EURUSD climbed steadily from the 1.1594 week low into Wednesday's NY session, tagging 1.1660 on a spike before reversing sharply back through EMA(20). Price now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI rolling into the low 40s, and the session low at 1.1622 is holding for now. The Cook hawkish-leaning comments and the spike rejection at 1.1660 mark a clear shift in tone from the prior three sessions of grind-higher.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1617, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1645, 1.16609
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1622 session low opens path to 1.1617 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.1645 prior high would neutralise the rejection read
Jefferson and Lane speaking in Tokyo overnight could shift the read
22:00 UTC
Uptrend losing momentum · RSI 43 · price 1.16279
Range under 1.1650 ceiling.
Pair rallied off the 1.1588 week low into Tuesday-Wednesday, peaking at the 1.1660 spike high during NY hours before sellers faded the move back under 1.1650. Wednesday's NY session printed a false break above 1.1650 then reversed sharply through 1.1630, with Cook's hawkish-leaning remarks coinciding with the rejection. Price now consolidating in the low 1.1620s, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) drifting in the low 40s.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16169, 1.15881
Resistance: 1.16518, 1.16609, 1.16484
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1650 reopens the wed high
Break of 1.1622 session low exposes the wed low at 1.1617
Jefferson/Lane fireside at BOJ conference in Asia could shift the tone
Rally from 1.1595 capped under 1.1660, pulling back.
Price rallied from the week low at 1.1595 through Tuesday's NY session and printed a session high of 1.1660 yesterday, but the move was rejected and EURUSD has spent today's London-NY hours grinding back toward the 1.1620s. RSI has rolled from the mid-60s into the low-40s as the higher high in price was not matched by momentum. Holding above 1.1622 keeps the broader uptrend from the week low intact; loss of 1.1617 puts the 1.1595 swing back in play.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16169, 1.15949
Resistance: 1.16504, 1.16609
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.16169 confirms a lower-low and breaks the uptrend from week low
Reclaim of 1.16504 reopens the path to week high at 1.16609
Fed's Jefferson and ECB's Lane speaking in Tokyo overnight could reset the read into Asia
Higher highs into 1.1660 sweep, now rotating back through midrange.
EURUSD pushed to 1.1660 on the NY session spike yesterday before reversing sharply — a clear false break that dragged price back through the ema20 and into 1.1622. The pair has since stabilised in a tight 1.1622–1.1633 band during the Asia session, with RSI cycling near 40 and price holding the wk swing low at 1.1617. Structure on the week remains constructive above 1.1588, but the rejection from 1.1660 has stalled the uptrend short-term.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16169, 1.15881
Resistance: 1.1644, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1644 ema20 would re-engage the uptrend
Loss of 1.1617 wk swing low opens 1.1588 week low
Sustained acceptance below the ema20 keeps the pullback active
19:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.16265
Rally then range with lower-high.
Price rallied off the 1.1594 week low through Monday's NY session and built a shelf in the 1.1630–1.1650 range across Tuesday. The spike high at 1.16610 in the latest NY session was sharply rejected, and price has slipped back under EMA20 to retest the 1.1622 session low. Structure is still a higher-low sequence from the week low, but the failed push above 1.1652 and the deeper pullback signal momentum is fading.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1617, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1652, 1.1661
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.16170 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.16520 range top re-engages the uptrend
Upcoming US PCE/GDP/jobs data this week could materially shift this read
18:00 UTC
Uptrend stalling near range top · RSI 43 · price 1.16322
Range with higher base, capped at 1.1650.
Price climbed steadily off Monday's 1.1588 week low and pushed a spike to 1.1660 during NY hours yesterday before sellers faded the move back inside range. The NY session today rejected from 1.1652 and slipped through EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI rolling over from the 60s to the low 40s — a bearish divergence against the higher price high. Holding 1.1622 keeps the broader range intact; loss of it opens 1.1605 and the week low.
Support: 1.16223, 1.1605, 1.15881
Resistance: 1.16524, 1.16609
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1622 confirms loss of session low and exposes 1.1605
Reclaim of 1.1652 prior high invalidates the rejection read
US jobs/PCE/GDP later this week could materially shift this read
EURUSD reclaimed 1.1630 after Monday's dip to 1.1588 and has spent the week grinding sideways between 1.1622 and 1.1652, helped by improving risk tone on US-Iran headlines. The NY session push to 1.1661 was faded sharply back below the range high, and price now sits mid-range with RSI rolling under 50 — a bearish divergence against the marginal new high. EMA50 still supports from below while EMA20 has been broken on the latest leg down.
Support: 1.16223, 1.16012, 1.15881
Resistance: 1.16524, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1622 session low opens 1.1601 week low
Reclaim of 1.1652 range high needed to negate the rejection
US-Iran headline risk could materially shift this read
Price has spent the week grinding from the 1.1588 weekly open up to a 1.1661 week high, but today's NY session produced a sharp rejection from 1.16518 back through both EMA20 and EMA50, with the latest bar closing at 1.16229. The 1.16500/1.16609 area now caps as a double top against last Friday's high, and RSI(14) printed a bearish divergence into that second test. Sellers stepped in on the de Guindos/ECB headlines around the NY session, pulling price back toward the 1.1617 session low.
Support: 1.1617, 1.1594, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.1652, 1.16609
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.16400 reclaims EMAs and reopens the week high
Loss of 1.16170 session low exposes the 1.15940 weekly swing low
ECB commentary flow remains the dominant EUR driver into Asia
EURUSD has held a steady uptrend since Monday's open near 1.1595, printing higher lows through London and NY sessions with EMA(20) tracked closely on each pullback. Two attempts at the week high near 1.1661 have stalled, leaving price coiling in a tight 1.1637–1.1652 range as RSI flattens around 52, hinting at fading momentum. MUFG-flagged ECB hike expectations remain a supportive backdrop, while today's stronger Richmond Fed print produced only a brief dip.
Support: 1.1637, 1.1617, 1.1595
Resistance: 1.1652, 1.1661, 1.1609
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1661 week high would extend the uptrend
Loss of 1.1637 intraday low opens path back to 1.1617 mon swing low
Bearish RSI divergence on the latest push needs confirmation by a break of 1.1637
14:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 56 · price 1.16458
Higher-lows since Monday, capped under 1.1650.
Price has held a stair-step of higher-lows since Monday's open, with pullbacks finding the EMA(20) each time. The week high at 1.1652 has capped two attempts and a fresh push to 1.1661 was sold back during the NY session, leaving a rejection wick. RSI(14) is cycling in the 50–62 band, consistent with controlled drift rather than impulsive trend.
Support: 1.1629, 1.1617, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.16524, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1652 week high reopens the 1.1661 spike high
Loss of 1.1629 session low exposes the 1.1617 Tuesday low
US-Iran MoU headline flow could whip risk and override structure
Price has held a tight 1.1617–1.1650 range across the NY session and into today, after Monday's London push from 1.1576 stalled at 1.1650. RSI is cycling around 45–55 with both EMAs flattening just above spot, consistent with consolidation rather than directional flow. ECB hawk-talk from Lane and Schnabel and US-Iran deal optimism are offsetting each other, keeping the pair pinned near the weekly open at 1.1629.
Support: 1.1617, 1.1595, 1.1576
Resistance: 1.1650, 1.1629, 1.1660
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1650 week high opens path toward 1.1660 round number
Break of 1.1617 session low exposes 1.1595 weekly low
US-Iran MoU headlines could break the range either way
Higher highs above 1.1620 base, capped near 1.1650.
Price has built a steady grind higher since Monday's open, basing around 1.1600 before pushing to a week high at 1.1650 during yesterday's NY session. Pullbacks have respected the EMA(20) and the 1.1620 area, with the latest dip into 1.1617 bought back. RSI(14) cycling around the midline reflects momentum cooling rather than reversing as price consolidates under the week high.
Support: 1.1629, 1.1617, 1.1602
Resistance: 1.1650, 1.1624
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1650 week high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.1617 swing low opens 1.1600 week base
Ongoing US-Iran headlines and Fed repricing could shift dollar tone
EURUSD has held a stair-step uptrend since Monday's open, basing around 1.1590 before pushing into a 1.16524 week high during NY hours. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.1620–1.1650 range with RSI(14) cycling mid-50s, and the 20-day EMA continues to cap the upside per the broader read. Buyers stepped in at the 1.16161 swing low overnight, but rallies into 1.1650 keep being faded.
Support: 1.1629, 1.16161, 1.1588
Resistance: 1.16524, 1.1665
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.16524 week high opens path to the 1.1665 psych area
Loss of 1.16290 swing low exposes 1.16161 week low and shifts structure
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk could disrupt the consolidation
EURUSD recovered off Monday's 1.1576 low and has ground higher through the week, holding above EMA(20) since the Tuesday NY session. Price is consolidating just under 1.1650, with two rejections from the 1.1648-1.1650 zone and demand stepping in around 1.1617 in yesterday's NY hours. RSI(14) cycling between 45 and 60 reflects the slowdown rather than a turn.
Support: 1.1617, 1.1588, 1.1576
Resistance: 1.1650, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1650 week high would extend the uptrend
Loss of 1.1617 session low exposes the 1.1588 Mon swing low
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk could disrupt the consolidation
EURUSD bottomed at 1.1582 during Friday's NY session and has built a steady stair-step higher through Monday and Tuesday, peaking at 1.1652 before easing back. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1629–1.1645 range above both EMAs, with RSI holding mid-50s after cooling from the early-Tuesday push. Hawkish ECB commentary and Kashkari's inflation-risk remarks frame the week, but H1 structure remains a contained drift higher.
Support: 1.16291, 1.16169, 1.15819
Resistance: 1.16489, 1.16524, 1.1660
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.16524 week high reopens the path toward the 1.1660 psych level
Loss of 1.16169 tuesday swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Sustained Fed hawkish repricing could pressure the channel
Price is consolidating after Monday's gap-up rally that printed the week high at 1.16504, with the last two NY sessions chopping in a 1.16290–1.16450 band. EMA(20) is hugging price from above while EMA(50) supports underneath, and RSI has flattened near the midline as hawkish ECB commentary keeps a floor under the Euro. Geopolitical headlines around the US-Iran framework remain the dominant intraday driver, capping range expansion.
Support: 1.1629, 1.16161, 1.15819
Resistance: 1.16504, 1.16448
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.16504 week high reopens upside continuation
Break of 1.16161 swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the uptrend read
US-Iran deal headlines could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended higher since the gap up at Tuesday's open, putting in a sequence of higher lows from the 1.1594 week low and tagging 1.1650 as the week high. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.1629–1.1645 band through the Asia session, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) flattening around the mid-50s — momentum cooling but structure intact. Hawkish ECB commentary and a softer DXY near 99.00 underpin the bid, though US-Iran headline risk keeps moves measured.
Support: 1.1629, 1.1617, 1.1594
Resistance: 1.1650, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.1650 week high opens path toward 1.1680s
H1 close below 1.1629 intraday low breaks the consolidation lower
Loss of 1.1617 swing low invalidates the higher-lows sequence
US-Iran headline risk could trigger a step-change in either direction
05:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 52 · price 1.16388
Higher-low base early-week, capped under 1.1650.
EURUSD has been grinding higher since Monday's NY session reopen, building a series of higher lows from 1.1595 and stacking price above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) on H1. The week high at 1.1652 has capped three attempts, with the latest NY session showing rejection back into a 1.1630–1.1645 consolidation. RSI(14) is cycling around 50–55 on pullbacks, consistent with momentum easing rather than reversing.
Support: 1.1630, 1.1617, 1.1595
Resistance: 1.1645, 1.1650, 1.1652
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1652 opens space toward the next leg; failure here keeps the range top intact
Loss of the 1.1617 prior-day low breaks the higher-low sequence
Light Asia session, NY hours likely to set the tone for the range top test
Price recovered from the 1.1576 week low into a 1.1620–1.1652 range, with EMA(20) and EMA(50) stacked beneath spot and RSI(14) cycling around 50 on pullbacks. The NY session yesterday rejected at 1.1652 (week high) and faded back to the 1.1617 session low before stabilising into Asia. Structure is constructive but capped — buyers stepping in around the EMA(20) cluster, supply consistently showing under 1.1650.
Support: 1.1617, 1.1588, 1.1576
Resistance: 1.1645, 1.1652, 1.1680
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1652 week high opens 1.1680 psych level
Loss of 1.1617 session low exposes 1.1588 week low
BoJ rate-hike groundwork commentary may spill into USD crosses via JPY
Price recovered sharply from the 1.1582 week low into Tuesday's London session and has since coiled in a tight 1.1629–1.1452 range above EMA50, with EMA20 capping the upside on the last two NY pushes. RSI has cooled from the mid-60s to neutral as momentum fades into Asia, leaving the week's uptrend intact but stalling just below the 1.1652 week high.
Support: 1.1629, 1.1617, 1.1582
Resistance: 1.1645, 1.1652
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1645 session high reopens the path to the 1.1652 week high
Loss of 1.1629 intraday low exposes the 1.1617 swing low and shifts structure to lower-low
Sustained break of 1.1582 week low invalidates the week's uptrend read
Higher highs after midweek gap, now consolidating below week high.
EURUSD reclaimed ground sharply after a gap higher into Monday's Asia session, lifting price from the 1.1582 week low up to a 1.1652 week high before stalling. Since then H1 has consolidated in a tight 1.1629–1.1645 band with RSI(14) drifting back to neutral and price still pinned above EMA20. Middle East tension headlines around the Iran strikes have kept ranges contained rather than driving a fresh leg.
Support: 1.1629, 1.1617, 1.15819
Resistance: 1.16448, 1.16524
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.16524 week high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.16290 intraday low opens the swing low at 1.16170
Further Iran headline flow could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 1.1650 then pullback, holding above EMA20.
Strong impulse off the 1.1582 week low rallied price to a 1.16524 week high, with a clean breakout above the 1.1620 area mid-window. Since then H1 has consolidated in a tight 1.1620–1.1645 range with RSI cooling back to the mid-50s, price still holding above EMA20. The session low at 1.1624 has been defended on the latest NY-into-Asia transition.
Support: 1.1624, 1.1608, 1.1582
Resistance: 1.1645, 1.16524
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.16524 week high extends the breakout
Loss of 1.1624 session low opens 1.1608 prior breakout retest
Failure at 1.1582 week low confirms a lower-low
Iran headlines and Citadel-style Fed repricing remain a tape risk
Pair recovered off the 1.1582 week low through Thursday's NY session and printed a week high at 1.1652 before stalling. Friday's NY session saw a rejection from 1.1644 down to 1.1616, with buyers stepping back in late to close near 1.1633. RSI(14) has flattened around 52 and price is now coiling tightly above EMA(20), with the week's range still intact.
Support: 1.16161, 1.15819
Resistance: 1.16484, 1.16524
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.16484 reopens the week high at 1.16524
Loss of 1.16161 session low exposes 1.15819 week low
BOJ IMES conference with Fed speakers in Tokyo could shift dollar tone in Asia