EUR/USD ground lower through NY into the late session, sliding from 1.1441 to a session low of 1.14008 before basing in a tight 1.1403–1.1406 band on thin volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41 — no bid returning yet, structure still a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14087, 1.14164
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14087 breaks the descending high sequence
EUR/USD sold off through late NY into the Asia open, breaking below the 1.1420 shelf and driving into the 1.1400 psych level where the slide stalled. Price now consolidating tight between 1.1404 and 1.1407 on thin Asian volume, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 42.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1400 psych opens the 1.1390 strong support
Reclaim of 1.14150 prior low would ease the downside pressure
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground steadily lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.14008 before stabilising just above the 1.1400 psych level. RSI(14) sits subdued near 40 with no divergence, and end-of-session volume is thin. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with the chain of lower lows still intact.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14171, 1.14285
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14008 opens the path toward 1.1390 strong support
M15 close back above 1.14171 swing high would break the lower-low sequence
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above range low.
EURUSD leaked lower through late NY into the Asian open, printing a fresh low at 1.14008 on thin volume before stalling in a 1.1403–1.1408 range. RSI(14) near 40 is cooling off the lows; downtrend intact but drifting sideways with the pair pinned to the lower end of its summer range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14085, 1.14181
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14008 opens the path toward 1.1390 support
Reclaim of 1.14181 would negate the lower-low sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the US session into Asia, breaking 1.1418 support and printing a session low at 1.1401 on thin late-session volume. Last bars are consolidating around 1.1404 with RSI(14) off its lows; the downtrend structure remains intact.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14181, 1.14286
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14181 would invalidate the breakdown read
Loss of 1.1400/1.1390 support extends the lower-low sequence
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 stair-stepped lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.1428 support and sweeping into the 1.1400 round number where the low printed 1.14008. Late-session volume thinned out and price is flatlining just above 1.1400, RSI(14) around 39 with no reclaim of prior structure.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14469
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1428 would invalidate the lower-high structure
Loss of 1.1390 confirms continuation of the breakdown
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 ground lower through the NY session and into thin Asia trade, sliding from the 1.14296 prior high to a session low at 1.14008 before basing around 1.1407. RSI(14) sits in the low-30s and ATR has compressed to ~4-5 pips in illiquid late trade; price remains capped below the 1.14171 swing high with no bounce structure yet.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14171, 1.14296
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14171 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14008 opens the 1.1390 support cited in digest
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold EURUSD off 1.1428, breaking the earlier 1.1420-1.1440 range and printing a session low at 1.14008. Late-session volume is thin and price is drifting back to 1.1407; RSI(14) recovering off lows near 41 with no fresh momentum. Move fits the USD-firm relative-rates read ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1420 invalidates the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14008 opens the 1.1390 support cited by UOB
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground stair-step lower through the NY session from 1.1447 to a session low at 1.1401, USD kept firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Late after-hours trade is thin and pinned near 1.1405, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1426
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1418 breakdown level would neutralise the down leg
A close below 1.1400 psych opens the 1.1390 strong support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Steady M15 grind lower through the London-NY session, breaking beneath the 1.1420 shelf and printing a fresh low at 1.1401; USD held firm ahead of FOMC minutes. Move stalled at the 1.1400 round number in thin Asia hours, RSI(14) near 34 and flattening but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1415 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.1400 opens the 1.1390 support cited by context
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1420 NY range and drifted lower into the late session, printing a fresh low at 1.14008 before a shallow bounce to 1.14049 on thinning volume. RSI(14) sits near 34, cooling but not yet stretched; sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14114, 1.1418, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14114 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14008 session low opens the path toward 1.1390 prior support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.1420 range floor and printing a fresh low at 1.14008 as USD held firm ahead of FOMC minutes. Chain of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 31 and stretched on the downside into thin late-session liquidity.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1429, 1.14416
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1415 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.13900 opens the range-low regime shift
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY session and broke the 1.14113 shelf, printing a fresh session low at 1.1401 before stalling near 1.1405. The final bars are thin (late NY into Asia) so the slide is running on light flow; RSI(14) near 33, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1401, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.1420, 1.14285
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14113 would negate the downside break and the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 1.1400/1.1390 extends the leg toward range support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst that could reset this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.1420 shelf and printing a session low at 1.14008 into thin Asia liquidity. Price is hugging the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) near 33, a small bounce off the low but no reclaim yet.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1428
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14180 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14000 opens continuation into the 1.1390 support cited by the digest
FOMC minutes (Wed) is the primary risk to this read
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown from 1.1428 range.
EURUSD sold off through the late NY session, breaking 1.14171 and printing a session low at 1.14008 with RSI(14) near oversold. Price sits pinned at the lows on thin volume rolling into Asia, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14171, 1.14285
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14171 negates the breakdown and re-opens the 1.1428 range
Break of 1.1400 psych level exposes 1.1390 strong support
FOMC minutes Wed and German HICP Fri could reshape this read
EURUSD slid through the NY afternoon, breaking 1.14150 and printing a fresh session low at 1.14008 in thin post-NY liquidity, consistent with a firm USD near its 2026 high. RSI(14) sits near 30 as the sequence of lower highs and lower lows holds; the move stays within the broader 1.1350–1.1450 summer range.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14285
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14150 would break the lower-high sequence and stall the decline
A close below 1.14000 opens the path toward the 1.1390 support cited by the market
Thin post-NY/Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves until London reopens
NY session pushed EUR/USD down through 1.14180 to a session low at 1.14008 as the dollar held firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price now sits at 1.14068 in thin post-NY/early Asia trade, below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 31.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14180 would negate the lower-low sequence
A break of 1.13900 range support opens the lower boundary
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD driver for this pair
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown from midday range.
EURUSD leaked lower through the NY session and accelerated into the close, breaking the 1.1418 support and printing a fresh session low at 1.14008 on thinning volume. Price sits pinned near the lows at 1.14068 with RSI(14) sub-30; note the marquee risk is Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14285
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14008 opens the path toward the 1.1390 strong support
M15 reclaim of 1.14180 negates the breakdown read
Very thin late-session volume can distort moves into Asia open
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 30 · price 1.14052
Lower highs, lower lows.
Price broke down through the session range into fresh lows near 1.1405 late in the NY-Asia transition, extending a chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) sits near 30 with thin, low-volume bars; no bounce structure yet.
Support: 1.14047, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14164, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14164 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1400/1.1390 opens the lower range boundary
EURUSD sold off through the NY-Asia transition, breaking 1.1418 and printing a fresh session low at 1.1405 as USD held firm sub-101 DXY. RSI(14) near 30 with thin late-session volume; the descending sequence of lower highs stays intact.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1418 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1400 opens the path toward 1.1390 strong support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the nearest catalyst that could shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, extending late NY · RSI 28 · price 1.14079
Lower highs, fresh session low at 1.1408.
EUR/USD broke the 1.1425 support during late NY and slid to a fresh session low at 1.1408, closing at the lows with RSI(14) near 28 — hot but not extreme. Price sits below both EMAs after a clean step-down; no reclaim of 1.1416 yet keeps sellers in control heading into thin Asia liquidity.
Support: 1.14077, 1.14113, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14164, 1.1429, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1416 negates the breakdown
Break below 1.1408 opens the path to the 1.1390 range floor cited as support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 37 · price 1.1411
Lower highs, lower lows into 1.1408.
EURUSD broke the 1.1425 base late in the NY session, dropping sharply to a 1.1408 session low with RSI(14) at 37. Price is hovering just above the low near 1.1411 after a shallow bounce failed at 1.1416; the 1.1390 support flagged in the range remains the next reference below.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1428
What it said to watch
A close below 1.1408 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1400/1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1416 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14111
Stepping down under descending highs, stalling near session low.
NY session sold EUR from 1.1428 down through 1.14079, EUR pressured near one-year lows vs GBP with USD firm. Price now drifts around 1.1411 in thin late-session trade, capped by a chain of descending highs; RSI(14) mid-30s, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14168, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14079 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1390 range base
Reclaim of the 1.14168 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14111
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.
NY afternoon selloff broke the 1.1428 shelf and drove to a session low of 1.14079, RSI(14) cooling near 37. Price is consolidating just above the low around 1.1411, no fresh push in either direction.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14181, 1.14296
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14181 negates the latest lower high
Break below 1.14079 extends the session downtrend toward 1.1390
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, late NY leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.1413
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR/USD broke down through its intraday range late in the NY session, sliding from 1.1428 to a session low of 1.14079 before stalling around 1.1413. RSI(14) sits near 37 and price holds below both EMAs; the 1.1350–1.1450 summer range still contains the move.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1428, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1428 prior swing negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.1408 session low opens the path to the 1.1400 psych level
Late NY hours saw a sharp break below the 1.1428 support, driving a fresh session low at 1.1408 as USD held firm sub-101.00 DXY. Price is now basing around 1.1413 with RSI(14) near 39, off its lows but still below EMA20/50. Pair sits at the lower end of the 1.1350–1.1450 summer range.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1428 would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 1.1408 session low opens the path toward 1.1390 range support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late NY session sold off sharply, breaking the 1.14180 shelf and printing a session low at 1.14079 with RSI(14) near 35. Price has since ticked back to 1.14137 on thin end-of-session flow; 1.14180 now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14286
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.14180 negates the breakdown and reopens 1.14286
Failure to hold 1.14079 exposes the 1.1390 support cited by the desk
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the 1.14200 pivot late in the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14079 before basing around 1.1411–1.1416. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40 after the drop; the 1.1390 support flagged in the range read remains untested.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14286
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.14200 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14079 session low opens the path toward 1.1390 strong support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, late-session leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.14149
Lower highs, fresh session low then minor bounce.
Late NY / post-close saw a sharp leg down from 1.14290, slicing through the 1.14180 support and printing a session low at 1.14079 before a shallow bounce to 1.14149. RSI(14) cooling near 38 after the flush; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14180 would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 1.14079 opens the 1.14000 round number
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late NY session saw a sharp break below the 1.14250 shelf into a fresh session low at 1.14079, RSI(14) near 32 as USD stayed firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price is now stalling around 1.14150, with broken support at 1.14171 the immediate cap.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14171, 1.14229, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14229 would invalidate the breakdown read
Loss of 1.14079 opens the path toward the 1.1400 psych level
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session breakdown below 1.1418, new session low.
NY session sold off sharply in the last two hours, slicing through the 1.1418 support to print a session low at 1.14079 as the USD stayed firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. RSI(14) cooled toward oversold on the drop; price now hugs the lower end of the summer 1.1350–1.1450 range with prior support at 1.1418 flipping to resistance.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14276, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14180 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14079 exposes the 1.1400 round number
FOMC minutes Wed can materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.14131
Lower highs, broke intraday range support.
EUR/USD ground lower through the day and accelerated in the last hour of NY, breaking the 1.1425 consolidation floor and printing a session low at 1.14079 before closing 1.14131. RSI(14) is depressed near 33 after the drop; move fits the range-bound, USD-supported read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14221, 1.1429, 1.1437
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14221 would negate the breakdown
Close below 1.14079 opens the 1.1390 range support
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
Sharp late-NY selloff broke the 1.1425 base and printed a session low at 1.14079, RSI(14) driven sub-30. Price is stalling just above the low in thin late hours after a clean break of the day's chop.
Support: 1.14079, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14276, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14276 neutralises the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14079 exposes the 1.1390 support
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late NY session saw EUR/USD snap out of the 1.1425–1.1430 consolidation, dropping ~18 pips in the last three bars to a fresh session low at 1.14104. RSI(14) is sub-30 and price sits below EMA20/50; the move came with no calendar trigger as traders position ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14104, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14285, 1.1441
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1418 negates the breakdown and returns price to the range
Failure to hold 1.14100 opens the path toward 1.1390 range support
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major driver
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into the close · RSI 27 · price 1.14104
Lower highs, fresh session low at 1.14104.
EURUSD sold off sharply into the late NY close, breaking the 1.1418 intraday base and printing a fresh session low at 1.14104 as USD held firm ahead of the FOMC minutes. RSI(14) is stretched near 27 after a two-bar ~100 pip drop, so momentum is hot to the downside.
Support: 1.14104, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14409
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14280 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14104 exposes the 1.1390 support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late NY sell-off broke the 1.1418 support to a fresh session low at 1.1417, RSI(14) cooling toward oversold near 33. Lower highs from the 1.1447 session high have capped every bounce, with supply repeatedly seen around 1.1428.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1436, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1428 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.1400/1.1390 extends the downtrend
FOMC June minutes (Wed) could materially shift this read
Late NY hours saw EUR/USD break the 1.1428 range floor and print a fresh session low at 1.14171 on the final bar, RSI(14) cooling near 33 with no divergence. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 as the pair drifts toward the 1.1390 support zone flagged into Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14171, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14280 negates the range-break read
Break of 1.1390 extends the lower-low sequence
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range
EUR/USD slid through NY hours to a session low at 1.1418 as a firmer USD capped, then buyers stepped in and price recovered to 1.1428 with RSI(14) back near mid-range. Higher lows have formed since 1.1418, but the 1.1429 swing high still caps the bounce.
Support: 1.14177, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14374, 1.14409
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1429 swing high extends the recovery toward 1.14374 prior high
Loss of 1.14247 recovery low reopens 1.1418 session low
FOMC minutes Wednesday is the next USD-side catalyst
NY session drifted lower and swept the 1.14177 session low mid-afternoon before buyers stepped in; price now consolidating 1.1418–1.1430 with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Move sits inside the broader 1.1350–1.1450 summer range as USD stays firm into Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14219, 1.14177
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14368
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14177 opens the path toward the 1.1390 range support
Reclaim above 1.14300 bounce high challenges the 1.14368 prior high
FOMC June minutes Wednesday is the key USD-side catalyst
Lower highs into 1.1418 low, corrective bounce underway.
M15 held a lower-high sequence through the London-NY sessions and marked a session low at 1.14177; demand stepped in there and price has recovered to 1.1426, still just below EMA20. RSI(14) has climbed back to neutral from oversold, with USD firmness in a broader 1.1350-1.1450 range keeping the bounce contained under 1.1429.
Support: 1.14212, 1.14177
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14358, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14290 opens the path back to 1.14358
Loss of 1.14177 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the range floor
FOMC June minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could reshape this read
Lower highs into 1.1418 session low, modest recovery.
NY session pushed EUR/USD down to a session low at 1.14177 around mid-afternoon, with the pair recovering to 1.1428 as buyers stepped in near the lows. Still sub-1.1430 and capped by prior pivots; range floor 1.1390 remains the deeper reference per the summer 1.1350–1.1450 band.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14177 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14300 swing high needed to extend the recovery
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.14177 before a shallow recovery to 1.14267 — a firmer USD and Hormuz safe-haven bid keeping the pair pinned below its summer range top. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 after the bounce; supply capped the recovery around 1.1430.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14177 exposes the 1.1400 psych level and range floor
Reclaim of 1.14300 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the near-term USD catalyst
EUR/USD drifted lower through the NY session to a session low at 1.14177 before a shallow bounce back to 1.1427, with a firmer USD capping upside ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. RSI recovering off intraday lows; lower highs still intact below 1.14340.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14177 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14340 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst
EUR/USD drifted lower through the NY session, printing a low at 1.1418 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 1.1428. Move fits the USD's cautious hold near 100.90 into Wednesday's FOMC minutes; RSI(14) recovering off intraday lows with the 1.1437 swing capping the bounce.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1418 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1437 needed to challenge the 1.1447 session high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drifted lower to a session low at 1.14177 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.1428 with RSI recovering from mid-30s. EUR stays pinned in its summer range with two-way, low-conviction flow ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1418 exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.1436 swing high needed to end the lower-high sequence
NY session ground lower in a chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 1.14177 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 1.14258. RSI(14) recovering from the sub-40 dip, but price holds below EMA20/50 with 1.14340 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14418
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14340 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14177 opens the 1.1400 psych level
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read on the USD leg
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14258
Lower highs and lows, minor recovery.
EURUSD drifted lower through the NY session, sliding from 1.14415 to a session low at 1.14177 as a firm USD capped the pair ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. A modest recovery to 1.14258 has stalled below the 1.14300 bounce top, RSI(14) cooling from the sell-off around 43.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1437, 1.14415
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14177 exposes the 1.1400 psych floor
Reclaim of 1.14300 bounce top neutralises the intraday lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD leg
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.1424
Lower highs, session low probed then defended.
NY session slid off the 1.1440 swing high down to a session low at 1.1418, where buyers stepped in for a shallow bounce back to 1.1424, RSI(14) recovering from the low-30s. Firmer USD and Hormuz safe-haven demand have capped upside all session; price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1418 opens the path toward the 1.1400 round number
M15 close back above 1.1440 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst
EUR drifted lower through NY hours as a firmer USD kept the pair pinned in its summer range, printing a session low at 1.1418 before a shallow bounce to 1.1424. Lower highs off the 1.1447 session high remain intact, with the 1.1436 pivot capping; RSI(14) recovering off the low near 41.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1436 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1418 session low exposes the 1.1390 range floor
FOMC June minutes Wed are the next USD-side catalyst for this range
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 41 · price 1.14224
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14177 as a firmer USD and Hormuz safe-haven bid capped the pair. A shallow bounce to 1.14229 has stalled; price sits at 1.14224 below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 40, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14177 exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot and the wider range floor
Reclaim of 1.14290 recent high needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC June minutes Wed is a USD-side catalyst that could reset this read
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.14418 high down to a 1.14177 session low, with a firm USD and Hormuz safe-haven bid capping any bounce. Price is grinding just above the low near 1.14224, RSI(14) recovering off mid-30s but structure still lower highs.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14418
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14300 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14177 exposes the 1.14000 round number
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst
EURUSD ground lower through the NY afternoon, printing a fresh session low at 1.14177 in a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence as a firm USD capped the pair. RSI(14) near 37, not yet stretched; 1.1400 pivot sits below per range structure.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14416
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14177 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14260 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.14228
Lower highs, lower lows into NY afternoon.
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1440 shelf, printing lower lows into 1.1418 with price under both EMAs and RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. Safe-haven USD bid and a capped range top kept sellers in control through the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14177 session low opens the path to 1.1400
M15 close back above 1.14300 negates the lower-low sequence
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst
EUR ground lower through NY hours into a fresh session low at 1.14177, extending a chain of lower highs from 1.14473; RSI(14) near 34, not yet stretched. Move fits the soft-USD-capped, Hormuz safe-haven bid tone with EUR held in its summer range.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14177 exposes the 1.1400 round and range floor
Reclaim of 1.14290 swing pivot needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the USD-side catalyst for this pair
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14204
Lower highs, lower lows into NY afternoon.
EURUSD slid through the NY afternoon, printing lower lows to a session low at 1.14177 with RSI(14) near 31 as a firmer USD pressured the pair. Price broke below the 1.14300 pivot and now sits below EMA20/50 with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14416
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14300 would neutralise the lower-low read
Failure to hold 1.14177 exposes the 1.14100 handle
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
NY afternoon saw EUR/USD grind lower off the 1.14473 session high, breaking the intraday range to print a fresh session low at 1.14177 with RSI(14) near 32. USD stayed firm on Hormuz safe-haven bid and pre-FOMC-minutes caution, keeping the pair pinned to the lower half of its range.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14374, 1.14473
What it said to watch
A close below 1.1400 opens the lower half of the summer range
Reclaim of 1.14374 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC June minutes Wednesday is the main USD-side driver
Range break lower, lower highs and lower lows into NY afternoon.
EUR/USD rolled off the 1.1440 swing high through the NY afternoon, breaking the intraday range and printing a fresh session low at 1.1418 as the USD stayed firm on Hormuz-risk and pre-FOMC-minutes caution. RSI(14) is pressing into the low-30s but not yet extreme; the pair sits at the lower edge of its 1.1418–1.1442 24h range.
Support: 1.14177, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14345, 1.14416
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14345 would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14177 exposes the 1.1400 psych level
FOMC minutes Wednesday is the main USD-side driver that could reset this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14212 after supply capped it at 1.14416; the pair stays pinned in the low half of its summer range with USD firm on pre-FOMC-minutes caution. RSI(14) near 37 reflects the sustained down leg without yet flagging exhaustion.
Support: 1.14212, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14416, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 extends the lower-low sequence into the lower range half
Reclaim of 1.14300 would negate the current down leg
1.14416 session high caps the topside — area to watch for rejection or break
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14212 with RSI(14) near 40 but not yet oversold. Rejection off 1.14418 earlier set the tone; price is pinned near lows as USD stays firm on Hormuz risk and pre-FOMC-minutes caution.
Support: 1.14212, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14300 would relieve the lower-low sequence
Break of 1.14212 opens the lower half of the 1.1350–1.1450 range
FOMC minutes Wednesday is the main USD driver into next sessions
NY session leaked lower after rejection near 1.1447 mid-window; EURUSD now printing session lows at 1.1422 with RSI(14) around 37. USD stayed firm on Hormuz risk and pre-FOMC-minutes caution, capping the pair despite a strong German IP beat.
Support: 1.1422, 1.1425, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1442, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1422 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1437 swing high negates the intraday downtrend
FOMC June minutes (Wed) is the main USD-side driver ahead
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower into NY afternoon · RSI 38 · price 1.14241
Lower highs, testing session low.
EURUSD rolled over through the NY session, printing lower highs off the 1.14416 swing and grinding to a fresh session low at 1.14219, with USD staying firm pre-FOMC-minutes. Price sits below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) is cooling near 37 — no sign of demand stepping in yet.
Support: 1.14219, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14368, 1.14416, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14219 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14368 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
FOMC June minutes Wednesday is the main USD-side driver ahead
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, drifting to lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14252
Lower highs, testing session low.
NY afternoon drift lower — EUR/USD faded from the 1.14418 session high and is pinned at the session low near 1.1425 with USD holding a modest pre-FOMC-minutes bid. A sharp drop to 1.14231 was bought back to the 1.14374 recent high before rolling over; RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Sitting inside the broader 1.1350-1.1450 summer range.
Support: 1.14231, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14374, 1.14418, 1.14469
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14231 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14374 recent high needed to ease downside pressure
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
15:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14252
Intraday range, lower highs into session low.
EURUSD is drifting back toward the session low at 1.14235 after rejection near 1.14418, keeping the pair pinned in its 1.1350-1.1450 summer range. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s with price below both EMA20 and EMA50 as the USD holds a firm pre-FOMC-minutes bid.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14368, 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14235 opens the path toward the range floor near 1.1400
Recovery above 1.14418 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break the three-day USD consolidation
NY session grinding within a 1.1424–1.1447 range with a mild downside lean; a spike into 1.1424 was quickly bought back. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, price under EMA20/50, and the pair remains pinned in its broader 1.1350–1.1450 summer band.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14235 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
M15 close above 1.14473 breaks the session range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD leg
15:31 UTC
Range, fading from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14275
Intraday range, lower highs late NY.
EURUSD ranged 1.1424-1.1447 through the session, capped below 1.14418 after a sharp NY drop to 1.14235 that was only partially recovered. Price now fading toward the session low with RSI(14) mid-40s and price below both EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14235 session low confirms a lower-low
M15 close back above 1.14418 reopens the range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst
NY session saw a sharp flush from 1.1441 to a 1.14235 session low before an immediate bounce to 1.1437; price is now fading back toward the lows with EUR pinned in its 1.1350–1.1450 summer range and USD holding a modest haven bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44, no momentum extreme; the intraday range top at 1.1441 has capped the recovery.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14235 confirms a lower low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 1.14418 needed to reopen the range top
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg
15:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.14288
Intraday range, price near lower half.
EURUSD is boxed between 1.1424 and 1.1447 through the NY session, in line with the 1.1350-1.1450 summer range. Price rejected the 1.1447 session high, spiked to 1.14235 then recovered, and is now drifting back toward the range floor with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1424, 1.14235
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
M15 close above 1.1447 clears the session high and reopens 1.1450
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range-bound; NY swept session low then recovered to mid-range.
NY session swept the session low at 1.14235 on a fast down-bar before buyers stepped back in, lifting price to 1.14327 near the 38.2% fib of the 1.14473-1.14235 slide. Pair remains hemmed in the 1.1424-1.1442 range with USD firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes; RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14235 confirms a lower-low and voids the range read
Reclaim of 1.14418 session high needed to reopen the 1.14473 day high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver via the USD leg
15:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.14327
Intraday range, session low swept and reclaimed.
NY session flushed to a session low of 1.14235 near 14:00 UTC then reclaimed it, price stabilising back at 1.14327 in the middle of the intraday range. USD firm on Strait of Hormuz safe-haven flows caps EUR upside, keeping the pair boxed between 1.14235 and 1.14418.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14418 opens a retest of the 1.14473 day high
Loss of 1.14235 confirms a lower low and extends the drop
14:46 UTC
Rangebound, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 1.14335
Choppy range, recent low swept and recovered.
EURUSD chopped in a 1.1424-1.1447 range through the London-NY window, with a sharp NY-hours drop sweeping the 1.1424 swing low before buyers pulled it back to 1.14335. RSI(14) neutral near 47; price sits mid-range with EMA20/50 flat overhead as EUR stays capped by a firm USD.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14410 prior high reopens the 1.14473 session high
Failure to hold 1.14240 swing low confirms a lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed the dominant driver via the USD leg
14:46 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14335
Intraday range, session low swept then recovered.
EUR chopped in a 1.1425–1.1445 band through the NY session before a sharp spike swept the session low to 1.14235, then recovered to 1.14335 as traders squared into Wednesday's FOMC minutes. RSI(14) near 49 — no momentum edge, price back mid-range after the sweep.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14415, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14415 would re-open the 1.14473 session high
Failure to hold 1.14235 confirms a lower-low and range break
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
14:31 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 43 · price 1.1429
Intraday range, low swept and reclaimed.
EURUSD ranged 1.1424–1.1447 through the session, glued to the 1.1400 area consensus. NY hours produced a sweep of the lows to 1.1424 followed by a bounce back to 1.1429; RSI sits mid-range with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1440 puts the 1.1447 session high back in play
EUR/USD chopped in a 1.1424–1.1447 band through the NY session, glued to the 1.1400 pivot the macro read flags. A sharp flush late in the window rejected the 1.1440 area and tagged 1.1424 before bouncing to 1.1429; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 opens the 1.1400 pivot
reclaim of 1.1440 puts the 1.1447 session high back in play
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range
14:16 UTC
Range, edging to lower end · RSI 43 · price 1.1426
Intraday range 1.1424-1.1447, testing floor.
EUR/USD held a tight 1.1424-1.1447 range through Asia and London, then a sharp NY-open sell-off swept the session low at 1.1424 before snapping back to 1.1426, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price now sits below both EMAs at the lower end of the range, prior swing at 1.1440 capping.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 opens the 1.1400 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.1440 prior swing puts range top back in play
FOMC June minutes tomorrow could break the range
14:16 UTC
Range, tilting lower late NY · RSI 40 · price 1.1426
Intraday range, sharp drop to session low on final bar.
EUR/USD held its 1.1424–1.1447 range through the session before a sharp late-NY drop from 1.1440 to the session low at 1.1424, RSI(14) rolling into the low 40s. Price stuck around the 1.1400-plus zone flagged in the digest, with the German IP beat faded and USD firm.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1447
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.1424 session low opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1447 session high negates the late drop
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.14367
Range-bound, holding above session lows.
EURUSD chopping in a ~1.1425–1.1447 band through the NY session, glued to the 1.1400 pivot per the summer-range read. Buyers stepped in near 1.14247 more than once; RSI(14) neutral around 52 and ATR only ~6 pips signal a quiet, no-setup tape.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1430, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.14247 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.14367
Consolidation inside 1.1425–1.1447.
EURUSD chopping either side of 1.1437 during NY hours, boxed between the 1.1447 session high and the 1.1425 area, consistent with the wider 1.1350–1.1450 summer range noted in the digest. NY tried the topside toward 1.14418 twice but faded back to the mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 53, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.14250 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
FOMC minutes Wed could break this range structure
13:46 UTC
Range, mild upward drift into NY · RSI 56 · price 1.14386
Consolidation between 1.1425 and 1.1447.
EURUSD chopping in a tight 1.1425–1.1447 band, pinned above the 1.1400 summer pivot as the USD holds firm ahead of FOMC minutes. Price recovered off 1.14250 into the NY session, now mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 session high opens the path to the 1.1475 range cap
Loss of 1.14250 session low confirms a lower-low and shifts the range floor toward 1.1400
FOMC minutes tomorrow could materially shift this read
EURUSD is churning between 1.1425 and 1.1447 through the NY session, currently mid-range at 1.1439 after a bounce off the 1.14250 swing low. EUR remains pinned just above 1.1400 with USD two-way into Wednesday's FOMC minutes; no directional setup in play here.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path toward the range top
Failure to hold 1.14250 confirms a lower-low
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Sideways, mid-range · RSI 53 · price 1.14364
Range-bound between 1.1423 and 1.1447.
EURUSD is chopping mid-range between 1.1423 and 1.1447 into the NY session, with USD ticking firmer ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price recovered off the 1.1423 swing low back toward the mid-1.1430s, RSI(14) neutral near 53 — no directional break in play.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14231, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 opens the 1.1475 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1423 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1400 pivot
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range
13:31 UTC
Sideways, mild recovery · RSI 53 · price 1.14364
Range-bound between 1.1425 and 1.1447.
EURUSD is consolidating just above 1.1400, chopping in a 1.1425–1.1447 band through the NY session as USD firms ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price bounced off the 1.14243 session low and is grinding back toward 1.1440; RSI(14) neutral near 53 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14243, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path toward the range top / 1.1475
Break below 1.14243 exposes the 1.1400 range floor
FOMC June minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read via the USD leg
13:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 51 · price 1.14342
Ranging inside 1.1425–1.1447.
EUR/USD is chopping mid-range in the NY session, hovering near 1.1434 with RSI(14) flat around 51. The pair holds the summer band above 1.1400; the 1.14473 session high capped the London push and demand stepped in twice near 1.14247.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens a test of the range top toward 1.1450
Loss of 1.14247 exposes the 1.14200 psych area
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
13:16 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.14342
Ranging just above 1.1400.
EURUSD chopping in the NY session between the 1.14247 range low and 1.14418 session high, holding just above the 1.1400 pivot as USD ticks firmer into Wednesday's FOMC minutes. A bounce off 1.14302 stalled below 1.14418, RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no directional break in play.
Support: 1.14302, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14418 opens the path to the 1.14473 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14247 confirms a lower low out of the range
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this consolidation via the USD leg
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1423 range floor into the NY open, tagging 1.1442 before easing back to 1.1436. Price has held a tight 1.1425–1.1447 band all session; strong German IP drew no bid as the pair waits on Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14231, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path back toward range top
Loss of 1.1423 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver
13:01 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 52 · price 1.14358
Intraday range, mid-range chop.
EURUSD is ranging 1.14247–1.14473 across the session with no directional development, price parked mid-range near 1.1436 and RSI neutral. The bounce off 1.14247 stalled at 1.14415 before fading, keeping EUR pinned as the USD stays firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14415, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path back toward the 1.1475 range top
Break below 1.14247 exposes the 1.1400 range floor
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver via USD
12:46 UTC
Sideways, minor rebound off session low · RSI 54 · price 1.14372
Range-bound, holding above session low.
EURUSD is range-bound between 1.14247 and 1.14473 through the London-NY transition, with strong German industrial production drawing no EUR bid. The 1.14247 session low held and price rebounded to 1.14415 before easing back to 1.14372; RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14415, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path back toward the range top
Loss of 1.14247 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC minutes Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver via USD
12:46 UTC
Rangebound, no clear momentum · RSI 55 · price 1.14372
Consolidation within intraday range.
EURUSD chopping between 1.14247 and 1.14473 through the NY session, with a quick pop to 1.14418 in the last hour then a fade back to 1.14372. USD holding firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes has kept the pair pinned near the 1.1400 pivot; strong German data drew no bid.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path toward the range top
Loss of 1.14247 exposes the 1.14200 range floor
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
12:31 UTC
Range recovery, edging to range top · RSI 64 · price 1.14402
Consolidation between 1.1425 and 1.1447.
EURUSD is pressing the top of a 1.1425–1.1447 consolidation after buyers held twice near the 1.14247 swing low. The last bar into the NY hours pushed back toward 1.1440 with RSI(14) around 63; USD stayed firm on safe-haven demand, keeping the pair capped in its summer range.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path back to the range top break
Loss of 1.14247 swing low confirms a lower-low
FOMC June minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the primary USD driver ahead
12:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 1.14402
Consolidation inside 1.1425–1.1447 band.
Into the London-NY transition EUR clawed back from the 1.1425 range low toward the 1.1447 prior high, RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Price is boxed in the 1.1425–1.1447 band with the 1.14473 session high still capping.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 1.14247 confirms a lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the near-term USD driver
12:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 54 · price 1.14332
Consolidation inside session range.
EURUSD is grinding sideways between 1.14247 and 1.14387, pinned sub-1.1450 as the digest notes, with price sitting mid-range near 1.1433 and RSI(14) flat around the midline. London-NY session bought the 1.14247 dip twice and stalled at the 1.14387 swing high; no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14247
Resistance: 1.14387, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14387 opens a retest of the 1.14473 session high
Loss of 1.14247 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US ADP 4-week average due ~12:15 UTC could inject intraday volatility
FOMC minutes Wed is the primary USD catalyst that would reshape this read
12:16 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 53 · price 1.14332
Consolidation between 1.1425 and 1.1447.
EUR/USD is grinding sideways in a 1.1425–1.1447 band into the London-NY transition, pinned sub-1.1450 despite the strong German IP beat. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1425 and price has recovered to mid-range at 1.1433; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.14247, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 opens the range top toward 1.1475
Failure to hold 1.1425 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1408
FOMC minutes Wed is the primary USD driver — can break this range
EURUSD drifted off the overnight high near 1.1447 into London, based twice around 1.1425 and recovered into NY hours to 1.1432. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 54; the 1.1425–1.1447 band still contains the tape.
Support: 1.14247, 1.14172
Resistance: 1.14387, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14387 opens the path back to the 1.14473 day high
Loss of 1.14247 exposes 1.14172 and confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes (Wed) are the near-term USD driver that could break this range
12:01 UTC
Sideways, consolidating under 1.1450 · RSI 51 · price 1.14323
Range-bound between 1.1425 and 1.1447.
EURUSD is consolidating in a 1.1425–1.1447 band through the London session, pinned just under 1.1450 in line with the broader range-fade tone. Buyers stepped in at 1.14247 twice this afternoon while RSI(14) sits near 50 — no momentum edge either way, price hovering around EMA20.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 session low opens the 1.1420 round number
Close above 1.14370 recent high exposes the 1.14450 prior high
US ADP 4-wk average (12:15 UTC) may inject near-term volatility
EURUSD stuck in a 1.1423–1.1447 range through Asia into the London session, EUR soft ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Buyers stepped in around 1.1423 and price has clawed back to mid-range with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips.
Support: 1.14231, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.14368, 1.14447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14368 opens the path back to 1.14447
Failure to hold 1.14231 confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
11:46 UTC
Range, no directional bias · RSI 53 · price 1.14322
Rangebound 1.1425-1.1447, mid-range.
EURUSD is grinding mid-range around 1.1432, soft and directionless as USD holds firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. NY hours swept the session low to 1.14231 before buyers lifted it back to 1.14387; that bounce has since faded, leaving price pinned between 1.1425 and the 1.1447 range top.
Support: 1.14247, 1.14231
Resistance: 1.14387, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14387 opens the path to the 1.14473 range top
Failure to hold 1.14247 reopens the 1.14231 sweep low
FOMC minutes Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst for this range
11:31 UTC
Recovering off session lows within range · RSI 59 · price 1.1436
Double bottom at 1.1425, retracing prior drop.
EURUSD bounced off a double bottom at 1.1425 through the London-NY transition and is grinding back toward the 1.1440 prior high, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Price holds the well-worn 1.1350-1.1450 summer range with a mild USD tilt ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes; session high at 1.1447 caps.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1447 opens the range top toward 1.1475
Failure to hold 1.1425 reopens the 1.1408 swing low and 1.1400 psych level
EUR/USD bounced off a double bottom at 1.1425 during London hours and has clawed back to 1.1436, roughly the 50% retrace of the 1.1447-1.1425 drop. RSI(14) near 57, no extreme; price stuck mid-range with the 1.1440 pivot capping and 1.1425 holding as demand.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1414
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1440 pivot opens a retest of the 1.1447 session high
Failure to hold 1.1425 confirms a lower low toward 1.1414
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
11:17 UTC
Downtrend easing, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.14334
Pullback off session high, holding above session low.
EURUSD sold off from the 1.14473 session high to a session low at 1.14231, and is now grinding back to 1.14334 — a shallow bounce into the EMA50. Price sits in the middle of a tight 1.14231–1.14473 band, soft and rangebound as the USD holds firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14231, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 reopens the top of the intraday range
loss of 1.14231 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
EUR faded from the 1.1447 swing high through the NY session and based twice near the 1.1423 session low, now grinding back toward mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 53. Rangebound 1.1423–1.1447 into London hours, USD steady sub-101.00 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14231, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14231 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1408 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.1440 round level exposes the 1.1447 swing high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and can break this range
11:01 UTC
Rangebound, drifting off highs · RSI 52 · price 1.14328
Consolidation below intraday high.
EURUSD ran up to 1.14473 during the London-NY overlap then faded through the NY session to a 1.14247 low, roughly a 61.8% retrace of the intraday advance from 1.14082. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1425 and price has recovered to 1.14328 in early London, RSI(14) neutral around 52; no directional follow-through with 1.1400 pivot still intact below.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14473 swing high opens the path toward the 1.1475 range top
Failure to hold 1.14247 session low exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Fed Bowman (11:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes Wed could shift this read
EUR faded from the 1.1447 session high through the London-NY window to a low at 1.1425, in line with the pair pinned near range lows despite a strong German IP beat drawing no bid. Price is now recovering into 1.1433 with RSI back above 50; the string of lower highs stays intact below 1.1439.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14388, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14388 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14247 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1420
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break the 1.1350-1.1450 range
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14473 session high and drifted through Asia to test the 1.1423 base repeatedly, where demand has stepped in during London hours. Price is grinding back toward 1.1434 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the pair continues to ignore firm EUR data as it holds the 1.1350-1.1450 summer range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14231, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14337, 1.14447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14337 opens the path back toward 1.14447
Loss of 1.14231 confirms a lower low and pressures 1.1420
Fed Bowman at 11:00 UTC could shift the USD tone this session
EURUSD faded from the 1.1447 session high in a lower-high sequence and found a floor at 1.1423, now ticking back to 1.1430. USD stayed firm into Wednesday's FOMC minutes and a strong German IP beat drew no EUR bid; pair still boxed inside the 1.1350–1.1450 summer range.
EUR/USD topped at 1.14473 in the prior London session and drifted lower through NY, now basing between 1.1423 and 1.1435 with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Pair stays offered sub-1.1450 as the summer range holds and the market waits on Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14231, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14231 session low confirms a lower low toward the 1.14082 range low
Reclaim of the 1.14354 swing high needed to re-challenge the 1.14473 session high
FOMC minutes Wed is the dominant USD driver — can break this range either way
EUR/USD rallied through London into a 1.14473 session high, then bled lower in a series of lower highs and now sits near 1.1429, holding the 1.1423 swing low. USD firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes is keeping the pair capped, leaving price ranging 1.1423–1.1436.
Support: 1.14231, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14231 opens toward the 1.14200 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14360 lower high needed to challenge the 1.14473 session high
FOMC minutes Wed is the dominant USD driver this week
EUR/USD topped at 1.1447 overnight then rolled over through the European morning, tagging the 61.8% retracement of the up-leg at 1.14231 before a modest bounce to 1.14289. The pair stays offered sub-1.1450 as the USD holds firm into Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14231, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14231 opens the path to 1.14082
Fed Bowman speech ~11:00 UTC could shift the USD read
10:16 UTC
Intraday drift lower off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14289
Ranging below 1.1447 peak, lower highs.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1447 London session high and is now ranging 1.1425-1.1435, holding near the 50% retrace of the earlier rally with EUR pinned in its summer band ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.14247, 1.14231
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1423 opens the path toward the range floor
Reclaim of 1.1435 puts 1.1447 session high back in focus
Wed FOMC minutes remain the dominant USD swing factor
EUR/USD has drifted lower through the London session off the 1.14473 high, printing a fresh low at 1.14231 with RSI(14) near 38 and price under EMA20/50. Strong German IP drew no EUR bid as USD stayed firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14231, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14337, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14337 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.14231 opens the 1.1420 round number
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC the dominant USD driver
Sequence of lower highs off 1.1447, pressing session lows.
EURUSD is grinding lower from the 1.1447 session high, printing lower highs into the NY hours as USD ticked up ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes; price now pressing the 1.1423 session low with RSI(14) near 40. Rejections capped each bounce at 1.1432, keeping the intraday tilt to the downside within the broader summer range.
Support: 1.14231, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14231 session low opens 1.1420 psych
Close back above 1.14320 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD swing factor
09:46 UTC
Pullback lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.1428
Lower highs from 1.1447, basing near 1.1425.
EUR/USD topped near the 1.1447 session high during Asia, then drifted lower through the London session toward the 1.1425 base as the USD held a mild safe-haven bid ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price now ranging tight around 1.1428 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR near 5 pips; lower highs remain intact.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens the 1.1400 psych base
Reclaim of 1.1435 intraday cap challenges the 1.1447 session high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst this week
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1447 overnight high through the Asia session and has spent the London morning basing at 1.1425, with USD firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1425 but the 1.1434 lower high still caps; RSI(14) mid-range near 42.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a fresh lower low, opening 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1434 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main USD catalyst
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1447 swing high during the prior NY session and has since printed lower highs, basing around 1.1425 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Price is consolidating just above the 1.1425 low in the London-to-NY transition, in line with the pre-FOMC-minutes drift flagged in the context.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens the 1.1400 base
Reclaim of 1.1435 then 1.1447 would break the lower-high chain
Bowman speech (11:00 UTC) could inject USD volatility within the next few bars
Lower highs off session high, holding above session low.
EURUSD pinned in a tight range above 1.1400, drifting off the 1.14473 session high into a chain of lower highs through the London morning. Price is basing around 1.14247 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s; strong German industrial production drew no Euro bid as the USD holds a modest safe-haven tilt.
Support: 1.14247, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 opens a test toward the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14354 recent high needed to re-challenge the 1.14473 session high
Bowman speech (~11:00 UTC) could inject near-term USD volatility
Lower highs after 1.1447 rejection, holding above 1.1425.
EUR/USD stalled at the session high 1.1447 and has drifted back toward 1.1425 as the USD stays firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price is below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs; the 1.1425 swing low is the near-term floor, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens the 1.1408 session low
Reclaim of 1.1435 minor high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC June minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst this week
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14473 session high and printed a chain of lower highs, now consolidating around 1.1427 just above the 1.14247 swing low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s; USD firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes is the driver as the pair holds its 1.1400-handle base.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 confirms a lower low toward 1.14200
Reclaim of 1.14354 needed to re-challenge the 1.14473 session high
FOMC minutes Wed is the main USD catalyst this week
EUR/USD rolled over from the London-session high at 1.14473, printing lower highs into 1.14247 before a shallow bounce to 1.14272. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with USD staying firm on the Hormuz safe-haven bid; price is consolidating above the 1.1400 pivot with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 opens 1.1420 then the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14354 needed to re-challenge session high 1.14473
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) could inject intraday volatility
09:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend, pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14272
Lower highs since 1.1447, holding above 1.1425.
EURUSD rolled over from the session high at 1.14473 and has printed lower highs into the London hours, now holding the ~50% fib retracement of the prior up-leg near 1.1427. Price is chopping between 1.14247 and 1.14337 with RSI(14) mid-range; USD stays firm on Hormuz safe-haven flows.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14337, 1.14447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1400 pivot
Close above 1.14337 breaks the lower-high sequence
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC could shift this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14302
Lower highs into 1.1425 base, early London bounce.
EUR/USD drifted lower through NY into Asia from the 1.1447 day high down to a 1.14247 session low, RSI cooling into the mid-40s. Early London put in a modest bounce back to 1.1430, but the pair stays capped below the descending highs with USD's safe-haven bid limiting topside. Consolidating in the 1.1425-1.1447 band.
Support: 1.14247, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1408 prior low
Reclaim of 1.14354 recent high needed to challenge the 1.1447 day high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD rallied through the Asian session to 1.14473 before rolling over, printing lower highs into early London. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.14247, forming a double bottom near the 61.8% fib of the up leg, with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s. The 1.14400 round number and 1.14473 session high cap topside.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14340 bounce high opens the 1.14400 round number
Loss of 1.14247 double bottom exposes 1.14200
FOMC minutes Wed and German HICP Fri are key upcoming catalysts
London session rolled over from the session high at 1.14473 and printed a double bottom near 1.1425 before recovering to 1.14332, RSI(14) back to mid-range. Strong German industrial production (+0.9%) gave EUR a floor but topside stayed capped near the two-week high.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14400 needed to re-challenge the 1.14473 session high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Faded from session high, bouncing off session low.
EURUSD climbed to a session high at 1.14447 through the London hours then faded back toward 1.14247, where buyers stepped in on the last two bars to lift price to 1.14332. Grind holds above the 1.1400 pivot, supported by the strong German IP beat; no fresh directional traction below the session high.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14447
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14247 exposes the 1.14200 psych level then the 1.1400 pivot
M15 close above 1.14447 reopens the session-high topside
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and German HICP Fri could shift this read
08:17 UTC
Pulled back from session high, near-term lower highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14305
Intraday retrace holding the 1.1425 area.
EUR/USD pulled back from the session high at 1.14473 and has been probing the 1.1425 area through London hours, where buyers stepped in repeatedly. Strong German industrial production (+0.9% vs 0.2% f/c) gave a floor but no fresh push; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20/50 on the retrace.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14400 needed to re-challenge the 1.14473 session high
Lower highs from 1.1447, session low holding at 1.1425.
EURUSD rolled over from a double top at 1.14473 and ground lower through the Asia session into London, printing a session low at 1.14247 before a bounce back to 1.14305. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 45; sellers capped the last push at 1.14320 while demand held the 1.1425 low.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14320 and the descending resistance would negate the intraday downtrend
Loss of 1.14247 session low opens the 1.1400 pivot
German HICP Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the near-term EUR/USD catalysts
08:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14258
Lower highs, lower lows since NY high.
London morning grinding lower after rejection at the 1.14473 session high, printing lower highs and lower lows into a fresh session low at 1.14247, RSI(14) cooling near 38. EUR held above the 1.1400 pivot despite firm USD, backed by a strong German IP beat (+0.9% vs 0.2% f/c).
Support: 1.14247, 1.1421, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14247 opens 1.14210 then the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14320 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone
08:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14258
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1447.
EURUSD drifted lower through London hours after topping at 1.14473, printing a chain of lower highs down to 1.14247. RSI(14) near 37 and price below EMA20/50; the pair sits just above the 1.1400 pivot flagged in the range read, with no fresh catalyst on the tape ahead of FOMC minutes Wed.
Support: 1.14247, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14322, 1.14392, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14247 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14322 recent high stalls the downtrend read
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend from London highs · RSI 40 · price 1.14266
Lower highs, testing session low.
EUR/USD rolled over from the London high at 1.14473 and has ground lower through the session, sitting on the 1.1425 session low with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Move fits the broad USD-firm, EUR-soft read; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1425 confirms the lower-low and exposes 1.14082
M15 close back above 1.1432 stalls the downside drift
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the next major USD catalyst
07:46 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 41 · price 1.14266
Lower highs off 1.1447, drifting to session low.
EURUSD rallied into 1.1447 during the NY session then rolled over, and the London morning is grinding lower to test the session low at 1.14250 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. USD stays firm on the Fed repricing, keeping EUR offered within its range.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14250 exposes the 1.14210 fib zone
Reclaim of 1.14320 needed to challenge session high 1.14450
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14274
Lower highs since 1.1447 peak, testing session low.
EURUSD peaked near 1.1447 in late NY, then ground lower through Asia and into the London morning on broad USD firmness, printing lower highs and now sitting on the session low around 1.1426. RSI(14) near 40 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50; no fresh demand yet at the 1.1425 floor.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14250 session low exposes 1.14082
Reclaim of 1.14340 intraday would ease the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Pullback lower, off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14274
Lower highs since 1.1447, testing session lows.
London session drifting lower off the 1.14473 high, EUR soft near range lows on firm USD. Price is grinding out lower highs and now probing the 1.14250 session low, with RSI(14) mid-40s — no exhaustion yet.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14322, 1.1439, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14250 opens 1.14200 round number
Reclaim of 1.14322 recent high breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset this range read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14277
Lower highs, retracing intraday rally.
Price faded from the 1.14473 session high through the London open and now sits on the 50% retracement of the prior rally near 1.1428, EUR soft on broad USD strength. Lower highs stacking, RSI(14) mid-40s; 1.1425 session low is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14250 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.14082
Reclaim of 1.14380 negates the intraday fade
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14277
Lower highs since London high, grinding toward session low.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14473 London session high and has printed a chain of lower highs into the July 7 London session, now testing the 1.1425 session low as the USD holds firm. RSI(14) sits near 40, no oversold signal yet; price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14257, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14250 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14320 breaks the descending lower-high structure
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14292
Lower highs since 1.1447 peak.
London session rolled over from the 1.14473 session high, sliding through the morning as the USD stayed broadly firm. Price is now stabilising around 1.1428-1.1430 just above the 1.14250 session low, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 after cooling. Both EMAs sit above price on this pullback.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14250 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.14082 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14390 breakdown zone negates the intraday slide
Hold of 1.14250 keeps the range intact toward the round number at 1.14000
07:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14292
Lower highs after rejection at 1.1447.
EUR/USD carved a session high at 1.1447 then rolled over, retracing roughly half of the prior up-leg to trade near 1.1429 into the London open. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling toward 40; sequence of lower highs into 1.1440 keeps the pullback intact.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.1440 negates the pullback and reopens 1.1447
FOMC minutes Wed could reset the USD leg driving this pair
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, pulling off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.14292
Lower highs, lower lows since NY high.
EUR/USD is sliding off the 1.14473 session high in a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into early London, now probing the 1.1425 support after a 50-62% retrace of the prior advance. RSI(14) near 39 with EUR capped by broad USD strength; ATR is thin at ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1435 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.1425 exposes 1.1410 support
Thin early-London liquidity — moves can overshoot
06:46 UTC
Rolled over from session high, downtrend developing · RSI 41 · price 1.14292
Lower highs since 1.1447, testing session low 1.1425.
EUR peaked at 1.14473 mid-window then printed a chain of lower highs into the London morning, sliding to 1.1425 with RSI(14) around 41 — USD firm broadly keeps EUR capped. Price now hovers at 1.14292, mid-way between the 1.1425 session low and 1.1434 intraday resistance.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a lower low, exposes 1.1408
reclaim of 1.1434 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed could reprice USD and shift this read
06:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 1.14286
Lower highs off 1.14473, testing range mid.
EUR/USD stalled at the 1.14473 session high overnight and has bled lower into the London session, printing lower highs and now trading 1.14286 around the 50% retrace of the prior rally. USD stays firm and RSI(14) has cooled toward 39; the 1.14250 session low is the immediate line, with the 1.1400 range floor beneath.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14250 exposes the 1.1400 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14340 negates the lower-high sequence
German Industrial Production due could shift the near-term read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.14286
Lower highs since 1.1447 top, broke intraday support.
EURUSD topped near 1.14473 in the NY session, then ground lower through Asia into early London, breaking the 1.14353 flip level and printing a fresh 1.1425 recent low before a small bounce to 1.14286. USD firmness keeps the euro pinned to the base of its 1.1400 range with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Reclaim of 1.14353 flip level negates the intraday downdrift
German Industrial Production due could inject early-London volatility
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 36 · price 1.14299
Lower highs into session lows.
EUR/USD rolled off the 1.14473 session high and slid into 1.1425-1.1430 through the early London hours, with a broadly firm USD keeping the euro offered near its 1.1400 range floor. RSI(14) cooling toward 36; price now below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14082, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.14250 exposes 1.14082 then the 1.1390-1.1410 support base
Reclaim of 1.14350 would neutralise the intraday lower-high sequence
06:16 UTC
Downdrift off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14299
Lower highs, sliding to range floor.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14470 session high through the London-NY transition, printing lower highs and sliding to the 1.14250 session low into early London. RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s, with broad USD firmness keeping the euro pinned near the 1.1400 range floor.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 break below the 1.1400 range floor exposes the 1.1210 zone
Reclaim of the 1.14340 swing pivot would ease the near-term slide
FOMC minutes Wed could shift the USD tone
06:01 UTC
Pullback lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14318
Lower highs since 1.1447, rolling over.
London opened with EUR/USD sliding off the 1.1447 session high back to 1.1432, RSI(14) around 40 as the pullback extends. Firm USD keeps the euro pinned; price now below EMA20/EMA50 after a run of lower highs.
Support: 1.14278, 1.1411, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14278 exposes the 1.1410 prior low and the 1.1390-1.1410 cluster
Reclaim of 1.14390 (EMA20) needed to negate the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed and German HICP Fri could reset this read
06:01 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 1.14318
Lower highs off 1.1447, testing 1.1428 support.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.14473 through European hours, printing lower highs and now probing 1.1428 with RSI(14) around 42. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the euro stays soft near the bottom of its range, with the USD story dominating.
Support: 1.14278, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.1428 exposes the 1.14082 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14400 negates the lower-high sequence
German Industrial Production due this session could move the pair
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, at session low · RSI 35 · price 1.14291
Lower highs, breaking intraday support.
EUR/USD ground lower through the late Asia into London hours, rolling off the 1.14473 session high and slicing 1.14340 support to print fresh lows at 1.14285. USD firmness keeps the pair pinned toward the 1.1400 range floor flagged in the macro read; RSI(14) sub-35, near-term stretched but not extreme.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14473
What it said to watch
German IP at 06:00 UTC could jolt this read within the next bar
Loss of 1.14285 opens the 1.1400 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14340 negates the lower-high structure
EUR/USD ground lower through Asia into early Europe, sliding from a late-US high at 1.1447 to the session low at 1.1428 as a broadly firm USD keeps the pair pinned near the 1.1400 range floor. RSI(14) is in the mid-30s with price below EMA20/50; no bounce established yet.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1428 exposes the 1.1400 range floor
reclaim of 1.1434 needed to ease intraday downside pressure
German IP 06:00 UTC could add follow-through
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, recent leg lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14317
Lower highs, fresh session low.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14473 overnight high, printing lower highs and a fresh session low at 1.14297 as London opened; RSI(14) mid-40s. The pullback sits near the 40% retrace of the 1.1408–1.1447 leg, with the USD broadly firm capping recovery attempts.
Support: 1.14297, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14473
What it said to watch
German IP at 06:00 UTC could shift this intraday read
M15 close below 1.14297 confirms a lower low toward 1.14082
Reclaim of 1.14420 negates the lower-high sequence
05:31 UTC
Rolling over from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.14317
Lower highs off 1.1447, fading toward range floor.
EUR ground up through the Asian session to 1.1447 then rolled over, printing lower highs and slipping back toward the range floor as the USD stayed firm. Price now at 1.14317 with RSI(14) mid-30s; session low at 1.14297 the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.14297, 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14297 confirms a lower-low, exposes 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14450 negates the fade
German IP (06:00 UTC) could shift this read within the hour
London session drove EUR/USD to a session high at 1.14473 before it rolled over, printing lower highs into the current 1.14335 as the USD stays broadly bid. Price is retracing roughly a third of the prior up-leg and now sits below both EMAs; the 1.14390 pivot capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1418, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14473
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14300 exposes the 1.14180 prior range and 1.14082 session low
Reclaim of 1.14390 recent pivot negates the pullback read
German IP 06:00 UTC could shift this near-term
05:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.14335
Lower highs since 1.1447 top, grinding to session lows.
EURUSD topped at the session high 1.1447 during the London-NY session and has since ground lower through Asia, now probing session lows near 1.1434 with RSI(14) in the high 30s. Broad USD strength keeps the pair pinned toward the 1.1400 range floor; the retrace of the earlier rally is deepening.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1444
What it said to watch
German IP at 06:00 UTC could inject volatility into the next bars
Close below 1.14082 swing low exposes the 1.1400 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14440 supply would negate the lower-high sequence
Lower highs off 1.1447, shallow retrace of prior up leg.
M15 rallied off the 1.1408 range floor through NY into a 1.1447 session high, then rejected and stalled into a run of lower highs. Price is now drifting toward the London open near 1.14360, a shallow retrace of that leg with RSI cooling and price back below EMA20.
Support: 1.14345, 1.14324, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14324 (38.2% fib) exposes 1.1428 then the 1.1408 range floor
reclaim of the 1.14473 session high needed to resume the up leg
German IP 06:00 UTC could inject volatility into this drift
EUR climbed off the 1.14082 swing low through London-NY to a session high at 1.14473, then stalled and drifted lower into Asia with RSI cooling toward 43. Solid EZ data failed to lift the Euro as the USD stayed bid; price now hugging 1.14345 support, mid-range and below EMA20.
Support: 1.14345, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14345 exposes the 1.14082 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14473 session high needed to resume the up-leg
German IP 06:00 UTC could drive follow-through in the next bars
04:47 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14373
NY high rejected, shallow pullback into Asia.
NY session drove EUR/USD up to 1.14473 before rejection, and the Asian session has drifted it back to 1.14373 in quiet, low-range trade. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s; the pair remains pinned near the 1.1400–1.1800 range base as a firm USD keeps the Euro offered.
Support: 1.14357, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 reopens the path toward 1.14500
Failure to hold 1.14357 exposes 1.14300
German IP (06:00 UTC) and Wed FOMC Minutes could shift this read
EUR/USD rallied through London-NY from the 1.14082 swing low to a 1.14473 session high, then rolled into an Asia-session consolidation, drifting to 1.14373 just under EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the move digests; range floor sits at 1.14357.
Support: 1.14357, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14357 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.14082
Reclaim of 1.14473 resumes the intraday uptrend toward 1.14500
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could inject volatility
04:31 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 43 · price 1.14366
Lower highs off 1.14473, testing range base.
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session to 1.14473 before rejecting and grinding out lower highs; early Asia now drifts back to the session base near 1.14360 with USD firm and the pair pinned to its 1.1400 range floor. RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR compressed to ~4 pips — quiet, range-bound action.
Support: 1.14357, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14357 opens the path to 1.14300
Reclaim of 1.14440 needed to retest session high 1.14473
German IP 06:00 UTC; FOMC minutes Wed could reset the read
04:31 UTC
Pulling back off session high, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14366
Rolled over from 1.1447, lower highs into Asia.
EUR peaked at 1.1447 during NY hours then rolled over, grinding lower through the Asia session to 1.1436 as broad USD strength kept it pinned near the 1.1400 range base. Price has carved lower highs since the peak, RSI(14) cooling near 41. Holding just above the 1.14357 recent low.
Support: 1.14357, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14357 exposes 1.1430 and the 1.1400 base
Reclaim of 1.14450 needed to reopen the session high
German IP 06:00 UTC and FOMC minutes Wed could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14376
Rally to 1.1447 stalling, lower highs into Asia.
Prior NY session pushed to a session high at 1.14473 before rejecting; Asia has drifted lower on broad USD firmness, printing lower highs back toward the 1.1400 pivot. Price now hovers 1.14376 between 1.14357 support and the pivot, RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.14357, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
close below 1.14357 confirms a lower low toward 1.1430
reclaim of 1.14400 pivot reopens 1.14473 session high
German IP (06:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes Wed could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14376
Consolidation below session high after failed push at 1.1447.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1408 swing low through London-NY to tag 1.1447, then rejected and drifted back to 1.1437 into the Asia session with RSI(14) cooling near 43. Price pinned to the 1.1400 range base, capped by supply at 1.1447; no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1436 exposes the 1.1408 swing low then 1.1400 range base
Reclaim of 1.1447 session high needed to revisit 1.1470 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
04:01 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 42 · price 1.14367
Faded from session high, drifting into Asia.
EURUSD rallied off 1.1408 into the 1.1447 session high, then faded and is now drifting near 1.1436 through the quiet Asia session, pinned to the 1.1400 range base amid broad USD strength. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price is back below EMA20/EMA50 after the reversal.
Support: 1.14355, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14355 opens the path back toward the 1.1408 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14473 needed to reassert the intraday rally
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.14367
Higher highs into 1.14473, now retracing.
EURUSD rallied off 1.14082 through the Asia session to a 1.14473 high, then rejected and drifted back to 1.14367, now sitting below EMA20/50 as the move cools. Price is holding the 1.14357 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s; consolidation just above the 1.14400 pivot into early London.
Support: 1.14357, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473
What it said to watch
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
Loss of 1.14357 opens the 1.14300 round level
Reclaim of 1.14400 pivot puts 1.14473 session high back in play
Consolidation below 1.1447 cap after intraday rally.
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1408 through the NY session to a 1.1447 cap, twice rejected there before drifting back to 1.1437 in early Asia. RSI cooling toward neutral and ATR compressing — consolidation just above the 1.1436 recent low ahead of German IP at 06:00 UTC.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1428, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1436 breaks the recent low and opens 1.1428
Reclaim of 1.1447 needed to resume the intraday advance
EURUSD recovered off the 1.14082 low through the prior NY session up to 1.14473, then rejected and is now consolidating near 1.1437 in Asian hours with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Session high at 1.1447 capped the last push; buyers held around 1.1436 on the pullback.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 reopens the topside toward 1.1470
Loss of 1.1436 exposes the 1.1430 prior pivot
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD climbed from the 1.1408 swing low through NY into the overnight session, printing a session high at 1.14473 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in thin Asia trade between 1.1438 and 1.1447 with RSI(14) back to neutral; broad USD firmness keeps the topside cap near 1.1470 in play.
Support: 1.1438, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path to the 1.1470 topside cap
Loss of the 1.1438 range base exposes 1.1408 swing low
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could break this consolidation
03:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14391
Consolidation near session highs.
EURUSD ground higher off the 1.1408 low through NY into a tight 1.1438–1.1447 consolidation, with the 1.14473 session high capping. Asia session is thin (volume collapsing on the last bars) and RSI(14) has flattened near 49 — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.1438, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 extends the intraday leg toward 1.1470
Loss of 1.14380 range floor exposes 1.14340 swing low
German IP 06:00 UTC could break the Asian consolidation
Consolidation below session high after rally off 1.1408.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1408 low to a session high of 1.14473, then rolled into a tight consolidation around 1.1440 through Asian hours, with EUR still pinned near its 1.1400 range base on broad USD firmness. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the pullback holds above the 1.14377 swing low.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14473 reopens the 1.14500 topside
Loss of 1.14377 breaks the consolidation floor and exposes 1.14300
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14409
Consolidating near session highs after a climb off the low.
EURUSD ground up from the session low at 1.14082 through the NY session to peak at 1.14473, and has since flattened into a tight consolidation around 1.1441. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s as price holds just above EMA20; the session-high band at 1.1447 caps the topside for now.
Support: 1.1438, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.1470 range resistance
Failure to hold the 1.1438 swing pivot exposes 1.14082 then the 1.1400 range floor
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD rallied through the London-NY hours to a session high at 1.1447 before drifting back to 1.1439 on thin Asia liquidity, RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Broad USD strength kept the pair pinned near the 1.1400 range floor all session; price is now consolidating below the highs with no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.1438, 1.1429, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14380 exposes 1.14290 then the 1.14082 day low
Reclaim of 1.14473 session high reopens the topside
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after 40-pip rally.
EUR/USD rallied from the 1.1408 session low to tag 1.1447 twice, then rejected and drifted back to 1.1439 into early Asia. Broad USD firmness is capping topside while the 1.1400 range floor stays intact; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price consolidates below the session high.
Support: 1.1437, 1.1430, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1437 exposes 1.1430 then the 1.1408 session low
Break above 1.1447 reopens 1.1475
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could shift the EUR read
Price climbed through the NY session to 1.14473 then stalled, now drifting sideways around 1.1441 in thin Asia-session trade. Two rejections at 1.1447 cap the topside; 1.14377 held as the last higher low, keeping the shallow uptrend intact.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14475 opens the path toward 1.1475
Failure to hold 1.14377 exposes the 1.1400 range floor
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD rallied through the European session from 1.1408 to 1.1447 as upbeat German factory orders offset broad USD firmness, then rolled into a tight consolidation. Now drifting around 1.1440 in thin Asian-session trade, holding above the 1.14377 swing low with the 1.14473 session high capping.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1446
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14473 extends the rally leg toward 1.1470/1.1475
Loss of 1.14377 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 1.14405
Higher lows into NY high, overnight range.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.1408 dip, tagging a session high at 1.14473 before easing. Asian session is now consolidating in a tight, thin-volume range around 1.1440, holding above the 1.1400 floor flagged in the broad USD-firm backdrop.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14368, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.1450 area
Loss of 1.1400 exposes the 1.14368 swing low
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could break the overnight range
Higher lows off 1.14082, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.14082 session low through the prior session to a 1.14473 high, then stalled into the Asia session with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.14377–1.14473 band, holding just above the 1.1400 range floor flagged in the broad USD-strength read.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path toward 1.1475
Loss of 1.14377 exposes the 1.1400 range floor
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session and into Asia, printing a session high at 1.14473 before stalling, now consolidating just below it near 1.1442. RSI mid-range with no extreme; broad USD strength is capping further topside per the macro read, keeping price pinned to the 1.1440 area.
Support: 1.1438, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.1470 resistance zone
Loss of 1.1438 breaks the rising support and exposes 1.14082
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
NY hours lifted EURUSD off the 1.1408 low to a 1.14473 session high before stalling. Asian session is drifting sideways in a tight 1.1438–1.1447 band, RSI mid-range and momentum flattening as broad USD firmness caps the topside.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.1470 area
Loss of 1.14377 unwinds the recovery toward 1.1408
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground higher from the 1.1408 session low into NY, tagging 1.1447 before stalling in quiet Asia hours on light volume. Price is now coiled just under the session high with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.1438, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14473 opens 1.1450
Loss of 1.14380 reopens the 1.1408 session low
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could shift the EUR read
Consolidating below session high after grind higher.
EURUSD ground higher through the prior session and is now consolidating near the session high at 1.1447 in early Asia, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Recent dips into 1.1438 were bought, keeping the near-term higher-low structure intact off the 1.1408 base.
Support: 1.1438, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 opens the path to 1.1470
Loss of 1.1438 breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 1.1408
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below 1.1447 high.
EUR climbed off the 1.1408 session low to 1.1447 through the US-Asia handoff, then stalled and pulled back to 1.1440 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Rejection near 1.1447 has capped the topside; consolidation now between 1.1438 and 1.1447 in thin Asia trade, with the broad USD bid keeping a lid on gains.
Support: 1.1438, 1.1432, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1438 breaks the consolidation and re-exposes 1.1432
Close above 1.1447 opens the path toward 1.1452
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
EUR/USD ground higher off the 1.14082 low through the European and US sessions to a 1.14473 high, then rolled into a tight 1.1438–1.1445 consolidation as Asia trades thin. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral and price is holding just under EMA20 after the pullback.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 reopens the path to the 1.1475 area
Loss of 1.14377 exposes the 1.14300 prior swing
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift the EUR read
01:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 54 · price 1.14432
Consolidating just under session high after NY rally.
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1408 low up to 1.14473, then Asia has stalled in a tight 1.1437–1.1447 band beneath the high with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Topside stays capped in line with the heavy sub-1.1470 tone; last bar recovered to 1.14432 but the session high is unbroken.
Support: 1.1437, 1.1428, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.1450 round number
Failure to hold 1.1437 exposes 1.1428 then the 1.1408 session low
01:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.14432
Ranging near session highs after NY rally.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1408 session low through NY, topping at 1.14473 before fading into thin Asia-session flow. Now ranging 1.14377–1.14473, RSI(14) neutral near 53; USD held firm on the Hormuz safe-haven bid, capping the topside.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1426, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 opens the 1.14260 swing pivot
Reclaim of 1.14473 exposes the 1.14500 round number
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
01:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.14386
Higher highs into 1.1447 then intraday pullback.
EUR/USD climbed steadily through NY hours off the 1.1408 low to a session high of 1.1447, then rejected and drifted back to 1.1438 into the thin Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the pullback unwinds the up-leg; price now sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1438 rising support opens 1.1408 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1447 session high needed to resume the up-leg toward 1.1470 range top
NY session rallied from the London low at 1.14082 to a session high of 1.14473, where price was rejected. Asian session is drifting lower, now sitting on the 1.14377 swing low with RSI(14) cooled back to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.14200 mid-range
Reclaim of 1.14473 puts the 1.14500 psych level back in play
German Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 49 · price 1.14389
HH/HL chain into 1.1447, now easing in Asia.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session from 1.1408 to a 1.1447 session high before rejection capped the topside, in line with the known EZ data-resilience story failing to force a range-top break. Asia-session bars are drifting back to 1.1439 on thin volume, price slipping below EMA20 while holding above the rising-low line.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1435, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1447 session high opens the 1.1500 psych level
Loss of 1.1437 session low breaks the rising-low structure, exposing 1.1435/1.1430
Asia session drifting after a steady NY grind up from 1.1408 to a 1.14473 rejection. Price is now retracing into the 1.14377 swing-low support with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; still holding above the rising intraday support line.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.14300
Reclaim of 1.14473 needed to re-test the session high
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.14473 before fading into Asia hours; price now drifting around 1.1440 with RSI cooling back toward neutral. The 1.1470 area continues to cap the topside per the broader range read, while buyers held above the 1.14377 swing low on the last dip.
Support: 1.14377, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14377 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 area
Reclaim of 1.14473 puts the 1.1470 cap back in play
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.14393
Higher highs into session top, now pulling back.
NY session pushed a steady climb off the 1.14082 low up to the session high at 1.14473, then rolled back to 1.1438 as the Asian session opened on thin volume. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price is now sitting below EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.14376, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14376 opens the 1.14300 round level
Reclaim of 1.14473 puts the 1.14500 psych level back in play
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late NY pushed to a session high of 1.14473 before stalling; Asia hours are drifting the pair back to 1.14387, RSI(14) cooling below 50. Price has slipped under the 1.14400 psych level and EMA20 but holds above EMA50, keeping the intraday advance intact for now.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14300 swing low negates the intraday uptrend structure
Reclaim of 1.14400 psych and a push through 1.14473 session high reopens 1.14500
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD read
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
Price climbed off the 1.14082 low through the NY session to 1.14473 before stalling and rejecting. Now easing back to 1.14387, dipping below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; intraday uptrend intact while the 1.14340 swing holds.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14340 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.14473 session high resumes the up-leg toward 1.14500
ECB speakers and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the bigger catalysts ahead
NY session drove a clean leg from the 1.14082 swing low to a session high at 1.14473, EUR still heavy sub-1.1470 as USD held firm on safe-haven flows. Asia is now consolidating around 1.1440 on thin volume, price slipping back under EMA20 after the 1.14473 rejection.
Support: 1.1439, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.14500 psych level
Failure to hold the 1.14390 range floor exposes 1.14300
German Industrial Production (Tue 06:00 UTC) could shift this read
Recovery off 1.1408 low, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1408 low through NY and printed a session high at 1.14473 before drifting back to 1.1440 in thin Asia trade (last bar volume 22). RSI neutral near 51; the 1.1470/75 range top continues to cap per the broader 1.1400-1.1500 read.
Support: 1.1439, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the 1.14500 psych level
Loss of 1.14390 session low exposes the 1.14300 swing pivot
Thin Asia liquidity keeps ranges compressed until London open
Higher lows into consolidation below session high.
EUR/USD carved a low at 1.1408 during London-NY and buyers stepped in, driving a steady climb to a 1.14473 session high before stalling. Price is now consolidating 1.1440-1.1447 in thin late-session/Asia hours with RSI cooling to mid-50s.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1428, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1440 range floor exposes 1.1428 then the 1.1408 swing low
Break above 1.14473 session high opens the 1.1450 psych level toward 1.1475
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves out of this consolidation
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD ground higher from the 1.14082 session low through the NY-Asia transition, topping at 1.14473 before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 1.14410 on thin Asia volume, back at EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s after the rejection at the session high.
Support: 1.1439, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14473 opens the path to 1.14500
Failure to hold 1.14390 exposes 1.14300
Thin Asia liquidity — moves prone to overshoot until London open