advance. Pullbacks have so far found demand into the 1.14285 prior low.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14285, 1.1395
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.14723 week high, then 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14285 signals a lower low and breaks the rising support
ECB's Nagel at 15:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
ISM Services Monday is the next major USD catalyst after the holiday
EURUSD has carved higher lows off Wednesday's 1.1361 low, with the NFP miss (57K) spiking price to a week high at 1.1472 before it settled into a 1.1440-1.1455 hold through the NY session. Price sits above EMA(20) and EMA(50), but the pullback from 1.1462 leaves the 1.1472 cap intact and RSI(14) has eased back toward the mid-50s.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1400, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 opens the path to 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1400 weekly open reopens 1.1361 week low
ISM Services + Waller Monday 14:00-15:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
Higher highs since Thursday's NFP, pullback to EMA20.
Thursday's soft US NFP drove the breakout to the 1.14723 nfp high; since then price consolidated 1.1410-1.1455 before pushing to a fresh 1.14621 week high and rejecting back to the EMA20 around 1.1438. The leg has been USD-led rather than EUR-driven, and RSI(14) is cooling off overbought as the pullback develops. Price still holds above both the EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the recovery structure intact.
Support: 1.1438, 1.1400, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14621 week high opens the 1.1470/1.15000 psych cap
Loss of the EMA20 and the 1.14000 round number signals a deeper pullback
ECB's Nagel 15:00 UTC and Monday's US ISM Services could reset the range
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, steady momentum · RSI 62 · price 1.1452
Higher highs and higher lows since Wednesday's low.
EUR/USD has climbed steadily since Wednesday's 1.1361 low, with the Thursday NFP miss (57K) spiking the pair to a 1.1472 nine-day high before consolidating and grinding back up through the NY session. Price sits above both EMAs and is pressing the 1.1462 session high with RSI in the low-60s, the 1.1470-1.1475 cap the immediate hurdle. Momentum is USD-driven softness rather than fresh EUR conviction.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1400, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 opens the path toward the 1.1550 trendline
Failure to hold 1.1440 exposes the 1.1400 weekly pivot
Nagel speech at 15:00 UTC could shift the read on ECB hike odds
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, second day of gains · RSI 61 · price 1.1452
Higher lows since Wednesday low, capped below 1.1472.
EUR/USD extended a second day of gains toward the mid-1.1400s, with the impulsive breakout candle into the NY session coinciding with the weak US NFP print (57K) that knocked the dollar. Price has held above EMA(20) since that push, printing higher lows while stalling just under the 1.1472 nine-day high. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s, still trending but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1400, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1550
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 opens the path toward the 1.1550 trendline
Failure to hold the 1.1400 pivot confirms a lower low
Nagel speech at 15:00 UTC could shift ECB-hike pricing
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the key USD-side risks
EUR/USD extended a USD-weakness rally after Thursday's soft US NFP (57K), spiking to a nine-day high near 1.1472 before consolidating in the 1.1420–1.1460 band and now grinding back up. Price has held above EMA(20) through the pullbacks with RSI(14) cycling in the 55–65 zone, confirming the intraday bid. The move is dollar-driven rather than euro strength, and Lagarde headlines around the London session remain the swing factor.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1421, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1550
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1400 breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens the prior pivot
Reclaim and close above 1.1472 week high extends the impulse toward the 1.1550 trendline
Lagarde speech (08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since mid-week base, pressing weekly top.
EURUSD bottomed near 1.1361 mid-week before the soft US NFP print (57K) sparked a sharp NY-session leg up to a nine-day high around 1.1472. Price has since based above the reclaimed 1.1444 weekly top and holds firmly above EMA20/50, with RSI cycling in the upper half. The 1.1462 session high has capped the latest push.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1425, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 08:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could shift this read
H1 close above 1.1472 opens continuation toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.1444 reopens the 1.1400 breakdown area
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 1.14521
Higher highs since NFP spike.
EUR/USD gapped higher on Thursday's soft US payrolls print (57K vs 110K), spiking from 1.1400 to a 1.14723 week high before basing around 1.1428. Price has since ground back up above EMA(20) with RSI(14) holding the low-60s, and now trades at 1.14521 into the London session, pressing the 1.14621 prior high. The dominant this-week move was USD-led; upside momentum is intact while the 1.1428 shelf holds.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC — dovish tone could fade the 1.1444/1.14621 area
H1 close above 1.14723 opens the path toward the 1.1550 trendline zone
Failure to hold 1.14285 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 63 · price 1.14521
Higher highs and higher lows since Wednesday low.
EUR/USD broke higher out of the mid-week 1.1380 base after Thursday's soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c) knocked the dollar, spiking to a week high 1.14723 and now holding a bid near 1.1452. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band; pullbacks into the 1.1435 consolidation shelf have been absorbed. Session high 1.14621 is the immediate ceiling, above which 1.14723 caps.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1400, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC is the near-term swing factor for this read
H1 close above 1.14621 opens the path back to the 1.14723 week high
Loss of the 1.1435 consolidation shelf exposes the 1.1400 pivot
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.14492
Higher highs, holding above weekly top.
EURUSD ran a nine-day high after the soft US NFP knocked the Dollar, spiking to 1.14723 in one H1 bar before settling into a 1.1420–1.1454 range. Price has held above the 1.1435 weekly top since the breakout, with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half and pullbacks stalling near the swing low at 1.1420. The rally is USD-made; the domestic EUR story stays capped ahead of the ECB read.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1435, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14723 week high extends the NFP breakout
Loss of the 1.1400 psych level reopens the dovish-EUR fade
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.14492
Higher highs and higher lows since NFP.
EUR/USD printed a nine-day high near 1.1449 after Friday's soft US NFP knocked the Dollar, with the impulse candle spiking to 1.14723 before settling into a tight consolidation above EMA20. Price has held above both EMAs since the NFP break, and RSI(14) sits in the low-60s as the pair coils under 1.14545 session resistance. The rally is USD-made; the domestic EUR story stays capped by soft Eurozone CPI.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1436, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC and Composite PMI could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1400 reasserts the dovish-EUR fade
Acceptance above 1.14545 opens the path back to the 1.14723 NFP high
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing highs · RSI 62 · price 1.14467
Higher lows since week low, breaking flag.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on the soft US payrolls miss, then consolidated in a tight flag between 1.1428 and 1.1458 through the Asia session before this last leg pushed back toward the post-NFP high. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half; the 1.1428 flag low aligns with the 38.2% retrace of the rally off the 1.1361 week low. The move remains a weak-USD story rather than intrinsic euro strength.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14580 opens the path back to the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of the 1.14285 flag low would break the higher-low sequence
Lagarde (08:00 UTC) and Eurozone Services/Composite PMI could shift this read intraday
EUR/USD ripped off Thursday's low near 1.1361 on the soft US NFP print, clearing 1.1400 and spiking to a weekly high at 1.14723 during the NY session. Price has since consolidated in the 1.1428–1.1458 band and is grinding back toward the highs, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half. Digest flags the move as dollar-driven rather than euro strength.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1436, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde at 08:00 UTC and Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (07:15-08:00) could reshape this read within the next bar
H1 close above 1.14580 reopens the path toward the 1.14723 week high
Failure to hold 1.14000 pivot would break the higher-low sequence
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.14405
Higher highs post-breakout, coiling under weekly top.
The soft US NFP print drove a sharp USD-weakness spike that broke EUR/USD out of the week's range and up to a 9-day high near 1.1472, with price now sitting above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Since that impulse the pair has coiled in a tight 1.1428–1.1444 range, RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward the mid-50s. The 1.1444 weekly top has capped attempts, keeping the consolidation intact below it.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1405, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1444 opens the path toward the 1.1472 nfp high
Failure to hold the 1.1428 range low exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot
Eurozone PMIs and Lagarde (~07:15-08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Consolidation below weekly high after NFP breakout.
EUR/USD spiked to a nine-day high near 1.1472 during yesterday's NY session on the soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), which knocked the dollar broadly. Price has since eased into a tight consolidation between 1.1420 and 1.1444, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling off from overbought toward the low-60s. The 1.1444 zone has capped the pullback rally, while the 1.1420 consolidation base is absorbing dips.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1382, 1.13687
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14440 reopens the path to the 1.14723 week high
Loss of the 1.14200 consol base exposes the 1.13820 weekly open
Lagarde (~08:00 UTC) and ISM Services could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to the weekly high near 1.14723 after the soft US payrolls print gutted the dollar, then settled into a tight consolidation in the 1.14285–1.14500 band through the Asia session. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, and the higher-lows since Monday's low near 1.13613 keep the weekly structure constructive.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14512 opens the path back to the 1.14723 weekly high
Failure to hold 1.14285 confirms a lower-low and threatens the 1.14000 pivot
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI ~07:15 UTC and Lagarde ~08:00 UTC could reshape this read within hours
Consolidating below weekly top after impulsive spike.
EUR/USD ripped to a nine-day high at 1.14723 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c) that knocked the dollar to a two-week low, then settled into a tight 1.1420–1.1444 range. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s, and the earlier weekly low at 1.13613 is now well below. The move is dollar-driven — softer Eurozone HICP caps intrinsic euro upside.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1403, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.14440/1.14723 opens the path toward 1.1550
Failure to hold 1.14200 exposes 1.14030 then the 1.13613 weekly low
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could reshape this read
EUR/USD ripped from the 1.1361 week low to a 1.1472 spike high on the soft US NFP print, an almost entirely dollar-driven move, and has since consolidated in the 1.1420–1.1450 band above EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled from the post-NFP push back toward the mid-50s as price holds the upper half of the week's range. The 1.14512 spike close is capping attempts, while the 1.1400 pivot underpins the consolidation.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14512 opens the path back to the 1.14723 week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 pivot reopens the downside toward the week low
Lagarde speech and Eurozone Services/Composite PMIs today could shift this read
EUR/USD gapped higher into the NY session on Thursday's soft US NFP print, spiking to 1.14723 before settling into a tight range. Price has since coiled between 1.14285 and the 1.14440 nine-day high, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-band as the dollar-driven rally digests. The whole leg is a weak-USD story; softer Eurozone CPI caps intrinsic euro strength.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.14440 opens the path back to the 1.14723 weekly high
Failure to hold the 1.14285 range floor exposes the 1.14000 psych level
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could reset the USD read
Consolidating below weekly high after NFP breakout.
EUR spiked to a weekly high of 1.1472 during Thursday's NY session as the soft US NFP print knocked the dollar, then faded back to 1.1430 while holding above EMA20/50. Price is now consolidating below the 1.1445 weekly-top ceiling, sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the NFP impulse. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as the drift lower unfolds.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1420 range low opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1445 weekly top needed to re-challenge 1.1458/1.14723 high
Lagarde speech (08:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp spike Thursday into the NY session, tagging a nine-day high at 1.14723 before supply capped the move. Price has since retraced roughly 38% of that impulse and is now consolidating around 1.1430, sitting just under the H1 EMA(20) with RSI hovering near 47. Lower highs off 1.14580 mark a short-term descending ceiling while 1.1420 support has held on the pullback.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400, 1.13687
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14580 reopens the 1.14723 week high
Failure to hold 1.14000 pivot exposes the flagged 1.1300 retest
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) could reshape the USD read
EUR/USD spiked to a fresh week high at 1.1472 during the NY session yesterday after the soft US NFP print knocked the dollar, then faded to consolidate around 1.1425. Price has coiled between the 1.1450 post-NFP shelf and the 1.1400 pivot since, with RSI(14) drifting back to neutral as the impulse cools; price is now hugging the underside of EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50).
Support: 1.1400, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1450 reopens the 1.1472 week high
Loss of 1.1400 pivot exposes the 1.1370 week low
Lagarde speech and ISM Services next week could reset this range
EUR/USD ripped to 1.1472 on the soft US NFP print during Thursday's NY session, then faded back toward the 1.1420 range base and has consolidated there. Price slipped just under EMA(20) but holds above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s as the impulse loses steam. The 1.1450 session high has capped the pullback so far, keeping price boxed between it and the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 reopens the 1.1472 nfp high
failure to hold 1.1400 pivot confirms a lower low
ISM Services (Mon) and next-week risk could reset this read