EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to a 1.14309 swing low as USD steadied off one-month lows, then ground back to 1.1444. Asia hours are thin and range-bound between 1.1434 and 1.14465, RSI(14) back to neutral near 54.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14465 session high would extend the recovery toward 1.1450
Loss of 1.14309 swing low confirms downtrend resumption
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
EUR/USD sold off through the NY-Asia handover to a 1.14309 session low, then based into quiet Asian hours, drifting into a tight 1.1434-1.1446 range. RSI(14) recovered off its lows to mid-range; price reclaimed the short EMAs but momentum is flat on thin volume.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.1452
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14467 reopens 1.14520
Loss of 1.14340 exposes 1.14309 session low
Fri 09:00 UTC final HICP and 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment could break the range
23:32 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14444
Sold off then tight consolidation.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1476 down to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD steadied off one-month lows. Price has since ground into a tight 1.1440-1.1445 consolidation on thin late-NY volume, RSI back to neutral near 51; the 1.1457 pivot remains untested above.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.14521, 1.1457
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14400 reopens the 1.14309 session low
Close above 1.14472 exposes the 1.14521 swing and 1.1457 pivot
UoM sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could break the consolidation
23:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, flat · RSI 55 · price 1.14444
Based near lows, tight consolidation.
London-NY sold EUR/USD from 1.1476 down to 1.1431 as USD steadied off one-month lows, then price based and drifted back to 1.1444. Asia session is now flat and thin, coiling in a tight 1.1441-1.1447 range with RSI back to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.1452
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14467 reopens the 1.1452 pivot
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
UoM sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could break the range
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 53 · price 1.14441
Sold off then flat consolidation near lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1470 to a session low at 1.14309 as the dollar stabilised off one-month lows post-PPI. Price has since recovered to 1.1444 on thin late-session/Asia volume and is now consolidating tightly under the 1.14447 range top; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14493
What it said to watch
Hold or loss of 1.14309 session low decides whether the downside resumes
M15 close above 1.14493 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Eurozone final HICP 17 Jul 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Session decline into late-NY consolidation ~1.1440.
EURUSD slid through NY hours to a session low at 1.14309 before basing near 1.1440 as USD steadied off one-month lows post-PPI. Late-session volume is thin and the pair is consolidating in a tight 1.1440–1.1445 band, RSI back near neutral after the earlier washout.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 opens the path back toward the 1.14520 swing high
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower-low and resumes the downtrend
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
23:02 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 56 · price 1.14429
Sold off to session low, now basing.
NY session drove EURUSD off ~1.1470 to a 1.14309 low as the dollar bounced on a hot Philly Fed and firm jobless claims. Late/thin session since has ground sideways 1.1434-1.1445 with ATR compressed to ~2 pips; RSI recovered off the lows but price sits below EMA50.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1452
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14447 opens the path back toward 1.14520
Loss of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could break the quiet range
NY session sold EURUSD from ~1.1475 down to a session low at 1.14309 as the dollar bounced on a hot Philly Fed print and firm jobless claims. Price is now basing between 1.14309 and 1.14447 through thin Asian hours, RSI(14) back to mid-range with ATR compressed to ~16 pips.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1466
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14447 would break the intraday lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14309 confirms continuation of the downtrend
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into a base · RSI 53 · price 1.14426
Lower highs / lower lows through NY, now flat.
EUR/USD slid from ~1.1470 through the NY session as the dollar bounced on a hot Philly Fed and firm jobless claims, bottoming at 1.14309. Price has since based in a tight 1.1434–1.1445 band on thinning late-session/Asia volume, RSI back to neutral near 53.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14493
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14447 needed to challenge the descending highs
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 53 · price 1.14426
Lower highs into a base, now consolidating.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session to a 1.14309 low as the dollar bounced off its lows on strong Philly Fed/claims, then based and drifted back to 1.1440. Thin late-session trade now, RSI neutral near 53 and price pinned just under the 1.14467 swing high.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14345
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14521
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 opens a retest of 1.14521
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
22:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after NY selloff · RSI 52 · price 1.14435
Consolidation above session low.
NY session dragged EUR/USD from ~1.1476 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on resilient data (Philly Fed, claims). Price has since based in a tight 1.14340-1.14447 range on thin post-NY/Asia volume, RSI back to mid-range and momentum flat.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14535, 1.14703
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 breaks the consolidation and opens the 1.14535 swing high
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Fri Eurozone final HICP (09:00 UTC) and UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD sold off through NY hours from ~1.1470 to a 1.14309 swing low as the USD bounced on resilient US data, then based between 1.1431 and 1.1445 with volume thinning into the Asia session. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to ~53 and price is grinding back above EMA20.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14345
Resistance: 1.14493
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14493 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.14441
Session low carved, shallow recovery.
London-NY selling dragged EUR/USD off 1.1470 to a session low at 1.14309 as the USD bounced on strong Philly Fed and jobless claims. Thin late-session flow has price grinding back to consolidate near 1.1440 on a chain of higher lows; recovery capped so far at 1.14475.
Support: 1.1436, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14535
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14475 opens the path toward 1.14535
Failure to hold 1.14360 reopens the 1.14309 session low
Eurozone final HICP (Fri 09:00 UTC) and UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from ~1.1475 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on the hot Philly Fed print and Iran-energy inflation fears. Price is now basing around 1.1440 into thin late hours, RSI recovered to the low-50s; the 1.14493-1.14535 band caps the bounce.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.14535, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14535 opens the path back toward the 1.1485 range top
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reprice the euro
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14439
Lower highs into session low, shallow recovery.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from ~1.1476 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on energy/Iran inflation fears, then based and recovered to 1.1444 in thin late-session liquidity. RSI(14) has cooled from the sell-off back toward neutral, price now sitting just above EMA20 but capped under the descending resistance off the intraday highs.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1437
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1461
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14460 swing high would break the descending resistance and open the retest of prior swing at 1.1461
Failure to hold 1.14309 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD drifted lower through London-NY from 1.1476 to a session low at 1.14309 as the USD bounced on energy-inflation headlines, then based and ground back to 1.1444 in quiet late-session hours. ATR is compressed near 3 pips reflecting the thin, low-volume grind; RSI sits mid-range with price back above EMA20 but under EMA50.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14535, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14465 opens the path back toward 1.14535
Failure to hold 1.1434 reopens the 1.14309 day low
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.1441
Based after decline, consolidating near lows.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1470 to a 1.1431 low as the USD bounced on Middle East energy-inflation fears. Price has since based and is grinding sideways in a 1.1431-1.1444 band on thin late-session volume, RSI back near 50.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 session high opens a retest of 1.1467
Failure to hold 1.1431 confirms a fresh lower low
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating above session low after NY down leg.
EUR/USD sold off through NY from ~1.1476 to a session low of 1.1431 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation fears, then based into the late session, ranging 1.1434-1.1444. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to neutral; price is holding just above the session low with the recent high at 1.1444 capping.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1467
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1431 session low opens the path to 1.1405 strong supp
Reclaim of 1.1467 prior range needed to negate the down leg
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing late NY · RSI 49 · price 1.14405
Lower highs into 1.1431 low, shallow recovery.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1470 to 1.1431 as the USD bounced on Middle East energy-inflation fears, halting the earlier grind higher. Price has based around 1.1440 into late NY with RSI back near neutral; the down leg's 1.14465 swing caps the bounce.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14703
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1431 opens the path to 1.1405 strong support
Reclaim of 1.14465 swing high needed to unwind the NY down leg
Fri 09:00 UTC Eurozone HICP and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could reshape this read
EUR/USD slid through the NY session from ~1.1470 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation fears, then based around 1.1440 into a thin late-NY close. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to a neutral ~51; the 1.14309 low is holding for now.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14493
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14440 opens the path back toward 1.14493
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a lower low
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
EUR/USD bled from the 1.1476 session high down to 1.1431 through NY hours as the USD bounced on Iran/energy-inflation headlines, RSI cooling out of the lows. Price is now grinding sideways in thin late-session trade around 1.1440, holding just above the 1.1431 swing low.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1461
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1444 session high opens the path back toward 1.1461 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1431 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.14407
Session low base, early higher lows.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to a low at 1.14309 as the dollar bounced on Middle East energy-inflation fears. A late-session recovery is grinding higher lows back toward 1.1440 on very thin volume, RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14493
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14493 negates the intraday downtrend
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.14700 to 1.14309 as the USD bounced on energy-inflation fears, capping the euro despite hawkish-ECB support. Price has since based around 1.14345 and recovered to 1.14426, RSI(14) climbing back near mid-range off the lows.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14345
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14521
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14467 session high opens the path to 1.14521
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift the read
NY session sold EUR/USD off from a session high at 1.1476 to a low of 1.1431 as the USD bounced on Middle-East energy-inflation fears. Late-session basing between 1.1431 and 1.1442 with higher lows forming and RSI(14) recovering back to mid-range off the lows.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14759
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1447 opens the path back toward 1.14759 session high
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a lower low toward 1.1405
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD slid from ~1.1470 to 1.1431 through NY hours as the USD bounced on energy-inflation fears, capping the euro near the 1.1485-90 range top. Price is now basing 1.1431-1.1442 into a thin late-NY tape, RSI(14) recovering off lows toward 54 but still capped under the 1.14465 bounce area.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14345
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 opens the path back toward the 1.1470 session high
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Late-NY liquidity thin — moves may lack follow-through until Asia open
EUR/USD slid from 1.1470 to a session low at 1.14309 through NY hours as the USD bounced on the Philly Fed beat and energy-inflation fears. Price has since stabilised, carving higher lows back to 1.14424 and reclaiming the EMA20; the 1.14467 swing high caps the recovery for now.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14345
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 opens the path back toward 1.14520
Loss of 1.14309 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone
NY session sold EURUSD from ~1.1470 down to 1.1431 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation fears, unwinding the earlier post-PPI push. Price has based between 1.1431 and 1.1440 into the late NY hours with RSI(14) back to mid-range.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1431 session low opens the path to 1.1405 strong support
Reclaim of 1.1449 swing high negates the lower-high structure
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1476 to a 1.14309 low near 17:00 UTC as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation fears, then based into late NY. Price has crept back above the EMA20 to 1.1440 with RSI(14) recovered to neutral; the 1.14467 swing high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 opens the 50% fib at 1.14535
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Fri 09:00 UTC Eurozone final HICP and 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment could reshape this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1476 down to the session low at 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation fears. Price is now basing around 1.1440 into late NY hours with RSI(14) recovered off oversold; the descending sequence of lower highs still caps overhead.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14309 resumes the decline toward 1.1405
Fri Michigan sentiment / EZ final HICP could shift this read
Lower highs into late-NY consolidation off swing low.
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1470 down to a swing low at 1.1431 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy-inflation fears. Price is now consolidating 1.1434–1.1440 into late NY, RSI(14) recovered back to mid-range and the descending sequence of lower highs still caps overhead.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.1469
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.14465 session pivot opens the path back to 1.14690 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14309 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14397
Lower highs into consolidation above session low.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1476 to a session low at 1.14309 as the USD firmed on energy/Iran inflation headlines. Price has since based between 1.1431 and 1.1440, RSI recovering back toward neutral; the session low is holding.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14493
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.14309 session low opens a fresh lower low
UoM sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
EUR/USD slid through the NY session from 1.1467 to a low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation fears, printing a chain of lower highs. Late-NY price is basing in a tight 1.1431-1.1440 band, RSI(14) recovered off oversold toward neutral.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14309 opens the path to 1.1405 support
Fed's Jefferson speaks 23:00 UTC — could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1476 to a low at 1.1431 as the USD bounced on Middle East energy-inflation fears, unwinding the post-PPI push. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1431–1.1440 band with RSI(14) mid-range; the session low held on the last dip.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14475, 1.14759
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1431 opens the path toward 1.1405 macro support
Reclaim of 1.1440 consol top needed to challenge the 1.14475 swing
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1476 down to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on energy/Iran inflation fears, capping the euro despite the hawkish-ECB backdrop. Price is now consolidating 1.1434–1.1439 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows, holding just above the 1.14309 base.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14416, 1.14493
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14416 breaks the intraday lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms continuation lower
Fri UoM sentiment + inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the ~1.1476 high to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation headlines, unwinding the post-PPI push. Late NY now consolidating 1.1431-1.1438 below the EMA20, with RSI(14) near 43 after recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14467, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14467 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14309 opens the path toward 1.1405
Fed's Jefferson at 23:00 UTC could shift the USD tone into Asia
EURUSD slid through the NY session from ~1.1476, the USD bounce on energy/Iran headlines dragging it to a session low at 1.14309. Price is now consolidating 1.1432-1.1440 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the descending highs remain intact.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14343
Resistance: 1.14397, 1.14461
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14400 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Jefferson at 23:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session sold EURUSD from ~1.1470 down to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD steadied on strong Philly Fed and jobless-claims prints. Price now coiling tightly between 1.14309 and 1.14416, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still sub-50.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14342
Resistance: 1.14416, 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14416 needed to break the lower-high chain
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD off from ~1.1470 to a 1.1431 low as the USD bounced on Iran/energy-inflation fears despite soft US PPI. Price now consolidating 1.1431-1.1440, RSI(14) recovering off the lows with a shallow ~16% retrace of the down leg.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14465
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14465 negates the current down leg
Fed's Jefferson speaking 23:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove EUR/USD lower from ~1.1465 to a 1.1431 session low as the USD firmed on strong jobless claims and a large Philly Fed beat alongside energy-inflation fears. Price is now basing near 1.1438 late in the session, RSI(14) recovering off the lows, still below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14465 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 1.14309 session low extends the downtrend
Fed's Jefferson at 23:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session dragged EURUSD from ~1.1468 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on energy/Iran inflation fears. Last few bars are basing tight in 1.1431-1.1438 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; price still under EMA20 (1.1445).
Support: 1.14309, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14445, 1.14493
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14445 (ema20) neutralises the downside read
Break below 1.14309 session low extends the lower-low sequence
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs and lows, consolidating near session low.
NY-session US data (208K jobless claims, Philly Fed beat) fuelled a USD bounce that dragged EURUSD from ~1.1470 to a 1.1431 session low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1431–1.1440 band into late NY, RSI recovering off its lows.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1447 breaks the descending resistance and negates the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1431 opens the path to 1.1405 strong support
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1470 down to a 1.1431 low as the USD firmed on beats in jobless claims (208K) and Philly Fed (41.4). Price is now basing between 1.1430 and 1.1440 into late NY, RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward neutral.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1466
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 breaks the descending line and the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1431 opens the path toward 1.1405 support
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD read
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1470 area down to a 1.14309 swing low as the USD bounced on Iran/energy-inflation headlines. Price is now consolidating around 1.1436 just above that low, RSI(14) near 38 and lifting off the intraday washout.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.14467 pivot breaks the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.14309 opens the path toward the 1.14200 psych level
Eurozone final HICP (Fri 09:00 UTC) could reprice this read
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 42 · price 1.14361
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session, sliding from ~1.1470 to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy-inflation fears. Price is stabilising just above that low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; descending highs still cap.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14493
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14309 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14493 breaks the descending-highs structure
Fri Eurozone final HICP (09:00 UTC) could shift this read
18:17 UTC
Downtrend, NY-session leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.14373
Lower highs, lower lows since range break.
EUR/USD handed back its range-top gains through the NY session, breaking the 1.1465-1.1470 band and grinding to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Middle East energy-inflation fears. RSI(14) near 37 after the sell-off; a shallow bounce off 1.1431 is underway but lower highs still cap.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1467
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1431 opens the path toward 1.1405 strong support
Reclaim of 1.1447 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations could shift USD tone
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from the pre-drop high at 1.14685, printing a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation headlines. Lower highs and lower lows remain intact; last few bars stalled near 1.1437 with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-30s.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14461, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14461 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14309 opens the path toward 1.1405
Fresh Middle East/energy headlines could extend the USD bounce
NY session broke down from the 1.1460 range base to a session low of 1.14309 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy inflation fears, RSI cooling near 40. Price is stabilising just above the low with a chain of lower highs still intact overhead.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14461
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14461 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14309 opens the path toward 1.1405 support
EUR final HICP (Fri 09:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a clean lower-high / lower-low chain into 1.14309 as the USD firmed on safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not oversold; sellers still capping bounces at 1.14467.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms continuation lower
Michigan sentiment Fri could shift the USD-side read
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14348
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, handing back range gains as the USD bounced on Iran/energy safe-haven flows, printing successive lower lows into 1.14309. RSI(14) sits near 33 with price pinned below EMA20/50; no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14467
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14467 swing pivot would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14309 session low extends the leg toward the 1.14050 strong support
Michigan sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 1.14348
Lower highs and lower lows.
NY session sold EURUSD off from ~1.1470 to fresh session lows at 1.14309 as the USD firmed on Iran/energy safe-haven flows. The lower-high, lower-low chain is intact and price is stalling just above the low near 1.1435 with RSI(14) around 33.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14493 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14309 opens the path toward 1.1405 support
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.14353
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a clean lower-high/lower-low chain down to 1.14309 as the USD held a safe-haven bid on Iran/energy headlines. Price closes at 1.14353 just off the session low with RSI(14) near 33, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14467 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14309 session low extends the down-leg
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh low at 1.14309 as the USD firmed on Iran/energy safe-haven flows. Clean lower-high chain intact, RSI(14) near 30 but not yet extreme; each bounce has capped below the descending highs at 1.14416/1.14467.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14416, 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14416 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14309 extends the decline toward 1.14050 support
Iran/energy headlines could keep the USD bid and pressure this read
17:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum firm · RSI 33 · price 1.14321
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1470 to fresh session lows at 1.1431 as the USD caught a safe-haven/energy-inflation bid off the week's lows. Lower-high, lower-low chain intact with price pinned below EMA20/50; RSI(14) near 32, soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.14467 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14309 session low extends the down leg toward the 1.14050 psych area
Fed's Schmid (~17:25 UTC) could shift the USD read intraday
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 31 · price 1.14321
Lower highs, lower lows after breakdown.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY afternoon, handing back its earlier consolidation as the USD caught a safe-haven bid on Middle East energy-inflation fears. Clean lower-high/lower-low chain from 1.14703 down to a fresh session low at 1.14309, RSI(14) around 31 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14416, 1.14493, 1.14703
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14416 would break the intraday lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1405 opens the path lower and undercuts the constructive read
UoM Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
Lower highs and lower lows, session low being set.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, breaking down from the 1.1465 range toward 1.1434 as the USD caught a safe-haven bid on Middle-East/energy headlines. RSI(14) near 27 — short-term stretched but consistent with the one-way slide; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14339, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14493
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14339 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1405
Reclaim of 1.14493 needed to break the descending lower-high chain
Fed's Schmid (17:25 UTC) and UoM Michigan Fri could shift the USD read
NY session sold EUR from 1.1470 to fresh lows near 1.1434 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy safe-haven flows. Lower highs and lower lows intact within a descending channel, price closing right on the session low with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-30s but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14339, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14467 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.14339 opens the path toward the 1.1430 round number
UoM sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, sliding from 1.1470 to a fresh session low at 1.14343 as the USD bounced on Iran/energy safe-haven demand. A clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 33 with price pinned at the lows and no bounce yet.
Support: 1.14343, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 breaks the descending lower-highs and eases the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.14343 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
German final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift the EUR read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.14365
Lower highs and lower lows since NY open.
EURUSD broke down from the 1.1460-1.1470 range during NY hours, printing a session low at 1.14343 as the USD firmed on Iran/energy-driven safe-haven flows. A clean chain of lower highs and lower lows is in place with price pinned near the lows and RSI(14) around 35.
Support: 1.14343, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14465, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14465 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14343 opens the path to the 1.14300 round number
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session broke below the 1.1467-1.1470 range that held through London, sliding to 1.1435 as the USD firmed on oil/Iran inflation fears. RSI(14) near 33, momentum extended into the lows with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.14352, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.1467, 1.14703
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14670 invalidates the breakdown read
Loss of 1.14352 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1400
Fed speakers Logan/Schmid could shift USD tone into next bars
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, sliding from 1.1470 to a fresh session low at 1.1435 after firm US data (blowout Philly Fed, low jobless claims) revived the dollar bid. Clean lower-high, lower-low chain with RSI(14) near 31 — extended but not yet at extreme.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1435 opens the path to 1.1405 support
Reclaim of 1.1449 would break the lower-high sequence
Fed's Jefferson at 23:00 UTC could shift the read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, session leg lower · RSI 39 · price 1.14416
Lower highs, lower lows after range break.
EUR broke down from the 1.1460 consolidation into the NY session, sliding to a session low of 1.14362 as the USD firmed on Iran/oil safe-haven demand. Price is below both EMAs with RSI(14) sub-40; a shallow bounce to 1.14467 has faded back toward the lows.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1434, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14535
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14362 opens the path toward 1.1405 support
Reclaim of 1.14535 negates the lower-high sequence
Fed speakers Logan/Schmid/Jefferson today could shift the USD read
NY session sold EUR from the 1.1470 top down to a session low at 1.14362 as the USD firmed on Iran/oil-driven inflation fears. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41; the bounce off the low stalled at 1.14493 and price sits just above the session low.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.14703
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14362 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14493 bounce high would ease the downside pressure
Fed's Jefferson (23:00 UTC) and Friday's Michigan sentiment could shift the USD read
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1460–1.1475 consolidation during NY hours as the USD rebounded on Iran/energy headlines, printing a session low at 1.1436. Price has bounced to 1.1446 with RSI(14) recovering from near 40; the 1.1470 pivot caps the recovery.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1470 negates the range-break read
Failure to hold 1.1436 opens path toward 1.1405 support
Fed speaker Jefferson (23:00 UTC) could shift USD tone
NY session sold EURUSD out of the 1.1465 consolidation down to 1.14362 as the USD firmed on Iran/energy headlines. Price is bouncing back to 1.1446 with RSI(14) cooling near 41; the 1.14520 breakdown level is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1452
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14520 invalidates the range break lower
Failure to hold 1.14362 opens the path toward 1.1405 strong support
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst
NY session sold EURUSD off from ~1.1470 to a session low of 1.14362 as the USD firmed on Middle East safe-haven flows, breaking the day's 1.1460-1.1470 range floor. Price has since ticked back to 1.14454, RSI(14) recovering from the low 30s; the 1.14520 bounce pivot is the first cap.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14520 negates the leg lower
Loss of 1.14362 confirms a lower low toward 1.1405
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reset this read
NY session slid from 1.1470 to a session low at 1.14362 as the USD firmed on Iran/energy headlines; RSI(14) around 37 as a modest bounce lifts price to 1.14454. Descending highs remain intact, price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14520 breaks the descending resistance
Failure to hold 1.14362 opens 1.14300
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Jefferson 23:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone
Price broke down from the mid-1.1460s consolidation through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14362 as the USD firmed on Middle East safe-haven flow. RSI(14) around 37, not yet oversold, with the slide still orderly at ~8 pip ATR.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14535
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14535 negates the down leg
Fed speakers Logan/Schmid today could shift the USD tone
Loss of 1.14362 opens the path toward the 1.1405 range floor
NY session sold the mid-1.1460s range down to a session low of 1.14362 as the dollar firmed on safe-haven flows, breaking the day's tight range. RSI(14) near 34 as the decline stalls just above the low; 1.14520 caps the initial bounce.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1452
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14362 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14300
M15 reclaim of 1.14520 negates the range-break read
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift USD tone this session
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fresh · RSI 34 · price 1.1442
Lower highs, range break lower.
EUR/USD rolled over through the NY session, breaking the mid-1.1460s range and printing a session low at 1.1416 before a small bounce to 1.1442. Firm US claims (208K) and a big Philly Fed beat leaned against the softer-Dollar theme, pressing the pair to lower highs; price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 opens the path to 1.1405 range low
Reclaim of 1.1470 recent pivot would neutralise the lower-highs read
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD off the mid-1.1460s down to a 1.1436 session low, USD firming after a big Philly Fed beat (41.4) and a claims beat (208K). Sequence of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 36 but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14362, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14535
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14535 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1436 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1405
Michigan Consumer Sentiment + inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone
Range break lower, printing lower highs and lower lows.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 1.1460-1.1470 consolidation and now pressing the session low at 1.14397 as firmer US data (Philly Fed and jobless-claims beats) lent the dollar support. RSI(14) near 31 and ATR ~8 pips; price sits below the broken 1.14520 level with a chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.14397, 1.14299
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14520 negates the downside range break
Sustained hold below 1.14397 session low opens the 1.14299 day low
Fed speakers Logan/Schmid/Jefferson could shift USD tone into the next bars
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the 1.1470 shelf to a session low at 1.14397, unwinding the earlier push toward the range top after firm US data (Philly Fed beat, solid retail sales) steadied the Dollar. Chain of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 32 — short-term stretched but not extreme.
Support: 1.14397, 1.1440, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14535, 1.14703
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14397 opens the path toward 1.1405 support
Reclaim of 1.14535 lower high needed to neutralise the downside sequence
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift USD tone this session
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 37 · price 1.14452
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
NY session rejected the 1.1470 area and ground down through the prior 1.1460-1.1470 range to a session low at 1.1442, RSI(14) sub-40. EUR/USD slipped as the USD firmed on a strong Philly Fed and claims beat, fading the range-top test.
Support: 1.14421, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14535, 1.14588, 1.14703
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1442 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14535 neutralises the intraday downdraft
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, intraday leg lower · RSI 36 · price 1.14452
Lower highs, session low broken.
NY session sold off from 1.14703, breaking below the 1.1460 consolidation and printing a session low at 1.14421 as the USD firmed on strong Philly Fed and jobless claims beats. RSI(14) near 36 as the leg extends, price below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14421, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14535, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14535 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14421 opens a deeper leg toward 1.14400
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift USD tone this session
14:31 UTC
Intraday downturn after midday range · RSI 41 · price 1.14492
Range break lower, printing lower highs.
EURUSD held a tight 1.1460-1.1470 range through the London-NY transition before NY hours broke it down to a 1.14442 session low, RSI(14) sagging near 40. The prior range floor around 1.14600 now caps, and price is trading under both EMA20 and EMA50 after the leg lower.
Support: 1.14442, 1.14468
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.14685
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14600 range floor would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 1.14442 session low confirms continuation of lower lows
Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) today could shift USD tone and this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, NY session leg lower · RSI 40 · price 1.14492
Range floor broken, lower highs/lows.
NY session broke the London 1.1460–1.1473 floor and sold to 1.14442, EUR giving back gains despite the soft-USD backdrop. Price now stalls near 1.1449 after a rejection at 1.14578; RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.14442, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.14578, 1.14703
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14578 negates the lower-high sequence
Close below 1.14442 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC, Schmid 17:25) could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.14466
Range broke lower, holding near session low.
EURUSD rolled off the 1.14703 session high and broke the 1.1460 consolidation during NY hours, printing 1.14442 as USD found a modest footing after a soft-data week. Price is now pinned near the lows with RSI(14) around 37; the bounce off 1.1444 stalled under 1.14580.
Support: 1.14442, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14703
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14442 confirms a lower low toward 1.14405
Reclaim of 1.14580 negates the downside break and reopens 1.14703
Fed speaker Logan 16:30 UTC could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, fading off range top · RSI 38 · price 1.14466
Breakdown, lower lows into NY.
EURUSD faded off the mid-1.1460s range through NY, printing lower lows to the swing low at 1.14442 as the dollar-driven bid stalled near the top of the monthly range. RSI(14) sub-40 after the drop, ATR(14) ~7 pips; the bounce to 1.14580 was sold.
Support: 1.14442, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1458
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14580 bounce high negates the breakdown
Loss of 1.14442 swing low opens the 1.1440 round number
EURUSD broke down out of the 1.1460–1.1475 NY-session range to a session low at 1.14442 as the dollar firmed despite in-line US retail sales and strong claims. Bounce off the low stalled at 1.1458 and price sits back near 1.1450, RSI(14) around 34.
Support: 1.14442, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1470 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.14442 confirms continuation lower
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) could shift USD tone next few hours
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.14498
Range break lower, bounce fading.
NY session broke the 1.1460–1.1475 range that held through London, sweeping down to 1.14442 as the in-line US retail sales and firm claims gave the dollar a bid. Bounce stalled at 1.14585 and has faded back to 1.14498; RSI(14) near 38, price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14442, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.14585, 1.14685
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14442 confirms a lower low, opening toward 1.14405 range base
Reclaim of 1.14585 negates the range-break-lower read
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift the dollar tone
After crawling the 1.1465-1.1468 range through London, EUR/USD broke lower in early NY toward 1.1442 as the dollar firmed and Eurozone data (trade, German CPI, IP) undershot. Price bounced to 1.1458 then faded to 1.1452; RSI(14) near 39 with the range top now capping.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1468
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1468 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 1.1442 confirms a lower low toward 1.1405
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift this read
13:46 UTC
Intraday pullback from range · RSI 43 · price 1.1452
Range broke lower, shallow bounce fading.
NY session cracked the tight 1.1460–1.1470 range, dumping to 1.1444 before a bounce stalled near 1.1458. Price now fading back to 1.1452 with RSI(14) mid-40s; prior range floor at 1.1469 is now capping.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1469
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1469 puts price back inside the prior range
Loss of 1.1444 swing low confirms a lower low
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) today could shift the USD-driven move
13:32 UTC
Range pullback, short-term down leg · RSI 44 · price 1.14577
Swept session low at 1.1444, bouncing.
Price coiled in a tight 1.1460–1.1470 band through the London session before the NY open drove a flush to 1.14442, aided by firmer US data (Philly Fed 41.4, claims 208K). Buyers stepped in on the sweep and price recovered to 1.14577, RSI(14) lifting off the low-40s but still under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14442, 1.14508
Resistance: 1.1468
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1468 puts price back inside the prior range
Loss of 1.14442 confirms a lower low and opens continuation lower
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift the USD tone into the next bars
13:32 UTC
Range broke lower, minor bounce · RSI 43 · price 1.14577
Broke below session range floor, bounce off 1.14442.
NY session cracked below the London range floor near 1.14685, EURUSD sliding to a 1.14442 session low before buyers stabilized it back to 1.14577. The 1.1485 monthly range top capped all session; RSI(14) mid-40s after the flush, off its lows.
Support: 1.14442, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
reclaim above 1.14685 negates the range break
failure to hold 1.14442 opens toward 1.14405 pivot
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift the USD side
13:17 UTC
Downtick, range breaking lower · RSI 34 · price 1.14512
Broke below intraday range, fresh session low.
NY session broke below the 1.1465–1.1485 congestion, dropping to a 1.14442 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s. Price bounced to 1.14512 into the close of the leg; the 1.14640 breakdown level now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.14442, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.1464, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14640 negates the downside break and restores the range
Failure to hold 1.14442 opens the 1.1440 pivot
US Fed speakers today (Logan/Schmid) could shift the USD read
13:16 UTC
Range broken lower, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.14512
Breakdown from consolidation, lower lows.
NY session broke down from the 1.1460-1.1475 consolidation, sweeping to 1.14442 before a shallow bounce to 1.14512 as the dollar found footing on strong Philly Fed and jobless claims. RSI(14) cooled into the 30s; 1.14645 prior support now caps.
Support: 1.14442, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14645, 1.1469
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14645 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.14442 confirms continuation of lower lows
US Fed speakers today could shift the USD-driven bid
13:02 UTC
Intraday pullback from range top · RSI 37 · price 1.14478
Range break lower after rejection near 1.1485.
EUR/USD stalled at the 1.1485 monthly range top during London and rolled over through NY, the last three bars snapping the 1.1460 intraday floor down to 1.14468 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. Move is a pullback within the USD-soft leg after cool US PPI; supply capped repeatedly at the 1.1470 area before the break.
Support: 1.14468, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482, 1.1485
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14468 session low extends the breakdown toward 1.1440
Reclaim of 1.14685 prior range negates the breakdown read
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) later today could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Range breaking lower · RSI 38 · price 1.14478
Consolidation broke down to a lower low.
NY session dumped ~20 pips off 1.14703, breaking the tight 1.1463-1.1470 range that held through midday and printing a session low at 1.14468. USD stayed soft after cool US PPI, but today's jobless-claims and Philly Fed beats added two-way pressure; RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s.
Support: 1.14468, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.14703
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14703 negates the range break
Failure to hold 1.14468 opens the 1.14405 pivot
Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid) later today could shift this read
EUR/USD spent the NY session grinding sideways in a 1.1460–1.1470 band near the 4-week high before rejecting 1.1470 and slicing through the 1.1466 floor to a session low at 1.14508. RSI(14) cooling near 38 as the dollar stays soft post-PPI; the prior consolidation floor at 1.1466 now caps.
Support: 1.14508, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14703
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14660 negates the downside break and re-opens 1.14703
Loss of 1.14508 session low exposes 1.14450 psych
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift the USD read
12:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 41 · price 1.14518
Range floor broken to the downside.
EURUSD climbed to a session high of 1.14820 during the London session then coiled in a 1.14600–1.14700 range through NY hours. The last hour broke that floor, dropping to 1.14508 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; the leg tracks a broadly soft dollar after this week's cool US PPI, though today's mixed data has capped further USD losses.
Support: 1.14508, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14660 negates the range-floor break
Failure to hold 1.14508 opens the path toward 1.14450
Fed speakers today (Logan, Schmid) could shift the USD read
12:31 UTC
Sideways after London rally stalled · RSI 48 · price 1.14636
Range-bound, mid-range.
EURUSD ranging 1.1459–1.1482 after the London rally to the 1.1482 session high stalled and rejected; RSI(14) mid-range near 47 with price hugging EMA20. US Retail Sales, jobless claims and Philly Fed print at the current bar (12:30 UTC) — the near-term swing factor for whether this range holds.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 session high reopens the run toward 1.1520
Loss of 1.1459 session low confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
12:31 UTC
Sideways after intraday rally · RSI 48 · price 1.14636
Consolidation below session high.
EUR/USD ran to a session high near 1.1482 during the London session on soft US PPI, then rolled into a tight range holding 1.1458 into the NY open. Price is pinned around 1.1463 just under its EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 47 — no directional impulse in play ahead of US data.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales/jobless claims at 12:30 UTC is imminent and can break this range
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 swing high
Failure to hold 1.1458 confirms a lower low toward 1.1442
12:17 UTC
Range-bound after early rally, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14624
Consolidation between 1.1458 and 1.1476.
EUR/USD ran to 1.1482 earlier on soft US PPI-driven USD selling, then rolled into a tight consolidation between 1.1458 and 1.1476. Last bars swept the session low at 1.14564 and rejected higher to 1.14685 before fading to 1.14624; RSI hovering near 47, no directional bias in play.
Support: 1.14585, 1.14564
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~15m) is the near-term catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.14685 reopens the 1.14760/1.14820 highs
Failure to hold 1.14564 confirms a lower low
12:16 UTC
Range, faded from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14624
Consolidation between 1.1458 and 1.1470.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.1482 and is consolidating between 1.1458 and 1.1470, price sitting just under its EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. The earlier leg up came on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI print; the euro has since gone flat into the NY open.
Support: 1.1458, 1.14554
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (mins away) can break this range in either direction
M15 close below 1.14580 opens the path toward the 1.14554 fib area
Reclaim of 1.14700 puts the session high at 1.14820 back in play
12:01 UTC
Sideways after NY rally · RSI 54 · price 1.14673
Consolidation near range top.
EUR/USD is consolidating between 1.1458 and 1.1475 after yesterday's NY rally peaked at 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-driven USD retreat. The latest bar swept the session low at 1.1456 then snapped back to close near 1.1467, a false break of the range floor. US Retail Sales in ~30 min is the near-term swing factor.
Support: 1.14564, 1.14585
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1475 opens the path to 1.1482 range top
Failure to hold 1.1458 session low confirms a lower low
12:01 UTC
Range after early rally, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14673
Consolidation below session high.
EUR pushed to a session high near 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-driven USD slide, then settled into a 1.1456–1.1474 range through the London-NY transition. Buyers stepped in around 1.1458 twice; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.14564
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~30m) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1474 opens the path to the 1.1482 session high
Failure to hold 1.1458 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
11:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.14645
Range after impulsive leg up, holding mid-range.
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.1482 during the London session on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI miss, then rolled into a tight range. Price is drifting in the lower half of that range near 1.1464, with the 1.1472 range top capping and buyers defending 1.1458.
Support: 1.14585, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14585 opens a move toward 1.1440
Reclaim of 1.14720 range top would re-target the 1.14820 session high
11:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.14645
Consolidation below session high after London rally faded.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1482 on the London rally then flattened, chopping between 1.1458 and 1.1478 for the last several hours on broad USD softness after the soft US PPI miss. Price sits mid-range at 1.14645 with RSI(14) neutral near 47 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1478, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could break this range decisively
M15 close above 1.1478 reopens the 1.1482 spike high
Loss of 1.1458 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1440
11:31 UTC
Range after rally, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.14605
Consolidation off session high, testing range lows.
EUR/USD rallied to a 1.1482 session high on soft US PPI, then settled into a 1.1458-1.1470 range for the last ~10 hours. Price is now pressing the lower edge near 1.1460, RSI(14) mid-40s, with rejection repeatedly capping the 1.1470 range top.
Support: 1.1458, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could break the 1.1458-1.1470 range
M15 close below 1.14580 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14700 reopens the 1.14820 session high
EUR/USD rallied to a session high of 1.1482 on soft US PPI-driven dollar weakness, then faded into a 1.1458–1.1470 range through London hours with RSI back to neutral. Price now sits at 1.1460 below EMA20/50, capped repeatedly near 1.1470.
Support: 1.1458, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.14735, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14735 reopens the session high at 1.14820
Failure to hold 1.14580 exposes 1.14405
11:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.14591
Consolidation below session high, edging to range low.
EUR/USD rolled off the 1.1476 swing high and is grinding into the 1.14585 recent low, unwinding part of the dollar-driven surge as the greenback finds modest footing ahead of US Retail Sales. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s and price sits below both EMAs; consolidation between 1.14585 and 1.1476 remains intact.
Support: 1.14585, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1476
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation after morning rally, testing range low.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1482 during the London session on soft US PPI, then consolidated in a 1.1460–1.1470 band through the day. Last several bars slipped to a session low at 1.1459, with RSI(14) near 41, price below EMA20/50 ahead of US Retail Sales.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1444, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1459 opens the path to the 1.1444 fib 50%
Reclaim of 1.1470 range top restores the intraday consolidation
11:02 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 42 · price 1.14594
Consolidation below session high, drifting lower.
Price rallied from 1.1406 to a session high of 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-driven USD slide, then stalled and consolidated mid-1.1460s through the London session. Last bar dips to 1.14585 with RSI near 42; recent highs capping around 1.14685.
Support: 1.14585, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.14585 session low opens toward the 1.1434 prior range
Reclaim of 1.14685 needed to re-challenge the 1.1482 session high
Consolidation below 1.1482 day high, testing session low.
EUR/USD peaked at the 1.1482 day high during London on soft US PPI, then consolidated in the mid-1.1460s and slid to the session low at 1.14585 on the closing bar. RSI(14) cooling near 42, price under EMA20/50; last bar was a thin 1-pip candle ahead of US Retail Sales.
Support: 1.14585, 1.14477
Resistance: 1.1469, 1.14765, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14585 session low exposes 1.14477 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14690 swing high needed to reopen 1.14765 session high
10:46 UTC
Up early, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14649
Consolidation after London push.
London hours drove EUR/USD off 1.14058 up to 1.14820 on the soft US PPI-led USD slide, then supply capped and price faded into a tight 1.1460–1.1476 consolidation. Now hugging the mid-range near 1.14649 with RSI(14) flat around 49; range floor at 1.1460 has held twice.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.14760 reopens the 1.14820 window high
Loss of 1.14600 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14405
10:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14649
Consolidation after London rally.
EURUSD ran from 1.1406 up to a session high at 1.1482 during London before stalling; USD sits near 4-week lows after the soft PPI miss. Since then price has coiled into a tight 1.1459–1.1476 band with RSI(14) flat near 48 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional expansion in play.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14760 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1459 range floor confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
The two-day USD-driven rally topped at 1.14820 and has since coiled into a tight 1.1460-1.1476 range, price now pinning the lower edge at 1.14633. Move is a USD story post-PPI miss, not EUR strength; momentum flat with RSI mid-40s and both EMAs just overhead.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14600 opens the path toward 1.14405
Reclaim of 1.14760 revives the push to the 1.14820 day high
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
10:32 UTC
Consolidating below session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14633
Range after London leg up.
London pushed EUR/USD to a session high of 1.14820 on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide, then price rolled into a tight 1.1460-1.1471 consolidation through the last ~12 bars. RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~5 pips, so the intraday move has stalled with no fresh direction. US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next test.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14600 exposes the 1.14530 fib 38.2 zone
Close above 1.14710 range top reopens 1.14820 session high
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
EURUSD stalled near the 4-week high after a two-day USD-weakness rally on soft US PPI, printing a session high at 1.14820 before drifting back. Price has coiled between the 1.14600 range floor and the 1.14760 swing high through the Asia and early-London hours, RSI(14) neutral around 50.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14405, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14760 swing high opens a retest of the 1.14820 session high
Loss of the 1.14600 range floor exposes the 1.14405 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.14655
Consolidation under 4-week high.
EUR/USD spiked to a 4-week high at 1.1482 during London hours on the soft US PPI-driven USD slide, then rolled into a tight 1.1460-1.1476 range through the NY session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price pinned to EMA20; no directional development in play ahead of US Retail Sales.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1455, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range and materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1482 swing high opens the 1.1520 cap
Failure to hold the 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1440
EUR/USD stalled after tagging a 1.1482 session high on the post-PPI USD slide, now chopping in a tight 1.1460–1.1472 range through the London session. RSI(14) is flat near 48 and price sits just under EMA20/50, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14405
Resistance: 1.14716, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14716 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Loss of 1.14600 range low confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
10:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.14654
Range after prior-session surge.
EUR/USD consolidating 1.1460-1.1476 after the prior NY-session surge to a 1.1482 four-week high on USD weakness post soft US PPI. RSI(14) neutral near 44, ATR compressed to ~4 pips through the quiet Asian and early London hours; no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14315
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation either way
M15 close above 1.14820 reopens the upside; loss of 1.14600 confirms a lower low
09:47 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.14651
Consolidation below prior high after NY rally faded.
EUR/USD's NY-session push to 1.1482 faded, and price has consolidated between 1.1460 and 1.1476 through Asia and into today's London session on the USD-weakness story post-PPI. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no directional setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 reopens the 1.1482 prior high
Loss of 1.1460 session low confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
09:46 UTC
Uptrend paused, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.14651
Range after impulse to 4-week high.
EUR/USD rallied to a 4-week high at 1.1482 in the prior NY session on USD weakness post-PPI, then stalled and has consolidated between 1.1460 and 1.1474 since. Price sits mid-range near 1.1465 with RSI(14) neutral around 50 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 range top opens 1.1482 then the 1.1520 cap
Failure to hold 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1434
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
EUR/USD surged to 1.1482 during the USD-soft leg (CPI/PPI misses), then rolled into a tight consolidation between 1.1460 and 1.1476. Price is drifting the lower half of that range with RSI(14) mid-40s; rejections at 1.14759 have capped the recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14477
Resistance: 1.14759, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 reopens 1.1482 then 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1460 confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range
09:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.14628
Consolidation after London rally.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1482 during London on soft US PPI-driven USD weakness, then stalled and settled into a 1.1460–1.1476 range. Price now drifting to the lower edge near 1.1463, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range read
M15 close below 1.1460 confirms a lower-low out of the range
Reclaim of 1.1476 session high reopens 1.1482 rally high
09:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.14642
Consolidation below session high after rally.
EUR/USD is ranging 1.1460–1.1476 after the London rally to 1.1482 stalled; the leg was USD-weakness driven off soft US PPI. RSI mid-range near 45, ATR ~5 pips — quiet drift into the NY session with price hugging EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1462, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could break this range
M15 close below 1.14590 confirms a lower-low
Close above 1.14760 reopens the 1.1482 session high
EUR/USD ran to 1.1482 during the London morning on the USD-soft PPI story, then stalled and has been chopping in a tight 1.1460-1.1476 band. Rejection at 1.14765 on the last push higher; price now sitting mid-range just under EMA20/50 with RSI flat near 47.
Support: 1.14617, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.14765, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14765 opens a retest of 1.1482 then 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14617 exposes the 1.1440 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
09:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.14652
Consolidation below session high after London rally.
EUR/USD ran up to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI miss, then went sideways through the low-volume Asian session and into London, ranging 1.1462–1.1476. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 reopens the 1.1482 high and exposes 1.1500
Loss of 1.1462 range floor exposes 1.1444
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
09:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.14652
Consolidation above 1.1460 after rally peak.
EURUSD rallied to 1.1482 during the prior session on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide, then rolled into a tight consolidation between 1.1460 and 1.1476. RSI(14) flat near 49 with price pinned around EMA20/50 — no directional impulse into the London session, ING's 1.1460/70 cap still holding overhead.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1462
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14760 reopens the 1.14820 window high
Failure to hold 1.14600 confirms a lower-low out of the range
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
08:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.14652
Consolidation near 4-week highs after London rally.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1460–1.1476 after the sharp London leg up to 1.1482, capping at ING's 1.1460/70 zone as the dollar sits soft post-PPI miss. RSI(14) neutral near 48, price hugging its EMAs with no directional pressure into the European morning.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1444, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 opens the path to 1.1500 then 1.1542
Break below 1.1460 range low exposes 1.1440
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
08:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.14652
Consolidation below session high.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1482 after the soft US PPI print kept the dollar heavy, then stalled and drifted into a 1.1460–1.1476 range through the London morning. RSI(14) has flattened near 48 with price coiling around the ING 1.1460/70 cap; no directional resolution yet.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1432, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.1460–1.1476 range
M15 close below 1.1460 confirms rejection of the cap and opens 1.1432
Close above 1.1476 reopens the 1.1482 session high
NY session drove the breakout from the Asian range up to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-led dollar slide, then price stalled and consolidated 1.1460–1.1476 through Asia. London reopened mid-range at 1.1465 with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional push in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1455, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1480 reopens the path to 1.1500 (ING 1.1460/70 cap)
Loss of 1.1460 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD is grinding sideways near four-week highs in ING's 1.1460/70 cap zone after the soft US PPI print, ranging roughly 1.1460–1.1476 through the London session. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 with the impulsive rally to 1.1482 now digested.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1453, 1.1432
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.1476 session high opens the 1.1482 swing high then 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1460 range low exposes the 1.1453 fib area
EURUSD is consolidating 1.1460–1.1472 through the London session after yesterday's NY rally to 1.14820 on the soft US PPI miss. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and price is pinned around EMA20, with no fresh intraday direction ahead of US Retail Sales.
Support: 1.1460
Resistance: 1.14716, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
M15 close above 1.14716 reopens the path toward 1.14820
Loss of 1.14600 range low confirms a lower-low into the London-NY transition
EUR rallied through London off the US PPI/CPI misses to a session high near 1.1476, then rejected back to 1.1464 and has been consolidating in a tight 1.1460-1.1476 band. Price now sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to mid-40s; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 reopens the 1.1482 day high toward the 1.1500 pivot
Loss of 1.1459 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Up during NY, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.14692
Tight range under session highs.
NY session drove EUR/USD to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI miss, then price consolidated overnight in a tight 1.1460–1.1476 band. London opened grinding at 1.1469 with RSI(14) neutral near 55; the 1.1460 range base held through Asia.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.14759, 1.1482
What it said to watch
EZ CPI (08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14759 recent high opens the path to 1.14820 then 1.1500
Loss of the 1.14600 range base exposes 1.14440 swing low
EURUSD ran to a session high of 1.1482 on broad dollar weakness after soft US PPI, then settled into a tight 1.1460-1.1476 range through the London session. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 54; no fresh extension yet ahead of the CPI/Retail Sales window.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14444, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
EZ CPI just crossed at 08:00 UTC — reaction could break the range
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1482 opens the path toward 1.1542
London session rallied to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide, then settled into a tight consolidation between 1.1460 and 1.1478, currently pressing the upper half at 1.14713. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; ATR compressed near 3-4 pips as the market waits on data.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14617
Resistance: 1.14716, 1.1482
What it said to watch
EZ CPI at 08:00 UTC is imminent and could break the 1.1460-1.1478 range
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation near session highs after impulse up.
EURUSD rallied off 1.1406 through the London-NY session on a soft US PPI print, tagging 1.1482 before stalling into a tight 1.1460-1.1475 consolidation. Price now presses the 1.14745 prior high with RSI(14) mid-range; no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1455, 1.1443
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 opens the path to 1.1500
Loss of 1.1460 breaks the consolidation floor toward 1.1443
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after London rally.
EURUSD rallied from the Asian low near 1.1406 through the London session to a 1.1482 session high, the leg driven by a soft-USD story after yesterday's weak US PPI. Since then price has drifted sideways in a tight 1.1460–1.1474 band through NY, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s with ATR compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 reopens the 1.1500 pivot
Loss of 1.1460 range floor confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1482 during NY hours on the soft US PPI miss, then eased and has since ranged 1.1460–1.1474 through the London session. Shallow pullback held above the range floor; price is coiling just under the session high with RSI mid-band.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14439, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1474 session high opens 1.1482 then the 1.1500 psych level
Loss of 1.1460 range floor exposes the 1.1443 swing low
French CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range
07:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 56 · price 1.14679
Consolidation under session high after impulsive rally.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide, then rolled into a tight range between 1.1460 and 1.1474 through the Asian session. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range at ~56, sitting right on the ING-flagged 1.1460/70 cap.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14820 opens the path back toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14600 range floor exposes 1.14550
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range in either direction
Consolidation below session high after London rally.
London session drove EUR/USD to a swing high at 1.1482 on the soft-USD story after yesterday's US PPI miss, then faded into a tight range between 1.1460 and 1.1474. Price is coiling around EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 54 — no directional push in play.
Support: 1.1460
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14740 reopens the 1.14820 swing high
Loss of 1.14600 range low confirms a lower-low into NY
French CPI at 08:00 UTC (~45m) could break the range
07:02 UTC
Up then flat, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.14685
Range after NY-session rally.
NY afternoon rally pushed to 1.1482 on the softer US PPI print, then price settled into an overnight range between 1.1461 and 1.1478. Early London has price mid-range near 1.1468, RSI(14) neutral around 56 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1478, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1478 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych pivot
Loss of 1.1461 range low exposes 1.1434 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14820 during NY hours after the soft US PPI miss undercut the dollar, then rolled into a tight 1.1460–1.1474 consolidation that has held through the Asia session into London. Price grinds near the top of that range at 1.14685 with RSI(14) mid-band and no fresh extension.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1455, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14820 opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.14600 range floor confirms a lower-low and shifts the read
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ran to a 19-day session high at 1.14820 during the prior NY session on the soft US PPI miss, then went flat. Price has held a tight range above the 1.14600 floor through Asia into early London, with the 1.14740 swing high capping. Shallow pullback only — buyers held ~20% off the rally leg.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
M15 close above 1.14740 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Loss of 1.14600 range floor exposes the 50% fib at 1.14440
06:47 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.14663
Consolidation under session high after PPI-driven rally.
EURUSD rallied to a session high at 1.1482 during NY hours on the soft US PPI miss, then went flat overnight, ranging roughly 1.1460–1.1478 through the Asia session and into early London. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the shallow pullback holds well above the fib zone; range top still capping.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14529
Resistance: 1.1478, 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1478 range top exposes 1.14820 session high then 1.15000 psych
Failure to hold 1.14600 range low opens deeper retrace toward the fib 38.2 at 1.14529
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.14674
Consolidation below session high.
NY session rallied to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print that pressured the dollar, then price settled into a tight 1.1460–1.1478 range through Asia into the London open. RSI(14) neutral near 55; the session high still caps and the range floor at 1.1460 has held repeatedly.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14553
Resistance: 1.14783, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1478/1.1482 opens the path toward 1.1542
Failure to hold 1.1460 exposes the 1.1455 breakout base
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range either way
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.1482 session high during the US session after soft PPI hit the dollar, then went into a tight overnight range between 1.1460 and 1.1475. RSI(14) neutral near 55; grinding sideways into the London open with the range floor intact.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 session high opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1440
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
06:16 UTC
Recovery stalling below cap · RSI 56 · price 1.1468
Consolidating under 1.1475 after NY-session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD to a 1.1482 high on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide, then it faded through a quiet Asian range. Price now consolidates 1.1460-1.1475, pinned just under the 1.1460/70 cap flagged in the digest, RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 reopens the 1.1482 swing high
Loss of the 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1440
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range
06:16 UTC
Range after rally, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.1468
Consolidation below session high.
EUR/USD rallied from 1.1411 to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print, then stalled below the 1.1460/70 cap and has ranged tightly through the Asian session. Price now holds 1.1460-1.1474 with RSI neutral near 56 and ATR compressed to ~9 pips.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1443, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 clears the session high and reopens 1.1542
Loss of 1.1460 exposes 1.1443, then the 1.1411 range low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range either way
06:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.14658
Consolidation under session high.
EUR ran up to a 1.1482 session high after the soft US PPI miss dragged the dollar, then rolled into a tight Asian range between 1.1459 and 1.1474. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with price pinned at EMA20; the 1.1474 range top has capped every attempt higher.
Support: 1.1459, 1.14415
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 range top exposes the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1459 session low turns structure lower toward the 1.14415 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range in either direction
06:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14658
Consolidation under session high.
Post-PPI rally topped at 1.1482 late in the prior session, then faded into an Asian range holding 1.1460-1.1478. Price is drifting flat around 1.1466 into the London open with RSI(14) neutral; no setup in play until the band breaks.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1478, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1478 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1460 exposes the 1.1440 base
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range
05:46 UTC
Sideways after intraday rally · RSI 54 · price 1.14655
Consolidation below session high.
EUR/USD popped toward 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print, then eased back and has coiled in a tight 1.1460-1.1474 band through the quiet Asian session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 and ATR is compressed at ~3.5 pips; no setup in play, price pinned under the 1.1470/74 cap.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range
M15 close above 1.1474 opens the path to the 1.1482 day high
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1406 to a session high of 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-driven USD slide, then settled into a tight 1.1460-1.1475 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52; price is pinned just below the 1.1460/70 cap flagged in context.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14820 breaks the range and reopens the session high
Loss of 1.14600 puts the 1.14400 range low back in play
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
London session drove a rally off 1.1406 to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI-driven dollar slide; price has since coiled into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1465, capped at the 1.1470 ceiling. ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 reopens the path higher
Break below 1.1460 range floor confirms failure at the cap
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the coil either way
EUR/USD is pinned just under the 1.1470/75 cap after the pop toward 1.1482 on the soft US PPI miss; Asian-session ranges have compressed hard, ATR down to ~4 pips. Price is coiling on the range top with no directional break in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1443, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range in either direction
M15 close above 1.1475 opens the path toward the 1.1482 swing high
Failure to hold 1.1460 shifts the read back toward 1.1443
05:17 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14673
Consolidation under session high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1482 during NY hours on the soft US PPI miss, then drifted back and has coiled in a tight 1.1460-1.1474 Asian range on thin volume. RSI(14) neutral near 53; the session high at 1.14745 is capping while 1.14600 holds as the range floor.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1449
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14745 reopens the 1.14820 swing high
Loss of 1.14600 range low exposes 1.14490
Eurozone CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range
05:17 UTC
Sideways after NY rally · RSI 52 · price 1.14673
Consolidation below session high.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1482 during NY hours on the soft US PPI miss, then drifted into a tight 1.1460-1.1474 Asian range pinned just below the 1.1460/70 cap. RSI(14) neutral near 52, ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no momentum in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14740 reopens the session high at 1.14820
Break below 1.14600 range low exposes the 1.14530 fib zone
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could break the range
05:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.1466
Consolidation below intraday cap after rally.
London's rally pushed to a 1.1482 session high after soft US PPI knocked the dollar, but price stalled into the 1.1460/70 cap flagged in the macro read. Now ranging 1.1460-1.1474 through the Asia/pre-London hours with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 cap reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1460 range low exposes the 1.1428 swing low
Eurozone CPI at 08:00 UTC (~3h) and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the band
05:01 UTC
Up then flat, momentum faded · RSI 53 · price 1.1466
Consolidation after NY rally.
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session to a 1.1482 high on the soft US PPI print, then pulled back and has coiled in a tight 1.1460-1.1475 band through the thin Asian session. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~7 pips — no setup in play, range still intact.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 re-opens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1440 swing
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the band
04:47 UTC
Rally stalled, ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.14663
Consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14820 during the London-NY window on the soft US PPI miss, then settled into a tight 1.14600-1.14740 range through the Asia session on thin volume. RSI(14) flat near 51; price is coiling just under the session high with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range
M15 close above 1.14740 reopens 1.14820 session high
Loss of 1.14600 exposes the 1.14420 swing low
04:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.14663
Consolidation below session high after rally.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1482 during yesterday's London-NY hours on the soft US PPI that dragged the dollar, then retraced and is now ranging 1.1460-1.1474 in a thin Asian session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with ATR compressed to ~4-5 pips; no fresh directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14742, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1460 exposes 1.1417 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range
Range after impulsive rally, holding near the top.
Post-PPI rally topped at 1.1482 during NY hours, then coiled into a 1.1460–1.1474 range through the quiet Asia session. Early London has price drifting toward the range base at 1.1460, RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1442, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474/1.1482 opens the post-CPI extension
Loss of 1.1460 range base exposes 1.1442 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst
Post-PPI rally topped at 1.1482 mid-window before fading into a tight Asian range between 1.1459 and 1.1474. Price now drifts near the lower edge with RSI neutral around 49; no setup in play ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1449
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14740 reopens the 1.14820 prior high
Break below 1.14590 session low exposes 1.14490
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst
04:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now sideways · RSI 47 · price 1.14645
Consolidation in upper range after rally.
EUR/USD chopping 1.1460-1.1474 through the Asia session after yesterday's post-PPI rally topped at 1.1482. RSI neutral near 47, momentum flat; 1.1474 has capped twice while 1.1460 holds as the floor.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1443, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could break this range
Close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1460 exposes the 1.1443 swing
04:16 UTC
Range after NY spike, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14645
Consolidation below session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14820 on the soft US PPI miss, then faded into a tight Asian-session range between 1.14600 and 1.14740 on thin volume. Price sits mid-range at 1.14645 with RSI(14) neutral near 48 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14740 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Loss of 1.14600 exposes the 1.14410 prior low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could break this range
EUR/USD rallied to 1.1482 during NY hours on the soft US PPI miss, then drifted into a quiet Asian range between 1.1460 and 1.1474 with RSI back to neutral. Rejection at 1.1474 keeps price capped near recent highs; current bar is thin and directionless.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
M15 close above 1.1482 reopens the post-PPI extension
Loss of 1.1460 range low exposes 1.1442
04:01 UTC
Sideways after NY rally · RSI 51 · price 1.14659
Consolidation above 1.1460.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1482 into the NY afternoon on the soft US PPI miss, then faded and has coiled in a tight 1.1460-1.1474 range through the quiet Asian session. Price sits at the 38.2% retrace of that leg with RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 1.14598, 1.14523
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1474 range top reopens 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1460 range low exposes the 1.1452 fib 61.8 zone
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
03:47 UTC
Up off London low, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14664
Range near highs after impulse.
London session drove EUR/USD from the 1.1406 swing low to a 1.1482 day high on the soft US PPI miss, then price faded into a thin Asian-session range around 1.1460-1.1474. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 and price hugs EMA20; no fresh setup while the range holds.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 day high
Loss of 1.1460 range base exposes 1.1440
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range
03:46 UTC
Range after NY rally faded · RSI 52 · price 1.14664
Tight consolidation mid-range.
EUR/USD pushed to 1.1482 during NY on the soft US CPI/PPI prints, then faded and spent the Asian session ranging tightly between 1.1460 and the 1.14735 swing high. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 52; no fresh directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1443
Resistance: 1.14735, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14735 reopens the 1.1482 prior high
Loss of 1.1460 asian low exposes 1.1443 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
Consolidation near session highs after impulse leg.
EUR/USD ran from 1.1406 to a session high of 1.1482 through the London-NY session on the soft US PPI miss, then settled into a tight 1.1460-1.1475 band. Asia hours are quiet with sub-5-pip ATR; the range floor at 1.1460 has held on repeated tests while 1.1475 caps.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1447, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 reopens 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1447 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and German CPI 08:00 UTC could break the range
EUR/USD rallied to a 1.1482 session high through NY hours on the soft US PPI print, then faded and is coiling in a tight 1.1460–1.1473 band through the thin Asian session. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, ATR compressed to ~5 pips; price holds above EMA20/50 with no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1473 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1440
German final CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range
NY session rallied to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print, then faded into Asia and has consolidated in a tight 1.1460–1.1474 band. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47, ATR compressed to ~6 pips as the Asian range develops; upside stalled into the 1.1460/70 cap flagged in context.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14735, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14735 reopens the 1.1482 day high
Failure to hold 1.1460 exposes 1.1435 swing low
German final CPI at 08:00 UTC could shift this range
The NY-session impulse to 1.1482 on soft US PPI has faded; price has spent the Asia session boxed between 1.1460 and 1.1475, RSI(14) flat near 47. Current bar sits at the range low with the session high at 1.1482 unchallenged since the fade.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 re-opens the 1.1482 session high
Failure to hold 1.1460 range low exposes 1.1440 swing low
German final CPI ~08:00 UTC could break the range
03:02 UTC
Up leg faded, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.14637
Range under session high after pullback.
EUR/USD ran into NY on the soft US CPI/PPI prints, peaked at 1.1482 then faded, and is now consolidating 1.1460–1.1474 through a thin Asia session. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 44; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1450, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 day high
Failure to hold 1.1460 asia low exposes 1.1450 round number
NY session ran up to 1.1482 on the soft US CPI/PPI prints before fading; Asia has since coiled in a tight 1.1460–1.1474 range on thin volume. RSI(14) back to neutral near 49, price hugging the EMA20 with the breakout base at 1.1442 untested.
Support: 1.14598, 1.14418
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1460 shifts the read back toward the 1.1442 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 session high
German final CPI at 08:00 UTC and US retail sales are the next intraday catalysts
02:47 UTC
Consolidation after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.1463
Range under session high, lower highs.
NY session rallied to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print, then faded into an Asian-session range between 1.1460 and 1.1474, right at the 1.1460/70 cap flagged in the digest. Price is drifting lower toward the asia low with RSI mid-range and volume thin.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 session high reopens the 1.1482 ny high
Break below 1.1460 asia low exposes 1.1435 ny base
German final CPI 08:00 UTC could shift this range read
London low near 1.1406 gave way to a sharp rally into 1.1482, matching the digest's 1.1460/70 cap; upside stalled there and price has faded to 1.1463 in thin Asian hours. Now ranging 1.1460–1.1473, holding the upper half of the rally.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1460 opens the 1.1440 swing low
A close above 1.1482 clears the session high cap
German final CPI 08:00 UTC could shift this read
02:32 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14642
Consolidating below session high.
NY session pushed EUR/USD to 1.1482 on the soft US CPI/PPI misses, then faded into the close. Asia has traded thin and tight, holding a 1.1460–1.1474 range with price coiling just under the session high; RSI(14) is flat near mid-range.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 high
Loss of 1.1460 exposes the 1.1441 prior low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the Asian range
EUR/USD ran from 1.14058 to a session high of 1.1482 during NY hours on the soft US PPI miss, then faded into the Asia session. Price is now consolidating 1.1460–1.1474, holding just above EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1482 session high
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1406 to a 1.1482 session high — a dollar move after the soft US CPI/PPI misses — then faded through the quiet Asia session, printing lower highs into 1.1474. Price now testing 1.1460 support with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1444, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1478, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1460 opens the 1.1444 swing low
Close back above 1.1474 lower high reasserts the rally
NY session ran up to 1.1482 on the back-to-back US CPI/PPI misses, then faded into a tight 1.1460–1.1474 range through Asia. Price is now pinned at the range low near 1.1460 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1460 opens the prior range toward 1.1440
Reclaim of 1.1474 range top puts the 1.1482 spike high back in play
German final CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session rallied to 1.1482 on the soft US CPI/PPI dollar story before fading. Asia is now consolidating 1.1461–1.1474 just under the highs, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range with price slipping back below EMA20.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14408, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14737, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14606 breaks the range low and opens the swing at 1.14408
Reclaim of 1.14737 puts the 1.14820 NY high back in play
German final CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation just under session high after NY rally.
EUR/USD broke higher into 1.1482 during NY hours on the soft US PPI print, then settled into a tight 1.1461–1.1474 band through the thin Asian session. Price now hovers at 1.14647, dipping under EMA20 as momentum flattens, with the session high still capping.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1443, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14610 breaks the consolidation and confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14740 puts the 1.14820 session high back in play
German final CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:47 UTC
Rally faded into range · RSI 51 · price 1.14665
Consolidation under session high.
EURUSD spiked to 1.14820 on the soft US CPI/PPI-driven dollar leg, then faded and has been ranging 1.14606–1.14745 through the thin Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 51 with price pinned to EMA20; the 1.14745 top has capped repeatedly.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14745 reopens the 1.14820 day high
Loss of 1.14606 breaks the range and exposes 1.14340
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range
01:46 UTC
Rally faded, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14665
Consolidation after NY rally.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14820 during the NY session on the soft US PPI miss, then faded into a tight 1.14620–1.14740 range through quiet Asian hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14740 reopens the 1.14820 spike high
Loss of 1.14620 breaks the Asian range and exposes 1.14440
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
London/NY drove EURUSD up to 1.1482 as soft US CPI/PPI capped the dollar; Asian session has since drifted sideways in a tight 1.1461–1.1474 band. RSI(14) cooling around 57 with price holding just under the session high and above EMA20.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14435
Resistance: 1.14737, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.14737 reopens the 1.1482 swing high
Loss of 1.14606 asia low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst for this pair
Higher lows off 1.1406, consolidating below session high.
NY session drove a clean leg from 1.1406 to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print, then pulled back and stalled. Asia session is grinding sideways on thin volume between 1.1461 and 1.1474, holding above rising support with the 1.1478 session high still capping.
Support: 1.14612, 1.14439
Resistance: 1.14737, 1.14783, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14783 opens the path to the 1.14820 session high
Failure to hold 1.14612 breaks rising support and the higher-low chain
German CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this range
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session to a high of 1.1482 as soft US PPI capped the dollar, then pulled back and held 1.1461. Thin Asia-session volume has price grinding back toward the session high near 1.1474, RSI(14) mid-range around 58.
Support: 1.14606
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14820 opens the 1.1462/1.1475 upper band
Failure to hold 1.14606 breaks the higher-low chain
German CPI at 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 61 · price 1.14721
Higher lows through Asia, capped below session high.
After the NY-session spike to 1.1482 faded, EURUSD drifted lower then built a chain of higher lows through the thin Asian session, now pressing the 1.1474 session high on light volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 61 — momentum firm but not stretched. Move is USD-driven off yesterday's soft US CPI/PPI.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1449
Resistance: 1.14742, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14742 exposes the 1.1482 prior high and upper band
Loss of 1.14606 breaks the Asian higher-low chain
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and German CPI 08:00 UTC could reset the intraday read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 1.14736
Grinding at session highs after NY rally.
NY session ripped from the 1.1406 session low to a 1.1482 high on the soft US PPI print, then eased back into a tight Asian grind. Price is now creeping back toward the 1.14742 recent high on thin volume, holding well above the 1.14607 Asia low; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.14607, 1.1461, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14742, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 session high opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.14607 asia low breaks the rising intraday structure
German CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
Consolidating near session highs after impulsive NY rally.
NY session drove an impulsive rally from 1.1406 to 1.1482 after the soft US PPI print pressured the dollar. Price has since consolidated 1.1460–1.1475 through quiet Asia hours and is nudging back toward the session high; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR compressed.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 reopens the path higher; loss of 1.1460 range base signals a deeper pullback toward 1.1440
German CPI at 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.14693
NY rally, Asia range at top.
NY session drove EURUSD from 1.1406 to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI miss, then trimmed into a tight Asia consolidation between 1.1461 and 1.1474. Volume thin, RSI(14) mid-range near 58; range top at 1.14745 still capping.
Support: 1.14612, 1.1449
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14745 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Loss of 1.14612 confirms a deeper unwind of the NY rally
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the Asia range
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing in Asia · RSI 60 · price 1.14693
Consolidation grinding higher below session high.
EUR/USD rallied through the London-NY window to 1.14820 on the soft US PPI miss, then settled into a tight Asia-session consolidation between 1.14606 and 1.14745. Price is grinding back toward the swing high at 1.14745, RSI(14) mid-60s and thin Asian volume keeping ranges compressed.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14745 reopens session high at 1.14820
Loss of 1.14606 range low breaks the rising support
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset the intraday read
NY session drove EUR/USD from the 1.1410 session low up to 1.1482 after the soft US PPI print capped the USD. Asia has consolidated tightly in the 1.1461-1.1474 range floor just below the session high, RSI(14) cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1448, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14783, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14783 reopens the 1.14820 swing high
Loss of the 1.14610 range floor breaks the intraday higher-low chain
EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session ripped from 1.1406 to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI miss, then handed off to a tight Asian range holding 1.1460-1.1474. Price is grinding back toward the session high on low volume, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14493, 1.14238
Resistance: 1.1478, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 reopens the NY high; loss of 1.1461 breaks the Asian range floor
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session rallied to a session high at 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print pressuring USD, then eased to a swing low at 1.1461. Asia is grinding back up on thin volume toward the 1.1475 range cap, RSI(14) mid-range near 60.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1443
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 clears the session high and range cap
Failure to hold 1.1461 swing low reopens the 1.1443 prior high
EZ final CPI at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing in Asia · RSI 61 · price 1.14729
Higher lows off 1.1406, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1406 to 1.1482 during late NY on the soft US PPI miss, then went quiet through the Asian session, drifting sideways around 1.1460-1.1470. Current bar edging back toward 1.1473, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range — session high at 1.1482 untested since the spike.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1482 opens continuation toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1461 confirms a lower low in Asia
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range consolidation
NY session drove EUR up to 1.1482 on the soft US PPI print before it faded to 1.1461. Asia hours are grinding a tight 1.1461–1.1470 band right into the 1.1460/70 cap flagged in the macro read; RSI neutral, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1448
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 range cap opens the 1.1482 session high
Failure to hold 1.1461 range low reopens the 1.1448 breakout zone
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could snap this range
Consolidation below session high after London rally.
London session ran a sharp rally off 1.14058 to a 1.14820 session high as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, then faded into a tight 1.1460–1.1470 consolidation through the quiet Asia hours. RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~12 pips; price is grinding back toward the 1.14706 prior high with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14554
Resistance: 1.14706, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14706 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Failure to hold 1.14606 range low breaks the consolidation floor
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could snap the range