EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 6 August 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.15217

Range below week high after rally.

EUR opened Monday near 1.1543, sank to the weekly low at 1.1500 in NY, then ground higher through Thursday to a week high at 1.1559 as a softer USD narrative built post-ADP. Price has since slipped back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling into the low-40s, leaving it mid-range between 1.1500 support and the 1.1559-1.1565 resistance shelf. The whole complex is parked ahead of US NFP.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
  • Daily close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
  • Loss of 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and threatens the week's uptrend

23:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 43 · price 1.15214

Range below week high, retracing this-week rally.

EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1500 weekly low into a 1.1559 week high before rolling over, and price has since slipped back under EMA20 as traders park ahead of Friday US NFP. The pullback has retraced most of the week's impulse, with the 1.1514 day low now the immediate floor and 1.1535 EMA20 capping the bounce. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as momentum flattens into the payroll print.

Support: 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver — could reprice this range sharply
  • H1 close back above 1.1535 EMA20 reopens the 1.1559 week high
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 weekly low confirms a lower-low

22:01 UTC

Range, rolling over from highs · RSI 42 · price 1.15214

Lower high after week-high rejection.

EUR/USD rallied from the 1.1500 weekly low through midweek to a 1.1559 week high before rejection set in, and price has since slipped back under EMA20/50 to 1.1521. The advance stalled at the 1.1590 area highlighted by the digest's sub-1.1565 cap, and the pair is now testing the 1.1517 session low with RSI cycling mid-40s. The dominant 1.1500–1.1590 range still frames the week.

Support: 1.1517, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the decisive catalyst and could reset this range read
  • H1 close below 1.1517 opens the path back toward the 1.1500 weekly low
  • Reclaim of 1.1545 prior high needed to re-engage the 1.1590 week high

21:02 UTC

Range, momentum rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.15236

Faded from week high, back below EMA20.

EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1500 low into a mid-week peak around the 1.1559 week high, then faded through the back half of yesterday's NY session and now sits below EMA20 at 1.1524 — right on the 61.8% retracement of that rally. The 1.1565 cap held on every attempt, in line with the digest's UOB flag, and the pullback follows a firm-USD tilt into payrolls. Price is holding a tight 1.1514–1.1525 range after the leg lower.

Support: 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1541, 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant swing factor for this read
  • Fed's Musalem speaking ~21:30 UTC could move the pair into the next bars
  • H1 close back above EMA20 at 1.1541 reopens the 1.1559 week high
  • Loss of 1.1514 swing low exposes the 1.1500 psych level

21:01 UTC

Range, momentum cooling off highs · RSI 43 · price 1.15226

Week range, pullback from capped highs.

EUR rallied off Monday's low near 1.1500 to a week high around 1.1559, but supply capped price sub-1.1565 on two attempts midweek, forming a flat top. Into the US session price rolled back below EMA20 toward 1.1520 as the dollar firmed ahead of payrolls, with RSI(14) fading from the mid-50s. The 1.1500–1.1565 range still frames the week.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500, 1.14999

Resistance: 1.15565, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower low out of the range
  • US NFP reaction and Fed speaker (Musalem) tonight could materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in progress · RSI 41 · price 1.15226

Rally off weekly low faded at 1.1565, retracing.

EUR/USD rallied ~60 pips off Monday's 1.1500 area through midweek but stalled repeatedly below the 1.1565 cap into Thursday's NY session, printing lower highs since the 1.1592 week high. Price has since slipped back under EMA20/EMA50 and is sitting on the 61.8% retracement of the up-move near 1.1522, with RSI cycling back to the low 40s. Two-way risk dominates ahead of US NFP tonight.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.1565, 1.1592

What it said to watch

  • US NFP tonight is the swing factor — could reset this read
  • H1 close above 1.1565 reopens the path toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low back toward the weekly low

19:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, momentum rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.15234

Pullback from week highs, lower highs forming.

EUR ran into a double top around 1.1559/1.1565 mid-week and has since rolled over, dropping through EMA20 into the NY session as the dollar firmed on the US payrolls reaction. The pullback tagged 1.1519 before stabilising near the 61.8% retrace of the week's rally at 1.15234. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with the 1.1540 area reverting from support to resistance.

Support: 1.1519, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back above 1.1540 EMA20 would neutralise the pullback read
  • Loss of 1.1519 day low exposes the 1.1500 psych level
  • Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift the dollar-driven read

19:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15223

Pullback from week highs, testing higher-low line.

EUR rallied off Monday's 1.1499 base to twin highs near 1.1559 through the NY session before rejection capped it below the 1.1565 cap. Price has since slid back under the 1.1540 EMA20 and is now sitting on the 61.8% retracement of the week's impulse around 1.1522, with RSI(14) rolling back toward 43. The move is USD-driven — the pair has been trading off US labour catalysts rather than its own data.

Support: 1.1514, 1.1499, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 1.1499 breaks the week's higher-low structure
  • Reclaim of 1.1540 EMA20 needed to re-engage the 1.1559 week high
  • US NFP / payroll reaction remains the dominant near-term driver

18:02 UTC

Rolling over from week highs, momentum turning down · RSI 41 · price 1.15223

Lower highs since NY session, testing range lows.

EUR printed a double top near 1.1559 under the 1.1565 week high, then slid through the NY session on a firmer dollar ahead of US NFP. Price has dropped below EMA20 for the first time this week with RSI(14) cycling down toward 40, and the 1.15187 swing low is now being tested. Prior support at the ema20 (1.1543) has flipped to resistance in the pullback structure.

Support: 1.15187, 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1534, 1.1543, 1.15565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver — a clear miss could probe back above 1.1565, a firm print pressures the 1.1500 round number
  • H1 close back above the ema20 near 1.1543 would negate the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.15187 swing low opens the 1.1500 round number and 1.1495 pivot

18:01 UTC

Rally faded, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 1.15206

Double top capped, pulling into range lows.

EURUSD spent the week grinding between 1.1500 and 1.1559, twice rejected at the 1.1559 double top and capped under the 1.1565 barrier flagged into US payrolls. Price rolled over through the NY session, slipping below EMA20 and EMA50 back toward the 1.1519 session low with RSI(14) fading into the low 40s. The move is USD-led — EUR is a passenger ahead of the payrolls catalyst.

Support: 1.1519, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a break of the week's range floor
  • Reclaim of 1.1559 needed to reopen the 1.1565 cap
  • US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read

17:01 UTC

This-week uptrend, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.15206

Lower high off week high, back below EMAs.

EUR ground higher for most of the week on the softer-USD narrative after weak ADP, peaking at 1.1559 before supply capped repeated attempts. Since the NY session the pair has rolled over into 1.1520, slipping below both EMAs and cutting the week impulse near its 61.8% retracement. RSI(14) has cooled to ~40 as the recent higher-lows structure comes under pressure.

Support: 1.1519, 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below 1.1519 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1500/1.1495
  • Reclaim of 1.1544 puts the 1.1559 week high back in play

17:01 UTC

Range broken lower, momentum turning down · RSI 38 · price 1.15192

Week-long range giving way, price probing lower into NFP.

EUR/USD spent most of the week grinding a 1.1540-1.1559 range after basing near 1.1500 Tuesday, but the NY session has knocked it back below both EMAs as the USD firmed into Friday's NFP. The last two bars sliced through the range floor to 1.1519, a USD-driven move rather than anything domestic. Price is now stalling just under the 0.618 retracement of the week's 1.1500-1.1559 advance.

Support: 1.1500, 1.15187

Resistance: 1.1546, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • US NFP tomorrow (12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver and can reset this read
  • H1 close back above 1.1546 range mid negates the downside break
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 week low confirms a lower low

16:01 UTC

Uptrend rolling over, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 1.15192

Range top rejected, pressing lower.

EUR rallied ~1.6% off last week's lows into Monday's open and consolidated near the 1.1543-1.1565 range top through midweek on soft US labour signals (weak ADP). That range has now given way into the NY session, with price shedding the highs and pressing back toward the 1.1500 area; RSI has cycled down through 40 and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time this week.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1513

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
  • H1 close below 1.15000 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.15450 EMA20 needed to negate the breakdown

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.15338

Higher lows into a capped range top.

EUR/USD rallied ~1.6% off last week's lows in a USD-led move, but the grind stalled near 1.1559 with two attempts capped this week. Price has slipped below EMA(20) into the NY session while holding above EMA(50) and the rising-lows line near 1.1530, RSI(14) cooling toward 44. The advance is USD-weakness-driven, not a euro re-rating, leaving the range top intact without a fresh catalyst.

Support: 1.15302, 1.15098, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1565 opens a run toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1530 exposes 1.1500 and the week low
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver via the USD leg

15:01 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.15437

Range beneath week high.

EUR/USD has spent the back half of the week hemmed between the 1.1559 week high and the 1.1535 area, drifting off the highs into today's NY hours after supply capped two attempts near 1.1559. The 1.6% recovery earlier this week was a USD-weakness story on the soft ADP print, but hard EZ data (retail sales, peripheral IP) missed, leaving price stalling below EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50. Range holds with 1.1500 as the deeper floor.

Support: 1.1535, 1.1500, 1.14999

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could break this range in either direction
  • H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.1495 support

14:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating below cap · RSI 48 · price 1.15437

Range under weekly high after this-week rally.

EUR rallied ~1.6% off last week's lows into the 1.1559 week high, a USD-weakness move after the soft ADP print (44K vs 70K), and has since gone sideways below the 1.1565 daily cap. Price is chopping around EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near the mid-40s, holding above the 1.1536 swing low. Range top at 1.1559/1.1565 has capped every attempt this week.

Support: 1.1536, 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver — a clear miss or upside surprise resets this range read
  • H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1536 exposes the 1.1500 round level and 1.1495 pivot

14:01 UTC

Range, capped below 1.1565 · RSI 46 · price 1.15399

Sideways after Monday's rally, easing off highs.

EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1462 open to a 1.1559 week high, a USD-led move after the soft ADP print, then stalled into a tight range below the 1.1559/1.1565 cap. Price has drifted back below EMA(20) into mid-range this session, with the 1.1500 swing low anchoring the floor. RSI(14) sits sub-50 as momentum flattens ahead of Friday's payrolls.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1495, 1.14661

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the weekly open at 1.1466
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Friday is the dominant near-term driver for this read

13:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 1.15399

Consolidating below week's range top.

EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1462 open to tag 1.1559 through the NY session, driven more by USD softness after the ADP miss (44K vs 70K) than EUR strength. Price has since drifted back below EMA(20) into the mid-1.15s with RSI(14) cooling toward 46, and 1.1565 has capped every attempt this week. Buyers keep stepping in above 1.1535 but the grind higher has flattened into consolidation.

Support: 1.1535, 1.15098, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1565 breakout lvl opens path toward the week high at 1.15592
  • Loss of 1.1535 exposes the midweek low near 1.15098
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

13:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 46 · price 1.15439

Consolidation near range top.

EUR climbed off Monday's 1.1455 low to press 3-week highs near the 1.1565 range cap, the move driven more by USD softness after the badly-missed ADP print than EUR strength. Price is now consolidating in the mid-1.15s, sitting just under EMA20 while holding above the week's rising higher-lows and EMA50. RSI(14) has eased back toward 46 as the pull off 1.1559 cooled momentum into Friday's NFP.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1565 range cap would open the path toward 1.1590
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 psych level breaks the higher-low structure
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.15423

Consolidating below week high.

EUR/USD rallied ~70 pips off Monday's 1.1455 open, buoyed by USD-side softness after the weak US ADP print, then stalled below the week high at 1.15590. Price has drifted back under EMA(20) through the NY session, with RSI easing toward the mid-40s as the pullback holds above the 1.15360 swing low. Two attempts at the 1.1559 area were capped, keeping the 1.1500-1.1600 consolidation intact.

Support: 1.1536, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Friday 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 1.15650 opens the path back toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.15360 exposes the 1.15000 range floor

11:02 UTC

Range-bound, mild higher-lows · RSI 49 · price 1.15423

Consolidation under week high.

EUR/USD has carved a well-defined 1.1500-1.1560 range this week, riding USD softness after Wednesday's weak ADP (44K) rather than euro-specific demand. Thursday's push tagged the week high at 1.1559 before the pair slipped back toward the mid-1.15s and dipped under EMA(20). Higher-lows off Tuesday's 1.1500 base keep a rising support line intact under price.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1536

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1565 supply opens the path toward 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 range low confirms a break of this-week structure
  • Friday US NFP (12:30 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range read

11:01 UTC

Sideways, ranging near week highs · RSI 43 · price 1.15379

Consolidation band, momentum easing.

EUR/USD has consolidated in a 1.1500–1.1565 band since Monday, riding this week's ~1.6% rally off the 1.1455 week low on soft US labour data (ADP 44K). RSI(14) has eased back below 50 as the week high at 1.1559 capped the latest push and price slipped under EMA20. Range top at 1.1565 has capped attempts while the 1.1500 psych floor holds ahead of Friday's US NFP.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1455

Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1565 range top opens the path toward the 1.1592 week high
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 psych breaks the week's range floor
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

10:01 UTC

Range near week highs, pullback in progress · RSI 45 · price 1.15379

Consolidating below the week high after a Monday-to-midweek rally.

EURUSD opened Monday near 1.1500, dipped to 1.1455 and rallied ~1% into midweek highs at 1.15592, helped by a soft US ADP print (44K vs 70K) that trimmed the USD bid. Price has since slipped back below EMA(20) toward mid-range with RSI(14) easing under 50. The 1.15592 week high capped the latest push, keeping the 1.1500-1.1600 range intact.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1455

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range read
  • H1 close above 1.15592 opens the path toward the 1.1600 range top
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.1455 week low

10:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling near range top · RSI 46 · price 1.1542

Consolidating below week high.

EUR/USD rallied roughly 1% off Monday's 1.1455 low into Wednesday, a USD-driven move after the soft ADP print, then stalled below the 1.1559 week high. Price is now grinding sideways just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back to the mid-40s, holding above EMA(50) and the 1.1520 swing area. The 1.1559-1.1565 zone has capped this week's advance and remains the barrier into Friday's NFP.

Support: 1.1520, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 1.1565 opens the path back toward the 1.1600 range top
  • Loss of 1.1520 exposes 1.1500 psych and the week's lower structure
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range read

09:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 49 · price 1.15432

Higher highs into 1.1559, shallow pullback.

EUR/USD ground higher through the week off Monday's 1.1455 dip, tagging a fresh seven-month high at 1.1559 in yesterday's NY session as a badly-missed US ADP print (44K vs 70K) undermined the Dollar. Price has since eased back toward 1.1543 and is now hugging the EMA20 as momentum flattens, with RSI back near neutral. The 1.1559 high caps the range; 1.1530 has held recent pullbacks.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1500, 1.1455

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 1.1530 opens the path back toward the 1.1500 round level
  • A close above 1.1559 exposes the 1.1600 range top
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 46 · price 1.15443

Higher highs into 1.1559, consolidating below.

EUR/USD ground higher through Wednesday and NY hours on the soft US ADP miss, tagging a seven-week high at 1.1559 before stalling. Price has since drifted back under EMA20 into the mid-1.155s, with RSI(14) cooling toward the midline as the advance loses steam. The 1.1559 cap has held two probes this week while the 1.1500 range floor remains untested.

Support: 1.1543, 1.1500, 1.1455

Resistance: 1.1551, 1.1559, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1559 opens the path to the 1.1600 range top
  • Loss of 1.1500 range floor confirms a deeper pullback
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read

07:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 1.15509

Higher lows, consolidating below week high.

EURUSD has ground higher since Tuesday's dip to 1.1455, printing a 7-week high at 1.1559 as USD softness on the ADP miss (44K vs 70K) did the work. Price sits above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) mid-range, but the last few hours have stalled just under 1.1559 and coiled around the 1.1550 pivot. Resistance at the 7-week high has capped the advance while pullbacks keep holding above EMA(20).

Support: 1.1550, 1.1535, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1559 opens the path toward the 1.1600 range top
  • Loss of the 1.1550 pivot and EMA(20) near 1.1535 would break the higher-low sequence
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this range read

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 54 · price 1.15483

Higher lows into range top, consolidating.

EUR/USD has ground higher since the week open near 1.1543, printing a seven-week high at 1.1559 after soft US ADP (44K) and a weak ISM Services employment index pressured the dollar. Price is now stalling just under that high with RSI(14) easing back to mid-range, holding above EMA(20) on every pullback. The 1.1543–1.1559 band has contained the last day of trade.

Support: 1.1543, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1559 opens 1.1600 then the 200-DMA magnet
  • Failure to hold 1.1543 weekly open exposes the 1.1500 range floor
  • EZ Retail Sales YoY 09:00 UTC and US NFP Friday are the dominant near-term drivers

05:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 1.15485

Higher highs, consolidating below week high.

EUR/USD has ground higher since Monday's 1.1508 open, extending to a 7-week high at 1.1559 after the soft US ADP print (44K vs 70K) pressured the dollar. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 but momentum has flattened into the NY-Asia transition, with RSI cycling back to the mid-50s as the pair consolidates just under the week high. The 1.1533–1.1559 band is containing the last two sessions.

Support: 1.1545, 1.1533, 1.1509

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1630

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1559 seven-week high opens the path toward the 200-day MA near 1.1630
  • Failure to hold 1.1533 exposes the weekly open at 1.1509
  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and Friday's US NFP could materially shift this read

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.1553

Higher lows into range top; grinding under 7-week high.

EUR/USD has ground higher since Monday's open, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with each pullback finding support along a rising trendline. The advance stalled just under the 1.1559 7-week high through the NY session, where price is now coiling in a tight 1.1550-1.1559 band after soft US labor data (ADP miss, ISM Services employment in contraction) pressured the dollar. Momentum is flattening into resistance with RSI cycling in the low 60s.

Support: 1.1545, 1.1500, 1.1455

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1559 opens the path toward 1.1600
  • Loss of 1.1500 range low would break the week's higher-low sequence
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant near-term driver via the USD leg

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.15551

Higher highs and higher lows, grinding into range cap.

EUR/USD has ground steadily higher since Tuesday, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with each pullback finding demand at rising lows. The move sits just shy of the 1.1559 seven-week high after soft US labour data (ADP 44K, ISM services employment 47.4) kept the dollar heavy through the week. RSI(14) is elevated near 62 without pushing to extreme, and the advance has flattened into the NY-Asia handover.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1500, 1.1455

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1559 opens the path toward the 1.1600 range cap
  • Loss of the rising-low line and 1.1530 would flag a lower-low
  • Friday US NFP is the primary catalyst and could reset this read via the dollar leg
  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could pressure EUR toward 1.1530 on a miss

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.1556

Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating at week high.

EURUSD has ground steadily higher since Monday's open, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback. The advance from the 1.1455 low is a USD-weakness story after the soft US ADP print, and price is now pressing the 1.1559 seven-week high, where the last few bars have stalled into a tight, thin Asia-session consolidation. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around 1.1530 through the week.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1500, 1.1465

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1600, 1.1630

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1559 opens the path to the 1.1600 range cap
  • Failure to hold 1.1530 confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
  • Friday US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst via the dollar leg and could reshape this read

01:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.15551

Higher highs, higher lows into range top.

EUR/USD has ground higher since Monday's open, riding a soft dollar after the weak ADP and ISM Services miss, and now sits a few pips shy of the 1.1558 seven-month high. Price has held above EMA(20) through the week with RSI(14) cycling in the 55–65 band on pullbacks; the 1.1558–1.1559 area has capped the latest push in the NY session. Weekly open at 1.1540 and the 1.1530 shelf have absorbed dips.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1540, 1.1502

Resistance: 1.1558, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1558 opens the path to a fresh breakout above the 7-month high
  • Failure to hold 1.1530 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's rising structure
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

00:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 1.15544

Higher lows into range top.

EURUSD has ground higher since Monday's session open, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback. The 1.1558-1.1559 seven-week high has capped the advance repeatedly this week, with price coiling just beneath it. USD softness after a weak ADP (44K) and soft ISM Services employment print underpinned the drift, though EUR conviction is limited as ECB caution caps upside.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1500, 1.1455

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • Sustained H1 close above 1.1559 opens the path toward the 1.1600 psych level
  • Loss of the 1.1530 range floor confirms a lower-high and shifts the near-term structure
  • Friday NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant risk and could materially shift this read

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