EUR rolled off the 1.1622 10-day high through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs into Asia and a swing low at 1.1584. Price is now consolidating just below 1.1590 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) flat near mid-range.
Support: 1.15842
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1584 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.1600 psych level would negate the downside drift
EZ/German final CPI Tue 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
23:45 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.15909
Lower highs into session low, consolidating.
EURUSD ground lower through the European/NY decline from the 1.16213 session high to a 1.15833 sweep, then went flat on thin Asia-session volume around 1.1590. Price holds below EMA20/50 with no momentum, RSI mid-40s; tight consolidation between 1.1583 and 1.1594.
Support: 1.15833, 1.15897
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.16026, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15943 would break the consolidation higher
Loss of 1.15833 session low extends the lower-low sequence
EZ/German final CPI 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could reset the read
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.15897
Lower highs into consolidation near session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through NY hours after rejection from the 1.16213 day high, tagging a session low at 1.15833. Price is now consolidating in low-volume Asia trade between 1.15833 and the 1.15925 range top, RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15925, 1.16026, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15833 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15925 range top, then 1.16026 swing high, neutralises the down read
EZ/German final CPI Tue 08:00 UTC could shift the EUR side
NY hours drove a steady slide from the 1.1620 range high to a session low of 1.15842, in line with the broadly firmer USD tone fading. Price has since stalled in a tight 1.1584–1.1592 Asian range, RSI(14) recovering from oversold to mid-40s; ATR has collapsed to ~6 pips as volatility dries up.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1599, 1.16139, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15990 negates the lower-high sequence
Close below 1.15842 confirms continuation toward 1.1580
EZ/German final CPI Tue 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could shift this read
EURUSD bled from the 1.1622 high through the NY-to-Asia handover and is now basing between 1.15833 and 1.15943 in thin Asian-session liquidity. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) compressed near 43; no clean setup in the chop.
Support: 1.15833, 1.15555
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.16026, 1.16139
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15943 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.15833 opens 1.1555 support
Wed FOMC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 1.15885
Lower highs into consolidation near lows.
EUR/USD slipped through 1.1600 during NY hours and printed a session low at 1.15833 before stalling. Price is now consolidating 1.1585–1.1590 in thin Asia-transition liquidity, RSI(14) flat in the low 40s. Wednesday's FOMC is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.15925, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1600 round number would neutralise the downside read
Break below 1.15833 swing low confirms a lower low
EURUSD drifted lower through the London-NY session off the 1.16213 high, printing a fresh session low at 1.15833 as the dollar steadied from its 10-day lows. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.15833–1.15945 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) recovering from oversold but flat.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15945, 1.1600, 1.1607
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15833 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15945 / 1.16000 neutralises the downtrend read
Wed FOMC + US Retail Sales are the dominant near-term catalysts
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1620 session high through the NY-Asia transition to a 1.15833 low before stabilising around 1.1587, RSI(14) recovering off the bottom. Price sits below EMA20/50 on thinning volume; the 1.15945 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15945, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15945 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.15833 session low confirms continuation lower
Tue German CPI 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could reset this range
EURUSD bled from the 1.1621 session high through the London-NY hours down to 1.1583, the advance capped well below 1.1700 as flagged in the macro read. Asia is now ranging tightly between 1.1583 and 1.1594 on thin volume, RSI(14) holding mid-30s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.16026, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15943 asian high opens 1.16026
Loss of 1.15833 confirms a lower low
German CPI/ZEW Tue 08:00-09:00 UTC could break the Asian range
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1620 10-day high through the prior session and is now grinding along the lows near 1.1586 on thin Asia-hours volume. The advance described as 'underwhelming' below 1.1700 has unwound, with 1.1600 psych capping and 1.15833 the session floor; RSI(14) sits soft around 40 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15833, 1.15555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15833 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1600 psych needed to neutralise the downside drift
Wed FOMC is the dominant cross-asset catalyst and could reset this read
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating off session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY-into-Asia hours, sweeping the session low at 1.15842 before a shallow bounce; broad USD softness from the Iran deal/oil drop has stalled below 1.1600. Now coiling thinly between 1.15842 and the 1.15943 swing high in low-volume late-session trade.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.1600, 1.16026
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15943 challenges the lower-high structure toward the 1.16000 round number
Break below 1.15842 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Wed FOMC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
EURUSD ground lower through the NY-Asia transition, posting a session low at 1.1583 as the post-US-Iran-deal risk rally faded below 1.1700. Price is now consolidating 1.1585-1.1592 in thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) holding in the low 40s after the down leg.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15943
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1594 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1583 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1555
German CPI/ZEW Tue and Wed FOMC are the next material catalysts
M15 drifted lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.1600 round number to a session low at 1.15833 as the USD relief slide stalled. Price has since stabilised near 1.1589 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) flattening around 41.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1577
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1606
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1600 round number would negate the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 1.15833 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1577
Wed FOMC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
EURUSD bled off the 1.1614 London high through NY, breaking 1.1600 as the dollar firmed late, printing a session low at 1.1584. Price stalled into thin late-session liquidity around 1.1589, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-40; no reversal structure yet.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.16045, 1.16139
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15943 would ease the lower-high pressure
Loss of 1.15842 opens the path toward 1.1580 psych
German CPI/ZEW Tue plus Wed FOMC are the dominant near-term catalysts
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1600-1.1620 range and printed a fresh session low at 1.15833 during the late NY-Asia transition, in line with the broader USD-softness theme stalling near 1.1700. Volume thinned into Asia and price is now consolidating just under 1.1592; RSI(14) recovered off oversold but stays sub-50.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16201, 1.1622
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1600 negates the lower-low and reopens the prior range
Failure to hold 1.15833 confirms continuation lower
EURUSD slid off the 1.16213 prior high through the second half of the window, breaking below the 1.1600 round number into a thin, low-volume late-NY session and printing a 1.15842 session low. Price has stabilised near 1.1592 with RSI(14) at ~40; the day's risk-on EUR bid faded as US-Iran relief gains stalled below 1.1700.
Support: 1.15842, 1.15555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1600 round number would neutralise the lower-high read
Loss of 1.15842 session low opens the path to 1.1555 supp
Wed FOMC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
EUR slid through the NY session from the 1.1620 10-day high down to 1.1583 as the post US-Iran risk rally lost steam, breaking the 1.1600 round number. Price now hovers near session lows at 1.1587 on thin Asia-session volume, RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s and price holds below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1583, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1600 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1583 opens the path toward 1.1555 support
Wed FOMC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1620 10-day high through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs and sweeping down to 1.15833 into thin late-session liquidity before a shallow bounce to 1.1587. The underwhelming EUR advance flagged in the macro read shows on the chart — capped below 1.1600 with price now back below both EMAs.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1590, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1600 round number would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15833 swing low opens the path to 1.1555
Wed FOMC is the dominant catalyst for the next directional leg
EURUSD rolled over through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs from 1.1620 down to a 1.1583 session low as the underwhelming USD-weakness rally stalled below 1.1600. Price is now drifting in thin late-session liquidity, stabilizing around 1.1585-1.1590 with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.1583, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1600 round number breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1583 session low opens 1.1555 prior support
Wed FOMC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
EUR/USD slipped through 1.1600 late in the session, printing a session low at 1.1583 as the early risk-on bid off the US-Iran deal faded. The leg down from the 1.1622 10-day high leaves a chain of lower highs; RSI(14) cooling near 37, ATR(14) ~5 pips.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1600 negates the late-session breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1583 session low opens 1.1555 support
Wed FOMC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
NY session faded from the 1.1621 session high down to a 1.1583 low as the post US-Iran risk rally stalled and EUR's advance stayed underwhelming below 1.1700. Price is now consolidating around 1.1590 with RSI(14) near 37; the late-session bounce is capped under prior support at 1.1599.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1599, 1.16139, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1600 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1583 session low confirms continuation lower
German CPI (Tue 08:00 UTC) and ZEW could shift the EUR read
EUR/USD slid through the NY session from 1.1620 to a 1.15833 low as the post-Iran-deal risk rally stalled below 1.1700. Price is now consolidating around 1.1590, holding under EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 40. No fresh momentum into the late-NY/Asia transition.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15943, 1.16045, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.15833 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.16000 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
German CPI (Tue 08:00 UTC) and FOMC Wed are the dominant near-term catalysts
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, rolling over from highs · RSI 35 · price 1.1588
Lower highs, break below 1.1590.
M15 rolled over from the 1.1620 10-day high through the NY session, breaking the 1.1590 handle to print 1.1588 with RSI(14) cooling near 35. EUR's tired advance into the Fed met supply around 1.1620 and oil-driven risk relief has faded; no demand has yet stepped in at the 1.1583 session low.
Support: 1.1583, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1600 negates the downside break
loss of 1.1583 session low opens the path toward 1.1555
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1620 10-day high through the NY session, breaking the 1.16 handle and printing a session low at 1.1584 as the geopolitical relief bid in USD steadied. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1584, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1584 opens the path toward 1.1555
Reclaim of 1.1600 negates the lower-high sequence
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst into next sessions
NY session faded the 1.1620 area and rolled over through the 1.1600 round handle, printing a chain of lower highs into the session low at 1.15842. RSI(14) near 37, ATR around 6 pips; only a shallow bounce into the close so far.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16139
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 1.1600 negates the lower-high downside read
Loss of 1.15842 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1580
EZ final CPI Tue could shift the EUR tone into the next session
NY session ground lower, EUR/USD slid off the 1.1622 area through the 1.16 handle to a session low of 1.15842 as the post-ceasefire risk move stalled into Fed week. Price hugging 1.1589 with RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not extreme. Chain of lower highs intact below 1.1600.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1605
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1600 invalidates the lower-high chain
Break of 1.15842 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1580
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Late NY session drifted lower, slicing through the 1.1600 round number and printing a fresh session low at 1.15833 as the dollar firmed off its 10-day lows. RSI(14) near 31 — short-term stretched but not yet sub-20. Chain of lower highs from the 1.1621 peak still intact.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16194
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1600 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.15833 opens the path toward 1.1555
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read
EURUSD rolled over through the NY session, losing the 1.16 handle and printing a fresh low at 1.15842 as pre-Fed USD positioning firmed. RSI(14) sub-35 marks short-term stretch but price sits below EMA20/50 with a clean chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.15842, 1.1580, 1.15555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16139, 1.1622
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.16 handle invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.15842 confirms continuation toward the weekly low at 1.15555
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.16213 session high and ground lower through NY hours, breaking the 1.1600 round number to a fresh session low at 1.15838, RSI(14) sub-30. The advance built on the US-Iran risk-on/softer-USD theme has stalled, with price unwinding back toward the lower end of the 1.1569-1.1622 overnight range.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1593, 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.15833 confirms a continued lower-low into Asia
M15 close back above 1.1600 round number neutralises the breakdown
German/EU CPI Tue 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
EUR/USD slid through late NY hours, breaking the prior 1.1594 support and printing a fresh session low at 1.15833, RSI(14) near 31. Sellers extended the lower-high chain off the 1.16213 session high as the dollar firmed into Fed week; no demand response yet at the lows.
Support: 1.15833, 1.1569, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1594, 1.16026, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1594 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.15833 opens the path toward the 1.1569 range low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could override this read
NY session grinding lower from the 1.1620 session high, printing successive lower highs into late hours; price now ~1.1593 holding above the recent 1.1590 low. The broader 1.1569-1.1620 range is intact ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.1590, 1.1569
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1590 opens the path back to the 1.1569 range low
Reclaim of 1.1605 would stall the run of lower highs
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this range
NY session faded from the 1.1620 day high, with price rejected repeatedly near 1.1600 and now grinding out lower lows into 1.1590, RSI cooling toward 40. Risk-on/softer USD took EUR/USD above 1.16 earlier, but the advance has stalled and intraday momentum has turned lower.
Support: 1.15897, 1.1569
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16045, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1600 negates the lower-low read
Loss of 1.15897 confirms continuation toward 1.1569 range low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst this week
EURUSD bled lower through the NY session after rejection at 1.1621, printing a fresh session low at 1.1590 with RSI(14) near 37. The 1.16 handle has given way and price is hugging the low into the close; broad backdrop is the soft-USD, risk-on tone from the US-Iran framework, but follow-through is capped ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.15897, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16045, 1.16175, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1590 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1555 range low
Reclaim of 1.16045 swing high would neutralise the downdrift
Wednesday FOMC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
19:45 UTC
Downtrend, recent leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.15932
Lower highs into late NY, fresh session low.
EURUSD faded through late NY from the 1.1620 swing high, printing a sequence of lower highs and slipping to a fresh session low at 1.1590 despite the broad risk-on USD softness. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — momentum to the downside but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.15897, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16026, 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1602 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1590 opens the path to 1.1580
Wednesday's FOMC is the dominant EURUSD catalyst this week
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off highs · RSI 39 · price 1.15922
Lower highs from 1.1619, pressing session low.
Late NY session: EUR/USD has rolled off the 1.1619 session high in a chain of lower highs, now pressing the session low at 1.15897 with RSI(14) near 39. The pair stays inside the broader 1.1555-1.1700 range; USD softness on the US-Iran ceasefire lifted EUR earlier but the advance stalled below 1.1620.
Support: 1.15897, 1.1574
Resistance: 1.16045, 1.1619, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15897 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1574
Reclaim of 1.16045 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst that could reset this range
EURUSD held a 1.1600–1.1620 range through NY hours before slipping under the 1.1600 round handle late, drifting to a session low at 1.1590 as the post-deal USD relief move faded. RSI(14) near 37, momentum cooling but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1590, 1.1570
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1590 opens the path to 1.1570
Reclaim of 1.1600 negates the range break
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
EUR/USD ran to 1.1621 in early NY on the US–Iran risk-on/soft USD move, then bled back through the 1.16 psych handle as the advance stalled. Price now grinding the 1.1594 session low into late NY hours, RSI cooling toward 40; ranging between 1.1594 and the 1.1617 range top.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1573
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1617, 1.1621
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1594 opens the path toward the 1.1573 prior low
Reclaim of 1.1600 psych and 1.1617 range top reasserts the upside
Wednesday FOMC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
19:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.15957
Lower highs since 1.16213, testing range floor.
EURUSD faded from the 1.16213 session high through late NY, printing lower highs and now probing the 1.1594 swing low with RSI(14) near 40. Price sits below EMA20/50 after the broad risk-driven push above 1.16 stalled.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1590, 1.1574
Resistance: 1.1604, 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1594 opens the path toward 1.1574
Reclaim of 1.1604 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
German CPI Tue and FOMC Wed are the dominant upcoming risks for this pair
19:01 UTC
Intraday drift lower off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.15951
Rangebound 1.1594-1.1620, lower highs forming.
NY session faded from the 1.1620 session high, where price was rejected twice, and is now grinding back toward the 1.1594 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 40. EUR/USD remains caught in the 1.1594-1.1620 intraday range that's framed the broader 1.1555-1.1700 weekly band; the 1.16 handle is now capping.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1574
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1594 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1574
Reclaim of the 1.16 psych level would neutralise the lower-highs sequence
Wednesday's FOMC decision is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.15951
Lower highs, drifting into session lows.
EURUSD drifting lower through the NY afternoon after the risk-on bid stalled at the 1.16213 session high; the post US-Iran relief move into USD has cooled. Price now pressing session lows near 1.1595, sitting on the 50% retracement of the prior intraday rise, RSI sub-40.
Support: 1.15947, 1.15944, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15944 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1590 area
Reclaim of 1.1605 (ema20) would neutralise the drift
Wednesday FOMC is the dominant EURUSD catalyst this week
EUR/USD ranged 1.1597–1.1621 through the session after a risk-on bid lifted it above 1.16 on the US–Iran de-escalation, though the advance was underwhelming. Price has slid back to the range floor at 1.1596, RSI(14) near 40, with supply repeatedly capping near 1.1619.
Support: 1.1596, 1.1574
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1596 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1574
Reclaim of 1.1605 puts the 1.1619 range high back in focus
Wednesday's FOMC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
18:45 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15972
Lower highs since 1.1620, testing 1.1597 support.
Late NY, EUR/USD has faded from the 1.1620 session high after the risk-on USD softness stalled, slipping below the 1.16 handle to retest 1.1597. A chain of lower highs is in place and price sits under both EMAs, RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.1596, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15960 confirms a lower low and opens 1.15940
Reclaim of 1.1600 handle reopens the 1.1620 session high
FOMC Wed is the dominant EUR/USD catalyst and can reset this read
18:31 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.16015
Rotating around 1.16 after session-high rejection.
EUR pressed to a session high at 1.16213 then faded back to the 1.16 handle, the move firm on US-Iran risk-on and a softer USD but underwhelming per the context. Price is ranging 1.15974-1.16213 with RSI mid-zone and no clean directional structure.
Support: 1.15974, 1.1600, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1700
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15974 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim above 1.16213 session high reopens the 1.1700 range top
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
18:30 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 48 · price 1.16015
Ranging below session high, holding 1.16 handle.
EURUSD ranging roughly 1.1595–1.1620 after the risk-on rally above 1.16 stalled at the 1.16213 session high; the move has been underwhelming on faded USD safe-haven bid. Price has slipped back under EMA20/50 into late NY hours with RSI(14) neutral near 48, holding the 1.16 handle.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1600, 1.15733
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15975 opens the path to 1.15733
Reclaim of 1.16213 reopens upside toward 1.1700
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant EUR/USD catalyst this week
18:16 UTC
Pullback off intraday highs · RSI 43 · price 1.15993
Lower highs since 1.1621, ranging under 1.16 handle.
EUR/USD drifted back under the 1.16 handle into the NY-close hours after repeated rejections near 1.1620, the move underwhelming despite the risk-on US–Iran framework and soft US data. Price now sits at the 50% retrace of the 1.1568–1.1621 leg, RSI(14) mid-40s, below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15975, 1.15945, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16201, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15945 opens 1.1568 session low
Reclaim of 1.16 handle puts 1.1621 back in play
FOMC Wed and German CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts for the next sessions
EUR/USD topped at 1.16213 during the NY session on the risk-on, soft-USD backdrop, then faded back to the session low near 1.15974, slipping under EMA20/50. Price now hovers at the 1.16 handle late in NY, RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s with the recent up-move roughly half retraced.
Support: 1.15974, 1.1600, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16194, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15974 opens the path toward the 1.1555 range low
Reclaim of 1.16194 needed to re-engage the swing high
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
18:01 UTC
Pullback off intraday high · RSI 43 · price 1.15995
Fading from 1.1621, lower highs.
EUR/USD rallied above 1.16 on US-Iran risk-on and USD softness, tagging 1.16213 before fading through the NY session back to 1.1599. Lower highs are building against flat support near 1.1596; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15963, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16139, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15938 confirms a lower-low and opens downside
Reclaim of 1.16139 puts the 1.16213 session high back in play
Wednesday's FOMC is the dominant catalyst this week
18:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.15995
Lower highs since 1.1620 peak.
EUR/USD faded through the NY afternoon from the 1.16213 session high back to 1.1599, sitting on the 50% retracement of the day's rally near 1.1597; RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s. The earlier leg up tracked broad USD softness on the US–Iran risk-on framework, but follow-through has stalled into a series of lower highs.
Support: 1.1597, 1.1573
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15970 fib/swing low opens the path toward 1.1573
Reclaim of 1.16050 reopens the 1.16213 session high
Wednesday FOMC is the dominant near-term EUR/USD driver
17:46 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.15992
Ranging 1.1597-1.1620, drifting off the high.
EUR pushed above 1.16 earlier on the US-Iran risk-on bid, peaking at 1.1620, but the NY session has faded the move back toward the session low at 1.1597. Price is now ranging 1.1597-1.1620 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.15974, 1.15743
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 reopens the path toward 1.1650/1.1700
Failure to hold 1.1597 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1574
17:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.15992
Rolling over from 1.1620 into the 1.16 handle.
EUR/USD pushed to 1.1621 during the European/NY hours on the risk-on, soft-USD backdrop, but the advance has been underwhelming and price has drifted back to the 1.16 handle, now sitting under EMA20/50. Recent NY bars show lower highs off 1.1620 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; session lows around 1.1596 are holding so far.
Support: 1.15963, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1610
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1596 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1568
Reclaim of 1.1620 reopens the 1.1700 range top
Wednesday FOMC (first under Warsh) is the dominant near-term driver
17:31 UTC
Range, edging lower off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.16017
Ranging below 1.1620, pullback into 1.16 handle.
EUR/USD ran up to 1.16213 in the NY session on the US–Iran risk-on USD selloff, then faded into the 1.16 handle, holding the 38.2% retrace of the day's 1.1568–1.1621 move. RSI(14) back to neutral near 46; price now coiling just above the round number with the upper range capped at 1.1621.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1596, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1614
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1596 opens the path toward 1.1568
Reclaim of 1.16213 needed to re-target the 1.1700 range top
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst that can break this range
17:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.16017
Range below session high after rally.
EUR pushed above 1.16 to a session high of 1.1621 as the US-Iran ceasefire drained safe-haven USD bid, but follow-through stalled and price has since chopped between 1.1597 and 1.1620. Late NY now drifting back to the 1.1600 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16194
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 reopens the path toward 1.1700
Loss of 1.15975 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
17:15 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 1.16033
Range-bound 1.1597–1.1620.
EUR/USD chopping just under the 1.16 handle after the risk-on, soft-USD bid faded into the NY afternoon; range capped at 1.1620 and floored near 1.1597. RSI(14) neutral around 47, price slipped back below EMA20/50 with no directional follow-through.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.1621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16140 reopens the 1.1620 session high
Failure to hold 1.15975 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1594
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
EUR/USD rallied through 1.16 during the session on a softer USD as Iran-deal risk-on faded the safe-haven bid, but the advance stalled below 1.1620. Price is now chopping around the 1.16 handle, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 after the move topped out at 1.16213.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1600, 1.15945
Resistance: 1.1617, 1.16213, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 reopens 1.1670+
Loss of 1.1595 confirms a lower-low and shifts the read
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst, range likely holds into it
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1621 session high back to the 1.16 handle through the NY session as the broad USD selloff stalled. Price now rotating inside 1.1594-1.1621, holding above the 1.15975 swing low after a quick dip and bounce.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1594 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.16213 session high reopens the path toward 1.1700
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
17:00 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.15995
Pullback from session high after rejection at 1.1621.
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.1621 during NY hours on broad USD softness, then faded back below the 1.16 handle as the advance lost steam. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits under EMA20/50; sellers capped the last push at 1.1614 while 1.15975 has held twice.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1600, 1.1573
Resistance: 1.16139, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15975 opens the path to 1.1573
Reclaim of 1.1621 would resume the intraday advance
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
EUR/USD holding above the 1.16 handle on US-Iran risk-on and a soft USD, but the advance stalled at 1.16213 and faded to a 1.15975 session low before recovering to 1.1604. Price now ranges 1.1597–1.1621 with RSI mid-zone — no clear momentum into FOMC Wed.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed is the swing factor and could reset this read
M15 close below 1.15975 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.16140 puts the 1.16213 session high back in play
EUR/USD popped above 1.16 during the session on US-Iran risk-on and a soft USD, peaking at 1.16213 before stalling into lower highs. Price slipped to a 1.15975 session low and recovered to 1.1604, now ranging between 1.1597 and 1.1620 with RSI near neutral.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1600, 1.15955
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16165
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15975 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
EUR/USD has chopped sideways above the 1.16 handle all session, supported by the risk-on bid after the US-Iran framework drained the USD safe-haven premium. NY afternoon saw a rejection at the 1.16201 session high and a pullback to 1.15963 before buyers reclaimed 1.1600; price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15963, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15940 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.16201 session high reopens upside toward 1.1650
FOMC Wed is the swing factor and could override this intraday read
16:30 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.16021
Pullback from session high toward 1.16 handle.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.16213 session high and faded back to the 1.16 handle, where it's holding above 1.15975. Move sits on risk-on from the US-Iran framework and a soft USD; price is now below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range after the retreat.
Support: 1.15975, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15975 confirms a lower-low and breaks the 1.16 hold
Reclaim of 1.16140 reopens the 1.16213 session high
FOMC Wed is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.15976
Rejected 1.1621, slipping below 1.16 handle.
NY session faded the 1.1621 session high, with EUR/USD now slipping back below the 1.16 handle and RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. The 1.160–1.162 range that held through the afternoon has broken to the downside, USD firming modestly into FOMC despite the broader soft-dollar tone.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1594 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.16000 round number negates the breakdown
FOMC Wed is the swing factor for this read
16:16 UTC
Rolling over from session high · RSI 38 · price 1.15976
Double top ~1.1620, lower highs into NY afternoon.
EUR popped above 1.16 on Monday's US-Iran risk-on but the advance stalled, twice rejecting near 1.1620 to form a double top. Price has since rolled over through the 1.16 handle into the NY afternoon and is now pressing the session low at 1.1594, RSI(14) cooling near 38.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1600, 1.15673
Resistance: 1.16201, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16 invalidates the rollover read
Break below 1.1594 opens the path to the 1.15673 Friday low
FOMC Wed is the dominant swing factor for this pair
16:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 40 · price 1.15968
Rejected at 1.1620, lower highs into NY.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1620 session high repeatedly through NY hours and rolled over, slipping back below the 1.1600 round number into the current bar with RSI(14) cooling near 40. EUR sits bid above 1.16 on the US-Iran framework but the advance is capped well short of 1.1700 ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1566
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15940 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1600 round number re-opens the 1.1620 session high
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst for this range
16:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.15968
Lower highs after rejection near 1.1620.
EURUSD has slid off the 1.1620 session high — twin rejections at 1.16213 and 1.16201 leave a double top — and is now probing the 1.1595 swing low with RSI cooling into the high-30s. The dollar is soft into Wednesday's Fed, but EUR's advance stalled well below 1.1620.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1566
Resistance: 1.16201, 1.1614
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1594 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1566
Reclaim of 1.1620 negates the double top read
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
15:46 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1602
Rolling over off 1.1620, testing 1.1600 psych.
EUR/USD rolled over from the session high near 1.1620 and is now testing the 1.1600 psych level into NY afternoon. The advance above 1.16 stayed underwhelming and capped well below 1.1700, consistent with consolidation ahead of Wednesday's Fed. RSI has cooled toward 42 as price slips back through prior intraday support.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1640
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1600 opens the path to the 1.1594 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1620 session high needed to resume the upmove
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for the next directional break
15:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.1602
Lower highs off 1.1621 session high.
EUR/USD popped above 1.16 on the US-Iran deal and a softer dollar, tagging 1.1621 before NY-session supply capped it. Price has since drifted back to the 1.1600 psych level, slipping below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 43.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1621
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1594 opens the path toward 1.1555 range low
Reclaim of 1.1621 needed to resume the upside push
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for next directional leg
EUR holds above 1.1600 in NY hours after the US-Iran deal and softer dollar lifted it overnight, but the advance stalled at 1.16213 and price has slipped back to 1.1604. Choppy consolidation in the 1.1600–1.1621 band with no clean break either way; RSI(14) mid-range as momentum fades.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15968, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16000 opens the path toward 1.15968 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16213 session high needed to resume the upside
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for the next directional leg
15:31 UTC
Range, edging lower off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.16047
Consolidation between 1.1594 and 1.1620.
EUR/USD is pinned in a tight 1.1594–1.1620 band through the NY session after the US-Iran deal softened the dollar overnight. Price was rejected at the 1.1620 session high and has slipped back toward 1.1604, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1621
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 reopens the path toward 1.1700
Loss of 1.1594 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
15:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.16053
Off session high, testing 1.1605 support.
NY afternoon: EUR/USD drifted off the 1.16201 session high back toward 1.1605 support, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s as the pair holds the 1.1600–1.1620 band. Move tracks a softer dollar on the US-Iran framework, but advance is capped well below 1.1700 with heavy 1.1600 option strikes pinning price.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16000 opens 1.15940 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16140 / 1.16201 reopens the session high
EUR/USD popped above 1.1600 on the US-Iran deal and a softer dollar, tagging a session high at 1.16213 before fading. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.1600 round/strike level with RSI(14) back in the mid-40s; pullback from the high, no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1700
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1600 opens the path back toward the 1.15938 swing low
Break above 1.16213 session high reopens the 1.1700 range cap
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for the next directional leg
EUR holds above 1.16 through the NY session, bid on the US-Iran deal and a softer dollar, but the advance stalled at the session high 1.16213 and price has rolled back to 1.1608. Choppy range between 1.1600 and 1.1621, no clean setup in play with RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1617
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1600 opens the path toward the 1.1594 swing low
M15 close above 1.16213 reasserts the session high
Fed decision Wed is the dominant USD catalyst that could break this range
15:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.16077
Consolidation below session high after pullback.
EUR/USD has held a 1.1600–1.1620 range through the NY session, bid above 1.16 on the US-Iran deal and soft dollar but capped well below 1.1700. Price rejected the 1.16213 session high and slipped back to 1.16077, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1700
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the path toward 1.1700
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.15940 swing low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could shift this range read
EUR holds above 1.1600 through the NY session, lifted by broad USD weakness after the US-Iran deal drained safe-haven demand. Price pushed to a session high of 1.16213 but stalled, pulling back to 1.16111 with RSI cooling toward neutral; the 1.1620 cap is holding for now.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1600, 1.15968
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16165
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the path toward 1.1650
Failure to hold 1.16040 puts the 1.1600 psych level back in play
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD is consolidating in the 1.1600–1.1620 band after the NY session pushed to a 1.16213 high and stalled, with USD soft at 10-day lows on the US-Iran deal. RSI(14) back near 50 as price drifts off the highs; the session high capped the last two attempts.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1600, 1.15997
Resistance: 1.16201, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path toward 1.1650
Failure to hold 1.1600 confirms a lower-low and risks the 1.15997 base
Fed decision Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
EUR firm above 1.1600 through NY hours on broad USD softness after the US-Iran risk-on move, but the advance has stalled into a 1.1600–1.1620 range. Price capped twice near 1.16213 with RSI(14) neutral around 55; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1600.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15734, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16194
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the path toward the 1.1650 stretch zone
Loss of 1.1600 exposes the 1.1573 session base
Fed decision Wed (>24h out) is the dominant catalyst for this read
Ranging near session highs after grind up from 1.1573.
EUR/USD is holding above 1.1600 in the NY session, oscillating in a tight 1.1600-1.1620 range after the risk-on, soft-USD push off the 1.1573 base. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and the session high at 1.16213 has capped the last several pushes.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1597, 1.1573
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path toward the 1.1650 stretch zone
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.15730 prior base
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 1.16156
Higher lows into session high.
EUR firm through the NY session, riding the risk-on US-Iran peace bid and soft US data; pair grinding higher in a chain of higher lows toward the 1.16213 session high. Buyers stepping in around 1.1605 keeps the advance intact, but momentum is shallow with RSI(14) mid-range near 59.
Support: 1.16055, 1.15997, 1.15734
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path to the 1.1650 cap zone
Loss of 1.1605 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.15997
Fed decision Wed is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
14:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 1.16156
Higher highs/lows into session high.
NY session has EUR/USD grinding higher on the risk-on US-Iran deal and a soft USD, holding just under the 1.16213 session high after a steady chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 59 leaves room, and price is consolidating in the upper third of the day's range.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1600, 1.1573
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Failure to hold 1.1604 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.16166
Higher highs/lows, pressing session high.
EURUSD grinding higher through the NY session toward the 1.1620 session high, riding the risk-on bid from the US-Iran deal and soft US data weighing on the dollar. RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched — with price holding above EMA20/50 in a steady ascending channel.
Support: 1.1606, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1620 opens the path toward the 1.1650 ing cap
Failure to hold 1.1606 intraday base breaks the rising structure
Fed decision Wed is the dominant swing risk for this pair
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.16166
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
EUR/USD grinding higher through the NY session, an intact HH/HL chain pressing back toward the session high at 1.16213 after the risk-on US-Iran-driven pop above 1.1600. RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not extreme; ATR around 5-6 pips keeps moves contained.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.16213 opens the path toward the 1.1650 cap flagged by ING
Loss of 1.16040 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
Wednesday Fed decision is the dominant swing risk for this pair
EUR drifted higher through the NY session on a soft-USD, risk-on backdrop after the US-Iran framework, last printing 1.16144 with a chain of higher lows. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.16040 while the 1.16213 session high still caps; RSI(14) near 60, no extreme. Price sits comfortably above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path toward the 1.1650 ING cap
Loss of 1.16040 would break the higher-low chain toward 1.15940
Wednesday Fed decision is the dominant near-term driver for the pair
EUR ground higher through the session on risk-on from the US-Iran deal and softer USD, tagging 1.16213 before settling near 1.1614. RSI(14) mid-range and price holding above the 1.1600 round number; session high still unbroken.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1573
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 opens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Failure to hold 1.1600 puts 1.1594 swing low in play
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for the pair
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.16166
Higher lows into session-high retest.
NY session has price grinding back up to retest the 1.16194 session high after a chain of higher lows off 1.15997, RSI(14) mid-60s with room. USD softness on the US-Iran framework deal is the backdrop; buyers held 1.16053 on the last pullback.
Support: 1.16053, 1.15997, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16194, 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 day high opens a push toward the 1.1650 cap
Loss of 1.15997 range floor confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
London open gapped EUR higher and drove a rally to 1.16213 as the US-Iran deal pressured the USD; price since consolidated 1.1600-1.1620 through the London-NY transition. Early NY is grinding back toward the session high at 1.16213, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1594, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16194
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 extends the session high, opening the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Loss of 1.16000 breaks the chain of higher lows back to the 1.15940 swing low
Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.
EUR/USD ran from 1.1594 to a 1.1621 session high on US-Iran risk-on and a softer USD, then settled into a tight 1.1600–1.1620 band through NY hours. Rising lows are holding above the 1.1600 round number, RSI(14) easing off mid-60s as the advance consolidates below the high.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1621 session high opens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Loss of 1.1600 round number exposes the 1.1594 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
13:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into range · RSI 61 · price 1.16141
Consolidating below session high after gap-up.
EUR opened the week with a weekend gap-up and ran to 1.16213 during NY hours as the US-Iran framework deal drained USD safe-haven demand. Price is consolidating 1.1600-1.1620, now edging back toward the session high with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the 1.1650 cap flagged in context
Loss of 1.1600 exposes the 1.15938 swing low
FOMC Wed under new Chair Warsh is the dominant USD-side catalyst
13:00 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.16141
Range-bound under session high after gap rally.
EUR/USD gapped higher into the new week and rallied to 1.16213 on the US-Iran risk-on/softer-dollar tone, then settled into a 1.16000-1.16140 range. Current bar is probing the range top at 1.16140; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16140 reopens a test of the 1.16213 session high
Loss of 1.16000 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.15940
Fed decision Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst into the next sessions
NY session has EUR/USD grinding higher off the 1.1594 swing low, riding risk-on USD softness with rising lows into the 1.16213 session-high cap. RSI(14) mid-60s, momentum constructive but consolidating just under the high; the 1.1600 round level held through the last pullback.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.16000 exposes the 1.15940 swing low
EUR firm in the London-NY transition near 1.1610 on broad USD softness after the US-Iran deal headlines. Price has consolidated between 1.1600 and 1.1614 since rejecting the 1.16213 session high, holding the 38.2% retrace of the earlier intraday push with RSI flat near 52.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15997, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16142, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16142 reopens the 1.16213 session high
Failure to hold 1.1600 flags a push back toward 1.15938
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst that could override this intraday range
12:45 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.16101
Consolidation below session high.
EUR/USD ran from 1.1573 to a session high of 1.1621 on US-Iran-deal USD softness, then stalled and is now ranging 1.1600-1.1620 with RSI(14) flat near 54. No clean setup in play; price is pinned just under the session high.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15945, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.1594 swing low and the 1.1588 floor
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant risk to this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.16057
Consolidating below session high after push to 1.1621.
EUR/USD firmed toward 1.1620 earlier on US-Iran-deal-driven USD softness, then stalled at the 1.16213 session high and has been ranging between 1.1600 and the 1.1614 swing high since. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR around 5.6 pips — no directional setup in play within the range.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15968
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16140 reopens the 1.16213 session high
Failure to hold 1.16000 round number exposes the 1.15968 swing low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst that can break this range
12:31 UTC
Consolidating after intraday rally · RSI 49 · price 1.16057
Range-bound below session high.
EUR/USD pushed to a 1.16213 session high during NY hours on US-Iran-driven USD softness, then settled into a tight 1.1600-1.1615 range with RSI(14) back at neutral 49. Price is pinned to EMA20/50 with no momentum either way; the session high remains the relevant cap.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 resumes the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.16000 opens the path back to 1.15938
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant risk to this read
EUR/USD holds above 1.1600 after the session leg up from 1.1573 to 1.16213, with a softer dollar on the US-Iran de-escalation underpinning the move. Price is now coiling between 1.1600 and 1.1614 with RSI(14) neutral near 54; the session high at 1.16213 remains the cap, the 1.1594 pullback low the floor.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16142, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 (session high) reopens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
M15 close below 1.16002 breaks the consolidation and tests the rising support
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could materially reset this read
12:15 UTC
Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 1.16098
Consolidating below session high after Monday rally.
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1573 open to a session high at 1.1621 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the dollar bid, then settled into a tight 1.1600–1.1614 consolidation around the NY open. RSI(14) cooled back to neutral near 52; the 1.1600 round number is holding as the consolidation floor.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15968, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16142, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16142 reopens the path to the 1.1621 session high
Loss of 1.1600 round number exposes the 1.15968 swing low
Wed FOMC (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst that can reshape this read
Ranging below session high after push above 1.1600.
EUR/USD pushed above 1.1600 during the European session as the US-Iran peace deal drained USD haven demand, tagging 1.16213 before stalling. Price now chops between 1.1600 and 1.1621 with RSI(14) neutral near 55 — no fresh directional impulse.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15968
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1650
What it said to watch
A close above 1.16213 opens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.15968 recent low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst for this pair this week
Rally from 1.1568, now ranging below session high.
EUR/USD ran from 1.1568 to a session high of 1.1621 as the dollar slid on the US-Iran de-escalation, and is now consolidating in a 1.1600-1.1612 band. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 54 after the push, with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1621 reopens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Loss of the 1.1600 round level exposes the 1.15938 swing low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst — could override this intraday read
11:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 1.16076
Consolidation under session high.
EUR/USD is coiling in a tight 1.1600–1.1621 band after the post-weekend pop above 1.1590 driven by a softer dollar on the US-Iran de-escalation. RSI(14) sits near 51 with price pinned around EMA20/EMA50; the session high at 1.16213 has capped repeated probes while 1.1600 holds as the round-number floor.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path toward 1.1650
Loss of 1.1600 exposes the 1.15938 swing low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
EUR/USD gapped higher into the session and ran to 1.16213 as the US-Iran framework deal drained the dollar bid, then settled into a 1.1600–1.1614 range. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 49 with price pinned around the EMA20 — no directional impulse in the last few hours.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 reopens the path toward the 1.1650 cap
Loss of 1.1600 round number exposes the 1.15940 swing low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.1611
Higher lows holding above 1.1600 after rally to 1.1621.
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1568 to 1.1621 on the US-Iran risk-on USD slide, then pulled back to the 1.1600 round-number/38.2% fib before recovering to 1.1611. Price is consolidating just under the 1.1621 session high with RSI mid-range; 1.1600 has held as support twice.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1597
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the path higher toward fresh session highs
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.1597 swing low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst that can override this intraday read
11:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 1.1611
Higher lows, consolidating below session high.
EUR rallied off ~1.1573 on US-Iran risk-on and a softer USD, tagging 1.1620 before settling into a 1.1600-1.1620 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and higher lows remain intact above the 1.1600 handle.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938, 1.15734
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 opens path beyond the session high
Loss of 1.1600 round number breaks the ascending lows
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after push · RSI 57 · price 1.16116
Gap-up then range 1.1600-1.1615 below session high.
EURUSD gapped higher into the week on US-Iran risk-on and a softer USD, rallying to a session high of 1.16213 before settling into a 1.1600-1.1615 range. Price holds above the 1.1600 round number and is grinding back toward the session high, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16189
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 session high resumes the intraday advance
Failure to hold 1.16000 round number opens 1.15940 swing low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
11:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 1.16116
Higher lows, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD opened the week with a gap higher and rallied to 1.16213 as the US-Iran framework drained the USD safe-haven bid; price now consolidates in the 1.1600-1.1621 band. RSI(14) near 58, holding above EMA20/50 with buyers defending 1.1600 on dips.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 opens the path to extend the move higher
Loss of 1.16002 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
11:00 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.16129
Higher lows, capped below session high.
EUR gapped higher into this week's open and ran to 1.16213 on US-Iran risk-on and a softer USD, then settled into a tight 1.1600-1.1615 range. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and price holds above EMA20/50, with the 1.1600 round number repeatedly defended on dips.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 reopens the session-high break higher
Loss of 1.16000 round number exposes the 1.15940 swing low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
11:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.16129
Higher highs and higher lows since reopen.
EUR reclaimed 1.1600 and ran to a session high of 1.16213 on US-Iran risk-on and a softer USD, then pulled back to 1.1597 before buyers stepped back in. Price now grinding back toward the session high; higher-low chain intact above 1.1600.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15968, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 extends the session high and opens further upside
Loss of 1.1600 round number breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
10:45 UTC
Uptrend stalling into range · RSI 53 · price 1.16101
Consolidating below session high after gap-up rally.
EUR/USD opened the week with a gap-up rally to a session high of 1.16213 on US-Iran risk-on and a softer USD, then settled into a tight 1.1600–1.1611 range. Buyers have defended 1.1600 repeatedly while supply caps the bounce near 1.1611; no fresh setup with FOMC the dominant gate.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16113 reopens the 1.16213 session high
Loss of 1.16000 range floor exposes 1.15940 swing low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst into the week
EUR gapped higher into Monday and rallied to 1.16213 as the US-Iran risk-on bid drained the USD, now coiling around 1.1610 in the London session. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at 1.1600; RSI(14) mid-range with momentum flattening below the session high.
Support: 1.16002, 1.15938, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path back toward the 1.1617 prior high and beyond
Failure to hold 1.16000 exposes the 1.15938 swing low
FOMC Wed and German CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts that could shift this read
London rallied off 1.1573 on USD softness from US-Iran risk-on, tagging 1.16213 before stalling. Price now consolidating in the 1.1600-1.1610 band with RSI back near 50; the session high capped the bounce and 1.1600 round number is holding.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15997, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 reopens the upside after this consolidation
Failure to hold 1.1600 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1594
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
EUR gapped higher into the week and rallied to a 1.16213 session high as the US-Iran risk-on framework drained the USD haven bid. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1600-1.1610 band, RSI(14) neutral near 54 after cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15968, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16189
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.16000 round and 1.15968 swing low opens 1.1580
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst but sits outside this session
10:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.16059
Consolidation under session high after rally.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.16213 on the risk-on US-Iran framework and softer USD, then stalled and is consolidating between 1.1600 and 1.1610. RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 after the early-session push; rejection at 1.16213 leaves the move flat into the London session.
Support: 1.15997, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1610, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.15997 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
10:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.16059
Consolidation below session high.
London session lifted EUR/USD off 1.1568 to a session high at 1.16213 as the US-Iran risk-on tone drained the USD bid; price is now consolidating 1.1600-1.1620 with RSI(14) neutral near 50. The 1.1600 round number is holding as the range floor.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1617
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 1.1600 round number exposes 1.15940 swing low
FOMC Wed and US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after gap-up rally.
EURUSD gapped higher into the new week and rallied to 1.16213 as a US-Iran risk-on deal pressured the USD, then settled into a 1.1600-1.1620 range through the London session. RSI(14) is neutral mid-range and price holds just above EMA20/50; dips toward 1.1600 have been bought twice.
Support: 1.16002, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16175, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 opens continuation of the gap-up move
Failure to hold 1.16002 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.16074
Consolidation under session high after rally.
EUR/USD ran up to a session high at 1.16213 on US-Iran risk-on and USD softness, then settled into a 1.1600-1.1621 range with RSI(14) back near 50. Price is hugging EMA20 around 1.1606, no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the upside
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.15940 swing low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
09:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.1605
Consolidation below session high after Asia rally.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.16213 in the Asia session on the US-Iran deal USD selloff, then rolled into a tight London consolidation between 1.1600 and 1.1610. Price is back at 1.1605, mid-range, with RSI(14) flat near 50 after rejection at the 1.1610 cap.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15945, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.1610, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1610 reopens the path to the 1.16213 session high
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.15945 swing low
Wed FOMC (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst but sits outside the next bar window
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 48 · price 1.1605
Rallied to session high, now consolidating.
EUR/USD gapped up at the Asia open and ran to 1.16213 on the US-Iran-deal USD selloff, then stalled. Price is now drifting in a 1.1600–1.1620 consolidation, RSI(14) back near neutral as the impulse fades.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1584
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1619
What it said to watch
Close back below the 1.1594 swing low reopens the 1.1584 range floor
Close above 1.16213 session high resumes the upside push
Wed FOMC (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst — can override this read
EURUSD gapped higher into the Asia session on the US-Iran deal and soft USD, rallying to a session high at 1.16213 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the mid-1.1600s, holding the 1.1600 round number with RSI cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 opens the top of the prior range
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.1594 swing low
Loss of the 1.1580-1.1590 range floor reasserts downside
Range after Asia rally, holding above the move's midpoint.
EUR/USD gapped higher and rallied through Asia to 1.16213 on broad USD weakness after the US-Iran deal crushed the safe-haven bid. London has since consolidated 1.1597–1.16125, with rejection capping near 1.1612 and RSI flat around 50; price is hovering just under EMA20 but still above EMA50.
Support: 1.15977, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16125, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 extends the rally toward the prior range top
Failure to hold 1.15977 opens the 1.1580 range floor
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant USD catalyst into the dots
09:15 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.16021
Range after Asian-session rally, holding above 1.1594.
EUR/USD jumped to 1.1621 in the Asia session as the US-Iran deal drained USD haven demand, then settled into a 1.1594-1.1621 range through the London morning. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and price has slipped back under EMA20/EMA50; the session high remains the cap.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens upside toward the prior-range top
Failure to hold 1.1594 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1585
US Empire State / Industrial Production later today could shift the USD leg
09:15 UTC
Uptrend stalling near session top · RSI 48 · price 1.16021
Consolidation below session high after Asia rally.
EUR/USD gapped higher into Asia and ran to 1.16213 on the US-Iran-deal USD softness, then rejected and has consolidated in the 1.1600–1.1620 band. Price now hovers the round number with RSI(14) flat near 50; momentum off the high has cooled.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the upside extension
Failure to hold 1.16000 exposes the 1.15940 session low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst via the USD leg
EURUSD gapped higher on the weekend open and ran to a session high of 1.16213 through early London as the USD softened on the US-Iran headlines. Price has since rejected that high and is now hovering on the 1.1600 round number, RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1585
Resistance: 1.16175, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.16175 reopens the 1.16213 session high
Loss of 1.1600 round number exposes 1.1594 swing low then the 1.1585 range floor
FOMC (Wed, Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
09:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.16003
Rally into 1.1621, now ranging near 1.1600.
EUR/USD gapped higher into the new week and rallied to a 1.16213 session high during London hours as the USD softened on the US-Iran risk-premium unwind. Price has since faded back to 1.1600, slipping below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; the 1.15997 session low is now the immediate floor.
Support: 1.15997, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.1610, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15997 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1594
Reclaim of 1.16100 pivot puts the 1.16213 session high back in play
FOMC (Wed) Warsh debut is the dominant two-way catalyst into mid-week
Consolidation below session high after gap-up rally.
EUR/USD gapped up on the Monday open and rallied to 1.16213 as the USD softened on the US-Iran deal, then settled into a tight London-session range around 1.1604-1.1610. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and price is hugging the EMA20; the session high at 1.16213 still caps and the 1.1600 round number is holding.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 session high reopens the upside
Loss of the 1.1600 round number exposes the 1.15938 swing low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
Higher highs into 1.16213, now consolidating below the session high.
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.16213 as the dollar softened on the US-Iran de-escalation, then faded back to consolidate around 1.1606 through the London morning. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.16110 pivot is capping and demand has held at 1.16000 on the pullback.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1611, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 opens the path toward an extension of the rally
Loss of 1.16000 exposes the 1.1594 session low and the 1.1580-1.1590 prior floor
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
Consolidating below session high after gap-up rally.
EUR/USD gapped higher into the week and rallied to 1.16213 in Asia as the USD softened on the US-Iran deal, then settled into a tight 1.1604-1.1610 range. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s and price is hugging the EMA20; no fresh extension since the session high.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1594, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.16213 opens room toward the 1.1620+ session extension
Loss of 1.16040 exposes 1.1594 swing low and resets the intraday uptrend
FOMC (Wed) and German CPI/ZEW today are the dominant catalysts that can override this range read
Asia session pushed up to 1.16213 on the broad USD haven-unwind (US-Iran deal), then faded and is now consolidating 1.1600-1.1610, holding the 61.8% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) back near 50 after the impulse; no fresh setup while the range holds.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16189
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 1.16002 range floor exposes 1.15940 session low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst for this read
Rally off week-open gap, consolidating below session high.
Week opened with a gap higher and a rally through 1.1600 to a session high at 1.1621 as the USD eased on US-Iran de-escalation. Price now consolidating around 1.1606, holding above the 1.1600 round number; RSI(14) has cooled off the highs.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1621 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.1600 exposes the 1.1594 range low
US Empire State / Industrial Production today could shift USD tone
EUR/USD climbed off 1.1573 to a session high of 1.16213 as the USD haven bid unwound on Iran-deal headlines, then drifted back to consolidate around 1.1606. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and the pair is holding the 1.1600 round number; the FOMC under Warsh on Wed is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1600 round number exposes the 1.15940 swing low
Close above 1.16213 session high resumes the intraday up-leg
FOMC dot plot Wed could materially shift this read
London session lifted EURUSD off 1.1573 to a session high at 1.16213 before fading, now churning around 1.1607 with RSI cooling toward neutral. USD softened only modestly post-CPI, keeping EUR pinned in its 1.15-1.16 band; the 1.16213 high capped the advance and price is holding above the 1.1600 session low.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16125
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16213 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.16002 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant risk into midweek
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
London session drove EUR/USD off 1.1573 up to a session high of 1.16213 before rejecting, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral. Price now consolidating near 1.1607, holding above a rising line of intraday lows; 1.1600 pivot is the line in the sand.
Support: 1.16002, 1.15938, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16189
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.16000 turns the rising-low structure into a lower-low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant risk into mid-week
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1573 open to a session high of 1.16213 in the late-Asia/early-London push, then rejected and eased back to 1.16079 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price now consolidates 1.1600–1.1618, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with the 1.16002 round level as the nearest demand shelf.
Support: 1.16002, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16175, 1.16213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 resumes the uptrend toward fresh session highs
Failure to hold 1.16002 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.15938
FOMC (Warsh debut, Wed) could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after a clean leg up.
EUR/USD rallied ~50 pips off the post-gap 1.15676 low into the London morning, peaking at 1.16213 before stalling. Price now drifts in a tight 1.1600-1.1621 band as USD holds firm into FOMC week; demand stepped in twice near 1.1600.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 opens path back toward the prior up-move extension
Loss of 1.16000 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.15940
Lagarde speech could inject intraday volatility into this band
London session rallied off the weekend gap to a session high of 1.16213, then faded back to the 1.1606 area with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price now sits just under EMA20 but holds above EMA50; the 1.1600 round number is the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.16002, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the upside
Failure to hold 1.16002 confirms a lower-low
Lagarde speech around 07:30 UTC could shift the EUR read
London session drove EUR up from 1.1567 to a session high of 1.1621, with sellers rejecting the 1.1621 print and price easing back to 1.1606. Lagarde on the wire around the current bar; pullback holding above the rising EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 51.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1613
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 1.16000 round level exposes the 1.15940 session low
Lagarde headlines could shift this read in-session
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 52 · price 1.16043
Higher highs into 1.1621, now retracing.
EURUSD climbed through the Asian session off the 1.1568 weekend open to tag 1.16213, then rejected and faded back to 1.1604 with RSI cooling to mid-range. Soft US core PPI kept the dollar capped, and the pair is holding the 1.1600 round number as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.16002, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16125, 1.16213
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC may shift the EUR read in the next bars
M15 close below 1.1600 opens the path to the 1.1594 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16125 needed to re-test the 1.16213 session high
07:15 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 50 · price 1.16043
HH/HL chain post-gap, retracing from session high.
EURUSD gapped higher into the week and rallied to a session high of 1.16213 before fading back to 1.16043, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price now retesting the 1.1600 round level after slipping below EMA20; rising lows off 1.1594 still intact.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16175
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16000 exposes the 1.15940 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16175 reopens the 1.16213 session high
Lagarde speech ~07:30 UTC could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 53 · price 1.16076
Higher highs/lows, 50% retrace of last leg.
London session pushed EURUSD up to a session high of 1.16213 before rejection trimmed it back to 1.16076, the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range off the high; price still holding above EMA20 and the 1.16000 round number.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift this read intrabar
Loss of 1.16000 round number exposes the 1.15940 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16213 session high reopens the upside
London hours drove EURUSD up off 1.15938 to a session high of 1.16213 before fading; price now retesting the 1.16000 round number, holding the 50% pullback of the rally. RSI(14) cooled to mid-50s as momentum eased, with the 1.1580-1.1590 reclaimed floor now beneath as support.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16000 opens room toward the 1.15938 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16213 session high extends the up-leg
London session pushed EUR/USD up to a 1.16213 session high before sellers capped it, with price now easing back to 1.1605 inside a 1.1594-1.1621 range. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s from the rally peak; the 1.1580-1.1590 zone flagged as the broader range floor sits just below as support.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
Reclaim of 1.16213 reopens the upside; loss of 1.15940 confirms a lower low
Failure to hold 1.16000 round number exposes the session low at 1.15676
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 57 · price 1.16054
HH/HL chain off session low, pullback from session high.
London session rallied from the 1.1573 weekend-gap open to a 1.16213 session high, then rejected and pulled back to 1.16054 with RSI cooling from overbought. The 1.1580-1.1590 range floor has been reclaimed and the pullback is so far holding above 1.16028. Lagarde speaks at 07:30 UTC, the next near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.16028, 1.15938, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 extends the session high
Loss of 1.16028 opens a deeper pullback toward 1.15938
Higher highs off post-gap low, consolidating below session high.
EUR opened the week with a weekend gap higher and ran to a session high at 1.16213 before easing back to 1.16099, RSI(14) cooling from the highs but holding above 50. Demand stepped in around 1.16030 through the London session, keeping the post-gap uptrend intact with the hawkish ECB read underpinning.
Support: 1.1603, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the hour
M15 close below 1.16030 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes 1.15940
Reclaim and close above 1.16213 reopens the session-high break
06:30 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 57 · price 1.16099
Higher highs off weekend open, shallow pullback in progress.
London session extended the climb off the weekend gap open near 1.1573, tagging a session high at 1.16213 before rejecting back to 1.16100, RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s. Price holds above the 1.1600 psych level with EMA20/50 stacked beneath; pullback shallow so far.
Support: 1.16081, 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16213 extends the session uptrend
Failure to hold 1.16000 exposes the 1.15940 swing low
EURUSD gapped up at the Sunday reopen and climbed steadily through Asia and into London, reclaiming the 1.1600 psych level and tagging a session high of 1.16213. RSI(14) near 62 with price holding above EMA20/50; pullbacks have been shallow, last finding demand at 1.16130.
Support: 1.1613, 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1630
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 extends the session high and opens 1.1630
Failure to hold 1.1600 psych signals the reopen rally is stalling
EURUSD gapped higher into the week and ground up through the Asian session, tagging a session high at 1.16213 before easing to 1.16172, RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s. Buyers stepped in around 1.16040 on the pullback and the chain of higher lows is intact into London hours.
Support: 1.1604, 1.15938, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16213 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.16040 breaks the rising-low chain and exposes 1.15938
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD gapped higher into the new week and rallied through 1.1600, reclaiming the old 1.1580-1.1590 range floor as support en route to a 1.16213 session high. Price has since drifted to 1.16152, RSI(14) cooling from the highs but holding above 60 with both EMAs below price.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1594 puts the 1.1590 range floor reclaim back in question
M15 close above 1.16213 extends the session high
06:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 1.16152
Higher highs since gap, holding above 1.1600.
Post-weekend Asia session reclaimed the 1.1580-1.1590 old range floor flagged in the digest and pushed to a session high at 1.16213 before easing to 1.1615. Price is holding above the 1.1600 round number with RSI(14) mid-60s — extended but not stretched.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1586
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16213 extends the intraday higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1600 puts the 1.15940 swing low back in play
Lagarde 07:30 UTC and EZ Industrial Production 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD pushed through the 1.1580-1.1590 old floor and reclaimed it as the session built a steady HH/HL chain into a fresh session high at 1.16213, RSI(14) near 69. Demand stepped in repeatedly around the 1.1604 intraday low and the 1.1594 swing low; the move sits above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1594, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15940 swing low would break the rising structure
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift this read
Reclaim and hold below 1.15900 reopens the old range
05:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 1.16193
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian low.
EURUSD reclaimed the 1.1600 round number and pushed to a session high of 1.16213, grinding up off the 1.15938 Asian low in a tidy chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but consistent with the trend; the 1.1580-1.1590 old range floor flagged as resistance has been cleared.
Support: 1.1610, 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16213, 1.1640
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.16213 extends the up-leg
Loss of 1.1600 round number returns price into the prior range
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 1.16185
Higher highs and higher lows since session open.
Fresh session opened with a sharp leg from 1.1573 to 1.1617, then a dip to 1.1594 that held before buyers ground price back through 1.1600 and the prior session high to a 1.16213 peak. RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not yet stretched; ATR sits thin around 4-5 pips in late-Asian trade.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1600 round number would negate the breakout and re-expose 1.1594
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bars
Acceptance above 1.16213 session high opens continuation higher
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asian session, breaking the 1.1600 round number and printing a session high at 1.16213 with RSI(14) running near 71. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above the 1.1594 swing low on the climb; the move tracks a soft-USD tilt after the cooler US core PPI miss.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.15733
Resistance: 1.16213
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.1600 reopens the 1.1594 swing low
EUR surged off 1.1573 at the open to tag 1.16173, then pulled back to 1.1594 before grinding back to 1.16135 — reclaiming the 1.1580-1.1590 floor that the digest flagged as resistance. RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not extended; price is coiling just under the session high.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16105
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16173 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.1590 turns it back into resistance
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift this read
05:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 65 · price 1.16135
Higher lows, rotating below 1.1617 high.
Sunday reopen gapped up and rallied to 1.16173 before pulling into a 1.1594-1.1611 consolidation; price is now grinding back toward the session high with RSI in the mid-60s. The leg fits the hawkish-ECB tone but the pair remains capped sub-1.1620 ahead of Lagarde.
Support: 1.1604, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 session high opens the path toward 1.1620
Failure to hold 1.1604 swing low risks a drift back to 1.1594 session low
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.16106
Higher low off 1.1594, recovering toward session high.
EUR rallied off 1.1573 to a session high of 1.16173, then pulled back to 1.15938 before grinding back above the 1.1600 round number, now at 1.16106 with RSI(14) near 63. Higher-low chain intact; the 1.16173 high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16173 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.15938 breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.16106
Higher highs and higher lows off weekly-open gap.
New week opened with a gap up through the 1.1580-90 old range floor, spiking to 1.16173 before pulling back to 1.1594. Buyers stepped in there and price has ground back to session highs near 1.1611, RSI(14) mid-60s with room. Move sits on a hawkish-ECB/firm-USD two-way backdrop into Lagarde.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15938, 1.1589
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.1611
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16173 extends the session high and opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.15940 confirms a lower low and threatens the rising support
Lagarde speech at 07:30 UTC (~2.5h) could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend off the Sunday-open low, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 1.16088
Higher lows grinding back toward session high.
EURUSD gapped up at the Sunday open and spiked to 1.16173 before fading to 1.15940; since then a chain of higher lows has carried price back to 1.16088, just under the 1.6000 round number cleared earlier. Thin holiday/early-Asia flow keeps ranges compressed (ATR ~5 pips) ahead of Lagarde later today.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16115
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 re-opens the session high and the upper range
Loss of the 1.16000 round number and rising support flips the read back toward 1.15940
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.16088
Higher highs after early-session gap up.
EURUSD gapped higher into the week's open and ran to a session high of 1.16173, clearing the 1.1590 cap flagged into Lagarde. Price pulled back to 1.15940 and is now grinding back up toward 1.16088 on shrinking ranges; RSI(14) holding mid-60s, above both EMAs.
Support: 1.16029, 1.1594, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15940 swing low would break the rising support and reopen 1.15676
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows after gap-up rally, consolidating below session high.
Weekend gap up to 1.15733 then a sharp push to 1.16173, clearing the prior 1.1590 cap; price pulled back to 1.15940 and is now grinding back to 1.16045 on higher lows. RSI(14) near 60, momentum cooling but structure intact below the session high.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.16173 opens room toward the upper range
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
EURUSD gapped up through the 1.1580-1.1590 prior cap on the Monday open and ran to a session high of 1.16173 before fading to 1.15940. Price has since reclaimed the 1.1600 round number and is grinding back toward the intraday high, RSI(14) holding mid-60s with momentum cooling.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1577
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15940 swing low reopens the 1.1577 prior cap
Close above 1.16173 extends the session high
Lagarde 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rally off weekend gap, now consolidating below session high.
EURUSD gapped higher on the week's open and ran from 1.15733 to 1.16173 before fading to 1.15938. Price has since ground back to 1.1605, holding the 1.16000 round number; rangy 1.1594-1.1617 with RSI mid-50s as it sits below the session high into Lagarde.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938, 1.15733
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
A close above 1.16173 reopens the upper end of the move
Failure to hold 1.15938 confirms a lower-low and breaks the 1.16000 floor
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
EURUSD gapped higher into the Monday open and rallied to 1.16173, clearing the 1.1580-1.1590 cap before fading to a 1.15938 swing low. Price has since reclaimed the 1.1600 round number and is grinding back toward the session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 58.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15938
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.1600 reopens the 1.15938 swing low
Break above 1.16173 extends the gap rally
04:01 UTC
Recovery off weekend gap, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 1.16035
Higher lows after spike high, holding above 1.1594.
Asia session gapped higher into Monday and spiked to 1.16173 before pulling back; buyers defended 1.1594 twice and price is grinding back toward the session high, now at 1.16035 above both EMAs. The earlier soft US core CPI/PPI prints kept the dollar capped, but FOMC Wednesday is the swing factor and limits follow-through.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.16105, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 opens further topside
Failure to hold 1.1594 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed (Warsh dot plot) could materially shift this read
04:00 UTC
Uptrend off the reopen, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.16035
Higher low at 1.1594 after pullback from session high.
EURUSD gapped higher on the reopen and ran through the 1.1580–1.1590 cap to a 1.16173 session high before pulling back to 1.1594, near the 50% retrace of that leg. Price has recovered to 1.16035 with RSI(14) around 60 — the prior cap now reads as support on the retest.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1590, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1594 reopens the 1.1590 prior cap and questions the higher-low
Close above 1.16173 extends the session high
Lagarde 07:30 UTC and FOMC Wed are the swing factors for this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend off week-open, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.16014
Consolidation under session high.
Week opened with a gap higher and a rally to 1.16173 before settling into a tight 1.1594–1.1611 consolidation around the 1.1600 psych level. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR has collapsed to a few pips in thin Asian-session trade.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.15734
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 reopens the topside
Failure to hold 1.15940 exposes the 1.15734 week-open zone
Lagarde speech (07:30 UTC) could break the consolidation
03:45 UTC
Uptrend off the open, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 1.16014
Impulse leg then consolidation under 1.1617.
Asia session gapped up from 1.1573 and ran to a 1.16173 session high before fading; price now coils around the 1.1600 round number, RSI(14) back to mid-range. Buyers defended 1.1594 on the pullback, keeping the post-gap range intact.
Support: 1.1600, 1.1594, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.1611, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.16173 opens the topside above the 1.1580-1.1590 cap
Failure to hold 1.15940 reopens the 1.1588 prior cap
Lagarde speech (07:30 UTC) and FOMC Wed are the swing factors for this range
03:31 UTC
Pullback after early spike · RSI 47 · price 1.15989
Gap-up rally faded into consolidation.
Week opened with a gap up and a sharp run to 1.16173 in the first hours, but the move was rejected and price has since faded into a tight consolidation around 1.1599, slipping below EMA20. The 1.15940 session low is holding so far; FOMC Wednesday is the swing factor flagged for the pair.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.1611, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15940 session low opens the 1.1588 range floor
Reclaim of 1.16110 intraday high needed to retest the 1.16173 session high
FOMC Wed is the swing factor for EURUSD direction
03:31 UTC
Early-week rally, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.15989
Consolidating below session high after impulse up.
Week opened with a gap-up rally to 1.16173 before sellers faded it back under 1.1600, RSI(14) cooling to neutral. Now consolidating in thin Asian-session flow between the 1.15938 session low and the 1.1600 round number, still holding above the 1.1580-1.1590 cap.
Support: 1.15938, 1.1590, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 reopens topside push
Loss of 1.15938 / 1.1590 exposes the 1.1580 cap floor
Lagarde speech ~07:30 UTC could shift the read
03:16 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.15995
Session gap-up rejected at highs, ranging below 1.1600.
Week opened with a gap higher and a sharp Asia-session run to 1.16173 before sellers capped it and price drifted back toward the 1.1600 round number. Now consolidating in the 1.1594–1.1610 zone with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and momentum off the rally peak.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1594 reopens the gap-fill toward the 1.15676 session low
Clean reclaim of 1.16000 puts the 1.16173 session high back in play
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut, dot plot) is the swing factor for this read
03:15 UTC
Uptrend off the open, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 1.15995
Post-gap push, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD gapped higher into the new week and ran to a session high at 1.16173, clearing the 1.1580-1.1590 cap that has been flagged as the topside pivot. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating around 1.1600, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. The former 1.1590 cap now sits as the first reference below.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1586
Resistance: 1.1611, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1590 puts the gap fill and the prior cap back in play
Reclaim of 1.16110 reopens the session high at 1.16173
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut, dot plot) is the dominant risk into this range
Early-session rally cleared the 1.1580-1.1590 cap and ran to 1.16173 before being rejected, and price has since drifted back to the 38.2% retracement near 1.1598. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the move consolidates between 1.1594 and the 1.16113 intraday high.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1587
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.16113 reopens 1.16173 session high
Loss of 1.1594 exposes the 1.1587 range floor
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift this read
FOMC Wed is the dominant swing factor for the week
Pullback off session high into 1.1594-1.1611 range.
EURUSD gapped higher into the new week and rallied to 1.1617, clearing the 1.1580-1.1590 cap flagged as the topside test, before fading back to 1.1598 in the Asian session. Price now consolidates between 1.1594 and 1.1611 with RSI(14) back near neutral; the prior cap is now acting as a floor.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1590, 1.1576
Resistance: 1.1611, 1.1617
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1611 reopens the 1.1617 week high
Loss of the 1.1590 cap-turned-floor returns price into the prior 1.15-1.16 range
Lagarde speech 07:30 UTC could shift EUR through the consolidation
Session spike rejected, now consolidating below 1.1600.
New session gapped up off 1.15733 and spiked to a session high of 1.16173 before being rejected, with price now drifting back and consolidating just under the 1.1600 psych level. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the move stalls into the 1.1580–1.1590 cap flagged on the macro read; 1.15940 session low is holding so far.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15733
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16000 psych reopens the session high at 1.16173
Loss of 1.15940 session low exposes the 1.15733 gap open
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the swing factor and can override this intraday read
02:46 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.15984
Post-breakout pullback above 1.1590.
Monday opened with a gap higher and a sharp rally that cleared the 1.1580–1.1590 cap, peaking at 1.16173 before fading through the Asian hours. Price now consolidates near 1.1598, holding just above the retested 1.1590 area with RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15940 puts the 1.1590 breakout retest at risk
Reclaim of 1.16113 reopens the 1.16173 session high
FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term risk to this read
02:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 1.15944
Fade off intraday high, holding above range cap.
New week gapped up and spiked to 1.16173 early, then faded through the Asia session back to 1.15944, slipping below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 44. Price now sits just above the 1.1580–1.1590 range cap (late-May floor), which capped further upside on the way back down.
Support: 1.15938, 1.1588, 1.15677
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1580 reopens the 1.1500 zone
Reclaim of 1.16050 would negate the fade and retest the session high
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut, dot plot) is the swing factor for this range
02:30 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15944
Post-breakout retracement off session high.
Monday Asia open gapped higher and rallied through the 1.1580–1.1590 cap to a session high at 1.16173 before rejecting. Price has since retraced to 1.15944, holding just above the prior cap that now acts as support; RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s.
Support: 1.15938, 1.1589, 1.15733
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15890 cancels the breakout and reopens the prior range
Reclaim of 1.16113 puts the 1.16173 session high back in play
FOMC Wed is the swing factor and could override this intraday read
Week opened with a gap up off 1.1573 and a London push to 1.16173, then price was rejected and faded back below the 1.1600 psych level. Now consolidating near 1.1598 after a swing low at 1.1594; price sits below EMA20 but above EMA50, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16113 reopens the 1.16173 session high
Loss of 1.1594 swing low exposes the 1.1573 gap open
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
EURUSD opened the week with a gap up from 1.15673 to 1.15733 and ran to a session high of 1.16173 in early Asia, then faded back under EMA20 to consolidate near 1.1598. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the rally stalled; demand showed up twice around 1.1594.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15733, 1.15676
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1594 opens the gap base at 1.15733
Reclaim of 1.16113 puts the 1.16173 session high back in play
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read
02:01 UTC
Pullback off Monday-open high · RSI 42 · price 1.15957
Gap-up rally faded, lower highs forming.
Monday opened with a gap-up and an early rally to 1.16173, but price has since faded through the Asian session with rejection at the 1.16113 swing high and RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Pair now drifting back toward the 1.15940 session low, holding above EMA50 but slipping under EMA20.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16113 reopens the 1.16173 day high
Break below 1.15940 confirms a lower low toward the 1.15735 open
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
02:01 UTC
Pullback after weekend gap rally · RSI 43 · price 1.15957
Lower highs off 1.16173, holding above gap open.
EURUSD gapped up at the Sunday open and rallied to 1.16173 in the first hours, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs; price now sits at 1.1596, back under EMA20. Move was USD-led into FOMC week rather than headline-driven, with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15733
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.16113 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1594 exposes the 1.15733 gap open
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
EURUSD gapped higher on the weekly open and ran to 1.16173 before sellers capped it, fading back below the 1.1600 round number to 1.15981. Lower highs since the spike and price slipping under EMA20 show momentum cooling; the 1.15940 session low is the first floor in play.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15734
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15940 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.15734
Reclaim of 1.1600 puts the 1.16113 intraday high back in range
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for this pair this week
01:46 UTC
Uptrend off the open, momentum fading · RSI 49 · price 1.15981
Gap-up rally, now retesting breakout.
EUR gapped up at the Asia open and pushed through the prior 1.1590 cap, peaking at the 1.16173 session high before fading back to retest the breakout near 1.1598. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike to neutral as price stalls at the prior cap.
Support: 1.1594, 1.1590, 1.1567
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1590 prior cap returns price into last week's range
Reclaim of the 1.16113 swing high needed to re-extend the rally
Wed FOMC remains the dominant catalyst for the broader range
Rallied off the open, now pulling back from session high.
Monday opened with a weekend gap up from Friday's 1.15673 close, then a sharp Asia-session rally to 1.16173 before fading back to 1.15975. Rejection at the session high has RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward neutral, with price now slipping under EMA20 as the move retraces.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15735, 1.15673
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1611 reopens the 1.16173 session high
Loss of 1.1594 session low exposes the 1.1573 gap open
Lagarde 07:30 UTC and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
01:31 UTC
Rally stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.15975
Post-gap push then rejection at session high.
Weekend gap higher kicked off an Asia-session rally to 1.16173, but the move was rejected and price has bled back to 1.15975, now sitting below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback retraces roughly half of the gap leg; session low at 1.15940 is the immediate floor.
Support: 1.1594, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.1611, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15940 confirms a deeper retrace toward the 1.15735 gap base
Reclaim of 1.16110 reopens the 1.16173 session high
Lagarde speech (07:30 UTC) could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Thin Sunday-open pop fading · RSI 49 · price 1.1597
Gap-up rally rejected, pulling back below 1.1600.
Thin Sunday/Asia open gapped up and ran to a session high at 1.16173 before rejecting and fading back below the 1.1600 psych level to 1.1597. Move is unwinding on light liquidity, now sitting near the 50% fib (1.15925) of the open rally.
Support: 1.15925, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15925 fib 50% extends the pullback toward the 1.1573 sunday open
Reclaim of 1.1600 psych puts the 1.16173 session high back in play
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the week's dominant catalyst and can override this read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend off Sunday gap, pulling back · RSI 54 · price 1.1597
Gap-up rally, retracing from session high.
EURUSD gapped higher into the Sunday reopen and rallied to 1.16173, reclaiming the late-May 1.1580-90 range. Early Asia is now retracing, slipping back to 1.1597 and printing the session low at 1.1596; RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 1.1596, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16113
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1596 opens the 1.1580 range floor
Reclaim of 1.16113 puts the 1.16173 session high back in play
FOMC Wed and Lagarde Mon 07:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts for this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend off the weekly open, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 1.16052
Post-gap rally, now consolidating below session high.
Thin Sunday/Asia open gapped up from 1.15735 and rallied through 1.1600 to a 1.16173 session high, reclaiming the late-May range as EUR probed back above the figure. Price has since stalled and is consolidating 1.16028–1.16113, RSI cooling off the rally into the low 60s.
Support: 1.16028, 1.15927, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 extends the rally; failure to hold 1.16028 reopens the 1.15927 gap
FOMC Wed Jun 17 is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
EURUSD gapped higher into the Monday Asia open and ran to 1.16173, reclaiming the 1.1600 handle as USD sits near one-week lows on the Iran de-escalation. Price is now consolidating in a 1.16018–1.16113 band, RSI cooling from the rally. Thin Asia-session volume behind the move.
Support: 1.16018, 1.15927
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 extends the session high
Failure to hold 1.16018 opens the gap area at 1.15927
FOMC Wed Jun 17 is the dominant catalyst capping range conviction
New week opened with a sharp rally from 1.1573 to a session high of 1.16173, reclaiming the 1.1580-1.1590 range floor as support amid a softer safe-haven dollar bid. Price is now consolidating 1.1602-1.1610 just below the high, RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak.
Support: 1.16018, 1.1590, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 opens the path toward 1.1620
Loss of 1.16018 exposes the 1.1590 range floor
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
EUR/USD gapped higher into the new week and surged to 1.16173, clearing the prior 1.1580-1.1590 cap as the dollar sat near one-week lows on improved risk sentiment. Price has since cooled into a tight 1.16018-1.16113 range, RSI(14) easing back from overbought toward the mid-60s.
Support: 1.16018, 1.1600, 1.15955
Resistance: 1.16113, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.16000 would break the post-gap structure and reopen the 1.1595 zone
Sustained close above 1.16173 extends the gap rally
FOMC Wed Jun 17 is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
Gap-up breakout, now consolidating below session high.
Monday Asia open gapped up and rallied from 1.1573 to a session high of 1.16173, breaking above the 1.1580-1.1590 late-May range floor as the safe-haven dollar stayed soft on Iran-deal risk-on. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1602-1.1612 band with RSI(14) easing back from the highs.
Support: 1.16018, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1590 negates the breakout
Loss of 1.16018 session low opens a deeper pullback
FOMC Wed Jun 17 is the dominant catalyst capping follow-through
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after pop · RSI 59 · price 1.16102
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback held.
EUR/USD gapped up to start the session and ran to 1.16173 as a softer dollar (Iran risk-on) capped USD near one-week lows. The pullback found demand at 1.16028 and price is back near 1.1610; RSI(14) ~59, momentum cooling but holding above the 1.1600 round number.
Support: 1.16028, 1.1600, 1.15903
Resistance: 1.16173
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.16000 round number would negate the breakout read
Break of 1.16173 session high opens room higher
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Gapped higher, now consolidating below session high.
Weekend gap higher on US-Iran risk-on; EUR/USD spiked to 1.16173 at the Asia open then settled into a tight 1.1602-1.1609 band. ATR is just ~7 pips and RSI has cooled off the push — low-volatility consolidation holding above the 1.1600 round number.
Support: 1.16018, 1.1600, 1.15735
Resistance: 1.16173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 reopens room higher
Loss of 1.16018 range floor exposes the 1.1600 psych level
Lagarde speech Mon 07:30 UTC could shift this read
00:15 UTC
Uptrend off the open, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.1604
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
EURUSD gapped higher into the new-week open and ran from 1.1573 to a 1.1617 session high, lifted by a soft dollar at one-week lows on Iran-deal risk-on. Price is now consolidating around 1.1604, holding the 1.1600 round number with RSI(14) easing off the rally peak.
Support: 1.1600, 1.15734
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 session high extends the open-rally leg
Loss of 1.1600 round number opens a retrace toward the 1.1573 open low
FOMC Wed Jun 17 is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
Thin-liquidity rally then consolidation under session high.
Thin Sunday/Asia open ripped from 1.1573 to a 1.16173 session high as the soft USD (Iran-deal risk-on) let EUR/USD clear the old 1.1580-1.1590 range floor. Price now consolidating around 1.1606 with RSI cooling off the highs; 1.1600 psych holding as near support.
Support: 1.1600, 1.16028, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16149, 1.16173
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.1600 keeps the breakout structure intact; failure back below 1.1590 negates it
Reclaim of 1.16173 session high reopens the move higher
Lagarde speech Mon 07:30 UTC and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
Breakout above 1.1590, now consolidating below the high.
EUR/USD opened the new session with a sharp leg from 1.1573 to 1.16173, breaking back above the 1.1580-1.1590 range floor as a softer dollar near one-week lows lent support. Price is now consolidating around 1.1606 with RSI(14) easing from the rally peak; the 1.16173 high caps and 1.16028 is holding.
Support: 1.16028, 1.1590, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1590 reopens the range floor and negates the breakout
Acceptance above 1.16173 opens the path to 1.1620
Lagarde speech Mon 07:30 UTC could shift this read