EUR/USD based twice near 1.1410 into the Asia session before grinding back toward 1.1450 through NY hours, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling into the low 60s. The weekly open at 1.1434 has flipped to a floor while the 1.1470 range top still caps this week's attempts. Move sits inside the broader 1.14/1.15 band as the market waits on the USD/Fed story.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1434, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1470 range top opens 1.1500
Failure to hold the 1.1410 week low exposes 1.1400 range floor, then 1.1370
FOMC minutes Wed and German HICP Fri could reset this range read
23:01 UTC
Recovering within weekly range · RSI 63 · price 1.14456
Higher lows off session low, pressing range top.
EUR/USD has spent the week boxed between the 1.1400 range floor and a 1.1462 week high, with upbeat Eurozone data ignored as the USD/Fed story dominates. Price bottomed at the 1.1408 session low into the NY session and has ground back up in a sequence of higher lows, now trading above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the 55-63 zone. The 1.1462 week high remains the level capping any topside attempt.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1400, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1470
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 opens the 1.1470/1.1500 resistance
Failure to hold the 1.1400 range floor exposes the 1.1370 week low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off floor · RSI 57 · price 1.14441
Consolidation between 1.1410 floor and 1.1472 high.
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.14723 week high on the mid-week USD leg lower, then drifted back to base twice around the 1.1410 range floor before recovering into the NY session to 1.1444. Price now sits back above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling near 57; the 1.1447 prior high has capped the bounce so far. Move remains largely a USD story — a firm dollar reclaiming DXY 101 has kept EUR offered despite resilient EZ data.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14470 opens a retest of the 1.14723 week high
Clean break of 1.14100 range floor exposes 1.1361 and the 1.1210 zone flagged in the digest
Eurozone HICP Fri and FOMC minutes Wed could reset this range
EUR/USD spent the week pinned just above the 1.1400 floor, spiking to 1.1472 mid-window before drifting back to test the day low at 1.14094. Price has since reclaimed EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling back toward the high-50s, but the 1.1455/1.1472 zone continues to cap rebounds — a USD-led story as the greenback held firm despite the soft 57K NFP. The digest frames this as two-way range trade between the 1.1390-1.1410 support and 1.1470/1.1500 resistance.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14094, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.14545 reopens the 1.14723 week high
Break of 1.14094 exposes the 1.1390-1.1410 floor, then 1.1210
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has traded a well-defined 1.1370-1.1470 range all week, with Thursday's NFP miss spiking price to the 1.14723 week high before the USD rebound pulled it back. Price recovered from the 1.1409 day low through the NY session and now sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling around 60. The 1.1470/1.1500 zone has capped every topside attempt as sub-50% odds of a Sept ECB hike weigh on the euro.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1430, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1409 exposes the 1.1370 week low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reprice the USD and shift this range read
EUR/USD spiked to the week high 1.14723 on Thursday's soft NFP print, then faded into a 1.1409-1.1472 range as a firmer USD capped topside. Since Monday's reopen price dipped to 1.14094 and has climbed back through the NY session, now working the range mid with RSI(14) cycling mid-50s to 60. Strong German factory orders failed to lift the euro, keeping the consolidation intact.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1385, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 opens the path to 1.1500
Loss of 1.1409 day low exposes 1.1385, then the 1.1370 range floor
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 1.14411
Sideways range, mid-to-upper band.
EUR/USD has held a 1.1361–1.1472 range all week, with price now grinding back toward the top after basing around 1.1410 through the NY session. A firmer USD post-payrolls has capped the euro below 1.1472 despite solid German factory orders, keeping the range intact. Price sits back above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling near 60.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1445 exposes the 1.1472 week high, then 1.1500
Break of 1.1390–1.1410 support opens the path to the 1.1361 week low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this range read
EUR/USD has churned in the 1.1390-1.1470 band all week, with the sharp NFP-day spike to 1.1472 setting the ceiling and buyers stepping in around 1.1410 on each dip. Price reclaimed EMA20 into the late NY session and RSI(14) sits mid-50s, reflecting the mild upward drift without directional resolution. The firmer USD and sub-50% odds on a September ECB hike have kept topside capped despite firm German factory orders.
Support: 1.14094, 1.13851, 1.13687
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14545 opens the path to the 1.1472 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14094 exposes the 1.1385 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break the range
19:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 60 · price 1.14414
Choppy 1.1410–1.1470 range, near mid-upper.
EUR/USD carved out a Thursday impulse to 1.14621 then faded, spending Monday's session grinding back up from the 1.1410 area with RSI(14) recovering through 60 and price reclaiming both EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.14–1.1470 range remains intact; upbeat German Factory Orders and PPI failed to break it as a firmer USD capped the topside. Move sits mid-upper range into midweek event risk.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1470
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14621 opens a retest of the 1.1470 range top
Loss of 1.14094 exposes 1.1370 range low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break the range read
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst
Range-bound 1.1408-1.1472, higher lows since Friday low.
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.1472 week high on last Thursday's soft NFP print but reversed as the USD clawed back ground, leaving the pair pinned in a 1.1408-1.1472 range. A double-bottom base around 1.1408-1.1410 held into Friday and price has since carved higher lows back to 1.1441. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range near 57 with price reclaiming both H1 EMAs.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14620 opens the 1.14720 week high
Failure to hold 1.14260 weekly open re-exposes the 1.14100 base
FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.14365
Week-long range, lower highs capping.
Range-bound since Monday's open between 1.1410 support and the 1.1472 week high, with a USD safe-haven bid on Hormuz risk capping EUR upside despite firm German Factory Orders. Price recovered off 1.1410 through the NY session, reclaiming EMA20 as RSI(14) cycled back toward mid-range. Lower highs off 1.1472 keep the range top intact.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1445 prior high opens the path to the 1.1472 week high
Break below 1.1410 range low exposes 1.1370 support
FOMC minutes Wed and German HICP Fri could break this range
EURUSD spiked to a week high near 1.1470 midweek then faded, and has since boxed between 1.1408 and the mid-1.1450s as a USD safe-haven bid on Hormuz risk offsets firm German Factory Orders. Price is recovering into the NY session back above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around 50-55, keeping the read range-bound. The 1.1454 session-high shelf has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1454, 1.1470
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1470 week high opens the path toward 1.1500
Break below 1.1408 week low exposes the 1.1370 range base
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and German HICP Fri could reset this range
EUR/USD eased off Thursday's 1.1472 peak and has spent this week consolidating in a 1.1408–1.1445 band, sitting just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. The recovery has been capped as USD firmed on Hormuz haven flows, leaving price retracing roughly 38% of the week's impulse off the 1.1361 low. The prior-high band near 1.1445 has held back the last two upside attempts.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1445 reopens the 1.1472 week high
Range-bound, holding mid-week band after lower highs.
EUR/USD has drifted in a 1.1408–1.1455 band since Monday's open, easing off last week's 1.1472 peak as a firmer USD on Hormuz safe-haven demand capped upbeat EZ data. Price carved lower highs into the week low at 1.1408 during the London-NY window, then recovered back above EMA(20) near 1.1425 into the current NY session. RSI(14) is cycling neutral around 52 with no clear directional momentum.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1455 range top opens the path to 1.1470 prior high
Break of 1.1408 week low exposes 1.1370 wk support
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the week's key EUR catalyst
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Consolidation below EMA50, lower highs since Monday.
EUR/USD has drifted lower since Monday's re-open, sliding from 1.1441 toward 1.1410 before a shallow NY-session bounce back to 1.1426. Price is pinned around EMA20 but below EMA50 with RSI hovering near 50 — a tired, two-way consolidation as USD safe-haven flows offset an upbeat EZ data slate. The 1.14408 area has capped attempts this week while demand has stepped in near 1.1410.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1395, 1.13707
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14545
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14408 opens the path to 1.14545
Failure to hold 1.14094 exposes the 1.13950 swing low
EUR/USD rallied hard mid-week from the 1.1360s to a 1.1472 high on the dovish-Fed repricing after soft US payrolls, then failed to extend and has drifted back into a 1.1408-1.1455 range. Today's NY session probed the 1.1408 range low before buyers lifted it back to 1.1426; RSI(14) sits mid-range with price hugging EMA(20) but below EMA(50). The 1.1455-1.1472 band has capped every attempt since the impulse peaked.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (16:00 UTC) can shift this read materially
H1 close below 1.1408 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1370
Reclaim of 1.1455 reopens the 1.1472 week high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
EUR spiked to 1.14723 on last Thursday's soft-NFP driven USD dip, then faded and has printed lower highs since, capped near the 1.1455 range top. Price has slipped below the H1 EMA20 into the NY session with RSI(14) around 42, sitting on the session low near 1.14094 after USD firmed on Hormuz risk. The dominant weekly impulse has retraced to its 50% mark near current price.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1390, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1455, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1390 breakdown zone opens 1.1370 support
Reclaim of 1.1428 EMA20 needed to re-challenge the 1.1455 range top
15:01 UTC
Range fade, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.14182
Rangebound below faded weekly high.
Since the spike to the 1.1470 weekly high last Thursday, EUR/USD has faded and consolidated in a 1.1415-1.1455 band, with USD firming on Hormuz safe-haven demand despite upbeat German orders. Price has slipped below EMA20 and EMA50 and is now grinding toward the range floor near 1.1410, RSI(14) tracking the low-40s. The 1.1455 range top has capped attempts this week while demand around 1.1410 has so far held.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1410 range floor opens 1.1390 breakdown, then 1.1370 support
Close back above 1.1455 range top reopens the 1.1470 weekly high
14:01 UTC
Pullback, momentum lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14116
Lower highs since mid-week peak.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) but has bled lower since, printing successive lower highs and now trading back under EMA20/EMA50 near 1.1411. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s and the 1.1408 swing low is the immediate floor being probed. Rejection off the 1.1462 week high has capped every attempt back into the range top.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14408, 1.14621
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14082 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.14260 (EMA20) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Lagarde 16:00 UTC is the near-term swing factor and could materially shift this read
Lower highs since mid-week peak, capped sub-1.1475.
EUR/USD has bled lower off the 1.1462 mid-week peak, carving a run of lower highs after the soft US NFP-driven risk-on move stalled below the 1.1475 range cap. Price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-45, and a weekend gap left a clean supply shelf overhead into 1.1438. Demand around the 1.1408 swing low is the near-term floor, with 1.1400 the round number beneath.
Support: 1.14082, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14223, 1.1438, 1.1475
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde 16:00 UTC is the near-term swing factor and could reshape this read
H1 close back above 1.1438 prior high would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 1.14082 swing low opens the path toward 1.1400 round number
13:01 UTC
Pullback within this-week range · RSI 41 · price 1.14128
Lower highs since 1.1462 peak, testing week lows.
EUR/USD spiked to a near two-week high at 1.1472 after Thursday's soft US NFP (57K), but supply has capped every attempt at the 1.1454/1.1462 zone since. Price has drifted lower all of Monday, printing lower highs and now sitting below EMA20 (~1.1430) as the USD stabilised, testing the 1.1409 day low. RSI(14) has cooled toward 40 in line with the slide off the highs.
Support: 1.14094, 1.1395, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14458, 1.14621
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.14094 confirms a lower low toward 1.1395 week open
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1430 would neutralise the pullback
EUR/USD spiked to a near two-week high at 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K), then stalled and has drifted back to 1.1413, trading below the H1 EMA20 and EMA50. The move down from Friday's 1.1438 day high has printed lower highs while the 1.1460 20-day EMA barrier repeatedly capped the euro. RSI(14) sits near 39, reflecting the fade after the payrolls impulse.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.1460, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 16:00 UTC and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 1.1438 reopens the 1.1460 ema barrier
Failure to hold 1.1410 exposes 1.1400 psych and the 1.1379 swing low
EUR/USD spiked to a week high near 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) but the move stalled below the 1.1454 prior high and has since bled lower into a string of lower highs. Price slipped back under the H1 EMA20 during the Monday session and is now hovering around the 50% retrace of the week's impulse near 1.1417, with the 1.14094 swing low the pivot below. The digest frames upside as USD-weakness driven and repeatedly capped in the 1.1475/1.1500 zone.
Support: 1.14094, 1.13958, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14094 confirms a lower low and opens the weekly open at 1.13958
Reclaim of 1.14335 lower high would neutralise the pullback read
Lagarde 16:00 UTC is a HIGH-risk event that could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to the week high 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP, then faded into a consolidation that has printed lower highs, capped near 1.1460. Price now trades below EMA20 (~1.1432) with RSI in the mid-40s as it drifts back toward the 1.1410 range low. The move stalled exactly where the digest flags fade-rallies, with no fresh euro-bullish story below 1.1475.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1361
Reclaim of 1.1460 needed to re-test the 1.1472 week high
Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Thursday's peak, testing mid-1440s.
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.1472 week high on Thursday's soft NFP print, then stalled sub-1.1475 and has carved lower highs into today. Price now sits back near the 1.1410 session low, below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling under 45. The 1.1475 cap has held repeatedly and demand around the mid-1440s has thinned on this leg lower.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1472, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1361 week low
Reclaim of 1.1450 needed to re-open the 1.1472 week high
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 last week on the soft US payrolls print, but the rally stalled below the 1.1475 barrier and price has faded through this week, printing lower highs into the NY session. Spot now trades near 1.142, below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) soft around 40, and demand around the 1.1410 day low is the immediate test. Lagarde at 16:00 UTC and ISM Services at 14:00 are the near-term wildcards.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1445 EMA20 would neutralise the fade
Lagarde 16:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Pullback within week range · RSI 42 · price 1.14138
Lower highs off week high, holding session low.
Since Monday's reopen near 1.1434, EUR/USD has ground lower through the London session, carving lower highs after Thursday's NFP-driven spike to the 1.14723 week high stalled below the 1.1475 cap. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the low-40s, holding just above the 1.14100 session low. Two-way flow keeps the pair boxed under the fading 1.14475 day high.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14100 session low opens the 1.13760 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14475 day high needed to break the lower-highs sequence
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) but stalled below the 1.1475 cap and has drifted lower through this week's later sessions, printing successive lower highs. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, pressing the session low near 1.1410 with RSI(14) sub-40. The move remains USD-led; Lagarde at 16:00 UTC is the immediate risk to the range.
Support: 1.14107, 1.1395, 1.13687
Resistance: 1.14408, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower low toward 1.1395
Reclaim of 1.1445 and the EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below week high, lower highs into Monday.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's low near 1.1361 after Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) knocked the dollar, peaking at 1.1472 before stalling below the 1.1475 cap. Price has since consolidated and slipped under EMA(20) through the Monday session, drifting toward the day low at 1.14149 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 1.1472/1.1475 zone has repeatedly capped upside as ECB-hike doubts fade the bounce.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1382, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.14723, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14149 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.1475 needed to reopen the path toward the week high
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) drove EUR/USD to a two-week high near 1.1472 but the pair was rejected repeatedly below the 1.1475 cap. This week opened after a weekend gap around 1.1434 and has drifted lower into the NY session, pressing the 1.1415 session low and stalling near the 50% retracement of the NFP impulse. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) under 50.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400, 1.1369
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1475
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) plus Lagarde (16:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1415 opens the path toward the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of the 1.1435 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-highs sequence
08:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower under cap · RSI 42 · price 1.14254
Lower highs below 1.1475 weekly cap.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's ~1.1394 open and spiked to 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K), but follow-through stalled and 1.1475 has capped every attempt since. Price has since carved a series of lower highs off 1.1462 and now trades below EMA20 with RSI sub-45, back near the 1.1420 swing low. The bounce is a USD-weakness story with no independent euro bid, and momentum has faded.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1462, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 cap opens the 1.150-1.153 zone
Failure to hold 1.1419 confirms a lower low toward 1.1400
EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ran from Wednesday's 1.1361 low to a 1.1472 print on Thursday's weak US NFP, but follow-through stalled and price has since drifted into a lower-high pattern below the 1.1475 cap. Into the London session spot sits back below EMA20 and EMA50 around 1.1425, with RSI cycling under 45 as the post-payrolls bounce loses steam. The day low at 1.1416 has capped the downside so far.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 opens the 1.150-1.153 zone flagged by desks
Failure to hold 1.1416 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1385 swing low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Pullback within this-week's uptrend · RSI 41 · price 1.14177
Lower highs off the week high, testing 50% retrace.
EUR spiked to the week high 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) then stalled below the 1.1475 cap noted in the context. Price has since carved lower highs and slipped back to the 50% retrace of that impulse near 1.1417, now trading below the 1.1435 EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) soft in the low 40s as the pullback extends into thin post-holiday trade.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.13707
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 round number opens a deeper retrace toward 1.1385 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1435 EMA20 needed to stabilise the pullback
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 39 · price 1.14177
Lower highs off week high 1.1472.
The Thursday spike to 1.1472 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs ~110K) has faded, with price tracing lower highs and slipping below EMA(20) into the new week. Price now sits on the 50% retrace of that NFP impulse near 1.1417, having failed repeatedly at the 1.1475 cap flagged this week. RSI(14) is sub-40, reflecting the loss of upside momentum.
Support: 1.14168, 1.1400, 1.13707
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 fib 50% opens the path toward the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.14475 prior high needed to re-engage the week high
Lagarde speech 16:00 UTC and ISM Services could materially shift this read
Range below Friday's high, drifting toward range low.
The week opened near 1.1403, dipped to the 1.1361 low mid-week, then spiked to a 1.14723 high on the weak US NFP (57K) that knocked the dollar. Since Friday price has stalled below the 1.1475 ING cap and drifted into a tight, holiday-thin range, now pressing the 1.1423 range low with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and price trading below EMA20/EMA50. Rejection at the 1.1445–1.1462 band has capped every recovery attempt this week.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1403
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1462, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1423 opens the path back toward the 1.1403 weekly open
Reclaim of 1.1445 prior high needed to reopen the 1.1462 session high
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 GMT) and Lagarde (16:00 GMT) plus US ISM Services could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Pullback within week's uptrend · RSI 43 · price 1.14272
Lower highs off week high, below EMAs.
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.1472 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K) but stalled repeatedly below the 1.1475 cap flagged as ING's fade zone. Since then, price has drifted lower through the holiday-thin sessions and now sits back below EMA20/EMA50 near 1.1427, having failed to reclaim the highs. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as the pullback holds above the day low at 1.1423.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1404, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1472, 1.1437
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 cap opens the 1.150-1.153 band
Failure to hold 1.1423 day low exposes the 1.1404 swing/fib
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 GMT and Lagarde 16:00 GMT could reset this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 last week on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) that knocked the dollar, but the rally stalled short of the 1.1475 cap and has since rolled into a tight consolidation around 1.143. Price is holding just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 46 as the new week opens in thin holiday liquidity. The 1.1440 EMA and 1.1428 session low now bracket the range.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1421, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1462, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 reopens the 1.1475 cap test
Loss of 1.1421 confirms a lower-low from this range
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could break the consolidation
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.1472 week high Friday as a soft US NFP (57K) knocked the dollar, but the rally stalled and price has consolidated in a 1.1427-1.1447 band since. Lower highs have formed into thin holiday liquidity, with price now sitting just below EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50). The 1.1447 range top has capped repeated attempts and the move remains USD-led rather than euro-driven.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1420, 1.14035
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1427 confirms a lower-low and cracks the range floor
Break and hold above 1.1447 reopens the 1.1462-1.1472 zone
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD extended a second day of gains on post-NFP dollar weakness, spiking to a week high at 1.14723 before supply capped it near 1.1455. Price has since drifted back below EMA20 and is consolidating in the 1.1427-1.1447 band, with RSI(14) easing toward the mid-40s as the impulse loses steam. The move stayed USD-led; the euro's own narrative remained soft after the dovish HICP repricing.
Support: 1.14271, 1.13951, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14472 reopens the path to the 1.14723 week high
Failure to hold 1.14271 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.13951 swing
Thursday's weak US NFP (57K) drove a dollar-led breakout to the week high at 1.1472; since then EUR/USD has consolidated in a 1.1428–1.1455 band and drifted toward the range floor into Monday's session. Price has slipped below EMA20 while holding above EMA50, with RSI cycling in the mid-40s. Context flags rallies capped ahead of 1.1500 as upside is USD-driven rather than EUR-led.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1407, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1472, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1428 range floor opens the 1.1407 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1455 range top needed to retest the 1.1472 week high
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to a weekly high of 1.14723 on Thursday's soft 57K US NFP print, then stalled and drifted back as the pair repeatedly failed near the 1.1475 resistance flagged in the digest. Monday's holiday-thin session has been tight, coiling in the 1.1428-1.1441 band just under the H1 EMA20 with RSI hovering mid-range. Price holds above the EMA50 but sits below EMA20, keeping the read balanced within this week's range.
Support: 1.14271, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14723 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14271 session low exposes the 1.13613 week low
EUR/USD popped to a week high of 1.14723 on Friday's soft 57K NFP, then rolled into a tight consolidation that has held all through the thin, US-holiday session since. Price is grinding just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-line, and the 1.1445-1.1455 range top has capped every attempt back higher. Repeated rejections near 1.1475 flagged in the macro read leave the pair boxed between that ceiling and the 1.14271 swing low.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14750 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14271 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could reshape this read
EUR pushed a second day higher into midweek, running from the 1.1361 base to a 1.14621 week high after the soft 57K US NFP knocked USD, but upside stalled and repeatedly failed sub-1.1475 with no domestic euro driver. Since Thursday the pair has drifted into a tight consolidation of lower highs, slipping back below EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) easing to the low-40s. Price now sits near the 1.14202 swing low into the Monday reopen.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14621, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 cap needed to reopen 1.1500
Loss of 1.14202 swing low exposes 1.1400 round and 1.1370 wk support
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR climbed a second day off Thursday's 1.1361 low into the NFP-driven USD softness, spiking to 1.1472 before supply capped it below the 1.1475 zone. Price has since ground lower along a series of lower highs into the weekend, slipping under EMA(20) and stalling near the 38.2% retracement of the week's impulse around 1.1430. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the rally lost its domestic driver.
Support: 1.14281, 1.1410, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 needed to reopen the week's high at 1.14621
Failure to hold 1.14281 confirms deeper pullback toward 1.1410
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-led read
Since Thursday's NFP shock, EUR/USD ripped from 1.1361 to the 1.1472 week high on broad dollar weakness, its first meaningful up-leg in three weeks. Price has since consolidated the 1.1428-1.1460 band for two sessions and now sits back under EMA20 in thin Asia trade. The 1.1472 week high capped the rally while support has held repeatedly near 1.1428.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1400, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1458
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 opens the path back toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1428 exposes 1.1400 round number
Lagarde 16:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD jumped to a 1.14723 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP print, then spent the sessions since drifting lower into a tight consolidation between 1.1428 and 1.1454. Price now sits just under EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50), with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 as momentum flattens. The 1.1470-1.1500 zone flagged in the ECB-repricing narrative has capped the move — rallies have faded below the week high.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1410, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14545 reopens the 1.14723 week high
Loss of 1.14285 exposes 1.1410 support
Lagarde 16:00 UTC and ISM Services could shift the consolidation read
EURUSD spiked to 1.1472 on Thursday's weak US NFP (57K vs 110K f/c) that knocked the dollar, then eased into a 1.1430-1.1455 range through thin holiday trade. Price is pinned just below EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range, holding above the higher-low sequence built off Wednesday's 1.1361 base. The 1.1470-1.1500 zone has capped the advance so far.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14214, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14723, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14545/1.1470 opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.14285 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes 1.1370
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) Monday could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ripped off the 1.1361 week low into 1.1472 on Thursday's post-NFP dollar selloff, then stalled and has been consolidating below EMA(20) around 1.1435 through the thin holiday session. RSI has eased into the mid-40s as the range narrows and lower highs cap under 1.1455.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1455 reopens the 1.1472 week high
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes the 1.1361 week low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read