EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 23 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13797

Tight consolidation above session lows.

EUR was sold through 1.1400 to 11-month lows during NY hours on weak German PMIs and broad USD strength, then settled into a tight 1.1376-1.1384 band through the thin Asia session. RSI sits mid-40s and ATR has collapsed to ~4-5 pips as volume drains; price hugging EMA20 with no momentum either way.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.13835 needed to ease downside pressure
  • German IFO at 08:00 UTC could break this consolidation

23:46 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13797

Tight Asia range after sell-off.

EUR slid through 1.1400 during London-NY hours after soft German PMIs and broad USD strength, bottoming at 1.13755. Asia session has since gone quiet, coiling in a tight 1.1376–1.1384 range with RSI neutral and ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13835 breaks the Asia range top
  • Loss of 1.13755 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1370 area
  • German IFO at 08:00 UTC could break this quiet range

23:31 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 48 · price 1.13819

Consolidation above session low after decline.

EUR sold off through London-NY from ~1.1430 to 1.13755 as soft German services PMI and broad USD strength pinned the pair near 11-month lows. Asia session is dead-flat in a tight low-volatility coil between 1.13755 and 1.13835, ATR(14) compressed to ~2 pips.

Support: 1.13755, 1.13841

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390, 1.1397

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1350 support cluster
  • Close above 1.13835 reopens the 1.13900-1.13970 swing zone
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this Asian coil

23:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 47 · price 1.13819

Consolidating just above session low.

EUR/USD sold off through the European session — a spike to 1.14386 was rejected and price flushed to 1.13758 — extending the soft-EUR/firm-USD read after weak German services PMI. Asia hours have gone flat and thin, coiling in a 1.1376–1.1384 range just above the session low with RSI(14) neutralised near 47.

Support: 1.13758, 1.1370, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13758 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1370 and the 1.1350 socgen cluster
  • Close back above 1.13835 needed to break the Asian range higher toward 1.1390
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift the EUR read

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13807

Lower highs into tight consolidation at lows.

EURUSD slid through the window toward 11-month lows on soft German services PMI and broad USD strength, then went flat in dead Asian-session hours, coiling 1.13755–1.13835. RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with ATR compressed to a few pips — no momentum either way right now.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1350 area
  • Close above 1.13835 then 1.13900 unwinds the consolidation-at-lows read
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 47 · price 1.13807

Tight consolidation above session low.

EURUSD sold off through the London-NY window into 11-month lows near 1.1376 on broad USD strength and soft German services PMI. Since then it's been pinned in a tight Asian-session range of 1.1376-1.1383 with RSI flat near 47 — no setup in play.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold below 1.13755 extends the down-leg toward 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.13835 range top would relieve near-term downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

23:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat in Asia · RSI 49 · price 1.13813

Tight consolidation above session low.

EUR sold off through the London-NY window toward 11-month lows after the weak German services PMI, bottoming at 1.13755 before stabilising. Asia hours are dead quiet — price coiling between 1.13755 and 1.13835 with ATR compressed to ~2 pips, RSI flat near 50.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 opens the 1.1350 socgen support
  • Reclaim of 1.13835 range top needed to challenge the 1.13997 swing high
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this Asian compression

23:01 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13813

Tight range above session low after impulsive decline.

EURUSD sold off through London-NY toward 11-month lows on soft German services PMI and a firm Dollar, basing at the 1.13755 session low. Price is now in a tight late-session consolidation around 1.1381, RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR cooling to ~6 pips.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13755 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.137 round level
  • M15 close above the 1.13835 swing high opens room back to the 1.139 supp cluster
  • German IFO and US Core PCE later this week could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Downtrend, paused · RSI 46 · price 1.13802

Lower highs into a flat Asian consolidation.

NY session drove EUR to the 11-month-low zone near 1.1376 after the weak German services PMI, with the 1.14386 spike rejected hard. Price is now flat-lining through thin Asian hours between 1.1378 and 1.1384, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~2.5 pips.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390, 1.1397

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13755 extends the decline toward the 1.13 handle
  • Close above 1.13900 challenges the descending resistance line
  • German IFO (Wed 08:00 UTC) could shift this read

22:46 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13802

Session low base after NY sell-off.

NY session drove EUR through 1.139 to a session low at 1.13755 on soft German services PMI and a firm USD; an earlier spike to 1.14386 was sharply rejected. Asia is now flat and thin between 1.1376 and 1.1384, RSI(14) hovering near 46.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 opens the 1.13 handle
  • Reclaim of 1.13945 needed to challenge the down move
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

22:31 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13796

Tight range near 11-month lows after a London/NY leg down.

EUR was driven to fresh lows near 1.1376 through the London/NY hours on soft German services PMI and broad USD strength, then stalled. Price is now pinned in a thin 1.1376-1.1384 range during Asia hours with RSI neutral and volume drying up.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1350 socgen sup
  • Reclaim of 1.13835 range top needed to break the consolidation
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

22:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13796

Tight range above session low after impulsive leg down.

EUR sold off through the window into 11-month-low territory near 1.1376 on soft German services PMI and broad USD strength, then stalled. Asia session is thin (volume collapsing) and price is coiling in a tight 1.1376–1.1384 band just above the session low.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1370
  • Reclaim of 1.13835 range top needed to challenge 1.13945
  • Core PCE Thu and German IFO are upcoming risk that could break this range

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.13825

Lower highs into a flat base at session low.

EUR/USD pierced 1.1400 and sold off to a session low at 1.13755 during NY hours on broad USD strength after the German PMI miss. Price has since gone flat near 1.1382 in thin post-NY-close trade, RSI(14) neutral around 46.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1390 breaks the consolidation higher
  • Loss of 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower low
  • German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13825

Sold off then consolidating in tight range.

EUR/USD slid through the session and pierced 1.1400 — flagged by the digest after the German services PMI miss — basing near 1.13755 before steadying. Last few hours are a tight 1.1376–1.1383 coil on thin post-NY volume, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 47.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1392, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 resumes the lower-low sequence
  • Close above 1.1392 would challenge the descending resistance
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13823

Consolidation above session low after impulsive drop.

EURUSD pierced 1.1400 during the London/NY session after weak German PMIs, dropping to 1.13755 before stabilising. Price has coiled in a tight 1.1376–1.1382 band through quiet Asia hours with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and volume drying up.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13845, 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.13900 would unwind the consolidation read
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could extend pressure toward 1.1350

22:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13823

Consolidating just above session lows.

NY session drove EUR through 1.1400 to fresh lows near 1.13755 after the German services PMI miss and broad USD strength. Price now consolidating tightly around 1.1380 in thin late-session/Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with ATR compressed.

Support: 1.13755

Resistance: 1.13845, 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.1350 zone
  • Reclaim of 1.1390 puts the pierced 1.1400 level back in play as resistance
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, flattening at lows · RSI 54 · price 1.13822

Consolidation above session low.

EURUSD sold off through 1.1400 to a session low of 1.13755 on broad USD strength after the soft German PMIs, then went flat in a tight 1.1376–1.1383 band through the quiet late-NY/Asia handover. Volume has thinned right out; price is pinned to EMA20 with EMA50 capping just overhead.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13997, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.13835 would stretch the bounce toward the 1.13997 swing high
  • Loss of 1.13755 reopens the downside toward the 1.1370 round number
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this low-volume consolidation

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 50 · price 1.13822

Consolidation above session low after selloff.

EURUSD pierced 1.1400 on broad USD strength and soft German PMIs, selling from a 1.14386 blow-off spike down to 1.13755. Price has since flatlined in a tight 1.1378-1.1382 band through the quiet late session, RSI back near 50.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 resumes the downtrend toward the 1.1370 round level
  • Reclaim of 1.13900 would ease the downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this consolidation

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat at lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13821

Consolidation just above session low.

EUR/USD sold off hard through the NY session, piercing 1.1400 on soft German PMIs and broad USD strength before basing near 1.13755. Last few hours have gone quiet in a tight 1.1376-1.1382 range on thinning late-session volume; RSI(14) flat near 49.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1384, 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1350 area
  • Reclaim of 1.13900 needed to ease downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13821

Lower highs into session low, now flat.

EUR/USD pierced 1.1400 and slid to 11-month lows near 1.13755 after the German PMI miss and broad USD strength. Price has since gone flat between 1.13755 and the 1.13945 swing high on thinning late-NY volume, with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s off the lows.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1350
  • M15 close back above 1.13945/1.1400 negates the downside continuation
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.13821

Consolidation at session lows after impulsive drop.

EUR/USD pierced 1.1400 through the NY session on broad USD strength and the German PMI miss, sliding to a session low at 1.13755. Price has since gone flat, coiling 1.1376–1.1382 into the Asia open as volume dried up; no setup in play at the lows.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1390 flips the pierced 1.1400 level into a relief-bounce read
  • Loss of 1.13755 opens the path toward the 1.1350 socgen support
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 1.13821

Consolidation above session low after impulsive drop.

EUR/USD pierced 1.1400 on broad USD strength and the German services PMI miss, dropping from 1.1438 to a session low at 1.1376. Price has since flattened into a tight 1.1376–1.1382 consolidation through late NY into Asia, RSI(14) recovered to neutral near 49.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1390 invalidates the consolidation and opens a 1.1400 retest
  • Failure to hold 1.1376 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1350 area
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13799

Basing in a range after a sharp drop.

EUR/USD pierced 1.1400 to 11-month lows on broad USD strength and the German PMI miss, bottoming near 1.13755 in the NY session. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.1376-1.1384 range with ATR compressed to ~7 pips and RSI flat in the mid-40s.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1384, 1.1400, 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.1384 range top reopens the 1.1400 flip level
  • Failure to hold 1.13755 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1350
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break the current compression

21:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 47 · price 1.13799

Consolidation above session low.

EUR/USD sold through 1.1400 during the London-NY stretch on the German PMI miss and broad USD strength, bottoming at 1.1375. Price has since coiled into a tight ~5-pip range near 1.1380 through the Asian hours, ATR compressed and RSI flat around 47.

Support: 1.1375, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1375 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.1390 prior support would ease the downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this consolidation

20:46 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13793

Consolidating above session low after NY selloff.

NY session drove a sharp selloff that pierced 1.1400 on broad USD strength and the German PMI miss, bottoming at the 1.13755 session low. Price has since gone flat, consolidating in a tight 1.1376–1.1382 band through late NY/Asia with RSI(14) stalled mid-range.

Support: 1.13755, 1.13841

Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13997, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.13820 consol top needed to challenge the 1.13997 swing high
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could reset this range

20:46 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13793

Tight range above session low after impulsive leg down.

EUR/USD sliced through 1.1400 to 11-month lows on the German services PMI miss and broad USD strength, bottoming at 1.13755. Price is now coiled in a tight 1.1376-1.1384 range through late NY into Asia hours, volume drying up and RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s — no impulse in play.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1350 area
  • Reclaim of 1.13835 range top needed to ease downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this consolidation

20:31 UTC

Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.13796

Tight range after impulsive drop.

EUR sold off from 1.1437 to a session low at 1.13758 during NY hours, in line with broad USD strength and the soft German PMIs, then stalled into a tight 1.1376-1.1384 band late session. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.13758, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1384, 1.13997, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13758 confirms a fresh lower low
  • M15 close above 1.13840 breaks the consolidation top
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift the read

20:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13796

Lower lows into sideways base 1.1376-1.1384.

EUR/USD sold off hard through the NY session, piercing 1.1400 on broad USD strength and the German PMI miss, bottoming at 1.13755. Price has since gone flat in a tight 1.1376-1.1384 base into the late session, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 confirms a lower low and resumes the downmove
  • M15 close back above 1.13835 would firm the base; 1.1400 now overhead
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13776

Tight range above session low after impulsive drop.

EURUSD slid from 1.1437 through the London-NY session to test 11-month-low territory near 1.1376 on broad USD strength after soft German services PMI. Price is now coiled in a tight 1.1376-1.1384 range into the late session, RSI flat in the mid-40s.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1370/1.1350 zone
  • Close above 1.13835 breaks the consolidation back toward 1.1394
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 43 · price 1.13776

Lower highs into 11-month-low zone, now ranging.

EURUSD ground lower through the NY session on broad USD strength, printing 11-month lows near 1.13755 before settling into a tight 1.1376-1.1384 range. RSI(14) is subdued near 43 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips, with price holding below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835

What it said to watch

  • Break and close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Close back above 1.13835 range top needed to relieve downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 1.13807

Consolidation near session lows after sustained decline.

EURUSD ground down through the NY session to 11-month lows near 1.13755 on broad USD strength, then stalled into a tight 1.1376-1.1384 coil. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR has compressed hard, reflecting the late-session drift.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13845, 1.13945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1350 zone
  • Close above 1.13845 then 1.13945 breaks the consolidation range
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.13807

Lower highs into 11-month lows, now consolidating.

London printed a false break above 1.1439 then reversed sharply, and the pair bled down to fresh 11-month lows near 1.1375 through NY on broad USD strength. Price is now coiling 1.1378–1.1382 in late NY hours, RSI(14) back to neutral after the slide.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13900 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low extension
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.13811

Lower highs into session lows, now consolidating.

London session sold EUR/USD from 1.1437 down to a fresh 11-month low at 1.13758, in line with the broad USD bid and soft German services PMI. NY hours have since stalled into a tight 1.1376-1.1384 consolidation, RSI(14) recovering off lows but capped below 50.

Support: 1.13758, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1384, 1.13997, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13840 breaks the consolidation and opens 1.13997
  • Failure to hold 1.13758 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1350 cluster
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.13811

Lower highs/lows, now flat consolidation.

EURUSD sold off through the NY session, dropping from 1.1438 to test 11-month lows near 1.1375 on broad USD strength after firm US PMIs. Late-NY trade has flattened into a tight 1.1375–1.1384 band, RSI(14) recovering toward mid-40s as selling pressure eases.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13997, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13755 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Close back above 1.13835 range top opens room toward 1.13997 swing high
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13815

Lower highs into a tight late-session range.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.1439 then collapsed through the session as broad USD strength drove price to multi-month lows near 1.1376. Late NY trade has flattened into a tight 1.1376-1.1385 range, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s with ATR compressed.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1385, 1.13997, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.13850 would ease the immediate downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could break this late-session range

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.13815

Lower lows into a tight base near 1.1376.

NY session ground EURUSD to multi-month lows after a spike rejection near 1.1439 reversed into a slide to 1.1376, in line with broad USD strength and the soft German services print. Price is now consolidating tight between 1.1376 and 1.1384 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips and RSI mid-range.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13835 ends the consolidation, opening 1.13900
  • Break below 1.13755 confirms a lower low toward 1.13700
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13785

Consolidation above session low after a clean down-leg.

EUR/USD sold off through the London session, spiking to 1.14386 then dropping into a steady down-leg to the swing low at 1.1376 as broad USD strength and the soft German services miss weighed. Price has gone flat in the late-NY/evening hours, twice basing near 1.1376 to print a tentative double bottom while RSI(14) recovers off lows; the 1.1392 swing high caps the consolidation. ATR is compressed at ~4 pips in thin evening trade.

Support: 1.1376, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1376 swing low opens 1.1350
  • Close above 1.1392 swing high breaks the consolidation
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 43 · price 1.13785

Lower highs into late-session consolidation.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.1439 at the London open then reversed hard, grinding to a session low near 1.1376 as broad USD strength and soft German services PMI weighed. Price now flat in a tight 1.1376-1.1384 band through the quiet Asian hours, ATR collapsed to ~4 pips.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1397, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13835 breaks the consolidation top
  • Loss of 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1350
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could reset this read

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 1.13765

Lower lows into consolidation above session low.

EUR slid through the London-NY session to multi-month lows on broad USD strength, with a sharp leg lower from 1.14386 down to 1.13755. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.13755-1.13835 range late in the NY session, RSI(14) flat near 42 after the decline.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low, opening 1.13700
  • Close above 1.13835 breaks the consolidation and eases downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could reset this read

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 42 · price 1.13765

Lower highs, basing near session low.

NY session sold EUR off the 1.1438 spike rejection down to fresh session lows near 1.1375, in line with broad USD strength and soft German services PMI. Price has been pinned in a tight 1.1378-1.1384 band the last few hours and is ticking to new lows as the session winds down, RSI(14) flat in the low 40s.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low, extending the downtrend
  • Reclaim of 1.13850 would ease the immediate downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC is a near-term risk to this read

18:46 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13784

Lower highs into a tight base above session low.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.14386 then dumped through the NY session to 1.13755 on broad USD strength, pressing multi-month lows. Price now coils in a tight 1.13755–1.13835 base into late NY hours, RSI(14) subdued near 43 and ATR compressing.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 opens the path toward 1.1370 then 1.1350
  • Close back above 1.13835 range top eases the immediate downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

18:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.13784

Lower highs/lows, late-NY consolidation.

EUR/USD sold off through London-NY, piercing 1.1400 and printing a session low at 1.13755 on broad USD strength and soft German services data. Price has since coiled into a tight late-NY consolidation between 1.1376 and 1.1384, RSI(14) basing near 42 with sellers capping below the 1.13835 intraday high.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 session low opens the path toward 1.1350
  • M15 close above 1.13835 intraday high would relieve the consolidation
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read on the next session

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.13797

Lower highs, basing at lows.

EUR/USD slid from the 1.1438 NY spike high to multi-month lows on broad USD strength after the German services PMI miss. Price now consolidating 1.13755–1.13850 in thin late-NY trade, with demand holding twice at 1.13755 and RSI(14) flat near 43.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1385, 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13850 invalidates the consolidation read
  • Break below 1.13755 session low opens the path toward 1.1350
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 43 · price 1.13797

Lower highs into a tight base above session low.

EUR sold through 1.1400 during the London-NY stretch to multi-month lows at 1.13755, the leg driven by broad USD strength and the soft German services PMI miss. Into late NY the pair has gone flat, coiling in a 1.1376-1.1384 band just above the session low with RSI hovering near 43.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower low, opening 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 eases the downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could reset this read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 1.13802

Lower highs, consolidating at session lows.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.1438 then dumped through the NY session after disappointing German flash PMIs (services 46.8), printing a session low at 1.1376. Price is now consolidating 1.1376–1.1384 into late NY, RSI(14) mid-range and basing.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13845, 1.1394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1370
  • Reclaim of 1.13845 needed to ease downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 1.13802

Lower highs, consolidating above session low.

EUR drifted lower through the NY session after the disappointing German flash PMIs, slipping from 1.1438 to a session low near 1.1376. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1378–1.1384 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) flat near 44 after the leg down.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13908, 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 extends the downtrend toward the 1.13 handle
  • Reclaim of 1.13908 breaks the lower-high chain
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.13803

Lower highs into late-NY consolidation.

EUR slid through the NY session after the German PMI miss, printing a session low at 1.13755 before settling into a tight 1.1378–1.1385 band. RSI(14) flat near 43 and ATR around 6 pips signal the move has paused; descending resistance off the 1.1439 high still caps, with the 1.13900 swing high above.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13845, 1.1390, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13900 swing high invalidates the downtrend read
  • Loss of 1.13755 session low confirms lower-low continuation
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13803

Lower highs into a flat base at session low.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the day after the German services PMI miss (46.8), with the 1.14386 spike rejected hard and a chain of lower highs dragging price to the 1.13758 session low. Into late NY it has flattened into a 1.1378–1.1384 base, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 with downside momentum easing.

Support: 1.13758, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1412

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13758 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.13 handle
  • Close back above 1.13945 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.13782

Lower highs into a tight range at the lows.

EURUSD trended lower through the NY session after disappointing German PMIs, sliding from 1.1438 to a session low at 1.13755. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.13755–1.13835 range with RSI off its lows; the session low has held three times while the range top caps rebounds.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1390, 1.13945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.13700 round number
  • Break above 1.13835 range top opens the path to 1.13900 socgen level
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 1.13782

Lower highs into low, now basing above session low.

EUR/USD slid through the NY session after disappointing German PMIs and is now consolidating just above the session low at 1.13755. RSI(14) flattening near 41 as the decline stalls; 1.1390 capped the last bounce and the lower-high chain remains intact.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1390

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1370
  • Reclaim of 1.13900 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

17:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.13796

Lower highs/lows, basing at session lows.

EUR sold off through the London-NY session after the German services PMI miss (46.8 vs 48.7), printing a chain of lower lows into 1.13755. Late NY now consolidates a tight 1.13755-1.13850 range, RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s as the slide pauses; demand held the 1.13755 floor twice.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1385

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1370 then the 1.13 handle
  • Reclaim of 1.13850 range top eases the downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.13796

Lower highs, basing above session low.

EUR sold off through NY hours after the German services PMI miss, with the 1.14386 spike at the London open faded hard into a 1.13758 session low. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.13755–1.13845 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13845, 1.1397, 1.1412

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13755 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.137 area
  • M15 close above 1.13845 range top would ease the downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.13781

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above session low.

EUR drifted lower through the NY session after the German flash PMI miss (services 46.8), shedding the move from 1.1438 to a session low at 1.13755. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.13755–1.13840 band into the close, RSI(14) mid-40s with downside momentum fading.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1384, 1.1390, 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13840 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1370
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.13781

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above session low.

EUR slid steadily from ~1.1430 through the NY session after weak German flash PMIs (services 46.8), the 1.14386 spike rejected hard and price has since printed a chain of lower highs. Now consolidating in a tight 1.13755–1.13835 band just above the session low, RSI(14) in the mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~8 pips into the close.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13997, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13755 session low opens the path toward 1.1370 and the 1.13 handle
  • M15 close above 1.13900 would break the lower-highs structure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.1383

Lower highs into a low consolidation.

EUR/USD slid through the NY session after the German PMI miss, dropping from a 1.1438 spike high to a 1.13755 session low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1376–1.1384 band with RSI in the mid-40s; the session low was tested twice and supply capped the bounce near the 1.1400 round number.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 session low opens the path toward 1.1350
  • Reclaim of the 1.1400 round number would neutralise the downtrend read
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.1383

Lower highs/lows, now consolidating above session low.

EUR/USD sold off through NY hours after the German services PMI miss (46.8 vs 48.7), printing a string of lower highs down to a session low at 1.1376. Price has since flattened into a tight 1.1376–1.1385 range, RSI(14) recovering toward mid-40s as selling pressure eased.

Support: 1.1376, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1412

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.1376 opens the path toward the 1.1350 support
  • M15 close back above 1.1400 negates the lower-high sequence
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 1.13788

Lower highs into a tight base above session low.

EUR sold off through the NY session, fading the 1.14386 spike after the German PMI miss (services 46.8) and a firm-Dollar PMI beat. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.13755–1.13850 band just above the session low, RSI hovering in the low 40s.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1412

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.13 handle
  • Reclaim of 1.13850 / 1.14000 needed to ease the downside read
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13788

Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above session low.

EUR sold off through the NY session after German flash PMIs missed (services 46.8), breaking the 1.1420 base and printing a low at 1.13755. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.13755–1.13830 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; both EMAs cap from above.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1397, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13755 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.13900 swing pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.13815

Lower highs into a base near session low.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session after the soft German flash PMIs, sliding from 1.1438 to a 1.1375 low. Price is now consolidating 1.1376–1.1390, twice basing at 1.1375; RSI recovering from oversold but still sub-50.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13997, 1.1412

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.13 handle
  • Reclaim of 1.13997 negates the base-building read
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.13815

Lower highs and lower lows, now consolidating near session low.

EUR/USD sold off through NY hours after the German PMI miss (services 46.8), tumbling from 1.1430 to a session low at 1.13755. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1376–1.1394 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) recovering off lows near 43.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.13997, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.13 handle
  • Reclaim of 1.13945 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.13826

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating near session low.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session after the German PMI miss, dropping from a 1.14386 spike to 1.13755. Price is now consolidating just above the session low between 1.13755 and 1.13945, RSI hovering in the low 40s.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.13700
  • Reclaim above 1.13945 swing high breaks the consolidation
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13826

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above session low.

EUR/USD slid through the NY session after a mixed flash PMI batch, the German services miss (46.8) undercutting the bloc and feeding the renewed EUR-down call. Price carved lower highs into 1.13755, now basing in a tight 1.1376–1.1399 band with RSI cooling around 43.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13997 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.13755 session low opens 1.1350
  • Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13783

Lower highs and lower lows since the NY drop.

NY session sold EUR/USD lower after a false break to 1.14386 was rejected, dragging price to session lows near 1.13755 as soft German PMIs and a dovish Lagarde weighed on the euro. Price is drifting just above the lows with RSI(14) around 41, below both EMAs; the 1.13900 prior support now caps.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 opens the path toward 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.13900 would ease the downside pressure
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.13783

Lower highs, lower lows; basing above session low.

EURUSD sold off through the NY session after the spike to 1.14386 was rejected and reversed, dragging price to a session low of 1.13755 on the softer German PMI batch and firm US data. Last few bars are consolidating 1.13755–1.13997 with RSI recovering off lows; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.13755, 1.13841

Resistance: 1.13997, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • M15 close above 1.13997 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.13822

Lower highs into a flat base at 1.1375.

EURUSD ground lower through the NY session after weak German PMIs and a firm-USD bid, sweeping down to 1.13755 three times where buyers absorbed the move. Price has based off that low with a mild bounce to 1.13822, RSI(14) lifting from oversold but still sub-50, capped below the 1.1390 SocGen support-turned-resistance.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1390

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1370
  • Reclaim of 1.1390 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 1.13822

Lower highs into a 1.1375 floor.

EUR/USD slid through the NY session from 1.1438 to a 1.1375 floor as German services PMI (46.8) dragged the bloc and a firm USD held near 13-month highs. Buyers held 1.1375 twice, lifting price back to 1.1382 with RSI recovering off the lows; lower highs still cap the bounce near 1.1394.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.14075

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13945 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.13755 confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 support
  • German IFO (Wed) and US Core PCE (Thu) are the next macro risks

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.13841

Lower highs into session low base.

EURUSD sold off through NY hours after the mixed eurozone PMI batch and firm US flash PMIs, printing a session low at 1.13755. Price has stabilised just above that low with RSI(14) cooling near 42; the 1.13997 recent high caps the bounce.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13997

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.13700
  • Reclaim of 1.13997 would break the lower-high sequence

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 1.13841

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, dropping from a 1.1438 spike to a 1.1375 session low after the mixed flash PMI batch (German services slumped to 46.8 vs strong US prints). Price is basing just above 1.1375 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 1.1438 high was swept and rejected before the leg lower.

Support: 1.13755, 1.13841

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1408

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.13945 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.13755 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 1.13821

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off session low.

EUR/USD slid through the NY session, carving lower highs and lower lows down to 1.13755 after the mixed flash PMI batch — German services miss undercut the bloc while firm US PMIs kept the dollar bid. Price has bounced to 1.13821 with RSI lifting off the low-40s; the 1.1400 round number capped the prior rejection.

Support: 1.13755, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13755 opens the path to 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.13945/1.1400 would break the lower-high sequence
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13821

Lower highs, lower lows.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, sliding from 1.1437 to a session low at 1.1375 on the German PMI miss and firm US flash PMIs. A modest bounce off 1.1375 stalls below 1.1390; the lower-high, lower-low sequence stays intact with RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 40.

Support: 1.1375, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.1437

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1390 would break the descending lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.1375 session low opens a path toward the 1.1350 socgen support
  • German IFO Wed and US Core PCE Thu are upcoming risk that could shift this read

14:01 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13972

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.

EUR/USD bled lower through the session as the dollar held a 13-month high, sliding from 1.1438 to a session low of 1.1382. Price has since carved a double base near 1.1384 and reclaimed the figure, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold to ~44. Bounce is still capped under the 1.1400 round number.

Support: 1.13823, 1.13851

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14124

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 1.14000 round number would unwind the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.13823 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • US Core PCE Thu and firm USD backdrop could cap any recovery

14:01 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing late · RSI 44 · price 1.13972

Lower highs, session-low bounce.

NY session sold the euro off sharply from 1.1437, breaking through 1.1410 to print a session low at 1.1382 as USD held near 13-month highs after the Germany services miss. Price is now bouncing back toward the 1.1400 round number, with RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 43.

Support: 1.13841

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1411

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14000 challenges the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 1.13841 confirms lower-low extension
  • Core PCE Thu and German IFO Wed are upcoming EUR/USD risk

13:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.13907

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY transition, breaking from 1.1438 to a 1.13823 session low as a firm USD and Germany's services PMI miss (46.8) weighed. Price is now consolidating 1.1384–1.1394 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) cooling near 43 after a shallow bounce off the low.

Support: 1.13823, 1.1376

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1404

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.13823 confirms a fresh lower low
  • M15 close back above 1.13945 challenges the downtrend
  • US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read in the next bar

13:46 UTC

Downtrend, slight bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13907

Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.

NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.14386 spike down to a 1.1382 low as the dollar held near 13-month highs and Germany's soft services PMI capped the euro. Price is grinding back toward 1.1390 but the lower-high, lower-low chain remains intact below the 1.1400 round number.

Support: 1.13823, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14000 would break the run of lower highs
  • Failure to hold 1.13823 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift the EUR read

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 35 · price 1.13851

Lower highs and lower lows, basing at session lows.

EUR/USD sold off through the session, sliding from 1.1438 to a 1.13841 low as Germany's weak services PMI and firm USD weighed. Price is now consolidating just above the session low, with bounces capped at 1.13945; RSI(14) recovering from oversold but still sub-40.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.14124

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close back above 1.13945 breaks the chain of lower highs
  • Loss of 1.13841 confirms continuation toward 1.1380

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13851

Lower highs and lower lows, stabilising near session low.

EUR/USD ground lower through the European session toward 1.1385, weighed by Germany's services PMI miss (46.8) capping the euro; RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 41. Buyers stabilised around the 1.13820 swing low into NY hours, with the 1.13945 session high capping the bounce.

Support: 1.13823

Resistance: 1.13945, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13820 swing low confirms downside continuation
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of the 1.14000 round number negates the downside pressure

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, near session low · RSI 38 · price 1.13895

Lower highs and lower lows, breakout below 1.1400.

EUR/USD slid through London into NY after Germany's services PMI miss (46.8), rolling over from 1.1438 and breaking 1.1400 to a fresh session low at 1.13823. Price is hugging the lows with RSI(14) near 37; a shallow bounce holds under the 1.1394 swing high.

Support: 1.13823, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400, 1.1412

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
  • M15 close back above 1.1400 would negate the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 1.13823 confirms continuation lower

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13895

Lower highs and lower lows since London.

EUR/USD trended lower through the London-NY session, sliding from 1.1438 to a session low of 1.13841 as Germany's services PMI miss capped the euro against a firm dollar. A small bounce off 1.13841 into the close leaves price at 1.13895, RSI(14) near 40 and below both EMAs.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (~30 min out) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.13841 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 round number would challenge the downtrend

13:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 33 · price 1.13876

Lower highs and lower lows into NY.

EUR/USD has trended down all session, accelerating off 1.14386 to a fresh session low at 1.13841 as USD stays bid on widening rate spreads. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33; the 1.13950 swing high caps recent bounces.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1395, 1.1400, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially move this read
  • Reclaim of 1.13950 swing high would stall the lower-low sequence
  • Loss of 1.13841 session low extends the downtrend toward 1.1380

13:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.13876

Lower highs and lower lows.

EUR rolled over through the NY session, sliding from the 1.1438 high to a fresh session low at 1.13841 as EUR stayed heavy on widening US-EUR rate spreads and Germany's soft services PMI. Price is below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 31, chained lower highs and lower lows still intact.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.13943, 1.1408

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13841 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close back above 1.13943 recent high stalls the downside read
  • Core PCE Thursday is the week's main USD risk for this pair

12:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 32 · price 1.13849

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

EUR/USD ground lower through the London session and into early NY, EUR heavy on the widening USD-EUR rate spread after dovish Lagarde and a soft German services PMI. Price is printing fresh lows near 1.1382 with RSI(14) around 31, momentum still pointing down and well below EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 1.13823, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1394

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 1.1394 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.1380 opens continuation lower

12:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 1.13849

Lower highs and lower lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY transition, printing a fresh low at 1.13841 with EUR heavy on the widening USD-EUR rate spread. RSI(14) near 36, not yet stretched; the descending sequence of lower highs stays intact below 1.13943.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.13943

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.13841 extends the lower-low chain toward 1.13800
  • Recovery above 1.13943 breaks the recent lower-high sequence

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 29 · price 1.13871

Lower highs, lower lows.

EUR/USD slid through the London afternoon on soft German PMIs (services 46.8 vs 48.7) and a firm USD, printing a fresh session low at 1.13841 with RSI(14) oversold near 29. Price broke the 1.14075 consolidation floor and is now pinned just above the low.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.14075, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.13841 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.14075 needed to ease downside pressure

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.13871

Lower highs and lower lows, breaking down.

NY session sold off hard after a failed pop to 1.1437, EUR/USD slicing through 1.1400 to print fresh session lows at 1.1384 on weak German PMIs and broad USD strength. RSI(14) near 31, short-term stretched but with no bounce yet.

Support: 1.1384, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1412, 1.1437

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1384 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1380
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to ease downside pressure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 1.13869

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session lows.

EUR sold off through the London session after the German services PMI miss (46.8 vs 48.7), breaking the 1.14000 psych level and printing fresh lows at 1.13841. RSI(14) near 27 — short-term stretched but consistent with a clean impulsive leg down, no rejection yet at the lows.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14124, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.14000 would stall the lower-low sequence
  • Loss of 1.13841 opens the path toward the 1.13800 psych level
  • US S&P Global flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could extend or reverse this leg

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 22 · price 1.13869

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

EUR/USD broke down through the 1.1410 consolidation floor during the London-NY transition and is printing fresh session lows at 1.1384, with RSI(14) oversold near 22 as soft German PMIs and USD strength keep the euro heavy. The descending sequence of lower highs from the 1.1438 spike remains intact.

Support: 1.13841, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1405, 1.14124, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.14050 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 1.13841 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
  • US S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

12:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.13933

Lower highs, lower lows.

EURUSD sold off through the London-NY transition, breaking the 1.1420 consolidation and printing fresh session lows at 1.13909 as soft German PMIs (services 46.8 vs 48.7) and a firm USD weighed on the euro. RSI(14) near 32 — soft but not yet extreme, and price holds below EMA20/50 with a clean chain of lower highs.

Support: 1.13909, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1409, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • S&P Global flash US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bars
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 round number would ease the lower-low sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.13909 session low opens continuation lower

12:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 31 · price 1.13933

Lower highs, lower lows.

NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.14386 spike high in a clean step-down, EUR heavy after soft German PMIs (services 46.8 vs 48.7) and a firm USD. Price broke below 1.14000 and is now pressing fresh session lows near 1.13900 with RSI(14) around 30.

Support: 1.1390, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14124

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break below 1.13900 round number opens 1.13800 psych
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 round number would stall the downtrend
  • US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.13947

Lower highs, lower lows.

London session broke EUR/USD below the 1.1409 consolidation and ground to fresh 3-month lows at 1.1395, extending the Fed-ECB rate-divergence slide after the spike to 1.1439 was sold hard. RSI(14) near 31 with no bullish divergence yet; momentum still pointing lower.

Support: 1.13944, 1.1390

Resistance: 1.14092, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.14092 prior low would ease the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 1.1390 psych opens further downside
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 28 · price 1.13947

Lower highs, lower lows; breakdown extending.

EUR/USD sold off through the London session, slicing the 1.1410 shelf and pressing 3-month lows at 1.13944 as Fed-ECB divergence kept the pair heavy. RSI(14) near 28 is stretched but momentum stays one-directional; price is pinned at the lows into the NY open.

Support: 1.13944, 1.1390

Resistance: 1.14075, 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break below 1.13944 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the decline
  • Reclaim of 1.14075 would ease the breakdown read
  • US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14008

Lower highs, fresh lows near 1.1395.

EUR slid through London hours to fresh session lows near 1.1395, in line with the Fed-ECB divergence read keeping the pair heavy near 3-month lows. Recovery attempts have been capped around 1.1412 before each leg lower, with RSI(14) sitting in the low-30s but not yet at extreme.

Support: 1.13952, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14124, 1.14155

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.13952 confirms continuation toward fresh lows
  • Reclaim of 1.14124 swing high would ease the downside pressure
  • US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 36 · price 1.14008

Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.

NY session rejected 1.14386 and slid in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain to fresh lows at 1.13952, with USD firm near its 13-month DXY high ahead of US PMIs. Price now hovering at the 1.14000 psych line after a shallow bounce; RSI(14) recovering off the mid-30s.

Support: 1.13952, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14108, 1.14155, 1.14303

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.13952 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 breakdown level would neutralise the downtrend read

11:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14007

Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session after rejection at 1.14386, breaking below the prior 1.14150 base to print fresh session lows at 1.13952 — consistent with the Fed-ECB divergence narrative keeping the euro heavy. RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet at an extreme; price trades below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.13952, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14124, 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.14155 invalidates the lower-high structure
  • Sustained break of 1.13952 opens further downside toward the digest's 1.1425/1.1430 zone region
  • US Core PCE later this week is the main catalyst that could shift this read

11:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14007

Lower highs, lower lows; new low at 1.13952.

EURUSD broke lower into the NY session, sliding from 1.14386 to a fresh low at 1.13952 as a firm USD pressed the euro through the 1.1425 area flagged near 3-month lows. Price now hugs the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) oversold around 31, momentum extended to the downside.

Support: 1.13952, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.13952 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close back above 1.14155 would ease the downside pressure
  • US Core PCE later this week is the dominant catalyst for the next leg

11:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening at lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14051

Lower highs/lower lows, consolidating after breakdown.

EUR/USD broke down through 1.14155 during the London session, sliding to a session low at 1.1404 after the spike to 1.1439 was rejected. Price is now flat-lining just above 1.1400 with RSI(14) near 38, consolidating at the lows in line with the EUR-bearish rate-spread tone.

Support: 1.1404, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1400 opens fresh lows in the 3-month-low zone
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 needed to negate the breakdown
  • US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

11:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 34 · price 1.14051

Lower highs and lows, basing at session low.

EUR sold off through the London session, breaking the 1.1425 base with a sharp leg to 1.1404 as Lagarde's dovish lean and a firm USD near 13-month highs kept the pair pinned at 3-month lows. Price is now basing just above 1.1404 with RSI(14) around 34 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips after the impulse.

Support: 1.1404, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1404 confirms continuation toward the 1.14 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 drop pivot would ease the bearish read
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14043

Lower highs, consolidating above session low.

EUR sold off sharply at London open from 1.14386 to 1.1412, extending the 3-month-low theme as USD stays firm into US PMIs. Price is now grinding along the 1.1404 session low, RSI(14) near 38 with momentum flattening but no recovery confirmed.

Support: 1.1404, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1404 confirms continuation to fresh lows
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 needed to ease the downside pressure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 37 · price 1.14043

Lower highs, fresh session lows.

Sharp drop from the 1.14386 drop origin to 1.14040 mid-window pinned EUR near 3-month lows on the widening US-EUR rate spread. Price now grinding in a tight 1.14040-1.14130 band, RSI(14) flat in the high-30s with no reclaim of the consol high yet.

Support: 1.1404, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1413, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.14040 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.14130 consol high eases downside pressure
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this consolidation

10:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 41 · price 1.14087

Range break lower, basing above 1.140.

EUR broke down through the London range during the 08:00 UTC hour on Fed-ECB divergence and a weak German PMI print, posting a session low at 1.14043. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1407-1.1410 band just above the 1.140 psych level, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 41.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.1430

What it said to watch

  • US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.140 opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 needed to ease pressure

10:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 40 · price 1.14087

Lower lows, basing near session low.

London session drove a sharp drop from 1.1438 to 1.1404, breaking the prior 1.142 range as EUR stayed pinned near lows on Fed-ECB divergence and the German PMI miss. Price now consolidating 1.1405-1.1410 just above the session low, RSI(14) recovering off lows near 40.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14177, 1.14369

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.1400 opens further downside test
  • M15 close above 1.14177 invalidates the lower-low read
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 39 · price 1.14118

Lower lows, range break to downside then basing.

EUR/USD broke sharply lower in the London session, dropping from the pre-drop high at 1.14386 to a session low of 1.14043 after the German Services PMI miss. Price is now basing between 1.14043 and 1.14120 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; ATR near 7 pips.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.1420, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14043 / 1.14000 round number extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of broken supp at 1.14200 would negate the downside break
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing after impulse · RSI 41 · price 1.14118

Breakdown below intraday range, consolidating at lows.

London session leg down off 1.1437 after the German PMI miss dragged EUR through the prior 1.1420 range; impulse low printed 1.1404. Price now basing 1.1406-1.1410, RSI(14) recovering off the drop but holding sub-45.

Support: 1.1404, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1430

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1404 opens the 1.140 test flagged by ING
  • Reclaim of 1.1430 negates the breakdown read
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 38 · price 1.14091

Broke down to new session low, consolidating above it.

Sharp London-session breakdown from 1.14369 to 1.14043, with EUR heavy near 3-month lows on Fed-ECB divergence and mixed EZ PMIs. Price is now grinding just above the 1.1404 session low, RSI cooling toward oversold; the 1.14155 bounce high caps any recovery attempt.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14369

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14043 opens the 1.140 round-number test
  • Recovery through 1.14155 would unwind the breakdown
  • US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:01 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14091

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near 1.1408.

NY session drove a sharp leg lower from 1.1438 to 1.1404 as the dollar held near 13-month highs and German services PMI missed. Price is now grinding sideways just above 1.1408 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 1.140 handle is holding so far.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.1425

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1404 opens the 1.140 psych test
  • Reclaim above 1.14155 negates the lower-high structure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 36 · price 1.14098

Broke lower, basing at lows.

London session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1438 high down through the breakdown at 1.14155 to tag the 1.140 area ING flagged, bottoming at the 1.14043 swing low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1404–1.1410 band with RSI(14) subdued near 36, no bounce yet.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.1424

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.14043 swing low opens the 1.14000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 breakdown needed to ease downside pressure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 39 · price 1.14098

Lower lows after range break, basing near session low.

Spike to 1.14386 during London hours was rejected and reversed into a sharp leg down to 1.14043, breaking the prior 1.1420-1.1430 range. Price now bases near 1.1410, holding just above the session low with RSI(14) sub-40 but off its trough; broad USD strength and dovish-Lagarde tone keep EUR heavy near 3-month lows.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14043 opens the 1.1400 area flagged by ING
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 would ease the breakdown read
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing after drop · RSI 38 · price 1.14087

Consolidation broken to the downside, basing near lows.

London session broke the multi-hour consolidation around 1.1425, dropping sharply to 1.1404 as German PMI misses kept EUR heavy. Price is now basing near 1.1408 just above the session low, RSI(14) recovering off lows.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.14043 opens the 1.1400 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 would ease the downside break
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 34 · price 1.14087

Fresh lower low, basing near session low.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.14386 then sharply reversed and broke down through prior support into the 1.1404 session low, EUR heavy after the German PMI misses. Price is now basing just above the 1.1400 ING-flagged level with RSI(14) off its lows.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14305, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.14155 would ease the breakdown read
  • Clean break of 1.14000 opens further downside
  • US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.14072

Lower highs and lows after range break.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.14386 then reversed hard during the London session, slicing through the 1.142 consolidation toward 1.1404 as the dovish-Lagarde/hawkish-Fed spread story keeps EUR heavy. Price is now pinned at session lows with RSI(14) near 34, ING's flagged 1.140 area within reach.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.1424, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14155 eases the downside pressure
  • Break below 1.14000 opens further losses toward ING's 1.140 test
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14072

Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 1.142 range.

EUR/USD sold off sharply through the NY session, dropping from 1.14386 to test 1.140 — the ING-flagged level — as the firmer USD and dovish-Lagarde rate divergence kept the Euro heavy. RSI(14) near 31 reflects short-term stretched conditions after the leg down; price is consolidating just above the 1.14043 swing low.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14305, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Clean break below 1.14043 / 1.140 opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 would ease the immediate downside pressure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:01 UTC

Downtrend, freshly accelerating · RSI 29 · price 1.14061

Range break to the downside.

London session sliced the multi-hour 1.1419-1.1430 range floor and accelerated toward the 1.1400 psych level, printing a fresh session low at 1.14043 amid broad USD strength. RSI(14) near 28 — short-term stretched but not at an extreme; price sits pinned at the lows with no recovery yet.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1419, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14190 range floor would invalidate the breakdown
  • Loss of 1.14043 session low opens the 1.1400 psych level
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

09:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 30 · price 1.14061

Lower highs, lower lows; range broke down.

EUR/USD broke down through the day's tight 1.1420-1.1430 range during the London-NY transition, sliding from 1.1439 to a fresh session low at 1.1404 on broad USD strength. RSI(14) near 30 reflects the momentum, with the 1.140 psych level flagged by ING now in focus.

Support: 1.14043, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14000 opens path to fresh multi-week lows
  • Reclaim of 1.14155 would ease the breakdown pressure
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 31 · price 1.14082

Lower highs, lower lows; broke below intraday range.

EURUSD broke down hard out of the 1.1420-1.1430 consolidation into the London session, printing fresh session lows at 1.14046 with EUR pressured near 3-month lows on a firm dollar. RSI(14) near 31 after the drop; price now hovering at 1.14082 just above the 1.1400 psych level.

Support: 1.14046, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14155, 1.14305

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold below 1.1400 psych opens the path to fresh multi-month lows
  • Recovery back above 1.14155 swing would negate the breakdown
  • US Core PCE later this week is the dominant catalyst for direction

08:46 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 31 · price 1.14082

Lower highs, fresh session lows.

EUR/USD swept up to 1.1439 then sharply rejected, breaking the 1.142 intraday floor to print fresh lows at 1.1405 in early London. RSI(14) deep in the low-30s as the 1.140 zone flagged in the digest comes into view; the move aligns with hawkish-Fed USD strength and a soft German PMI.

Support: 1.14046, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14217, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.140 opens the path to fresh multi-month lows
  • Reclaim above 1.142 would negate the breakdown
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

08:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.1413

Range break lower, lower-lows.

EUR snapped lower to 1.1410 in the London session after soft German and Eurozone flash PMIs (German Composite 48 vs 49.9), breaking the 1.1420–1.1430 consolidation. RSI(14) near 33 after the impulsive drop from 1.1437; price is basing just above the session low at 1.14095 with the 1.1400 round number below.

Support: 1.14095, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14000 opens ING's flagged 1.140 test
  • Recovery back above 1.14386 swing high negates the breakdown
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could re-price the read

08:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 35 · price 1.1413

Lower highs, range broken to downside.

EUR knifed lower after the 08:00 UTC Eurozone flash PMI miss, breaking a tight London range and printing a fresh session low at 1.14095. Price now hovers just above that low at 1.1413 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s; the prior 1.1428–1.1438 band is now overhead supply.

Support: 1.14095, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14386, 1.14303

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14095 opens the 1.1400 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 would neutralise the downside range break
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could extend or reverse this move

08:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 1.14099

Lower highs, fresh session low.

EUR broke sharply lower into the London session, with the 07:30 UTC bar dumping ~250 pips intrabar to fresh session lows at 1.14095 as German and Eurozone flash PMIs missed. RSI(14) is pinned in the low-30s and price is extended well below EMA20/50; prior 1.1420–1.1430 range floor now caps as resistance.

Support: 1.14095, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14305, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.14305 negates the breakdown read
  • 1.14000 psych is the next downside reference (ING level)
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could extend or reverse this move

08:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 29 · price 1.14099

Break to new session lows after false break up.

EUR spiked to 1.1439 then was rejected hard, breaking to fresh window lows near 1.1410 as German/Eurozone flash PMIs missed (Composite 48 vs 49.9). RSI(14) oversold near 28 after the sharp London-session leg down.

Support: 1.14095, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14250 negates the break lower
  • ECB Lane and Eurozone PMI follow-through could extend the move sub-1.1400

08:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 40 · price 1.14157

Lower highs, broke 1.1419 support.

EUR drifted lower all session then spiked to 1.14386 before a sharp rejection slammed it to a fresh session low of 1.14120, the soft German PMI read keeping pressure on. The 1.1419 support that held earlier has now flipped to resistance, and price is pinned at the lows.

Support: 1.1412, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1419, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14120 opens the 1.1400 psych level
  • Reclaim above 1.14190 negates the breakdown
  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 08:00 UTC / ECB Lane 08:30 UTC could shift this read

08:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.14157

Range break to the downside.

EUR dropped sharply into 1.1412 on the 08:00 UTC Eurozone/German PMI miss, slicing through the 1.142–1.143 range that held through the Asian session. RSI(14) cooling toward oversold with the current bar parked just above the session low.

Support: 1.1412, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14305, 1.14386

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1412 opens the path to the 1.1400 psych level
  • Recovery above 1.14305 swing high invalidates the range break
  • ECB Lane (08:30 UTC) speech could shift this read

07:46 UTC

Range, late upside nudge · RSI 57 · price 1.14327

Consolidation under prior highs, intraday low base intact.

EURUSD spent the London morning grinding sideways in a 1.1419–1.1430 band before a push to 1.14386 broke the range top, RSI(14) lifting toward 57. Last bar pulled back to 1.14327 but holds above the prior consolidation, sitting near three-month lows.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14386, 1.1450

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.1419 reopens the session-low base and the 1.1410 zone
  • Acceptance above 1.14386 extends toward 1.1450 prior high
  • Eurozone and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Downtrend, recent rebound · RSI 61 · price 1.14327

Lower highs into 1.1419 base, bounce in progress.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the Asian session, basing repeatedly at 1.1419 before the last three bars pushed up off the floor to tag 1.1439, RSI(14) recovering toward 60. Price is back above the EMA20/50 cluster but still pinned near three-month lows on the hawkish-Fed/dovish-Lagarde divergence.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1420

Resistance: 1.14386, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone & US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.1419 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
  • Close above 1.14386 session high extends the rebound toward 1.1444

07:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, ranging at lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14334

Consolidation above 1.1419 floor after leg down.

EURUSD slid from 1.14633 to a 1.1419 floor that has held four times, then chopped sideways with EUR pinned near 3-month lows on Fed-ECB divergence. Early-session bid popped the last bar to a 1.1435 session high before settling at 1.14334, holding a 1.1419-1.1444 range.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1419 swing low opens the 1.1410 support zone and risks acceleration
  • Close above 1.1444 prior swing invalidates the range-top read
  • Eurozone flash PMIs hitting now could materially shift this read

07:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, consolidating near lows · RSI 55 · price 1.14334

Ranging 1.1419–1.1435 just above session lows.

After the slide off 1.1463 the pair has gone flat, twin lows at 1.14185 forming a double bottom that buyers defended through the Asian session. A 13-pip bar lifted price off the 1.1422 base to the 1.14351 session high, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; the broader tone stays heavy with EUR pinned near 3-month lows.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1422

Resistance: 1.14351, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14185 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1410/1.1390
  • Reclaim above 1.14351 session high targets the 1.14444 swing high
  • Eurozone flash PMIs now and US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

07:16 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.14235

Tight consolidation near session low.

EURUSD carved out a session low at 1.14186 after Monday's drop and has since consolidated in a tight 1.1419–1.1430 band, RSI(14) flat near 46. Pair pinned at 3-month lows on a firmer Dollar; no setup in play while the range holds.

Support: 1.14186, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14354

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs hitting now plus US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
  • Close below 1.14186 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1410
  • Close above 1.14303 swing high challenges the range top

07:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14235

Consolidation above session low.

EURUSD sold off through the European morning from 1.1463 to 1.14185, then went sideways in a tight 1.1419-1.1430 band through the quiet Asia/early-London hours. EUR pinned near 3-month lows on hawkish-Fed/dovish-Lagarde divergence; price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 44.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1421

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1435

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.14185 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 zone
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 negates the consolidation drift lower
  • Eurozone flash PMIs and US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

07:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 42 · price 1.1422

Lower highs, coiling near session low.

EURUSD pinned near three-month lows, drifting lower through the Asian session and coiling in a tight 1.1419-1.1430 band into the London morning. RSI(14) at 42 with sub-5-pip ATR confirms a low-volatility grind sitting just above the 1.1419 swing low.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1446

What it said to watch

  • EZ flash PMIs at 07:15-08:00 UTC are the immediate catalyst
  • Break below 1.1419 opens the 1.1410 psych zone
  • M15 close above 1.1430 voids the lower-high sequence

07:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.1422

Lower highs into a tight range floor.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the European-NY window from 1.1463 toward a 1.1419 floor, then went flat in the quiet Asian session, coiling between 1.1419 and 1.1430 below EMA20/50. Price pinned near three-month lows on firm-dollar tone; ATR has compressed to ~5 pips ahead of EZ flash PMIs.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1430

What it said to watch

  • EZ flash PMIs (07:15-08:00 UTC) land within the next bars and could break the 1.1419-1.1430 range
  • M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1410 support zone
  • Reclaim of 1.1430 range top neutralises the downside drift

06:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.14257

Consolidating just above session lows.

EUR/USD slid through the Asian session from 1.1460 to a session low at 1.14185, then went flat, coiling around 1.1425 with EUR pinned near 3-month lows. RSI(14) mid-range at 44, no momentum extreme; price hugging EMA20 with EMA50 capping just overhead.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303

What it said to watch

  • EZ flash PMIs (07:15-08:00 UTC) imminent — could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.14185 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 negates the near-term downside drift

06:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.14257

Tight range above session low.

EURUSD drifted off the London 1.1460 area and has coiled in a tight 1.1419–1.1432 range through the Asia session, pinned near 3-month lows. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at 1.14185 while supply capped attempts at 1.14315; RSI flat in the mid-40s.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • EZ flash PMIs (07:15–08:00 UTC) are the immediate catalyst and can break this range
  • M15 close below 1.14185 opens the path toward the 1.1400 psych level
  • M15 close above 1.14315 targets the 1.1444 london low

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.14239

Stepped lower-lows, now tight low-range.

EURUSD ground lower through the prior session into the 1.1419 area, EUR pinned near 3-month lows on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid. Asian hours have stalled the move into a tight 1.1419-1.1431 band, RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no fresh leg yet.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could break this consolidation
  • Loss of 1.14185 confirms a lower-low, opens 1.1410
  • Close above 1.14315 negates the low-range read

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 1.14239

Consolidating just above session low.

EURUSD slid through the NY session and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1419-1.1430 band near three-month lows, pressured by hawkish-Fed dollar strength. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme, and price holds below both EMAs after the 1.1419 session low held twice.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.1419 opens the path toward 1.1410/1.1400
  • M15 close above 1.1430 invalidates the consolidation lower bound
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could break this range either way

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.14224

Lower highs into session lows, drifting.

EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session, pinned near 3-month lows sub-1.1430 on firm-dollar repricing, with the 1.14185 session low retested into the open. Price sits below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 42 — slow grind, no extreme, holding above 1.1410.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14367

What it said to watch

  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.14185 opens the 1.1410 area
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 would break the lower-high sequence

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, grind lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14224

Lower highs into session lows.

EUR/USD ground lower through the Asian session toward 1.14186, holding near three-month lows as the dollar stays firm on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no relief bounce yet, just a slow drift into London open.

Support: 1.14186, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1443

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs ~07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.14186 confirms a lower low and opens 1.14000
  • M15 close back above 1.14303 would break the lower-high sequence

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 39 · price 1.14214

Lower highs, grinding into session lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the session and is pinned near three-month lows, sitting just above the 1.14185 session low with RSI(14) subdued but not oversold. Lower highs cap any bounce, the last being 1.14303, as a firm dollar keeps the pair heavy ahead of the London open.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14367

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14185 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1410
  • Close above 1.14303 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • EZ flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 41 · price 1.14214

Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.

EUR pinned sub-1.15 near three-month lows, slow grind lower with sellers capping each bounce below 1.14303. Price coiling just above the 1.14185 session low ahead of EZ flash PMIs.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1414

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1445

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14185 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1410 psych area
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 needed to break the descending highs

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.14236

Lower highs into low consolidation.

EURUSD sold off from 1.1460 to a 1.14185 session low through the prior NY hours and is now grinding sideways sub-1.1425 in the thin Asian session, RSI(14) mid-40s. Pair pinned near three-month lows as hawkish-Fed pricing keeps the dollar firm.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC are the next catalyst and could break this range
  • Break of 1.14185 opens the path toward 1.1410/1.1390
  • M15 close above 1.14303 challenges the lower-high sequence

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.14236

Grinding lower into tight range near session lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the prior NY session toward 3-month lows and has consolidated in a tight 1.1419-1.1430 band through Asia, price pinned sub-1.15 on hawkish-Fed dollar firmness. RSI(14) near 43, no extreme, with the latest bars probing the lower edge of the range at 1.1424.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14502

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.14188 confirms a fresh lower low, opening 1.1410
  • M15 close above 1.14303 invalidates the grind-lower read
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this range

05:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 40 · price 1.14211

Lower highs into London open, basing near lows.

EURUSD ground lower into the London open after yesterday's NY-session drop to 1.1428, with EUR pinned near 3-month lows. Price is basing at 1.1421 just above the 1.14185 session low; RSI(14) sits soft near 40 and ATR has compressed through the Asian range.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break below 1.14185 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1410 area
  • Close back above 1.14303 breaks the consolidation

05:31 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 39 · price 1.14211

Lower highs into session lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session into 1.1419, pinned near three-month lows sub-1.15 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid. Volatility is thin (ATR ~4 pips) with price stalling just above the session low ahead of EZ flash PMIs.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.14575

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.14185 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1400
  • M15 close back above 1.14315 challenges the lower-highs structure
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, grinding to fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 1.14191

Lower highs, lower lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the Asian range and printed a fresh session low at 1.14186 into the early European session, in line with EUR pinned near three-month lows on hawkish-Fed pricing. Lower highs held under 1.14303 and RSk(14) sits sub-40 with ATR a thin ~4 pips.

Support: 1.14186, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1435

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14303 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break of 1.1410 psych opens path toward 1.1400
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 37 · price 1.14191

Lower highs into session lows.

EURUSD drifted lower through the Asian session and is pressing the 1.14185 session low at the London open, with EUR pinned near three-month lows sub-1.15 on the firm post-Fed dollar. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-30s, no oversold extreme yet.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Break of 1.14185 opens the path toward the 1.140 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:01 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14247

Tight range above session low after NY drop.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to three-month lows, then locked into a tight 1.1419-1.1431 band through the Asia session with RSI(14) flat near 43. Sub-1.15 pressure persists on the hawkish-Fed divergence; demand has held 1.1419 repeatedly while supply caps at 1.1431.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.1450

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower-low, exposes 1.1410
  • Close above 1.14315 breaks the consolidation range
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range

05:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14247

Consolidation after a leg down.

EUR/USD sold off mid-window into 1.14188 and has since stalled in a tight 1.1420-1.1430 range, pinned near 3-month lows sub-1.15 on USD strength. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI flat around 44 — no momentum in either direction.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1400
  • Close above 1.14303 breaks the range top toward 1.14444
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could break this consolidation

04:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14237

Consolidation above session low.

EURUSD drifted lower through the prior NY session and is now grinding the Asian range bottom near 1.1424, pinned at three-month lows sub-1.15. Price holds just above the 1.14185 session low with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; range top at 1.14303 has capped each bounce.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14463

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14185 opens the path toward 1.1400
  • Close above 1.14303 needed to break the consolidation
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could shift this read

04:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14237

Consolidating near session lows.

EUR/USD slid from 1.1463 toward session lows near 1.1419 through the Asian hours, holding sub-1.15 three-month-low territory. Price now grinds in a tight 1.1420-1.1430 band below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 43, ahead of Eurozone flash PMIs.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1450

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone/German flash PMIs at 07:30-08:00 UTC could break this range
  • Loss of 1.14188 opens the path toward 1.1400
  • M15 close above 1.14303 negates the consolidation-lower read

04:31 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14271

Consolidation near session lows.

EUR slid through NY hours to a session low of 1.14185, then coiled into a tight 1.1419-1.1430 range across Asia with ATR compressed to ~4 pips. Pair pins near three-month lows on hawkish-Fed divergence, no setup in play while the range holds.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15-08:00 UTC are the next test and could break this range
  • Close below 1.14185 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1410 support zone
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 range top would shift the read back toward 1.14444

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, now flat in Asia · RSI 47 · price 1.14271

Consolidation above 1.1419 floor.

EUR/USD sold off through NY hours to a 1.14185 floor as post-Fed USD strength kept the pair near 3-month lows. Asia session is ranging tight between 1.1419 and 1.1430 on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 47 with no momentum either way.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.1419 exposes the 1.1410/1.1390 support zone
  • M15 close above 1.14315 then 1.1444 would break the consolidation
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 1.14294

Consolidation above session low after intraday slide.

EURUSD slid through London-NY hours from 1.1463 to probe 1.1419, then flattened into a tight Asia-session range as EUR sits near 3-month lows on the hawkish-Fed divergence. Price is coiling 1.1419-1.1431 ahead of the European open, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with ATR thinned to ~4 pips.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break below 1.1419 session low exposes the 1.1400 psych level
  • Close above 1.1431 session high opens the path to 1.1444

04:16 UTC

Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 1.14294

Consolidation above session low.

EURUSD bled to a 3-month low at 1.14185 during late NY then drifted into a tight Asian-session range, 1.1419-1.1430, with twin lows near 1.1418 holding. RSI(14) is flat near 49 after the selloff; price is back above EMA20 but capped by EMA50, no setup in play yet.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1421

Resistance: 1.14305, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15-08:00 UTC could break this range
  • Loss of 1.14185 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1410
  • M15 close above 1.14305 reopens the 1.14444 swing high

04:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 1.1427

Lower highs into low-volume consolidation near session lows.

EURUSD slid through yesterday's London-NY hours from 1.1463 to print a session low at 1.1419, then drifted into a tight low-volume Asia consolidation around 1.1425-1.1430. Price is pinned at three-month lows as hawkish-Fed divergence keeps the dollar bid; RSI(14) sits mid-range with momentum flat.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1410
  • Close above 1.1430 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.1444

04:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.1427

Lower highs into consolidation near 3-month lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the window — hawkish-Fed divergence kept the pair pinned at three-month lows — before flattening into a tight 1.1419-1.1430 coil during Asia hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed to ~13 pips, reflecting the stalled grind into the European open.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410, 1.1390

Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15-08:00 UTC could break the 1.1419-1.1430 coil
  • M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1410
  • Close above 1.1444 invalidates the consolidation read

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14247

Lower highs into 1.1419 base, flat in Asia.

NY session drove the slide from ~1.1460 to the 1.1419 session low on the hawkish-Fed USD bid; Asia hours have consolidated 1.1420-1.1431 with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s. The 1.1419 base has been retested twice and held into the latest bar.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1438

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1410 key zone
  • Reclaim of 1.1431 unwinds the consolidation toward 1.1438
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could break this range

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14247

Consolidation just above session low.

EUR/USD slid from 1.1463 through the NY session to a 1.14185 low, then went flat in thin Asia trade, coiling between 1.1420 and 1.14315 just above the lows. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; bearish drift intact but no fresh leg yet.

Support: 1.14185, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14185 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1400
  • Reclaim of 1.14315 range top unwinds the consolidation read
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 1.14243

Lower lows, now consolidating near session low.

EURUSD drifted to 3-month lows near 1.1419 on the broad USD bid before steadying into Asia hours, now coiling in a tight 1.1420–1.1430 band below EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-40s reflects faded selling pressure rather than a turn; flash Eurozone PMIs at 07:30 UTC are the next catalyst.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.14346

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC could break the 1.1420–1.1430 consolidation either way
  • Loss of 1.14188 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.1410 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.14315 minor cap shifts the near-term read to range

03:31 UTC

Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.14243

Tight range above session low.

EUR/USD slid to 3-month lows near 1.1419 during the European-NY slide, then went flat through Asia, coiling 1.1420-1.1430 as a firm dollar on hawkish-Fed repricing kept the euro pinned. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; no fresh impulse since the drop.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410, 1.1390

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could break the range
  • M15 close above 1.1430 unwinds the consolidation read
  • Break of 1.14188 opens the 1.1410/1.1390 support zone

03:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat in Asia · RSI 48 · price 1.14263

Consolidation near 3-month lows.

EUR/USD slid through London-NY to test the 1.14188 session low before steadying; Asian session is a tight consolidation between 1.1420 and 1.14303 on thin volume. Pair sits pinned near 3-month lows as hawkish-Fed pricing keeps USD bid.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1410
  • Reclaim of 1.14303 opens the 1.14444 prior swing

03:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14263

Consolidation just above session lows.

NY session drove EUR/USD to fresh 3-month lows near 1.1419 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid; Asia hours have stalled into a tight 1.1419-1.1431 range with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50, no momentum in either direction.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1444

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1419/1.1410 support extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1210
  • Close back above 1.1431 range top unwinds the oversold drift
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range

03:01 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.14286

Consolidation above session low.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to a 1.14188 low on broad USD strength, then flattened into a tight 1.1419-1.1431 range through Asia. Price is coiling near 1.1429 with RSI(14) neutral around 52 and ATR thin at ~27 pips.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.14188 exposes the 1.1410 psych level
  • M15 close above 1.14315 invalidates the range read
  • Eurozone flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range

03:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 50 · price 1.14286

Lower highs basing near session lows.

EUR/USD drifted lower through London-NY toward 3-month lows at 1.14188 as a firm USD held on hawkish Fed pricing, then coiled into a tight 1.1421-1.1431 base through Asia hours. Momentum is flat with RSI near 50 and ATR compressing to ~6 pips; no setup in play.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14315

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone & German flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could break this consolidation
  • Break below 1.14188 opens the 1.1410/1.1390 zone
  • M15 close above 1.14315 unwinds the basing structure

02:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.14298

Tight consolidation near 3-month lows.

EUR/USD slid into 1.14188 during the NY session before steadying; thin Asian-session volume now has price grinding 1.1421-1.1431 just above the session low. The pair is pinned near 3-month lows with hawkish-Fed pricing keeping USD bid, RSI(14) neutral around 55 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14315, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break below 1.14188 session low exposes the 1.1410 round level
  • M15 close above 1.14315 swing high opens 1.14444 prior swing

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 1.14298

Consolidation above session low.

EUR slid through London-NY to 3-month lows near 1.1419 on hawkish-Fed dollar strength, then steadied into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1425-1.1430 on thin volume. Price has based above the session low but stays capped under 1.1431; broader bias sits sub-1.15.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1444, 1.1465

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.1419 reopens the path toward 1.1410/1.1390
  • Reclaim of 1.1444 would unwind the intraday down leg

02:31 UTC

Downtrend stalled, ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.14309

Asia range after London/NY slide.

EUR/USD slid through the London-NY window to a session low at 1.14188, then steadied; the Asia session has chopped 1.14220-1.14310 on thin volume with a slow grind back to the highs. RSI(14) near 55, neutral — no setup in play with euro pinned near 3-month lows on the hawkish-Fed divergence.

Support: 1.14188, 1.14223

Resistance: 1.14376, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could break this quiet Asia range
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC the larger session risk
  • Loss of 1.14188 reopens the slide toward the 1.1410 area
  • Close above 1.14376 invalidates the consolidation read

02:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, basing · RSI 59 · price 1.14309

Tight range above session low after NY selloff.

EUR/USD sold off through the prior NY session to 3-month lows at 1.14188 on the firm-dollar, hawkish-Fed theme, then steadied into Asia in a tight 1.1419-1.1432 band. Price is pressing the range cap with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; no clean trend in play.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1432, 1.1446

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC can break this range
  • M15 close above 1.1432 opens the 1.1446 swing high
  • Break of 1.1410 risks acceleration toward 1.1390

02:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 51 · price 1.14272

Consolidation above session low.

EUR/USD drifted to a 1.14188 session low during the slide then went flat in thin Asia-session trade, coiling in a tight 1.1419-1.1429 band near 3-month lows with hawkish-Fed flow still capping rallies. RSI(14) is neutral around 51 and ATR is compressed at ~6 pips, signalling a low-energy hold ahead of data.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1446

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could break this coil; US PMIs 13:45 UTC also in play
  • M15 close below 1.1419 reopens the 1.1410 support zone
  • Reclaim of 1.1429 swing high needed to relieve the downside drift

02:16 UTC

Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.14272

Ranging near session lows after a slide.

EUR/USD slid through the London-NY session to a session low of 1.14188 (3-month lows) on hawkish-Fed dollar strength, then flatlined into thin Asia hours between 1.14210 and 1.14300. RSI is neutral around 47 and ATR has compressed to ~21 pips — no setup in play, range-bound ahead of the data.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1421

Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break below 1.14188 session low confirms continuation lower
  • Close above 1.14300 swing high opens the path to 1.14444

02:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14236

Lower highs, consolidating near session lows.

EUR/USD drifted to a session low of 1.1419 during the London-NY decline, then flatlined through the thin Asia session in a tight 1.1422-1.1428 band near 3-month lows. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~3 pips; no momentum either way as the hawkish-Fed bid keeps the pair pinned.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1450

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break of 1.1419 opens the 1.1410 psych level
  • Close above 1.1429 unwinds the consolidation toward 1.1450

02:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.14236

Lower highs into tight range near session lows.

EUR/USD ground lower through London/NY and is now coiling in a tight 1.1422-1.1429 band just above the 1.14188 session low during Asia, price under both EMA20 and EMA50. Hawkish-Fed USD demand has kept the pair pinned near 3-month lows; RSI(14) is mid-40s with no extreme.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14464

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.14188 session low opens the 1.1410 support zone
  • Reclaim above 1.1429 recent high unwinds the consolidation lower bias
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14227

Lower highs into a tight Asian range near lows.

EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session to a session low of 1.14188 as a firm dollar held bid, then steadied into thin Asia hours in a tight 1.1419-1.1429 band. RSI(14) sits mid-low with no momentum reset; price remains pinned beneath EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1440

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14290 micro high eases the downside drift
  • Loss of 1.14188 session low opens the 1.1410 psych level
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, flattening at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14227

Consolidating just above session low.

EUR/USD slid through the London-NY session to a 1.14188 session low on hawkish-Fed pressure, then steadied in a tight 1.1419-1.1430 band into Asia hours. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 42 — no momentum, range-bound at the lows.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.14188 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1410 round level
  • Reclaim of 1.14300 range top would unwind the bearish drift
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.14232

Lower highs, flatlining near session low.

EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session after a sharp drop near 1.1455, extending the post-Fed slide toward 1.1419 before steadying. Asia has flatlined in a tight 1.1421-1.1429 band just above the session low, RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14366, 1.14502

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.14188 session low confirms continuation lower toward the 1.1410 round level
  • Reclaim of 1.14290 recent high needed to ease the downside drift
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this tight range

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 42 · price 1.14232

Tight consolidation near 3-month lows.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to 1.14188 on the hawkish-Fed bid, then flatlined into Asia hours, coiling tightly between 1.1419 and 1.1429. RSI(14) near 42, momentum drained and ATR compressed to ~15 pips.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1429

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1419 then 1.1410 opens the 1.1400 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.1429 range top would unwind the consolidation
  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC can materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14266

Consolidating above session low after stepped decline.

EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY window under post-Fed USD strength, basing into the Asia session just above the 1.14188 session low on thin volume. Price is coiling in a tight 1.1422-1.1431 band with RSI(14) mid-40s; no fresh directional break in play.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1445

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1410 zone
  • Reclaim of 1.14312 is needed to challenge the 1.1445 prior swing
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC are the next catalyst and could break this range

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 1.14266

Consolidation after NY leg lower.

EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY hours on sustained post-Fed USD strength, printing a session low at 1.14188 before stabilising. Price now coils in a tight 1.1420-1.1432 range during Asia, RSI(14) neutral near 44 with momentum flat.

Support: 1.14188, 1.14207

Resistance: 1.14316, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.14188 session low confirms continuation lower toward the 1.140 area
  • M15 close above 1.14316 range top opens 1.14444 prior swing
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC are the next catalyst and could break this range

01:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.14257

Consolidation near session low.

NY session drove EUR/USD lower into 1.14187 on sustained post-Fed USD strength; price has since gone flat through Asia hours, drifting in a tight 1.14220-1.14290 band on thin volume. Asia high at 1.14290 caps, session low at 1.14187 holds for now.

Support: 1.14187, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14367

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14187 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1410/1.140 area
  • Reclaim of 1.14290 needed to break the Asian consolidation
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

01:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.14257

Lower highs into a low-band consolidation.

EUR ground lower through the session on post-Fed USD momentum, the sharp leg down off 1.1460 bottoming at 1.14188. Price has since gone flat between 1.1419 and 1.1429, RSI(14) recovering off the lows; no fresh impulse in play.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14447

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.14188 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1410 zone
  • Reclaim of 1.1429 micro high opens room back toward 1.1445
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC are the main near-term catalyst for this read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14256

Tight Asian range after NY slide.

EURUSD slid through the NY session from 1.1466 to a 1.1419 low on post-Fed USD strength, then went flat in a tight 1.1419-1.1432 Asian range, RSI mid-40s. Price holds just below EMA20/50 with no fresh impulse into the early hours.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1432, 1.1450

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1419 exposes the 1.1410 psych level
  • Close above 1.1432 needed to challenge 1.1450 prior swing
  • EZ flash PMIs ~07:15 UTC are the next catalyst for this range

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 42 · price 1.14256

Lower highs into flat base near session lows.

London-NY hours drove EUR down from 1.1466 to a session low at 1.14188 on post-Fed USD strength, then Asia opened flat with price drifting around 1.1426 on thin volume. Sequence of lower highs intact; demand stalled the slide just above 1.1419 but no recovery momentum has built.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14447

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1410
  • Reclaim of 1.14290 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC are the next catalyst for this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.14227

Lower highs into a tight low-side range.

EURUSD ground lower through NY with a sharp leg down near 1.1435 on firm post-Fed USD, bottoming at 1.1419. Price has since coiled in a thin 1.1419–1.1429 Asian-session range, RSI mid-40s with the recent low holding.

Support: 1.1419, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1450

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1410 support zone
  • Reclaim of 1.1429 breaks the low-side range and opens 1.1450
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15–08:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.14227

Lower highs, lower lows; compressing near lows.

EUR slid through the London-NY session on post-Fed USD momentum, basing at 1.14188 before a thin Asia-session drift back toward the lows. Price is compressed between 1.14290 and 1.14188 with volume drying up; price holds below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1410
  • Reclaim of 1.14290 needed to ease the downside pressure
  • EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 42 · price 1.14246

Lower lows into tight Asia consolidation.

EUR ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.14188 on post-Fed USD strength, and has since compressed into a tight 1.1421-1.1429 band on thin Asia liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR collapsing as volume dries up.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14464

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15 UTC are the next catalyst and could break this range
  • M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1410 support zone
  • Close above 1.1429 challenges the descending resistance and 1.14464 swing high

00:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.14246

Lower lows into a tight base near session low.

NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1463 down to a 1.1419 session low on firm post-Fed USD, before the slide stalled. Asia is now consolidating in a thin 1.1419-1.1429 band on low volume, price pinned just under EMA20/50.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1410

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14447

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1419 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1410
  • Reclaim of 1.1429 needed before the 1.1447 swing comes back into play
  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15 UTC could break the Asian base

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14262

Lower highs into tight consolidation near lows.

NY session extended the post-Fed USD slide into 1.1419 before the Asia session flattened it into a tight 1.1424-1.1429 consolidation on thin volume. Price holds just under EMA20/EMA50 with no momentum either way as the market waits on data.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could break this consolidation
  • M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1400 area
  • Reclaim of 1.1444 would unwind the intraday slide

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 1.14262

Lower highs/lows, now flat near lows.

EUR/USD slid through the London-NY session to a 1.14188 session low on firm post-Fed USD momentum, then flattened into thin Asian trade just under 1.1428. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold but price remains pinned below EMA20/EMA50 with no clear bounce yet.

Support: 1.14188, 1.1416, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14367, 1.14444

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.14188 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 area
  • M15 close above 1.14290 challenges the recent lower-high sequence

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