EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 13 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13833
Sold off from session high, now consolidating near lows.
EURUSD sold from the 1.14455 session high through the NY-Asia handover, printing a low at 1.13772 before flattening. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1379–1.1389 band on thin Asia-session volume, RSI mid-range with no momentum either way.
Support: 1.1379, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13885, 1.13905, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of 1.13905 needed to challenge the descending-highs sequence
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde later Tuesday are the pair's next catalysts
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13833
Consolidation near session low after NY sell-off.
EUR/USD sold from the 1.14455 NY high down to 1.13772 through the London-NY session, then stalled into thin Asia hours, chopping in a tight 1.1379-1.1385 band around EMA20. RSI(14) mid-range near 45; no directional impulse while volume is minimal.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1372 area
Reclaim of 1.13900 would break the current consolidation cap
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Downtrend from NY high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13804
Lower highs into consolidation at session lows.
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.14455 high down to a 1.13772 session low, and the Asian session is now grinding flat near those lows on very thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 44 with price pinned just under EMA20/EMA50; no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13886, 1.14069, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.13886 would break the descending intraday structure
US CPI 12:30 UTC + Lagarde 13:00 UTC Tue could materially shift this read
EURUSD faded from the 1.1445 session high through the NY session to 1.1377, and is now basing in a tight 1.1380–1.1385 band on very thin post-NY/early-Asia volume. RSI(14) mid-40s, price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with momentum flat.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13847, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13847 would break the intraday consolidation ceiling
Loss of 1.13772 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1360
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) are twin catalysts that could reset this read
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13811
Lower highs off London high, now consolidating.
EURUSD sold off from the London high near 1.14455 through the NY session, breaking down under 1.13990 into a swing low at 1.13772. Price is now grinding sideways between 1.13772 and 1.13860 in thin Asia-hours trade, RSI(14) flat around 44.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.13907, 1.1399
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13990 breakdown level negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13772 swing low exposes the 1.13700 psych area
US CPI and Lagarde (Tue) are the twin catalysts that would break this quiet range
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13811
Lower highs off 1.1445, now flat-lining in thin Asia.
EURUSD sold off from the 1.1445 London peak into a string of lower highs and now sits flat around 1.1381 in thin Asian-session trade, volume drying up. RSI(14) mid-40s, price pinned below EMA20/EMA50 with the 1.13772 recent low still holding.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13905, 1.1406
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14060 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) later Tue could break this range
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13803
Lower highs into a tight late-session base.
EUR/USD sold off from the 1.1445 peak through the London-NY session to a 1.13772 session low, then flattened into a thin 1.1379-1.1385 base during Asian hours. Volume has collapsed and ATR is compressed; price sits below both EMAs with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13905, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Break of 1.13772 session low exposes the 1.1360 support
Reclaim of 1.13905 swing high needed to challenge the 1.1400 round number
US CPI and Lagarde later Tuesday are the twin catalysts to break this base
Lower highs into low, now consolidating near session low.
EUR/USD ground lower from the 1.1445 NY peak and is now consolidating a few pips above the 1.1377 session low in thin Asia-open conditions, RSI in the mid-30s. ATR has compressed to ~4-5 pips, price pinned below EMA20/50 with volume drying up into the day's close.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13858, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 session low confirms continuation lower toward the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1400 round number would neutralise the intraday downtrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
EUR/USD trended down from the 1.14455 London-morning high through NY and now bases around 1.1380 in thin Asian-hours trade, price below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips as volume dries up late in the session.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14000 challenges the descending resistance
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) are the next catalysts to break this compression
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13845
Consolidation above session low after NY sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the 1.1445 high to 1.1377, then flattened into a tight 1.1379-1.1385 base as Asia volumes thinned. Price sits just on the EMA20 but stays below the EMA50; two-way risk into Tuesday's US CPI and Lagarde looms.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1377 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1391 needed to challenge 1.1401
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD drifted off the 1.1445 high in a stair-step down-leg, printing lower highs and bottoming at the session low 1.13772 before flattening just above 1.1380 in thin late-session trade. RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed near 3 pips; price sits below EMA20/50 with the descending resistance still capping bounces.
Support: 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1389, 1.1404
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low, exposes the 1.1360 context zone
Reclaim of the 1.13890 recent high needed to challenge the 1.1404 swing high
Thin liquidity into the Asia handover can distort ranges
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13836
Lower highs into tight consolidation.
EURUSD sold from the 1.1445 NY high down to 1.1377, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1377-1.1385 band on thin Asian-session volume. RSI(14) mid-40s, price capped below EMA20/50 after the leg lower.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1390 needed to challenge the 1.1400 psych level
Loss of 1.13772 session low reopens the 1.1360 range floor
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (14:00 UTC) later Tuesday could break this range
Lower highs / lower lows off 1.1445, now flat at session lows.
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1445 high down to a 1.13772 session low on broad safe-haven USD demand, price now flat-lining near those lows in thin rollover trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 41 with no divergence; the lower-high sequence stays intact below the 1.1390 congestion.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1390 congestion would negate the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.13772 session low opens 1.1360
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) Tue could reset this read
EUR/USD ground lower from the 1.1445 session peak as safe-haven USD demand capped the euro, printing a chain of lower highs into late hours. Price is now drifting in a tight 1.1377-1.1386 band on thin Asian-session volume, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13858, 1.1401
What it said to watch
Break of 1.13772 opens toward 1.1360
Reclaim above 1.14010 breaks the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Chain of lower highs off 1.1445, now compressing near session lows.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the 1.1445 peak, shedding roughly 70 pips as broad safe-haven USD demand weighed. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.1377–1.1384 band in thin Asia trade, ATR compressed to ~4 pips; buyers stepped in twice at 1.1377 but the recovery is shallow.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13907, 1.14079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower-low, opening 1.1360
Recovery through 1.13907 needed to challenge the descending sequence of highs
US CPI (12:30 GMT) and Lagarde (13:00 GMT) tomorrow could materially reset this read
NY session sold EUR from the 1.14455 session high down to 1.13772 as broad safe-haven USD demand on Hormuz headlines capped the pair near 1.1400. Price now consolidates 1.1377-1.1385 in thin Asian trade, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s off the lows.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1421, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13772 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to challenge the downtrend structure
Lagarde speech (Tue 13:00 UTC) and US CPI ahead could materially shift this read
London rally to 1.1445 was rejected and the NY session drifted steadily lower to a 1.1377 session low, with EUR capped near 1.1400 on safe-haven USD demand from the Hormuz headlines. Price is now coiling around 1.1383 in thin Asian-hour trade, RSI(14) mid-40s after basing off the low.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1401 round number needed to negate the downtrend
Lagarde 13:00 UTC and US CPI tomorrow are the near-term catalysts
EUR/USD ground lower through NY into the late session, printing a session low of 1.13772 after rejection near 1.1445 earlier in the window. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1377–1.1383 band on very thin late-session volume, RSI(14) flat in the low 40s with no momentum in play.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13900 negates the late-session drift
Break of 1.13772 opens the next leg toward 1.1375
ECB Lagarde speech Tue 13:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for this pair
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.1445 area, printing a fresh session low at 1.13772 before basing near 1.1382 in thin Asia hours. Sell-off follows broad safe-haven USD demand; RSI(14) mid-range at ~41, with the descending sequence of lower highs still intact.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13907, 1.14012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13907 then the 1.14012 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 1.13772 session low opens the 1.1360 digest support
US CPI and Lagarde risk ahead could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, now flat near session low.
EURUSD ground lower through NY hours after rejection at 1.1445, USD carrying a safe-haven bid on Middle East escalation. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.1377-1.1383 range on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) around 40 with no divergence.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13772 opens the path toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.13900 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) are the next material catalysts
EUR/USD ground lower through the day after rejection near 1.1445, printing a fresh session low at 1.13772 as safe-haven USD demand persisted on the Middle East escalation. Candles have shrunk into thin Asian-hour volume, RSI(14) hovering in the mid-30s with no bounce established.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401, 1.14329
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.13900 would ease the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13772 confirms continuation lower toward 1.13700
Lagarde speech (13:00 UTC) and US CPI are the next high-impact catalysts that could reset this read
NY session faded off the 1.1445 high with a steady chain of lower highs, dragging price to a fresh session low at 1.1377. Volume dried up into the NY-Asia handover with the last bars ticking at 1.1381 and RSI in the mid-30s — no clean setup, just a slow drift lower.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 opens the 1.1360 context low
Reclaim of 1.1390 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speech (Tue 13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating near session low.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1445 peak to session lows near 1.1377 through NY hours, pressured by safe-haven USD demand on the US-Iran escalation. RSI(14) sits sub-40 without hitting oversold, and price is grinding sideways in a tight 1.1377-1.1384 band into late NY, momentum cooling.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13885, 1.1401, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13885 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13772 opens the 1.1360 support zone
EUR/USD ground steadily lower through the NY session from the 1.1445 peak, printing a chain of lower highs as safe-haven USD demand on the Middle East/Hormuz story kept the euro capped. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1379-1.1384 band at the day lows, RSI(14) mid-30s with sellers still in control but momentum flattening into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13875, 1.1399
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 extends the sequence of lower lows toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.13875 needed to break the lower-high chain
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) are near-term catalysts that could reset this read
EUR/USD ground to fresh session lows at 1.1377 in late NY hours, extending the decline off the 1.1445 high on thinning volume. USD safe-haven bid on Gulf/Hormuz headlines kept EUR capped through the day; RSI weak but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13895, 1.14012
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13772 opens the path to 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.13895 would ease downside pressure
US CPI 12:30 UTC and ECB Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session to session lows near 1.13790 after rejection at the 1.14455 session high, holding a clean chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s and candles have compressed near the lows, consistent with the safe-haven USD bid from Gulf escalation. Late-session tape is thin.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13875, 1.1401, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.13700
M15 close above 1.13875 breaks the lower-high chain
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) tomorrow are the key catalysts to reprice this read
Lower highs, lower lows; drifting into session low.
EURUSD ground lower through NY hours off the 1.1445 high, printing a chain of lower highs into the 1.13772 session low. Late-session volume is drying up and candle ranges have collapsed to a few pips, price stalling just above the low.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13886, 1.1401
What it said to watch
A break below 1.13772 opens the 1.1360 support zone
Reclaim of 1.13886 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) tomorrow can reset this read
EURUSD drifted off the 1.1445 session high in a steady chain of lower highs, price now pinned to the session low at 1.13772 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) near 38 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — momentum has stalled as the pair coils just under 1.1390.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13875, 1.1401
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13875 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13772 opens the 1.1370 round-number area
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde speech tomorrow could reset this range
EUR/USD grinding lower on M15 off the 1.14455 high, printing a chain of lower highs and now pressing the session low near 1.13790 after losing the 1.13880 shelf. RSI(14) subdued near 35 with range compressing into the late session; no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.1379, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13880 breaks the lower-high sequence
Sustained break of 1.13790 opens the 1.1360 support
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) tomorrow could reset this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session off the 1.14455 high, printing a chain of lower highs and breaking 1.13824 to a fresh session low at 1.13792. RSI(14) near 34 and price under both EMAs; move fits the digest's heavy-EUR read toward the lower band.
Support: 1.13792, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13907, 1.14012
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13907 needed to ease downside pressure
Sustained break below 1.13792 opens 1.13700 then 1.1360
Lagarde speech tomorrow 13:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through NY from the 1.1445 peak and is now coiling in a tight 1.1382-1.1387 band as late-session volume drains. RSI mid-40s, price pinned below EMA20/50 with sellers capping each bounce.
Support: 1.13815, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13815 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1378
Reclaim of 1.13910 needed to challenge the downtrend line
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (Tue 13:00 UTC) are the next catalysts to reprice this range
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1445 high down to a 1.13817 session low, price now coiling in a tight 1.1382-1.1387 band late in the day with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50; the downside impulse has stalled but no reclaim of structure yet.
Support: 1.13817, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13817 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1376 round number
Close back above 1.13910 challenges the 1.14010 pivot
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session faded the 1.1445 area steadily lower into 1.1382, taking out prior support at 1.1401. Price is now grinding flat just above the 1.13815 session low with RSI(14) mid-30s; no fresh downside impulse in the last few bars.
Support: 1.13815, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13815 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1370
Reclaim of 1.14010 negates the session-low pressure
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (Tue 13:00 UTC) are the next catalysts and can shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1445 into 1.1382, printing a clean chain of lower highs as the USD safe-haven bid held. Price is now grinding sideways just above the 1.13815 session low, RSI(14) around 41 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — basing, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.13815, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13815 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1325 zone flagged by the wider range
Reclaim of 1.13910 would break the descending lower-highs line and ease the sell pressure
Range compression near the low often precedes an expansion move once liquidity thins after NY close
EUR/USD drifted lower through the NY session from the 1.14455 high to a session low at 1.13815, USD firm on safe-haven flows. The latest bar swept that low then closed back inside; price now coils in a tight sub-5-pip range with RSI(14) around 40.
Support: 1.13815, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14013, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13815 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1390 would break the descending sequence of lower highs
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next tier-1 catalyst for this pair
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.14455 high, chaining lower highs and lower lows to a session low at 1.13815 as safe-haven USD demand and higher oil pressured the euro. Price is basing in a tight 1.13815–1.13890 zone in the last hour with RSI(14) near 34, off its lows but not yet turning.
Support: 1.13815, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13815 opens the 1.13600 range floor
Reclaim of 1.13910 needed to ease downside pressure toward 1.14010
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13817
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low printing.
NY session ground lower off the 1.14455 high, price stair-stepping down and now printing a fresh session low at 1.13815 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) around 34, below EMA20 and EMA50; a tight 1.1385–1.1391 consolidation gave way to the latest leg down.
Support: 1.13815, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401, 1.14146
What it said to watch
reclaim of 1.13910 would break the lower-high chain
loss of 1.13800 round number extends the session decline
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh low · RSI 36 · price 1.13817
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY afternoon ground lower off the 1.1445 high, with USD haven demand keeping EUR pinned; price just broke the 1.1386 consolidation shelf to print a fresh low at 1.13815. RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold, and price sits under both EMAs.
Support: 1.13815, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.13885, 1.14012
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13885 would stall the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 1.13800 psych extends the down leg
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into tight consolidation above session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.14060 shelf down to a session low at 1.13824, RSI(14) basing near 41 after the drop. Price now coils in a tight 1.13850–1.13910 band below EMA20 and EMA50, no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401, 1.1406
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13910 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.14010
Failure to hold 1.13824 confirms a lower low toward 1.13760
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is a high-impact risk that could reset this read
Lower highs into tight consolidation at session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1445 high down to 1.1382 as the dollar held its safe-haven bid, and price has since coiled tight between 1.1385–1.1389 into the late session. Below both EMAs with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; no fresh direction while the 1.1382 base holds.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.13918, 1.1401, 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13824 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1380 round number
Reclaim of 1.13918 bounce high needed to challenge the 1.1401 prior support
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground lower from the 1.1445 session high to a 1.13824 session low as the dollar held its haven bid, RSI(14) sitting mid-40s. Price now basing in a tight 1.1385-1.1388 range, downtrend intact but momentum stalled.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14012, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Break of 1.13824 session low extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.14012 swing high negates the lower-high chain
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NY afternoon delivered a leg lower from 1.1401 to the session low at 1.13824, and price is now coiling in a tight 1.1385–1.1389 band just off that low. Chain of lower highs from 1.14455 keeps the intraday structure heavy; RSI(14) cooling near 42 after the sell-off.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.14329, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13824 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1380
Reclaim of 1.14010 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14455 session high and stepped lower through the 1.1390 support the digest flagged, tagging a session low at 1.13824 on the NY leg down as USD held its safe-haven bid. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1384–1.1389 band with RSI(14) around 41, no fresh directional push.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1399, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13824 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of 1.13990 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the 1.1445 session high, EUR heavy on the USD safe-haven bid, printing a low at 1.13824. Price is now flatlining in a tight 1.1382-1.1391 base with RSI(14) mid-40s — no directional impulse into the close.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.14012, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13824 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14012 pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
US CPI (Tue 12:30 GMT) + Lagarde speech could reset this range entirely
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating at session low.
NY session drifted lower with EUR heavy sub-1.1400 on the USD safe-haven bid; after rejection near the 1.14455 session high, price stair-stepped down to a session low of 1.13824. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1385-1.1390 band, RSI(14) parked in the mid-30s.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13824 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14010 needed to challenge the downtrend
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 38 · price 1.13859
Lower highs, holding above session low.
EUR/USD slid through the NY session to a low of 1.1382 after rejection at 1.14010, on USD safe-haven demand from Middle East escalation. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1382–1.1390 band, RSI(14) sub-40, sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.14062
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13824 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 1.1380
Reclaim of 1.14010 needed to challenge the downtrend read
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD faded through the NY session from the 1.14455 peak, breaking lower at 1.13910 as USD held a safe-haven bid on Middle East risk. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.13850-1.13890 band just above the 1.13824 session low, RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13824 opens 1.13800 then the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of 1.13910 needed to challenge 1.14010 prior support
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 37 · price 1.13859
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR sold off through the NY session from the 1.1445 area, breaking the 1.1400 handle on USD safe-haven demand, and is now basing just above the session low at 1.13824 with RSI(14) near 37. Rejections have capped every bounce at prior pivots around 1.14010.
Support: 1.13824
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1406
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14010 would negate the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.13824 extends the downtrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD sold off through the 1.1400 broken support during late NY hours and printed a session low at 1.13824 on USD safe-haven demand. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1385-1.1389 band just above that low, RSI(14) basing near 39.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14010 broken support would invalidate the downside break
Failure to hold 1.13824 session low opens the path toward 1.1380
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14455 NY session high in a clean chain of lower highs, breaking below 1.1400 and sweeping to a 1.13824 session low as the USD safe-haven bid firmed. Price is now consolidating just above that low near 1.1389, RSI(14) weak around 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14012, 1.14146, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13824 session low confirms continuation toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14012 pivot would stall the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially reset this intraday read
Chain of lower highs / lower lows since 1.14455 peak.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs off the 1.14455 session high as safe-haven USD demand kept the pair heavy. A late sweep of the 1.13824 session low saw a shallow bounce back to 1.13868, RSI(14) near 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13824 opens the 1.13600 context support
M15 close back above 1.14010 breaks the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13868
Lower highs, lower lows since London highs.
NY afternoon extended the slide off the 1.14455 London high, breaking below the 1.14010 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.13824 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s. Price is consolidating in a tight 1.13850-1.13890 band just above the low, no reclaim of the broken level yet.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14010 would negate the lower-low breakdown
Loss of 1.13824 opens 1.13800 round number
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key USD-side driver that could reset this read
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.13858
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY session extended the slide off the 1.1445 high, breaking the 1.1400 psych level and sweeping the session low at 1.1382 before a shallow bounce. RSI(14) near oversold around 33 with price pinned at lows into late NY hours; USD firm on safe-haven flows.
Support: 1.13824
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1406, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 would negate the lower-low break
EUR/USD rolled over through the NY afternoon, breaking the 1.14010 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.13824 with RSI(14) near 33. Price trades below EMA20/50 after a steady sequence of lower highs off the 1.14455 day high, in line with the safe-haven USD tone.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14013, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14013 negates the breakdown read
acceptance below 1.13824 confirms the lower-low extension
US CPI and Lagarde Tue are the next material drivers for this read
NY session drove EURUSD down from the 1.14455 session high to a fresh low at 1.13824 on safe-haven USD demand tied to Mideast escalation. Price broke below the 1.14023 pivot and RSI(14) sits in the low 30s with no bounce yet; sellers still in control into the late NY hours.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14023, 1.1415, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14023 would invalidate the lower-low read
Break of 1.13824 opens the path toward 1.13760
US CPI and Lagarde (Tue) are macro risks that could reset this range
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the 1.1445 session high, printing a fresh low at 1.13824 as firm safe-haven USD demand capped the pair. Price broke below the 1.14010 shelf and is now grinding along session lows, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet at extreme.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14010 would break the lower-high, lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 1.13824 extends the downtrend toward the 1.13800 psych level
US CPI and Lagarde Tue are the next material cross-drivers for this range
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 39 · price 1.13898
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD rolled over through NY hours, breaking the 1.1400 shelf and sweeping the session low at 1.13824 before ticking back to 1.13898. RSI(14) near 38 with price under EMA20/50 — the euro stays pressured near the 1.1390 support flagged into Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1380, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1409, 1.14329
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14010 negates the lower-low read
Failure to hold 1.13800 opens the 1.1360 area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD grinding lower through NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.13824 before a shallow bounce to 1.13898 as USD held a safe-haven bid on Mideast/oil headlines. Chain of lower highs from the 1.1445 peak intact; RSI(14) near 34, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14010 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13824 opens the 1.13600 area
US CPI Tue and Lagarde Wed could materially shift this read
Late NY: EUR/USD rolled off the 1.14455 session high in a chain of lower highs and has just broken the 1.14000 psych level, printing 1.13863 into the close. USD safe-haven bid on Mideast escalation is the driver; price now probing the 1.13839 swing low.
NY afternoon has pressed EUR/USD to session lows at 1.1386 after a steady fade from the 1.1445 high, breaking below the 1.14010 shelf on safe-haven USD demand. Price is now grinding at the 1.13839 swing low with RSI(14) near oversold; both EMAs cap from above.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14010 negates the breakdown lower
Failure to hold 1.13839 confirms continuation toward 1.1380
Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift USD near-term
NY session drifted down from the 1.1445 session high back to the 1.1400 round number as the USD held its safe-haven bid, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price is consolidating in a tight 1.1396–1.1402 band, still below EMA20/EMA50, with sellers capping bounces at 1.1416.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1431, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1396 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1384
Close above 1.1431 invalidates the intraday downtrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD faded from the 1.14455 session high back to the 1.1400 round number on a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) sitting mid-40s. Price is holding just above the 1.13961 session low as the geopolitics-driven USD bid caps the euro.
Support: 1.13961, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14329, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13961 opens 1.1390 then the 1.1360 zone
Reclaim of 1.14100 needed to challenge the 1.14329 lower high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
NY session drifting lower off the 1.1445 session high into the 1.1400 psych level, RSI(14) around 41 with no oversold signal. Demand stepping in twice at the 1.1397 session low, keeping the 1.1390/1.1410 range base intact as the safe-haven USD bid caps the pair.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14217
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1414 swing high negates the near-term down leg
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver into next sessions
EUR/USD ran to 1.14455 then drifted lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, pressured by the safe-haven USD bid. Price now sits on the 1.1396–1.1400 support with RSI(14) around 41; sellers capping every bounce.
NY session has drifted steadily lower from the 1.1445 session high, printing lower highs into the 1.1390 support zone with price now 1.1399. RSI(14) near 40 and price sits below both EMAs, keeping the intraday tone heavy.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 support zone opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1420 ema20 would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue is the dominant external catalyst and can reset this read
EUR/USD has ground lower since the 1.1446 session high, printing a clean lower-high, lower-low chain back into the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone that the market_context flags as pivotal for the USD safe-haven bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 40 with no divergence; sellers keep capping bounces under 1.1416.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms the lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1416 would break the descending resistance and negate the downtrend read
Schnabel speech (16:45 UTC, ~1h out) could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 37 · price 1.13981
Lower highs, testing support zone.
EUR faded from the 1.14455 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs into the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone flagged into US CPI. Price is pressing 1.13960 with RSI(14) near 37, in line with the broad USD safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14305, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13900 opens the 1.13839 session low
Reclaim of 1.14140 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue and Lagarde speech are near-term catalysts that could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13981
Lower highs into support zone.
NY session faded the 1.14455 session high, printing lower highs down toward the 1.1390 support zone; last close 1.13981 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Move fits the broad USD safe-haven bid flagged into Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1430, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1390 support zone opens 1.1360
M15 close back above 1.14060 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue and Lagarde speech are near-term catalysts that could shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 37 · price 1.13977
Lower highs, lower lows off session high.
NY session slid from the 1.14455 session high and broke back under the 1.14000 psych level, with EUR heavy near 1.1400 on broad USD safe-haven demand. Price is pressing the 1.13970 session low with RSI(14) weak in the mid-30s and no sign of bids holding yet.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1430, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13900 support zone extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14150 pivot would negate the downside push
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 1.13977
Lower highs / lower lows off session high.
EUR faded from the 1.14455 session high through NY hours and is now grinding toward the 1.1390 support zone, RSI(14) near 39. Lower highs are stacking under a descending resistance line; price trades below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1435, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1390 support zone opens the path to 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14150 recent high would negate the lower-high sequence
ECB Schnabel 16:45 UTC could shift this read into the next bars
15:01 UTC
Downtrend after rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.14059
Lower highs, testing 1.1400.
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.14455 session high, printing lower highs into the 1.1400 round number where the last bars are bouncing. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40, consistent with the broad USD safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14329, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14329 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence
ECB Schnabel 16:45 UTC could shift this read intraday
EUR/USD faded off the 1.1445 session high through the NY session, sliding into the 1.1400 round number as broad USD safe-haven demand kept the pair heavy. Chain of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 35 with price parked at the day's lows.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1390 support zone confirms range break lower toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14352 breaks the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC and Lagarde are the near-term catalysts for this pair
London spiked to a session high at 1.14455 then faded; NY hours have printed a chain of lower highs down into the 1.1400 round number, RSI(14) cooling near 36. Supply capped each bounce at 1.14352 and 1.1415 while price now tests the session low at 1.13996.
Support: 1.13996, 1.1390, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14352, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1390 support pivot opens 1.1360
M15 close back above 1.1415 breaks the lower-high chain
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver — could reset this read
14:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend from session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14032
Lower highs, testing session low.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14455 session high through NY hours, printing a clean chain of lower highs into 1.14032. Price is now pressing the 1.13996 session low with RSI(14) cooled to the high-30s; the 1.1390/1.1410 support pivot flagged into Tuesday's US CPI is directly in play.
Support: 1.13996, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1435, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13996 session low opens 1.1390 support pivot then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1415 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.1445 during NY hours then unwound the whole move, last bar flushing to 1.14006 before a small bounce on the USD safe-haven bid. Lower highs stack from 1.1445 and RSI(14) sits near 40; price is pinned to the 1.1400 psych area.
Support: 1.14006, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.14156, 1.14305, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14006 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14156 negates the lower-high sequence
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1445 day high through the NY afternoon, printing lower highs down to the 1.1400 round number as the USD safe-haven bid held. RSI(14) at ~37, price below EMA20 and EMA50; last bar swept to 1.14006 before closing 1.14083.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1433, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens 1.1390 support pivot then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1420 swing high would ease the downside pressure
US June CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
14:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.1413
Lower highs after 1.1445 rejection.
EUR/USD rejected 1.14455 into the NY session and has bled back toward 1.1413 on lower highs, in line with the firm safe-haven USD tone. RSI(14) cooling around 40, ATR ~6 pips; still holding above the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms continuation toward 1.1388 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1437 negates the lower-high sequence
Waller (16:30 UTC) and Schnabel (16:45 UTC) speeches could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Pullback, rolling over from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1413
Lower highs since 1.1445 peak.
NY session ran up to 1.1445 then rolled over, printing lower highs into 1.1413 with RSI(14) mid-40s. EUR remains heavy sub-1.1400 on the Mideast/oil-driven USD bid; price now grinding back toward the session low at 1.1410.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1410 opens the 1.1400 round number, then 1.1384 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1433 lower high negates the intraday rollover
US June CPI (Tue) is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into NY · RSI 42 · price 1.14151
Rejection at 1.1445, leaking to session low.
EUR/USD was rejected at the 1.14455 session high mid-NY and has printed a chain of lower highs down to the 1.1414 session low, with USD holding a firm safe-haven bid. Price sits on the 50% retrace of the 1.13839–1.14455 leg; RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1414 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14352 negates the lower-high sequence
Waller (16:30 UTC) / Schnabel (16:45 UTC) inside next bars could shift the read
EUR spiked to a session high at 1.1445 during the London-NY overlap then was rejected, leaking back toward 1.1414 as USD holds a safe-haven bid. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to ~40; sequence of lower highs off 1.1435 in play.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1414 session low opens 1.1400 then 1.1384
M15 close back above 1.1435 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
Rolling over off session high, testing lower range.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.14455 then got rejected, printing a chain of lower highs back toward the 1.14190 session low as USD holds its safe-haven bid. RSI(14) neutral near 45, price now sits below EMA20 with the pullback intact.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14190 confirms a lower-low, opening the 1.14000 round number
Reclaim of 1.14350 would break the sequence of lower highs
Waller speech ~3h out could shift the intraday read
13:46 UTC
Pullback after London rally, lower highs forming · RSI 45 · price 1.14211
Retracing the 1.1390-1.1446 leg, holding 1.1419 support.
London pushed EUR/USD to 1.14455 then faded; price is drifting into NY hours under a chain of lower highs, currently pinned near the 38.2-50% retrace of that leg. Buyers have held 1.1419 so far, but the 1.14370 lower high is capping bounces.
Support: 1.14193, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14193 opens 1.14119 and the 61.8% retrace
Reclaim of 1.14370 lower high needed to challenge the 1.14455 session high
US CPI (Tue 12:30 GMT) is the dominant driver and can reset this range
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.14455 before fading; price now drifting back toward the 1.14202 swing low with lower highs forming, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Safe-haven USD bid on Mideast escalation is capping EUR into the 1.14370 area.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14202 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14455 needed to resume the upside
US CPI Tue is the dominant near-term catalyst via USD
13:31 UTC
Range after london rally · RSI 46 · price 1.14244
Consolidating below session high.
London session drove a sharp rally off 1.1384 to a 1.14455 session high, but price has since faded into a 1.1420–1.1437 range as NY hours open. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with price back below EMA20; the range top at 1.14370 has capped every push higher.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14200 range low opens the path toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14455 needed to resume the london rally
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for the pair
13:17 UTC
Up-move fading, now rangebound · RSI 47 · price 1.14264
Range after London rally, mid-range.
London session drove EUR/USD up to 1.14455 before a steady fade back into the 1.1420-1.1437 range, with price now mid-range near 1.1426 as the safe-haven USD bid caps rallies. RSI(14) sits neutral around 47, no momentum edge into early NY.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 exposes 1.1390 prior low
Reclaim of 1.1437 reopens the 1.14455 session high
US CPI (Tue) is the dominant near-term catalyst for the pair
London session rallied off the 1.1386/1.1393 base up to 1.14455 before rejection, and price is now consolidating around 1.1426 back below the EMA20. RSI(14) neutral near 49, with the 1.1420 session low holding as the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 exposes the 1.1393 monday low
Reclaim of 1.14455 session high reopens the upside
US CPI Tuesday and Lagarde are the dominant near-term catalysts for the pair
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.13839 session low and rallied to a 1.14455 session high before pulling back into the London-NY transition. Buyers stepped in at the 1.14200 swing low and price has recovered to 1.14307, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with the prior high at 1.14370 the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1420, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14200 reopens the path back to the 1.13839 session low
Close above 1.14370 puts the 1.14455 session high back in play
US June CPI (Tue) is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this intraday read
London session drove a rally to the 1.1445 session high before rejection, and price has since pulled back to consolidate around 1.1430 into NY hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with price holding above EMA20/50; the move has retraced roughly half the London leg, leaving 1.1420 as the near-term swing low.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1445 session high opens the path to the 1.1460 rejection hi
Failure to hold 1.1420 swing low exposes the 1.1400 support zone
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Up leg fading into pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.14251
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
NY session pushed to a 1.14455 session high before rolling over; price is now consolidating around 1.1425, capped by the 1.14370 pivot with RSI cooling toward neutral. The 1.14200 swing low is holding for now.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 opens the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.14455 session high would resume the up leg
Waller speech 16:30 UTC could shift the USD side of the read
EUR rallied off the 1.1384 session low through NY to a 1.14455 high before rejection capped the move; price is now retracing into the 38.2% fib around 1.1422. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 49 as the pullback holds above the rising intraday support.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14202 swing low confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
Reclaim of 1.14350 pullback high reopens 1.14455 session high
Waller (16:30 UTC) and Lagarde/US CPI risk this week could shift the USD side
12:31 UTC
Up early, now fading · RSI 46 · price 1.14238
Consolidating below session high.
London session ripped from 1.1384 to 1.14455 then stalled, with price drifting back to 1.1425 through the NY hours. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s as the 1.14395/1.14455 cap held; sellers now leaning on the 1.1420 pivot.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14005, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14395, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1420 exposes 1.14005 then the 1.1384 day low
Reclaim of 1.14395 reopens the 1.14455 session high
US CPI (Tue) and Lagarde speech could reset this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.14238
Pullback after NY push to 1.1445.
NY session rallied off 1.1384 to a 1.1445 session high, then rejected and drifted back to 1.1424 as the USD safe-haven bid capped the move. Price now retracing the up-leg, holding above the 1.1420 swing low with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 opens the path back to 1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14352 reopens the 1.14455 session high
Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) and ECB's Schnabel (16:45 UTC) could shift this read
12:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.14231
Post-rally consolidation into support.
London morning ran EUR/USD up to 1.14455 before rejection, then it consolidated 1.1428–1.1439 and is now testing the 1.14200 swing low near the 38.2% retrace of that rally. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-40s as the pullback matures into midday.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 opens the path to 1.14000 then session low 1.13839
Reclaim of 1.14390 prior high would re-engage the session high at 1.14455
Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) and ECB's Schnabel (16:45 UTC) could shift this read intraday
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 45 · price 1.14231
Higher highs into NY, now retracing.
NY session rallied off 1.13839 up to 1.14455 before rejection capped the move, and price is now retracing toward the 1.1420 area with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The broader push follows the USD safe-haven bid keeping EUR heavy near 1.1400. Pullback holding above prior demand for now.
Support: 1.14202, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14352 puts the 1.14455 session high back in play
Loss of 1.14202 opens the 1.1400 round number
Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) and Schnabel (16:45 UTC) could shift this read intraday
London session drove EUR/USD off the 1.13839 low up to a 1.14455 high as safe-haven USD demand eased into the US CPI wait. Price is now consolidating around 1.1427–1.1435 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range; the session high still caps.
Support: 1.14248, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 extends the intraday rally toward 1.1450/1.1475
Loss of 1.14248 exposes the 1.1400 area and negates the consolidation
US CPI (Tue) and Fed's Waller later today can materially shift this read
EUR/USD ran up sharply to a session high of 1.14455 around the London-NY handover, then rolled into a tight 1.1427-1.1437 range with RSI cooling back to neutral. Price is hugging the range floor at 1.1427 after the safe-haven-driven slide earlier in the window unwound into this bounce; no fresh direction in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1425, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1427 range floor exposes the 1.1425 swing low then the 1.1384 session low
Close back above 1.1437 reopens the 1.14455 session high
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
Consolidation below session high after London rally.
London session drove a rally from 1.1384 to a 1.14455 rejection, and price has since drifted into a 1.14248-1.14370 consolidation with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Safe-haven USD bid on Middle East escalation keeps EUR heavy heading into the NY session.
Support: 1.14248, 1.1422, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14248 opens the fib 50% near 1.14147
Reclaim of 1.14370 puts the session high 1.14455 back in play
Waller speech 16:30 UTC could shift USD tone this session
11:46 UTC
Up-leg fading, now sideways · RSI 49 · price 1.14288
London rally then rotation, higher lows holding.
London open drove a sharp push off 1.1384 to a session high at 1.14455, then price rotated back and is now ranging 1.14258–1.1440 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Higher lows off the weekend gap-down are still intact but momentum has stalled below the session high.
Support: 1.14258, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14258 breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14455 reopens the 1.1450 rejection zone
US June CPI (Tue) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this range
London session drove a ~60 pip push off 1.1384 to a session high of 1.14455, rejected there and now consolidating around 1.1430. Pullback is shallow — holding above the 38.2% retrace at 1.1422 — with RSI(14) cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.14248, 1.14079, 1.13963
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 opens the path back toward the 1.1450 psych cap
Loss of 1.1408 prior high would unwind the London rally
ECB Schnabel today 16:45 GMT; US CPI Tue is the primary cross-market catalyst
London session lifted EUR/USD off ~1.1384 to a 1.14455 high before rejection capped the move; price now consolidates around 1.1430 with RSI(14) cooled to the low-50s. The bounce runs against a firm USD safe-haven tone, keeping the session high as the level to clear.
Support: 1.14248, 1.1416, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14248 confirms a lower low and unwinds the intraday advance
Reclaim of 1.14455 needed to extend the London rally
Waller speaks 16:30 UTC; US CPI Tue could reset this read
EUR/USD climbed off the 1.1384 base to a session high of 1.14455 before rejecting and easing back to 1.1429, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. Pullback is holding above 1.1420 for now with both EMAs still below price; move fits the broader USD safe-haven backdrop capping rebounds.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1408, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.1408
Reclaim of 1.14455 resumes the intraday advance
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the primary cross-market catalyst
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.13839 session low and spiked to 1.14455 before rejection trimmed the move; price now consolidating around 1.14290 above EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s as the rally stalls under the session high.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1416, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 reopens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.1427 confirms a lower low
US CPI Tuesday is the primary cross-market catalyst
Higher highs off 1.1384, pulling back from session high.
London session drove EURUSD off the 1.1384 low up to a session high of 1.14455, then rejected and eased back to 1.14338 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. EUR clawed back ground despite the broad USD safe-haven bid; the higher-low chain holds while 1.14258 is respected.
Support: 1.14258, 1.1416, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1439
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14258 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.14160
Reclaim of 1.14455 session high extends the up leg
US June CPI (Tue) is the primary catalyst and could override this intraday read
Monday opened with a weekend gap lower to 1.1400, then London hours drove a clean rally to a session high at 1.14455 before a rejection pulled price back to 1.143. RSI(14) cooling off from the impulse leg; USD safe-haven bid tied to US-Iran headlines is capping the bounce below the 1.1450 area.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 opens the path back to the 1.14500 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.14270 swing low reopens the 1.14000 round number
US June CPI (Tue) and ECB Schnabel today are cross-market catalysts that could shift this read
London session drove EUR up from the 1.1388 base to a session high at 1.14455 before a shallow pullback to 1.1428, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Rising lows still intact and price holds above EMA20/50; the pullback is contained above 1.14258 so far.
Support: 1.14258, 1.14165, 1.14004
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14396
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14258 breaks the rising-lows chain and opens 1.14165
Reclaim of 1.14455 resumes the intraday advance
Waller (16:30 UTC) and Schnabel (16:45 GMT) speaker risk could shift this read
Higher highs into 1.14455, now consolidating below.
EUR/USD ran up through the London session to a high of 1.14455 before rejecting and easing back to 1.1429, RSI(14) cooling off the highs to mid-range. Price is consolidating above EMA20 and EMA50 with the 1.14258 pullback low so far holding; the pair remains pinned near the 1.1390/1.14 area flagged by the USD safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.14258, 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14395, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14258 confirms a lower low and undercuts the pullback support
Close above 1.14455 resumes the intraday rally toward the 1.1475 cap
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the primary cross-market catalyst
Higher highs off 1.1384, first pullback after session high.
London session rallied off the 1.1390 area, cleared the 1.1400 handle and tagged a session high at 1.14455 before a three-bar pullback to 1.1429 — the leg tracks USD safe-haven relief. Price still holds above EMA20/50 with RSI easing back from the rally peak.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1400, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14270 opens a retest of the 1.1400 handle
Consolidation below session high after London impulse.
London open drove an impulse off 1.13839 up to 1.14455, since faded to 1.14290 where price is coiling under the 1.1437 intraday cap. RSI(14) cooling from the spike; the pullback is holding near the 38.2% retrace of that leg with the breakout base at 1.14238 intact.
Support: 1.1427, 1.14238
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14238 breakout base negates the impulse read
Break above 1.14455 session high reopens upside continuation
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the primary catalyst and can reset this read
London session drove EURUSD off 1.13839 up to a session high of 1.14455 before sellers capped there, a bounce against the broader USD safe-haven bid. Price has since eased to 1.14298, holding above the 1.1427 swing low with RSI cooling back to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1427 opens the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.1439 puts the 1.14455 session high back in play
EUR/USD ran from the 1.13839 session low to 1.14455 through the London morning before rejecting and drifting back to 1.14298, RSI(14) cooling off from the highs. Rally came despite the broader USD safe-haven bid; buyers so far holding the 1.14270 swing low on the pullback.
Support: 1.1427, 1.14163, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14395
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14270 exposes the 1.14163 prior low
Reclaim of 1.14455 needed to extend the intraday high chain
US June CPI Tuesday is the dominant cross-market catalyst
10:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 1.14313
HH/HL off session low, cooling from high.
EURUSD gapped lower into the week on the US-Iran safe-haven USD bid, bottomed at 1.13839 and rallied through the London session to 1.14455 before cooling. Price is now retracing to 1.14313, holding above the 1.14270 pullback low; RSI(14) has eased off its highs but structure stays constructive.
Support: 1.1427, 1.14085, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14270 pullback low exposes the 1.14085 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.14455 session high needed to extend the move
Fed's Waller 16:30 UTC today and Tue US CPI are the near-term USD catalysts
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
EUR/USD ran a clean intraday recovery off 1.1384 to a session high of 1.14455 before rejecting and fading to 1.1431, RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels. The higher-low chain holds above 1.1427; move is a bounce against a broader bearish USD-safe-haven backdrop.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1416, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14395, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1427 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.14455 reopens the session high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-market catalyst for the next session
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 57 · price 1.14292
Higher highs into NY, retracing off session high.
NY session drove a sharp breakout from the 1.1400 base to a session high at 1.14455, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price retraces to 1.14292. Surge base near 1.14240 is the first level watched on the pullback; broader tone stays defensive per the ECB-pause/USD safe-haven backdrop.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14240 keeps the intraday higher-high structure intact
Loss of 1.14000 round number reopens the downside toward the prior session base
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 60 · price 1.14292
Higher lows off session base, retracing from session high.
London session lifted EURUSD off the 1.1390 pivot to a session high at 1.14455, with buyers stepping in repeatedly around 1.13840 through the base. Price is now retracing to 1.14292, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling from overbought. The move runs against the broader USD safe-haven bid, so the 1.14455 session high is the level to watch for continuation or rejection.
Support: 1.14045, 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1390 pivot reopens the 1.1325 downside flagged in the digest
M15 close above 1.14455 extends the intraday rally toward the 1.1475/1.1500 band
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-market catalyst and could invalidate this read
Higher lows off 1.1384, pullback from session high.
London session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1384 low up through the 1.1408 breakout to a session high at 1.14455, RSI cooling from stretched levels. Price is now retesting into 1.1432, holding above the breakout as the euro claws back Asian safe-haven losses.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1408 breakout negates the retest and reopens 1.1390 pivot
1.14455 session high — area to watch for rejection or continuation toward 1.1475 range top
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.13839 session low up to 1.14455, then rejected there and eased back to 1.1432 with RSI(14) cooling from mid-60s. The bounce came against a soft-EUR, safe-haven-USD backdrop; move stays contained under the 1.14455 session high.
Support: 1.14282, 1.1408, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
Loss of 1.14282 swing low reasserts the pullback toward 1.1408
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
09:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 64 · price 1.1432
Higher highs into session high, minor pullback.
NY session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.1384 low up through 1.1408 to a session high of 1.14455, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price fades to 1.1432. Momentum is intact above the 1.1400 round number after the recovery off Asian-session lows.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1408
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14455 session high extends the intraday leg
Loss of 1.1400 round number opens a retest of the 1.13839 swing low
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Rally off session low, higher highs then pullback.
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1384 low up to 1.14455 before pulling back to 1.1432, with the safe-haven USD bid fading intraday. RSI(14) cooling from the rally high near 59; price still holds above both EMAs and above the 1.1400 round level.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 round exposes the 1.1390 pivot and 1.1384 session low
Close above 1.14455 session high extends the intraday uptrend toward the 1.1475 cap
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
London session rally lifted EUR/USD to a session high at 1.14455, breaking out above the 1.1400/1.1408 congestion as the safe-haven USD bid faded ahead of Tuesday's US CPI. Price has since eased to 1.14336 with RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s; the breakout above 1.14238 is holding so far.
Support: 1.14238, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14238 breakout back into the 1.1400 range negates the breakout read
A close above 1.14455 session high opens the path to the 1.1475 cap
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Higher highs into London, pulling back from session high.
EURUSD ran up through London from a 1.13839 base, breaking the 1.14079 shelf and tagging a 1.14455 session high before easing to 1.14336. RSI(14) cooling from the rally as price retests the breakout zone; ATR near 9 pips keeps intraday range modest.
Support: 1.14238, 1.14079, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14238 keeps the higher-low structure intact
Close back below 1.14079 negates the breakout
A push through 1.14455 opens the 1.14500 psych cap
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot after breakout · RSI 72 · price 1.14385
Higher highs off 1.1400 base, near session high.
London session ripped through the 1.1400 base, rallying to a session high of 1.14455 before easing to 1.14385, with RSI(14) hot near 72. The move built a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.13839 low; buyers defended each dip through the London hours.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14455 session high opens the path to the 1.1475 cap
Loss of 1.1400 round number negates the breakout and reopens 1.13839
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
London session drove EUR/USD out of the 1.1390-1.1410 range to a session high 1.14455 before easing to 1.1438, with RSI(14) running hot near 71. The push came off a rising-lows base from 1.13839; the earlier weekend gap left price opening lower before this recovery.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1408 negates the breakout and returns price to range
1.14455 session high — area to watch for rejection or continuation toward 1.1450 psych
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
EUR/USD broke above the 1.1410 range top into London hours, spiking to a 1.14455 session high before easing to 1.14368, RSI(14) hot near 73. Prior 1.1388–1.1410 range capped price for hours before buyers pushed through.
Support: 1.1410, 1.13955, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1410 negates the breakout and returns price to range
1.14455 session high — area to watch for rejection or extension toward the 1.1475 cap
EUR/USD ripped out of the 1.1390–1.1410 range in the last hour, printing 1.14455 before easing to 1.14368; RSI(14) near 72 is hot but consistent with a fresh breakout. Move fits the soft-USD relief tone into Tuesday's US CPI, with the 1.14165 breakout base now the reference for whether the leg holds.
Support: 1.14165, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1475
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.14165 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
1.14455 session high — area to watch for rejection or continuation toward the 1.14750 cap
US CPI (Tue) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
London session drove EUR/USD off the 1.13839 low in a clean stair-step, breaking the 1.14165 level and printing a session high at 1.14429, RSI(14) now hot near 75. Move fits the soft-USD tone into Tuesday's CPI; buyers stepped in repeatedly through the 1.1400 handle.
Support: 1.14165, 1.14008, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14429, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Clean close above 1.14429 opens the path to the 1.14500 round number
Loss of 1.14165 breakout level would signal the leg is stalling
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
London session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.13839 low into a sharp breakout, printing a session high at 1.14429 with RSI(14) running hot near 76 on a softer USD. The 1.14240 breakout shelf and 1.14000 psych level mark the prior structure below; momentum is stretched but structure remains constructive short-term.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1400, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14429, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14240 breakout shelf would signal a failed push and reopen 1.14000 psych
Close above 1.14429 session high opens the path toward the 1.14750 range top
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk — likely to override this intraday read
London session pushed EUR/USD to a session high at 1.14258, extending a steady recovery off the 1.13839 session low. The breakout above the 1.14065 congestion has held, with RSI(14) elevated near 67. Softer EZ inflation keeps the ECB-pause narrative intact, but US CPI Wednesday is the week's dominant catalyst.
Support: 1.14065, 1.1394, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14258, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14065 breakout level would negate the intraday move
Rejection at 1.14258 session high caps the recovery; a close above opens 1.14400 round number
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 1.14243
Higher highs and higher lows off session low.
EUR/USD ground higher through the London morning, breaking the 1.1408 range top and printing a session high at 1.14258 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 1.1390 area, building a clean chain of higher lows; a softer USD is helping the bounce but 1.1435 prior high caps just above.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14258, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14080 breakout level would negate the higher-low chain
Close above 1.14258 session high opens the path to 1.14350 prior high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
07:46 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 71 · price 1.14181
Higher lows off session low.
Weekend gap down to 1.14006 was fully recovered through the Asia-London handover, with a chain of higher lows off 1.13839 and a last-bar impulse to 1.14215. RSI(14) around 71 shows the push is short-term hot but consistent with the recovery leg.
Support: 1.14006, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14215, 1.1439
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14215 opens the path to the 1.1439 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14006 gap open risks a session-low retest at 1.13839
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
EURUSD ground higher through the London session off the 1.13839 low, with the final bar breaking the 1.14090 shelf on an expansion candle to tag 1.14215. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the impulse; the ECB-pause backdrop keeps the pair below the broader 1.14475 range top.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13955, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14215, 1.14475
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14000 round number would break the higher-low chain
A close above 1.14215 session high extends the impulse toward 1.14475
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
Weekend gap opened lower and swept the 1.13839 session low; buyers stepped in through the Asian session and price has laddered higher into the London open, now pressing the 1.141 session high. RSI(14) near 60 with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13955, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14088
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1410 extends the recovery toward 1.1420
Loss of 1.13955 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this range
Higher lows since post-gap low, testing session high.
Weekend gap opened near 1.1400 then flushed to a 1.13839 session low; a chain of higher lows through the Asian range has lifted price back to the 1.14100 session high into London open, with USD kept firm by Iran headlines. RSI(14) near 60, no extreme, buyers stepping in on each dip toward 1.13940.
Support: 1.1394, 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14139 fills the weekend gap and extends the recovery
Loss of 1.13940 threatens a lower low back toward the 1.13839 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the next leg
Post-weekend open gapped lower and swept a session low at 1.1384 in early Asia; buyers stepped in and price has ground higher through into London, now testing the session high near 1.1410. RSI(14) around 62, ATR ~5.6 pips — a steady grind rather than an impulsive move.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14088
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1410 extends the recovery toward 1.1420
Loss of 1.1396 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
07:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.14074
Higher lows off 1.1384, testing session high.
Weekend gap lower opened the session near 1.1400 and sold to 1.13839, but price ground back through the Asia-London morning to retest the session high at 1.141, last 1.14074. RSI(14) firm near 62 with price above both EMAs; the 1.1390 downtrend trigger flagged in the range read is holding for now.
Support: 1.13955, 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14088
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1410 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.1390 reopens the 1.1384 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Monday Asia-London opened with a gap down from Friday's close and swept to 1.1384 before demand stepped in; price now ranging 1.1390–1.1408. RSI(14) neutral near 53, no structural setup in play.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1409
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 pivot risks resuming the broader downtrend
M15 close above 1.1409 session high extends the recovery
Fed speakers Bowman/Waller today could shift the read
Monday London open gapped ~13 pips lower and swept down to 1.13839 before buyers reclaimed the 1.1400 handle. Price now grinds a higher-low chain into the 1.14088 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.13955, 1.1388, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14088 session high opens path to Friday close 1.14139
Loss of 1.13955 higher low re-exposes gap low 1.13880 and the 1.1390 downside pivot
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD opened Monday with a weekend gap down, extending to 1.13840 before the Asia session clawed back through 1.1400. Price is grinding into the London open near 1.14040 with RSI mid-range; the 1.14088 session high caps and the Friday-gap at 1.14139 sits just above.
Support: 1.13955, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14088 opens the gap fill toward 1.14139
Loss of 1.13840 session low resumes the down-leg
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Weekend gap-down opened near 1.1400 and flushed to 1.13839 before buyers recovered the move through the Asian session into London open. Price now grinds a 1.1384–1.1409 range with higher lows; RSI(14) mid-range and CPI still a day away leaves structure quiet.
Support: 1.13955, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.1410
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14088 opens the path back toward 1.1414 gap fill
Loss of 1.13955 rising-low chain re-exposes 1.13839 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
Asia session recovered off the 1.1384 low after the weekend gap-down, reclaiming 1.1400 with a chain of higher lows building. Price now probes the 1.1409 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 60 — no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1409 opens the path to 1.1414
Failure to hold 1.1396 exposes the 1.1384 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
06:32 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.14033
Gap-down open, rising lows into a range.
Week opened with a gap down from Friday's 1.1414 close, dropping to 1.1384 in the first hour before recovering into a 1.1384-1.1409 range. RSI(14) neutral near 51 with price above EMA20/50 and rising lows off 1.1384. US CPI Tuesday is the dominant catalyst ahead, no setup in play into it.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1396
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1409 session high opens the gap fill toward 1.1414
Break below 1.1384 negates the rising-low sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:17 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.13982
Ranging after weekend gap down, higher lows off the base.
Early-Monday Asia session opened with a weekend gap down from Friday's 1.1414 close, dipping to 1.13839 before recovering. Price is now boxed 1.1390-1.14088; the push to the session high at 1.14088 was rejected and RSI(14) sits neutral near 48. Liquidity thin, ATR only ~5 pips.
Support: 1.13955, 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14088
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1400 psych then 1.14088 would extend the recovery
Failure to hold 1.1390 pivot opens a retest of the 1.13839 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
Week opened with a drop to 1.1384 before buyers recovered through the Asian range; price then based around the 1.1390 pivot and pushed to a session high at 1.1409 into early London. Now easing back to 1.1398 mid-range, RSI neutral near 47 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 pivot reopens the 1.1384 session low
M15 close above 1.1409 session high exposes 1.1440 prior high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
06:02 UTC
Range-bound, no direction · RSI 47 · price 1.13978
Ranging inside 1.1388–1.1409 after weekend gap down.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down and an early flush to 1.1388 before recovering into a 1.1388–1.1409 range; price now sits mid-range at 1.13978 with RSI neutral near 47. The 1.1414 weekend gap fill above capped the last push to 1.14088.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1414
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range in either direction
Close above 1.1409 opens the 1.1414 gap fill; loss of 1.1388 exposes the 1.1384 swing low
ECB Schnabel (Mon 16:45 UTC) could shift the EUR read
06:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.13978
Post-gap range, mid-band.
EURUSD opened the week with a weekend gap down from Friday's 1.1414 close and has since carved a range between the 1.1384 session low and 1.14088 session high. A clean bounce off 1.1384 tagged 1.14088 before fading back to 1.13978, roughly the 50% retrace, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and price pinned to its EMAs.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.1410
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this range
Close below the 1.1390 pivot / 1.1384 session low opens a lower-low
Reclaim of the 1.14088 session high toward 1.1410 prior high signals range extension
05:47 UTC
Recovering off gap low, grinding higher · RSI 53 · price 1.14003
Higher lows, capped near session high.
Monday opened with a gap down to the 1.13839 gap low, since recovered in a chain of higher lows through the Asian session; RSI(14) mid-range near 53. Buyers defended the 1.1390 swing low, and price now sits at the 1.1400 psych level just below the 1.14088 session high.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.14049
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14088 session high extends the recovery
Loss of the 1.1390 swing low opens a retest of the 1.13839 gap low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
05:47 UTC
Recovering off gap low, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14003
Weekend gap down, higher lows since.
EURUSD opened with a weekend gap down from Friday's 1.14139 close, probing 1.13839 before grinding higher through the Asian session and tagging 1.14088. Price has since eased back to 1.14003, holding a chain of higher lows with RSI mid-range; range-bound ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.
Support: 1.1394, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14088 opens the path toward the 1.14139 gap fill
Loss of rising support / 1.13940 exposes 1.13839 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
05:32 UTC
Sideways after week-open gap down · RSI 53 · price 1.14003
Consolidation, rising lows off session low.
EUR/USD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open from Friday's 1.1414 close and extended to 1.1384 before buyers stepped in. Price is now consolidating around 1.1400 inside a 1.1384–1.1409 range, RSI(14) mid and neutral, with a softer USD tone capping downside. Rising lows off 1.1384 are holding for now.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1414
What it said to watch
A close above 1.1409 opens the gap-fill path toward 1.1414
Loss of 1.1390 exposes the 1.1384 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD gapped down over the weekend to 1.1400, sold into a session low of 1.13840, then recovered to grind inside a 1.1384-1.1409 band during Asian hours. Buyers stepped in on higher lows into 1.14088 before easing back to 1.14000; USD stays soft ahead of Tuesday's CPI.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.14139
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could break the 1.1384-1.1409 range
Close below 1.13840 resumes the session downleg
Reclaim of 1.14088 opens the prior close at 1.14139
Weekend gap down opened the week at 1.1401 versus the pre-gap 1.1414; price has since ground higher through Asia, printing higher lows off 1.13839 and reclaiming 1.1400. Current bar is pressing the session high at 1.14088 with RSI(14) firm near 67, the gap fill at 1.14140 the next reference above.
Support: 1.14005, 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.1414, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14140 fills the weekend gap and opens the prior swing at 1.1420
Loss of 1.1390 range support breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 1.13839
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, capped below gap fill.
Weekend gap opened near 1.1400 and price sold to a 1.13839 session low before grinding back up through the Asian session on a chain of higher lows, now retesting the 1.14049 session high. Moves are thin at ~6 pip ATR with RSI mid-range; the 1.14139 gap fill sits overhead as the next reference.
Support: 1.1388, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14049 opens the path to the 1.14139 gap fill
Failure to hold 1.13839 session low reopens downside toward 1.1390
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
Weekend gap down, rounded recovery within 1.1384–1.1405.
Monday Asia opened with a weekend gap down to 1.14006 and an immediate spike low to 1.13839 as the USD firmed on safe-haven flows. Price has since ground back up in a rounded recovery, reclaiming the 1.1400 handle with RSI(14) around 61; session high at 1.14043 caps for now.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14043, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1390 reopens the downside toward the broader downtrend
Reclaim of 1.14139 would fill the weekend gap
US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
04:47 UTC
Recovering off weekend gap low · RSI 60 · price 1.14009
Gap down, grinding back toward gap fill.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down from Friday's 1.14139 close, printed a low at 1.13839, and has since ground higher through the Asia session on light volume back to 1.14009. Price is closing in on the unfilled gap at 1.14139; the 1.1405 session high is the immediate hurdle.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.14139, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14139 fills the weekend gap and opens 1.1450
Loss of 1.13840 reopens downside toward the 1.140 retest
Higher lows off session low, capped near range top.
Monday Asia session grinding higher off the 1.1384 swing low, now pressing the 1.14049 session high with RSI(14) mid-50s. Micro higher-lows intact but the range top is capping for now, price hugging 1.1401 on thin holiday-open volume.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14049 opens the path toward the 1.14139 pre-gap level
Loss of 1.1390 round level exposes the 1.1384 swing low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and ECB Schnabel today 16:45 UTC could reset this read
Sunday open gapped down ~13 pips and probed 1.1384 before Asia buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.1401 in a chain of higher lows. Ranging 1.1384–1.1405 with the session high at 1.14049 still capping and the weekend gap toward 1.1414 unfilled.
Support: 1.13902, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14049 opens the gap fill toward 1.14139
Break below 1.13839 resumes the downside toward the 1.1390 context support
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC and Waller/Schnabel speeches today could reset this read
04:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 1.14013
Gap down, higher lows rebuilding.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down near 1.1400, swept to 1.1384 in early Asia then bought back, printing a chain of higher lows into 1.1401. Price is grinding into the 1.14049 session high with RSI mid-range; the pre-gap 1.14139 level remains the unfilled gap target above.
Support: 1.1394, 1.1388, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14049 opens the 1.14139 gap level
Failure to hold 1.13940 risks a retest of the 1.13880 session low
Thin Asia session ranging 1.1384–1.1405 after an early drop tested the 1.1390 support and session low at 1.13839, where buyers stepped in. Price has recovered to 1.13983, back above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; USD sits soft near 3-week lows ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.13994
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1390 support opens a retest of the 1.13839 session low
Close above 1.14049 session high extends the recovery
04:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, still range-bound · RSI 52 · price 1.13983
Weekend gap down, then range 1.1384-1.1405.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down from the 1.1414 pre-gap level to 1.14006, then swept to a 1.13839 session low before grinding back toward 1.1398 through early Asia. Price is ranging 1.1384-1.1405 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; no directional setup in play, USD tone still soft into tomorrow's US CPI.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14049 session high would reopen the pre-gap 1.1414 area
Break below 1.13839 session low resumes the down leg toward the 1.1360 range floor
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially reprice this range
04:01 UTC
Range-bound after gap-down open · RSI 51 · price 1.13982
Consolidation between 1.1384 and 1.1405.
EUR/USD gapped lower at the week open and has chopped in a 1.1384–1.1405 band through the Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 50. Buyers stepped in at 1.13839 and the current bar is drifting back toward the 1.1405 top; the Friday-close gap at 1.14139 remains unfilled above.
Support: 1.13839, 1.13899
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14049 opens the path to the 1.14139 gap fill
Failure to hold 1.13839 exposes the 1.1390 area flagged as support
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Ranging after gap-down open · RSI 52 · price 1.13982
Range, mid-band, no clear HH/HL chain.
Asia session gapped lower to open near 1.1400, sold into 1.13839 then recovered; now ranging 1.1388–1.1405 with price back at 1.13982. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no session-level break in play.
Support: 1.1388, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14049 opens the path to 1.14139
Failure to hold 1.13839 confirms a lower-low
Waller (16:30 UTC) and ECB's Schnabel (16:45 UTC) speeches later today could shift the read
03:46 UTC
Range, sideways after gap-down · RSI 49 · price 1.13958
Ranging 1.1384–1.1405 post weekend gap.
Monday Asian open gapped lower and swept to 1.13839 before buyers recovered; price now ranging 1.1384–1.14049 with USD firm on safe-haven flows. Sits just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no clear intraday direction.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 support risks resuming the downtrend toward 1.1360
Reclaim of session high 1.14049 reopens the 1.14139 prior high
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.13958
Range-bound above 1.1384 after weekend gap lower.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap lower and sold to 1.1384 before buyers stepped in, leaving price chopping 1.1384–1.1405 in thin early-Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46; no directional setup while the 1.1390 pivot flagged in the macro read is being tested from above.
Support: 1.13884, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.13994, 1.14049
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1384 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1405 range top needed to negate the post-gap drift
ECB's Schnabel (16:45 UTC) could shift EUR tone intraday
03:32 UTC
Sideways, no clear bias · RSI 46 · price 1.13961
Post-gap range, choppy.
Asia session ranging between 1.1384 and 1.1405 after a weekend gap down from 1.1414. Price hovers at the EMA20 near 1.1396 with RSI(14) neutral; the 1.1390 macro support flagged in the EUR read is still holding.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk and could reshape this read
M15 close below 1.1390 opens a retest toward 1.1360
Close above 1.14049 clears the session high
03:31 UTC
Range after weekend gap down · RSI 48 · price 1.13961
Choppy range, 1.1384-1.1405 post-gap.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down through 1.1414 and has ranged 1.1384-1.1405 through thin Asia hours, USD firmer on the Mideast safe-haven bid. Buyers stepped in at 1.13839 and price is now mid-range near EMA20, RSI(14) neutral around 48.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1384 confirms a lower low, exposes 1.1390 zone context and 1.1360
Close above 1.1404 reopens the pre-gap 1.1414 area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and ECB Schnabel today 16:45 UTC could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Range after weekend gap down · RSI 45 · price 1.13937
Ranging 1.1384-1.1405, gap-down open.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down from Friday's 1.1414 close and has since chopped in a tight 1.1384-1.1405 band through the Asia session, price now mid-range near 1.1394. RSI(14) sits neutral around 45 with ATR only ~5 pips; buyers stepped in twice at 1.1384 but the 1.1405 top has capped attempts higher.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 opens the path to the 1.1414 gap fill
Failure to hold 1.1384 risks a push toward the 1.1360 area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Weekend gap lower opened near 1.1400 and price has ranged 1.1384-1.1405 through the Asia session, now sitting on the 1.1390 context support. USD softness caps downside but there's no directional break; RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1384 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of 1.1405 negates the drift and re-tests the pre-gap 1.1414 shelf
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD gapped down at the Monday open from Friday's 1.1414 close to 1.1401, then slid through the Asia session to a 1.13839 low before stabilising near 1.1395. Now ranging 1.1384–1.1404 with RSI(14) mid-range and price under EMA20/50; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
A close below 1.1390 pivot risks extending the down-leg toward 1.1384
Reclaim of 1.14049 puts the pre-gap 1.14139 area back in view
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.13947
Weekend gap down, ranging 1.1384–1.1405.
EUR/USD gapped lower into the new week off Friday's ~1.1414 close, then flushed to 1.1384 before stabilising. Now ranging 1.1384–1.1405 through early Asia, price coiling around the 1.1390 pivot with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1384 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14049 shifts the intraday read back to the range top
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's catalyst — can override this range
02:47 UTC
Range after gap-down, drift stabilising · RSI 52 · price 1.13992
Tight range following weekend gap lower.
Asia session reopened with a gap down from Friday's 1.14139 close, probing 1.13840 before recovering to ~1.1399. Price is ranging 1.13840–1.14045 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; no session breakout in play.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.14045, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14045 opens the gap fill toward 1.14139
Break below 1.13840 session low reopens the 1.1390 pivot area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range
02:46 UTC
Range-bound after weekend gap down · RSI 51 · price 1.13992
Consolidation between 1.1384 and 1.1405.
EURUSD opened the week with a weekend gap down from ~1.1414 and has since ranged 1.1384–1.1405 through the Asian session, holding just above the 1.1390 pivot flagged in the macro read. Price sits mid-range near 1.1399 with RSI(14) neutral; the drop into 1.13839 was bought back but the session high at 1.14049 remains unbroken.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.1414
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14049 opens the path toward the 1.1414 gap area
Failure to hold 1.1390 risks a retest of the 1.13839 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after gap · RSI 45 · price 1.13947
Weekend gap down, basing near session low.
EURUSD opened the week with a weekend gap down and probed the 1.13839 session low during Asia hours, USD firmer on Mideast safe-haven flows. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1389–1.1405 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 45 with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13839 opens the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of 1.14049 puts the 1.14139 gap fill in play
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13947
Swept 1.1390 support, recovered into range.
Monday Asia open gapped down from Friday's ~1.1414 area and price then swept below the 1.1390 support to 1.13839 before recovering back above it. Now ranging roughly 1.1384–1.1405 with RSI mid-band; the weekend context flags 1.1390 as the pivotal level.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13839 reopens the 1.1360 downside zone
reclaim of 1.14049 needed to challenge the 1.14139 pre-gap area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin post-weekend Asia open gapped lower, tagged 1.1388 then recovered to the 1.14049 session high before fading back toward the 1.1384 low; USD holding a modest safe-haven bid. Price now boxed between 1.1384 and 1.1405, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14005
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1384/1.1390 opens the 1.1360 downside retest
Reclaim of 1.14049 shifts the read back toward the range top
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst
02:17 UTC
Mild downtrend after weekend gap · RSI 43 · price 1.13949
Grinding near session lows post-gap.
Weekend gap opened ~13 pips lower and early Asia sold it down to a session low of 1.13839, with the USD safe-haven bid still in play. Price is grinding in a 1.13839–1.14049 range just above the 1.1390 psych level; RSI(14) mid-40s, no directional extension yet.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1390 then session low 1.13839 resumes the downtrend toward 1.1360
Reclaim of session high 1.14049 fills the weekend gap toward pre-gap 1.14139
US CPI Tuesday is the key catalyst that could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13968
Lower highs, lower lows post-gap.
Weekend gap opened EUR/USD near 1.1401 below Friday's 1.1414 close, then Asia trade faded to a 1.13839 session low before a modest bounce to 1.13968. Price is pressing the 1.1390 pivot flagged as the downtrend-resumption line; RSI(14) mid-40s, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13839 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14049 needed to neutralise the post-gap downtrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst for this read
Weekend gap-down opened near 1.1400 and price has churned in a 1.1384–1.1405 band through the Asia session, EUR staying heavy after in-line EZ CPI cemented an ECB pause. Sellers swept the 1.13839 low then bounced back to 1.13968, keeping the 1.1390 pivot in focus.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13839
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 opens the 1.1384 low retest and resumes the downdrift
Reclaim of 1.14049 session high needed to neutralise the range-low pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.13945
Gap-down open, break below 1.1390 pivot then mid-range bounce.
New week opened with a gap lower from Friday's 1.14139; the thin Asian session has drifted down, breaking below the 1.1390 pivot to a session low of 1.13839 before bouncing to 1.13945 — roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and ATR is compressed at ~7 pips in low-liquidity trade ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14043
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13900 neutralises the downside break
Failure to hold 1.13839 opens the path toward 1.1380
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst for this pair
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, weekend gap lower · RSI 44 · price 1.13945
Lower highs into 1.1384 session low, small bounce.
EURUSD opened the Asian session with a weekend gap lower, extending the July downtrend toward the 1.1390 pivot flagged in context. Price swept the session low at 1.1384 and is grinding back to 1.1394; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14049 session high neutralises the gap-lower read
Failure to hold 1.1384 confirms a lower low toward the 1.140 retest zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range
Week opened with a gap lower and thin Asia-session flow; price faded from the 1.14049 session high back through 1.1390 and is now pressing the 1.13839 session low. Price holds below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38 — momentum soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1398, 1.14049
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1398 would neutralise the downside slide off the session high
Sustained break of 1.13839 opens the path toward the 1.1380 round number
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 40 · price 1.13894
Lower highs into range floor.
EUR gapped down into the new week and has drifted to the session low at 1.13839 in thin early-Asia trade, holding below EMA20/50. Sellers keep capping bounces below 1.14043; move fits the soft-Eurozone/ECB-pause tone with EUR pinned near the 1.1390 floor.
Support: 1.13839, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14043, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13839 exposes the 1.1380 area
reclaim of 1.14043 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
01:16 UTC
Drifting lower after weekend gap · RSI 41 · price 1.13906
Back at session lows after failed bounce.
EURUSD gapped down into Sunday's open near 1.14006 and probed 1.1388 before a bounce to 1.14049 rolled over back toward session lows. Price now sits at 1.13906 below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling near 40 — the soft-EUR/soft-USD range read (1.1360–1.1450) holds with downside pressure toward 1.140/1.1390.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1388 opens the 1.140/1.1390 downside retest zone
Reclaim of 1.14049 session high needed to negate the lower-high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst — could reset this read
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down near 1.14006, sold into 1.1388 then recovered to a 1.14049 session high before fading back toward the lows at 1.139 in thin Asia-session trade. Soft Eurozone data and the ECB-pause read keep rallies capped; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1388 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.140 downside zone
Reclaim of 1.14049 session high needed to negate the fade
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and can override this read
01:01 UTC
Range after weekend gap down · RSI 43 · price 1.13935
Gap-down open, swept low then faded back.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down to ~1.1401, swept the session low at 1.1388 then recovered to 1.14043 before fading back toward the low as Asia trades thin. Price is ranging 1.1388–1.14043 below EMA20/EMA50, with RSI(14) mid-40s and no directional resolution yet.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14043, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1388 exposes the 1.1390 support zone and lower
Reclaim of 1.14043 needed to challenge the 1.14139 pre-gap high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and can override this range
01:01 UTC
Sideways after weekend gap lower · RSI 43 · price 1.13935
Tight range near session lows.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap lower and an immediate flush to 1.1388 before stabilising; Asia has since held a tight 1.1388–1.1405 range. Price is back pressing the session low with RSI(14) around 42 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14049, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1388 exposes the 1.1390 support zone toward the 1.140 area
Reclaim of 1.14049 opens the path to the 1.14139 gap fill
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range
EUR/USD opened the week with a gap lower from Friday's 1.14139 close, flushing to 1.1388 before recovering into a 1.1394–1.1405 range through thin Asian-session liquidity. Price sits at 1.13974, below EMA20, RSI(14) mid-40s and flat — no directional resolution yet.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1390 pivot exposes a retest toward 1.140
M15 close above 1.1405 session high reclaims the pre-gap zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst
00:46 UTC
Range after weekend gap lower · RSI 44 · price 1.13974
Ranging inside 1.1388–1.1404.
Early Monday Asia opened with a gap lower and a quick flush to 1.1388 before recovering to the 1.1404 session high, now fading back to 1.13974 with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Price is ranging 1.1388–1.1404 with no clean directional structure yet.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.14049
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1404 session high opens the path back toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1390 pivot / 1.1388 session low resumes the downside
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range
Sunday reopen gapped down ~13 pips from Friday's 1.14139 close, and an early flush swept 1.13880 before buyers recovered price to the session high around 1.14040. RSI(14) neutral near 48, ranging around the 1.1400 round number in thin Asia liquidity.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.14139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14040 opens the gap fill toward 1.14139
Loss of 1.13880 negates the recovery and reopens downside
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and can reset this read
Weekend gap down, consolidating above session low.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down from 1.14139 to the 1.1400 area, dipped to 1.1388 on thin Asia liquidity then recovered to 1.14027. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.1405 session high; ranges are tight (ATR ~6 pips) ahead of Tuesday US CPI.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1405 opens the path back toward the 1.14139 pre-gap level
Failure to hold 1.1388 gap low confirms lower continuation
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the swing risk for this range
Monday Asia opened with a weekend gap down and a quick sweep of 1.1388 before buyers reclaimed 1.1400; price now consolidating just under the 1.14043 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with the move stalling into the reclaim. USD CPI Tuesday is the standing swing risk into the range.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.14043, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1388 reopens the gap-down low
Reclaim of 1.14043 exposes Friday's 1.14139 close
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this range
00:16 UTC
Consolidating near lows post-gap · RSI 44 · price 1.14002
Thin range 1.1388-1.1404 after weekend gap down.
Monday Asia opened with a weekend gap down from Friday's 1.14139 close, then a thin spike to 1.1388 was quickly bought back toward 1.1404. Price now idles at 1.14002 on light holiday-thin volume, still below the unfilled gap.
Support: 1.1388, 1.13801
Resistance: 1.14044, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14139 fills the weekend gap
Loss of 1.1388 exposes fresh session lows
Liquidity thin in early Asia; US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event
00:02 UTC
Post-gap recovery, near session high · RSI 51 · price 1.14028
Weekend gap down, swept low then reclaimed.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down to 1.1401, swept the session low at 1.1388 before buyers reclaimed toward the 1.1404 session high in early Asia. RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral around 51; price is pressing the top of a thin post-gap range with the 1.1414 gap fill still open above.
Support: 1.1394, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.14045, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14139 completes the gap fill and reopens the pre-gap range
Loss of 1.1388 session low resumes the downside toward the 1.1390 pivot
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and ECB's Schnabel Mon 16:45 UTC could override this intraday read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off gap low · RSI 49 · price 1.14028
Weekend gap down, retracing into thin Asia trade.
Weekend gap lower opened Asia around 1.1400 and probed 1.1388 before buyers stepped in, grinding back to 1.14028 — roughly a 61.8% retrace of the gap move. Price remains below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 49; recovery capped so far at the 1.14044 session high.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.14044, 1.14139
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14139 pre-gap low would close the gap and negate the downside read
Failure to hold 1.1388 exposes continuation lower
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and can override intraday structure