EUR/USD AI Live Scan, daily chart, Sunday, 12 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD daily chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

21:01 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14139

Range within broader downtrend.

EUR/USD has been in a downtrend since the mid-April peak at 1.1849, sliding into a late-June low at 1.1324 with price holding below a falling EMU50 throughout. The bounce off that low stalled below the 1.1475/1.1500 barrier, and the pair has spent the last two weeks boxed between 1.1390 and 1.1475 as in-line euro-area inflation cemented a July ECB pause. RSI sits mid-range, reflecting the loss of directional momentum near the lows.

Support: 1.1390, 1.1324, 1.1210

Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1500

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul could materially shift this read
  • Daily close below 1.1390 pivot resumes the downtrend toward 1.1324 then 1.1210
  • Daily close above 1.1475/1.1500 cap negates the range-low pressure

21:01 UTC

Downtrend from April high, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14139

Lower highs since April, consolidating above 1.1390.

EURUSD has traced a chain of lower highs since the 1.1849 April peak, sliding to a 1.1324 swing low in late June before stabilising. The last two weeks have carved a tight base between 1.1390 and 1.1460, with price pinned below both the D1 EMA(20) and EMA(50). In-line EU inflation this week cemented a July ECB pause while a softer USD off three-week lows has kept the pair rangebound under the 1.1475/1.1500 cap.

Support: 1.1390, 1.1324, 1.1210

Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1500

What it said to watch

  • Daily close above 1.1475 negates the downtrend and opens the 1.1500 psych level
  • Close below 1.1390 pivot resumes the downtrend, exposing 1.1324 and the 1.1210 downside target
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

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