EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 62 · price 1.14699
Consolidating below session high after impulse.
EUR/USD broke out of the 1.1440 range into the NY afternoon, tagging a session high at 1.1482 as the dollar stayed heavy after soft US PPI. Price faded and is now grinding higher in a tight 1.1460–1.1470 band on thin Asia-session volume, holding above the fib 38.2 at 1.14529.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14529
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 extends the session-high break
Loss of the 1.14606 asia low negates the grind-up
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR spiked through 1.1478 into the NY session on the soft US PPI print, tagged 1.1482, then faded and based around 1.1460. Thin Asia trade has since ground price back to the 1.1470 cap flagged as resistance; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1434, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14703, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14703 opens the path back to the 1.14820 session high
Loss of the 1.14606 asia base signals a deeper pullback toward 1.14340
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ran from 1.1409 to 1.1482 through the NY session on the soft US CPI/PPI theme, then faded and has coiled in a 1.1461–1.1470 range through thin Asia hours on collapsing volume. Price sits at 1.14685 pressing the range cap; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 range cap reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1461 consol low signals a deeper pullback
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales 12:30 could break this consolidation
Consolidating below session high after impulse leg.
London-NY session drove a clean impulse off 1.1406 to a 1.1482 session high, helped by the softer US PPI print keeping the dollar heavy. Price has since faded into a tight 1.1460–1.1470 consolidation on thin late-session volume; buyers stepped in at 1.1460 and the 1.1470 range cap is the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1443
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1470 range cap reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.14606 swing low breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.1443
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
23:17 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.14684
Breakout then sideways under session high.
NY session pushed EURUSD off 1.1406 up to a 1.1482 session high on the soft US CPI/PPI backdrop, then price faded and has coiled in a tight 1.1460–1.1470 band through the thin Asian session. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s and ATR is compressed — no fresh directional impulse while sitting just under the session high.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 session high extends the breakout leg
Loss of the 1.1460 range floor exposes the 1.1442 pre-breakout area
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) and EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) are the next catalysts that could break this range
23:16 UTC
Up leg faded, now flat · RSI 58 · price 1.14684
Tight consolidation under session high.
NY session drove a leg to 1.1482 as soft US PPI capped the dollar, then faded to the mid-1.1460s. Asia is now coiling in a thin 1.1461-1.1468 band on very low volume, price pinned to the range top with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14685 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Loss of 1.14606 breaks the Asian range lower
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could break the band
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1410 up to a 1.1482 session high before fading; price now ticks quietly in the 1.1461–1.1470 band through late Asia hours on thin volume. Only a shallow pullback of the rally, holding near the highs with RSI cooling off.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1436
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.1475/1.1482 opens the path back to the range top
Loss of 1.1461 swing low would deepen the pullback toward 1.1436
EZ final CPI (08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) are the near-term catalysts
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 56 · price 1.1467
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
NY session drove a sharp leg from 1.1406 up to a 1.1482 session high before fading ~20 pips into the 1.1461 swing low, with soft US CPI/PPI keeping USD offered. Asian session is now consolidating tight around 1.1465-1.1470, momentum flat and RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.14612, 1.1440, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 reopens the 1.1475 range cap / spike-high area
Failure to hold 1.1461 swing low exposes the 1.1440 pivot
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC and EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC could break this consolidation
Consolidation below session high after NY impulse.
NY session broke above 1.1435 into a 1.1482 session high, tagging the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap flagged as resistance, then faded. Price is now consolidating 1.1459-1.1470 in thin late/Asia-hours trade with RSI(14) cooled off the impulse to mid-range.
Support: 1.14592, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14706, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1482 session high extends the breakout leg
Failure to hold 1.14592 asia low opens the 1.1434 pre-spike area
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1406 to a session high of 1.1482 during NY hours on the cooler US CPI/PPI backdrop, then rejected and faded into a tight 1.1459–1.1470 hold through the low-volume Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the impulse stalls below 1.1475.
Support: 1.14592, 1.14418, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14745 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Loss of the 1.14592 range low signals a deeper pullback into 1.14418
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could break this consolidation
A sharp leg up through the NY session pushed EURUSD to a 1.1482 session high before fading back to the 1.1461–1.1473 band. Price is now consolidating in thin late-Asia trade, holding above EMA20 with RSI cooled to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.14608, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1482
What it said to watch
A close above 1.1482 session high extends the rally
Loss of the 1.14608 range floor negates the consolidation read
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp leg from 1.1406 to a 1.1482 spike high before rejection faded price back to 1.1460. Asia hours are quiet and low-volume, coiling in a tight 1.1460–1.1468 band with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14554, 1.14418
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14606 session low reopens the 1.14554 rally step
Reclaim of 1.14745 puts the 1.14820 session high back in play
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could break the range
NY session ripped from 1.1406 to a 1.1482 session high before faders capped it; price has since coiled in a tight 1.1461-1.1468 band through low-volume Asia hours, sitting on the 1.1470 range cap. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-50s and ATR is compressed near 5 pips — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1461 range low shifts structure back toward 1.1440
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could break this range
22:16 UTC
Up-move faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14663
Consolidation below session high after spike.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.1482 on the cooler US CPI/PPI reads then faded to 1.1466, rejected below 1.1473. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1461–1.1473 band into thin Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1455, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1473 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Break below 1.1461 swing low exposes 1.1455
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could reset this range
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 1.1467
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
NY session drove EURUSD to a 1.1482 session high on the soft US PPI print, then faded into a tight 1.1461-1.1475 range through thin Asian hours. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range as the rally stalls under the range cap.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1440, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1482 reopens the leg higher; loss of 1.1461 range base points back to 1.1440
EZ final CPI (08:00) and US Retail Sales (12:30) both land within the next 8-11h and can break the range
22:01 UTC
Uptrend faded to consolidation · RSI 53 · price 1.1467
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1442 to a 1.1482 session high as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, then it faded to consolidate in a tight 1.1459–1.1475 band through the Asian session with volume drying up. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1442, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.1459 range floor exposes 1.1442 swing low
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could break the consolidation band
Breakout above congestion, shallow pullback, consolidating near session high.
NY afternoon rally broke the 1.1435/1.1443 congestion and pushed to a session high of 1.1482 before fading to 1.1462, aided by the soft US CPI/PPI backdrop capping the dollar. Price is now consolidating just above the breakout zone in thin late-session, Asia-open trade; RSI has cooled from the highs and sits mid-range.
Support: 1.14435, 1.14108
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1443 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.1410 range base
Reclaim of 1.1482 puts the session high back in play
EZ final CPI (~10h out) is the next catalyst that could break this consolidation
London session drove a sharp rally to 1.14820, clearing the 1.1462 CPI-spike high, then faded into a low-volume Asia session now flat around 1.1463 — roughly a 50% retrace of the 1.1406–1.1482 move. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as momentum stalls.
Support: 1.14592, 1.14493, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14730 reopens the 1.14820 session high
Loss of 1.14490 breakout level negates the rally structure
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
21:32 UTC
Uptrend fading, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.14616
Post-breakout consolidation below session high.
NY afternoon surge broke the 1.1470 range cap and tagged a 1.1482 session high before fading to 1.1461, where price is now consolidating in thin late-session volume. The leg up rode a heavy dollar after soft US PPI reinforced Tuesday's cool CPI; RSI has cooled back to neutral as the move stalled.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14493, 1.14408
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 1.14606 opens the 1.14493 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.14740 puts the 1.14820 session high back in play
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY rally to 1.1482, faded into consolidation ~1.1462.
NY session drove EUR/USD from ~1.1449 to a session high of 1.14820 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, before rejection there faded price back to consolidate around 1.1462 in thin post-close hours. RSI(14) cooling from the rally, sitting mid-range with momentum flat.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1450, 1.14315
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14820 needed to extend the NY rally
M15 close below 1.14606 opens the 1.1450/1.14315 support zone
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reset this range
EUR/USD ran up through NY hours to a 1.1482 session high as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, then faded and rejected back to consolidate around 1.1462. Range has tightened to a few pips in the thin late-NY/Asia handover, RSI(14) cooling off from the rally.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1461 opens the 1.1441 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1482 reopens the session high
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ran up to a session high at 1.14820 on the soft-USD tape (US PPI miss) before rejecting and fading back to consolidate near 1.14590–1.14640 into thin late-NY/Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and volume is tapering, with price holding a shallow pullback off the highs.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14590 opens the 1.14400 swing
Close back above 1.14740 reopens the 1.14820 session high
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session drove a sharp leg from the 1.1406 low to a 1.1482 session high, with soft US PPI keeping the dollar heavy. Price has since faded and is consolidating in a tight 1.1461–1.1465 band into the Asia open, RSI(14) back near 53 after the run.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14058, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1482 reopens the path toward the range cap
Loss of 1.1460 consolidation floor exposes 1.1410 support zone
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) could shift the range read
NY session ran from 1.1435 up to a session high of 1.1482 before rejecting and fading back to 1.1463 into the close. Price now coiling in a tight 1.1461–1.1464 band, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the spike.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14735, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14735 reopens the 1.1482 session high
Loss of 1.14606 exposes the 1.1435 prior range
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) are the next catalysts
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 49 · price 1.14622
Pullback off session high, consolidating.
NY session ran to a 1.14820 session high on the cooler US CPI/PPI-driven USD softness, then faded ~20 pips into the late session and is now consolidating just above the 1.14606 session low. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the impulse stalled.
Support: 1.14606, 1.14493, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14606 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday rise
Reclaim of 1.14730 reopens the 1.14820 session high
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Up-move fading, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.14622
Spike to session high, pullback holding.
NY session popped to 1.1482 on the cooler US CPI/PPI USD-soft story before fading to 1.1462; RSI(14) back to neutral after the run. Price now consolidating above the 1.1461 recent low into the Asia session on thin volume, holding roughly a third of the up-move.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1443, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1461 opens the 1.1443 pre-breakout zone
Reclaim of 1.1482 session high needed to resume the up-move
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Impulse leg up then consolidation below session high.
NY session ripped from the 1.1406 spike low to a 1.1482 session high on the soft US PPI read, then faded and is now consolidating 1.1460–1.1475. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward the mid-50s as the impulse stalls beneath the session high.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1442, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1482 session high extends the intraday leg
Loss of 1.1460 session low opens the 1.1442 swing low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC and EZ final CPI 08:00 UTC could reset this read
NY session spiked to 1.1482 as soft US PPI weighed on the dollar, then faded to 1.1462 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Pullback so far holds above the 1.1442 breakout base, keeping the intraday uptrend structure intact.
Support: 1.14606, 1.1442, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1478, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14606 opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.14420 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.14780 puts the 1.14820 session high back in play
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.1406 low up to a 1.1482 session high on the soft US PPI print, before rejection there faded price back to 1.1461. RSI cooling from the rally peak; the breakout zone around 1.1435 has flipped to first support.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1476
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1435 negates the breakout and reopens 1.1406
Sustained push above 1.1482 extends the intraday uptrend
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30) could reset this read
Higher highs/lows off 1.1406 base, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove a clean rally from the 1.1406 base to a session high of 1.1482, before fading to 1.1461 as the USD-soft/hawkish-ECB tug held EUR mid-range. Price now sits right on the 1.1462 spike high with RSI(14) cooling from stretched; the 1.1440 breakout level is the pivot below.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1440 breaks the higher-low structure
Reclaim of 1.1482 opens continuation higher
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could shift this read
NY afternoon rally broke out from the 1.1442 base and spiked to a session high of 1.1482 as soft US PPI kept the USD pressured. Price has since faded to 1.1463, RSI cooling off from hot; the 1.1461 swing low is the near-term pivot holding the advance.
Support: 1.14612, 1.14418
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1461 opens a pullback toward the 1.1442 breakout base
Close back above 1.1482 reasserts the session high push
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session ripped from ~1.1410 to a 1.1482 session high as soft US PPI reinforced the dovish USD repricing, then faded to 1.1463. RSI(14) cooling off the highs with buyers still defending the 1.1461 pullback low.
Support: 1.1461, 1.1434, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1476
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1461 pullback low opens the 1.1434 prior range
Reclaim of 1.1482 session high resumes the rally
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
NY session ripped from the 1.1406 lows to 1.1482 as soft US PPI extended USD weakness, then rejected there and faded ~55 pips into late NY, now 1.14625. Uptrend intact but momentum has cooled with the pullback holding above the 1.1449 breakout base.
Support: 1.1462, 1.14495, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.14620 session low opens the 1.14495 breakout base
M15 close above 1.14820 session high resumes the leg higher
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
NY session ripped a clean impulse from 1.1440 to a session high at 1.1482 on the soft US PPI miss, then faded to 1.1462 as RSI cooled from overbought. Buyers held the 1.1462 recent low into the close, keeping the intraday uptrend structure intact.
Support: 1.1462, 1.14415, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14620 opens the 1.14415 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14740 puts the 1.14820 session high back in play
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ripped higher out of the 1.1406–1.1440 range, EUR bid as soft US PPI extended the dollar's slide, tagging a session high of 1.1482. Price is consolidating just below that high with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-70s; the 1.1465 pullback low has held on the retrace.
Support: 1.1465, 1.1440, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1465 opens a retest of the 1.1440 breakout level
A close above 1.1482 extends the session's advance
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could reshape this read
NY session ripped off the 1.1406 low and broke the intraday range, spiking to a session high of 1.1482 on the soft US PPI miss. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike as price pulled back to hold 1.1466; the 1.1455 breakout shelf underpins.
Support: 1.14654, 1.1455, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14783, 1.1482
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14550 breakout shelf negates the upside break
A close above 1.14820 session high extends the leg
Loss of 1.14654 swing low signals the impulse is fading
NY session ripped from 1.1406 through the 1.1462 range cap, printing a session high of 1.1482 before fading to 1.1466 and recovering to 1.1474. RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s as the move digests; 1.1462 prior cap now acting as support.
Support: 1.14658, 1.1462
Resistance: 1.14783, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14620 returns price into the prior 1.1390-1.1475 range
Breakout above range, consolidating near session high.
NY session drove a sharp breakout from the 1.1430–1.1440 range, spiking to 1.1482 as the soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating just under the session high, holding above the 1.14654 swing low; RSI(14) cooling from the impulse extreme.
Support: 1.14654, 1.14493, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.14783
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14820 extends the breakout toward the range highs
Loss of 1.14654 signals the impulse is fading back into the prior range
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
NY session drove a sharp breakout off the 1.1406 base, rallying to a 1.1482 session high on the soft-USD PPI read before fading to 1.14659. Price is now retesting the 1.1470 range cap from below, RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.14493, 1.1434, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14493 keeps the breakout structure intact
Back below 1.14340 pivot negates the breakout read
EZ final CPI and US Retail Sales Thu could reshape this range
NY afternoon rally broke through the 1.1475 range cap and tagged a session high at 1.1482 before fading to 1.1466, USD soft after the weak PPI print. RSI cooling from the push but structure holds above the 1.1442 breakout base.
Support: 1.14417, 1.1434, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14417 breakout base negates the range break
Close above 1.14820 session high extends the move
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 73 · price 1.14735
Breakout above range cap, higher highs.
NY session broke sharply above the 1.1462 range cap, extending to a 1.1482 session high as the USD stayed soft post-PPI. RSI(14) hot near 73 after the impulse; price now consolidating around 1.1474 just under the high.
Support: 1.1455, 1.1442, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1455 breakout level opens a retrace toward the 1.1442 prior cap
Close above 1.1482 session high extends the leg
Fed's Musalem (~23:30 UTC) could shift the USD read this session
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot after impulse · RSI 71 · price 1.14735
Breakout above range, easing off session high.
NY session drove a sharp impulse off 1.1434, breaking the 1.1442 range top and running to a session high of 1.1482 as the soft-USD post-CPI/PPI theme played out. Price has since eased to 1.1473 with RSI(14) hot near 71; the prior range top around 1.1455 is now the reference on any give-back.
Support: 1.1470, 1.1455, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1470 pullback low would signal the impulse is stalling
M15 close back below 1.1455 breakout level reopens the 1.1442 range top
Fed's Musalem 23:30 UTC could shift the USD-side read
NY session ripped through the 1.1475 range cap to a session high at 1.1479, a clean breakout with RSI(14) near 79 as the soft US PPI print extended dollar weakness. Move is one-directional off the 1.1406 session low with no pullback yet, so it is stretched short-term.
Support: 1.14493, 1.1434, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14793
What it said to watch
Pullback holding 1.14493 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it flags a false break back into range
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp break above the 1.1475 range cap, extending USD weakness after today's soft US PPI print, with price now printing fresh highs at 1.1479. RSI(14) is hot near 78 on the impulse; the 1.1500 psych level is the next area to watch above.
Support: 1.1475, 1.1442, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1500
What it said to watch
A pullback that loses 1.1475 puts price back inside the prior 1.1390–1.1475 band
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp breakout above the 1.1462 range cap flagged post-CPI, tagging a session high at 1.14765 with RSI(14) hot near 74. Price is stalling in a tight 1-pip inside bar just below the high — the broken 1.1462 cap now sits as the first support on any pullback.
Support: 1.1462, 1.14554, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14765
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1462 would signal a false break of the range cap
Sustained hold above 1.14765 extends the higher-high sequence
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 75 · price 1.14728
Impulsive breakout above range top, fresh highs.
NY session pushed a sharp impulsive breakout above the 1.1390-1.1475 range cap, printing a session high at 1.14765 as USD softened after the PPI miss. RSI(14) near 74 shows the move is hot but not yet extreme; price now stalling just below the high.
Support: 1.14554, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.14765
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.14554 breakout level reopens the prior range toward 1.14340
A clean M15 close back below 1.14550 invalidates the breakout read
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US retail sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
NY session ripped through the 1.1390–1.1475 range top, price now pinned at the 1.1475 cap with RSI(14) stretched near 81 as soft US CPI/PPI keeps the USD offered. Fresh higher highs and higher lows off the 1.1406 low, no cooling yet.
Support: 1.1455, 1.1441, 1.1429
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14750 opens the path toward 1.1480
Failure to hold 1.14550 breakout would stall the rally back into the prior range
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reshape this read
NY session ripped through the 1.1462 prior cap and drove to a fresh session high at 1.14745, extending USD softness after the soft CPI/PPI prints. RSI(14) is hot near 76 into the close of the leg; the 1.1462 old cap now sits as first support on any pullback.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1440, 1.1406
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14620 would signal a failed breakout and retest of the 1.14400 base
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
17:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum accelerating late NY · RSI 73 · price 1.1467
Range broken to the upside.
NY session pushed EUR/USD out of the day's 1.1420-1.1440 consolidation, spiking to the 1.1470 range cap as soft US PPI extended dollar losses. RSI(14) near 73 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg off the 1.1406 session low.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1435 negates the breakout and returns price into range
Sustained trade above 1.1470 range cap opens the path toward 1.1500 psych
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could reset this read
NY session broke the 1.1405–1.1445 band that held all day and ran to a session high at 1.1471 in the last hour, RSI(14) stretched near 78. Move fits the soft-USD read after back-to-back CPI and PPI misses; 1.1471–1.1475 is the resistance cap flagged into tomorrow's EZ CPI.
Support: 1.1445, 1.1415, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 range cap extends the breakout
Failure to hold prior range top at 1.1445 signals a false break
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg
NY session drove a clean breakout from the 1.1440 congestion to a fresh session high at 1.14589, extending the post-CPI/PPI USD softness. RSI(14) is hot near 74 into the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap flagged around the 1.1462 spike high.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14299, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.14620 opens the path to the 1.14700 range cap
Failure to hold the 1.14400 breakout base reopens 1.14299 higher low
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.1406 session low to a fresh high at 1.14589, with soft US CPI/PPI keeping the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 79 is short-term hot as price approaches the 1.1462 spike high and the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14700 opens the path beyond the range cap
Failure to hold 1.14340 stalls the higher-high sequence
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 1.14495
Higher highs off session low, breakout in progress.
NY session drove a clean rally off the 1.1406 low, breaking prior intraday highs to print a fresh session high at 1.14501 as soft US CPI/PPI keep the USD offered. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; price is pressing the lower edge of the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1424, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14501, 1.1462
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1462 opens the range cap and CPI-spike high
Failure to hold 1.1434 negates the breakout and returns price to consolidation
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could reshape this read
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1406 session low to a fresh high at 1.1450, RSI(14) running hot near 74 as the USD stays soft after the PPI miss. Price is testing the round-number 1.1450 with the 1.1465 range cap just above.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1465 opens the path toward the 1.1470 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1435 confirms momentum stalling
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
Higher lows off the 1.1406 low, new intraday high.
EUR ground to a fresh session high at 1.14448 in NY hours, extending the recovery off the 1.1406 low set around the London-NY transition as the USD stayed soft after the PPI miss. Price broke the prior 1.1443 high; RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.14315, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1462
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.14620 spike high opens the range cap
Failure to hold 1.14315 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could reshape this read
NY session extended the recovery off the 1.14058 low to a fresh session high at 1.14448, with soft US CPI/PPI keeping the USD offered. Chain of higher lows intact from 1.14315; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.14315, 1.1420, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14448, 1.1450, 1.1462
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14500 opens the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap
Loss of 1.14315 breaks the higher-low chain
EZ final CPI and US Retail Sales Thursday could reshape this read
NY session clawed back off the 1.1406 session low on a soft US PPI print, building a chain of higher lows back into the 1.1435-1.1443 range top. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; buyers stepped in twice near 1.1406 before the recovery.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1443 opens the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap
Loss of 1.1406 session low reopens the 1.1390 support zone
NY session recovered off the 1.1406 low twice during the London-NY transition, lifting EURUSD back to mid-range at 1.1435 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the USD offered. RSI(14) neutral near 56; price sits just above EMA20 with the 1.1443 session high still capping.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1406, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1443 opens the path back to the 1.1462 spike high
Loss of 1.1406 reopens the 1.1390 range floor
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30) could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Recovery, higher lows · RSI 61 · price 1.14385
Rebound off intraday low, pressing session highs.
EUR/USD dug a session low at 1.14058 in late London before NY buyers reclaimed the range on soft US CPI/PPI misses that pressured the dollar. Price is now grinding the session high at 1.14420 with RSI near 60, a chain of higher lows holding the recovery.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14058, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14420 opens the 1.14600 shelf
Loss of 1.14300 intraday pivot re-exposes the 1.14058 swing low
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reset the USD leg
16:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, near day high · RSI 58 · price 1.14385
Higher lows since 1.1406 recovery.
NY session ground EUR back toward the 1.14435 day high after the soft US CPI/PPI misses pressured the dollar. Buyers stepped in twice off 1.1406 and the recovery is holding higher lows, with price stalling into the prior day high; RSI(14) mid-range at 58.
Support: 1.14315, 1.1409, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens room toward the 1.1460 shelf
Loss of 1.14315 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reset the USD leg
V-recovery off 1.1406, stalling under intraday shelf.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1406 session low and retraced nearly the entire drop from 1.1444, now grinding back near the intraday high around 1.1436 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR ~6.5 pips; the rally is stalling into the 1.1441/1.1444 shelf, holding a chain of higher lows off the low.
Support: 1.14315, 1.1424, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14435, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 session high opens the path to the 1.1460 shelf
Loss of the 1.14315 higher low reopens 1.14240 pivot, then the 1.14058 session low
Fed Beige Book ~18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.14359
Higher lows off session low, capped below 1.1441.
EUR bounced hard off the 1.14058 session low during NY hours after soft US PPI weighed on the dollar, rallying to 1.1441 before stalling. Price now consolidating in the 1.1430–1.1441 band with RSI(14) mid-range, higher lows intact.
Support: 1.14299, 1.14238, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1441 opens the path toward the 1.1460–1.1470 shelf
Loss of 1.14299 threatens the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
EUR/USD recovered through the NY session from the 1.1406 low, printing higher lows back toward the 1.1441 session high as the dollar stayed soft after the PPI miss. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with room before it runs hot; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14315, 1.14058, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1441 session high opens the 1.1460 resistance shelf
Break of rising support / 1.1406 session low negates the recovery read
Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg within the next bars
V-recovery from session low, consolidating below session high.
NY session bounced hard off the 1.1406 swing low as the dollar stayed soft after the PPI miss, tagging 1.1441 before stalling. Price now consolidating around 1.1435 just under the session high, RSI(14) mid-range at ~56.
Support: 1.14238, 1.14108, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens the path to the 1.1460 shelf
Loss of 1.14238 range low invalidates the recovery read
Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
NY session recovered sharply from the 1.14058 session low, printing higher lows back to 1.14413 where the move stalled on a softer USD (weak CPI/PPI). Price now consolidates near 1.1435 under the session high, RSI mid-range with momentum cooling.
Support: 1.14238, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14413 opens the path to the 1.14470 shelf
Loss of the 1.14238 rising support exposes the 1.14058 session low
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reset this intraday read
15:46 UTC
Recovering, higher lows into NY · RSI 58 · price 1.14348
Bounce off session low, higher-low chain.
NY session recovered off the 1.1406 session low, EUR/USD grinding back toward the session high at 1.1441 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Higher-low chain intact through the London-NY transition; the 1.1460–1.1470 shelf still caps upside.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1406, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1441 opens the 1.1460–1.1470 shelf
Loss of 1.1406 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
V-recovery off session low, higher lows into session high.
NY session bought the dip to the session low at 1.14058 and drove EURUSD back toward the session high at 1.14435, helped by a softer US PPI print extending dollar weakness. Price is grinding higher lows just under resistance, RSI(14) around 61 with room before overbought.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens the path to the 1.1460-1.1470 range shelf
Loss of 1.14235 reopens the session low at 1.14058
US Retail Sales tomorrow is the next high-impact test of the soft-data USD read
NY session recovered off the 1.14058 low, printing higher lows back into the 1.14413/1.14435 shelf; soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy through the afternoon. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1424, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens room toward the 1.1460–1.1470 shelf
Loss of 1.14320 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.14240
US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
Higher lows since 1.1406, retesting session highs.
NY session recovered off the 1.14058 session low back to the 1.1441 highs, RSI(14) around 58, price holding above EMA20/50 as softer US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy. Pair is grinding through the 78.6% retrace of the earlier drop, capped so far below the 1.14435 session high.
Support: 1.1424, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens the range top toward 1.1460
Failure to hold 1.1424 pivot reopens the 1.14058 session low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony today could shift this read
NY session rallied off the 1.14058 session low to 1.14413 as soft US PPI kept the dollar offered, but the move stalled and price is pulling back to 1.14339 with RSI(14) cooling from ~62. Rejection at the 1.1441 session high; rising support off the intraday lows still intact.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1420, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14413 opens the path to 1.1443/1.1460 resistance
Failure to hold 1.14200 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
ECB Nagel ~16:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu could shift this read
NY session rallied hard off the 1.14058 swing low back to the session high at 1.14410, EUR firm as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price is consolidating just below that high with RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1424, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14410 opens the path to 1.14500
Failure to hold 1.14320 exposes the 1.14058 swing low
EUR rebounded through the NY session from the 1.14058 low, printing higher lows back up to retest the session high near 1.1441 as a soft US PPI print kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) firm mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1420, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1441 opens the 1.1460 range top
Failure to hold 1.1430 rising support risks a retest of 1.14058
NY session clawed back the full London slide, rallying from the 1.14058 session low to 1.14391 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 66, not yet stretched; price is now pressing the 1.14435 prior high with a chain of higher lows behind it.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1410, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens the path to the 1.1462 range cap
Loss of 1.14234 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
NY session recovered off the 1.14058 session low, grinding higher on a soft US CPI/PPI dollar tape to 1.14391, now pressing the 1.14435 session high with RSI(14) around 65. Chain of higher lows intact off 1.14268 pivot.
Support: 1.14268, 1.14105
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 session high opens path to the 1.1446 range cap
loss of 1.14268 pivot breaks the higher-low chain
ECB Nagel speech ~16:00 UTC could shift this read
14:32 UTC
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 58 · price 1.14329
Range, holding above session low.
NY session recovered off the 1.14058 session low, with a double-bottom base near 1.1406/1.1410 and price now grinding back toward the 1.14353 recent high, RSI(14) mid-range. Soft US CPI/PPI keeps the dollar heavy, but the 1.1446-1.1460 range top continues to cap.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14353, 1.14435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14353 recent high opens the path to the 1.14435 prior high and range top
Failure to hold 1.14058 session low reopens downside
Warsh testimony / US data could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 56 · price 1.14329
Higher lows into range after low sweep.
Price swept the session low at 1.14058 during the London-NY transition, then buyers stepped in and drove a ~30-pip recovery to 1.14353 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Now consolidating near 1.1433 with RSI(14) mid-range, holding a chain of higher lows inside the broader 1.1410-1.1447 range.
Support: 1.1410, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14353, 1.14435, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14353 opens a retest of 1.14435
Failure to hold 1.1410 support zone reopens the session low at 1.14058
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 61 · price 1.14334
V-shaped bounce, higher lows building.
NY hours saw a bounce off the 1.14058 session low, with buyers stepping in twice near 1.1410 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price has retraced roughly 70% of the London slide and printed higher lows into 1.14334; RSI(14) recovering to ~61, session high at 1.14355 the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14058, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14355, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14355 opens the path to 1.14460
Failure to hold 1.14200 reopens the 1.14058 session low
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session snapped back off the 1.14058 session low after the soft US PPI print, with demand stepping in near the 1.14100 support zone. Price has recovered ~28 pips to retest the recent high at 1.14335, RSI(14) near 58 with room either way.
Support: 1.1410, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is imminent and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14335 opens the path to the 1.14435 prior high
Loss of the 1.14100 support zone reopens the 1.14058 session low
EURUSD sold off through the London session to 1.14058 near midday before a sharp V-recovery into the NY open lifted it to 1.14335, tracking the broad USD unwind after the soft PPI print. Price now consolidating just under the session high around 1.143, RSI(14) mid-range at ~57.
Support: 1.1414, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the key near-term USD driver and could shift this read sharply
Close above 1.14335 session high opens the path back toward 1.14430
NY session bounced off 1.1406 late London, reclaiming EMA20/50 as the soft US CPI/PPI print kept USD offered. Price now mid-range around 1.1430 with RSI(14) near 59; 1.1435 swing high capping the recovery so far.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term swing factor for this pair
Close above 1.1435 swing high opens 1.14435 prior high
Loss of 1.1406 session low resumes the intraday down leg
NY session swept the session low at 1.1406 then snapped back to 1.1433 as the dollar stayed offered post soft US CPI/PPI, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. Price now consolidating near 1.1426 after tagging the session high; the 1.1406–1.1443 band still frames the tape.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
Close above 1.1443 opens the path back toward the prior high zone
Loss of 1.1406 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
EUR/USD swept the session low at 1.1406 around midday then rebounded sharply to 1.1433 during NY hours, now consolidating near 1.1426. Soft US CPI and PPI have kept the dollar offered, but the bounce has stalled just below the session high.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1406 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14335 opens the path to 1.1443
13:32 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 52 · price 1.14243
Bounce from double bottom, pullback stalling mid-range.
Price swept the session low at 1.14058 during the London-NY transition, then sharply recovered to 1.14335 as soft US PPI kept the dollar offered. Currently drifting back to 1.14243, holding above the bounce base near 1.14150.
Support: 1.1415, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14335 opens the path toward the 1.14435 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14150 reopens the 1.14058 session low
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) within the next bar period could shift this read
Price slid through the London session to a 1.14058 low as cool US PPI kept USD soft, then snapped back sharply into NY hours to tag 1.14335 before easing to 1.14243. RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s; the swept session low is holding for now.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14058 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14335 puts the 1.14435 prior high back in play
Fed's Warsh testimony / Beige Book could shift the USD leg within hours
Sweep of the 1.1406 session low around the London-NY overlap, then a sharp recovery to 1.1433 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price now easing back toward the 61.8% retrace near 1.1429, RSI mid-range after the bounce.
Support: 1.1410, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC (~45min out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14335 opens the path to 1.1443
Failure to hold the 1.1410 support zone reopens 1.14058
Swept session low 1.1406, snapped back into range.
EUR/USD swept the session low at 1.1406 then reversed sharply to 1.14335 during NY hours, holding gains near 1.1428 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) recovered off oversold to ~59 on the bounce; session high at 1.14335 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14335, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could jolt the dollar and shift this read
M15 close above 1.14335 opens the path toward 1.1445
Failure to hold above 1.14058 reopens the 1.1390 support zone
London leg down bottomed at the 1.14058 session low, then a sharp NY-transition rebound reclaimed ~24 pips to 1.14278 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) has recovered to ~59 from the lows; the drop off 1.14105 was rejected and buyers stepped back in near 1.1406.
Support: 1.14058, 1.14105
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1437, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the dollar tone within the hour
M15 close above 1.14300 bounce high opens the 1.14370 prior swing
Lower highs into 1.1406 low, sharp recovery last 3 bars.
EUR/USD slid through the NY morning to a session low of 1.1406 before a sharp three-bar bounce back to 1.1428, with soft US PPI keeping the dollar heavy. Sellers capped the day at lower highs off 1.14435; the 1.1406 low held on the rejection.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1406 reopens the 1.1390 support zone
M15 close above 1.14300 pivot resumes the recovery toward 1.14435
Lower highs into a session-low sweep, snapback in play.
EURUSD swept the session low at 1.14058 on the 12:30 UTC US PPI batch and rejected sharply, snapping back to 1.14253 to reclaim the EMA20. RSI(14) recovering off oversold; move remains a bounce within a run of lower highs, with the 1.14340 swing the first cap overhead.
Support: 1.14058, 1.14105
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14340 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence
M15 close below 1.14058 confirms a fresh lower low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD drifted lower through London into a session low of 1.14058, then reversed hard on the 12:30 UTC US PPI batch, printing a 12-pip bullish bar back to 1.1425. RSI(14) has snapped up off oversold toward neutral; price reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50 near 1.1428, with the 1.14435 swing high still capping.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.14058 session low reopens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14435 swing high negates the down leg
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14178
Lower highs into session low, corrective bounce.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14058 before a corrective bounce to 1.14178, RSI(14) lifting off oversold to ~43. Lower highs remain intact under 1.1420; the pullback comes as soft US CPI keeps the dollar heavy but Iran/energy risk caps EUR upside.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14058 opens the 1.1390 range base
Reclaim of 1.1420 needed to break the lower-high chain
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY window from 1.1443 into a 1.1406 session low, then bounced on the US PPI batch just crossing at 12:30 UTC. Price is holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows near 41; sellers capped the last push under 1.1424.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14058 opens the 1.1390 range base
Reclaim of 1.14240 needed to challenge the 1.14435 session high
PPI reaction and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could reshape this read
EURUSD ground lower through the London session, breaking beneath the 1.1420 pivot and printing a session low at 1.14058, now hovering at the 1.1410 support zone. Move fits the two-way EUR read as the 1.1390/1.1410 band gets tested; RSI(14) near 34, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14435
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is imminent and can drive the next M15 leg
Break and hold below 1.1390 confirms the lower-low extension
EUR/USD rolled over through the London session, sliding from the 1.1443 swing high to a fresh session low at 1.14058 and now testing the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone flagged post-CPI. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 32, momentum still pointed lower into the US PPI print.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14191, 1.1443
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.14058 opens the 1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14191 would neutralise the lower-high structure
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, testing support · RSI 34 · price 1.14132
Lower highs into 1.1410 support.
EUR/USD ground lower through NY hours into the 1.1410 support zone, printing a chain of lower highs since the early-session peak near 1.1444 despite a soft dollar after yesterday's US CPI miss. RSI(14) cooled into the mid-30s; price is now sat on the lower edge of the 1.1390–1.1475 range.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1440
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.1410 support
EUR/USD ground lower through NY hours off the 1.1443 swing high to a fresh session low at 1.14097, price pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37. The soft US CPI prop from yesterday has faded intraday; move is orderly, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.14097, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14191, 1.14435, 1.14462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14097 opens the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14191 needed to challenge the 1.1443 swing high
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on yesterday's soft US CPI then bled lower, grinding through London to a 1.14105 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.14191. Price sits back near the lows with RSI(14) around 42; the lower-high chain remains intact.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1404, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14191, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14105 confirms a lower low, opening 1.14040/1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14191 breaks the lower-high sequence
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD faded steadily through the session after the early spike to 1.1462 on soft US CPI, printing a chain of lower highs and now sitting on the session low around 1.14105. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39 — not yet oversold. US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) land within the hour and could reset this read.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14445
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14105 opens the 1.1390 range base
Reclaim of 1.14250 breaks the sequence of lower highs
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:32 UTC
Downtrend within broader range · RSI 43 · price 1.14154
Lower highs, testing session low.
The early CPI-driven spike to 1.1462 faded and London hours drifted lower into a session low at 1.14105, printing a chain of lower highs. Price bounced to 1.1419 but stalled, RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR near 4.6 pips.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14105 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1424 needed to break the sequence of lower highs
US PPI cluster ~1h out (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
11:32 UTC
Downtrend, near support · RSI 41 · price 1.14154
Lower highs into 1.1410 support zone.
London session ground lower after failing at 1.1443, printing a chain of lower highs into the 1.1410 support zone flagged in the wider range. A shallow bounce off 1.14105 with RSI(14) near 41; the early NY spike to 1.1462 remains the session cap.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1462
What it said to watch
US Core PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close below 1.14105 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1390
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.14240 pivot and tagging 1.14105 before a shallow bounce to 1.14161. RSI(14) near 41, no extreme; move sits inside the broader 1.1390–1.1475 range with US PPI and Warsh testimony still ahead.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.14435, 1.1447
What it said to watch
US Core PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14105 session low confirms continuation lower toward the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14240 pivot invalidates the lower-high sequence
11:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 1.14161
Lower highs, lower lows since London.
EUR spiked to 1.1462 at the open on the soft US CPI print, then bled lower through the session; price is now grinding session lows near 1.1410 with a lower-high chain into London. RSI(14) sub-40 but not extreme, and a modest bounce off 1.1410 leaves current price at 1.1416.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US Core PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next few bars
Loss of 1.1410 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1390 range base
Close back above 1.14435 swing high invalidates the intraday down-leg
EUR/USD has ground lower through the London session, fully unwinding yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 1.14619 with a chain of lower highs. Price is pinned near the session low at 1.14105, RSI(14) around 37 and holding below both EMAs.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14105 / 1.1400 support zone confirms continuation of lower lows
Reclaim of 1.14250 needed to break the descending lower-highs sequence
11:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, momentum building · RSI 34 · price 1.14153
Lower highs, lower lows since early spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI reaction early in the window, then faded and rolled over into a chain of lower highs. NY hours are pressing price down toward the 1.1390–1.1410 support zone with RSI(14) near 34, session low at 1.14105 the immediate marker.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.14275, 1.14435
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14105 opens the 1.1390–1.1410 support zone
Close above 1.14275 breaks the descending lower-highs line
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
10:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into London · RSI 34 · price 1.14135
Lower highs and lower lows.
The CPI-driven spike to 1.14619 has fully faded and London hours are grinding out lower highs and lower lows into a fresh session low at 1.14105, RSI(14) near 34. Price now sits at the top of the 1.1390-1.1410 support zone flagged in the macro digest.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14100 opens the 1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14240 breaks the lower-high chain
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD slid through the London-NY session to fresh session lows near 1.1412, breaking below the 1.1420-1.1440 intraday range that held most of the day. The earlier spike to 1.1462 on soft US CPI has fully faded and RSI(14) is cooling toward oversold as sellers press the 1.1410 support zone.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14475
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1410 support zone opens the path toward the 1.1390 range low
Reclaim of 1.14435 would negate the range break
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session has ground steadily lower off the 1.1440 swing high, sliding into the 1.1410 support zone flagged after the eurozone industrial production miss. RSI(14) near 37, no oversold extreme yet; price sits just above the multi-week floor with the earlier 1.1462 spike high untested since.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1410 confirms lower low and opens 1.1390
London session drifting lower: the CPI-driven spike to 1.1462 seen earlier has fully faded and price has broken below the 1.1425 consolidation floor, printing a fresh session low at 1.1412. RSI(14) near 34, approaching but not yet at oversold.
Support: 1.1412, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1425 negates the breakdown read
Loss of the 1.1410 support zone opens the path lower toward 1.1210 per digest
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has bled lower through the session after the early spike to 1.1462 (soft US CPI knocking the USD) was fully retraced. Price is pressing the session low at 1.14133 with RSI(14) near 34 and price below both EMAs; the 1.1410 support zone is the next area to watch ahead of US PPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.14133, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Decisive break below 1.14100 support zone opens the path lower per the digest
Reclaim of 1.14240 needed to stall the lower-high sequence
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print early in the window, then bled lower through the session into the 1.1410 support zone, now at 1.14146 with RSI(14) sub-40. Recent bars carve a lower-high chain and press the session low at 1.14133.
Support: 1.14133, 1.1410, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.14255, 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Decisive M15 close below 1.1410 opens the 1.1394 range low
Reclaim of 1.14255 breaks the lower-high chain
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14166
Spike faded, ranging under 1.1443, testing session lows.
EUR spiked to 1.1462 on yesterday's soft US CPI then unwound the entire move, settling into a 1.1420-1.1443 range through London. Last few bars have leaked to the session low at 1.14157 with RSI(14) near 40; range top capped repeated pushes.
Support: 1.14157, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1410 support zone confirms a lower low, opening deeper downside
Reclaim of 1.1443 range top would revive the push toward 1.1462
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could break this range
Lower highs since CPI spike faded, testing session low.
EUR/USD faded steadily from the post-CPI spike high of 1.1462, drifting into the London session and now pressing the session low near 1.1416 below both EMAs. RSI(14) around 37 with price making lower highs off the 1.14435 swing; congestion at 1.14250 has capped every bounce.
Support: 1.14157, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14157 extends the lower-low toward the 1.14100 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14250 congestion negates the intraday downtrend
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD is ranging 1.14176–1.14435 in the London session, digesting yesterday's soft US CPI spike that peaked at 1.14619 before fading. Price sits mid-range at 1.14207 with RSI(14) near 43 and price below both EMAs — no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.14176, 1.13906
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could break this range
M15 close above 1.14435 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 session high
Failure to hold 1.14176 confirms a lower low toward 1.13906
09:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14207
Consolidation inside 1.1420-1.1445 after spike faded.
EURUSD ranging 1.1420-1.1445 through the London session, unwinding the CPI-driven spike to 1.1462 that faded earlier. Sellers capped 1.1445 into NY, price now pressing the 1.1420 range low with RSI(14) soft near 41.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14176
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 opens 1.14176 swing low then broader 1.1410 support
Close back above 1.14435 range high re-engages the 1.1460-1.1470 cap
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
09:32 UTC
Range-bound, drifting to floor · RSI 43 · price 1.14219
Range after CPI spike fade.
Yesterday's US-session spike to 1.1462 on the soft CPI print faded into a 1.1419-1.1443 range, and price now sits at the range floor near the 78.6% fib of the 1.1416-1.1443 leg. RSI(14) in the mid-40s with price under EMA20/50; no momentum, London holding the lower boundary ahead of US PPI.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could break this range read
M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.1443 reopens the 1.1462 cpi spike high
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI print then faded, and has spent the last several hours grinding in a tight 1.1420-1.1435 band, now pinned at the 1.1420 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price below EMA20/50; no setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 opens the path toward 1.1400/1.1390 support zone
M15 close above 1.1435 range top reopens the 1.1462 spike high
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and ECB Nagel at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:17 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 43 · price 1.14242
Ranging 1.1420-1.1440 after fade from spike high.
EUR/USD consolidating around 1.1424 in the London session after a pullback from the 1.14435 session high to the 1.14196 session low; RSI(14) neutral near 43, price under EMA20/50. Buyers held the range floor near 1.1420 into the pre-NY hours, while the early spike high at 1.14619 remains the day's outlier and the broader 1.1460 range cap stays untested.
Support: 1.14196, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14196 opens the asian low near 1.14171
close above 1.14435 exposes the 1.1460 range cap
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range and reset the read
09:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14242
Range-bound after failed spike.
EURUSD is coiling in a tight 1.1419-1.1444 band after an early spike to 1.14619 was rejected and fully retraced, leaving that wick a false break. Price sits at 1.14242 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional development ahead of US PPI.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens a retest of the range top and spike high
Break below 1.14190 exposes the 1.14171 session low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could break this range
London session ranging roughly 1.1420-1.1443 after the CPI spike to 1.14619 a day earlier faded. Supply capped the 1.1443 range top and price drifted back to 1.1424; RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR(14) ~5 pips shows a compressed intraday range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the range
M15 close above 1.1443 opens the 1.1460 cap
loss of 1.1420 exposes the 1.1417 asian low
09:02 UTC
Range-bound, pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14241
Consolidation below 1.1443 after CPI spike.
EURUSD is consolidating around 1.1424 after yesterday's US CPI-miss spike to 1.14619 faded and rallies stalled at the 1.14435 session high. Price pulled back to 1.14196 into the London session and is now flat between there and 1.1443, RSI(14) mid-range near 45.
Support: 1.14196, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm the next USD leg and break this range
M15 close above 1.14435 reopens the 1.1460 ceiling
Loss of 1.14196 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1417
08:47 UTC
Range-bound, pulled back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14243
Lower high after rejection, holding above session low.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.14435 session high late in London and slid to 1.14196, now consolidating near 1.1424 below EMA20 after that pullback. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 44, cooled from the highs. US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst after yesterday's soft CPI knocked the USD.
London session ranging ~1.1420-1.1443 after yesterday's US CPI spike to the 1.1462 cpi-spike high faded back. Rejection at the 1.1443 session high pushed price down to the 1.14196 swing low before stabilising; RSI(14) neutral near 45. US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst after the CPI miss.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.1420-1.1443 range
M15 close below 1.14170 range floor confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14430 session high reopens the 1.1462 cpi-spike high
London session drifting lower after rejection at 1.1443, EUR still supported by yesterday's soft US CPI but capped below the 1.1450 range top. Price is holding just above the 1.1420 swing low; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1443 reopens the 1.1450 range top
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read
08:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.14256
Consolidation below 1.1443 after CPI-driven spike.
EUR/USD is idling in the Asian-into-London handover, holding a tight 1.1420–1.1443 band after yesterday's CPI spike to 1.1462. Sellers capped the last push at 1.14435 and price drifted back toward the 1.14196 low; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum edge. Quiet, low-ATR chop with no setup in play.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.14435 reopens the 1.1460 range top
loss of 1.14196 confirms a lower low toward 1.1400
The CPI-driven spike to 1.14619 yesterday has fully faded; price spent the London session pinned in a 1.1435-1.1440 consolidation before breaking lower into the session low at 1.14196. RSI(14) near 40 with price under EMA20/50 — short-term momentum is down as buyers stall below the day high at 1.14435.
Support: 1.14196, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close below 1.14196 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14159 overnight low
Reclaim of 1.14435 puts the 1.14500 range cap back in play
08:16 UTC
Downtick within intraday range · RSI 40 · price 1.14222
Broke down from tight consolidation, printing lower highs.
London session rolled EUR/USD out of a tight 1.1435-1.1440 consolidation, rejecting the 1.14435 swing high and sliding to a session low at 1.14196 before stalling near 1.1422. RSI(14) sits sub-40 as momentum cools; price is under both EMAs after the breakdown.
Support: 1.14196, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14435
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14435 swing high negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14171 prior low confirms a lower-low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
08:02 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14233
Faded from 1.1443, printing lower lows into London.
EURUSD faded from the session high at 1.1443 through the London morning, dropping to 1.1420 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; last few bars are stabilising near 1.1423. Pair still sits well above yesterday's CPI-driven spike base at 1.1412, but the recent leg down has broken the intraday rising lows.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14170 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.14435 reopens the 1.1450 range cap
US PPI Wednesday is the nearest catalyst for the dollar leg
EUR/USD holding a post-CPI range after yesterday's 12:30 UTC spike to 1.1462; price has faded from the 1.1443 swing high into early London and is testing the 1.1417 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 41. Range cap at 1.1450 remains untested this session.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1417 opens the path toward 1.1400
Close above 1.1443 swing high puts 1.1450 range cap back in play
US PPI (12:30 UTC) is the nearest catalyst that could break this range
07:47 UTC
Range, edging lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14226
Post-CPI range, testing lower bound.
EUR spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI print earlier in the window, then settled into a 1.1417-1.1443 range. London hours have pressed the lower end, with rejection at 1.14360 supply and price now hovering above the 1.14196 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 41.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.14435
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14170 confirms a lower low out of the range
reclaim of 1.14360 reopens the 1.14435 session high
Eurozone Industrial Production at 09:00 GMT could shift this read
07:47 UTC
Post-spike drift lower, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 1.14226
Lower highs off 1.1443, testing session lows.
EUR spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's soft US CPI then faded, and London hours have carved out a lower high at 1.1443 with price now pressing session lows near 1.1420. RSI(14) around 40 as the intraday recovery leg unwinds; supply capping each push toward 1.1443.
Support: 1.14196, 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1443 negates the intraday rollover
Eurozone Industrial Production at 09:00 GMT could shift this read
Range fading after CPI spike, testing lower bound.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on yesterday's soft US CPI then faded, spending the London session boxed 1.1420-1.1443. The last three bars leaked lower to retest 1.1420 with RSI(14) near 41; the CPI spike is now largely retraced.
Support: 1.14196, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the nearest catalyst and could shift this read
M15 close below 1.14159 confirms a lower-low out of the range
Reclaim of 1.1443 puts the range top back in play
07:31 UTC
Range topping out, rolling over intraday · RSI 36 · price 1.1422
Range break to the downside from 1.1435-1.1443.
EUR/USD spent the Asian/early-London hours ranging 1.1435-1.1443 after yesterday's post-CPI spike to 1.1462, then broke lower into the London open, sliding to 1.1420. RSI(14) around 36 as the recent up-leg gets fully retraced; 1.14171 prior low is the next reference below.
Support: 1.14171, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.14430 negates the downside range break
Loss of 1.14171 confirms a lower low toward 1.1400
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the nearest catalyst and could reshape this read
07:17 UTC
Pullback after intraday range breakdown · RSI 42 · price 1.14293
EUR/USD spent the London session coiling 1.1434-1.1443 before breaking down in the last hour to 1.1426, now steadying near 1.1429 at the 50% retrace of the recovery off the Asian low. RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s and ATR is thin at ~5 pips ahead of US PPI, the next dollar-side catalyst after yesterday's soft CPI.
Support: 1.14259, 1.14171, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1443
What it said to watch
reclaim of 1.1434 negates the intraday breakdown
loss of 1.14171 asian low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1360
US PPI (Wed) is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
Recovery off 1.1417 stalled at 1.1443, then a sharp drop to 1.1427 broke the intraday range floor with price now sitting near the 61.8% fib of that leg. RSI(14) mid-40s and price below both EMAs; the earlier spike to 1.1462 was the soft US CPI reaction fading.
EUR/USD spent the Asian session ranging 1.1428–1.1443 after yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 1.1462. The last two bars broke the intraday range low with RSI(14) cooling toward 43, and the 1.1443 swing high was rejected earlier.
Support: 1.14277, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 1.14280 opens the path back to the 1.1417 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst that could reshape this range
M15 close back above 1.1443 revives the upper range cap toward the 1.1462 cpi high
07:02 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14303
Ranging inside post-CPI band, drifting off the top.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then settled into a 1.1417-1.1455 band. NY-into-Asia grind pushed back to the 1.1443 session high before rejection dragged price to 1.14284; current 1.14303 sits on the 50% retrace of the swing off overnight lows.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1455
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (15:30 broker) is the next catalyst and could break this range either way
Close back above 1.1443 reopens the 1.1455 cpi high
Loss of 1.1417 overnight low confirms a lower-low
06:47 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near highs · RSI 52 · price 1.14379
Range within upper half of CPI move.
London morning is grinding sideways in a 1.1433–1.1443 band after yesterday's CPI-driven spike to 1.1462 faded back to the 1.1417 Asia low. Price has since ground higher off that low, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to a few pips, holding roughly the 50% retrace of the CPI pullback.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 session high opens the path back toward the 1.14619 cpi high
Failure to hold 1.14171 asia low confirms a lower-low
US PPI Wednesday is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after retrace of CPI spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then retraced to a 1.14159 session low before grinding back up through London to consolidate near 1.1438. Price sits mid-way in the CPI-spike retrace, holding above a rising intraday support line with RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14435 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 cpi high
Failure to hold 1.1433 exposes the 1.14159 session low
German final HICP at 07:00 GMT could nudge this read; US PPI Wed is the bigger catalyst
Tight consolidation near session high after CPI spike-and-fade.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's soft US CPI, faded to 1.14159, and has since ground back up into a tight coil below the 1.14430 session high. ATR compressed to ~3 pips through the Asian session; RSI(14) near 61 with no extreme.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14430 exposes the 1.14500 range top
Loss of 1.14159 negates the intraday recovery
German HICP at 07:00 (f/c 3.6%) could break the coil
Yesterday's CPI-miss spike to 1.14619 faded to 1.1417, and price has since ground back up into a tight 1.1433-1.1443 consolidation through the early London session. RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~4 pips; no directional impulse in play right now.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14430 opens the path back toward the 1.14620 spike high
Loss of 1.14330 exposes the 1.14170 intraday low
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could break the consolidation either way
Higher lows since 1.14159, grinding into range top.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the softer US CPI reaction then faded to 1.14159, and the last 12h has been a slow rising-low grind back to the 1.1443 range top. RSI(14) near 60 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips in the Asian-into-Europe lull; buyers keep defending above 1.14329.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14500 opens path to the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.14329 breaks the rising-low chain
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Recovery grind higher off Asian low · RSI 61 · price 1.14408
Range post-CPI spike, higher lows into session high.
EUR/USD based at the 1.14171 Asian low and has ground back up through the London open, now testing the 1.14430 session high near the 50% retrace of the post-CPI drop. Higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14256, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14548
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14430 opens path back toward the 1.14548 prior high
Loss of 1.14329 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP at 07:00 GMT (f/c 3.6%) could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Recovering, mild uptrend within range · RSI 58 · price 1.14408
Higher lows off Asian low, capped near session high.
EUR/USD is grinding higher off the Asian low at 1.14171 after yesterday's CPI-driven spike to 1.14619 faded, with buyers repeatedly holding the 1.14345 swing low. Price is retesting the session high near 1.14430 in early London, RSI(14) mid-50s, still inside the broader 1.1417-1.1462 range.
Support: 1.14345, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14430 session high opens the path toward the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.14171 asian low reopens downside within the range
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 could materially shift this read
After yesterday's CPI spike to 1.14619 faded back to the 1.14171 Asian low, price has ground higher through the Asian session into London open, now at 1.14408 with RSI(14) mid-range. ATR is compressed near 4 pips; a chain of higher lows holds but the session high at 1.14430 is still capping.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14430 opens the path back to the 1.14575 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14340 breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP at 07:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Consolidation with higher lows after CPI spike faded.
US June CPI print spiked EURUSD to 1.14619 ~17h ago, then price faded and settled into a 1.14170-1.14420 range, drifting back toward the range top now at 1.14409. Micro higher lows are in place and RSI(14) sits mid-60s; the spike high remains untested.
Support: 1.14329, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 range top opens the path back toward the 1.14619 cpi high
loss of 1.14170 post-cpi low breaks the higher-low sequence
German HICP (07:00 GMT) and US Core PPI (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
Higher lows off session low, capped below recent high.
The CPI-driven spike to 1.14619 faded back into the Asian range, printing a session low at 1.14159, and price has since ground higher on a chain of higher lows into early London. Now retesting the recent high at 1.14420 with RSI near 62 — no extreme.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1417, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1459, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward 1.14590/1.14619
Failure to hold ascending support and 1.14320 confirms a lower low
German HICP at 07:00 GMT could shift this read within the next bars
05:32 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 56 · price 1.14371
Uptrend off Asia low, stalling under session high.
EUR spiked to 1.14619 at yesterday's US CPI miss then faded to 1.14159 through Asia. Price has since ground back up on higher lows and is now consolidating 1.1433-1.1442, capped just under the session high.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 opens the path to 1.14500
Failure to hold 1.14330 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.14159
German HICP (07:00 GMT) and US PPI (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
Yesterday's US CPI miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14619 before it faded all the way to 1.14171 through the NY session. Asian hours ground price back to 1.1437, now consolidating between 1.14320 and the 1.14420 range top with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 cpi high
Failure to hold 1.14320 exposes the 1.14171 session low
German HICP at 07:00 GMT could shift this read into the London open
Yesterday's US CPI miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.1462 before the move faded through the Asian session to 1.1417, since retraced to 1.1437. Price is consolidating in the upper half of that range as early London approaches, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips in quiet conditions.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1462
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.1442 reopens the 1.1462 cpi high
Loss of 1.1432 then 1.1417 range low negates the upward grind
05:17 UTC
Recovering off Asian low, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14366
Consolidation under session high after CPI spike.
Yesterday's US CPI miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 before the pair bled back into a 1.1417-1.1442 range through the thin Asia session. Buyers stepped in at the 1.14171 low and price has ground back to 1.1437 into the London open, but RSI is neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed to ~4 pips — no expansion yet.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 CPI high
Failure to hold 1.14329 exposes the 1.14171 Asian low
German HICP 07:00 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could break this range
Yesterday's soft US CPI spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 before it faded into a 1.1417-1.1442 range; through the Asian session price ground off the 1.14171 asia low on rising support. Now consolidating near 1.14360 into the London open, RSI(14) neutral near 54; German HICP at 07:00 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.14420 session high opens the path back toward the 1.14619 cpi high
Loss of 1.14320 rising support exposes the 1.14171 asia low
Price ground higher through the Asian session after yesterday's CPI spike into 1.14619, carving higher lows off the 1.14170 base and now pressing the 1.14420 session cap. RSI(14) mid-range near 58 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — a slow, orderly grind rather than an impulsive push.
Support: 1.14329, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 CPI high
loss of 1.14329 breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP 07:00 UTC and EZ Industrial Production 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation after CPI spike, higher lows forming.
The CPI-driven spike to 1.14619 during NY hours faded back to 1.14159 before Asia consolidated and the current session ground higher into 1.1438, RSI neutral near 54. Price is holding above a rising support line with the 1.14420 session high capping for now.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14575
What it said to watch
close above 1.14420 opens the path to the 1.14575 cpi high
loss of 1.14320 exposes the 1.14170 asia low
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could shift this read
04:46 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 56 · price 1.14378
Higher lows off session low, capped at 1.1442.
Yesterday's soft US CPI spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 at the 12:30 UTC print before fading to a session low at 1.14171. The Asian session ground out higher lows back to the 1.14420 session high; price now consolidating at 1.14378 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
German HICP 07:00 UTC (~2h out) could shift this read
M15 close above 1.14420 reopens the path toward the 1.14619 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14320 breaks the rising trend and exposes 1.14171
The post-CPI spike to 1.14619 at the 12:30 UTC print faded and price based around 1.1417 through the Asia session. Buyers have since carved a chain of higher lows, grinding back to 1.1440 into the pre-London hours with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 6 pips; the 1.14450 range top still caps.
Support: 1.14329, 1.1417, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14450 range top opens path to the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.14170 asia low reopens the 1.14159 session low
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's soft US CPI (12:30 GMT) then bled back to an Asian low near 1.14171. Price has since carved higher lows into early London, grinding to 1.14396 just under the 1.14420 session high with RSI(14) around 62; the 1.1445 range top is still untested.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14450 range top opens the next leg higher
Loss of 1.14171 asian low breaks the higher-low structure
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Yesterday's US CPI miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 before it bled back to the 1.14171 Asia low. Price has since ground higher lows through the Asian session and is stalling just under the 1.1440 session high; RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1450
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 GMT could break the sub-1.1450 range
Close above 1.14420 opens the path back to 1.14500 range top
Loss of 1.14329 reopens the 1.14171 Asia low
04:17 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14367
Higher lows off 1.14171, consolidating under session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the Asian session, recovering from 1.14171 to tag 1.14420 before stalling, now consolidating just under it near 1.14370. RSI(14) mid-range ~54 with ATR near 4 pips reflecting thin overnight conditions. The recovery follows the soft US CPI knock to the dollar; German HICP at 07:00 GMT is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14420 exposes the 1.14450 range top
Failure to hold 1.14330 breaks the rising support off 1.14171
Yesterday's soft US CPI print spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 (12:30 UTC bar) before a full NY-into-Asia fade to 1.14159. Price has since carved higher lows back to 1.14383 in early London, recovering ~half the fade with RSI mid-range; 1.14420 caps and 1.1450 remains the stall zone flagged into the print run.
Support: 1.14329, 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
German HICP (07:00 GMT) and US PPI cluster (12:30 UTC) could reset this read
Close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward the 1.1450 stall zone
Loss of 1.14329 threatens the higher-low chain, exposing 1.14170
Thin Asian-session grind higher after yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 1.14619 and subsequent fade to 1.14171. Price is building higher lows and now sits at 1.14383, pressing the recent 1.14420 stall zone; RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 spike high
Failure to hold the 1.14329 swing low breaks the rising support
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Yesterday's 12:30 UTC US CPI miss spiked EURUSD to 1.1462 before fading back into the 1.1420s. Price has since ground higher off the Asian low at 1.1419, printing higher lows into a 1.1442 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 56 — no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1419
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1455
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 reopens the path toward the 1.1455 post-CPI stall zone
Break below rising support / 1.14320 negates the higher-low sequence
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
03:47 UTC
Recovering off Asian low, mild uptrend · RSI 56 · price 1.14348
Range base then higher lows into London.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print around 12:30 UTC, then bled back overnight to an Asian-session base at 1.14170 where buyers stepped in. Price has ground back to 1.14350 in a chain of higher lows; the 1.14420 recent high still caps.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14575
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 GMT could reprice EUR front-end and shift this read
Close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward the 1.14575 cpi high
Loss of 1.14170 asian low negates the recovery
03:32 UTC
Micro uptrend within broader range · RSI 59 · price 1.14347
Higher lows recovering toward session high.
EUR/USD is grinding higher through the Asian session, printing higher lows off the 1.14171 base back toward the 1.14420 session high after the soft US CPI knocked the Dollar earlier. Broad range since the 1.14619 spike stays intact; RSI(14) mid-range near 59 with ATR compressed around 4 pips.
Support: 1.14329, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.14329 breaks the rising support and exposes 1.14171
Germany HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD is grinding higher off the Asian session low at 1.14171, building higher lows after yesterday's soft US CPI spike to 1.14619 and subsequent fade. The recovery stalled at the 1.14420 session high, with price now easing back to 1.14347; RSI(14) neutral near 57 and price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14575
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14320 breaks the rising intraday support
Close above 1.14420 reopens the 1.14575 spike zone
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 UTC could shift the read
Grinding up off overnight base after CPI spike faded.
Yesterday's soft US CPI spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 in the NY session before the move faded back toward 1.1416. Overnight Asia carved a rounded base near 1.1420 and is grinding back up to 1.1436, retracing about half the CPI fade; RSI(14) around 61.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14575, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14420 session high extends the recovery toward the 1.14575 spike high
Loss of 1.14300 pullback low reopens the 1.14159 swing low
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
After yesterday's soft US CPI spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619, price faded to 1.14159 then ground back up through the Asia session on thin volume. Chain of higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-60s, with the 1.14420 session high now capping.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14420 opens the path toward the 1.14549/1.14619 cpi high
Failure to hold 1.14300 exposes the 1.14159 swing low
German HICP at 07:00 GMT could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 64 · price 1.14411
Retrace of CPI spike, building higher lows.
Yesterday's 12:30 GMT US CPI miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14619 before NY faded it back to the 1.14171 Asian low. Price has since ground higher into the Asia-London handoff, printing higher lows back to 1.1441 with RSI(14) mid-60s, retracing roughly 60% of the CPI fade.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1455 reopens the 1.14619 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1432 threatens a retest of the 1.14171 asia low
US PPI cluster 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could shift this read
Higher lows since 1.1416 base, climbing toward post-CPI spike high.
US CPI miss spiked EUR to 1.14619 at the 12:30 GMT print, then price bled back to 1.14159 before grinding higher through quiet late/Asian hours. Now at 1.14411 on rising session lows, RSI mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.14328, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14549, 1.14619, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14549 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.14328 breaks the rising low structure and exposes 1.14159
German HICP 07:00 GMT (f/c 3.6%) could reprice this drift
Asian session grinding higher after yesterday's soft US CPI spike to 1.14619 and subsequent pullback; buyers stepped in at the 1.14171 session low and price is now retesting the 1.14549 swing-high area on thin overnight volume. RSI(14) mid-60s with room before exhaustion.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14549 swing high opens path to the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of the 1.14171 session low breaks rising support and confirms a lower low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Recovering after consolidation · RSI 62 · price 1.14406
Base built above session low, grinding higher.
The CPI miss drove a NY-session spike to 1.14619 before price bled back into a 1.1417-1.1425 base through late NY and Asia. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.14159, and the Asian session has since clawed back to 1.14406 with RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14159 confirms a lower low
Close above 1.14619 reopens the 1.1472 3-week high
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 GMT could reshape this read
Yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 1.14619 was sold back to 1.14159; the Asia session has slowly ground the recovery back to 1.1435, printing higher lows off the 1.14171 base. RSI mid-60s, no extreme, and price holds above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14171, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.14549
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14389 extends the recovery toward the 1.14549 post-spike high
Loss of the 1.14171 higher-low base negates the recovery grind
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 GMT could shift this read
Rising higher-lows off session low, retracing CPI spike.
Quiet Asian session grinding higher off the 1.1417 session low, reclaiming roughly a third of yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike that tagged 1.14619. Higher-lows chain intact into the 1.14389 session high, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1426, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.1455, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14389 opens the path back toward 1.1455
Loss of 1.14320 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, retracing the CPI spike.
Asia session grinding higher after yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 1.14619 faded back to a 1.14159 session low. The 1.1417-1.1425 consolidation gave way to a chain of higher lows; price now 1.14349, retracing roughly 40% of the spike move and pressing the 1.14389 recent high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1432, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14389 recent high opens the path back toward 1.14549 supply
Failure to hold 1.14320 rising support risks a retest of the 1.14159 session low
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Asia session grinding higher, price back at 1.14349 after yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 1.14619 and the subsequent pullback into a 1.14170 base. Higher lows have built through the overnight session with RSI(14) mid-range near 61; the session high at 1.14389 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14389, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14389 opens the path back toward 1.14500 and the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of the 1.14170 asia low negates the recovery and reopens 1.14000
US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 during NY yesterday on the soft US CPI miss, then bled back to a 1.1416 base that held twice. Asian session has been grinding higher on thin volume, now pressing the 1.14371 session high with RSI(14) around 61.
Support: 1.14259, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14371, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14371 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 cpi high
Loss of 1.1416 swing low negates the recovery and re-exposes downside
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 GMT could reset this range
Asia session grinding higher off the 1.14171 swing low, retracing part of yesterday's post-CPI spike to 1.1462. Micro higher-lows hold above the 1.14225 range base, RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR thin near 3 pips; the 1.14371 session high caps for now.
Support: 1.14225, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14371, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14371 session high opens the 1.14500 pivot toward the 1.14619 cpi high
Loss of the 1.14171 swing low negates the intraday recovery
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI 12:30 GMT could shift this read
01:47 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher off base · RSI 61 · price 1.14333
Higher lows off 1.1417 base after CPI spike faded.
Quiet Asia session grinding higher off the 1.1417 base toward the 1.14371 session high, after yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 1.14619 faded through the NY session. Higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-range around 61, ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 1.14226, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14371, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14371 opens the path back toward the 1.1445 prior high
Loss of the 1.1417 base low breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP at 07:00 GMT could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.14333
Higher highs/lows off 1.1416 low.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI miss, then retraced into a 1.1416–1.1425 base. Asian session has ground back up in a tidy chain of higher lows, price now 1.14333 and pressing the 1.14371 session high with RSI(14) mid-band and ATR thin at ~5 pips.
Support: 1.14259, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.14371, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14371 opens the path back toward the 1.14619 spike high
Break below 1.14259 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Recovery, grinding higher off Asia low · RSI 62 · price 1.14357
Post-spike range, HH/HL into Asia.
The 12:30 UTC US CPI miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619, then price faded into a 1.1417–1.1445 range. Asia session is grinding back up from 1.1417 with a clean HH/HL chain, now at 1.14357 (~50% of the fade) with RSI mid-60s.
Support: 1.14171, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1445 reopens the 1.14619 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14171 asia low confirms a lower-low
EUR/USD recovered off a session low near 1.1417 through the quiet Asian hours after yesterday's soft US CPI spiked it to 1.1462 before that move faded. Price is grinding out higher lows back toward 1.1436, RSI(14) mid-60s; ATR compressed to ~4 pips in thin conditions.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1426
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14575
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.1445 pivot re-opens the 1.14575 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1417 confirms a lower-low and breaks the recovery
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows · RSI 63 · price 1.14358
Consolidation after CPI spike, higher lows.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print then faded, basing through the thin Asia session around 1.1416-1.1425. Price is now grinding back up to 1.14358 into the 1.1445 pivot, RSI(14) mid-60s and holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.14224, 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14587, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.1445 pivot opens the path back to the 1.14587 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14159 swing low breaks the higher-low structure
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Recovery bounce, short-term up · RSI 62 · price 1.14334
Higher lows off session low.
EUR/USD is grinding back off the 1.1416 session low into late Asia, after the softer US CPI-driven spike to 1.14619 faded through the prior session. A chain of higher lows is building toward 1.1434, but the 1.1450 pivot still caps the recovery.
Support: 1.1426, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1450 pivot opens the path back to the 1.14619 cpi high
Loss of the 1.1416 session low negates the recovery and reopens the downside
01:02 UTC
Recovering off Asian low, micro uptrend · RSI 62 · price 1.14334
Post-spike range, grinding higher into Asia.
The CPI-driven spike to 1.14619 faded through NY into a 1.1417–1.1445 range; Asian session is grinding back up off the 1.14170 low, now near 1.14334. RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR thin at ~4 pips in quiet Asian hours.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14450 prior high opens the path back to the 1.14619 cpi spike
Failure to hold 1.14170 asian low resumes the post-spike down leg
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony later today could reset this range
00:47 UTC
Recovering after post-CPI spike · RSI 59 · price 1.14272
Spike then consolidation, higher lows building.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, then retraced roughly a quarter of that move and based around 1.1417. Quiet Asia session has ground price back to the 1.14300 swing high; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR compressed to a few pips.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path to 1.14450
Failure to hold 1.14170 exposes the deeper post-CPI retrace
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Recovering within range after CPI spike · RSI 58 · price 1.14272
Consolidation between 1.1417 and 1.1430.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then unwound most of that move into a tight Asian-session range. Price is grinding back up off 1.1417 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58; the session is capped at 1.1430.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450 pivot
Failure to hold 1.1417 session low exposes 1.1404
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could reset this range
00:32 UTC
Recovering off Asian base, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.14295
Post-spike fade, higher lows building in Asia.
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619, but the move fully faded through NY back to an Asian base near 1.1417. Price has since carved higher lows and is pressing the 1.1430 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s; still boxed under the 1.1445 prior high.
Support: 1.14226, 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 session high opens the path to the 1.1445 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14170 asia base reopens the 1.1400 psych level
Yesterday's soft US CPI spiked EUR/USD to 1.1462 before the move faded and price consolidated 1.1417–1.1425 through the quiet Asia session. Buyers have since ground back to the session high at 1.14295, RSI(14) firming around 61.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path back toward 1.14549 prior supply
Loss of 1.1417 session low resumes the post-spike decline
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Post-spike consolidation, drifting up · RSI 58 · price 1.14263
Basing after CPI spike faded, tight Asia range.
Yesterday's US CPI miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 during NY hours, but the whole move faded back into the 1.1417–1.1430 zone. Asia session is quiet and thin, basing around 1.1420 with price grinding back above EMA20; RSI(14) neutral near 58.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.1450 session high would reopen the 1.14619 spike high
Break below 1.14159 recent low points toward the 1.1360 range base
US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could break this Asia range
00:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 61 · price 1.14263
Higher lows off 1.1417 base.
The soft US CPI print drove a sharp spike to the 1.14619 session high, which then unwound to a 1.14171 base. Asia session has been quiet and one-directional — a chain of higher lows grinding price back to 1.14271, RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 1.14171, 1.14237
Resistance: 1.14271, 1.1455, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14271 extends the recovery toward the 1.1455 post-spike shelf
Loss of 1.14171 reopens the session low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.14243
Consolidating near range base after post-CPI fade.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT drove the spike to 1.14619 before the move faded back into the 1.1416–1.1434 band. Asia session is quiet and thin, ranging around 1.1424 near the range base; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum signal in play.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14341, 1.14587, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14341 reopens the path to the post-CPI high at 1.14587
Loss of 1.14159 range base confirms a lower low
US PPI (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read later in the session
00:02 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.14243
Consolidation after CPI spike faded.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI miss, then bled lower through the session and is now consolidating tightly around 1.1420–1.1426 into the Asia hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and ATR has collapsed to ~3 pips as the post-CPI move digests.
Support: 1.1417, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1433, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1426 reopens the 1.1433 prior high
Loss of 1.1417 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14159 swing