EUR faded from the 1.14621 session high through the NY session and now drifts at the 61.8% fib of the London rally around 1.1436, RSI cooling to the low-40s. Last several bars are near-flat on collapsing volume — dead July 4 holiday tape with US cash closed.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14621, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14203 confirms a lower low and opens the round number 1.1400
Reclaim of the 2wk high 1.1447 reopens the 1.1470-1.1500 resistance band
Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves; Mon Retail Sales/ISM Services reset the read
Fading from session high, lower highs into session low.
EURUSD faded from the 1.14621 London-NY high back to the session low near 1.1435 in thin pre-weekend, US-holiday liquidity, tracking softer USD post-NFP but stalling below the 1.1466-1.1470 area. Price sits under EMA20/50 with RSI in the low 40s; a slow grind lower, no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.14347, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14466, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14466 negates the grind lower
Loss of 1.14347 session low opens 1.1420 day low
20:31 UTC
Downdrift after session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14358
Lower highs, tight consolidation into thin liquidity.
EUR spiked to a 1.14621 session high on the soft NFP-driven USD selloff, then drifted lower through NY into thin Independence Day liquidity, now grinding around 1.14358. Chain of lower highs since the peak; last hours coiled tight in a 1.1435–1.1440 band with RSI(14) cooling toward 42.
Support: 1.14347, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14347 opens the path to 1.14203
Reclaim of 1.14470 needed to re-challenge the session high
Mon Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00) and US ISM Services (14:00) could break the coil
EUR ran to the 1.14621 window high on post-NFP dollar softness, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs down to 1.1436. Late-session tape is thin and near-flat with US markets shut for the holiday; price sits around the 0.62 fib of the earlier rally, holding just above the 1.14347 session low.
Support: 1.14347, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14466, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14347 opens the 1.14203 window low
Reclaim of 1.14466 swing high needed to challenge the descending highs
Mon Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00) and US ISM Services (14:00) could reset this read
EUR spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US NFP print then rounded over, fading through the NY session in thin July-4 holiday liquidity. Price is now pressing session lows near 1.1436, capped by a chain of lower highs; RSI(14) around 41 with ATR compressed to ~11 pips.
Support: 1.14347, 1.14276, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14347 opens 1.14276 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14470 prior high needed to reverse the lower-high sequence
Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves into next session
20:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14358
Lower highs since 1.1462 peak, now stalling at 61.8% fib.
EUR ran to a 1.1462 session high on the soft-NFP dollar sell-off, then faded and is now pinned at the 61.8% retracement (~1.1436) of that up-leg. Price grinds lower in thin US-holiday liquidity, holding a tight 1.1435-1.1440 band with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1435 opens the 1.1420 session low
Reclaim of 1.1440 needed to challenge the descending lower highs
Mon EZ Retail Sales (09:00), Lagarde (16:00) and US ISM Services (14:00) could reset this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, drift lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14354
Lower highs off 1.1462, grinding to session lows.
EUR faded from the 1.1462 session high — a USD-driven pop after the soft NFP that stalled below the 1.1470 two-week ceiling. Price has ground back to intraday lows near 1.1435 in thin Independence Day liquidity, RSI(14) soft near 42.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 confirms a lower low
reclaim of 1.1447 needed to challenge the 1.1462 session high
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off session high, drifting into consolidation.
EURUSD faded from the session high at 1.14621 through NY hours and is now consolidating near 1.1435, right around the 61.8% retracement of the day's rally. Dollar stayed soft on the weak NFP miss but the euro rally stalled below 1.1455; RSI(14) sits mid-range in thin Independence Day liquidity.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14350 opens the path toward session low 1.14203
Reclaim of 1.14546 needed to re-challenge session high 1.14621
Thin holiday liquidity raising whip risk into the weekly open
19:46 UTC
Pullback after London rally, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14374
Coiling near lows of the fade, lower highs off 1.1462.
EUR pushed to 1.14621 through the London session on post-NFP dollar softness, then faded steadily into NY. The last few hours are locked in a tight 1.1437-1.1440 coil on thin Independence Day liquidity, price sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the London leg with RSI mid-40s and no momentum.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14621
What it said to watch
close above 1.14472 reopens the 1.14621 day high
loss of 1.14348 exposes 1.14203
thin holiday liquidity raises whip risk on any headline
EUR/USD drifted off the 1.14621 session high after stalling below the 1.1470 two-week ceiling, sagging back to 1.1437 as the soft US payrolls bid faded in thin Independence Day liquidity. Price is now coiling in a ~7 pip range near 1.1438 with RSI mid-40s and ATR around 20 pips.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 reopens the 1.14545 swing high
Failure to hold 1.14348 exposes the 1.14300 psych level
Thin holiday liquidity raises whip risk into next session
EUR/USD topped near 1.14621 in the NY session then drifted lower as the post-NFP dollar move stalled below the 1.1470 two-week ceiling. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1435-1.1440 range into a thin, US-holiday close, RSI hovering near 45.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 opens the path to 1.14203
Close above 1.14442 breaks the coil back toward 1.14546
Thin holiday liquidity raises whip risk into the weekend
19:31 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 1.14379
Faded off session high, consolidating near 61.8% retrace.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14621 on the soft US NFP fallout, then bled lower through the session and is now consolidating around 1.1438, near the 61.8% retrace of that up-leg. Late bars are flat in thin holiday liquidity, price sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14476, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14350 opens the 1.14200 session low
Reclaim of 1.14476 needed to re-challenge the 1.14621 session high
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read
19:16 UTC
Faded from NY high, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14389
Tight range after failed push.
NY session pushed to 1.14621 on post-NFP dollar softness, then faded through the afternoon into a tight range around 1.1440 in thin Independence Day liquidity. Price now coils at the EMA20 with RSI mid-40s; no setup in play, session high at 1.14621 unchallenged since.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14476, 1.14568, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14476 pivot reopens the 1.14568 lower high
Descending highs off 1.14621, consolidating near lows.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.14621 on soft-NFP-driven dollar softness, then faded through the NY session into a tight consolidation around 1.1439 in thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 with descending highs capping since the peak.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.14568
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 breaks the chain of descending highs
Loss of 1.14348 swing low opens 1.14203 session low
Thin holiday liquidity raising whip risk into the weekly close
Lower highs off session high, now tight consolidation.
Thin Independence Day tape (US closed) — EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.14621 in a chain of lower highs after the weak-NFP dollar sell-off stalled below the 1.1470 two-week high. Price now coils in a 5-pip band around 1.1438, ATR compressed and RSI mid-range with no setup in play.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14348 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14472 swing high needed to re-test session high at 1.14621
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next catalyst that could break this range
EUR/USD stalled below the 1.1462 session high and rolled over into a chain of lower highs, now grinding sideways at 1.1438 in thin US Independence Day liquidity. Move up to 1.1455 was a post-NFP dollar story; buyers holding the 1.1435 session low as the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1420-1.1462 leg caps the fade.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1462
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1435 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1420 swing low
Close back above 1.1450 psych reopens the 1.1462 session high
Thin holiday liquidity raises whip risk; ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is next catalyst
18:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14396
Tight consolidation below EMAs after fade from session high.
EUR faded off the 1.14621 spike high toward mid-range and is now coiling in a tight sub-3-pip band around 1.1440 into the late NY session, with US markets shut for Independence Day thinning liquidity. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum. Ranging 1.1435–1.1462, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14472 reopens the 1.14621 spike high
Loss of 1.1435 exposes 1.1420 session low
Thin US-holiday liquidity raises gap risk into the next session
18:46 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14396
Consolidation below faded highs.
EUR/USD is drifting in a tight range near 1.1440 in thin holiday liquidity with US markets shut for Independence Day. After tagging 1.14621 in the NY session the pair faded to roughly the 61.8% retrace of that leg and stalled, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Last handful of bars are near-flat, no setup in play.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14377
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14546
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14472 reopens the 1.14546 swing high
Loss of 1.14348 session low confirms a lower-low
Eurozone Retail Sales and Lagarde Monday could break the range
Lower highs off 1.1462, consolidating near range lows.
EUR/USD drifted lower from the 1.1462 session high and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1435-1.1448 band through thin US holiday liquidity, with markets shut for Independence Day. The pop toward 1.1455 on the weak NFP dollar sell-off has faded; RSI(14) sits neutral near 44 and price is pinned to EMA20.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14476, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1448 prior high reopens the 1.14546 swing high and 1.1462 session high
Break below 1.14348 session low exposes the 1.1420 swing low
Mon Eurozone Retail Sales and US ISM Services could break this range
18:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14395
Lower highs off 1.1462, consolidating near session lows.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1462 session high to grind sideways near 1.1440 in thin US-holiday liquidity (markets shut for July 4). RSI(14) sits mid-40s, price pinned just under EMA20 with the last bars barely moving — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1437, 1.14348
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14475 reopens the path to 1.14546
Failure to hold 1.14348 confirms a lower low
Thin holiday liquidity raises gap risk into next session
18:16 UTC
Drifting lower after peak, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14399
Lower highs off 1.14621, consolidating near 1.1440.
Subdued Friday session with US markets shut for Independence Day. After tagging 1.14621 during NY hours, EUR/USD faded to 1.14348 and is now consolidating around 1.1440 below EMA20/50; RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Pair stalled well under the 1.1470-1.1475 two-week high flagged in the dollar-led rally.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14472 spike high reopens the 1.1470-1.1500 zone
Close below 1.14348 session low confirms a lower low
Mon EZ Retail Sales / US ISM Services could shift this read
EURUSD pulled back from the 1.1462 spike high to consolidate near 1.1440, holding around the 50% retrace of the London leg up. Thin Independence Day liquidity has compressed ranges; 1.1435 swing low is capping downside while the 1.1447 lower-high caps bounces.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1435 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14472 needed to reattempt the 1.1462 spike high
Mon ISM Services and EZ Retail Sales could break this thin-liquidity range
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14621 on broad USD weakness after the soft NFP print, then drifted lower into thin holiday liquidity with US markets closed. Price now hovers near the 1.144 mid-fib of that rally, RSI(14) neutral near 49; lower highs cap toward 1.14472.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14472 reopens 1.14546 and the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14348 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.14203
Thin holiday liquidity keeps ranges compressed; Mon EZ Retail Sales / US ISM are the next catalysts
18:01 UTC
Drifting lower off session high, now basing · RSI 49 · price 1.14406
Range after lower highs, holding above 1.1435.
EURUSD peaked at 1.14621 mid-window on the post-NFP dollar softness, then bled back into a 1.1435-1.1447 range with lower highs. RSI(14) hovering near 49, price pinned to EMA20 with ATR compressing to ~4 pips into thin Independence Day liquidity; buyers defended 1.1435 late in the NY session.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14384
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 (2wk high) opens the path to 1.14545
Loss of 1.14348 session low confirms a lower low
Thin US holiday liquidity can exaggerate wicks
17:47 UTC
Pullback after London-morning peak, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14403
Lower highs off 1.14621, consolidating in lower half of range.
EUR/USD peaked at 1.14621 during the London morning on broad USD weakness after the soft US NFP, then faded through the session and stalled below the 1.14472 swing high. Price is now consolidating around 1.1440, holding above the 1.14348 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range near 47.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14472 opens the path back toward the 1.14621 session high
Failure to hold 1.14348 exposes the 1.14203 session low
Thin US-holiday liquidity into the weekend can amplify moves
17:46 UTC
Downtrend off session high, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14403
Lower highs since 1.14621, consolidating.
EURUSD faded from the 1.14621 session high through NY hours after the earlier weak US NFP lift stalled below the 1.14472-1.14475 two-week high. Price is now consolidating 1.14348-1.14472 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 4 pips into thin US holiday liquidity.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14472 opens the path back toward the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14348 confirms a lower low toward 1.14203
Thin US-holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves on any headline
17:31 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14397
Lower highs, consolidating late session.
EURUSD peaked at 1.14621 during NY hours on the soft-NFP USD selloff, then bled back into a lower-highs sequence and is now consolidating 1.1435-1.1447. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; late-session action is subdued in thin US-holiday liquidity.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 1.14470 needed to shift the drift-lower read
EUR/USD topped at the 1.14621 session high during the London-NY window and has drifted lower in a lower-high sequence, now 1.14397 with price under EMA20/50 and RSI(14) mid-40s. Move is USD-led post-NFP; late-session thin holiday liquidity (US closed) keeps ranges compressed above the 1.14348 session low.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1429
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14348 opens 1.14290
ISM Services (Mon) and Fed/ECB speakers could shift the USD-led read
17:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.1440
Lower highs since 1.1462 peak, holding above 1.1435.
EUR/USD faded off the session high at 1.1462 through NY hours, printing lower highs and now hovering near 1.1440 after a small bounce off 1.1435. The broader bid is a USD story post-soft NFP, but upside stalled below the 1.1455-1.1470 cap; RSI sits mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1435 opens the 1.1420 session low
Reclaim of 1.1455 needed to re-challenge the 1.1462 session high
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led tone
EURUSD is drifting near 1.1440 after fading from the 1.14621 session high, trade subdued with US desks out for Independence Day. Price sits in a 1.1435-1.1462 range and has slipped back below EMA20/EMA50 as the USD-driven post-NFP bid stalled.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 opens the path toward the 1.1420 prior low
Reclaim of 1.1455 swing high would put the 1.14621 session high back in play
Mon Eurozone Retail Sales and Lagarde/ISM Services could shift this range read
17:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14375
Lower highs since 1.1462, testing retracement.
EUR/USD ground lower through subdued NY hours (US closed for Independence Day) after stalling at the 1.14621 session high, and is now sitting on the 61.8% retracement of the day's rally near 1.1436. RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~4 pips — a quiet, drifting tape with sellers holding lower highs below 1.14546.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1420 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.1447 pivot needed to challenge the 1.14621 session high
ISM Services and Fed's Waller Mon could reset USD tone and this range
EURUSD faded through the NY afternoon after rejection at the 1.14621 session high, printing a chain of lower highs into a thin holiday session. Price now sits at 1.14375 pressing the 1.14348 swing low, RSI(14) cooling toward the low-40s.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1430, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 confirms a lower low and opens 1.14300
Reclaim of 1.14473 negates the intraday decline
Monday ISM Services and EZ Retail Sales could reset the range
16:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14352
Lower highs off 1.14621, testing session low.
EURUSD has ground lower from the 1.14621 session high set during NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs and now retesting the 1.14348 session low. USD softness post the 57K NFP miss caps downside, but the pair is fading in thin July 4th holiday liquidity with RSI(14) cooling near 40.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14568, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 opens the 1.14203 london low
Reclaim of 1.14442 breaks the lower-high chain
Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves
16:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, faded from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14352
Lower highs since 1.1462 peak.
EUR/USD rallied to a 1.1462 session high on post-NFP USD softness, then faded steadily through the session and now grinds near session lows at 1.1435. RSI(14) cooling around 41, price under EMA20 and EMA50, a chain of lower highs off the peak.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1435 opens the path to 1.1420 prior low
Reclaim of 1.1447 needed to re-challenge the 1.1462 session high
Mon Eurozone Retail Sales and Lagarde could shift this range read
16:31 UTC
Pullback, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 1.14367
Rolled off London high, descending intraday.
EUR peaked at 1.14621 during London on post-NFP USD softness, then carved a steady lower-high sequence through thin pre-holiday NY trade. Price now sits on the 61.8% fib near 1.14362 and just above the session low at 1.14348, RSI in the low 40s.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1430, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 confirms a lower low, opening 1.14300
Reclaim of 1.14470 breaks the lower-high sequence
16:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14367
Lower highs, testing recent swing low.
EURUSD faded from the 1.14621 session high, printing lower highs through NY hours and now probing the 1.14348 swing low. Move sits on the 61.8% retracement of the 1.14203-1.14621 leg with RSI(14) mid-40s; the broader bid stems from post-NFP USD softness but upside stalled sub-1.1470.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14275, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 opens the path to 1.14275
Close back above 1.14470 breaks the lower-high sequence
Thin July 4th-eve liquidity can exaggerate moves
16:16 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 41 · price 1.14381
Range, lower highs off 1.1462.
EUR/USD topped at 1.1462 during the London-NY window and has since ground lower into NY afternoon, now hugging the 1.1435 session low after the NFP-driven USD softness stalled sub-1.1470. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41, holding inside the broader 1.1420-1.1462 range.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1435 opens the 1.1420 range low
Reclaim of 1.1447 puts the 1.1462 range high back in play
Mon Eurozone Retail Sales and US ISM Services could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14381
Lower highs since 1.14621 peak.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14621 session high — printed during NY hours on the post-NFP dollar softness — and has ground lower through a chain of lower highs, now near the 1.14360 session low. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s with price under both EMAs; momentum favours the downside within the day's range.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1430, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14470 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14360 opens the 1.14300 swing low
US cash out for July 4th — thin liquidity can distort moves
16:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14363
Lower highs since 1.1462, drifting to session low.
EUR/USD rallied to a session high of 1.14621 during London on NFP-driven dollar weakness, then drifted lower through NY carving lower highs. Price now sits on the 61.8% retrace of that move at 1.14363, just above session low 1.14348.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 opens the 1.14202 day low
Reclaim of 1.14470 pivot would negate the lower-high sequence
Mon Eurozone Retail Sales and US ISM Services could shift this read
16:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14363
Lower highs, lower lows since NY high.
EURUSD drifted lower through the NY session after topping at 1.14621, unwinding the NFP-driven pop as the dollar sell-off stalled. Price now sits back at the session low near 1.14348 with RSI(14) cooling into the high 30s; the 1.14470 two-week-high area capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1430, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14348 confirms a lower low, opening 1.14300 then 1.14203
Reclaim of 1.14470 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reprice USD and shift this read
EUR firmed to a session high of 1.14621 earlier on the NFP-miss dollar softness, but has since carved a chain of lower highs and is now back near 1.1439 in thin US-holiday liquidity. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; a rejection at 1.1454 capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14377 opens the session low at 1.14203
Thin holiday liquidity is muting follow-through in both directions
15:46 UTC
Pullback from session high, short-term momentum down · RSI 43 · price 1.14389
Lower highs off 1.14621, retracing intraday rally.
EUR firmed toward the 1.14621 session high on NFP-driven USD weakness (57K miss), but the level was rejected and price has since ground lower into 1.1439. Micro-structure is a chain of lower highs; buyers last defended 1.14377 in thin, holiday-shortened liquidity with US markets shut.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.14545 needed to threaten the 1.14621 session high again
Thin US-holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves at these levels
15:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after topping · RSI 43 · price 1.14401
Lower highs, consolidating below 1.14470.
EUR/USD topped at 1.14621 during London on the weak US NFP-driven dollar softness, then drifted into a lower-high sequence through NY. Now consolidating around 1.14400, below EMA20/50, with the 1.14377 session low being tested and 1.14470 capping bounces.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14300
Reclaim of 1.14470 reopens the 1.14546 swing high
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
EUR/USD faded through NY hours after rejecting the 1.1546 session high, printing lower highs and now pressing the 1.1438 session low with price below EMA20/50. The post-NFP USD-softness bid has stalled; move sits near the 0.618 retrace of the 1.1420-1.1462 leg, RSI mid-40s and cooling.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1432, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1432 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14470 recent high needed to reassert the range top toward 1.14546
Holiday-thin liquidity can exaggerate intraday swings
EUR ran to a session high of 1.14621 in early London on the post-NFP USD softness, then drifted lower through NY into a 1.14377-1.14546 range. Price is now parked on the 50% retracement of the 1.14202-1.14621 leg with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-40s; lower highs capping since the peak.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14546 reopens the session high at 1.14621
Loss of 1.14377 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.14202
Thin July-4 holiday liquidity can exaggerate intraday swings
15:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 1.14415
Consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14621 session high toward 1.14400 after the weak US NFP-driven rally stalled, and is now consolidating 1.14400-1.14470 in the NY afternoon. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14397, 1.1437
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 reopens the 1.14546 session high
Loss of 1.14397 exposes the 1.14370 support zone
Thin July-4 holiday liquidity can amplify moves into the close
Descending from session high, chain of lower highs.
EUR/USD peaked at the session high 1.14621 after the USD sold off on the weak US NFP miss, then drifted lower into the NY afternoon, printing a chain of lower highs. Rejection at 1.14476 keeps price pinned below both EMAs, holding around 1.14428.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14476, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14476 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14377 swing low opens the session low at 1.14203
Retracing from 1.14621 peak, holding above 1.14377.
EURUSD pushed to a session high of 1.14621 as the USD stayed soft after the weak June NFP, then drifted lower through NY afternoon in a chain of lower highs, now 1.14428 below EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in at 1.14377; 1.14475 capped the latest bounce.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14475 breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens 1.14545
Failure to hold 1.14377 exposes 1.14300
Thin July-4 holiday liquidity can distort intraday moves
14:46 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 46 · price 1.14442
Consolidation below session high.
NY session drifting off the 1.14621 session high, now consolidating between the 1.14377 swing low and the 1.14546 prior high after the USD softened post-NFP. Price sits mid-range near 1.1444 with RSI(14) flat around 46; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14476, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14546 prior high reopens the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14377 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.14203 leg low
Lower highs since 1.1462, consolidating near 1.1444.
Into NY hours EUR/USD is grinding off the 1.14621 high set earlier, printing lower highs and consolidating around 1.1444 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Broader tone stays USD-led two-way after the weak NFP; a bounce from 1.14377 stalled at 1.14476.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1432, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14476, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14377 confirms a lower low toward 1.1432
M15 close above 1.14476 reopens the 1.14546 supply zone
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next real catalyst
Pullback from session high, holding above swing low.
NY afternoon has EUR/USD ranging around 1.1447 after rejection at the 1.14621 session high and a slide into 1.14377, where buyers stepped in. USD stays soft after Thursday's weak 57K NFP, keeping the pair on a mild upside tilt without breaking the intraday range.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1454, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14540 reopens the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14377 swing low exposes the 1.14203 day low
Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves in the next session
14:31 UTC
Range after intraday rally, drifting · RSI 52 · price 1.14475
Range between session low and swing highs, mid-range bounce.
London rally lifted EURUSD off 1.14202 to a session high at 1.14621, aided by a softer USD post-weak NFP; price has since drifted into a range and is bouncing off the 1.14397 session low back to 1.14475 in early NY. RSI(14) is mid-range near 52, no momentum extreme, price holding just above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14397, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14545 swing high opens the path back to 1.14621
Loss of 1.14397 session low exposes the 1.14340 prior low
Lower highs off 1.14621 keep the range read intact while capped
14:16 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14421
Lower highs, testing 50% retrace.
NY session drifting off the 1.14621 session high, price now sitting on the 50% retrace of the 1.14203-1.14621 leg near 1.1442 after EUR failed to hold the 1.1470/1.1475 two-week high. A chain of lower highs is in place and RSI has cooled into the low 40s.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14546 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14377 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14300
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read
14:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14421
Retracing London-NY rally, lower highs forming.
EURUSD rejected the 1.14621 session high and has drifted lower through NY hours, now near 1.14421 — roughly a 50% retrace of the London-NY rally from 1.14203. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; a chain of lower highs caps the pair while 1.14377 holds.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1454, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 confirms a deeper retrace toward 1.14300
Reclaim of 1.14470 revives the push back to 1.14540/1.14620
Nagel speech (15:00 UTC) could inject EUR-side volatility
14:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 1.14398
Lower highs since London-NY handover.
Early NY session on a US holiday, thin liquidity; EUR/USD faded from the 1.14546 swing high after tagging the 1.14621 session high, now sliding to 1.14398 with RSI(14) near 40. Lower highs have printed since the London-NY handover, with the broader USD-soft bid (post-57K NFP) failing to reclaim the two-week high.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 session low opens the 1.14203 range low
Reclaim of 1.14470 swing pivot needed to break the lower-high chain
Holiday-thin liquidity can exaggerate moves
14:01 UTC
Rolling over from session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14398
Lower highs since 1.14621 peak.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14621 NY session high and is grinding into the recent swing low at 1.14377, price below EMA20/50 with RSI near 37. The pair failed to hold the 1.1470-75 two-week high earlier — upside here is a USD story post-soft NFP rather than a euro catalyst. Note the final bar's thin volume: US markets shut for the holiday.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14568, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 opens the range floor at 1.14300 and prior low 1.14203
Reclaim of 1.14475 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Thin US-holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves into the close
13:46 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14413
Lower highs into 50% fib, range holding.
EURUSD grinding lower through the London-NY transition after fading the 1.1462 session high, printing a chain of lower highs and now parked on the 50% retrace near 1.14413. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; the pair never held the 1.1470/75 two-week high flagged as resistance despite soft-USD backdrop post-NFP.
Support: 1.14399, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14399 opens the path toward 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14546 negates the lower-high sequence
13:46 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14413
Faded off 1.1462 top, holding above fib 50%.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1462 during London before fading through NY hours toward 1.1440, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price is now sitting on the 50% retrace of the 1.1420-1.1462 leg after rejection near 1.1454; supply capped each retest of the session high.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14362, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14362 opens the path back toward the 1.1420 session low
Reclaim of 1.14546 needed to re-challenge the 1.1462 session high
US holiday thin liquidity can exaggerate moves into the close
Consolidation under session high, testing support.
EUR/USD firmed to a session high of 1.14621 during the London-NY transition on broad USD softness after the NFP miss, then faded back toward the 1.14400 swing low into early NY. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to ~42; range top at 1.14545/1.14621 respected.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1437, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14400 opens the floor at 1.14370
M15 close above 1.14475 puts 1.14545 swing high back in play
Fed's Nagel speech (15:00 UTC) could shift this read
13:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14423
Retracing the last intraday up-leg, mid-range.
EURUSD faded from the 1.14621 session high and has retraced roughly half of the London-NY up-leg, now trading 1.14423 below both EMAs with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Price is holding above the 1.14400 swing low; the broader tone stays USD-driven after the soft US NFP print, with EUR upside capped into the 1.1470/1.1500 zone.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1434, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14400 opens the path to 1.14340 then the 1.14203 range low
Reclaim of 1.14545 spike high shifts focus back to the 1.14621 session high
Fed's Nagel speech at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14422
Rotating inside 1.1420-1.1462 intraday range.
EUR/USD firm on the day after the soft US NFP miss but capped intraday; price rejected 1.14621 and has drifted back to 1.14422, now sitting below EMA20/50 mid-range. RSI(14) near 44, no momentum extreme — ranging between 1.1437 support and 1.1455/1.1462 resistance in thin pre-holiday liquidity.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1437, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14545 reopens the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14370 support confirms a lower-low toward 1.14203
ECB Nagel 15:00 UTC could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14422
Range, fading off the highs.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14621 swing high back to 1.14422 in a thin US-holiday NY session, price now below both EMAs with RSI(14) at ~42. The broad USD-soft tone from the weak NFP is intact but intraday it's rotating inside the 1.1440-1.1462 band, testing the round-number 1.14400 floor.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1437, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14400 opens the path to 1.14370
Reclaim above 1.14470 spike high needed to re-engage the upside
ECB Nagel speech 15:00 UTC could jolt this thin session
EUR/USD ran up to a 1.1462 session high after the weak US NFP print knocked the dollar, then stalled and drifted back to 1.1446 in a thin, US-holiday NY session. Price is consolidating below the 1.1470 cap flagged as strong resistance; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits under EMA20.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens the path toward the 1.1500 barrier
Failure to hold 1.1440 exposes 1.1420 swing low
ECB Nagel speech 15:00 UTC could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Pullback within near-term uptrend · RSI 48 · price 1.14462
Consolidating below session high after pullback.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.14621 then rejected, price now consolidating around 1.1445-1.1455 with the minor res at 1.14540 capping. Gains remain USD-driven off the weak 57K NFP and pair is holding above the 1.14400 swing low in thin post-holiday liquidity.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1454, 1.14621, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14700 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych res
Failure to hold 1.14400 swing low exposes the 1.14203 session low
EURUSD dipped to a day low of 1.14203 during London before recovering to a day high of 1.14621, and is now chopping in the upper half of the range around 1.1448 on thin US-holiday tape. RSI(14) neutral near 47, ATR compressed to ~5 pips; the session high at 1.14568 caps while buyers have defended the 1.14400 swing low.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1436, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14568, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14568 session high opens the path to the 1.14621 day high
Failure to hold 1.14400 swing low exposes 1.14360 range low
ECB Nagel 15:00 UTC could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14476
Range after nine-day high fade.
EUR/USD ran to a session high at 1.14621 on the post-NFP dollar softness, then faded back into a 1.1440-1.1455 range. Price is drifting mid-range near 1.14476 with RSI(14) flat around 49 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14550 reopens the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14400 swing low shifts the range base toward 1.14200
ECB Nagel 15:00 UTC could inject volatility into this quiet tape
Consolidating below 1.1470 after bounce from 1.1420.
EURUSD recovered from the 1.14203 Asian session low through London and now consolidates in a 1.1440–1.1462 band beneath the 1.1470 cap flagged post-NFP, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Thin US holiday tape is keeping ranges tight, ATR only ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.14400 swing low re-exposes the 1.14203 session low
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1420 session low after a weak US NFP print (57K) knocked the dollar, tagging 1.1462 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1440-1.1462 band, capped below 1.1470 resistance in thin holiday tape.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens the path toward the 1.1500 barrier
Failure to hold 1.1440 re-exposes the 1.1420 session low
ECB's Nagel 15:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
EURUSD is ranging in the mid-1.1440s, holding above the 1.14400 swing low after recovering from the 1.14203 session low, but capped below the 1.14570 session high. Yesterday's soft US NFP (57K) underpins the euro, though repeated stalls near 1.1470 keep upside contained.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.14621, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14570 session high opens 1.14621 day high, then the 1.14700 reject zone
Loss of 1.14400 swing low exposes the 1.14203 session low
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
12:16 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.14497
Ranging below session high.
NY session drifting in a 1.1440-1.1460 range after the leg up from 1.1420 to 1.1462 stalled below the 1.1470 resistance flagged in the USD-soft/NFP-miss backdrop. RSI(14) neutral near 48, ATR compressed around 6 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1429, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14620 opens the path to the 1.1470 resistance
Loss of 1.14400 exposes the 1.14290 range low
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14497
Range after recovery off session low.
EURUSD ranging mid-1.1450s after recovering from the London low near 1.14200, part of the soft-NFP dollar-weakness backdrop. Price stalled repeatedly below the 1.14580 session high while RSI(14) sits neutral near 49; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14621, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14580 exposes the 1.14621 spike high and the 1.14700 rejection zone
Loss of 1.14400 swing low reopens the 1.14200 london low
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Sideways after early spike · RSI 48 · price 1.14497
Consolidation between 1.1440 and 1.1560.
EUR spiked to 1.1471 early in the window on post-NFP dollar softness, then faded to a 1.1420 session low before recovering into a tight 1.1440-1.1560 consolidation. Repeated rejection at the 1.1470-1.1500 zone has capped the recovery, with price now pinned near the EMA20 at 1.1450.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14545 opens a retest of the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14400 exposes the 1.14202 session low
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Rangebound after NFP spike · RSI 48 · price 1.14496
Consolidation inside yesterday's spike range.
EUR/USD is consolidating in the mid-1.1400s after yesterday's NFP-driven spike from 1.1398 to 1.1471; price has since chopped between 1.1420 and 1.1460 with RSI(14) flat near 48. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1440 through the London-NY transition, but the 1.1457/1.1470 area continues to cap.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.14715, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14570 opens the path to 1.14715 then 1.1500
Loss of 1.14400 exposes the 1.14200 range low
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Ranging, mid-1.1400s · RSI 51 · price 1.14496
Range between 1.1420 floor and 1.1470 cap.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1471 on the NFP miss early in the window then faded to 1.1420 before recovering; now ranging in the mid-1.1400s. Price stalls under the 1.1457/1.1470 resistance with RSI neutral near 51, no directional setup in play.
EURUSD is churning in the mid-1.1450s after recovering from the 1.14203 session low, with a broad USD offer following the weak US NFP miss. Buyers reclaimed the 1.1440 area but the move stalls under the 1.14621 session high; RSI(14) sits neutral near 55.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.1470/1.1500 cap
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes the 1.14203 session low
ECB Nagel at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
11:31 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14539
Consolidating below session highs.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 yesterday on the soft US NFP print (57K) then settled into a mid-1.1400s churn. Price recovered off the 1.1420 session low back toward the 1.1458 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 53 — no directional push, capped under the 1.1470 range top flagged for the week.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.1462, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1470 range cap opens the path to 1.1500
Loss of 1.1440 swing low reopens the 1.1420 session low
EUR/USD churning mid-1.1400s on a thin US holiday Friday, recovering from the 1.14203 session low back to 1.14544 through London hours after the NFP-driven dollar sell-off. Price rides above EMA20/50 but stalls under the 1.14620 swing high; RSI(14) mid-range at 58 with ATR near 7 pips signalling muted intraday movement.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14620 opens the path to the 1.14715 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes the 1.14203 session low
EUR/USD grinding back to session highs at 1.1454 after basing at 1.1420 through the London session, buoyed by the weak US NFP (57K) that keeps the dollar heavy. Chain of higher lows intact but the 1.1470 nine-day high still caps; RSI(14) at 61, room before overbought.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens the path to the 1.1500 psych cap
Loss of 1.1420 session low breaks the higher-low chain
ECB's Nagel at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Consolidating after NFP spike · RSI 49 · price 1.14465
Range within 1.1440-1.1460 mid-band.
EUR/USD gapped higher to 1.1472 on the soft US NFP print (57K) around Jul 2 mid-session, then drifted back and settled into a tight 1.1440-1.1460 band. Current 1.14465 sits right on the 50% retrace of that spike with RSI(14) neutral near 48 — no directional setup in play, ranging.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1437, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14545 reopens the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14400 exposes 1.14370 range floor
ECB Nagel at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Consolidation after NFP spike · RSI 47 · price 1.14465
Ranging 1.1440-1.1462, upside stalling.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1470 on the soft US NFP print then settled into a 1.1440-1.1462 range through the London session, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Buyers defended 1.1440 twice while 1.1462 caps; no directional break in play.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens a test toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1440 exposes 1.1420 swing low
ECB's Nagel at 15:00 UTC could shift this range read
EUR/USD is grinding sideways in the mid-1.1400s after the soft-NFP spike to a 9-day high at 1.14720; the move stalled and price now holds a 1.1440-1.1460 band. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to ~5.5 pips, and each poke toward 1.1470/1.1475 has been faded.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14720 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes the 1.1420 swing low
ECB Nagel at 15:00 UTC could break the consolidation
10:46 UTC
Range after impulse spike · RSI 51 · price 1.14471
Consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14715 on the soft US NFP print early in the window, then settled into a 1.1440-1.1462 range through the London session. Price is drifting around EMA20 near 1.1447 with RSI mid-range; the 9-day high at 1.1470 continues to cap.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens the path to 1.1500
Loss of 1.1440 exposes the 1.1420 swing low
ECB Nagel speech at 15:00 UTC could shift this range read
10:31 UTC
Range-bound, minor pullback · RSI 45 · price 1.14442
Consolidation after NFP spike, forming lower highs.
EUR holding mid-1.1440s during London hours after Thursday's soft-NFP spike to 1.14715, now capped by the 1.14595 session high with a lower-high sequence into the pullback. Price slipped back below EMA20 toward 1.14400; RSI(14) neutral near 44, ATR a thin ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1436, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14595, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14595 session high opens a retest of the 1.14715 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes the 1.14200 range low
ECB's Nagel at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Consolidation, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14442
Range-bound mid-1.1440s after pullback from session high.
EURUSD consolidating in a 1.1440-1.1460 band after fading from the 1.14621 session high, price slipping under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. The soft US NFP kept a mild upside tilt earlier but no fresh breakout has formed; still holding above the 1.1440 session low.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1437
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1440 opens a test of 1.1437 support
Reclaim of 1.1458 puts the 1.14621 session high back in play
ECB's Nagel at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Consolidation after impulsive rally · RSI 44 · price 1.14447
Range-bound below session high, drifting lower.
EURUSD is consolidating in the 1.1440-1.1462 band after the USD-led rally to a session high at 1.14621, with the softer US NFP keeping the dollar heavy. Price is drifting back under EMA20 into the pre-NY window, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s; the 1.14470/1.14500 cap flagged in the macro read continues to limit upside.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1430, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14400 opens the path to 1.14300
Reclaim of 1.14545 reopens the 1.14621 session high
ECB Nagel speech ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 43 · price 1.14447
Rolling off session high, lower highs into 1.1440.
EUR/USD rolled off the 1.14621 session high during London hours, printing lower highs and now testing the 1.1440 session low, with RSI(14) near 43. Price is consolidating the post-NFP dollar-driven pop; the 1.1440/1.1462 range still frames the action.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1436, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14400 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14360
Reclaim of 1.14545 reopens the 1.14621 session high
M15 rolled over from the London session high at 1.14621 and is now retesting 1.14400 session support with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. The broader bid stays USD-led after the soft NFP, but upside has been capped around 1.14545/1.1470 through the last few hours.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14400 opens the path to the 1.14203 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14545 recent high puts the 1.14621 session high back in play
ECB Nagel speech ~15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 41 · price 1.14407
Rolled off session high, testing range base.
EURUSD faded from the session high at 1.14621 through the London session and is now probing the 1.14400 range base, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Move is drifting on thin holiday liquidity with US desks out for Independence Day; upside stays capped by the 1.1470 zone flagged post-NFP.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14361, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14361 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of 1.14545 puts the 1.14621 session high back in play
ECB Nagel speech ~15:00 UTC could shift the read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.14459
Consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD drifted off the 1.14595 session high back toward recent lows near 1.14456 during thin, US-holiday London hours, the pop still USD-led after the weak NFP. Price consolidating mid-1.1440s, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s below EMA20.
Support: 1.14456, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14595, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14456 opens the path back to 1.14203 session low
Reclaim of 1.14595 puts the 1.1470 resis cap back in play
ECB Nagel speech 15:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 43 · price 1.14459
Rolling over from session high, holding above range floor.
EUR/USD drifted up to a session high at 1.14621 during the London session then rolled over, now easing to 1.14459 after the NFP-driven spike to 1.14723 yesterday. Price is consolidating between 1.1440 and the 1.1462 session high, RSI(14) cooling near 43 as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.1454, 1.14621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14540 minor pivot reopens the 1.14621 session high
Loss of 1.14400 round number exposes the 1.14202 swing low
ECB Nagel speech ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14478
Consolidation below 1.1462 after NFP spike.
EURUSD is consolidating in the mid-1.1440s after yesterday's weak US NFP print spiked the pair to 1.1472. Price rejected the 1.1462 session high and is drifting back toward 1.1447; RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR compressed on thin holiday flow.
Support: 1.1447, 1.1442, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14420 opens a retest of 1.14300
Close above 1.14620 exposes the 1.14715 spike high
ECB's Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift the range read
09:31 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 45 · price 1.14478
Consolidation below 1.1462 session high.
EURUSD is ranging in the upper 1.1440s through the London session after rejection at the 1.1462 session high, RSI(14) easing to mid-40s. Price is holding just above the 1.1447 recent low, pinned inside the broader 1.1420-1.1462 band mapped by the digest's 1.1410-1.1470 range.
Support: 1.1447, 1.1442, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1470, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1462 opens the path to the 1.1470 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1442 exposes the 1.1420 range low
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD climbed off the 1.14203 intraday low through London to a session high at 1.14621, aided by a soft-USD tone after yesterday's 57K NFP miss. Price is now consolidating mid-1.1450s, drifting back toward the 1.14477 session low with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.14477, 1.1442, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.1470 9-day high
Loss of 1.14477 exposes the 1.14420 swing pivot
ECB Nagel ~15:00 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 49 · price 1.14502
Consolidation in mid-1.1400s below session high.
EURUSD ranging mid-1.1400s after tagging a session high at 1.14621, RSI(14) flat near 48 as price eased back to 1.1450. Move stalled below the 1.1470 cap flagged post-NFP; ATR compressed to ~6 pips in thin holiday liquidity.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.1470 cap zone
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes the 1.14203 session low
EUR gapped ~70 pips higher on yesterday's weak US NFP (57K) and has since ground into a tight consolidation in the mid-1.1400s, capped at the 1.14621 session high. Price is holding above the 1.14473 swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 53; ATR compressed to ~7 pips as London develops.
Support: 1.14473, 1.1430, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1458
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the reclaimed nine-day high zone
Loss of 1.14473 exposes the 1.14300 range mid
Nagel speech 15:00 UTC could shift ECB-path pricing and this range
EUR gapped higher through NY on Jul 2 after the weak US NFP (57K) knocked the dollar, then carved a chain of higher lows into Jul 3 London. Price is consolidating just under the 1.14621 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.14473, 1.1437, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.14715 nine-day high
Failure to hold 1.14473 breaks the rising-support sequence
EURUSD has ground higher off the 1.14202 session low set after yesterday's NFP-miss surge, printing higher lows into a 1.14621 session high before stalling in the mid-1.1450s. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 57 — constructive but capped below the 1.1470-1.1475 nine-day high.
Support: 1.14465, 1.1440, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.1470-1.1475 nine-day high
Failure to hold 1.14465 swing low breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.14400 pivot
Lagarde/Nagel remarks later today could shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.14541
Higher lows, capped below session high.
EUR/USD ground higher through London hours, supported by USD softness after the weak US NFP (57K), stalling under the 1.14621 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s. Buyers held the 1.14400 pivot on each dip; the 1.1470-1.1475 nine-day high remains the near-term cap.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14720 opens the path toward the 1.1550 trendline
Loss of the 1.14400 pivot breaks the higher-low chain
EUR/USD grinding up through London hours after yesterday's NFP-miss spike lifted price off 1.1400; London open printed a session high at 1.14621 before easing to 1.1452. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50 with 1.14473 supporting the higher-low chain.
Support: 1.14473, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14715 nine-day high opens path higher toward the 1.1550 area
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
EUR spiked to 1.14723 on yesterday's soft US NFP (57K) then bled back to 1.14203 before London rebuilt a chain of higher lows into 1.14621. Price now consolidates around 1.14520, RSI(14) mid-range, capped just under the session high.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the 1.14723 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14400 pivot confirms a lower-low
Lagarde/Nagel ECB commentary later today could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 58 · price 1.14539
Higher lows off 1.1420, consolidating under session high.
London session ground higher off the 1.1420 base to a session high at 1.14621 on broad USD weakness after the soft NFP print, now consolidating around 1.1454. Higher-low chain intact; RSI(14) mid-range with room either way.
Support: 1.14473, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (08:00 UTC) can shift the read either direction
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.14715 9-day top
Loss of 1.14473 breaks the higher-low chain
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.14539
Higher lows off 1.1420 base.
London session grinding higher off the 1.1420 range base after Thursday's NFP-driven pop, printing higher lows into the 1.14621 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 as the pair consolidates below the 9-day high at 1.14715.
Support: 1.14473, 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (08:00 UTC) is live risk that can shift this read intraday
Loss of 1.14473 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.14621 session high opens the path to the 1.14715 9-day high
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 1.14531
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.1420.
EUR/USD ground higher through the London session, extending the NFP-driven pop and tagging a session high at 1.14621 before easing to 1.14531. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows off 1.14203, RSI(14) mid-range with room, but Lagarde speaking at 08:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst into this move.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1437, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (08:00 UTC) can materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path back to the 1.14715 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14500 exposes the 1.14370 swing low
London session grinding higher on residual USD softness after Thursday's weak NFP; EUR/USD tagged a session high at 1.14621 before fading to 1.14531. Higher lows intact off 1.14203, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s after the push.
Support: 1.14473, 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech ~08:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could shift this read
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path back toward the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of 1.14473 breaks the rising-lows sequence
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, pausing · RSI 57 · price 1.14515
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.14203.
London hours extended the post-NFP USD-weakness bid, printing a session high at 1.14621 before easing back to 1.14515. Price holds above the reclaimed 1.14440 weekly top with the rising sequence off 1.14203 intact; RSI(14) mid-range at ~57.
Support: 1.14465, 1.1444, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC (~15 min) could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.14440 weekly top puts the 1.14203 session low back in focus
Break above 1.14621 session high opens the path to the 1.14715 spike high
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 1.14515
Recovery from post-NFP range, higher lows.
After yesterday's NFP-miss spike to 1.14715, EUR/USD spent London-Asia consolidating near 1.1420 before grinding back up into the London session, tagging 1.14621 and now holding 1.14515. RSI(14) mid-range at 57 with no extreme; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.14473.
Support: 1.14473, 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 08:00 UTC (~15min out) is an imminent catalyst that could shift this read
Loss of 1.14473 puts the 1.1440 area back in play
M15 close above 1.14621 reopens the 1.14715 spike high
Higher lows since the NFP spike faded, back near session highs.
Yesterday's NFP-miss spike to 1.14712 faded, but price has carved higher lows through the Asian session and is back pressing the session high at 1.14621. RSI(14) near 60, no extreme; ATR ~5 pips reflects a thin pre-London grind.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1442, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14712
What it said to watch
Lagarde ~08:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could reprice this read
A close above 1.14621 opens the path to the 1.14712 spike high
Loss of 1.14500 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes 1.14420
07:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, HH/HL · RSI 61 · price 1.14554
Higher highs off 1.14203 base.
London session climbed from the 1.14203 base to a session high at 1.14621, clearing the 1.1435-1.1444 weekly top which now sits below as support. Price eased to 1.14554, RSI(14) mid-60s, structure holding higher lows. Lagarde speech ~08:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.14507, 1.14444, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde ~08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14444 weekly top reopens the 1.14400 pivot
Close above 1.14621 session high extends toward the 1.14715 spike high
London session grinding higher off the 1.1420 swing low, EUR back near the session high at 1.14621 after the earlier spike to 1.14715 was faded. Buyers held the 1.1450 pivot on the pullback; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme. Lagarde at ~08:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde ~08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14621 session high opens the path to the 1.14715 spike high
Higher lows since session low, testing session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session, printing higher lows off 1.14203 and tagging a session high at 1.14621 before easing to 1.14523. The pair sits mid-range within the broader 1.1400–1.1450 grind, with the post-NFP spike high at 1.14723 still untested; RSI(14) around 58 shows no extreme.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde ~08:00 UTC (under 1h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of 1.14400 puts the 1.14203 session low back in play
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 1.14524
Higher highs, higher lows off London lows.
London morning grinding higher off the 1.14204 low, printing a session high at 1.14621 before easing to 1.14524; the post-NFP dollar softness still underpins price. RSI(14) around 63 with room before hot, and the NFP spike high at 1.14715 caps above.
Support: 1.14458, 1.1440, 1.14204
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde at 08:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14621 session high opens the path to 1.14715 nfp high
Loss of 1.14458 swing low breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.14400 pivot
London session extended the post-NFP USD softness, lifting EUR/USD to a session high 1.14621 before a pullback to 1.14524. Higher-low chain intact above 1.14465 with RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 1.14200 base.
Support: 1.14465, 1.14335, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech ~08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14621 opens the path toward 1.14715
Failure to hold 1.14465 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.14335
Yesterday's 12:30 UTC NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 before fading into a 1.1420–1.1440 consolidation. London has reclaimed the bid, printing higher lows off 1.14465 and pressing the 1.14621 session high; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.14465, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14621 opens a retest of the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of 1.14465 breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 70 · price 1.1459
Higher highs, higher lows off 1.1420.
EUR/USD extended its post-NFP recovery through London hours, clearing the 1.1444 prior high to print a session high at 1.1462. RSI(14) elevated near 70 but shy of extreme; the higher-low chain from the 1.1420 session low is intact.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1451, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1462
What it said to watch
Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.1444 negates the breakout
Loss of 1.1451 breaks the higher-low chain
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 65 · price 1.1454
Higher lows, retracing NFP spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14723 on the soft US NFP miss yesterday, then faded into a 1.1420–1.1445 consolidation. Price has since ground back up on rising lows to the session high near 1.1458, RSI(14) around 64 with no extreme reading.
Support: 1.1442, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde at 08:00 UTC is the near-term swing factor for this read
Close above 1.14580 session high opens the path back to the 1.14723 nfp high
Failure to hold 1.14420 recent low breaks the rising-lows structure
Higher highs/lows off 1.1420 base into session high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on the soft US NFP miss yesterday, then consolidated back to a 1.1420 base before grinding higher into the London session to a fresh session high at 1.1458. Higher lows have held since 1.1420; RSI(14) firm near 66, not yet stretched, with ATR only ~6 pips signalling tight, orderly conditions.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech ~08:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar period
Close above 1.1458 opens the path back toward the 1.1472 nfp spike high
Failure to hold 1.1440 breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.1420 swing low
EURUSD ground higher through the Asian session off the 1.1420 low and broke above 1.1445 into the London open, now printing session highs near 1.1455 with RSI(14) around 69. The bid is USD-made after the soft US NFP miss; buyers have held every dip on the intraday rising structure. Above sits the 1.14715 spike high from yesterday's payrolls reaction.
Support: 1.1445, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14450 breaks the intraday rising structure and reopens the 1.14203 session low
Close above 1.14715 spike high extends the move
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC (~2h out) could materially shift this read
Yesterday's NFP miss drove a spike to 1.14715 that was immediately faded back under 1.14400. Asia session has since carved higher lows off 1.14203, lifting price to 1.14551 just beneath the 1.14580 prior high, RSI(14) firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.14465, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14580 opens the path back to the 1.14715 spike high
Loss of 1.14465 breaks the higher-low chain
HCOB Composite PMI (07:15-08:00 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) in ~1-2h could reset this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 1.14491
Higher lows grinding into session high.
EURUSD spiked to 1.14715 on yesterday's soft US NFP then based overnight; Asia and early London ground back up through a chain of higher lows to a fresh session high at 1.14545, now easing to 1.14491. RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR compressed near 5 pips reflect a slow, USD-made drift rather than a fresh impulse.
Support: 1.14437, 1.14335, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14545 opens the path back toward the 1.14715 nfp high
M15 close below 1.14437 breaks the rising-low structure
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 1.14491
Higher lows into session high, consolidating.
London morning grinding higher off the 1.14202 session low, holding above EMA20/50 as the post-NFP USD selloff carries EUR near its nine-day high. Price stalled just under the 1.14545 session high with RSI cooling; the NFP spike to 1.14723 remains an unfilled overhead sweep.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1435, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14545 opens the path to 1.14580 then the 1.14723 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14410 exposes 1.14350 and the 1.14202 session low
05:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 66 · price 1.14523
Higher lows off 1.1420, testing range top.
Yesterday's soft US NFP spiked EURUSD to 1.14723 before it settled into a 1.1420–1.1455 range. Early London is stair-stepping higher lows off 1.14203 and pressing the session high at 1.14545, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before overbought.
Support: 1.1445, 1.14335, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14545 opens the path back toward 1.14723
Loss of 1.14335 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.14203
HCOB PMIs (07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read within the next few bars
05:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.14523
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.14200.
EURUSD has ground higher through the Asia session and into early London, rebuilding an HH/HL chain off the 1.14200 swing low and clearing the 1.1444 nine-day high left after yesterday's soft-NFP spike. Price now sits at the 61.8% retrace of the post-spike decline near 1.14523, pressing the 1.14545 session high with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14545 opens the path back toward the 1.14715 spike high
Loss of 1.14360 breaks the intraday HL chain
Lagarde speech and Eurozone PMIs (07:15–08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Post-spike consolidation, pushing back to session highs.
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to a 9-day high at 1.14715 before it faded into a tight consolidation around 1.1420-1.1450. Price has since recovered to 1.14524, edging back toward session highs with RSI near 65, above both EMAs.
Support: 1.1441, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14545 opens the path back toward the 9-day high 1.14715
Failure to hold 1.14410 reopens the session low at 1.14203
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.14524
Higher highs and higher lows off the Asian low.
EURUSD is grinding up through the early London hours, extending the post-NFP dollar selloff toward the session high at 1.14545, with price now near the 62% retracement of the 1.14715-1.14203 drop. RSI(14) around 71 is short-term hot but consistent with the steady climb off the Asian low; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1439.
Support: 1.14388, 1.14203, 1.14335
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14388 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.14203
Close above 1.14545 exposes the 1.14715 spike high
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 1.14537
Recovering toward post-NFP spike high after range.
Thin Asian-session grind higher has taken EURUSD back above the 1.1444 weekly top to a session high 1.14537, retracing ~60% of the post-NFP drop from 1.14723. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1420 to build a rising low chain; spike high remains the overhead cap.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1429, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14723 spike high opens continuation
Failure to hold 1.14440 prior high reopens 1.14290 swing low
Eurozone PMIs (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could shift this read
Higher lows off 1.1420, breaking back above weekly top.
Asian session has ground higher off the 1.1420 range low, reclaiming the 1.1444 weekly top and stretching toward the post-NFP spike high at 1.14715; the whole bid is a dollar-weakness story after the soft US payrolls print. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but short of extreme, ATR compressed as London approaches.
Support: 1.1444, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1444 reopens the 1.14203 range low
EU Services PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bars
Acceptance above 1.14715 extends the up-leg
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into weekly top · RSI 67 · price 1.14469
Higher lows off 1.1420, retracing NFP spike.
EURUSD is grinding back to the weekly top 1.1444 after the post-NFP spike to 1.14723 was sold back to 1.1420; current 1.1447 sits at roughly the 50% retrace of that decline. Higher lows off 1.1420 through the Asian session, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not stretched.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14512 opens path back toward the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of 1.14320 puts the 1.1420 swing low back in play
Eurozone Services PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could reshape this read within a few hours
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 65 · price 1.14469
Post-spike recovery, higher lows.
The NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14715 before it faded into a 1.1420-1.1445 consolidation. Price has since ground back up through the 1.1444 nine-day high with a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) around 65 — not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14335, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14715 opens continuation off the spike high
Failure to hold 1.14400 pivot reopens 1.14203 swing low
Eurozone Services PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD has ground back to the 9-day high near 1.1445, retracing the NFP spike to 1.14715 that faded yesterday on broad USD weakness. Price is coiling tightly on rising lows off the 1.1420 swing low; RSI mid-60s, ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 opens the path toward the nfp high at 1.14715
Loss of the 1.1420 swing low breaks the rising support line
Eurozone Services PMI (07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could shift this read
Higher lows off session low, retesting weekly top.
EURUSD spiked to 1.14723 on the soft US NFP print, faded to 1.14203, and Asia session has since ground back up to retest the 1.1444/1.1445 nine-day high zone. RSI(14) mid-60s, holding a chain of higher lows off the 1.14364 rising support.
Support: 1.14364, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14450 opens the path back toward the 1.14723 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14364 rising support confirms a lower-high
Eurozone PMIs + Lagarde (~07:15-08:00 UTC) could shift this read intraday
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 1.1442
Grinding into 9-day high after NFP spike, tight consolidation at top.
NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.1472 during NY hours, then price faded to 1.1420 before grinding back up through the Asian session to retest the 9-day high at 1.1444. Tight consolidation now capping just under that level with RSI in the low 60s — momentum flattening into the London open.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 opens the path toward the 1.1472 session high
Failure to hold 1.1420 confirms a lower-low
Eurozone Services PMI (07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sits at 1.1442, creeping back toward the 1.14444 weekly top after yesterday's NFP miss drove a spike to 1.14723 and a subsequent fade to 1.14202. Asian-session action is calm — a slow, low-ATR grind higher with RSI(14) around 61, well short of extremes.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path to the 1.14723 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14202 reopens the 1.1400 pivot
Eurozone Services PMI ~07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could reset this read
Post-NFP spike to 1.14715 faded to a 1.14203 session low, then price built higher lows through the Asia session and is pressing the 9-day/weekly-top zone at 1.14444. RSI(14) mid-range near 59, thin overnight volume; still capped below the session high.
Support: 1.14364, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path toward the 1.14715 spike high
Loss of 1.14364 higher-low reopens the 1.14203 session low
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI + Lagarde (~07:15-08:00 UTC) could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding back to highs · RSI 62 · price 1.14427
EURUSD spiked to 1.14723 on the soft US NFP miss, then bled back to 1.14202 before grinding higher lows back toward the 1.14444 weekly top. RSI(14) near 62, no extreme; price sits just below the 9-day high heading into the European session.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14202, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14444 opens the path back to the nfp high at 1.14723
Failure to hold 1.14202 swing low negates the recovery
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI and Lagarde (~07:15-08:00 UTC) could shift this read
EUR/USD climbed off the 1.14203 session low through the Asian range and is now consolidating just under the 1.14444 session high, the whole leg driven by the post-NFP dollar slide rather than euro strength. RSI(14) near 57 and ATR ~7 pips reflect a quiet early-London tape after the volatile NFP spike to 1.14723.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14285, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path toward 1.14512
Loss of 1.14285 asian low reopens 1.14203 session low
Eurozone PMIs ~07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD holds a nine-day high zone, coiling in a tight 1.1436–1.1444 band after the NFP-driven spike to 1.14723 the prior session faded. Buyers rebuilt from the 1.1420 dip and price sits just under the 1.1444 weekly top with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14202, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.1444 opens path back toward the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of 1.14360 exposes the 1.14202 session low
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could break this range
03:46 UTC
Consolidating after NFP spike · RSI 56 · price 1.14392
Range-bound, higher lows forming.
The NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 around midday before price faded straight back and settled into a 1.1420–1.1444 range. Asia hours are quiet with a chain of higher lows off the 1.14203 session low; the 1.14443 weekly top still caps rallies.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14443 reopens the path toward the 1.14715 spike high
Loss of 1.14203 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Eurozone Services PMI + Lagarde (~07:15-08:00 UTC) could break the range
EURUSD spiked to 1.14723 on the soft US NFP miss, then settled into a tight Asian-session consolidation holding above 1.14200, near the 50% retracement of that move. Volume is thin and ATR sub-6 pips; no directional development in play yet.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14444 puts the 1.14512/1.14723 spike zone back in play
Lagarde at 08:00 UTC and EZ Services PMI could break the range
03:31 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 1.14384
Range after NFP spike and retrace.
Yesterday's NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14723 before it retraced to 1.14203 and recovered into 1.14444. Price is now ranging 1.14360–1.14444 in Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.1458
What it said to watch
Eurozone Services PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could shift this read within hours
The yesterday NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) drove a sharp USD sell-off, spiking EURUSD to 1.14715 before it settled into a range. Asia session is grinding between the 1.14202 session low and the 1.14444 session high — the nine-day-top zone — with RSI neutral near 54 and ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path back toward the 1.14715 spike zone
Failure to hold 1.14290 exposes the 1.14202 session low
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could break this range
EURUSD spiked to 1.14715 on the soft US NFP print, then settled into a range; the Asian session has ground higher off the 1.1420 session low into the 1.1444 weekly top, where price is stalling. RSI(14) mid-range, ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no expansion in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path back toward 1.14580
Loss of 1.1420 session low reopens the 1.1400 pivot
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near session high · RSI 58 · price 1.14397
Range after NFP spike, higher lows into Asia.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14715 on the soft US NFP miss yesterday, then based out and dragged into the Asian session between 1.14203 and 1.14444. Price is coiling near the top of that range at 1.14397 on thin Asian liquidity, RSI mid-range with ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14444 opens the weekly-top zone toward 1.14715
Loss of 1.14203 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1400
Eurozone Services PMI + Lagarde (~07:15-08:00 UTC) could break this range
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asia session off the 1.14200 range low, tagging the 1.14444 weekly-top zone twice before easing to 1.14385. The bulk of the move dates to yesterday's soft US NFP spike to 1.14715; since then price has consolidated in a 1.1420–1.1444 band with rejection capping the upper edge.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path back toward the 1.14715 nfp high
Failure to hold 1.14300 exposes the 1.14200 range low
Eurozone Services PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD carved a series of higher lows off the 1.1420 session low during Asia hours and pushed back to 1.1444, the leg being an extension of yesterday's soft-NFP USD selloff. Price now consolidates just under that session high with RSI cooling from the rally, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1420 session low reopens the downside within the range
M15 close above 1.1444 session high exposes 1.1451 and the 1.1472 spike high
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation off the 1.1420 low, testing session high.
Asia session ground higher off the 1.14202 low, breaking a tight range to retest the 1.1444 nine-day high after yesterday's NFP-driven spike to 1.14723. RSI mid-60s, ATR compressed near 7 pips — quiet drift ahead of the European PMIs and Lagarde.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14442 opens the path back to the 1.14723 nfp high
Loss of 1.14202 asian low reopens the 1.14 pivot
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI ~07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 63 · price 1.14427
Consolidation after NFP spike, higher lows building.
Yesterday's NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14723 before it faded and based around 1.14203. Asian session has ground price back to the 1.14444 weekly-top/9-day-high zone, RSI(14) mid-60s; that level is capping so far.
Support: 1.14275, 1.14203, 1.14075
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path to 1.14512 then the 1.14723 nfp high
Failure to hold 1.14275 reopens the 1.14203 session low
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI ~07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could shift this read
Asia session ground back up to the nine-day high at 1.1444 after basing near 1.1420 through the late NY-Asia handover, the whole leg a weak-USD story off the soft NFP print. RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR compressed to ~6 pips as price retests the weekly top.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14203
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14514
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14443 opens the weekly-top zone toward 1.14514
Failure to hold 1.14285 exposes the 1.14203 session low
Eurozone Services/Composite PMIs ~07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could reshape this read
02:31 UTC
Recovering toward weekly high · RSI 64 · price 1.14441
Consolidation after NFP spike, higher lows.
The post-NFP spike to 1.14715 gave way to a consolidation that based around 1.14200 in the London-NY session; price has since climbed back and is retesting the 1.14444 weekly top in thin Asia hours. RSI(14) near 63, no extreme, and the recovery off 1.14200 has printed higher lows.
Support: 1.1429, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.1458
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 opens the path back toward the 1.14580 post-spike high
Loss of 1.14200 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could reshape this read
Price recovered off the session low near 1.14202 during Asian hours and pushed back into the 1.1444 weekly-top zone, RSI(14) mid-60s. The post-NFP dollar-driven spike high at 1.14723 caps the upside; buyers stepped in twice around 1.1420.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14202
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14472, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14472 opens the path back to the 1.14723 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14285 exposes the 1.14202 session low
Eurozone Services PMI (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could reshape this read
02:16 UTC
Recovering off intraday base · RSI 61 · price 1.14407
Higher lows off 1.1420, retracing NFP spike.
EURUSD is grinding back up through the Asia session off the 1.1420 base toward the session high at 1.1444, retracing part of yesterday's soft-NFP spike to 1.14715. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 61 — firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14203, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1444 opens the path back toward 1.1458
Failure to hold the 1.1430 pivot reopens 1.1420 swing low
Eurozone PMIs (~07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, near range top · RSI 56 · price 1.14369
Consolidation after NFP spike, 1.1420–1.1444 range.
Asia session grinding higher after yesterday's NFP-driven spike to 1.1471; EURUSD has recovered off the 1.1420 session low to retest the 1.1444 weekly top. Range still intact between 1.1420 and 1.1444, RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 1.14202, 1.14275
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 weekly top opens the path back toward the 1.1471 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14202 session low reopens the lower range
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI and Lagarde later in the session could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 60 · price 1.14369
Consolidation resolving higher.
Quiet Asia session digesting yesterday's NFP-miss spike to 1.14715; price coiled around 1.1420–1.1435 then popped to a recent high at 1.14443 before easing back to 1.1437. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14443 opens the path back toward the 1.14715 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14200 reopens the prior consolidation lows
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI and Lagarde later today could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 58 · price 1.14388
Consolidation after NFP spike, higher low into range top.
The NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14715 mid-window before the move faded and price settled into a 1.1428-1.1435 consolidation through Asia hours. A late leg lifted the pair off the 1.14203 low to a session high at 1.14443; RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with room either way.
Support: 1.14203, 1.1428, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14443 opens the path to the 1.14715 nine-day high
Loss of 1.14203 swing low resumes the NFP-fade downside
EZ PMIs 07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovering after NFP spike · RSI 60 · price 1.14388
Consolidation, higher lows into session high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on the soft US NFP print, then unwound most of the pop and consolidated in the 1.1420–1.1445 band. Buyers stepped in at 1.1420 three times before a recovery leg back to 1.1443; RSI has cooled from the spike into the low 60s.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14335
Resistance: 1.14443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14443 opens the path back toward the 1.1472 spike high
Loss of 1.1420 confirms a lower low and breaks the double-bottom base
EZ PMIs 07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.14381
Post-spike consolidation, breaking higher.
Asia session has recovered off the 1.14203 low back toward the 1.1444 nine-day high, breaking out of the tight 1.1428–1.1435 overnight range after the NFP-driven dollar-weakness spike faded. Price is pausing around 1.1438 with RSI mid-range, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14443 opens the path toward the 1.14723 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14203 confirms a lower low and negates the recovery
EZ Services/Composite PMI 07:15 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could reshape this read
01:31 UTC
Recovering, grinding back to session top · RSI 62 · price 1.14381
Range after NFP spike, testing highs.
Asia session is grinding back toward the 1.1444 nine-day high after the post-NFP spike to 1.1471 faded and consolidated in a 1.1420-1.1445 range. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1420, and the latest push tagged 1.14443 before easing, RSI(14) around 62.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14512
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14443 opens the path to 1.14512
Failure to hold 1.14200 confirms a lower low and reopens the range base
ISM Services (Jul 6) and Lagarde could materially shift this read
Yesterday's soft US NFP spiked EURUSD to 1.14723 before it faded into a 1.1420–1.1444 range. Asian session bounced off the 1.14202 recent low and price is grinding back toward the 1.1444 nine-day high, RSI(14) around 62.
Support: 1.14202, 1.14286
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 opens the path to the 1.1472 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14202 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
EZ Services PMI (07:15 UTC) and Lagarde (08:00 UTC) in ~6h could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Range after spike, drifting sideways · RSI 51 · price 1.14306
Range-bound, double bottom at session low.
The NFP-driven spike to 1.14715 yesterday has fully faded; price is ranging in thin Asia-session volume between 1.14202 and 1.1435. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.14202 to form a double bottom, and price is now recovering toward 1.14306 with RSI back near mid.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14202 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.1435 reopens the 1.1445 nine-day high
Lagarde speech and HCOB Services/Composite PMIs later today could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Post-spike fade, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14306
Consolidation after NFP spike, lower highs into 1.1420 base.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1471 on yesterday's soft US NFP then faded, and has since ground lower through a chain of lower highs into a 1.1420 base. Quiet Asia session now consolidating between 1.1420 and 1.1435 with RSI(14) back near neutral after buyers stepped in twice at 1.1420.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1445, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 weekly top opens the path to the 1.1445 nine-day high
Failure to hold 1.1420 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1400 pivot
Thin Asia liquidity keeps ranges tight until London reprices
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading in Asia · RSI 40 · price 1.14218
Lower highs since post-NFP spike faded.
EURUSD spiked to 1.1472 on the soft NFP print earlier then faded steadily through NY and Asia, now grinding into the session low near 1.1420 on thin Asian volume. Lower highs are stacking from the 1.1435/1.1444 zone, with RSI(14) soft near 40 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.1444
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14203 session low opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14356 asia high would break the lower-high chain
HCOB Services PMI + Lagarde (07:15–08:00 GMT) could reset this read
The post-NFP spike to 1.1472 faded through the session and price has ground lower into 1.1422, printing lower highs below EMA20/50. Now coiling in a tight 1.1420–1.1424 band just above the session low, RSI(14) around 37.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14202 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14360 would break the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speech / EU PMIs later could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Drifting lower off range top · RSI 39 · price 1.14213
Consolidation below post-spike high, edging to session low.
The post-NFP spike to 1.1472 fully retraced, and Asian-session flow has drifted EURUSD down from the 1.1435 range top toward the session low at 1.1420, RSI(14) cooling near 39. Price sits below EMA20/50 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips in thin conditions.
Support: 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1400 psych pivot
Reclaim of the 1.1435 range top negates the lower drift toward the 1.1444 9-day high
Fri HCOB Services/Composite PMI and Lagarde (07:15-08:00 GMT) could reset this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14217
Descending highs after failed spike, near session low.
The NY spike to 1.14715 was rejected hard and price has since bled lower through a chain of descending highs, now testing the session low at 1.14203 in thin Asia liquidity. RSI(14) sits near 38 and price trades below EMA20/50, with the 1.1435 range top capping bounces.
Support: 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14444, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14203 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14360 range top neutralises the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speech and EU PMIs later today could reshape this read
EUR/USD has bled lower off the post-NFP spike high near 1.1472, carving a chain of lower highs and now pressing session lows around 1.1420 in thin Asia trade. RSI sits in the mid-30s with price under both EMA20 and EMA50; the earlier soft-USD payroll pop has fully faded.
Support: 1.14203, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14337, 1.14444
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14337 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14000 pivot opens the 1.1300 zone flagged in the macro read
HCOB Services PMI and Lagarde speech ahead could shift this read
The NFP-driven spike to 1.14723 faded fast and price has bled lower through a thin Asia session, now testing the session low at 1.14214 with RSI(14) around 41. Consolidation persists below the 1.14360 pivot; the drop stalls near the 50% retrace of the NFP leg.
Support: 1.14214, 1.1426, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14435, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14214 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14360 negates the downward drift
ISM Services (Mon) and Lagarde risk could reset this read
Lower highs since NFP spike, testing session lows.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14715 on the soft US NFP print then faded steadily through the session, now grinding into Asia lows near 1.1421. Price broke below the 1.1428–1.1436 Asian range and is pressing the session low with RSI(14) around 35.
Support: 1.14214, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.1444, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 1.14214 confirms continuation lower toward the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14356 swing high negates the fade and reopens 1.1444
Lagarde speech / EU PMIs later today could reset this read