EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 12 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 36 · price 1.13931
Range broken to the downside.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1460 week high through a mid-week range and gapped lower into the new week, opening near 1.1401 and pressing the 1.1390 pivot flagged by the SocGen/UOB read. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) in the mid-30s, and the fade from Friday's 1.1414 area has left supply capping every bounce. The soft Eurozone inflation set that cemented a July ECB pause continues to weigh, with the single currency the weakest of the majors.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1426, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Hold below 1.1390 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.140
Recovery above 1.1414 fills the weekend gap and neutralises the break
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD spent the week hemmed between the 1.1440 prior range and the 1.14603 week high before gapping lower over the weekend, opening near 1.1400 and sliding to 1.13931. Price now sits on the 1.1390 pivot flagged in the euro read, with RSI(14) sub-35 and price trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The in-line Eurozone HICP prints reinforced the July ECB-pause story, leaving the single currency soft into the new week.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1390 pivot confirms downtrend resumption toward 1.140
Reclaim of 1.1440 prior range negates the break-down read
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read via the USD side
22:02 UTC
Downtrend into week's close · RSI 33 · price 1.14014
Faded from week high, pinned at range lows.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1460 week high through Friday and gapped lower into Sunday's thin open, now sitting at ~1.1400 with RSI(14) down near 33 and price beneath EMA20/50. Soft Eurozone inflation cementing a July ECB pause kept the single currency capped below the 1.1475/1.1500 barrier all week, and the fade has left it hovering on the 1.1390/1.1400 downside pivot. Momentum is one-directional but stretched into oversold.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14139, 1.14448, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.1390 confirms downtrend resumption toward the 1.140 zone
Reclaim of the 1.14448 weekly open needed to negate the fade
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD drifted lower through the week off the 1.14603 high and gapped down into the new week's open, now pinned near the 1.1390 weekly pivot. Price trades below EMA(20) with RSI(14) sub-40, and soft Eurozone inflation plus a heavy-but-stabilising USD have kept the pair capped under the 1.1475 range cap. Two attempts at the 1.1460 week high were rejected before the fade.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 opens the path toward 1.1380/1.1210
Reclaim of 1.1440 (EMA20) would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower off week high · RSI 42 · price 1.14139
Capped at 1.1460, fading toward range floor.
EUR/USD faded from Friday's NY-session high at 1.1460 and has been grinding lower into the weekly close, printing lower highs and slipping below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) at ~1.1414. Soft Eurozone inflation confirming a July ECB pause kept the pair pinned under the 1.1475/1.1500 cap all week, with RSI(14) now in the low 40s. The 1.1390-1.1460 range still frames the week, and price sits in its lower half heading into Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1429 recent high negates the fade and reopens the range top
Break below 1.1391 week low resumes the downtrend toward the 1.1390 pivot
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Range, fading from week high · RSI 43 · price 1.14139
Lower highs since Thursday NY peak, holding above range floor.
EUR/USD faded from Thursday's NY peak at 1.1460 into Friday's close, slipping back to the 1.1410 pivot and trading below both H1 EMAs. Lower highs have stacked up since that rejection while soft Eurozone inflation and a capped 1.1475/1.1500 barrier kept the single currency heavy despite a soft dollar. RSI(14) near 42 reflects the short-term downside drift within a broader week-long range.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.14475, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 resumes the downtrend toward 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.1460 week high reopens the 1.1475 cap
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read