EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 4 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 55 · price 1.15309
Consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1560.
EUR/USD has been pinned in a 1.1500-1.1560 band since Monday's session open, with price coiling near 1.1530 into the NY-Asia transition. RSI(14) is cycling around the mid-50s and price is hugging EMA20/EMA50, reflecting the cautious, thin tape flagged ahead of US jobs data. The 1.1560 week high has capped two attempts while 1.1500 has absorbed dips repeatedly.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1556
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1560 invalidates the range top and opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 range floor
US ADP/ISM Services Wed and NFP Friday are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
EUR/USD reversed from the 1.1560 weekly high and has coiled around the 1.1500 handle since Tuesday's reopen, sitting just above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering mid-range. The 1.1565 area has capped every attempt this week and 1.1500 has absorbed the dips, keeping the tape range-bound ahead of Friday's US NFP. The digest frames the pair as hostage to USD data, with ECB-hike bets underpinning but longs stuck below the 1.1565 trigger.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 invalidates the range read and opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 range base
ADP and ISM Services Wed are the first USD catalysts that could break this consolidation
EUR/USD reversed from the 1.15586 week high early in the week and has since coiled between the 1.1500 psych floor and the 1.15453 weekly open, defending 1.1500 twice. Price has ground back to 1.1532 into the current session, sitting above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s to 60s. The digest frames this as thin, two-way range-trade with the pair hostage to US jobs data, and the chart matches — no clean break of the week's range yet.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999, 1.14844
Resistance: 1.15453, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15453 weekly open then 1.15586 week high opens the path toward 1.1565/1.1600
Loss of the 1.1500 psych floor exposes the 1.14844 swing low
ISM Services / ADP Wed and Friday US NFP are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
21:01 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 56 · price 1.15308
Consolidation inside weekly range.
After Monday's gap open near 1.1545, EUR slipped back to defend the 1.1500 range base and has coiled in a tight band since, with EMA20 flattening under price and RSI(14) cycling around 50-56. The move has been capped below the 1.15466 prior high and the broader 1.1565 range top, consistent with the digest's two-way, thin pre-NFP consolidation. Higher lows have built off the 1.1500 area as the session grinds sideways.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1516
Resistance: 1.1534, 1.15466, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 range top opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of the 1.1500 range base exposes 1.1485
Wed ADP and ISM Services, then Friday NFP, are the dominant USD catalysts that could break this range
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1545, sold off to defend the 1.1500 psych level in the NY session, and has since ground out a series of higher lows back toward 1.1535. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s; the 1.1500 base and 1.1565 upside trigger flagged in the digest bracket the consolidation. Trade is thin and cautious ahead of Friday's US NFP, the week's decisive catalyst.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485, 1.1512
Resistance: 1.1546, 1.1565
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 range base
US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
EUR rallied off Monday's 1.1447 open into 1.1560 highs, then reversed and has defended the 1.1500 psych level repeatedly through the NY sessions since. Price is now caught in a tight consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1546, capped below the 1.1565 trigger while ECB-hike pricing underpins the euro. RSI(14) is cycling near mid-range and price sits just above EMA20, reflecting the balanced, thin trade ahead of US jobs data.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1484
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15586 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.14840 swing low
ADP tomorrow and US NFP Friday are the dominant catalysts for this range
19:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.15241
Range beneath week high, holding 1.1500.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1434 low into a Wednesday high at 1.1558, then reversed and has since coiled between 1.1500 and the descending lower highs. Price is chopping around the EMA20 with RSI(14) parked near 50 — a directionless consolidation into a heavy US jobs week. The 1.1558 week high caps upside while 1.1500 keeps absorbing dips.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 upside trigger opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 psych level exposes the 1.1485 range base
ADP tomorrow and NFP Friday are the dominant USD catalysts that could break this range
18:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 55 · price 1.15241
Consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1565.
EUR/USD reversed from the 1.1560 week high and has spent the last two sessions grinding sideways above EMA(20), defending the 1.1500 psych level while supply caps attempts near 1.1530. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range around 54 with no divergence, consistent with the range-bound consolidation flagged by sticky Eurozone inflation offset by a firm USD. Price is pinned in a tight band as trade thins ahead of Friday's US NFP.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.15304, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15304 opens the path back to the 1.1565 upside trigger
Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.14847 swing low
ISM Services Wed and US NFP Friday are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
18:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.15202
Consolidation above 1.1500 base.
The week opened with a strong Monday rally off 1.1387 into the 1.1560 area, after which price reversed and has defended the 1.1500 range base repeatedly. Since the weekend gap higher, H1 has coiled between 1.1500 and the 1.1540/1.1565 supply, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range and price holding just above EMA(20). The 1.1500/1.1565 band remains the governing structure into Wednesday's ISM Services/ADP and Friday's NFP.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 range base
ADP/ISM Services Wed and US NFP Friday are the dominant USD catalysts that could break this range
17:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.15252
Consolidation below week high after impulse.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1384 open into the 1.1560 week high on sticky Eurozone inflation, then stalled and has been grinding sideways since. Price now sits mid-range near 1.1525, coiling between the 1.1500 range base and the 1.1535 range top, with RSI(14) flat around the midline. Trade is thin and cautious ahead of US jobs data, which governs the next directional break.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1560
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 range base
ADP/ISM Services Wed and US NFP Friday are the decisive catalysts for this pair
16:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 1.15252
Consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1546.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1546 and has been grinding sideways since, defending the 1.1500 psych level repeatedly through the NY sessions. Price sits just above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 54 — classic pre-NFP consolidation after the pair reversed from the 1.1559 prior high. The 1.1546 week high has capped upside, boxing trade between 1.1500 and 1.1546.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999, 1.1512
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1546 opens the path toward the 1.1565 trigger
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 range base
US NFP Friday is the decisive catalyst for this range
16:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.15236
Consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1560.
The dominant move came early week when EUR ripped from 1.1380 to the 1.1559 weekly high across the London-NY sessions on sticky Eurozone HICP and ECB-hike pricing. Since then price has reversed off that high and coiled above the 1.1500 round number, capped repeatedly below 1.1565 — a tight range as the pair sits hostage to US jobs data. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 with price hugging EMA(20).
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 range low
US ADP + ISM Services Wed and NFP Friday are the decisive USD catalysts for this range
After the early-week impulse off 1.1376 to the 1.1558 week high, EUR/USD has chopped in a tight 1.1500–1.1546 band, holding above EMA(20) since the pullback. Price is pinned around 1.1500 as hawkish-ECB repricing meets a firm USD, with both sides parked ahead of Friday's US NFP. Two attempts at the 1.1546 range top have been capped, and demand keeps stepping in at the 1.1500 round number.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.14471
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path to 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1485 swing low
US NFP Friday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
EUR/USD ran from 1.1378 to a 1.1559 week high on hawkish-ECB repricing after the hot HICP print, then gave back the gains and has coiled around 1.1500-1.1526 for the past two sessions. Price sits just above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, and the 1.1565 pivot flagged by the context continues to cap. Demand has repeatedly stepped in at the 1.1500 round number.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1510, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.15258, 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15258 session high reopens 1.1547/1.1559 and the 1.1565 pivot
Loss of 1.1500 round number exposes the 1.14847 swing low
US NFP Friday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Consolidation under weekly high after Monday impulse.
EUR/USD ran from Monday's 1.1376 open to a 1.1559 week high before stalling, and the last two sessions have coiled into a tight 1.1500–1.1525 band with the hot EZ HICP-driven bid now fully priced. Price sits just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) idling mid-range, reflecting a market pinned ahead of the US jobs data. The 1.1546/1.1559 zone has capped attempts while 1.1500 round-number support keeps absorbing dips.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1546, 1.1559, 1.1565
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1565 reopens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1485 range floor confirms a lower low toward 1.1453
US JOLTS today and NFP Friday are the dominant USD-side drivers for this range
14:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.1514
Consolidation below week high.
EUR/USD ran from Monday's 1.1380 open to a 1.1556 seven-week high mid-week, then rolled into a tight consolidation, grinding sideways around 1.1510 through the NY sessions. Price is pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 51; the 1.1540/1.1556 zone has capped every attempt while demand keeps defending the 1.1500 psych level. The hot Eurozone HICP that fuelled the rally is now priced, leaving direction hostage to the US data leg.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1556
What it said to watch
US JOLTS today, then NFP Friday — dominant near-term driver for this pair
Hourly close above 1.1556 reopens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1485 confirms a break of the week's range floor
13:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.15166
Consolidation below week high.
EUR/USD rallied to a seven-week high at 1.1558 early in the week on firm Eurozone data and USD softness, but the move faded and price has spent two sessions ranging around 1.1500-1.1540. The dollar's ISM beat (55.6) and the Hormuz risk premium have kept the pair capped, with RSI hovering near 50 and price coiling just above EMA20 but below EMA50. The 1.1558 high stands as this week's cap after two rejections.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
US JOLTS today and NFP Friday drive the next leg — either could break this range
H1 close above 1.1565 trigger opens the path to 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1485 range floor exposes 1.1390/1.1410
EUR/USD ran to a 7-week high at 1.1559 early in the week on hot Eurozone inflation, then flattened into a 1.1500–1.1540 range as traders turned cautious ahead of US jobs data. Price is pinned around EMA(20) but sits below EMA(50), with RSI(14) hovering near the mid-line through the last two sessions. The 1.1500 round level has absorbed dips repeatedly while 1.1540 has capped the recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1540 range top reopens 1.1559 week high
Daily close above 1.1565 would open the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 psych exposes the 1.14847 swing low
US NFP Friday is the dominant driver and could break this range
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1374 low to a 7-week high at 1.1556 on hotter EZ inflation, but has slipped for a third session and flatlined near 1.1510 into the NY hours. Price is pinned to the EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s, and the 1.1485–1.1540 range has held all week. Softer final PMIs and a stabilising dollar have capped the advance below 1.1556.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1556, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1540 reopens the 1.1556 weekly high and 1.1565 upside trigger
Failure to hold 1.1485 range floor exposes the 1.1455 pivot
US JOLTS/ADP and Friday NFP are the dominant catalysts and could break this range
11:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.15077
Consolidation below weekly high.
EUR pushed to a 7-week high at 1.15586 midweek on hotter EZ inflation, then faded as the USD firmed on the strong ISM print, unwinding to the 1.1500 round number. Price has since flatlined in a tight 1.1500-1.1517 band with RSI(14) sitting mid-range and hugging EMA20; the descending highs off 1.15586 mark a rounded top. NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst that would break this drift.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1517, 1.15393, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15170 clears the lower-high sequence toward 1.1540/1.15586
Loss of 1.15000 psych opens 1.14847 then the 1.14550 pivot
US NFP Friday could materially shift this consolidation read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15077
Consolidation pinned to 1.1500 after week's rally.
EUR/USD ran from the 1.1374 base early in the week to a 1.1558 week high before fading, and has since glued to 1.1500 in tight, low-range consolidation with RSI(14) sitting mid-band near 47. Price is hovering just under EMA20 and EMA50 as the pair waits on US data, matching the digest's flatlined-near-1.1500 read after the USD firmed on ISM and Hormuz risk. The 1.15466 prior high has capped the pullback attempts while 1.1500 keeps absorbing dips.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15466 reopens the 1.1558 week high
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.14847 swing low and 1.1455 pivot
US JOLTS today and Friday NFP are the dominant catalysts for this range
Tight range near 1.1500 after pullback from week high.
The week opened near 1.1385 Monday and rallied through midweek to a 1.1558 week high (highest since mid-June) before fading back to 1.1500, where price has been glued in a very tight range with ATR compressing sharply. EUR/USD is now sitting on the 1.1500 psych level, capped by a series of lower highs into 1.1532 as the market waits on US data. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is tracking just under EMA20.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1532, 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 pivot opens the 1.1615/20 band
Loss of 1.1455 pivot undermines the week's advance
US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
09:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.15112
Range-bound below week high.
EUR/USD has stalled sub-1.1558 for a third session, drifting off Monday's 1.15586 open toward the 1.1500 round number where demand has repeatedly stepped in. Price is coiling in a tight sub-15-pip band through the London-NY transition with RSI(14) pinned mid-range near 46, reflecting the two-way tone as firm EZ data offsets a USD safe-haven bid. Friday's US payrolls remains the dominant driver still to come this week.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14844
Resistance: 1.15373, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens 1.14844 then 1.1455
Break above 1.15586 week high opens 1.1600
US NFP Friday could materially shift this range read
Lower highs since Monday, consolidating above 1.1500.
EUR/USD stalled at a 1.1558 seven-week high on Monday's session and has bled lower into a series of lower highs, printing a 1.1500 base as the dollar firmed on the strong ISM Manufacturing beat. Price is now coiling either side of EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 47, below EMA(50) which caps around 1.1520. The 1.1537–1.1558 band has repeatedly turned attempts back, while the 1.1500 round number is holding as the week's floor.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15373
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1500 round number confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1455 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1537 prior high reopens a test of the 1.1558 seven-week high
US ADP and ISM Services (Wed) are the primary catalysts that could break this range
EUR/USD stalled at a 1.1558 seven-week high at Monday's open and has bled lower through the week, capped by a series of lower highs and now coiling in a tight 1.1500–1.1513 range beneath EMA(20). The euro drew no lift from firm EZ inflation as the dollar found a floor on a strong ISM print, leaving RSI(14) parked in the mid-40s. Price is pinned to the 1.1500 round number ahead of US labour data.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1499, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1513, 1.15373, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15373 swing high reopens the path to the 1.15586 week high
Failure to hold 1.15000 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14550 support shelf
US JOLTS today and ADP/ISM Services Wed could materially shift this range read
EUR/USD ran from Monday's 1.1374 base to a 1.1558 high (highest since June 17) before fading through the NY session as the dollar stabilised on the strong ISM Manufacturing beat. Price has since coiled in a tight range above 1.1500, printing lower highs off 1.1558 while pullbacks keep finding the round number. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s and price sits just under a flat EMA(20).
Support: 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1558 opens the path back to the 1.1565 band and 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500, then 1.1455, undermines the week's bullish structure
US JOLTS today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD rallied out of the 1.1374 base early in the week and pushed to a 1.1558 week high into Wednesday's session, but the move has since stalled — price is printing lower highs and has slipped back under both EMA20 and EMA50, drifting to hold just above the 1.1500 psych level. The pullback coincides with a firmer USD after a strong ISM Manufacturing print, which capped the euro sub-1.1558. RSI has cooled into the mid-40s as the pair coils in a tight range near 1.1506.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1558
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1455 pivot
Reclaim of the 1.1520 ema50 band needed to re-challenge the 1.1558 week high
US JOLTS today could shift this read via a firmer or softer USD
06:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.15093
Off week high, consolidating above 1.1500.
EUR climbed steadily through the week to a seven-week high at 1.1558 but stalled sub-1.1565, twin peaks near 1.1546/1.1558 leaving a double-top look before price faded back to the 1.1500 handle. USD stabilised after Monday's ISM Manufacturing beat (55.6), capping the euro's upside as gains from EZ data drew little fresh reward. Price now coils just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s, consolidating between 1.1500 support and the 1.1540 range top.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1512, 1.1540, 1.1558
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.1495 pivot then 1.1485 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1540 range top re-engages the 1.1558 week high
JOLTS 14:00 UTC and Wed ADP/ISM Services could shift the USD leg
The rally from Monday's 1.1390 open peaked at the 1.1558 week high into Tuesday's NY session, aided by intervention-led USD softness, before rolling over into a sequence of lower highs. Price has since drifted back to hold the 1.1500 psych floor and now sits just under EMA20 in a tight Asian consolidation, RSI mid-40s. Supply has capped each bounce short of 1.1537, matching the digest's read that upside stays hostage to Fed/US data.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1495, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1495 pivot then 1.1455
Reclaim of 1.1537 needed to re-engage the 1.1558 week high and 1.1565 ceiling
EZ Services PMI (Wed) and US ADP/ISM Services (Wed) could materially shift this read
EUR rallied hard from Monday's 1.1374 low into a 1.1558 week high before rolling into a series of lower highs, aided by a firmer USD after the strong ISM Manufacturing beat. Price has since coiled into a tight consolidation around 1.1508, sitting just below EMA20 with RSI hovering under 50. The 1.1500 round number is holding as near-term support while the 1.1546 swing high caps the recovery.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1466
Resistance: 1.1518, 1.1546, 1.1558
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1466 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1518 EMA20 and a break of 1.1546 reopens the 1.1558 week high
ADP and ISM Services Wed are the primary USD catalysts for this range
EUR ran from Monday's 1.1374 low up to a 7-week high at 1.1558 before stalling under the well-flagged 1.1565 supply, helped by sticky EZ inflation but capped as the USD steadied off firm ISM Manufacturing. Since the peak the pair has carved a series of lower highs and now consolidates around 1.1508, sitting below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 43. Demand around the 1.1500 handle has held every dip this session.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1499, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1455 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1558 needed to re-target 1.1565 supply cap
ADP and ISM Services (Wed) are the primary catalysts that could shift this read
EUR pushed to a 7-week high near 1.1559 early this week on risk-on, then drifted lower and has coiled into a tight consolidation just above the 1.1500 psych level, capped by EMA20/50 overhead. RSI(14) sits mid-range and the last Asia-session bars are near-flat on thin volume. Supply at 1.1556 has capped the week; demand keeps stepping in around 1.1500.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1484, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1556
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens 1.1484 then the 1.1455 invalidation
Reclaim of 1.1520 needed to re-target the 1.1556 week high
US ADP / ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
EUR gapped higher over the weekend and printed a 7-week high near 1.1559 before drifting back through EMA20 into the 1.1510 area, with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s. Price now consolidates above the 1.1500 pivot, capped near 1.1535 through the Asia session on thin volume. The broader week move up from Monday's 1.1374 base remains intact while 1.1500 holds.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15558, 1.15393
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.14847 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1535 needed to re-test the 1.15558 week high
US ADP + ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
Pullback from weekly high, consolidating above 1.1500.
EUR ran from Monday's 1.1397 open to a 7-week high at 1.1559 midweek — the dominant leg came on broad USD softness — before easing back to consolidate just above 1.1500 through the Asia session. Price is now tracking marginally below EMA(20) with RSI in the mid-40s, momentum flattening after two failed pushes above 1.1535. The halted US-Iran strikes and a hot ISM Manufacturing print have kept the dollar bid, capping the recovery under the weekly high.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1495, 1.14844
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15586, 1.1515
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1495 pivot and 1.1484 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1535 would reopen the 1.1559 week high
EZ Services PMI and US ADP/ISM Services Wed could shift this read materially
Consolidation below week high after last week's rally.
EURUSD rallied off 1.1374 last week and printed a 7-week high at 1.1559, but this week has been a slow drift lower, capped around the 1.1537 range top and holding near 1.1500. Price now sits marginally below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s — momentum has cooled into consolidation while the pair waits on US data. EUR drew no sustained reaction from soft German retail and revised EZ manufacturing prints.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14844
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1537 reopens the path to the 1.1559 week high
Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.1484 swing low
ADP and ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.15127
Consolidation below week high.
EUR opened this week with a gap higher and tagged a 7-week high at 1.1558 on risk-on and firm EZ data before being capped there and drifting back toward the 1.1500 pivot. Price is coiling under EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing into the mid-40s as the earlier impulse loses steam. Supply capped two attempts near 1.1535-1.1558 and the pair is now compressing above 1.1500.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14844, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15393
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.1484 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1539 needed to retest the 1.1558 week high
EZ Services PMI + US ADP/ISM Wed could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1374 base into a 1.1558 week high, but has since faded across the NY session and is now testing the 1.1500 psych area. Price has slipped below EMA20 with RSI cooling into the low 40s as the pullback deepens; the 1.1558 week high capped the latest attempt and lower highs have formed since. The 1.14847 swing low marks the next support below the round number.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1533, 1.1558
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.14847 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1533 needed to re-engage the week high
Break below 1.1455 undermines the week's bullish structure
EZ Services/Composite PMI Wed could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Pullback within this-week uptrend · RSI 43 · price 1.15073
Lower highs off 1.1558, holding 1.1500 floor.
EUR/USD rallied off Friday's 1.1453 low and Monday reached the 1.1558 week high before stalling; the euro is trading the Fed more than its own data, per the digest. Since Tuesday's NY session the pair has carved lower highs and slipped back under EMA20/EMA50, but the 1.1500 floor has held on repeated tests with RSI cycling in the low 40s. Supply is capping near 1.1535 while demand steps in around the round number.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1499, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1535 reopens 1.1558 then the 1.1565 cap
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1455 pivot and undermines the week's up-leg
US ADP and ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rebounded off Friday's 1.1453 low but stalled sub-1.1565, and has since printed a series of lower highs from Monday's 1.15586 week high down toward the 1.1500 round number. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 40s as the grind continues. USD firmness after the strong ISM Manufacturing beat has capped attempts back toward the 1.15320 swing high.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.1532, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 round number confirms a lower low toward 1.14847 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15320 swing high needed to challenge the 1.15586 week high
US ADP Wed 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15086
Lower highs off week high, holding 1.1500.
EUR/USD rallied off last week's 1.1374 base into Monday's 1.1559 seven-week high, but has drifted lower since, printing lower highs as a firmer USD on the ISM Manufacturing beat capped the pair sub-1.1565. Price now sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50), consolidating just above the 1.1500 round number after rejection from 1.1535. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15347, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.14847 swing low
Reclaim above 1.1535 lower high needed to re-challenge the 1.1559 week high
US ADP Wed and ISM Services Fri are the USD drivers that could shift this read