EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 24 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, flat in Asia · RSI 48 · price 1.13542
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
Thin Asia-session drift, ranging 1.1352-1.1358 on light volume after EUR recovered from the 1.1325 session low. The broken 1.1361 overnight low now caps as resistance, with EUR pinned near 1-year lows on broad USD strength.
Support: 1.1352, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1361, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13610 reopens 1.13675 swing high
Loss of 1.13520 range floor exposes 1.13242 swing low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Fri could break this range
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13542
Thin-liquidity range holding above session low.
EUR/USD is pinned near 1-year lows, coiling in a tight 1.1352-1.1360 range through thin Asian hours after the USD-driven selloff into 1.13242. Bounce off that low stalled at 1.13675; price now drifts sideways with RSI flat near 48, no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 1.1352, 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13605, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1352 reopens the 1.13242 session low
M15 close above 1.13675 invalidates the consolidation read
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Fri could break this range
23:31 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.13555
Tight consolidation after recovery off session low.
EURUSD is dead-quiet in the Asia session, coiling in a 1.1352-1.1360 band after recovering off the 1.1324 session low. The pair sits at fresh 1-yr lows on broad USD strength; RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR has collapsed to ~5 pips, reflecting late-session inertia ahead of European data.
Support: 1.1352, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1360, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 swing high reopens the upside from this base
Loss of 1.1352 range floor exposes the 1.13242 session low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Fri can break this quiet range
23:31 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.13555
Consolidation above session low.
EURUSD sold off to a fresh session low at 1.1324 mid-session amid broad USD strength, then recovered and is consolidating 1.1352-1.1360 in thin late-session, low-volume trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with no momentum extension.
Support: 1.1352, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1352 reopens the 1.1324 session low
Close above 1.1361 session high targets the 1.13675 swing high
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Friday could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Ranging, off the NY low · RSI 51 · price 1.13546
Tight Asia range above 1.1324 low.
EUR recovered off the 1.1324 NY low and is grinding sideways through a thin Asia session, boxed between 1.1350 and 1.1361 on fading volume. The pair sits near 1-yr lows after three days of USD-driven losses; no setup in play while the micro-range holds.
Support: 1.13505, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13505 reopens the 1.1324 session low
Close above 1.13613 targets the 1.13675 session high
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Fri can break this Asia range
23:16 UTC
Recovered, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.13546
Consolidation after bounce off 1.1324.
EUR carved a fresh low at 1.1324 during NY then recovered to ~1.1355, in line with the broader USD-driven move to 1-year lows. Thin Asian-session volume now, price coiling between 1.1349 and 1.1367 with RSI flat near 50 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13819
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1349 reopens the 1.1324 swing low
Close above 1.13675 extends the recovery toward the 1.1380 prior high
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) in ~7h could shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing late session · RSI 53 · price 1.13566
Tight consolidation after recovery off session low.
EUR sits at 1-yr lows on broad USD strength, but the last 24h carved a recovery off the 1.13242 session low back to a 1.13675 session high before drifting into a tight 1.1350-1.1360 consolidation on thin late-session flow. Price is holding just above the 1.1350 range floor with momentum flat.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13335, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13618 swing high opens the path back to the 1.13675 session high
Failure to hold the 1.1350 range floor reopens the 1.13242 session low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and German GDP (07:00 UTC) Fri could break this range
23:01 UTC
Ranging after bounce off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.13566
Tight consolidation above session low.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1325 session low — printed during the prior USD-strength leg that pinned EUR near 1-year lows — and is now grinding in a tight 1.1352-1.1360 range on thin late-Asia volume. RSI(14) flat near 50, no momentum in either direction.
Support: 1.1352, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1360, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1352 reopens the 1.1325 session low
Break above 1.1360 exposes the 1.13675 overnight high
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP could break the range
EUR sits at 1-year lows after broad USD strength; NY hours swept to 1.1324 before buyers lifted price back to 1.1362. Late session is now flat between 1.1350 range low and the 1.1362 swing high on thin volume.
Support: 1.13506, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13506 reopens the 1.1324 session low
Reclaim of 1.13618 swing high would extend the recovery
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Friday could shift this read
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, paused into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 1.13558
Tight range after a bounce off 1-yr lows.
EUR carved a fresh ~1-year low at 1.13242 during NY before buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom and bounce to 1.13675. Price is now coiling in a thin 1.1350-1.1360 range through low-volume Asia hours, RSI flat near 50 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13242 resumes the downtrend toward 1.1300
Close above 1.13675 opens the path to the 1.1380 prior high
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Fri could break this range
EUR/USD recovered off the 1-year-low region near the 1.1324 swing low during NY hours, then coiled into a tight 1.1350-1.1361 range as Asia opened thin and volumes dried up. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 with price hugging EMA20; the 1.13618 session high is capping bounces.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13618 session high opens the path back toward the 1.13675 swing high
Loss of the 1.1350 range floor reopens the 1.1324 swing low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Friday could break this range
EUR pinned near 1-year lows after a third day of USD-driven losses, recovering off the 1.1324 session low and now consolidating tightly between 1.1350 and 1.1367 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50, volume thinning into the rollover.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1350 reopens the 1.1324 session low
Close above 1.1367 needed to extend the recovery
German GfK and GDP (Fri) plus US Core PCE could break this range
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing late session · RSI 53 · price 1.13582
Bounce off overnight low, ranging below session high.
EUR held a fresh ~1yr low near 1.1325 overnight and recovered, now chopping in a tight 1.1350-1.1361 range into thin late-session liquidity. Demand stepped in twice at 1.1325 (double bottom) while supply capped the bounce at the 1.13675 session high; RSI(14) back to neutral around 53.
Support: 1.13505, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1380
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13675 reopens the path toward 1.1380
Failure to hold 1.1325 confirms a lower-low and range breakdown
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) Friday could shift this read
EUR carved a 1.1324 low during NY hours then recovered into a tight 1.1351-1.1361 range through the Asia session, sitting on a 1-year-low backdrop as broad USD strength dominates. Thin late-session volume, RSI(14) neutral near 55, price holding above EMA20/50 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.13505, 1.13242, 1.1340
Resistance: 1.13613
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13613 reopens the path toward 1.1368
Failure to hold 1.13505 exposes the 1.1324 swing low
German GfK/GDP (06:00-07:00 UTC) could break the Asian range
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.13521
Ranging near session lows after decline.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session to a one-year-low region near 1.1324, in line with the broad USD bid, before stabilising into thin post-NY/Asia liquidity. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1350-1.1362 band, RSI(14) flat near 46 and volume bleeding out as the session winds down.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1338
Resistance: 1.13618
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1362 reopens the path toward 1.1368 session-high zone
Break below 1.1324 confirms continuation of the intraday lower-low chain
German GfK/GDP (06:00-07:00 UTC) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, paused in range · RSI 47 · price 1.13521
Ranging after bounce off 1-yr low.
EURUSD sold off to a one-year low at 1.1324 during the NY session, part of the broader break below the old 1.1400 floor, then recovered to 1.1367. Asia hours are quiet and thin, drifting in a 1.1350–1.1360 range with RSI flat near 46.
Support: 1.13377, 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13605
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1324 reopens the 1.1300 area flagged as downside risk
M15 close above 1.1367 challenges the session high
German GDP/GfK 06:00–07:00 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could break this range
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, paused into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 1.13524
Ranging after bounce off session low.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1324 session low and is now coiling around 1.1352 on thin late-session volume, holding the one-year-low zone flagged in the broader USD bid. Buyers stepped in at 1.1350 repeatedly but supply capped the 1.1362–1.1368 region.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13618 reopens the 1.13675 session high
Loss of 1.13486 exposes the 1.13242 session low
German GfK/GDP (06:00–07:00 UTC) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, paused in range · RSI 48 · price 1.13524
Consolidation off session low.
EURUSD sits mid-range near 1.1352 after a one-year-low print at 1.1324 and a recovery to 1.1368; price has coiled into a tight band through the late NY-to-Asia transition on thin liquidity. Buyers stepped in at 1.1324, but supply capped the bounce around 1.1368 and momentum is flat.
Support: 1.13377, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13377 reopens the 1.13242 session low
Reclaim of 1.13618 needed to challenge the session high
German GDP/GfK ~06:00-07:00 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
Consolidating upper third of session range after bounce off the low.
EURUSD bounced off the 1.1324 session low during NY hours and is now consolidating in the upper 1.1350s into the Asia transition, volume drying up. RSI sits neutral near 52 after recovering from the slide toward a one-year low; range holding between 1.1349 and 1.1367.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13605, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13486 reopens the 1.1324 session low
Break above 1.13675 needed to extend the corrective bounce
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD slid to a fresh one-year low near 1.1325 during NY hours on broad USD strength, then recovered to consolidate in a tight 1.1350-1.1360 band into the late session. RSI(14) is mid-range and late-session volume is thin; the 1.13675 session high caps the bounce while 1.1400 remains the broken range floor overhead.
Support: 1.13505, 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13242 opens the path toward 1.1300
Reclaim of 1.13675 would extend the corrective bounce
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR was driven to a fresh session low near 1.1324 as the USD pressed 13-month highs, then recovered to 1.1367 and is now consolidating tightly around 1.1355 into thin late hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.1351, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13605, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 opens the path back toward 1.1380
Failure to hold 1.1351 reopens the 1.1324 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, recovery into close · RSI 53 · price 1.13559
Consolidating above session low after bounce.
EUR/USD slid to a fresh one-year low near 1.1325 during NY hours as the dollar pressed 13-month highs, then recovered to consolidate around 1.1355 into the close. Late-session volume is thin and RSI(14) is neutral near 53; price is grinding between the session low and the 1.13675 swing high.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1325 opens the path toward the 1.1300 psych level
Reclaim of 1.13675 swing high needed to confirm the recovery
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the marquee catalyst and could reset this read
21:01 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.13585
Consolidating mid-range after bounce from 1.1325.
EUR sold off through the NY session to a 1.1325 double bottom before recovering to 1.1367; price now consolidates 1.1350–1.1360 into the Asia open with volume thinning. The bounce is corrective against a heavy EUR backdrop after the broader range break toward one-year lows.
Support: 1.1349, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13605
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1349 reopens the 1.1325 session low
Close above 1.13675 extends the recovery leg
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Swept session low, recovering into a tight consolidation.
NY session swept down to 1.1324, a fresh one-year-low zone, on broad USD strength before buyers reclaimed 1.1360; price now consolidates 1.1350-1.1360 into the Asia handover. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral after the recovery leg, with EMA20/50 just below price.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13613
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13675 extends the corrective bounce toward 1.1380
Failure to hold 1.1350 reopens the 1.1324 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the marquee catalyst and can override this read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, flat near highs of bounce · RSI 52 · price 1.13573
Consolidating after recovery off session low.
EUR/USD carved a low near 1.1324 during NY hours then recovered to 1.1368, and is now coiling in a tight 1.1350-1.1360 band into late NY as the USD holds 13-month highs. RSI(14) is neutral around 52; no fresh impulse in play here.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1361
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1361 break level reopens the 1.1368 swing high
Failure to hold 1.1349 swing low reopens the 1.1324 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the marquee catalyst and can override this read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 52 · price 1.13573
Ranging after bounce off session low.
Price is consolidating 1.1349-1.1367 in quiet Asia hours after bouncing off the 1.1324 session low, RSI(14) neutral near 52. EUR stays broadly heavy on Fed-ECB divergence, with the move pinned ahead of tomorrow's US Core PCE.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1349 reopens the 1.1324 swing low
Close above 1.13675 swing high targets 1.1380
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.13527
Based at session low, range-bound 1.1350-1.1361.
EUR slid to a fresh ~1.1324 session low during NY hours on broad USD strength, then bounced to 1.1361 and has since consolidated 1.1350-1.1361. Demand held twice near 1.1324 to form a short-term base; RSI(14) mid-range near 47 with momentum flat.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1350 reopens the 1.1324 session low
M15 close above 1.1361 extends the recovery toward 1.1368
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Down then sideways, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.13527
Consolidation above session low.
EUR slid to a session low at 1.13242 during the NY-hours selloff that pressed it toward a fresh one-year low, then bounced to 1.13675 before settling into a tight 1.13486–1.13613 range. Price is now coiling near 1.1353 with RSI flat around 49 and ATR compressed to ~9 pips.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13377, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13486 reopens the 1.13242 session low
Break above 1.13613 targets the 1.13675 london high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR sold off through the European/NY session to a one-year-low region near 1.1325 on the broad USD bid, then based twice and bounced to 1.1367 before stalling. Now grinding sideways 1.1350-1.1360 into late NY, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with momentum flat.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1367, 1.1380
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1367 opens the path back toward the 1.1380 prior high
Loss of 1.1350 reopens the 1.1325 session low and 1.1300 downside
Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) and German GfK (06:00 UTC) could reset this read
EUR sold off to a one-year-low zone near 1.1324 during NY hours on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, then recovered to 1.13675 and is now consolidating between 1.13486 and 1.13609. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 with ATR compressing into the late-NY lull; no setup in play.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13609, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13486 reopens the 1.13242 session low
M15 close above 1.13609 puts the 1.13675 session high back in play
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Consolidation above the session low after a one-year-low print.
EUR slid to a fresh one-year low near 1.1325 during the NY session as the USD pressed 13-month highs, then bounced to 1.13675 before stalling. Price now consolidates in a 1.1350–1.1361 band, RSI(14) neutral around 53 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1361, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1350 reopens the 1.1325 swing low
Close above 1.13675 session high would extend the bounce
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the swing catalyst for this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend stabilising after bounce · RSI 52 · price 1.13565
Consolidating above session low.
EUR sold off through NY toward a 1.1324 session low before buyers stepped in twice, fuelling a bounce to 1.13675 amid broad USD strength near 13-month highs. Late NY now consolidates around 1.1355 between 1.1350 and the 1.1361 swing, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 reopens upside test of broken range
Loss of 1.1350 puts the 1.13242 session low back in play
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in play · RSI 51 · price 1.13558
Consolidating above session low after recovery.
Late NY: EURUSD bounced off a fresh one-year-low session low at 1.13242 and is now consolidating 1.1350-1.1360 after EUR's break of the old range toward 1.1350. RSI(14) has recovered to near 50 from oversold; the relief is capped at the 1.13675 session high.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 opens room back toward the 1.14000 broken range floor
Loss of 1.13486 reopens the 1.13242 session low
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the swing risk that could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.13558
Recovery off 1-year low, now consolidating.
EUR slid to a fresh one-year low near 1.1324 during NY hours as the USD pressed 13-month highs, then buyers stepped in twice to carve a double bottom and lift price back toward 1.1367. Now consolidating around 1.1355 below the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 extends the recovery off the lows
Loss of 1.13490 reopens the 1.13242 1-yr low and ING's 1.1300 zone
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
NY session carved a base around the 1-year low at 1.1324, then squeezed to 1.1367 before sellers rejected. Price now consolidating near 1.1352 into late NY hours, RSI neutral near 46, sitting just under EMA20.
Support: 1.1349, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.13615, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1349 reopens the 1.1324 session low
Close above 1.1367 puts the broken 1.1400 floor in play as resistance
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR carved a fresh 1-year low at 1.1324 during NY hours as the dollar held 13-month highs, then clawed back into a 1.1345–1.1367 range. Price sits at 1.1352 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the 1.1367 swing high capped the bounce.
Support: 1.1345, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13833
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1367 opens the path back toward the 1.1383 prior high
Loss of 1.1345 reopens the 1.1324 session low
US Core PCE/GDP dump Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD printed a session low at 1.13242 during NY hours, then recovered to 1.13675 before settling into a 1.13486-1.13675 range, now trading near 1.13550 with RSI(14) neutral around 53. Demand stepped in repeatedly above 1.13486 as the broader move sits near a 1-year low on hawkish-Fed repricing.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13486 reopens the path toward the 1.13242 session low
Close above 1.13675 extends the recovery toward 1.13800
US Core PCE (Jun 25, 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.1325 day low during NY hours after the US data cluster, recovering to 1.1355 and now consolidating. RSI(14) neutral near 52; the move is stalling below the 1.1362 swing high while holding above the 1.1349 range low.
Support: 1.13486, 1.1339, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13486 reopens the path to the 1.1325 day low
Close above 1.13618 extends the recovery toward the broken 1.1400 floor
German GfK/GDP releases Fri morning could shift this read
Session low rejected, consolidating under bounce high.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY session to a session low at 1.13242 — a 1-year low on the broken range floor — then double-bottomed and recovered into a 1.1350-1.1368 band. RSI(14) mid-range near 52 after the bounce; price stalling under the 1.13613 bounce high with momentum flat.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242, 1.13376
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13500 reopens the 1.13242 session low
Close above 1.13675 extends the bounce off the floor
German GfK/GDP and ECB Lane (Fri) could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.13549
NY-session range 1.1349–1.1360 after recovery.
EUR/USD sold to a 1-year-low region near 1.1325 in NY hours on the firm-dollar repricing, then recovered to 1.1367 before settling into a 1.1349–1.1360 range. Late NY now drifting sideways with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13605, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13605 reopens the 1.13675 ny high
Failure to hold 1.1349 reopens the 1.13242 session low
Fri German GfK/GDP and ECB tone could shift the read on the next session
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.13579
Higher lows building off 1.1324 base.
EURUSD slid to the one-year-low region near 1.1324 during NY morning, then recovered through the afternoon to consolidate roughly 1.1349–1.1367. RSI(14) is back to neutral near 53 after the washout; broader tone stays heavy after the range-break below 1.1400.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 session high reopens 1.1380
Loss of 1.13486 swing low risks a retest of the 1.1324 one-year low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 53 · price 1.13579
Higher lows after bounce, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD swept a one-year low near 1.1325 during NY hours then recovered to 1.13675, the session high, with EUR oversold against a 13-month-high USD. Price is now consolidating around 1.1358 after London close, holding higher lows above 1.13486.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.13486 reopens the 1.1325 session low
Thu EZ GfK (06:00 UTC) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) are next-day catalysts that could shift this read
Base near 1.1325 then recovery, stalling under 1.1368.
EUR carved a double bottom near 1.1325 — a fresh one-year low — and bounced through NY hours to 1.13675 before sellers rejected the level. Price is now fading back to 1.1354 with RSI(14) mid-range around 48, consolidating between the swing low at 1.13486 and the bounce high.
Support: 1.13486, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13486 reopens the 1.1325 session low
Close above 1.13675 extends the bounce toward 1.1400
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD double-bottomed near 1.1325 during NY hours and rallied to 1.13675 before fading back to 1.1354, now consolidating 1.1349–1.1367 with RSI(14) neutral. The bounce comes off a one-year low region after EUR's range-break, with mixed German IFO offering no lift.
Support: 1.13486, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13486 reopens the 1.1325 session low
Close above 1.13675 extends the recovery leg
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.13509
Bounced from 1-yr low, consolidating below session high.
EUR printed a one-year low near 1.13242 during NY hours then rebounded to 1.13675, with the AI/chip risk-off bid and firm Fed-hike pricing keeping the broader tone heavy. Price has since faded back to 1.135, holding the 1.13485 pullback low; consolidating below the session high after the double bottom bounce.
Support: 1.13485, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.13485 reopens the 1.13242 low and the 1.1300 zone
Reclaim of 1.13613 puts the 1.13675 session high back in play
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR sits near one-year lows; NY hours saw a bounce off 1.13242 to 1.13675 before fading back to 1.13509 as the broad USD bid and EUR range-break theme reasserted. Lower highs since 1.13675 and price slipping back under the EMA20/50 cluster show the corrective leg stalling.
Support: 1.13486, 1.1339, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13486 reopens the path toward 1.13390 and the 1.13242 day low
Reclaim of 1.13613 needed to revive the bounce toward 1.13675
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE / GDP cluster could reset this intraday read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13514
Recovered from session low, consolidating mid-range.
NY session swept down to the one-year low region near 1.1325 around 12:45 UTC before recovering to 1.13675, where price was rejected and has since faded back to 1.1351. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 as the bounce stalls at the 38.2% retracement of that recovery leg.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13357, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 reopens the recovery toward 1.1380
Loss of the 1.1350 psych level exposes the session low at 1.1325
EUR holds near one-year lows; price bounced off 1.13250 in the NY session, tagged a session high of 1.13675 then was rejected and faded back to 1.13514. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 47 with price stalling at EMA20.
Support: 1.1338, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1359, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13250 session low opens the path toward 1.1300
M15 close above 1.13675 session high invalidates the fade
US PCE Friday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.1324 base.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1324 — the one-year-low zone flagged in the broader bearish EUR read — and recovered to a session high of 1.13675 during NY hours, RSI(14) holding mid-50s. Price now consolidates around 1.1360 with EMA20/50 reclaimed; the rising support off the low remains intact.
Support: 1.13463, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13675 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.13463 swing low reopens the path to the 1.13242 session low
US PCE bundle Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Double bottom off 1yr low, pulling back into bounce.
EUR carved a double bottom near 1.1325 — the one-year low — during NY hours and rallied to 1.13675 before fading back to the 1.135 zone as USD strength on Fed-hike repricing capped the bounce. RSI(14) is neutral around 50 after the recovery; price is now retesting the broken 1.135 area.
Support: 1.13505, 1.13374, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13505 reopens the 1.1325 double-bottom lows
Reclaim of 1.13613 puts the 1.13675 session high back in play
German GfK/GDP next session could shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, rebounding off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.13599
One-year low swept, higher lows forming.
NY session carved a fresh one-year low near 1.1324 then rebounded to 1.13675 as the USD bid from the tech-led risk-off paused intraday. Price now ranging 1.13500-1.13675 with higher lows in place; RSI cooling from the recovery push.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 session high opens the path to 1.13750
Failure to hold 1.13500 reopens 1.13325/1.13242 session low
Thu EZ GfK/GDP and Fri US PCE could materially shift this read
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1324 — close to the one-year low flagged in the USD-strength context — and recovered through the NY session to a high of 1.13675 before easing to 1.1360. Higher lows are building off the session base, but the move is stalling just under the 1.13675 session high.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1338, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 extends the recovery toward 1.1380
Failure to hold 1.1350 reopens the 1.13242 session low
Friday US PCE (12:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst for this pair
EUR sold off through the NY session to a one-year low at 1.13242 before buyers stepped in, recovering to the session high at 1.13675 with broad USD strength the driver. Price is now stalling near 1.1360 after holding the 1.13465 swing low; RSI(14) near 59 with no extreme.
Support: 1.13465, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13803
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13675 session high opens a retest of the 1.13803 prior high
Loss of 1.13465 swing low re-exposes the 1.13242 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 59 · price 1.13599
Higher lows since 1.1325 base.
EUR bounced ~35 pips off the one-year-low zone near 1.1325 through the NY session, buyers stepping in twice at that base despite broad USD strength at 13-month highs. Price reclaimed EMA20/50 and printed a session high at 1.13675 before easing to 1.1360; RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.13505, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13833
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 extends the recovery toward 1.1382
Loss of 1.13505 reopens the 1.1325 day low
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 61 · price 1.13606
Recovery off one-year low, higher lows building.
EUR slid to a one-year low near 1.1324 during the NY session on the USD risk-off bid, then printed a double bottom and recovered ~50 pips to test the 1.13675 session high. RSI(14) back near 61 from the earlier washout; the bounce is holding a rising line of higher lows.
Support: 1.1339, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13736
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 opens the path to 1.13736
Failure to hold 1.13390 reopens the 1.13242 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD carved a double bottom at the one-year low near 1.1324 during NY hours and rallied to a session high of 1.13675, with broad USD strength the dominant driver. Price now hovers at 1.13606 after a shallow pullback; RSI(14) near 60 confirms the recovery without stretching.
Support: 1.13505, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 extends the recovery toward 1.13750
Failure to hold 1.13505 reopens the 1.13242 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Corrective bounce off lows · RSI 71 · price 1.13619
Recovery from double bottom, retesting broken floor.
NY session bounced off the one-year-low zone near 1.1325, with buyers stepping in twice to form a double bottom before reclaiming ground. Price is now pressing the 1.1361 broken range floor as resistance, RSI(14) running hot near 71 after the rally off 1.13242.
Support: 1.13357, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13618 range floor reopens 1.13750 swing high
Failure to hold above 1.13357 intraday low confirms the bounce has stalled
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in play · RSI 63 · price 1.13619
Higher lows off session low, retesting range top.
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.13242 session low — a fresh one-year low area — recovering through the NY session as the broad dollar bid eased intraday. Price is now retesting the 1.13618 session high, which capped the prior push; RSI(14) near 63, no extreme.
Support: 1.13483, 1.13377, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.13618 extends the bounce toward 1.13750
Failure to hold the 1.13483 rising low reopens the 1.13242 session low
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in play · RSI 55 · price 1.13523
Double bottom ~1.1325, recovering off lows.
EUR carved a double bottom near 1.1325 during NY hours — fresh one-year-low territory on Fed-ECB divergence — then bounced to 1.13618 before easing back to 1.13523. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range from oversold; the bounce is corrective within a broader downtrend.
Support: 1.1338, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13380 reopens the 1.13242 session low
Reclaim and hold above 1.13618 extends the corrective bounce
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is a high-impact catalyst for this pair
EURUSD slid through London-NY to a session low of 1.13242 near one-year lows, then twice held that level for a double-bottom bounce back to 1.1352, with the broader move bearish on Fed-ECB divergence. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as price stalled below the 1.13618 session high.
Support: 1.13465, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1355, 1.13618
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13242 confirms a lower low and extends the range breakdown
Reclaim above 1.13618 negates the bounce structure
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR carved out a session low at 1.13242 during NY hours — a fresh one-year low after the 1.1400-1.1800 range floor gave way — then bounced sharply to a bounce high of 1.13618 before fading back to 1.13473. The recovery is stalling under the 1.13550 swing high, RSI(14) hovering mid-range as the broader downtrend reasserts.
Support: 1.1338, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1355, 1.13618
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13242 confirms a lower-low and extends the range breakdown
M15 close above 1.13618 invalidates the rejection and reopens 1.13550-plus
NY session bounced off the 1.13242 one-year-low area to 1.13618 before rejection capped the move; price has faded back to 1.13473 with RSI(14) neutral near 48. EUR sits at multi-year range lows on the Fed-ECB divergence, and intraday rallies are being sold.
Support: 1.1338, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13618 bounce high opens path back toward 1.13750
Break below 1.13242 session low extends the range breakdown
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD slid to a one-year low near 1.13242 during NY hours as the USD pressed fresh highs; buyers stepped in twice to base the move. The last few bars bounced to 1.13618 before easing to 1.13518, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range.
Support: 1.1340, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.1370
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13618 extends the bounce toward 1.1370
Loss of 1.1340 reopens the 1.13242 session low
US PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for this pair
Double bottom off session low, reclaiming mid-range.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at the session low near 1.13242 during NY hours and bounced to 1.13618 before easing back to 1.13518, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s. The one-year-low slide stalled, but the move is capped under the 1.13618 session high with EUR broadly weak after the break of the old 1.1400 range.
Support: 1.1338, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13618 opens the path toward 1.1375
Failure to hold 1.1338 reopens the 1.13242 session low
US PCE (Thu) is the dominant driver and could override this intraday read
EUR/USD bounced off the 1-year low near 1.1325 into the NY session after breaking the long-held 1.1400-1.1800 range, with USD strength on hawkish-Fed bets the driver. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold to ~58 and price reclaimed EMA20, but 1.13618 session high is capping the recovery so far.
Support: 1.1339, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13618, 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13618 opens the path to the 1.1380 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.1340 reopens the 1.1325 session low
US Core PCE Thu is the dominant driver and could override this intraday bounce
EURUSD sold off through the NY session to a one-year-low zone at 1.1324 on the USD bid, then bounced and reclaimed the 50% fib of the 1.1375-1.1324 leg near 1.1350. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold off the low; price is back above EMA20 but capped under the 1.1352 swing high.
Support: 1.13242, 1.13357
Resistance: 1.13517, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1336 swing low reopens the 1.1325 session-low zone
Sustained hold above 1.1352 extends the bounce toward 1.1375 prior high
Thu US Core PCE/GDP block could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.13502
Lower lows into 1.1324, near-term recovery.
EURUSD slid through the NY session to a fresh one-year-low zone at 1.1324 before buyers stepped in twice, lifting price back to a 50% retrace near 1.1350 — a USD-driven move with DXY at 13-month highs. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the mid-50s as the recent down-leg unwinds.
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to neutralize the broken support shelf
US Core PCE/GDP block Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.13409
One-year-low zone tested, intraday bounce stalling.
NY session pressed the one-year-low zone near 1.1325 on broad USD strength, with buyers stepping in twice to form a double bottom before a bounce to 1.13517. Price has since faded back to 1.1340, RSI(14) neutral near 47 after lifting off the lows.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1329
Resistance: 1.13517
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1325 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.13517 bounce high needed to extend the recovery
US Core PCE/GDP tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.13409
Fresh low then recovery, consolidating mid-range.
EUR/USD printed a fresh one-year low near 1.1324 during NY hours then bounced to 1.1352 on USD-driven flows, with twin lows at 1.1325/1.1324 holding. Price is now consolidating around 1.1341, roughly the 38% retracement of that bounce, RSI back near neutral.
M15 close above 1.1352 neutralizes the lower-low structure
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13415
Lower lows into a one-year-low zone, near-term relief bounce.
EURUSD ground to a session low at 1.1325 during NY hours as the dollar pressed fresh highs, then bounced to 1.1352 before stalling near 1.1342. RSI(14) recovered to neutral off the lows but the bounce is capped under the 1.1352 reaction high.
Support: 1.13242, 1.13377
Resistance: 1.13517
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1325 opens fresh one-year lows
Reclaim of 1.1352 needed to extend the bounce
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13415
Lower highs into session-low double tap, recovering.
NY session drove EUR/USD to a one-year-low zone near the 1.13242 session low on broad USD strength, where buyers stepped in twice for a quick double bottom and a bounce to the 1.13517 bounce high. Price has since faded back to 1.13415, holding above the 1.13377 swing low; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.13377, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13517, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13242 session low resumes the downtrend toward fresh lows
Reclaim of the 1.14000 broken shelf needed to neutralize the bearish read
Loss of 1.13377 swing low confirms the bounce has failed
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13437
Lower highs / lower lows, fresh low then recovery.
NY session printed a fresh 1-yr low at 1.1324 on broad USD strength, then bounced to 1.1352 before easing back to 1.1344, RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Sellers capped the recovery at the 1.1352 session high while demand held the 1.1324 low.
Support: 1.1335, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13517
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1324 resumes the downtrend toward year lows
Reclaim of 1.1352 needed to extend the recovery
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the major catalyst for the next session
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13437
Double-bottom bounce within intraday downtrend.
EUR carved a double low at 1.13242 during NY hours and bounced back toward 1.1350 after sliding to one-year lows on broad USD strength. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to near 49; price reclaimed the EMA20 but the 1.13517 swing high still caps.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1337
Resistance: 1.13517, 1.1359
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13517 would extend the bounce toward 1.13590
Failure to hold 1.13242 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13438
Lower-low at 1.1324 then sharp recovery.
NY session swept the session low at 1.1324 — fresh one-year-low territory on broad USD strength — then snapped ~27 pips higher to a session high of 1.13517 before fading to 1.1344, the 38.2% retrace of the down-leg. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral from oversold; price reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.13517, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.13242 reopens the path to year lows
Close above 1.13517 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1375 prior high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session probed the one-year-low zone near 1.1325 on broad USD strength, printing a double bottom against 1.13242/1.13246 before snapping back to 1.13517. Price has since faded to 1.13438; RSI(14) recovered off oversold but the wider structure is still a sequence of lower highs.
Support: 1.13335, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13517
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13517 would break the descending-high sequence
Loss of 1.13242 reopens probe toward the year lows
Thu US Core PCE / German GDP could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13433
Lower lows into fresh year-low zone, intraday recovery underway.
EUR/USD ground to a fresh intraday low at 1.13242 during NY hours on broad USD strength, then snapped back to 1.13477 before stalling near 1.13433. RSI(14) lifting off the lows toward 44 as the bounce develops, but price remains capped under the 1.13600 EMA50 zone.
Support: 1.13242, 1.13335
Resistance: 1.13477, 1.1360
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13242 opens the path to fresh year lows
reclaim of 1.13600 needed to ease the downside pressure
German GfK/GDP Thu and US Core PCE could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session on broad USD strength, printing a fresh session low at 1.13242 before short-covering lifted it back toward 1.13477. Price reclaimed EMA20 on the bounce but holds below EMA50; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 44.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.13477, 1.1355
What it said to watch
Break below session low 1.13242 resumes the leg down toward 1.13200
M15 close back above 1.13550 swing pivot eases the downside pressure
Thu US PCE / German GDP are the next material catalysts for this pair
EURUSD ground to a fresh one-year-low region near 1.1324 on broad USD strength, breaking through the 1.1340 round number during NY hours. Price swept the low and snapped back to 1.13357, RSI(14) lifting off oversold but structure stays a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.13242, 1.13377
Resistance: 1.13486
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.13242 confirms downside follow-through
Reclaim of 1.13486 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
US PCE later this week is the key external swing factor for the USD leg
14:00 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13357
Lower highs and lower lows into a 1-year low, late-session bounce.
EURUSD ground down through the NY session to a fresh 1-year low at 1.13242 on broad USD strength, then snapped back to 1.13357. RSI(14) lifting off oversold as the low got swept; price still capped below the 1.1400 round level.
Support: 1.13242, 1.13365
Resistance: 1.1340, 1.13486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 would neutralise the lower-high structure
Break below 1.13242 reopens downside toward the 1.1350-1.1365 low zone
German GfK and final GDP Thu 06:00-07:00 UTC could shift this read
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13373
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY session drove EURUSD to a fresh session low at 1.13242 as broad USD strength persisted, before a sharp bounce back to 1.13374. RSI(14) lifting off the low near 40; the descending sequence of lower highs from 1.13750 remains intact.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1315
Resistance: 1.1340, 1.13486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13400 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to reclaim 1.13400 keeps pressure on the 1.13242 session low
German GfK/GDP Thu 06:00-07:00 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove EURUSD to a fresh session low of 1.13242, breaking below 1.13400 on broad USD strength after the in-line IFO drew no EUR bid. The final bar bounced ~13 pips off the low, RSI lifting from oversold territory but price still well below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1340, 1.13486
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13400 would neutralise the breakout read
Sustained break below 1.13242 opens the 1.13350 one-year-low zone
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.1326
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY session extended the slide, EUR/USD breaking below 1.1344 to fresh one-year-low territory near 1.1324 on broad USD strength. The decline is USD-led with momentum building lower; RSI(14) is depressed but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1344
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1344 would ease downside pressure
Loss of 1.1324 session low opens the path toward 1.1300
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 1.1326
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh lows.
EURUSD ground lower all session, breaking the 1.1340 prior low to print fresh one-year lows at 1.1324 on broad USD strength. RSI(14) near 31 but no bottoming structure yet; sellers keep capping bounces under 1.1349.
Support: 1.1324, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1340, 1.1349
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1340 prior low would ease the downside pressure
ECB's Cipollone speaking ~13:35 UTC could inject volatility
EURUSD extended its third straight day of losses into the one-year-low zone, a USD-led slide on Fed hike repricing and a risk-off tape. Price broke below the 1.1340 pivot through the NY session and is pinned at session lows near 1.13279, RSI(14) around 33 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1340
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1340 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.1325 opens the 1.1300 round number
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 32 · price 1.13279
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh window low.
NY session pressed EUR/USD through the 1.1340 consolidation to a fresh window low at 1.1325, USD broadly bid on Fed hike repricing and risk-off flows. RSI(14) near 31 but not yet at sub-20 extremes; sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1339, 1.1344
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1344 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1325 opens the path toward 1.1300
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.13312
Lower highs, lower lows; breaking to new session lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, the last bar puncturing 1.13377 to a fresh session low at 1.13250 as USD strength on Fed-hike repricing dominates. RSI(14) near 32 — short-term stretched but no reversal signal; momentum still pointing down.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.1344, 1.13486
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13440 would ease the lower-low structure
Acceptance below 1.13250 extends the slide toward 1.13200
ECB speaker Cipollone (13:35 UTC) and Thu US Core PCE could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking to one-year low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, last bar slicing to 1.1325 on broad USD strength as Fed-hike repricing dominates. RSI(14) near 31 — short-term stretched but consistent with the persistent lower-low chain; no bounce of note since the 1.1375 rejection.
Support: 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1350, 1.1365
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1350 would ease the downside pressure on this TF
Loss of 1.1325 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1300
US Core PCE Thu and ECB speaker (Cipollone ~13:35 UTC) could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13376
Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session to one-year lows near 1.1337 on broad USD strength, holding the sub-1.1400 break. Last few bars are coiling between 1.1337 and 1.1349 with RSI(14) off its lows but still soft; downtrend structure intact.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13486, 1.13534, 1.13676
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.13486 would break the chain of lower highs
Loss of 1.13368 extends the down leg toward 1.13350
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the dominant two-way risk for this pair
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13376
Lower highs / lower lows, basing at session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session toward one-year lows near 1.1337 on broad USD strength, extending the break under 1.1400. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1337–1.1349 band, RSI(14) near 39 with no oversold reading; the descending highs cap rebounds.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13486, 1.13552, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13486 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13368 session low extends the move toward 1.13350
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant two-way risk for this read
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13381
Lower highs and lower lows, third leg down.
EUR/USD ground lower through London into NY, extending a third day of USD-led weakness and printing fresh session lows at 1.13368. Price is now hugging that low with RSI(14) around 40 — soft but not oversold; rebounds have stalled into the 1.13486 swing high.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13486
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13368 session low opens the 1.13350 psych marker
M15 close back above 1.13486 swing high would ease the downside pressure
US PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant two-way risk for this pair
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13381
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session to one-year lows near 1.1338 on broad USD strength after the strong US PMIs. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with a clean lower-high chain; RSI(14) near 41, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1344, 1.13513
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13513 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13350 confirms continuation lower
US Core PCE Thursday could materially shift the USD-led read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13403
Lower highs, lower lows below 1.1400.
NY session pressed EUR/USD through the 1.1400 pivot to a one-year low at 1.13368 on broad USD strength, and price is now grinding just under that lost level. RSI(14) near 40 shows momentum soft but not stretched; the broken 1.1400 is capping rebounds.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1340, 1.13486, 1.13534
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the breakout read
Failure to hold 1.13368 opens the path to the 1.1335 marker
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant two-way risk for this pair
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13403
London session drove EUR/USD to one-year lows near 1.1337 on broad USD strength; price is now basing in a tight 1.1337–1.1345 band through early NY hours with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. The broken 1.1400 level caps from above and intraday rebounds have stalled at descending highs.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13486, 1.1355
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13368 confirms continuation toward 1.13350
Reclaim of 1.13486 needed to break the descending-high sequence
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant two-way risk for this read
Lower highs, lower lows; basing after session low.
EURUSD ground to a one-year low at 1.13368 through the London-NY transition as the broad USD bid extended; a shallow bounce to 1.13445 has RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Price remains under EMA20/50 with the descending sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1330
Resistance: 1.13513, 1.13555
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13368 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13555 would break the lower-high chain
ECB Cipollone speech ~13:35 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD pressed to a fresh one-year low at 1.13368 during the London-NY transition as the broad USD bid held, then stabilised in a tight 1.1338–1.1344 band into mid-NY. RSI(14) lifting off the bounce; 1.1350 downside reference still in play below.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13484, 1.1355
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13368 confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 1.13484 needed to relieve downside pressure
ECB Cipollone speech ~13:35 UTC could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, lows holding · RSI 39 · price 1.1343
Lower highs into session-low consolidation.
EUR/USD ground to fresh one-year lows through the European session, offered on the broad USD bid and Fed hike repricing. Price is now coiling just above the 1.1337 session low with RSI(14) subdued near 39; the 1.1350 pivot has capped each bounce.
Support: 1.1337, 1.1330
Resistance: 1.1350, 1.1355
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1337 confirms continuation lower
M15 close above 1.1355 breaks the lower-high sequence
ECB Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift this read
Chain of lower highs/lows, stalling at session low.
Into the NY pre-open EUR/USD ground to a one-year low near 1.1337 after losing 1.1400, a USD-driven slide with DXY at multi-month highs. Price is now consolidating just above the session low with RSI(14) around 38 — soft but not oversold.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1350, 1.13676, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1337 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1335
M15 close back above 1.1370 would break the lower-high chain
ECB Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift this read
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 35 · price 1.13398
Lower highs into 1.1337 double-bottom test.
NY hours pressed EUR/USD to a fresh one-year low near 1.1337 on the broad USD bid, RSI(14) in the mid-30s and ATR ~6 pips. Buyers responded at 1.1337 twice, but price holds below the 1.13525 swing high and the descending resistance line.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1334
Resistance: 1.13525
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13340 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13525 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
ECB Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD broke 1.1400 and slid to a one-year low at 1.13368 as the dollar trades at multi-month highs. Price is now grinding sideways just above the session low between 1.13380 and 1.13530, RSI(14) basing near 38 after the impulsive leg down.
Support: 1.13368, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1353, 1.1360
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13368 opens the 1.13350 reference
Reclaim of 1.13530 would ease the lower-highs sequence
ECB Cipollone 13:35 UTC could shift this read
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13399
Lower highs / lower lows.
EUR/USD ground a third straight day lower to one-year lows after losing 1.1400, a pure USD-bid story on Fed-hike repricing. NY hours spiked down to 1.13377 then bounced to 1.13555, but that recovery has faded and price is drifting back toward the lows with RSI(14) subdued near 40.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13513, 1.13555
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13377 opens the 1.13350 downside reference
M15 close above 1.13513 breaks the lower-high chain
ECB Cipollone 13:35 UTC could shift this read
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13399
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD extended to a fresh one-year low at 1.13377 during the London session as the broad USD bid persisted and German IFO expectations missed. Price is pinned just under the 1.13400 round number, RSI(14) near 39, with each bounce capped below 1.13525.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1340, 1.13525
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.13525 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.13377 opens the 1.13350 reference
ECB Cipollone (13:35 UTC) and Thu US Core PCE could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13425
Lower highs/lows, basing above 1.1338.
EUR/USD pressed to a one-year low at 1.1338 on the broad USD bid before bouncing, and is now consolidating roughly 1.1338-1.1353 through the London-NY session. RSI(14) recovered off the lows to ~41; the down leg from 1.1375 remains intact with rallies capped below 1.1353.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1353, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13377 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1350
Close above 1.1353 breaks the consolidation and reclaims into the down leg
ECB Cipollone (13:35 UTC) could shift this read in the next bars
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13425
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above 1.13377.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY session to a one-year low at 1.13377 as broad USD strength dragged price below 1.1400. After the dip, sellers capped a bounce at 1.13552 and price is now consolidating near 1.13425, RSI(14) at 39 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13514, 1.13552, 1.1340
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13377 opens the path to 1.13350
Reclaim of 1.13514 would ease the lower-high sequence
ECB's Cipollone speaks 13:35 UTC — could shift this read
EUR/USD ground to one-year lows near 1.1338 during London hours, slicing through 1.1400 on broad USD strength. Price is now consolidating in a 1.1338-1.1353 band just above the session low, RSI(14) holding around 38 after the leg down.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13533, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13377 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1350/1.13 zone
Reclaim of 1.13533 would ease the immediate downside pressure
ECB Cipollone speech ~13:35 UTC could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, extended to lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13401
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating near session low.
EUR/USD sliced below 1.1400 to one-year lows on broad USD strength, printing a session low at 1.13377 before a shallow bounce stalled at 1.13530. Price now grinds sideways near the lows in a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) around 39 — soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1353, 1.1366
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13377 opens the 1.1350 cited level then the 1.13 handle
M15 close above 1.13530 would break the lower-high sequence
ECB's Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, RSI oversold · RSI 33 · price 1.13419
Lower highs and lower lows into session lows.
EUR/USD bled to one-year lows near 1.1338 during London hours, a USD-led move on Fed hike bets after the print below 1.1400. The bounce attempt stalled at 1.13552 and price is back pressing the lows with RSI(14) holding in the low-30s — short-term stretched but still trending down.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13513, 1.13594
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13377 opens the 1.1350/1.13 handle
M15 close back above 1.13513 would ease the lower-high chain
ECB Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, at one-year lows · RSI 38 · price 1.13419
Lower highs, lower lows; probing session low.
EUR/USD ground to fresh one-year lows near 1.1338 during NY hours on broad USD strength, slicing the 1.1400 pivot that held since June 2025. Price chopping just above the 1.13377 session low, RSI(14) near 37 after the leg down; bounces have stalled under 1.13525.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13525, 1.1367, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13377 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.13525 would challenge the lower-high structure
ECB Cipollone (13:35 UTC) and US Core PCE Thu are the next catalysts that could reshape this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend at one-year lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13452
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh low then shallow bounce.
EUR/USD extended its slide through the 1.1400 pivot to one-year lows during the London session on broad USD strength, printing 1.13377 before a shallow bounce capped near 1.13552. Price is drifting back toward the lows with RSI(14) around 38 and ATR near 8 pips.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1330
Resistance: 1.13552, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13377 opens the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.13552 needed to ease downside pressure
ECB Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13452
Lower highs / lower lows, consolidating above day low.
London session drove EUR/USD to a fresh one-year low at 1.13377 on broad USD strength, then a short-covering bounce stalled at the 1.13552 swing high. Price now consolidates near 1.13450 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; still below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13552, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.13377 day low extends the downtrend toward the 1.1335 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.13552 swing high opens a retest of the 1.1375 prior high
ECB's Cipollone (13:35 UTC) and US PCE tomorrow could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13459
Lower highs, lower lows; basing above day low.
EUR/USD sliced to one-year lows at 1.13377 through the London morning as broad USD strength and a soft German IFO read pressured the pair below the long-held 1.1400 pivot. Sellers capped the bounce at 1.13555; price now coils in a tight 1.1344–1.1355 range with RSI(14) near 40, no longer oversold on this TF.
Support: 1.13377, 1.13434
Resistance: 1.13555, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13377 confirms continuation toward the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.13555 would ease the immediate downside pressure
ECB Cipollone (13:35 UTC) and US New Home Sales (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13459
Lower highs/lows, basing near 1-year low.
London session drove EUR/USD to a one-year low at 1.13377 after the slice below 1.1400, on broad USD strength into Fed hike bets. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1344–1.1355 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) recovering off lows around 41.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1330
Resistance: 1.1350, 1.1355, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13377 opens the 1.13 handle
Close above 1.13550 eases the immediate downside pressure
ECB Cipollone speech 13:35 UTC could shift this read
Downtrend extended to fresh 1-year lows near 1.1338 through the European session on broad USD strength, RSI(14) ~32. Price swept the 1.1338 low then recovered to 1.1352, now drifting at 1.1347 well below the broken 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.1338, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1356, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1335 psych opens the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.1356 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
ECB Cipollone 13:35 UTC and Thu US PCE are the main risks to this read
Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off session low.
EUR/USD extended its slide to fresh one-year lows, slicing to 1.1338 during London hours as broad USD strength dominates the tape. The bounce stalled near 1.1355 and price is now consolidating around 1.1347, holding below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1338, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1355
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1355 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
Loss of 1.1338 session low opens the 1.1300 handle
ECB Cipollone 13:35 UTC and US-side PCE risk could shift this read
Persistent M15 downtrend that broke 1.1400 and printed a fresh one-year low at 1.13377 during London hours, USD-led on hawkish-Fed repricing. A shallow bounce stalled near 1.13555 and price is rolling back toward the session low, RSI(14) recovering from oversold around 39.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13555, 1.1367, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13377 opens 1.1350/1.1335 downside
M15 close above 1.13555 needed to break the lower-high chain
ECB's Nagel and US data could shift the USD leg this session
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13469
Lower highs and lower lows intact.
EUR/USD ground to a fresh one-year low at 1.13377 through the London session, USD-led after strong US PMIs lifted the dollar to 13-month highs. A bounce stalled at 1.13550 and price is back near the lows; RSI(14) around 39, structure still printing lower highs.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1355
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13377 confirms continuation toward the 1.13350 area
Reclaim of 1.13550 would challenge the lower-high sequence
US New Home Sales (14:00 UTC) and ECB speakers could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13522
Lower highs, fresh session low then corrective bounce.
EURUSD pressed to a fresh session low at 1.13377 during London hours as the USD held 13-month highs, then bounced into the 1.13500s with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Sellers capped the rebound near 1.13552; the psych 1.1350 zone sits just under price as the next reference.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13552
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13552 bounce high would stall the lower-high sequence
ECB Nagel and US data could shift the USD-led move this session
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.13522
Lower highs / lower lows, minor bounce off session low.
EURUSD extended its slide through London hours, breaking 1.1360 and printing a fresh session low at 1.13377 as the USD held one-year highs. A shallow bounce to 1.13522 has followed, but price remains pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — momentum still down, not yet oversold-extreme.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1362
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1362 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.1335 opens further downside
ECB Nagel (09:00 UTC) could shift the EUR leg in the next bars
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13498
Lower highs, lower lows; session low swept.
USD-led slide extended through the NY-into-Asia handover, EUR/USD printing a fresh one-year low at 1.13377 before a shallow bounce back to 1.1350. Chain of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet at an extreme; price stalling just under the 1.1350 handle.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1355
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13377 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.13550 would break the recent lower-high chain
ECB's Nagel (09:00 UTC) and US New Home Sales (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg
EUR extended its slide through the London session, breaking 1.1370 and sweeping a fresh session low at 1.13377 as the USD held 13-month highs. A small bounce off that low has price back near 1.13500 with RSI(14) lifting from oversold; the 1.13600 pivot caps the recovery so far.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1360, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 1.13377 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1335 psych area
M15 close back above 1.13600 would relieve the immediate downside pressure
ECB's Cipollone (13:35 UTC) and US New Home Sales (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session to a fresh session low of 1.13377 before a modest bounce back to 1.13528, the move extending the broad USD-led break below 1.1400. Price holds below EMA20/50 in a clean lower-high chain; RSI(14) near 36, soft but not oversold.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1330
Resistance: 1.13592, 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13592 would break the lower-high chain
Acceptance below 1.13377 keeps the 1.13 handle in play
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant near-term USD driver
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.13528
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD extended its slide through the London session, breaking 1.1360 and printing a fresh session low at 1.13377 on broad USD strength before a shallow bounce to 1.13528. RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not yet extreme — as the pair tracks the post-1.1400 break lower.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1330
Resistance: 1.13605, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13605 would ease the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD sold off sharply through the London morning, printing a fresh 2026 low at 1.13377 on broad USD strength after firm US PMIs. RSI(14) is oversold near 25 and price sits well below EMA20/50 after breaking the 1.13550 shelf.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13555
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13555 would ease the immediate downside pressure
Sustained acceptance below 1.13377 keeps the 1.1300 handle in play
ECB's Nagel ~09:00 UTC could shift this read in the next bars
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 24 · price 1.13405
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
EUR/USD broke the 1.1355 shelf during London hours and accelerated to a fresh session low at 1.1338, extending the move below 1.1400 on broad USD strength. RSI(14) near 23 marks short-term exhaustion but momentum remains firmly down with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.13377, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1355, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1338 session low opens the 1.1300 psych handle
Reclaim of 1.1355 prior support would ease the downside pressure
ECB's Nagel/Cipollone and Thursday US PCE are the next swing factors
EUR/USD ground lower through the European session, breaking the 1.1380 consolidation to print fresh 2026 lows near 1.1351 on broad USD strength. RSI(14) sits in the low-30s after the break, not yet at oversold extremes, and price is pinned just above the session low.
Support: 1.1351, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1375 prior high would ease the downside read
Sustained acceptance below 1.1350 psych keeps lows in play
ECB Nagel ~09:00 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13527
Lower highs, lower lows; new session low.
EUR/USD broke the prior 1.1360–1.1375 base on the London open, printing a fresh session low at 1.1351 as broad USD strength keeps the pair pressured below 1.1400. RSI(14) near 34, not yet stretched, with price holding just above the 1.1350 round number.
Support: 1.1351, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1350 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.1368 would neutralise the latest breakout
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term USD swing factor
London session extended the slide, breaking 1.13670 to sweep a fresh low at 1.13513 before a shallow bounce to 1.13579, with dollar pressing one-year highs after the upbeat US PMIs. RSI(14) near 40, mid-range, no oversold extreme; lower-high chain still intact below 1.13750.
Support: 1.13513, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1367, 1.1375
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.13670 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13513 confirms continuation toward 1.13350
EUR/USD ground lower through the European morning, slicing to a 1.13513 session low as broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed PMIs kept the broken 1.1400 area firmly capped. Slight bounce into 1.13579 but the lower-high, lower-low chain holds; RSI(14) near 38, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13513, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1367, 1.1375
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read in the next bars
Reclaim of 1.13670 would neutralize the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13500 confirms continuation toward fresh lows
EUR sliced to fresh session lows at 1.13513 in London hours, extending the sub-1.1400 break on broad dollar strength. RSI(14) near 31 but not yet washed out; price hugging the lows with no bounce of note. German IFO at 08:00 UTC is imminent and sits directly under this read.
Support: 1.13513, 1.1340
Resistance: 1.1367, 1.1375
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read in minutes
Failure to hold 1.13513 opens the path toward 1.13400
Reclaim of 1.13670 needed to neutralize the lower-low sequence
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.13552
Lower highs, lower lows.
London session extended EUR's slide to a fresh session low at 1.13513 as dollar strength dominates after the 1.1400 break. Price hugging the lows near 1.13552, RSI(14) around 34 but not yet stretched, with each bounce capped under 1.13670.
Support: 1.13513, 1.1340
Resistance: 1.1367, 1.1375
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~15m) could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.13670 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13513 opens the 1.13400 psych zone
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 33 · price 1.13534
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
EURUSD extended its slide into the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.13513 as broad USD strength after firm US PMIs keeps the euro offered below the broken 1.1400 pivot. Price stair-stepped lower through 1.13670 and 1.13750 with RSI(14) near 32; the last bars are heavy with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.13513, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1367, 1.1375
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read in the next bar
Close back above 1.13670 would break the lower-high sequence
Sustained trade below 1.13500 opens further downside
EUR/USD extended its slide through the London morning, breaking to a fresh session low at 1.13513 as the dollar holds one-year highs. Sequence of lower highs intact below the 1.13676 swing; RSI near 37, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.13513, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13676
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~30min) could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.13676 would break the lower-high sequence
Sustained trade below 1.13500 opens the SocGen 1.1350 marker
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.1359
Lower highs and lower lows, marking new session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the London morning, breaking to a fresh session low at 1.1357 as broad USD strength keeps the pair offered below 1.1400. Price is pinned under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.1357, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read within the hour
M15 close back above 1.1375 would break the lower-high chain
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian range and early London, posting a fresh session low at 1.13573 on the last bar as broad USD strength keeps the euro offered below the broken 1.1400 pivot. RSI(14) near 37 with price under EMA20/50 — no exhaustion signal yet.
Support: 1.13573, 1.1350, 1.13615
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~45m) could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.1375 would break the lower-high chain
Sustained break of 1.13573 opens the 1.1350 socgen marker
EUR/USD ground lower through the US and Asia sessions after piercing 1.1400 to 11-month lows on broad USD strength, with sellers fading rallies into a series of lower highs. Price has twice held 1.1361 to carve a base, then rejected at 1.13750; currently mid-range at 1.13667 ahead of the London session push.
Support: 1.13608, 1.13615
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.13835
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13608 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13750 swing high would break the lower-high chain
EUR/USD ground out 11-month lows after piercing 1.1400, then stalled into a tight 1.1360-1.1375 base as broad USD strength persists. Price probed 1.13608 twice and is now coiling just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) flat near 44 — no clean directional impulse in the last few hours.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.13608 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.1375 neutralises the downside base
EUR/USD remains heavy below the broken 1.1400 floor, sliding to a session low at 1.13608 during the Asia-London transition before basing around 1.1365. A push to 1.13750 was rejected, keeping the lower-high chain intact with RSI(14) mid-range. ATR near 5 pips reflects compressed pre-IFO ranges.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.13833, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could break the tight pre-event range
Loss of 1.13608 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.13550
Close back above 1.13750 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
EURUSD remains in a clean M15 downtrend below 1.1400, USD-led after firm US PMIs kept the hawkish-Fed bid alive. The Asian session probed 1.13608 then drifted; an early-London pop to 1.1375 was rejected back to 1.13648, leaving the lower-high chain intact.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1383
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 1.13750 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13608 confirms continuation toward 1.13550
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~75m) could shift this read
EURUSD trended lower through the Asia session, extending the break below 1.1400 on the hawkish-Fed USD bid. Sellers drove a low at 1.13608 before a modest early-London bounce back to 1.13750; RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s, price hovering at EMA20 but capped under the 1.13760 swing.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13835, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13835 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.13608 confirms a fresh lower low
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this intraday read
Lower highs / lower lows, late bounce off session low.
Downtrend extended below the broken 1.1400 floor to a session low of 1.13608, the move USD-led after hawkish-Fed PMIs lifted the dollar to one-year highs. Price has since clawed back to 1.13701 with a late bounce stalling under 1.13760; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR running near 6 pips.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1383, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 1.13830 breaks the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD ground lower through the window from 1.1426 to a session low of 1.13608 as the USD-led move below 1.1400 extended. Price has since flattened into a tight 1.13608–1.13680 base in early London hours, RSI(14) recovering off its lows but capped under EMA20.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.13766, 1.13833
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13766 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13608 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1355
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~1.75h out) could break this base
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13678
Lower highs and lower lows, holding above 1.13608.
EURUSD ground lower through the session below the broken 1.1400 floor, pressured by a one-year-high USD on hawkish-Fed repricing, printing a chain of lower highs into 1.13608. Twin lows at 1.13615/1.13608 sparked a shallow bounce to 1.13678, RSI(14) recovering from the low-30s but price still capped under 1.13760.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1356
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13833, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read in the next bars
M15 close below 1.13608 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13760 needed to ease downside pressure
EURUSD ground lower through the Asia session and into early London, slipping below 1.1400 on broad USD strength and now basing around the 1.13608 swing low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 41 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips, reflecting a slow drift rather than an impulse leg.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13766, 1.1383, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot would invalidate the lower-high structure
Failure to hold the 1.13608 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 1.1350
EURUSD extended its slide well below 1.1400, printing a fresh session low at 1.13608 as a USD at one-year highs keeps pressure on the pair after upbeat US PMIs. Price has steadied just above the low into early European hours, ticking back to 1.13651 with RSI(14) recovering off mid-30s; the descending chain of lower highs caps near 1.13730.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13608 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1350 reference
Reclaim of 1.13800 breaks the lower-high sequence
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the overnight session under broad USD strength, slipping from 1.1438 to a low of 1.1361. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1361–1.1373 base with RSI(14) flat near 44, buyers stepping in repeatedly around 1.1361.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1380
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1361 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1350 reference
M15 close above 1.1373 would break the recent lower-high sequence
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asian session as USD held one-year highs, slipping under 1.1400 and now basing around 1.13661 just above the 1.13608 session low (twice tested). Lower highs cap the move and price sits below EMA20/50; RSI(14) near 42 with no extreme.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.13683, 1.13766
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13608 confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 1.13766 challenges the intraday downtrend
EUR/USD ground lower through Asia and into early London, extending the sub-1.1400 break as USD trades at one-year highs. Session low printed at 1.13608 with a shallow bounce into 1.1366; RSI(14) holding mid-30s, no oversold extreme. Lower highs remain capped under 1.1380.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.1360 opens 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1380 needed to break the lower-high chain
EURUSD grinds lower through the Asian session, holding under the pivotal 1.1400 it broke yesterday on USD strength after upbeat US PMIs. Price has carved a fresh session low at 1.1361 and is consolidating just above it; rallies have been capped at the 1.1377 swing.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1377, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back above 1.1377 challenges the lower-high sequence
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating at session lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh local low at 1.13608 as USD held one-year highs after upbeat US PMIs; price now coils just above that low into early Europe. RSI(14) near 37 after the latest leg, with each bounce capped under the descending series of lower highs.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1376
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13608 extends the downtrend toward the 1.1350 reference
M15 close back above 1.1376 challenges the lower-high structure
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD grinds lower through the Asia session, extending the slide below 1.1400 on broad USD strength and printing a fresh session low at 1.13608. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with a clean lower-high chain capped near 1.13683; RSI(14) near 38, soft but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.13683, 1.1376, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.13683 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.13608 opens the 1.1355/1.1350 references
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session, breaking the 1.1373 base to print fresh lows at 1.1361 as broad USD strength persists at multi-month highs. Price is pinned near session lows with RSI(14) around 39, holding below EMA20 and EMA50; the 1.13683 swing high caps recent bounces.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13683
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13683 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13608 opens the path toward the 1.1350 reference
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13633
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the Asia session into early London, printing fresh lows at 1.13608 with price holding under EMA20/50. The leg extends the break below 1.1400 as the USD sits near one-year highs; RSI(14) near 34, soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.13683, 1.1376, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13683 challenges the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.13608 confirms continuation toward 1.13550
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD grinding lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 1.1361 as broad USD strength keeps the pair pinned near 11-month lows. Price stacks below EMA20/50 with a clean chain of lower highs; RSI(14) near 37, soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1373
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1373 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.1361 opens 1.1350 socgen support
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 1.1364
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EURUSD grinding lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 1.1361 with price pinned below EMA20/50 amid broad USD strength near 13-month highs. The move broke the 1.1373 swing low; RSI(14) near 36, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1350, 1.1340
Resistance: 1.1373
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.1373 swing high would stall the lower-low sequence
Sustained break of 1.1361 session low opens 1.1350 socgen support
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13635
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground to fresh session lows near 1.1363, breaking the 1.1380 floor that held through Asia as broad USD strength pressed the pair toward the 1.13 handle. RSI(14) near 33, momentum heavy but not yet sub-20; sellers capped the bounce at 1.13683.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13683, 1.13766, 1.1380
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13608 opens 1.1350 then the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.13683 needed to ease the lower-low sequence
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD grinding lower through the Asia session, printing fresh lows at 1.13608 as broad USD strength keeps EUR pinned near 11-month lows. Lower-high chain intact off 1.13766; RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched, with the bounce off 1.13608 stalling under 1.13683.
Support: 1.13608, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13683, 1.13766
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13608 opens 1.1350
reclaim of 1.13683 breaks the lower-high chain
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 37 · price 1.13667
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through Asia, breaking down from the multi-hour 1.13780 shelf to a fresh session low at 1.13611 amid broad USD strength near cycle highs. A muted bounce to 1.13667 followed, RSI(14) at ~37 and price holding below EMA20/50; structure stays a chain of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 1.13611, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1378
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13611 opens the path toward the 1.13500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.13780 prior range invalidates the breakdown
Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off session low stalling.
EURUSD extended its Asia-session slide to a fresh session low at 1.13611 as broad USD strength keeps the 1.1400 pivot capped well above. A shallow bounce to 1.1367 is stalling under the 1.13730 swing; price remains pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.13611, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1382
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13730 would ease the lower-low sequence
Loss of 1.13611 opens the path toward 1.13500
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground to fresh session lows at 1.13615 in Asian hours, extending the USD-led selloff on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price broke below the 1.13780–1.13830 consolidation that held through the quiet overnight session, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet washed out.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1383
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13730 negates the fresh-low momentum
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift the EUR read
Loss of 1.13615 opens the 1.13 handle cited as next support
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.13665
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD slid through the Asian session, breaking the 1.13780 consolidation floor and printing a fresh low at 1.13611 on broad USD strength. Price is hugging the lows at 1.13665, RSI(14) near 33 but not yet oversold; momentum still pointing lower.
Support: 1.13611, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1373
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC is a near-term risk that could shift this read
M15 close back above 1.13730 invalidates the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13611 opens room toward the 1.13500 round level
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13647
Lower highs, lower lows.
Asia session grinding to fresh lows at 1.13611 as broad USD strength drags EUR/USD lower; the late-session break under the 1.13780–1.13835 shelf extended the downtrend. ATR is thin at ~5 pips into the European handover, RSI(14) soft near 34 but not yet stretched.
EURUSD in a clean M15 downtrend, sliding from 1.1439 to fresh session lows at 1.1361 on broad USD strength. RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet extreme, with price holding below EMA20/50 and no bounce of note. The 1.1373 swing and 1.1383 prior range have capped rallies through the Asian session.
Support: 1.13611, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1383
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1361 session low opens the 1.1350 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1383 prior range needed to question the downtrend
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read
Asian session pressed fresh lows, breaking below the 1.13760-1.13835 consolidation as broad USD strength persisted. Price now sits on the session low at 1.13615 with RSI(14) near 31; momentum still tilted lower.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13835
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13760 invalidates the downside break
Loss of 1.13615 opens the path toward the 1.13500 psych level
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.1363
Lower highs and lower lows.
EURUSD ground out a fresh session low at 1.13615 in thin Asia hours, extending a steady M15 downtrend on broad USD strength near 13-month highs. RSI(14) holding low-30s without a clean divergence; lower highs from 1.13997 cap any bounce.
Support: 1.1362, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1376
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1376 challenges the lower-high chain
German IFO 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session pressed to a fresh session low at 1.13665, breaking below the 1.13705 micro-pivot as broad USD strength keeps EUR offered. RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet extreme; sequence of lower highs into 1.13766 still intact.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13766
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13766 invalidates the lower-high sequence
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13677
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the 1.1380 prior range and printing a fresh session low at 1.13665 on broad USD strength. RSI(14) sits near 34 without a clear divergence as the lower-high, lower-low chain stays intact.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1382 prior range would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold the 1.13665 session low opens the 1.1350 zone
German IFO 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13727
Lower highs into a low base.
EURUSD trended lower through the London-NY session on broad USD strength after firm US PMIs, sliding from 1.1438 to a session low at 1.13705. Price is now grinding sideways in the 1.1370-1.1382 zone in the Asian session, holding just above that low with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1365
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13834, 1.13945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13705 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13834 needed to break the lower-high sequence
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.13727
Consolidating just above session lows after London-NY slide.
EUR drifted lower through London-NY and is now coiling in a tight 1.13705–1.13830 band during quiet Asian hours, ATR compressed near 4 pips. Broad USD strength keeps price pinned below EMA20/50; the 1.13705 session low has held repeatedly without a clean break.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1365
Resistance: 1.1383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13705 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1365 area
Reclaim of 1.13830 range top would relieve the downside pressure
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could break the Asian range
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13744
Lower highs into a tight Asian range above session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the prior session on broad USD strength and a soft German services print, bottoming at 1.13705 and then coiling in a tight 1.1371–1.1383 Asian range. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price holds below EMA20/50 as the session low is repeatedly tested but not broken.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13833, 1.13945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13705 opens the path toward the 1.1350 area
Close above 1.13833 breaks the consolidation and challenges 1.13945
EUR slid through the London/NY hours into multi-month lows on broad USD strength and a soft German services read, bottoming at 1.13705. The Asian session has since gone flat, ranging 1.1370–1.1384 with RSI(14) mid-range and no momentum either way.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1365
Resistance: 1.13835
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13705 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13835 needed to break the consolidation higher
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13758
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD grinding lower through the Asia session, posting a fresh low at 1.13705 on broad USD strength before a shallow bounce to 1.13758. Lower-high chain intact below 1.13833; RSI(14) near 41, no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.13705, 1.13729
Resistance: 1.13833
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13833 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13705 confirms continuation lower
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session under broad USD strength and a soft German services read, marking a session low at 1.13705 before stabilising. Asia session is now consolidating in a tight 1.13705–1.13835 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but price still capped below EMA20.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13835 breaks the consolidation and challenges 1.13900
Loss of 1.13705 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.13 handle
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.13755
Lower highs and lower lows after range break.
EURUSD broke the Asian consolidation around 1.1382 lower and printed fresh session lows at 1.13705 amid broad USD strength at 11-month lows. Price hugs the lows near 1.1376 with RSI(14) subdued in the high 30s; the down-leg from 1.1400 stays intact.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1390
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13705 opens the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1382 consolidation would neutralise the lower-low read
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia hours drifted lower out of the overnight consolidation around 1.1380, breaking to a session low at 1.13705 before a shallow bounce. Broad USD strength near 13-month highs keeps EUR pinned; RSI(14) soft but not stretched and ATR thin in the quiet session.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13820 negates the breakdown
EUR sold off through the London session from 1.1439 after the soft German services print, and Asia is now drifting to fresh session lows near 1.1370. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 37 — soft but not yet extreme; the 1.13825 consolidation cap stayed unbroken on the bounce.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13825, 1.1400, 1.14386
What it said to watch
A break of 1.13705 opens the path toward the 1.1350 support zone
Reclaim of 1.13825 would stall the lower-low sequence
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 37 · price 1.1373
Lower highs, lower lows; coiling at session lows.
Asia session grinding to fresh intraday lows near 1.1371 on broad USD strength, EUR/USD extending the slide off 1.1438. RSI(14) sub-40 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — slow, one-way drift with no bounce of note.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13705 opens the 1.1350 psych level
Reclaim of 1.13835 swing high would ease downside pressure
Quiet Asia session drifting to fresh session lows at 1.13705, extending the downtrend off the 1.14386 high as broad USD strength keeps EUR pressured near 11-month lows. ATR(14) compressed to ~5 pips in the dead-zone hours; the late break under 1.1380 prints a new lower low with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1370, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13935, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13835 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13705 opens the 1.1370 psych handle
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground to fresh session lows at 1.13705 during late NY hours, extending the broad USD-led slide noted in the macro read. Price broke below the 1.1380 consolidation shelf and sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 34, not yet oversold. Chain of lower highs intact from 1.13833.
Support: 1.13705, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1378, 1.13833
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13833 invalidates the lower-high sequence
EUR extended its USD-led slide, breaking the 1.1380 Asia consolidation to print fresh session lows at 1.13708. Move stays below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 38, no oversold extreme yet; broad dollar strength after firm US PMIs remains the driver.
Support: 1.13708, 1.1370, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382
What it said to watch
A reclaim above 1.1382 invalidates the downside range break
Sustained acceptance below 1.13708 opens the 1.1350 support zone
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session drifted lower out of a tight 1.1380-1.1383 consolidation and printed a fresh session low at 1.1371 on broad USD strength near EUR's 11-month lows. ATR is thin at ~4 pips and RSI(14) sits soft around 36 without an extreme; momentum is down but range is compressed.
Support: 1.13708, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13835
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1383 invalidates the downside break
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1371 confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 support zone
Downtrend extension with EUR at 11-month lows on broad USD strength. After a sharp London-NY slide from 1.1438, price coiled 1.1378-1.1383 through the quiet Asian session before a fresh leg lower into 1.1373; RSI sits mid-30s with ATR compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13997
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.13729 confirms the next lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13835 range top would stall the leg lower
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
After London sold EUR off from 1.1438 toward the 11-month-low zone, Asia ground sideways between 1.1378 and 1.1383 before a late break to a fresh session low at 1.13729. ATR is compressed at ~3 pips and RSI(14) sits subdued near 41 with no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13833, 1.1390
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13833 negates the late downside break
Sustained break of 1.13729 opens the path toward the 1.1350 psych zone
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13756
Lower highs and lower lows, edging below Asia range.
EUR stayed offered through the London-NY session after the German PMI miss, slicing 1.1400 toward 11-month lows. Asia coiled around 1.1382 then leaked to a fresh session low at 1.13729; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 40, no recovery yet.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13835 asia high eases the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.13729 opens the 1.1350 support cluster
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13756
Lower highs into session low break.
EUR offered into the 1.13-handle after the German PMI miss, grinding lower all window to fresh 1.13729 session lows. Price broke below the 1.1378–1.1383 consolidation that held through the quiet Asia hours; RSI(14) near 38, no reclaim of the broken shelf yet.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1370, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13833
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1370 opens the 1.1350 support cluster
Reclaim above 1.1383 consol top eases the downside pressure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.13744
Broke below multi-hour consolidation, lower low.
EURUSD drifted in a tight 1.1378-1.1383 band through the Asian session, then slipped to a fresh low at 1.13729 on a pickup in volume — extending the broader EUR weakness after the soft German PMIs. RSI(14) cooling near 38 with ATR thin around 6 pips; price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 acceptance below 1.1370 keeps the 1.13-handle in focus
Reclaim of the 1.1383 range high negates the downside break
EUR slid through the European/NY hours on soft German PMIs and a firm USD, then coiled in a tight 1.1378–1.1383 Asian range. Late Asia just broke that range to a fresh session low at 1.13729, RSI sub-40 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.13729, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1383 invalidates the range-break read
1.1400 psych remains the cap on any short-cover bounce
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13788
Consolidation near session lows.
After PMI-driven selling pierced 1.1400 to 11-month lows, EUR/USD bottomed at 1.13755 and went flat, churning a 1.13780–1.13835 band through the thin Asia session on very low volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no momentum, and price is pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13755 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1370
Reclaim of 1.13835 range top eases the downside pressure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this Asian range
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13788
Consolidation above session low.
EUR/USD legged lower after the German services PMI miss (46.8 vs 48.7), grinding from 1.1438 down to a 1.13758 session low. Price has since gone flat through thin Asia hours, ranging 1.1376–1.1383 with volume drained and RSI(14) middling near 46.
Support: 1.13758, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13758 resumes the downtrend toward the 1.1350 cluster
M15 close above 1.13835 challenges the range top and eases the offered tone
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR sold through 1.1400 toward 11-month lows after the German PMI miss, with the sharp leg lower into the NY session printing 1.13755. Price has since gone flat, drifting in a tight 1.13755–1.13835 band through the low-volume Asia session with RSI mid-range and no impulse.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13997, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13755 extends the down leg
Reclaim of 1.13835 opens the path back toward 1.13997
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.13791
Tight range after sharp drop.
EUR/USD sold off through 1.1400 to 11-month lows after the German PMI miss, bottoming at 1.13755 during NY hours. Asia has since coiled in a tight 1.1378–1.1383 range on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 44 below both EMAs.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.1370 area
Close above 1.1383 breaks the Asian range top toward 1.1390
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.13817
Consolidation after lower lows.
EUR slid through 1.1400 to test session lows after weak German PMIs, then stalled into a tight Asian-session range between 1.13758 and 1.13835. RSI(14) neutral near 47, volume thin; no setup in play.
Support: 1.13758, 1.13755
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13755 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.13835 range top opens a push back toward 1.13900
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 48 · price 1.13817
Lower highs into a tight Asian range.
EUR/USD sold off through London-NY after weak German PMIs and broad USD strength drove it to 11-month lows near 1.13755. Asia session has gone quiet, coiling in a tight 1.1378–1.1383 band on thin volume; RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13755 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.13835 micro high needed to break the Asian range
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read