Higher lows off 1.1408, grinding into session high.
EURUSD carved a low at 1.1408 mid-window and recovered in a chain of higher lows to a session high at 1.1447, RSI holding around 60. Price is now flattening between 1.1440 and 1.1447 on thin late-Asia volume, still pinned above the broader 1.1400 range floor flagged into German HICP.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1450, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1447 opens the 1.1450 psych level, then 1.1470 range resistance
Loss of 1.1440 exposes the 1.1420 pivot and the 1.1408 swing low
German Industrial Production (Tue 06:00 UTC) could shift this read
Higher lows since 1.1408, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1408 session low through NY hours, printing higher lows into 1.1447 before stalling; late-session bars have gone flat with volume drying up. Price holds just under the session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — no fresh momentum into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 opens the 1.1470 range resistance
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes the 1.1408 session low
FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift the USD read
EURUSD ground higher through NY into the low-volume Asian hours, printing a chain of higher lows off 1.1408 up to session highs near 1.1447, keeping EUR pinned just above the 1.1400 floor. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with candle bodies shrinking at the top, and ATR(14) is thin at ~8 pips.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1436, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 opens the path to 1.1470 range top
Loss of 1.1440 breaks the rising-low structure toward 1.1436
German Industrial Production Tue 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD has ground higher off the 1.1408 session low to test 1.14473, holding above EMA20/50 through the quiet late-NY into Asia hours on thinning volume. RSI(14) near 64, momentum intact but no fresh push through the session high yet.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1433, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1450, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.14473 opens 1.14500 psych then the 1.1470 range res
Loss of the 1.14400 round number exposes the 1.14330 swing low
German Industrial Production Tue 06:00 UTC could shift the intraday tone
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 1.1445
Higher lows off 1.1408, near session high.
EURUSD recovered from the 1.1408 session low through NY and into thin Asia hours, printing higher lows and edging to a session high at 1.1447. RSI(14) around 63 — firm but not extreme — with the final bars tight and low-volume as price sits just under the 1.1450 round number.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1450 opens the 1.1470 range resistance
Loss of 1.1440 puts the rising sequence of higher lows at risk
ADP 4-week avg (Tue) and thin liquidity could shift this micro read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 66 · price 1.1445
Higher highs off 1.1408, at session high.
Asia session grinding higher to a session high of 1.14473 on thin volume, extending the recovery off the 1.1408 swing low. RSI(14) around 66 and holding above both EMAs, but ATR near 3 pips shows the move is slow and range-bound near the top.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14473, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens the wider range resistance
Failure to hold 1.1440 stalls the higher-high sequence
London open likely to expand this quiet Asian range
EURUSD carved a steady recovery off the 1.1408 swing low through NY into thin late-session hours, grinding to a session high at 1.1445. Volume has collapsed on the final bars and ATR is compressed to under 3 pips, so the advance is stalling into the highs rather than accelerating.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14455 session high opens the path to 1.1470 range resistance
Loss of 1.1440 recent base would break the rising sequence
Thin liquidity in current hours can distort the read; German HICP later this week is the key catalyst
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 68 · price 1.14454
Higher highs and higher lows off the 1.1408 low.
Asian-session grind higher from the 1.1408 low, printing a fresh session high at 1.1445 on very thin late-session volume. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme; the 1.1470 range resistance flagged in the EUR/USD story sits just above.
Support: 1.1439, 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1439 exposes the 1.1420 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 63 · price 1.14432
Consolidating just below session high after grind off session low.
Late NY into Asia: EUR/USD ground up from the session low near 1.1408 and is now stalling in a tight 1.1440-1.1445 band just below the session high at 1.14448, on thin volume. Upbeat Eurozone data has been ignored as the USD/Fed story dominates, keeping price pinned in the 1.13/1.14 zone.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14168, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.1470
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14448 opens the 1.1470 range resistance
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes the 1.14168 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
EUR/USD ground up off the 1.14082 low through the session to tag 1.14448, and is now coiling in a tight 5-pip band near the high on fading Asia-session volume. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 with the recent leg intact.
Support: 1.14387, 1.14257, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14448 opens the 1.1470 range resistance
Loss of 1.14257 breaks the rising-low chain
German Industrial Production (06:00 UTC) could shift EUR tone
Higher lows off session low, coiling near session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session and into the Asia open, recovering from the 1.14082 session low to stall just under the 1.14448 session high on thinning volume. RSI(14) near 61 and flat — momentum is fading as price coils at the top of the day's range, with EUR still pinned near its broader 1.1400 floor against a firm USD.
Support: 1.1438, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14448 opens the 1.14475 range top
Failure to hold 1.14380 signals a lower high and rollover
German Industrial Production (Tue 06:00 UTC) could inject range volatility
Higher lows off 1.1408, consolidating at session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.1408 low and is now pinned at the session high 1.14448 on thin Asian-hours volume, consistent with the USD-driven range floor holding above 1.1390. RSI(14) around 61, momentum flattening as the last bars coil in a 1.1439–1.1445 band.
Support: 1.1439, 1.1429, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14448 opens the path toward 1.1470 range top
Loss of 1.14390 consol low reopens 1.14290 and the 1.14082 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
Higher highs / higher lows, flattening near session high.
EURUSD ground higher from the session low near 1.1408 to test the session high at 1.1445, now stalling in thin Asia trade on very low volume. The bounce leans against the firm-USD story that had kept EUR offered in the 1.13/1.14 zone; RSI(14) sits mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.1438, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14470 opens the range-top narrative toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14380 breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
German Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could inject EUR volatility into the next session
22:16 UTC
Recovery, momentum fading late · RSI 64 · price 1.14433
Higher lows off session low, grinding into session high.
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.14082 during the London-NY window then recovered in a steady higher-low chain to retest the 1.14448 session high, price holding above 1.1440 round number. Late-session bars are thin and small-bodied with RSI(14) cooling around 64 — momentum flattening near the highs rather than extending. Move fits the USD-led range read into FOMC minutes; EUR still capped below the 1.1470 range top.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14082, 1.1439
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14448 opens the path to the 1.1470 range top
Loss of 1.1440 and 1.14390 range floor reopens the 1.14082 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground higher off the 1.14082 low into a session high at 1.14448, with volume thinning sharply into the Asia hours. Price is coiling in a 1.14390-1.14448 band near the highs, RSI(14) mid-60s and cooling.
Support: 1.14375, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.14475
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14448 opens the path to the 1.14475 range top
Failure to hold 1.14375 breaks the rising-low sequence
Loss of the 1.14000 range floor would expose deeper downside
22:01 UTC
Recovering, uptrend into close · RSI 66 · price 1.14442
Higher lows off session low, reclaiming 1.1440.
NY session drifted to a 1.14082 low before a steady grind higher through the late NY-Asia transition reclaimed 1.1440, printing a session high at 1.14448. RSI(14) around 66 and holding above EMA20/50, though volume thinned sharply into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14348, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14448 opens the 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes the 1.14348 swing low
EZ HICP (Fri) and German IP (Tue) are the next scheduled EUR risks
21:47 UTC
Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.14403
Higher lows into session high, stalling.
EURUSD carved higher lows off the 1.1408 session low through the NY session, tagging 1.14446 before flattening around 1.1440 in thin late-session liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55; the recovery is intact but momentum has stalled as the firm-USD tone caps topside near the range floor at 1.1400.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14446
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14446 session high extends the recovery leg
Break of 1.14082 session low re-establishes a lower low toward the 1.1400 range floor
Thin liquidity into the Asia session can exaggerate moves
21:46 UTC
Recovered off day low, momentum flat · RSI 58 · price 1.14403
Consolidating near day high after intraday rally.
EURUSD carved a day low at 1.14082 during NY hours then rallied to 1.14446, and is now consolidating tightly around 1.1440 on thin late-session volume. Move was more a USD wobble than EUR strength; RSI has cooled to mid-range with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the 1.14470 range top
Failure to hold 1.14300 reopens the 1.14082 day low
FOMC minutes Wed and EZ HICP Fri could reshape this range read
Tight consolidation below session high after intraday rebound.
EURUSD rebounded through the NY session from the 1.14082 low back to a session high at 1.14446, and has since gone flat in dead late/Asia hours, coiling in a few-pip range near 1.1440 on collapsing volume. The bounce is a corrective drift within the broader 1.1400-area supply zone, with USD holding firm on the safe-haven/Fed story.
Support: 1.14375, 1.14167, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
close above 1.14446 opens the path toward the 1.1470 range top
loss of the 1.14375 range floor exposes 1.14167 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed and EZ HICP Fri are the key catalysts for the next legs
Recovery off session low, consolidating below session high.
EUR recovered from the 1.14082 session low through NY, printing a session high at 1.14446 before flattening near 1.1441 into thin late-session trade. RSI(14) cooled to the high-50s as the advance stalled; move fits the USD-driven bounce off the 1.1390-1.1410 support zone rather than fresh EUR strength.
Support: 1.1439, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.1390 exposes the 1.14082 session low
EURUSD recovered off the 1.14082 session low through the NY session, printing a session high at 1.14446 before flattening near 1.1440 on thin, late-session volume. Move is largely a USD story — the digest keeps EUR pinned near 1.1400 despite resilient EZ data. RSI(14) mid-range, momentum cooling into the stall.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1435 pivot reopens the 1.14082 session low
Break above 1.14446 session high exposes the 1.1470 range top
Higher lows off 1.1408, consolidating below session high.
EUR ground higher through NY off the 1.1408 low, tagging a session high at 1.14446 before flattening near 1.1440 into thin Asia-transition hours (volume collapsing on the final bars). Move is more USD softening at the margin than EUR strength; RSI(14) mid-range around 60 with no extreme.
Support: 1.1437, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.1437 exposes the 1.14082 swing low
Eurozone HICP Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the near-term catalysts
Higher lows off session base, stalling under session high.
EURUSD ground higher through NY off the 1.14082 session low, tagging 1.14446 before stalling; RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s and the last few bars are pinning near 1.1440 in a tight consolidation. Topside stays capped by a firm USD, with the 1.1470 range top the next reference.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1418, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path to 1.1470
Loss of 1.1418 exposes the 1.14082 session low
German IP (Tue 06:00 UTC) could shift the range read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NY session drove a steady climb off the 1.1408 low to a session high at 1.14446, and price is now consolidating just below it into the Asia open with RSI(14) cooling from the run. USD firmness kept a lid near the highs per the range read; 1.14377 has held on the pullback.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path to 1.1470
Failure to hold 1.14377 exposes the 1.14082 session low
Thin Asia-open liquidity can distort this range read
NY session rallied EUR from the 1.1408 low to a session high at 1.14446, price now coiling in a tight 1.1439–1.1442 range into the late session. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and ATR is compressing, in line with the 1.14 range read as a firmer USD caps topside near 1.1470.
Support: 1.14355, 1.1429, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 extends the NY leg toward the 1.1470 range cap
Loss of 1.14355 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift this range read
EURUSD recovered through the NY session from the 1.14082 low to a session high at 1.14446, and is now consolidating around 1.1440 with RSI cooling from the push. A firmer USD keeps topside capped ahead of the 1.1470 range cap.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path to the 1.1470 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1436 exposes the 1.14082 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this read
Higher highs/lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD recovered through the NY session from the 1.14082 low, printing higher lows and tagging a session high at 1.14446 before stalling. Price is now coiling around 1.14410 with RSI cooling toward mid-range; topside remains capped near the 1.1470 range boundary flagged in the EUR read.
Support: 1.14375, 1.1433, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens a path toward 1.14470 range cap
Failure to hold 1.14375 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Higher highs/lows off session low, stalling near highs.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.14082 session low through the NY session to peak at 1.14446, and has since gone flat near 1.14410 on thinning late-session volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum has stalled just under the 1.1470 range cap flagged in the broader 1.14 consolidation.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 exposes 1.14470 range cap
Failure to hold 1.14360 swing low opens 1.14300
Thin Asia liquidity may widen ranges into the next session
NY session ground higher off the 1.1408 low to a session high at 1.1445, RSI cooling as price stalls and consolidates around 1.1440. USD firmness is capping the topside, keeping 1.1445 as the near-term ceiling.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1450, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path to 1.1450, then 1.1470
Loss of 1.1420 exposes the 1.14082 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD-driven range
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.1440
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.
NY session ground higher from the 1.14082 session low to a 1.14446 high, then stalled with price consolidating around 1.1440. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally peak; the uptrend chain holds but momentum is flattening just below the session high.
Support: 1.14377, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path to 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.14377 breaks the higher-low chain
NY session ground higher off the 1.14082 low to a session high at 1.14446, price now consolidating just below into late NY, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. A firmer USD and capped EUR (per range-bound 1.14 context) keep topside contained below 1.14446.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1430, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path toward the 1.14700 range top
Failure to hold 1.14360 signals a deeper pullback toward 1.14300
NY session lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1408 low to a session high at 1.14446, and price is now consolidating just below it near 1.1441. The advance came despite a firm USD, and RSI(14) has cooled from the highs as the push stalls into the late session.
Support: 1.1438, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path toward 1.1470 range cap
Loss of the 1.14380 intraday base signals the NY rally rolling over
Higher highs into session high, stalling near 1.1445.
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.14082 low up to a 1.14446 session high before easing back to 1.1440, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Rally stalled just shy of the 1.1470 weekly cap flagged by a firmer USD; price now consolidating in the upper end of the day's range.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14082, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path toward 1.1470 weekly cap
Failure to hold 1.14300 pullback low reopens the session low at 1.14082
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the swing risk for the pair
Higher highs off the 1.1408 low, shallow pullback.
NY session drove a steady grind from the 1.1408 low up to a session high at 1.14446, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price pulled back to 1.14398. Move remains above EMA20/50 with the recent low at 1.14375 holding so far.
Support: 1.14375, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path to the 1.1470 cap
Failure to hold 1.14375 exposes the 1.143 swing low
NY session extended the recovery off the 1.14082 day low, stacking higher highs to a session high at 1.14446 before easing back to 1.14392. RSI(14) cooling from the push; a firm USD keeps topside capped near the 1.1470 area.
Support: 1.14348, 1.14257, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path toward the 1.14472 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14348 swing low signals loss of intraday momentum
NY session drove EUR/USD up from the 1.1408 low to a session high at 1.14446 before a shallow pullback to 1.1439, RSI cooling from the push. EUR held a firm bid despite the context's noted 1.1470 topside cap; higher-low structure intact off 1.1426.
Support: 1.14338, 1.14257, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the 1.1470 resistance zone
Failure to hold 1.14338 threatens the higher-low chain
NY session ground higher off the 1.14082 low in a clean HH/HL chain, tagging a session high at 1.14446 before easing to 1.14408. Momentum is cooling into thin late-NY trade — the last two bars barely 2 pips — with USD firmness capping topside near the 1.1470 area.
Support: 1.14358, 1.1429, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14358 breaks the higher-low chain
1.14446/1.1470 area to watch for rejection or break
thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 1.14408
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.14082.
NY session ground higher off the 1.14082 low, printing a clean higher-high chain into 1.14446 with RSI(14) near 69. USD stayed broadly firm but EUR held the intraday bid; price now sits just under the session high with the 1.1470 cap above.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1428, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path to the 1.14472 last-week high
Failure to hold 1.14360 breaks the higher-low chain
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, recovering from the 1.1408 session low to test 1.1445, RSI(14) running hot near 69. The advance held against a firmer USD, with the pair still boxed inside the broader 1.14–1.15 range.
Support: 1.14348, 1.1425, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 opens the path toward 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.14348 signals a lower high and stalls the recovery
NY session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.14082 low in a clean higher-low chain, breaking above prior consolidation to print a session high at 1.14446 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Move runs against the firmer-USD context, so it reads as intraday EUR strength into the late session rather than a trend shift.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1436 breaks the higher-low chain and cools the intraday advance
Sustained trade above 1.14446 opens the 1.147 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
18:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 1.14418
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.14082.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY afternoon, rallying from the 1.14082 session low to a fresh session high at 1.14418 with a clean chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 71 shows the push is hot but not extreme; the pair remains capped below the 1.14470 prior high despite the firmer USD backdrop.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1417, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14280 breaks the higher-low chain
1.14470 prior high — area to watch for rejection or break
Hold above 1.14280 keeps the intraday uptrend intact
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, rallying from the 1.14082 low to 1.14418 with a clean chain of higher lows despite a firm USD. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but not extreme; price now pressing the 1.14470 barrier that has capped rallies.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 opens the path to 1.14500
Failure to hold 1.14350 breakout base signals loss of upside momentum
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.14377
Higher highs and higher lows off session low.
Late NY session: EUR/USD recovered off the 1.14082 session low in a clean chain of higher highs and higher lows, printing 1.14389 before the current bar settled at 1.14377. RSI(14) around 66, hot but not extreme, with price holding above both EMAs; the earlier USD safe-haven bid has faded into the afternoon grind.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14163, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 prior high opens the path toward the 1.14470 range top
Close back below 1.14300 breakout retest breaks the ascending structure
ECB's Lane speaking (18:30 UTC) could shift the intraday read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, NY leg extending · RSI 63 · price 1.14377
Higher highs / higher lows off session low.
NY session ground steadily higher off the 1.14082 low, printing higher lows into the 1.14389 session high where price now stalls. RSI(14) near 63, still room before overbought; move stays capped under the 1.1470 range top flagged this week.
Support: 1.14257, 1.1418, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path toward 1.14470 range top
Failure to hold 1.14257 pullback low breaks the ascending structure
ECB Lane speech 18:30 UTC could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 65 · price 1.14367
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.14082 low.
NY session grinding higher off the 1.14082 low, buyers stepping in on each dip to print a clean HH/HL chain toward the session high at 1.14389. RSI(14) mid-60s, price now retesting that high with room before the 1.14470 range top flagged this week.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14163, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14389 opens the path to 1.14470
Failure to hold 1.14300 breaks the higher-low chain
ECB Lane speech at 18:30 UTC could shift this read
Price recovered off the 1.1408 session low through the NY session, printing a steady chain of higher lows into 1.1439. RSI(14) around 63 and cooling as the move stalls just under the session high, with USD safe-haven demand capping progress toward the 1.1470 range top.
Support: 1.14278, 1.14163, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14389 opens the path toward the 1.1470 range top
Loss of 1.14278 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.1416
EUR/USD recovered through the NY session off the 1.14082 session low, printing a clean higher-high chain into 1.14389 with RSI(14) around 66. Move broke back above the 1.14300 minor low and stalled just under the 1.14401 prior high; USD safe-haven bid on Hormuz risk has been capping the pair sub-1.1470 this week.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14163, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14401, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14401 prior high opens the path to the 1.14470 range top
Failure to hold the 1.14300 minor low breaks the ascending intraday structure
Higher lows off the day low, testing session high.
NY session rally lifted EURUSD off the 1.1408 day low to a session high at 1.1439, with USD firmer on Hormuz safe-haven flows earlier in the window. Price is holding above 1.1430 with RSI(14) around 66; the higher-low sequence is intact.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1423, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 opens the path toward the 1.1470 resistance flagged in context
Loss of 1.1430 threatens the higher-low sequence
ECB's Lane speech at 18:30 UTC could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 1.14377
Higher highs off session low.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, rallying off the 1.14082 session low to test the 1.14408 prior high, with RSI(14) now hot near 71. The bid tracks a softer USD after the digested NFP miss, though Hormuz haven flows keep the 1.14470 range top capping.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1415, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path to the 1.14470 range top
Loss of 1.14300 breaks the higher-high chain
ECB's Lane (18:30 UTC) could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, steady recovery · RSI 71 · price 1.14377
Higher highs, higher lows off session low.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, recovering from the 1.14082 session low to press the 1.14389 session high, with price holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the trend; the recovery is USD-led softening rather than fresh EUR strength.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1417, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.14389 session high opens 1.14408 prior high
Loss of 1.14300 breakout base would stall the recovery toward 1.14170 swing low
ECB Lane speech (18:30 UTC) could shift this read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, NY-session leg extended · RSI 67 · price 1.14356
HH/HL chain off the 1.1408 low.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.1408 low, printing a clean HH/HL chain and now testing the session high at 1.1437, RSI(14) near 67. Move fits the USD-led, range-bound read with EUR support around 1.1370-1.1410 holding.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1416, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14367, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14367 opens the path to the 1.1441 prior high
Loss of the 1.1426 pivot breaks the intraday HL chain
ECB Lane speech tonight 18:30 UTC could shift the read
NY session recovered off the 1.1408 swing low in a clean chain of higher lows, now pressing the 1.1437 session high with RSI(14) around 66. USD-led earlier softness has faded into late NY; price holds above both EMAs.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1415, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14367, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14367 opens the path back to the 1.14408 prior high
Loss of 1.14150 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.14082
Lane speech (18:30 UTC) could shift EUR tone into the next bars
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.1408 low, stacking higher lows into 1.14338 with RSI(14) firm near 66. Move is USD-led easing rather than fresh EUR demand; recovery stalls into the 1.14408 prior high overhead.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14408 opens the path to the 1.1447 range cap
Loss of 1.14200 pivot breaks the higher-low chain
Lane speech tonight 18:30 UTC could shift EUR tone
NY session carved a steady recovery off the 1.14082 session low, printing higher lows into 1.14338 at the session high, RSI(14) firm near 67. Move is USD-led easing after safe-haven flows capped EUR earlier; pair sits mid-range with the 1.14411 prior high the next cap.
Support: 1.14225, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14411, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14411 prior high extends the recovery toward 1.1470
Failure to hold 1.14225 swing low breaks the ascending sequence
ECB Lane speech 18:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.1408 low.
NY session grinding higher off the 1.1408 low, printing higher lows and pressing the session high at 1.1431 with RSI mid-60s. EUR holding despite a firmer USD on Hormuz haven flows; price sits just under the intraday cap.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14173, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14317, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14317 opens the path toward 1.1440 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1425 pulls price back into the earlier range
Lane speech 18:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
Higher lows off session low, grinding into recent range top.
EUR clawed back off the 1.1408 session low through the NY afternoon, printing higher lows up to 1.1432 as the earlier USD safe-haven bid eased. RSI(14) firm near 64, price holding above both EMAs; the 1.1432 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14162, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14317, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14340 opens the path toward 1.1440
Failure to hold 1.14250 exposes the 1.1408 session low
Lane speech 18:30 UTC could shift this read
16:46 UTC
Micro-uptrend off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.1427
Recovering, higher highs and higher lows into NY.
EUR/USD carved a higher-low chain off the 1.1408 session low and pushed through 1.1426 during NY hours, tagging a session high of 1.14306 before easing to 1.1427. Move is USD-led rather than EUR-driven; strong German Factory Orders offset by a firmer dollar on Hormuz haven flows keeps the pair mid-range.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14082, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14306, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.14306 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1435
Loss of 1.14162 swing low re-exposes the 1.14082 session low
ECB Lane speech at 18:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
16:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 62 · price 1.1427
Higher lows since 1.1408, testing session high.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1408 session low through the NY session, stringing higher lows up to a 1.1430 session high before easing to 1.1427. Move is USD-led per the digest — safe-haven Hormuz flows had capped EUR earlier despite firm German data; RSI mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1445 range top
Loss of 1.1408 resumes the prior downside
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the week's key EUR catalyst
EUR recovered off the session low at 1.14082 through the NY afternoon, breaking back above 1.14283 with a double-bottom base around 1.1408/1.1410 holding. Rally coincides with Lagarde's 16:00 UTC appearance; RSI(14) near 61, price back above both EMAs. Session high 1.14306 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14082, 1.14162
Resistance: 1.14306, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (16:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14306 opens the path to 1.14408
Failure to hold 1.14250 reopens the 1.14082 session low
16:31 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.14292
Double bottom, higher push.
EUR carved a double bottom near 1.14082 and bounced through the NY session, tagging the session high at 1.14306 before easing to 1.14292 with RSI cooling from 60. Rebound stays capped well below the 20-day EMA near 1.1460 as safe-haven USD demand offsets firm EZ data.
Support: 1.14189, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14306, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14306 opens the path to the 1.1446/1.1460 band
Failure to hold 1.14189 re-exposes the 1.14082 session low
Lagarde speech (16:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
16:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum turning up · RSI 61 · price 1.14268
Bounce from 1.1408 into recent range top.
EURUSD bounced off the session low at 1.1408 and has ground back to the 1.14283 session high, RSI(14) firming near 61. Move fits the range read as USD safe-haven bid caps EUR below the mid-1.1400s; price now pressing the range top.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14082
Resistance: 1.14283, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14283 opens the path to 1.1440
Failure to hold 1.14162 exposes the 1.1408 session low
Bounce from 1.1408 into consolidation, higher lows forming.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near 1.1408 through NY hours and recovered to 1.14268, RSI(14) back to ~61. Price is pressing the 1.1428 session high after a chain of higher lows; Lagarde's speech just crossed the wires as the main near-term driver.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1435, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 opens the path to 1.1435
Failure to hold 1.1416 re-exposes the 1.1408 session low
Lagarde comments in play — tone shift could override the intraday structure
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY session to 1.1408 before buyers stepped in twice, carving a base and a corrective bounce into NY afternoon to 1.1426. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to ~60 and price is back above both EMAs; the move stalls right under the 1.1426 recent high, roughly the 50% retrace of the 1.1441→1.1408 decline.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14338, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 negates the down-leg
Failure to hold 1.1408 opens a fresh lower low
Lagarde speech (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD recovered off the session low at 1.14082 through the NY afternoon, retracing more than half of the earlier down-leg from 1.14408. RSI(14) firming near 63 as price presses the 1.14273 swing high; the bounce lined up with Lagarde around the European close.
Support: 1.14082, 1.14162
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14273 swing high opens the 1.14340 prior high
Loss of 1.14082 session low resumes the down-leg
Lagarde remarks still in play — could shift this read intrasession
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.1423
Lower lows into 1.1408, recovery underway.
EUR sold off through the London-NY session, printing lower lows to a session low at 1.1408 twice before buyers stepped in, lifting the pair back to 1.1423 as RSI recovers from oversold. USD safe-haven bid on Hormuz risk has capped rebounds below the 1.1428-1.1435 supply band.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1435
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde at 16:00 UTC (~15min) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1428 opens the path to the 1.1435 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1408 confirms a fresh lower-low
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.1423
Lower highs / lower lows, recovering off session low.
NY session ground EUR/USD lower to a session low at 1.14082 before a recovery back to 1.1423, RSI(14) lifting from oversold toward mid-range. USD safe-haven demand on Hormuz risk has capped the pair below the descending highs; Lagarde speaks imminently.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (16:00 UTC) in ~15min could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1424 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.1408 confirms a fresh lower-low
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.1418
Consolidation above session low after two-day drift lower.
NY session has price grinding sideways near the session low at 1.1408, where demand stepped in twice as USD firmed on Hormuz risk. RSI(14) back to neutral around 49 after the bounce off the lows; 1.1422 swing high caps the recovery.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 1.1422 opens the path to 1.1435
Failure to hold 1.1408 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1394
EUR ground lower through the NY session to a 1.1408 base, twice defended, and is now consolidating back at 1.1418 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. USD's safe-haven bid on Hormuz risk capped the euro despite firm German orders; Lagarde at 16:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1424, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1408 opens the 1.1390-1.1410 breakdown zone
M15 close above 1.1424 invalidates the lower-high sequence
EURUSD grinding lower through NY hours in a chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 1.14082 before buyers stepped in twice near 1.14090. Price now hovering at 1.14169 into the Lagarde speech, RSI(14) mid-range at ~45 with the descending highs still intact.
Support: 1.14082, 1.14107
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC (~45m out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14223 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14082 confirms continuation of the downtrend
NY session drifting lower, EUR capped below 1.1420 as USD firms on Hormuz safe-haven demand despite upbeat German data. Buyers stepped in at the 1.1408 session low, but each bounce is fading into the 1.1420-1.1422 supply. Price is consolidating below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14082, 1.14107
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.14405
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1408 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1390-1.1410 breakdown zone
Reclaim above 1.14223 negates the lower-high sequence
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.1418
Lower highs / lower lows, holding above 1.1408.
M15 has bled lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, tagging a session low at 1.1408 before buyers stepped in twice to lift price back to 1.1418. RSI(14) recovered off its lows to mid-40s; declining highs still cap toward 1.1422. USD firmness on Hormuz risk has weighed on EUR despite firm Eurozone data.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1422 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1408 session low opens the 1.1390-1.1410 breakdown zone
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, drift stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.1418
Lower highs into a base near session lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs off 1.1440 down to a 1.1408 session low before stabilizing around 1.1418, with USD firm on Hormuz-driven safe-haven demand. RSI(14) sits mid-range as the slide pauses; price is capped under a descending highs line and still below EMA50.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1422 breaks the descending highs sequence
Loss of 1.1408 extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.1390-1.1410 zone
Lagarde at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, LH/LL intact · RSI 44 · price 1.14137
Series of lower highs and lower lows into session lows.
EURUSD grinding lower through the NY session, LH/LL chain intact from 1.1440 into a 1.14082 session low, price capped below EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in at 1.1408 and lifted price to 1.14137, but 1.14200 rejections continue to cap; EUR remains pinned near 1.1400 on safe-haven USD.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14223
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14223 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14082 exposes the 1.1400 handle
Waller (15:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) within the next 1-2h could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, capped under a descending 1.1422 line and printing a session low at 1.14082 before a shallow bounce to 1.1414. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the pair is pinned near the 1.1400 handle as safe-haven USD offsets EZ data.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14082 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14223 breaks the descending highs read
Waller (15:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read within the next hour
EUR grinding lower through the NY session, pinned near 1.1415 and capped below the 1.1422 swing high as safe-haven USD keeps upside sticky. Price probed the 1.1408 session low and bounced, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.14405
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.14082 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14223 swing high needed to break the downtrend
NY session grinding lower along a chain of lower highs, EUR capped below 1.1428 as a firm safe-haven USD offsets solid EZ data. Buyers stepped in at 1.14082 on the last leg down, RSI(14) mid-40s with price pinned under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.14279
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14082 exposes the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14223 recent high negates the lower-high chain
Waller ~15:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, tagging a session low at 1.14082 before a bounce to 1.14175. RSI(14) mid-range near 46 after the recovery; descending resistance from 1.1440 still caps, with the 1.1422 swing high the first hurdle. Move fits the safe-haven-USD tone keeping EUR upside sticky below 1.1470.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1422 breaks the descending highs and opens 1.1440
Loss of 1.1408 session low exposes the 1.1400 round number
Waller (15:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) speeches within hours could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14175
Lower highs into 1.1408, minor recovery.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session to a low at 1.1408, pinned near the 1.1400 handle as safe-haven USD offsets solid EZ data. Price has bounced to 1.14175, RSI recovering from the mid-40s; the 1.14223 swing high caps the rebound.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.14279
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14223 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.14082 exposes the 1.1400 round number
Waller 15:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD extended lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14082 after ISM Services; the last bounce stalled at 1.14223 to keep the chain of lower highs intact. RSI(14) near 38 with price below both EMAs, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.14268
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 1.14082 confirms the next lower low
Reclaim of 1.14223 would break the sequence of lower highs
ECB Lagarde at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14082 before a shallow bounce to 1.14119; price stays capped below the EMA20 near 1.14170. Descending highs from 1.14408 keep the intraday structure heavy, with RSI(14) mid-30s and no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14223, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14223 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.14082 confirms continuation toward the 1.1400 psych level
Lagarde at 16:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, capped below the 1.1440 prior high as the USD stabilised after Friday's soft NFP. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1410 to form a double bottom, with price now stalling at 1.14143 after rejection off the 1.1422 session high; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.1422 session high reopens 1.1440
ECB Lagarde at 16:00 UTC is the near-term swing factor for this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY session, printing 1.1409 before a modest bounce to 1.1422 and easing back to 1.1414. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme, and price remains capped below the 20-EMA as the USD holds firm.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.14273
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could break this range
Close below 1.1409 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14223 needed to challenge the 1.14273 prior high
M15 traded a steady downtrend through NY hours, printing a session low at 1.14094 before a bounce off a double base near 1.1410 lifted price back to 1.14198. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-line off oversold territory; the pair sits capped under the 1.14225 bounce high with the euro pinned ~1.1425 as the softer-USD story stalls.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14155
Resistance: 1.14225, 1.1429, 1.1434
What it said to watch
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) in ~30m could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14225 opens the path back to 1.14290
Failure to hold 1.14094 confirms a lower-low
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC as EUR-side risk
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14198
Lower highs into session low, corrective bounce.
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY transition to a session low at 1.14094 before a corrective bounce stalled at 1.14223; price now consolidates near 1.1420. USD stabilised despite last week's soft NFP, keeping euro rallies capped. RSI(14) mid-range around 47, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14155
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.14268, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14223 opens the path to 1.14268
Failure to hold 1.14094 confirms a lower low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC and Lagarde at 16:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs into a tight consolidation near session lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, tagging a session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce, with USD firm despite the soft NFP narrative. Price is now consolidating ~1.14187 under the 1.14210 swing high; a series of lower highs from 1.14268 caps the recovery.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14134
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.14268
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14094 extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close above 1.14210 breaks the lower-high chain
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (<1h) could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session to a session low at 1.14094 before a modest bounce back to 1.14187, capped below the descending series of highs as the USD stabilised. Price sits right on the EMA20 with EMA50 overhead near 1.1421; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14162
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14094 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14210 needed to break the lower-high chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session in a descending channel, printing a session low at 1.14094 before stalling near 1.1412 — a dollar-firmness move as EUR stays capped without a euro story. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no extreme, with sellers defending each lower high.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14205 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.14094 confirms continuation toward the 1.1400 psych level
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD is bleeding lower through the NY session, printing fresh lows near 1.1410 with price pinned under EMA20/EMA50 as the USD stabilises post-NFP. RSI(14) near 39 — soft but not extreme; each bounce is capped at descending highs around 1.1420.
Support: 1.14094
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.14262
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lagarde at 16:00 UTC is a headline risk for the euro leg
Loss of 1.14094 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.14205 breaks the lower-high chain
EUR/USD drifted steadily lower through the European session from 1.1440 to test 1.1410, consistent with the digest's fade-rallies read as USD stabilised near 101.00. Bounce off the 1.14094 session low stalled at 1.14205 before rolling over again; RSI subdued in the low-40s, no oversold signal yet.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.14295, 1.14408
What it said to watch
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) land within the next bars and could shift the read
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC is the key EUR risk today
Break of 1.14094 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.14205 breaks the lower-high chain
EUR/USD has ground steadily lower through the London session, sliding from 1.1440 to test session lows near 1.1409 with price capped below EMA20/50. The move fits the USD-stabilisation read after last week's soft NFP; RSI(14) sits subdued around 41 with no divergence, and a brief bounce to 1.1420 was sold back.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14162
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14262, 1.14375
What it said to watch
Lagarde 16:00 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14094 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14208 needed to break the descending sequence
Late London/pre-NY grind lower off the 1.1435 intraday high, sellers pressing into 1.14094 before a shallow bounce; USD firmed near 101.00 on Hormuz safe-haven bids capping euro upside. Price now coiled around 1.1416 below EMA20, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.14273, 1.14354
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14094 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14205 breaks the descending highs and neutralises the down leg
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC), Waller (15:00) and Lagarde (16:00) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce to 1.14163, with USD firming near 101.00 after soft NFP. Lower-high chain intact below the 1.14205 swing; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.1428, 1.1436
What it said to watch
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC is the session's key EUR risk
M15 close below 1.14094 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Lower highs into session low 1.1409, modest bounce.
NY session ground EURUSD down to a session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce back to 1.14173; RSI(14) hovering mid-40s, price capped under EMA20. Lower highs off 1.14408 keep the intraday structure heavy as ISM Services and Lagarde loom.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14273, 1.1434
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC), Waller (15:00) and Lagarde (16:00) all inside the next bar periods — capable of breaking the range
M15 close below 1.14094 confirms a fresh lower low
EUR/USD ground lower through the session to 1.14094 and is now consolidating 1.1414-1.1420 below both EMAs, USD firm ahead of ISM Services. Bounces have been capped by a descending sequence of lower highs.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14143
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.14268
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14094 confirms a fresh lower low
Close above 1.14205 breaks the consolidation and the lower-high chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC, Waller 15:00 UTC, Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sequence of lower lows, price pinned near session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY transition, printing a fresh session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce to 1.14168. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38 — soft but not oversold — as the USD stabilizes post-NFP.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1435
What it said to watch
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC could sharpen or reverse the USD-led drift
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC is a key EUR risk in the next bars
M15 close back above 1.14208 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14094 confirms continuation toward the 1.1400 round number
M15 grinding lower, slipping from ~1.1440 to a session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce capped near 1.14210 — price now hovering below both EMAs as the USD firms post-NFP into ISM Services. Sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.14247, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14210 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14094 extends the downtrend to a fresh session low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could reshape this read
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, printing lower highs into a 1.14094 session low as the USD firmed post-NFP. A shallow bounce stalled at 1.14205; RSI(14) mid-range near 42, price capped below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.14275, 1.1434
What it said to watch
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.14275 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14094 confirms continuation toward 1.14000
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, basing above session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY window in a descending channel, printing a session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce to 1.14205 faded. Price now hugs 1.1414 below EMA20/EMA50, consolidating ~1.1425 with the euro capped as ECB-hike doubts weigh; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.14262, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14205 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14094 confirms another lower low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, bounce off session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the session to a 1.1409 low as the USD rebounded, then bounced to 1.14208 and is now consolidating near 1.1418 below EMA20/50. Lower-high, lower-low structure intact with RSI(14) mid-range after the recovery off the low.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1425, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14208 opens the path back to 1.14250
Failure to hold 1.14094 confirms a fresh lower low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, sliding from 1.1440 to a 1.1409 session low as the USD rebounded on Hormuz safe-haven bids. Buyers stepped in near 1.1410 and price is now consolidating below 1.14210, RSI(14) recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14155
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.14273, 1.14335
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14273 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.14094 confirms continuation of the downtrend
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 43 · price 1.1418
Lower highs, testing session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY window to a session low at 1.1409 before a shallow bounce to 1.1418, price holding below EMA20/50 as the USD rebound caps the pair in the mid-1.1400s. Chain of lower highs intact off the 1.1440 peak; RSI(14) near 42, no extreme.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1436
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1409 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1425 needed to neutralize the downtrend
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the session in a chain of lower highs, slipping below the mid-1.1400s and printing a session low at 1.1409 as the USD firmed. Buyers stepped in there for a modest bounce to 1.1420, but price stalled under the descending highs; RSI(14) near 41 shows no extreme.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14208, 1.1425, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14208 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1409 opens the path toward 1.1400
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 43 · price 1.14199
Lower highs, lower lows; corrective bounce off session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, marking a session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce to 1.14199 that is stalling near the 38.2% fib of the downleg. RSI(14) recovering off the low near 43; chain of lower highs still intact under the descending resistance line.
Support: 1.14094, 1.14155
Resistance: 1.14232, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14094 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14285 breaks the lower-highs sequence
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, bounce off session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 1.14094 as the USD firmed on Hormuz safe-haven bids. Price has since recovered to 1.14199 but remains below EMA20/50; the 1.14262 swing high is the first level to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14262, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14262 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14094 session low confirms downtrend continuation
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows through the London session.
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.1409 as the USD firmed on the Hormuz safe-haven bid; a small bounce back to 1.1419 followed. Price holds below EMA20/50 in a clean sequence of lower highs, RSI(14) recovering from its lows but still sub-50.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14335, 1.14408
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1409 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1425 needed to break the lower-high chain
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, printing a fresh low at 1.14094 as the USD firmed, before a shallow bounce back to 1.1419. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact; RSI(14) near 41, no divergence yet.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1425 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14094 session low extends the downtrend toward 1.1400
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could reset this read
London session grind lower, USD-led after the Hormuz safe-haven bid steadied DXY near 101.00. EUR/USD printed a session low at 1.14094 then bounced modestly to 1.14159; RSI(14) cooling near 38, price capped below the descending series of lower highs.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.14273
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14204 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14094 confirms continuation lower
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read; Lagarde 16:00 UTC in focus for EUR
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, sellers in control · RSI 39 · price 1.14159
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the London session in a clean descending channel, printing a session low at 1.14094 before a shallow bounce to 1.14159; the drift is USD-led on the Hormuz safe-haven bid. RSI(14) near 39, not yet extreme, with the lower-high chain still intact below 1.14204.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14204 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14094 opens the 1.1400 psych level
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD grinding lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14094 with USD firmer on the Hormuz safe-haven bid; RSI(14) near 35, not yet stretched. Lower highs from 1.14408 keep the descending structure intact and rallies have faded below 1.14204.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.14273, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14204 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14094 confirms continuation lower toward 1.14000
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and ECB Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session to a fresh low at 1.14094 as the USD held a Hormuz safe-haven bid, extending a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with rallies capping at 1.14204.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.1429, 1.14375
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14290 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14094 opens 1.14000 psych level
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the London session to a fresh low at 1.14107, RSI(14) near 31 but not yet extreme. The USD-led drift keeps the pair on a clean lower-high, lower-low chain with rallies capping into 1.14204.
Support: 1.14107, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.1429, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14107 opens the 1.14000 round number
M15 close back above 1.14204 breaks the lower-high chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, breaking session floor.
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, printing a fresh low at 1.14107 with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 31. The slide is USD-led as the dollar steadies near 101.00 post-NFP; German data beats have failed to lift the pair.
Support: 1.14107, 1.1410, 1.14155
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.14279, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14204 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14107 extends the downtrend toward the 1.141 psych level
ECB's Lagarde at 16:00 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the London morning, breaking the 1.14268 shelf and printing lower lows into 1.14149 as the USD held its post-NFP base. RSI(14) near 36 with price pinned below EMA20/50; drift is steady rather than accelerating.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.14268, 1.14375
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14149 opens the path toward the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14204 would stall the lower-low sequence
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD grinding lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14149 as the USD firms into ISM Services and Lagarde. Clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 38, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14204, 1.14268, 1.14335
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14149 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.14204 breaks the descending-high structure
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session grinding lower, EUR/USD stringing lower highs and lower lows from 1.14408 to a fresh session low at 1.14149. The slide tracks a firmer USD and faded ECB-hike bets capping rallies; RSI(14) near 38, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14279, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14149 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14279 breaks the descending sequence
ISM Services (14:00) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend into session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14183
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY session drove EUR/USD down through a chain of lower highs to fresh session lows near 1.1415 as the USD firmed. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 37, hugging the lows without a clean bounce yet.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.1415 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1429 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC), Waller (15:00) and Lagarde (16:00) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London session, chaining lower highs and lower lows into a session low near 1.1415 as a firmer USD capped rallies below the 1.1434 pivot. RSI(14) sits in the low-30s, short-term stretched but consistent with the trend.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 breaks the descending sequence
Failure to hold 1.1415 opens the path to 1.1400
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 39 · price 1.1418
Lower highs, lower lows; basing at session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the session to a low of 1.1415 as the USD firmed, and is now consolidating just above it. RSI(14) near 38, sub-6 pip ATR — momentum soft but not stretched.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.1435, 1.1441
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1424 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.1415 opens the 1.1400 round number
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD grinding lower through the London morning, printing lower highs from 1.14408 and breaking under 1.1428 to tag a session low at 1.14149; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 38. The move fits the capped-EUR read below 1.1475 as ECB-hike doubts and a USD safe-haven bid weigh.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14268, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14268 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14149 confirms continuation toward 1.1400
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could reshape this read
London session extended the slide, printing a session low at 1.14149 before a shallow bounce to 1.14204 faded back to 1.14191. Clean chain of lower highs off 1.14408; EUR capped under mid-1.1400s as USD holds a safe-haven bid, RSI(14) near 39 with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14279, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14279 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14149 confirms the next lower low toward 1.14100
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.14230 pivot and printing a fresh session low at 1.14155, RSI(14) near 32. Safe-haven USD bid keeps rallies capped; move accelerated into the current bar.
Support: 1.14155, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14250 would neutralise the lower-low sequence
EZ Retail Sales + PPI at 09:00 UTC could jolt this read intrabar
London session ground EUR/USD down to a fresh session low at 1.14155 with the current bar closing on it, RSI(14) near 31. Price sits below EMA20/50 in a clean lower-high chain; USD held a firm bid post-NFP repricing while EUR rallies kept fading below 1.1425.
Support: 1.14155, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14408
What it said to watch
EZ Retail Sales / PPI at 09:00 UTC could jolt this read within the next bar
M15 close back above 1.14250 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14155 opens the path toward 1.1400
London session grinding lower in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain, price pressing the 1.14155 session low with the USD firm on Hormuz safe-haven demand. EUR remains capped well below the 1.1475 area and RSI(14) sits soft near 35 without an oversold extreme.
Support: 1.14155, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14155 opens the path to 1.1400
M15 close back above 1.14290 breaks the lower-high chain
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
London session grinding lower in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain from the 1.14408 session high, with price hugging the 1.14155 session low. USD holding firm on Hormuz safe-haven demand keeps the euro capped; RSI(14) near 34, soft but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14155, 1.14162
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14280 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.14155 confirms continuation lower
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and EZ Retail Sales could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 34 · price 1.14201
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.14285 base and printing a session low at 1.14155 with RSI(14) near 33. Price holds below EMA20/50 as safe-haven USD demand caps any euro bounce; last bar shows a shallow tick up to 1.14201.
Support: 1.14155, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14285, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14155 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14285 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
EZ Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reset this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.14201
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.14280 swing and printing a session low at 1.14155 before the close at 1.14201. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not stretched — as USD safe-haven demand keeps the euro pinned below mid-1.1400s.
Support: 1.14155, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14155 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.14100 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14280 swing high would neutralise the downside break
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows; small bounce off session low.
London session extended the M15 downtrend to a session low of 1.14162 before a modest bounce back to 1.14257, with EUR still capped below mid-1.1400s per the fading ECB-hike / safe-haven USD read. Price holds under EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 43 shows momentum easing rather than reversing.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14194, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14340 breaks the descending structure
Failure to hold 1.14162 confirms another lower-low
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could shift this read
London session grinding lower — EUR carved a session low at 1.14162 before a shallow bounce back to 1.1426, still capped well below the 1.1475 barrier as Hormuz-driven safe-haven USD demand caps rallies. Price holds under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering off the low but no reclaim of the 1.14340 swing.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14194
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could reprice EUR within the next bar
M15 close below 1.14162 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14340 needed to challenge the descending-highs structure
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 43 · price 1.14256
Lower highs, testing session base.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London morning to a session low of 1.14162, a modest bounce lifting it back to 1.14256 while price stays below both EMAs. The move fits the two-way USD story after Thursday's weak NFP — rallies keep fading below the 1.1475/1.1500 cap, and near-term supply is capping around 1.14300.
Support: 1.14162, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
A close back above 1.14300 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.14162 confirms continuation lower
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14256
Lower highs, lower lows; low swept then reclaimed.
London morning extended the slide off 1.14408, sweeping the session low at 1.14162 before buyers stepped in to reclaim 1.1425 as post-NFP USD softness kept EUR firm but capped. RSI(14) recovering from mid-30s; price still trades below EMA20/50 with the down-leg intact until 1.14300 reclaims.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14194
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14300 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14162 confirms continuation lower
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session drove EUR/USD to fresh session lows at 1.14162 after the pair stalled below the 1.1475 cap through Thursday's soft-NFP bounce. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, price trading under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14194
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14162 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14340 needed to stall the downtrend
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through thin early-London trade after stalling below the 1.1440 area, breaking down to a session low at 1.14162 before a modest bounce to 1.14226. RSI(14) near 36 and price under both EMAs; the move reflects a two-way EUR story with no euro-bull conviction as ECB hike bets fade.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14194
Resistance: 1.14285, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14340 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14162 confirms continuation of the down-leg
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
London morning session sold EUR/USD through the 1.14270 support to a session low of 1.14162 before a bounce to 1.14256, keeping the lower-high chain intact and price capped well below the 1.1475 area flagged in the macro read. Post-NFP USD softness has not translated into euro follow-through; rallies keep fading.
Support: 1.14162, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14290 would neutralise the break lower
Failure to hold 1.14162 confirms fresh lows
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 1.14256
Series of lower highs/lower lows, fresh session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the London morning, printing a fresh session low at 1.14162 before a small bounce to close 1.14256; RSI(14) near 38, sub-neutral but not oversold. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with an intact chain of lower highs after stalling under the 1.1475 cap flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.14162, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14340 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.14162 confirms continuation lower toward 1.14000
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD is grinding lower through early London, printing a fresh session low at 1.14181 with RSI(14) near 30. The move down from 1.14408 has held a clean chain of lower highs; the pair remains capped well below the 1.1475 zone flagged as a fade area.
Support: 1.14181, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14293, 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14293 would break the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 1.14181 opens the path toward 1.1400
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14181
Lower highs and lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London morning, printing a fresh session low at 1.14181 after breaking the 1.14290 pivot. Move is USD-side stabilisation after Thursday's soft NFP; RSI(14) in the low 30s but not yet stretched. Rallies keep fading below the 1.1475 cap flagged all week.
Support: 1.14181, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could shift this read on the next bar
Reclaim of 1.14290 would neutralise the lower-low sequence
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC is the day's swing factor
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.14233
Lower highs / lower lows.
EUR/USD grinding lower through the Asian session, printing lower highs and lower lows into a fresh low at 1.14194 before closing 1.14233. The slide is a USD-driven fade post-NFP with the euro repeatedly capped below 1.1440; RSI subdued in the low 30s but not yet at extremes.
Support: 1.14194
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1434 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downtrend read
Loss of 1.14194 confirms continuation to fresh session lows
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asia-into-London session, breaking below 1.14300 to print a fresh session low at 1.14194, with the bounce entirely a soft-NFP USD story that keeps stalling below 1.1475. Momentum stays offered, RSI(14) around 34 but not yet oversold; sequence of lower highs from 1.14408 remains intact.
Support: 1.14194, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.14340 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14194 opens the path toward 1.1400
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.14228
Lower highs, lower lows.
London session extended the slide, breaking below the 1.14270 base to print a fresh session low at 1.14212 with RSI(14) near 33. Price stalled below the 1.14340 swing high through the morning; move is USD-driven ahead of ISM Services.
Support: 1.14212, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14340 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14212 confirms continuation lower
London morning extended the sell-off, pressing a fresh session low at 1.14212 with EUR still capped below the 1.1475 fade zone flagged post-NFP. RSI(14) near 32 shows momentum stretched but not yet at an extreme; price holds below EMA20/50 in a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence.
Support: 1.14212, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14340 would break the descending lower-high chain
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 GMT) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) can shift this read
Failure to hold 1.14200 confirms continuation lower
Thin, holiday-affected trade has EUR/USD grinding lower, printing a fresh session low at 1.14227 as the post-NFP dollar softness fails to lift the euro, which stays capped near 1.1475. Price trades below EMA20/50 in a clean lower-high chain, RSI(14) subdued around 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14227, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14340 breaks the lower-high chain
Break below 1.14227 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this move
EURUSD grinding lower through the European open, breaking to a fresh session low at 1.14227 on the latest bar with RSI(14) near 34. Price sits below EMA20/50 and remains capped well under the 1.1475 zone; move reflects thin, USD-soft post-NFP trade rather than euro strength.
Support: 1.14227, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14293, 1.14374, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14293 would stall the lower-low sequence
Loss of 1.14200 psych extends the downtrend
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg and shift this read
London session drifting lower; EUR/USD swept the session low at 1.14227 on the latest bar and closed 1.14273, still capped well below the 1.14475 zone despite post-NFP USD softness. Chain of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 40 with room before oversold.
Support: 1.14227, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14227 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.14360 breaks the lower-high chain
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 GMT and Lagarde 16:00 GMT could reshape this read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.14273
Lower highs and lower lows into session low.
Asian into early European hours grinding lower, price broke the 1.1428 shelf and printed a fresh session low at 1.1423 on the last bar. EUR lacks its own bid — moves stay USD-driven post-NFP — and the chart shows lower highs capped at 1.1434, RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1434 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1423 opens the 1.1420 round number
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 GMT) and Lagarde later could shift this read
Post-gap Asia session peaked at 1.14408 then bled lower to 1.14271, and price is now consolidating near 1.14290 below EMA20/50 into the London open. Move fits the USD-soft, EUR-capped read — rallies stall under 1.1475, with intraday action grinding a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14408 invalidates the lower-high sequence
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could break this range
Lower highs off 1.1441, base building near 1.1428.
EUR/USD drifted lower through the Asia session off the 1.1441 swing high, now chopping in a tight 1.1427-1.1340 band with price pinned below EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR near 4 pips reflect thin, pre-London holiday-affected liquidity; the USD stays soft after Thursday's weak NFP but the euro side lacks its own bid.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14340 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14271 confirms a fresh lower low
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting to lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14289
Lower highs, testing session low.
EUR faded off 1.14408 through the Asian session and is pressing the 1.14271 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with no oversold signal. Move is USD-driven, with rallies still capped as the post-NFP bounce stalls; early European hours have yet to establish direction.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14319
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14375 negates the lower-high sequence
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC could inject volatility into this range
Thin Asia session drifting lower, price pinned at the 1.14271 session low after a chain of lower highs off 1.14408. Move remains USD-led follow-through from Thursday's soft NFP; EUR still capped well under the 1.1475 barrier.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14271 confirms a lower low
M15 close back above 1.14408 breaks the lower-high sequence
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Drifting lower within a tight range, probing session low.
EUR drifting lower through the Asia session in thin post-holiday liquidity, USD still soft after Thursday's weak NFP but the euro can't extend. Price probing the session low at 1.14271 with RSI(14) mid-range; capped under 1.14354.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14201
Resistance: 1.14354, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14354 needed to neutralise the downward drift
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating just above session low after leg down.
EUR faded from 1.14408 to a 1.14271 session low during the Asia session and is now consolidating around 1.14292, held below EMA20/50. Move fits the USD-led two-way theme with EUR capped under 1.1475; RSI(14) mid-range at ~43, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14319
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14375 needed to negate the downdrift
German Factory Orders (06:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend fading into range · RSI 45 · price 1.14316
Consolidation after intraday dip.
EURUSD drifted lower to a session low of 1.14271 in thin US-holiday liquidity, then stabilised, chopping between 1.14290 and 1.14340. Move fits the USD-led, EUR-capped picture after soft NFP; RSI(14) neutral near 44 with price hugging just under EMA20.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14408 negates the intraday range break lower
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could break this quiet range
05:01 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 46 · price 1.14316
Consolidation after intraday dip.
Thin Asia-session trade after the weekend gap; EURUSD slid to a session low of 1.14271 then recovered into a tight 1.14290–1.14375 band. Move fits the USD-led tone post-soft NFP, but rallies remain capped and price is holding just under both short EMAs.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14271
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14375 reopens the 1.14408 session high
EURUSD ranging 1.1427-1.1441 in thin early-Monday Asian liquidity, holding the post-NFP USD-weakness gains but with no directional push. Price sits mid-range below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 45, and the session low at 1.14271 has held on two dips.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower-low and opens downside
Break above 1.14408 puts the 1.14475 cap back in play
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and German Factory Orders (06:00 UTC) could inject volatility into this thin range
Thin post-weekend liquidity; EURUSD ranging 1.1427-1.1441 after drifting off the 1.14408 session high and finding demand at the 1.14271 swing low. Move stays USD-led on the soft NFP fallout, but rallies keep stalling well below the 1.1475 cap.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1450, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.14271 confirms a lower-low
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC and Waller at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.14321
Range between 1.1427 and 1.1440.
EURUSD is chopping in thin pre-London liquidity, holding a 1.1427-1.1440 range after the softer US NFP kept the dollar heavy on Friday. Price dipped to 1.14271 and recovered to hover around EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 46 with no directional push.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14393, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14393 opens a retest of the 1.14408 session high
Loss of 1.14271 confirms a lower low and range break
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range after weekend gap, holding above session low.
EURUSD opened the new week with a small gap lower and is chopping between 1.14271 and 1.14408 in thin Asian liquidity, RSI(14) mid-range near 44. The session high at 1.14408 rejected and price slid to 1.14271 before demand stepped in; now hovering at 1.14321 with no clean intraday direction.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower-low and opens downside
Reclaim of 1.14408 needed to shift the intraday range higher
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could break the range
Thin, holiday-tinged Asia session drifting after the pair set a lower low at 1.14271 and bounced to 1.14331. Price stalled well below the 1.1475 cap flagged by the USD-driven bid; range compressing between 1.14271 and 1.14408 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 negates the lower-low read
Break of 1.14271 confirms downside continuation
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
Thin, holiday-tinged Asia trade drifted off the 1.14408 session high toward 1.14271 before demand stepped in, leaving price ranging 1.1427-1.1441. Move is a USD story after the soft 57K NFP; EUR itself capped well below 1.1475.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14408 reopens the 1.1441-1.1475 band
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR drifting lower through thin Asia trade after stalling below the 1.1475 cap flagged post-NFP; the session low at 1.14271 has been probed twice with price now pinned near 1.14315, RSI mid-40s. Price holds below EMA20/50, capped by descending highs into 1.14355.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.14355, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14355 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14271 confirms a fresh lower low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read
Thin, holiday-tinged Asia trade: EURUSD faded from 1.14408 to a session low of 1.14271 before stabilising near 1.1431, holding below EMA20. Pair remains capped under the 1.1475 zone flagged on post-NFP dollar softness; ATR sits near 4 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14375 would neutralise the intraday down-leg
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower-low
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could break the range
Thin Asia-session trade has drifted EURUSD lower off the 1.14408 range high toward a fresh session low at 1.14271, with rallies rejected around 1.14375. Price sits below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 42 — the broader tone stays USD-led post-NFP, but the euro remains capped with no domestic bid.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
A close below 1.14271 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14375 would neutralise the intraday downdrift
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session drifting lower, price below EMA20/50 and probing the session low near 1.1427 after a sequence of lower highs. Move stays dollar-led on the post-NFP softness, but EUR remains capped well under 1.1475 with no domestic catalyst.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14375 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin Asia-session trade drifting lower, price pinned just above the 1.14271 session low after rejection from 1.14408. Move is dollar-led per post-NFP softness, but EUR's own conviction stays weak and rallies keep stalling into 1.14335.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14335 needed to break the lower-high chain
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Week reopened with a small gap lower and price has drifted through the Asia session toward the 1.14271 low, capped well below 1.1440. RSI(14) near 40 with a chain of lower highs; sellers pressing but no clean break of the session low yet.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14408 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14271 confirms continuation lower
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs into a session low at 1.14271, small bounce.
Thin Asia-session trade after the weekend gap; EURUSD slipped from 1.14408 to a session low of 1.14271, capped by fading ECB-hike bets under 1.1475. A shallow bounce off 1.14271 leaves price at 1.14313, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 42.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14360 negates the recent lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14271 confirms a lower low
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read intraday
Thin early-Asia trade rejected 1.1441 and slid to 1.14271 before a modest bounce to 1.14313, price holding below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 42, no oversold signal; EUR stays capped after last week's post-NFP USD softness failed to clear the 1.1475 ceiling.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14408 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14271 opens a deeper leg lower
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
Thin, holiday-affected Asian trade after a weekend gap; EURUSD swept the session low at 1.14271 then recovered to 1.14344. Price is boxed between 1.14271 and the session high at 1.14408, capped below the broader 1.1475 zone that has repeatedly rejected.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14302
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 reopens the 1.14475 test
Loss of 1.14271 confirms a lower low
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and Lagarde later could shift this read
Asia session dipped to a session low of 1.14271 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.14344 with USD soft after Thursday's weak NFP. Still range-bound under 1.14408, no clean break in play.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14283
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower-low
reclaim of 1.14408 puts 1.14475 back in range
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Thin Monday Asia session drifting lower after Friday's soft-NFP-driven USD move stalled; EUR/USD rejected at the 1.14408 session high and has ground down to the 1.14271 session low. RSI(14) near 40 with price under EMA20/50 — momentum tilted down but not stretched.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14319
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14375 swing high negates the current downdrift
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reset this intraday read
Thin Asia-session trade grinding lower after Friday's rally stalled below 1.1475 on fading ECB-hike bets. Price broke the 1.1432 shelf and printed a fresh session low at 1.14271 before a shallow bounce; RSI(14) sub-40, ATR barely 5 pips in holiday-quiet flow.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14319
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.14375 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14271 confirms continuation lower
German Factory Orders (06:00 UTC) and Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) could inject volatility
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 38 · price 1.14292
Lower highs into session low, offered.
Thin, holiday-shortened Asian session Monday, EUR soft after Thursday's 57K NFP kept the dollar heavy but rallies stalling. Price was rejected at the 1.14408 session high and has ground down to 1.14292, holding just above the 1.14271 session low with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 1.1436 negates the offered tone
Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves near session extremes
02:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend · RSI 36 · price 1.14292
Lower highs, pressing session low.
Thin Asian-session trade slid from the 1.14408 session high to a fresh session low at 1.14271, with price now hugging 1.1429 below both EMAs. RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold; the 1.14363 swing pivot capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14363, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14363 swing pivot would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14271 session low extends the down-leg toward 1.1425
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could shift this read
Asia session grinding lower after the weekend gap, EUR/USD printed a fresh session low at 1.14271 with price stalling below 1.14375. Move fits the digest's soft-EUR read, with rallies tiring below the 1.1475 cap; RSI(14) is cooling toward the low-30s but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14375 would break the lower-high sequence
A close below 1.14271 confirms continuation lower
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) later could reshape this read
Thin Asia-session open slid from the 1.14408 swing high to a fresh session low at 1.14271, breaking below the earlier 1.1435 shelf as USD firmed off post-NFP lows. RSI(14) near 34 reflects the impulsive leg down; price now hugging the low.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408, 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14408 swing high invalidates the downtrend read
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) later today could reshape this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 35 · price 1.14287
Lower highs, fresh session low printed.
Thin Sunday-into-Asia reopen has drifted lower, taking out the 1.14318 low and pressing a fresh session low at 1.14281 with RSI(14) near 35. EUR remains capped well below the 1.1475 resistance flagged into weak-USD trade, momentum firmly soft on this TF.
Support: 1.14281, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14408 would negate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14281 extends the session-low breakdown
EZ Retail Sales / German Factory Orders and Lagarde later today could reset this read
Thin early-Asia trade Monday has EUR/USD grinding to a fresh session low at 1.1428, extending a chain of lower highs from 1.1441. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 but not yet stretched; the pair stays capped well under the 1.1470/1.1500 zone flagged as resistance while USD holds its post-NFP softness.
Support: 1.14281, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14375 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14281 confirms continuation lower
German Factory Orders (06:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reshape this read
Thin early-Monday Asian session opened with a near-flat weekend gap and has churned in a ~1.1430–1.1441 band. Price drifted to the session low at 1.14302 before a shallow bounce; RSI(14) mid-40s, holding below EMA20/50 with no clean intraday trend in play.
Support: 1.14302, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 confirms a lower low and opens the downside
Reclaim of 1.14408 breaks the intraday range to the upside
Liquidity thin in Asia — ranges likely widen into London open
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.14326
Range with lower highs, near session low.
Thin Monday Asia trade opened with a small gap down and drifted lower after a rejection at the session high 1.14408. Price now hovers at 1.14326, just above the session low 1.14300, RSI(14) mid-40s. EUR still capped well below the 1.1475 area flagged as the ceiling into this week.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1437 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14408 negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Intraday drift lower · RSI 35 · price 1.14302
Lower highs, pressing session low.
Asia session grinding lower off the 1.14408 session high, price now sitting on the 1.14301 session low. RSI(14) near 35 with no bounce yet, and ATR sub-5 pips reflects thin holiday-week liquidity; USD stayed heavy post-NFP but the euro has no native momentum here.
Support: 1.14301, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.14408
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14301 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14375 intraday hi neutralises the lower-high chain
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, thin Asia liquidity · RSI 39 · price 1.14302
Drifting to session low.
Thin holiday-affected Asia session; EURUSD faded from the 1.1440 session high back through 1.14318 and is now pressing the session low at 1.14301, RSI(14) sub-40. Price holds below EMA20/50 with no fresh euro momentum after last week's soft US NFP left upside capped into 1.1470-1.1500.
Support: 1.14301, 1.14318
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14375
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14301 confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 1.14375 negates the session-low pressure
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reset this read
01:16 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.14354
Post-weekend Asia range, thin liquidity.
Thin Asia session after the weekend gap, EURUSD ranging 1.1432-1.1441 with the dollar still heavy post-NFP. Price bounced off the 1.14318 session low and stalled into 1.14408 before easing back; RSI(14) neutral near 48, no setup in play.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1429
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the 1.14470 two-week high
Failure to hold 1.14318 exposes the 1.1410-1.1370 support band
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could break this range
01:16 UTC
Sideways, thin Asia trade · RSI 48 · price 1.14354
Tight range after weekend gap.
Thin Asia session following the US Independence Day holiday, EURUSD ranging 1.1432-1.1441 with ATR compressed near 3 pips. Price rejected the 1.14408 session high and drifted back to 1.14354; RSI(14) neutral, no directional structure in play. Broader backdrop still leans soft-dollar after Thursday's NFP miss, but native euro momentum is absent.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the 1.1447 resistance zone
Break below 1.14318 exposes the 1.1428 area
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could break this range
Thin Asia-session trade holding a 1.1432-1.1440 range after firming off the 1.14318 session low, with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Price drifted up to 1.14408 before easing back to the middle of the range; no clean break in play.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path back toward the 1.1447 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14318 confirms a lower-low
EZ Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could break the range
01:01 UTC
Range, low momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.14365
Tight Asia-session range after weekend gap.
Thin Asia session opened on a weekend gap and has held a tight 1.1432-1.1441 range; buyers stepped in twice at the 1.14318 session low before a shallow push to 1.14408 faded. RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no structural move in play. EUR upside remains a USD story after Thursday's weak NFP, with rallies expected to fade into the 1.1470-1.1500 zone.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14458, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path to the 1.1445-1.1470 caps
Loss of 1.14318 confirms a lower low toward 1.1428
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could break this range
00:46 UTC
Mild recovery within range · RSI 61 · price 1.14399
Grinding higher off session low.
Thin, holiday-affected Asia session grinding higher off the 1.14318 low toward the session high at 1.14408, EUR still riding post-NFP USD softness. Price sits just under the intraday cap with RSI cooling in the low-60s; range remains contained between 1.14318 and 1.14408.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path toward the 1.14470 two-week high
Failure to hold 1.14318 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.14350 support break
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin Asia session grinding higher off the 1.14318 session low, last push tagging 1.14408 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Volume light after the holiday-thinned weekend gap; recovery capped so far at the session high.
Support: 1.14318, 1.14282
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path toward 1.14470 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14318 reopens the 1.14282 prior low
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reset this read
EURUSD grinding in a tight Asia-session range, holding above 1.14318 and recovering toward the 1.14408 session high as the dollar stays heavy after Thursday's soft NFP. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme; price has drifted off the floor but rallies remain capped well below the 1.14470 two-week high.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path toward the 1.14470 two-week high
Failure to hold 1.14318 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.14399
Thin Asia range, higher lows building.
EURUSD reopened with a small weekend gap below Friday's 1.1435 close, then ground higher through the thin Asia session to retest the session high at 1.14408. Price is holding above short EMAs after basing at 1.14318, with RSI(14) firm but not extended.
Support: 1.14318, 1.14356
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14408 opens the path to the 1.14472 prior high
Loss of 1.14318 marks a lower-low and voids the recovery read
German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could break this thin range
00:16 UTC
Flat, thin session range · RSI 53 · price 1.1437
Tight range after weekend gap.
Thin Sunday/Asia reopen left a small weekend gap, with price now grinding in a tight 1.1432-1.1437 band. EUR/USD holds near two-week highs after Thursday's soft NFP kept the dollar heavy, but volume is minimal and no intraday structure is in play.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14377, 1.1446
What it said to watch
Break of session high 1.14377 opens the 1.1446 prior swing
Loss of 1.14318 session low exposes 1.1430
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could break this thin range
00:16 UTC
Flat, thin Asian range · RSI 54 · price 1.1437
Tight consolidation post-gap.
Thin, holiday-affected Asian session reopened after a weekend gap and is coiling in a ~6-pip range between 1.14318 and 1.14377, ATR barely 3 pips. EUR remains USD-driven after Thursday's soft NFP; no intraday structure in play with the session still early.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1437
Resistance: 1.14377, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14377 opens the 1.1470 two-week high area
Loss of 1.14318 exposes the 1.1370 support zone
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could break the range
00:01 UTC
Flat, holiday-thin range · RSI 50 · price 1.14358
Tight consolidation post weekend gap.
Thin early-Asia Monday session opened with a small weekend gap and has held a tight 1.1432-1.1438 range, ATR barely 3 pips. No setup in play; price is sitting on EMA20 with EMA50 just overhead near the recent highs.
Support: 1.14318, 1.1429
Resistance: 1.14377, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14377 extends the session range higher
Loss of 1.14318 opens the 1.14290 prior low
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Eurozone Retail Sales / Lagarde later today could break this holiday-thin range
EURUSD reopened with a small gap-down into 1.1432 after the US holiday lull, then chopped in a 1.14318-1.14377 band on thin volume. Price sits mid-range near 1.1436 with RSI flat around 51; no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.14318, 1.14351
Resistance: 1.14377, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14377 opens 1.14470
Loss of 1.14318 confirms a lower session low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and EZ Retail Sales / Lagarde could break the range