EURUSD stalled at 1.1460 during the NY session and has since faded back below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) rolling toward 38. The pair remains boxed in this week's 1.1390–1.1475 range, and broad USD softness has capped rather than broken the range top. Price now sits back near the 1.1411 lower-range zone after the pullback erased most of the prior impulse.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 revives the downtrend toward 1.140 retest
Reclaim of 1.1460/1.1475 needed to re-open the range top
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Range, momentum rolling over · RSI 42 · price 1.14163
Pullback from week high, back below EMAs.
EUR/USD stalled at 1.14603 into the NY session yesterday and has drifted lower since, slipping back under EMA20/EMA50 with price now pinned near session lows at 1.1416. The 1.1360-1.1475 range framed by broad USD softness and a priced July ECB pause is intact; the current leg is a retrace of this week's push off 1.1390. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as the bounce faded below the 1.1440 shelf.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14374, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 pivot revives the broader downtrend
Reclaim of 1.14374 reopens the 1.14603 week high
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Range, pulling back within it · RSI 43 · price 1.14159
Range-bound, retracing this-week's advance.
EUR/USD ground up from the 1.1392 week low to 1.1460 into Thursday's NY session on broad USD softness, then rejected there and has since pulled back to 1.1416 — roughly a 62% retrace of that advance. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 43, and the 1.1392–1.1475 range still defines the week. Session low at 1.1411 is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-led read
H1 close below 1.1392 breaks the week low and range floor
EUR/USD stayed boxed this week between the 1.1390 floor and 1.1460 cap, a broad USD-led range as DXY sat at 3-week lows on softer FOMC minutes and Iran de-escalation. The NY-session push to 1.1460 was rejected and price has since slipped back below EMA20 toward the mid-range, sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the week's rebound. RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s as the pullback extends.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 opens a broader downtrend, ING flags a 1.140 retest
H1 close above 1.1460 exposes the 1.1475/1.1500 range cap
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this USD-led read
EUR/USD has chopped inside this week's 1.1390-1.1475 range, with Thursday's NY session spiking to the 1.1460 week high before fading. Price has since rolled over below EMA(20) and EMA(50) and is pulling back toward the rising lows, driven more by USD tone (softer DXY, less-hawkish FOMC minutes) than EUR direction. RSI(14) has cycled off its highs to the low-40s as the drop toward the swing low at 1.14119 develops.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 range base reopens the broader downtrend toward 1.140
H1 close above 1.1475 range cap needed to confirm upside continuation
Loss of the rising lows near 1.14119 confirms a lower-low within the range
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk to this read
18:01 UTC
Range-bound, momentum rolling over · RSI 42 · price 1.14169
Capped at week high, drifting to range mid.
EURUSD ran up into Thursday's NY session to a week high of 1.14603 before rejection dragged it back below EMA(20), with the pair now grinding through the lower half of this week's 1.1390–1.1475 range. The rebound was broad-USD driven (softer DXY on Iran de-escalation and less-hawkish FOMC minutes) rather than EUR-led, and it has stalled as RSI(14) rolls back toward 40. Price sits just above Friday's 1.14119 day low.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.14603, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 range low reopens the broader downtrend
Reclaim of EMA(20) at 1.1433 would re-expose the 1.1460 week high
US CPI Tue 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the next material driver for this read
17:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 49 · price 1.14298
Sideways range between 1.1390 and 1.1460.
EURUSD has oscillated in a 1.1390–1.1460 range all week, the softer USD (less-hawkish FOMC minutes, Iran de-escalation) keeping a floor while the 1.1475 two-week top caps upside. Price probed the 1.14603 week high during NY hours yesterday but was rejected and has drifted back to mid-range near 1.1430, sitting just under EMA(20) with RSI cycling around the 50 mark. No directional resolution — the range is still fully intact.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.1475
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the catalyst that could break this range
H1 close above 1.1475 two-wk top would open the range-high thesis
Failure to hold 1.1405 wk support exposes the 1.1390 range floor
17:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 47 · price 1.14298
Sideways range, lower highs late-week.
EUR/USD has churned inside 1.1390-1.1460 all week with a soft USD (three-day DXY slide on FOMC minutes and Iran de-escalation) unable to lift the pair through the 1.1460 week high. Price rejected 1.1460 mid-week and has since carved lower highs into the NY session, now sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 46. The digest's two-way range read is intact — dominant impulse off the 1.1393 low stalled at 1.1460.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1405, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could break the range either way
H1 close above 1.1460 week high opens the path back toward range highs
Failure to hold the 1.14119 session low exposes 1.1405 range support then the 1.1390 range floor
EUR/USD has spent the week grinding sideways in a 1.1390–1.1460 band, with a soft USD sitting at three-week lows keeping the pair underpinned but unable to clear the range top. The 1.1460 weekly high rejected an approach midweek, and price then pulled back to 1.1412 before a recovery bounce into today's NY session lifted it back to the EMA(20). RSI(14) is cycling around the midline, reflecting the two-way, low-conviction tone described by the macro read.
Support: 1.1412, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
Acceptance above 1.1475 range top removes the near-term cap
Loss of 1.1390 support exposes the 1.140 retest zone
16:01 UTC
Range-bound, two-way · RSI 53 · price 1.14365
Sideways between weekly high and week low.
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1390–1.1460 band all week on a softer USD, with the weekly high near 1.1460 rejecting two attempts and capping upside. Price probed the session low at 1.14119 during the NY session before bouncing back above EMA20/EMA50, leaving it mid-range with RSI cycling around 50. The soft-dollar backdrop from less-hawkish FOMC minutes and US-Iran de-escalation is offset by an in-line German/French inflation read that failed to lift EUR through the range top.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
Acceptance above 1.1460/1.1475 removes the near-term cap
Loss of the 1.14119 session low exposes the 1.1390 week low
Capped below range top, lower highs since yesterday's peak.
EUR/USD stalled at 1.1460 into yesterday's NY session and has since drifted back toward the mid-range as the softer-USD lift ran out below the 1.1475 range top. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s with price now trading under EMA(20), a run of lower highs building since the peak. The 1.1390-1.1410 pivot zone is the next reference below the current session low.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1396, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.1460 reopens the 1.1475 range top
Break of the 1.1390-1.1410 pivot zone exposes the 1.1360 range floor
US CPI Tue could reset the range read
15:01 UTC
Range-bound, rolling off the highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14227
Consolidation between 1.1391 and 1.1460.
EUR/USD has traded a 1.1391-1.1460 band all week, with the softer USD after the less-hawkish FOMC minutes lifting price into the NY session yesterday to a 1.1460 week high before it was rejected. Price has since rolled back below EMA(20) and sits mid-range near 1.1422 with RSI(14) around 44. The 1.1475 range top remains untested and continues to cap the picture.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 would challenge the 1.1475 range top
Failure to hold the 1.1405 pivot exposes the 1.1391 range low and 1.1360 floor
US CPI (Tue) is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range
14:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend off range top · RSI 41 · price 1.14176
Lower highs since yesterday's NY peak, within weekly range.
Price rejected the 1.1460 week high during yesterday's NY session and has since carved lower highs, trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 into the current bar. The pullback has now stalled at the 61.8% retracement (~1.1418) of the 1.1391–1.1460 advance, with a broadly soft USD this week keeping the pair from cleanly breaking lower. RSI(14) at ~40 tracks the fade in momentum.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower low and opens the ING-flagged 1.140 retest
Reclaim of the 1.1435 EMA20 area negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
14:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower off week high · RSI 44 · price 1.14176
Range-bound below EMA20 after rejection at 1.1460.
EUR/USD spent the week caged between 1.1391 and 1.1460 on a broadly soft USD, with NY hours yesterday pushing to the 1.14603 week high before rolling over. Price has since slipped back under EMA20 and is testing the lower half of the range near 1.1420, RSI mid-40s and offering no divergence. The move fits the two-way tone: hawkish ECB repricing versus a dovish USD drift keeps the pair pinned below 1.1460.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1391 confirms a lower low and opens the ING-flagged 1.140 retest
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1435 keeps the range intact toward 1.1460
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Range, pulling back from week high · RSI 43 · price 1.14281
Rangebound 1.1390–1.1460, drifting off the top.
EURUSD spent the week boxed between the 1.1391 week low and the 1.1447/1.1460 cap, with a soft-USD bid (US-Iran de-escalation, less-hawkish FOMC minutes) lifting price into yesterday's NY session before rejection at the 1.1460 week high. Since that peak the pair has ground back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sliding toward 42, unwinding the week's impulse. Price now sits mid-range near the 1.1420 pivot after the in-line German/French CPI prints did little to shift the range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 1.1390 pivot confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of the 1.1447 range cap re-tests the 1.1460 week high
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
Range between 1.1390 and 1.1475; mid-range rotation.
EURUSD has churned inside a 1.1390–1.1475 band all week, with the NY push yesterday tagging a 1.14603 week high before rejecting back to mid-range. The move fits the soft-USD backdrop (FOMC minutes, US-Iran de-escalation) meeting a EUR still capped below the 1.1475 range top. Price now sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back toward the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14603, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 range top invalidates the range read and opens the upper 1.14s
Loss of 1.1390 pivot exposes downside toward the retest ING flags near 1.140
US CPI on Jul 14 is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this range
12:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.14309
Sideways between 1.1390 floor and 1.1460 cap.
EUR/USD has chopped sideways all week, capped below the 1.1460 week high and holding the 1.1390 floor, with a soft USD on Iran de-escalation offsetting hawkish ECB accounts. The NY session yesterday pushed to 1.14603 but was rejected, and price has since drifted back to mid-range near EMA20 with RSI cycling around neutral. In-line German and French June inflation added no fresh directional fuel.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.1460/1.1475 needed for any range breakout
Loss of 1.1391 week low opens a lower-low into the range floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
12:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.14309
Range below 1.1460, rolling off week high.
EURUSD rejected the 1.1460 week high in yesterday's NY session and has since rolled back below EMA(20), unwinding into the mid-1.143s. RSI(14) cycled down from overbought to the mid-40s as the pullback found the 38-50% retrace of this week's 1.1391-1.1460 advance. The move fits the range read: softer USD kept the pair bid, but repeated failure to accept above 1.1475 keeps price mean-reverting.
Support: 1.14257, 1.1391, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.14603, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.1460/1.1475 needed to reopen the breakout attempt
Loss of 1.1391 week low confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support line
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
11:01 UTC
Range-bound, mild pullback from week high · RSI 47 · price 1.14331
Sideways range, capped below 1.1460.
EURUSD spent the week grinding inside 1.1390–1.1460 as a soft USD on Iran de-escalation offered support but the pair stalled below last week's 1.1475 cap. The push to 1.14603 late in yesterday's session was rejected, and price has since drifted back to the mid-range near 1.1433, sitting under a flattening EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling to the high-40s. Range top still respected; demand held above 1.1410 on earlier dips.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 opens a retest of the 1.1475 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1410 range floor exposes the 1.1390 week low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the pivot and could break this range either way
11:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound this week · RSI 49 · price 1.14331
Range between 1.1393 floor and 1.1460 cap.
EUR/USD has ground higher within a well-defined range since Monday's open, EUR firming on a softer USD as US-Iran de-escalation trimmed Fed hike bets. The push to 1.14603 in the NY session was rejected and price has since faded back to sit just under EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. Range structure between the 1.1393 floor and the 1.1460/1.1475 cap remains intact.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1405, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14750 invalidates the range read and opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.13926 week low exposes deeper downside toward the 1.1210 zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the pivot that could break this range either way
10:02 UTC
Range, rolling over from weekly high · RSI 47 · price 1.14274
Capped below 1.1460, pulling back into range mid.
EUR/USD spent the week ranging roughly 1.1390–1.1460, with the leg to the weekly high at 1.1460 into the NY session yesterday a USD-weakness story after the FOMC minutes rather than fresh EUR demand. That push was rejected below the prior high near 1.1490 and price has since faded back to the 50–61.8% fib zone, now trading below EMA20 but holding above EMA50. RSI has cooled back toward the midline as momentum stalls.
Support: 1.14185, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1400 round number opens the path toward mid-week lows near 1.1390
Reclaim of the 1.1490 prior high needed to re-challenge the 1.1460 weekly high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the main risk that could break this range
10:01 UTC
Range, pulling back from week high · RSI 44 · price 1.14274
This-week range, rejection at 1.1460.
EUR/USD pushed to a fresh weekly high at 1.1460 into the NY session yesterday as the dollar extended its post-FOMC-minutes slide, then met rejection and rolled back toward 1.1425. Price has since slipped under the EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s, keeping the week's 1.1400–1.1460 range intact. German CPI landing in line was a non-event; the recent leg up has been a USD-weakness story rather than fresh EUR demand.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1400, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 weekly high would extend the advance beyond the range
Failure to hold 1.1400 psych opens the path back to the 1.1392 weekly low
US CPI Tuesday is the main driver risk that could reshape this read
EUR climbed a third straight day to a fresh weekly high near 1.1460 into Wednesday's NY session, riding soft-USD post-FOMC minutes and hawkish ECB accounts. Price has since faded off that top and slipped below EMA(20), now probing 1.1430 with RSI(14) back near mid-range. The 1.1460 cap held on the last attempt; 1.1425 is the near-term pullback floor.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1437 EMA(20) reasserts the up-leg toward 1.1460
EUR/USD ran a third straight day higher into a fresh weekly top at 1.1460 on hawkish-ECB repricing and a soft USD post-FOMC minutes, but the move rejected there and price has slipped back toward the EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled into the high-40s as the pullback develops, with 1.1425 the near-term support that held on Thursday. The week's higher-low sequence off 1.1393 is intact while that base holds.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1438, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.14493
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 week high reopens the path toward the mid-1.14s fair-value zone
Failure to hold 1.1425 support breaks the week's higher-low sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD has held a broad 1.1393–1.1460 range since the week's open near 1.1420, with the ECB hawkish-repricing tailwind now largely in the price. The recovery peaked at the 1.1460 week high overnight before rejecting there, and price has since slipped back below EMA(20) into the London session, now sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the mid-week bounce. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-line as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1449 reopens the 1.1460 week high
US CPI Jul-14 is the marquee catalyst and could reshape this read
08:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14358
Week-long range 1.1391–1.1460, holding above 1.1400.
EURUSD has churned in a 1.1391–1.1460 range all week, in line with the digest's view that hawkish ECB repricing is largely priced and Fed news is the swing factor. Thursday's NY push tagged 1.1460 before rejecting back into the mid-1.14s, and price now sits back below EMA(20) around 1.1436 with RSI(14) flat near 50. The 1.1400 pivot has framed the floor while gains stalled around 1.1444/1.1449.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 1.1400 confirms a lower-low and Fed-driven USD dominance
Reclaim of 1.1460 week high opens the upper 1.14s
US CPI (Jul-14) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this range
EURUSD has churned in a 1.1391–1.1460 range this week, with rising lows lifting price back above EMA20 into the NY session yesterday. The push to the 1.1460 week high was rejected and price has since eased to 1.1441, consistent with the digest's capped-near-1.1440 read as ECB hawkish repricing looks largely priced. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 56, offering no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1460 week high would break the range top
Loss of EMA20 near 1.1436 opens the path back to the 1.14 psych level
US CPI Tue is the pivot risk and could reshape this range
Multi-day range 1.1395-1.1460, holding above EMAs.
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1395-1.1460 band all week, with the dominant push coming in yesterday's NY session where price spiked to 1.14603 before rejecting back under 1.1450. Price sits above both EMAs and RSI is neutral near 54, consistent with the digest's two-way, capped read around 1.1440 as hawkish ECB pricing is largely in the price. Buyers have repeatedly defended the 1.1395-1.1400 area while supply caps rallies into 1.1460-1.1460.
Support: 1.14265, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14603
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14490 opens the path back to the 1.14603 session high
Failure to hold 1.14000 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.13910 week low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the pivot and could materially shift this range read
EUR recovered from the 1.1391 week low midweek and pushed to a fresh week high at 1.14603 into the NY session, then rejected and slipped back toward EMA20 near 1.1438. Structure holds a series of higher lows, but the pair remains inside the 1.1425-1.1445 range flagged in the softer-USD backdrop, with supply capping at 1.14603.
Support: 1.1438, 1.14208, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.14493
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14603 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of the 1.14 handle would break the higher-low structure
German HICP and French CPI due this session could shift the range read
06:01 UTC
Grinding higher within a range · RSI 53 · price 1.14398
Week-long range, pushing new highs.
EURUSD has climbed off the 1.1391 week low in a series of higher lows, pushing to a fresh week high at 1.1460 during yesterday's NY session before pulling back to 1.1440. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s, and the 1.1449–1.1460 band is now the retest zone after the break higher. German final HICP at 06:00 UTC is the immediate risk into this read.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14603 opens continuation beyond the week high
Loss of 1.14310 breaks the higher-low sequence, exposing 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.13910 confirms a lower-low
05:01 UTC
Recovering, momentum cooling after push to weekly high · RSI 56 · price 1.14424
Higher lows since Wednesday, capped near 1.1460.
Price has ground higher off the 1.1391 week low, building higher lows into the NY session where a run to the 1.1460 week high was rejected and gave back to 1.1442. Holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s; the day low at 1.1439 is the first pivot below, with the 1.1410 support zone beneath. German HICP has kept the pair pinned in the upper range.
Support: 1.1439, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (f/c 2.4%) could shift this read
Hourly close above 1.1460 week high extends the higher-low sequence
Failure to hold the 1.1410 support zone reopens 1.1391 week low
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1390-1.1460 band all week, with the pair repeatedly giving back early gains as the dollar recovered on US-Iran safe-haven flows. The NY session yesterday pushed price to a fresh week high at 1.1460 but it was rejected back to 1.1442, leaving the range top intact. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, consistent with the two-way, range read.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1460
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (f/c 2.4%) is the nearest catalyst and could break the range
Close below 1.1410 support zone confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1390
Sustained break above 1.1460 week high invalidates the range ceiling
EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in the 1.1390-1.1450 range described in the digest, capped as a hawkish ECB repricing met an equally hawkish Fed. Into the last few hours price broke the range top and printed a fresh week high at 1.14603 before easing back to 1.1448, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 63. The 1.14490 prior high is now the immediate pivot after the break.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.14603 opens continuation; failure back below 1.14490 signals a false break of the range top
Loss of 1.14330 weekly open returns price into the prior 1.1390-1.1450 range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could reprice the ECB story and shift this read
EUR/USD spent most of the week boxed in 1.1391-1.1445 before the final NY hours drove a push to a week high of 1.14603, then faded back to 1.1448. Price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling into the low 60s on the breakout, consistent with the hawkish ECB repricing while the Fed story keeps the 1.1440-1.1450 zone contested. The 1.14603 wick shows supply capping the first attempt above the prior range top.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could shift the EUR read
H1 close above 1.14600 opens continuation above the range top
Failure to hold 1.14330 weekly open negates the breakout back into range
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, breaking week's range top · RSI 71 · price 1.14582
Range break above 1.1450, fresh highs.
EUR/USD spent the week boxed between 1.1391 and the 1.1440-1.1450 cap, but the last three hours of the NY-into-Asia handover pushed a clean break to 1.14603 as the dollar gave back ground on profit-taking off overbought levels. Price now sits at 1.14582, above both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) stretched into the low 70s after the impulse. The prior range top around 1.1450 flips to first support on any retest.
Support: 1.1450, 1.14313, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14603
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1450 on a close puts price back inside the week's range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) and US CPI Tue Jul 14 could materially shift this read
Hold above 1.1450 keeps the breakout intact toward 1.14603 and beyond
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 69 · price 1.14582
Range break to the topside.
EUR/USD spent most of the week boxed between 1.1390 and 1.1450 as a hawkish ECB repricing was offset by a firm Fed story. The late push through the 1.1450 range top into the last three H1 bars broke that congestion, with price now pressing the 1.1460 week high and RSI(14) into the high-60s. Move follows a broadly softer USD as an overbought dollar consolidates ahead of next week's CPI.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1432, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1450 negates the breakout and returns price into the week's range
German final HICP (f/c 2.4%) at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could reprice the EUR leg
A clean loss of 1.1410 support zone reopens the mid-week lows
02:01 UTC
Range, pushing top · RSI 63 · price 1.14469
Week-long range, higher-lows building.
EURUSD has chopped in a 1.1391-1.1449 range all week as a hawkish ECB repricing meets an equally hawkish Fed, keeping the pair capped. The NY session drove price back to the week high at 1.1449, with RSI(14) cycling up toward 63 and price holding above EMA20 (~1.1433) on the recent higher-lows. The 1.1449 ceiling has held two attempts this week; range top still respected.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 invalidates the range read and opens the upside
Failure to hold the 1.1410 support zone reopens the 1.1391 week low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could break the 1.1440-1.1450 cap or pressure support
02:01 UTC
Range, probing top · RSI 64 · price 1.14469
Range-bound, testing range top.
EURUSD has held a 1.1390-1.1450 range all week, with the 1.1440-1.1450 band capping every push and demand stepping in near 1.1391. Price recovered off that low and is retesting the range top into the Asia session, RSI(14) back into the low-60s but with no clean break yet. Hawkish ECB repricing has underpinned the floor while the Fed story keeps the ceiling intact.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 would confirm a range break higher
Loss of 1.1410 support zone reopens the 1.1391 week low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could shift this range read
01:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 59 · price 1.14393
Range, recovering off week lows toward range top.
EURUSD has chopped in a 1.1393-1.1449 range all week, with the 1.1445-1.1450 zone capping attempts and demand stepping in around 1.1393 mid-week. Price is back near the range top after a steady recovery off Wednesday's low, sitting above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range. Hawkish ECB repricing has kept a floor under the pair, but a firm USD near DXY 101 continues to cap upside.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 invalidates the range read and clears the week high
Failure to hold 1.1410/1.1393 support opens the path lower toward 1.1210
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Range, mild upside drift · RSI 56 · price 1.14393
Range-bound with higher lows off week low.
EURUSD has chopped in a 1.1392-1.1449 range since Monday's open, with the hawkish ECB repricing capped by a firm USD near DXY 101. Price is grinding back toward the range top after basing at the 1.1392 week low, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range around 56. Rallies keep stalling into 1.1445-1.1449 while pullbacks are finding higher lows.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1410, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1449 would break the week range top
Loss of 1.1410 support zone reopens the 1.1392 week low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC and US CPI Jul 14 could shift this range read
00:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound this week · RSI 51 · price 1.14321
Ranging 1.1391-1.1449, mid-range.
EURUSD has held a 1.1391-1.1449 range all week, with the week low printed mid-window and the 1.1449 range cap tagged during yesterday's NY session before fading. Price sits mid-range near EMA20 into early Friday Asia trade, with RSI(14) flat around 50 after EUR slipped back from 1.1444 as the dollar reclaimed a safe-haven bid. The dip stayed above EMA50, keeping structure balanced rather than directional.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14457
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1449 range cap would break the week's range top
Failure to hold 1.1391 week low opens the 1.1210 zone
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
00:01 UTC
Range-bound, no net direction · RSI 53 · price 1.14321
Sideways between 1.1390 and 1.1450.
EURUSD has held a tight 1.1390-1.1450 band all week, with price probing the 1.1445-1.1449 range cap twice and getting rejected as the Dollar reclaimed a safe-haven bid on renewed US-Iran headlines. After the recovery off the mid-week 1.1391 low, price now sits mid-range near a flat EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral around 53. Hawkish ECB accounts offered only marginal support against the firmer USD.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 invalidates the range cap and opens the upper band
Loss of the 1.1410 support zone confirms a push back toward the 1.1391 week low
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) and next-week US CPI could break this range