EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY window on post-Fed USD momentum, printing a session low at 1.14188 before flattening into the Asia session around 1.1426. Price now coils in a tight 1.1419-1.1430 range on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14188 opens the 1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.14300 unwinds the consolidation-at-lows read
23:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14264
Consolidation above session low.
EURUSD slid through the NY session to a 1.14187 session low on firm post-Fed USD momentum, then flattened into thin Asian-hours trade, consolidating 1.1421-1.1430. RSI(14) is mid-range and ATR has compressed to single digits as the move stalls below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.14187, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14316
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Break of 1.14187 opens the 1.1410 zone
M15 close above 1.14316 challenges the consolidation cap
EUR slid through the London-NY sessions to a 1.1419 low on firm post-Fed dollar, then flattened into a tight 1.1419-1.1430 range during thin Asian hours. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1419 but the 1.1430 cap is holding; RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s, momentum stalled.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1410 support zone
M15 close above 1.1430 unwinds the consolidation toward 1.1450
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session under firm post-Fed USD, printing a session low at 1.14188 before stabilising. Asian hours are thin and flat, coiling 1.1421-1.1429 just under the descending lower-high sequence; RSI(14) recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.14444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14188 opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14310 micro high needed to break the lower-high chain
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR ground lower through the Sunday-Monday window, pressured by post-Fed USD strength, basing around the 1.14188 session low. Price now coils in a tight 1.1419-1.1430 band in thin Asia liquidity, RSI(14) mid-range after the slide; lower highs still capping into 1.143.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1416, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs ~07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14188 opens the 1.1416/1.1400 area
Recovery through 1.143 challenges the lower-high sequence
Quiet Asia session, EUR/USD compressing in a 1.1419-1.1431 band after the London-NY slide on firm post-Fed dollar momentum. ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips and RSI(14) sits mid-range; the 1.14188 session low is so far holding.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1416, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.14444
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could break this compression
M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a lower-low toward 1.140
Reclaim of 1.1431 range top eases the downside pressure
Lower lows into a tight consolidation at the lows.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session to 1.14188 on firm post-Fed USD momentum, then stabilised into a tight 1.1419-1.1429 range in thin Asia hours, RSI(14) recovering off lows to mid-40s. Price sits just under EMA20 with the consolidation respecting the 1.1429 cap.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14444
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range
Close below 1.14188 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1416 area
Lower highs / lower lows, now basing near session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through London-NY on post-Fed USD momentum, posting a session low at 1.14188 before stabilising. Thin Asia hours have it coiling in a tight 1.1419-1.1432 band, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s with no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14316
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1390 area
Reclaim of 1.14316 would break the chain of lower highs
EZ flash PMIs 07:15 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating into Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.14267
Lower highs/lows, basing near session low.
EUR slid through the NY session on post-Fed USD strength, printing a session low at 1.1419 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating a tight 1.1420-1.1430 band in thin Asia trade, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI in the low-40s.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
Close back above 1.1444 swing high would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD slid through the NY session on firm post-Fed USD demand, printing a session low at 1.14188 before a shallow bounce to 1.1432. Thin Asia trade has the pair drifting around 1.1427, RSI(14) recovering into the mid-40s and sitting just under EMA20.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1419 reopens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1432 puts the 1.1450 prior range back in play
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR sold off through London-NY toward 1.1419 as post-Fed USD strength dominated, before flattening into thin Asia-hours consolidation around 1.1427. RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-40s; price idling just above EMA20 with EMA50 capping overhead.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14464
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1419 session low opens the 1.1410 area flagged in macro context
M15 close above 1.1430 unwinds the intraday lower-high structure
EZ flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) Tuesday can override this thin-volume read
EUR ground lower through the London-NY session toward 1.1419 on post-Fed USD strength, then went flat in a thin Asian range around 1.1427. RSI(14) has cooled and lifted off its lows; no setup in play while 1.1419 holds and 1.1430 caps.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1419 opens the 1.1410/1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1444 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:30/08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Downtrend extended through the NY-Asia transition, printing a session low at 1.14188 before a shallow bounce to 1.14275 on thin Asia volume. Price now coils just under a string of descending highs; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 46 with EMA20 flattening as the leg down loses pace.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14444
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14188 opens the 1.14100 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14444 prior swing needed to ease the downside read
EZ flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) Tue could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing into Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.14275
Lower highs, lows holding 1.1419.
EURUSD slid through the London-NY sessions on firm post-Fed USD, bottoming at the 1.1419 session low before basing into thin Asia hours near 1.1427. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to the mid-40s, with price coiling just under the 1.14329 micro high and the 1.1410 psych support untested below.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14329
What it said to watch
Asia-hours close above 1.14329 micro high challenges the descending intraday highs
Loss of 1.1419 session low opens the 1.1410 psych zone
EZ flash PMIs (~07:30 UTC) could reset this consolidation
EUR pressed lower through the London-NY sessions on post-Fed USD momentum, carving a session low at 1.14188. Price is basing in thin Asian-hours liquidity between 1.14188 and 1.14290, RSI(14) lifting off lows near 42 but still sub-50.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14188 opens the 1.1400 area
Reclaim of 1.14367 would break the chain of lower highs
EZ flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) Tue could shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.14257
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating near session low.
EUR ground lower through the NY session on firm post-Fed USD, printing a session low at 1.14188 before stalling into thin Asia-hours volume around 1.1425. Chain of lower highs intact; RSI(14) mid-40s with no oversold extreme as price coils between 1.14188 and the 1.14367 swing high.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14367
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14188 session low opens the 1.14100 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14367 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
EZ flash PMIs (Tue 07:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session on firm post-Fed USD momentum, printing a session low at 1.14188 before a shallow bounce to 1.1429. Price is now drifting in a tight 1.1419-1.1429 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) recovering off its lows near 42.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14188 session low extends the downtrend toward the 1.1410 psych area
M15 close back above 1.1429 bounce high would relieve the downside pressure
EZ flash PMIs (Tue 07:30/08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session on post-Fed USD strength, breaking 1.1430 and bottoming at 1.14188 before basing around 1.1424 on thin late-session volume. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still soft near 42.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14329, 1.14444
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14188 opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14329 needed to ease downside pressure
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:30/08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD trended lower through the NY session on firm post-FOMC USD, printing a session low at 1.14188 before basing in a tight 1.1419-1.1429 band into thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~4 pips; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14367, 1.14444
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14188 confirms continuation toward the 1.1410 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14290 then 1.14367 would break the lower-high sequence
EZ flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading late · RSI 42 · price 1.14235
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session on post-Fed USD strength, marking a session low at 1.14188 before stabilising. Late Asia hours are thin and consolidating around 1.1420-1.1430, RSI(14) lifting off the low-30s as selling pressure eases.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14188 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1410
Reclaim of the 1.14290 ema20 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
EZ flash PMIs Tue 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Steady M15 downtrend as post-FOMC USD strength pressed EUR toward the session low at 1.14188, with the late NY-Asia transition trading thin. A minor bounce to 1.14290 has faded back, RSI(14) cooling near 41 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1436
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14188 opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14290 breaks the chain of lower highs
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session on firm post-FOMC USD demand, printing a fresh low at 1.14188 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating 1.1419-1.1428 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) recovering off oversold-ish levels near 43.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1419 opens the 1.1410 psych zone
Reclaim of 1.1446 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR drifted lower through the NY session into the Asia handover, printing a session low at 1.1419 before a shallow bounce stalled near 1.1430; price is heavy sub-1.1450 as hawkish-Fed USD demand persists. Volume thinned into the late session and RSI(14) sits mid-40s — no momentum extreme, just slow decay.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 invalidates the lower-high chain
Break below 1.1419 then 1.1410 opens the path to 1.1390
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground out a sequence of lower highs through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.1419 before stabilising near 1.1426 as safe-haven dollar demand and firm Fed hike pricing kept the euro heavy. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s and price holds below EMA20/EMA50; the late tape is flat in a tight 1.1419–1.1429 band.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1419 confirms the next lower-low toward 1.1410
Reclaim of 1.1446 would break the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs (Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC) are the next driver for this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY-Asia transition, printing a session low at 1.14188 before a shallow bounce to 1.14290; price now stalls near 1.1427 with RSI(14) recovering off mid-40s. Lower-high structure intact and price below EMA20/50 as post-Fed USD demand keeps the euro heavy.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14188 confirms continuation toward 1.1410
Reclaim of 1.14312 breaks the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, pressed below 1.1430 as post-Fed USD strength kept the euro heavy. Price is basing just above the 1.14188 session low after a shallow bounce, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still sub-50; thin late-session volume.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14188 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1410
Reclaim of 1.14367 would break the sequence of lower highs
EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; minor bounce off session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the US session in a clean lower-high chain, pressured by the post-Fed dollar bid, bottoming at 1.14188 before a shallow late-session bounce to 1.14283. RSI(14) near 43 with price reclaiming the EMA20 on the bounce, but the descending structure stays intact.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.14444
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14356 breaks the lower-high chain
Break below 1.14188 opens the 1.1410 psych zone
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, sub-1.1430 as safe-haven dollar demand off Iran headlines and firm Fed hike pricing kept the euro heavy. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1419-1.1429 base with RSI(14) recovering off its lows; the descending highs from 1.14502 remain intact.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14367, 1.14444, 1.14502
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14188 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the 1.1410 area
Reclaim of 1.14367 breaks the chain of lower highs
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground EUR/USD steadily lower to a fresh low at 1.14188 as hawkish-Fed dollar demand kept the euro heavy below 1.1450. Small bounce to 1.14249 into the close, RSI(14) near 40 but no reversal structure yet — descending lower-high chain intact.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14188 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1410 psych zone
A close back above 1.14367 breaks the descending lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs (Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC) and US flash PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) are the next catalysts
NY session ground steadily lower, printing a fresh session low at 1.14188 before a shallow bounce to 1.14249 as broad USD bid post-hawkish Fed kept EUR heavy. RSI(14) near 38 but no extreme; descending highs intact since the 1.14502 swing.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14367
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14188 opens the 1.14100 area
M15 close above 1.14367 breaks the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs / lower lows, grinding into late session.
EUR/USD ground steadily lower through the NY session into late hours, pressing to 1.14188 as the firm USD kept the pair on the back foot. RSI(14) sits near 31 — soft but not extreme — and the slide has flattened into the last few bars below both EMAs.
Support: 1.14188, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14329
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14329 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.140 opens the 1.1390-1.1410 support zone
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through late NY to a fresh session low at 1.1419, USD staying firm on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31, not yet oversold; sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1444
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1431 would break the descending sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.1419 opens the path toward the 1.141 psych zone
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC are the next EUR catalyst and could shift this read
EUR/USD ground steadily lower through the NY session, dragged by firm USD, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into 1.1420. Sellers capped each bounce below 1.1431 and price is now sitting on the session low with RSI(14) mid-30s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1431
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms continuation toward the 1.1390/1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.1431 would break the lower-high chain
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC are the next catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD grinds to fresh session lows at 1.1420 through the NY afternoon, pressured by firm hawkish-Fed USD. Clean lower-high/lower-low sequence intact, RSI(14) near 31 and the round 1.1400 sitting just below as the next reference.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1433
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1400 opens the 1.1390 / 1.140 test flagged by ING and UOB
Recovery above 1.1433 breaks the lower-high sequence
EU flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC are the next EUR catalyst and could shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; grinding into session low.
EUR/USD grinding lower through NY hours, pressing the session low at 1.14219 with the USD firm on hawkish-Fed pricing. Candles are small and RSI(14) near 37, so the descent is slowing rather than accelerating; the 1.143 lower-high band still caps.
Support: 1.14219, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14329, 1.14502
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14219 opens the path toward the 1.140 psych test flagged by ING
Reclaim of 1.14502 swing high would break the descending channel
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC is the next EUR catalyst
EURUSD ground to fresh session lows at 1.1422 on thin late-session volume, extending the downtrend with USD firm on hawkish-Fed pricing. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40, no sign of a bounce taking hold.
Support: 1.14219, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14329
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14329 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14219 opens the 1.140 test flagged by ING
Lower highs into a flat consolidation near session lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session under firm post-Fed USD, printing fresh session lows at 1.1419. Price is now flat-lining in a tight 1.1424-1.1430 band; RSI(14) near 39, soft but not oversold. The 1.1430 micro pivot caps, with 1.1410 the consensus retest below.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1419 swing low exposes the 1.1410 consensus zone
M15 close back above 1.1430 micro pivot eases the downside grind toward 1.1450 prior swing
EZ flash PMIs (23 Jun 07:30-08:00 UTC) is the next catalyst for this range
Lower highs and lower lows, grinding to session low.
EUR/USD drifted lower through NY hours on firm hawkish-Fed USD, slipping sub-1.143 and printing a fresh session low at 1.1420. The descent has slowed into late NY with RSI(14) near 38 and price hugging the lows — no bounce yet, just a slow grind beneath a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1420 confirms continuation toward the 1.1410 consensus zone
Reclaim of the 1.1450 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
EZ flash PMIs (07:30 UTC tomorrow) the next domestic catalyst that could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into a base · RSI 41 · price 1.14261
Lower highs / lower lows, now flat-lining near session low.
NY session pressed EUR/USD steadily lower to 1.14242 as the dollar held its post-Fed breakout; price is now basing in a tight 1.1425-1.1430 band with RSI(14) off its lows. The descending pivot at 1.14329 caps the bounce attempts.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14329, 1.14464
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14242 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.14329 would stall the downtrend read
EZ flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC) are the next catalyst for this pair
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session on a firm USD, breaking down to a session low of 1.14242 before stabilising. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1425-1.1433 band just above the low, RSI(14) flat near 38 with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14329
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14242 confirms continuation toward the 1.140 zone
Close back above 1.14329 micro high eases the downside pressure
EZ flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC tomorrow) the next domestic catalyst
Lower lows into a tight basing range near session low.
EUR/USD slid through the NY session to a 1.14251 low as a firm post-Fed USD kept the pair pinned sub-1.145, then went into a tight 1.1428-1.1430 base over the last 2 hours. Sellers capped each bounce below 1.14307; structure stays a chain of lower lows with momentum cooling.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14307, 1.14444, 1.14502
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14251 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1410 area
Reclaim of 1.14307 range top would stall the lower-low sequence
EZ flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC tomorrow) the next domestic catalyst
EUR ground lower through the NY session toward the 1.140 consensus magnet on firm post-Fed USD, printing a low at 1.14251 before stalling. Price now coils in a tight 1.1428-1.1433 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but holding below 50, and sitting under both EMAs.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14329
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14251 confirms the next lower-low and exposes the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14329 range top would stall the downside drift
Eurozone flash PMIs (23 Jun, 07:30 UTC) is the next domestic catalyst and could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower lows to 1.14251 as a firm dollar kept the pair heavy sub-1.15. Price has since gone flat in a tight 1.1428-1.1432 band on fading range, sitting just above the session low ahead of Tuesday's PMIs.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14329, 1.14502
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14251 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14329 micro high would break the descending intraday structure
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1460 down to 1.1425 as the firm dollar (hawkish-Fed repricing) extended; price is now flat-lining around 1.1430 with ATR(14) ~42 pips. RSI(14) near 42, off its lows, and 1.1425 has held into late session.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.1461
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1410
Reclaim of 1.1438 needed to ease the intraday downside pressure
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC could shift this read sharply
Lower highs/lower lows, now consolidating at lows.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking to a session low of 1.14251 as the dollar held firm on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price is now coiling tight around 1.14285 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 39 — no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.14502
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14251 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14502 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
EZ flash PMIs Tue ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, flattening at session low.
NY session pressed EUR/USD to a session low at 1.1425 as the dollar held firm on hawkish-Fed repricing; price is now coiling 1.1428-1.1430 with RSI lifting off the lows. Sequence of lower highs intact below 1.1450.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14367, 1.14502
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1425 opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14367 would break the lower-high sequence
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC Tue could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session toward 1.1425 as the dollar stays firm on hawkish-Fed repricing, twice finding demand at 1.1425 to form a double bottom. Price now coils in a tight 1.1425-1.1432 range with RSI(14) near 39; the 1.1450 bounce high caps the recovery.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 invalidates the double bottom and opens 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1450 bounce high needed to challenge the 1.1457 swing high
EZ flash PMIs Tue ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1460 to a session low of 1.1425 as the dollar held firm on hawkish-Fed repricing. Last several bars have stalled around 1.1429 with RSI(14) lifting off the lows; the chain of lower highs is still intact.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14384, 1.14502
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14384 then 1.14502 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14251 opens the path toward the 1.1410 support zone
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Downtrend through the NY session, EUR/USD grinding out lower highs and lower lows to a session low at 1.1425 as the dollar held firm on hawkish-Fed repricing. RSI(14) basing near 40 and ATR around 7 pips; price is now consolidating just above the low into late NY.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14377
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 extends the downtrend toward the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1438 would break the chain of lower highs
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
USD firm sub-1.15 on hawkish-Fed repricing pressured EUR through the NY session, grinding price down to a 1.1425 session low with RSI(14) near 34. Last hour is consolidating tight between 1.1429 and 1.1432, momentum cooling but no reversal structure yet.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.14502
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14251 opens the 1.1410 support zone
A close back above 1.14380 breaks the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, making lower lows · RSI 34 · price 1.14299
Lower-high / lower-low chain into NY afternoon.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking below 1.1450 and setting a fresh low at 1.14251 as a firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing kept the pair heavy. Bounces stalled at 1.14502; RSI(14) near 34, soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14502
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14251 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14502 breaks the descending-highs structure
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 40 · price 1.14299
Lower highs and lower lows.
EUR/USD ground out fresh session lows at 1.14251 through NY hours as a firm dollar on hawkish-Fed repricing kept the pair heavy below 1.15. The bounce off 1.1425 has stalled near 1.14330, RSI(14) mid-30s with price pinned under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1420, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.14376, 1.14502, 1.14595
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14251 confirms continuation toward the 1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.14376 would ease the lower-low sequence
EZ flash PMIs Tue ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.14297
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing fresh lows at 1.14251 as the dollar stays firm on hawkish-Fed repricing. RSI(14) near 37, not yet stretched; rejections at 1.14377 and 1.14502 capped each bounce.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14377, 1.14502
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14251 exposes the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14377 needed to challenge the downtrend
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD grinding to fresh session lows near 1.1430 in late NY hours as a firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing keeps the pair heavy sub-1.15. Clean lower-high, lower-low chain since the 1.1463 session high; RSI(14) soft near 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.1450, 1.1463
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1438 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1425 session low extends the down-leg toward the 1.1410 support zone
EZ flash PMIs (~07:30-08:00 UTC) and US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) tomorrow could reset this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.1426
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground out a fresh NY-session low at 1.1425, sub-1.15 pressure persisting on a firm USD and hawkish-Fed repricing. Lower-high chain intact off 1.1450; RSI(14) near 33, soft but not extreme.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1465
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1425 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1410 round and 1.1390 zone
M15 close back above 1.1450 breaks the descending-high structure
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.1426
Lower highs and lower lows into NY.
EURUSD ground to fresh session lows at 1.1425 through NY hours as a firm USD kept the pair heavy below 1.15. Lower highs and lower lows intact, RSI(14) near 31 and stretched but not yet sub-20; price is below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1450, 1.1465
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1410 support zone opens the path toward 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1450 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14255
Lower highs / lower lows into session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing successive lower lows into a fresh session low at 1.1425 as a firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing and US-Iran haven flows kept the pair heavy sub-1.15. RSI(14) at ~33 with no bullish divergence; the 1.1450 swing high capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1410 support zone opens the path toward 1.1390/1.1410 lower edge
Reclaim of 1.1450 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
RSI sub-30 would flag short-term oversold stretch
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14255
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD slid through NY hours to fresh session lows at 1.14255 as the dollar held firm on hawkish-Fed repricing and Iran haven bids. Chain of lower highs intact, last capped at 1.14502; RSI(14) near 33, short-term stretched but normal in a trend.
Support: 1.14254, 1.14281, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14502
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14444 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14254 confirms continuation toward 1.1410
EZ flash PMIs Tue ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD broke down through 1.14502 during NY hours on a firm USD bid, printing fresh session lows at 1.14255 before stalling at 1.14268. Sequence of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14502
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14502 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.1410 support extends the down leg toward 1.1390
EZ flash PMIs Tue ~07:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session pressed EUR/USD to fresh session lows near 1.1426 as a firm dollar dominates on hawkish-Fed repricing. The lower-high chain off 1.14633 is intact and RSI(14) sits in the low 30s without yet flagging sub-20 exhaustion.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.14444
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14444 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14255 opens continuation toward 1.1410
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC tomorrow could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14315
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR pressed lower through NY hours on a firm USD, printing a session low at 1.14255 before a bounce stalled at 1.14502 and rolled back over. Price now sits at 1.14315, hugging the lows with RSI(14) near 41 — no relief yet from the sub-1.15 slide.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14502, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14255 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14502 would break the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14315
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD pressed to a session low of 1.14255 during NY hours as a firm dollar (hawkish-Fed repricing plus Iran haven bid) extended losses through 1.1450. A bounce to 1.14502 was sold and price is now sitting near the lows at 1.14315, RSI(14) holding in the low 40s.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14502
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14255 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
M15 close back above 1.14502 would break the lower-high chain
EZ flash PMIs Tue ~07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 1.1437
Lower highs and lows, near session low.
NY session sold off sharply through 1.1450 to a session low of 1.14255 on USD haven bids, RSI dipping toward oversold. The bounce to 1.14502 was rejected and price is fading back toward the lows; the 1.1416 multi-week low is the near pivot.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14502
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14255 exposes the 1.1416/1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14502 would ease the downside pressure
Eurozone flash PMIs tomorrow could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.1437
Lower highs into multi-week low.
NY session sold EUR/USD through the 1.1455 range floor to a 1.1425 low as the USD held firm on hawkish-Fed bets and Iran haven flows. Bounce to 1.1450 was rejected and price is grinding back lower at 1.1437, RSI(14) mid-40s with no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1416 multi-week low opens the 1.1410 support zone
M15 close back above 1.1450 swing high eases the downside pressure
Eurozone flash PMIs tomorrow could materially shift this read
EUR sold off through the NY session to a low of 1.14255 on USD strength and hawkish-Fed bets, before a modest bounce stalled at 1.14502. Price sits back at 1.14391, below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s with no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14502
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14255 exposes the 1.1416 multi-week low
M15 close back above 1.14502 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash PMIs tomorrow could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14391
Lower highs, lower lows into multi-week lows.
NY session drove EUR/USD down through 1.14500 to a session low of 1.14255 on a broad USD haven bid, printing fresh multi-week lows. Price bounced to 1.14502 and was rejected, fading back to 1.14391; RSI(14) near 41 with no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1416, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14502
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14255 opens the 1.1416/1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14502 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash PMIs tomorrow 07:15-08:00 UTC can shift this read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.1447
Lower highs into a session low, mild recovery.
NY session sold EUR/USD down to 1.14255 around 13:15 UTC on broad USD haven demand, holding just above the 1.1416 multi-week low. Price has since recovered ~20 pips to 1.1447, stalling under the 1.1450 swing high with RSI(14) lifting off the low to mid-40s.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1461
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1450 would open the 1.1461 prior swing
Loss of 1.14255 exposes the 1.1416 multi-week low
Eurozone flash PMIs (Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC) the next catalyst
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.1447
Lower highs, session low swept at 1.1426.
NY session drove a sharp leg down to 1.14255 on USD haven demand and hawkish-Fed bets, RSI dipping into oversold before a bounce back to 1.1447. Lower-high structure intact; the 1.14255 session low held on the flush and price is now recovering toward the 1.14502 bounce high.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14502, 1.14615
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14255 exposes the 1.1416 multi-week low
Reclaim of 1.14615 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Eurozone flash PMIs tomorrow 07:15 UTC could shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14469
Lower highs and lower lows, swept session low.
NY session saw a sharp leg down sub-1.1450 as the USD stayed bid on hawkish-Fed repricing and Iran risk, sweeping to 1.14255 before a snap recovery to 1.14469. RSI cooling out of oversold; price stalling just under the 1.14502 bounce high with the broader sequence still lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 1.14255, 1.14347
Resistance: 1.14502, 1.14546
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14546 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14347 swing low reopens 1.14255 session low
ECB Lagarde speech (15:15 UTC) could shift this read intraday
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14469
Lower highs and lower lows, recovery off session low.
Sharp NY-session leg lower printed a session low at 1.14255 as the USD stayed bid on Iran risk and hawkish-Fed repricing. Price has since recovered toward 1.14502 before easing back to 1.14469; RSI(14) lifting off the lows but price remains under EMA20/EMA50 with lower highs intact.
Support: 1.14255, 1.14335
Resistance: 1.14502, 1.14546
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14546 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14255 session low opens continuation toward the 1.1410 area
Eurozone flash PMIs tomorrow (07:15-08:00 UTC) are the next catalyst for this leg
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.14377
Lower highs, breakdown from base.
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1455 base into the NY session and printed a session low at 1.14255 as USD haven bids built on Iran risk and hawkish-Fed repricing. Modest bounce to 1.14377 underway, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the broken base around 1.1455 now caps.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14546
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14546 invalidates the breakdown read
Break of 1.14255 opens the 1.1410 key support zone
ECB Lagarde speech 15:15 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove EUR/USD through 1.14516 support to fresh lows at 1.14255 on the USD haven bid and hawkish-Fed repricing. Price has stalled into a shallow bounce near 1.14377 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the descending sequence of lower highs is intact.
Support: 1.14255, 1.14335
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14546
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde speech 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.14447 would break the chain of lower highs
Loss of 1.14255 confirms continuation lower
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 1.14375
Lower lows, broke session range.
EUR/USD broke down through the 1.14545 session base during NY hours and ran to a 1.14255 low as USD caught haven bids on Iran risk and hawkish-Fed repricing. RSI(14) sits in the low 30s after the slide; price is grinding a small bounce back to 1.14375 but stays below the broken range.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14545
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde speech ~15:15 UTC could shift this read sharply
Reclaim of 1.14545 negates the breakdown
Break of 1.14255 opens the 1.1410 zone
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, leg lower extending · RSI 34 · price 1.14375
Lower highs, fresh session low.
EUR/USD broke the 1.1455 floor and accelerated to a session low of 1.14255 in NY hours as the USD held a haven bid on Iran risk and hawkish-Fed repricing. Price has bounced to 1.14375 with RSI(14) lifting off the low-30s, but lower highs remain intact.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14546
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde 15:15 UTC could shift this read
M15 close below 1.14255 confirms continuation toward 1.1410
Reclaim of 1.14447 negates the fresh-low structure
EURUSD broke down through the 1.1454 floor in the last hour and printed a fresh session low at 1.14255 as USD strength on Iran haven flows and Fed bets pressed the euro lower. RSI(14) near 31 after the slide; price now stalling around 1.1435 with the 1.14447 swing high capping the immediate bounce.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14545
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14447 would ease the downside pressure off the session low
Loss of 1.14255 extends the leg toward the 1.1410 support zone
Lagarde speech 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.14348
Lower highs and lower lows, session low swept.
EUR/USD broke the intraday range late in the NY session, accelerating from 1.14606 down to a 1.14255 low as the USD held firm into Lagarde. Price bounced to 1.14348 off that low; RSI(14) near 37 after the flush, still below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14633
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14546 swing high would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14255 exposes the 1.1410 support zone
Lagarde speech (15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD broke the 1.1455 floor and accelerated lower into 1.1428, printing fresh session lows on rising volume as USD strength dominates. RSI(14) near 28 flags short-term oversold but momentum stays firmly down with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.14275, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1455
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1455 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14275 exposes the 1.1410 support zone
Lagarde speech 15:15 UTC could shift this read within the hour
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 23 · price 1.1428
Lower highs, fresh session low.
NY session sold off hard, EUR breaking to a fresh low at 1.1428 as broad USD strength on Fed rate-hike bets and Iran haven flows pins the pair sub-1.15. RSI(14) deep oversold near 22 after the impulsive break below 1.1454; momentum is one-directional with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1454, 1.1461
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1454 would neutralise the breakdown read
Hold below 1.1410 exposes the 1.1390 support zone
ECB Lagarde speech ~15:15 UTC could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 31 · price 1.14352
Lower highs into session-low break.
EUR/USD broke the 1.1455 consolidation floor in the NY session and dropped to a session low of 1.14335, RSI(14) near 31 as the USD haven bid extended. Price is pinning the lows with the 1.1417 three-month low the next reference below.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14545
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1417 opens the 1.1410/1.1390 zone below
EURUSD broke sharply lower in the NY session, slicing through the 1.14546 pivot to print a fresh session low at 1.14335 as the haven USD bid extended. RSI(14) near 29 marks short-term oversold, but price is pinned at the lows with no reclaim of 1.14546 yet.
Support: 1.14335, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14546
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14546 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14335 opens the path toward 1.14300
ECB Lagarde 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 1.14366
Consolidation broken to the downside, new local low.
NY session sliced the 1.1455-1.1465 consolidation with a sharp drop to a new local low at 1.1435 on the 13:00-13:45 UTC bars, RSI(14) pressing into the low 30s. The move fits the haven-USD bid story with EUR offered into Lagarde; sellers have controlled every bounce attempt back toward 1.1455.
Support: 1.14347, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14615
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14546 negates the downside break
Loss of 1.14347 swing low extends toward the 1.1410 support zone
ECB's Lagarde 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 1.14366
Lower highs, fresh session low.
NY session sliced through the 1.1454 consolidation floor, a 194-pip impulse bar dragging EUR/USD to a session low at 1.14347 as the haven USD bid extended. RSI(14) near 32 and price pinned below EMA20/50; momentum firmly to the downside with the pair holding just above the low.
Support: 1.14347, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1454
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1454 negates the range break
Break of 1.1410 support zone opens room lower
Lagarde 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.14421
Lower highs, broke session range to new low.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 1.1455 consolidation to print a fresh session low at 1.1435 on a sharp impulse bar before steadying near 1.1442. Move fits the USD haven/rate-differential bid; RSI(14) at ~37, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14546
What it said to watch
Reclaim above broken range 1.14546 would neutralise the breakdown
ECB's Lagarde 15:15 UTC and EZ consumer confidence 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.14354 session low confirms continuation lower
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, the latest bar sweeping to a fresh 1.14354 low before closing back near 1.14421 — EUR offered sub-1.15 on the USD haven bid. RSI(14) at 34, momentum stretched but not yet at an extreme; the 1.14546–1.14633 band caps any bounce.
Support: 1.14354, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14633, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14546 neutralises the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14354 confirms continuation toward 1.1410
Eurozone consumer confidence 14:00 UTC and Lagarde 15:15 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD slid back toward session lows near 1.1445 during NY hours after rejecting the 1.1462 area, with USD catching fresh haven bid on renewed US-Iran headlines. Price has chopped in a 1.1441–1.1463 range for several hours; the latest bar broke lower, RSI(14) easing into the low 40s.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14615
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1441 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1462 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
EU Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC and further Lagarde speeches could shift this read
EUR/USD drifted off the 1.1462 swing high through the NY session and the latest bar punched back to 1.1446 as renewed US-Iran haven flows kept the Dollar bid. Price sits just above the 1.1441 swing low with RSI(14) near 41; lower highs intact since the 1.1473 prior high.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14615, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1441 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1390 zone
Reclaim of 1.1462 swing high negates the slide back toward lows
EU Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC and Waller speech could shift this read in the next hours
13:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14585
Consolidation after dip to session low, recovered into NY.
EURUSD dipped to a session low at 1.14411 before buyers stepped in, recovering to range between roughly 1.1444 and 1.1463 into NY hours; RSI(14) neutral near 49. Price pinned near 3-month lows as a haven Dollar bid caps rallies, with no setup in play.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1495
What it said to watch
EU Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC and Lagarde speeches could shift this read
M15 close below 1.1441 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1410
EUR/USD bottomed twice near 1.1441 during the London session, with buyers stepping in to lift price back toward the 1.1463 session high amid renewed USD haven demand. NY hours have kept the pair boxed in a tight 1.1448–1.1463 range, RSI(14) neutral around 54 with ATR near 6 pips.
Support: 1.1448, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.1468
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1441 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1463 puts the 1.1468 swing high back in play
EU Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC and Lagarde speeches could disrupt the range
EURUSD recovered into a tight 1.1441-1.1463 range after sweeping the 1.1411 session low, with EUR pinned near 3-month lows on the hawkish-Fed and Iran haven bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 and price is hugging its EMAs — no directional resolution yet.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1441 reopens the 1.1411 session low and the 1.1390/1.1410 zone
Close above 1.1463 range high exposes the 1.1495 cap
Lagarde speeches (13:00/15:15 UTC) and EU consumer confidence (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 49 · price 1.1459
Range with higher lows since the 1.1441 swing low.
EUR/USD chopping around 1.1459, pinned near 3-month lows as haven Dollar demand on US-Iran headlines caps rallies. London session held a higher low above 1.1444 after the dip to the 1.1441 swing low; the session high at 1.1473 and 1.1495 cap above remain unbroken. RSI(14) flat near 49 — no momentum either way.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1452
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1495
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1444 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1410 area
Reclaim of 1.1473 needed to challenge the 1.1495 cap
Waller (13:00 UTC), EU Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) and Lagarde speeches could shift this range read intraday
EUR/USD made the session low at 1.14411 during London hours then recovered into a tight 1.1448–1.1463 consolidation, holding a higher low at 1.14471. Pair stays heavy near 3-month lows on safe-haven USD demand; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14471, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Lagarde (13:00/15:15 UTC) and Waller (13:00 UTC) imminent — can break the 1.1448–1.1463 range
EURUSD ranging ~1.1441-1.1463 through the NY session, heavy near 3-month lows as a 13-month-high DXY caps any lift. Price bounced off 1.1447 into the close and sits at the 50% retracement of the 1.1473-1.1441 leg (~1.1457); RSI neutral.
Support: 1.14471, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Lagarde 13:00 & 15:15 UTC and Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14411 session low confirms a lower-low, opens path toward 1.1410
Close above 1.14633 invalidates the range-top and exposes 1.14734
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14633 session high and is grinding back toward the 1.14411 swing low, with EUR heavy vs USD on the renewed safe-haven dollar bid after US-Iran talks stalled. RSI(14) near 39, price below EMA20/50; no relief yet.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14633
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14411 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1440 round number
M15 close back above 1.14633 session high neutralises the lower-high read
Lagarde (13:00/15:15 UTC) and Waller (13:00 UTC) speeches could shift this read in the next bars
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14477
Lower highs, drifting to range low.
EURUSD is grinding lower into the London-NY window, printing lower highs from 1.14734 and pressing back toward the 1.14411 session low with price below both EMAs. Rejection at the 1.14633 swing high capped the latest bounce; EUR stays heavy vs USD near three-month lows as the Fed-ECB divergence theme dominates.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14411 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close back above 1.14633 swing high negates the downside drift
Waller 13:00 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 & 15:15 UTC speeches could materially shift this read
EURUSD faded off the 1.14633 session high and is grinding lower toward 1.14525, with the US-Iran safe-haven USD bid keeping the euro pressured. Price holds above the 1.14411 session low; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.14491, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low and opens fresh session lows
M15 close above 1.14633 negates the fade and reopens 1.14711
Waller speech ~13:00 UTC could shift USD tone within the next bars
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 1.14525
Lower highs after bounce off session low.
NY hours rolled back over after tagging the session high at 1.14633, price drifting to 1.14525 below both EMAs as US-Iran headlines kept a safe-haven USD bid in play. RSI(14) mid-range near 43; the bounce off the 1.14411 swing low is fading into a lower-high structure.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14633
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14411 opens the 1.14160 3-month low region
Reclaim of 1.14633 needed to negate the lower-high read
Waller speech 13:00 UTC and Lagarde could shift this read
EUR/USD has drifted off the 1.1463 range top through the London session, slipping back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43 as renewed safe-haven USD demand on Iran headlines weighs. Price holds just above the 1.14411 session low; range top capped twice on declining highs.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.14633
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 3-mo low
Reclaim of 1.14633 range top would neutralise the lower-high structure
ECB Lagarde speeches today (13:00 & 15:15 GMT) could shift this read
EUR is drifting back toward the 1.1441 session low during London hours, with USD firm on a renewed safe-haven bid. Price is consolidating in a 1.1441–1.1463 band and currently pressing the lower half after fading the 1.1463 session high.
Support: 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1410
Close back above 1.14633 reclaims the range top
ECB Lagarde speeches today could shift this read
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, range-bound near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14522
Lower highs, holding above 1.1441 swing low.
EURUSD is drifting back toward the lower end of a 1.1441-1.1463 range after a rejection at the 1.14633 session high, with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Safe-haven USD demand on the stalled US-Iran talks keeps the euro capped just above last week's 3-month low.
Support: 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1390 area
M15 close above 1.14633 invalidates the range-low read
Lagarde speeches today (13:00 & 15:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting back to lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14522
Range capped by 1.1463, leaning toward session lows.
EUR/USD is fading back toward session lows as renewed safe-haven USD demand on US-Iran headlines weighs, with the 1.1463 range top rejecting twice. Price holds inside a 1.1441-1.1463 band; current bar at 1.14522 sits below both EMAs with RSI in the low-40s.
Support: 1.14444, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1410
M15 close above 1.14633 invalidates the range read
ECB Lagarde speeches today (13:00 & 15:15 GMT) could shift this read
London session dipped to 1.14411 then put in a double bottom against the prior 1.14444 low before recovering to 1.14633; price has since faded to 1.14545, back inside the 1.14440-1.14630 band. RSI(14) sits near the midline at 46, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.14515, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14411 reopens the session low and the 1.1410 zone flagged in macro context
Reclaim of 1.14633 puts the 1.14710 prior high back in range
Lagarde speaks 13:00 & 15:15 UTC — could shift this read intraday
EURUSD is consolidating between 1.14411 and 1.14633 after the dip to the session low at 1.14411 found buyers during NY hours. Safe-haven USD demand on stalled US-Iran talks keeps the rebound capped; RSI(14) sits near the midline with price hovering below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.1468
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14633 reopens the path toward the 1.14680 swing high
Break below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1410 zone
Lagarde speaks 13:00 and 15:15 UTC plus EU Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC — could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.14585
Range after rebound from session low.
EURUSD dug a session low at 1.1441 during NY hours then rebounded to 1.1463, and is now ranging 1.1452-1.1463 with RSI back at midline. The bounce came off a deeply oversold backdrop while broad USD strength and Iran safe-haven flows keep the broader tone heavy.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1452
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1441 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1410
Close above 1.1463 range top puts 1.1471 prior high in play
Lagarde speaks 13:00 and 15:15 UTC — could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Recovery off lows, ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.14585
Rebound from 1.14411, higher lows building.
EUR/USD rebounded off the 1.14411 swing low and is ranging 1.1452–1.1463 into the European afternoon, RSI(14) back near neutral after the dip. Renewed safe-haven USD demand on Iran headlines has capped the bounce below 1.14633.
Support: 1.14516, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14633 opens room toward 1.14711
Break below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downside
Lagarde speaks 13:00 & 15:15 UTC — could materially shift this read
London session dipped to sweep the 1.1441 session low around 08:15 UTC before recovering, EUR/USD now mid-range near 1.1460 with RSI(14) back to neutral. Safe-haven USD demand from Iran headlines keeps the bias heavy, but the sub-1.1417 low held and the bounce reclaimed 1.1455.
Support: 1.14517, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14633 reopens 1.14734 session top
Loss of 1.14411 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1417
Lagarde (13:00/15:15 UTC) and Waller (13:00 UTC) could shift this read
EUR/USD swept the London low at 1.14411 around 08:00 UTC and rebounded to 1.14633, now consolidating near 1.1460 with RSI(14) back at the midline. Recovery comes against a firm-USD backdrop on Iran safe-haven flows; demand stepped in twice around 1.1441-1.1443 forming a double bottom.
Support: 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14711
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14633 opens the path back to 1.14711
Loss of 1.14411 reopens the downside toward the 1.1410 zone
Lagarde speaks 13:00 & 15:15 UTC — could shift this read
London session swept the session low at 1.1441 then snapped back through 1.146, with the dollar firm on Iran safe-haven flows. Price now sits mid-range below the 1.14633 session high, RSI(14) recovered to ~55 from midline.
Support: 1.14517, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14633 opens the path to 1.14711 swing high
Failure to hold 1.14517 reopens the 1.14411 session low
Lagarde speeches 13:00/15:15 UTC could shift this read
EUR drifted to a 1.1441 session low during London hours on firm USD / Iran safe-haven flows, then buyers stepped in and dragged price back to 1.1460. Sequence of higher lows since, but 1.1463 caps the recovery so far.
Support: 1.14517, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14633, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1463 opens the path back toward 1.1473
Loss of 1.1452 reopens the 1.1441 session low
Lagarde speeches 13:00/15:15 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Down-leg recovered, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.14567
Low swept at 1.1441, bounce stalling mid-range.
London session sold EUR/USD to 1.1441 on firm safe-haven dollar, then buyers stepped in and reclaimed to 1.1463 before fading back to ~1.1457. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and price is pinned mid-range between the 1.1450 pivot and the 1.1463 swing high.
Support: 1.1450, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14627, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14627 opens the path back toward 1.14711
Loss of 1.14411 confirms a fresh lower-low
Lagarde speeches 13:00/15:15 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off base · RSI 51 · price 1.14567
Lower lows into 1.1441, bouncing.
London hours drifted lower from 1.1471 to a 1.1441 base on safe-haven dollar bid from US-Iran headlines; buyers stepped in twice around 1.1441 and price has recovered to 1.1457, RSI back to midline. Still capped below the 1.14627 session high heading into the NY transition.
Support: 1.14517, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14627, 1.14711
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14411 session low reopens the path toward the 1.1400 base
Close above 1.14627 session high needed to extend the recovery toward the 1.14711 prior high
Lagarde speeches 13:00/15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14558
Session sell-off into 1.14411, recovering.
EURUSD slid through the London session to a session low of 1.14411 before a ~50 pip bounce to 1.14627, now settled at 1.14558 with EUR pinned near three-month lows on USD strength and Iran risk-off. RSI(14) mid-range near 47 after recovering off the lows; price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14627
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14411 session low opens the 1.1417 three-month low area
Reclaim of 1.14627 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
Lagarde and Fed's Waller speeches (13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.14558
Swept session low, consolidating.
London session swept the prior lows down to 1.1441 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.1460 — consistent with the broader Iran risk-off USD bid keeping EUR pinned. Now consolidating around 1.1455, RSI(14) back at neutral 49 after the dip.
Support: 1.14517, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14627, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14517 reopens the 1.14411 session low and the 1.1417 multi-week low
M15 close above 1.14627 session high needed to extend the bounce toward 1.14711
Lagarde (13:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 49 · price 1.14567
Lower lows into 1.1441, recovering.
London session bounced off the 1.14411 session low, RSI(14) recovering near 49 from the dip. Price has reclaimed the 1.1450 area but stalls under the 1.14627 session high, with EUR pinned near three-month lows on hawkish-Fed USD strength.
Support: 1.1444, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14627, 1.14711
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14411 session low opens the 1.1417 three-month low
Reclaim of 1.14627 session high needed to challenge the 1.14711 prior high
Lagarde speeches 13:00/15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 51 · price 1.14567
Bounce from 1.1441, back inside range.
EUR swept down to 1.14411 during London hours on persistent USD strength and Iran risk-off, then snapped back to 1.14627 before fading to 1.1457. Two near-matching lows at 1.1444/1.1441 held; price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutralised near 51.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14627, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14411 reopens the 1.1450/1.1417 three-month-low zone
M15 close above 1.14627 extends the recovery toward 1.1471
Lagarde (13:00/15:15 UTC) and Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) could shift this read intraday
Lower lows into 1.1441, recent bounce off the low.
London hours dragged EUR/USD to a session low at 1.14411 before buyers stepped in and squeezed back to 1.14627, the pair settling near 1.14568 — EUR remains pinned near three-month lows on the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid. RSI(14) has recovered from its lows back to neutral as the bounce stalls below the 1.14627 high.
Support: 1.14411, 1.14432
Resistance: 1.14627, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14411 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1417/1.1400 area
Reclaim of 1.14627 would extend the bounce toward 1.14711
Waller (13:00 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 & 15:15 UTC) speeches could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.14568
Swept session low, sharp bounce.
London hours sold EURUSD down to 1.14411, sweeping the session low before a sharp recovery candle reclaimed back to 1.14627 and settled at 1.14568. EUR remains pinned near 3-month lows on broad USD strength; the bounce stalled short of the 1.14627 swing high.
Support: 1.14411, 1.14517
Resistance: 1.14627, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14627 reopens the path toward 1.14734
Failure to hold 1.14411 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1417 area
Lagarde speeches (13:00 & 15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR slid through the London session, breaking to a session low of 1.14411 on the dollar-led safe-haven bid; a modest bounce to 1.14503 has stalled below 1.14527. RSI(14) near 42, recovering off the low while price holds beneath EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14527
What it said to watch
Lagarde (13:00/15:15 UTC) and Waller (13:00 UTC) speeches could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14411 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.14527 needed to ease the downtrend
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14503
Lower highs, lower lows; bounce from session low.
EURUSD ground lower through NY hours, breaking the 1.1452 floor to print a session low at 1.14411 on safe-haven USD demand tied to Iran headlines. Price has since bounced to 1.14503 with RSI(14) recovering from the low 30s, but lower-high structure remains intact below 1.14591.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14527, 1.14591
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14591 pivot would ease the bearish tone
Failure to hold 1.14411 opens the path toward 1.1420
ECB Lagarde 13:00 & 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, leg extending · RSI 38 · price 1.14473
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR sold into the London morning to a session low at 1.14411 on a dollar-led safe-haven bid after US-Iran talks collapsed; a thin bounce back to 1.14473 has done little to break the lower-high chain. RSI(14) is soft near 38, ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14527
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14527 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14411 confirms continuation toward the 1.14400 psych zone
Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR ground lower through the NY session to a 1.14411 low as Iran-driven safe-haven dollar demand pinned the pair; the move is USD-led. Price bounced to 1.14527 and is now consolidating near 1.14470, RSI(14) recovering from sub-40 but still below 50, price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1440, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14527
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14411 opens the 1.14417/1.14400 floor
Reclaim of 1.14527 needed to ease the bearish tone
ECB Lagarde 13:00 & 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
London session pressed EUR to a session low of 1.14411 as a firm safe-haven USD bid (Iran headlines) extended the intraday downtrend. The last bar swept that low and snapped back to 1.14527, leaving a sharp rejection wick; RSI(14) near 38 off its lows. Lagarde speaks 13:00/15:15 UTC.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1400, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14527, 1.14591
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14411 opens the path to the 1.14170 3mo low
Reclaim of 1.14591 needed to ease the bearish tone
Lagarde speeches 13:00/15:15 UTC could shift this read
EUR ground to a fresh session low at 1.14411 during the London morning as a safe-haven dollar bid (US-Iran escalation) extended the slide; price broke below the 1.14520 shelf and is hovering at 1.14474 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 38 after the dip, a shallow bounce off the low so far.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1440, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14527, 1.14596
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14411 confirms a lower-low, exposes 1.1417
Reclaim of 1.14527/1.14596 needed to ease the bearish tone
Lagarde 13:00/15:15 UTC and Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.14432
Range break to the downside, new session low.
EURUSD broke below the 1.1455–1.1462 session range and printed a fresh low at 1.14411 as safe-haven USD demand pressured the pair into the European morning. RSI(14) near 34 reflects the impulsive leg but is not yet oversold; price now sits just above the 1.1400 zone banks have been defending.
Support: 1.14411, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14517, 1.1462
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14517 invalidates the breakdown read
Loss of 1.14400 opens the 1.1417 three-month low
Lagarde speaks 13:00 & 15:15 UTC — can shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14432
Lower highs into 1.1417 floor.
EUR/USD sold off through the London session toward the 1.1417 three-month floor on broad USD safe-haven demand, last at 1.14432. RSI(14) near 31 as price makes a fresh session low; the 1.1460-70 pivot capped the earlier bounce.
Support: 1.14417, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14627
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14417 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1400 floor
Reclaim of 1.14470 negates the breakdown read
Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR slid through the London session to a fresh session low at 1.1444, with USD bid on revived US-Iran safe-haven flows. Price broke below the 1.1460 pivot and trades under both EMAs; RSI(14) near 32 but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1460 pivot invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.1440 opens the 1.1417 three-month low
EUR pressed to fresh session lows at 1.1444 during London hours as safe-haven USD bids on US-Iran headlines kept the pair heavy, breaking the 1.1452 shelf. RSI(14) near 31, momentum extended to the downside with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1462
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1462 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Sustained break of 1.1417 opens the 1.1400 floor
Lagarde speaks 13:00 & 15:15 UTC — can shift this read
EURUSD slid through the 1.14540 consolidation floor into the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14444 as Lagarde takes the mic. RSI(14) near 35, not yet stretched, with the chain of lower highs from 1.14734 still intact.
Support: 1.14444, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1466
What it said to watch
Lagarde speaking now (08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close below 1.14417 3-mo low opens path to fresh downside
Reclaim of 1.14600 prior range invalidates the breakdown
Lower highs into a break of the intraday range floor.
EURUSD sold off through the London session, breaking the 1.1455 range floor to print a fresh session low at 1.14444 with RSI(14) near 31. Sellers capped each bounce below 1.14626; the move tracks a firm USD holding near one-year highs.
Support: 1.14444, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14626
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.14444 opens the path toward the 1.1417 three-month low
Reclaim of 1.14626 invalidates the lower-high structure
Lagarde speaking today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD slid through the 1.1450 barrier into a fresh session low at 1.14485, chained to a firm USD near 13-month highs. Lower highs from 1.14734 have stacked all session and RSI(14) sits soft in the low 30s without yet reaching oversold.
Support: 1.1445, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14516, 1.14711
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14516 would neutralise the breakdown read
Break of 1.14450 opens the path toward the 1.1417 three-month low
Lagarde speeches (08:00, 13:00, 15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
London session has driven EURUSD to fresh lows, breaking below the 1.1450 psych zone as the pair stays chained to broad USD strength. Lower-high chain from the 1.14734 session high held, RSI(14) sliding into the mid-30s with price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.14485, 1.1450, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14591, 1.14711, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14591 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14485 session low opens path to the 1.1417 three-month low
Lagarde speaks today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) — could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.14606
Intraday range, bounced off session low.
EURUSD is ranging roughly 1.1452–1.1473 in thin trade, with buyers stepping in twice at the 1.1452 session low before a recovery to 1.14606. Momentum is neutral, RSI(14) near 52, price hugging EMA20 below EMA50.
Support: 1.14524, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.1468, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 breaks the range top
Break below 1.14524 opens the path to the 1.14411 three-month low
Lagarde speeches and US PMIs later today could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.14606
Intraday range, mid-zone.
EURUSD is ranging between the session low at 1.1452 and the session high near 1.1471, sitting mid-zone at 1.1461 with RSI flat near 52. No structural setup in play; the pair remains a USD-direction trade heading into Lagarde and EZ flash PMIs.
Support: 1.1452, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14711, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1417 three-month low
M15 close above 1.1471 reopens the 1.1473 range high
Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could break the range
07:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 50 · price 1.14601
Intraday range, floor holding.
EURUSD ranging between 1.1452 and 1.1473 through Asian and early London hours, with the pair pinned near 1.1460 in thin post-holiday trade. Price is bouncing off the session low after a slide from 1.1473, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1468, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 opens the 1.1417 3-month low
M15 close above 1.1473 reasserts the session-high test
Three Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could break this range
EURUSD is ranging 1.1452–1.1473, corrective off the three-month low near 1.1417 in thin holiday flow. Demand stepped in around 1.1452 several times into the London open, the latest bar bouncing back to 1.146 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1468, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Three Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1452 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1417 zone
Reclaim of 1.1468 reopens the session high at 1.14734
EURUSD drifted lower through the session from the 1.1473 high, printing lower highs and now pressing the 1.1452 session low with price below both EMAs. Move is corrective off the 3-month low at 1.1417; RSI(14) near 40, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14523, 1.1450, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14626, 1.14734
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 1.1450 opens the path back toward the 1.1417 low
Reclaim of 1.1463 would break the lower-high sequence
Three Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) plus Fed's Waller can shift this read intraday
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14533
Lower highs since 1.14734.
London session grinding lower off the 1.14734 high, EUR steadying near three-month lows as the Dollar takes a breather. Price chained lower highs back to the 1.14524 session low, which held on the latest dip; RSI(14) mid-range and soft.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14626, 1.14674, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14524 confirms a fresh session lower-low toward 1.14500
Reclaim of 1.14626 negates the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and Waller (13:00) can shift this read
EUR/USD was rejected at the session high 1.14734 and has ground lower through Asia into the London open, a corrective drift consistent with the steadying ~1.1460 tone in thin trade. Price holds just above the 1.14524 session low with RSI(14) soft near 43; sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14674, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14674 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14524 opens the 1.1450/1.1417 low
Lagarde speeches (08:00 UTC) could shift this read
Lower highs off 1.14734, holding above session low.
EURUSD faded from the 1.14734 session high to a session low at 1.14524 and is now consolidating near 1.1456, in line with the corrective bounce off the 3-month low. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 44 with price under EMA20/50; descending highs cap the recovery.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14660 breaks the lower-high chain
Break below 1.14500 reopens the session low at 1.14524
Three Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could shift this read
London morning has EUR/USD grinding between the 1.14734 swing high and the 1.14524 session low, with a chain of lower highs since the 1.1473 print. Price is back under EMA20/50 and RSI sits neutral near 46; the 1.1452 base has held three pokes.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14711, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14524 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1450
M15 close back above 1.14711 negates the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speaking later today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 46 · price 1.14573
Lower highs into session low, small recovery.
EURUSD rolled over from the session high at 1.14734 to print 1.14524, now ticking up to 1.14573 with RSI(14) back at mid-range. The slide tracks the dominant hawkish-Fed/DXY theme, with EUR rebounds repeatedly capped near 1.14660.
Support: 1.14524, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14524 opens the path toward the 1.14417 3-month low
Reclaim of 1.14660 swing high neutralises the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speaks 3x today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) — could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1453
Lower highs since 1.1473, testing session low.
EURUSD rolled over from the session high at 1.1473 through early London and is now pressing the 1.1452 session low, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. A chain of lower highs caps the rebound off last week's 1.1417 base; the move reads as a USD breather fading rather than fresh EUR demand.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1442, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 opens 1.1442/1.1417 support
Reclaim of 1.1466 swing high needed to repair the lower-high structure
Lagarde speaks 3x today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) — could shift this read intraday
EURUSD ranging 1.1452-1.1473 through the Asia-into-London transition, last bar slipping back to the 1.1452 session low. Buyers stepped in at 1.1452 earlier but the 1.1473 high capped the rebound; RSI(14) near 44, no momentum either way.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 opens the path toward the 1.1417 three-month low
Reclaim of 1.1473 needed to invalidate the range read
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD is ranging 1.1452-1.1473 in the Asia session, currently mid-range near 1.1461 after recovering off the 1.14524 session low. The earlier push to 1.14734 was rejected and the bounce is corrective per the broader EUR tone; RSI(14) sits neutral around 52 with no clear momentum.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1468, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Lagarde speaks 08:00 UTC — could shift this read intraday
M15 close above 1.14734 breaks the session high
Loss of 1.14524 confirms a lower low toward 1.1450
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC the next-day catalyst
06:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.14606
Intraday range, holding mid.
EURUSD is ranging between 1.1452 and 1.1473 after a corrective bounce off the 3-month low; RSI(14) flat near 51 with price chopping around its EMAs. The session low at 1.1452 held twice during the most recent decline before buyers lifted price back to 1.1461.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1445, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1466
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 reopens the 1.1417 three-month low
Close above 1.1473 session high extends the corrective bounce
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and tomorrow's flash PMIs could shift this read
Asia session drifted off the 1.1471 swing high down to a 1.1452 session low, then based into a tight 1.1452–1.1459 range with RSI(14) flat near 44. The corrective bounce off last week's 1.1417 three-month low has stalled below the 1.1460 ceiling.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1450, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 reopens the path toward the 1.1417 three-month low
Reclaim of 1.1471 swing high needed to revive the corrective bounce
Lagarde speeches and tomorrow's eurozone flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD is ranging 1.1452-1.1473 in early London after a pullback from the session high, the pair holding the corrective bounce off last week's 1.1417 three-month low. Buyers stepped in around 1.1452 and price has crept back to 1.1459, RSI neutral near 47 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1473 reopens the path to 1.1480
Failure to hold 1.1452 exposes the 1.1417 three-month low
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and Tue PMIs could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14569
Lower highs after rejection at 1.14734.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14734 session high through the Asian session and is pressing 1.14524 into the London open, a corrective wobble within the broader weekly decline. Price holds below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range; sellers have capped each bounce under 1.14660.
Support: 1.14524, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14711, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14711 invalidates the lower-high read
Break below 1.14524 opens the 1.14417 three-month low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC and Lagarde 08:00 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14569
Lower highs into Asia, holding above session low.
EURUSD faded from the session high at 1.14734 to a low of 1.14524, with a chain of lower highs through the back half of the window and RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is recovering modestly to 1.14569 but holds below the 1.14660 swing; the broader bounce off the 1.1417 three-month low remains corrective per the EUR digest.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14660 breaks the lower-high chain
Break below 1.14524 opens the 1.1450 psych then 1.14417 three-month low
Lagarde speaks 3x today and EZ flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14551
Lower highs since 1.14734 peak.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.14734 session high and has bled back toward session lows at 1.14524, a corrective drift consistent with the broader USD-firm tone. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41, and the bounce off 1.1417 three-month low is so far being faded.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14524 opens path toward 1.14500 and the 1.1417 low
Reclaim of 1.14660 lower high needed to challenge the 1.14734 session high
Lagarde speeches and EZ flash PMIs in the next session could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 41 · price 1.14551
Lower highs off session peak, testing session low.
Asia-into-London traded a 1.14524–1.14734 band; price was rejected at the 1.14734 session high and has faded back to the session low, now hovering at 1.14551. The leg up off the 1.1417 three-month low remains corrective per macro tone, with RSI(14) near 41 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.14524, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.14803
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14524 reopens the 1.14417 three-month low
Reclaim of 1.14734 needed to re-target 1.14803
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC and Lagarde speeches could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.14551
Lower highs off 1.14734, testing session low.
EURUSD faded from the session high at 1.14734 and is now grinding into the session low at 1.14524, price below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40. The corrective bounce off last week's three-month low has stalled as USD holds firm on the hawkish-Fed repricing.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14524 session low opens the 1.14500 round number
Reclaim of the 1.14660 lower high needed to ease the pullback
Lagarde speeches and tomorrow's Eurozone flash PMIs could shift this read
Asian session has drifted lower from the 1.14734 session high, printing a chain of lower highs down into the 1.14524 low. RSI(14) soft near 38 and price sits below EMA20/50 with no relief bid yet; the broader move remains corrective after last week's bounce off the 1.1417 three-month low.
Support: 1.14524, 1.14417
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14660 negates the lower-high chain
Break of 1.14524 opens the path toward the 1.14417 three-month low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 1.14557
Lower highs off session high.
Recovery to 1.14711 was rejected and price has bled back to the session low at 1.14524, printing lower highs into the move. RSI(14) near 39 and price below EMA20/50; the corrective bounce off this week's three-month low is fading in thin pre-London flow.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.14711
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14524 confirms a lower low toward 1.1450
Reclaim of 1.1460 needed to repair the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) and Lagarde could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14557
Lower highs into session low, thin trade.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14734 session high back toward the 1.14524 low in thin, holiday-affected flow, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 after a string of lower highs; corrective bounce remains capped near 1.14660.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14524 opens the path toward 1.1450 and the 1.1417 three-month low
Reclaim of 1.14660 negates the lower-highs read
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC and Lagarde speeches could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Short-term pullback off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.14542
Lower highs, pressing session lows.
Asia session faded the rally from 1.14734, with price now grinding back to session lows near 1.14524 and RSI(14) sub-45. The move fits the corrective tone in EUR off the 3-month low; sellers have capped each bounce below 1.14680.
Support: 1.14524, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.1468, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14524 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14680 invalidates the pullback read
Eurozone flash PMIs and Lagarde later today could materially shift this read
EURUSD rolled over from the session high at 1.14734 and has carved a chain of lower highs down to a fresh session low at 1.14524, fully retracing the earlier push. The move fits the corrective-bounce read flagged in the digest — relief bids keep getting capped near 1.1450-1.1460 with the dollar firm.
Support: 1.14524, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14674, 1.14734
What it said to watch
HCOB flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC are the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.14674 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14524 opens the path toward the 1.1417/1.1411 zone
Thin Asia-session trade after the weekend open; EURUSD rejected the session high at 1.14734 and has bled back toward the 1.14540 session low, RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s. Lower highs are stacking under 1.14660 as the corrective bounce off last week's three-month low fades.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14540 opens the path to the 1.14500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14660 needed to re-test the 1.14734 session high
ECB Lagarde and EZ flash PMIs later today could reset this read
04:16 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14553
Consolidation under session highs.
Range-bound in thin Asia trade after Friday's recovery stalled with a rejection below 1.14734; price has drifted back toward the 1.14540 session low with RSI cooling near 42. Holiday-distorted flow, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14674, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14540 opens the path to 1.1450 round number
Reclaim of 1.14674 swing high needed to revive the recovery
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) and Lagarde could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14591
Asia-session range, capped near 1.1473.
EURUSD ranging through the Asia session between 1.1454 and 1.1473, now drifting back toward the lower half after rejection at the 1.14734 session high. Move is corrective within the broader USD-firm backdrop; price slipped under EMA20 as RSI cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 reopens the 1.1480 prior high
Loss of 1.14540 confirms a lower-low and exits the range
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) and Lagarde speeches could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14591
Intraday range, mid-to-lower half.
EURUSD is consolidating roughly 1.1454-1.1473 after a rejection off the 1.14734 session high; price has drifted back into the lower half and sits at 1.14591 below both EMAs. The bounce off this week's three-month low remains corrective, with RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR thin in holiday-distorted flow.
Support: 1.14537, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1468, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14537 reopens the 1.1450 barrier and 1.1417 low
Close above 1.14734 resumes the recovery toward 1.1460
Lagarde speeches and Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) could break the range
03:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14626
Asia-session range, price mid-range.
Thin Asia-session trade ranging between the session low at 1.1454 and a session high at 1.14734, with price back mid-range at 1.14626 after the spike to 1.14734 was rejected. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips reflect the holiday-distorted, low-volume tape.
Support: 1.14573, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14711, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 invalidates the range top
Break below 1.1454 opens the path toward the 1.1417 weekly support
Lagarde (3 speeches today) and EZ flash PMIs tomorrow could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.14626
Balanced range after weekend gap down.
EURUSD opened the new week with a small gap down from Friday's 1.1471 close and has chopped sideways through the Asia session, holding a 1.1454-1.1473 range. RSI(14) sits near 50 with price pinned just under the EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14711, 1.14734
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 opens the path back toward Friday's highs
Failure to hold 1.14540 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) could break the range
03:31 UTC
Sideways, off intraday high · RSI 51 · price 1.14633
Range after morning pop.
Thin holiday-distorted Asia trade: price popped to a session high 1.14734 then drifted back to 1.1463, in line with the corrective bounce off the 1.1417 three-month low. ATR(14) near 5 pips reflects subdued liquidity, with RSI flat around 51 inside a 1.1454-1.14734 range.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1458
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 reopens 1.1480 prior high
Loss of 1.1454 puts the session low back in play
Lagarde speeches and EZ PMIs today could shift this range read
Asian-session trade has EURUSD chopping around 1.1463 after a push to 1.14734 stalled and faded. Demand stepped in at 1.1454 early, but the pair has since coiled into a tight 1.1458–1.1473 range with RSI flat near 50 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.14581, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 reopens the path toward 1.1480
Loss of 1.1454 confirms a lower-low and resumes the slide toward weekly lows
Lagarde speeches later today could break this Asian range
03:16 UTC
Sideways after gap-down recovery · RSI 51 · price 1.14652
Consolidation inside session range.
EURUSD gapped down to 1.14537 at the new session open in thin holiday trade, then recovered to a session high of 1.14734 before stalling. Price is now consolidating near 1.1465, roughly mid-range, with RSI flat around 51.
Support: 1.14537, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14734 session high opens the path back toward 1.14800
Loss of 1.14537 session low exposes the 1.14411 week low
Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could shift this intraday read
03:16 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 49 · price 1.14652
Thin holiday range, mid-range.
EUR/USD is grinding sideways near 1.1465 in thin post-weekend trade, holding between the session low at 1.14540 and session high at 1.14734. The pair steadied off its three-month low but momentum is flat, RSI hovering near 50 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.14573, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.14803
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 opens the path back toward 1.14803
Failure to hold 1.14540 confirms a lower-low and reopens the weekly downside
Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could inject volatility into this thin range
Thin Asia-session trade with EURUSD ranging 1.1454–1.1473 after the corrective bounce off the three-month low at 1.1417. Price sits mid-range near 1.1465, RSI neutral and ATR compressed around 6 pips; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1450, 1.1437
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1473 opens the path back toward 1.1480
Loss of 1.1454 reopens the 1.1437 prior low
Lagarde speeches and EZ flash PMIs later could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Rangebound, flat · RSI 53 · price 1.1465
Balancing in a tight Asia range after weekend gap.
EURUSD opened the week with a small gap and is balancing 1.1454–1.1473 in thin early-Asia trade, holding ~1.1465. RSI(14) flat near 53 and ATR compressed at ~7 pips; no intraday momentum either way.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1437
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1473 opens the path to 1.1480 prior high
Loss of 1.1454 exposes the 1.1437 swing low
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could break the range
02:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.14635
Intraday range, mid-range.
Thin early-Asia trade ranging 1.1454-1.1473 after the weekend gap, price recovered off the 1.14537 session low to sit mid-range near 1.1463 with RSI(14) neutral around 51. The 1.14734 session high capped the bounce; structure flat in holiday-distorted flow.
Support: 1.14537, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.14803
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 opens the path to 1.14803
Failure to hold 1.14537 exposes the 1.1420 3mo low
Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD is ranging between 1.1454 and 1.1473 in thin early-Asia trade, a corrective stall after the oversold bounce off three-month lows near 1.1420. Price tagged the 1.14734 session high then faded back to mid-range; RSI hovering near 52, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1447
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 session high reopens the path toward 1.14800 prior high
Loss of 1.14540 session low exposes 1.14470 swing low
Lagarde speaks 3x today (from 08:00 UTC) — could break this range
Thin Monday Asia tape: EUR bounced off the 1.1454 session low to a 1.1473 high before drifting back to 1.1460, sitting just under both EMAs. Price is rangebound between 1.1454 and 1.1473 with no setup in play, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1458
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1473 reopens the 1.1480 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1454 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1420 area
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
Corrective bounce off the 1.1420 three-month lows is stalling, ranging between 1.1454 and the 1.14734 session high after a push higher faded back to 1.14606. RSI(14) neutral near 48, ATR thin at ~5 pips in holiday-thinned trade.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 session high extends the bounce toward 1.1480
Loss of 1.14540 session low reopens the 1.1420 lows
Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could shift this read
Thin Asian-session tape: EUR/USD is consolidating after an oversold bounce off this month's lows, pinned between the 1.1454 session low and the 1.14734 session high. Push to 1.14734 was rejected and price has drifted back to 1.1462, holding mid-range with RSI flat near 50.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1457
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14734 reopens the upside of the corrective bounce
Loss of 1.14540 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1420
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could shift this read
Thin early-Asia tape, EURUSD ranging 1.14540–1.14734 after the corrective bounce off the 1.1420 three-month low. Price faded from the session high back below EMA20 to 1.14622, RSI(14) flat near 49 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 session high extends the bounce toward 1.14800 prior high
Loss of 1.14540 session low reopens the 1.1420 three-month low
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could break the range
Week opened with a gap lower to 1.1454, then a steady Asia-session recovery printing higher lows up to a session high at 1.14734; price now holding mid-range near 1.14675 with RSI cooling off the high. The bounce echoes the broader short-covering off the 1.1411 three-month low, but the move stays corrective.
Support: 1.1454, 1.14582
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14734 session high opens the path toward 1.1480 prior high
Loss of 1.1454 session low reopens downside toward the 1.1411 area
ECB Lagarde speeches and Tuesday flash PMIs could materially shift this read
EURUSD gapped lower into the Monday open then ground back up through thin Asian liquidity, testing the session high at 1.14734 before settling near 1.14675. The bounce extends the corrective recovery off the 3-month low; ATR is compressed at ~6 pips with no fresh catalyst yet.
Support: 1.14585, 1.14537
Resistance: 1.14734
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14537 reopens downside toward the 1.1411 low
Reclaim of 1.14734 needed to extend the recovery
Tue flash PMIs and Waller could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Minor uptrend, corrective bounce · RSI 60 · price 1.14663
Higher lows off session low, capped near 1.1473.
Fresh week opened with a thin Asia session bounce off 1.1454, building higher lows and tagging a session high at 1.1473 before pulling back to 1.1466. Move fits the corrective EUR short-covering from the 3-month low; range top still capping with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1473 session high opens path toward the 1.1480 fri high
Loss of 1.1458 swing low reopens the 1.1454 session low
Liquidity normalising into London could expand the current ~47-pip ATR
Thin holiday tape: EURUSD recovered off the 1.14540 session low and tagged 1.14734 before fading back to 1.14663, with the latest push rejected. Corrective bounce within the 1.1454-1.1473 range, consistent with the digest's short-covering read off the 3-month low.
Support: 1.14581, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14734 session high opens the path toward 1.14800
Loss of 1.14540 session low reopens downside toward the 1.1420 area
Lagarde speeches and Tue flash PMIs could shift this read
Holiday-thinned tape opened with a weekend gap, then ground higher off the 1.14537 session low; buyers stepped in twice near 1.14581 before the push to a 1.14734 session high. Price sits at 1.14696 just under that high with RSI(14) around 63 — constructive but ATR a thin ~5 pips.
Support: 1.14581, 1.14537
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14581 keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss reopens 1.14537
Close above 1.14734 extends toward the 1.14800 prior high
Lagarde speeches and Tue eurozone flash PMIs could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Recovering, short-term up · RSI 64 · price 1.14696
Higher lows off session low.
Asian session ground higher off the 1.14540 session low, posting higher lows into a 1.14734 session high before the last bar ticked back to 1.14696. Move follows the broader EUR bounce off 3-month lows; RSI(14) mid-60s, momentum constructive but not stretched.
Support: 1.14582, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14582 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim and hold above 1.14734 opens room toward 1.14800
Lagarde speeches from 08:00 UTC could reprice EUR sharply
Thin early-Asia tape: EUR/USD bounced off the session low at 1.14540 and is grinding back toward the session high at 1.14695, with the last bar closing at 1.14683. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI mid-range — recovery off 3-month-low territory but still boxed inside the session band.
Support: 1.1454, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14695, 1.1476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14695 opens the path to 1.14760
Loss of 1.14540 reopens a retest of the 3-month low near 1.14411
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, pressing range top · RSI 59 · price 1.14683
Intraday range, higher lows building.
Thin early-week Asia tape: EURUSD recovered off the 1.14540 session low and is now testing the 1.14695 session high, in line with the oversold-EUR bounce theme. Higher lows have built through the session but the range top still caps; RSI(14) near 59, no extreme.
Support: 1.14586, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.14695, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14695 opens the path toward 1.14800
Loss of 1.14540 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 3-month low at 1.1420
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD is ranging roughly 1.1454-1.1467 in a holiday-thinned tape after bouncing off the 3-month lows late last week. Price slipped to 1.14593 into the close, sitting in the lower half of the range with RSI(14) neutral near 44; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14668 opens the path back to 1.1471
Loss of 1.1454 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1442
Lagarde speeches today and Tue eurozone flash PMIs could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.14593
Balanced range mid-band.
EURUSD is ranging in thin, holiday-thinned tape between the session low at 1.1454 and the session high at 1.14668, with price sitting mid-band near 1.1459 and RSI(14) flat around 46. The earlier bounce off 3-month lows has stalled into balance; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1458
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14668 session high opens the path toward 1.1471
Failure to hold 1.1454 session low reopens the 1.1420 area
Lagarde speeches Mon (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
Monday Asia opened with a gap lower from Friday's 1.1471 close; price dipped to 1.14537 then recovered and has settled into a tight 1.1460-1.1467 range on very thin holiday-week liquidity. RSI sits neutral near 49 with ATR around 5 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.14709
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14668 reopens the path to the 1.14709 Friday high
Loss of 1.14540 session low confirms a lower-low
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and Tue EZ flash PMIs could break this thin range
EURUSD opened the week with a gap-down from Friday's 1.1471 close, dipped to 1.1454 then recovered to chop in a 1.1454-1.1466 band through thin Asia-session holiday tape. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49, no momentum either way; price is pinned just under EMA20 with the gap unfilled.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1457
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1466 puts the 1.1471 gap-close in play
Loss of 1.1454 reopens the downside toward Friday's lows
Lagarde speeches and Tue eurozone flash PMIs could break this range
00:31 UTC
Ranging after weekend gap down · RSI 50 · price 1.14638
Intraday range, no clear higher-high chain.
EURUSD opened the Monday Asian session a touch below Friday's 1.1470 area and has settled into a tight range between 1.14537 and 1.14668. Price is hovering on the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional setup in play, with the broader read still EUR bounce-prone off oversold 3-month lows.
Support: 1.14537, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.14709
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14668 opens room back toward Friday's 1.14709
Failure to hold 1.14537 exposes the 1.14500 round number
Lagarde speeches Mon (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and Eurozone PMIs Tue could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Rangebound after gap, flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14638
Gap down filled, consolidating.
Monday Asia open gapped down off Friday's 1.1471 close to 1.1454, then recovered to fill into the 1.14668 session high; now consolidating 1.1454–1.1467 with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Thin holiday-thinned tape after EUR's bounce off the 3-month low at 1.1420.
Support: 1.1454, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.14709
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1454 reopens the gap-down low
Close above 1.14668 session high targets the 1.1471 Friday high
Lagarde speeches Mon and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could shift this read
Week opened with a gap lower from Friday's 1.1471 close, tagging 1.1454 before recovering into a 1.1454–1.1466 range on thin early-Asia, holiday-affected liquidity. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51; no directional structure in play yet.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1466 reopens the path toward 1.1480
Loss of 1.1454 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1450
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and Tue eurozone PMIs could break this range
00:16 UTC
Range, post-gap recovery · RSI 52 · price 1.14638
New week gapped lower, recovered into a tight range.
New week opened with a gap lower from Friday's 1.14709 close, dipping to 1.14537 before recovering to a 1.14537–1.14668 range on thin holiday-thinned flows. Price now hovers near 1.1464, RSI(14) neutral around 52 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.14537, 1.14495
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.14803
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14668 reopens the path toward Friday's 1.14803 high
Loss of 1.14537 exposes the 1.14495 swing low
Lagarde speeches (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and Tue eurozone PMIs could break this range
00:01 UTC
Ranging, thin tape · RSI 48 · price 1.14591
Intraday range after gap.
Thin early-session tape with low volume; EURUSD ranging 1.1454-1.1466 after the holiday-gap reopen, price drifting back to mid-range at 1.1459. Context still has EUR bounce-prone off the 3-month low near 1.1420 after last week's hawkish Fed.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1466 opens the path to 1.1471
Loss of 1.1454 exposes the 1.1420 3-month low
Lagarde speeches and Tue eurozone flash PMIs could break this range
00:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.14591
Tight consolidation around 1.1460.
Thin holiday/Asia open with EURUSD consolidating in a 1.1454-1.1466 band, RSI(14) flat near 47 after the bounce off the 1.1420 three-month low. Volume is light and no intraday setup is in play; price sits just under its short EMAs.
Support: 1.14537, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.14668, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14668 opens the path back toward 1.1471
Loss of 1.14537 reopens the 1.1420 three-month low
Lagarde speeches Mon (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could break this range