EUR/USD is coiling in the low 1.1430s late in the NY session on thin volume, holding the middle of the 1.1424–1.1452 intraday range flagged in the digest. Price rejected the 1.1444 swing high and drifted back toward EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 targets the 1.1452 session high
Break below 1.1424 session low opens broader range downside
ECB Jul 23 is the dominant risk that would reset this range read
20:46 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower late · RSI 45 · price 1.14363
Range-bound within intraday band.
EURUSD ranging 1.1424-1.1452 through the session, now slipping to 1.14363 into the late NY hours with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Rejection at 1.14421 capped the last push higher; price holding above the 1.14330 swing low, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14421, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14421 reopens the 1.14519 range top
Break below 1.14330 exposes the 1.14242 session low
20:31 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 1.14381
Consolidation off session low, mid-range.
EURUSD sold from 1.14519 to a 1.14242 double bottom mid-window, then recovered into a tight late-NY range around 1.1435-1.1442. Price now sits at the 50% retrace of that decline near 1.14381, RSI neutral and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional impulse into the session close.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14421, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14421 opens the path back to 1.14519
Failure to hold 1.14335 re-exposes the 1.14242 session low
EUR remains capped under the 1.1480 range top noted in wider context
20:31 UTC
Range, no directional bias · RSI 51 · price 1.14381
Consolidation inside 1.1424-1.1452.
EURUSD chopping around 1.1438 in late NY hours, hemmed inside a 1.1424-1.1452 band after rejection at the session high. Dip buyers absorbed the 1.1424 sweep earlier and price is now mid-range, RSI(14) flat near 50 with no impulse from in-line Eurozone HICP.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1452
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1452 opens a retest of the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.1424 confirms a lower-low and range downside
ECB Jul 23 is the next major catalyst for this pair
Consolidation between 1.1433 and 1.1442 after bounce.
EUR/USD clawed back from the 1.1424 session low into NY afternoon and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1433-1.1442 band, RSI(14) mid-range. In-line June HICP gave no fresh impulse, leaving price stalled below the recent 1.1442 high.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 opens the path to the 1.1452 prior high
Loss of 1.1433 swing low reopens the 1.1424 session low
Thin data stretch keeps ranges compressed absent a fresh catalyst
20:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 54 · price 1.14389
Range-bound, coiling mid-range.
EURUSD is grinding sideways in the 1.1424-1.1444 band into the late NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with no impulse from in-line June HICP. Price recovered off the 1.14242 swing low earlier and is stalling just under the 1.14440 recent high.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14440 opens the path to 1.14519 swing high
Break below 1.14242 swing low exposes 1.14050 range base
ECB Jul 23 decision is the dominant risk overhanging this range
EURUSD swept down to 1.14242 during the NY session then recovered, buyers stepping in twice around 1.1425 to form a double bottom. Price is back near the 61.8% retrace of that leg at ~1.1441, well inside the 1.1424–1.1452 range and consistent with the sideways consolidation flagged into next week's ECB hold.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14519 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.14335 swing low reopens the 1.14242 session low
Range top 1.1480 remains the broader cap into ECB Jul 23
EURUSD bounced off the 1.14242 session low and has clawed back to 1.14416 into late NY, holding inside the broader 1.1430-1.1480 consolidation flagged by the digest. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) near 57 and no momentum extreme; the 1.14440 swing high caps the recovery.
Support: 1.14335, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14440 opens the path to the 1.14519 session high
Failure to hold 1.14335 reopens the 1.14242 session low
19:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14378
Consolidation above session low after a slide.
EURUSD slid to a 1.14242 session low in the NY session then bounced, now coiling in a tight 1.1433–1.1440 band with RSI(14) flat near 48. Price stays capped well below the 1.1480 range top as EUR stays boxed into next week's ECB hold.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 reopens the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1433 swing low reopens the 1.14242 session low
No tier-1 EUR/USD data in the next 8h; ECB (Jul 23) is the week's catalyst
19:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14378
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
EURUSD sold off to a session low at 1.14242 before buyers recovered it back to 1.14440, and price is now coiling in a tight 1.14330-1.14400 band with sub-10-pip bars into the late session. In-line Eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse; RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with no momentum edge either way.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14330 reopens the 1.14242 session low
Reclaim of 1.14440 swing high needed to challenge 1.14519
Range is drifting into thin liquidity — expansion likely at next session open
19:31 UTC
Sideways, low volatility · RSI 51 · price 1.14358
Mid-range consolidation after recovery off lows.
EURUSD is grinding sideways around 1.1436 in a quiet late-NY session, boxed between the 1.14242 range low and the 1.14455 session high. Price recovered off the 1.14242 low earlier but stalled, and volume has thinned into the close with RSI(14) flat near 51 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 opens the path to the 1.14519 range high
Failure to hold 1.14330 puts the 1.14242 range low back in focus
ECB decision Thu could reset this consolidation
19:31 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.14358
Range, coiling near lows.
EURUSD drifted lower for a second day, capped near the 1.14519 session high and now coiling in a tight 1.14330–1.14370 band into late NY hours. RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with price pinned to EMA20; no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14330 opens the session low at 1.14242
Reclaim of 1.14420 puts the 1.14519 session high back in focus
Thin calendar — ECB Jul 23 is the next macro pivot for this range
19:17 UTC
Rangebound, drifting lower into late NY · RSI 44 · price 1.14351
Consolidation between session low and range top.
NY session drifted lower off the 1.14519 London high, with buyers stepping in twice near 1.14242 before a recovery stalled at the 1.14442 range top. Price now sits mid-range around 1.1435 on thinning late-session volume; in-line Eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.14242, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14242 confirms a lower-low and opens broader range down
Reclaim of 1.14442 puts the 1.14519 high back in play
Oil / US-Iran headlines the near-term swing factor into thin calendar
19:16 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.14351
Range compression after lower high.
EURUSD drifted lower through late NY hours to ~1.1435, capped under the 1.1444 swing high after tagging the 1.1452 session high earlier. Price is coiling on a range floor near 1.1433 above the 1.1424 session low, with RSI(14) mid-range and volume thinning into the close — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 session low confirms a lower-low and opens the broader range lower
Reclaim of the 1.1444 swing high needed to reopen the 1.1452 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into next week
NY session drifted lower into 1.1433 after a rejection at 1.14442, with the London session high 1.1452 still capping. In-line eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse; price idling near range lows into the close, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14330 opens the session low at 1.14242
Reclaim of 1.14442 puts the session high 1.14519 back in play
ECB decision Jul 23 is the dominant risk event ahead
19:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.14356
Range-bound, mid-range after failed push higher.
EURUSD is chopping in the 1.1433–1.1444 band into late NY hours, volume thinning to single digits on the last bar. The push to 1.1444 was rejected and price has drifted back to mid-range at 1.14356, sitting just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14438, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14242 session low opens the 1.1405 range floor flagged by desks
M15 close above 1.14438 swing high reopens a test of the 1.1451 session high
18:46 UTC
Mild pullback within range · RSI 44 · price 1.14357
Consolidating below session highs.
EURUSD drifting at 1.1436 in the NY afternoon, holding above the 1.1424 session low after rejection at the 1.1452 session high earlier. In-line June HICP gave no impulse; a firmer USD on safe-haven flows keeps rallies capped, price now grinding sideways with RSI mid-range and no setup in play.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1405 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14455 swing high needed to re-test 1.1452 session high
18:46 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower late NY · RSI 46 · price 1.14357
Consolidation inside session range.
EURUSD is grinding sideways around 1.1436 into the late NY session, capped below the 1.14416 recent high after failing to hold the earlier 1.14519 session high. Price bounced off the 1.14242 swing low mid-session and is now coiling in a tight range with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no directional impulse from in-line Eurozone HICP.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14416, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14330 opens a retest of the 1.14242 swing low
Close above 1.14416 puts the 1.14519 session high back in play
NY session drifting sideways between 1.1433 and 1.1442 after failing to reclaim the 1.14519 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR compressed to under 4 pips. EUR remains capped near the 1.1480 range top per the broader consolidation into next week's ECB, with no fresh impulse from in-line HICP.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14330 opens a retest of the 1.14242 day low
Reclaim of 1.14442 swing high needed to challenge the 1.14519 session high
EURUSD is ranging 1.1424-1.1451 through the NY session with price now drifting back into the lower half around 1.1436, in line with the sideways ~1.1430-1.1480 consolidation ahead of next week's ECB hold. Demand stepped in twice at 1.1424 (double bottom) while supply capped rallies near 1.1440; RSI(14) neutral around 46.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1451
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 breaks the double bottom and opens the 1.1405 pivot
Close above 1.1440 swing high reopens a test of the 1.1451 range top
18:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14346
Consolidation inside 1.1424-1.1451, lower highs late NY.
EURUSD ranging 1.1424-1.1451 and grinding lower into late NY hours, capped near 1.1442 as a firmer USD followed a beat on Michigan sentiment. Price rejected the 1.1442 recent high and is hugging the 1.1433 session low, RSI mid-40s with no momentum.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1451
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 confirms a lower low and extends the drift
Reclaim of 1.1442 recent high negates the downward drift within the range
18:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14346
Consolidation, lower highs into NY afternoon.
EURUSD is grinding lower through the NY afternoon, pinned in the broader 1.1420-1.1480 consolidation flagged by the ECB-hold backdrop. Price is holding just above 1.14330 after failing under a descending series of highs; session low at 1.14242 remains the last floor.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14330 opens a retest of the 1.14242 session low
Reclaim of 1.14440 negates the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD faded through the NY session, rejected at the 1.1444 lower high and drifting back toward the 1.1429 recent low with RSI(14) mid-range. USD held a safe-haven bid after strong Michigan sentiment, keeping the pair pinned below mid-1.1400s.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of the 1.14440 lower high neutralises the intraday downside
18:01 UTC
Drifting lower, ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.14336
Range in lower half, capped near 1.1445.
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1445-1.1452 highs through NY hours and is grinding back toward the session low at 1.1425, RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with no in-line calendar catalyst; move is contained in the digest's 1.1420-1.1465 range.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14455 needed to re-test the session high
ECB decision Thu is the key range-break risk, not imminent
EUR/USD drifted lower into the NY afternoon, capped at the 1.1452 session high and now leaning on the 1.1433 recent low, with USD firm on safe-haven/oil-driven flows. RSI(14) mid-40s and price below EMA20/50; still boxed in the broader 1.1425-1.1452 range.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14245
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14245 confirms a lower low out of the range
Reclaim of 1.14440 swing high shifts the intraday read back up
17:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 42 · price 1.14336
Capped below 1.1438, holding above session low.
EURUSD ranged 1.1424-1.1452 through the session, rejected at 1.14438 into the NY afternoon and slipping back toward 1.14336, RSI near 42. USD firm on safe-haven/oil-driven bid kept the pair pinned in mid-1.1400s after in-line Eurozone HICP offered no impulse.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14438, 1.1452
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low out of the range
Reclaim of 1.14438 puts the 1.14520 session high back in play
US-Iran headlines driving safe-haven USD flows could shift this read
17:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 44 · price 1.1435
Ranging 1.1424-1.1442 after failed push to 1.1451.
EUR/USD spent the NY session pinned in a 1.1424-1.1442 band after an earlier rejection at the 1.1451 swing high, with USD firm on the Michigan sentiment beat and safe-haven flows. Price is drifting back toward the lower half of the range into the close, RSI(14) near 44 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1451
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1442 reopens the 1.1451 swing high
Failure to hold 1.1424 exposes the 1.1405 range floor
No high-impact EUR/USD calendar risk in the next 8h; range likely holds
17:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 46 · price 1.1435
Consolidation between 1.1424 and 1.1452.
EURUSD is pinned in a 1.1424-1.1452 range through the NY session, now easing back to 1.1435 with a soft Michigan sentiment beat keeping USD firm. Recovery off the 1.1424 session low stalled at 1.1442 and price is slipping back into mid-range, no setup in play.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14445, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1424 session low opens the 1.1405 range floor
Close above 1.14445 swing high needed to retest 1.14519 session high
17:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower into late NY · RSI 44 · price 1.14341
Choppy range, recent lower highs.
EUR/USD drifted lower through NY hours, capped near 1.1440 and slipping under EMA20 as a USD safe-haven bid held per the market context. Price is mid-range, sitting on the 1.1430s after a mid-window rejection off the 1.1519 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower-low and extends the drift
Reclaim of 1.14440 swing high negates the late-session slide
17:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 44 · price 1.14341
Consolidation between 1.1425 and 1.1445 after selloff from 1.1452.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1452 into the 1.1424 session low mid-session, bounced to 1.1444 then faded back below both EMAs as NY winds down. Now pinned mid-range near 1.1434 with RSI sub-50; consistent with the digest's 1.1420-1.1465 pin ahead of next week's ECB.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 recent high reopens the 1.1452 session high
Loss of 1.1425 session low confirms a lower-low and extends the fade
Thin liquidity into the close can exaggerate moves either way
17:01 UTC
Sideways, no clear intraday direction · RSI 48 · price 1.14374
Range-bound between session low and mid-range.
EURUSD sold off from the 1.14519 London session high into a 1.14242 NY low, then recovered and is now drifting sideways near 1.14374 with RSI(14) neutral around 48. Price sits just under EMA20/50; consolidation matches the digest's 1.1420-1.1480 range read with no fresh catalyst.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14440 swing high reopens the 1.14519 session high
Loss of 1.14242 session low confirms a lower-low and extends the range floor toward 1.1420
EUR slipped under 1.1451 into the NY session on the safe-haven USD bid, then demand stepped in twice at 1.1424 to form a double bottom. Price now consolidating near 1.1438, roughly the 50% retrace of the 1.1451-1.1424 drop, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1451
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1405
Reclaim of 1.1444 puts the 1.1451 swing high back in play
16:46 UTC
Range, drifting sideways · RSI 48 · price 1.14385
Consolidation, holding above session low.
EURUSD slipped under 1.1450 through the NY session on the USD safe-haven bid, then based twice at 1.14242 to form a double bottom. Price has drifted back to mid-range near 1.1439 with RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play, still boxed 1.1424–1.1452.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 negates the double bottom and opens the 1.1405 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14455 prior high needed to challenge the 1.14519 session high
Range remains capped by the 1.1480 range top until broken
16:46 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 49 · price 1.14385
Range-bound, mid-range.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1424-1.1452 through the NY session, matching the broader 1.1420-1.1465 consolidation with EUR pinned as in-line Eurozone HICP gave no impulse. Price twice found demand near 1.1424 and now sits mid-range around 1.14385, RSI(14) neutral near 49. No structural setup in play.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 opens lower toward the 1.1405 pivot
M15 close above 1.1452 breaks the session range top
16:31 UTC
Sideways, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 1.14401
Range-bound intraday, recovered off session low.
EURUSD is ranging through the NY session between the 1.14242 session low and the 1.14519 session high, in line with the tight consolidation flagged in the EUR context. Buyers stepped in around 1.14242 twice and price has drifted back to mid-range near 1.14400 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14519 invalidates the range read and opens the 1.1480 zone
Loss of 1.14242 confirms a lower-low and range break lower
16:31 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14401
Consolidation, twice-tested base at 1.1424.
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1424-1.1452 range through the NY afternoon, matching the two-way EUR read into next week's ECB. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1424 to form a double bottom, and price has clawed back above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 breaks the base and opens a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1452 session high needed to challenge the range top
Thin EUR/USD calendar near-term; ECB Thu is the next material driver
16:16 UTC
Range, recovered off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.14388
Consolidation between 1.1424 and 1.1452.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.1424 through London hours and bounced back into the 1.1430-1.1452 consolidation; NY afternoon has price stalling near 1.1439 with RSI neutral. Session high at 1.1452 capped the recovery, still well inside the broader 1.1405-1.1480 range.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 double bottom opens the 1.1405 range pivot
Close above 1.1452 session high exposes the 1.1480 range top
EURUSD swept the session low at 1.1424 during NY hours then recovered to consolidate mid-range around 1.1439, RSI(14) back near neutral. Supply capped the bounce at 1.1444; the pair stays pinned inside the broader 1.1420-1.1480 consolidation as USD haven demand offsets EUR support.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 opens the path to session high 1.1452
Failure to hold 1.1424 session low confirms a lower low
ECB rate decision Thu could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.14386
Consolidation, double bottom off session low.
EURUSD ranged through the NY session, with a double bottom at the session low near 1.1424 sparking a recovery to the 1.1442 swing high before easing back to 1.1439. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and price sits mid-range as EUR consolidates ahead of next week's ECB.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14442 swing high needed to re-test session high 1.14519
ECB decision Jul 23 is the dominant upcoming risk for this pair
16:01 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.14386
Consolidation between 1.1424 and 1.1452.
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1424-1.1452 range through the NY session, holding the digest's 1.1420-1.1465 consolidation into next week's ECB. Buyers stepped in at 1.1424 session low and price recovered to mid-range near 1.1439; RSI(14) flat around 52, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14438, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low and range extension
Break above 1.14438 reopens the 1.14519 session high
Oil / Hormuz headlines could jolt this pin ahead of Jul 23 ECB
15:46 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.14382
Consolidation between session high and low.
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1425–1.1445 range through the NY session, pinned in consolidation as firm oil-driven USD offsets EUR. Price recovered off the 1.14242 session low but stalled ahead of the 1.14442 range top; RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.14307, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14442, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 opens the path toward 1.1405
Reclaim of 1.14442 puts the 1.14519 session high back in play
Oil / US-Iran headlines the swing factor while ECB (Jul 23) sits ahead
15:46 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 53 · price 1.14382
Consolidation between 1.1425 and 1.1452.
EURUSD ranging 1.1425-1.1452 through the session, price back at 1.1438 after buyers stepped in at the 1.1425 range low. RSI(14) neutral near 53; move is chop, no setup in play as the pair stays pinned in its 1.1420-1.1465 band into next week's ECB.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens the path back toward 1.1405
Close above 1.1444 reopens the 1.1452 range high
15:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 54 · price 1.14416
Range, bounce from double bottom near 1.1425.
NY session dug out a low at 1.14242, matching an earlier print near 1.1426 for a double bottom, and price has since ground back to 1.14416 with RSI(14) neutral around 54. EUR remains pinned in the 1.1425-1.1465 consolidation flagged into next week's ECB; the 1.14438 recent high caps the recovery for now.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14438, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low and risks the 1.1405 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14519 session high needed to press range top
ECB decision Jul 23 is the dominant risk hanging over this range
15:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 56 · price 1.14416
Consolidation within intraday range, recovering off session low.
EURUSD chopping inside 1.1424-1.1465, in line with the pre-ECB consolidation. Session low at 1.14242 was swept then bought back to 1.14416, with RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s to 56; range remains intact.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1429
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 range top opens a retest of 1.14519 session high
Loss of 1.14242 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Oil / US-Iran headlines could shift this two-way read quickly
15:17 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14398
Range 1.1424-1.1452, higher low forming.
NY afternoon: EUR/USD bounced off a triple-tested 1.1424 session low and has climbed back to mid-range near 1.1440, RSI(14) neutral around 54. Pair remains gridlocked in the 1.1424-1.1452 band, consistent with the digest's ECB-week two-way trade; no calendar catalyst in the next few hours.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14438, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 confirms a lower low and opens the range base
Reclaim of 1.1452 and then 1.1519 needed to challenge the session high
15:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.14398
Consolidation, higher low after session-low sweep.
NY session swept the session low near 1.1424 twice before buyers recovered price to 1.1444, now consolidating back at 1.1440. In-line June HICP gave no fresh EUR impetus, leaving the pair gridlocked mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.14438, 1.14513
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14438 opens the path back toward the 1.14513 session high
Failure to hold 1.14242 confirms a fresh lower low
EUR/USD ground sideways through the NY session, pinned around the 1.1445 pivot after in-line June HICP gave no fresh impetus. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1424 to form a double bottom, and the recovery to 1.1444 has since faded back to 1.1439 — still boxed in the 1.1424–1.1451 range.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1451
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1451 opens the 1.1465–1.1520 zone
Failure to hold 1.1424 exposes the 1.1405 range-break trigger
ECB decision next week is the dominant EUR catalyst
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1424–1.1452 band through the NY session; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1424 to form a double bottom, and price has recovered to the 1.1445 pivot before easing to 1.1439. In-line June HICP gave no fresh EUR impetus and a firmer USD keeps the pair pinned, RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14519, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1405
Reclaim of 1.1452 puts the 1.1465 cap back in play
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst; range likely holds into it
14:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.14413
Bounce from 1.1425 base into 1.1445 pivot.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.1425 through the NY session and has recovered to 1.1441, now pressing the 1.1445 pivot with RSI(14) near 61. In-line June HICP gave no fresh impetus; price remains inside the 1.1420–1.1465 consolidation band.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 pivot opens the 1.1452 session high
Failure to hold 1.1425 session low re-exposes 1.1405 range trigger
Thin US calendar leaves oil/geopolitics as the near-term swing factor
14:46 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.14413
Consolidation band, double bottom at session low.
EUR/USD pinned in the 1.1420–1.1465 consolidation band, flatlined by in-line HICP and a firmer USD. NY session dipped to a session low at 1.1424 twice, buyers stepped in both times, and price is grinding back toward the 1.1445 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 session low reopens 1.1405 range floor
Reclaim of the 1.1445 pivot puts the 1.1465 range top back in play
Thin US/EU calendar keeps oil and US-Iran headlines the near-term driver
14:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling, bouncing off base · RSI 51 · price 1.14363
Double-bottom base near 1.1424 after leg down from 1.1452.
EURUSD sold off through NY hours to a double-bottom base at 1.1424, then clawed back toward 1.1436 with RSI(14) recovering to ~51. Move fits the two-way, USD-firm read; pair remains pinned inside the 1.1424–1.1452 band with the mid-1.1400s cap intact.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1429
Resistance: 1.14407, 1.14465, 1.14516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
EURUSD carved a double bottom at the 1.14242 session low and bounced into the NY session after in-line Michigan sentiment, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) back at neutral ~50. Rally stalled at the 1.14407 recent high; still boxed in the 1.14242–1.14460 range.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14242
Resistance: 1.14407, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14407 opens the 1.14460 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14290 swing low reopens the 1.14242 session low
14:17 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.14369
Double bottom at session low, recovery attempt.
London-NY transition sold EURUSD from 1.1452 down to a 1.1424 double bottom, where buyers stepped in twice; the pair has since recovered to 1.1437, back above EMA20 but still under EMA50. In-line June HICP gave no fresh EUR impetus, leaving price pinned in the 1.1420–1.1465 consolidation band.
Support: 1.14242, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.14415, 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 negates the down leg and reopens the session high
Loss of 1.14242 confirms a lower low toward 1.1405 range-break trigger
Range with lower highs, defended base near 1.1425.
EURUSD slid through NY hours to a session low of 1.14242, where buyers stepped in on three touches near 1.1425, and price has recovered ~13 pips to 1.14369 as Michigan sentiment landed. Still pinned in the 1.1420-1.1455 band the ECB-USD digest flags around the 1.1445 pivot; rally capped below the 1.14455 swing high.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
Reclaim of 1.14455 swing high opens the 1.14519 session high
US-Iran / oil headlines into the weekend could shift risk tone
EUR/USD sold off through the London afternoon to a session low at 1.14242 before buyers stepped in twice near 1.1425, lifting price back to 1.14367. In-line June HICP removed a catalyst and a firm USD kept the pair defensive; recovery is now testing the EMA20 with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 opens a retest of the 1.14519 session high
Failure to hold 1.14242 confirms a fresh lower low
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) just released — can shift the USD leg
14:01 UTC
Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.14367
Consolidation, session low held twice.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session to a 1.14242 session low, held twice, then recovered to 1.14367 — HICP printing exactly in line removed the near-term catalyst, keeping the 1.1420-1.1465 grind intact. RSI(14) back near neutral, price reclaiming EMA20 but still under EMA50.
Support: 1.14242, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 swing high opens 1.14519 session high
Loss of 1.14242 session low signals a lower-low and range return
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations could shift the USD leg
Lower highs into NY, double bottom forming at 1.1424.
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY transition, printing a double bottom at 1.1424 with RSI(14) lifting off 40 as the last bar bounced to 1.1432. Price sits below EMA20/50 with USD firm on safe-haven flows; the mid-1.1400s pivot at 1.1440 caps the recovery so far.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1424 breaks the double bottom and opens 1.1405 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1440 pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read within the next bars
EURUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking below the 1.1435-1.1445 band and sweeping the session low at 1.14242 before a modest bounce to 1.14322. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; still capped under the 1.14350 pivot as EUR grinds ahead of next week's ECB.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14350 negates the latest lower high
Close below 1.14242 opens the 1.1405 range floor
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows since London-NY transition.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY morning, breaking the 1.1435 shelf and printing fresh session lows at 1.14242 with price parked just above it. In-line Eurozone HICP gave no impulse while a firm dollar on safe-haven flows kept the pair capped; RSI(14) near 37, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14340 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14200 opens the wider range floor
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows into NY · RSI 38 · price 1.14253
Descending highs, session low being probed.
NY session extended the lower-low chain from the 1.14519 London high down to a session low of 1.14242, with USD firm on safe-haven flows and the strong prior-day jobless claims. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — soft, not yet oversold — and ATR around 6 pips.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14405, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14340 swing high would break the descending-highs structure
Loss of 1.14242 session low opens the 1.14200 psych level
Late-NY liquidity thinning could compress the range
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 40 · price 1.14284
Lower highs into fresh session low.
NY session drifting lower, EUR/USD pinned near the 1.1424 session low after final Eurozone HICP came in exactly in line and gave no fresh impulse. Sequence of lower highs off 1.1452, RSI(14) mid-30s with price below EMA20/50. USD holding firm on safe-haven flows keeps the pair pressed to the base of the range.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 opens the 1.1405 breakdown level
Reclaim of 1.1445 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14284
Lower highs, breakdown from 1.1430s.
NY session broke below the 1.1430s consolidation and printed a session low at 1.14242, price now hovering just above it. In-line Eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse while a firm USD keeps EUR/USD pinned to the lower end of the 1.1420-1.1465 band.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14345, 1.14415
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 opens the 1.1420 psych area
Reclaim of 1.14345 negates the intraday breakdown
UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend into range floor · RSI 43 · price 1.14296
Lower highs, base building at lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through London hours toward the 1.1420-1.1465 range floor, printing a double bottom near 1.1424 after in-line Eurozone HICP gave no impulse and a firm dollar capped rebounds. Price sits at session lows with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 1.1435 swing has capped bounces.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 confirms a range breakdown
Reclaim of 1.1435 needed to ease downside pressure
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
13:02 UTC
Intraday drift lower within range · RSI 42 · price 1.14296
Lower highs, probing range floor.
NY session grinding lower toward the 1.1425 range floor after final Eurozone HICP landed in line and gave no impulse; USD stayed firm on the safe-haven bid. Lower highs since the 1.1451 London push, RSI(14) mid-40s with price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14246, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14513
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14246 opens the 1.1405 breakdown level
Reclaim of 1.1440 needed to relieve the lower-high pressure
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could break the range
EUR slid through the London session to a fresh session low at 1.14242, breaking below the 1.1435 pivot as a firmer USD drew safe-haven bid; in-line Eurozone HICP gave no counter. RSI(14) near 32, momentum stretched but not yet extreme after the drop from the 1.14516 session high.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14345, 1.14455, 1.14516
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.14242 opens the path toward the 1.1405 range base
Reclaim of the 1.14345 pivot would stall the lower-low sequence
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.14246
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking session floor.
EURUSD slid through the session to a fresh low at 1.14246 as USD drew a safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines; price is trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s, not yet oversold. In-line Eurozone HICP gave the euro no counter, and the last bars broke the recent 1.1430 shelf.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14455
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.14340 negates the lower-low read
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~75m out) could accelerate USD flow
Loss of 1.14200 opens the path toward the 1.1405 range floor
EUR/USD drifted lower through NY hours, printing a session low at 1.14242 as the USD firmed on the jobless-claims beat, then bounced to consolidate around 1.14325 below both EMAs. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 — no extreme; two lows at 1.14242/1.14259 held before the recovery.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14455
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim above 1.14455 negates the downtrend read
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, minor recovery off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14325
Lower highs into session low, bounce underway.
NY session slid to a session low of 1.1424 as the USD held firm on the jobless-claims beat and safe-haven flows; EUR gave no fresh catalyst after in-line HICP. Price is recovering toward the 1.1440 EMA20 zone with RSI cooling off oversold, still capped below the descending lower highs.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1424 opens 1.1420
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove EUR down to a session low of 1.14242 before a shallow recovery to the mid-1.1430s, price now sitting at 1.14317 below both EMAs. In-line Eurozone HICP gave no fresh euro catalyst; consolidation below the mid-1.1400s persists as the USD stays firm.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14357, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14357 needed to challenge the descending highs
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, second leg lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14317
Range break lower, drifting off session low.
EURUSD lost the 1.1435 range floor into the NY session and printed a session low at 1.1426 before a shallow bounce to 1.1432; RSI(14) mid-40s, no divergence. In-line Eurozone HICP gave no fresh euro catalyst while a firm USD on the jobless-claims beat keeps price pinned below prior support.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.1440 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1426 opens the 1.1405 range floor
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.1436 range floor to a session low of 1.1424 as a firm USD bid dominated. Price has since clipped back to 1.1431 but sits below the broken level; lower highs into NY keep the intraday tone heavy.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1436
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1436 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.1424 session low opens the 1.1400 psych level
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 1.14242 as a firm USD on safe-haven flows kept the pair capped. A shallow bounce stalled below 1.14357; RSI(14) mid-40s, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14357, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14357 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14242 exposes the 1.14200 round number
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the mid-1.1400s consolidation and sweeping to a session low of 1.14242 before a modest bounce to 1.14327. In-line final Eurozone core HICP (2.4% YoY) gave no fresh impulse; RSI(14) near 42 with price capped under falling EMAs.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14400 would neutralise the lower-high structure
Loss of 1.14242 confirms continuation toward the 1.1420 round number
US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY transition, breaking the intraday range to a session low of 1.14242 before a modest bounce to 1.14327, RSI(14) recovering off the low-40s. Move fits a firm, safe-haven-bid USD; in-line Eurozone core HICP gave EUR no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14401, 1.14455
What it said to watch
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14401 negates the breakdown and reopens the mid-1.1400s
EUR/USD broke to a fresh session low at 1.14259 during NY hours as a firmer USD (safe-haven bid, strong jobless claims) pressured the pair. A small bounce to 1.14311 followed off the low with RSI(14) near 40; the broken 1.1440 pivot now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1440 negates the lower-low break
Failure to hold 1.1426 opens further downside
UoM Consumer Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.14311
Lower highs, lower lows; broke mid-1.1400s.
EUR/USD sold through the mid-1.1400s during NY hours on a firmer, safe-haven USD, printing a session low at 1.14242 before a shallow bounce to 1.1431. RSI(14) near 33 and price capped under EMA20/50, with the broken 1.1440 shelf now acting as resistance.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1445
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.1440 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14242 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 1.14282
Range break lower, new session low.
EURUSD broke below the multi-hour 1.14390-1.14520 range during the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 1.14242 as the USD held a safe-haven bid. RSI(14) cooling into the low-30s but not yet at an extreme; ATR ~5 pips.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14390 negates the range break
UoM Consumer Sentiment 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.14282
Lower highs, broke below intraday range.
EUR/USD slid through the London session, breaking the 1.1440 range base and printing a fresh session low at 1.14242 as a firmer USD held its safe-haven bid. RSI(14) cooling near 37 after the drop; the mid-1.1400s that capped rallies now sits overhead as resistance.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 1.14400 range base invalidates the breakdown read
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.14242 session low opens the path toward 1.14200 psych
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14274
Lower highs / lower lows, breaking the 1.1440 shelf.
EUR/USD ground lower for a second day, slicing below the 1.1440 shelf into NY hours to print a fresh low at 1.1426 as a firmer, safe-haven USD kept the pair heavy. RSI(14) sub-35 with ATR near 5 pips; no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim above 1.1440 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 1.1426 opens the 1.1400 psych level
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1440-1.1445 consolidation into the NY session and printed a fresh low at 1.14259 as a firmer USD pressured the pair. RSI(14) cooling near 30, approaching oversold but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14259, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1440 would invalidate the breakdown read
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session drifted lower and broke the 1.1435 support toward a session low at 1.1431, EUR/USD pressured by a firmer USD on Mideast safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 35, not yet oversold; 1.1431 has held twice, echoing the earlier 1.14309 low.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14513
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14400 negates the breakdown and eyes 1.14513
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD broke the 1.1436-1.1440 consolidation and printed a fresh session low at 1.14307 as the USD stayed firm on Mideast safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 35 confirms downside momentum without reaching oversold; a clean lower-high chain from the 1.14519 session high remains intact.
Support: 1.14307, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14402, 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14402 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14307 confirms continuation lower
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 42 · price 1.1433
Lower highs, session low broken.
EURUSD slid through the 1.1435 support into the London-NY window, printing a fresh session low at 1.1431 on the last bar as the USD held firm on Mideast/oil-driven Fed-hike bets. Price ranged 1.1435-1.1451 through NY before the late break lower; RSI(14) near 42, still below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1451
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 1.1431 opens the 1.1400 psych area
EUR/USD slid to the session low near 1.1431 after being rejected around 1.1452, price now below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at ~40. Pair stays pinned sub-1.1460 as the USD holds a safe-haven bid on Mideast/oil headlines.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1431 confirms a lower low toward 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.1445 would neutralise the downside pressure
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:17 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 44 · price 1.14396
Range-bound intraday.
EUR/USD ranging 1.1435–1.1452 with price back below EMA20 and RSI mid-40s, holding sub-1.1460 for a second day as a firm USD caps upside. Recovery off 1.1435 stalled into the 1.1452 session high; no structural break in play.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14354 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1431 swing
Reclaim of 1.14519 breaks the session range top
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.14396
Consolidation 1.1431-1.1452, fading off session high.
EURUSD is boxed in a 1.1431-1.1452 range, pinned sub-1.1460 for a second day as a firmer USD caps upside. London pushed to a 1.1452 session high then faded back to 1.1440, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s with price back under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1452 opens the path back toward 1.1465
Failure to hold 1.1435 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1431 swing
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this range
10:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.14383
Lower highs, base building near 1.1435.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1465 to 1.1431 through the Asian and early London hours as the USD stayed firm on Mideast/oil-driven inflation fears, then settled into a 1.1435–1.1452 range. Price is back mid-range at 1.1438, capped by lower highs with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.14355, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14355 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.14309
Reclaim of 1.14520 needed to break the lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Sideways after earlier decline · RSI 45 · price 1.14383
Range-bound, mid-range chop.
EUR/USD chopping around 1.1438 through the London session, pinned sub-1.1460 for a second day as a firmer USD caps the pair. Price pulled back from the 1.14519 session high and is drifting mid-range, RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.14342, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.14519 breaks the session range top
Break below 1.14309 confirms a lower low
09:46 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14381
Range capped near 1.1452, rolling toward 1.1435.
London session pushed to 1.14519 then faded, price now sliding back toward the 1.1435 support with RSI mid-range. EUR remains pinned sub-1.1460 for a second day as the USD firms on Mideast-driven inflation fears; move stalled at the recent-high band and rolled over.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14354 opens the 1.14309 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14455 needed to re-test the 1.14519 session high
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Range after early decline · RSI 45 · price 1.14381
Consolidation between 1.1431 and 1.1452.
EUR/USD pinned sub-1.1460 for a second day, chopping between 1.1431 and 1.1452 through the London session as a firm USD caps upside. NY buyers were rejected at 1.1451 earlier and price has drifted back to 1.1438; RSI(14) neutral near 45, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1451, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1451 would extend the intraday bounce toward mid-1.1450s
Close below 1.1431 confirms a lower low out of the range
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the read
09:31 UTC
Sideways after earlier decline · RSI 46 · price 1.14405
Consolidation, mid-range.
EURUSD is boxed between the session low at 1.14354 and the session high at 1.14519, drifting near 1.1440 after firm US jobless claims (208K vs 217K) kept the dollar bid. London session has developed no directional break; RSI(14) hovers mid-range around 46.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14354 exposes the 1.14309 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14519 opens the path toward the 1.1460 pivot
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could break this range
09:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 45 · price 1.14405
Consolidation above 1.1435 after leg lower.
EUR/USD drifted lower through the Asian/London hours on a firm dollar (jobless claims 208K beat), bottoming at 1.1431 before a London-session bounce to 1.1451. Price is now consolidating near 1.1440 with RSI(14) mid-range and EMAs capping above; the 1.1435-1.1452 band holds the action.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309, 1.14262
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.14461, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14519 opens path back toward 1.1460 pivot
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a lower-low and resumes the leg down
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the dollar bid
09:16 UTC
Range, faded from London high · RSI 43 · price 1.14381
Consolidation below 1.1452 after rejection.
London open pushed EURUSD to 1.14519 before sellers rejected it, fading price back to 1.1438 as a firm dollar (208K claims beat) capped upside. RSI(14) cooling near 43; pair coiling in the 1.1435-1.1452 band with no clean break in play.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.14519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14354 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14519 needed to reopen upside
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14381
Lower highs, coiling near session lows.
EURUSD drifting lower through the NY morning, capped at 1.14513 before rolling back toward 1.14380 as the firm dollar (claims 208K vs 217K) weighs. Sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 1.1435 session low is the immediate structural pivot into UoM sentiment.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14513
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14513 breaks the lower-high sequence
UoM Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 45 · price 1.14414
Faded from session high into 1.1440 pivot.
London session pushed up to a session high at 1.14519 then faded back to the 1.1440 pivot the digest flags, with a firm USD (jobless claims 208K) capping upside. RSI(14) mid-range near 45, ATR ~5 pips — price consolidating without a clean setup.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14342
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14519 reopens the upside toward prior high 1.14685
Failure to hold the 1.1440 pivot signals USD dominance back toward 1.14342 swing low
US UoM sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
London bounce tagged 1.14519 then faded back to 1.1441 as the USD stayed firm after the 208K jobless-claims beat. Price is drifting inside a 1.1435-1.1452 range, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14519
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this range
Failure to hold 1.14354 opens the 1.14309 range low
Close above 1.14519 reclaims the London high
08:47 UTC
Sideways, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14414
Range between session low and 1.1452.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1431 session low through the London morning to tag 1.1452, then eased back to the 1.1440 pivot where it is now consolidating. USD firm on the 208K jobless-claims beat keeps EUR capped near the pivot; RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1452 session high reopens the path to the 1.1470 prior high
Loss of 1.1431 session low confirms a lower-low
UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Range-bound, drifting to pivot · RSI 47 · price 1.14414
Balanced range 1.1435-1.1452.
EURUSD is pinned in a tight 1.1435-1.1452 band through the London session, exactly the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot flagged into next week's ECB. The recent up-leg off 1.1435 to the 1.1452 session high has retraced back into the 1.1440 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 47 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14353, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1440 pivot opens the 1.14353 swing low
Close above 1.14519 session high breaks the range top
UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break this range in the NY session
EURUSD drifted from 1.1467 to a session low at 1.14309 as the USD firmed on the 208K jobless-claims beat, then chopped back into a 1.1435–1.1452 range. A push to 1.14519 in early London was rejected and price is back at 1.1440, RSI(14) near neutral.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.14465 puts the 1.14519 session high back in play
US Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range
08:31 UTC
Range after prior slide, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14402
Consolidation between 1.1431 and 1.1452.
London push to the 1.1452 session high was rejected and price faded back to 1.1440, RSI(14) cooling near mid. EUR/USD stays pinned in a 1.1431-1.1452 range as firm USD (jobless claims 208K) caps upside into the ECB.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14519 session high opens the path higher
Loss of 1.14309 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break this range
08:17 UTC
Range-bound, mild down drift · RSI 43 · price 1.14379
Consolidation between session extremes.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1431-1.1452 through the London session, pinned near the digest's 1.1440 pivot. An early-London push to the 1.14519 session high was rejected and price has slipped back to 1.1438, with RSI(14) neutral near 42 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.14342, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Eurozone final HICP at 09:00 UTC could break this tight range
Close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14519 reopens the upside
08:16 UTC
Range, edging lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14379
London push to 1.1452 rejected, back inside range.
London open pushed EUR/USD to a session high at 1.14519 then rejected, price now back near the range base around 1.1438 as the firm dollar (208K claims) caps upside. RSI(14) cooling near 41, sitting below EMA20/50 with the 1.1434-1.1452 range still intact.
Support: 1.14342, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Eurozone final Core HICP at 09:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
M15 close below 1.14342 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1431
Reclaim of 1.14460 puts the 1.1452 session high back in play
EURUSD sold from 1.1466 to a session low at 1.14309 through the prior US session as USD firmed on the 208K jobless claims beat, then based through Asia and lifted to 1.14519 on the London open before easing to 1.14461. Higher lows since the low keep the recovery intact but momentum has cooled, RSI(14) back near mid-range.
Support: 1.1439, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14390 reopens the 1.14309 session low
Break above 1.14519 london high extends the recovery leg
Core HICP 09:00 UTC and Cipollone 10:00 UTC could shift EUR tone
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
EURUSD held the 1.1440 pivot cited by the desk and pushed up to a session high of 1.14519 into the London open, RSI(14) neutral near 57. Price has since eased back to 1.14461, keeping the recent 1.14309-1.14519 range intact with USD firm on the 208K jobless claims beat.
Support: 1.1444, 1.14355, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Eurozone final Core HICP at 09:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 1.14519 opens the path back toward 1.14685
Failure to hold 1.14440 exposes 1.14355 and the 1.14309 session low
07:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 53 · price 1.14466
Higher lows from 1.1431 base, capped at session high.
EUR based at 1.1431 through the Asian range and ground back up through London, tagging a session high at 1.1452 before easing to 1.1446. USD stayed firm after the 208K jobless claims beat, keeping the 1.1440 pivot the near-term battleground; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1452 opens the path back toward 1.1470
Failure to hold the 1.1440 pivot risks a retest of the 1.1431 swing low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London push lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1431 session low and broke the tight Asian range, tagging 1.14519 before easing back to the 1.1440 pivot. RSI(14) mid-50s, momentum cooling as price consolidates just above EMA20/50; the 1.1440 area cited by the broader EUR read remains the near-term hinge.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14400 reopens the 1.14309 session low
Close above 1.14519 extends the London leg toward 1.14685
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Core HICP final at 09:00 UTC is an imminent EUR catalyst
EUR spent yesterday grinding down to a 1.14309 session low, then consolidated in a 1.1435-1.1445 range overnight. London morning broke above that range to a 1.14519 session high before easing to 1.1448; buyers have stepped in on the recovery. Price now sits below the 1.1460 pivot flagged into the ECB.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14519 session high opens the path to the 1.1460 ecb pivot
Loss of 1.1440 range reopens the 1.14309 session low
Final Eurozone HICP at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
London session lifted EURUSD off the 1.1440 base to a session high at 1.1452, price now easing to 1.1448 with RSI(14) mid-range. Move fits the EUR consolidation between the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot into next week's ECB; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1435 through the Asian range.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1460 ecb pivot extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.1440 reopens the 1.14309 swing low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:17 UTC
Recovering off overnight base · RSI 60 · price 1.14485
Range break attempt higher.
London bid lifted EURUSD off the overnight 1.1435-1.1445 range to a session high at 1.14519, RSI(14) around 60. The recovery follows the firm US jobless claims that had pinned EUR into the 1.1440 area yesterday; the 1.1460 pivot into next week's ECB caps the upside for now.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1460 pivot opens continuation toward prior highs
Failure to hold 1.1435 range base returns price toward 1.14309 swing low
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD leaked through the Asian range to 1.1431 overnight before carving a base and lifting to 1.1452 in the London morning, with the dollar still firm after the 208K US claims beat. Price now sits above EMA20/50 with RSI at 61; the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot zone caps for now.
Support: 1.14355, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1460 pivot opens the path toward 1.1490
Failure to hold the 1.14355 base reopens the 1.14309 swing low
Final Eurozone HICP 09:00 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Recovering off range lows, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.14505
Range base with rising intraday lows.
EURUSD spent most of the window basing between 1.1431 and 1.1445 before pushing up through the consolidation into early London, printing a session high at 1.14516 with RSI(14) near 63. Price is now testing the lower half of the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot zone that has capped the pair on soft US data offset by resilient jobless claims.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14516, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14600 opens the path back up the pivot zone
Failure to hold 1.14360 reopens the 1.14309 day low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 1.14505
Range with recent higher lows.
EURUSD chopped in a 1.1431-1.1445 range through the Asian session then pushed higher into the London open, tagging 1.1451 with RSI(14) firming into the mid-60s. Move fits the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot buyers have defended ahead of Eurozone final HICP and the 23 Jul ECB.
Support: 1.14356, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14516, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1460 opens the top of the pivot zone
Failure to hold 1.1435 reopens the 1.1431 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the dollar bid
06:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.14487
Consolidation broken to the upside into London open.
EUR/USD ground down through the Asian session to a 1.14309 low, then based around 1.1435 before the London open lifted it clear of 1.1445 to the session high at 1.14513. RSI(14) near 63 confirms the short-term push, with EUR firm on the crosses ahead of today's final HICP.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14513, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14513 opens the 1.1460 pivot cap
Loss of 1.14360 negates the recovery and re-exposes 1.14309
Eurozone final HICP 09:00 UTC could reprice the move
06:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 1.14487
Range base broken to upside.
EURUSD sold from 1.1476 to a 1.1431 session low, then based in a 1.1434-1.1446 range through the Asian session. London-morning push broke that range to 1.14513 and pulled back to 1.14487, RSI(14) firming near 62 with price back above EMA20/50. Move sits inside the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot flagged into today's HICP.
Support: 1.14446, 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14513, 1.1458, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14513 opens the path to 1.14580
Failure to hold the 1.14446 breakout base returns price into the 1.1434 range
Eurozone final Core HICP 09:00 UTC and US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, recovery in play · RSI 61 · price 1.14477
Range with higher lows off session low.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1470 to a session low at 1.14309 through the London-NY hours, then based and ground back up to 1.14510 in quiet Asian trade. Price is pushing the top of the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot zone flagged into today's HICP, RSI(14) around 61 and ATR compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1451, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14510 opens the path back to the 1.14685 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14340 re-exposes the 1.14309 session low
Eurozone final Core HICP 09:00 UTC and Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD carved a base near 1.1431 through the Asian session and pushed back up into the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot flagged around today's HICP, last bar tagging 1.1451 before easing to 1.14477. RSI(14) mid-range at ~58 with room, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1451, 1.1457
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1451 opens the path to the 1.1457 pivot zone
Loss of 1.1435 range base reopens the 1.14309 session low
Eurozone final HICP 09:00 UTC could shift this read
06:17 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 56 · price 1.14463
Consolidation near session lows after a down leg.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1470 to a 1.1431 swing low through the window then coiled in a 1.1434-1.1446 consol base as firmer USD on strong US jobless claims capped the euro. Last two bars pushed to 1.1446 off the base with RSI recovering toward mid-range; the session high at 1.1448 still caps.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14479 opens the 1.1457 recovery zone
Failure to hold 1.14340 consol base exposes the 1.14309 swing low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Down then basing, recovering · RSI 56 · price 1.14463
Range after downswing, testing range top.
London session; EUR/USD is recovering off the 1.14309 session low back toward the 1.14479 prior high after basing around 1.14360 through the Asian range. The last bars pushed out of the tight 1.1436-1.1441 consolidation, consistent with the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot zone as USD stays firm on resilient US data. RSI(14) near 56, no extreme.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14479 opens the path back toward 1.14520
Loss of 1.14360 base reopens the 1.14309 session low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend paused, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14404
Consolidation after NY-session decline.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1476 to a 1.1431 session low as firmer US data (208K claims, Philly Fed blowout) and Mideast risk aversion bid the dollar. Since then price has coiled in a tight 1.1436-1.1448 range through Asia into the London open, with a small uptick to 1.1443 in the last hour; RSI(14) sits neutral near 51.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1448 range top opens the 1.1457 recovery zone
break below 1.1431 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.14404
Tight range after leg lower into session low.
EURUSD chopping between 1.1434 and 1.1447 into the London morning after yesterday's NY-driven slide to 1.14309, as firmer US data (208K claims, Philly Fed beat) underpinned the dollar. RSI(14) flat near 51; no directional structure in play, range top at 1.14465 still capping.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 breaks the consolidation range higher
Loss of 1.14309 extends the prior lower-low sequence
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:47 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.14409
Consolidation after intraday decline.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1476 through the London-NY session toward 1.1431 as firmer US data (208K claims, blowout Philly Fed) underpinned the dollar. Asian session since has coiled into a tight 1.1434-1.1447 range with ATR compressed near 4 pips; last bar ticked to 1.1443 before settling, RSI(14) neutral around 55.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 opens a push toward the 1.14535 swing high
Break below 1.14340 exposes the 1.14309 swing low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break the range
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.14409
Based after session-low sweep, ranging near lows.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1476 through the London-NY session into a low of 1.14309, then stalled and has consolidated in a tight 1.1436-1.1446 band with USD firm on strong US claims and Philly Fed. RSI(14) neutral near 52; last bar poked to 1.14432 but closed back at 1.14409, keeping the range intact.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 opens the path toward 1.14520
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this range
05:32 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14379
Tight range after NY selloff.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1476 down to 1.14309, then price coiled into a tight 1.1434–1.1446 range through late NY and the Asian session. Now hovering near 1.1438 into the London open, RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.14342, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 resumes the lower-low sequence
M15 close above 1.14465 breaks the Asian range top
UoM Consumer Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 45 · price 1.14379
Consolidating above session low.
EURUSD drifted lower through the window from 1.1476 into the low-1.1430s, then went sideways in a tight 1.1435-1.1447 band through the quiet Asian session as the USD steadied on strong claims and Philly Fed. RSI sits neutral near 45, ATR compressed to ~4 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14655
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1431 confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close above 1.1447 breaks the range top
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.1436
Tight Asian range after a session decline.
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY window from 1.1476 to 1.1431, then coiled into a tight Asian range near 1.1434-1.1447 with ATR compressing to ~4 pips. Price sits in the lower half of that range at 1.1436, below EMA20/50, consistent with the digest's steady-USD, EUR-capped-near-1.1460 read.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14465 range top reopens the upside toward 1.1468
Break of 1.14309 session low confirms continuation of the decline
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the Asian range
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.1436
Lower highs, grinding near session lows.
EURUSD drifted lower off the 1.14759 early high, with the session low at 1.14309 holding on a dip late in the London-NY prior run; the bounce to 1.14479 faded and price is now grinding back near the lows around 1.1436. RSI sits in the low 40s with no oversold signal, ATR near 6 pips. Move fits the digest's steady-USD, capped-EUR read below 1.1460.
Support: 1.14342, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.14465
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14309 opens a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14479 needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB Cipollone speech 10:00 UTC could shift EUR tone
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14361
Lower highs, drifting into session low.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1476 to 1.14309 through the Asian session, then chopped in a tight 1.1436-1.1447 band on hawkish-hold ECB positioning against a steady USD. Early London is easing price back toward the session low with RSI(14) flat in the low 40s and ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 opens a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14465 swing high negates the downward drift
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14361
Consolidation after leg lower.
EURUSD sold off from ~1.1476 through the NY session to a 1.14309 swing low, then ground into a tight 1.1434–1.1447 consolidation through Asia. Early London has price drifting back toward the floor at 1.1436, RSI neutral near 43; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 breaks the consolidation top
Break below 1.1434 reopens the 1.14309 swing low
Final Core HICP + ECB Cipollone at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation near session lows after NY sell-off.
NY session drove EUR/USD off ~1.1476 to 1.1431 on firm US data (jobless claims 208K, Philly Fed 41.4) and a safe-haven USD bid. Asian session is coiling in a tight 1.1434-1.1448 band, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR compressed to a few pips.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 resumes the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14479 invalidates the consolidation-lower read
EU Final Core HICP 09:00 UTC and US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.14368
Ranging near session lows after overnight decline.
EURUSD slid from 1.1476 into a 1.1431 swing low overnight as a firm USD capped the pair, then chopped sideways through the Asia session between 1.1435 and the 1.1447 range high on a chain of lower highs. Price now drifts back toward the session low, stalling near the 38% retrace of that decline with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14465 range high needed to break the lower-highs sequence
EUR Final Core HICP at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14357
Lower highs, drifting toward session low.
Quiet Asian session grinding lower after the prior London-NY slide off 1.1476; price now hugging 1.1436 and edging back toward the 1.14309 session low. ATR compressed to ~5 pips, RSI(14) mid-40s — no momentum in either direction.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14465 would break the lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment 14:00 UTC could inject volatility into this range
EURUSD ground lower through the window from 1.1476 to base at the 1.14309 swing low, then chopped in a tight 1.1431-1.1448 range as USD steadied off softer US inflation. Quiet Asia session drift back toward the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR compressed under 4 pips.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14355
Resistance: 1.14445, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14480 negates the lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could inject volatility
04:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.1438
Consolidation above session low after London-NY decline.
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 1.1476 to 1.1431 as the USD steadied off its lows, then stalled into an Asian-session range roughly 1.1436-1.1447. Price is pinned just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; no momentum in either direction now.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14310 resumes the downleg
Reclaim of 1.14465 negates the consolidation-lower read
Thin Asia liquidity keeps ranges tight until London open
04:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.1438
Tight range after NY decline.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session to a session low at 1.1431, then flattened into a tight 1.1436-1.1447 Asian range as USD steadied on firm US jobs/Philly Fed data. Price is drifting toward the range low into early London, RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1431 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Break above 1.1447 range top opens the 1.1457 pivot
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 1.1439
Prior-session decline, now consolidating.
EUR/USD sold off through the prior NY session from ~1.1476 to a 1.1431 low, then coiled into a tight 1.1435–1.1447 band through the Asia session; move ties to a steadier USD after soft US inflation. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 range top ends the consolidation
Break below 1.1431 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
UoM sentiment 14:00 UTC could break the range
04:01 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.1439
Consolidation after decline.
EURUSD sold off from the 1.1476 day high to 1.1431 during London-NY, then flattened into a tight 1.1436-1.1448 range as the quiet Asia session took over. Price sits at 1.1439 with RSI(14) mid-zone and volume thin; no fresh direction while EUR holds the ~1.1457 pivot into today's final Core HICP.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1452, 1.1476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1448 reopens the 1.1452 swing high
Loss of 1.1431 session low confirms downside continuation
Final Core HICP and UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC) could break the range
03:47 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14355
Range after London-NY leg down, easing toward session low.
EURUSD sold off through London-NY hours from ~1.1476 to a session low at 1.14309, then chopped sideways in a tight 1.1437-1.1447 band. Asian session is now fading back toward the low at 1.14355 with RSI(14) around 41 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.14465 range high needed to shift the near-term read higher
Thin Asian liquidity — moves may lack follow-through until London open
Lower highs from 1.1476, holding above session low.
EUR sold off from 1.1476 through the London-NY session to a low of 1.1431 as USD steadied after soft US data. Price has since consolidated 1.1434-1.1447 in Asian hours and is now fading back toward the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14468
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.14468 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat in Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.14389
Session sell-off into tight consolidation.
EURUSD slid from ~1.1476 through the London-NY session to a session low at 1.14309, then flattened into a tight 1.1436–1.1447 band through Asia with ATR compressed to a few pips. Price sits at 1.1439, below EMA20/50, RSI mid-range — no momentum in play.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 breaks the consolidation top
Loss of 1.14309 extends the session downtrend
Final Core HICP (09:00 UTC) and Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could break the range
03:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.14389
Based after NY selloff, ranging 1.1435-1.1447.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to a low near 1.1431 as the USD steadied, then based overnight and is now consolidating 1.1435-1.1447 into early Asia. RSI(14) mid-range near 46, ATR compressed to under 4 pips — no momentum, price hugging its EMAs.
Support: 1.14359, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 range high reopens 1.1452
Break below 1.1431 session low confirms a lower-low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.14381
Consolidation above NY session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1476 down to 1.1431 as the USD steadied off its one-month low; Asia has since consolidated in a tight 1.1436–1.1446 band. Price is drifting toward the lower edge at 1.14381, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14465 breaks the Asian range top
Final Core HICP 09:00 UTC and Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 44 · price 1.14381
Consolidating after London/NY selloff, drifting lower.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session yesterday from 1.1476 to 1.1431, then stabilised into a tight 1.1436-1.1447 range. Price is drifting back toward the range low into the quiet Asia session with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower-low
reclaim of 1.14470 range top negates the drift lower
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.14372
Lower highs into Asia range near lows.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session to session lows at 1.14309 as the USD steadied off its one-month low, then consolidated between ~1.14340 and 1.14479. Asia is drifting back toward the lows at 1.14372, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14479 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
UoM Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.14372
NY leg lower, now ranging in Asia.
NY session drove EUR from ~1.1476 down to a session low at 1.14309 as the USD steadied off its one-month low. Asia has since consolidated in a tight 1.1434-1.1447 band with RSI(14) neutral near 44; price sits just under EMA20/50 as London approaches.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a lower low
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 42 · price 1.14377
Lower highs, basing above session low.
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 1.14759 to a low at 1.14309, then based in a 1.14310-1.14479 range as USD steadied off one-month lows. Price is drifting back toward the range floor into the Asia session, RSI(14) subdued near 41 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1426
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.14535, 1.14703
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.14479 shifts the read back toward the 1.14535 swing high
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this range
02:46 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 42 · price 1.14377
Consolidation above the swing low after a US-session leg down.
EUR/USD faded from 1.1476 to 1.1431 through the US session, then consolidated in a tight 1.1431-1.1448 band. Asia hours are drifting back toward the range low near 1.1437 with RSI(14) mid-range; move size has compressed markedly.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14343
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low and breaks the range down
Close above 1.14479 session high invalidates the range read
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Down earlier, now flat · RSI 42 · price 1.14387
Consolidating after NY decline.
After the NY decline from 1.1476 to the 1.1431 session low, EURUSD has spent the Asian session grinding sideways between 1.1437 and 1.1446, drifting back to the lower edge at 1.14387. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, ATR compressed near 5 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1437, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1453
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1431 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1446 session high reopens the 1.1453 swing high
US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range
02:31 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14387
Consolidating above session low.
London-NY hours yesterday sold EUR/USD from ~1.1476 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD steadied off its one-month low. Price has since ground sideways through the Asia session in a tight 1.1436-1.1447 band, RSI(14) neutral near 45; range top at 1.14465 is capping.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low
reclaim of 1.14465 opens the path back toward 1.1452
US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.1441
Consolidation near session lows after a stepped decline.
EUR/USD slid off 1.1476 through the European/NY session down to a 1.1431 swing low as the USD steadied off its one-month low, then based and drifted back to ~1.1441. Quiet Asia hours have it consolidating between 1.1436 and 1.1447 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14470 opens the path back toward 1.1465
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break this range
02:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.1441
Session down-leg then tight range near lows.
EUR eased off the 1.1476 session high through the day down to 1.1431 as the USD steadied after soft US inflation, and has since coiled in a tight 1.1431-1.1447 range into Asian hours. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 49 with no momentum extreme; price is hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 opens the path back toward 1.1465
Failure to hold 1.1431 extends the session down-leg
US UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 45 · price 1.14397
Consolidating near session lows after selloff.
London-NY hours sold EUR/USD from 1.1476 down to 1.1431 as the dollar bounced off its one-month low on a strong Philly Fed and low jobless claims. Asian session is now consolidating tightly between 1.1434 and 1.1448, ATR compressed to ~5 pips with RSI mid-range; no fresh directional break yet.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.14659, 1.14759
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14479 session high opens the path back toward 1.1466
Break below 1.14309 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break the Asian range
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14397
Post-selloff range above session low.
NY session drove EUR/USD from ~1.1476 down to the session low at 1.14309 as the dollar bounced off its one-month low. Asia has since consolidated between the 1.14340 range floor and the 1.14465 swing high, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 swing high breaks the consolidation
Break below 1.14309 session low resumes the downtrend
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend faded, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.14425
Basing after lower-low, mid-range.
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY window from 1.1476 to a session low at 1.14309, in line with the USD bounce off its one-month low. Asian hours have carved a tight base between 1.14340 and the 1.14465 session high; price sits mid-range at 1.14425 with RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 opens the path toward 1.14535
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower-low
Final HICP 09:00 UTC and UoM sentiment 14:00 UTC could reshape this range later
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 47 · price 1.14425
Sold off then tight consolidation.
EUR/USD slid from 1.14759 through the NY session to a low of 1.14309 as the dollar bounced off its one-month low on the Philly Fed beat. Asia has since consolidated in a tight 1.1440-1.1447 band with RSI(14) back to mid-range; the 1.1460 pivot still caps the topside.
Support: 1.14385, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14479 opens a retest of the 1.1460 pivot cap
Break below 1.14309 confirms continuation of the session downtrend
01:32 UTC
Downtrend from NY, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.14431
Consolidation above session low after sell-off.
NY session drove EUR/USD from ~1.1476 down to 1.1431 as the dollar bounced on the Philly Fed blowout and firm jobless claims. Asian session is now consolidating in a tight 1.1435–1.1448 band, RSI(14) neutral near 52 and volume thin into the current bar.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14479 recent high opens the path back to 1.1465 prior high
Loss of 1.1435 range floor / 1.14309 session low confirms a lower low
UoM Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14431
Based at 1.1431, ranging.
EURUSD sold off through NY from 1.1476 into a 1.1431 base as the dollar bounced on strong Philly Fed and jobless claims. Price has since recovered to ~1.1444 and is ranging 1.1434–1.1448 through Asian hours, RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14479 opens the path back toward 1.1452
Loss of 1.14309 resumes the prior downtrend
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:17 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 55 · price 1.14449
Based after NY sell-off, grinding higher lows.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from ~1.1476 to a 1.14309 session low as the dollar bounced off its one-month low, then based and ground back to 1.1445 in quiet Asia trade. Price is now retracing the downleg into the 1.1448–1.1453 supply, RSI(14) mid-range with ATR near 19 pips.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.1453
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14479 and 1.14530 opens the path back toward 1.1471
Loss of the 1.14400 range base re-exposes the 1.14309 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
01:17 UTC
NY downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.14449
Range after impulsive sell-off, holding above session low.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1476 down to 1.1431 as the USD bounced off its one-month low on firm claims and the Philly Fed beat. Asian session has since consolidated 1.1434–1.1448, RSI(14) recovered to neutral ~51 and price is pinned mid-range with no directional break.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14479, 1.14535
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14479 reopens the 1.14535 swing high
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break the range
01:02 UTC
Prior downtrend, now basing · RSI 54 · price 1.14463
NY sell-off into Asian consolidation off the lows.
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1470 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD firmed on a strong Philly Fed and low jobless claims. Asian hours have based between 1.1434 and 1.1447, grinding back to 1.14463 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; the prior down-move remains only partially retraced.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.1452
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14520 would print a higher high and end the down-leg structure
Loss of 1.14309 session low resumes the decline
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14463
Consolidation above session low.
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1472 down to a 1.1431 swing low as the USD steadied on in-line retail sales and a strong Philly Fed. Asia hours have since ground into a tight 1.1440-1.1447 range with RSI recovered to mid-50s and ATR heavily compressed; price sits at the range top, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1466
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 opens the path back toward 1.1466
Failure to hold 1.1440 reopens the 1.1431 swing low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
00:47 UTC
Downtrend paused, basing · RSI 48 · price 1.1441
Tight consolidation after NY selloff.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1476 to a 1.1431 low as the dollar steadied post-CPI, then based and is now grinding a tight 1.1434-1.1446 range through the Asian session. RSI sits mid-range and ATR has collapsed to a few pips, reflecting the quiet overnight tape into rollover.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1446 opens the path back toward 1.1467
Loss of 1.1431 resumes the lower-low sequence
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break the range
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 47 · price 1.1441
Consolidation above session low after sell-off.
London-NY hours drove EUR/USD from 1.1476 down to a 1.1431 session low as the dollar steadied post-soft-CPI. Price has since ground sideways in a thin 1.1431-1.1446 band through Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.14462, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14462 opens the path back toward 1.1452
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break this Asian range
00:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.14416
Tight range after NY sell-off, holding above session low.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from ~1.1470 to a session low at 1.14309, aligning with a steadying USD after in-line US retail sales. Since then price has coiled in a tight 1.1440–1.1446 band through the thin Asian session, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to a few pips.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14462, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14462 breaks the consolidation top and reopens 1.14520
Failure to hold 1.14340 reopens the 1.14309 session low
Asian-session liquidity thin — moves may not sustain until London open
00:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.14416
Basing above session low after NY-session slide.
EURUSD slid through the NY session to a low of 1.1431 and has since gone quiet, chopping in a tight 1.1434–1.1446 band through thin Asia hours with RSI(14) flat near 45. Price sits just under EMA20/50; USD steadied after in-line Retail Sales and a Jobless Claims beat, capping the earlier EUR run.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14345
Resistance: 1.14462, 1.14493
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a lower low and extends the slide
Reclaim of 1.14462 recent high needed to challenge the 1.14493 swing high
Thin weekend Asia liquidity — moves may lack follow-through
00:17 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14448
Consolidation above the session low.
NY session pushed EUR/USD down from ~1.1476 to a 1.1431 swing low as the dollar steadied on in-line Retail Sales and a Jobless Claims beat. Asian hours have been a tight, thin-liquidity consolidation between 1.1434 and 1.1446, with RSI(14) back to neutral and price grinding toward the 1.1446 session ceiling.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14462, 1.14493
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14493 invalidates the consolidation-at-lows read
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Thin weekend Asian liquidity leaves moves prone to fading
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session to a 1.14309 low, then based and ground back to 1.14448 into thin Asia-hours volume as the two-day rally's unwind stalled on a steadier USD. Now pinned near the 1.14462 range top after a shallow ~30% retrace of the prior decline.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14462, 1.14535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14462 extends the recovery toward 1.14535
Loss of 1.14340 reopens the 1.14309 session low
Thin Asian liquidity keeps ranges compressed until London
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14445
Lower highs into a base above 1.1431.
EUR sold off from the 1.1476 session high through the London-NY window, printing a low at 1.1431 before buyers stepped in twice to form a base. Price is now drifting up to 1.1445 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range off the lows.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1450, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1446 opens the path to the 1.1457 pivot
Failure to hold 1.1431 confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 53 · price 1.14445
Asian consolidation after London-NY sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session from ~1.1476 to a 1.14309 swing low as the USD steadied after soft US CPI. The Asian session has since consolidated in a tight 1.1434-1.1446 base, RSI(14) recovered to neutral near 53; the 1.1457 pivot still caps.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14535, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 session high opens the 1.1457 pivot
Failure to hold the 1.14340 base exposes the 1.14309 swing low
Final HICP 09:00 UTC and Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could break the Asian range