EUR/USD has ground higher off Monday's 1.1333 low, building a sequence of higher lows and holding above EMA(20) through the week despite a soft-EUR macro backdrop from undershooting German and Italian CPI. Price spiked to 1.1436 in the prior NY session before fading back to consolidate in the 1.1420s, with the 1.1400 pivot holding as the nearest support. RSI(14) sits mid-range, reflecting the stall just under the week high.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.14267, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and US ADP/Warsh later could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14363 opens the path higher
Failure to hold the 1.1400 pivot confirms a lower-low
EUR/USD has graded higher since Monday's open near 1.1354, peaking at 1.14363 before settling into a tight 1.1420-1.1430 band through the NY-Asia transition. Despite the digest's soft-EUR read near 1.1400, the chart shows the week's lows being defended and price holding above EMA(20); RSI(14) is cycling around 50-58 on pullbacks. The advance has lost thrust into the close, coiling just below the week high.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and US ADP/Warsh later could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1400 breaks the week's rising structure
Break and hold above 1.14363 opens continuation higher
EURUSD has ground out higher lows off Monday's 1.1333 base and sits back above EMA(20)/EMA(50) after recovering the 1.1400 pivot. The 1.1434 area capped two attempts this week — a spike there in the prior NY session was rejected back toward 1.1414 before buyers reclaimed 1.1425. Move comes despite soft German and Italian CPI keeping EUR heavy, with 1.1400 holding as the line in the sand.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.14345
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1435 opens the path higher; repeated rejection there keeps the range top intact
Failure to hold 1.1400 risks a slip back toward the 1.1382 swing low and weekly open
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and US ADP/Warsh later today could materially shift this read
EURUSD has carved higher lows since Monday's open near 1.1353, grinding up to retest the week high around 1.1436 where two pushes into the 1.1430s have been capped. The advance is reluctant: soft German, Italian and Spanish CPIs have kept EUR demand fragile, with price still chopping just above the 1.1400 pivot. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range and momentum has flattened into the close.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1383, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1436 opens the path higher and negates the double-top read
Failure to hold 1.1400 flags broader EUR weakness back toward 1.1383
Eurozone flash HICP (09:00 UTC) and US ADP/ISM Wed could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has churned between 1.1400 and 1.1436 all week, with price holding above EMA(20) since the NY session push higher but capped twice at the 1.1436 area. The pair slipped under 1.1400 intraday after the German CPI miss revived ECB-hike doubts, then reclaimed it into the latest bars. RSI(14) is cycling around the mid-50s with no clear divergence — a balanced range read.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1411, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1436 opens room beyond the week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 pivot reopens 1.1383 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could break this range
EUR/USD has chopped in a 1.1383–1.1436 range since Monday, with the soft German and Italian CPI prints and a firmer USD capping rallies near the week high. Price reclaimed the 1.1400 pivot and sits back above EMA(20) after the latest spike to 1.14363 was rejected. RSI(14) is mid-range near 57, reflecting a balanced, range-bound read rather than directional momentum.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1383, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.14363, 1.14303
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.6%) could break this range
H1 close below 1.1383 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim and hold above 1.14363 week high opens room higher
EUR/USD pushed hard in the NY session, the final bar clearing the week's range top around 1.1430 to print a fresh high near 1.14345 — counter to the firm-USD digest tone. Price has held above 1.1400 since reclaiming it, with RSI(14) cycling up to the low 60s and price riding above both EMAs. The move sits at resistance, so the breakout is unconfirmed until it holds the prior cap.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13883, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14345
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Failure to hold above 1.14345 leaves the high as a false break
15:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.13925
Lower highs off week high, testing EMAs.
EURUSD ran to a week high of 1.14336 on Wednesday's NY session before fading, with a fresh rejection near 1.14303 Thursday leaving a string of lower highs into Friday. Price has slipped back through the H1 EMA20 and EMA50 toward 1.1392 as USD firmed on hawkish-Fed repricing and soft German/Italian June CPI prints weighed on EUR. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, reflecting the loss of upside momentum.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1373, 1.13416
Resistance: 1.1407, 1.14303, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.6%) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.13820 confirms a lower low
H1 close back above 1.14070 reasserts the up-leg
14:01 UTC
Rolling over from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.13964
Lower high after double top, sub-1.14.
EURUSD rolled over from a double top near 1.1430 and slipped back below the 1.1400 round number, with EUR softening after the German CPI miss and a firmer dollar into the US data slate. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s as this week's impulse off 1.1333 retraces. The 1.1400 handle now caps, having flipped from support to a barrier overhead.
Support: 1.13884, 1.1382, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14303, 1.14336
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 neutralises the breakdown read
Loss of 1.1378 confirms a lower low
EZ flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
This-week rally fading, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.13923
Rounded top below week high, pulling toward weekly open.
EUR/USD rallied from Monday's open near 1.1384 into Tuesday's 1.14303 high, then rolled over through the NY session back below EMA(20), with the move driven more by broad USD strength than EUR demand after soft German CPI. Price now sits near the weekly open with RSI(14) below 50 and the 1.1400 stabilisation zone giving way. The 1.14040 swing high has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13844, 1.1373
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.1406, 1.14303
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US JOLTS/Confidence at 13:45-14:00 UTC may extend USD-led pressure
H1 close back above 1.14060 (ema20) reopens the path to the week high
Loss of 1.13820 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.13730
EUR/USD is pinned around the 1.1400 psych pivot into the German CPI release, fading from this week's 1.14300 high after two stalls there. Price has slipped below the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing into the mid-40s as the pullback extends. The move all week has been driven more by USD swings than EUR, with demand having stepped in around 1.1382 on the prior dip.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.1373
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1430, 1.14336
What it said to watch
German CPI/HICP at 12:00 UTC plus ECB Lane (13:30) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 1.1410 needed to reassert the upside
11:01 UTC
Range after rejection at highs · RSI 43 · price 1.1397
Lower highs into 1.14 pivot, range intact.
EUR/USD stalled twice near 1.1430 this week and has rolled back to 1.1397, trading below EMA20 with RSI(14) sub-45. The pair was capped sub-1.1400 as a firm dollar and a French CPI miss undercut the ECB-hike narrative; price now sits between the 1.1400 round-number pivot and the 1.1383 yearly-low area.
Support: 1.1387, 1.1383, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Germany HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1383 opens the path toward week low at 1.1324
Reclaim and hold above 1.1400 needed to challenge the 1.1430 double top
10:01 UTC
Rolling over from week highs · RSI 43 · price 1.13919
Lower highs after double top.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.13844 and pushed to a 1.14303 high before stalling — a double top against last week's 1.14336 peak. Price has since rolled over beneath EMA(20) with RSI(14) sub-45, a French CPI miss and firm USD weighing into month-end. The bounce off the 1.13843 weekly open stalled at 1.14034, keeping the lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 1.13843, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14034, 1.14303
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13784 confirms a lower low through the monday low
Reclaim above 1.14034 needed to re-challenge the 1.14303 week high
09:01 UTC
Weekly uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.13935
Rejected at week high, lower highs forming.
EUR/USD ran from Monday's ~1.1325 base to twice stall at 1.1430, leaving a double-top rejection cap and snapping the three-day climb as a firmer USD reasserted. Price has since slipped back under EMA20 (~1.1412) and is probing the 1.1384 swing low, with RSI(14) cooling through the mid-40s. The pair sits mid-retracement of the week's impulse into the German HICP read.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1352
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the main EUR catalyst and could shift this read
Failure to hold 1.1384 swing low opens the path toward the 1.1352 weekly open
An hourly close back above 1.1430 invalidates the rejection cap
Double top capping after week's rally, holding the 1.1400 pivot.
EURUSD rallied from Monday's 1.1351 open to a 1.1434 week high, then printed a matching peak near 1.1430 — a double top that has capped the advance. Price has since faded through EMA20 and pressed the 1.1382 swing low before reclaiming the 1.1400 pivot on the latest bar, with RSI(14) back near neutral. The week's read remains a fade in ECB hike bets against a firm USD.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1430, 1.1434
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 GMT is the next catalyst — a hot print could squeeze EUR shorts back toward the double top
H1 close above 1.1430 negates the double top read
Loss of the 1.1400 pivot keeps the 1.1382 swing low and 1.1378 week low in play
07:01 UTC
Corrective recovery rolling over · RSI 40 · price 1.13834
Double top near 1.1430, lower highs forming.
EUR carved a corrective recovery off the 1.1320 base this week, spiking to 1.1434 then stalling on a second push to 1.1430 — a double top that has since capped. Price has slid back below EMA20 and EMA50 into the NY transition, with RSI(14) near 40 after diverging against the second high. German retail sales beat handsomely but failed to lift the pair, traders holding off ahead of German HICP.
Support: 1.1380, 1.1370, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German HICP YoY at 12:00 GMT (f/c 2.6%) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1430 invalidates the double top
Failure to hold 1.1370 opens the path back toward the 1.1320 base
06:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.13886
Fade from week high after rejection at 1.1430.
EUR/USD climbed off Monday's 1.1325 low through the week and spiked to a 1.1434 week high before fading, with the pop above 1.1400 tracking the firm Eurozone sentiment beat and Lagarde's hawkish Sintra tone. Price has since slipped back below the round number and EMA20 into 1.1389, RSI(14) rolling toward 40. The 1.1380 swing-low shelf is now the immediate floor under a stalling advance.
Support: 1.1380, 1.1368
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German CPI/Retail Sales/unemployment cluster today plus US JOLTS could shift this read
Close back above 1.1400 re-engages the week-high test at 1.1430
Failure to hold 1.1380 opens the weekly open at 1.1368
05:01 UTC
Week's recovery stalling · RSI 42 · price 1.13973
Double top capping near 1.1430, pulling back.
EUR/USD recovered from Monday's 1.1325 area up to 1.1430, where two attempts this week (Friday and again into yesterday's NY session) failed, leaving a double top. The pair is now fading back through EMA20 toward 1.1397 as RSI cools below 50, with Lagarde's hawkish Sintra tone the underlying bid this week. German prelim CPI at 09:00 GMT is the next EUR catalyst.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1382 opens the path back toward the 1.1320 13-month low
Reclaim of 1.1430 needed to revive the week's recovery
German CPI 09:00 GMT could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Recovery stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.14045
Double top near 1.1430, lower high forming.
EUR/USD rallied off the weekend reopen near 1.1378 to a 1.1430 ceiling that capped two attempts in the NY session, leaving a double top before the pullback into Asia. Price has now slipped under EMA20 to the 50% retrace of that impulse around 1.1400, with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s as the corrective recovery off the 13-month low loses momentum. The post-Sintra bid stays intact above EMA50, but the 1.1450 cap remains the line for any genuine recovery.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1380, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
German CPI 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 1.1430 negates the double top / lower-high read
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.1380 prior base, then 1.1320
03:01 UTC
Range, momentum rolling over · RSI 45 · price 1.1405
Rejection near week high, fading off the top.
EUR pushed to a 1.1434 week high midweek then faded, failing to confirm above 1.1400 as cyclical USD strength capped the move. Two attempts near 1.1430 stalled and price has slipped back to 1.1405, dipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling off 50. The week's read stays rangebound between 1.1320 and the 1.1450 resistance cap.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
German CPI at 09:00 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path to the 1.1450 resist cap
Failure to hold 1.1390 swing low exposes the 1.1320 13mo low
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 54 · price 1.14157
Higher highs into consolidation below week high.
EURUSD has ground higher since the week's open, peaking at 1.14336 in the NY session before stalling and easing back to the EMA(20) as USD softened on the US-Iran truce and a soft PCE print. Price is consolidating in the upper 1.141s, with 1.14336 capping the advance and the 1.1400 round level underpinning. RSI(14) has rolled off into the low 50s as the rally loses steam below the 1.1450-1.1500 resistance band.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1392, 1.13814
Resistance: 1.14336, 1.1450
What it said to watch
German CPI 09:00 GMT today could shift the read materially
H1 close above 1.14336 opens the path to the 1.1450 cap
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.1392 higher low
Higher highs off mid-week low, consolidating near week highs.
EUR clawed back from the 1.1324 13-month low mid-week and reclaimed the 1.1400 pivot, helped by the hawkish ECB Sintra tone and a third session of USD softening on US-Iran de-escalation. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.14336 week high with RSI cycling in the upper 50s and holding above EMA(20). The 1.1400 line has flipped to support on recent pullbacks.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13806, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.14336, 1.1450, 1.1500
What it said to watch
EZ flash CPI batch (German 06:45 UTC, EZ-wide 09:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could swing the USD leg
Close above 1.14336 opens the path to the 1.1450-1.1500 zone
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.1380 higher low and 1.1324 week low
EUR/USD has ground higher since bouncing off the 1.1325 area, building a sequence of higher lows and holding above EMA20 through the latest sessions. Price stalled into the NY-Asia transition just under the week high at 1.14336, with RSI(14) cycling around the low-60s as the advance flattens into a tight consolidation. The move tracks a firmer EUR on hawkish-ECB Sintra rhetoric and a softer USD as the safe-haven bid drains.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14336, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.14336 opens the path toward 1.1470 resistance
Failure to hold the 1.1400 pivot would put the higher-low at 1.13784 back in focus
German prelim CPI Tue session could materially shift this read