Range with mid-session sweep low and partial retrace.
NY session pushed to 1.16446 then sold off into a sweep of the 1.16161 session low before basing. Late-session drift has lifted price back to 1.16364, with the round number at 1.16400 the next cap and the Asia handover keeping ATR compressed.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16225, 1.16282
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.16446, 1.16364
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16400 round number opens path back toward the 1.16446 NY high
Loss of 1.16282 pivot puts the 1.16225 swing low and session low back in play
BOJ IMES conference with Fed speakers in the Asia session could lift volatility from current compressed ATR
Range between 1.1617 and 1.1645, currently mid-range pressing higher.
Asia session is winding down with price grinding back to 1.1634 after a NY-hours flush to 1.1617 was bought. RSI(14) at 58 and ATR(14) just 3.6 pips reflect the thin late-Asia tape; structure is a tight range between the session low at 1.1617 and the prior NY high at 1.1645.
Support: 1.1630, 1.1617, 1.1596
Resistance: 1.1638, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 session high would break the range higher
loss of 1.1617 session low reopens 1.1596 swing low
thin late-Asia liquidity, expect expansion at London open
23:15 UTC
Rebound off NY-session low, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 56 · price 1.16333
Lower-high lower-low into 1.1617, bounce stalling under 1.1635.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1645 to a swing low at 1.1616, then bounced and is coiling between 1.1628 and 1.1635 into early Asia. Volume has dried up and ATR is compressing — no setup in play, market awaiting fresh direction.
Support: 1.16282, 1.16196, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16365, 1.16445, 1.16475
What it said to watch
Reclaim of intraday cap at 1.1637 reopens the 1.1645 NY high
Loss of session low 1.1628 reactivates the swing low at 1.1616
Thin Asia liquidity — sweep risk both sides of the current range
Asia session is quiet after NY hours swept the 1.1616 low and recovered back into the prior range. Price is now grinding higher into 1.1635 intraday pivot, RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.1628, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1635, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16350 opens the path back to the 1.16445 session high
Loss of 1.16280 session low re-exposes the 1.16161 swept low
BoJ Ueda and RBNZ decision during Asia session could spill into EUR/USD volatility
NY session sold off into 1.1616 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.1632 where it has consolidated through the late-NY and into the Asia open. Range bounded by the NY low at 1.1616 and the prior asia range high at 1.1636, RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16252
Resistance: 1.16356, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1636 reopens the path toward 1.1645
Break below 1.1616 NY session low confirms a lower-low
BoJ Ueda and RBNZ decision in the Asia session could lift volatility
NY session sold the 1.1645 session high into a 1.1616 swing low, then base-built and recovered into 1.1631 as Asia opens. Price now coils mid-range with RSI(14) neutral at 51 and ATR around 4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.16259, 1.16172, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16325, 1.16446, 1.16475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1617 swing low reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.1633 recent high needed to challenge 1.1645 session high
BoJ Ueda, Aussie CPI and RBNZ in the Asia session could spill into EUR/USD via USD
NY session printed a high at 1.1645 and sold off into 1.1616, with buyers stepping in twice around 1.1620 during late NY. Price has since drifted back to 1.1630 in the Asia handover, RSI(14) flat near 47 and EMA20/50 capping above.
Support: 1.1628, 1.16195, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1633 micro pivot opens path back to 1.1645 NY high
Break below 1.1620 swing low reopens 1.1616 NY low
BoJ Ueda and Aussie CPI in Asia session could spill into EUR via USD
NY session sold the 1.1644 high during US hours, sweeping the NY swing low at 1.16169 before recovering into the Asia handover. Price is now drifting around 1.1628 in early Asia, mid-range with RSI flat near 48 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1626, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.16446, 1.16438
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16169 NY swing low extends the down leg
Reclaim of 1.16330 micro pivot opens path back to session high
BoJ Ueda and Asia CPI data due could lift volatility from current sub-5 pip ATR
Range between 1.1617 and 1.1644 after NY pullback.
NY session printed a high at 1.1644 before sellers drove price into a 1.1617 swing low, with buyers stepping in twice around that level. Late-session tape has stabilised in a tight 1.1620–1.1633 intraday band, RSI(14) back to neutral as volume thins into the close.
Support: 1.16225, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1617 NY swing low opens path to lower extension
Reclaim of 1.1644 session high invalidates the rejection read
BoJ, RBNZ and Aussie CPI in the Asia session ahead could materially shift this read
21:30 UTC
Intraday pullback off 1.1645 session high · RSI 45 · price 1.16281
Lower highs since NY high, base forming above 1.1620.
Price rejected 1.1645 during NY hours and pulled back to 1.1616, where buyers stepped in to form a base back up to 1.1632 before drifting into the close at 1.1628. Late-session tape is tight and directionless, RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 1.16259, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16327, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1633 reopens the session high at 1.1645
Break of 1.1626 session low exposes the 1.1616 NY swing low
Asia open with BoJ Ueda and RBNZ decision ahead could lift broader USD volatility
21:15 UTC
Intraday pullback, stabilising late · RSI 47 · price 1.16281
Lower high at 1.1644, lower low at 1.1616, base forming near 1.1630.
EURUSD swept the session high at 1.1644 during NY hours before rolling over to print a swing low at 1.1616, with buyers stepping in twice around 1.1620. Price has since drifted back to 1.1628 and is consolidating into the Asian open, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range and ATR compressing to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 1.16259, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16323, 1.16445, 1.16438
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1632 minor pivot would neutralise the intraday pullback
Break below 1.1616 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
BoJ Ueda and Asian session calendar (Aussie CPI, RBNZ) may inject cross-pair volatility
M15 sold from the 1.1646 NY session high down to a 1.1617 swing low after Kashkari's hawkish hike commentary, then based and reclaimed EMA20 into the close. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1628-1.1632 consolidation just under session vwap with RSI back at neutral 52.
Support: 1.1620, 1.1617, 1.1595
Resistance: 1.1632, 1.1646
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1620 reopens the 1.1617 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1646 NY session high invalidates the lower-high read
Tokyo open and BoJ Ueda speech in upcoming Asia session could shift USD tone
Lower highs from 1.1644, recovery off 1.1616 swing low.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1644 down to 1.1616 on Kashkari's hawkish hike comments, with a clean rejection forming a swing low. Late-NY recovery has lifted price back to 1.1631 in a tight consolidation, RSI(14) neutral at 48 and ATR(14) compressed near 4 pips heading into Asia.
Support: 1.16282, 1.16161, 1.16225
Resistance: 1.16327, 1.16446, 1.1640
What it said to watch
Break below 1.16225 intraday pivot reopens the 1.1616 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16400 round number invalidates the lower-high sequence
BoJ Ueda and Aussie CPI in the Asia session could widen ATR from current 4 pip compression
NY session swept the prior London base and tagged 1.16161 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.1632 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold. Late-session grind higher off the NY low; supply still capping at the 1.16340 micro pivot. Kashkari hawkish-Fed comments midway through NY hours coincided with the leg down.
Support: 1.16161, 1.1621, 1.1628
Resistance: 1.1634, 1.1640, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16340 micro pivot opens path to 1.16400 supply retest
Loss of 1.16210 swing low reasserts the NY downtrend toward 1.16161
Asia open thin liquidity could exaggerate any break of the late-NY range
Lower highs into 1.1617 swing low, corrective bounce in play.
NY session swept lower through 1.1625 into a 1.1617 session low after USD bid on Kashkari hike-talk headlines, then carved a base and ground back to 1.16323. Bounce holding above the swing low with RSI(14) recovering through 56, but price still capped below the 1.16335 micro pivot.
Support: 1.16169, 1.16252
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.16446, 1.16431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16335 micro pivot opens the path back to the NY session high at 1.16446
Loss of 1.16252 swing low re-exposes the 1.16169 session low
Further Fed hawkish headlines could reassert USD bid and invalidate the basing read
20:00 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, mild recovery into NY close · RSI 60 · price 1.16311
Lower-high lower-low chain, base building near 1.1620.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1644 down to 1.1617 on the USD-haven bid following US strikes in southern Iran, before basing through late NY into a slow grind back to 1.1631. Price is consolidating just above the NY session low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold, but the lower-high chain from 1.1646 → 1.1636 caps the rebound.
Support: 1.16196, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16311, 1.16361, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1636 intraday LH would break the lower-high chain
M15 close below 1.1620 NY session low reopens 1.1617 spike low
Kashkari hawkish-hike commentary keeps USD bid risk live into Asia
19:45 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 55 · price 1.16296
Lower high at 1.1644, recovery from session low.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1644 down to a session low at 1.1616 as the dollar firmed on Kashkari hawkish comments and Hormuz haven flows. Price has since carved a double bottom near 1.1620 and is grinding back to 1.1630, RSI(14) recovering through the midline.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16225
Resistance: 1.16305, 1.16445
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16305 micro high opens room back toward the 1.1644 lower high
Loss of 1.16161 session low extends the downtrend
Fed speakers / risk headlines on Iran can re-bid the dollar quickly
19:30 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 49 · price 1.16279
Lower-high then sweep, recovering.
NY session swept the prior London base at 1.16161 before recovering, with price now consolidating in a tight 1.1620–1.1630 band into late NY. Sellers capped the bounce at the 1.16293 micro pivot; RSI back at neutral after the dip.
Support: 1.16161, 1.1621
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.1636, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16293 opens path back to 1.16360 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.16210 sweep base re-exposes the 1.16161 session low
Kashkari hawkish hike comments crossing wires — USD-positive risk to this read
NY session sold the 1.1644 lower high down to 1.1617, then buyers stepped in to base around 1.1620–1.1625 as USD strength tied to renewed Hormuz/Iran headlines faded into the close. Late-session bars are coiling under 1.1630 with RSI back to neutral; range read until 1.1617 or 1.1644 gives way.
Support: 1.16169, 1.1621, 1.16276
Resistance: 1.16305, 1.16446, 1.16486
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1617 NY swing low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1644 lower high invalidates the bearish sequence
Asia session open could reset the range; thin liquidity risk
NY session sold the 1.16445 high down through 1.16169 on the Hormuz-driven USD bid, then buyers stepped in twice around the session low and price has clawed back to 1.16279. Move is mean-reverting inside the prior range, with RSI recovering off oversold and the bounce high at 1.16293 the immediate test.
Support: 1.16169, 1.16225
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.16445, 1.1638
What it said to watch
Reclaim of mid-range 1.1638 area would neutralise the downtrend read
M15 close below 1.16169 session low extends the leg lower
Headline risk around US-Iran / Hormuz can override structure intraday
Lower highs from 1.1644, base forming above 1.1616.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1644 down to 1.1616 as Hormuz tensions revived USD demand, with sellers stepping in repeatedly around 1.1636. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1620–1.1629 range into the late NY hours, RSI(14) recovering toward 45.
Support: 1.16161, 1.1621, 1.16237
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.1636, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1616 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1636 rejection level neutralises the NY downleg
ATR at 3.6 pips signals compressed range, prone to expansion
18:30 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 43 · price 1.16255
Lower highs into 1.1617 low, modest bounce stalling.
NY session drove EURUSD from 1.1644 down to a 1.1617 session low as Hormuz/Iran headlines revived USD demand, then bounced into 1.1629 before stalling. Price now coiling tightly in the 1.1624–1.1626 zone late NY with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 4 pips — no momentum either way.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16237
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.16344, 1.16445
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1629 minor pivot opens path to retest NY rejection at 1.1634
Break of 1.1617 session low resumes the downtrend leg
Late-NY liquidity thinning — false break risk into Asia open
18:15 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 42 · price 1.16234
Lower highs into 1.1620 demand, basing.
NY session sold the 1.1644 high down through 1.1620, with a sweep of 1.1616 before buyers stepped in. Price now compressing in a tight 1.1620–1.1629 range, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s, both EMAs capping above.
Support: 1.16161, 1.1622
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.1637, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1637 NY pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Break and hold below the 1.1616 session low extends the lower-high sequence
Middle East headline risk around the Strait of Hormuz remains a USD wildcard
18:00 UTC
Downtrend, NY session selling · RSI 38 · price 1.16228
Lower highs, lower lows since London close.
EURUSD slid through the NY session after rejection at 1.16446, with Middle East tensions reviving USD demand and pressing price down to a session low at 1.16161. A shallow bounce stalled near 1.16290 and price is now drifting lower again at 1.16228, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.16161, 1.1610
Resistance: 1.1629, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16161 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.16100 psych
Reclaim of 1.16290 micro pivot neutralises the NY session selling
Further Hormuz/Iran headlines could materially shift this read
17:45 UTC
Intraday downtrend, late NY stabilising · RSI 41 · price 1.16236
Lower highs and lower lows from 1.1644 peak.
EUR/USD sold off through NY hours after rejection at 1.1644, printing a session low of 1.1616 as USD demand returned on renewed Hormuz tensions. Price has stabilised around 1.1624 into late NY with RSI(14) recovering from oversold, but the lower-high chain at 1.1629 and 1.1636 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16236
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.1636, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16293 micro lh would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.16161 session low extends the intraday downtrend
Lower highs into 1.1617 sweep, bounce in progress.
NY session sold the 1.1644 high in steps, sweeping the 1.1617 session low before buyers stepped in for a 30-pip bounce. Price now coiling around 1.1626 below the broken EMA20, with the micro high at 1.1629 capping the recovery so far.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16237
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.16346, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16346 prior swing would neutralise the intraday downtrend
M15 close below 1.16161 session low extends the leg lower
Middle East headlines around Hormuz continue to drive USD demand and could override structure
17:15 UTC
Downtrend, late NY selloff · RSI 40 · price 1.16235
Lower highs, lower lows since London.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session after rejection at 1.1644, printing a session low at 1.16161 on Hormuz-driven USD demand. Price is now grinding in a tight 1.1620–1.1627 range mid-NY, holding just above the session low with RSI near 40.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16299
Resistance: 1.1627, 1.1635, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16161 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.16350 invalidates the late-NY downtrend read
Headline risk from US-Iran / Hormuz tape can shift USD demand intrabar
EURUSD slid through NY hours from 1.1644 down to 1.1616 on Hormuz-related USD demand, printing a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Last few bars have stabilised in the 1.1620–1.1629 zone with a mild bullish RSI divergence into the session low; price still trades below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16196
Resistance: 1.16293, 1.16346, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of micro pivot 1.16293 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of session low 1.16161 extends the downtrend
Thin late-NY liquidity into Asia open may distort follow-through
16:45 UTC
Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 53 · price 1.16275
Lower highs into 1.1616 swing low, recovering.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1644 down to a 1.1616 session low on Hormuz/USD-bid headlines, with price now retracing into 1.1627. RSI(14) lifted off oversold while price held above the prior swing low — a shallow bullish divergence — but 1.1628–1.1635 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16196
Resistance: 1.16285, 1.16345, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1620 reopens the session low at 1.1616
Reclaim of 1.1635 prior pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Further Middle East headlines could drive fresh USD demand
EURUSD broke down through 1.1630 during NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 1.16161 as Hormuz tensions revived dollar demand. Price is attempting a small bounce off the lows with RSI(14) lifting from oversold; 1.16256 micro high is the immediate level capping the recovery.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16256, 1.16344, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16344 NY lh would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Break of 1.16161 session low extends the leg lower
Further Middle East headlines could re-accelerate USD bid
EURUSD rolled over through NY hours, breaking the 1.1630 shelf on Hormuz-tension headlines and printing a session low at 1.1616. Price is now consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) at 32, no oversold extreme yet and no reclaim of the 1.1626 micro pivot.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16256, 1.16309, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16256 micro pivot would neutralise the leg lower
M15 close below 1.16161 session low extends the downtrend
Further Middle East / Hormuz headlines could re-accelerate USD demand
EURUSD sold off through the NY session after rejecting 1.16446, breaking the 1.16285 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.16161. RSI(14) at 31 is approaching oversold but momentum is still pointing down with price pinned beneath both EMAs.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16285, 1.1635, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.16285 broken shelf would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Sustained acceptance below 1.16161 session low extends the downtrend
Late NY hours — liquidity thinning, expect range compression into the close
15:45 UTC
Intraday downtrend extending into NY · RSI 32 · price 1.16215
Lower highs, lower lows after NY break.
NY session pressed EURUSD through the 1.1635 shelf and printed a fresh session low at 1.1617, with price now consolidating just above. RSI(14) at 32 is soft but not stretched, and ATR(14) around 4 pips reflects the pickup in range during NY hours after a tight London.
Support: 1.16172, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16264, 1.1635, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16264 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Acceptance below the 1.16172 session low extends the downtrend
Late NY liquidity thinning could compress range into the close
NY session sold the 1.1644 high in stair-step fashion, breaking the 1.1630 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.1620. RSI(14) at 34 — pressured but not yet oversold, and price is consolidating in a tight 1.1620–1.1628 range into the close.
Support: 1.16196, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16285, 1.1635, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16169 spike low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.16285 micro pivot neutralises the latest leg lower
Fed hawkish-hold commentary noted in headlines could keep USD bid
NY session rolled over from 1.1644, breaking the 1.1635 shelf with a fast leg into 1.1617 session low. Price is consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) at 31, stretched but not yet at extreme oversold.
Support: 1.16169, 1.1610
Resistance: 1.1629, 1.1635, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16290 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break and acceptance below 1.16169 session low opens 1.16100 psych
Soft Dallas Fed and Consumer Confidence prints earlier did not lift USD; further USD weakness could stall the move
EURUSD sold off through NY hours, breaking the 1.1630 floor that held through London with a flush to 1.16169 — the session low. Price now consolidating just above the low near 1.1625, RSI(14) at 34 after the impulse leg lower, with the 1.1629 micro pivot capping the bounce.
Support: 1.16169, 1.1621
Resistance: 1.1629, 1.1640, 1.16446
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16290 micro pivot would neutralise the downside impulse
Sustained break of 1.16169 session low extends the lower-high sequence