EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 3 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.15086
Lower highs off weekly high, drifting toward range floor.
EUR rallied hard off Friday's low into the 1.15586 weekly high on the softer-USD, risk-on backdrop, but stalled sub the 1.1565 cap and has since carved lower highs. Price slipped back under EMA20 through the NY session and now sits at 1.1508, with the round-number 1.1500 support in focus. The move remains a Fed-driven story — the euro is holding gains it didn't fully earn on its own data.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15348, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.1455 pivot and undermines the week's bullish structure
Reclaim of the 1.15348 lower high and the 1.15586 weekly high needed to reassert upside toward the 1.1565 cap
US ADP and ISM Services Wed could materially shift this USD-led read
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.1509
Pullback from week high, lower highs.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's ~1.1374 base into a 1.1558 week high, the move powered by the softer-Fed backdrop and in-line Eurozone HICP rather than euro strength. Since Tuesday's NY session the pair has carved lower highs (1.1558, 1.1537, 1.1535) and slipped back to test the 1.1500 round number, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s and price now sitting under EMA20. The 1.1546/1.1565 band has capped every attempt this week.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1488, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1546, 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1488 fib and the 1.1455 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1546 reopens the 1.1558/1.1565 cap
ADP + ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.1509
Pullback from week high, lower highs forming.
EUR/USD climbed all week from Monday's 1.1374 low to a 1.1559 high, the advance holding despite soft Eurozone PMI and German retail misses. Since this week's open the pair has carved a lower-high sequence and slipped back under EMA20, with 1.1565 and the 100-day SMA capping repeatedly. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as price coils just above the 1.1500 round number.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1519, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1556, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1455 week pivot and undermines the rebound
A reclaim of 1.1556 reopens the path toward the 1.1565 sma cap
Eurozone Services/Composite PMI Wed and US ADP/ISM Services could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.15089
Lower highs off week high, holding above 1.1500.
EURUSD rallied hard through midweek to a week high at 1.15586 before rolling over into a series of lower highs; the last two NY sessions have faded that momentum. Price now sits below EMA20 around 1.1522, consolidating just above the 1.1500 round number after supply capped attempts at 1.1535. The pair is holding gains it 'shouldn't' fully own, with Fed uncertainty capping the topside near 1.1556.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14844, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15586, 1.1522
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.14844 swing low and 1.1455
Reclaim of 1.1535 needed to re-challenge the 1.15586 week high
EZ Services/Composite PMI and US ADP/ISM Services Wed could reset this read
EURUSD ran up five straight sessions from Monday's ~1.1389 open on broad USD softness, clearing the 1.1460 barrier and printing a fresh high near 1.1559. Since that peak the pair has stalled below the 1.1556/1.1565 cap and drifted back to the 1.1500 handle, slipping under EMA20 as RSI cools toward the mid-40s. The recent sequence of lower highs shows the USD-driven rally losing thrust into the NY close.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14844, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and undermines the week's uptrend structure
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1520 would re-open the 1.1556/1.1565 resistance
ADP and ISM Services Wed could re-price the USD and materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.15097
Pullback from week high, lower highs today.
EUR/USD ran five straight sessions of USD-weakness gains off Monday's 1.1374 low, topping at 1.1559 on the weekend gap before stalling under the 1.1556/1.1565 resistance band. Today's session has carved lower highs and slipped back under EMA(20) toward the 1.1500 psych line, with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s after failing to confirm the fresh high. Price now sits between the 1.1537 day high and the 1.1500 floor.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1484, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1556, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the path to 1.1484 swing low and the 1.1455 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1537 day high needed to re-expose the 1.1556 week high
EZ Services PMI Wed and US ISM Services/ADP could reset the USD-driven read; NFP Friday is the week's main risk
EUR/USD rode a five-session, USD-weakness-driven advance off the 1.1374 base to a fresh week high at 1.15586 before stalling; the move was risk-on and dollar softness rather than EUR strength. Since that print price has carved lower highs and slipped back into the 1.15 handle, now sitting below the EMA20 near 1.1520 with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The 1.15000 round number has capped the downside on repeated tests while 1.1556/1.1565 resistance remains untouched.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15000 round number opens the swing low at 1.14847
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 1.1520 needed to challenge the 1.15586 week high
ADP and ISM Services Wed could re-price Fed bets and shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.15019
Higher highs stalling below 1.1556, pulling back.
EUR/USD ran five sessions higher this week on broad USD softness, printing a fresh multi-week high at 1.15586 before repeated failures below the 1.1556/1.1565 band. Price has since eased through EMA(20) into the NY session and is now testing the 1.1500 psych level, with RSI(14) rolling toward 40. The pullback keeps the weekly move intact while the 1.1500 round number is the immediate structural test.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14844, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15373, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 exposes 1.14844 swing low
Loss of 1.1455 pivot undermines the week's bullish structure
A close back above 1.1556 opens the path to 1.1565
US ADP + ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
Fresh weekly high rejected, fading to round number.
The rally off Monday's ~1.1374 low extended to a fresh weekly high at 1.1559 before stalling under the 1.1556/1.1565 resistance the digest flags as USD-driven exhaustion. Since Monday's NY session price has faded, slipping under EMA20 and now testing the 1.1500 round number with RSI rolled over below 50. The move up ran on broad USD softness rather than EUR strength, and the failure to extend past 1.1565 is showing on the chart.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1484, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1524, 1.1556, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens 1.1484 swing low then the 1.1455 pivot
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1524 needed to re-engage the 1.1556 high
ADP and ISM Services Wed could re-price the USD leg of this move
EUR/USD rose five straight sessions on broad USD softness, printing a fresh week high near 1.1556 into Monday before stalling below the 1.1565 cap flagged in the macro read. Price has since faded through the NY session, slipping under EMA(20) with RSI(14) rolling toward 40, and is now probing the 1.1500 round number. The weekend gap up held early but the recent lower highs mark a clear pause in the weekly advance.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14844, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15393, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.1455 pivot and undermines the weekly bull structure
Reclaim of the 1.15393 day high needed to argue the pullback is complete
ADP + ISM Services Wed could reprice the USD leg driving this move
EUR climbed all week from ~1.1374 to Monday's 1.1559 high on broad USD softness — fading Fed-hike unwind, slumping oil and JPY short-covering — but failed to extend past the 1.1565 resistance. Since Monday's open the pair has rolled over into a lower-high sequence and slipped below EMA20, now testing the 1.1500 handle with RSI(14) cycling down near 40. The weekly impulse still holds, but the repeated rejection at 1.1556 flags a stretched, USD-dependent move.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1556, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.1455 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1556 needed to resume the weekly uptrend
EZ Services PMI and US ADP Wed could reshape the USD read
17:01 UTC
Pullback from weekly high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.15089
Lower highs since week open, probing 1.1500.
The five-session USD-weakness rally stalled below 1.1565, printing a fresh high since June at 1.1556 before rolling over. Since the week's open price has bled through the 1.152 range and probed the 1.1500 psych line, trading below EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling into the low 40s. The ISM Manufacturing beat helped the dollar firm, capping any EUR extension into the NY session.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1526, 1.1538, 1.1556
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1538 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1500 exposes the 1.1455 pivot
EZ Services PMI Wed and ADP/ISM Services could reset this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from weekly high · RSI 43 · price 1.15089
Lower highs since 1.1558, back below EMA20.
EUR/USD rallied five straight days from Monday's 1.1374 low to a fresh 7-week high at 1.1559 on broad USD softness, but has since stalled and slipped back below EMA20 during the NY session. Rejection off 1.1558 has left a string of lower highs, and price is now testing the 1.1500 psych floor after breaking recent range support. RSI(14) has cycled down near 43, confirming the loss of upside momentum this session.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14664
Resistance: 1.1528, 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the path toward the 1.14664 swing low
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1528 would re-engage the weekly uptrend
Eurozone Services PMI Wed and US ADP/ISM could reset this read
EUR/USD rallied through the prior week on broad USD softness — the Iran de-escalation and slumping oil — spiking from 1.1375 and printing a week high at 1.1559 on this week's open before easing back into NY hours. Price has since slipped under EMA20 and is consolidating in a 1.1504–1.1559 range, with the latest high failing to extend as RSI(14) cooled toward 43. The 1.1565 cap flagged in the macro read remains untested since Friday.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1495, 1.1466
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward the 1.1600/1.1615 band
Failure to hold 1.1504 support risks a slide toward the 1.1495 pivot
ADP and ISM Services Wed could reprice the USD read and this range
EUR/USD ran a fifth straight day of gains this week to a fresh high near 1.1559, a move powered by broad USD softness rather than EUR strength. Price has since eased back through the NY session, slipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling from midweek highs and the last bar rejecting near 1.1535. The 1.1547-1.1559 zone has capped the advance while the session low at 1.1510 is being tested.
Support: 1.15098, 1.14847, 1.14664
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15586 opens the path toward the 1.1565 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.15098 exposes the 1.14847 swing low
Eurozone Services PMI and US ADP/ISM Services (Wed) could reset this read
EURUSD ran a multi-day advance off the 1.1374 low into a fresh week high at 1.15586, the rally powered by broad USD softness rather than EUR strength. Since the weekend gap open at 1.15453 price has drifted lower, slipping under the EMA20 near 1.1530 and consolidating in the 1.1517–1.1535 band. RSI has cooled back toward the mid-40s as the session low at 1.15167 caps the pullback so far.
Support: 1.15167, 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15000 psych opens the path toward the 1.14847 swing low
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 1.1530 and a break of the 1.15586 week high would resume the uptrend
US ADP and ISM Services (Wed) are the dominant near-term risk for this pair
EUR/USD has run a five-day USD-led rally off Tuesday's 1.1374 low, printing a fresh high at 1.1559 on Monday's open before stalling. Since then price has drifted back under the H1 EMA(20) and is consolidating in the 1.1517-1.1559 band, with the 1.1565 resistance band and 1.1600 psych cap still overhead. The broad move is driven by dollar softness on the oil slump and pared Fed pricing rather than fresh EUR demand.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1495, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1559 week high opens the 1.1565-1.1600 resist band
Loss of 1.1495 support, then 1.1455 wk pivot, undermines the uptrend read
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A five-day short-covering rally lifted EURUSD off Monday's 1.1370 open to a fresh high at 1.1558, driven by broad USD selling as slumping oil eased Fed-hike fears. Since the peak price has drifted into consolidation between 1.1520 and 1.1558, tracking just below the H1 EMA(20) with RSI cooling back toward 47. The 1.1565-1.1600 band and the 100-day cap have kept a lid on extension.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1495, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1565, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1558 opens the path into the 1.1565-1.1600 band
Loss of 1.1520 exposes the 1.1495 pivot and undermines the range
ISM Manufacturing today and EZ Services PMI Wed could shift this read
Consolidating below weekly highs after 5-day advance.
EUR ran from Monday's 1.1370 open to a fresh 1.1558 week high on broad USD weakness after the Fed offered no guidance, then gapped up over the weekend and stalled. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1517–1.1546 consolidation, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward the midline. The 1.15466–1.15586 band has capped attempts while demand has repeatedly stepped in around 1.1517.
Support: 1.15167, 1.1500, 1.1484
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read on the USD side
H1 close above 1.15586 reopens the 1.1565 supply band
Failure to hold 1.15167 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
EUR/USD posted its week high at 1.1558 into Monday's open then drifted into a sequence of lower highs, sitting back on the EMA(20) near 1.1533 with RSI mid-range. The five-day advance was USD-side, a broad dollar squeeze off soft US data; the week low at 1.1517 has capped the pullback so far. Price is coiling between that floor and the 1.1538 swing high.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1538, 1.1558
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-side driver
H1 close below 1.1517 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1495 squeeze low
Close above 1.1558 week high reopens the 1.1565 resistance band
EUR/USD extended a fifth session of USD-driven gains off the 1.1460 breakout, gapping higher into this week's open before printing a fresh high at 1.15586. Since then price has stalled and drifted, unable to reclaim the 1.15453 weekly open, with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral as the pair consolidates just above the 1.1520 swing low. The move is dollar-led — a German retail sales miss and soft PMIs drew no reaction — leaving the pair pinned below the 100-day SMA cap around 1.1565.
Support: 1.15196, 1.1503, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15453, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.15586 opens the 1.1565/1.1600 cap zone
Break below 1.15196 targets 1.1503 and the 1.1500 handle
ISM Manufacturing today and NFP later this week are the dominant USD drivers for this pair
Pullback below weekly high, lower highs since Monday.
The five-day USD-led rally off 1.1460 topped out near 1.1558 at Monday's session and has since drifted lower, printing a series of lower highs into the NY session. Price has slipped below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward 42, though it holds above EMA(50) and the 1.1517 week low. The move remains a pullback within this week's uptrend rather than a confirmed reversal.
Support: 1.15167, 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.15393, 1.15586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15167 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 1.15393 puts the 1.15586 week high back in play
US ISM Manufacturing today 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read
EUR/USD ran a fifth straight up-day into the 1.1559 week high on broad USD softness post-Fed and risk-on from the US-Iran de-escalation, then eased back into the mid-1.1520s. Price now sits below EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s as the pullback grinds. Session lows around 1.1517 have contained the retracement so far.
Support: 1.15167, 1.14847, 1.1497
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15167 opens a retest of the 1.1497 pivot and 1.1485 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15466 reopens the 1.15586 week high and 1.1565 resistance band
US ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could shift USD flows and this read
Lower highs since Monday reopen, holding above prior-week range.
EUR extended a fifth up-day into Monday's reopen near the 1.1547 weekly open, printing a week high at 1.1559 before drifting lower on a sequence of lower highs; RSI(14) has slipped to the mid-40s and price now sits below EMA(20) at this-week lows around 1.1520. The move up remains a USD story — post-Fed dollar softness and Iran de-escalation risk-on — with the 1.1565 resistance band and capping 100-day SMA still untested. Demand around 1.1520 has held the pullback so far.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1510, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.1559, 1.1565
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
H1 close below 1.1520 opens the 1.1510 psych and 1.1495 prior barrier
Reclaim of the 1.1547 weekly open needed to re-engage the 1.1559 week high
EUR extended its five-day rally to a fresh six-week high at 1.15586 into Monday's open on broad post-Fed USD weakness, then drifted back toward 1.1520 through the session. The 1.15586 print was rejected and price has since slipped below EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing under 50, but the 1.15200 zone has held on repeated tests. Move remains a USD-weakness story with the pair pinned just above this-week's floor.
Support: 1.1520, 1.15044, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15200 confirms a lower-low toward 1.15044
Reclaim of 1.15586 reopens the 1.1565 ceiling
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR extended a five-day rally to a fresh six-week high at 1.15586 into Monday's session on broad post-Fed USD weakness, but the move stalled under the 1.1565/100-day SMA ceiling. Price has since drifted back to the 1.1520-1.1546 band, dipping below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward the midline. The weekly uptrend structure of higher lows holds while price stays above the 1.1495 shelf.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1495, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1495 undermines the weekly higher-low structure; break of 1.1455 flips the read
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-driven bias
EUR/USD rallied five straight sessions from Monday's 1.1356 low into the mid-1.1550s on post-Fed USD weakness, printing a week high at 1.15586 before stalling. Price has since drifted back below EMA20 to 1.1525, holding the 1.1520 shelf into the fresh week, with RSI cooling toward mid-range. The 100-day SMA cap near 1.1570 and soft German data kept the topside contained.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1504, 1.1484
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1570
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing today 14:00 UTC could shift this read
H1 close above 1.15586 opens the path to 1.1570
Failure to hold 1.1520 confirms a deeper pullback into 1.1504
EUR extended a five-day climb into the mid-1.1550s on the broad post-Fed USD slide, this week's move clearing the 1.1460-1.1470 breakout base. Since Monday's gap-open near 1.1545 price has stalled below the 1.1559 week high with RSI cooling off overbought, and the current drift has slipped back under EMA20 while holding above EMA50. Pullback is shallow, sitting near session lows around 1.1520.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1508, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.1559
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1559 resumes the uptrend toward the range top
Failure to hold 1.1508 breaks rising support and reopens the 1.1470 base
US ISM today and NFP later this week are the dominant USD-side catalysts
EUR extended a broad USD-weakness rally into mid-1.1550s this week as DXY pressed the 100.00 handle post-Fed, printing a fresh week high at 1.15586 on Monday's open. Price has since drifted back to 1.15282, slipping under the weekly open and EMA(20) as RSI cooled toward the mid-line — consolidation near the top of the run rather than a directional break. The 1.15234 session low is the near pivot; supply capped attempts at 1.15586.
Support: 1.15234, 1.1503, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15453
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15234 opens the 1.15030 prior base
Reclaim of 1.15586 resumes the higher-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Friday NFP is the dominant USD-side catalyst this week
Consolidating below week high after multi-day rally.
EURUSD ran five straight up-days from Monday's 1.1353 low into a 1.15586 week high, driven almost entirely by broad USD selling post-FOMC. Price has since stalled and drifted back to 1.1528, slipping under the H1 EMA(20) as RSI cools toward 50 while the higher high went unconfirmed by momentum. The 1.1500 pivot and the 1.1465 breakout zone below remain the reference on any deeper fade.
Support: 1.1523, 1.1500, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15586 week high confirms trend continuation
Failure to hold 1.1500 pivot opens the path back to the 1.1465 breakout zone
HCOB PMIs (07:15-07:55 UTC) and US ISM (14:00 UTC) could shift this read intraday
EUR/USD has climbed since Monday's open on broad USD softness, printing a fresh week high at 1.15586 after the weekend gap higher and holding a fifth up-session. Price is now consolidating in the 1.15266–1.15466 band, with the 1.15266 session low absorbing the latest pullback and RSt cycling mid-range as momentum cools at the top of the move. EMA(20) sits just below spot, still supporting shallow dips.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 1.15586 opens continuation of the week's trend; stall there confirms consolidation
Failure to hold 1.15266 exposes the 1.15040 breakout zone
EZ Manufacturing PMIs (07:15–07:55 UTC) and US ISM (14:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
EUR/USD ran from Thursday's 1.1374 low up to a fresh six-week high near 1.1558 on the soft-USD, firm-HICP mix, then opened this week with a weekend gap up and faded. Price now consolidates in the mid-1.15s, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling back toward 54 as the impulse loses pace. Supply near 1.1558 has capped, while dips have found demand around 1.1527.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15466
What it said to watch
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and HCOB Manufacturing PMI 07:55 UTC could reprice this range
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the path toward the 1.1450 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1558 week high would extend the uptrend
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC a later-session risk
EUR has climbed steadily since Monday's lows near 1.1365, driven by post-FOMC USD weakness against sticky Eurozone inflation. Price now consolidates in the mid-1.15s, holding above EMA20 with the 1.15586 week high capping the latest push. RSI has cooled from the rally, cycling back near mid-range as the advance stalls below the topside cap.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1522, 1.15043
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15586 extends the week's uptrend toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.15266 opens the 1.15043 swing low
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC and EZ Retail Sales could shift this read
EUR/USD ran from Monday's 1.1354 base to a 1.15586 week high before rejection capped the move, with price now easing back toward EMA20 as RSI(14) cools from overbought. The advance carried the pair to the top of the 1.1450–1.1550 range flagged in the macro read, where firm EZ HICP delivered little fresh upside as a Sep ECB hike is already priced. Lower highs since Monday's session open point to a stall rather than a reversal, with 1.15266 the first line holding.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15586 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.15266 exposes 1.1500 psych level
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.15301
Range-bound mid-1.15s, weekend gap faded.
EUR/USD gapped up over the weekend to a 1.15586 week high, then drifted back through Monday to sit near 1.1530, below the weekly open at 1.15453. Price is holding inside Scotia's 1.1450-1.1550 fair-value range with RSI mid-40s as the post-Fed rally consolidates; the firm EZ HICP print did little as a Sep ECB hike is already priced.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.15453, 1.15586, 1.1550
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1528 session low opens the path toward 1.1500 psych
Reclaiming 1.15453 weekly open re-exposes the 1.15586 week high
EUR/USD is consolidating in the mid-1.15s after the Fed-driven rally to 1.15586 at Monday's open faded through the session. Price has drifted back below EMA(20) toward the day's low at 1.15283, with RSI(14) easing under 50 as the week high caps upside. The broader 1.1450–1.1550 range still frames the read.
Support: 1.15283, 1.1500, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.15393, 1.15586
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC and Eurozone Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
H1 close below 1.15000 opens the path toward the 1.14500 range floor
Reclaim of 1.15586 would negate the fade from the week high
EUR/USD extended its post-Fed rally through Thursday's NY session, printing a fresh week high at 1.15586 after Monday's weekend gap up from Friday's 1.15393 close. Price is now consolidating just below that high with RSI(14) easing back to the low 50s as the impulse loses steam; firm Eurozone HICP underpins EUR but hawkish-Fed short-covering keeps it hemmed in the mid-1.15s. The 1.15295 day low and 1.1500 psych level mark the near-term consolidation floor.
Support: 1.15295, 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15586 opens the path back toward the range top
Loss of 1.1500 psych level revives the 1.1450 range floor read
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground higher all week from Monday's ~1.1360 base on USD short-covering after Thursday's post-Fed selloff, tagging a fresh session high at 1.1559 above the prior 1.1537 six-week high. Price is consolidating just below that high after a small weekend gap-up, holding well above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. The 1.1500 pivot has capped downside on every pullback since the impulse leg.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1520, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1537
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1559 week high opens continuation toward round-number extension
Loss of the 1.1500 pivot breaks the higher-lows structure
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and Manufacturing PMIs 07:55 UTC could shift the euro read
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst
EUR/USD has trended up all week, powered by the post-Fed USD selloff and firm euro-area inflation, stretching from the 1.1353 low to a six-week high at 1.1559. Price is now consolidating in Monday's Asia session, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back near 57 after the run. The 1.1559 high has capped two attempts and the small weekend gap up left last Friday's 1.1539 close beneath spot.
Support: 1.15346, 1.1500, 1.14847
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1559 opens continuation toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1535 exposes the 1.1500 pivot
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC and Eurozone Retail Sales/PMIs could shift this read
EUR/USD ran a clean impulse off Monday's ~1.1353 low toward the 1.1559 week high, the move accelerating through the NY session mid-week after the Fed-driven USD selloff. The fresh week opened with a small gap up, tagged 1.15586 then eased back to mid-1.15s, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. Price is consolidating inside the 1.1450–1.1550 fair-value band flagged in the macro read, with 1.1500 the pivot underneath.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.14844
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 psych shifts the read toward the higher-low line at 1.14844
Sustained break above 1.15586 week high extends the impulse
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC and Eurozone Retail Sales/PMI at 06:00/07:55 UTC could reprice this range
EUR/USD ran from Monday's ~1.1373 open to a 1.15586 week high, the leg driven by post-FOMC USD weakness before Friday's dollar short-covering capped the advance. Price now consolidates in the mid-1.15s, holding above EMA(20) near 1.1520 with RSI(14) easing from stretched levels as the last bars stall just under the week high. The 1.1500 psych pivot underpins price while 1.15586 caps.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1520, 1.14844
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1550
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 psych opens the path back toward the 1.14844 swing low
Break and hold above 1.15586 week high extends the uptrend
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended higher all week from Monday's 1.1353 low, the dominant leg coming on the post-Fed USD selloff before Friday's short-covering pared gains back below 1.1500. Price gapped up into the new week and printed a fresh 1.15586 high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 zone. The 1.1500 pivot has flipped to support on the pullbacks, while 1.15586 caps the top of the range.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15393, 1.14844
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 pivot would break the week's rising structure
Acceptance above 1.15586 week high extends the uptrend
ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-led read