EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Thursday, 11 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum turning up · RSI 54 · price 1.15802
Double-bottom bounce off range floor.
EURUSD has been grinding lower since the early-Feb breakdown that drove price from 1.1644 into the 1.1500 area, with subsequent action pinned in a 1.1500-1.1565 range as soft eurozone data offset a firm dollar. The latest bar is a sharp recovery off a double bottom at the 1.1500 April trough, reclaiming the 1.1565 range cap and stretching to 1.1590. ATR has expanded on the move, so the prior compression is resolving higher for now.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1500, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1590, 1.1640
What it said to watch
H4 close back below 1.1565 reopens the prior range
Sustained move above 1.1640 challenges the broader downtrend
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fri HICP and Michigan sentiment could reshape this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off support · RSI 54 · price 1.15802
Lower highs since early month, holding 1.1500 floor.
Downtrend intact since the sharp slide off 1.1644 that followed firm US inflation data and USD strength, but price has repeatedly found demand at the 1.1500 April trough. The final bar staged a strong recovery from 1.1503 to 1.1580, lifting back toward the 1.1565/75 cap and pressing against the EMA50. Structure stays bearish below 1.1575 while the 1.1500 floor holds.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1590, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1575 cap opens path back toward the EMA50 near 1.1600
Failure to hold the 1.1500 april trough confirms a lower-low toward 1.1400
Eurozone final HICP and ECB Nagel (Fri) could shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15151
Lower highs, basing above 1.1500.
EURUSD broke sharply below the 1.1600 shelf and the 1.1565 cap, then settled into a tight consolidation just above the 1.1500 April trough — EUR pinned at two-month lows after a fully-priced ECB hike met hot US PPI. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with ATR(14) compressing around 27 pips, a coil pressing on support. Successive lower highs have capped every bounce since the drop.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15059
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1400
Reclaim of the 1.1565 cap would neutralise the downside pressure
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC and next week's FOMC could shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15151
Lower highs into a range near two-month lows.
EURUSD is pinned at two-month lows after the sharp early-month break from 1.1645 down through 1.1500, with price now grinding sideways between the 1.1575 range high and the April trough at 1.1500. The slide tracked widening US-EU policy divergence — hot US PPI and a fully-priced ECB hike leaving little EUR upside fuel. Price holds below both EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the broader downtrend intact while the range compresses just above support.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15059
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1645
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1400
Close above 1.1575 range high invalidates the consolidation read
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the EUR leg of this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15237
Lower highs into 1.1500 floor, ranging.
EUR/USD remains in a downtrend, pinned near two-month lows after the steep early-month drop that snapped support and dragged price from 1.1644 to the 1.1500 region. Since then the pair has consolidated in a 1.1500-1.1575 band with price trading below both EMA20 and EMA50; the in-line ECB hike to 2.25% gave no fresh lift. Demand has stepped in repeatedly just above the April trough at 1.1500 while supply caps rallies under 1.1575.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1499, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1585, 1.1644
What it said to watch
Clean H4 close below 1.1500 confirms lower-low and opens 1.1445
Close above 1.1585 negates the downside read
ECB press conference and US PPI/claims could materially shift this read in the next bars
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 42 · price 1.15237
Lower highs, holding above 1.1500.
EURUSD remains in a downtrend after the sharp slide from 1.1640 broke the multi-week range and dumped to 1.1518, with EUR pinned near two-month lows as the ECB delivered a fully-priced 25bp hike. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1500-1.1575 band, with EMA20 below EMA50 keeping the structure bearish. Demand stepping in repeatedly around the 1.1500 April trough has so far capped the decline.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1585
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1445
Close above 1.1585 negates the bearish structure
ECB press conference and US PPI/claims could materially shift this read in the next bar
Price broke down sharply in early February from the 1.1640 area to a 1.1499 low, then stabilised into a tight 1.1525-1.1575 range. ATR(14) has compressed hard since the drop and price sits below both the EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the broader read heavy. The 1.1500 psych floor has absorbed two tests while supply caps repeatedly into 1.1575.
Support: 1.1525, 1.1500, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.15585, 1.1575, 1.1585
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is a near-term catalyst for the range
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
H4 close above 1.1585 negates the downside range read
10:23 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.15327
Consolidation above 1.1500 after impulsive selloff.
Price rolled over through 1.1645 in an impulsive selloff that bottomed at 1.14994, and has since coiled in a tight 1.1500-1.1575 range near two-month lows. EUR is pinned below EMA20/EMA50 ahead of the ECB decision, with the 25bp hike to 2.25% fully priced and Lagarde's tone the catalyst. ATR has eased off the selloff spike as the range tightens above the 1.1500 floor.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1585, 1.1645
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
Break of 1.1500 floor opens 1.1445
H4 close above 1.1585 negates the downside read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.15312
Range above two-month lows after impulse drop.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1700 area through the window and gapped lower on the sharp early-week drop, bottoming at 1.1499 before stabilising. Price now consolidates in a 1.1505-1.1575 band just above two-month lows, capped under the EMA20 with both EMAs sloping down. ECB risk dominates the next bars — the move hinges on whether Lagarde signals further tightening or a pause.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1543, 1.1575
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this band
US PPI 12:30 GMT could shift the USD leg simultaneously
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms continuation toward the 1.1445 target
Reclaim of 1.1575 ex-support cap would neutralise the lower-high structure
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15312
Range-bound below broken support.
Price broke the multi-week 1.1600 range with a sharp impulse drop on Feb 6, pulling EURUSD down to two-month lows near 1.1500 and rolling the H4 EMA20/EMA50 lower. Since then trade has stalled into a tight 1.1525-1.1575 consolidation band, with the 1.1575 ex-support now capping and demand stepping in around 1.1500-1.1505. ATR has cooled from the breakout spike into compression as the market waits on today's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1522, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT is the dominant catalyst — a dovish hike risks a break of 1.1505 toward 1.1445
H4 close above 1.1575 invalidates the consolidation-below-resistance read and opens 1.1600
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could amplify the move via the USD leg
Failure to hold 1.1505 confirms continuation of the broken-range downtrend
07:11 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15439
Range above 1.1500 after impulsive drop.
Sequence of lower highs from 1.1721 capped the window, with an impulsive H4 drop on 5 Jun puncturing 1.1600 and bottoming at the 1.1500 two-month low. Price has since gone sideways in a 1.1500-1.1575 band, and ATR(14) has compressed sharply, consistent with pre-ECB caution. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the broader bearish structure intact.
Support: 1.1522, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1445 downside target
H4 close above the 1.1575 range cap invalidates the consolidation read
07:11 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15439
Lower highs into a tight range above two-month lows.
EUR/USD broke down sharply to two-month lows near 1.1506 as a firmer USD on sticky 4.2% CPI capped the pair, and price has since coiled into a tight 1.1520-1.1575 range. ATR(14) has compressed hard since the breakdown, with price pinned below both EMAs and supply repeatedly capping at the 1.1575 range top. Structure remains lower-high biased into the ECB decision.
Support: 1.1522, 1.1506, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde press conference 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
H4 close above 1.1575 invalidates the range-cap read and opens 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1445 area
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15439
Range-bound after impulsive drop.
EURUSD remains in a multi-day downtrend, having broken sharply from the 1.1640 area down to 1.1500 as the broad USD rally and firm CPI/NFP narrative dominated. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1500-1.1555 range below both EMA20 and EMA50, with ATR(14) compressing as the market sits on its hands into the ECB decision. The 1.1555 range top has capped the last several attempts higher.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1578, 1.1644
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT plus Lagarde 12:45 is the dominant catalyst for this period
H4 close above the 1.1555 range top opens 1.1578 swing high then 1.1644
Loss of the 1.1500 range low exposes the 1.1445 downside risk
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15439
Lower highs, ranging 1.1505-1.1575.
Multi-week downtrend from 1.1720; price slid sharply through 1.1600 last week on the broad USD rally and is now consolidating 1.1505-1.1575 near two-month lows. ATR(14) has cooled into the low-20s pip range as the market compresses ahead of today's ECB decision, with price pinned under both EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.1555 pivot is capping rallies while demand has stepped in around the 1.1500 swing low.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1525, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1555 pivot opens the 1.1575-1.1600 zone
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1445
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 47 · price 1.15373
Lower highs, sideways near floor.
Sustained downtrend from the early-month 1.1717 high, with a sharp leg lower that drove price into the 1.1500 two-month low before stabilising. Since then EURUSD has consolidated in a tight 1.1500-1.1575 band, ATR(14) compressed and price pinned below both EMAs. EUR is parked at these lows into today's ECB decision, leaving the range to break on guidance.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15176, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1590
What it said to watch
ECB decision + Lagarde presser today is the dominant catalyst for this range
H4 close above the 1.1575 cap opens the path back toward 1.1590
Failure to hold the 1.1500 two-month low exposes the 1.14994 range floor
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15373
Lower highs into a base above 1.1500.
EUR drifted to two-month lows after the early-month breakdown from 1.1640, where a single impulse leg dragged price to 1.1499; it has since carved a tight base between the 1.1500 psych low and the 1.1575 range cap. The sequence of lower highs from 1.1721 remains intact and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, while ATR(14) has eased off the breakdown spike into compression. The whole structure is coiled directly under today's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1518, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1640, 1.1685
What it said to watch
ECB decision and Lagarde presser today 12:15/12:45 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this range
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1445 area
H4 close above 1.1575 invalidates the consolidation read and reopens 1.1640