EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 1 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 41 · price 1.13785
Lower highs since Tuesday's peak, back below 1.1400.
EUR/USD rolled over from Tuesday's 1.14345 week high after the soft June HICP print undercut July ECB hike odds, dragging price back below the 1.1400 pivot and under the H1 EMA20 (~1.1392). A high-volume flush swept the 1.13613 swing low before recovering, but subsequent attempts have stalled and price is fading toward the lows again as the NY session winds down. RSI(14) sits near 41, printing lower highs alongside price.
Support: 1.13613, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1392, 1.14345
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13613 opens the 1.1325 area cited in the digest
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot would ease the downside pressure
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD side
Lower highs off week peak, consolidating near lows.
EUR/USD stalled at the 1.1436 week high and rolled over after June HICP undershot (2.8% vs 3% f/c), slipping back below 1.1400 and now trading under EMA20/EMA50 near 1.1375. The move printed a clear series of lower highs into the NY session, with the 1.1390/1.1410 pivot capping the last bounce. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, consistent with the fade but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1369, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1369 swing low confirms continuation toward the 1.1361 week open and 1.1325 area
H1 close back above the 1.1400 pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence
Fri US NFP (f/c 110K) is the key swing driver via the USD side
Pullback from double top, consolidating near lows.
EUR reversed its early-week climb, slipping back under the 1.1400 pivot after June HICP undershot (2.8% vs 3.0%) trimmed ECB hike odds. Twin attempts near 1.1436 were rejected before a sharp NY-session slide to 1.1361, and price is now consolidating just below 1.1380 with RSI(14) around 40 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.1400 pivot caps the recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the softer read
Break below 1.1361 swing low exposes the 1.1335 week lows
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, off week high · RSI 42 · price 1.13805
Lower highs since mid-week peak, testing lows.
EUR reversed early-week gains and slid back under 1.1400 after June HICP undershot at 2.8%, trimming ECB hike odds. Price rolled over from the 1.14345 week high and now trades below EMA20 and EMA50, with a sharp NY-session spike to 1.13613 quickly bought back but momentum still capped below the round number. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, tracking the lower-highs structure.
Support: 1.13687, 1.13613, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14345
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 1.14000 would challenge the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 1.13687 opens the 1.13613 week low
19:01 UTC
Reversing lower off week high · RSI 43 · price 1.13807
Lower highs after rejection at 1.1436.
EUR/USD stalled twice near 1.1436 this week and rolled over after the soft Eurozone flash HICP print reshaped ECB-pause pricing, dragging price back below both the EMA(20) and EMA(50). A high-volume swing between 1.14115 and 1.13613 on the NY session left price digesting near 1.1380, with RSI(14) subdued in the low-40s. The 1.1400 round number now caps and the week's lower-high structure remains intact.
Support: 1.13687, 1.13613, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14115, 1.14345
What it said to watch
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.13613 spike low exposes the 1.1325 pivot
H1 close back above 1.1400 would challenge the lower-high sequence
18:01 UTC
Pullback from weekly highs, below EMAs · RSI 44 · price 1.13832
Range, rolling over from top after week-high rejection.
EUR/USD is unwinding this week's advance, slipping back under 1.1400 after the softer Eurozone HICP print repriced ECB toward a July hold. The 1.1430-1.1436 area capped repeated attempts and price now trades below both H1 EMA(20) and EMA(50). A volatile NY-session bar around the US ADP/ISM misses whipsawed between 1.1361 and 1.1411 before settling near 1.1383, keeping the 1.1390/1.1410 pivot in focus.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Decisive H1 close below 1.1390/1.1410 pivot exposes the 1.1335 range floor
Close back above 1.1400 reopens the path to the 1.1436 week high
EZ Unemployment Thu 09:00 UTC and NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has round-tripped this week: an impulse off 1.1354 into the 1.1436 week high faded, and price now trades back at the 1.1385 pivot near the 61.8% retrace of that move, capped by lower highs since. The soft June HICP undershoot (2.8% vs 3%) kept EUR heavy below 1.1400. A volatile NY-session bar swept to 1.1361 before reclaiming 1.1395, keeping the band intact while price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 1.1385, 1.1361, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1436
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1385 pivot exposes the 1.1354 week low
Reclaim of 1.1410 pivot reopens the 1.1436 week high
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lagarde Jul 3 08:00 UTC a further catalyst for the band
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1360-1.1435 band all week, softening back below 1.1400 after the June HICP undershoot (2.8% vs 3%) cooled ECB hike bets. The overnight spike-low to 1.1361 was bought straight back to 1.1395 on the week's heaviest bar, leaving price at the 1.1385/1.1410 pivot and just under EMA20/EMA50. RSI sits mid at ~46, reflecting no directional conviction.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1360, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1410, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Clean break of 1.1385 pivot low exposes the 1.1335 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1410 pivot high and EMA20 reopens the 1.1435 week high
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC and Lagarde/EZ PMI Jul 3 could break the range
EUR/USD reversed its midweek push back below 1.1400 after the June flash HICP miss (2.8% vs 3%) cooled ECB hike odds, with 1.1436 capping the week's high. The latest bar swept the 1.1361 low on heavy volume before snapping back to 1.1400, leaving price pinned around EMA20 inside a 1.1379–1.1436 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 after the recovery.
Support: 1.1379, 1.13613, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Nonfarm Payrolls Thu 02-Jul 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1412 reopens the 1.1436 week high
Loss of 1.1361 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1354
14:01 UTC
Rolling over from range top · RSI 38 · price 1.13735
Range break lower, printing lower highs.
EUR/USD twice failed at the 1.1434–1.1436 week high (Monday and yesterday's NY session) and has since rolled over, slipping under the 1.1390 pivot and away from both EMAs after June flash HICP undershot (2.8% vs 3%). RSI(14) at ~37 tracks the leg lower, with 1.1356 (week low) the last shelf before the 1.1339/1.1335 area flagged in the digest. Price sits at session lows into Lagarde's 14:00 UTC speech.
Support: 1.1356, 1.1339
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1406, 1.14345
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1356 opens the 1.1335 area then deeper 1.1210
H1 close back above 1.1390 negates the breakdown and restores the range
13:01 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 1.13869
Lower highs off 1.1436, testing range base.
EUR/USD is grinding back toward the 1.1385/1.1410 pivot after twice being rejected near 1.14363 this week, leaving a double-top look as soft Eurozone HICP (2.8% vs 3%) trimmed ECB hike bets. Price has slipped below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) rolling into the low 40s, and the range base near 1.13820 is now the focus. The move down from the week high has printed a clean series of lower highs.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13534, 1.1332
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14363
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13820 range base confirms a lower-low toward 1.13534 week open
Reclaim of 1.14100 pivot top neutralises the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speaking (13:00/14:00 UTC) and US ISM (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1436 week high after the softer Eurozone HICP print, carving lower highs through the NY session and slipping back below EMA(20). RSI(14) sits in the low 40s and the 1.1400 pivot has flipped to resistance, with two stalls near 1.1434 leaving a double-top look. Demand is holding around the 1.1385 session low for now.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1382, 1.13359
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1420, 1.14363
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 1.1400 pivot eases the pullback read
Break of 1.1385 session low opens the 1.1320 area
Lagarde at 13:00 & 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Pulling back from midweek high · RSI 42 · price 1.13863
Lower highs since Monday's peak, below EMAs.
EURUSD climbed to a week high near 1.14363 into midweek before rolling over after the soft EZ HICP print cooled residual ECB hike bets. Price now trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with a sequence of lower highs, sitting on the 1.1400 pivot and the 1.13820 recent low. RSI(14) has cycled down toward 40, tracking the pullback off the highs.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1360, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13820 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward 1.13600
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot needed to challenge 1.14260 prior high
Lagarde speeches 13:00/14:00 UTC and US ADP 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.1394
Lower highs off week high after rejection.
EUR/USD has faded off Tuesday's 1.1436 week high, printing successive lower highs into the current NY session with cooler Eurozone HICP (2.4% core vs 2.6% f/c) keeping the euro heavy. Price now trades at 1.1394, below EMA20 (~1.1409) with RSI(14) around 41, and the round-number 1.1400 has capped the last recoveries. The 1.1382 swing low is the near pivot for whether this pullback deepens.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1373
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1409, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Lagarde speeches at 13:00/14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1373 area
Reclaim of 1.1400 and EMA20 needed to re-engage the week high at 1.1436
US ADP/ISM later today adds cross-asset volatility
09:01 UTC
Range, drifting off week high · RSI 44 · price 1.14015
Capped at 1.1435, pulling back from double top.
EUR/USD has been pinned around 1.1400 all week, with twin rejections near 1.1435 forming a double top before this leg lower on softer German/EZ inflation. Price now sits below the EMA(20) around 1.1413 with RSI(14) mid-40s, easing off the highs into the recent low near 1.1388. Week low at 1.1333 remains the wider downside marker.
Support: 1.1388, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.14345
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and Lagarde (13:00/14:00) could materially shift this read
US ADP/ISM later today are the dollar-side impulse
H1 close below 1.1388 opens the path toward the week low at 1.1333
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 1.1413 would neutralise the pullback
08:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.14002
Week's rally consolidating below highs.
EUR/USD opened Monday near 1.1359 and ground higher through midweek to a week high at 1.14363 before rejection capped the move. Price has since drifted back under EMA(20) and is consolidating around the 1.1400 psych level, with soft German CPI keeping EUR heavy into today's session. RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s as the pullback matures.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are imminent catalysts for this read
US ADP/ISM later today could firm USD and pressure the 1.1400 area
EURUSD rallied from Monday's 1.1333 low into yesterday's NY high at 1.1436 and has since consolidated in a 1.1382–1.1436 band, drifting back to the 1.1400 psych level. The pullback follows softer German and Italian CPI prints that trimmed ECB hike bets, leaving EUR heavy near round-number support. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price pins between the H1 EMA20 above and EMA50 below.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1425
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the swing factor — core near 2.6% is the key gauge
H1 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1300/25 support band
Reclaim and close above 1.1436 week high resumes the rally
EUR/USD rallied through the week off Monday's 1.1333 low, tagging 1.14345 twice before rejecting — the soft German/Italian CPI kept ECB hike bets in check even as the pair held gains near 1.1400. Price has since drifted back under EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s, and now consolidates just above the 1.1400 round number. Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the near-term swing factor.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13887, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.14345, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is a high-impact swing factor for this read
Close below 1.13887 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1382 week low
Reclaim of 1.14345 reopens the path toward 1.1450
05:01 UTC
Range, pullback from week high · RSI 44 · price 1.14036
Capped below 1.1436, churning near 1.1400.
EUR/USD tagged the week high at 1.14363 during the NY session before fading back to churn around 1.1400, with softer German and Italian CPI offset by a strong US JOLTS print keeping the pair range-bound. Price has slipped back under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s after the rejection. The 1.13820 swing low has held on the pullback, keeping the week's higher-low sequence intact.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13329, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.14363, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US ADP/ISM later today are the dollar's next impulse
H1 close above 1.14363 reopens the 1.1450 resistance zone
EURUSD built a run of higher highs from Monday's 1.1333 low to a 1.1436 week high, but the last NY session capped there and price has faded back to 1.1406, slipping below the EMA(20). The pullback keeps EUR heavy near 1.1400 as softer German and Italian CPI undercut the ECB hike story ahead of Eurozone flash HICP. Price still sits above the EMA(50), holding the broader weekly rise intact for now.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1370, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and US ADP/ISM plus Warsh later can materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low structure
Reclaim and close above 1.1436 reopens the path toward the 1.1450 psych cap
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 1.14043
Pullback from week high after rejection.
EURUSD climbed through the week off the 1.1333 base but stalled at 1.14363, where the spike was rejected and price has since drifted back to 1.1404, slipping below EMA(20). Softer German and Italian CPI have kept the Euro capped sub-1.1450 even as month-end trimmed the Dollar. Price now sits mid-range, holding above EMA(50) around the 1.1400 handle.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the pivotal near-term risk for this pair
H1 close below 1.1400 exposes the 1.1382 week low and confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14260 would put the 1.14363 week high back in play
ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg later in the session
02:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 45 · price 1.14089
Range below week high after impulse.
EUR climbed from Monday's 1.1355 open to a 1.1436 high midweek but has faded back into 1.1410, holding a range as soft German/Italian CPI keeps the pair heavy near 1.1400. The rejection at 1.1436 has capped the latest push and price has slipped below EMA(20), with RSI easing into the mid-40s. Demand around the week's rising higher-lows near 1.1382 is still intact.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1382, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1388 confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-lows sequence
EUR/USD has ground higher off Monday's 1.1333 low along a rising sequence of higher-lows, but the 1.1436 area has capped two pushes this week, forming a double top. Price is drifting off that top into the late-NY close toward 1.1410, in line with a softer EUR after the German CPI miss revived doubts over further ECB tightening. RSI(14) has slipped back to the mid-line as momentum flattens under the range top.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1426
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the pivotal EUR catalyst — a soft core could pressure the read
H1 close above 1.1436 negates the double top and opens continuation
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.1382 swing low and rising support
EUR has ground higher off Monday's 1.1384 open on a series of higher lows despite the soft German/Italian CPI disinflation theme keeping the single currency a relative laggard. Price spiked to 1.1436 into the NY session before rejection dragged it back into a 1.1415-1.1430 consolidation, with RSN cycling mid-50s and price holding above EMA20. The week high at 1.1436 has capped the last attempt and remains the pivot for continuation.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1410, 1.13844
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14363
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14118 breaks this week's rising lows
Close above 1.14363 opens continuation to fresh week highs
Eurozone flash HICP (Wed 09:00 UTC) and US ADP/ISM could reset this read