EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 51 · price 1.14198
Range with faded upside spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's soft US June CPI print, then faded straight back into the 1.1360–1.1450 range, leaving a false break above the range top. Price now sits mid-range near 1.1420, holding just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat around 50. The 1.1410 pivot underpins near-term price while 1.1450 continues to cap.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 pivot opens the week low at 1.1377
H1 close above 1.1450 range top would negate the false-break read
German HICP (Wed 07:00 GMT) and US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) could break the range
The soft US June CPI miss drove a sharp NY-session spike to 1.14619 before the move faded straight back below the 1.1450 range top, leaving a false break. Price has since coiled around 1.1420 into the quiet Asia hours, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) back near neutral. The 1.1360–1.1450 range that has dominated all week remains intact.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14500 reopens the 1.14619 week high
Loss of 1.14100 pivot exposes the 1.13772 week low
US PPI + Warsh testimony Wed 12:30/14:00 GMT could reset the range read
EURUSD spiked to 1.1462 during NY hours on the soft US CPI-driven USD correction, then faded straight back to mid-range near 1.1419. The 1.1450 range top capped the move and price is now pinned to EMA20, retesting the 1.1390/1.1410 week pivot from above with RSI in the mid-40s. This week's 1.1360–1.1450 base case remains intact.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 confirms the break risk toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1450 range top reopens the 1.1462 week high
German HICP and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Range, faded from spike high · RSI 54 · price 1.14193
Range-bound between weekly low and range top.
EUR spiked to 1.14619 during NY hours yesterday as June US CPI missed across the board, then faded straight back into the 1.1390–1.1462 range that has held all week. Price now sits near EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling neutral around 53; the CPI impulse has been fully retraced with buyers thinning through the Asia session. Range top at 1.1462 capped the move and remains the structural ceiling.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1390, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 range top would negate the rejection read
Failure to hold 1.1416/1.1390 pivot opens the 1.1377 week low
Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 GMT and German HICP Wed 07:00 GMT could shift this read
This week opened with a weekend gap down to ~1.14006 and slid to a 1.13772 low before EUR clawed back sharply, spiking to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print. That move has since faded to ~1.14200, sitting on EMA20 near the 50% retrace of the CPI impulse, with RSI cooling back toward the mid-50s. The 1.14450 cpi shelf capped the pullback rally and now sits as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14000 week open reopens the 1.13772 week low
Reclaim of 1.14450 cpi shelf reopens the 1.14619 week high
US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
Higher lows off midweek base, capped below week high.
EUR based near 1.1377 midweek then spiked to 1.14619 during the NY session as the dollar sold off on the soft US June CPI miss. That spike was rejected and price has since faded to ~1.142, sitting on the 50% retrace of the impulse and holding above EMA20/EMA50. RSI has cooled back toward the mid-50s as the move consolidates below the range top at 1.1450.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1390, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14619 extends the CPI breakout beyond the week high
Loss of the 1.1390 pivot re-exposes the 1.13772 week low
German HICP Wed 07:00 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reset this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print before fading back under 1.1420, leaving a clear rejection into the NY session. Price is holding above EMA20 after the weekend gap down toward 1.1400, but the move higher has stalled with RSI(14) back near 50. The week remains boxed inside the 1.1377–1.1450 range flagged by the macro read.
Support: 1.1412, 1.1390, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 range top reopens the path to the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of the 1.1390 support zone exposes the 1.1377 2wk low then 1.1360
PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Range-bound, spike faded · RSI 52 · price 1.14188
Range within 1.1360-1.1450, false break above top.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 during NY hours on the soft US June CPI print, poking above the 1.1450 range top before fading back to 1.1419. The week has been a compressed range between 1.1360 and 1.1450; the spike above range top was rejected and price is back inside, hovering just over EMA20 with RSI near neutral. Range structure remains intact heading into Wednesday's PPI and Warsh testimony.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 reopens the 1.1462 week high and 1.1472
Loss of the 1.1390 support zone exposes 1.1377 week low then 1.1360 range base
PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could break the range read
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.14619 as the soft US June CPI miss hit the dollar during NY hours, then faded the entire move back to 1.1423. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with a series of higher lows built off last week's 1.1377 low. The CPI spike was rejected and the range top near 1.1450 continues to cap.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 1.14619 would re-open the range top and 3-week high
H1 close below 1.14160 threatens the higher-low sequence toward 1.1400 and the 1.1377 week low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read after the CPI miss
The soft US June CPI miss spiked EURUSD to a 1.14619 high before the move faded back below the 1.1450 range top — a false break that has since consolidated around 1.1423. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) but the descending lower highs since the CPI bar show momentum draining, with RSI(14) cycling back toward the mid-50s. The pair is compressing near the range top after failing to sustain above it.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14500 range top reopens 1.14619 cpi high
Loss of 1.14189 swing low exposes the 1.14000 psych level then 1.13772 week low
EZ HICP Wed 07:00 UTC and US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could break this range
18:02 UTC
Range-bound, spike faded · RSI 55 · price 1.14239
False break of range top, back inside.
The soft US June CPI print drove a sharp spike to a session high of 1.14619, clearing the 1.1450 range top before the move faded straight back inside to 1.1424. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-50s, but the failure to hold above the range top leaves the week's 1.1360–1.1450 box intact. The recent session low at 1.14189 is the immediate pivot into the current-day range.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 range top re-opens 1.14619 spike high then 1.1472
Loss of 1.1400 weekly open exposes the 1.1382 swing low
US core PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Range recovery, momentum fading · RSI 54 · price 1.14239
Range-bound, upper-half after false break.
EUR spiked to a 1.14619 week high after the soft US June CPI print undercut the hawkish-Fed bid, but the move faded back to 1.14239 leaving a false break of the 1.1450 range top. Price still holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s; the 1.1360–1.1450 range that has framed the week remains intact. Buyers stepped in twice near the 1.13772 week low earlier in the session cycle.
Support: 1.14189, 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.1450 reopens the 1.14619 week high
Loss of 1.14189 day low exposes the 1.13772 week low
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Range reclaim after CPI-driven spike, holding above EMA20.
EUR spiked to a week high of 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print, breaking out of the 1.1377–1.1450 range before fading to close near 1.1432. Price is holding above EMA20 (~1.1405) with RSI cycling around 59, but the 1.14512 area capped the pullback attempt, leaving the upper edge as supply. Higher lows have built since the 1.13772 base.
Support: 1.14237, 1.1405, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14512, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14619 week high extends the breakout
Loss of 1.1405 EMA20 and 1.14237 session low reopens the downside toward 1.1377
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could reprice the CPI-driven USD move
EUR/USD tore higher into the NY session on the soft US June CPI miss, spiking to a fresh week high at 1.14619 before supply capped the move and price rolled back toward 1.14260. Trade now sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cooling from the spike, holding the mid of this week's 1.1382–1.1462 range. The advance off the week low was clean, but the pullback shows the CPI momentum fading rather than extending.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1406, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14619 opens the path to the 1.1472 three-week high
Loss of 1.14060 pre-cpi base reopens the 1.13820 week low
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the hawkish USD trade and shift this read
Soft US June CPI today spiked EUR to 1.14619 before the range cap near 1.1450 rejected it, retracing more than half the move back to 1.1426. Price sits above EMA20 with RSI mid-50s, holding inside this week's 1.1377 week low to 1.1450 band after last week's slide toward the round 1.1400 area. The upthrust looks like a failed test of the range top rather than a sustained break.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1450 range cap opens 1.1472 three-week high
Loss of 1.1377 week low reopens 1.1360 pivot, then 1.1325
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC and Fed speakers could reshape this read
16:01 UTC
Range, recovered off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.14258
Range-bound, spike rejected at top.
EUR spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI print during NY hours, then retraced almost the entire move to close near 1.1426. The 1.1450 range cap was rejected again, leaving a false break above the top of this week's range. Price still holds above EMA20 with RSI cooling from the spike back toward mid-territory.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 confirms a range break toward 1.1472
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.1377 two-week low
Core PPI Tue 12:30 UTC could shift this read
15:02 UTC
Intraday up-leg after CPI spike, within weekly range · RSI 71 · price 1.14429
Range floor swept, sharp reclaim toward range top.
EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's open and drifted to a week low near 1.1377, then a soft US June CPI print (core MoM 0%) sparked a one-hour surge from 1.1406 to 1.1462, the dominant move of the week. Price now consolidates just under the session high with RSI(14) stretched near 70 and holding above EMA20/EMA50. The breakout base around 1.1406 is the first pullback reference into the NY session.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14619 extends the up-leg toward the 1.1472 cap
Loss of 1.1406 breakout base reopens 1.1400 round level and week low 1.13772
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Fed speakers this afternoon could reshape the CPI-driven read
EUR/USD surged into the NY session after the soft US June CPI print, breaking the week's 1.1390–1.1450 band and tagging 1.1462 before easing to 1.1443. The move reclaimed both EMAs and lifted RSI(14) toward 68, the strongest impulse since Monday's open. Price is now retesting the 1.1450–1.1472 zone that capped the pair twice this week.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1410, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 clears the range cap that rejected twice
Failure to hold 1.1410 pivot reopens the week low at 1.13772
Fed speakers and Warsh testimony this afternoon could shift the post-CPI read
EUR/USD broke above the 1.1450 range top into NY hours as the dollar unwound following the soft US June CPI print, printing a session high at 1.14619 before settling near 1.1452. Price now sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 71, the strongest H1 momentum of the week. The former range cap at 1.1450 flips to first support on any retest, with the 3-week high at 1.1472 the next resistance overhead.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1450 negates the range break and re-opens the 1.1400 round number
3-week high at 1.1472 the next resistance to clear
Fed speaker slate / Warsh testimony could shift the dollar tone that drove this move
EURUSD based at a two-week low near 1.1377 through Monday and Tuesday before a sharp NY-session surge on the soft US June CPI print drove price through the 1.1450 range cap to 1.14619. RSI(14) has pushed into the low-70s on the impulse and price sits well above EMA20 and EMA50. The breakout above the well-worn 1.1360–1.1450 range is the dominant structural event of the week.
Support: 1.1406, 1.13843, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.14060 breakout base keeps the range break intact
A return below 1.1450 range cap would negate the breakout
Warsh testimony and Fed speaker slate today could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Recovery, breakout from base · RSI 69 · price 1.14476
Higher lows off Monday's low, range top challenged.
EUR based twice near 1.1382 through the Asian session before a sharp NY-session surge on the soft US CPI print drove USD correction, spiking to a session high at 1.14620. Price now sits back above EMA20 and EMA50 after breaking the week's mid-range, with RSI(14) pushing near 70 on the impulse. The move stalled just under the 1.1460 week high, the level that capped attempts earlier in the week.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.14620 session high keeps the prior-week range intact
H1 close above 1.14720 prior high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.14050 breakout returns focus to 1.13820 swing low
Lagarde speech and CPI aftermath could materially shift this read within the next bars
13:01 UTC
Recovering, momentum accelerating up · RSI 69 · price 1.14476
Range break above the week top after basing near lows.
EUR based twice near 1.1378 on Monday-Tuesday before spiking through the NY hours as the USD corrected on a softer-than-feared US CPI print (12:30 UTC bar). That impulse cleared the 1.1360-1.1450 week range top, printing a session high at 1.1462; RSI(14) has pushed near 69 and price sits well above EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1395, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (13:00 GMT) is live and could reshape this read
Hourly close back below 1.1450 would negate the range break
Holding above 1.1400 keeps the recovery structure intact
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.14053
Basing after weekly low, range-bound.
EUR slid to a weekly low near 1.1377 mid-week as the USD firmed on Waller's hawkish tone and Hormuz risk-off, before basing and reclaiming both EMAs into today's session. Price is stalling around the 38.2% retrace (1.1409) of the 1.1460-1.1377 decline, with RSI(14) recovering back through 55. The 1.1360-1.1450 range framed by the context still holds, and last week's supply near the 1.1445 day high / 1.1460 week high capped every rebound.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is imminent and the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could shift EUR tone
H1 close above 1.1445 would challenge the range top; loss of 1.1377 reopens the 1.1360 range base
12:01 UTC
Recovering off two-week lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14053
Higher lows since the low, capped below 1.1445.
EUR/USD slid to a two-week low near 1.1378 mid-week as the USD firmed on hawkish Waller and Hormuz risk-off, but demand held the level twice and price has recovered back above the EMA(20) into NY hours. The 1.1445 week-high band capped every rebound this week; near-term buyers are pressing 1.1406 with RSI(14) back near 54. The bounce structure shows higher lows off the 1.1378 base.
Support: 1.1392, 1.1378, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst — likely to reset this read
Lagarde at 13:00 UTC adds EUR-side risk
H1 close above 1.1420 opens the path back to the 1.1445 week high
Failure to hold 1.1378 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
EUR/USD slid to a two-week low at 1.1377 after the week reopened near 1.1401, pressured by USD demand on Iran/Hormuz escalation and Waller's hawkish CPI comments. Price has since based between 1.1377 and 1.1405, coiling around EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 47 and sellers still capping bounces below the 1.1425 9-day EMA zone. Structure stays a series of lower highs into US CPI.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1425, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1425 9-day ema area neutralises the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's open and slid to a two-week low at 1.1377 as the dollar firmed on Middle East escalation and Waller's hawkish CPI remarks. Price has since based just above that low, reclaiming EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50) and the 1.1405 session high; bounces have stalled below the 1.1425 area all week. RSI(14) is flat around 50, reflecting the compression between 1.1377 support and overhead supply.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1425, 1.1446
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lagarde at 13:00 UTC a further catalyst for EUR
H1 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1425 (9d ema) neutralises the lower-high structure
EUR/USD slid to a two-week low at 1.1377 through Friday into Monday as USD firmed on Iran/Hormuz risk and Waller's hawkish CPI comments, then based and clawed back to the weekly open near 1.1400. Price now sits just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off its lows, while the 1.1425 prior high has capped earlier bounces. US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1425 prior high opens a move to the 1.1445 range top
Loss of 1.1377 week low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1360
EUR/USD carved a two-week low near 1.1377 on Iran/Hormuz-driven USD demand, then based on near-equal lows and clawed back above 1.1400 into the NY session. Price now sits above EMA(20) but under EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering through the mid-50s; the 1.1425 range mid has capped recent bounces while 1.14603 remains the week high.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14603
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC are high-impact catalysts that could redefine this read
H1 close above 1.1425 opens the path toward the 1.14603 week high
Loss of the 1.1377 weekly low confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
EURUSD gapped lower at Monday's open, rallied to a 1.1446 week high midweek, then shed to a 1.1377 low into US CPI risk. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1378 and price has clawed back to the weekly open around 1.1400, reclaiming EMA20 but still capped below EMA50 near 1.1410 with RSI recovering through 50. The euro remains boxed with the US CPI print the dominant driver.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1410, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC + Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14055/1.1410 needed to challenge the 1.1446 week high
Failure to hold 1.1390 reopens the 1.1377 swing low, then 1.1360
09:02 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.14002
Week's range holding, higher lows forming off weekly low.
EUR/USD opened Monday near 1.1401, spiked to 1.1445 before fading through the NY session to a weekly low at 1.1377 on the geopolitics-driven USD bid. Price has since clawed back to the weekly open, printing higher lows off 1.1377 and reclaiming EMA20 while still capped below EMA50. RSI(14) has recovered back toward the midline as the pair consolidates inside the 1.1377-1.1445 band.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the main catalysts for this range
Loss of the 1.1390 support zone opens 1.1377 then 1.1360
H1 close above 1.1445 reopens the 1.1460 rejection zone
Lagarde 13:00 UTC could firm EUR independently and cap downside
EUR/USD rolled over from Wednesday's 1.14455 high into a steady sequence of lower highs, bottoming at 1.13772 before basing around 1.1390 as the safe-haven USD bid and Waller's hawkish CPI warning capped the euro. Price is now hugging EMA(20) but remains below EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s. The weekly open at 1.14060 sits just overhead as the pivot into today's US CPI.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1336
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.14243, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the main near-term driver and can break this base either way
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could shift the euro leg
H1 close below 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower low toward the range floor
Reclaiming 1.14060 weekly open would neutralise the lower-high sequence
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 48 · price 1.13964
Lower highs into a tight range above week low.
EUR/USD gapped lower into Monday's open and slid from 1.1445 to a 1.13772 week low as Iran/Hormuz oil flows and Waller's hawkish tone kept the dollar bid. Price is now consolidating 1.1385–1.1396 just above EMA20 but capped by EMA50, with RSI cycling around the midline. The 1.1410 pivot has held back this week's recovery attempts.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC are the immediate catalysts for this range
H1 close below 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1360
Reclaim of the 1.1410 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's open to 1.14455 then rolled over through the NY session, sliding to the weekly low at 1.13772 as the Hormuz-driven safe-haven USD bid firmed. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.1380-1.1394 band, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI subdued in the mid-40s. Repeated rejection of the 1.1446/1.1460 zone earlier this week left the euro pinned mid-range.
Support: 1.13772, 1.13805
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1406, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.13772 weekly low confirms continuation lower toward 1.1360
H1 close back above 1.13962 recent high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD has bled lower since mid-week's 1.14455 peak, unwinding to a 1.13772 low as a geopolitical USD safe-haven bid and Waller's hawkish tone weighed on the euro. Price is pinned below EMA20 and EMA50, now chopping in a tight 1.1378–1.1394 band into the London session. Rallies keep stalling under 1.1396 while the week low holds.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1405, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Lagarde 13:00 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1360 range base
H1 close back above 1.13960 neutralises the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD gapped lower at Monday's open and sold through the NY session to 1.1377 as US-Iran/Hormuz risk fed safe-haven USD demand. Price has since based in a tight 1.1380-1.1394 band, holding just above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the mid-40s. The 1.1414 gap top and 1.1446 swing high remain the unfilled overhead references for the week.
Support: 1.13775, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1399, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT today is the primary catalyst and can materially shift this read
Lagarde speech at 13:00 UTC adds EUR-side risk
H1 close below 1.13775 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.14140 gap top negates the week's downside
EUR/USD has printed lower highs since the 1.1460 range-top rejection early last week, with a weekend gap lower into Monday's open feeding the safe-haven USD bid off US-Iran/Hormuz headlines. Monday's recovery to 1.1445 rolled over and price is now basing just above the 1.1377 swing low, sitting on EMA20 but capped by EMA50. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-line as the sell-off stalls.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1377 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
H1 close back above 1.1400 pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD has trended lower since the rejection at 1.14455 midweek, printing lower highs and grinding into the 1.1377 week low before a shallow bounce back toward the 1.1400 psych level. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off the low near 44, keeping the intraday tone soft after HICP came in line and USD held firm into CPI. The 1.1390/1.1400 zone is capping the recovery for now.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1377 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1360 range floor
Hourly close back above 1.1400 neutralises the near-term downtrend
After the weekend gap opened near 1.1400, EUR/USD popped to 1.14455 before rolling over into a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence, printing a low at 1.13772 in the NY session before a shallow bounce to 1.13907. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI holding in the low-40s, keeping the H1 tilt to the downside. The pair stalled at Friday's rejection zone and has since faded through the week's midpoint.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14455
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14000 round number would challenge the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13772 swing low confirms downtrend continuation toward 1.13600
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
EUR/USD gapped lower into this week's open and drifted down through a lower-high sequence, printing a week low at 1.13772 before basing. Price has clawed back toward the 1.14000 round number but sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off the low. The euro remains boxed in the 1.1360–1.1450 zone flagged in the macro read, with buyers stepping in twice around the 1.1378 base.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14000 challenges the lower-high sequence toward the week high
Failure to hold 1.13772 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 zone
EURUSD has drifted lower since Monday's open near 1.1400, printing a 1.1377 low during the Asia session before a shallow recovery back to 1.1393; price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with lower highs stacking through the week. The soft German current-account and a firmer USD on Waller's hawkish tone have kept the euro capped, with the 1.1445 area rejecting the last push. RSI(14) is cycling in the mid-40s, reflecting a corrective bounce rather than a trend shift.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1425, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are near-term catalysts that could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych then 1.1425 ema pivot needed to challenge the lower-highs structure
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13914
Lower highs, bouncing off 1.1377 swing low.
EUR/USD drifted lower through the week off the 1.1460 area into a 1.1377 swing low, and is now stabilising just under 1.1400 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 as lower highs stack up, with the 1.1390 psych level acting as the immediate pivot the digest flags. Demand has held twice around 1.1377, but the recovery has yet to reclaim EMA20 near 1.1402.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.14455, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14020 (ema20) needed to challenge the 1.14455 prior high
Failure to hold 1.13772 opens the 1.1360 range floor
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD drifted lower through the week, with a weekend gap down opening near 1.1400 before sellers pressed into a 1.13772 swing low. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 after a shallow recovery, twice basing around 1.1377–1.1382 before ticking back toward the 1.1394 recent high; the 1.1400 psych level remains the immediate cap. Lagarde's speech today at 13:00 UTC is the swing factor per the ECB pause-vs-hike debate.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400, 1.1424
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech today 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 1.1400 psych would ease the downside pressure toward 1.14240
Failure to hold 1.13772 swing low confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 support zone
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13897
Lower highs, lower lows since week open.
EURUSD gapped lower at Monday's reopen and, after a push to 1.1446 in the London-NY window, has carved successive lower highs down into a 1.13772 swing low. Price sits below EMA(20) with RSI(14) in the mid-40s after a modest bounce back to 1.139. Soft Eurozone inflation against a firm USD has kept the tone heavy through the Asia session.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1437
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 floor
Reclaim of the 1.14006 weekly open needed to ease downside pressure
EUR/USD has drifted lower all week, opening a weekend gap down from Friday's 1.1414 and grinding through the 1.1400 handle to a week low at 1.1377 during the late US/Asia session. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold, and a modest bounce back to 1.1390 into the new session. The soft Eurozone CPI backdrop and Mideast-driven USD support have kept the balance tilted lower within the broader 1.1360–1.1450 frame.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1424, 1.1449
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC today could break this range read
Hourly close back above 1.1400 psych would neutralise the downside drift
Failure to hold 1.1377 week low opens the 1.1360 range floor
Since Monday's open EURUSD spiked into 1.1445 during the NY session before rolling over, carving a run of lower highs back through EMA(20) and pressing the 1.13772 swing low into the Asia session. RSI(14) sub-35 shows the leg lower is stretched, consistent with the digest's soft-Eurozone-CPI drift toward the 1.1360 zone. Price sits below both moving averages with 1.1405 now capping.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.14357
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC both material catalysts for the next bars
Break below 1.13772 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1360 range low
Reclaim of 1.1405 (ema20) needed to arrest the slide
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, sitting near range floor · RSI 41 · price 1.13855
Lower highs, testing week's lows.
EUR/USD rolled over from Friday's 1.1445 high and has spent the latest session grinding down to 1.1377, now hovering near 1.1385 below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). A weekend gap left a small void into the reopen and price has since drifted lower with RSI(14) sagging toward 40. The 1.1360 range floor flagged all week is now the immediate structural reference.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1360 opens the drift toward 1.1210 dealers flag
H1 close back above 1.1414 (EMA20) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst that could reset this read
EUR/USD rolled over through the NY session Monday, sliding from 1.1445 to fresh lows near 1.1377 as the safe-haven USD bid and oil-driven Eurozone drag reasserted. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the low 30s, and the Asian session has stalled flat just above the 1.1377 swing low. The prior 1.1414 shelf now caps as resistance after the break lower.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13772 confirms the next lower-low toward the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14140 would neutralise the downtrend read
US CPI + Lagarde (Tue) are twin catalysts that could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 38 · price 1.13832
Lower highs, lower lows off week high.
EUR/USD rolled over after tagging the 1.1445 week high, sliding through the 9-day EMA pivot (~1.1425) and printing a fresh session low at 1.1377 during the latest sessions. Price now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the mid-30s, reflecting the safe-haven USD bid and oil-driven Eurozone drag noted in the digest. The 1.1360 area is the next reference below current price.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech (Tue 13:00 UTC) and US CPI (12:30 UTC) are twin catalysts that could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 1.1425 would neutralise the lower-high sequence