Lower highs since 1.1660 spike, holding 1.1620 floor.
Spike to 1.1660 during NY hours was fully rejected within two bars, leaving a clean false break and dragging price into a session low at 1.1620. Late session is grinding sideways below the 1.1632 micro pivot with RSI cooling to the mid-30s and ATR around 11 pips.
Lower highs after spike rejection, basing near session low.
NY session spiked to 1.16609 then fully reversed, printing a false break and dragging price to 1.16220 session low. Last 4 hours have flattened into a tight consolidation around 1.16275 with RSI midrange, sellers capping at 1.16300.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.1630, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Break of 1.16220 session low extends the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.16300 micro pivot neutralises the downside read
Fed Jefferson / ECB Lane fireside chat at next Asia open could shift tone
Lower-high after spike rejection, basing near session low.
NY session saw a sharp spike to 1.16609 quickly rejected, with price collapsing through the prior range and printing a session low at 1.16218. Late-session action has flattened into a tight consolidation between 1.16240 and 1.16300, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but capped below the midline.
Support: 1.16218, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.1630, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16300 psych opens room back to the 1.16486 rejection hi
Break of 1.16218 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
Asia open liquidity could break the current consolidation either way
23:00 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 42 · price 1.16264
Lower highs since NY high, basing near session low.
NY session spiked to 1.16609 then sold off sharply to 1.16223, retracing most of the move. Asia is now coiling in a tight 1.1626–1.1630 range below both EMAs with RSI flat near 42, no fresh structural development.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.1630, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Break below 1.16223 session low extends the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.16300 micro pivot reopens 1.16486 post-spike hi
Jefferson/Lane fireside chat in Tokyo could shift Asia liquidity
Lower highs, ranging 1.1622-1.1630 near session low.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 that fully reversed within two bars, dragging price down to 1.16223 — a clean false break and rejection. Late NY into Asia has compressed into a tight 1.1622-1.1630 range, RSI mid-40s, sitting just above the session low.
Support: 1.1622, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.1630, 1.1636, 1.16486
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.16360 invalidates the lower-high structure
Fed Jefferson and ECB Lane fireside chat at Tokyo open could shift tone
22:30 UTC
Intraday reversal, sellers in control · RSI 41 · price 1.16299
Lower highs, lower lows after spike rejection.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 that was fully reversed within two bars, leaving a clean rejection wick and dragging price down to 1.16220. Late-NY into Asia handover has consolidated between 1.16250 and 1.16330, with lower highs forming under the 1.16330 pivot.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Break of 1.16220 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.16330 micro pivot neutralises the rejection read
Asia liquidity is thin (last bars v=3-58), expanded ranges possible on London open
22:15 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 43 · price 1.16281
Rejection from 1.1660, lower highs into Asia.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.1660 then fully reversed, with sellers reclaiming 1.1625 and price drifting sideways through the Asia open. Pair now compressing between session low 1.1622 and micro pivot 1.1633, RSI(14) neutral around 42 after cooling from the post-spike high.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1625
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.16485, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Break below session low 1.1622 extends the post-spike fade
Reclaim of 1.1633 micro pivot opens room back to 1.1648
Jefferson/Lane fireside chat in Tokyo later could inject volatility
Lower-high sequence off 1.1660 spike, holding 1.1620s.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.1660 that was fully rejected within two bars, leaving a false break and a swing high at 1.1633 on the retrace. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1622–1.1633 range into the Asia open, RSI flat around 41 and ATR cooling.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.1649, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1622 double low extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.1633 swing high reopens the 1.1649 spike base
Jefferson and Lane fireside chat at BOJ conference (Asia hours) could break the range
21:45 UTC
Intraday pullback from spike high · RSI 42 · price 1.16278
Rejection from 1.1660, lower-high forming.
Price spiked to 1.1660 during NY hours on Fed Cook hike-risk headlines, then fully reversed and broke below the prior consolidation to print a session low at 1.16223. Late NY/early Asia drift has stalled around 1.1628, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-40s — pullback structure intact below the 1.16335 swing high.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16251
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16335 swing high would neutralise the lower-high read
Break of 1.16223 session low extends the leg down
Jefferson and Lane speaking at BOJ conference in Asia could shift tone
Lower highs since NY spike, basing near session low.
NY session printed a spike to 1.16609 that was immediately rejected, with price retracing the entire impulse and sweeping below the prior range at 1.16220. Late-NY action is now basing in a tight 1.16220–1.16330 consolidation under EMA20/50, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s after the washout.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1625
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16330 micro pivot would end the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.16220 session low extends the downside leg
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane) at Tokyo BOJ conference during Asia session could inject volatility
21:15 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 42 · price 1.16278
Range reasserting after failed breakout.
NY session spiked to 1.16609 on conflicting Iran/Fed headlines, then unwound the entire move with a sharp rejection back through 1.16486 and a sweep of 1.16240 swing low. Price now consolidating near 1.16280 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR around 19 pips, range reasserting in the Asia handover.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.16325, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.16325 micro pivot would neutralise the rejection
Jefferson and Lane speaking at BOJ conference in coming hours could shift this read
21:00 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 41 · price 1.16269
Rejected from 1.1660, faded back into prior range.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.1660 then fully reversed, with sellers stepping in twice near 1.1648 and price now back below the pre-spike top at 1.1648. Late NY drift has settled into a tight 1.1622–1.1633 micro pivot with RSI(14) cooling around 41.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1625
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.16485, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1622 session low extends the fade
Reclaim of 1.1633 micro pivot reopens the 1.1648 area
ECB's Lane and Fed's Jefferson speak in Tokyo early Asia — headline risk into next session
20:45 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 41 · price 1.16281
Range after sweep and rejection.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 that was fully rejected, with price slicing back through to a session low of 1.16220 within an hour. Since then price has settled into a tight range between 1.16240 and 1.16320, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward neutral as Asia opens.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.1632, 1.1649, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 confirms continuation of the post-spike unwind
Reclaim of 1.16320 micro pivot reopens 1.16490 spike base
Fed's Jefferson and ECB's Lane fireside chat in Tokyo could inject volatility into thin Asia liquidity
20:30 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 43 · price 1.16285
Spike-and-fade, now ranging near lows.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 on conflicting Iran-deal headlines before fully fading back through the origin, leaving a clean false break. Price has since drifted lower and is now coiling in a tight 1.16220–1.16320 range with RSI(14) flat in the low 40s and ATR(14) around 25 pips.
Support: 1.1622, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.1632, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 session low extends the fade
Reclaim of 1.16320 micro pivot would neutralise the pullback
Further Iran/Fed headlines could re-ignite the spike-and-fade pattern
20:15 UTC
Intraday range, fade from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.16286
Spike-and-revert, back inside prior balance.
NY session spiked to 1.16599 on conflicting US-Iran headlines, then fully unwound as Trump rejected sanctions relief and the dollar recovered, printing a session low at 1.16220. Price has stabilised in the lower half of the 1.16220–1.16330 range, RSI(14) at 41 with EMA20/50 capping above.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1628
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.1646, 1.16599
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16330 intraday pivot neutralises the post-spike fade
Break of 1.16220 session low opens path toward 1.1610 round number
Further US-Iran headline risk can override structure on M15
20:00 UTC
Intraday range, fading from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.16286
Spike and reversion within 1.1620-1.1660 band.
NY session saw a sharp spike to 1.1660 on conflicting US-Iran headlines, immediately reversed with a sweep to 1.1622 as the dollar recovered. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1622-1.1633 band into the late NY hours, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 30 to mid-40s.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.1648, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1622 session low extends the post-spike unwind
Reclaim of 1.1633 micro pivot puts 1.1648 back in play
Further US-Iran headlines remain the dominant intraday driver
NY session spiked to 1.1660 on Iran headlines then was fully rejected, dumping back through 1.1640 and printing a session low at 1.1622. Price now mean-reverting near 1.1630 with RSI neutral; range between 1.1622 and 1.1635 in late-NY hours.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1618
Resistance: 1.1635, 1.1649, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1622 session low extends the breakdown toward 1.1618 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.1635 micro pivot and 1.1649 spike base would negate the failed-breakout read
Headline risk on US-Iran negotiations remains the dominant intraday driver
19:30 UTC
Intraday range, rejected from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.16301
Lower-high after sweep of 1.1660 then breakdown to 1.1620 base.
Price spiked to 1.16600 on a Trump headline-driven sweep then unwound the entire move, printing a session low at 1.16220 during NY hours. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1622–1.1633 band below the intraday VWAP with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1629
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.1649, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 confirms continuation of the sweep-reversal
Reclaim of 1.16330 micro pivot reopens the asia high at 1.16490
Headline risk around US-Iran negotiations remains the dominant intraday driver
NY session saw a sharp spike to 1.16609 that was fully retraced within two bars, leaving a clear false break above the prior 1.16480 band. Price has since drifted back to 1.16292 and is holding just above the session low at 1.16220, with RSI(14) around 38 reflecting the cooler tone after the rejection.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.16485, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.16330 micro pivot would neutralise the rejection read
Headline risk from US-Iran negotiations remains a live catalyst into NY close
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 that was fully reversed within two bars, trading back below the pre-spike 1.16490 top and now drifting near the session low at 1.16220. RSI(14) at 38 with price under both EMAs shows momentum rolled over after the failed expansion; ATR around 21 pips reflects the post-spike volatility.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1625
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.1649, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.16330 micro pivot would neutralise the rejection read
M15 close below 1.16220 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Trump/Iran headlines remain the dominant USD driver into Asia
NY session saw a sharp spike to 1.16609 fully retraced within three bars, leaving a clear false break and shifting M15 structure into lower highs and lower lows. Price now hugging the session low at 1.16220 with RSI(14) near 38 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.16485, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.16335 micro high would neutralise the rejection read
Upcoming US jobs/PCE/GDP risk this week could materially shift this read
Lower-high formed post-spike, testing session lows.
NY session saw a sharp spike to 1.16609 that was fully reversed within three bars, with price now grinding back toward the 1.16218 session low. Subsequent attempts to reclaim 1.16486 failed, leaving a clear lower high and pressure on the lows.
Support: 1.16218, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.16325, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16218 session low extends the leg lower
Reclaim of 1.16325 micro high would neutralise the lower-high read
Thin late-NY liquidity may exaggerate moves into Asia open
18:15 UTC
Intraday reversal, sellers in control · RSI 38 · price 1.16265
Lower highs after failed breakout above 1.1660.
NY session spiked to 1.16609 on Iran-deal headlines then fully reversed, with a sharp drop printing a session low at 1.16218 and lower highs since. Price now grinding near 1.1626 below both EMAs, RSI(14) at 38 showing sustained downside pressure without being oversold.
Support: 1.16218, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.16325, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16325 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.16218 session low confirms continuation lower
Further Iran/Trump headlines remain the dominant intraday driver
18:00 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp drop from highs · RSI 38 · price 1.16258
Spike-and-reverse, lower-high lower-low forming.
NY session spike to 1.16609 was fully reversed within two bars, then a second leg lower swept through 1.16240 to print the session low at 1.16218. Price now consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) at 38 after a brief bounce capped at 1.16335.
Support: 1.16218, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16218 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.16335 bounce high neutralises the reversal read
Iran headline flow remains the dominant driver, can override structure
17:45 UTC
Uptrend stalled, sharp reversal in last 2h · RSI 37 · price 1.16227
Spike high rejected, range building near lows.
NY session printed a spike to 1.16609 on Iran-deal headlines, fully rejected within two bars, with price now compressing near the session low at 1.16218. RSI(14) sits at 36 after diverging at the highs; price is below both EMA20 and EMA50 following the failed breakout.
Support: 1.16218, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16325, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Break of 1.16218 session low extends the reversal
Reclaim of 1.16325 micro pivot would neutralise the rejection
Further Iran headline flow can override structure given the spike origin
NY session spiked to 1.16609 then unwound the entire move in two impulses, breaking back below the prior range floor and printing a session low at 1.16220. Price is consolidating in a tight 1.16290–1.16335 band after the flush, RSI(14) at 35 reflecting the reversal but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1629
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.1649, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16220 extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 1.16335 pullback high neutralises the rejection
US jobs/PCE/GDP later this week could materially shift this read
Failed breakout above 1.1650, reverted to range mid.
NY session spiked to 1.1660 on Iran-deal headlines then unwound the entire move within two bars, sweeping back below 1.1625. Price has stabilised mid-range around 1.1632 with RSI(14) flat near 44 after the round-trip.
Support: 1.1624, 1.1621
Resistance: 1.1649, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1624 session low opens path back to 1.1621
Reclaim of 1.1649 rejection zone would neutralise the failed-breakout read
Further Trump/Iran headlines could re-introduce the same volatility seen on the 1.1660 spike
17:00 UTC
Intraday spike fully reversed, back in range · RSI 42 · price 1.16313
False break of session high, sharp mean reversion.
NY session spiked to 1.16609 on Iran-deal headlines then fully unwound, slicing back through 1.16490 and stopping at the session low near 1.16240. Price is now consolidating in the lower half of the day's range with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the spike high stands as a clean false break.
Support: 1.1624, 1.1621
Resistance: 1.1636, 1.1649, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16240 session low extends the reversal toward 1.16210
Reclaim of 1.16360 micro pivot would neutralise the downside read
Further Iran/Trump headlines could re-spike volatility on either side
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 on Iran-deal headlines before fully unwinding, sweeping the prior session low at 1.16223 and now consolidating near 1.16283. Price is back below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 38, no clean structure left after the round trip.
Support: 1.1624, 1.1622
Resistance: 1.1634, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16340 pivot would neutralise the rejection read
M15 close below 1.16220 prior low extends the unwind
Headline risk around US-Iran talks remains the dominant driver
Broad range with failed breakout to 1.1660, back at session lows.
NY session saw a sharp spike to 1.1660 on Iran-deal headlines, then a complete fade back through the prior range to retest 1.1624. Price is sitting at session lows with RSI in the high 30s; the spike has been rejected and the broader 1.1620–1.1650 range is reasserting.
Support: 1.1624, 1.1621, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1635, 1.1648, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1621 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.1635 micro pivot would neutralise the rejection
Further Trump/Iran headlines could drive another impulse move
Sweep of 1.1660 high then sharp reversal back into prior range.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 on Iran MoU headlines before the White House denial reversed the move, dropping price 35 pips back through the prior 1.1640 shelf to a session low at 1.16223. Price is now consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) at 38, ATR(14) running hot at ~15 pips after the headline-driven expansion.
Support: 1.16223, 1.1621
Resistance: 1.16335, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16210 confirms a lower-low and breaks the asia low
Reclaim of 1.16486 prior shelf would neutralise the rejection
Further Iran headlines could re-introduce spike risk in either direction
NY session ran a spike to 1.1660 then unwound the entire move in two bars, with sellers stepping in at 1.16486 on the retest. Price now back at 1.16325 mid-range, RSI cooling from overbought into the low 40s.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16193
Resistance: 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16223 confirms lower-low and extends the unwind
Reclaim of 1.16486 reopens the spike high at 1.16609
ECB de Guindos commentary still circulating, headline risk active
15:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend, late NY rejection · RSI 38 · price 1.16338
Range break higher then sharp fade back into prior range.
NY session printed a 60-pip spike to 1.16609 then immediately gave it all back, sweeping back into the prior 1.1640–1.1650 range before slicing through to 1.16246. Buyers stepped in at the session low and price is curling back toward the broken range floor near 1.1638, which now caps as resistance with RSI at 38.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16191
Resistance: 1.16518, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16400 would invalidate the rejection read
Loss of 1.16246 session low exposes the 1.16191 asia low
Headline risk around Iran MoU remains a tape-mover
Spike to 1.1660 swept then aggressive reversal back into range.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.1660 on Iran MoU headlines, fully retraced within three bars as the White House denial hit the wires. Price has since collapsed back through the session range and is consolidating just above the prior session low at 1.1625, RSI(14) at 38 after the flush.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16195
Resistance: 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16246 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 1.16486 would negate the rejection from the spike high
Further Iran-related headlines could trigger another volatility burst
15:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend reversed sharply late NY · RSI 32 · price 1.16228
False break above 1.1660, aggressive drop back into range.
Steady London-NY grind from 1.1617 up to a 1.1660 spike high — likely headline-driven on the Iran MoU noise — was fully unwound within three bars, with the latest candle dumping 25 pips into 1.1622. Price now sits at the session low with RSI(14) near 32 after coming from overbought.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16172
Resistance: 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16172 prior low confirms downside continuation
Reclaim of 1.16486 post-spike level would neutralise the rejection
Headline risk around Iran MoU remains live and could whip price either way
Higher highs broken, now ranging under session high.
NY session ripped through the prior range with a sharp impulse to 1.16609 on Iran MoU headlines, then immediately gave it back as the White House pushed back. Price has since settled into a 1.16410–1.16518 range, RSI cooled back to mid-50s after the spike, with buyers stepping in at the post-spike low twice.
Support: 1.1641, 1.16363, 1.16325
Resistance: 1.16518, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16518 range top reopens path toward 1.16609 spike high
Loss of 1.16410 session swing exposes 1.16363 post-spike low
Further headline risk on Iran MoU could whipsaw the range
Higher highs through NY, sharp spike then mean reversion.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16599 on US-Iran headline flow before fully retracing back into the 1.1640s, leaving a sweep high and rejection wick. Price has since stabilised near 1.1648 with RSI(14) neutralising; structure remains constructive above 1.1641 but the spike high at 1.16599 now caps.
Support: 1.1641, 1.1637, 1.16325
Resistance: 1.1652, 1.16599
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16520 reopens the spike high at 1.16599
loss of post-spike low at 1.16410 invalidates the constructive read
headline-driven volatility on US-Iran MoU remains the dominant driver
Higher highs into NY, sharp spike then mean reversion.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 before fading the entire move back into the 1.1640s, leaving a false break wick above the prior high at 1.16489. Price has since stabilised around 1.1647 with RSI(14) neutralising into the mid-50s, ECB hike repricing keeping a floor under the pair.
Support: 1.1641, 1.16363, 1.16325
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16363 post-spike low would confirm exhaustion of the NY push
Reclaim and hold above 1.16489 prior high reopens the spike high at 1.16609
Headline risk from US-Iran deal flow continues to drive intraday spikes
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.16609 then immediately gave back most of the move, leaving a long upper wick and price now retesting the 1.16380 swing low. Structure remains constructive — spike base at 1.16325 held — but RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s and price is hugging EMA20 from below.
Support: 1.1638, 1.16325, 1.1627
Resistance: 1.1646, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16325 spike base invalidates the breakout-retest read
Reclaim of 1.16460 post-spike high reopens the session high at 1.16609
Late NY hours — liquidity thinning, follow-through limited
M15 spiked to 1.16609 on US-Iran MoU headlines during NY hours, then immediately reversed and gave back the entire move within three bars. Price now sitting mid-range around 1.1642, RSI back to neutral after the impulse fade, with the session pivot at 1.1639 the line buyers have defended twice post-spike.
Support: 1.1639, 1.16325, 1.1621
Resistance: 1.1647, 1.1656, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.16390 session pivot opens the swing low at 1.16325
Reclaim of 1.16470 prior swing reopens the spike close at 1.16560
Further US-Iran headlines could re-trigger volatility into NY close
13:45 UTC
Uptrend, pullback after spike · RSI 54 · price 1.1639
Higher highs into 1.1660 spike, retracing.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.1660 on Iran-MoU headlines before fading back into the prior 1.1635–1.1650 range. Price now sits at 1.1639, RSI(14) cooling from overbought, with the spike high acting as fresh resistance and the pre-breakout shelf near 1.1615 below.
Support: 1.1639, 1.1632, 1.1615
Resistance: 1.1660, 1.1648, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1648 swing high reopens the spike high test
Loss of 1.1632 intraday low exposes the 1.1615 pre-spike shelf
Iran-US MoU headlines remain the active driver — further developments could re-spike volatility
NY session printed a sharp impulse to 1.16609 before being fully rejected back into the prior range, with the spike high holding as a clear session high. Price now consolidating around 1.1645 after buyers defended the post-spike low at 1.16415.
Support: 1.16415, 1.16355, 1.1628
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.1656, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16355 invalidates the uptrend read
Reclaim of 1.16560 spike close reopens path to session high
Iran-US MoU headlines could drive USD volatility into next bars
Higher highs into NY, deep retrace from spike high.
NY session delivered a sharp impulsive break to 1.16609, sweeping prior highs, before fully retracing back to the 1.16433 session pivot in two bars. Price is now sitting on that pivot with RSI(14) cooling from the spike; structure remains higher-high but the rejection from 1.16609 was clean.
Support: 1.16433, 1.16357, 1.1621
Resistance: 1.16609, 1.16489
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16357 intraday low negates the uptrend read
Reclaim of 1.16489 prior high reopens the spike high at 1.16609
US-Iran MoU headlines remain a live catalyst for further spikes
NY session printed a sharp impulse out of the 1.1633–1.1648 range, tagging 1.1661 on Iran MoU and soft ADP pulse headlines before fading back to 1.1652. RSI(14) stretched to 72 on the spike high; price now consolidating just above the prior high at 1.1643.
Support: 1.16433, 1.1637, 1.16325
Resistance: 1.16609, 1.1655
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1643 prior high would negate the breakout and signal a false break
Sustained acceptance above 1.1655 psych opens path toward the 1.1661 spike high retest
Headline risk around US-Iran MoU developments remains the dominant near-term driver
12:45 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 1.1660
Range break to new session high.
NY session ripped through the 1.1645 range top in a single bar, printing a fresh session high at 1.1660 with RSI(14) pushing into overbought near 74. Prior consolidation between 1.1637 and 1.1645 has flipped to support after the breakout.
Support: 1.1645, 1.1637, 1.1616
Resistance: 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1645 breakout lvl would negate the breakout
Failure to hold 1.1637 session low confirms a false break
Headline-driven move on US-Iran MoU developments could materially shift this read
12:30 UTC
Uptrend stalling after NY high · RSI 42 · price 1.16344
Higher highs/lows broken by pullback.
NY session pushed to 1.16489 then faded, with sellers stepping in twice near 1.16420 and price now retesting the 1.16325 session-low shelf. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s as price slipped under both EMA20 and EMA50, neutralising the intraday uptrend without breaking it.
Support: 1.16325, 1.1621, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.1642
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16325 session low opens 1.16210 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16420 intraday R reactivates the push toward 1.16489 session high
Hawkish ECB commentary and US-Iran headline risk could shift this read intrasession
EURUSD climbed steadily through the London session from the 1.1616 Asia low to a session high at 1.1649, then rejected and slipped back to 1.1637 into early NY. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.1635 session low with RSI cooling to the mid-40s, sitting between the 1.1642 intraday cap and prior Asia high at 1.1628.
Support: 1.16355, 1.1628, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16489
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1635 opens path back to the 1.1628 asia high
Reclaim of 1.1642 intraday cap puts the 1.1649 session high back in play
Ongoing US-Iran headlines could inject volatility outside this range
NY session printed a session high at 1.16489 then faded back toward the 1.16355 area, with buyers stepping in on the pullback. Price is now coiling in the upper half of the day's range, RSI(14) neutral near 48 after cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.16355, 1.16225, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.1642
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16355 session low opens a retest of 1.16225 London low
Reclaim of 1.16489 session high needed to extend the intraday uptrend
Risk tone tied to US-Iran headlines could shift the read intraday
11:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.16371
Intraday HH/HL chain, pullback from session high.
London session built a clean HL chain off the 1.1616 swing low and pushed into 1.1649 during the NY morning before sellers stepped in, with two rejections at 1.1648–1.1649. Price has pulled back to 1.1637 and is holding the 1.1636 session low; RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s, ATR ~4 pips so moves are compressed.
Support: 1.16358, 1.16282, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16441
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1636 session low opens 1.1628 asian low
Reclaim of 1.1649 session high needed to resume the uptrend
USD/JPY pressing 160 keeps broader USD bid — could cap EUR
EURUSD ground higher through the European session, posting a session high at 1.16489 before sellers stepped in and dragged price back to 1.16358. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral around 48 after the earlier push, and price is now consolidating near 1.1640 in the early NY hours.
Support: 1.16358, 1.16225, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.1642
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16358 session low opens path to retest London low at 1.16225
Reclaim of 1.16489 session high revives the intraday uptrend
Iran headline flow could override structure given DXY sensitivity
EURUSD pushed from the 1.1616 Asia low through London and into NY, topping at 1.1649 before sellers faded the move back under the session high. Price is now consolidating around 1.1638 after a clean rejection at the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.16357, 1.16282, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16357 session low opens path to 1.16282
Reclaim of 1.16489 session high reopens the intraday uptrend
EUR/USD note on 20-day EMA barrier suggests broader cap still in play
Asia session bottomed at 1.1617 and London ground higher to tag 1.1649 before sellers stepped in, with the late pullback now testing 1.1638. Move stalled into the EUR/USD 20-day EMA barrier flagged in the morning commentary; M15 RSI cooling back to mid-range as the range tightens.
Support: 1.1638, 1.1617, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1649
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 reopens the path toward the 20d ema area
Loss of 1.1638 pivot exposes 1.1617 session low
Iran headline risk could override structure intraday
EURUSD pushed from the Asian range low at 1.1616 to a NY high of 1.1649 before sellers stepped in, with the last bar slicing back to 1.1637 on a clean rejection. Price now sits mid-range above session low 1.1636 with RSI cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.16362, 1.16225, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16362 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.16489 ny high reopens the upside leg
Headlines on US-Iran could inject volatility outside current ATR
Pair carved a London low at 1.1617 and recovered through NY hours to print a session high at 1.1649 before stalling. Last 8 bars are coiling tight around 1.1644 with RSI flat near 55, classic post-rally consolidation under the NY high.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1637, 1.1633
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 NY high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.1640 session pivot opens a retest of 1.1637 prior swing
Headlines on US-Iran truce remain the dominant intraday driver
EURUSD recovered through London into NY from the 1.1617 session low and tagged 1.1649 before sellers faded the move; price now consolidating near 1.1644 with RSI(14) neutral at 54. Range tightened in the last two hours between 1.1640 intraday low and 1.1649 session high, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1637, 1.1628
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 session high opens path to 1.1670
Loss of 1.1640 intraday low exposes 1.1637 swing low then 1.1628 session low
Iran headline risk could break the consolidation either way
EURUSD spent the Asian session leaking from 1.1645 to a 1.1616 low, then reclaimed ground through London with a clean sequence of higher lows. NY transition tagged 1.1649 and rejected; price now coiling tight at 1.1644 with RSI flat in mid-range.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1620, 1.1616
Resistance: 1.1649, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 opens room toward the 1.1660 round number
Break of 1.1640 session base would put 1.1620 swing low back in play
20-day EMA cited by FX desks remains the structural cap on this leg
London session reclaimed 1.1640 after a morning flush to 1.1616, with buyers stepping in repeatedly between 1.1620–1.1630 and pushing to a session high at 1.16489. Last few bars compressing around 1.1644 below that high — momentum cooling with RSI failing to follow the new high.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1637, 1.16282
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16489 session high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.1640 session pivot opens a retest of the 1.16282 swing low
Iran headline risk remains the main external driver capable of breaking this range
EURUSD chopped lower into a 1.1616 intraday low during the London session, then recovered steadily through the London-NY transition to print a session high at 1.1648 before fading. Price now sits at 1.1644 holding the 1.1640 pivot, with sellers active at 1.1648 — fxstreet flags the 20-day EMA as a barrier with Iran headlines keeping a lid on conviction.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1620, 1.1616
Resistance: 1.1648, 1.1649
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 opens path back toward 1.1670
Loss of 1.1620 swing low reopens 1.1616 intraday low
Iran headline risk could override technical structure
London-NY transition pushed price from the 1.1616 swing low back through 1.1640 and into a 1.1645/1.1649 session high. Current bar consolidating around 1.1643 after rejection at session high; RSI(14) mid-band, no extreme.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1637, 1.1628
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 opens path toward 1.1670
Loss of 1.1640 pivot exposes 1.1637 then 1.1628
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk could override structure
EURUSD pushed off the 1.1617 London-hours low into NY hours and tagged a session high at 1.1649 before getting rejected back to 1.1640. RSI(14) at 60 has cooled from the spike high, price holding above EMA20/50 with higher lows intact.
Support: 1.1637, 1.1628, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 session high opens path toward 1.1670
Loss of 1.1637 intraday HL would break the recovery sequence
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk could shift this read intraday
Price has carved a steady recovery off the 1.1616 session low set during Asia, with London building higher lows into 1.1649 before stalling. The 1.1647-1.1649 area has now rejected twice; pullback into 1.1640 holding for now with RSI at 60.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1633, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 session high opens path back toward 1.1670s
Loss of 1.1640 intraday HL exposes 1.1633 swing low
NY session open in coming hours may redefine the range
EURUSD pushed to a session high at 1.1649 in early London hours then faded sharply back to 1.1640, leaving a clean rejection wick. Higher lows from the 1.1616 Asia low remain intact, with price now coiling just above EMA20 and RSI cooling to mid-50s. No setup in play — pair is consolidating after the morning thrust.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1638, 1.1616
Resistance: 1.1649, 1.1672
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 session high opens path toward 1.1672
Loss of 1.1638 ema20 breaks the higher-lows sequence
Break of 1.1616 session low invalidates the recovery read
London session pushed up to 1.1649 then got rejected sharply, dropping back into the middle of the 24h range. Price is now hovering near 1.1639 with RSI neutral and ATR compressed, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1637, 1.16282, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 session high opens path toward 1.1670
Break below 1.1637 session low reopens 1.1620 area
Higher lows since Asia low, pressing session highs.
London session pushed through the Asia high at 1.1645 and tagged 1.1649 before pulling back; buyers stepped in around 1.1638 to defend the breakout. RSI(14) at 64 with price holding above EMA20/50, structure is a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.1617 swing low.
Support: 1.1641, 1.1637, 1.1628
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16410 prior high would negate the breakout read
Loss of 1.16280 swing low reopens 1.1617
Break of 1.16489 session high extends the intraday move
Higher lows since Asian low, retesting prior session high.
Price has recovered the full 1.16161 flush from the London session and is now stalling under the 1.16489 session high, RSI(14) cooling from a 67 push. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.16370 on the way up; sequence of higher lows intact into the European open.
Support: 1.1637, 1.1632, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16489 extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.16370 intraday HL breaks the higher-low chain
Kashkari/Fed commentary on inflation risks could shift USD tone
07:30 UTC
Intraday recovery, fading near range high · RSI 64 · price 1.16437
Range with higher low, retesting top.
Pair carved a double bottom around 1.1616–1.1617 during the Asia-London transition and has ground higher through the European open, tagging a session high at 1.16489 before fading. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) at 64 cooling from the push; Kashkari's hawkish inflation lean is in the mix but hasn't broken structure.
Support: 1.1637, 1.1628, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.16489 session high opens fresh upside
Loss of 1.16370 swing would reopen the range mid at 1.16280
Headlines on US-Iran framework remain the dominant risk to this read
Higher lows since 1.1617, pushing into prior session high.
Asia–early London session has bid EURUSD steadily off the 1.1617 low, with the latest 15m candle breaking above the prior swing at 1.16445 to print a session high at 1.16489. RSI(14) at 67 shows momentum extended but not yet stretched, and price is holding above both EMAs after Kashkari's hawkish-leaning inflation comments failed to lift the dollar.
Support: 1.1637, 1.1632, 1.1624
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16445
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.16489 session high opens room toward the 1.1650 option strike
Loss of 1.16370 intraday HL would break the higher-low chain and reopen 1.16240 session low
Headline risk from US-Iran framework talks could override the structural read
Higher lows since London open, testing session high.
Price has ground higher through the London session after basing at the Asia low of 1.16161, with a clean break of the 1.16445 prior high in the last bar tagging 1.16476 as session high. RSI(14) at 68 is hot but not extreme; higher lows intact at 1.16370.
Support: 1.1637, 1.1632, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16476, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16370 breaks the higher-low chain
Failure to hold above 1.16445 on retest negates the breakout
US-Iran framework headlines remain the dominant tape risk
Price recovered from the session low at 1.16161 via a double bottom and has been grinding higher through the Asia session, tagging 1.16441 before pulling back. Currently consolidating around 1.1640 with RSI near neutral; range top capping for now.
Support: 1.1637, 1.16305, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.16465
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16441 opens path to prior high at 1.16465
Loss of 1.1637 intraday support reopens 1.16305 asia low
US-Iran framework headlines remain the dominant risk factor
Rotation inside 1.1616-1.1645 range, higher lows since London open.
EURUSD carved a rounded base around 1.1616-1.1620 during the late Asia session and has ground back to 1.1639 into the European open, with ECB hawkish commentary cited as the tailwind. Price is now compressing just below the 1.1644 session high and the 1.1650 option expiry that capped earlier rallies.
Support: 1.1638, 1.1632, 1.1616
Resistance: 1.1644, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1644 opens room toward the 1.1650 option expiry
Failure to hold 1.1632 reopens the 1.1616 Asia low
US-Iran framework headlines remain the dominant tape risk
EURUSD has carved a rounded recovery from the 1.1617 swing low set during yesterday's NY session, drifting back to the 1.1640s as hawkish ECB commentary supports the euro. Early European hours are pressing the session high at 1.1644 with RSI(14) near 60, but no clean break yet — price is capped just below prior intraday supply.
Support: 1.16335, 1.16225, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1644 opens path back toward 1.1670s
Loss of 1.16335 session low reopens 1.1622 asia low
Headline risk from US-Iran framework talks could break the range either way
Asia session grinding back toward yesterday's London high at 1.1645 after a double bottom near 1.1616 during the US-Iran headline flow. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI at 62 — momentum constructive but not stretched.
Support: 1.1637, 1.1628, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16445, 1.1650
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16445 london high opens path to 1.1650 psych
Loss of 1.16370 intraday pivot reopens 1.1628 asia low
US-Iran headline flow remains the dominant risk factor
05:30 UTC
Recovery from intraday low, edging back to range high · RSI 63 · price 1.16418
Intraday range, holding above HL at 1.1616.
EURUSD has retraced the London-session flush to 1.1616 and is pressing back toward the 1.1644 range high, supported by hawkish-ECB headlines and a softer DXY near 99.00. Price carved a double bottom at 1.1616/1.1617 during late NY, with the Asian session grinding higher in low volume; RSI(14) at 63 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.16335, 1.1624, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16445, 1.16431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 opens path back to 1.1670 area
Rejection at the range high keeps the 1.1616–1.1645 range intact
Loss of 1.1624 HL re-exposes the session low at 1.1616
US-Iran headline risk through European hours could override structure
Higher low at 1.1616 holding, grinding back toward session high.
Asia session has ground EURUSD back to 1.1640 after a sweep of the session low at 1.1616 during London-NY transition; price is now retesting the session high at 1.1642. Move is steady but RSI(14) at 63 with price near prior high shows mild bearish divergence into resistance.
Support: 1.1634, 1.1624, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 confirms continuation toward 1.1670 area
Failure at 1.1642 and loss of 1.1634 pullback low reopens 1.1624 swing low
European open in ~1h could add volatility to the retest
Higher low at 1.1616, pushing back toward session top.
Asian session has steadily reclaimed the prior day's range after a double bottom near 1.1616–1.1620 during late NY hours. Price is now grinding back toward the session high at 1.16420, with RSI(14) at 62 and price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.16365, 1.16225, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16445
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.16445 prior high extends the recovery
Loss of the 1.16365 intraday HL reopens 1.16225 swing low
Tokyo session thin liquidity may produce false break at session high
04:45 UTC
Recovery from session low, momentum fading near range top · RSI 58 · price 1.16396
Intraday range, retest of mid-range pivot underway.
Price recovered from the 1.1616 swing low set during late NY hours back toward the 1.1642 range top, with sellers capping the move on the 1.1642 retest. M15 currently grinding sideways around 1.1640 in the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 58 and ATR compressed.
Support: 1.16335, 1.1624, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 prior high opens path back to recent highs
Loss of 1.1633 session pivot reopens the 1.1624 asia low
London open in ~2h likely to break the current compression
Price chopped between 1.1617 and 1.1645 over the last 24 hours, with a London-session flush to the range low at 1.1617 bought back into the Asia session. Currently grinding back toward the session high at 1.1642 with RSI(14) mid-range and EMA20/50 stacked bullish; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.1633, 1.1624, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 prior high opens path back to 1.1670s
Loss of 1.1624 swing low reopens the 1.1617 range low
Thin Asia liquidity — moves before London open may not hold
Price recovered from the London-session dip to 1.1617 and has been grinding higher through Asia, now pressing the session high near 1.1642 with a clean rejection wick. RSI(14) at 58 reflects steady but unspent upside; structure is a tight intraday range with a higher low.
Support: 1.1634, 1.1624, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16445
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16445 prior high opens path to extend the recovery
Failure to hold 1.16340 session low brings 1.16240 London low back into focus
Tokyo fix and London open could materially shift this read
Range between 1.1617 and 1.1645, holding mid-range.
EURUSD has chopped in a 1.1617–1.1645 band over the last 24 hours, with a London-session flush to 1.1617 bought back to the mid-range. Asia session is grinding higher around 1.1638 after the RBNZ hold, RSI(14) neutral at 55 and ATR compressed near 4 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.16335, 1.16225, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 prior high opens room toward 1.1670
Loss of 1.1617 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Thin Asia liquidity — moves prone to fade until London open
Higher lows since 1.1616 sweep, capped near 1.1640.
EURUSD swept the 1.1616 low during late NY hours and has ground back to 1.1639 through the Asian session, posting a clean chain of higher lows. Price is now coiling just below the 1.1640 session high with RSI(14) mid-range, no extension yet.
Support: 1.1634, 1.1624, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 prior high opens path back to 1.1670s
Loss of 1.1634 session pivot reopens 1.1624 asian low
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not hold into London open
Range between 1.1616 and 1.1645, currently mid-range.
EURUSD chopped lower into the late NY session yesterday, sweeping down to 1.1616 before buyers stepped in and reclaimed the mid-1.1620s through the Asia session. Price has since drifted back to 1.1638, mid-range, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR(14) compressed at ~4 pips — quiet pre-London tape.
Support: 1.16335, 1.16245, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1642, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 prior high opens room toward 1.1670s
Loss of 1.1633 session low reopens the 1.1616 range low
London open volatility likely to break the current compression
EURUSD has chopped in a 28-pip band between 1.1617 and 1.1645 across the NY session and into Asia, with the early Asia session quiet around 1.1638. Buyers stepped in at 1.1617 on the NY low, and supply capped the bounce at 1.1645 before price drifted back to range mid. RSI(14) sits flat near 49, ATR compressed.
Support: 1.1634, 1.1620, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.1645, 1.1640
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 invalidates the range read
Break of 1.1617 swing low opens room toward yesterday's lows
Asia liquidity is thin; London open likely sets the next directional impulse
Price chopping in a 30-pip band after the NY session high at 1.1645 was rejected and the range low at 1.1616 held. Asia session has drifted back up toward the 1.1640 area but momentum is flat with RSI(14) hovering near 52.
Support: 1.16324, 1.16252, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16402, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16446 breaks the NY session high and opens fresh range
Loss of 1.16324 session low exposes the 1.16252 NY swing low
Tight ATR (~3.6 pips) — first impulsive bar likely sets direction into London open
Intraday range with lower high formed mid-session.
EURUSD has chopped between 1.1616 and 1.1644 through the Asia session, with a NY-hours rejection from 1.1640 leaving a lower high. Price coiled near 1.1635 into the Asia open, RSI(14) neutral around 47 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1632, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1640 reopens the session high at 1.16445
Loss of 1.1632 session low exposes the 1.16161 swing low
Thin Asia liquidity can produce false breaks either side of the range
Price recovered off the 1.1617 swing low through Asia and is consolidating mid-range around 1.1636 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Range top at 1.1645 capped the bounce; ATR has compressed to roughly 3 pips per bar, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1632, 1.1620, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 reopens upside continuation
Break of 1.1632 session low shifts focus back to 1.1617 swing low
London open in roughly 3h likely to set direction
02:15 UTC
Rangebound, drift higher into Asia · RSI 54 · price 1.16354
Intraday range between 1.1617 and 1.1645.
EURUSD chopped between 1.1617 and 1.1645 across the NY session before a slow Asia-session grind back to 1.1640, where sellers stepped in and faded the move to 1.1635. RSI(14) neutral near 54 and price sitting mid-range — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.16324, 1.16225, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.16401, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 NY high breaks the intraday range
Loss of 1.1632 session low reopens 1.1617 range low
RBNZ Breman presser at 03:00 GMT could spill into majors
EURUSD has carved a 1.1616–1.1645 range over the last 24h, with a London-session flush to 1.1616 quickly bought back. Asian hours have drifted back near the session high at 1.1640, with rejection so far at 1.1640 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.16161, 1.16225
Resistance: 1.16402, 1.16446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16446 prior high opens the path back to 1.1650 area
Loss of 1.16225 swing low reopens the 1.16161 session low
Middle East headline flow remains the main risk to this range read
Range between 1.1617 and 1.1645 after London highs faded.
EURUSD swept the NY high near 1.1645 then rejected, marking a session low at 1.1617 before grinding back to 1.1636 into Asia open. Range trade between 1.1617 and the recent high, RSI(14) neutralised near 51, no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1617, 1.1640, 1.1595
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.1645, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1617 session low opens 1.1595 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.1645 ny high needed to challenge 1.1660 psych
Australian CPI miss (4.2% vs 4.4%) already in price, limited spillover to EUR
Asian session has recovered steadily from the 1.1617 session low set during late NY hours, with a double bottom forming around 1.1617–1.1620 before buyers reclaimed 1.1630. Price now grinding higher into 1.1640, with RSI(14) at 60 and no immediate momentum extreme. Range-bound action between 1.1622 and 1.1645 over the last 6 hours.
Support: 1.1630, 1.16225, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 session high opens path toward 1.1665
Loss of 1.1622 swing would reopen session low at 1.1617
Thin Asian liquidity — moves may not extend until London open
Asia session has steadily reclaimed the NY session drop, with buyers stepping in around 1.1616–1.1622 forming a double bottom before grinding back to 1.1638. Price is now testing the prior NY high at 1.1640 with RSI just above 60.
Support: 1.16305, 1.16225, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16401, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16445 opens path back to NY high
Failure at 1.16401 and loss of 1.16305 reopens 1.1620 zone
Middle East headlines remain a tail risk to the read
Range bound after sweep low, slow grind back to mid-range.
EURUSD swept the session low at 1.1617 during NY hours and has spent the Asian session grinding back to mid-range around 1.1640, with price now testing the upper end. RSI(14) sits at 60, no extremes, and ATR has compressed as Asia thins out liquidity ahead of the Tokyo handover.
Support: 1.1620, 1.1617, 1.1605
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.1645, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1645 session high opens path back to 1.1660 prior high
Loss of 1.1620 session low re-exposes the 1.1617 sweep low
BOJ IMES conference headlines could inject volatility into the Asia session
00:45 UTC
Recovering from session lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.16385
Intraday range with higher low printed.
Asia session is grinding back to the upper end of the 24h range after a London-NY leg lower swept the 1.1620 area and printed a session low at 1.16161. Price has reclaimed both EMAs and is pressing the 1.16400 prior high with RSI in the low 60s — recovery intact but capped.
Support: 1.1628, 1.16195, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1640, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16445 session high opens path toward the 1.16500 area
Loss of 1.16280 session pivot reopens the 1.16195 session low
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not hold without London confirmation
NY session sold off into 1.16161 swing low before reclaiming back toward mid-range, with Asia session now grinding higher into 1.1639. Price respected the asia low at 1.16282 on the retest and is pushing back toward the ny high at 1.16418.
Support: 1.16282, 1.1621, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.16418, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16445 session high breaks the range top
Loss of 1.16210 session low reopens 1.16161 swing low
BOJ IMES conference speakers could inject FX volatility
Intraday range 1.1617-1.1645, holding above swing low.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1617-1.1619 during late NY hours after a flush to the session low, with buyers stepping back in to lift price toward 1.1640. Quiet Asia open conditions, low volume bars and RSI(14) at 60 reflect a slow grind off the lows rather than impulsive recovery.
Support: 1.1628, 1.16195, 1.16161
Resistance: 1.1639, 1.16445
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1645 session high would extend the recovery off the swing low
Loss of 1.1619 swing low reopens 1.1616 session low and breaks the double bottom
BOJ IMES conference speakers (Fed, RBA) through the Asia session could shift dollar flows
Range bound with sweep of session low, now reclaiming mid-range.
EURUSD swept the NY-session low at 1.16169 then reclaimed the 1.16280 mid-range, with the late Asia bars grinding back toward the prior high at 1.16410. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) recovering through 64; no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1628, 1.16195, 1.16169
Resistance: 1.1641, 1.16445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16445 session high confirms range break higher
Loss of 1.16195 session low reopens 1.16169 swing low
BOJ IMES conference with Fed/RBA speakers underway — headline risk through Asia session