EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Mild uptrend, flat in Asia · RSI 60 · price 1.16139
Coiling below session high.
EUR popped above 1.1600 on strong ZEW and has spent the thin Asia session coiling between 1.1606 and 1.1614, just under the 1.1620 cap that keeps limiting rallies. RSI(14) flat near 60 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips as traders park ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15962, 1.15749
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.16184
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 invalidates the capped read and opens 1.1650
Loss of 1.1606 asia low turns risk back toward 1.1597
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver for this pair
23:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.16139
Consolidation under session high.
EUR/USD rallied off the NY low at 1.15877 to a 1.16193 session high, the move capped just under the 1.1620 ceiling that has limited recent rallies. Price is now drifting in a tight 1.1606–1.1614 band on thin Asian-session volume, RSI cooling off the highs. Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant driver into this range.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15945, 1.15877
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path to 1.1650
Loss of 1.16060 range floor reopens 1.15945
FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 57 · price 1.16131
Consolidation under session high.
Price tagged the session high at 1.16193 during NY hours then stalled, grinding a tight range above the 1.16060 intraday floor into the thin Asia session. EUR held above 1.1600 after upbeat ZEW prints but upside is capped near the 1.1620 range cap with traders parked ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1597, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 range cap opens the path back to the session high
Loss of 1.16060 intraday floor exposes 1.15970 swing low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and could reset this range
23:30 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging near highs · RSI 55 · price 1.16131
Consolidation under session high after morning rally.
EUR rallied through the session on the strong ZEW beat, tagging 1.16193 before stalling into the 1.1620 cap. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1606–1.1619 range on thin late-session volume, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1597, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 range cap opens room toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.1606 session low turns micro-structure to a lower-low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can reset this range
23:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.16119
Consolidation under session high.
EUR/USD stalled at 1.1619 into the late Asia session and has coiled in a tight 1.1606–1.1613 band, with the 1.1620 cap that has rejected recent rallies still intact. The earlier push to highs came on a strong ZEW beat, but price is parked flat into Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1597, 1.1574
Resistance: 1.1619, 1.1620, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the 1.1650 upside test
Loss of 1.1606 range floor exposes 1.1597 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this read
Tight consolidation under 1.1620 after intraday rally.
EUR/USD climbed through London/NY from the 1.1575 session low to stall at 1.16193, just under the 1.1620 cap flagged into the Fed. Price is now drifting in a 1.1606–1.1612 coil on thin Asian-hours volume, RSI(14) cooled mid-range. The intraday uptrend holds while the consolidation sits above 1.1606.
Support: 1.16061, 1.15974, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 clears the cap that has capped recent rallies
Loss of 1.1606 consol low turns intraday structure toward 1.1597
Fed decision Wed could materially shift this read
23:00 UTC
Uptrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 54 · price 1.16122
Consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD rallied off 1.15745 through the London-NY session to a 1.16193 swing high after upbeat German/EZ ZEW, then stalled at the 1.1620 cap that has limited recent rallies. Thin late-session trade has price drifting in a 1.1606-1.1620 range, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.16061, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 range cap reopens the path toward session high and above
Loss of 1.16061 recent low shifts structure back into the lower range
FOMC Wed and US Retail Sales are the dominant USD drivers ahead
23:00 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 56 · price 1.16122
Consolidation under session high.
EUR/USD rallied through the London-NY session to a high of 1.16193 — the 1.1620 area that has capped recent rallies — then drifted into a tight 1.1606-1.1612 range as NY closed and volume thinned into Asia. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1597, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16193 opens path toward the 1.1620 cap and beyond
Loss of 1.1606 turns the near-term read back toward 1.1597
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
22:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.16084
Coiling under session high after London-NY rally.
London-NY rally peaked at 1.1619 and was rejected near the 1.1620 ceiling that has capped recent moves into the Fed, with EUR earlier popping on the strong ZEW beats. Price now coils 1.1606-1.1613 in low-volume Asia hours, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15975
Resistance: 1.1619, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 breaks the range cap
Loss of 1.1606 floor exposes 1.15975 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver and could reset this read
Rally to a session high at 1.16184 during the NY session stalled below the 1.1620 cap that has repeatedly capped EUR ahead of the Fed. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1606-1.1614 consolidation through the Asia open, RSI(14) back to neutral near 47.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15945, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 reopens the path toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.16060 range floor confirms a lower-low toward 1.15945
Fed decision Wed could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.16098
Consolidation under session high.
EUR/USD popped above 1.1600 on the strong ZEW beats and rejected near 1.16193, then settled into a tight 1.1606–1.1612 range through the late session on thin volume. Price is hovering at the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 47, no momentum either way into Asia.
Support: 1.16056, 1.15775
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16193 reopens the path toward the 1.1620 range cap
Loss of 1.16056 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation floor
Fed decision Wed (18:00 GMT) is the dominant driver and could reshape this read
EUR rallied from 1.1575 to a session high of 1.16193 then stalled, drifting into a tight consolidation around 1.1610 through the quiet late session. The 1.1620 area continues to cap, matching the ceiling that has held recent rallies into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1595
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path to 1.1650
loss of 1.1606 turns the near-term structure lower
Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver and can reset this read
EUR rallied from 1.1575 to 1.1619 through the London-NY window on the strong ZEW prints, then stalled into the 1.1620 range cap that has capped recent attempts. Price now drifting in a tight 1.1606–1.1614 band on thin Asian volume, RSI back near 50.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1619, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 clears the range cap toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.1606 reopens the 1.1575 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver for the next sessions
22:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.16093
Consolidation under session high after NY push.
NY session pushed EUR/USD up to 1.16184 — the rally capped just shy of the 1.1620 ceiling flagged into the Fed — then faded into thin Asian-hours consolidation around 1.1609. Price is holding above the 1.1606 swing low with no fresh directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15924, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16184 / 1.1620 reopens the upper range
Failure to hold 1.1606 turns micro-structure toward 1.1592
Fed decision Wed (18:00 GMT) is the dominant driver and could reset this read
22:01 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.16072
Consolidation below session high after NY fade.
NY pushed EUR/USD to a session high of 1.1619 — aided by the upside ZEW surprise — before fading; Asia hours have parked it in a tight 1.1606–1.1613 band, RSI(14) neutral near 48. Rejection at 1.1619 still defining the upper edge with the 1.1620 cap untouched.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1596, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1619, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 cap opens the path to 1.1650
Loss of 1.1606 recent base exposes 1.1596
Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and could reset this range
EUR/USD rallied from the 1.1575 European low to a session high at 1.1619 before stalling, with the 1.1620 cap from recent rallies respected again. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1606–1.1613 consolidation on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral around 52.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15945
Resistance: 1.1619, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.1594 swing low turns micro-structure to a lower low
Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and could reset this read
EUR/USD ground higher through 1.1600 after the ZEW beats, peaking at 1.1619 before stalling into the 1.1620 ceiling that has capped recent rallies. Price is now consolidating 1.1606–1.1614 on thin late-session volume, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 clears the range cap and opens 1.1650
Loss of 1.1606 exposes the 1.15745 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
21:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.16102
Consolidation under session high after NY rally.
EUR/USD ran up to a session high at 1.16193 during NY hours, stalling into the 1.1620 cap flagged on the macro read, then drifting back to consolidate around 1.1610 in thin late-session trade. Price holding above the 1.16062 swing low, RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.16062, 1.15945, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Break above 1.16193 reopens the 1.1620 cap as the next test
Loss of 1.16062 swing low turns micro-structure back toward 1.1600
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.16084
Consolidation below session high after rejection at 1.1620.
NY session pushed EUR/USD to a 1.16193 session high then rejected at the 1.1620 cap that has stalled rallies into the Fed; price is now drifting in a 1.1606–1.1614 range on thin late-session liquidity. RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15945, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 invalidates the rejection read and opens 1.1650
Loss of the 1.1606 range floor exposes the 1.1594 swing low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant driver for this pair
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.1619 after the ZEW beats lifted EUR above 1.1600, but the move stalled into the 1.1620 range cap. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1606–1.1612 consolidation through Asian hours with RSI cooling to mid-range; the range top remains untested on the retrace.
Support: 1.16062, 1.15974, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 invalidates the range-cap read
Loss of 1.16062 opens 1.15974 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant USD driver and could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.16084
Tight range below session high after NY rally.
NY session pushed EUR/USD to a session high of 1.1619 — capped just under the 1.1620 ceiling that has limited recent rallies — before drifting back to consolidate around 1.1608, settling near the 23.6% retracement of the day's 1.1574–1.1619 rally. Asia hours are thin and rangebound, with price pinned ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1619, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 reopens the path toward the range cap break
Loss of 1.1606 confirms a deeper retrace of the NY rally
FOMC Wed is the dominant driver and could reset this range
21:15 UTC
Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.16084
Consolidation below session high.
EUR popped to a session high of 1.16193 on the ZEW beat but stalled into the 1.1620 cap and faded back. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1606–1.1613 band on thinning volume, RSI mid-range, with the move running out of steam ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.16062, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 invalidates the rejection and opens 1.1650
Loss of 1.16062 exposes the 1.15745 swing low
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant drivers for the next session
21:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.16065
Consolidation below session high after NY rally.
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session to a high of 1.16193, stalling into the well-flagged 1.1620 cap before drifting back to 1.16065 in quiet late-NY trade. Now consolidating above 1.16030 with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s; the ZEW-driven pop has lost steam ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1603, 1.1596, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 cap reopens the path to fresh session highs
Loss of 1.16030 swing low turns the structure to a lower-low
FOMC Wed (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and can override this read
Consolidation just above 1.1600 after rally to 1.1619.
EUR rallied through the NY session to 1.1619 after the ZEW beats, then drifted into a tight consolidation pinned to the 1.1600 round number into the close. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the upper push faded near 1.1619.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.16193
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1600 round number opens 1.1594 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16193 session high resumes the upside push
Fed decision Wed (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and could reset this read
EUR/USD climbed from the 1.15745 session low through London/NY to a 1.16193 session high after positive ZEW prints, but stalled into the 1.1620 range cap and is now drifting back to 1.1608 in tight consolidation. RSI(14) mid-range near 47 with ATR around 5 pips; price two-way ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.16035, 1.1600, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16193 opens the 1.1650 ceiling
loss of 1.1600 psych turns risk back toward the session low
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver and can reset this read
20:45 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.16086
Consolidation under session high after rally.
EUR rallied off the 1.1575 session low to a high of 1.1619 after the strong German/Eurozone ZEW beats, then was rejected and has gone flat, coiling 1.1605–1.1614 into the Fed. RSI(14) back at neutral; price hugging EMA20 with the 1.1600 round number underneath.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1597, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1619 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 1.1597 turns near-term structure to a lower low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can override this read
EUR/USD ran up to 1.16184 during NY after positive German/Eurozone ZEW prints lifted it above 1.1600, then stalled into a tight 1.1610–1.1613 range and has since slipped to 1.16073, dipping under the EMA20. RSI(14) near 46 reflects fading momentum as the move consolidates ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.16056, 1.15924, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close below 1.16056 opens the 1.15924 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16184 needed to retest the 1.1620 range cap
Fed decision Wed could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.16073
Consolidation under 1.1620 cap after NY push.
NY session pushed to 1.1619 then faded, with price now coiling around 1.1607 and RSI(14) neutral near 44. The 1.1620 ceiling flagged into the Fed continues to cap, and momentum has flattened into late session.
Support: 1.16031, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 clears the session-high cap and opens 1.1650
Loss of 1.16031 swing low turns micro-structure to a lower-low toward 1.1575
EUR/USD ran from the 1.1575 London low to a 1.16193 session high during NY hours after upbeat ZEW prints, then stalled and rejected near the 1.1620 cap that has repeatedly capped rallies. Price now coils in a 1.1606–1.1614 range with RSI(14) back near neutral as the market parks ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1606, 1.15945, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1620 opens the path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.1606 turns risk toward the 1.1594 swing low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read
NY session ran the leg from 1.15752 up to a session high at 1.16193, then faded and is now consolidating around 1.16080 just under the 1.1620 cap that has held recent EUR rallies. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range as price drifts below EMA20, holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.1607, 1.1597
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.1597 turns the read toward a lower-low
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this read
NY session drove EUR to a session high of 1.16193 after the ZEW beats, but the rally stalled into the Fed and price has coiled into a tight range around 1.1608. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the move flattens just under the 1.1620 cap.
Support: 1.16031, 1.1597, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620, 1.1650
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path to 1.1650
Loss of 1.16031 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1597
NY session ground higher from the 1.1575 area to a 1.16193 high, helped by the ZEW beats, then stalled and rejected into the 1.1620 cap. Price is now coiling around 1.1610 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as traders park ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1585, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path to 1.1650
Loss of 1.1585 swing low turns the intraday structure lower
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
EUR rallied through NY to a session high of 1.16193, helped by the upside ZEW surprise, but stalled into the 1.1620 cap and is now consolidating tightly around 1.1610. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the drift flattens just under the highs.
Support: 1.16066, 1.1600, 1.15924
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 reopens the path toward prior highs
Loss of 1.16066 swing low turns the intraday structure lower
Fed decision Wed (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
Tight consolidation under session high after intraday rally.
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session off the 1.1575 low to a session high of 1.16193 — supported by upbeat Eurozone ZEW prints — before stalling into the 1.1620 cap. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1607–1.1613 range with RSI flattening near 54 and volume thinning into late NY hours.
Support: 1.16063, 1.1597, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1620 opens the 1.1650 ceiling
Loss of 1.1597 turns the intraday structure back toward the 1.1575 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.1611
Rally into session high, now consolidating.
NY session climbed off the 1.1575 session low to tag a session high at 1.1620 — the cap that has repeatedly stalled rallies — after strong German and Eurozone ZEW prints lifted EUR above 1.1600. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 1.1610, with RSI(14) easing back to neutral as traders park ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1595, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1620 session high opens the path toward the 1.1650 ceiling
Loss of the 1.1595 swing turns risk back toward the 1.1575 session low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver and could reset this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 1.1611
HH/HL chain stalling below 1.1620 cap.
EUR rallied through NY hours to a session high at 1.16193, stalling into the 1.1620 cap the digest flags as having repeatedly capped rallies. Price has since gone sideways between 1.1606 and 1.1613 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range; the move off the 1.15745 low is digesting at its highs.
Support: 1.16063, 1.1600, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.16063 swing low turns micro-structure to a lower-low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read
NY session pushed EUR/USD to a session high at 1.1619 after the strong ZEW beats, then stalled just below the 1.1620 range cap that has repeatedly capped rallies. Price is now consolidating around 1.1611 above EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-range as momentum cools into the Fed.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1600, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 range cap opens the path to 1.1650
Loss of 1.1600 turns the intraday read toward the 1.1588 session low
Fed decision Wed (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD up to a session high at 1.16193 before rejection into the 1.1620 cap flagged on strong ZEW. Price now coiling around 1.1611, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooled to neutral as traders park ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1596
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Two-day FOMC (decision Wed) is the dominant driver and could override this read
Sustained close above 1.16200 clears the cap that stalled the rally
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1575 low up to a session high of 1.16193 — riding the strong ZEW beats — before fading into the late-session close back to 1.1607. Price now sits just under the 1.1620 cap that has repeatedly held recent rallies, holding above the 1.1600 round number.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1592, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1600 opens a retest of the 1.15920 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16193 needed to challenge the 1.1620 rally cap
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can override this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling after NY push · RSI 47 · price 1.16071
Rally faded from session high, now consolidating.
EUR/USD ran up through the NY session to a high of 1.16184 — capped just shy of the 1.1620 area flagged by the desks — then faded into late NY, drifting back to 1.16071 with RSI(14) cooling toward 47. Price is now consolidating above the 1.1600 round number after the ZEW-driven pop earlier in the day.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1591, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 reopens the upside path toward the session high break
Failure to hold 1.16000 turns risk toward the 1.15910 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver and could override this intraday read
NY session ran EUR/USD up to 1.16193 — fresh session high on the positive ZEW prints — then froze into a tight 1.16090–1.16140 coil through late NY, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Upside stalled into the well-flagged 1.1620 cap with traders parked ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1609, 1.1601, 1.1591
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16193 / 1.1620 clears the rally cap that has held recent highs
Loss of 1.16090 range low opens 1.16010 swing low
FOMC + Retail Sales Wednesday is the dominant driver and could reprice this range
NY session drove EUR/USD up to 1.16193 before stalling at the 1.1620 round number that has capped recent rallies, with price now consolidating tightly around 1.1610 into late NY hours. The leg up extended the post-ZEW bid, but RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the move flattens below the cap.
Support: 1.1609, 1.1596, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.16193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.15960 turns micro-structure to a lower low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.15745 low up to 1.16193 after upbeat ZEW prints, but the advance stalled into the well-flagged 1.1620 cap. Price is consolidating around 1.1611 with RSI cooling off, no fresh push in play ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.16035, 1.15962, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 reopens the rally; failure there keeps the cap intact
Loss of 1.16035 swing low breaks the HL chain
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
NY session pushed EUR/USD to a 1.16193 session high after the ZEW beats and risk-on US-Iran headlines, then stalled into the 1.1620 area that has capped recent rallies. Price is now coiling tightly between 1.16104 and 1.16136 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range.
Support: 1.16035, 1.1600, 1.15875
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16193 opens the 1.1620 rally cap
Loss of 1.16035 swing low turns micro-structure lower
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD to a session high of 1.16193 on the upside ZEW surprise, then price coiled into a tight 1.16100–1.16135 band as traders parked ahead of Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally's peak back toward neutral as the advance flattens below 1.16200.
Support: 1.1610, 1.16035, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 clears the cap that has held recent rallies
Loss of 1.16035 breaks the consolidation floor and confirms a lower-low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.16193 during NY hours, drawing support from the strong ZEW prints, then stalled into the 1.1620 cap and is now coiling 1.1611–1.1613. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price holds above the 1.1600 round number.
Support: 1.16035, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16200 clears the range cap and exposes higher ground
Loss of 1.16035 swing low turns micro-structure lower
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wednesday are the dominant catalysts ahead
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.1611
Higher highs into session top, now coiling.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.16193, stalling just shy of the 1.1620 cap that has limited rallies into the Fed, helped earlier by the strong ZEW beats. Price now consolidating around 1.1611 with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s after the impulse.
Support: 1.16035, 1.15877
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 opens the path toward 1.1650
Failure to hold 1.16035 risks a deeper retrace toward 1.15877
FOMC Wed is the dominant driver and could reset this read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.1611
HH chain stalling below session high.
NY session drove a HH push to 1.1619 after the ZEW beats lifted EUR earlier, but the rally stalled into the 1.1620 cap the digest flags as recurring resistance. Price is now coiling in tight 1.1610–1.1613 bars with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15945, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.15945 turns micro-structure to a lower low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver and could reset this read
NY session pushed EUR/USD up to a session high of 1.16193, stalling just under the 1.1620 ceiling that has capped recent rallies, with RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak. Price is now consolidating around 1.16115 above the 1.16030 swing low; the up-move followed the strong ZEW beats earlier and a US-Iran risk lift.
Support: 1.1603, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 range cap opens the path to 1.1650
Loss of 1.16030 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NY session rallied EUR off the 1.1575 base up to 1.16193, stalling just shy of the 1.1620 cap that has repeatedly capped rallies. Price now coiling around 1.1611 with RSI cooling from the push; the move came after upbeat ZEW prints lifted the Euro earlier.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15875
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16200 range cap opens the path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.16000 round number turns micro-structure lower toward 1.15875
Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver and can reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD up to a session high of 1.16193, stalling just under the 1.1620 cap that has held recent rallies ahead of the Fed; price has since eased to 1.16124 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Demand built from the 1.15745 session low through a clean chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.16035, 1.15875, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 invalidates the rally-cap read and opens 1.1650
Loss of 1.16035 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
NY session pushed EUR/USD through 1.1600 to a session high at 1.16193, the ZEW-driven bid stalling into the 1.1620 cap noted ahead of the Fed. Price has eased back to 1.16124 with RSI cooling from the rally peak; the 1.16035 pullback low and rising intraday support remain intact.
Support: 1.16035, 1.1596, 1.15875
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 1.16200 psych cap would extend the breakout
Loss of 1.16035 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.15745 session low up to a session high of 1.16193, stalling just under the 1.1620 cap flagged into the Fed. RSI(14) easing from the highs as the last bars pull back to 1.16134; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1590 on the way up.
Support: 1.1601, 1.15904, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 cap extends the rally and opens 1.1650
Failure to hold 1.16010 swing low signals the NY push is fading
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.15745 London low up to 1.16193, just under the 1.1620 cap, after the strong German/Eurozone ZEW beats earlier supported the Euro. Last few bars are cooling (RSI(14) easing from ~66) but holding above 1.1610; range top still intact.
Support: 1.16035, 1.15875, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 clears the range cap and extends the move
Loss of 1.16035 turns the intraday structure back toward 1.15875
Fed decision Wed is the dominant USD driver into this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 1.16163
Higher highs / higher lows into 1.1620 cap.
NY session drove EUR up to a session high of 1.16193, stalling just under the 1.1620 cap that has rejected recent rallies. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; price holding above the 1.1610 intraday higher low after the ZEW-driven pop.
Support: 1.1610, 1.1600, 1.15909
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the 1.1650 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.1600 turns the intraday structure lower
Fed decision Wed (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and will reset this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the London low.
NY session drove EUR/USD to session highs near 1.16193 as the Euro held firm above 1.1600 following the strong ZEW beats, with RSI(14) running hot around 70. The 1.1620 ceiling that has capped recent rallies is now in play just overhead.
Support: 1.16035, 1.15904, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16193, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 confirms the range-cap break and opens 1.1650
Failure to hold 1.16035 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver and could override this read
NY session drove EUR off 1.1600 to a session high at 1.16184, RSI(14) hot near 70 after the leg up. Price holds above the 1.1608 breakout despite a firm USD parking ahead of the Fed; demand stepped in repeatedly along the rising intraday lows.
Support: 1.16035, 1.15875, 1.15749
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.16035 negates the intraday higher-high sequence
Break above 1.16184 opens the path toward the 1.1650 ceiling
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD up to a session high of 1.16184, clearing the 1.1610 congestion with RSI(14) running hot near 71. The push tracks the broad USD softening into Wednesday's Fed; 1.1600 round number now sits below as recovered ground.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1591, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1600 reopens the 1.15910 higher low
Close above 1.16184 puts the 1.1650 ceiling in play
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building into close · RSI 64 · price 1.16136
Higher highs off the 1.1574 swing low.
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1574 low to a session high at 1.16184, with price now holding above 1.1600 and EMA20/50. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not yet stretched; rally tracks the soft US Housing Starts miss against a firm USD into the Fed.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15875, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16200 extends the leg higher
Loss of 1.1600 puts the 1.15875 swing low back in play
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 66 · price 1.16136
Higher highs and higher lows since mid-window low.
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.15752 low up through 1.1600 to a session high of 1.16184, with the last bar pulling back to 1.16136 as RSI(14) cools from hot. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean chain of higher lows; 1.1600 reclaimed as the nearest floor.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1591, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16184, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16184 opens the path toward the 1.1650 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.1600 risks a slide back to the 1.15910 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
Rangebound, reclaiming mid-range after intraday dip.
NY afternoon, EUR recovered from the 1.1575 day low back to 1.1605, capped twice near the 1.16126 swing high. Range-bound mid-1.16s as the market parks ahead of Wednesday's Fed; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.15945, 1.15875, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16081, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 opens the path toward the 1.1650 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.15945 reopens the 1.15875 session low and 1.1575 day low
Wed Retail Sales + FOMC are the dominant catalysts and could break this range either way
NY session recovered EUR/USD off the London low at 1.15745 back to retest the 1.16080 cap, which has now rejected twice forming a double top. Price holds 1.16049 just under that ceiling with RSI mid-range; market parked ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.15945, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1608, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16080 opens the path to the 1.16126 session high
Failure to hold 1.15945 reopens the 1.15745 session low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts and could reset this range
15:46 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 53 · price 1.16016
Ranging in NY hours, rising lows into a flat ceiling.
EURUSD is range-bound in the NY afternoon, bouncing off 1.15875 back to 1.16081 before fading to mid-range near 1.1600 — the push stalled at the session high. EUR stays capped into the Fed with RSI(14) neutral around 53; ATR ~55 pips reflects firmer intraday swings.
Support: 1.15875, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1608, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 opens room beyond the prior high
Loss of 1.15875 reopens the 1.15745 range low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1588–1.1613 range through the NY session; price recovered off the 1.1588 swing low and tagged 1.1608 before easing back to 1.1602. Move stays capped under the 1.16126 session high as the market parks ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.15877, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16081, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 opens the path back toward 1.1620
Failure to hold 1.15877 confirms a lower low and targets the 1.15745 session low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.16017
Ranging below session high after rejection.
NY session recovered EUR/USD from the 1.15752 session low up to 1.16126, where price was rejected and is now consolidating around the 1.1600 handle. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 and ATR is a thin ~7 pips, consistent with the market parked ahead of the Fed; sellers capped the 1.1608 prior high while the 1.1590 swing low has held on the pullback.
Support: 1.1590, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.1608, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 reopens the upside toward 1.1650
Failure to hold 1.1590 puts the 1.15752 session low back in play
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and will likely break this range
15:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 1.16017
Mid-range after recovery from session low.
NY session: EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1575 session low, pushed to retest 1.1612 and was rejected, now sitting mid-range near 1.1600. Range-bound with firm rejection at the session high as markets park ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.1590, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 invalidates the range read and opens higher levels
Failure to hold 1.15752 confirms a lower-low
FOMC decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
15:16 UTC
Rebounding within range · RSI 62 · price 1.16069
Recovery off session low, reclaiming 1.1600.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.15745 session low and reclaimed 1.1600 into the NY session, the last bar pushing to 1.16069 with RSI(14) near 62. Price sits between the 1.16126 session high and the reclaimed 1.1600 round number, capped under the 1.1620 area flagged by the broader range.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15877, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16126 opens the path toward 1.1620
Failure to hold 1.16000 reopens 1.15877 then the 1.15745 low
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed is the dominant catalyst
15:16 UTC
Range, recovering to top · RSI 61 · price 1.16069
Intraday range, buyers defending 1.1590.
EUR/USD spent the NY session ranging 1.1575–1.1613; buyers stepped in twice at 1.1590 and price snapped back to the range top into 1.1609 with RSI(14) at 61. Move is consistent with the soft-floor, two-way digest read ahead of Wednesday's Fed — no follow-through above 1.16091 yet.
Support: 1.15956, 1.15749
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.16126
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16091 prior high opens a retest of 1.16126 session high
Loss of 1.15956 swing low reopens the 1.1575 session low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
15:01 UTC
Range, faded from highs · RSI 45 · price 1.15965
Intraday range, lower highs after peak.
EUR/USD pushed to a London-session high of 1.16126 then faded back through the 1.1600 psych level, bottoming at the 1.15910 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.15965 into the NY open. Move sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 45; the pair is deferring to Wednesday's Fed as flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.1591, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16126
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15910 confirms a lower low, opening 1.15745 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1600 psych and 1.16126 day high needed to revive the upside
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
15:00 UTC
Range, pulled back from session high · RSI 47 · price 1.15965
Rejected at 1.16126, drifting inside range.
NY session rallied to a session high at 1.16126 then sold off, price now drifting near 1.15965 with RSI(14) neutral. Move sits mid-range ahead of Wednesday's Fed, the dominant catalyst keeping conviction low either way.
Support: 1.15875, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1607, 1.16126
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16126 reopens the path toward 1.1620
Loss of 1.15875 puts the 1.15745 session low back in play
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
14:46 UTC
Intraday downleg off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15909
Lower highs after rejection at 1.1612.
NY session faded the 1.16126 session high back to a 1.15877 swing low, RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price now under both EMAs. EUR remains capped around 1.1612/1.1620 as the dollar firms ahead of Wednesday's Fed, with the pair drifting mid-range at 1.1591.
Support: 1.15877, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.1602, 1.16126
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15877 opens the 1.15752 day low
Reclaim of 1.16020 would negate the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
14:46 UTC
Range, fading after NY rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.15909
Lower high off 1.1612, back mid-range.
NY open pushed EUR/USD to 1.1612 before sellers rejected it, fading the pair back to the 1.1590 mid-range with RSI(14) cooling near 43. A series of lower highs has formed below 1.1601; the 1.1588 swing low is the near-term floor being tested into the close.
Support: 1.1588, 1.1575, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1601, 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1588 swing low opens 1.1575 prior low
Reclaim of 1.1601 recent high reopens the 1.16126 swing high
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
NY session faded the 1.16126 session high and rolled price back to 1.15927, holding above the 1.15877 session low. Action stays boxed inside the 1.1575-1.1613 range with no momentum extension, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.15877, 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16126
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15745 swing low opens path toward the 1.1555 range floor
Reclaim of the 1.1600 round number and 1.16126 session high needed to negate the pullback
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
14:31 UTC
Range, pulling back from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.15927
Intraday range, rejection at session high.
EURUSD rejected the 1.16126 session high during NY hours and faded to 1.1593, slipping back below EMA20. Pair is rotating inside 1.15877–1.16126 with RSI(14) near 44, no directional setup as the market defers to Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.15877, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1603, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 reopens the path toward the highs
Loss of 1.15877 puts the 1.15745 day low back in play
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
14:16 UTC
Range-bound, pulling off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.15958
Rejected at range top, fading toward mid.
EUR/USD rallied through NY hours to 1.16126 before getting rejected and fading back to 1.1596, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s with the dollar firm pre-Fed. Price is mid-range between 1.1591 session support and the 1.16126 prior high; no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1591, 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15910 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.15745
Reclaim of 1.16126 reopens the 1.1620 cap
FOMC tomorrow is the dominant risk for this pair
14:16 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.15958
Intraday range 1.1575-1.1613, mid-range now.
NY session faded from the 1.16126 session high back toward the mid-range, EUR capped sub-1.1620 with the dollar firm into Wednesday's Fed. Price is ranging between 1.15745 and 1.16126; RSI(14) neutral near 46, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1591, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1607, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15910 reopens the 1.15745 session low
M15 close above 1.16126 invalidates the range top read
FOMC Wed (dots/Powell) is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Range after NY pullback · RSI 46 · price 1.15982
Rejected 1.1613, fading to mid-range.
Price pushed to a session high at 1.16126 through NY morning then faded, now sitting at 1.15982 — right on the 38.2% retrace of the 1.15745–1.16126 leg. RSI(14) mid-range near 46; choppy two-way trade as the dollar holds firm pre-Fed, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.15909, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1606, 1.16126
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15909 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.16126 reopens the session high
FOMC Wed is the dollar driver — could reset this range
14:01 UTC
Range, drifting off London high · RSI 46 · price 1.15982
Ranging 1.1575–1.1613, pullback from session high.
London pushed EUR/USD to 1.1613 before NY hours faded it back toward 1.1593, with spot capped sub-1.1620 ahead of Wednesday's Fed. ATR near 6 pips and RSI mid-range — no momentum extension, price chopping inside the 1.1575–1.1613 frame.
Support: 1.1593, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1613 reopens 1.1620 cap
Close below 1.1575 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Rangebound, drifting lower late · RSI 46 · price 1.1597
Intraday range, capped sub-1.1620.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1575 session low through the NY session, tagged 1.16126 and was rejected, fading back to 1.1597 with the dollar firm pre-Fed. Price holds a 1.1575–1.16126 range; ZEW beats drew no spot reaction.
Support: 1.1591, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.16126 puts the 1.1620 cap in play
Failure to hold 1.1591 reopens the 1.1575 session low
13:46 UTC
Ranging, off session high · RSI 48 · price 1.1597
Intraday range, mid-zone after rejection at 1.1613.
NY session pushed to 1.16126 then faded, leaving price mid-range near 1.1597 with RSI neutral. The 1.1620 cap held firm into the Fed, consistent with EUR staying capped sub-1.1620; range floor sits at the 1.1575 session low.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 reopens the 1.1620 cap
Loss of 1.1575 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
FOMC Wed (dots/Powell) is the dominant catalyst for this pair
13:31 UTC
Ranging, pulled back from session high · RSI 47 · price 1.15984
24h range 1.1575–1.1613, rejection off the highs.
London pushed to the session high at 1.16126 then faded into the NY open, slipping back to 1.15909 before a shallow bounce to 1.1598. Price is parked around the 38.2% retrace of the 1.1575–1.1613 leg, ranging with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.15909, 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15909 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.15745 range low
Reclaim of 1.16126 needed to challenge the 1.1620 resist band
FOMC Wed is the catalyst capable of breaking the 1.1555–1.1650 cage
13:31 UTC
NY rally faded, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.15984
Rejection at session high, retracing.
NY session pushed EURUSD up to 1.16126 before sellers capped it; price has since faded to 1.15984 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Move is a pullback within the prior intraday climb off 1.15745, sitting near EMA50 as Lane and Wednesday's FOMC loom.
Support: 1.15909, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.16069
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15909 opens the 1.15745 session low retest
Reclaim of 1.16126 session high revives the intraday upmove
Wed FOMC and ECB Lane speech could materially shift this read
EURUSD rallied through the NY session from the 1.15745 session low to 1.16126 before being rejected, fading back to 1.1600 where it sits just below EMA20. RSI(14) neutral near 50; pair caged in the 1.1593-1.1612 area after failing to hold the session high.
Support: 1.15935, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16126 reopens the path toward 1.1620 cap
Loss of 1.15935 exposes the 1.15745 session low
ECB Lane speech and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
NY session recovered from the 1.15745 session low, pushing to 1.16126 before fading to 1.1590 and stabilising at 1.1600. Move stalled into the 1.1620 resistance band cited as the cage top; RSI(14) back to neutral after the bounce.
Support: 1.1590, 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 opens the path to the 1.1620 resistance band
Loss of 1.15745 reopens the 1.1555 pivot
ECB's Lane speech and Wed FOMC could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Range, choppy intraday · RSI 49 · price 1.16005
Ranging 1.1575–1.1612, bounce off lows.
NY session has EUR/USD hemmed in the 1.1575–1.1612 range; price faded from the 1.16126 high back to the 1.15909 swing low before buyers reclaimed 1.1600. RSI(14) is flat near mid, no momentum extreme — pair holding its cage into Lane's speech.
Support: 1.15909, 1.15752, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15909 opens the 1.15752 session low
Close above 1.16126 puts the 1.1620 resist band in play
Lane speech 13:10 GMT and Wed FOMC could break the range
13:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.16005
Rotation inside 1.1575–1.1613 intraday range.
EURUSD is rotating inside a 1.1575–1.1613 range; price tagged the 1.16126 session high then faded to 1.15909 before reclaiming 1.1600, RSI back to neutral. The pair stays caged below the 1.1620 resistance band noted into Wednesday's FOMC, with no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.15909, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 reopens the 1.1620 resist band
Loss of 1.15909 sets up a retest of the 1.15745 session low
Lane speech at 13:10 GMT could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Ranging, pullback off intraday high · RSI 43 · price 1.1595
Recovery from 1.1575 stalled at 1.1612, retracing.
NY session pushed to 1.16126 mid-morning then rolled over to 1.1595 as the USD firmed into the Fed, RSI(14) back to ~42. Price is mid-range, holding the 50% retrace of the 1.15745–1.16126 rebound; session low at 1.15745 unbroken and 1.1555 is the broader range floor below.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1622
What it said to watch
ECB Lane speech 13:10 UTC could shift this read intraday
Close below 1.15745 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1555
EUR/USD rallied through London into a 1.1612 session high then rejected, sliding back to 1.1595 in the London-NY transition as the USD held firm pre-Fed. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price slipped back under EMA20; the 1.1575 session low remains the floor of the intraday range.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 session high reopens the path toward the 1.1622 10-day high
Loss of 1.1575 session low exposes 1.1555 floor and confirms a lower low
ECB Lane speech 13:10 UTC could shift this read intraday
12:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.1597
Rally rejected, retracing.
NY session pushed up to 1.1612 before rejection, fading back to 1.1597 with RSI cooling toward neutral. The leg up from the 1.1575 swing low remains intact while 1.1593 holds; price now sits just under EMA20.
Support: 1.1593, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1612, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1593 puts the 1.1575 swing low back in play
EUR/USD ran up through the London-NY transition from the 1.15745 session low to reject at 1.16126, and has since faded back to 1.1597 below the EMA20. RSI(14) cooling near 43 as the intraday rally stalls under the 1.1622 10-day high.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1580, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15745 confirms a lower-low and ends the intraday up-leg
Reclaim of 1.16126 reopens the path toward 1.1622
ECB Lane speech 13:10 UTC could shift this read
12:16 UTC
NY rally fading, pullback in progress · RSI 46 · price 1.15986
Consolidating sub-1.1600 after rejection at session high.
NY session lifted EURUSD off the 1.1575 low to a 1.1613 session high, then rejected and slipped back under 1.1600 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is consolidating into Fed week, holding above the 1.1597 swing low.
Support: 1.1597, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1613
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1600 reopens the 1.1613 session high
Close below 1.1575 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read
12:16 UTC
Intraday up-leg, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.15986
Rally off 1.1575 low fading from 1.1613.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1575 session low to print 1.1613 in early NY before fading as the USD firmed into Wednesday's Fed. Price is now retesting the 38.2% fib and the 1.1600 round number, parking just under EMA20 at 1.15986.
Support: 1.15969, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15752 confirms a lower low and ends the up-leg read
Reclaim of 1.16000 keeps the swing high at 1.16126 in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver for the next sessions
12:01 UTC
Recovery off lows, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.15987
Double bottom into rally, retracing.
European hours sold EUR/USD into a double bottom at 1.1575, then a sharp recovery tagged the session high at 1.16126 before stalling. Price is now retracing ~38% of that move to 1.1599, with EUR consolidating sub-1.1600 as the USD firms into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1619
What it said to watch
Hold of the 38% retrace near 1.1598; loss of 1.15940 reopens the double bottom at 1.15750
Reclaim of 1.16126 would re-test the recovery high
ECB Lane speech 13:10 UTC could shift this read intrasession
12:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at session high · RSI 46 · price 1.15987
V-recovery off session low, rejected below 1.1600.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near 1.15749 then rallied to a session high of 1.16126 before being rejected, slipping back below the 1.1600 round number to 1.15987 as the USD firmed into Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range as the bounce ran out of steam.
Support: 1.1595, 1.15749
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16126, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16126 reopens the path to the 1.1622 prior high
Loss of 1.1595 swing low exposes the 1.15749 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver framing this range
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 1.16045
Higher lows off 1.1575, capped at 1.1613.
EUR/USD recovered through London hours from the 1.1575 swing low to a 1.16126 session high, then sold back toward the 1.1600 round number; RSI mid-range with momentum cooling. USD firm into Wednesday's Fed kept the 1.1613 cap intact.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1587, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1600 reopens the 1.15870 swing low
M15 close above 1.16126 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1620
ECB's Lane (13:10 UTC) could shift this read intraday
NY session staged a clean recovery off the 1.15749 double-bottom, rallying to 1.16126 before pulling back to 1.16045 on light volume. EUR remains capped sub-1.1700 into Wednesday's Fed; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s after the leg up.
Support: 1.16002, 1.15749
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 opens the path back toward the 1.16201 prior high
Failure to hold 1.16002 reopens the 1.15749 swing low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and can override this intraday read
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
London session ground out a low at 1.15745 around 07:30 broker time then recovered steadily to a session high of 1.16126, now holding just above the 1.1600 round number with USD bid into Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) near 59, cooling after the push; chain of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.16003, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.16003 puts the recovery's higher-low chain at risk toward 1.15745
Close above 1.16126 session high opens the path to 1.16201
Wednesday FOMC decision is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
EUR/USD climbed off the 1.1575 session low through the London morning, reclaiming 1.1610 and stalling just under the 1.16126 session high with RSI cooling from the push. The 1.1622 cap remains well-defended per the pre-FOMC USD bid; price now coiling 1.1607-1.1612.
Support: 1.16002, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.16201, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 opens a run at 1.16220
Failure to hold 1.16002 invalidates the recovery and exposes 1.15745
Higher lows off the session low, testing prior highs.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1575 in the Asia/early-London window and recovered through London to retest the 1.16126 session high, price holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 65 — hot but not extended; the 1.1600 round number flipped from resistance to a pullback floor.
Support: 1.16003, 1.15749
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.16003 reopens the 1.15749 session low
A close above 1.16220 range top would extend the recovery
Wednesday FOMC is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
EUR/USD ground higher through the London-NY transition, recovering from the 1.15745 session low to retest the 1.16126 session high, RSI(14) firm near 67. The move stalled at 1.1612 with the broader week pinned below the 1.1620 cap into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15881, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16126 opens a run at the 1.16220 range cap
Loss of 1.16000 round number reopens the 1.15881 pivot
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
11:01 UTC
Uptrend off London low, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 1.1611
Higher highs/higher lows since early London.
EURUSD rallied from a 1.1575 London low to 1.1613 through the European morning, USD bid easing as the pair tracks the 1.1555-1.1622 pre-FOMC range. Price is stalling just under the 1.1613 session high with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; 1.1620 psych remains the cap flagged into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1622 opens the path toward 1.1700
Failure to hold 1.1600 reopens the 1.1575 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next sessions
EURUSD ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 1.1575 low to retest the 1.1613 session high, with price reclaiming both EMAs and RSI(14) near 69. The bounce is part of a 1.1555-1.1622 range that stays pinned ahead of Wednesday's FOMC; resistance at 1.1620/1.1622 is well-defended.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1620, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1622 opens the path toward 1.1700
Failure to hold 1.1600 reopens 1.15745 session low
Wednesday FOMC and US Retail Sales are the dominant near-term drivers
London session rallied off a double bottom at 1.1575 to tag the 1.16126 session high, RSI(14) near 68 and cooling. Pair now consolidating just under that high at 1.1608, holding above the 1.1600 round number.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16126 opens the path to the 1.16201 prior high
Loss of 1.1600 reopens the 1.1585 swing low
Wednesday FOMC decision is the dominant near-term driver
EURUSD recovered from the 1.1575 session low through London-NY hours, printing higher lows and tagging 1.16126 before easing to 1.1608. RSI(14) near 64, momentum constructive but the pair stays capped sub-1.1620 with USD bid ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16126, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16201 opens the path toward 1.1700 resistance flagged in context
Failure to hold 1.1600 reopens the 1.1575 swing low
Wednesday FOMC decision is the dominant near-term driver
10:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 61 · price 1.16074
Double bottom at 1.1575, higher lows into session high.
London session printed a double bottom near 1.1575 before a steady recovery back to the session high at 1.16091, with price now holding 1.1600. Move sits inside the broader 1.1555-1.1622 pre-FOMC range flagged in the macro read; RSI(14) around 61, no extreme.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16091 opens the path to 1.1622 range top
Failure to hold 1.1600 reopens the 1.1575 session low
Wednesday FOMC decision is the dominant near-term driver
Higher highs/lows since the 1.1575 base, stalling at session high.
NY session ground higher off the 1.1575 base, lifting EUR back to the session high at 1.16091 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price is pinned around the 1.1600 round number, EUR firm but capped sub-1.1620 with pre-FOMC USD demand intact.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16091 extends the run toward 1.1622 range top
Failure to hold 1.1600 reopens the 1.1575 swing low
Wednesday FOMC is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read
Higher lows off session low, consolidating under session high.
London session staged a clean recovery off the 1.15745 session low up to 1.16091, EUR firm on US-Iran de-escalation and the blowout ZEW beat. Price is now stalling on the 1.1600 handle just under the session high, RSI cooling from the rally — heavy option strikes 1.1600-60 are noted as capping.
Support: 1.15998, 1.15812, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.16194
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16091 reopens the 1.1619 prior high
Loss of 1.15998 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 1.15812
ECB Lane 13:10 UTC and FOMC Wednesday are the dominant near-term risks
Higher highs off the 1.1574 base, stalling under session high.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.15745 swing low through the European morning, breaking 1.1600 and tagging a session high at 1.16091 before easing back to retest the round number. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally's peak into the mid-50s as price consolidates just above 1.1600.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.1622
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.16091 opens the path toward the 1.16220 10-day high
Failure to hold the 1.1600 round number exposes the 1.15745 swing low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
Higher lows since 1.1575, testing 1.1609 then fading.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near 1.1575 through the London session and rallied back to a session high at 1.16091 before fading to 1.16004, RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s. Price sits back on the 1.16 handle where heavy option strikes (1.1600-60) sit; the rally lows have stepped progressively higher.
Support: 1.1588, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15880 breaks the chain of higher lows
Acceptance above 1.16091 opens the path to 1.16201
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
EURUSD rallied through NY hours off the 1.15752 session low to 1.16091, then pulled back to test the 1.1600 round number as support, with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. EUR stays firm near 10-day highs on US-Iran de-escalation and a strong ZEW print; the move is a grind rather than a breakout into 1.1700 resistance.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15842, 1.15752
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1600 round number reopens 1.15842 swing low
M15 close above 1.16091 session high extends the up-leg
FOMC Wednesday and ECB's Lane today could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, recovery leg · RSI 63 · price 1.1603
Higher lows off the 1.1575 base, pressing session high.
EUR/USD sold off into early London to 1.1575 then mounted a steady recovery through the morning, reclaiming 1.1590 and tagging the 1.1609 session high on the US-Iran risk-on tone. Last bar stalled just below 1.1609 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; higher-low chain still intact above 1.1590.
Support: 1.1590, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1609, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1609 opens the path to the 1.1620 10-day high
Failure to hold 1.1590 reopens the 1.1575 session low
ECB's Lane (13:10 UTC) could shift the read this session
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the 1.1575 base · RSI 64 · price 1.1603
Double bottom at 1.1575, higher highs into London morning.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1575 through the Asia-London handover and rallied into the European morning to a 1.1609 session high, RSI(14) firm but not extreme around 63. Last bar pulled back to 1.1603, holding above the broken 1.1590 shelf.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1609, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1620 opens the path toward the 1.1662 pivot
Loss of 1.1575 negates the double-bottom and reopens 1.1555
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and can override intraday structure
09:30 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.16067
Higher lows since 1.1575, retracing prior decline.
EURUSD bottomed at the 1.15745 session low and has rallied ~32 pips into London hours, retracing most of the earlier slide to 1.1607 on the broader risk-on, lower-oil backdrop. RSI(14) near 68 reflects the push but isn't yet stretched; supply capped earlier at the 1.16201 range high.
Support: 1.15745, 1.15855
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.16201, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16091 opens the path toward the 1.16201 range high
Failure to hold 1.15855 reopens the 1.15745 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
EURUSD based twice near 1.1575 during the Asian/early-London window, then ran higher through London morning to reclaim 1.1600 and tag a session high at 1.1609. RSI(14) near 68 reflects the push but isn't yet stretched; demand stepped in repeatedly at the 1.1575 base.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16091, 1.16201, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.1609 opens the path to 1.1620 prior high
Loss of 1.1600 round number reopens the 1.1575 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
09:16 UTC
Recovery uptrend, momentum building · RSI 69 · price 1.16061
Higher lows off 1.1575, reclaim of 1.1600.
London session reversed the Asian-range low at 1.15745 and drove EUR/USD back above the 1.1600 round number in a clean chain of higher lows, RSI(14) near 68. Buyers stepped in repeatedly into 1.1575; the early-window high at 1.1620 is the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16201
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16201 (early high) opens the path toward 1.1662
Failure to hold 1.1600 reopens the 1.15745 swing low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver
09:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 71 · price 1.16061
Rallied off 1.1575 double base, retesting 1.1606.
London session staged a clean recovery off a 1.1575 double base, lifting EURUSD back to 1.1606 with RSI(14) at 71 — hot but normal in a trend. Soft US data and US-Iran de-escalation underpin the bid; prior swing high at 1.1620 is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.16201, 1.1614
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16201 extends the recovery toward 1.1700
Loss of 1.1600 round number reopens the 1.15745 swing low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can override this read
EURUSD carved a double bottom around 1.15745 through the Asian session and rallied back to retest the 1.1600 psych level into the European open, RSI(14) firm near 68. Move is sentiment-driven into the ZEW print with 1.16020 the immediate session-high cap.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15745, 1.1592
Resistance: 1.1602, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Eurozone ZEW at 09:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 1.16020 opens the path toward 1.16201
Failure to hold 1.1600 risks a return toward the 1.15745 base
09:01 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 67 · price 1.16007
Double bottom at 1.1575, higher lows into 1.1600.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.1575 through the Asian-London transition and rallied back to the 1.1600 round number, RSI(14) firm near 67. The recovery leg from 1.15745 to 1.16020 is intact; price is now testing the session high at 1.1602.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1582
Resistance: 1.1602, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Eurozone ZEW at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.1602 opens the path to the 1.1620 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1582 reopens the 1.1575 double bottom
08:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.16019
V-shape recovery, reclaiming the figure.
EURUSD bottomed near 1.1575 through the Asian and early-London hours, then recovered steadily this morning to reclaim the 1.1600 figure at 1.1602. RSI(14) mid-60s as the recovery extends; the 1.16201 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1590, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.16201, 1.1622
What it said to watch
ZEW sentiment at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.16201 session high opens the path to 1.1622
Loss of 1.15745 session low reopens the downside
08:46 UTC
Intraday recovery off the lows · RSI 67 · price 1.16019
Based at 1.1575, retracing the prior decline.
EURUSD based twice at 1.1575 through the Asia-London transition and has climbed back to 1.1602, reclaiming EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 67 and not yet stretched. Recovery has retraced roughly 60% of the earlier slide from 1.1620; the 1.1614 swing high is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 1.1590, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.1620
What it said to watch
ZEW Sentiment at 09:00 UTC could shift this read in the next bar
Loss of 1.1575 reopens the lower-low sequence
Close above 1.1614 extends the recovery toward 1.1620 session high
08:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 64 · price 1.15981
Double bottom, bounce toward 1.1600.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.15745 in the late session and rallied back to the 1.1600 psych level, RSI(14) firming into the low 60s. The bounce broke above the prior 1.1588 consolidation; 1.1600 is the immediate cap to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.1585, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16000 psych opens the path to 1.16201 prior high
Failure to hold 1.15850 reopens the 1.15745 double bottom
German/EZ ZEW at 09:00 UTC could shift this read in the next bars
08:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.15981
Double bottom at 1.1575, higher lows since.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.1575 and climbed ~25 pips through the London morning, now testing the 1.1600 round number with RSI(14) near 68. Recovery follows the broad risk-on USD unwind; demand stepped in twice at 1.1575.
Support: 1.15842, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16045, 1.16201
What it said to watch
German/Eurozone ZEW at 09:00 UTC could shift this read within the hour
Close above 1.16045 reopens the path to the 1.16201 session high
Failure to hold 1.15842 puts the 1.1575 double bottom back in play
EURUSD slid from the 1.16201 session high through the day to a 1.15745 base, where buyers stepped in twice before a sharp recovery toward 1.1595 over the last two hours, RSI(14) lifting near 67. Move tracks the risk-on Hormuz-deal tone keeping EUR firm, but the 1.1600 psych level caps just overhead.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1582
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1600 psych opens the path back to the 1.16201 session high
Failure to hold 1.15820 reopens the 1.15745 session low
German CPI/ZEW and the Wed FOMC are the dominant catalysts that could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.15946
Double bottom near 1.1575, higher closes into London.
London session bid lifted EUR/USD off a double bottom at 1.1575 back to the session high at 1.1595, RSI(14) recovering through 60. Price reclaimed both EMAs but stalls just under 1.1596 with the 1.1600 round number overhead.
Support: 1.15782, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.15956, 1.1600, 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16000 opens the path back to the asian high at 1.1620
Failure to hold 1.15745 confirms a fresh lower low
German/EZ CPI and ZEW prints in the next hour could shift this read
EURUSD sold off through the Asian hours into a 1.1574 base, then bounced ~18 pips into the European morning toward 1.1600 as the US-Iran Hormuz deal kept risk appetite firm. A twin low at 1.1574/1.1575 held and price now trades back above EMA20/50; RSI(14) recovered to ~61.
Support: 1.1574, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1574 reopens the path to 1.1555
Close above 1.1600 round number extends the bounce toward 1.1620
German/EZ CPI 08:00 GMT and ZEW 09:00 GMT could shift this read in the next bars
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 60 · price 1.1592
Double bottom at 1.1575, recovering.
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session to a double bottom at 1.1575, then bounced into London hours back to 1.1592, reclaiming both EMAs with RSI(14) recovering near 60. Risk-on from the US-Iran Hormuz deal keeps EUR firm above 1.1590 but the move is capped under the 1.1600 round number.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1600 opens the path back to 1.1620
Failure to hold 1.1575 confirms a lower low toward 1.1555
German/EZ CPI and ZEW today, FOMC Wednesday could shift this read
Double bottom at session low, recovering into London open.
Asian session drifted to a 1.15745 double bottom before London open lifted EUR back to 1.1590, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s off oversold. EUR holding the 1.16 risk-on tone but capped well below the 1.16200 earlier high.
Support: 1.1586, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15745 confirms a lower low and negates the double-bottom recovery
Close above 1.16000 reopens the path toward 1.16200
German CPI (08:00 GMT) and ZEW (09:00 GMT) could shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.15904
Lower highs into a double bottom near 1.1575.
EUR/USD ground lower through the window, printing lower highs from 1.1620 down to a 1.1575 swing low that held twice before buyers stepped in over the last two hours, lifting price back to 1.1590. RSI recovering through the mid-50s as the post US-Iran risk-on tone underpins the bounce.
Support: 1.15745, 1.15842
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1600, 1.16201
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1600 opens the path back toward the 1.1620 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1575 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
German CPI (08:00 GMT) and ZEW (09:00 GMT) could shift this range read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.15877
Lower highs into a double bottom at 1.1575.
European session ground lower in a steady downtrend off 1.1620, sweeping a double bottom at 1.1575 before buyers stepped in over the last hour, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral. Price now probing 1.1588 with the descending sequence of lower highs still intact.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1565
Resistance: 1.1590, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1590 would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.1575 opens path toward 1.1565
German CPI at 08:00 GMT could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.15877
Asian decline, double-bottom near 1.1574, London bounce.
EURUSD slid through the Asian session to a 1.1574 session low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double-bottom. London open has lifted price back to 1.1588, RSI(14) recovering to ~54 and reclaiming EMA20.
Support: 1.15745, 1.15782
Resistance: 1.1590, 1.1600, 1.1614
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15900 extends the bounce toward the 1.16000 round number
Failure to hold 1.15745 confirms a fresh lower low
German CPI (08:00 GMT) and ZEW (09:00 GMT) due within the next few hours could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 56 · price 1.15857
Lower highs into a 1.1575 double base, corrective bounce underway.
EURUSD drifted lower through the London morning from 1.1620 to a 1.1575 base, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom, and is now bouncing toward 1.1586. RSI(14) recovering near 56 and price has reclaimed EMA20, but the move stalls just under the descending lower-high line.
Support: 1.15782, 1.15745
Resistance: 1.15873, 1.1592, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15920 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.15745 confirms continuation of the downtrend
German CPI/ZEW and Lane today, plus Wed FOMC, could shift this read
Lower highs into 1.1575 base, intraday bounce underway.
EURUSD bled lower through the European morning off the 1.1620 high into a 1.1575 base, twice rejecting the same lows before a bounce into the London session lifted it back to 1.1586. RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s as price reclaims EMA20; 1.15875 bounce high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.15749, 1.15555
Resistance: 1.15875, 1.1593, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1575 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15930 swing high challenges the descending lower-high structure
German final CPI (08:00 GMT) and ZEW (09:00 GMT) due imminently — can shift this read
Downtrend through the NY-into-Asia session printing lower highs, but a double bottom near 1.1575 held twice and price reclaimed 1.1582 ahead of the London open. RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s; EUR underpinned by the risk-on US-Iran tone.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.15884
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1575 reopens the lower-low sequence
Break above 1.15884 prior high needed to confirm the bounce
German CPI 08:00 GMT and ZEW 09:00 GMT could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.15822
Lower highs into 1.1575 base, minor recovery.
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, slipping from the 1.1620 area to a session low at 1.1575 before a modest bounce back to 1.1582. Price is chopping just under the 1.15853 recent high with RSI(14) back near neutral; broad USD-soft, risk-on tone keeps EUR underpinned but advances have stalled.
Support: 1.15745, 1.15782
Resistance: 1.15853, 1.16013
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15853 reopens 1.1601
Failure to hold 1.15745 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed decision Wednesday could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London session in a steady lower-high chain off 1.1620, with USD firming into Wednesday's Fed. Price is now consolidating just above the session low at 1.1575, RSI(14) holding in the mid-30s without a fresh extreme.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1586, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1586 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1575 opens the path toward the 1.1555 range floor
German CPI (08:00 GMT) and ZEW (09:00 GMT) could shift this read
EUR/USD slid through the 1.16 handle across the session, printing a clean chain of lower highs down to a session low at 1.15745. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.15745-1.15810 band with RSI(14) flat in the low-40s, no fresh push lower.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.1581, 1.1587, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15745 confirms continuation toward the 1.15700 psych level
Reclaim of 1.15870 breaks the lower-high sequence
Wed FOMC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asian session, sliding from 1.1607 to a fresh session low at 1.15745 and breaking the 1.1585 shelf. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 37; thin overnight ATR (~3 pips) keeps moves small into the London open.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.1586, 1.1593
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1586 breaks the lower-high sequence
German CPI 08:00 GMT and ZEW 09:00 GMT could shift this read
Failure to hold 1.15745 extends the lower-low chain toward 1.1570
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.15763
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asia-into-London window, breaking the 1.1580 prior low to print fresh session lows at 1.15745 as the early risk-on bid faded. RSI(14) sits near 38, soft but not yet stretched, with price holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1580
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1580 negates the breakdown read
German CPI 08:00 GMT and ZEW 09:00 GMT could shift this read
Failure to hold 1.15745 opens the path toward 1.1555 psych support
EUR/USD ground lower through the London session, printing fresh session lows at 1.15745 with RSI(14) near 36 but not yet oversold. Despite the broad USD-soft, risk-on backdrop, price is drifting toward the 1.1555 range support; supply capped each bounce below 1.15860.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1586
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15745 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Reclaim of 1.15860 would break the run of lower highs
German CPI (08:00 GMT) and ZEW (09:00 GMT) could shift this read
EURUSD slid through the London morning to a fresh low at 1.15745, extending the down-leg off 1.16201 as the dollar firmed into the Fed. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, hovering just above the session low after a small sell-off through 1.15805.
Support: 1.15745, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.15805, 1.15867, 1.15948
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15805 would stall the lower-low sequence
Break below 1.15745 extends the downtrend toward 1.15700
German CPI (~08:00 GMT) and ZEW (~09:00 GMT) could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 39 · price 1.15771
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session, breaking down from 1.1586 to print a session low at 1.15752 in the pre-London hours. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1575–1.1580 band, RSI(14) near 39, ahead of German/EZ final CPI at 08:00 UTC.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.15866, 1.15948
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15752 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15866 negates the breakdown and reopens 1.15948
German/EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break the consolidation
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating at session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the European-NY hours and into late Asia, printing a session low at 1.15752 before stalling. Price now coils in a tight 1.1577–1.1586 band with RSI(14) subdued near 40; the slide tracks the underwhelming EUR upside flagged into the Fed despite the broadly softer USD tone.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.15861
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15752 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15861 swing high would break the descending structure
EZ final CPI (08:00 UTC) and ZEW (09:00 UTC) could shift this read intraday
Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 1.1582 into 1.1575.
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session and into the European morning, breaking the 1.1582 base to print a session low at 1.15752 before stabilising near 1.1579. RSI(14) sits sub-40 with no oversold extreme; the prior pivot at 1.15860 now caps as resistance ahead of German/EZ CPI at 08:00 UTC.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1569
Resistance: 1.1586
What it said to watch
German & EZ final CPI at 08:00 UTC could shift the read in the next bars
Loss of 1.15752 confirms continuation toward the 1.1569 support
Reclaim of 1.15860 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Lower highs and lower lows, sitting on session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the window in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain, breaking the 1.1585 support into a 1.15752 swing low as the dollar steadied near its 10-day low. Price is now consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) around 37 and ATR compressed to under 4 pips.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.1585
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15752 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1585 broken level neutralises the downside push
EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, stalling near session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asia-into-London hours, breaking the 1.15860 support shelf and printing a session low at 1.15752 amid broad USD softness on the US-Iran relief move. Price is now stabilising around 1.15780, RSI(14) near 36 and below both EMAs; a chain of lower highs caps from 1.15867.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.15867
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15867 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15752 session low confirms continuation toward 1.15700
German/EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
05:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.15779
Lower highs and lower lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the 1.1586 base and printing fresh lows at 1.15752 with RSI(14) in the low 30s. The pair sits below both EMAs as USD softness from the US-Iran relief is offset by EUR upside staying capped sub-1.1650 into the Fed.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.1586, 1.15948
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1586 negates the lower-low break
Failure to hold 1.15752 opens the path toward 1.1570
ZEW (09:00 UTC) and ECB Lane (13:10 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session, breaking the prior 1.1583 shelf to print a fresh low at 1.15752 as USD steadied into the European open. RSI(14) sits near 34, soft but not yet extreme, with sellers holding price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.1586, 1.1593
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15752 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1593 needed to break the chain of lower highs
German/EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD drifted lower through the Asian session and broke the 1.1585 base into the London open, printing a session low at 1.1575 with RSI(14) near 37. EUR's underwhelming upside sub-1.1620 left it exposed as the dollar steadied into the Fed week; price now hugging the lows.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1590, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1590 would neutralise the lower-low read
Failure to hold 1.1575 opens the path to 1.1555 support
German & EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground steadily lower through the Asian session into a fresh session low at 1.15752, breaking the 1.1585 floor that capped the prior several hours. RSI(14) soft near 35 but not yet stretched; EUR remains capped sub-1.1650 ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.15861, 1.15929
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.15861 would negate the lower-high sequence
German/EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift the EUR read
Failure to hold 1.15752 extends the lower-low chain toward 1.1555
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session, breaking 1.1582 to print a fresh low at 1.1575 as the broad USD softness narrative offered no bid here. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 35 — weak but not yet stretched ahead of London open.
Support: 1.15752
Resistance: 1.1592
What it said to watch
German & EZ final CPI at 08:00 UTC and ZEW at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1592 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1575 confirms continuation toward 1.1555
EUR/USD ground lower through the session from 1.1620, and the last hour broke below the 1.1586 shelf to print a fresh low at 1.1575. Price sits under both EMAs with RSI(14) near 33; the prior 1.1594 swing high now caps as nearest resistance.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1556
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1575 opens the 1.1556 support zone
M15 close back above 1.15948 would stall the lower-high sequence
German/EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wednesday are the upcoming risk events
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asian session, breaking to a fresh low at 1.15752 with a clean chain of lower highs capping each bounce. Move runs against the broader USD-soft backdrop (US-Iran deal, oil at lows); price is well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.15752, 1.1569
Resistance: 1.1589
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15752 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15890 breaks the lower-high chain
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant cross-asset catalyst
Asian session leaked lower all night and the last bar broke the 1.15850–1.15950 consolidation, printing a fresh session low at 1.15782 as EUR softens into Fed week. RSI(14) near 35 with price holding below EMA20/50 — no sign of stabilisation yet.
Support: 1.15782, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.15885, 1.15948
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15885 swing would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.15782 opens room toward the 1.15700 psych level
German/EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the window in a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, with the last bar breaking to a fresh session low at 1.15782 as broad USD found a footing into the Fed. Price now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 36, soft but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.15782, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.1593
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15930 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.15782 confirms continuation toward 1.15500 psych level
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15863
Lower highs into a tight range at session lows.
EURUSD slid from the 1.1622 day high and is now ranging tightly between 1.15825 and 1.15948 in thin Asia-session trade, RSI(14) neutral near 45. Move reflects the muted EUR bid above 1.16 capped sub-1.1650 ahead of EZ data and the Fed; no setup in play.
Support: 1.15825, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.16026
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15825 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim above 1.15948 invalidates the range-low pressure
EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break this Asia range
EUR/USD ground lower from 1.1620 to a session low at 1.15825, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1583–1.1593 band during low-volume Asian hours. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the broad slide reflects the post-payroll USD unwind, though Asian-session range is thin and undeveloped.
Support: 1.15825, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 confirms a lower low
Close above 1.15948 breaks the consolidation
EZ final CPI at 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts
EUR/USD ground lower through London-NY from the 1.16213 day high as the post-ceasefire USD selloff faded, printing a session low at 1.15825. The last ~5h have been a tight Asian-session range between 1.1583 and 1.1593, RSI(14) mid-range with price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15825, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1593 / 1.1600 needed to challenge the descending highs
EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this range read
EUR/USD trended lower through the prior NY session into Asia, tagging 1.15825 as soft US data and a still-bid dollar capped the pair under 1.1600. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.15825–1.1592 band on thin Asian volume, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.15825, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1592, 1.1600, 1.16119
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1592 breaks the consolidation top
FOMC Wed is the week's dominant catalyst for this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session and into Asia, slipping from the 1.1622 day high under a soft-USD backdrop but printing a series of lower highs. Price tagged a session low at 1.15825 and is now ranging 1.1583-1.1593 in thin Asian-hours flow, RSI(14) mid-40s with no clear edge.
Support: 1.15825, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16215
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 opens the path to 1.1555 support
Reclaim of 1.1600 round number needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
Lower highs into low-vol consolidation near session lows.
EUR/USD bled lower through the NY-Asia handover from the 1.1620 area to a 1.15825 session low, with the post-Iran-deal USD softness failing to lift it back above 1.1600. Price is now grinding in a tight 1.1585–1.1593 band in thin Asia hours; RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.15825, 1.15847
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.1610
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15825 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1593 swing high challenges the descending structure
EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a low-volatility base near 1.1585.
EUR slipped under 1.16 through the prior sessions and has based around 1.1585 into early Asia hours, with a fresh low at 1.15825. Action has compressed to a tight 1.1582–1.1593 range, RSI(14) flat mid-40s and ATR thinning as volatility dries up.
Support: 1.15825, 1.1576
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1593 swing high reopens the 1.1600 round number
Break below 1.15825 session low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break the range
EURUSD drifted off the 1.1622 high through the US session and is now grinding sideways in thin Asia hours between 1.15825 and 1.15948, holding under EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-40s, no impulse; the broad EUR risk-on bid is stalling as flagged in the digest.
Support: 1.15825, 1.15842
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15948 would neutralise the intraday downside drift
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break the Asian range
Slow grind lower off the 1.1621 early-window high, now ranging 1.15825–1.15948 through the Asia session with EUR's broader bid fading on light flow. RSI hovering in the low-40s, no momentum extreme; price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15825, 1.15842
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.15948 needed to challenge the 1.1600 handle
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant cross-asset risk for this pair
London-NY hours drifted off the 1.1621 highs down to a session low at 1.15825 as the EUR advance stalled below 1.1650. Asia is consolidating in a tight 1.1583–1.1593 band with RSI(14) flat near 44; price holding under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15825, 1.15842
Resistance: 1.15933, 1.16026
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15933 breaks the consolidation top
Loss of 1.15825 confirms continuation lower
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift the read
EURUSD drifted lower through the session from the 1.1622 10-day high, sliding under the 1.16 handle and now consolidating in thin Asia trade just above the 1.15842 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; demand stepped in twice at 1.1584, but rallies have capped below 1.1595.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15842 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1595 needed to break the lower-high sequence
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the Asia session, slipping off the 1.1620 highs and basing around 1.1583–1.1595 after USD found a footing late. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44; the session low at 1.15825 was probed and held into the early hours.
Support: 1.15825, 1.15842
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.16013
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.15948 swing high would neutralise the downside drift
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.15862
Lower highs, lower lows; grinding toward 1.1582.
EUR/USD has bled lower through the window from the 1.1620 area, with USD finding a footing into the Asia session and the pair now pressing fresh session lows at 1.15825. Lower highs intact; a brief bounce to 1.15948 was sold and price slipped back under 1.1590.
Support: 1.15825, 1.15555
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15825 opens continuation toward the 1.1555 range base
Reclaim of 1.15948 needed to re-challenge the 1.1600 round number
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
EURUSD slid through the NY session from 1.1620 highs, the broad risk-on/lower-oil bid failing to extend the EUR advance above 1.1650. Asia is now grinding in a tight 1.1583–1.1593 band, RSI(14) basing near 41 after the leg lower, with the 1.15825 session low holding so far.
Support: 1.15825, 1.15833
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.16026
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15825 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.15948 swing high would break the descending series
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs from 1.1620, flat base at session low.
EURUSD sold off from the 1.1620 prior high through the session to a 1.15842 low, in line with EUR's underwhelming advance above 1.16. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1584–1.1595 base through late Asia, RSI(14) flat near 41 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.15842 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15948 would relieve the downside pressure
London open and EZ/German final CPI (08:00 UTC) could break the base
Lower highs into tight Asian range above session low.
EURUSD sold from 1.1619 through the London-NY session to a low at 1.15833, in line with the soft-USD/risk-on backdrop fading the EUR advance. Asian session has gone flat between 1.1585 and 1.1595, with the current bar retesting the lows at 1.15847; RSI(14) sits mid-40s, momentum drained.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15833 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1575
Reclaim of 1.15948 needed to break the descending highs
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break the Asian range
02:16 UTC
Downtrend off 1.1621, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.15868
Ranging at lows after lower highs.
EURUSD slid from the 1.1621 10-day high through London-NY to a session low of 1.15842 as the dollar found a footing. Asia hours are thin and range-bound between 1.1585 and 1.1595, RSI(14) flat near 44, price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.1603, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1595 reopens the 1.1603 pivot
Break below 1.15842 confirms a lower low
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15868
Consolidation near session lows after slide from 1.1620.
EURUSD slid off the 1.1620 area through the prior sessions and is now grinding sideways in the low-volume Asia session, pinned between 1.15842 and 1.15948. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price below both EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.16026, 1.16139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15948 reopens the path toward 1.16026
Failure to hold 1.15842 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1580
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flattening · RSI 46 · price 1.15887
Lower highs into Asian base, tight range.
London-NY hours sold EUR/USD off the 1.16213 intraday high down to 1.15842 as the underwhelming advance above 1.16 faded. Asia session has based in a thin 1.1585-1.1593 range, RSI(14) flat near 46, with no setup in play.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15948, 1.16045, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15948 session high would break the Asian range top
Failure to hold 1.15842 confirms a lower-low extension
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.15887
Based at session low, ranging.
EUR/USD slid off the 1.16213 day high through London and NY as the dollar pared its Iran-deal losses, basing at 1.15833. Asia session is now tightly ranging 1.1585–1.1593 on thin volume, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum.
Support: 1.1585, 1.15833
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1593 breaks the Asian range top toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.15833 confirms a lower low
EZ/German final CPI Tue 08:00 UTC could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 1.15917
Ranging after NY-session selloff.
EUR was sold through the NY session from 1.1620 down to the 1.15833 session low, then stabilised. Asia hours have been thin and flat, ranging between the 1.15833 floor and a 1.1593 range top; RSI(14) back near 49 with no momentum either way.
Support: 1.15833
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15930 reopens the 1.16000 round number and 1.16045 swing high
Failure to hold 1.15833 confirms a fresh lower low
EZ/German final CPI at 08:00 UTC and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling into Asia range · RSI 51 · price 1.15917
Consolidation after lower-high sequence.
EUR/USD slid off the 1.1622 10-day high through the NY session and based at 1.1584, now ranging 1.1584-1.1595 in thin Asian-hours liquidity. RSI(14) back at neutral 51 after the slide; price hugging EMA20 below a falling EMA50.
Support: 1.1584
Resistance: 1.1595, 1.1610, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1584 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1595 reopens 1.1610 toward the 1.1622 high
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break the Asian range
01:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.1591
Lower highs off 1.1621, basing near session lows.
EUR/USD sold off from the 1.1621 10-day high through late NY toward 1.1584 as the broad dollar bounced off 10-day lows. Asia hours have stabilised into a tight 1.1584–1.1593 band, RSI(14) back near neutral with price hugging EMA20.
Support: 1.1584
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1602
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1584 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1602 prior high negates the down-leg
EZ/German final CPI and ZEW later today could reset this range
01:31 UTC
Downtrend off the highs, now stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.1591
Double top reversal, consolidating above session low.
EURUSD rolled over from a double top near 1.1620 through the NY session, shedding ~38 pips to 1.1584 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating 1.1584–1.1593 into Asia with RSI(14) flat near 47; the broad USD softness on the US-Iran deal cushions the dip but the EUR advance stays underwhelming.
Support: 1.1584, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1593 reopens the path toward 1.1600/1.1622
Failure to hold 1.1584 confirms continuation toward 1.1555
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR slid off the 1.1622 10-day high through London/NY down to 1.1583, then based through the quiet Asia session and is ticking up to 1.15926. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range while price holds above the 1.1583 session low, with the 1.1600 round number capping.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16026, 1.16139
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1583 session low resumes the intraday downtrend
Reclaim of the 1.1600 round number neutralises the slide
EZ/German final CPI at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs into low; consolidating near session low.
EURUSD rolled off the 1.16213 day high through the NY session and swept the 1.15833 low before stabilising. Now coiling in a tight 1.1585–1.1593 band in thin early-Asia trade, RSI neutral near 46 and price pinned below the 1.1600 handle.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16045, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16000 reopens the path toward 1.16045/1.16213
Loss of 1.15833 confirms a fresh intraday lower-low
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break this consolidation
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15903
Lower highs into a low-volume Asia range.
Pair slid from the 10-day high at 1.16213 through London-NY before basing at 1.15833, the move tied to EUR's underwhelming advance above 1.16. The Asia session is now consolidating in a tight 1.1584–1.1593 band on thin volume, RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-40s.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.16026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15833 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15943 / 1.16026 reopens the upside toward the prior range
EZ/German final CPI Tue 08:00 UTC could break this Asia range
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.15903
Lower highs into a base above 1.1583.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.16213 high through the London-NY session and has based between 1.15833 and 1.15943 in thin Asia trade, with the 1.16 handle now acting as overhead. The slip back under 1.16 fits the underwhelming-advance theme as the soft-USD bid fades; price sits just above a flattening EMA20.
Support: 1.15833, 1.15852
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.16026, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15833 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
Reclaim of the 1.16 handle invalidates the consolidation read
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD-side risk for the next sessions
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, flattening into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.1589
Lower highs into a session low, now ranging.
EURUSD drifted lower through the NY-Asia transition off the 1.1621 10-day high, tagging a 1.1584 session low before stabilising. Thin Asia-session flow now has price coiling between 1.1584 and 1.1600 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold to mid-40s.
Support: 1.1584, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1605, 1.1621
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.1605 prior swing would negate the M15 downtrend
Failure to hold 1.1584 session low opens the path toward 1.1555 range low
EZ/German final CPI and ZEW (Tue) plus FOMC (Wed) could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.1589
Consolidating at session lows after a down-leg.
EUR/USD drifted off the 1.16213 10-day high through the session and printed a session low at 1.15833 before stabilising. Price is now coiling 1.1585–1.1593 in thin Asia-session, low-volume trade with ATR(14) compressed near 3.6 pips and RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1593 range top reopens the 1.1600 psych level
Loss of 1.15833 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1555 support
EZ/German final CPI (08:00 UTC) and ZEW (09:00 UTC) could break this Asian range
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.15894
Post-decline consolidation in tight Asian range.
London-NY hours bled EUR from the 1.1622 10-day high down to a 1.15842 swing low as the dollar steadied. The Asia session is now stuck in a tight 1.1584-1.1593 band on thin volume, RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s with price pinned to EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.16026
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15842 confirms a lower low and extends the decline
Close above 1.15930 range top opens the path back to 1.16026
EZ/German final CPI and ZEW (Tue) plus FOMC (Wed) could break the range
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15894
Lower highs into a tight Asian range.
EUR slipped below the 1.16 handle through the NY-Asia transition, bottoming at 1.15833 before stabilising in a tight 1.1585-1.1593 range on thin Asian volume. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 44; the prior-day push to 1.1620 has fully unwound.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16194
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16000 would negate the lower-high structure
Loss of 1.15833 swing low confirms downside continuation
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break the Asian range
00:16 UTC
Downtrend off highs, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15913
Lower highs into a base near session lows.
EUR/USD drifted off the 1.1622 10-day high through NY, printing a session low at 1.15833 as the dollar found a footing. Now consolidating 1.1583–1.1593 in thin Asian trade, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 47.
Support: 1.15833, 1.15852
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.16000 round number reopens the path toward 1.1622
Failure to hold the 1.15833 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD-side risk for this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 49 · price 1.15913
Lower highs into Asia-session base.
London-NY hours drove EURUSD off 1.16201 down to 1.15833 in a clean lower-high chain. Asia session is basing in a tight 1.1585-1.1593 range, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 and price reclaiming EMA20; the broad backdrop stays USD-soft on the risk-on, lower-oil theme.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16175
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15930 reopens the 1.16000 round number
Failure to hold 1.15833 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD-side risk for this read
Sold off through NY, now ranging above session low.
EUR/USD bled lower through the NY session to a 1.1584 low, then based and ground back to 1.1593 on thin early-Asia volume. The advance off 1.1622 has stalled — dips cushioned by the risk-on backdrop but upside capped as the EUR push underwhelms.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16013, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16013 would end the intraday down-leg
Loss of 1.15842 opens the path toward 1.1555
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift the read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing into Asia · RSI 54 · price 1.1593
Lower highs into session low, now tight consolidation.
Price ground lower through the London-NY hours to a session low at 1.15833, then stabilised into thin Asia trade around 1.1590 with volume drying up. The broad backdrop is a soft USD at 10-day lows, but the intraday move favoured the downside; current Asia range is a tight 1.1585-1.1593 with no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1600 round number would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break and hold below 1.15833 confirms a fresh lower low
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could break the Asia range
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD-side risk this week