EUR/USD ground to a fresh one-year low near 1.1324 through the NY session yesterday on broad USD strength, the third straight down-day after breaking the old 1.1400 range floor. Price has since stabilised just above EMA(20) around 1.1352, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold into the low 40s. The 1.1368 prior high caps the bounce while EMA(50) at 1.1390 and the 1.1400 broken range pivot stack overhead.
Support: 1.1352, 1.1324, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German GfK and GDP Friday could inject fresh EUR volatility
H1 close below 1.1324 swing low opens the path to the 1.1300 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.1400 range pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's open, breaking the long-held 1.1400-1.1800 range and printing a fresh ~1-year low at 1.13242 in yesterday's NY session on broad USD strength and hawkish-Fed repricing. Price has since stabilised above 1.1350 and is hugging the EMA(20), with the 1.13675 prior high and the broken 1.1400 range pivot capping overhead. RSI(14) lifting off oversold mirrors the stalling downside momentum.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1400
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13242 confirms continuation toward the 1.1300 psych area
Reclaim of 1.14000 range pivot would neutralise the broken-range read
German GfK / GDP (Fri 06:00-07:00 UTC) and US PCE could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing after breakdown.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, losing the long-held 1.1400 range floor and sliding to a one-year low at 1.1324 as broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed bets and risk-off flows dominated. Price has since stabilised and is consolidating around 1.1350–1.1360, with the 1.1361 prior range floor now capping rebounds as resistance. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold back toward neutral as the slide pauses.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1361, 1.1400
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1361 would challenge the range floor as resistance and open the path to 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1324 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1300 psych area
German GDP/GfK at 06:00–07:00 UTC and US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
EUR/USD extended a third straight daily slide to a one-year low at 1.1324 after losing the multi-month 1.1400 range floor, driven by US-EU growth and yield divergence and a 13-month-high USD. Price has since stalled into a tight 1.1350-1.1362 consolidation through the late session, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but capped under 50. The prior 1.1361 range floor now acts as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1361, 1.13675, 1.1400
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1324 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1300
Reclaim of 1.1400 would negate the range breakdown
German GfK/GDP (06:00-07:00 UTC) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) Thu could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13531
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near week low.
EUR has trended lower all week, breaking the long-held 1.1400 range floor and tagging a one-year low at 1.13242 on hawkish Fed-vs-cautious-ECB divergence and a broad USD safe-haven bid. Price has since stabilised, carving a tight consolidation around 1.1353 and reclaiming a flattening EMA(20), while the 1.13675 high capped the bounce. EMA(50) sits overhead near 1.1380 and the broken 1.1400 floor now acts as resistance.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1400, 1.1380
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the marquee risk for this read
H1 close below 1.13242 opens the path toward 1.1300
Reclaim of 1.14000 range floor would neutralise the break
Lower highs, lower lows; oversold bounce off week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, breaking below the long-held 1.1400 floor mid-week and sliding to a one-year low near 1.1325 as the USD pressed a 13-month high on hawkish Fed repricing and risk-off flows. Price has staged a corrective bounce off 1.1325 into the NY session but is stalling below the 1.1362 break level, with the broken range floor at 1.1400 now overhead resistance. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit above price, framing the recovery as counter-trend.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1362, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC (high impact) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1400 would invalidate the range-break read
Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off range break.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, breaking the long-held range floor near 1.1400 and pressing a fresh one-year low at 1.13242 on hawkish Fed-vs-cautious-ECB divergence and a broad USD bid. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with each NY session extending the decline, though the recovery off 1.13242 alongside flattening RSI hints at tentative bullish divergence. 1.13675 capped the latest bounce and the broken 1.1400 floor now stands as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.1339, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13242 opens the path toward 1.13000
H1 close above 1.13800 would question the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.14000 range floor invalidates the breakdown read
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is a high-impact catalyst for the next leg
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13567
Lower highs, lower lows; range floor broken.
EUR has been heavy all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1461 open and breaking the long-held 1.1400 range floor toward a fresh one-year low at 1.1324 on hawkish-Fed-vs-cautious-ECB divergence. Price is holding below EMA20/EMA50 with each NY-session push lower respected, though buyers stepped in at 1.1324 to spark a corrective bounce now stalling near 1.1357. The 1.1400 broken floor sits overhead as resistance.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1400, 1.14613
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1324 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
H1 close above 1.1400 would negate the range-break read
EURUSD has trended lower since Monday's open, breaking the 1.1400 range floor and extending to a one-year low at 1.13242 as hawkish-Fed repricing and risk-off flows kept the dollar bid. Price is pinned below EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 40s; a modest NY bounce stalled into the 1.1368 swing high before fading back to 1.1350. The broken 1.1400 floor now acts as overhead resistance on any recovery.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13242 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the 1.1300 psych zone
An H1 close back above 1.14000 would negate the range breakdown read
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) and Fri's German GfK/GDP could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13504
Lower highs, lower lows; range floor broken.
EUR has trended lower all week, breaking the long-held 1.1400 range floor to a 1-year low near 1.1324 on hawkish-Fed repricing and a risk-off bid for the dollar. A bounce into the latest NY session lifted price off the low but stalled at 1.1367 before easing back to 1.1350, still below EMA20. The broken 1.1400 floor now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1324 confirms a fresh lower low and opens the 1.1300 area
Reclaim of 1.1367 would put the broken 1.1400 floor back in play as resistance
Fri German GfK/GDP (06:00–07:00 UTC) could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, bounce off 1-year low.
EURUSD has trended lower all week on the US-EU growth divergence and hawkish-Fed repricing, extending into the NY session yesterday to a one-year low near 1.1324. Price has since reclaimed EMA(20) on a bounce to 1.1360 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, but EMA(50) overhead and the broken 1.1380 shelf still cap. The dominant structure remains lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1380
What it said to watch
Friday US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
Hourly close back above 1.1380 prior shelf would challenge the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13242 confirms continuation toward the 1.1300 zone
Thu German GfK / EZ GDP final could reinforce the divergence read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.13605
Lower highs and lower lows into a 1-year low, near-term bounce.
EUR/USD extended its slide to a one-year low near 1.1324 through the week as hawkish-Fed repricing and a risk-off USD bid kept the pair pinned, with the former 1.1400 range floor now capping. The last few bars off the 1.1324 low have lifted price back to 1.1360 and just above the H1 EMA(20), with RSI recovering off oversold. Twin lows at 1.1329 and 1.1324 mark a tentative base, but price remains well below the EMA(50).
Support: 1.13242, 1.13286
Resistance: 1.13833, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Friday's US PCE (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would invalidate the downtrend structure
Failure to hold 1.1324 confirms continuation toward the 1.1300 zone
EUR has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1480 high to a fresh one-year low at 1.1324 as a hawkish-Fed/USD-strength and US-EU growth divergence narrative dominated. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with each NY-session push lower finding sellers at the falling lower-highs line; RSI(14) is oversold and the last bar printed a modest bounce off the lows. The 1.1400 former range floor now caps as resistance overhead.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1335, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.14386
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break of 1.1325/1.1335 low zone opens the 1.1300 area
H1 close back above 1.1400 range floor would invalidate the downtrend read
Successive lower highs and lower lows; fresh one-year low printed.
EURUSD has trended lower all week, grinding from Monday's 1.1480 area to a fresh one-year low at 1.1324 as broad USD strength and the US-EU growth divergence dominated; the NY session bounce off that low has only reclaimed 1.1348. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in oversold territory, and 1.1362/1.1380 capping the rebound so far. The 1.1400 former range floor now stands as the bigger overhead pivot.
Support: 1.13242, 1.13377, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1324 opens the path toward the 1.1300 psych level
H1 close back above 1.1400 would invalidate the lower-high structure
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows, fresh one-year low.
EUR/USD trended lower through the week, breaking the long-held 1.1400 floor and printing a one-year low at 1.1324 in the NY session as the dollar pushed fresh highs on hawkish Fed pricing. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with every bounce capped, though a modest recovery off the low has lifted RSI back from oversold. 1.1400 is now the pivot that has capped relief attempts.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1338
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1400, 1.14386
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would invalidate the range-break read
Sustained break of 1.1324 confirms continuation to new lows
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
EUR/USD is into its third straight session of losses, sliding to a one-year low near 1.1324 as the dollar pressed 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed bets and risk-off flows. Price has held below EMA(20) all week with every pullback capped, but the bounce off 1.1324 against a flat RSI hints at a tentative bullish divergence while readings sit oversold. The broken 1.1400 range floor now sits overhead as the key pivot.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1313
Resistance: 1.13517, 1.1379, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Sustained break below the 1.1324 1yr low signals range-breakdown continuation
Reclaim of the 1.1400 range pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended lower for a third straight day, slipping through the 1.1400 shelf into a one-year-low zone near 1.1325 — a USD-driven move on hawkish-Fed bets and risk-off equity flows rather than any EUR story. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near oversold; the latest NY-session bars carved a modest bounce off 1.1325 but lower highs remain intact. The 1.1400 break is the dominant structural event of the week.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would neutralize the bearish read
Sustained break of 1.1325 opens path toward 1.1300
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 36 · price 1.13436
Lower highs and lower lows, below broken 1.1400 shelf.
EUR/USD is in a clean third-day slide, sliding through the 1.1400 support shelf and printing a one-year low near 1.1324 into the NY session — a USD-driven move on hawkish-Fed repricing and risk-off flows. Price has tracked beneath EMA(20) all week, with every pullback into the 1.1370/1.1380 band finding sellers. RSI(14) sits near 36, stretched but not yet a divergence, and the final bar's bounce off 1.1324 is a reaction within the downtrend.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would neutralize the broken-support read
EURUSD has trended lower for a third straight day, slicing through the 1.1400 shelf that capped early-week trade and pressing a one-year low near 1.1325 into late NY hours. The move is dollar-led — DXY at a 13-month high on hawkish Fed repricing — with EUR lacking a domestic catalyst after mixed German IFO. Price sits well below EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) is in the low-30s, leaving the decline stretched.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1346, 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 1.1325 opens further downside
Reclaim of 1.1400 broken support would neutralise the lower-high sequence
German GfK/GDP (Thu) and US Core PCE (Thu) are the key external swing factors
EURUSD has trended lower for a third straight session, sliding from 1.1487 early in the window to a fresh one-year low at 1.1325 — a USD-led move on hawkish Fed repricing rather than EUR bids. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with each bounce capped under the broken 1.1400 support, and RSI(14) has been pinned in oversold territory through the NY session. The 1.1400 former support has flipped to resistance and remains the dominant overhead pivot.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 1.1325 opens further downside toward 1.1300
Reclaim of 1.1400 would invalidate the lower-high structure
German GfK/GDP and US Core PCE on Thu could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower through the week, accelerating after the 1.1400 break as broad USD strength on Fed hike repricing dominated. Price now sits at a fresh one-year low near 1.1341 below both EMAs, having put in successive lower highs into the NY session; RSI(14) around 36 reflects sustained downside pressure without yet reaching washout extremes. The 1.1365 swing and former 1.1400 support now cap the topside.
Support: 1.1337, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1365, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1337 session low opens path toward 1.1300
H1 close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the breakdown
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, accelerating through the 1.1400 pivot into the NY session in a USD-led move that printed fresh one-year lows near 1.1337. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in the low 30s, and every pullback this week has stalled under the descending lower-highs line. The 1.1350-1.1365 zone has been broken, leaving 1.1300 as the next downside reference.
Support: 1.1337, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim and H1 close above 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the breakout read
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Failure to hold 1.1337 confirms continuation toward 1.1300 psych
EUR/USD has bled lower for a third straight day to a one-year low sub-1.1340, the move powered by broad USD strength on Fed hike repricing while soft German PMIs offered the euro no support. Price has stayed pinned below EMA20 and EMA50 across the week, with the former 1.1400 support now acting as a clear cap; the loss of 1.1350 confirmed the latest lower low. RSI(14) sits oversold near 31 as the down-leg extends without a meaningful pullback.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1350, 1.1400
What it said to watch
ECB Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift the EUR read this session
US Core PCE and German GDP Thu are the week's main risk events
H1 close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.13377 opens the path toward the 1.1300 psych area
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1457 open to a fresh one-year low near 1.1338 as the dollar ran on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with every pullback capped at the falling average; the break of 1.1400 turned former support into a pivot. RSI(14) is pressing oversold, reflecting how stretched the move has become rather than any sign of basing.
Support: 1.1338, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.1457
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1338 confirms continuation toward the 1.1350-area downside reference
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the broken-support read
ECB Cipollone (13:35 UTC) today, then German GDP and US Core PCE Thu — material to this read
Consecutive lower highs and lower lows, fresh one-year low.
EUR/USD has ground lower for a third straight day, slipping below 1.1400 and pressing a fresh one-year low near 1.1338 as the broad USD bid extends on hawkish-Fed repricing. Today's mixed German IFO (expectations missed at 84.1) offered no relief, and price sits below EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering in oversold territory. The 1.1400 former support now caps as resistance, and intraday bounces have been shallow.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1400, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1338 week low confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 psych zone breakdown
ECB's Cipollone 13:35 UTC and Thu Core PCE could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 1.13454
Successive lower highs / lower lows.
EUR/USD has ground lower for a third straight session into one-year lows near 1.1345, with the dominant leg coming through the NY session yesterday as the USD pushed to fresh highs on Fed hike repricing. Price has stayed pinned below EMA(20) and EMA(50) since Monday's open, and the loss of 1.1400 leaves that former support as overhead resistance. RSI(14) sits oversold around 33, reflecting the persistence of the move rather than a turn.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 would invalidate the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.13377 confirms continuation toward 1.1300
ECB Cipollone (today 13:35 UTC) and US Core PCE (Thu) could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, stretched · RSI 33 · price 1.1353
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh 1-yr low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, slicing through the 1.1400 pivot that capped since June 2025 and printing a fresh one-year low near 1.1338 into the NY session. The move is USD-led on hawkish Fed repricing rather than euro-specific, and RSI(14) sitting near 33 reflects how stretched the slide has become. Price remains pinned below EMA20 (~1.1385), with each rebound capped on the descending lower-highs line.
Support: 1.1338, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.1338 opens the 1.13 handle
Hourly close back above 1.1400 broken pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, slicing the 1.1400 pivot that held since June 2025 and printing fresh one-year lows near 1.1338 into the latest NY session — a USD-led move on hawkish Fed repricing rather than euro-specific news. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with each bounce capped under the descending lower-high line, while RSI(14) at the low-30s flags stretched conditions and raises short-covering risk. The 1.1350 psych area and 1.1338 session low are the immediate floor; 1.1400 is now recovered-resistance overhead.
Support: 1.1338, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.1338 vs sustained break opening the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.1375 lower high would soften the downtrend read
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst for the next leg
ECB's Cipollone today 13:35 UTC could spark EUR relief
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 35 · price 1.13521
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh one-year lows.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, slicing the 1.1400 pivot into the NY session and printing fresh one-year lows near 1.1351 on broad USD strength after firm US PMIs and hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with each pullback capped near 1.1375; RSI(14) hovers in the mid-30s without yet flagging a divergence. The 1.1350 SocGen support is the line in the sand as the slide stalls.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1351
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 1.1350 opens deeper downside on the 1.13 handle
A reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the broken-pivot read
Thu Core PCE (f/c 3.4% YoY) and ECB's Nagel today could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, breaking the 1.1400 pivot during the NY session and pressing fresh one-year lows near 1.1350 as a hawkish-Fed-driven USD bid dominates. Price sits well below EMA(20), with each pullback capped beneath the moving average and RSI(14) hovering near 31 — stretched but not yet diverging. Soft EZ price components and a dovish Lagarde have removed the EUR's support, leaving 1.1350 as the immediate area to watch.
Support: 1.1351, 1.1350, 1.13608
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.1400, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.1350 opens the 1.13-handle downside
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the broken-pivot read
Thu Core PCE (f/c 3.4% YoY) could materially shift the USD leg
EURUSD has trended lower all week, slicing through the 1.1400 support that held since mid-2025 as upbeat US PMIs and Fed repricing kept the dollar bid into the NY session. Price now sits near one-year lows around 1.1359 after marking a week low at 1.1357, with the move stalling into a tight consolidation under 1.1383. Both H1 EMAs cap from above and RSI(14) is holding in the high-30s without diverging.
Support: 1.1357, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralize the bearish structure
Loss of 1.1350 confirms continuation toward the next downside markers
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 1.13592
Lower highs, lower lows; broke 1.1400.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1512 open, slicing through the 1.1400 prior-support level on dollar dominance after upbeat US PMIs and Fed hike repricing. Price now prints fresh lows at 1.1357 with RSI(14) sub-35 and holding below both EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.1380 swing high capped the last bounce, leaving the 1.1350 SocGen support as the next reference below.
Support: 1.13573, 1.1350, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 prior support needed to neutralize the bearish read
Loss of 1.1350 socgen sup opens deeper downside
German IFO today and US Core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating at week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, piercing 1.1400 — prior support since June 2025 — into the NY session as the dollar pushed to one-year highs on hawkish-Fed bets and soft German services PMI undercut the ECB case. Price has since drifted to fresh 11-month lows near 1.1361 and is consolidating below EMA20, with RSI(14) basing in the high-30s after the impulse. Each bounce this week has stalled into descending resistance.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift the read; a miss reinforces the move toward 1.1350
H1 close back above 1.1400 would reclaim the broken pivot and challenge the downtrend
Failure to hold 1.1361 confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 marker
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13682
Successive lower highs and lower lows below broken 1.1400.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1522 open, piercing 1.1400 for the first time in 2026 and printing 11-month lows near 1.1361 as the dollar climbed to one-year highs on hawkish-Fed bets. Price sits well below EMA20/EMA50 with every pullback into the NY sessions capped beneath the broken 1.1400 pivot. RSI(14) is depressed near 34 but not yet at an extreme, consistent with the persistent offered tone.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC today could trigger a relief bounce toward 1.1400
Sustained close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the breakout read
Failure to hold 1.1361 opens the path to the 1.1350 marker
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst for this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1528 open, pinned below EMA20 and EMA50 as the USD pushed to one-year highs on hawkish-Fed repricing and the break below the 1.1400 pivot that had held since June 2025. The NY session yesterday drove the latest leg from the 1.1380 prior range down to a fresh swing low at 1.1360, with RSI(14) holding in the low 30s. Consolidation into the Asia session is thin and capped well below the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 1.1400 pivot would invalidate the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1360 swing low confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 ref
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD risk
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's ~1.1461 open, breaking the 1.1400 pivot that held as support since June 2025 on the back of broad USD strength after upbeat US PMIs. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the low 30s, and each NY-session pullback has stalled into the falling EMA20 near 1.1385. The 1.13608 swing low is the immediate downside reference, with 1.1350 the next psych level flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above the 1.1400 pivot would invalidate the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1350 confirms continuation lower
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1520 area as a hawkish-Fed USD pushed to one-year highs and the pair broke the pivotal 1.1400 former support. After a brief consolidation around 1.1380 it slipped to fresh weekly lows near 1.1367 into the Asia session, with price capped below EMA20 (~1.1382) and RSI(14) holding in the upper-30s. The 1.1400 break has flipped that level to overhead resistance.
Support: 1.13611, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.13611 confirms continuation to the 1.1350 psych zone
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1528 open to fresh lows at 1.1361 as a one-year-high USD weighed. Price punched below the pivotal 1.1400 — former support since June 2025, now capping as resistance — and has been consolidating just above the swing low through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s with price holding well below EMA(20) on every pullback.
Support: 1.13611, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1385
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the bearish structure
Loss of 1.13611 swing low opens the path toward the 1.1350 psych level
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.13678
Lower highs and lower lows.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1525 open, with broad USD strength on the hawkish-Fed repricing dragging the pair to fresh multi-month lows. Price coiled in a tight 1.1376-1.1383 consolidation through the Asia session before breaking the session low at 1.13665, holding below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits near 37 without yet pressing oversold, leaving room before momentum stretches.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1335, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1383
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 1.13830 range high would neutralise the breakout lower
Sustained trade under 1.13665 keeps the 1.13350 SocGen support in focus
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 1.13678
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1523 open as broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing pressures the pair, with German services weakness capping any bounce. Price slid to fresh lows near 1.1367 into the Asia session, holding below EMA20 throughout the week as each pullback into the 1.1410-1.1429 zone was sold. Momentum stays soft with RSI(14) hovering in the mid-30s near range lows.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1350, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1411, 1.1429
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read; a beat may help defend 1.1390 area
H1 close back above 1.13830 would break the recent lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13665 confirms continuation toward the 1.13500 psych level
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant USD risk into week-end
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above week low.
EURUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1524 open on broad USD strength and a German services PMI miss that kept any EUR bounce capped. Price is now grinding sideways just above the 1.1370 week low after the NY-session slide, with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s and the 1.1390 area aligned with EMA(20) capping recoveries. Tight ranges into late session show momentum stalling rather than reversing.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1390
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1370 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1350 psych level
Recovery above the 1.1390 EMA(20) area challenges the lower-highs sequence
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week on broad USD strength and the German services slump, slicing from Monday's 1.152 area to an 11-month low near 1.13705 into the NY session yesterday. Price has flattened in a tight 1.1376-1.1382 band through the Asia session, with RSI(14) basing in the high-30s while still pinned under EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.13900 prior-high cap and the 1.13705 week low frame the immediate range.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1390
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13705 opens the 1.1350 psych level
H1 close above 1.13900 challenges the downtrend structure
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from the Monday-session high near 1.1526, accelerating through yesterday's NY session as broad USD strength and a German services slump (46.8) capped any bounce; price now sits at 11-month lows. Since the 1.13729 print the pair has gone flat in a tight 1.1373–1.1383 band, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 40. The 1.1390 prior low caps, while 1.1350 and the 1.13 handle remain the next references below.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 1.1430 would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.13729 opens the path toward 1.1350 and the 1.13 handle
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1525 open, with USD broadly bid on the Fed's hawkish tilt and German services dragging the euro to 11-month lows. The drop accelerated through the NY session into 1.1374, and price has since flattened into a tight Asian-session consolidation just above 1.1375. RSI(14) is holding low-30s without a clean bullish divergence, and price remains pinned below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1420, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13729 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1350 psych zone
An H1 close back above 1.1420 (EMA20) would challenge the downtrend structure
German IFO at 08:00 UTC today could shift this read; Core PCE Thursday is the larger catalyst
Lower highs and lower lows, now flat near week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, accelerating through the round 1.1400 level after the German services PMI miss and broad USD strength, printing fresh lows at 1.13755. Price has since gone flat into the Asia session, holding just above the week low with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s and price trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The prior support around 1.1430 now caps as resistance on any recovery.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would challenge the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.13755 opens the path toward the 1.1350 support
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1528 open, accelerating through the 1.1400 round number into 11-month lows after soft German PMIs and broad USD strength on higher Treasury yields. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1375–1.1383 band, with the 1.13755 week low absorbing repeated tests during the Asia session. EMA20 and EMA50 sit overhead and cap the structure.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14002, 1.14386, 1.1424
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.1400 round number would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13755 week low confirms continuation of the downtrend
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13807
Lower highs, lower lows; flattening into a low base.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from the 1.1525 area to fresh lows under 1.1380 after German flash PMIs disappointed (services 46.8 vs 48.7) and broad USD strength pressed the pair through 1.1400. Price has stalled in a tight base around 1.1378–1.1382 in the last NY-to-Asia hours, holding the 1.13755 swing low while RSI(14) flattens near 39 below both EMAs. The 1.1400 round number now caps as nearby resistance.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1429, 1.15066
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13755 opens the path toward the 1.1350 psych support
H1 reclaim of 1.14000 round number would ease the downside pressure
German IFO (Wed) and US Core PCE (Thu) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from the 1.1520s toward 11-month lows as broad USD strength and a soft German services PMI (46.8 vs 48.7) undercut EUR. The week low at 1.13755 has held through the Asian session with price now coiling in a tight 1.1378–1.1382 range on thin volume. RSI(14) sits sub-40 and is flattening, while price remains pinned below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13755 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.13500 psych area
H1 close back above 1.14000 round number would ease the downtrend pressure toward 1.14290 prior swing
German IFO (Wed 08:00 UTC) and Thursday's US Core PCE could materially shift this read