EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 26 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Pullback after intraday spike · RSI 43 · price 1.1385
Lower highs off 1.1434, basing near 1.1380.
EUR spiked to 1.1434 during NY hours then faded the entire move, now basing in the 1.1380s with the bounce stalling — consistent with the digest's corrective-within-bearish read after a softer USD. RSI(14) mid-range near 43, price holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1381, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1415, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1381 opens the path toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1415 needed to revive the upside
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could reset this read
20:46 UTC
Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.13914
Pullback from session high, consolidating.
EUR spiked to 1.14336 during NY hours on a softer USD after in-line PCE and a Michigan sentiment miss, then faded back to consolidate between 1.1380 and 1.1391 into the late session. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with price hovering on the EMA20; the rally is now corrective, not extending.
Support: 1.13809, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.13975, 1.14076, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13975 reopens the 1.14076-1.14336 zone
Failure to hold 1.13809 confirms a lower-low
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could reset this read
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.1433 after the softer US Michigan print, then faded back below 1.1400 in a chain of lower highs. Late session it's consolidating between the 1.1381 session low and 1.1404 prior range, RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 1.1381, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.1425
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1381 session low opens 1.1360 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1404 prior range reopens the 1.1425 session high
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could reset this read
20:31 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13883
Consolidation under session high after rejection.
EUR spiked to a 1.14336 session high during NY hours on a softer USD then was rejected, unwinding the move back toward 1.1385. Late-session price is consolidating in a tight 1.1380-1.1392 band, RSI neutral near 45 and ATR cooling to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.1380, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1405, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1380 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.13539
Reclaim of 1.1391 needed to challenge the 1.14050 shelf
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could shift this read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend off NY high, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13883
Lower highs into tight late-session range.
EUR spiked to 1.14336 during NY hours on the softer-USD/oil-led bounce, then was rejected and bled lower through the afternoon into a tight 1.1380-1.1392 range. Price now sits just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; session low at 1.13806 holding into Asia.
Support: 1.13806, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14077, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1392 range top ends the consolidation and reopens 1.14077
Break below 1.13806 session low extends the lower-high sequence
German prelim HICP (Mon) and Lagarde could reset this read
20:16 UTC
Pulling back after NY rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.1388
Lower highs off 1.1434, tight range at lows.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.14336 during NY hours then was rejected, bleeding back into the 1.1380s as the USD firmed off in-line PCE. Late in the session price is drifting lower in a tight 1.1380-1.1392 band, RSI sub-50 with no momentum.
Support: 1.13806, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13806 opens the 1.1354 london low
Reclaim of 1.13920 range top needed to retest 1.14246 swing high
German prelim HICP (Mon 07:00 UTC) and Lagarde could reset this read
EUR/USD drifted lower through the NY afternoon after a midday spike to 1.14336 was rejected, printing a chain of lower highs back toward the session low at 1.1381. RSI sits mid-range with a small bounce off 1.1381 into the late-session close; the dollar's soft post-PCE tone framed the earlier pop but momentum has faded.
Support: 1.1381, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14063
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1381 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1370
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to negate the intraday decline
Thin late-NY/Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, fading from spike high · RSI 41 · price 1.13818
Lower highs since 1.1433, near session low.
NY session spiked to 1.1433 then faded steadily through the afternoon, now pressing the session low near 1.1381 into thin late-session liquidity. The earlier reclaim of 1.1400 was corrective within a bearish structure per the macro read; lower highs have stacked since the spike.
Support: 1.13806, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.13912, 1.1404, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13806 opens 1.1354 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13912 needed to ease downside pressure
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could reprice EUR
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, fading from highs · RSI 34 · price 1.13818
Lower highs since the 1.1433 spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1433 during NY hours then unwound the entire move, the late-session bid stepping aside as the corrective bounce off 13-month lows stalls. Price now leaks toward the session low at 1.13806 on a clean chain of lower highs, RSI(14) near 34 and below both EMAs.
Support: 1.13806, 1.13744
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.13975, 1.14063
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13900 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13806 opens 1.13744
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could shift this read
19:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.13812
Lower highs since NY morning peak.
EURUSD spiked to a session high of 1.14336 during NY morning then faded all afternoon, now pressing session lows near 1.13812 — a corrective unwind of the oil-driven EUR bounce noted in the digest. Price is below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs and RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.1381, 1.1370, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13810 confirms the lower-low and opens 1.13700
Reclaim of 1.13900 stalls the pullback
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC and Lagarde Jun 29 could reset this read
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.14336 during NY hours as the dollar softened post-PCE, but the entire rally has since faded. Price has broken below the 1.1385-1.1390 consolidation and is now printing fresh session lows near 1.1381, RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.13809, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13809 confirms a lower low and extends the downside
Reclaim of 1.13900 invalidates the breakdown read
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could reset this read
NY session spiked to a 1.1433 high on softer USD/oil sentiment then faded steadily back to 1.1384, the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1354–1.1433 leg. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1384–1.1391 band on thinning late-session volume, sitting on the session low.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1407, 1.1433
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1383 extends the lower-high sequence toward 1.1354
Reclaim of 1.1407 swing high negates the fade
German prelim HICP Mon 07:00 UTC could reshape this read
EURUSD spiked to 1.1434 during NY hours then faded sharply, with supply capping the move as the post-PCE USD pullback ran out of steam. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.1383–1.1394 band in the late session, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 42.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1406, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1383 reopens the downside toward 1.1354
Reclaim of 1.1406 would re-engage the spike high at 1.1434
Eurozone HICP (Mon) and Lagarde speech could materially shift this read
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.14336 then reversed sharply, leaving a rejected high as EUR's bounce off 13-month lows stalled. Price now consolidates between the session low at 1.13828 and the 1.13910 range top, sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the rally from the london low, below both EMAs.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1406, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14060 swing high reopens the 1.14336 session high
Loss of 1.13828 session low confirms a lower-low toward the london low
Eurozone HICP Mon could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Pullback after NY rejection, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.13864
Consolidating below session high, lower highs.
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.14336 then sharply rejected, dragging EUR back to 1.13828 as the post-PCE USD dip faded. Price now coils in a tight 1.13828–1.13910 band late NY, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.13828, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1405, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13828 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.13740
Reclaim of 1.13910 needed to challenge 1.14050 again
Eurozone HICP and Lagarde Mon could reshape this read into next session
19:01 UTC
Pullback after spike, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.13885
Rejection off intraday high, range forming near 1.1389.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then sharply rejected, with price falling back to consolidate around 1.1389 — supply capped the move into the 1.1420 zone flagged after EUR's bounce off 13-month lows. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the last several bars flatten between 1.13828 and 1.13990.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13631
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.14215, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 invalidates the rejection read, opening room toward 1.1450
Break below 1.13828 session low exposes 1.13631
Eurozone HICP and Lagarde speech Mon could shift this read
18:46 UTC
Pullback after intraday spike · RSI 43 · price 1.13885
Consolidating near session lows below the rejected high.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then sold off hard, leaving a false break and a string of lower highs. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.1383–1.1391 band, trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 42.
Support: 1.13828, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1405, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1394 reopens the 1.1405 range
Loss of 1.13828 session low confirms a lower-low
Thin late-NY liquidity into the weekend can exaggerate moves
18:46 UTC
Pullback after NY spike high · RSI 43 · price 1.13895
Rejected at 1.1434, lower highs into consolidation.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then was rejected hard, leaving a string of lower highs back below the 1.1400 psych level. Price now consolidating around 1.1389 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR easing as the late-session move cools.
Support: 1.13828, 1.1376, 1.13606
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 reopens 1.14246 lower high
Loss of 1.13828 confirms a lower low
ADP/ISM Jul 1 could re-arm USD and shift this read
18:31 UTC
Pulling back after NY spike, momentum cooling · RSI 43 · price 1.13895
Rejection at 1.1434, lower highs, now ranging.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14336 during the NY session as the dollar eased post-PCE, then was rejected and faded back below the 1.1400 round number. Price now coils in a tight 1.13828–1.1390 band into the late session, RSI(14) cooling toward 43.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 would re-engage the upper range toward the session high
Loss of 1.13828 opens room back toward the 1.13539 swing low
Eurozone HICP and Lagarde Monday are the next macro catalysts for this pair
18:31 UTC
Pulled back after spike, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.13895
Spike high rejected, lower highs into a tight range near session low.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 and was sharply rejected, price falling back below 1.1400 and printing lower highs. Now consolidating around 1.1389 just above the session low at 1.1382, RSI(14) hovering mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.13975, 1.14063, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13828 reopens the downside toward 1.13539
Reclaim of 1.14063 range high needed to neutralize the post-spike pullback
Eurozone HICP and Lagarde speech Mon could shift this read
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.14336 then faded hard, slipping back below 1.1400 and stalling near 1.1386. Price has printed a chain of lower highs since the spike and is now consolidating just above the session low at 1.13828.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14077, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14077 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13828 opens the 1.13539 swing low
Eurozone HICP Mon could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Pulling back after NY rally · RSI 41 · price 1.13857
Lower highs off session peak, compressing at lows.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 as EUR pushed above 1.1400 on the softer USD, then rejected and ground lower into a chain of lower highs. Price now sits at the 61.8% retrace of that rally near 1.13843, compressing in thin late-session trade with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.13828, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1399, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13828 confirms a lower low toward 1.13760
Reclaim of 1.13990 eases the pullback pressure
Late-session liquidity thin — moves may be exaggerated
18:01 UTC
Downtrend off intraday high · RSI 40 · price 1.13857
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.14336 spike.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 on the softer post-PCE USD, then faded steadily back to 1.1385 carving lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) cooling near 40, ATR compressing as the late-session drift slows into the 1.13828 area.
Support: 1.13828, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1403, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13940 neutralises the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.13828 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Eurozone HICP and Lagarde (Mon) could reset this read
18:01 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 1.13886
Lower highs off spike, consolidating.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then faded back below 1.1390, RSI cooling into the mid-40s. Price now consolidating just above the 1.13828 session low after a clean rejection of the spike high; intraday cap at 1.1406 unbroken on the way down.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13828 reopens 1.13539 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1406 intraday cap needed to retest 1.14246 session high
Eurozone HICP Mon 07:00 GMT could reshape this read
17:46 UTC
Pulling back after NY spike · RSI 43 · price 1.13886
Lower highs off 1.14336, consolidating near session lows.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then faded hard, with price now consolidating around 1.1388 just above the 1.13828 session low after EUR's bounce off 13-month lows. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price trades below EMA20/50, a lower-highs sequence holding under the 1.14048 pivot.
Support: 1.13828, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13828 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14048 reopens 1.14246
Eurozone HICP and Lagarde speech Mon could reset this read
17:46 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 41 · price 1.13891
Lower highs off session high, pressing session low.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.14336, a false break above the 1.1420 cap that was rejected sharply, and price has since unwound to the session low near 1.1383 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. EUR's bounce off 13-month lows is stalling — supply capped the 1.1420 area and the move has chained lower highs into late NY.
Support: 1.1383, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1383 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.13539 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.1420 cap needed to neutralize the pullback
17:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 40 · price 1.13891
Rejection at session high, lower highs forming.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 as the USD softened, then reversed hard and has bled back to 1.1389, printing lower highs. Price now consolidating just above the 1.1383 swing low with RSI(14) near 40, below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.1424, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1383 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1354
Reclaim of 1.1404 puts the 1.1424 session high back in play
NY session spiked to 1.14336 and faded immediately (false break), with price losing the 1.140 round number and rolling toward the 1.13828 swing low, which held on the latest dip. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-30s as the move stalls; the bounce off 13-month lows remains positioning-driven per the softer USD read.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14199, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13828 confirms a lower low, opening 1.13539
Reclaim of 1.14000 then 1.14199 negates the pullback read
ECB Lagarde (Jun 29) is the next directional catalyst
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then was rejected hard, fading back below 1.1400 toward the session low at 1.13828; this followed EUR's positioning-driven pop above 1.1400 on a softer USD. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price now grinds sideways around 1.1390.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14029, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13828 opens the london low at 1.13539
Reclaim of 1.14246 needed to retest the 1.14336 spike high
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, pulling back off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1389
Lower highs, lower lows after rejection of 1.1434.
NY session spiked to a 1.14336 high as the USD softened post-PCE, then sold off and is now grinding into the 1.1380s with a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1408, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1408 invalidates the lower-high read
Break of 1.1383 swing low opens 1.1370
17:01 UTC
Pulling back, lower highs · RSI 37 · price 1.1389
Fade from session high, grinding toward session low.
NY session spiked to 1.1434 then faded steadily through the afternoon, with price now pressing the session low near 1.1383 — the EUR pop above 1.1400 was positioning-driven off oversold lows per the macro read. RSI(14) at 37 reflects the slide but is not yet stretched; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 after losing the 1.1407 shelf.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1407, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1383 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1354
reclaim of 1.1407 needed to re-challenge the 1.1434 session high
ECB Lagarde (Jun 29) and German HICP are the next directional catalysts
17:01 UTC
Intraday rally rejected, rolling over · RSI 40 · price 1.13891
Lower highs off session high after sweep.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then was rejected hard, unwinding the entire EUR relief pop above 1.1400 driven by softer USD and falling oil. Price now back at 1.13891, printing lower highs with RSI(14) cooled to ~40 and trading below both EMAs.
Support: 1.13828, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14029, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13828 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.13539
Reclaim of 1.14029 needed to repair the intraday structure
ECB Lagarde and German HICP later this week are the next directional catalysts
16:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rejection · RSI 39 · price 1.13891
Lower highs since session peak.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 on broad USD softness and falling oil, then rejected and bled lower through the afternoon, printing successive lower highs. Price now testing the session low at 1.13828, RSI(14) cooled to the high-30s; sits mid-fib of the 1.13539-1.14336 rally.
Support: 1.13828, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14029, 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13828 confirms a lower low, opening 1.13700
Reclaim of 1.14029 would stall the lower-high sequence
Lagarde (Jun 29) and ADP/ISM (Jul 1) are the next directional catalysts
16:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after spike · RSI 43 · price 1.13931
Faded off session high, testing lows.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then faded hard, a false break of the figure on the EUR relief bounce off 13-month lows. Price has since unwound the move and sits at session lows near 1.1390, holding the 50% retrace of the intraday rally with RSI cooling into the low-40s.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower low toward swing low 1.1385
Reclaim of 1.14246 swing high reopens the session high at 1.14336
ECB Lagarde and German CPI (Jun 29) are the next directional catalysts
16:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.13931
Spike high rejected, fading to session low.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then was sharply rejected, with price fading back to the 1.1390 session low — the leg up traced today's USD softness and falling oil per the macro read. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) cooling near 42.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1434, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 invalidates the near-term downside read
Failure to hold 1.1390 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1374
16:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling after rejection · RSI 48 · price 1.13988
Pullback into consolidation below session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then was rejected, EUR catching a relief bid above 1.1400 on softer USD after in-line PCE. Price has since faded the 1.1425 range top and is consolidating near 1.1399, mid-way back into the prior up-leg.
Support: 1.13932, 1.1376, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13932 confirms a lower-low and resumes the pullback toward 1.1376
Reclaim of 1.1425 reopens the 1.14336 session high
German HICP (Jun 29) is the next directional catalyst for this read
16:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.13988
Spike high rejected, consolidating off session high.
London lifted EUR above 1.1400 and NY morning spiked to 1.14336 before rejecting, with the bounce positioning-driven off oversold lows as USD softened post-PCE and oil fell. Price has since faded to 1.1399 and is consolidating above the 1.13932 session low; the spike high at 1.1429/1.14336 is the level to watch for renewed rejection or break.
Support: 1.13932, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14077, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13932 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1380
M15 close above 1.14077 puts the 1.1429 session high back in play
ECB/CPI catalysts later this week could shift the read; no major event in the next 8h
NY session spiked to 1.14336 then sharply rejected, the move part of EUR's relief bounce off 13-month lows on softer USD and falling oil. Price has since faded into a 1.13932–1.14246 consolidation, with the spike high left as an unfilled false break and RSI(14) back near neutral around 49.
Support: 1.13932, 1.13727
Resistance: 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14246 reopens the 1.14336 spike high
Failure to hold 1.13932 confirms a lower low and unwinds the bounce
No high-impact EUR/USD data in the next 8h; German HICP and Lagarde (Jun 29) are the next catalysts
Faded off session high, consolidating near 1.1400.
NY hours saw a sharp spike to 1.14336 — supported by a softer USD and falling oil per the digest — but it was rejected immediately and price faded back below 1.1410. Now grinding around 1.1400 between 1.13935 and 1.14120, RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 1.13935, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14120 reopens the 1.14336 session high
Failure to hold 1.13935 confirms a lower low
No fresh EUR/USD catalysts in the next 8h; reaction is positioning-driven
NY session pushed EUR to a session high of 1.14336 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back to 1.13932 — part of the positioning-driven bounce off 13-month lows noted in the macro read. Price has since stabilised around 1.1405, holding the 1.1400 round number and sitting just under the 50% retrace of the day's up-leg.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14336 reopens the intraday high
Failure to hold 1.13932 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.13539
Loss of 1.1400 round number shifts the consolidation lower
15:46 UTC
Intraday up move stalling · RSI 51 · price 1.1405
Spike high then sweep of lows, consolidating.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.14336 then reversed, with a sweep of 1.13932 before buyers stepped back in toward 1.1405. The pop reflects a softer USD post-PCE and the EUR relief bounce; price now consolidating just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14295, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14336 reopens the session-high break
Failure to hold 1.13932 confirms a lower-low
German HICP (Jun 29) is the next directional catalyst for this pair
15:46 UTC
Choppy, range after spike · RSI 49 · price 1.14054
Ranging below session high.
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.14336 and was rejected, then swept the 1.13932 low before recovering to 1.14054 — the bounce tracks the softer-USD, lower-oil tone in the digest. Price now holds the 1.14000 psych level inside a 1.13932–1.14336 range with RSI flat near 49.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932
Resistance: 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14246 swing high reopens 1.14336
Break below 1.13932 sweep low confirms a lower low
Loss of 1.14000 psych shifts the read back toward range floor
NY session pushed to a 1.14336 session high then sharply rejected, sliding to a 1.13932 swing low before stabilising near 1.1405. The pop above 1.1400 is positioning-driven relief from oversold per the macro digest rather than a fundamental EUR shift. Price now consolidating between 1.1393 and 1.1425.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14246 reopens the 1.14336 session high
Failure to hold 1.13930 confirms a lower-low
Fed's Kashkari (15:30 UTC) could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 1.14028
Consolidating below session high after sweep.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.14336 on the softer-USD, falling-oil EUR pop, then faded and swept down to 1.13932 before reclaiming 1.1400. RSI(14) back to neutral near 52; price now boxed between the 1.13932 sweep low and the 1.14247 recent high.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932
Resistance: 1.14247, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Fed's Kashkari speaking 15:30 UTC could shift the read
M15 close above 1.14336 reopens the upside
Failure to hold 1.13932 confirms a lower-low
15:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pullback in play · RSI 51 · price 1.14028
Rallied to session high then retraced, holding above round number.
NY session drove EURUSD to a session high of 1.14336 on post-PCE USD softening, before a sharp rejection pulled price back to 1.13932. Buyers stepped back in to reclaim the 1.1400 round number; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range after the spike.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932, 1.13727
Resistance: 1.14278, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13932 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.13727 rally base
Reclaim and close above 1.14278 reopens the 1.14336 session high
Per context, 1.1420 break invalidates the broader downside read
Fed's Kashkari (15:30 UTC) and ECB's Vujčić (16:00 UTC) could shift this read within the hour
15:16 UTC
Intraday up move rejected, momentum rolling over · RSI 45 · price 1.13933
False break above 1.1420, sharp reversal back into range.
NY session spiked through the 1.1420 invalidation line to a 1.14336 session high before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 1.1393, snapping below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought into the mid-40s as the false break above the EUR-bear trigger zone unwound.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1376, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1420, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1420 reopens the 1.14336 session high
Failure to hold 1.1390 exposes 1.1376 and the 1.1354 swing low
Fed's Kashkari (15:30 UTC) could shift the intraday read
NY session pushed to 1.14336 then rejected hard, with the last bar sweeping back to 1.13932 — the spike above 1.1420 has unwound into a false break. Price is sitting on the 50% retrace of the 1.13539–1.14336 climb; rebound off lows fits the oversold-relief read in EUR, not a fresh trend.
Support: 1.13932, 1.1376, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14246, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13932 opens 1.13760 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14246 range top puts the 1.14336 session high back in play
NY session drove EUR through 1.1420 — the level flagged as invalidating the downside — with a spike to a 1.14336 session high as the USD eased post in-line PCE. Price is now retracing into 1.1420 from below, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range; the pullback is holding above the 1.14111 swing low.
Support: 1.14111, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close back below 1.14111 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim and hold above 1.14200 break level keeps the path open to the 1.14336 session high
EUR pushed through 1.1420 during the London-NY transition with a spike to 1.14336 — the level UOB flags as invalidating the broader downside read. Price has since drifted back below 1.1420 toward 1.1411, RSI cooling from the rally; the break level is now the line being retested.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1411 puts 1.1400 round number back in play
Reclaim and close above 1.1420 keeps the breakout intact
ECB's Vujčić (16:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
NY session spiked through the 1.1420 line to a session high at 1.14336, extending the oversold-relief bounce off the week's lows. Price has since consolidated 1.1416-1.1428, holding above the 1.14076 breakout level with RSI cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.14115, 1.14076, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14076 negates the breakout and reopens 1.1400
Sustained hold above 1.1420 keeps the relief bounce intact
ECB's Vujčić speech (16:00 UTC, ~1h) could shift this read
NY session drove EUR off the 1.1354 base, spiking to 1.14336 before fading to consolidate around 1.1420. RSI(14) cooling from the spike but holding above 50; price now ranging 1.1416–1.1425 below the session high.
Support: 1.14115, 1.1406, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14336 extends the breakout
Failure to hold 1.14115 opens 1.1406
1.1420 is the level flagged as invalidating the broader bearish euro view
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 64 · price 1.1422
Higher highs after range break, consolidating below 1.1434.
NY session pushed EUR through the 1.1420 round number, spiking to 1.14336 as the USD eased after in-line US PCE. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1419-1.1424 band just below the session high, RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1397, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14336, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.1420 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 1.1406 signals a fade back into range
A close back below 1.1376 negates the intraday breakout
Lagarde speech Mon 17:30 GMT could materially shift the EUR read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 1.1422
Higher highs into NY, consolidating below session high.
EUR squeezed higher through the NY session, spiking to 1.1434 before settling around 1.1420 — the level market context flags as invalidating the broader bearish setup. RSI(14) cooling off the spike with price holding above the 1.1411 pullback low; ATR ~10 pips.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1434 extends the rally; failure leaves the spike as a false break
Loss of 1.1411 pullback low signals the NY push fading back toward the 1.1406 breakout base
NY session drove EUR up through 1.1420 with a spike to 1.14336 as the USD eased on in-line US PCE, then retraced and is consolidating around 1.1426. Price holds above the 1.1420 level the macro read flags as bearish invalidation; session high at 1.14295 is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.14164, 1.1400, 1.13935
Resistance: 1.14295, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14164 keeps the higher-low chain intact
Close above 1.14336 spike high extends the breakout
Loss of 1.14000 round number would unwind the NY advance
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 69 · price 1.14261
Higher highs, broke above 1.1420.
EUR surged off 1.1407 to spike 1.14336 around the NY transition, clearing the 1.1420 level flagged as the bearish-invalidation mark as the USD eased post-PCE. Price pulled back to 1.14175 and is now grinding ~1.1426, holding above 1.1420 with RSI(14) elevated near 69.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1420, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1420 negates the breakout
Failure to hold 1.14175 opens 1.14060
US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) plus Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
Breakout above 1.1420, consolidating under session high.
NY session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1420 invalidation level to a session high at 1.14336 as the USD eased after in-line PCE, RSI(14) hot near 67. Price now consolidating around 1.14195, holding the break.
Support: 1.14115, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14336, 1.14295
What it said to watch
Sustained move back below 1.1420 negates the breakout read
Hold above 1.14115 keeps the higher-low chain intact
ECB Vujčić (16:00 UTC) and US Michigan sentiment could shift this read in the next bars
Higher highs into NY session, consolidating below spike high.
NY session drove a sharp rally off the 1.1354 base, spiking to 1.14336 and clearing the 1.1420 area flagged as the bearish invalidation level. Price is now holding just below the spike high around 1.1420 with RSI(14) cooling from hot readings; the breakout is intact while 1.1400 holds.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13935
Resistance: 1.14336
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1420 keeps the breakout read valid; a slip back below 1.1400 signals fade of the spike
Loss of 1.13935 swing low would void the intraday higher-high chain
Fed Williams/Kashkari and Michigan sentiment within the next few hours could shift this read
NY session pushed EURUSD through 1.1420 — the level flagged as the bearish-trend invalidation — spiking to 1.1434 on the soft USD post in-line PCE before settling near 1.1423. The recovery off the 1.1356 London low has chained higher highs all afternoon; RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1407, 1.1356
Resistance: 1.1434
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1420 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it reopens 1.1407
US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (Williams, Kashkari) could shift this read in the next bars
ECB Vujčić remarks near term
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.1423
Higher highs, range break above 1.1420.
NY session pushed EUR through 1.1420 — the level flagged as invalidating the broader bearish setup — with a spike to 1.14336 before pulling back to 1.1423. The move follows the post-PCE USD easing; RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme, and price is holding above the 1.1407 prior high on the retest.
Support: 1.1407, 1.1395, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14336
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1407 on a close reverses the breakout read
Reclaim of 1.14336 extends the session high
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Williams/Kashkari speak could shift this read
NY session drove a sharp spike to 1.14336, briefly clearing the 1.1420 bear-invalidation level flagged in the EUR read, before pulling back to 1.14175. RSI(14) cooling from the spike high near 63; the 1.1400 round number is the first intraday floor to watch.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13935
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1400 unwinds the breakout and reopens 1.13935
M15 close above 1.14336 extends the NY leg higher
Fed speakers (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30 UTC) and ECB's Vujčić could shift this read intraday
Higher highs and higher lows, broke above intraday range.
London afternoon drove EURUSD up through 1.1410 and spiked to 1.14336 as the USD eased after in-line US PCE, but the move faded straight back to 1.14175. RSI is cooling from the spike while price holds above the 1.1406 breakout base; the session high was rejected on first test.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400, 1.13935
Resistance: 1.14195, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1406 keeps the intraday uptrend intact
Close back below 1.1400 reopens 1.13935 swing low
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) and Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari could shift this read within the next bars
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 76 · price 1.14274
Range break above 1.1420, new session high.
NY session pushed through the multi-hour 1.1405–1.1420 range with a sharp impulse to 1.1434, USD easing after in-line US PCE per the macro read. RSI(14) is hot near 76 after the spike; the prior range top at 1.1420 is now the level being defended on any pullback.
Support: 1.1407, 1.1394, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1420 puts price back inside the prior range
Hold above 1.1420 keeps the breakout structure intact
ECB Vujčić (16:00 UTC) and Fed speakers could shift this read intraday
13:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 1.14274
Higher highs, breakout above 1.1420.
NY session pushed EUR/USD through the 1.1420 level the market flagged as the bearish invalidation, a sharp candle tagging 1.14336 before settling at 1.14274. RSI(14) is hot near 74 after the surge; 1.1420 now flips to the breakout level on any pullback.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.13935
Resistance: 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1420 would negate the breakout and signal a false break
US Michigan sentiment and Fed speakers (Williams, Kashkari) within the next bars could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.14065
HH/HL chain into NY, now ranging at top.
NY session drove EUR off the 1.1375 retest up to a session high at 1.14118 after the in-line US PCE eased the dollar. Price now consolidates 1.1394–1.1411 just below the high, RSI(14) cooling from the push.
Support: 1.1394, 1.1375, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14118 then 1.1420 extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.1394 confirms a lower-low into the range
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC + Fed speakers could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.14065
HH/HL chain off London low, paused under session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD up from the 1.1354 London low to a session high at 1.14118 as the dollar eased after in-line US PCE. Price now consolidating 1.1399-1.1412 just under that high, RSI(14) cooling from the rally.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 invalidates the broader downside read
Loss of 1.1398 breaks the intraday HL chain
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session to a high of 1.14118 as the USD eased after in-line US PCE, now consolidating just under it between 1.14000 and 1.14073. RSI(14) cooling off the push but price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13935, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.14073
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14000 round number opens the 1.13935 swing low
Break above 1.14118 session high extends the NY uptrend
Michigan sentiment and Fed speakers (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
12:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 1.1401
Higher highs into 1.1410, now flat near highs.
EURUSD rallied through the NY session from 1.1375 to a 1.1412 high as the USD eased after in-line core PCE, then stalled into a tight 1.1399–1.1407 consolidation near the highs. RSI(14) has cooled to ~54 from overbought, price holding above both EMAs but momentum flattening.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1376, 1.1358
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14200 extends the squeeze toward the range cap
Loss of 1.13970 swing low confirms a lower-high after the stall
Fed Williams 14:30 and Kashkari 15:30 speakers could shift USD tone
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.1401
Higher highs, now consolidating under session high.
EUR/USD pushed off the mid-window swing low at 1.1354 and broke higher through the NY session, tagging 1.1412 as the USD eased on in-line US PCE. Price is now consolidating 1.1395–1.1412 just under the 1.1420 cap, RSI cooling back near 58.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1375, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 invalidates the medium-term downside read per context
Failure to hold 1.1395 reopens the 1.1375 prior-resistance shelf
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD from ~1.1375 to a 1.14118 session high as the USD eased after in-line core PCE, then the pair stalled and pulled back to ~1.1398. Price is consolidating just under the session high, holding above 1.13935 with RSI cooling back toward neutral.
Support: 1.13935, 1.13744
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13935 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Break above 1.14118 opens the 1.1420 range cap flagged in context
Fed speakers and Michigan data in the next hours could shift this read
London rally stalling below session high, consolidating.
London session drove EUR up from 1.1374 to a session high at 1.14118, with the dollar easing after in-line US core PCE. Price has since stalled and rolled back under 1.1407, slipping below EMA20 as RSI(14) cools to ~50; holding above the 1.1394 swing low keeps the rally structure intact.
Support: 1.1394, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1412 reopens the path toward the 1.1420 invalidation level
Failure to hold 1.1394 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the London push
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove EUR up from the 1.1375 band to a session high of 1.14118 as the dollar eased on in-line core PCE. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1399-1.1407 band just below that high, with RSI(14) cooling near 58.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1375, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14118 extends the session high
Break above 1.1420 invalidates the broader bearish read
Failure to hold 1.1400 psych opens 1.1375 prior swing
Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari and Michigan sentiment could shift this read
Consolidating just below session high after impulse up.
NY session pushed EUR up to a session high of 1.14118 before stalling and chopping around 1.1400, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The leg fits the broader rebound off Wednesday's 1.1324 low as in-line US core PCE trimmed near-term Fed hike bets; pair is holding the breakout base near 1.1385.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1385, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14200 invalidates the wider bearish read and squeezes shorts
Failure to hold 1.13950 confirms loss of the intraday up-leg
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
EURUSD rallied through the London session off the 1.1374 base, tagging 1.14118 before stalling, with the euro recovering as the dollar eased on in-line core PCE. Price now chopping in a tight 1.1400-1.1407 band just under the session high, RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1395, 1.13744
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.14118 opens the path toward the 1.1420 invalidation level
Loss of 1.1400 round number exposes the 1.1395 swing low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rally off 1.1374 stalling, consolidating near session high.
NY session pushed EUR/USD off 1.1374 up to a session high of 1.14118 before stalling, the leg helped by an easing dollar after in-line US PCE removed fresh hawkish fuel. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1400-1.1407 band, RSI(14) cooling from the highs while holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1395, 1.13744
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 breaks the rising structure off 1.1374
Break above 1.14118 extends the session high
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session lifted EUR from the 1.1375 area to a session high at 1.14118 after in-line US PCE removed fresh dollar fuel and prompted profit-taking. Price is now consolidating around 1.1400, RSI(14) cooling from the rally into the low-60s with the session high still capping.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1397, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 invalidates the broader bearish read and risks a short squeeze
Failure to hold 1.1400 opens a retest of 1.1375 prior range
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating below it.
NY session drove EUR from the 1.1375 breakout base up to a session high of 1.14118 as the dollar eased off YTD highs post in-line PCE. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1400–1.1412 band, RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak; the session high remains the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13744, 1.13653
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14118 extends the leg toward the 1.1420 cap
Loss of 1.1400 round number reopens the 1.13744 breakout base
NY session drove EUR/USD up to a session high of 1.14118 as the USD eased after the in-line US PCE print, extending a second day of rebound off the 13-month low. Price is now consolidating just under the high around 1.1404, holding above the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) cooling from the move.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13744, 1.13594
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14118 opens the path toward the 1.1420 bear cap
Loss of 1.1400 round number exposes the 1.13744 swing low
NY session lifted EURUSD off 1.1374 to a session high of 1.14118 as the USD eased after in-line PCE; price now coiling around 1.1404 just under the high. RSI(14) near 63 and cooling, with the 1.1420 cap untested.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13952, 1.13741
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14200 invalidates the broader downside read
Loss of 1.13952 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (~14:00 UTC) could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 65 · price 1.14026
Higher highs, higher lows.
NY hours drove EUR/USD off the 1.1375 consolidation through 1.1385 to a session high of 1.14118 as the USD eased after in-line US PCE. Price is now consolidating just under that high around 1.14026 with RSI(14) cooling from the push but still firm.
Support: 1.13952, 1.13853, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13952 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Close above 1.14200 invalidates the broader downside scenario per ECB/UOB read
Fed's Williams (14:30 UTC) and Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, paused below 1.1412.
London session drove EUR/USD up from ~1.1375 to a session high at 1.14118 as the dollar eased after in-line US PCE, and price is now consolidating around 1.1402. RSI(14) is cooling off the push but holding above 60; the 1.1420 macro invalidation cap sits just overhead.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1395, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 invalidates the medium-term downside read
Failure to hold 1.1400 round number reopens 1.1385
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Rising HH/HL chain after breakout, now consolidating below session high.
London session lifted EUR through the 1.1385 base to a session high at 1.14118 as the USD eased after in-line PCE. Price is now consolidating just under 1.1410, RSI(14) cooling from the highs but holding above 60; rising lows around 1.1400 still respected.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13852, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14118 opens a test of the 1.1420 cap
Loss of 1.1400 puts the 1.13852 breakout base back in play
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session drove a clean rally off 1.1371, breaking the prior consolidation and printing a session high at 1.14118 as the USD eased despite in-line PCE. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; HL chain intact with the last dip held at 1.13970.
Support: 1.1397, 1.13884, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13970 breaks the HL chain and questions the rally
Loss of 1.13884 breakout level returns price into prior consolidation
Michigan sentiment / Fed speakers (14:00-15:30 UTC) could shift USD tone
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 68 · price 1.14045
Higher highs, breakout above consolidation band.
London session drove EURUSD out of the 1.1345-1.1395 consolidation band, clearing 1.1400 and tagging a session high at 1.14118 as the dollar eased after in-line US PCE. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; price is hovering just under the 1.1411 high.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14118
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1397 reopens the consolidation band and negates the breakout read
Sustained move above 1.14118 extends the intraday higher-high chain
UoM inflation expectations + Fed speakers at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR broke above the 1.1375–1.1382 band that capped most of the window and pushed to a session high at 1.14118 through the London hours, with the USD easing despite firm PCE. Price now holds ~1.1405 after a shallow pullback retested 1.1395; RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1382, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1382 invalidates the breakout read
Failure to clear 1.14118 caps the session and keeps price in the upper band
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed EUR off the 1.1360-1.1380 band and tagged a session high at 1.14118 as the dollar eased post-PCE. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but holding with the trend; price holding above the 1.1400 round number with rising lows off 1.13740.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1400 round number turns the read back to range
Break above 1.14118 session high opens the path to the 1.14200 psych level
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session pushed EUR/USD through the 1.1400 round number to a session high at 1.14118, a relief bounce off the 13-month low region as the post-PCE dollar eased. RSI(14) around 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; price holding above the broken 1.1400 level.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13952, 1.13744
Resistance: 1.14118
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the move back toward the 1.1375 rally base
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout above 1.1400.
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.1400 psych level and tagging a session high at 1.14073 — a relief bounce off the week's 13-month lows as the post-PCE dollar bid eased. Price is holding above 1.1400 with RSI(14) in the mid-60s, short-term hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13952, 1.13744
Resistance: 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14000 reopens the 1.13950 swing low
US Michigan sentiment + 1yr inflation expectations (14:00 UTC, ~4h) could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 70 · price 1.14051
Higher highs, broke above 1.1400.
London session drove EUR/USD up from 1.1374 to a session high at 1.14073 — a relief bounce toward the 1.1400 cap noted after in-line US PCE. RSI(14) near 70 and price holding just above the 1.1400 breakout.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1395, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.14073
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14000 negates the breakout and reopens 1.13950
Close above 1.14073 extends the session high
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD broke higher through the London session, clearing the 1.1400 round number and printing a session high at 1.14073 as the dollar eased off its post-PCE firmness. RSI(14) near 70 after the leg up from 1.1371; 1.1400 now the pivot on any pullback.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1395, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 puts the breakout at risk toward the 1.13950 swing low
Failure to clear 1.14073 keeps price capped at the session high
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could lift the dollar and cap the move
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.14035
Higher highs into session high.
EUR/USD pushed up through the 1.1400 psych cap during London hours, extending off the 1.13744 base with RSI(14) hot near 72. The 1.14073 session high capped the move — this relief bounce aligns with the 1.1400 area flagged as the upside cap on EUR rallies.
Support: 1.13952, 1.13744, 1.1368
Resistance: 1.14073, 1.1400
What it said to watch
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.13952 questions the breakout structure
EUR/USD broke the 1.1370-1.1382 consolidation that held through the European session, pushing to 1.14073 as the dollar eased after in-line US PCE. Price now hovering at 1.1398 around the 1.1400 round number, RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not stretched.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1382 negates the breakout
UoM Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD broke above the 1.1385 cap during the London session, printing a session high at 1.14073 before easing back to 1.1398 with RSI(14) cooling from hot territory near 72. Price is holding just under the 1.1400 round number after a clean intraday leg off 1.13740.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1374, 1.13628
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14073
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1385 on a retest negates the breakout
Close above 1.14073 opens the path higher
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 71 · price 1.13996
Higher highs after breakout.
London session pushed through the 1.1385 cap and printed a session high at 1.1407, RSI(14) hot near 71 as price now consolidates just under 1.1400. The leg came despite EUR's broader pressure near 13-month lows; 1.1385 has flipped to the level that defines the breakout.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1375, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1385 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.1375 swing low
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, break above prior cap.
London session drove EUR/USD up through the 1.1385 cap, tagging a session high at 1.14073 and now hovering at the 1.1400 round number, with RSI(14) hot near 71. The 1.1385 break level is the immediate retest reference after the leg up off the 1.13539 swing low.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13746, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14073
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1385 turns the broken cap into rejection
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.14073 opens room beyond the session high
EUR/USD broke through the 1.1385 cap and the 1.1400 round number in the last two hours of the London session, printing a fresh session high at 1.14068 with RSI(14) hot near 74. The move reclaims ground after days pinned near 13-month lows; prior cap at 1.1385 now sits below as the first reference.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.14068
What it said to watch
Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Slip back below 1.1400 reverts price into the prior 1.1385 range
Hold above 1.1385 keeps the breakout structure intact
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, breakout fresh · RSI 76 · price 1.14067
Range break, higher highs.
London session broke the pair out of the 1.1360-1.1385 band, reclaiming the 1.1385 cap and surging to a session high of 1.14068, RSI(14) running hot near 76. The move follows a four-day slide that left EUR oversold; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.1374 before the impulse higher.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.14068
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1385 negates the breakout and signals a false break
Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Holding above 1.1400 keeps the higher-high structure intact
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse · RSI 73 · price 1.13962
Higher highs, breakout above prior cap.
EUR/USD pushed through the 1.1385 cap during the London session, spiking to 1.14019 with RSI(14) running hot near 73. The pair pulled back to 1.13962 on the close; the broken 1.1385 cap is the immediate area to watch on any retest.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13729, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14019, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1385 keeps the breakout structure intact; a close back below reverts to the prior range
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD broke clear of the 1.1330-1.1385 consolidation during London, spiking to 1.14019 with RSI(14) running hot near 71. The prior 1.1385 ceiling is the immediate flip level; price is stretched after a five-bar push off 1.13539.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13727, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.14019, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1385 negates the breakout and returns price into the consolidation
US UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, accelerating into London · RSI 73 · price 1.13988
Higher highs off the 1.1333 low, breaking session highs.
EURUSD surged through the 1.1380-1.1388 consolidation in the last hour and is testing the 1.1400 psych level, RSI(14) running hot near 73. The leg builds on the USD softening after in-line core PCE, with EUR clawing off its 13-month low; price now sits at the top of the 24h range.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1366, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.13884
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.14000 extends the recovery; rejection there caps the move
Loss of 1.13770 swing low would stall the higher-high sequence
ECB Nagel (08:30 GMT) and US Michigan inflation expectations (14:00 GMT) could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Short-term uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 1.13988
Breakout above the 1.1330-1.1385 consolidation.
London session broke the multi-hour 1.1330-1.1385 consolidation, with a fast push to 1.13988 that has RSI(14) hot near 73 — a short-covering bounce off the 13-month low. The 1.1385 range top now acts as support; 1.1400 round number is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1375, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1385 range top would put price back inside the consolidation
Sustained move through 1.1400 round number extends the bounce
US Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, pushing range top · RSI 67 · price 1.13857
Higher highs into consolidation ceiling.
London session drove EUR up to break the prior session high at 1.13884, the top of the broader 1.1330-1.1385 consolidation, with RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched. The move steadied off the 1.13539 base and held a chain of higher lows; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.13740.
Support: 1.1374
Resistance: 1.13884, 1.1390
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.13884 opens the 1.13900 round level
Failure to hold 1.13740 confirms a lower high back into the range
ECB Nagel (08:30 GMT) and US Michigan sentiment (14:00 GMT) could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.13859
Higher lows, breaking session range top.
EUR bounced off the 1.1333 session low and ground higher through London hours as the USD eased post-PCE, with the latest bar spiking through the 1.1382 range top to a fresh session high at 1.13884. RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not stretched; ATR holds tight at ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13539, 1.13333
Resistance: 1.13884, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13884 opens the path toward the 1.1400 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.1375 unwinds the breakout back into the prior range
ECB's Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.13857
Higher lows, pressing session high.
London session lifted EURUSD back to the session high near 1.1388, extending the rebound off the 13-month lows as USD eased post-PCE. Price cleared the 1.1372-1.1378 consolidation on the latest leg, RSI(14) firm near 65 without stretching into overbought. Higher lows from 1.13334 keep the intraday bias constructive.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13539, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.13884, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13884 opens the path toward 1.1400
Loss of 1.13700 breaks the higher-low chain
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
London session grinding up from the 1.1360 swing low toward the prior NY high band at 1.1382/1.13877, with EUR bouncing off 13-month lows as USD eased post-PCE. RSI(14) near 58, rising lows intact since the 1.1354 base.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 opens the path to the 1.13877 window high
Failure to hold 1.1360 reopens the 1.1354 range low
ECB Nagel speech (08:30 UTC) could shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum picking up · RSI 66 · price 1.13859
Higher lows since London, breaking above the 1.1380 consolidation.
EUR rebounded off the 1.1333 session low and has ground higher through London, with the last bar pushing above the 1.1380 consolidation to a fresh session high at 1.1388 as USD eased post-PCE. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme; price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1354, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1376 base would stall the recovery and put the swing low at 1.1354 back in play
Acceptance above 1.1388 opens the path to the 1.1400 cap
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EUR clawed back from the 1.1333 session low to the 1.1388 high after USD eased on in-line PCE, and London is now consolidating in the 1.1360-1.1382 upper band. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows since 1.1354.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1354, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 reopens the 1.1388 session high
Loss of 1.1360 breaks the ascending-low chain
ECB Nagel speech ~08:30 UTC and US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD is consolidating 1.1360–1.1388 after the NY-session pop to 1.1388 on the in-line US PCE print yesterday; price has ground back up through London to 1.1377. RSI(14) neutral near 57, both EMAs below price — range top at 1.1382/1.1388 is the immediate area to watch.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13876 opens room above the session high
Loss of 1.13600 reopens the lower range toward 1.13530
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Rangebound near session highs · RSI 56 · price 1.13767
Consolidation in upper half of 1.1373-1.1388 band.
After bouncing off the 1.1333 low, EUR/USD rallied to 1.1388 and has consolidated 1.1373-1.1388 through Asia into London. Price sits mid-band at 1.1377 with RSI(14) neutral near 56; the move reads as oversold correction per the broader context, not a trend turn.
Support: 1.1371, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13880 extends the corrective leg higher
Loss of 1.13710 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.13640
US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.13743
Intraday range with higher lows since 1.1354.
EURUSD consolidating between 1.1354 and 1.1388 through the Asia session into London open, holding above EMA20 as buyers stepped in twice near 1.1354. Recovery has carried back toward the 1.1382 session high with RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path back toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1354 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1330
US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD spiked off the 1.1333 low during NY hours yesterday to a session high of 1.13877, an oversold squeeze as the USD eased after in-line US PCE. Price has since coiled in the 1.1360–1.1382 band overnight and into the London open, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.1360, 1.13539, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13820 reopens the 1.13877 session high
Loss of 1.13600 swing low exposes 1.13539 session low
EZ HICP Mon could shift this consolidation read
07:01 UTC
Mild uptrend within range, near band top · RSI 56 · price 1.13767
Consolidation in upper half of intraday range.
London session has EURUSD consolidating 1.1354–1.1382 in the upper half of the intraday range, having recovered off the 1.1354 session low as the USD eased back from yearly highs. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; price grinding back toward the 1.1382 session high after the earlier London-open spike to 1.13876.
Support: 1.13727, 1.13606, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13876 opens path toward the 1.1400 area
Failure to hold 1.13606 reopens the 1.1354 session low
UoM inflation expectations ~14:00 UTC could shift this read
Rising lows off 1.1354 base, capped near session high.
London session grinding higher off the 1.1354 base, reclaiming the 1.1372 area as the oversold EUR bounce off 13-month lows continues. Price capped at the 1.1382 session high with RSI mid-50s; still inside the broader 1.1360–1.1382 consolidation.
Support: 1.13727, 1.13599, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 opens path to the 1.1388 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1372 exposes the 1.1360 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off range low, capped near session high.
EUR ground higher off the 1.1355 range low through the Asian session into London, recovering toward 1.1380 as the USD eased after in-line US PCE. RSI mid-60s with price holding above EMA20/50; the 1.13877 session high from the prior NY push still caps.
Support: 1.1366, 1.13553
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 opens the path toward the 1.1400 psych level
Loss of 1.13553 reopens the downside and breaks the higher-low chain
EURUSD recovered from the London dip near 1.13539 and is grinding back toward the session high at 1.13877, part of the broader oversold bounce off 13-month lows as the USD softens post-PCE. Rising lows intact, price holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) constructive near 61.
Support: 1.13727, 1.13575, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.13817, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 opens the path higher toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.13727 reopens 1.13575 session low
UoM Michigan data + Fed speakers at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD reclaimed the 1.13700 base through late Asia and is grinding back toward the 1.13817 session high after the NY pullback off 1.13877. Move is USD-driven, with the dollar easing post-PCE; higher lows since 1.13539 keep the intraday tone constructive but capped under 1.13817.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13599
Resistance: 1.13817, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13817 opens the path to the 1.13877 day high
Failure to hold 1.13700 risks a revisit of the 1.13599 swing low
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) could inject EUR volatility within the hour
Higher lows off 1.13539, grinding toward session high.
Early London grinding higher off the 1.13539 session low, building higher lows back toward the 1.13817 session high; the EUR bid is USD softening after in-line PCE rather than EUR strength. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme, with ATR holding near 5 pips.
Support: 1.13606, 1.13539
Resistance: 1.13817, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13817 opens the path to the 1.13877 window high
Failure to hold 1.13606 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising structure
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) could shift this read intra-session
Higher lows since 1.1354, range top 1.1388 untested.
EUR/USD ground back from the 1.1354 dip toward session highs, a positioning-driven bounce as the USD softened post-PCE. Chain of higher lows intact into the European open, with the 1.1382-1.1388 band capping; RSI(14) firm near 62, ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.1368, 1.13539, 1.1334
Resistance: 1.13817, 1.13876
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13876 opens the upper consolidation toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1368 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 1.13539
EUR/USD bounced off the Asian low at 1.13329 and rallied to a session high of 1.13876 on USD-led profit-taking, then consolidated. Price is grinding back up on a chain of higher lows and now retests the session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1362, 1.13539, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13876, 1.13851
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13876 opens the path toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.13620 breaks the higher-low chain
UoM data and Fed speakers at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off 1.1354, climbing toward session high.
EUR/USD is grinding higher off the 1.1354 swing low, retracing toward the 1.1388 session high after Thursday's USD profit-taking lifted the pair off 13-month lows. RSI(14) mid-range with a micro higher-low chain intact above 1.1370.
Support: 1.1354, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 session high opens the path toward 1.1400 psych level
Loss of 1.1354 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off 1.1354, grinding toward prior high.
NY session rallied to 1.13877 yesterday on USD profit-taking off the 13-month low, then drifted back through a quiet Asian range. Early London is grinding higher again on a chain of higher lows, now retesting the 1.1380 swing area below the prior high.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1380
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 opens path back toward the upper range
Loss of 1.13539 negates the recovery and reopens 1.1333
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30) could shift this read
Higher lows off intraday base, testing session highs.
EUR has ground back up off the 1.13329 session low to retest the 1.1380 intraday top, USD-led profit-taking lifting the pair after Thursday's in-line PCE. RSI(14) near 63, room before stretched; price holding above EMA20/50 with a clean higher-low chain into the Asia-London handover.
Support: 1.1368, 1.13539, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 reopens the path toward 1.1400 recovery zone
Loss of 1.13539 breaks the higher-low chain and reasserts the downside
ECB's Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US Michigan data (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EUR/USD is grinding back toward the session high at 1.13877 in late Asia, extending a chain of higher lows off 1.1354 as the dollar eased off YTD highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI near 61 — momentum present but not stretched, and the 1.13877 cap is still untested on this leg.
Support: 1.1354, 1.1344
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 opens the path toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1354 breaks the rising-lows structure
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could shift this read
Rebound off range low, grinding into session high.
EUR/USD recovered off the range low at 1.1333 in a sharp move to the 1.1388 session high, based around 1.1355, and is grinding back up to 1.1377 into the London open — USD-led profit-taking after in-line PCE. RSI mid-60s with ATR near 40 pips; the 1.1388 session high is the level to watch for break or rejection.
Support: 1.1368, 1.13539, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1355 confirms a lower-low and re-exposes 1.1333
ECB Nagel speech (08:30 UTC) could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.13768
Higher lows off Asian-range base, nearing session high.
EUR/USD recovered from the session low at 1.1333 and is grinding back toward the 1.1388 session high, holding a chain of higher lows through the Asian session as the USD eased post-PCE. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 63; the 1.1380/1.1388 band is the area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.1371, 1.1360, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path back toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1360 reopens the 1.1333 session low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Short-term up, recovering · RSI 64 · price 1.1377
Recovery off 1.1333 low, grinding toward range top.
Asia session grinding higher toward the 1.1385 range top after recovering off the 1.1333 intraday low, with EUR lifted as USD eased despite firm US PCE. RSI(14) near 64, room before stretched; price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1385 opens the path to 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1353 reopens 1.1333 intraday low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off session base, nearing session high.
EURUSD ground back up from the 1.1354 session base toward the 1.1387 session high through the Asian session into London open, RSI(14) firm near 62. Price is part of a broader bounce off the 13-month low at 1.1324 as the dollar eased post-PCE; micro-structure is a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1354, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1387 opens the path to 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1360 breaks the higher-low chain
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US UoM data (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
05:01 UTC
Range, drifting up off Asia low · RSI 58 · price 1.13722
Consolidation under NY session high after rally.
EUR/USD rallied to a 1.13876 session high during NY hours after the USD eased on in-line US PCE, then settled into a 1.13539–1.13745 range. Asia session drifted higher into early London, now pressing the 1.13745 recent high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13369
Resistance: 1.13745, 1.13876
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13745 reopens the 1.13876 session high
Failure to hold 1.13539 swing low confirms a lower low
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) and UoM data (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Consolidation under recent highs after NY rally faded.
EURUSD faded from the 1.13877 prior-session high and has spent Asia hours consolidating in a 1.1356–1.1375 band, with buyers stepping back in from the 1.1354 session low. Price is grinding back toward the 1.13745 recent high; RSI(14) mid-range near 57, ATR thin at ~7 pips reflecting the muted Asian range.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13369
Resistance: 1.13745, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13745 opens the path back to 1.13877
Failure to hold 1.13560 reopens the 1.13369 day low
ECB Nagel and US UoM/inflation expectations later today could shift this read
EUR rallied to 1.13877 during NY hours as the dollar eased after in-line US PCE, then drifted back to retest 1.13539 before buyers stepped in through the Asia session. Price now grinding higher toward 1.1380, still capped below the 1.1385 range top flagged in the broader picture; RSI(14) recovering from neutral, ATR thin at ~4.6 pips.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13425
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13800 reopens the 1.13877 range top
Loss of 1.13539 confirms a lower low and reverses the micro recovery
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US UoM data (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Rally faded into range, drifting up off 61.8% retrace.
NY session pushed EUR/USD to 1.13877 before fading back, with the pullback finding demand near 1.13539 — the 61.8% retrace of that rally. Asian-hours grind has lifted price back toward the 1.1375 cap on thin volume; RSI(14) around 57, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.13539, 1.1350, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13745, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13745 opens the path back toward 1.13877
Failure to hold 1.13539 confirms a lower low toward 1.1350/1.1333
ECB speakers and US Michigan sentiment later today could shift this read
EUR ground back to 1.1371 after basing twice around the session low at 1.1354, a corrective bounce after in-line US PCE eased the dollar. Price is now testing the 1.1370 cap that has capped this rebound, with RSI(14) mid-range near 56 and the move stalling below 1.1379 supply and the 1.1388 session high.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13455
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1379 opens the path to session high 1.1388
Failure to hold 1.1354 confirms a lower low
ECB's Nagel (08:30 UTC) could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.13704
Drift lower from NY high, basing in Asia.
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.13877 as the dollar faded on profit-taking after firm US data, then drifted lower into a 1.1354–1.1377 range. Asia held above 1.13539 and price is grinding back toward the 1.1377 cap, RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13413, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1377, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13770 opens the path back toward the 1.13877 session high
Loss of 1.13539 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.13413
ECB speaker Nagel (08:30 UTC) a near-term EUR catalyst
Asian session ranging roughly 1.1354–1.1372 after the NY pullback off the 1.1388 session high; ATR compressed to ~5 pips on thin Asian volume. EUR sits mid-range near 1.1371, with the recovery only corrective as the broader USD reprice keeps the pair capped sub-1.1380.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13800 needed to re-test the 1.13877 session high
Failure to hold 1.13539 reopens the 1.13329 London low
US Michigan sentiment + Fedspeak (Williams/Kashkari) later today could shift this read
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1333 session low with a sharp London leg to 1.1388, then drifted into a 1.1355–1.1377 range. Last few bars are climbing back toward the range top at 1.1377 on a chain of intraday higher lows; RSI(14) mid-range near 55 as the corrective bounce off 13-month lows holds.
Support: 1.1353, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.1377, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1377 reopens the 1.1388 session high
Loss of the 1.1353 swing low exposes the 1.1333 session low
ECB speakers later today could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Corrective drift after NY rally · RSI 50 · price 1.13669
Ranging below session high, mid-retracement.
NY session yesterday rallied to a 1.13877 session high after firm US data faded the dollar, then drifted lower into Asia. Price now sits near the 50% retracement of that swing around 1.1366, holding 1.13539 on the last dip with RSI neutral; 1.13720 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13720 reopens the path to 1.13877 session high
Failure to hold 1.13539 confirms a lower-low toward 1.13443
ECB speakers (Nagel) and US Michigan sentiment later could shift this read
The rally off the 1.1333 prior low into the 1.1388 swing high has stalled, with price now drifting back into the mid-1.1360s, below both EMAs and capped under the 1.1370 area after in-line US PCE eased the dollar. RSI(14) neutral near 47, and the recent session has printed lower highs into the 1.1377 region. Asian-hours flow is thin and ranging, no clear directional setup.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13485, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.1377, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13687 recent high reopens the 1.13877 swing high
Loss of 1.13539 session low exposes 1.13485 swing low then 1.13334 prior low
ECB's Nagel (08:30 UTC) a potential EUR catalyst into London
NY session spiked off the 1.13329 low to a 1.13877 high after firm but ineffective US data, then faded as the dollar pared gains. Asia hours have consolidated in a 1.13539–1.13687 band; price sits at the top of that range, capped near the 1.1370 area flagged in the broader read.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13413, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.1377, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13687 then 1.1377 opens room toward the 1.13877 ny high
Failure to hold 1.13539 reopens the asia low and the 1.13329 ny low
ECB speakers and US Michigan sentiment later today could shift this read
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1388 session high back toward 1.1363 after bouncing off 13-month lows on an in-line US PCE and easing USD. Price now coils in a 1.1354–1.1369 range during early Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-40s with momentum tilted lower; the 1.1354 swing low has held repeatedly.
Support: 1.1354, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1369, 1.1380, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1354 opens the path to the 1.1333 session low
Reclaim of 1.1380 swing high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
EURUSD spiked to a 1.1388 session high during NY hours as the dollar eased post in-line US PCE, then faded back to ~1.1363 carving lower highs. Pair now sits mid-range between 1.1354 session low and the 1.1388 high, RSI(14) near 44 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13443, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1354 confirms a lower low toward 1.1344
Reclaim of 1.1369 breaks the lower-high sequence
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) and Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EUR/USD faded off the 1.1388 session high through the NY-Asia handover, printing lower highs as the USD bounce capped the corrective rally off the 1.1333 low. Price now consolidating 1.1354–1.1369 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; demand stepped in twice around 1.1354.
Support: 1.1354, 1.1339
Resistance: 1.1369, 1.1388
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1369 breaks the descending lower-highs line
Failure to hold 1.1354 confirms a lower low toward 1.1339
ECB Nagel speech (08:30 UTC) could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.1359
Retracing the NY rally, lower highs forming.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1333 range low to a session high at 1.1388 during NY, then faded back to ~1.1359, holding the 50% retrace of that move as the USD eased after in-line US PCE. RSI(14) near 45, price under EMA20/50; last bars consolidating in the 1.1353-1.1368 band.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1333, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1353 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1333
Reclaim of 1.1368 reopens the 1.1388 session high
ECB Nagel speech (08:30 UTC) could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, grinding off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1359
Lower highs since 1.1388, fading toward session low.
EURUSD topped at the 1.1388 session high after the in-line US PCE eased the dollar, then bled lower through the day on lower highs and now drifts at 1.1359 in thin Asian-session trade. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42, the recent 1.1354 low the immediate floor.
Support: 1.1354, 1.1333, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1354 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1333
EURUSD faded from the 1.1388 session high into the Asia session, now grinding lower around 1.1359 with thin volume and RSI(14) near 40. Lower highs are stacking under 1.1369; the 1.1354 session low is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13443, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.13788, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13539 confirms continuation toward 1.13443
Reclaim of 1.13687 breaks the lower-high sequence
ECB's Nagel speech (08:30 UTC) could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, fading from rally high · RSI 41 · price 1.13586
Lower highs after 1.1387 peak, holding session low.
After the London-NY rally peaked at the 1.1387 session high, price faded through Asia, retracing 61.8% of the move back to the 1.1354 session low before a shallow bounce. USD eased on profit-taking despite hot US PCE per the digest, but the 1.1370 cap and a chain of lower highs keep the near-term tilt soft. RSI(14) near 41, no extreme.
Support: 1.1354, 1.1350, 1.1337
Resistance: 1.1366, 1.1370, 1.1387
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1354 session low opens the 1.1350 round number then 1.1337 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.1370 cap needed to re-challenge the 1.1387 session high
ECB speakers and weekend headlines could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Drifting lower off NY high · RSI 42 · price 1.13554
Lower highs into Asian session.
EURUSD topped at 1.13876 during NY hours and has bled lower through a thin Asian session, now probing the session low near 1.1354 with RSI(14) around 41. The bounce off 13-month lows is stalling — price sits at the 61.8% retrace of the 1.13369-1.13876 leg, capped by lower highs into 1.1368.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13369
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13539 confirms the lower-low and opens 1.1337
Reclaim of 1.13687 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB speakers (Nagel) and US Michigan sentiment later could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.13554
Lower highs into Asian session.
EUR squeezed to 1.13876 during NY hours as the dollar eased on an in-line US PCE print, then rolled over and is grinding lower through the Asian session, now at 1.13554 below EMA20/EMA50. Lower highs since the rejection at 1.13876, with the 1.13539 session low under pressure.
Support: 1.13539, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13668, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13539 opens 1.13443 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13668 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) later today could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Pulling back from NY high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.13569
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
EURUSD rallied to a NY session high of 1.1388 after PCE landed broadly in line, then faded through late NY and the Asia session to consolidate around 1.1357. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; the session low at 1.1356 is being tested into early Asia.
Support: 1.13562, 1.1349, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.1377, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1356 confirms continuation toward 1.1349
Reclaim of 1.1369 swing high reopens the 1.1377 cap
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) and German HICP next week could shift the read
02:16 UTC
Corrective pullback after NY rally · RSI 41 · price 1.13569
Drifting off session high, lower highs.
EURUSD spiked into the NY session high at 1.1388 after the in-line US PCE eased the dollar, then drifted lower through Asia and now sits at 1.1357. Price is back below EMA20/50 with RSI in the low 40s; the 1.1356 swing low is the immediate area to watch for a hold or break.
Support: 1.1356, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1356 swing low opens the 1.1333 session low
Reclaim of the 1.1368 pivot needed to challenge the 1.1388 session high
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) and UoM sentiment could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Short-term pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.13596
Lower highs since NY high, drifting toward range low.
NY session pushed to 1.13876 before fading on the in-line US PCE-led dollar ease, and Asia has bled lower into a chain of lower highs. Last bar swept 1.13575 and closed 1.13596, holding just above the session low with RSI in the low 40s and price under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13575, 1.1353, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13575 opens 1.13530 then 1.13329
Reclaim of 1.13687 needed to challenge the 1.13876 session high
Lower highs since 1.1388 peak, retracing the NY rally.
EUR/USD stalled at the 1.1388 NY session high and has drifted lower through thin Asian-session liquidity, now around 1.1360 near the 50% retrace of the 1.1333-1.1388 rally. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs; the move fits the broadly firm-USD tone after in-line core PCE, with the rebound off 13-month lows staying corrective.
Support: 1.13562, 1.13413, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13562 opens the path to 1.13413
Reclaim of 1.13687 negates the lower-high sequence
Thin Asian liquidity exaggerating moves until London open
02:01 UTC
Pulling back after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 1.13591
Ranging below 1.13877 session high.
EURUSD rallied to a 1.13877 session high during NY hours after in-line US core PCE eased the dollar, then faded steadily into Asia. Price is now ranging 1.13575–1.13740, with the last bar rejecting from 1.13687 back to the session low at 1.13575; RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.13575, 1.13525, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.1374, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13575 opens 1.13525 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13740 supply re-tests the 1.13877 session high
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) later today could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.13591
Lower highs since NY peak, grinding toward session low.
NY pushed to a session high at 1.13877 then faded, and price has ground lower through Asia, slipping below the 1.13687 ema20 toward the 1.13575 session low. RSI(14) near 41 as the bounce off 13-month lows stalls; USD held firm after in-line core PCE.
Support: 1.13575, 1.13491, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.1377, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13687 ema20 reopens the 1.13770/1.13877 highs
Break of 1.13491 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.13334 rally base
ECB speakers and German HICP next week as EUR drivers
01:46 UTC
Drifting lower after NY rally faded · RSI 43 · price 1.13649
Lower highs from session peak, consolidating.
EURUSD spiked to a 1.1388 session high during NY hours as the in-line US core PCE eased the Dollar, but the move faded and price has ground lower through the quiet Asia session. Now coiling 1.1360–1.1368 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips; the 1.1369 cap has been respected on each push.
Support: 1.13599, 1.13541, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13687, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1369 reopens the 1.1388 session high
Failure to hold 1.1360 exposes 1.1354 swing low
ECB speakers and Michigan sentiment later today could shift the read
01:31 UTC
Ranging after rally faded · RSI 48 · price 1.13649
Consolidation under 1.1370 cap.
EUR/USD rallied to a session high of 1.1388 during NY hours after in-line US core PCE eased the Dollar, then faded back into the 1.1360-1.1370 band. Asia session is now grinding sideways below the 1.1370 cap, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR cooling.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1353, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1370 reopens 1.1388 session high
Loss of 1.1360 floor exposes 1.1353 swing low
ECB speakers later today could shift the consolidation
01:31 UTC
Rangebound, off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.13669
Consolidating below 1.1380 after NY rally faded.
NY session drove EURUSD to a 1.1388 session high after the in-line US core PCE eased the Dollar, then price faded back into a 1.1360-1.1380 range through the Asian hours. Current 1.1367 sits right on the 38.2% retrace of the NY rally, grinding up off the 1.1360 swing low on thin Asian liquidity.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1352
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1379 reopens the 1.1388 session high
Failure to hold 1.1360 exposes 1.1352 range low
Liquidity thin in Asian hours — moves prone to fade
01:16 UTC
Consolidating below US-session high · RSI 49 · price 1.13669
Lower highs since 1.1388 peak, holding 1.1360.
EURUSD rallied through the US session to 1.1388 after in-line core PCE eased the dollar, then faded into a string of lower highs and is now consolidating 1.1360-1.1370. Price sits on the 38.2% retrace of the 1.1333-1.1388 leg with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.1370 cap has held the last several attempts.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1341
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1379, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1370 cap reopens 1.13790 and the 1.13876 session high
Loss of 1.1360 session low exposes the 1.13410 swing low
ECB speakers and UoM inflation expectations later today could shift this read
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1333 swing low into the NY session, tagging 1.1388 before fading on the broadly in-line US PCE. Quiet Asia session now, consolidating around 1.1366 below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; lower highs since the 1.1388 rejection.
Support: 1.1360, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13795, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13795 reopens the 1.13877 session high
Loss of 1.13600 exposes the 1.13329 swing low
ECB speakers and UoM inflation expectations later could shift the read
01:01 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13661
Consolidating below session high, lower highs.
EURUSD rallied through the NY session to a high of 1.13877 after an in-line US core PCE eased the dollar, then drifted back to 1.1366 in thin Asia-session trade. Price now hugs the EMAs with RSI near 46; range has compressed to ~4 pip bars.
Support: 1.13599, 1.1354, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1379, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13599 swing low confirms a lower-low and opens 1.13540
M15 close above 1.13730 reopens the 1.13790 swing high
ECB speakers and US Michigan inflation expectations later could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Pullback after rally, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 1.13648
Lower highs since session peak, drifting into Asia.
EURUSD topped at the session high of 1.13877 during NY hours after the in-line US core PCE eased the dollar, then faded steadily through late session into a quiet Asia. Price now drifting lower at 1.13648, sub-EMA20/50 with RSI cooling toward 42; 1.1370 caps the bounce while 1.13599 is the nearest floor.
Support: 1.13599, 1.13413
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13599 opens 1.13413
Reclaim of 1.1370 cap needed to challenge 1.13877
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) and US UoM inflation expectations later today could shift this read
Lower highs since 1.1388 peak, fading toward support.
EUR rallied off the session low near 1.1333 to a 1.1388 high during NY hours after in-line US PCE eased the dollar, then faded back to 1.1365. Price now drifts under the 1.1370 cap toward 1.1360 support in thin Asia-hours trade, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1353, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1360 opens 1.1353 then 1.1333
Reclaim of 1.1370 cap needed to retest the 1.1388 session high
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujcic) later today could shift this read
00:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.1364
Ranging below 1.1370 after fade from session high.
EUR rallied through NY to a session high at 1.1387 after the in-line US core PCE eased the dollar, then faded back into a thin Asia session now trading around 1.1364. Price is grinding under the 1.1370 cap with RSI(14) mid-range; lower highs since the peak, no clean break either way.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1333, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1387
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1370 reopens 1.1387 session high
Loss of 1.1360 exposes 1.1333 swing low then the 1.1325 13-mo low
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) and UoM inflation expectations later could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.1364
Rolling over from 1.1388, lower highs into Asia.
NY session spiked to 1.1388 after the in-line US PCE bundle, then sellers faded the move with a chain of lower highs. Asia is grinding quietly toward 1.1360 on thin volume; price sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI in the low 40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1333, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1379, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1360 exposes the 1.1333 intraday low
Reclaim of 1.1379 needed to challenge the 1.1388 session high
ECB speakers later today could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Drifting lower off intraday high · RSI 43 · price 1.13629
Lower highs since 1.1388, thin Asia grind.
EUR bounced off 13-month lows to a session high at 1.1388 during NY before grinding back to 1.1363 on thin Asia liquidity, the move helped by in-line US PCE easing the dollar. Price now sits on the 50% retrace of the 1.1333-1.1388 leg, holding the 1.1360 session low; EMA20/50 capping above.
Support: 1.13599, 1.13538, 1.13413
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.13788, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1360 opens the 61.8 fib at 1.1354 then 1.1341
Reclaim of 1.1373 needed to challenge the 1.1388 session high
UoM inflation expectations later today could shift the USD read
00:16 UTC
Pulling back from intraday high · RSI 41 · price 1.13629
Lower highs since NY top, grinding into recent lows.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1333 session low through NY to top at 1.1388, then carved lower highs and has drifted back to 1.1363 through the Asia session after in-line US PCE eased the dollar. RSI(14) cooling near 41 as price tests the 1.1360 swing low.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1350, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1377, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1360 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1350 then 1.1333
Reclaim of 1.1377 negates the late-session decline
Michigan inflation expectations and ECB speakers (Nagel) could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Short-term pullback off NY high · RSI 43 · price 1.13617
Lower highs since session high, drifting toward recent low.
NY session rallied to 1.1388 after the in-line US PCE bundle, then faded through late NY on a soft German GfK; Asia is drifting lower on thin volume, now 1.13617 sitting on the 50% retrace of that rally. Lower highs into 1.13730, recent low at 1.13599 the line for the down drift.
Support: 1.13599, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1373, 1.13876
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13599 opens the path toward 1.13530 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13730 needed to re-challenge the 1.13876 ny high
ECB Nagel (08:30 UTC) could shift this read
00:01 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.13617
Rally faded, lower highs into Asia.
NY session rallied from 1.1333 to a session high at 1.1388 as the dollar eased after in-line US core PCE, then faded back to 1.1362 — roughly the 50% mark of that leg. Lower highs through the London-NY transition and into Asia, RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak to the low-40s.
Support: 1.1360, 1.13538, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1378, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 invalidates the rejection read
Loss of the 1.1354 fib opens the 1.1333 swing low
ECB speak (Nagel 08:30 UTC) could shift this read
00:01 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.13619
Lower highs into late Asia after NY rejection.
EUR rallied through NY hours to a session high of 1.1388 before rejection set in, and the pair has since drifted to 1.1362 on thin late-Asia volume; the bounce traces back to an in-line US PCE print easing the dollar off recent tops. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of the 1.1333-1.1388 leg with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.13606, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1374, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1360 opens 1.1354 prior low
Reclaim of 1.1374 swing pivot needed to retest 1.1388 session high
ECB's Nagel (08:30 UTC) and US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read