Boxed range below post-spike high, edging to session low.
The 57K NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14715 at the 12:30 UTC print before the move faded back below 1.1435. Since then price has ranged 1.1424–1.1436 through NY and into thin Asia hours, now drifting to the session low near 1.14235 with RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.14471, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1436 range top reopens the 1.1447 shelf
Break of 1.14235 session low exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Eurozone PMIs / Lagarde ~07-08 UTC (~8h out) could reshape this read
23:46 UTC
Post-spike drift lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14261
Fading NFP spike, lower highs.
The NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 during NY hours, but the move faded steadily through late NY and into Asia, now grinding down to 1.1425. RSI cooled into the low 40s and price sits below EMA20/50, with the 1.14350 range top capping the retrace attempts.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14475, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14235 session low opens the path toward the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14350 range top would ease the drift lower
Lagarde speech and Eurozone PMIs (Fri 07:15-08:00 UTC) could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Pullback fading, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14288
Consolidation near session lows after spike fade.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14723 on yesterday's NFP miss then faded steadily, and is now boxed between 1.14275 and 1.14350 through Asia hours with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price sits below EMA20/50 after the pullback stalled around the 61.8% fib of the NFP surge.
Support: 1.14275, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14512
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14275 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14350 needed to challenge the 1.14512 swing high
Lagarde speech and Eurozone PMIs Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14715 on the soft US NFP miss then retraced hard; the last ~10h has been thin late-session consolidation between 1.14259 and the 1.14365 range top. Price is drifting toward range lows with RSI in the mid-40s and holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14259, 1.14206, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14512, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14259 confirms a lower low out of the range
Reclaim of 1.14365 range top reopens 1.14512
Lagarde speech + Eurozone PMIs Fri 07:15-08:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating near session lows below descending highs.
The NFP spike to 1.1472 has fully faded, with price grinding lower through late US/Asia hours and now consolidating around 1.1428 near the session low at 1.1426. Rejections at successively lower highs keep the drift pointed down toward the 1.1420 area while 1.1436 caps.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1426 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.1436 breaks the descending-highs sequence
HCOB Services/Composite PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could shift this read
Asian session is coiling in a tight 1.1428-1.1436 band after yesterday's NFP-driven spike to 1.14715 and the pullback that followed. Price is sitting near the 61.8% retrace of that move with ATR compressed to ~4 pips, drifting toward the session low at 1.14259.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14494, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14259 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14365 session high targets the 1.14494 swing high
EZ PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could break this Asian range
23:01 UTC
Downtrend after spike, now flat · RSI 42 · price 1.14287
Tight Asian range below EMAs.
The NFP-miss spike to 1.14723 was fully rejected and unwound within hours; price has since bled back to 1.1428. Asian session is grinding in a tight 1.1426–1.1436 range below both EMAs, RSI mid-40s and volumes thin.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.14476, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14356 range top would reopen the 1.1447 swing high
Loss of 1.14259 session low confirms a lower low
HCOB PMIs (07:15–08:00 UTC) and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could break this range
22:46 UTC
Post-spike drift lower · RSI 42 · price 1.1428
Consolidating below NFP spike high, lower highs.
The June NFP miss ~10h ago spiked EURUSD to 1.1471 before a steady drift lower into the Asia session. Price now grinds at 1.1428, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that spike, with RSI(14) soft near 42 and price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1426 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1450 negates the drift lower
HCOB Services/Composite PMIs and Lagarde speech Fri could shift this read
The post-NFP spike swept 1.14715 then got rejected hard, and price has since coiled into a tight 1.1426–1.1435 range through the quiet late-NY/Asia hours. Current bar sits at the range low with RSI(14) near 42 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1451, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1426 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1435 range top reopens 1.1451
HCOB Services/Composite PMIs and Lagarde speech Fri 07:15–08:00 UTC could break this range
22:31 UTC
Consolidating after NFP spike · RSI 47 · price 1.14304
Range below weekly top, lower highs.
The NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.1472 before the move faded. Price has since consolidated below the 1.1435 weekly top, drifting to 1.1430 through a thin Asia session with a series of lower highs capping; RSI(14) sits neutral and the 1.1426–1.1435 range is intact.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14354 session high reopens the 1.1435 weekly top
Loss of 1.14259 session low exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Eurozone PMIs and Lagarde speech Fri could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Range after NFP spike faded · RSI 48 · price 1.14304
Tight consolidation below spike high.
The NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14723 before the move fully retraced; price has since coiled into a tight 1.1428–1.1436 range through thin Asia-hours trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips, no impulse in play.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14259
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.14494, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14356 session high reopens the 1.14494 prior high
Loss of 1.14285 range floor exposes the 1.14259 swing low
Lagarde speech and Eurozone PMIs (07:15–08:00 UTC) could break this range
22:16 UTC
Range after NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.14329
Consolidation below weekly top.
The June NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.1472 before sellers faded it back, and price has since coiled into a tight 1.1428–1.1436 range through a thin late Asia session. RSI is neutral near 46 and price sits around the 50% retrace of the NFP leg, with the 1.14435 weekly top capping above.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14435, 1.1458
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14360 range top, then 1.14435 weekly top, reopens 1.14580
Break below 1.14285 range low exposes the 1.1400 psych level
Fri Lagarde speech / HCOB PMIs could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Post-spike, ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.14329
Consolidation under weekly top after NFP spike.
EURUSD spiked to 1.14723 on the 57K NFP miss then faded back into a tight range around 1.1430 through late US hours. Now drifting in thin early-Asia trade, boxed between the 1.14285 range floor and the 1.14354 weekly top, RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14472, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14354 weekly top reopens the 1.14472 swing high
Close below 1.14285 range floor exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Fri HCOB PMIs (07:15-08:00 UTC) and Lagarde speech could break this range
22:01 UTC
Downdrift off NFP spike, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14342
Consolidation after spike rejection.
The NFP miss drove a spike to 1.14715 that was quickly rejected; price bled back and is now consolidating 1.1428–1.1436 in thin Asia trade. RSI sits mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~3-4 pips, well below the payroll-driven expansion. The 1.1400 pivot from the broader EUR narrative sits below as the next reference.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14475
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14365 session high reopens the upper spike zone
Break below 1.14259 swing low confirms a lower low
Fri PMIs / Lagarde speech could materially shift this read
Range-bound below the post-NFP high, lower highs into Asia.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14723 on the 57K NFP miss then faded, now boxed between 1.14275 and 1.14365 through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to ~4-5 pips; no setup in play at the mid-range.
Support: 1.14275, 1.14259
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.1440, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14365 session high opens the 1.14400 round number and 1.14435 weekly top
Failure to hold 1.14275 session low exposes the 1.14259 swing low
Fri PMIs (07:15-08:00 UTC) and Lagarde speech (08:00 UTC) could break this range
21:46 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14303
Consolidation under session high.
The 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K) spiked EUR/USD to a spike high at 1.14723, after which price faded and has consolidated around 1.143 through late NY into Asia. Now ranging between the 1.14259 swing low and 1.14360 range top on compressed ATR and neutral RSI; volume has thinned to near nothing on the closing bars.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14476, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14259 swing low opens 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14360 range top exposes the 1.14476 swing high
Eurozone PMIs and Lagarde (~08:00 UTC Jul 3) could break this range
21:46 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14303
Consolidation below post-NFP high.
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.1472 into the NY session, then price faded steadily back to the low-1.1430s. Now coiling in a tight 1.1426–1.1436 range on thin late-session volume, holding above the 1.14259 session low.
Support: 1.14259, 1.14017
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14494, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14360 range top exposes 1.14494 and the 1.14435 weekly cap
Break below 1.14259 opens the 1.1420/1.1400 area
EZ Services PMI + Lagarde ~08:00 UTC Jul 3 could break this range
21:32 UTC
Range after NFP spike faded · RSI 47 · price 1.14327
Consolidation below 1.1435 weekly top.
The NFP-driven spike to 1.14715 fully reversed, with price bleeding back into a 1.1428–1.1437 range through late NY on thin, single-digit volume. Consolidating just under the 1.1435 weekly top; RSI(14) mid-range near 47, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14435, 1.14512
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14435 weekly top would reopen the 1.14512 area
Break below 1.14259 swing low exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Eurozone PMIs + Lagarde (08:00 UTC Fri) could reprice this range on next session open
The NFP print spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 before the move fully reversed, leaving price back in the mid-1.1430s. Late NY hours are thin and quiet, with price boxed between 1.14259 and 1.14365, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14259 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14365 puts the 1.14512 post-nfp high back in view
Fri PMIs + Lagarde at 08:00 UTC could break this range
Consolidation in tight range, low volatility into Asia.
Price spiked to 1.14715 on the June NFP miss then retraced sharply, and the last several hours have coiled in a tight 1.1426–1.1436 range with volume drying up into the Asia handover. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price pinned around EMA20 and below EMA50; no setup in play.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14365 session high reopens the 1.14435 post-spike area
Break below 1.14259 session low exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Fri PMIs (08:00 UTC) + Lagarde could break the range
21:16 UTC
Faded off NFP spike, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14311
Consolidating after rejection of 1.1472 spike high.
The NFP print drove a spike to 1.14715 that was immediately rejected, fading back through 1.1440 to a 1.1426 low. Price is now grinding in a tight 1.1428–1.1436 range on thin late-session volume, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI flat near 47.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1426, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14435, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14365 opens the 1.14435 weekly top
Break below 1.14260 resumes the fade toward 1.1400
Eurozone PMIs and Lagarde Jul 3 08:00 UTC could reset this range
21:01 UTC
Pullback after NFP spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14331
Lower highs off 1.1472, consolidating near 1.1430.
The NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.1472 in the NY session before the mixed details faded it straight back below the 1.1435 weekly top. Into late NY/Asia the pair is chopping in a tight 1.1426–1.1436 band, RSI mid-40s, price under both EMAs after a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14259 confirms a lower low, opening the path to 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14365 needed to re-challenge the 1.1435 weekly top
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves
21:01 UTC
Range after nfp spike faded · RSI 53 · price 1.14331
Consolidation below 1.1437, spike high unfilled.
The NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 before the move fully faded, and price has since coiled into a tight 1.1426-1.1437 range through the late session. RSI sits neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~5 pips as the market drifts around the 1.1400 pivot with the 1.1437 range top capping.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1447, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1437 opens a retest of 1.1447
Break below 1.14259 confirms a lower low toward 1.1409
ISM Services Mon could break this range
20:47 UTC
Downtrend since NFP spike, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14329
Lower highs, consolidating near lows.
The NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 mid-window before the move was fully retraced, with price fading through the NY session on a chain of lower highs. Now consolidating near 1.1430 in thin late-session trade, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the NFP leg with the session low at 1.14259 holding so far.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14259 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward 1.1400
Close above 1.14380 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Thin Asia-session liquidity can distort moves off these levels
Range below 1.1436 with lower highs since the spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14715 on the soft US NFP miss then faded through the NY session, now consolidating in a 1.1426–1.1436 band around the 50% retrace of that move. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 and ATR is ~4 pips as late-session liquidity thins.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1426
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 weekly top reopens the path toward the 1.14715 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1426 session low confirms a lower low
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
20:31 UTC
Range after NFP spike faded · RSI 52 · price 1.14343
The NFP spike to 1.14715 was sold hard and faded back through the session, leaving price ranging in the low-1.1430s. Into thin late-session liquidity it's boxed between the 1.14285 swing low and the 1.14365 swing high, RSI hovering mid-range.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14259
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14512, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14365 opens the path back toward 1.14512
Break below 1.14259 session low confirms a lower low
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves on low volume
20:17 UTC
Faded off NFP spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14321
Consolidation below spike high after post-NFP fade.
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 at the 12:30 UTC print, but the move was rejected and faded through the NY session back to 1.1430. Late-NY into Asia the pair is coiling in a tight range near 1.14300 on thinning volume, holding above the 1.14259 session low.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14472, 1.14715
What it said to watch
close below 1.14259 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 pivot
reclaim of 1.14375 needed to reverse the post-spike fade
Asian session likely thin — range holds until liquidity returns
The dollar was sold sharply on the soft US labour data, spiking EUR/USD to 1.1472 before a steady NY-session fade back to the 1.1430 area, now hovering on the 50% retrace of that impulse. Price is grinding along lower highs into 1.14360 and basing just above the 1.14259 session low, with RSI(14) mid-range near 45.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1436
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14259 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14360 needed to break the run of lower highs
ISM Services (Mon) is the next US catalyst for this pair
Consolidating below spike high, minor lower highs.
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 at 12:30 UTC before the move faded through the NY session. Price now grinds along the lows near 1.1430 with a chain of lower highs, pressing the session low at 1.14259 into the NY close.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14512, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14259 confirms a lower low, opening 1.14200
Reclaim of 1.14365 needed to challenge 1.14512
Thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves into the close
20:01 UTC
Pulling back after post-NFP spike · RSI 44 · price 1.14296
Consolidating below spike high, lower highs.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14723 on the soft US NFP miss then bled back, printing lower highs into the late NY session and now stalling in the low 1.1430s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; buyers held the 1.14259 swing low on the last leg down.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14259 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1420/1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14365 reopens the 1.14512 prior high
Thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves at the range edges
Consolidation below session high after spike faded.
The single spike to 1.14715 on the NFP miss reverted fully within the hour, leaving a sweep of the highs before price settled into a 1.1428–1.1458 band. Since then EURUSD has ground lower toward the 1.14275 session low, RSI(14) parked in the low 40s and price below EMA20/EMA50 on thin evening volume.
Support: 1.14275, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.1458
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14275 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14365 negates the lower drift
Liquidity thins into the Asia session; ranges compress off ~5 pip ATR
The NFP miss (57K) spiked EURUSD to 1.14723 mid-session, but the move fully faded through NY as the drop in unemployment blunted the dovish read; price has since carved lower highs and now sits back at the session low near 1.1428. RSI(14) around 42, price under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14275, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14275 opens the 1.1400 round pivot
Reclaim of 1.14360 lower high needed to stall the fade
The 12:30 UTC NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 before it was rejected and faded through the NY session. Price has since carved lower highs and is grinding into the session low at 1.1428, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s and holding below the 1.1435 weekly top.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1448, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1428 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1435 weekly top would neutralise the post-spike fade
ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed are the next USD catalysts
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) then reversed hard as a firmer unemployment print revived the dollar. Since then price has carved lower highs into the NY session and is now pressing the 1.1428 session low, RSI(14) sub-40. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1428 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.1400 psych pivot
Post-spike retracement, descending highs into consolidation.
The 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 before the move faded, retracing roughly half the spike back to 1.1432. Price is now consolidating below a run of descending highs, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and price under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14477, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14365 needed to challenge the descending highs
No fresh EUR/USD catalyst in the next 8h; ISM Services (Mon) is the next scheduled risk
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723, but the move fully retraced and price now drifts in the low 1.1430s below the 1.1435 weekly top. Descending highs since the spike, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR ~7 pips as the session cools.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.1435, 1.14494
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14200 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14365 session high needed to challenge the descending highs
1.1435 weekly top capping upside
19:01 UTC
Post-spike fade, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14321
Spike rejected, consolidating below range top.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715, but the move fully faded through NY hours back to 1.1432. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.1429–1.1436 band beneath a descending fade line, RSI mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14365, 1.14494
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14365 range top reopens the 1.14494 prior high
Break below 1.14285 swing low exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot
19:01 UTC
Downtrend post-spike, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14321
Fading NFP spike, consolidating below 1.1435.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715, but the move was fully sold through the NY session back to 1.1432 as the falling US jobless rate cushioned the dollar. Price now grinds along 1.1430–1.1435 with RSI(14) mid-40s, holding just under the 1.1435 weekly top.
Support: 1.1429, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14477, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14477 reopens the NFP-spike zone
Failure to hold 1.14290 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1400
1.1435 weekly top capping — area to watch for rejection or break
Lower highs off NFP spike, basing near session low.
The NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.1472 at the 12:30 UTC print, but in-line wages capped it and price has bled back through the NY session to consolidate around 1.1432. Lower highs since the spike, with the 1.14285 session low holding and the 1.1435 weekly top still capping.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 weekly top reopens the upside toward the nfp high
Loss of 1.14285 session low exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Lower highs off the NFP spike, consolidating above session low.
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.1472 before the move faded steadily through the NY session, price now sitting near the 50% retrace around 1.14325. Lower highs cap the tape and price holds below EMA20/50, but demand at 1.14285 has stalled the slide for now.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1420 then the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14475 swing high needed to challenge the 1.14580 session high
Follow-through USD repricing after the NFP miss could still swing this read
18:31 UTC
Pulling back after NFP spike, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 1.14331
Post-spike fade, drifting toward mid-range.
The soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to sweep 1.14723 before the move faded hard as in-line wages capped the dollar's downside. Price has since carved lower highs off 1.14580 and is drifting into the mid-range around 1.14330, sitting on ~50% of the NFP up-move with RSI cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1458
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.14200 round level and 1.14000 pivot
Reclaim of the 1.14450 swing high needed to challenge the 1.14580 session high
Lower highs since NFP high, holding above session low.
NFP surprise (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 during the NY session before the print faded on in-line wages, leaving a chain of lower highs down to the current 1.1433. Price is drifting inside a descending channel, holding just above the 1.14285 session low with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14495, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14495 breaks the descending resistance and reopens the 1.14723 nfp high
18:16 UTC
Downtrend after NFP spike · RSI 41 · price 1.14317
Lower highs fading from spike high.
The NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 at the US open, but the pair faded through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, easing to 1.14285. RSI(14) sits sub-45 with price under EMA20; the descending trendline off the 1.14580 session high is capping.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14494, 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low
Break back above 1.14494 breaks the descending trendline
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EURUSD to 1.14715 before the move was fully retraced within a few bars — a false break of the upside. Price has since carved lower highs into the late session, drifting toward the 1.14285 swing low with RSI cooling near 42; the 1.1400 pivot remains intact below.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14476
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14285 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 pivot
M15 close back above 1.14476 negates the lower-high sequence
ISM Services (Mon) is the next catalyst that could reshape this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14723 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) as USD longs unwound, then faded steadily through NY to a session low of 1.14285 — the 61.8% retrace of that spike. RSI(14) cooled to the high-30s as price grinds lower in a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14285 (61.8% fib) confirms a lower low toward the 1.1400 pivot
Close back above 1.14435 weekly top reopens the 1.14580 session high
Further USD flows post-NFP could still shift near-term tone
18:01 UTC
Downtrend since NFP spike · RSI 35 · price 1.14306
Lower highs, grinding to session lows.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.1472, but the pop was rejected and price has graded lower through the NY session, now probing session lows near 1.1430. Sequence of lower highs holds with RSI(14) cooling toward 35.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14476 lower high needed to break the descending sequence
17:46 UTC
Pulling back off NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 39 · price 1.14301
Lower highs after midday breakout, range top rejected.
The 57K NFP miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14715 around midday before the move faded straight back into the weekly range. The last few hours have carved a chain of lower highs down to 1.14300, RSI(14) cooling toward the high-30s with price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.14286, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14476, 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14476 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14286 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14580 puts the NFP spike high back in play
17:46 UTC
Pulling back off NFP spike, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 1.14301
Post-spike fade, micro downtrend within weekly range.
June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715, immediately rejected. Price has faded through the NY afternoon carving lower highs and now sits at 1.1430, back below the 1.1435 weekly top; RSI cooling near 37.
Support: 1.14286, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14494, 1.1458
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14286 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of the 1.1435 weekly top reopens 1.14494 and the 1.14580 session high
Fed's Daly and ISM Services early next week could re-shift the dollar read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 before the move fully faded back below 1.1450. Price has since drifted lower on a chain of lower highs into the NY afternoon, sitting at 1.14316 with RSI cooling near 40 and holding just above the 1.14296 session low.
Support: 1.14296, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14478, 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14296 session low opens the 1.1400 pivot
Close back above 1.14478 swing high targets the 1.14580 session high
Fed's Daly and lingering NFP repricing could still move this read
17:31 UTC
Pulling back after NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14316
Lower highs since spike top, retracing the NFP surge.
The 57K NFP miss vs 110K forecast spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 then rejected sharply, and price has bled lower since through the NY session, now 1.14316 near the session low. Lower highs stack up as the surge unwinds toward the 1.1400 pivot; RSI(14) sits soft in the low-40s.
Support: 1.14296, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14715
What it said to watch
close below 1.1400 pivot opens ING's 1.1300 target
reclaim of 1.14472 swing high needed to re-challenge the 1.14715 spike high
Fed's Daly speech today could re-shape the post-NFP read
17:16 UTC
Pullback after NFP spike, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 1.14335
Lower highs off 1.14715, back below weekly top.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EURUSD to 1.14715 before it reverted, and price has since carved lower highs back below the 1.1435 weekly top. Now probing the session low at 1.14320 with RSI(14) soft near 41; ATR is elevated at ~79 pips from the payrolls volatility.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14478
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.1435 weekly top would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 1.14320 session low opens the 1.14000 round number
Ongoing USD reaction to the NFP miss could reshape this read
The 57K US NFP miss vs 110K forecast spiked EUR/USD from 1.1402 to 1.14723 on heavy volume, then NY hours faded the move back toward the session low at 1.14320. Price now grinds along lows below the 1.14435 weekly top with RSI(14) sub-45.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14320 session low opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14435 weekly top re-engages the post-nfp high
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723, then price retraced to hold the 50% fib and the 1.1435 weekly top during NY hours. Now consolidating between 1.14335 and 1.14580 with RSI(14) cooling near mid-range.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14017
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14335 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14580 reopens the 1.14723 nfp high
Fed reaction to soft NFP (Daly) could reprice this NY session
The 57K US NFP miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 before the move was rejected and faded back into a 1.1435–1.1458 range. Price now sits mid-range at 1.14393, RSI(14) neutralised near 49 after the volatility burst.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14243, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14335 swing low opens the 1.14243 fib 61.8 zone
Reclaim of 1.14580 session high re-exposes the 1.14715 nfp high
NFP aftershock volatility still elevated — ATR near 88 pips
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) spiked EURUSD through 1.1470 before it faded back under 1.1440. Price is now consolidating between the 1.14335 session low and 1.14580 session high, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s after the impulse.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14335 session low opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14580 session high puts the 1.14723 spike high back in play
Post-NFP volatility can keep ranges wide into NY close
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14715 before the move faded; price has since consolidated 1.14335–1.14580 and is now drifting toward the range low near 1.14356, RSI cooling to the low-40s. Lower highs since the spike show supply capping into the NY session.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14335 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14580 reopens the spike high at 1.14715
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 on heavy flow, but the move was rejected and price has faded through the NY session back toward the session low at 1.14335. RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price slipping under EMA20 as the post-spike range holds between 1.14335 and 1.14580.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14335 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14580 puts the 1.14723 nfp high back in play
Cipollone speech 17:55 UTC could add EUR volatility this session
16:16 UTC
Up post-NFP, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 1.14415
Spike higher then consolidation.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD from ~1.1395 to 1.14723 in one bar before the move faded. Price has since consolidated in a 1.14335–1.14550 band, holding above the 1.1400 pivot with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14550 puts the 1.14723 spike high back in play
Break below 1.14335 session low exposes the 1.1400 round number
Cipollone speech (17:55 UTC) could shift near-term tone
EUR/USD ripped from ~1.1395 to 1.14715 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) during NY hours, then faded to 1.1433 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1433–1.1458 band, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral after the spike.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1433 session low reopens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1458 swing high puts the 1.14715 nfp high back in play
Cipollone speech 17:55 UTC could add intraday volatility
Consolidation under session high after NFP breakout.
EURUSD spiked from 1.1395 to 1.14715 at the 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then faded and is consolidating in a 1.1434–1.1458 range through the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s and price is holding above EMA20/50; the spike high at 1.14715 was swept and rejected.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14403
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14580 reopens the 1.14715 spike high
Loss of 1.14335 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the NFP spike
Fed's Daly and ECB's Cipollone speeches later today could reprice this range
EUR/USD spiked from 1.1402 to 1.1472 on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) before fading back. Price now consolidating between 1.14335 and the 1.14580 range top, holding above both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14335
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14580 reopens the 1.14723 nfp high
Loss of 1.14335 swing low negates the post-spike consolidation
Fed Daly commentary today could re-shift this read
15:46 UTC
Spike higher, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.14444
Post-NFP range after impulsive breakout.
EUR/USD exploded ~70 pips to 1.14723 on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) around the 12:30 UTC release, then pared back into a 1.1433–1.1458 range. RSI(14) has cooled from post-spike extremes to mid-range as the move consolidates below the 1.1458 session high.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14384, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14580 puts the 1.14723 nfp high back in play
Loss of 1.14335 swing low exposes the 1.1400 round number
Fed's Daly and ECB's Cipollone speeches could reprice this range
The 57K NFP miss vs 110K forecast spiked EUR/USD from 1.14017 to 1.14723 in a single M15 bar, but the high was immediately faded. Price has since ranged 1.14335-1.14580 through the NY afternoon with RSI cooling back to neutral around 52.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1440, 1.14017
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14580 reopens the 1.14723 spike high
Failure of 1.14335 exposes the 1.14017 spike base
Fed's Daly comments could re-price the NFP reaction within the next bars
The 57K US NFP miss (vs 110K f/c) spiked EUR/USD from 1.13950 to 1.14723 in early NY, a clean breakout of the prior 1.14000 range. Price has since consolidated between 1.14335 and 1.14580, RSI(14) cooling off its overbought reading into the mid-50s.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14017
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14580 session high resumes the NFP breakout toward 1.14723
Loss of 1.14335 opens a fill of the spike back toward 1.14017
Cipollone speech 17:55 UTC could shift the EUR read
15:31 UTC
Sharp NFP-driven leg up, now consolidating · RSI 59 · price 1.14429
Post-spike range after impulsive break of 1.1400.
The 57K NFP miss vs 110K forecast blew EUR/USD from 1.1400 to a 1.14715 sweep during NY hours, then price retraced and settled into a 1.14335-1.14580 range. RSI(14) cooling from the spike as the pair consolidates the move above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14335 opens 1.1400 pivot back-test
Reclaim of 1.14580 puts the 1.14715 spike high back in play
Cipollone speech 17:55 UTC could inject fresh EUR volatility
15:16 UTC
Up after NFP spike, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 1.14432
Breakout then consolidation above 1.14335.
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR/USD from ~1.1400 to 1.14723, after which price faded into a tight consolidation around 1.1440, holding above the 1.14335 session low. RSI(14) has cooled back near 56 as the post-spike drift stalls under the 1.14580 session high.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14335 opens the 1.14000 pre-nfp area
Reclaim of 1.14580 puts the 1.14723 nfp spike high back in play
The 57K NFP miss detonated a single-bar spike to 1.14715 during NY hours; price has since bled back into a 1.14335-1.14580 consolidation. RSI(14) has normalised to the mid-50s after the post-print surge, with 1.14580 capping the pullback highs.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14580 reopens the 1.14715 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14335 exposes the 1.14000 psych level
The 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD from 1.1400 to 1.14715 before an immediate rejection back under 1.1450. Price has since consolidated in a 1.14335–1.14580 band, RSI(14) cooling from the spike into the mid-50s and holding above the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14715
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14335 opens the 1.1400 pivot
M15 close above 1.14580 reopens the 1.14715 nfp high
Cipollone speech ~17:55 UTC could shift the read
15:01 UTC
Up post-NFP, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.14404
Spike higher, now lower highs above support.
A 70-pip NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 at the NY open, RSI(14) surging then cooling as price faded to 1.14404. Since the spike, lower highs have printed at 1.14580/1.14578 while 1.14335 has held on each dip.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14017, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14335 reopens 1.14017 and the 1.1400 psych level
Close back above 1.14580 puts the 1.14723 spike high back in play
ECB Cipollone speaks ~17:55 UTC — potential intraday catalyst
EUR/USD spiked from a tight 1.138 base to 1.14723 on the 57K NFP miss versus 110K expected, then rejected the high and retraced into the NY session. Price is holding the middle of the post-NFP range near 1.14360, RSI(14) cooling off the spike; session low 1.14335 is the pivot to watch.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14335 reopens 1.1400
Close back above 1.14580 puts session high 1.14723 in view
Cipollone speech ~17:55 UTC could add intraday volatility
The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD to 1.14723 before the move faded, price now consolidating near 1.1436 with RSI(14) cooling from post-spike highs. Lower highs into 1.14580 since the print; the 1.14335 session low is the pivot for the retracement.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14335 reopens the 1.1400 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.14580 session high puts 1.14723 nfp high back in play
Fed speaker Daly later today could reprice the USD leg
The 57K US NFP miss spiked EURUSD from 1.1400 to 1.14723 in a single M15 bar during NY hours, RSI still elevated but cooling. Price is now consolidating in a 1.14384–1.14580 band, holding well above the pre-print level with the spike high untested.
Support: 1.14384, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14384 opens a retrace toward the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14580 puts the 1.14723 spike high back in play
ECB Lagarde speech and EZ Composite PMIs Fri could reset this read
The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) triggered a sharp spike from 1.1402 to the 1.14723 spike high at the NY session open, RSI cooling from overbought. Price has since consolidated between the 1.14384 pullback low and 1.14580 session high, holding well above the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.14384, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14723 spike high opens continuation higher
Break below 1.14384 pullback low negates the breakout, exposing 1.1400 round number
The 57K NFP miss spiked EUR/USD off 1.1400 to a session high of 1.14723, RSI(14) still hot near 62 after cooling from the spike. Price is now consolidating around 1.1455, carving higher lows off 1.14384 and holding well above both EMAs.
Support: 1.14384, 1.14435, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14723
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14384 negates the post-NFP higher-low structure
Reclaim of 1.14580 puts the 1.14723 session high back in play
EZ Services/Composite PMIs and Lagarde Friday could reset this read
Breakout above prior range, now consolidating below session high.
The 57K US NFP miss triggered a USD selloff and a vertical spike in EUR/USD from 1.1400 to the session high at 1.14723. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating in the 1.1438–1.1458 band, holding well above the pre-release range with RSI cooling from post-spike highs.
Support: 1.14384, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14723, 1.1458
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14384 keeps the breakout structure intact; a break below opens the path back toward the 1.1400 pivot
A reclaim of 1.14723 would resume the post-NFP leg
14:01 UTC
Uptrend after data spike, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.14485
Breakout then consolidation below spike high.
The NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EURUSD ~70 pips to 1.14723 before cooling, RSI(14) back near 60. Price now consolidating in a 1.14384–1.14550 band, holding well above the pre-spike 1.14017 shelf.
Support: 1.14384, 1.14017
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14550 reopens the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of 1.14384 session low exposes the 1.14017 pre-spike shelf
Fed's Daly and US Factory Orders in the next bars could re-inject volatility
14:01 UTC
Sharp leg up, now consolidating · RSI 61 · price 1.14485
Breakout above range, holding near highs.
EUR/USD gapped from ~1.1398 to 1.14723 on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then pulled back and is consolidating in a 1.1438–1.1455 band just under the spike high. RSI(14) cooling off the extreme as the post-print impulse digests.
Support: 1.14384, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14550 opens a retest of the 1.14723 spike high
Loss of 1.14384 signals the spike is being unwound
Fed's Daly speech and US Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) could reprice the USD leg further
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1400 to 1.1472 on the 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K) as the USD was sold. Price has since eased back into a 1.1438–1.1472 range, RSI(14) cooling from post-spike highs; the pre-spike round number at 1.1400 held as demand.
Support: 1.1438, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1472
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1438 keeps the NFP breakout structure intact; loss opens 1.1400
M15 close back above 1.1472 resumes the post-NFP push
Fed's Daly (~13:45 UTC) and Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) could re-shift this read
Range break higher, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD ripped ~70 pips through 1.1470 on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K), forcing a repricing lower in the USD. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating in the 1.1438–1.1450 band, holding well above the pre-print 1.1400 range.
Support: 1.14384, 1.14017, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14384 keeps the breakout structure intact
Close back below 1.1400 negates the NFP breakout
Fed's Daly (13:45 UTC) and US Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
13:31 UTC
Sharp up-leg, cooling · RSI 66 · price 1.14408
Range broken to upside, pullback in progress.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked EUR/USD out of the 1.1375–1.1420 range to 1.14723 on the 12:30 UTC bar, then buyers were rejected and price retraced to 1.1440. RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still elevated near 66; the 1.1400 round number is the first floor holding the breakout.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13951
Resistance: 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14512 reopens the 1.14723 spike high
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the NFP breakout
Fed's Daly speech 13:45 UTC could re-shift the USD read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove a ~70 pip spike to 1.14723 before more than half the candle retraced to 1.144. RSI(14) cooling from the spike; price now holding around the 38.2% retracement of that move into the NY session.
Support: 1.14384, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14512, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Break back below 1.14384 fills the NFP spike and reopens 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14512 puts the 1.14723 spike high back in play
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could re-shape the post-NFP read
EUR/USD ripped ~70 pips off 1.14017 to a session high of 1.14723 as the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) sank the dollar during NY hours. Price has since pulled back to 1.14462 and is holding above the broken 1.14206 range top; RSI(14) elevated but easing from the spike.
Support: 1.14443, 1.14206, 1.14017
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14443 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 1.14206 negates it
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could re-shape the post-NFP USD move
EUR/USD ripped ~70 pips off 1.1400 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), breaking a tight 1.1375–1.1420 range and tagging 1.14723. Price has since faded to 1.14462, holding roughly the 38.2% pullback of the impulse; RSI cooling from post-spike extremes.
Support: 1.14443, 1.1400, 1.13951
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.14443 swing low keeps the breakout intact; loss opens a fade back to 1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14723 session high resumes the NFP move
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could re-shape the USD-driven read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) fired EUR/USD out of an all-day 1.1380–1.1420 consolidation to a session high 1.14723, then it pulled back to 1.1450. RSI(14) near 71 after the spike; the 1.14483 pullback low is the first level holding the breakout.
Support: 1.14483, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14483 keeps the breakout intact; loss opens a fade back toward the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14723 reopens the upside range extension
Fed's Daly (13:45 UTC) could reshape the post-NFP USD read
13:01 UTC
Sharp uptrend post-NFP · RSI 79 · price 1.1450
Range broken to upside, extended.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) triggered a ~70-pip vertical spike from 1.1402 to a session high of 1.14723 before fading to 1.1450. RSI(14) is stretched near 79 and price sits well above the broken 1.1420 range top; the move is USD-driven off the weak jobs print.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1395
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14200 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it signals a full fade of the NFP spike
Fed's Daly (13:45 UTC) could re-price the payroll miss and shift this read
Failure to reclaim 1.14723 leaves the spike high as session cap
EUR/USD spiked ~70 pips off a soft NFP print / weaker USD, punching through the 1.1420 range top to a session high at 1.14723 before easing to 1.14638. RSI(14) is stretched above 80 straight off the impulse; ATR is inflated by the single breakout bar. Prior 1.1375–1.1420 balance now sits below as the breakout base.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1395
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
Pullback into 1.1420 range top — area to watch for retest or rejection
M15 close back below 1.1420 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Post-NFP volatility still elevated; follow-through vs fade decides the next leg
12:46 UTC
Range breakout, momentum spike · RSI 78 · price 1.14638
Range broken to upside on NFP.
EUR/USD exploded ~70 pips off 1.1398 to 1.14723 as the US jobs data hit, USD sold on the softer print, clearing the 1.1420 range top that had capped the prior 24h. Price pulled back to 1.1464 into the close with RSI(14) stretched near 78 — a hot but expected reading straight off the spike.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1400, 1.13951
Resistance: 1.14723
What it said to watch
Pullback holding above 1.14208 keeps the breakout intact
A close back below 1.14000 reverts price into the prior range
Fed's Daly speech at 13:45 GMT could reprice the USD reaction further
EURUSD ripped from 1.1402 to 1.1439 on the NFP print, a soft US jobs read knocking the dollar and pushing price clean through the prior session high at 1.1420. RSI(14) is stretched near 72 on a thin, still-forming reaction bar; the 1.1400 round number now flips to first support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13951, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.14393, 1.14208
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14208 confirms the breakout and holds the higher-high
Failure back below 1.14000 negates the NFP spike and returns price to the prior range
Fed's Daly at 13:45 GMT could re-shape this post-NFP move
EURUSD spiked to 1.14393 on the 12:30 GMT US NFP release, snapping the 1.1360-1.1420 band that held all session as a soft print pressured the dollar. The move cleared the prior 1.14208 high in a single bar with RSI(14) pushing into the low-70s; ATR is thin at ~8 pips so this spike is well outside normal M15 range.
Support: 1.14017, 1.1395, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14393
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14017 breakout base would signal a false break
Post-NFP volatility can whipsaw; first pullback into 1.14017-1.14200 is the retest zone to monitor
Fed's Daly (13:45 GMT) could re-shape the USD read
NY session rally lifted EURUSD to a session high of 1.14208 before rejection, and price has since faded to 1.1398 with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-40s. The pair is now hovering just below EMA20 after a soft US ADP and less-hawkish Warsh tone earlier weighed on the dollar.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1380, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14162
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could override this structure within the next bar
Close below 1.13860 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.13800 consol base
NY session drove a clean rally to 1.14206 before sellers rejected the high and price retraced toward the 1.13977 recent low, RSI cooling back to neutral from overbought. Pullback is developing right into the 12:30 GMT US NFP print, the dominant intraday catalyst.
Support: 1.13977, 1.1383, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14206, 1.14166
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor for the next bars
EURUSD rallied through the NY approach to a session high of 1.14208 as the softer USD tone held, then rejected and pulled back to 1.14036 with RSI cooling toward the mid-50s. Price is now dipping to the 1.1400 round level just ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1389, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1414
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for the next bars and can override this structure
Loss of the 1.14000 round level exposes the 1.13890 swing low
A reclaim of 1.14208 reopens session-high continuation
EUR pushed to a 1.14208 session high during London-NY hours before rejecting back to 1.1403, RSI(14) cooling off from the highs. Pullback holding above the 1.1400 round level; the day's advance is intact but stalling into the NFP window.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1418
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant intraday catalyst and can override this read
London session drove EUR from 1.1385 to a session high of 1.1420 as USD eased on Warsh's less-hawkish tone, but supply capped at 1.1420 and price is now consolidating near 1.1408 with RSI cooling off. US NFP at 12:30 UTC lands within the hour and is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1400, 1.13905
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14166
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 1.14208 reopens the upside path
Loss of 1.14029 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
11:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 1.14076
Pullback off session high after London rally.
London session rallied EUR from the 1.1383 base to a 1.14208 session high, then rejected and eased back to 1.14076 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Price now hovers just under EMA20 above the 1.1400 round number, coiling ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1400, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14166
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could override this structure
M15 close below 1.14029 confirms a lower-low and cracks the 1.1400 handle
London-NY session drove EUR/USD off 1.1385 up through 1.1400 to a session high at 1.14208, extending a clean higher-high chain as USD softened after the weak ADP print. Price has since eased back to 1.14139 and is holding above the 1.14029 pullback low, RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1400, 1.13911
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14166
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h out) is the dominant driver and can override this structure
M15 close back below 1.14029 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.14208 extends the session-high breakout
Higher highs into 1.1420, pullback holding above 1.1403.
London rally lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1374 base to a 1.14206 session high before pulling back to 1.14029, where demand stepped in at the 38.2% fib. Price is grinding back toward the highs; the move fits the softer-USD tone (weak ADP, less-hawkish Fed) with US NFP the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14206, 1.14166
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14029 breaks the fib support and the higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.14206 resumes the session-high push
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.14103
Higher highs into session top, now ranging.
London session drove EUR/USD off 1.1384 up to a 1.1421 session high before stalling; price now consolidating in a 1.1403-1.1421 band despite the broadly soft-EUR CPI backdrop. RSI(14) mid-range around 56 after cooling from the rally, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can override this range read
Close below 1.1403 swing low opens the 1.1378 session base
Break above 1.1421 session high extends the London rally
EURUSD ran a clean NY-session leg from 1.1381 to a session high at 1.14208, then stalled and is consolidating in a tight 1.1403–1.1411 band as RSI(14) cools off the highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 with the pivot zone flagged by the macro desk intact into US NFP.
Support: 1.14029, 1.13911, 1.13811
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this structure
M15 close above 1.14208 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.14029 breaks the rising sequence and reopens 1.13911
Higher highs into session peak, now consolidating below it.
NY session drove EURUSD off 1.1387 to a session high of 1.14208 before rejection capped the move, and price is now consolidating near 1.1410 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally. Momentum has flattened into the US jobs print with the 1.1390-1.1410 pivot zone holding beneath.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1390, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14196
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1.5h out) is the dominant driver and could break this consolidation either way
M15 close above 1.14208 reopens the session high and continuation
Loss of the 1.1390-1.1410 pivot zone would confirm a lower-low
EUR/USD rallied through the European session to a 1.14208 high before stalling, now coiling near 1.14095 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. The move extended off the ECB dovish repricing lows, but price is holding above 1.14029 and inside the upper end of the day's range.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1391, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14183
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read
M15 close above 1.14208 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.14029 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rally structure
NY session drove a clean run from the 1.1385 base to a 1.14208 session high before paring to 1.14066, RSI cooling off from overbought. Price is holding above the 1.1390-1.1410 pivot zone; the pullback is shallow with buyers stepping in near 1.1403. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.14029, 1.13905, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14166
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT will drive the next leg via the dollar
Loss of 1.14029 opens the 1.1390 pivot zone
Close back above 1.14208 resumes the session uptrend
NY-hours rally pushed through the 1.1390-1.1410 pivot zone to a session high at 1.14208, RSI(14) now cooling from overbought as price retraces to the 38.2% fib near 1.14066. Move is holding above prior structure but stalling into US jobs data.
Support: 1.14029, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver — likely to break this consolidation either way
Loss of 1.14029 opens a retest of the 1.1390 pivot zone
Close back above 1.14208 resumes the intraday advance
10:32 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 53 · price 1.14064
Higher highs into 1.1421, now retracing.
London-session rally topped at 1.14208 before cooling, RSI(14) easing back to the mid-50s as EUR/USD retraces toward the 1.14048 swing low. The move holds above the flipped 1.1390 pivot; USD softness pre-NFP drove the impulse and US jobs data at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver.
Support: 1.14048, 1.1390, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14166
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT — the immediate EUR/USD driver, could reshape this read
Failure to hold 1.14048 opens the 1.1390 pivot
M15 close above 1.14208 resumes the session-high advance
Higher highs into session peak, now consolidating below 1.1420.
London session drove a clean run from the 1.1385 base to a 1.14208 session high before sellers capped it, and price has since eased back to 1.1406 as RSI(14) cools from the highs. Move sits on the EUR/USD USD-side driver with US NFP the next catalyst; structure holds above the 1.1385 breakout base for now.
Support: 1.14048, 1.1399, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the immediate driver and could shift this read
Reclaim of 1.14208 would resume the session uptrend
Close below 1.13850 breakout base invalidates the higher-high structure
Broke above Asian range, pulling back from session high.
London session broke cleanly above the tight Asian range near 1.1385 and rallied to a session high at 1.14208 before fading to 1.14070 as the USD softened pre-NFP. RSI cooling from stretched levels, price holding above the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the main near-term driver and could reset this read
Loss of 1.1400 exposes the 1.1385 breakout level
Close below 1.1385 negates the Asian-range breakout
European session rallied from 1.1389 to a session high at 1.14208, then eased back to 1.1407 as RSI cooled from overbought. Rejection capped the move at 1.1420; price now holding above 1.1400. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver via the USD side.
Support: 1.14065, 1.1400, 1.13889
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1447
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14208 opens the path to the 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.1389 prior swing
London session rallied from ~1.1385 to a session high of 1.14208 as the USD softened into NFP; RSI(14) cooling from overbought after rejection at the highs. Pullback to 1.14086 so far holding above the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400, 1.13905
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14183
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1400 exposes the 1.13905 swing low
Break and hold above 1.14208 resumes the session uptrend
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 60 · price 1.14086
Higher highs into 1.1420, now retracing.
London session pushed EUR/USD up through the 1.1390 consolidation to a session high of 1.14206 before rejection dragged it back to 1.1409, with USD softness ahead of US jobs propping the euro. RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak but structure still holds above the breakout.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1391, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14206, 1.1423
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the main near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1406 opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.1391 breakout
M15 close above 1.14206 reopens the path to the 1.1423 range top
Higher highs/lows, pulling back from session high.
EUR/USD broke the 1.1400 pivot and ran to a session high at 1.14208 before pulling back to 1.1411, RSI cooling from overbought. Buyers held the 1.14086 pullback; the 1.1400 level is the nearest structure below. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant swing factor from here.
Support: 1.14086, 1.1400, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1430
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Break back below 1.14000 pivot negates the breakout structure
Close above 1.14208 extends the intraday higher-high chain
London session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1380 base and back above 1.1400 to a session high at 1.14208 as the dollar softened, RSI(14) easing from stretched to ~64. Price is holding the first pullback above 1.14086; the 1.1400 breakout level is now the pivot in play.
Support: 1.14086, 1.1380, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1430
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.14086 puts the 1.1380 range base in play
Reclaim and close above 1.14208 resumes the higher-high sequence
London session rallied EUR/USD out of the 1.1378-1.1385 Asian range, pushing to a 1.14208 session high before a rejection pared gains toward 1.14097; RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The prior range top near 1.13911 now sits as the breakout reference. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13911, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the key catalyst for this pair
M15 close back below 1.14000 negates the breakout read
Close above 1.14208 session high opens continuation
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 61 · price 1.14097
Breakout above 1.1390 range, first pullback holding.
London session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1380 base up through the 1.1390 range top to a 1.14208 session high, then pulled back to 1.1410. Move fits the softer-USD tone; RSI cooling from overbought as the first dip finds footing above the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.13805
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could shift this read sharply
Close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens 1.13910
EUR/USD rallied through the 1.1400 pivot into the London-NY transition, printing a clean HH/HL chain to a session high of 1.14208 before easing back to 1.14128. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme; the breakout above 1.1400 held on the pullback. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.14096, 1.1400, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially reprice this move
Close back below 1.1400 pivot negates the breakout read
Break above 1.14208 session high opens continuation
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NFP · RSI 69 · price 1.14136
Higher highs after 1.1400 breakout.
EUR/USD broke through the 1.1400 pivot during London hours and ran to a session high of 1.14208, the dollar soft after yesterday's weak ADP and ISM. RSI(14) near 69 shows momentum hot but not extreme; last bar stalled at the high on thin volume ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.14208
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the dominant next-bar catalyst
EUR/USD pushed through the 1.1400 psych level and topped at the 1.14206 session high during London, extending off the 1.13613 intraday low as softer US data trimmed the dollar's edge ahead of jobs. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but consistent with the trend; the last bar stalled just under the high.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14206
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver — could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14206 extends the sequence of higher highs
Failure to hold the 1.1400 psych level opens a retest of the 1.13910 swing low
Breakout above 1.1400 pivot after prior consolidation.
London session drove a clean break above the 1.1400 pivot, price at 1.14174 with RSI(14) hot near 77 after a sharp two-hour impulse. The move followed a full session of consolidation near 1.1385, with buyers stepping in off the overnight 1.13738 low. Recovery is a USD-led story into today's NFP.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.13738
Resistance: 1.14206
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 would negate the breakout and flag a false break
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver for the next session
sustained RSI above 80 marks short-term exhaustion
Higher highs / higher lows, breakout to session high.
EUR/USD pushed through the 1.1400 psych level during the London morning, printing a session high at 1.14196 with RSI(14) running hot near 74 as a softer USD read held the dollar capped. The advance is a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.1376 range base; price is well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13811, 1.13738
Resistance: 1.14196
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT (~4h) is the primary driver and can materially shift this read
A close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and returns price to the prior range
Failure to hold rising support near 1.13811 confirms momentum fading
Chain of higher highs / higher lows through London morning.
EUR/USD ground higher through the London morning, clearing the 1.1400 psych pivot and printing a session high at 1.1420 as a less-hawkish Fed tone (Warsh) kept the dollar capped ahead of NFP. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the impulse; the 1.14065 breakout base is the first shelf back.
Support: 1.14065, 1.1400, 1.13911
Resistance: 1.14196
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the primary near-term driver and can override this structure
A close back below 1.14065 fails the 1.1400 breakout
Sustained trade above 1.14196 extends the higher-high sequence
EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 pivot into the London session, printing fresh session highs at 1.14178 as a softer-dollar tone held ahead of US payrolls. RSI(14) near 74 shows the move is hot but the breakout above the repeatedly-capped 1.1400 level is clean; 1.1400 now flips to support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1387, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14178
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver — a hawkish beat could drag price back under the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the breakout and re-open the prior 1.1376–1.1387 range
Hold above 1.14178 session high keeps the uptrend intact
London session drove EURUSD through the 1.1400 pivot to a session high 1.14178, breaking the multi-hour Asian range around 1.1378-1.1385 as USD softened on the ADP miss and Warsh's less-hawkish tone. RSI(14) near 76 flags a short-term hot condition after the vertical push. 1.1400 now the pivot that flipped from cap to prospective support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14178, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver — capable of overriding this read
M15 close back below 1.1400 would negate the breakout
Failure to clear 1.14178 keeps the session high as immediate resistance
08:15 UTC
Uptrend, pushing highs · RSI 72 · price 1.14079
Higher highs, breaking 1.1400.
London session drove a clean break above the 1.1400 round number, extending a steady climb from the 1.1374 base with RSI(14) running hot near 72. The prior 1.14115 high is the immediate ceiling; the move is USD-led as Warsh's less-hawkish tone weighs on the dollar into NFP.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13855, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14115, 1.14047
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the primary near-term driver and can override this structure
Loss of 1.14000 on a close would negate the breakout and put 1.13855 back in play
Sustained close above 1.14115 opens the path to fresh session highs
London session drove EUR/USD through the 1.1400 pivot, breaking out of the mid-session 1.1377–1.1385 consolidation as a softer-Fed tone pressured the dollar. RSI(14) near 74, hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; last close at 1.14079 sits just under the 1.14115 prior high.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.14115
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the primary driver and could override this read
Hold above the 1.1400 pivot keeps the breakout intact; loss of 1.1385 puts price back in the prior range
Close above 1.14115 opens continuation toward fresh session highs
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, pushing session high · RSI 71 · price 1.14079
Breakout above 1.1400, rising lows.
NY session cleared the 1.1400 cap into 1.1408, RSI(14) hot near 71 as dollar softness lifts the pair off the 1.1375 base. Prior high at 1.14115 is the immediate line overhead; move sits under it into US payrolls.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13855, 1.13751
Resistance: 1.14115
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14115 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.1400 puts the prior range back in play
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the dominant driver of this read
EUR/USD ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.1400 psych cap that pinned the pair post-HICP; price prints 1.1408 with RSI(14) hot near 74. Rally is clean higher highs off the 1.1376 base, now testing into the prior 1.14115 high.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13738
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the dominant swing driver — an in-line/strong print can reverse this leg
Failure to hold 1.1400 on a close back below reasserts the range read
Sustained trade above 1.14115 opens the path to prior session extremes
London morning pushed EUR/USD off the 1.1376 base back to the 1.1400 cap, RSI(14) running hot near 71 as the pair recovers post-HICP losses on a softer dollar. Price is now testing the 1.14069 session high; the 1.1400 handle has capped every prior attempt in this window.
Support: 1.1389, 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14069, 1.14115
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.75h) is the dominant driver — could reset this read either way
Close above 1.14069 opens the path toward the 1.14115 spike high
Loss of 1.1389 breakout level reopens the 1.1376 session low
Higher lows off the overnight base, testing 1.1400 pivot.
EURUSD ground back to the 1.1400 handle through the London session, reclaiming ground lost overnight, RSI(14) near 65. Buyers held above the 1.13760 range floor on the earlier retest and the leg has stalled into the 1.14039 session high.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13615
Resistance: 1.14039, 1.14115
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14039 opens the path toward the 1.14115 spike high
Loss of 1.13760 range floor reopens the 1.13615 swing low
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Recovering off Asian range, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.13959
Range break higher into London.
London session broke the tight Asian range (1.1375–1.1385) and pushed to 1.1400, where the round number capped the last spike bar. RSI(14) near 63 with price back above both EMAs; EUR stays heavy overall after yesterday's soft HICP print that had reversed it below 1.1400.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13748, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 opens the path toward the 1.14047 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.1390 breakout level returns price into the Asian range
Eurozone Unemployment at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Recovering off Asia lows, momentum flattening · RSI 59 · price 1.13917
Tight Asian range broken upward at London open, then paring back.
London open pushed EUR/USD out of the tight 1.1375–1.1390 Asian range up to 1.1404 before the last bar pared back to 1.1392, RSI cooling near 59. EUR remains heavy under 1.1400 following yesterday's soft Eurozone HICP miss; price is coiling ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.14115
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this intraday read
M15 close back below 1.1376 reopens the Asia low and 1.1361 swing low
Sustained trade above 1.1404 exposes the 1.14115 session high
Eurozone unemployment 09:00 UTC could add pressure sub-1.1400
06:46 UTC
Grinding higher off Asian base · RSI 63 · price 1.13915
Rising lows into London, testing 1.1390.
London session is grinding EURUSD higher off the tight Asian base around 1.1376, price now pressing the 1.1390 session high with RSI(14) in the low 60s. The 1.1400 round number caps just above after yesterday's spike to 1.14115 faded. US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047, 1.14115
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.14047 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.1376 asian base reopens 1.13738
06:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, grinding up · RSI 60 · price 1.13874
Range after sweep of session low, reclaiming mid.
EUR/USD swept the session low at 1.1361 then sharply reclaimed toward 1.1411 before spending the Asian session consolidating ~1.1377-1.1380 on thin volume. London has nudged price back to 1.1389, capped under the 1.1400 psych level after yesterday's soft eurozone HICP miss trimmed ECB hike bets; RSI(14) mid-range near 60.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1400, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1376 reopens the 1.1361 session low
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to shift the capped read
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
06:16 UTC
Range, drifting higher into Europe · RSI 61 · price 1.13889
Consolidation below 1.1400 after V-recovery off 1.1361.
EURUSD is grinding up toward 1.1390 in early European hours after basing near 1.1376 overnight, still capped below the 1.1400 psychological level following yesterday's soft eurozone HICP miss. Range-bound with RSI(14) around 61 and ATR compressed to ~3.5 pips; no clean break in play yet.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13911, 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the path back toward 1.14047
Failure to hold 1.1376 reopens the 1.13613 swing low
Eurozone Unemployment at 09:00 GMT could shift the near-term read
US NFP Thursday remains the dominant driver for the USD leg
Higher lows since Asian base, capped near session high.
EUR is grinding off the Asian-range base near 1.1376 into the London open, having slipped sub-1.1400 yesterday on the soft Eurozone HICP miss. Higher lows are building with price probing the 1.1388 session high; RSI(14) around 61, no extreme. ATR near 5 pips flags a compressed intraday range.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.1388 opens the 1.1400 psych pivot
Loss of the 1.1376 asian low reopens the 1.13613 swing low
Eurozone Unemployment at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation after spike fade, edging toward session high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14115 during the London-NY window before fading, then coiled through the Asia session between 1.1376 and 1.1388 following the soft Eurozone HICP print that knocked ECB hike odds. Price is now grinding back toward the session high at 1.13884, RSI(14) mid-range near 54.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13884, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13884 vs rejection defines the next intraday leg
Failure to hold 1.1376 reopens the 1.13613 session low
Eurozone Unemployment at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.13838
Tight consolidation after bounce off session low.
EUR/USD dropped to 1.1361 then snapped back to 1.14047 on the London-NY session before coiling into a tight 1.1374–1.1388 range through the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 54. Move follows soft Eurozone HICP that trimmed ECB hike odds; price is now hugging the top of the overnight range with sub-5-pip ATR.
Support: 1.1374, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13884, 1.14047
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for the next bars
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path back toward 1.14047
EUR/USD swept the swing low at 1.13613 mid-window before a sharp rebound to 1.14115, then coiled into a tight Asian range near 1.13780. London open has grinded price back up toward the session high at 1.13884, RSI(14) rising from mid-range but not stretched.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13884, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13884 session high opens the path to 1.14047
Failure to hold 1.13760 asian low re-exposes the 1.13613 swing low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday structure
EUR/USD carved a base near 1.1377 through the quiet Asia session and is grinding back toward the 1.1388 session high after the earlier drop to 1.1361 that followed the soft Eurozone HICP miss. ATR has compressed to ~4.5 pips and RSI sits mid-range — no impulse yet, just a slow recovery into the mid-point of the prior bounce.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Eurozone Unemployment at 09:00 UTC (f/c 6.3%) could break this quiet range
Close above 1.1388 opens the path to the 1.1400 psych level
Failure to hold 1.1376 reopens the 1.1361 intraday low
04:46 UTC
Consolidation after V-recovery · RSI 56 · price 1.13853
Tight range, mild grind up off session low.
Quiet overnight Asian session: after a sharp flush to 1.13613 and V-recovery to 1.14115, price has spent hours coiling in a tight 1.1376–1.1388 band, sitting near the 50% retrace of that move. EUR remains heavy sub-1.1400 following the softer Eurozone HICP print, but volume is thin and no directional structure is in play ahead of the US jobs report.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.14115
What it said to watch
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
Close above 1.13881 opens a retest of the 1.14115 prior high
Consolidation between 1.1377 and 1.1388 after V-recovery.
Asia session ground sideways in a tight 1.1377-1.1388 band after the sharp recovery from the 1.1361 low, with EUR still heavy following the Eurozone HICP miss. Price is edging back toward the session high at 1.1388 with RSI(14) mid-range; no setup in play into the pre-London hours.
Support: 1.13748, 1.13615
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13881 opens the path back toward 1.14047
Loss of 1.13748 reopens the 1.13615 intraday low
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
04:16 UTC
Range after prior sell-off, drift higher · RSI 57 · price 1.13852
Tight Asian consolidation off 1.1361 low.
EUR/USD slipped below 1.1400 into a 1.1373–1.1388 Asian range after yesterday's soft HICP miss, bottoming at 1.1361 during the prior NY session. Volume thinned overnight and price is drifting back toward the 1.1388 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13881 opens a retest of the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.13734 reopens the 1.13613 intraday low
EZ Unemployment 09:00 UTC could break the Asian range
04:01 UTC
Downtrend paused, basing · RSI 55 · price 1.13831
Range after sell-off, mild recovery.
EURUSD spent the Asian session basing above the 1.1376 session low after yesterday's slide toward the 1.1361 day low, grinding back to the 1.13881 session high before easing to 1.1383. Price sits inside a tight 1.1376–1.1388 range with volumes thin ahead of US NFP. The EUR stays heavy on the softer HICP print but has stabilised into the risk event.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.14043
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13881 session high opens the path toward the 1.14043 prior high
Failure to hold 1.13760 session low reopens the 1.13613 day low
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read
03:46 UTC
Range, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.13805
Tight consolidation after spike.
Asia session is coiling in a tight 1.1376-1.1388 band after yesterday's sharp spike low at 1.1361 and rebound to 1.14115. ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips and RSI sits mid-range — no setup in play with EUR heavy sub-1.1400 following the soft Eurozone HICP miss.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1388 opens a retest of the 1.1400 psych level
Break below 1.1376 exposes the 1.1361 spike low
EZ Unemployment 09:00 UTC and US NFP are the dominant catalysts that can break this range
03:31 UTC
Sideways after volatile session · RSI 51 · price 1.13801
Tight range post-spike, mid-1.1380s.
London-NY session swept the 1.1361 low then spiked violently to 1.14115 before fading back; Asian hours have since coiled into a tight 1.1375–1.1386 range with RSI(14) flat near 50. No directional structure in play — price sitting on the EMA20.
Support: 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1386 reopens the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.1375 exposes the 1.13613 session low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
03:16 UTC
Downtrend faded into range · RSI 47 · price 1.13799
Consolidation sub-1.1400 after volatility spike.
Range-bound through Asian hours between 1.1374 and 1.1388 after yesterday's sharp swing — a sweep of the 1.1361 lows reversed into a spike to 1.14115 before fading back below 1.1400. RSI is mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips; current bar sits near range mid with no setup in play.
Support: 1.1374, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens a retest of the 1.1400 psych level
Break below 1.1374 range floor exposes the 1.1361 session low
US NFP Thursday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
03:01 UTC
Ranging, mild recovery · RSI 55 · price 1.13828
Tight Asian range below 1.1400 pivot.
Quiet Asian session grind: EURUSD is pinned in a 1.1376-1.1388 range after yesterday's soft Eurozone HICP knocked it below the 1.1400 pivot. A modest recovery tagged the 1.1388 session high before fading back to 1.1383; RSI mid-range, ATR thin at ~6 pips.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1388 session high opens the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.1376 session low exposes the 1.13613 swing low
US NFP Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can override this range
EUR/USD is grinding higher through the Asia session, recovering to 1.13844 after yesterday's HICP-miss-driven slide sub-1.1400. Volatility is thin (ATR ~6 pips) with price capped near the 1.13881 session high; the earlier 1.13613 sweep low held and the 1.1400 pivot stays untested.
Support: 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.14003
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13881 session high opens the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.13738 recent low reopens the 1.13613 session low
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
02:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off Asian low · RSI 59 · price 1.13847
Higher lows, breaking Asian range top.
Late Asia session grinding higher off the 1.1374 low, price has edged above the ~1.1382 Asian range top to print a session high at 1.1388. Move is a modest recovery after EUR was pressed sub-1.1400 on the soft Eurozone HICP miss; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR thin at ~6 pips.
Support: 1.13767, 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.1382 keeps the recovery intact; failure back below 1.1374 negates it
1.1400 pivot — area to watch for rejection or break
Eurozone Unemployment 09:00 UTC and US NFP 12:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead
02:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, low-vol drift up · RSI 57 · price 1.13865
Tight consolidation breaking mildly higher.
EUR/USD held sub-1.1400 after yesterday's soft Eurozone HICP, basing in a tight 1.1376-1.1380 Asian range before nudging up to 1.13865. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57, ATR compressed to ~6 pips as the market coils ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this range
M15 close back below 1.1376 reopens the 1.1361 session low
Close above 1.1400 shifts the near-term read
02:01 UTC
Range after washout, drifting flat · RSI 56 · price 1.13831
Consolidation near session highs post-recovery.
EUR was pressed lower after the soft June HICP miss, tagging 1.13613 before a sharp reclaim spiked back to 1.14115, then faded into a tight consolidation. Price now grinds 1.1376–1.1385 in the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 56, with buyers nudging back toward the 1.13856 session high.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13856 opens the path to the 1.1400 pivot
Break below 1.1376 exposes the 1.13613 swing low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Range after volatility spike · RSI 54 · price 1.13811
Tight consolidation near session lows.
EUR/USD is consolidating in a tight 1.13748–1.13827 band through the thin Asian session, following the London/NY whipsaw that swept 1.13613 then spiked to 1.14115. Price sits offered below the 1.1400 pivot after the soft June HICP miss kept EUR heavy; ATR has collapsed to ~6 pips as the tape idles ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.13748, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13827, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~11h) could break this range decisively
M15 close above 1.13827 opens the path back toward the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.13748 exposes the 1.13613 swing low
01:31 UTC
Ranging, low volatility · RSI 46 · price 1.13785
Tight consolidation after Asian-hours drift.
After the NY sell-off to 1.13613 and a sharp spike recovery to 1.14115, EUR/USD has coiled into a tight 1.1376–1.1383 range through the thin Asian session, with EUR still soft after yesterday's HICP miss. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and price is pinned to EMA20 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13827, 1.13937
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13827 opens 1.13937; loss of 1.1376 exposes 1.13613
Eurozone unemployment 09:00 UTC and US NFP 12:30 UTC could break the range
01:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13782
Tight range in thin Asia trade.
EUR/USD is grinding a tight 1.1376–1.1381 range in thin early-Asia trade after the soft eurozone HICP miss dragged it back under 1.1400 yesterday. The prior NY spike to 1.14115 was fully reversed; RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13804, 1.1387, 1.1390
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1381 targets the 1.1390 pivot; loss of 1.1376 reopens 1.13613
Eurozone Unemployment 09:00 UTC and US NFP 12:30 UTC could break this range
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13774
Consolidation after decline.
Thin Asian-session trade coiling between 1.1373 and 1.1383 after price retraced the earlier London spike back to 1.14115. EUR remains offered under 1.1400 following yesterday's soft HICP miss; volume is minimal and no structure is developing yet.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13827, 1.14043
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13734 confirms a lower low
M15 close above 1.13827 breaks the consolidation top
US NFP 12:30 UTC and Eurozone unemployment 09:00 UTC can reset this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.1376
Tight consolidation after NY spike faded.
EURUSD is pinned in a tight 1.1375–1.1381 range through the low-liquidity Asian session, price sitting just under EMA20/50 after the NY spike to 1.1404 faded. EUR stays soft after the June HICP miss; no setup in play with volume drained.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1381, 1.1390, 1.1404
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1390 pivot exposes the 1.1404 spike high
Loss of 1.1375 range floor reopens the 1.1361 session low
US NFP 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the key driver into next session
00:31 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.1376
Tight consolidation near session lows.
EUR sits softer below 1.1400 after the June HICP miss; London saw a sharp flush to 1.1361 then a spike back to 1.1411 before fading. Asia hours have coiled into a thin 1.1375–1.1380 range on low volume, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1375 range floor exposes 1.1361 session low
Close back above the 1.1385 pivot reopens 1.1400
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13762
Tight Asia range after London-NY spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14115 and reversed during the London-NY session after the soft EZ HICP print kept downside pressure on, then drifted back to coil near 1.1377 on thin late-session volume. Price is holding just above the 1.13734 recent low with RSI(14) flat near 44; consolidation with no setup in play.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14047
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for the next bars
Break of 1.13734 exposes the 1.13613 session low
Close above 1.13856 reopens the upper range toward the spike high
00:01 UTC
Consolidation after sharp drop and snapback · RSI 48 · price 1.13781
Tight range near 1.1378, mid-day lows reclaimed.
EUR/USD sold off through the London session to 1.13615 on the soft Eurozone HICP undershoot, then snapped back sharply to 1.14043 before settling into a very tight, thin consolidation around 1.1378. Volume has collapsed into the late session with price coiling in a ~6 pip band; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1374, 1.13615
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1396, 1.14043
What it said to watch
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the key driver — likely to break this consolidation
Loss of 1.1374 reopens the 1.13615 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1396 range top needed to shift the intraday tone higher