EUR/USD ground sideways in the 1.1520-1.1560 band all week before Friday's NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) fired a sharp USD-driven spike to 1.15804, printing fresh three-week highs. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating just under the well-flagged 1.1565 cluster, holding above the pullback low near 1.1550 and well clear of EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) cooled from the spike into the low-60s as the move digests.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1540, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15698, 1.15804
What it said to watch
Decisive H1 close above 1.1565/1.1580 opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1550 risks a fade back into the 1.1495-1.1560 range
US CPI (Aug 12) is the dominant catalyst that could reprice this NFP-driven move
EUR/USD ground sideways in a 1.1510–1.1560 band all week before Friday's shock US NFP (-23K vs +80K) drove a vertical spike to a 1.15804 week high in the NY session. Price has since settled back to retest the 1.1565 barrier, which is now holding as support, with RSI(14) elevated near 62 and price above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). This is a USD-driven move; EUR data was soft, so follow-through hinges on holding above the well-flagged 1.1565 level.
Support: 1.1565, 1.15499, 1.1535
Resistance: 1.15804, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1565 signals the NFP spike fading back into the 1.1495-1.1560 range
Sustained hold above 1.1565 keeps the path open toward the 1.16 psych level
US CPI (Aug 12) is the dominant catalyst that could materially shift this read
The dollar collapse after the -23K July NFP shock drove a sharp H1 impulse into the NY session Friday, breaking the 1.1560/65 cloud-and-trendline wall that had capped the pair all week. Price has since consolidated just above it in the 1.1555–1.1565 zone, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward the low 60s as the spike stabilised.
Support: 1.15503, 1.15327, 1.1510
Resistance: 1.15804, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1560 puts the breakout back into the prior 1.1495–1.1560 range
Acceptance above the 1.15804 nfp high opens the path toward 1.1600
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major catalyst that could reverse this read
EUR/USD spent Monday-Thursday grinding higher off the 1.1510 area, then ripped through the 1.1565 cloud top on the shock -23K US payrolls print, spiking to a 1.1580 nfp high before settling into consolidation near 1.1560. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper half. The 1.1565 area that capped the week has now been reclaimed and is being retested from above.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1530, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.1580, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above the 1.1565 cloud top and 1.1580 nfp high opens the 1.1600 round number
Failure to hold the 1.1550 session low and 1.1530 prior range signals the spike is fading
US CPI on Aug 12 is the decisive catalyst that could reshape this read
Range break higher, consolidating below cloud top.
EUR/USD spent Monday-Thursday grinding a tight 1.1510-1.1555 band before the July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a one-hour spike to 1.1580 as the dollar was sold. Price has since pulled back to hold just under the 1.1565 cloud top, sitting above both EMAs with RSI(14) around 61. The 1.1550 pullback low has contained the retrace so far, keeping the post-NFP breakout structure intact.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1520, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.1580, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path to 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1550 puts the 1.1520 prior range top back in focus
Fed's Bowman and US CPI (Aug 12) are the next catalysts to shift this read
Range broken by NFP spike, pullback holding higher.
EUR/USD ground sideways in a 1.1520–1.1540 range through the week before the weak US payrolls print (-23K vs +80K) spiked it to a 1.15804 spike high in the NY session. Price has since faded back to 1.1557, retesting the broken range top while the 1.1565 cloud top continues to cap. Both H1 EMAs sit below price and RSI has cooled from overbought.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15804
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 cloud top opens the path to 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1528 prior range reopens the pre-NFP range toward 1.1495 key support
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major catalyst for this read
EURUSD ground higher from Monday's ~1.1501 open all week, then the -23K US NFP miss and softer wages fired a spike to the 1.15804 week high before the pair gave back most of it into 1.1550. Price is now consolidating around 1.1558, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) easing off its post-spike peak near 60. The 1.1565 cloud top has capped extension attempts, keeping the move contained just above the post-nfp low at 1.1550.
Support: 1.1550, 1.15187
Resistance: 1.15804, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15804 nfp high opens 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.15500 post-nfp low reopens 1.15187 prior low
US CPI (Aug 12) is the decisive test for whether the dovish-USD shift sticks
17:01 UTC
Uptrend after NFP breakout · RSI 61 · price 1.15579
Range break higher, retesting.
EUR/USD ranged 1.1500–1.1550 from Monday through Thursday before the US NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) spiked it to 1.1580 during the NY session, breaking the week's 1.1560 ceiling. Price has since eased back to retest that breakout level, with RSI(14) cooling off the spike and both EMAs sitting below price after the impulse.
Support: 1.1560, 1.1520, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1580
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1560 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Hold above 1.1560 keeps the path toward the 1.1580 nfp high open
US CPI (Aug 12) is the decisive test of whether the post-NFP USD softness sticks
EUR ground higher all week off Monday's ~1.1505 open, holding above EMA20 on each pullback. The soft US NFP print (-23K vs +80K) spiked price to a 1.1580 week high in the NY session before an immediate rejection back to 1.1555. The 1.1560/65 cloud zone remains the ceiling that has capped the advance.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15804
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold the 1.1520 consol low would mark a lower-low
US CPI Aug 12 is the next catalyst that could reshape this read
EUR spiked to 1.15804 on the -23K NFP miss as the Dollar was sold hard, then faded back below the 1.1560/1.1565 cloud cap into 1.1554. Price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50 with the week's uptrend intact, but the immediate rejection at the spike high shows supply capping into the cloud resistance. The prior consolidation shelf around 1.1520 remains the pivot below.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1507, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15804
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1565 cloud cap opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1520 consol shelf signals a shift into range trading
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read after the payrolls repricing
EUR/USD ripped to a week high 1.15804 on the NFP shock (-23K vs +80K forecast), breaking the week's 1.1500-1.1560 range before retracing roughly half back to 1.1557 into the NY session. Price still holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 60 after cooling from the spike. The pre-NFP shelf at 1.15262 and week open at 1.1514 sit below as structural reference.
Support: 1.15262, 1.15138, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15804, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.15804 week high opens the path toward 1.1600 psych
Failure to hold 1.15262 pre-nfp low reopens the prior range toward 1.1514 week open
US CPI Tue could reprice the dovish USD move and shift this read
14:01 UTC
Range breaking higher on NFP · RSI 61 · price 1.15568
Range top broken, pullback into resistance.
EUR chopped in a tight 1.1520–1.1540 band through most of the week before the 12:30 GMT US payrolls shock (-23K vs +80K) spiked it to 1.15804. Price has since faded to 1.1557 and is now pressing the 1.1560/65 cloud-top resistance from below, holding above EMA(20) after the range break. RSI(14) pushed toward 62 on the impulse and is cooling as the pullback stalls at the pivot zone.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.1540
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15804
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1565 keeps the 1.15804 high in play
Failure to hold 1.1520 range floor reverts the breakout
US CPI Tue Aug 12 12:30 GMT is the dominant next driver
14:01 UTC
Range broken to upside, momentum surging · RSI 72 · price 1.1573
Range break above 1.1560 after week-long consolidation.
Price coiled in a tight 1.1500–1.1560 range near 1.1520 for most of the week before the NY session broke sharply higher; the July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K forecast) with soft wages gutted the Fed-hike thesis and drove EUR/USD through the twice-rejected 1.1560 cloud top into a 1.1580 session high. RSI(14) has spiked toward 72 on the impulse, and price now sits well above EMA20 (~1.1524) after weeks of pullbacks capping there. The 1.1560 area, prior resistance, is now the pivot for whether this breakout holds.
Support: 1.1560, 1.1520, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1580
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1560 negates the breakout and returns price into the 1.1520 range
Failure to hold 1.1580 leaves the move as a single-session spike into stiff resistance
US CPI Tue Aug 12 is the decisive follow-through driver; Fed's Bowman (Sat) first reaction to the jobs miss
13:01 UTC
Range broken to upside, momentum surging · RSI 75 · price 1.1573
Range break above week's ceiling.
EUR/USD spent the week boxed between 1.1500 and 1.1560, twice rejected at the cloud-top ceiling, before a soft US payrolls print in the NY session drove a sharp break above 1.1560 to a session high near 1.1580. Price now sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pushed into overbought after the impulse. The 1.1560 shelf that capped all week is now the immediate line to watch for a retest.
Support: 1.1560, 1.1520, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1580, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1560 negates the breakout and returns price into the week's range
Sustained hold above 1.1560 opens the path toward 1.1600
Rejection at 1.1580 session high would stall the impulse
13:01 UTC
Range, off the week high · RSI 54 · price 1.15349
Boxed 1.1500-1.1560 after twice-rejected high.
EUR/USD rallied to a 3-week high near 1.1559 mid-week as Fed hikes were priced out, then stalled and rejected twice at that level, carving a double top before fading back to the 1.1520 area. Price has held a tight range since yesterday's NY session and is now ticking up off 1.1514, sitting back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50 with RSI mid-range around 53. The whole structure is compressed into the 1.1500-1.1560 band into the US payrolls read.
Support: 1.1514, 1.14999, 1.1523
Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1533
What it said to watch
US NFP reaction is the immediate catalyst — a break either side of the 1.1500-1.1560 range resolves the read
H1 close above 1.1560 invalidates the double-top cap
EUR/USD has traded a 1.1500-1.1560 range all week, stalling at the 1.1560 cloud-top before drifting back to a 1.1520 consolidation shelf into the NY session. The last few bars have lifted off 1.1517 to reclaim 1.1535, keeping price above EMA20, but two attempts at the 1.1556/1.1560 week high have been capped. Move looks stretched vs yield-spread fair value per the digest, with the range still respected.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15565
What it said to watch
US NFP due imminently — a beat pressures the 1.1517 range floor toward 1.1500, a miss reopens the 1.1565 week high
H1 close above 1.1565 invalidates the range-top cap
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low out of the weekly range
After Monday's dip to the 1.1500 weekly low, EUR/USD climbed to the 1.1559 weekly high into Wednesday's NY session before rolling over; price has since coiled in a tight 1.1515–1.1530 range. RSI(14) is idling near 50 with price pinned to EMA20 but capped below EMA50, consistent with the digest's mixed German data and firm USD into NFP. The 1.1530 range top and 1.1514 floor now frame the read.
Support: 1.15144, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP within the hour is the immediate driver — a hot print risks a break of the 1.1514 range floor toward 1.1500
H1 close above the 1.1530 range top would reopen the 1.1559 weekly high
Loss of 1.1514 confirms a lower-low out of the range
EUR rallied off the early-week 1.1500 base to tag a three-week high at 1.1560 in Wednesday's NY session, then rejected and drifted lower for a second day, per the mixed EUR data and a firmer safe-haven USD. Since then price has coiled in a tight 1.1515–1.1530 band, sitting on EMA20 but capped below EMA50 near 1.1535. RSI(14) has flattened around 50 as the pullback stalls.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1560
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1545 reopens the 1.1560 week high
Failure to hold 1.1515 exposes the 1.1500 round number
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1559 weekly high through Thursday's NY session back to the 1.1514 low, and has since coiled in a tight 1.1518-1.1531 band into the London session. Price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling around the 50 line — the pair has already converged with rate-spread fair value and is compressing ahead of US NFP. Resistance at 1.1545 and the 1.1560 cloud top capped this week's rebounds.
Support: 1.15144, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
H1 close above 1.1545 reopens the 1.1560 cloud top
Loss of 1.1514 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1500
10:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.15244
Consolidation after fade from weekly high.
EUR peaked near the 1.1559 weekly high midweek and has since faded to consolidate around 1.1520, capped below the daily cloud as the USD firmed on safe-haven flows. Price is pinned to EMA(20) but sits under EMA(50) with RSI hovering near 50, reflecting the pre-NFP drift. The 1.1500-1.1559 range from Monday's open still frames the week.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1500, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1544, 1.1559, 1.1565
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
H1 close above 1.1544 reopens the 1.1559 weekly high and 1.1565 cloud top
Pullback stalling below 1.1550, consolidating near lows.
EUR pushed to a 1.1559 week high mid-window before rolling over into the NY session, a second day of losses to ~1.1520 on renewed safe-haven USD demand and firmer oil. Price now trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-40s, coiling into a tight band just above the 1.1515 swing low. The 1.1550 pivot capped the last two recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1550, 1.1559
What it said to watch
US NFP today ~12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close back above 1.1550 pivot reopens the 1.1559 week high
Break below 1.1500 range floor confirms a lower low
Consolidation under EMA20 after rejection at 1.1559.
EUR eased for a second day from a three-week high near 1.1559 back to ~1.1520 as a rebounding-oil, safe-haven USD bid returned. Price has coiled in a tight 1.1519-1.1525 band through the Asia session, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s. The pullback has held the 61.8% retrace of this week's 1.1500-1.1559 impulse so far.
Support: 1.15144, 1.1500, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1528, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 1.15144 opens the path to 1.1500
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1528 would ease the pullback structure
07:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.15233
Lower highs off week's peak, holding above 1.1500.
EUR/USD rallied into three-week highs near 1.1559 through Wednesday's NY session before stalling at the 1.1565 cap and reversing as renewed safe-haven USD demand set a cautious tone into NFP. Price has since drifted back to 1.1523, sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 45. The 1.1517 session low and 1.1500 psychological floor now define the base of this pullback.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1500, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15565, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this structural read within the next bar
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1495 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1535 EMA50 puts the 1.1565 week cap back in play
06:02 UTC
Range after midweek rally, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.15233
Consolidation under EMAs post-pullback.
EUR/USD rallied ~60 pips off Monday's 1.1500 base into midweek, tagging 1.1559 before rolling over on a firmer USD into NFP. Since yesterday's NY session price has coiled tightly around 1.1520, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that move and just below EMA20/EMA50. US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions.
Support: 1.15185, 1.1500, 1.1513
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1559
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1535 reopens the 1.1559 week high
Loss of 1.1500 negates this week's grind
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD rallied roughly 1.6% off last week's lows into a 1.1500-1.1560 range, but the week high near 1.15592 capped two attempts and price has since faded back below EMA20 and EMA50. The last day drifted into a tight, quiet Asian range around 1.1520-1.1524 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as the USD firmed into payrolls. The 1.15187 day low is the near pivot; 1.1500 psych remains the base of the week's structure.
Support: 1.15187, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1565
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
H1 close above 1.15592 week high, then 1.15650 pivot, reopens the upside test
Loss of 1.15187 day low exposes 1.1500 psych and negates the weekly grind
05:01 UTC
Rally stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.15231
Range-bound below week high, lower highs into consolidation.
EUR rallied off Tuesday's 1.1500 lows to a 1.1559 week high mid-week, but supply capped there and the pair has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 1.1520, now sitting below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the pullback held above the 1.15144 swing low. Price is coiling inside the broader 1.1500-1.1600 weekly range ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.15144, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1534, 1.1559
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.15340 pivot reopens the 1.1559 week high
Break below 1.15144 swing low exposes the 1.1500 range floor
EUR built to a week high at 1.15592 into Thursday before rolling over, with a sharp drop back through 1.1530 late in the session. Price is now consolidating near 1.1520, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), and RSI(14) sits in the low 40s. The 1.15144 session low is the pivot; NFP later today is the dominant cross-driver.
Support: 1.15144, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC — key driver, can materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.15144 confirms a lower-low toward 1.15000
EUR rallied off the early-week 1.1500 low to a 1.1559 week high before supply capped it near 1.1565 and the pair rolled over, printing lower highs into the NY session. Price is now consolidating around 1.1522, close to the 61.8% retracement of that week's rally and sitting just under both EMAs, with RSI cycling in the mid-40s. Two-way squaring is expected ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15565
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant near-term driver for this read
H1 close below 1.1517 opens the path to the weekly low at 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1535 lower high puts the 1.1565 week high back in play
04:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15211
Week rally faded, consolidating below resistance.
EUR/USD's ~1.6% weekly rally stalled at three-week highs near 1.1559 before rolling over through the NY session, and price has since based around 1.1520 below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as the pullback held above the 1.1514 swing low. Momentum has faded with traders squaring into today's US NFP.
Support: 1.1514, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1559
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could reshape this read
H1 close back above 1.1535 ema area would reassert upside pressure toward 1.1559 week high
Failure to hold 1.1514 swing low confirms a deeper leg toward 1.1500 psych
03:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15211
Week rally rejected, now consolidating.
EUR rallied ~1.6% off last week's lows to a week high near 1.1559 by Thursday's NY session, a move driven more by USD softness than EUR strength. Price then rolled over to 1.1520 as the Dollar firmed, and now sits in a tight 1.1519-1.1524 band below EMA(20). The 1.1514 swing low has held the pullback so far, with the week's 1.1500 pivot below.
Support: 1.15144, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15426, 1.15592
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and unwinds the week's rally
Reclaim of 1.1545 needed to re-threaten the 1.1559 week high
US NFP at 12:30 UTC and German IP at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 44 · price 1.15222
Higher highs into week peak, now retracing.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1500 low to tag a week high at 1.1559 on the USD-soft ADP-driven bid, then faded through the NY session yesterday and now sits near the 61.8% retracement around 1.1522. Price is trading just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, and the 1.1514 day low has held into the Asia session. The move is more a USD story than EUR strength, with soft Eurozone retail sales offering little offset.
Support: 1.15144, 1.14999, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1527, 1.15592
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.15144 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1527 keeps the week's uptrend structure intact
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 1.1559, now pulling back to consolidate.
EUR/USD rallied through the week to a high near 1.1559 on softer-USD flow post-ADP, but the last NY session has faded that push, slipping back under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 42. Price is now consolidating around 1.1520 after supply capped attempts at 1.1545–1.1565; the 1.1515 area has held on the retracement.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1515 confirms a lower-low and breaks this-week's rising support
Reclaim of 1.1545 reopens the 1.1565 weekly high
US NFP later today is the dominant near-term driver and could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rallied through the week off the 1.1500 base to a 1.1559 week high, supported by the soft-USD-into-NFP narrative and a strong German factory orders beat. Price has since faded back below EMA(20) into the Asia session, holding above the 1.1514 pullback low with RSI(14) drifting under 45. The 1.1545 prior high and 1.1559 week high cap the topside while 1.1500 remains the base of the week's advance.
Support: 1.15144, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15453, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
H1 close below 1.1500 breaks the week's uptrend structure
Recovery above 1.15453 reopens the 1.15592 week high
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 1.15197
Pullback from weekly high, holding above range base.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1500 base early in the week and stalled twice near 1.1559, leaving a double-top look before easing through the NY session. Price has since slipped below the H1 EMA20 (~1.1533) and is now retracing the week's rally, sitting near the 61.8% zone around 1.1520 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The whole read is on hold ahead of US NFP at 12:30 UTC, the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1514, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1533, 1.15446, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
H1 close back above 1.15330 (EMA20) would reassert the week's uptrend
Loss of 1.15140 swing low opens the 1.15000 round number
01:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15226
Retrace from week high after higher lows.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1500 low to a week high at 1.15592 by mid-week, then rolled over into a pullback that has slipped below EMA(20) toward 1.1520 — sitting right on the 61.8% retrace of that up-leg. Momentum has cooled with RSI back near 43 and the 1.1544 prior high now capping. Price is parked ahead of US NFP, the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.15187, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15446, 1.15592
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.14999 confirms a lower low and breaks the week uptrend
Reclaim of 1.15446 reopens the 1.15592 week high
00:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15226
Pullback from weekly high, below EMA20.
EUR rallied off the 1.1500 weekly low through midweek to a 1.1559 weekly high, riding the softer-USD narrative after the weak US ADP print. Price has since rolled over into the NY-Asia transition, printing lower highs and slipping below EMA20 to retest the 1.1515 session-low area, settling around the 61.8% retracement of the week's advance. The 1.1544 lower high now caps upside while demand near 1.1515 holds for now.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1544, 1.1559
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1544 reopens the 1.1559 weekly high
Failure to hold 1.1515 exposes the 1.1500 weekly low
US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
Rolled over from week high, lower highs into consolidation.
EURUSD rallied off Monday's 1.1500 week low to tag 1.1559 twice on Thursday before rolling over, and price now sits back below EMA(20) near 1.1535 after a sharp NY-hours drop from 1.1543. The three touches around the 1.1559 week high capped the advance, and RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s as the pullback stalls near the 61.8% retracement of the week's up-move. The 1.1565 pivot flagged as needed for upside continuation was never cleared.
Support: 1.1514, 1.1500, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1559, 1.1565
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1514 swing low confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1500 week low and 1.1495 support
Reclaim of the 1.1559 week high and 1.1565 pivot needed to revive the week's uptrend
US NFP remains the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read