After the weekend gap, EUR/USD failed at 1.14455 into Monday's session and has trended lower through the day, breaking the 1.1390 broken sup and pressing the 1.1372 week low. Price sits below both EMA20 (~1.1410) and EMA50 with RSI(14) depressed near 33, keeping the near-term tone heavy after in-line Eurozone HICP reinforced ECB pause bets and a firmer safe-haven USD. Twin catalysts — Lagarde and US CPI on Tuesday — sit directly ahead.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1410, 1.14357
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1390 negates the downside break
Loss of 1.1372 week low exposes 1.1360 context sup
Lagarde (Tue 13:00 UTC) and US CPI could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 34 · price 1.13796
Lower highs, break below 1.1390.
The new week opened near 1.1400 and slid through the NY session, breaking the 1.1390 pivot flagged in the range read to print a session low at 1.1377. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s, and the 1.1445 prior high has capped every bounce since the Friday peak. Structural downside intact heading into the Lagarde/US CPI double-header Tuesday.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1425, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1390 negates the downside break
Loss of 1.1360 confirms lower-low continuation
Lagarde speech and US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has rolled over from Monday's 1.14455 peak, printing successive lower highs and breaking the 1.14000 round number that had floored the range. The slide accelerated through the NY session as safe-haven USD demand and ECB-pause talk capped the Euro, with price now pinned to the 1.13772 session low and RSI(14) at 34. Price trades below both EMA20 (~1.1405) and EMA50, with pullbacks stalling under the broken 1.14000 shelf.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13772 confirms continuation toward the 1.1360 range low
An hourly close back above 1.14000 neutralises the breakdown read
Lagarde speech Tue 13:00 UTC and US CPI are near-term catalysts that could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1445 in Monday's NY session but rolled over into the Asia handover, carving lower highs and breaking clean below the 1.1400 round number. The slide sits with the broad USD safe-haven bid from Middle East escalation, and RSI(14) at ~33 tracks the momentum without yet stretching to oversold. Rejection at the 1.1445 shelf mirrors the three-week high the digest flags as a cap.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1410, 1.14455
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 needed to negate the breakdown
Loss of 1.13772 confirms fresh lower-low, opening 1.1360
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT and Lagarde Tue 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14455 week high and sold through Monday's 1.14006 open, extending the slide into the NY session as safe-haven USD demand from Middle East escalation pressured the pair. Price trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) around 35, and each bounce has capped lower. The session low at 1.13772 is now the pivot with 1.13600 the next reference below.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1436, 1.14455
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.14006 weekly open would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.13772 confirms continuation toward 1.13600
Lagarde speech Tue 13:00 UTC and US CPI/Warsh could materially shift this read
EUR/USD opened the week with a weekend gap lower and, after reclaiming the range up to 1.1445 in Monday's NY session, was rejected and sold off steadily into fresh session lows at 1.1377. Price trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 34, reflecting the geopolitical USD bid from the Hormuz/Iran escalation capping the Euro under 1.1460. The 1.1360-1.1410 support band the digest flags is now the immediate structural focus.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde speech (Tue 13:00 UTC) is the key near-term catalyst that could shift this read
US CPI + Warsh testimony (Tue) — hot print pressures 1.1360, soft print unwinds the down leg
H1 close back above 1.1410 (EMA20) needed to challenge the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold 1.1377 opens the 1.1360 support zone, then 1.1325
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.1383
Lower highs, breaking week support.
EUR/USD has ground lower since the weekend gap open, printing a lower high at 1.1445 into Monday's NY session before rolling over to a fresh week low near 1.1382. Price has held below EMA(20) through the decline with RSI(14) pressed into the low-30s, and the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone flagged by the digest has given way. Middle East risk-off and a firm USD kept EUR bulls subdued.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1360 opens the path toward 1.1325
Reclaim of 1.1410 EMA(20) would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 35 · price 1.1383
Leg lower into lower half of week's range.
EUR/USD faded from the mid-range 1.1445 top through the NY session and now trades at 1.1383, pinned at the week's low with price below both EMA20 (~1.1410) and EMA50. The safe-haven USD bid from Middle East risk-off has kept a run of lower highs intact, RSI(14) sagging into the mid-30s without yet reaching oversold. The 1.1360 range floor is the next structural test if this low gives way.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1440
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1382 wk low opens the 1.1360 range floor, then 1.1325
Reclaim of 1.1410 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speech and US CPI ahead are key EUR/USD catalysts that could reset this read
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.14455 week high through Monday's NY session then rolled over, and price has since slid back through the 1.14006 weekly open to press week lows near 1.1382. The USD haven bid from Mideast escalation is weighing, with price now trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) tracking the mid-30s. Lower highs off 1.14455 mark the dominant near-term structure.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.14357, 1.14455
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13824 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14006 weekly open would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 35 · price 1.13863
Lower highs, lower lows into recent low.
EUR/USD gapped lower into the new week and, after a brief spike to 1.1445, has bled through the NY session as the Mideast-driven USD haven bid dominated, printing a fresh low at 1.1382. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 34, confirming the down-leg; the 1.1445 area capped the bounce and 1.1430 (EMA20) now sits overhead. Sellers have kept control since the gap open, with the 1.1360 range floor the next reference below.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1430 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.1382 opens the 1.1360 range floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde Tue 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 37 · price 1.13865
Lower highs, broke below range support.
EUR/USD has rolled over since the 1.14455 swing high, printing a steady sequence of lower highs into the NY session and closing at 1.13865, below the 1.1390/1.1410 support that had capped downside all week. Price sits under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressing toward the mid-30s as the move accelerated — the soft in-line HICP print and USD safe-haven bid on Middle East headlines frame the weakness. First support at the 1.13824 swing low is now the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13824 opens the path to 1.1360 psych support
H1 close back above 1.14100 broken support neutralises the breakdown
US CPI and Lagarde on the docket could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 35 · price 1.13865
Lower highs, break of 1.1400.
EUR/USD reversed a NY spike to 1.14455 and sold off through the 1.1410 shelf into the session low at 1.13824, with the euro heavy sub-1.1400 on soft Eurozone HICP and a firm USD safe-haven bid. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) mid-30s, confirming the intraday break lower. The 1.1410 level that capped supply now acts as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14455
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1410 negates the break-down read
Failure to hold 1.13824 opens 1.1360 prior support
Lagarde (Tue 13:00 UTC) and US CPI could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold back through the EMA20 and EMA50 after today's rally into 1.14455 was rejected, with safe-haven USD demand from Mideast escalation weighing on the pair. Price is now pressing the week's low around 1.13824 with RSI(14) sub-40 and a clear sequence of lower highs since last Thursday's 1.14603 peak. The recovery attempts this week have each failed to reclaim the EMA20 near 1.1415.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13824 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 support zone
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 1.1415 would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has been on the back foot all week, sliding from the 1.1460 rejection toward the 1.1380 area as safe-haven USD demand tied to Middle East escalation and firm CPI expectations weigh on the pair. The NY-session break through 1.1400 leaves price below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 35, and the 1.1382 session low is the immediate reference. Bounces have stalled at the descending line off last week's 1.1460 high.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14357, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1414 (ema20) would challenge the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.1382 session low opens the 1.1360 range support
US CPI (Tue) and Lagarde speech (Tue 13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Range, edging lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14006
Range-bound, rejected from range top.
EUR/USD remains boxed in the 1.1360–1.1450 range, with the safe-haven USD bid from Middle East escalation capping rallies. Price spiked to 1.14455 into the NY session before fading back through EMA(20) to the 1.1400 round number, leaving RSI(14) back below 50. The recovery attempt off 1.13839 has stalled, and price now sits in the lower half of the range.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1450
What it said to watch
US June CPI Tue is the dominant driver for the next sessions
H1 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14455 needed to challenge the 1.1450 range top
Lagarde speech Tue could shift the read
16:01 UTC
Range-bound, drifting to lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14006
Consolidation between weekly extremes.
EUR/USD has spent the week boxed inside 1.1384–1.1460, with the pair now back at the lower edge near 1.1400 after the NY session faded Monday's 1.14455 spike. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) around 46, reflecting the safe-haven USD bid from Middle East escalation. The 1.1390/1.1410 support zone is the pivot for the range read.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US June CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the week's dominant driver and could reset this read
H1 close below 1.1390 support zone opens 1.1360 then the week low
Reclaim of 1.1445 prior high would negate the drift toward range lows
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, pulling back from week high · RSI 44 · price 1.14048
Rejected at session high, retracing into support zone.
Monday's session opened near 1.1400, printed the week low at 1.1384, then rallied into NY hours to 1.14455 before a rejection there dragged price back to 1.1405. EUR/USD now sits in the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone with price back below EMA20 and RSI(14) rolling to the mid-40s; the broad USD safe-haven bid and pending US CPI keep the tone heavy.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst for the next leg
Hourly close below 1.1390 support zone opens the week low at 1.1384 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1445 session high negates the pullback and reopens 1.1460 weekly high
15:01 UTC
Range, tilting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.14048
Range lows retest after 1.1460 rejection.
EUR/USD was rejected at 1.1460 late last week and has drifted back toward the 1.1400 range low, sliding through the NY session as broad USD safe-haven demand persists. Price trades below EMA20 with RSI in the low 40s, and Monday's rally to 1.1445 has now fully unwound. The 1.1390/1.1410 zone is the pivot the market is leaning on.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1446, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 opens 1.1360 then 1.1325
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1446 negates the lower-high sequence
14:01 UTC
Range, pulling back after rejection · RSI 45 · price 1.14135
Range-bound below week's high, fading off 1.1445.
EUR/USD has leaked back to the 1.1400 round number after the post-gap rally into 1.1445 was rejected, with US-Iran/Hormuz risk-off keeping the USD bid this week. Price now sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s, and the broad range between the 1.1384 weekly low and the 1.1460 week high remains intact. The last two H1 bars gave back the NY-session push, leaving the pair mid-range into US CPI.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this range read
Clean H1 break of 1.1390 support zone opens 1.1360 then 1.1325
Reclaim of 1.1445 rejection needed to retest the 1.1460 week high
14:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14135
Range-bound between 1.1390 and 1.1460, lower highs.
EURUSD has held a 1.1390-1.1460 range all week, with a weekend gap lower into Monday's open near 1.1401 before demand stepped in. The Monday bounce to 1.1445 was rejected and price has since leaked back below EMA20, with safe-haven USD flows from Mideast escalation capping the euro. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after fading from the intraday high.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460, 1.1418
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could reset this range read
Clean H1 close below 1.1390 support zone opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1445 needed to re-test the 1.1460 week high
EUR/USD gapped down to the weekly open near 1.1400 and slipped to 1.1384 in the Asia session before London hours drove a recovery to 1.1445, in line with the soft-EUR/safe-haven-USD backdrop from Mideast escalation. Price now sits back above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around 56; the 1.1445 area capped the London push and has yet to give way. Higher lows since the Asian dip keep the near-term recovery structure intact.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Loss of 1.1400 weekly open reopens the 1.1384 monday low
H1 close above 1.14455 monday high extends the recovery toward 1.1460
Higher lows off Monday's low, capped below week high.
EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's open on the Mideast safe-haven USD bid, printing 1.1384 before buyers recovered the pair through the session to 1.1446. Price is now consolidating just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range near 54, holding a series of higher lows. US June CPI on Tuesday is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14455 opens the path to the 1.14603 week high
Failure to hold 1.14000 exposes the 1.13839 swing low
US June CPI (Tue) could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.14296
Range 1.1384-1.1460, mid-range bounce.
EUR/USD recovered off last week's 1.1384 low, rallying through the NY session to tag 1.1445 before easing back toward 1.1430. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI mid-50s, but the 1.1384-1.1460 range still frames trade and Friday's 1.1460 rejection continues to cap. The bounce follows a weekend safe-haven USD bid on Middle East escalation that pressured EUR toward the range floor.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 invalidates the range-top rejection
Failure to hold 1.1390/1.1410 support opens the path to 1.1325
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Range-bound, near mid · RSI 54 · price 1.14296
Weekend gap down, recovering within week's range.
Price opened Monday with a weekend gap lower to 1.1400 then reclaimed the weekly open, rallying through the NY session to 1.1445 before easing back to 1.1430. The week has traded a 1.1388-1.1460 range with EUR on the defensive amid a Middle East safe-haven USD bid; RSI(14) is cycling around the mid-50s and price holds above EMA20. The 1.1445-1.1460 band capped Friday and again Monday, while demand stepped in twice near 1.1388.
Support: 1.14006, 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14603, 1.1450
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could reset this range read
Clean break below 1.1388 opens the path toward 1.1360 then 1.1325
H1 close above 1.1460 clears the rejection zone toward 1.1475/1.1500
Lagarde speech Tue 13:00 GMT could add EUR-side pressure
EUR/USD slipped into Monday's open to the 1.1384 week low on the US-Iran safe-haven USD bid, then rallied through the NY session to a 1.14455 high before easing back to 1.1434. Price now sits above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back toward 60; the 1.1390/1.1400 pivot has held as demand stepped in twice. US June CPI Tuesday is the primary cross-market catalyst.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1384, 1.1412
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained break below 1.1400 risks resuming the move toward the 1.1384 week low
H1 close above 1.14455 opens the path to the 1.1460 prior high
EUR/USD opened this week with a weekend gap lower toward 1.1400 as fresh US-Iran escalation revived USD safe-haven demand, printing a session low at 1.1384. Price has since recovered through EMA20, with a sharp impulse into the NY session lifting to 1.14455 before easing to 1.1434. RSI(14) has cycled back above 55 but the pair remains capped well below the 1.14603 week high.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1410, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the primary cross-market catalyst and could reset this read
Close above 1.14455 day high opens the path back toward the 1.14603 week high
Failure to hold the 1.1400 round number risks a retest of the 1.13840 session low
ECB Lagarde Tue 13:00 GMT could shift the EUR side of the read
EURUSD spent the week grinding lower from the 1.14603 high toward 1.1384 as soft Eurozone inflation cemented ECB-pause pricing and a US safe-haven bid held the dollar firm. A sharp recovery in the London session reclaimed EMA(20) and pushed price back to 1.14313, retracing roughly 62% of that decline. The move sits below EMA(50), keeping the broader lower-high sequence intact for now.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US June CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts — either can reset this read
H1 close above 1.14455 session high extends the bounce toward 1.14603
Loss of 1.1390 pivot reopens the interim low near 1.1384
10:02 UTC
Recovering off week lows · RSI 61 · price 1.14313
Range, sharp bounce from base.
EUR/USD spent the week boxed between 1.1384 and 1.1460, sliding to fresh lows near 1.1384 as a weekend US strike on Iran revived the dollar safe-haven bid. A sharp recovery through the London session Monday lifted price back above EMA20 to 1.1431, retracing a chunk of the week's decline with RSI(14) turning up toward 60. The 1.14455 recent high now caps the bounce; the 1.1390 pivot is reclaimed for now.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14455 opens the path to the 1.1460 week high
Loss of 1.1390 pivot reopens the 1.1384 week low and 1.1325 downside
US June CPI and Lagarde Tuesday could materially reshape this read
09:01 UTC
Range, rebounding off lows · RSI 63 · price 1.1434
Weekly range holding, sharp Asia-session bounce.
EUR/USD opened the week gapping lower into the 1.1400 round number and slid to a 1.1384 session low as fresh US-Iran strikes fed a safe-haven USD bid. Demand has since stepped in through the Asia session, carving a base and driving a two-bar impulse back to 1.1434, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) pushing to 63. The 1.1445 prior high is the first cap; the broader 1.1390–1.1460 weekly range still frames the tape ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read
Sustained break of the 1.1390 pivot risks resuming the downtrend toward 1.1325
Close above 1.1460 week high opens the path to the 1.1475 cap
ECB Schnabel 16:45 UTC and Fed's Waller 16:30 UTC ahead of CPI
EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's Asia session and printed a week low at 1.1384 as fresh US-Iran strikes drove a safe-haven USD bid, before a sharp two-bar rebound reclaimed 1.1434 and broke above the 1.1400-1.1410 consolidation. RSI(14) has cycled back toward 63 on the bounce and price is back above EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.1445/1.1460 shelf capped the prior-week highs and remains the immediate area to watch overhead.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
Sustained close above 1.1445 opens the path to the 1.1460 week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 risks a retest of the 1.1390 pivot and 1.1384 week low
EUR/USD slid from Wednesday's 1.1460 week high into a fresh weekly low at 1.1384 as softer EZ inflation reinforced the ECB-pause read, then the latest session snapped back to 1.1424 — roughly the 50% retrace of that decline. Price has reclaimed EMA20 but the whole week has stayed capped below the 1.1475 range top. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold toward mid-range as demand stepped in at 1.1384.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Close back below 1.1400 reopens the 1.1384 week low
Sustained break above 1.1450/1.1460 needed to challenge the 1.1475 range top
EUR/USD gapped lower over the weekend to a week low at 1.1384 before demand stepped in, the last bar reclaiming 1.1420 in a sharp recovery back above EMA20. Price now sits mid-week range with 1.1433 having capped bounces earlier this week. Soft EZ inflation has kept EUR the weakest G10, but US CPI Wednesday is the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.1445, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1433 opens the path toward the 1.1445 swing high and 1.1460 week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.1390 range floor and 1.1384 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1460 week high midweek and drifted lower into Friday, then gapped down to open near 1.1400, keeping price below EMA20 (~1.1414). The soft German/French CPI reinforcing an ECB pause has left the Euro pinned in its 1.1360–1.1475 range with RSI(14) mid-40s and no clean momentum. Buyers stepped in near 1.1384 to steady the recent leg.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1450, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 1.1414 EMA20 reopens the 1.1450 prior high
Break below 1.1384 session low exposes the 1.1360 range floor
EURUSD opened this week with a gap down to 1.1400 and probed a fresh session low at 1.1384 before stabilising, keeping price below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) as the broader 1.1360–1.1475 range holds. The week's dominant move was the fade from the 1.14603 high, with soft German/French CPI cementing ECB-pause odds and leaving EUR the weakest G10. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting the drift lower without an extreme.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14139, 1.1417, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this range
H1 close back above 1.14139 gap fill would neutralise the gap-down read
Failure to hold 1.1384 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, testing pivot support · RSI 41 · price 1.13986
Lower highs since last week's peak, drifting into 1.1390.
EUR/USD gapped lower into this week's open and has drifted to a session low at 1.1384, holding just above the 1.1390 pivot the desks flag as the range base. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with the rebound to last week's 1.1460 high fully unwound; RSI(14) hugging the low-40s. Soft German/French CPI on Friday reinforced the ECB-pause narrative, keeping EUR the G10 laggard.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.14292, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — a hot core could pressure price below 1.1390
A close below 1.1390 opens the path to a 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14088 would ease the lower-high sequence
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, pinned at support · RSI 43 · price 1.13986
Lower highs off week high, testing range base.
EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's open and has drifted toward the 1.1390 pivot, sitting below both EMA20 (~1.1412) and EMA50 after last week's rebound to 1.1460 was sold. Soft German and French CPI have reinforced the ECB-pause read, keeping the pair defensive with RSI(14) in the lower half. Rallies have been capped by a chain of lower highs since the 1.1460 week high.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next sessions
Hourly close below 1.1390 pivot opens a retest toward the 1.1360 range base
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1412 needed to ease near-term pressure
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, testing range low · RSI 41 · price 1.13984
Lower highs since week's high, pressing range base.
EUR/USD has faded from the week's high near 1.1460 in a series of lower highs, with the USD rebounding on Middle East safe-haven demand while EUR stays July's softest G10. Price gapped lower into the new week and is grinding along the 1.1390 range low, holding below EMA20 (~1.1410) with RSI(14) near 40. The 1.1384 swing low is the immediate structural marker before the broader 1.1360 base.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1410, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower low and reopens the downtrend toward 1.1210
Reclaim of 1.1410 EMA20 neutralises the current lower-high sequence
ECB Schnabel speech today 16:45 UTC may support EUR into 1.1445
EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's open, opening around 1.1401 versus Friday's 1.1414 close and sliding below the week's 1.1414–1.1460 range as EUR stays July's weakest G10. Price probed a week low at 1.1384 before steadying near the 1.1390 psych level, with RSI in the high 30s and price capped under both EMAs. The prior week's higher-low structure has broken, leaving the gap zone near 1.1404 as first overhead friction.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.1415, 1.1446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the gap at 1.1404 would ease the downside pressure and reopen 1.1415
Sustained break below 1.1384 week low confirms the lower-low and exposes 1.1360
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and ECB Schnabel today 16:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, testing support · RSI 38 · price 1.13984
Lower highs, probing 1.1390 support after weekend gap down.
EURUSD gapped lower into this week's open and has drifted below EMA20/EMA50, extending the lower-high sequence off last week's 1.1460 peak. Price is now pressing the 1.1390 support flagged in the digest, with RSI(14) subdued near 38 and no reclaim of the 1.1414 gap top. EUR remains July's soft spot on the confirmed ECB July pause, while the weekend USD safe-haven bid capped any recovery.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1446, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1384 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of the 1.1414 gap top would neutralise the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, testing support · RSI 39 · price 1.13984
Lower highs, probing week low.
EURUSD reopened with a weekend gap lower and slid to 1.1384 before stabilising just above the 1.1390 support flagged into the new week. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s, consistent with the USD safe-haven bid on Middle East headlines and soft Eurozone CPI capping the single currency. The week high at 1.1460 has held as the dominant lower-highs ceiling since Thursday's NY session.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1414, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1384 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1360 week low
Reclaim of the 1.1414 EMA20 needed to challenge the lower-highs sequence
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and ECB Schnabel could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, testing lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13943
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD rejected the 1.1460 week high and has bled lower, opening this week with a gap down through 1.1414 and probing a fresh session low at 1.13839. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40, reflecting the USD safe-haven bid and a range read that leans toward the 1.1390 pivot. The pair is now consolidating just under 1.1400 after the gap.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14139, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 pivot opens the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1400 and the 1.14139 pre-gap close would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
ECB Schnabel today 16:45 UTC — a hawkish tilt could firm EUR
Broke below this week's 1.1390 pivot, testing lower.
EURUSD gapped lower on the reopen, opening near 1.1400 versus Friday's 1.14139 close and extending to a 1.1384 session low before stabilising around 1.1394. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI subdued in the high-30s, and the 1.1390 range pivot flagged all week has now been swept. The soft-Eurozone-CPI / firmer-USD backdrop keeps downside risk toward 1.1360 in focus.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14139 prior close would fill the gap and neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 1.1390 pivot on a closing basis confirms the lower-low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
EURUSD opened the week with a gap lower and has drifted into the bottom of the week's 1.1390–1.1475 range, now pressing the 1.1390 pivot after Friday's in-line German and French CPI kept the Euro heavy. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s, and the mid-week push to the 1.1460 week high has faded on a series of lower highs. Thin holiday-Asia liquidity into the fresh session leaves the pivot test unconfirmed.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 opens the path toward the 1.1325 interim low
Reclaim of 1.1440 (ema20) neutralises the lower-highs drift
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range
02:01 UTC
Range, downside drift · RSI 38 · price 1.13961
Range faded from week high, testing lower boundary.
EURUSD spent the week hemmed in a 1.1360–1.1475 range, rejecting the 1.1460 week high and fading as in-line German/French CPI cemented a July ECB pause and left EUR the weakest G10. A weekend gap lower into Monday's Asia open has pushed price back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38, now probing the 1.1390 pivot. Momentum sits at the lower boundary of the range.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 pivot opens a retest toward 1.140
Reclaim of 1.1440 prior high neutralises the downside drift
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
01:01 UTC
Range, tilted lower off week high · RSI 41 · price 1.13935
Lower highs since Wed peak, testing range base.
EUR/USD opened the new week with a gap lower and has drifted to 1.1394 in early Asia, sitting below EMA(20) and EMA(50) after fading from Wednesday's 1.1460 week high. Soft Eurozone CPI cementing an ECB July pause keeps the pair pinned in its 1.1360–1.1450 range, and price now leans on the lower third near 1.1388. RSI(14) sub-40 reflects the recent down leg without stretching to oversold.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1420, 1.1450
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could break this range
Close below 1.1388 exposes the 1.1360 range low
Reclaim of 1.1405/1.1420 EMA(20) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, weak open · RSI 38 · price 1.13935
Lower highs, gap-down week open.
EUR/USD opened the week with a gap down from Friday's 1.14139 close and has extended toward the session low at 1.1388, trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Momentum stayed heavy through last week's session as EUR held the weakest G10 slot on soft Eurozone CPI, and price now sits pinned at the lower end of the 1.1360–1.1450 range. RSI(14) near 37 reflects the softer tone but is not yet at extremes.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14139
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.14139 fills the gap and neutralises the weak open
Failure to hold 1.1388 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off week high · RSI 38 · price 1.14026
Lower highs, probing week lows.
EUR/USD topped at 1.14603 on Thursday and has bled lower since, fading through Friday as soft Eurozone inflation reinforced the July ECB pause. Price gapped down into this week's open near 1.14006 and is now probing the 1.1388 session low, holding below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s. The 1.1390 pivot flagged by the digest is the immediate line in the sand for the broader downtrend.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1390, 1.1381
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14475, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1388 opens the path toward the 1.1381 wk low
Reclaim of 1.1414 prior close needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Range fading, pinned near week lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14026
Week-long range breaking lower after weekend gap.
EURUSD spent the week boxed between 1.1388 and 1.1460, capped below the 1.1475/1.1500 barrier as soft Eurozone inflation cemented the July ECB pause. Price opened the new week with a gap down through 1.1414 and is now pressing the 1.1400 round number, trading below both H1 EMAs with RSI(14) sub-45. Sellers have driven a fresh session low at 1.1388, the base of the week's range.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1388 week low confirms a lower-low and opens downtrend resumption toward 1.140
Reclaim of the 1.1414 gap fill re-enters the week's range
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could reset this read