Price has been boxed in a 1.1390–1.1475 range for two weeks after the early-month selloff bottomed at 1.1324. The latest bar poked to a 1.1482 session high before closing back at 1.1463, with soft US CPI/PPI keeping the dollar capped and hawkish-ECB rhetoric underpinning EUR. EMA20 sits above EMA50 and ATR is mid-range, so the range cap is the pivotal test.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1475 range cap opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.1390/1.1410 support zone opens 1.1210
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could break the range
21:01 UTC
Range-bound, edging to top of band · RSI 60 · price 1.14634
Multi-day range with rising lows off 1.1325.
EURUSD remains locked in the 1.1390–1.1475 band that has held for over two weeks, with the last bar pushing toward the range cap on the soft US CPI/PPI backdrop while hawkish ECB rhetoric underpins the euro. Higher lows since the 1.1325 swing low keep the base intact, but price has yet to clear the 1.1475 ceiling. ATR(14) around 47 pips reflects contained, two-way conditions.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1475 range cap opens a range break
Failure to hold the 1.1410 support zone reopens 1.1325 swing low
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could break the range in either direction
17:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound near highs · RSI 52 · price 1.14359
Multi-day range, higher lows into resistance.
EURUSD is locked in a multi-day 1.1390–1.1475 range, trading at 1.1436 with price sitting just above a flattening EMA20/EMA50 cluster. The band re-formed after the early-window slide to 1.1325 was recovered, and ATR(14) near 26 pips shows compression as the pair coils below the 1.1462 spike high. Soft US CPI/PPI has kept the dollar heavy while hawkish-ECB pricing offsets weak EZ industry, leaving the range two-way.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1462 range cap opens the 1.1475 range top
Sustained break of the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone exposes 1.1325 swing low
EZ final CPI (Thu 08:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could break the range
Range within 1.1390–1.1475; higher lows off the 1.1325 base.
EURUSD carved a base near 1.1325 mid-window and recovered into a 1.1390–1.1475 band, where it has churned sideways as soft US CPI/PPI capped the dollar while hawkish ECB rhetoric underpinned the euro. Price sits mid-range around 1.1436 with EMA20 and EMA50 stacked just below, and ATR(14) has compressed as the two-way stalemate persists. Higher lows since the 1.1325 low keep the near-term bias constructive within the range.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1475
What it said to watch
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC is the catalyst that could break the 1.1390–1.1475 band
H4 close above 1.1475 opens the path higher; a sustained break of 1.1390 targets 1.1210
Failure to hold 1.1390 confirms a lower-low and negates the higher-low sequence
EUR/USD has been boxed in a multi-week 1.1390–1.1460 range after the early-month slide from 1.1600 bottomed near 1.1330. Price spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI miss then faded back into the band, with EMA20 and EMA50 flattened and coiled around current price. ATR is subdued, consistent with the range compression rather than a trending regime.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1330, 1.1210
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1460 opens the 1.1475 range top
Break of 1.1390 support confirms a lower-low toward 1.1210
Fed Warsh testimony and Thu eurozone CPI / US Retail Sales could break the range
13:01 UTC
Range-bound, mild ascending base · RSI 46 · price 1.14139
Multi-week range with rising lows off the 1.1324 base.
Price is boxed in a multi-week 1.1390–1.1462 range after the early-month slide off 1.16, with rising lows since the 1.1324 base lending a mild ascending tilt. EUR spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI miss before fading back toward the range middle. ATR(14) is compressing near the mid-band, a sign of a coiling market rather than an extending trend.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1324, 1.1210
Resistance: 1.1462
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1390 range base opens 1.1210
H4 close above 1.1462 range top breaks the range
Thu eurozone CPI (08:00 UTC) and Warsh testimony today could reset this read
09:02 UTC
Sideways after mid-June selloff · RSI 51 · price 1.14242
Range-bound 1.1360-1.1460.
Price rolled over from 1.16 in mid-June and based near 1.1325, since recovering into a well-defined 1.1360-1.1460 range where it has churned for two weeks. Yesterday's soft US CPI put a bid under EUR but rallies keep stalling below the 1.1460 ceiling, and ATR(14) has compressed to ~27 pips as the range tightens. EMAs are flat and coiled around price, reflecting the lack of directional conviction.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1460 breaks the range top and opens 1.1472
Failure to hold 1.1360 exposes the 1.1325 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst after the CPI miss and could shift this read
09:01 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 49 · price 1.14242
Multi-day range, mid-band consolidation.
EURUSD is range-bound between the 1.1360 floor and the 1.1460-1.1470 ceiling, consolidating after recovering off the 1.1325 swing low; soft US CPI reversed early-week USD strength but rallies keep stalling below the cap. Price sits mid-band near 1.1424 with EMA20 and EMA50 flat and clustered, and ATR(14) compression around 28 pips points to a coiled range. No higher-high has cleared the 1.1470 resistance to change the structural read.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1460
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read on the next USD leg
H4 close above 1.1470 invalidates the range ceiling
H4 close below 1.1360 exposes the 1.1325 swing low
05:02 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.14385
Range-bound above the mid-month low, marginal higher lows.
EURUSD fell hard from 1.1615 early in the window down to the 1.1325 swing low, then stabilised into a two-week range roughly 1.1360-1.1450. The soft US CPI print yesterday drove a spike to the 1.14619 recent high before price settled back near the 1.1450 range top; ATR is easing as the pair coils just under resistance.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.14619 recent high opens a break of the range top
Failure to hold the 1.1360 range low reopens the 1.1325 swing low
German HICP at 07:00 UTC (f/c 3.6%) could shift the range read
05:01 UTC
Range after downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 1.14385
Multi-day range 1.1325-1.1472, holding higher lows off the base.
After the mid-month slide from 1.16 down to the 1.1325 base, EUR/USD has spent two-plus weeks ranging between 1.1325 and 1.1472, carving higher lows off the low. Soft US CPI yesterday pushed price back to the 1.1460 range top before it eased to 1.1438, right on the 38.2% retracement of the 1.16-1.1325 leg. ATR(14) has compressed toward ~38 pips, consistent with a coiling range rather than a directional trend.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1472 completes a range break higher
Failure to hold 1.1377 reopens the 1.1360 / 1.1325 range low
German HICP and US PPI today could break the range compression
01:02 UTC
Range after mid-May slide, momentum neutral · RSI 53 · price 1.14253
Boxed 1.1360-1.1460, near range top.
Price has been boxed between 1.1360 and 1.1460 for roughly two weeks after the sharp mid-May slide from 1.1615 to 1.1325. EUR sits back near the range top, aided by the softer US CPI print that unwound Fed hike bets; a spike to 1.1462 was rejected and price eased to 1.1425, around the 38.2% retrace of the larger down-leg. ATR(14) near 32 pips reflects a contained, two-way regime rather than a directional trend.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1472 3wk high opens room above the range
Failure to hold 1.1360 range low exposes 1.1325 key support
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Range-bound after early-month selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.14253
Boxed between 1.1325 and 1.1472.
EURUSD has been trapped in a multi-week range between 1.1325 and 1.1472 since the sharp early-window drop from 1.1615. The soft US CPI print lifted the pair back toward the 1.1450 pivot, with EMAs flattening near price and ATR compressing — a low-volatility regime holding inside the box.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1472 three-week high opens room higher
Failure to hold 1.1360 exposes the 1.1325 range low
US PPI and Warsh testimony today could shift this read