EUR slid below 1.1400 on the soft June HICP miss, spiked to 1.14115 on a sweep of the 1.13613 swing low, then drifted back to a dead-quiet Asia-session consolidation around 1.1378 with volume evaporating into pre-NFP. Price is pinned to EMA20 while EMA50 caps overhead; no setup in play.
Support: 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~13h) is the key driver and will break this range
Loss of 1.13738 exposes the 1.13613 swing low
M15 close above 1.13856 reopens the 1.1400 round number
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13776
Lower highs into tight Asian consolidation near lows.
EUR/USD drifted lower through London/NY from 1.1416 after the soft EZ HICP print kept the euro heavy, printing a day low at 1.13613 before a sharp spike to 1.14043. Price has since settled into a tight 1.1374–1.1380 Asian consolidation with RSI neutral and ATR compressed on thin liquidity.
Support: 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14043
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~13h) is the key driver for the next session
Break of 1.13738 session low exposes the 1.13613 day low
Close above 1.13856 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.13784
Tight consolidation after sell-off.
EUR/USD is grinding sideways around 1.1378 in thin Asia-session flow after the June HICP miss dragged it below 1.1400. Price sits just under EMA50 with RSI(14) flat near 47; volatility has collapsed to ~4-5 pips per bar following the earlier drop to 1.1361 and sharp snap-back to 1.14115.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~13h) is the key driver and can break this range either way
Close below 1.1375 exposes the 1.13613 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13856 puts price back into the prior range
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13784
Consolidation near session lows after rejection.
EUR stayed heavy after yesterday's soft Eurozone HICP, grinding lower through NY to a session low at 1.13613 before a sharp rejection back to 1.14047. Price has since faded and coiled in a tight 1.13734–1.13856 range through quiet Asia hours, holding just under EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1395, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13734 range low exposes the 1.13613 session low
Reclaim of 1.13856 range top would neutralise the intraday decline
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Consolidation near session lows after sweep and recovery.
EURUSD drifted from 1.1420 toward a 1.13613 spike low that was swept and quickly recovered to 1.14047, then faded back below 1.1380 as the June HICP miss kept the euro heavy. Thin late-session bars now show tight consolidation around 1.1378, RSI flat mid-range, no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1395, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13734 reopens the 1.13613 swing low and the 1.1325 area
Reclaim of 1.13856 would break the run of lower highs
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the key driver into the next session
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13786
Tight consolidation off session lows.
EUR sold off below 1.1400 after the soft EZ HICP undershoot, tagging 1.13613 before a sharp bounce to 1.14115 was fully retraced. Price is now coiled tight around 1.1378 on thin late-session volume, holding just above the 1.13738 session low.
Support: 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13738 exposes the 1.13613 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13856 would ease the downside pressure
US NFP later this week is the key swing driver via the USD side
NY session flushed to 1.1361 then spiked to 1.14115 before fading through the session as EUR stayed heavy after the soft June HICP miss. Asia is now grinding in a tight low-volume range near 1.1378, RSI mid-40s, price holding below EMA20.
Support: 1.1373, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1373 then 1.13613 opens the 1.1325 area
Reclaim of 1.1385 negates the lower-high sequence
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
London drove EUR/USD to 1.1361 on the June HICP undershoot before a sharp spike-and-fade to 1.14115 got fully reabsorbed. Price now grinds in a tight 1.1374–1.1386 band on dead late-session volume, sitting just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 1.13729, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.14047, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13729 re-exposes session low at 1.13615
Close above 1.13860 reopens the 1.1390/1.1410 pivot
NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially reshape this read
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 41 · price 1.13783
Lower highs, consolidating near lows.
EUR stayed offered after the June HICP miss, grinding lower through NY with a sweep of 1.13613 that snapped back to 1.14115 before fading again. Late-session flows now thin, coiling around 1.1378 into the Asia open with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13734 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.13613
A close back above 1.13856 opens the 1.14000 round number
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the key driver that can reset this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.1377
Lower highs, consolidating near session lows.
NY session swept the lows to 1.1361 then snapped back to 1.1411 in a single leg, with EUR pressured after the June HICP miss trimmed ECB hike odds. Price has since drifted lower to consolidate around 1.1377 into the Asia transition, RSI(14) mid-range and volume thinning.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Break of 1.13734 exposes the 1.13613 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13856 would challenge the recent high chain
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading late · RSI 41 · price 1.1377
Lower highs, tight low-volume range near session low.
EUR faded back under 1.1385 after the London-NY spike to 1.1405, grinding lower to 1.1377 in a thin, low-volume late-session range. Soft eurozone HICP (2.8% vs 3.0%) keeps EUR heavy against a firm USD, with sellers capping every bounce below 1.1385.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1405
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1374 exposes the 1.1362 swing low
M15 close back above 1.1385 negates the downside grind
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, consolidating below 1.1380 after sweep.
EUR/USD leaked lower through the NY session after London swept the 1.13613 low and snapped back to 1.14115; price has since drifted into a tight consolidation just below 1.1380, in line with softer EUR after the June HICP miss. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price pinned under EMA20/50 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.13734, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13613 confirms a fresh lower low and exposes the 1.1335 zone
Reclaim of 1.13856 challenges the descending resistance and eases the downside pressure
EUR Unemployment and Lagarde (Thu) could break the consolidation
EUR stayed offered through NY hours, drifting to fresh session lows near 1.1374 as the soft June HICP print and a firm DXY kept the pair capped below 1.1400. A brief spike to 1.14115 was fully unwound; price now coils in a tight 1.1374–1.1380 band with RSI(14) at 38 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 1.13738, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.13938, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13613 opens the 1.1325 area flagged by ING
Reclaim of 1.13856 needed to challenge the descending lower-high line
Friday US NFP (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR ground lower through the session after soft eurozone HICP trimmed ECB hike odds, and price is now coiling in a tight 1.1375–1.1386 band into the NY close. An earlier spike swept the 1.13613 low before snapping back to 1.14115 and fading; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.13751, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.13937, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13751 opens the 1.13613 swing low
Break above 1.13856 range top challenges the descending lower highs
US NFP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13778
Consolidation near session lows.
EUR slid below 1.1400 after the soft June HICP print, sweeping a session low at 1.13613 midday before a sharp rebound to 1.14043 that has since faded. Price now coils in a tight 1.1375-1.1385 band during the late-session low-liquidity window, RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 1.13751, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14043
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13751 reopens the 1.13613 session low
Close above 1.13856 breaks the consolidation upper edge
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk to this read
EUR stayed offered below 1.1400 through the NY session after yesterday's soft eurozone HICP, spiking to 1.13613 before a sharp rebound to 1.14115, then grinding back down in a chain of lower highs. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1375-1.1380 range near the recent low with RSI(14) flat around 43.
Support: 1.13751, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.13938
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13751 recent low exposes the 1.13613 spike low
Reclaim of 1.13856 recent high needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13796
Range after V-recovery off session low.
EUR stayed offered below 1.1400 after the soft June HICP print, selling off into 1.13613 during NY before a sharp V-recovery spiked to 1.14047. Price has since faded and coiled in a tight 1.1375–1.1385 band, now sitting near the 61.8% retrace of that rebound with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.13751, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13751 opens the 1.13613 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13856 range top needed to ease downside pressure
NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major risk for this pair
EUR reversed back under 1.1400 after the soft EZ HICP miss; a NY-morning spike to 1.14115 was rejected and price has since bled into a tight 1.1375–1.1386 band. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under both EMAs — quiet, range-bound late-NY drift with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.13751, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13751 exposes the 1.13613 day low
Close above 1.13856 challenges the lower-highs sequence
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13796
Consolidating above session low after sweep.
EUR stayed under pressure after the softer EZ HICP print, sliding to a 1.13613 swing low before a sharp reclaim spiked back to 1.14047. Since then price has faded and gone dead-flat, consolidating in a 1.13751–1.13856 band around 1.1379 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.13751, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13751 reopens the 1.13613 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13856 shifts the intraday read back toward the 1.14047 spike high
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major risk for this pair
EURUSD stayed heavy through the NY session, EUR soft after the June HICP miss dragged it back under 1.1400. A sweep of the 1.13615 spike low mid-session snapped back to 1.14047 but sellers faded it; price is now coiling near the 1.13751 session low with RSI(14) mid-range at 43.
Support: 1.13751, 1.13615
Resistance: 1.1395, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13751 opens the 1.13615 spike low
Reclaim of 1.13950 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding back to session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13787
Lower highs, retesting the swing low.
EUR/USD stayed heavy through the NY session after yesterday's soft EZ HICP, sliding to a 1.13613 session low that was swept and quickly bought back to 1.14047 before fading. Price is now grinding lower again into 1.1378 under EMA20/50, with lower highs capping at 1.13856; the swing low at 1.13687 is the pivot back into focus.
Support: 1.13687, 1.13613, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.13937, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13687 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.13613 session low
Reclaim of 1.13856 breaks the lower-high sequence
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR grinding to fresh session lows near 1.1376 as the soft EZ HICP miss keeps the single currency heavy against a firm USD. An earlier sweep of 1.13613 spiked to 1.14115 then rejected, and price has since chained lower highs back toward that low; RSI(14) soft near 39 but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13613, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.13937, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13613 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.13937 swing high breaks the descending highs
NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR sits sub-1.1400 after the soft EZ HICP miss, and NY hours have faded the sharp V-recovery that swept the 1.1361 low back to 1.14115. Price is grinding lower again into 1.1378 under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) cooling near 41.
Support: 1.13613, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.13937, 1.14047, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1361 spike low confirms a lower-low and opens downside
M15 close back above 1.13937 lower high stalls the fade
NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating late NY · RSI 44 · price 1.13808
Session low swept, V-recovery faded into range.
EUR slipped below 1.1400 during NY hours after the soft Eurozone HICP print, with the session low at 1.13613 swept before a sharp V-recovery spiked to 1.14115. That rally faded and price is now consolidating around 1.1380, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1389, 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13787 reopens the 1.13613 session low
Reclaim of 1.14000 psych level negates the fade
NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD drifted lower through the session to a 1.13613 spike low, then snapped back to 1.14047 before that bounce was rejected. Price now consolidating in a tight low-volatility band around 1.1380 below EMA20, RSI muted near 43, consistent with the softer EUR tone after the June HICP undershoot.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13787 exposes the 1.13613 spike low
Reclaim of 1.1400 round number would negate the fade
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Ranging in lower half after NY sweep and snapback.
NY session swept down to 1.1361 at the 12:30 UTC data window then snapped back sharply to 1.1411, with EUR staying heavy sub-1.1400 after yesterday's soft EZ HICP. Price has since faded to 1.1385 and is ranging in the lower half, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13938, 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1379 exposes the 1.1361 session low
Reclaim of 1.1394 swing high puts 1.1400 back in play
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD faded through NY hours after soft US ADP/ISM prints and the EZ HICP undershoot kept EUR heavy. Session low at 1.13613 was swept and rallied hard to 1.14047 before rejection; price has since bled back toward the lows near 1.1380.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13938, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13787 reopens the 1.13613 session low
Reclaim of 1.13938 needed to challenge the 1.14047 spike high
NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR sits soft below 1.1400 after the June HICP undershoot, grinding lower through NY hours. A sweep of the session low at 1.13613 was sharply recovered into 1.14115, but price has since faded back to 1.13829 under a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, ATR ~11 pips.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13938, 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13938 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13787 reopens the 1.13613 session low
NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, fading after V-recovery · RSI 43 · price 1.13814
Lower highs after sweep of session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through London into NY, sweeping the session low at 1.13613 before a sharp V-recovery to 1.14115 as the ADP and ISM misses briefly softened the dollar. Price has since faded back to ~1.13814, printing lower highs and sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that bounce.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13938, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13787 opens a retest of 1.13613 session low
Reclaim of 1.13938 would break the lower-high chain
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sweep of session low, snapback then consolidation.
NY session swept the session low at 1.13613 then snapped violently back to 1.14047, with EUR heavy below 1.1400 after the soft EZ HICP undershoot. Price is now consolidating around 1.1385 below EMA20, RSI neutral near 46; the bounce high at 1.14047 caps and the swept low remains the reference.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13938, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13613 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1335 range floor
Reclaim of 1.13938 puts the 1.14047 bounce high back in play
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, choppy after sweep · RSI 45 · price 1.13863
Session low swept, sharp reversal faded.
Session low at 1.13613 was swept during the early NY hours, triggering a sharp reversal spike to 1.14047 that failed to hold. Price is now fading back below EMA20 near the 50% fib of that bounce (~1.1386), with RSI(14) neutral around 45 as EUR sits soft below 1.1400 after the June HICP undershoot.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13938, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13787 re-exposes the 1.13613 session low
Reclaim of 1.13938 needed to re-challenge the 1.14047 spike high
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
Spike reversal off session low, now consolidating.
NY session swept the session low at 1.13613 then snapped back to 1.14115 on the softer US ADP/ISM misses, a sharp false-break recovery. Price has since faded to 1.13865, holding the 50% retrace of that move; RSI(14) neutral near 46 with the pair boxed into a 1.13787–1.13959 band.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.13959, 1.14043, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13787 reopens the 1.13613 session low
Reclaim of 1.13959 exposes the 1.14043 spike high
NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, spike faded · RSI 43 · price 1.1381
Lower highs after sweep of lows.
EUR sits below 1.1400 after the June HICP undershoot kept the pair heavy. A sweep of the 1.1361 session low during NY hours snapped back to 1.14115 but the spike was rejected, with lower highs printing back toward 1.1380. RSI(14) near 43, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13787, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13787 swing low re-exposes the 1.13613 sweep low
Reclaim of 1.14047 spike high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.13912
Session low swept, V-recovery, consolidating.
The session low at 1.1361 was swept during NY hours before a sharp V-recovery to 1.1411, unwinding the day's EUR softness that followed the June HICP miss. Price has since settled into a 1.1385–1.1400 consolidation, RSI(14) back to neutral near 48.
Support: 1.13845, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14115
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14115 spike high
Loss of 1.13845 puts the swept 1.13613 low back in play
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session swept the session low at 1.13613 then snapped back to 1.14115 before fading — EUR stays heavy sub-1.1400 after the Eurozone HICP miss. Now consolidating around 1.1385-1.1395, roughly the 50% retrace of that spike.
Support: 1.13845, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14115, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14115 reclaims the session high and negates the fade
Failure to hold 1.13845 reopens the 1.13613 session low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Swept session low then V-recovery, consolidating sub-1.1400.
NY session swept the lows down to 1.13613 then snapped back to 1.14043 in a violent V-recovery, with price now consolidating near 1.1395. EUR remains heavy sub-1.1400 after the soft Eurozone HICP print cooled ECB hike odds.
Support: 1.13845, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14043, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14043 opens the path to the 1.14115 spike high
Failure to hold 1.13845 reopens the 1.13613 session low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session swept the session low at 1.13613 near US data flow, then snapped back in a V-rebound to the 1.14115 session high before fading. EUR stays heavy sub-1.1400 after the soft Eurozone HICP miss; price now consolidating around 1.1397 between the swing low and rebound high.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14115
What it said to watch
Reclaim above the 1.14115 session high reopens the topside
Failure to hold 1.13850 swing low re-exposes the 1.13613 session low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session swept the session low at 1.13613 then snapped back sharply to 1.14047 in a V-recovery, with EUR broadly soft after the Eurozone HICP miss (2.8% vs 3%). Price is now fading off that swing high back toward 1.1390 and the EMA20.
Support: 1.13613, 1.13802
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14115
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13613 confirms the sweep failed and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.14047 would extend the recovery leg
US ISM Manufacturing / Warsh could shift USD tone within the next bars
NY session swept the session low at 1.13613 before a sharp V-recovery to 1.14047, with price now easing back to 1.13973. EUR stayed soft after the Eurozone HICP miss, but the quick reclaim of the lows shows demand stepping in below 1.13800.
Support: 1.13613, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing PMI due now could materially shift this read via USD
Reclaim of 1.14047 would confirm the recovery has legs
Failure to hold 1.13800 reopens the 1.13613 session low
Lower highs/lows into 1.1361 sweep, V-recovery to 1.1400.
EUR bled lower through the session after soft Eurozone HICP, sweeping the low at 1.13613 before a sharp V-reversal back to 1.1400 around Lagarde's 14:00 UTC speech. RSI(14) has snapped back to neutral; recovery stalling into the 1.14047 session high.
Support: 1.13613, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14115, 1.1426
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14047 opens the 1.14115 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1385 reopens the 1.13613 sweep low
Lagarde speech in progress could materially shift this read
Price swept the session low to 1.13613 then V-recovered ~50 pips to reclaim the 1.1390 pivot, EUR steadying despite the soft Eurozone HICP miss. RSI(14) back near neutral after the washout; the bounce is stalling into prior resistance around 1.1426.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech + US ISM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 1.1390 pivot reopens the 1.13613 sweep low
Reclaim of the 1.1426 prior high needed to confirm the recovery; 1.1435 uob cap area to watch for rejection
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, low reclaimed · RSI 41 · price 1.13846
Lower highs/lows, session low swept.
EUR sold off through the NY session on the soft Eurozone HICP miss, sweeping the session low at 1.13613 before a sharp single-bar recovery to 1.13871. RSI(14) lifting off the low near 41; price still capped under the 1.1390 pivot.
Support: 1.13613, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13896, 1.1390
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech and US ISM at 14:00 UTC (~30m out) could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13613 confirms continuation toward 1.1350
Reclaim of the 1.1390 pivot stalls the downside momentum
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 26 · price 1.13625
Lower highs, fresh session low.
EUR/USD broke down through 1.1380 into the NY session and printed a fresh low at 1.13613, extending the grind lower after the soft Eurozone HICP miss and a firm USD. RSI(14) is sub-30 and ATR has expanded on the last three bars, so momentum is one-directional but stretched.
Support: 1.13613, 1.1350, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.1381
What it said to watch
Lagarde speaking 13:00/14:00 UTC — the near-term catalyst that could shift this read
Sustained trade below 1.13613 exposes 1.1350 then 1.1320
Reclaim of 1.13810 would question the breakdown
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 28 · price 1.13732
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
EUR/USD broke the 1.1390/1.1410 pivot during the session and slid to a fresh low of 1.13687 after soft Eurozone HICP trimmed ECB hike bets. RSI(14) is oversold near 28 with the last bar only holding a shallow 1.13732 bounce. Lagarde and Warsh both due around 13:00 UTC — the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.13687, 1.1332
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.13948, 1.1410
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13687 opens the path toward 1.13320
Reclaim of the 1.14100 pivot would neutralise the downside break
Lagarde/Warsh at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.1390/1.1410 pivot after soft Eurozone HICP trimmed ECB hike bets and a firm USD kept pressure on. The last bar swept to a fresh session low at 1.13687 with RSI(14) near 30; sellers still in control, no basing yet.
Support: 1.13687, 1.1332
Resistance: 1.1389, 1.1395, 1.14105
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13890 pivot would neutralise the breakout read
Loss of 1.13687 opens the path toward 1.1320
Lagarde (13:00/14:00 UTC) and US ISM (14:00 UTC) can materially shift this read within the next bars
EUR heavy through the NY session, sliding to fresh session lows near 1.13800 after cooler-than-forecast Eurozone HICP knocked ECB hike bets. Chain of lower highs intact, price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 35, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13802, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13949
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13800 opens the 1.1350 downside target
Reclaim of 1.13949 would break the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speeches (13:00 & 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD extended its slide after cooler-than-expected Eurozone HICP, breaking the 1.1400 pivot and printing a fresh session low at 1.13802 with RSI(14) near 33. The move ran into the NY session alongside the ADP print; each bounce has been capped by a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.13802, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Sustained break of 1.13802 opens the path toward 1.1350
Lagarde speeches at 13:00 and 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13872
Lower highs, breakdown from mid-range congestion.
EUR pinned near session lows after cooler-than-expected Eurozone HICP knocked back ECB hike bets, breaking down from the 1.1400-1.1410 congestion to print 1.13845. RSI(14) around 38, price holding below EMA20/50 as the intraday downtrend extends.
Support: 1.13845, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.13845 opens the 1.1380 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot needed to neutralise the breakdown
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD leaked lower through the NY morning to 1.13849 after the soft Eurozone HICP miss, then found demand and bounced to 1.1394. Price sits below EMA20/50 with lower highs intact; 1.14000 psych level caps the recovery so far.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14102, 1.14267
What it said to watch
ADP 12:15 UTC and Lagarde/Warsh 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14000 psych negates the lower-high structure
Break below 1.13849 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
EUR sold from the 1.1436 session high after the cool HICP miss (2.8% vs 3% f/c), bottoming at 1.13849 before a shallow bounce that stalled under 1.1400. Price now pinned near lows around 1.1395, RSI(14) mid-40s, below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1410
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 break below 1.13849 opens the path toward 1.1380
Reclaim of 1.14000 round number needed to ease the downside pressure
Lagarde speeches 13:00/14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through London after soft EZ HICP, printing a session low at 1.13849 before a shallow bounce to 1.13935. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; the descending sequence off the 1.1436 high remains intact.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1410
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13849 session low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of the 1.14000 round number needed to ease downside pressure
Lagarde speeches 13:00/14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; recovery off session low.
Intraday downtrend off the 1.1436 peak as EUR stayed pressured after the soft EZ HICP miss; each rally faded at lower highs. Buyers stepped in at 1.1385 late in the London session and price is grinding back toward the 1.1400 pivot into the London-NY transition, RSI recovering from the mid-40s.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14105, 1.14267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 pivot negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.1385 session low opens the path toward 1.1320
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 43 · price 1.13958
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1436 peak.
EUR pressed lower through the NY session from the 1.1436 peak, printing a chain of lower highs after soft EZ HICP undercut ECB hike bets. Demand stepped in at 1.13849 with a modest bounce to 1.13958, but price holds below EMA20/50 and the 1.14045 swing pivot caps.
Support: 1.13849, 1.13927
Resistance: 1.14045, 1.14105, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14045 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13849 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
ADP 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 13:00/14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR ground lower through the session after the soft Eurozone HICP miss, carving a chain of lower highs off the 1.14363 peak. Price is probing the session low at 1.13849 with only a shallow bounce to 1.13945; the 1.14000 round level now caps.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14105, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13849 confirms a lower low
Lagarde speeches 13:00/14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR rolled over from 1.14363 and has ground steadily lower through the session, breaking the 1.14000 psych handle to print a fresh session low at 1.13849 on the soft Eurozone HICP miss. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 34 — pressured but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1380, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14105, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13849 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.14000 psych would neutralise the downtrend read
Lagarde speeches 13:00 & 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.13865
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1436 peak.
EURUSD grinding lower through London hours, printing fresh session lows near 1.1385 after cooler-than-expected Eurozone HICP kept the euro heavy. Chain of lower highs from the 1.1436 peak intact; price has broken below the 1.1400 round number and RSI(14) sits near 33 without reaching oversold extremes.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1410
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.1385 opens the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to challenge the lower-high structure
Lagarde speeches at 13:00/14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows off yesterday's 1.1436 peak.
EUR/USD is grinding lower through 1.1390 into the London session, extending the pullback from yesterday's NY high at 1.1436 after soft Eurozone flash HICP cut ECB hike bets. Price sits on the 1.1387 session low with RSI(14) soft near 37 and no bounce structure formed yet.
Support: 1.13866, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.14105, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1386 session low opens the path toward 1.1380/1.1370
M15 close back above 1.1402 negates the current down leg
Lagarde 13:00/14:00 UTC plus ADP 12:15 and ISM 14:00 UTC — cluster of risk could reshape this read within hours
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, at session low · RSI 37 · price 1.13917
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1436 peak.
EUR heavy through the London session after cooler Eurozone HICP, grinding a chain of lower highs down from the 1.1436 window high to the session low at 1.1390. Rejection at the 1.1427 lower high held; price now presses the 1.1386 prior low with RSI(14) near 36.
Close back above 1.14020 range top negates the breakdown read
ECB Lagarde 13:00/14:00 UTC and US ADP could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.13962
Lower highs, lower lows since peak.
London pushed EUR to a session high of 1.14363 before a steady slide back toward session lows near 1.13927 as cooler German CPI weighed on the euro. Price is holding just above the 1.13927 low, RSI(14) mid-range near 42, with the descending sequence of lower highs still intact into the EZ flash HICP release.
Support: 1.13927, 1.13861
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14099, 1.14363
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP just out (09:00 UTC) plus Lagarde 13:00/14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.13861 confirms continuation of lower lows
Reclaim of the 1.14000 round number would neutralise the slide
EUR/USD faded a midday spike to 1.14363 into a steady decline, now balancing at 1.13947 just under the 1.1400 psych level after German CPI misses kept the euro soft. Buyers stepped in at 1.13927 to hold the session low, but the sequence of lower highs remains intact and RSI(14) sits neutral near 45.
Support: 1.13927, 1.13861
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14036, 1.14085
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC due — could break the 1.13927–1.14000 balance
M15 close above 1.14036 negates the lower-high sequence
EURUSD ground lower off the NY session high at 1.14363, a chain of lower highs dragging price back to 1.1399 as cooling German/national CPI weighs on EUR. Buyers stepped in near 1.13927 overnight and price is consolidating just above it ahead of Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC.
Support: 1.13927, 1.13861
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.1426
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~15min out) could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.13927 confirms a lower-low toward 1.13861
M15 close above 1.14105 breaks the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD peeled off the London session high at 1.14363 in a chain of lower highs, softened by the German manufacturing PMI miss (49.7 vs 51). Price is now basing around 1.1393–1.1403 into the Eurozone flash HICP, RSI(14) mid-range near 45.
Support: 1.1393, 1.13833
Resistance: 1.1403, 1.1410, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (headline 3%, core 2.6% f/c) can materially shift this read within the next bar
Close below 1.1393 confirms a lower-low toward the session low
Reclaim of 1.1403 puts the descending resistance at 1.141 back in play
EUR/USD slid overnight from the NY peak at 1.14363 to a session low of 1.13927 after cooler German CPI and a soft manufacturing PMI trimmed ECB hike bets. Price has bounced back above the 1.14000 round number into the London session, but the sequence of lower highs is intact and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45.
Support: 1.13927, 1.1400, 1.13868
Resistance: 1.14098, 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13927 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14098 needed to challenge the downtrend
Lower highs since NY high, holding above session low.
EUR spiked to 1.14345 during the NY session before fading in a steady lower-high chain back to the 1.13927 session low, then bounced to reclaim 1.1400. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 ahead of the 09:00 UTC Eurozone flash HICP.
Support: 1.13927, 1.13833
Resistance: 1.14099, 1.14267, 1.14345
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could break this range read
M15 close below 1.13927 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.13833 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14099 minor high reopens the 1.14267 prior high
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.13989
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1436 peak.
EUR ground lower through the session from the 1.14363 peak back to 1.13927, EUR heavy near 1.1400 after soft German CPI dented ECB hike bets. A shallow bounce off 1.13927 into 1.1399 leaves price pinned below EMA20/50 with a clean chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.13927, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.1420, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst and can override this read
EUR ground lower off the prior NY peak at 1.14363, breaking back below the 1.1400 round number and pressing session lows near 1.1393; soft German CPI has kept EUR heavy. RSI(14) around 35 with ATR near 7 pips as Asia-into-London liquidity thins ahead of the Eurozone HICP print.
Support: 1.13878, 1.13833
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14098, 1.14271
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC is a high-impact catalyst that could reset this read
Reclaim of 1.1400 would negate the breakdown
Break of 1.13833 session low confirms a lower low
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 40 · price 1.13964
Lower highs, broke consolidation floor.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.1402 consolidation floor to a session low at 1.1396 as softer German/Italian prints trimmed ECB hike bets. RSI cooling into the low 40s, price below both EMAs; Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the swing factor.
Support: 1.13959, 1.13833, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1410, 1.14271
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13833 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1380
Reclaim of 1.1402 negates the breakdown
Eurozone flash HICP in ~2h could materially shift this read
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14363 spike through the Asian session and has drifted into a tight 1.1401–1.1410 range, holding the 1.1400 psych level. Price sits below EMA20/50 as EUR trades soft ahead of Eurozone flash HICP, with RSI(14) mid-40s reflecting stalled downside momentum.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13913, 1.13838
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~2h out) is the swing factor for this range
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path toward the 1.13913 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14105 needed to challenge the descending lower-high sequence
EUR spiked to 1.14363 then faded steadily back to 1.1400 as softer German CPI/HICP trimmed ECB hike bets. Price now consolidating just above the 1.1400 round number under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s. Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the swing factor for the next leg.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13833
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.14266, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1400 opens the 1.13833 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14105 needed to challenge the lower-highs chain
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend off NY high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14032
Pullback consolidating near 1.1400.
NY session pushed to a 1.14363 session high before fading steadily through the Asian range, with price now churning around 1.1400 into the European open. Recent action is boxed between the 1.14105 range top and the 1.14013 session low, sitting right on the 61.8% retrace of the prior up-leg.
Support: 1.14013, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.14271, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could break this consolidation
M15 close below 1.14000 psych opens the path toward 1.1382
Reclaim of 1.14105 range top would negate the fade
06:16 UTC
Down off NY high, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14032
Lower highs into 1.1400 consolidation.
NY session spiked to a 1.14363 session high before fading through Asia in a chain of lower highs, unwinding almost the entire rally. Price now churns around 1.1400-1.1410 with RSI in the mid-40s, sitting on the 1.14013 session low.
Support: 1.14013, 1.1400, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1420, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.14000 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14100 would stall the lower-high sequence
06:01 UTC
Pullback, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.14071
Range after spike fade, drifting lower.
NY-session spike to 1.14363 faded through Asia and price now consolidates 1.14000–1.14105 in early London, RSI(14) neutral near 48. The session low at 1.14013 held on the last dip before a shallow bounce back toward 1.14070.
Support: 1.14013, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~3h) is the key swing factor for this read
Close below 1.14000 round number confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14105 recent high needed to challenge the 1.14260 swing high
EUR pinned near 1.1400 after soft German/Italian CPI capped ECB hike bets; price spiked to a 1.14363 session high then bled back into a lower-high sequence. Now basing right on the 50% fib (1.14097) of the 1.13832–1.14363 leg, RSI flat around 50 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.14013, 1.1400, 1.13832
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14260 swing high reopens the 1.14363 session high
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.13832 swing low
Price spiked to 1.14363 in the NY session then faded, and has since coiled tightly around 1.1409 through a quiet Asian session with ATR compressed near 6 pips. RSI(14) sits neutral around 51 as the pair holds above the 1.14013 recent low; the 1.14210 swing high caps the recovery.
Support: 1.14013, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the key swing factor for the next bars
M15 close above 1.14210 reopens the path toward the 1.14363 session high
Loss of 1.14013 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.13820
05:16 UTC
Pullback off session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.1408
Consolidating below descending highs after fade from 1.1436.
EURUSD faded from the NY session high at 1.1436 through the Asia session and is now coiling in a tight 1.1402-1.1410 band, pinned near 1.1408 with soft German/Italian CPI capping upside. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46, ATR compressed to ~4 pips as early London builds.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the next trigger and can break the range
M15 close back above 1.1420 reopens the 1.1436 session high
Loss of 1.1402 exposes the 1.1382 session low
05:01 UTC
Pullback off NY high, flattening · RSI 47 · price 1.14082
Range near lows after retrace from 1.1436.
NY session drove EUR/USD to a 1.1436 swing high before Asia drifted it back toward the 1.1402 swing low, where buyers stepped in and lifted price to 1.1408. Now churning near the 50% retrace of the prior rally, capped below the 1.1426 prior high; RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1426 prior high opens the path to 1.1450 psych
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Pullback off NY high, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 1.14083
Lower highs since 1.1436, basing near 1.1401.
EURUSD spiked to 1.1436 during the NY session then bled lower through the Asian session, with demand stepping in near 1.1401. Price is now consolidating in the low 1.1400s, RSI(14) recovering back to neutral around 48.
Support: 1.1401, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1401 opens the path back toward 1.1382
Reclaim of 1.1420 would break the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could break this range
04:31 UTC
Downtrend leg fading into range · RSI 42 · price 1.1404
Lower highs off 1.1436, basing at 1.1402.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1436 during NY hours then bled lower through the Asia session, printing a chain of lower highs down to the 1.1400 psych level where it is now basing on thin volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41; EUR stays soft ahead of Eurozone flash HICP.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.6%) could break this range
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.1382 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1426 swing high would break the lower-high chain
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.1404
Lower highs into 1.1400 psych.
NY spiked to 1.1436 then rolled over; price has ground steadily lower through Asian hours to the 1.1400 psych level, RSI(14) subdued near 38. The grind is sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1382–1.1436 leg, with lower highs capping every bounce.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1436
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path toward the 1.1382 session low
Reclaim of 1.1420 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
EUR faded from the NY-session high at 1.14363 back toward 1.1400, staying soft into the Eurozone flash HICP after weak German CPI. Price is stair-stepping lower under a descending line of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s, now probing the 1.14013 session low.
Support: 1.14013, 1.1400, 1.13907
Resistance: 1.1407, 1.14186, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path toward 1.13907
Reclaim of 1.14186 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the key swing risk for this read
EUR/USD peaked at 1.14363 during the prior London-NY window and has bled lower through the thin Asia session, now sitting on the 1.1400 round number and the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1382-1.1436 leg. RSI(14) around 42 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips reflects the quiet, low-volume drift.
Support: 1.14013, 1.1400, 1.13867
Resistance: 1.14079, 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.6%) can materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path toward the 1.13867 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14079 negates the descending drift
US ADP at 12:15 UTC and Fed Warsh at 13:00 UTC are further catalysts
Lower highs since peak, now consolidating at lows.
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.14363 session high then faded through Asian hours, drifting into a tight consolidation around 1.1405 near the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1382-1.14363 leg. RSI mid-40s and price below both EMAs; lower highs intact while 1.1402 holds.
Support: 1.14022, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1402 opens the path toward the 1.1382 swing low
Close above 1.1426 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend since NY spike, now flat · RSI 41 · price 1.14064
Lower highs off 1.1436, consolidating at lows.
EURUSD spiked to a 1.14363 session high during NY hours as month-end trimmed the Dollar, then ground steadily lower into a chain of lower highs. Asian session is quiet, ATR compressed to ~3 pips with price consolidating just above the 1.1402 session low, capped by the descending line off the spike high.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1408, 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1408 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1382
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1436 during the prior NY session then bled lower through Asia, printing lower highs and now pressing the 1.1402-1.1405 area. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s; the pair remains capped well below 1.1450 as soft German CPI weighs on the EUR.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 opens the path to 1.1382
Close above 1.1420 breaks the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the key risk that can reshape this read
Lower highs from 1.1436, now consolidating at lows.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.14363 during NY hours then faded steadily to 1.1404 into Asia, printing a clean chain of lower highs. Price is now consolidating 1.1404-1.1407 with RSI mid-range; Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the pivotal test into a firm USD.
Support: 1.1404, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1404 opens the path to 1.1382
Reclaim of 1.1426 needed to challenge the 1.14363 session high
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asia session after fading the NY spike to the 1.14363 session high, now pinned near the 1.14023 session low with RSI(14) in the low 40s. A chain of lower highs since capped by descending resistance keeps price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14134, 1.14271, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14023 session low opens the 1.1382 day low
Reclaim of 1.14134 lower high needed to break the descending sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since NY spike, stabilising near 61.8% fib.
NY session spiked to 1.14345 then faded steadily through Asian hours, unwinding toward the 61.8% retrace of that leg near 1.14020. Price is now consolidating in a 1.14020-1.14070 pocket with RSI around 42; the move stalled after month-end Dollar trimming lifted EUR off the 1.1382 low.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14271, 1.14345
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 opens the path back to the 1.13820 session low
Break above 1.14180 challenges the descending resistance off the session high
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.14059
Lower highs since NY peak.
EURUSD rejected the NY session high at 1.14363 and has ground lower through the Asia session, now sitting at 1.14059 into the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) near 38. Chain of lower highs from 1.14363 to 1.14271 to 1.14127 keeps price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14042, 1.1400, 1.13887
Resistance: 1.14127, 1.14271, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14127 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.13887 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend off NY high · RSI 39 · price 1.14059
Lower highs, testing session low.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then rolled over, with price grinding lower through the Asian session to the session low near 1.14042. RSI(14) sits sub-40 and price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 as the intraday sequence of lower highs holds.
Support: 1.14042, 1.13878, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14042 opens the path toward 1.13878
Reclaim of 1.14260 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum down · RSI 36 · price 1.14061
Lower highs off session peak.
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.14363 then faded steadily through late NY into early Asia, now 1.14061 with RSI(14) cooling near 36 and price below EMA20/50. Lower highs printed off the peak; the 1.14042 swing low is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 1.14042, 1.1400, 1.13887
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14042 / 1.14000 confirms extension of the pullback
Reclaim of 1.14260 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Pullback after NY spike, momentum down · RSI 36 · price 1.14069
Lower highs into session low.
NY session spiked to the session high at 1.14363 then faded, with soft German CPI keeping EUR heavy. Asia has drifted lower in a chain of lower highs and is now pressing the session low at 1.14042; RSI(14) near 36 and ATR modest at ~8 pips in thin overnight trade.
Support: 1.14042, 1.13887
Resistance: 1.14213, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14042 extends the lower-low sequence toward the swing low at 1.13887
Reclaim of 1.14213 needed to challenge the session high at 1.14363
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the session's pivotal EUR catalyst
01:01 UTC
Pullback, drifting lower off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.1409
Lower highs since 1.14363 peak.
Thin Asia session grinding lower off the 1.14363 session high set during prior NY hours, with EUR heavy sub-1.1450 after soft German CPI revived ECB-hike doubts. Price now resting on the 50% retrace near 1.1409, RSI(14) cooled to ~38, printing lower highs since the peak.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path to 1.1382
Reclaim of 1.1426 negates the pullback
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the pivotal EUR catalyst
00:46 UTC
Pulling back off session high, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 1.14127
Descending sequence after NY spike, drifting in Asia.
EURUSD spiked to 1.14363 in the NY session then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, now drifting to 1.14127 in thin Asia trade below both EMAs. Sub-1.1450 tone follows soft German CPI; price is stalling around the 50% retrace of the NY rally as demand tests the 1.14096 session low.
Support: 1.14096, 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14096 confirms a lower low, opening 1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14260 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the pivotal EUR catalyst and can reset this read
00:31 UTC
Faded from NY spike, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.14127
Lower highs since spike, thin Asia grind.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then faded, consolidating 1.1420-1.1426 before grinding lower to 1.1413 in thin, low-volume Asia. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20; a chain of lower highs holds since the spike.
Support: 1.14096, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14096 opens the path to the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim above 1.14260 range high would reverse the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Rally faded, pulling back · RSI 38 · price 1.14111
Lower highs off 1.1436, testing 1.1410.
The NY-session spike to 1.14363 faded, and price rolled over through the 1.1420-1.1426 consolidation to test 1.1410 near the 50% retrace of that leg. The move down came in the quiet Asian session on thin volume, ATR compressed to ~2.5 pips, RSI cooling toward 38.
Support: 1.1410, 1.13887
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
close below 1.1410 opens the 1.13887 swing low
reclaim of 1.1426 range top negates the pullback
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD spiked to 1.14363 during the London-NY session then rounded over, grinding back down through Asia to 1.14117 on thin ~3 pip ATR. Price is fading toward the 1.1400 pivot with RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13887
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 pivot confirms the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14260 session high negates the rounded-top read
Eurozone flash HICP (Wed 09:00 UTC) and US ADP/ISM could materially shift this read