EUR/USD has trended lower all week, breaking firmly below 1.1500 on post-Fed dollar momentum and the Iran risk rotation, with the dominant leg coming in the London-NY transition early in the window. Since the latest push down to 1.1419 price has consolidated in a tight 1.1419-1.1450 band below a declining EMA(20), RSI(14) hovering near 40 without confirming fresh lows. Supply has capped each bounce beneath 1.1450 while demand near the 1.1400 round number has so far held the floor.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1480, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1419 opens the 1.1400 round number then the 1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1450 ema20 would challenge the downtrend structure
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, breaking firmly below 1.15 on post-Fed USD momentum and Iran risk-off, and is now basing in a tight 1.1419–1.1432 band just above the week low. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s, reflecting stalled but still-bearish momentum after the slide into the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone. Two attempts back toward 1.1475 this week were capped, keeping lower highs intact.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14745, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC Tue could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1417 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1390/1.1410 zone
H1 close back above 1.1450 (EMA20) would challenge the lower-high structure
EUR/USD has bled lower through the week, breaking firmly below 1.15 on post-Fed USD momentum and grinding to a fresh low at 1.1419 before stalling. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the high-30s/low-40s, and the late slide has flattened into a tight band just above the lows. Bounces have been capped around the 1.1455 EMA20 zone, leaving the downtrend intact.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1419 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1410 support zone
EZ/US flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1495 range top needed to neutralise the downtrend
EUR has bled lower all week, with the dominant leg the sharp post-Fed collapse from 1.1591 through 1.1478 that anchored the downtrend; price now sits pinned near the 1.1419 swing low after a second NY-session leg down. It trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) holding the upper-30s, and supply has capped each bounce at successively lower highs. Consolidation has tightened into 1.1420-1.1450 as oversold conditions unwind sideways ahead of Tuesday's flash PMIs.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1419 swing low opens the 1.1400 psych test
H1 close back above 1.1450 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
EZ + US flash PMIs (Tue 23 Jun) could shift this read sharply
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, near week lows · RSI 36 · price 1.14254
Lower highs and lower lows, basing at support.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1616 open, with the dominant leg coming on the hawkish-Fed driven slide through 1.15 and a continuation into the NY session. Price now presses week lows around 1.1418, holding below EMA20 (~1.1448) with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 36. Two probes of 1.1418/1.1419 have held so far, but the broader structure of lower highs into the level remains intact.
Support: 1.14187, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1456, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1410 support zone confirms the next lower-low toward 1.1390
Reclaim of EMA20 ~1.1448 would ease the oversold downtrend pressure
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:15 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, near week lows · RSI 39 · price 1.14254
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above support.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1608 and broke down hard mid-week, with the dominant leg lower coming below 1.15 as a hawkish Fed rebuilt dollar longs. Price has since drifted to retest the 1.1418 week low and is consolidating in a tight 1.1420–1.1430 band below EMA20 (~1.1450), with RSI(14) holding in the high-30s. The 1.1487 swing high has capped recovery attempts and lower highs remain intact.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1487
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the path toward the 1.1210 zone flagged by analysts
Reclaim of 1.1450 ema20 would soften the lower-high structure; 1.1487 caps above
EZ flash PMIs 07:15 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC Tuesday could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14248
Lower highs and lower lows since Friday's break.
EUR/USD broke firmly below 1.15 on Friday as the dollar extended its post-hawkish-Fed run, then consolidated in the mid-1.14s through midweek. Price has now leaked back to fresh lows near 1.1424, pinned under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the high-30s on each bounce. The 1.1410 support zone flagged by the Street is the next structural test ahead of Tuesday's flash PMIs.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 opens the path toward 1.1390 and 1.1210
Reclaim of 1.1452 EMA(20) would soften the lower-highs sequence
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from the 1.161 open, breaking firmly below 1.15 on heavy volume as the USD stayed bid post-hawkish Fed. Price consolidated in the mid-1.14s through midweek before a fresh NY-session leg lower pressed into 1.142, with RSI(14) holding sub-40 and price pinned beneath EMA20/EMA50. The 1.14175 swing low is the immediate area to watch for a break or hold.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.14762, 1.1495
What it said to watch
A break below 1.140 opens the path toward 1.1210 (ING/UOB)
Recovery above 1.1457 would challenge the lower-high structure
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC are the next EUR catalyst
US flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, near week lows · RSI 37 · price 1.14287
Lower highs, lower lows since midweek breakdown.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, with the decisive leg coming on the hawkish-Fed USD breakout that knocked price from the 1.16 area below 1.15 and on toward 1.142. Price sits beneath EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI capped in the 35-45 band on bounces, and the recovery to 1.1450 was sold back. The pair now hovers just above this week's 1.1418 low and the much-cited 1.140 zone.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1495, 1.1570
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1418/1.1400 confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes 1.1210
A reclaim of 1.1495 range top would stall the downtrend read
EZ flash PMIs (~07:30 UTC) and US PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, breaking below 1.15 mid-week on the hawkish-Fed USD breakout and grinding toward the much-cited 1.140 area. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hugging the high-30s, and the latest NY session printed a fresh leg down into 1.1425. Lower highs near 1.1476 and 1.1463 have capped every bounce attempt since.
Support: 1.14251, 1.14175, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14635, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Break of 1.1410 support exposes the 1.140 test, then 1.1210
H1 close back above 1.1495 range top would neutralise the downtrend read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14301
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1610 open, with a sharp break below the 1.15 handle and a fresh low at 1.1425 into the NY session as a firm USD on hawkish-Fed repricing dominates. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) and pullbacks into 1.1457/1.1474 have been sold. RSI(14) near 38 reflects sustained downside pressure without a reached extreme.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.1474, 1.1495
What it said to watch
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30-08:00 UTC Tue could materially shift this read
A clean break of the 1.1410/1.1390 support zone opens the path toward 1.1210
An H1 close back above 1.1495 would neutralise the lower-high structure
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14301
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, slipping from Monday's 1.1610 open through the 1.15 break on firm USD as hawkish-Fed repricing dominated. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressing into the high-30s as the latest leg printed a fresh weekly low near 1.1425. The 1.14762 prior high and the 1.1495 cap have capped each NY-session recovery attempt.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14762, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below the 1.1410 support zone confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.1495 cap would neutralise the lower-high structure
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30-08:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC Tue could materially shift this read
EURUSD has been a one-way downtrend since Monday's 1.1613 open, with the sharpest leg landing in the Wednesday NY session as a firm dollar pressed price sub-1.15 toward a 1.1417 week low. Since then price has chopped in a 1.1417-1.1495 range, with lower highs capping each bounce and a fresh rejection back to 1.1432 in today's NY hours. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding in the high-30s.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 1.1210
Reclaim of 1.1495 range cap would neutralise the lower-high sequence
EZ flash PMIs Tue ~07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 41 · price 1.1432
Lower highs, lower lows since Monday.
EUR/USD has stayed offered all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1614 area to sub-1.15 as a firm dollar on hawkish-Fed repricing and the US-Iran haven bid dominates. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with recovery attempts into 1.1475 repeatedly capped, and the latest NY session leg lower has pressed back toward the 1.1410/1.1417 support zone. RSI(14) near 41 reflects sustained downside pressure without yet reaching oversold extremes.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1410 opens the path toward the 1.1210 area
Reclaim of 1.1475 lower high would ease the downtrend read toward the 1.1495 range cap
EZ flash PMIs ~07:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC Tue could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, near multi-week lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14477
Lower highs, lower lows; basing near range floor.
EURUSD has trended lower since last week's open, with the dominant leg a sharp NY-session flush through 1.1540 that never recovered; the pair sits below EMA20 and EMA50 and pinned near multi-week lows around 1.1428 on USD strength and hawkish-Fed bets. Today's session probed 1.14255 before a modest bounce back to 1.1448, keeping price inside the 1.1435–1.1495 consolidation band. RSI(14) holding in the low 40s with no clear divergence as the down-leg matures.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 23 Jun 07:15-08:00 UTC could break the 1.1435-1.1495 range
Loss of 1.1410 support zone confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
H1 close back above 1.1495 range top neutralises the downside read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14477
Lower highs into a tight base above the multi-week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from 1.1619, with the sharp NY-session leg through the 1.1530s on USD strength after the hawkish Fed repricing leaving price pinned near three-month lows. The pair is now grinding in a 1.1428-1.1495 band beneath the H1 EMA(20), which has capped each bounce, and yesterday's NY session printed a fresh low at 1.14255. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s without confirming a new extreme.
Support: 1.14255, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1495, 1.1570
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:15-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC are the nearest catalysts that could break the 1.1428-1.1495 band
A close below 1.1416 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
An hourly close back above 1.1495 range top would neutralise the lower-high sequence
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.14282
Lower highs and lower lows, range broken down.
EUR/USD has been pinned in a downtrend all week, sliding from above 1.1600 Monday after hawkish-Fed repricing and Iran haven flows kept the USD bid through the ECB hike. The 1.1445-1.1475 consolidation that capped price for the past day broke down into the latest session, with the close at 1.1428 pressing toward the 1.14175 week low. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI cycling in the high-30s, no bullish divergence yet.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 1.1410 support zone opens the path toward 1.1210
Reclaim of the 1.1495 range cap would invalidate the downside continuation
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended lower all week, accelerating on the sharp break under 1.1540 and grinding down through a descending channel of lower highs into the NY session. Price sits at fresh lows near 1.1428, capped well below EMA20/EMA50 as hawkish-Fed repricing and Iran haven flows keep USD bid; even last week's ECB hike failed to lift the euro. RSI(14) holds in the high-30s, weak but not yet washed out.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1471, 1.1495
What it said to watch
A firm break of 1.1418/1.1410 support extends the downtrend toward 1.1210
Reclaim of 1.1450 then 1.1471 would break the channel of lower highs
ECB Lagarde speech (15:15 UTC) and tomorrow's eurozone flash PMIs could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14435
Lower highs, holding above week low.
EUR/USD broke firmly below 1.15 mid-week and printed a three-month low at 1.1417, driven by the hawkish-Fed rate-differential bid and Middle East haven flows that outweighed the ECB hike. Price has since chopped in a 1.1440-1.1480 band, with EMA20 near 1.1455 capping bounces and the recent high at 1.1480 unbroken. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting a heavy but not yet oversold tape into the close.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1480, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 breaks the lower-high sequence; range top 1.1495 the next cap
Loss of 1.1417 week low confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1390 support zone
Lagarde 15:15 UTC and Tuesday flash PMIs are the key catalysts that could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14435
Lower highs / lower lows, basing above week low.
EUR/USD has been in a clear H1 downtrend since last week's open near 1.1593, with the dominant leg lower mid-week as a hawkish-Fed re-pricing and Middle East haven USD bid drove the pair firmly sub-1.15 to a three-month low at 1.1417. Since then price has consolidated the 1.1435-1.1480 band, holding below EMA20 (~1.1458) and EMA50 with RSI cycling around 43. Today's probe back toward the session low at 1.1441 keeps the basing pattern intact above the 1.1417 week low.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1417, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14575, 1.1480, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1210 path flagged in macro
Reclaim above 1.1495 cap would unwind the consolidation lower-highs
Lagarde 15:15 UTC and EZ Consumer Confidence could shift this read
Tuesday EZ flash PMIs are the week's key EUR catalyst
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14482
Lower highs, basing above 3-mo low.
Downtrend off Monday's 1.1619 open, accelerating through a sharp risk-driven leg lower that printed a fresh 3-month low at 1.1418 before stabilising. Price now consolidates 1.1440-1.1476 below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s after the slide. The bearish backdrop ties to a hawkish Fed and DXY at highs plus US-Iran haven flows that have capped each EUR bounce.
Support: 1.14411, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14762, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low and breaks the basing zone
Close above 1.1495 cap would ease the bearish structure
Eurozone flash PMIs tomorrow ~07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14482
Lower highs, holding above 3-month low.
EUR/USD has been in a clear downtrend since the sharp midweek break from 1.16, accelerated by a hawkish Fed and DXY at one-year highs that capped the energy-forced ECB hike. Price bottomed at a 3-month low near 1.1417 then has consolidated in a 1.144–1.148 band, drifting back to the lows with RSI(14) stuck in the mid-40s and trade pinned below EMA20. Lower highs into the NY session keep the structure heavy.
Support: 1.14175, 1.14411
Resistance: 1.14803, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1495 weekly cap eases the bearish structure
Failure to hold the 1.1417 3-mo low opens the 1.1390/1.1410 zone
Eurozone HCOB flash PMIs tomorrow ~07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR slid from Monday's open near 1.1599, the dominant leg lower coming on the hawkish-Fed move that dragged the pair to a 3-month low at 1.1416. Since then price has consolidated between that floor and the 1.1480 swing high, carving lower highs as a revived USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines weighed back into the close. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI in the mid-40s — the weekly bounce off the floor has been shallow.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1416 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1390
Reclaim of the 1.1480 swing high needed to challenge the 1.1495 weekly cap
ECB Lagarde speeches today could shift this read intraday
Lower highs and lower lows, now consolidating near lows.
EURUSD has trended lower since Monday's open, with the bulk of the slide arriving in a sharp NY-session selloff midweek that broke the pair from 1.1590 toward the 1.1417 floor on a hawkish-Fed USD bid. Price gapped lower into this week's open at 1.14613 and is now consolidating between 1.1440 and 1.1476, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. Last Friday's 3-month low at 1.1417 remains the pivot capping the downside.
Support: 1.14411, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14761, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 opens the path toward 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1495 cap needed to ease the bearish structure
ECB Lagarde speeches today (13:00 & 15:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a tight base near the week's lows.
EUR/USD has bled lower all week, the sharp leg down from 1.1591 to sub-1.1500 came as a hawkish-Fed USD bid and Iran safe-haven flows dominated even after the ECB hike. Price gapped down at this week's open near 1.1461 and is now coiling in a 1.1440–1.1470 band just above the 1.1411 three-month low, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI sitting below the midline. Demand has stepped in twice around 1.1439–1.1411 but each bounce has been capped under 1.1473.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1439
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 1.1411 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1390 support zone
Close above 1.1495 negates the lower-high sequence and exposes 1.1570
Lagarde speaks 13:00 & 15:15 UTC today — could shift this read
Tue HCOB flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) are the next structural catalyst
Lower highs and lower lows, now consolidating above 3-mo low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's ~1.1610 open, with the decisive leg coming on the impulsive drop through 1.1530 into the 1.1417 three-month low. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, consolidating in a 1.1440–1.1480 band as the hawkish-Fed USD bid and ECB-hike fade keep the broader pressure intact; RSI(14) has been cycling below the midline. The bounce off 1.1417 has so far been capped under the 1.1480 swing high.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1495, 1.1570
What it said to watch
ECB's Lagarde speaks 13:00 and 15:15 UTC today — could shift this read
Clean break below 1.1410 support zone opens the path toward 1.1210
H1 close above 1.1495 range cap would challenge 1.1570 prior high
Tue eurozone flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC) are the next structural catalyst
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1619 high, with the dominant leg arriving on the ECB-hike session when price gapped through 1.1539 down to 1.1494 — a hike overridden by dollar strength. Since carving the 1.1417 three-month low, price has consolidated in a 1.1440-1.1480 band and now sits back near 1.1450, below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) holding the mid-40s reflects the stall rather than fresh selling.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1570
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 swing high would break the recent consolidation
Failure to hold 1.1441 day low reopens the 1.1417 three-month low
Lagarde speeches (13:00 & 15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above range floor.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1611 open, with the dominant leg down printing during the Thursday session as hawkish-Fed dollar strength and Iran risk-off flows pressed the pair to a 1.1417 three-month low. Since the weekend gap-down, price has stalled into a tight consolidation around 1.1450, capped by the EMA20 near 1.1462 and the 1.1473 intraday high while RSI(14) holds in the low 40s. The 1.1441 session low is the immediate floor ahead of the 1.1417 low.
Support: 1.14411, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.14734, 1.1570
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14411 reopens the 1.14175 three-month low and the 1.1400 area
Reclaim of EMA20 (~1.1462) and 1.14734 would ease the downside pressure
Lagarde speeches today (13:00 & 15:15 UTC) and Waller could materially shift this read
EUR slid all week from Monday's ~1.1605 open to a 3-month low near 1.14175, a dollar-led move after the hawkish Fed dot-plot and Iran safe-haven USD bid overwhelmed the ECB hike. A bounce into the NY session stalled at 1.1476 and rolled over, and price now consolidates around 1.1446 below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits mid-40s, holding above its lows from the impulse down.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14758
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1470 needed to ease the bearish tone
Loss of 1.14175 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1400 zone
ECB Lagarde 13:00/15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, near weekly lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14458
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows since Monday.
Persistent downtrend since Monday's open, a dollar-led slide after the hawkish Fed dot-plot shift dragged EUR from the 1.1620 area to a three-month low at 1.1417. The midweek bounce stalled into the 1.1476 pivot and price has rolled back toward the lows, sitting below both EMAs with RSI(14) pinned in the low-40s. Selling pressure has resumed into the latest sessions as US-Iran headlines added a safe-haven USD bid.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1476
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1476 needed to ease the bearish tone
ECB Lagarde 13:00 & 15:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD slid roughly 0.9% across the week, with the dominant leg a sharp Friday breakdown from ~1.159 as a hawkish-Fed dollar pressed toward one-year highs. Price has since stabilised near 1.146, consolidating below EMA(20) and well under EMA(50), holding above the 1.1417 three-month low. RSI(14) sits mid-range, reflecting a pause rather than a turn.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1452 range floor reopens the path to the 1.1417 week low
Reclaim of 1.1470 recovery cap needed to ease downside pressure
Lagarde speeches today (08:00, 13:00, 15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1605 and sold off hard mid-week, breaking 1.159 and extending to a three-month low at 1.1417 as a hawkish Fed drove DXY to 13-month highs. Since that low price has consolidated in a 1.145–1.148 band, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. The 1.1476 swing high has capped recoveries while demand has held the 1.1452 area.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1486
What it said to watch
Lagarde speaks 3x today (08:00, 13:00, 15:15 UTC) — could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1417 week low opens fresh downside
H1 close above 1.1476 swing high needed to challenge the prior high at 1.1486
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1619 area to a three-month low at 1.1417 as a hawkish Fed lifted the Dollar to a one-year high. The recovery to 1.1480 was corrective and has stalled, with price fading back toward 1.1454 in thin Juneteenth-affected trade. Sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with rallies finding supply on the descending lower-highs line.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 psych zone
Reclaim of 1.1480 bounce high needed to challenge the downtrend
Three Lagarde speeches plus Waller today could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14539
Lower highs/lows, range above 1.1452 floor.
A steep decline from the 1.1619 region Thursday into Friday — driven by the hawkish-Fed policy-divergence theme — dragged EUR/USD to a three-month low near 1.1417. The pair gapped slightly lower into this week's open and is now consolidating just above the 1.1452 floor, holding below EMA(20) with RSI(14) stuck in the mid-40s. The bounce off 1.1417 stalled at 1.1480 and recent highs are stepping lower.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1480
What it said to watch
Three Lagarde speeches today (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.1480 invalidates the lower-high consolidation
Break below 1.1417 confirms continuation of the downtrend
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 1.14549
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating off the low.
EUR/USD has been in a clear downtrend all week, sliding from the 1.1619 high with the dominant impulse coming during the mid-week sell-off as USD strength followed the hawkish Fed dot-plot. The pair found a base at the 1.1417 three-month low and bounced to 1.1480, but that corrective leg has stalled below EMA(20) and price is rolling over again into the new week. Holding under EMA(20) keeps the structure heavy, with the bounce high at 1.1480 capping recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1480
What it said to watch
Clean break of 1.1417 3-mo low opens fresh downside
Hourly close back above 1.1480 bounce high needed to extend the recovery
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC tomorrow and Lagarde speeches today could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 1.14549
Lower highs after week low at 1.1417.
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's ~1.1575 open, accelerating through a sharp mid-week gap-down on USD strength after the hawkish Fed dot-plot, bottoming at the three-month low of 1.1417. The corrective bounce stalled at 1.1480 and price has faded back below EMA(20), with RSI(14) sitting in the low-40s. Demand around the 1.1455 area is holding for now, but the week-low region remains the dominant downside reference.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.14634, 1.14803
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 opens the three-month-low region toward 1.1411
Reclaim of 1.1480 needed to extend the corrective bounce
Lagarde speeches and Tue flash PMIs (07:30/13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD broke down hard mid-window as the hawkish Fed repricing drove the impulsive sell-off from the 1.1619 week high to a three-month low at 1.1417. The corrective bounce stalled near 1.1480 and price has slipped back under EMA20 (~1.1465), now testing the 1.1450 barrier with RSI cycling in the low-40s. Structure remains a series of lower highs off the drop.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 opens fresh downside beyond the three-month low
Reclaim of EMA20 ~1.1465 and the 1.1480 ceiling would ease the corrective fade
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) and Lagarde speeches today are catalysts that could shift this read
EUR/USD has carried a clear downtrend across the week as USD strength on the hawkish Fed repricing dominated, with the sharp leg from 1.1619 to 1.1417 the defining move. A corrective bounce reclaimed 1.1476 but stalled, and the week reopened with a gap lower toward 1.1461 before drifting back into the 1.1455 area. Price sits below EMA20, which is capping near 1.1463, and RSI is hovering mid-40s.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1476, 1.1486
What it said to watch
Hourly close above EMA20/1.1476 would reopen the corrective ceiling toward 1.1486
A clean break of the 1.1417 3-mo low confirms continuation lower
Lagarde speaks 3x today and Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC tomorrow could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14653
Lower highs, basing above 3-month low.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1579, pushed to 1.1619 Monday, then collapsed mid-week as hawkish-Fed USD strength dragged DXY to a one-year high, breaking down to a 3-month low at 1.1417. The corrective bounce stalled near 1.1480 and price now consolidates around 1.1465, capped under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) stuck in the mid-40s. The 1.1450 barrier is holding as near-term demand into the new week's open.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1428, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1467, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.1480 corrective ceiling needed to break the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speaks 3x today and Eurozone flash PMIs (Tue) could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14653
Lower highs and lows, corrective bounce.
EUR/USD has been in a clear downtrend since the hawkish-Fed drop mid-week dragged the pair off the 1.16 region to a three-month low at 1.1417. Demand stepped in there to spark a corrective bounce into 1.1480, but price has since stalled and is consolidating near 1.1465, just below EMA(20). RSI(14) sits mid-range, reflecting the pause rather than fresh momentum.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 breaks the lower-highs sequence and challenges the corrective ceiling
Failure to hold 1.1454 reopens the 1.1417 three-month low
Lagarde speeches and tomorrow's flash PMIs could materially shift this read
The week opened near 1.1586 and sold off hard as the dollar rallied on hawkish Fed repricing, bottoming at the 1.1417 three-month low into Friday's session. Price has since steadied into a tight 1.1454–1.1480 range, holding just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s. The bounce reads as corrective against the dominant weekly drop.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 would break the post-low range
Loss of 1.1417 confirms a lower-low, resuming the weekly downtrend
Lagarde speeches and Tue flash PMIs could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spent the week under pressure, with a sharp mid-week break — a single high-volume bar sliced from 1.1591 to 1.1535 — driving the dominant down-move into a 1.1417 three-month low as the dollar held near one-year highs on the hawkish Fed repricing. Since then price has based and corrected up to ~1.1480 before easing back to 1.1463, now sitting just below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering toward 46. The bounce looks corrective: the broader structure of lower highs and lower lows is intact.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1427
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1519
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 week low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim above 1.1480 recent high needed to ease downside pressure
Lagarde speeches and Eurozone flash PMIs could materially shift this read
Week opened above 1.1580 but rolled over hard after the hawkish Fed repricing lifted DXY to a one-year high, dragging EURUSD to a 3-mo low near 1.1417 by Thursday's session. Price has since consolidated in the low-1.14s, reclaiming EMA20 while staying capped below EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-range. The wk bounce hi at 1.1480 has held the recovery so far.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 wk bounce hi needed to challenge the 1.1516 prior supp
Loss of 1.1417 3-mo low confirms a fresh lower low
Tue 07:30 UTC flash HCOB PMIs are the next catalyst that could shift this read
EUR slid from above 1.1600 at Monday's open to a low near 1.1417 as the Fed's hawkish hold and October-hike repricing drove broad USD strength through the week. Price has since stabilised and is grinding sideways just above EMA(20), with the holiday-thinned bounce stalling under the 1.1476 recent high. A small weekend gap lower at the reopen has been filled, but the recovery remains shallow inside the broader downtrend, sitting below EMA(50).
Support: 1.1454, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1487, 1.14946
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1476 opens the path toward 1.1487 and the 38.2% fib at 1.14946
Failure to hold 1.1454 reopens the 1.14175 week low
ECB Lagarde speeches and Tue flash PMIs could materially shift this read
Consolidation above 3-month low after Fed-driven impulse down.
EUR/USD spent the week sliding from above 1.1619 to a 3-month low at 1.1417 on Wednesday's hawkish Fed hold, the dominant impulse of the window. Price has since bounced and consolidated in the 1.1454-1.1480 band, but is capped under the EMA20 around 1.1466 with RSI(14) hovering mid-range near 46. Holiday-thinned tape kept ranges tight into the latest bars after the recovery off the low.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1411, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 extends the bounce toward the 1.1450/1.1460 band reclaim and EMA50
Loss of 1.1417 confirms a lower low and retest of the 1.1411 support
Lagarde speeches Mon (08:00/13:00/15:15 UTC) and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue 07:30 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD has been in a clear downtrend since Monday, sliding from above 1.1600 to a week low at 1.14175 after the Fed's hawkish hold lifted the dollar. The corrective bounce stalled below 1.1480 and price now consolidates around 1.1463, capped just under the EMA20 with RSI hovering near 46. A holiday-thinned gap lower from 1.14709 marks the latest session open, keeping the broader lower-high/lower-low sequence intact.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14803
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 invalidates the lower-high read
Loss of 1.14175 opens the 1.14110 support
Lagarde speeches (Mon) and Tue Eurozone PMIs could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off hard this week from 1.1619 toward 1.1417 after the Fed's hawkish hold lifted the dollar, with the sharpest leg on the gap-down bar mid-window. Since the 1.1420 base, price has stabilised and is consolidating in the 1.1450/1.1460 resist band, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold and price re-anchoring to the H1 EMA(20). The EMA(50) near 1.1510 still caps the broader move.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1411, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1480, 1.1510
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 then 1.1510 ema50 would unwind the lower-high structure
Loss of 1.1420 week low / 1.1411 key support confirms a fresh lower low
Lagarde speeches today and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could reset this read
From Monday's 1.1590 open EUR/USD sold off hard on the Fed's hawkish hold, accelerating through 1.1540 and printing a 3-month low at 1.1418 during the NY session. A late-week short-cover bounce off oversold levels reclaimed 1.1480 before a thin holiday weekend gap-down to 1.1462. Price sits below the falling EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1418, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1480, 1.1525
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1418 confirms downtrend continuation toward 1.1411
Lagarde speeches Mon and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could shift this read