EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 27 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling into flat range · RSI 46 · price 1.13695
London/NY sell-off, Asia consolidating at lows.
EUR bled from 1.1403 down to a 1.13665 session low through the London-NY hours as DXY firmed. Asia has since gone flat and thin, coiling in a 1.1366-1.1372 band with no directional intent. Wednesday's FOMC is the dominant upcoming risk.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13736, 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13665 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13736 recent high needed to end the flat range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read entirely
23:46 UTC
Downtrend flattening into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.13695
Lower highs into a tight Asian range.
EUR/USD ground down from the 1.14177 European high to 1.13664 through the NY session as DXY rebounded, then flattened into a 1.1367-1.1372 range through the thin Asian session. RSI(14) is neutral near 44 and volume has collapsed — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.13664, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13836 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13664 session low confirms continuation lower
FOMC this week (rates seen held) could materially shift this read
EURUSD faded through the London-NY sessions from the 1.1418 high to a 1.1367 low as DXY rebounded, and Asia is now consolidating tightly around 1.1370 on thin volume. Descending highs remain intact; no setup in play while price coils below the 1.1382 swing.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1382 needed to break the descending structure
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
23:31 UTC
Downtrend faded to flat · RSI 46 · price 1.1370
Consolidating near session low.
EUR faded from the 1.14177 day high through the London-NY session to a 1.1367 low, and is now grinding sideways in a thin Asian session between 1.1367 and 1.1382. Volume has collapsed into the current bars; no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 reopens the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.1367 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1350
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this range
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13696
Sold off then consolidating at lows.
London/NY sold EUR/USD from 1.1418 down to 1.1366 as DXY rebounded into FOMC; price now grinds in a tight 1.1366–1.1372 band on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum either way.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13725, 1.1376, 1.1382
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13665 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13760 negates the consolidation-at-lows read
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst ahead
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13696
Faded from 1.1414, consolidating at lows.
EUR faded from the 1.1414 session high through London and NY, grinding down to 1.1367 and now hugging 1.1369 in a thin, low-volume Asian session. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme; price pinned just under EMA20 in tight consolidation.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the descending resistance and shifts the read
Loss of 1.1367 swing low confirms downtrend continuation
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and can override intraday structure
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13691
Lower highs into tight range at session low.
EUR faded steadily through NY, printing lower highs from 1.1418 down to the session low at 1.1365, and has since gone flat, ranging 1.1367-1.1372 into early Asia on thin volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 43 and ATR has compressed to a few pips — no momentum in play ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.1365
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.1365 session low extends the downtrend
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13691
Consolidation just above session low after grind-down.
EURUSD ground down from 1.1418 through the US session and is now coiling in a tight 1.1366-1.1372 band in quiet late-NY/Asia hours, ATR compressed near 3 pips. Price sits on the 1.1370 round number with the 1.13664 session low absorbing dips; the hawkish-ECB vs firm-USD-into-FOMC tug leaves this stretch directionless.
Support: 1.13664, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13664 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.13760 would break the current consolidation to the upside
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this micro-range
EUR/USD faded steadily from the 1.14177 NY high back to the session low near 1.13664 as the USD firmed into FOMC. Late Asia hours have compressed into a tight 1.1367-1.1372 range on thin volume, ATR barely 4 pips, price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13664, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13664 confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close above 1.13820 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst — can override this range
EURUSD faded steadily from the 1.1418 session high to session lows near 1.1366 as DXY rebounded, and is now flat in thin post-NY liquidity around 1.1369. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no divergence; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13664, 1.13687
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1366 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1382 swing high needed to break the intraday downtrend
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
EURUSD faded through the NY session from 1.1418 to a session low at 1.13665 as DXY rebounded, and is now basing in a tight 1.1367-1.1372 band on thin late-session volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 44 — no impulse either way into the roll.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13760 swing high breaks the basing range
Failure to hold 1.13665 session low opens toward the 1.13600 round number
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this intraday read
EURUSD faded from the 1.1418 session high through London-NY to session lows near 1.1367, tracking a firmer USD as DXY rebounded. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1367–1.1372 band on thin late-session volume with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13760 breaks the descending swing-high structure
EURUSD sold from the 1.1414 area toward the 1.13665 session low through the NY session as DXY rebounded; price now grinds in a tight 1.13665–1.13720 band in thin late-day trade, RSI mid-40s. Sellers capped every bounce at descending resistance while demand held the session low three times.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13665 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 1.13760 breaks the descending highs and opens 1.13836
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could override this range
EUR faded from the 1.1418 high through the London-NY hours down to a session low at 1.1366, printing a clean chain of lower highs. Thin Asian trade now has price coiling around 1.1370 below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI mid-40s with no divergence.
Support: 1.13664, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1366 confirms a fresh session low
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst that could reset this read
EUR/USD spent the NY session grinding lower off the 1.1418 high, printing a chain of lower highs down to the 1.13664 session low and closing at 1.13682, below both EMAs. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1366–1.1372 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) flat in the low-40s.
Support: 1.13664, 1.13684
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13760 breaks the lower-high chain and challenges the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.13664 confirms continuation to fresh session lows
FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term USD catalyst and could override this intraday structure
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1414 to 1.1366 as DXY rebounded, and is now flat-lining around 1.1368 in thin late-session liquidity. Lower-high sequence intact; RSI(14) mid-range with no divergence.
Support: 1.13665, 1.13684
Resistance: 1.13725, 1.1382, 1.1394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1366 swing low opens the path toward the low 1.1360s
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, grinding to lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13676
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EURUSD drifted lower through the day, printing a chain of lower highs from 1.1418 down to a session low at 1.13664 as the USD firmed into FOMC. Price is now crawling along that low in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) soft near 41 and holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13664, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.14138
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13664 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC (Wed) is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13676
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD ground steadily lower through the NY session off the 1.1418 high, printing a clean lower-high chain and pressing fresh session lows at 1.1366. Price stalled there into the low-liquidity late-session bars with RSI(14) around 40 — capped by the 1.1382 lower high, no relief bounce yet.
Support: 1.13664, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13760 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13664 confirms continuation lower
FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term USD driver
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, flattening near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13673
Lower highs into consolidation at session lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1418 to the 1.1367 area, printing a chain of lower highs. Price has since gone flat on thin volume into the Asia open, coiling just above the session low with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1367 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the three-week low
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could reset this range
Lower highs into three-week low, now consolidating.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1414 to a three-week low near 1.1367 as the DXY firmed, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1367-1.1372 band into thin late hours. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; volume has collapsed as the session winds down.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1382 swing high would break the descending sequence
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could reset this read
Lower highs into 1.1370 three-week low, now consolidating.
EURUSD sold off through NY hours from the 1.1418 cap, printing a run of lower highs into the 1.1369-1.1370 three-week low where price is now pinned on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) hovers near 43 with no divergence, and buyers have twice defended 1.1366 without reclaiming ground.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13665 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13820 needed to break the descending resistance
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from 1.14138 to a 1.13665 three-week low, then flattened into thin late-session volume around 1.1370. Price holds below EMA20/50 but momentum has cooled; the 1.13665 low is being tested rather than broken.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382, 1.14138
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13665 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13760 needed to challenge the downtrend line
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could break the range
Lower highs / lower lows, consolidating at range base.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session in a clean lower-high chain from 1.14177, now pressing the 1.13665 three-week low into the NY-Asia transition. Momentum has flattened — RSI(14) mid-40s, small-bodied bars — as price coils just above the range base ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.13665, 1.13681
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13665 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13760 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could reprice this range
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13673
Lower highs, lower lows into 3wk low.
M15 in a steady downtrend, carving lower highs off the 1.14177 session high and now pressing the 1.1367 three-week low in thin late-NY liquidity. RSI(14) mid-40s, not yet oversold; DXY firmness ahead of FOMC is capping any EUR bounce.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1365 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1382 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
FOMC this week is the dominant catalyst for the pair
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into thin close · RSI 39 · price 1.13668
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh three-week low.
NY session ground steadily lower through the window, printing a fresh three-week low at 1.1366 into a thin, low-volume close. Rejection at 1.1382 kept the lower-high chain intact; RSI(14) sits mid-30s with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1382
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1382 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1366 confirms continuation into the 1.1369-1.1370 three-week low zone
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could reset this read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13668
Lower highs, lower lows since mid-window peak.
EURUSD ground down from the 1.14177 London peak in a clean lower-high chain, printing fresh session lows at 1.13665 into the late NY hours. RSI(14) sits sub-40 with price pinned below EMA20/50; the 1.1370 three-week low is the pivot as FOMC risk looms this week.
Support: 1.13665, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Break of 1.13665 confirms continuation toward the sub-1.1370 low zone
Reclaim of 1.13760 would break the lower-high sequence
FOMC this week is the dominant USD driver and can reset this read
Lower highs into three-week low, now consolidating.
EURUSD ground down from the 1.14177 London high to the three-week low near 1.1367, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1367-1.1372 band through the late NY session. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no divergence; the descending sequence of lower highs stays intact.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13836 breaks the descending lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.1367 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could shift this read via USD
EURUSD sold off from Monday's 1.1418 cap through the NY session and is now grinding along the 1.1369-1.1370 three-week low, RSI(14) near 44 with thin late-session volume. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50; a chain of lower highs into 1.1382 keeps structure heavy.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1367
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1370 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC this week is the dominant driver via USD
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13716
Consolidating at three-week low after intraday selloff.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.14177 high to a three-week low near 1.1367, then flattened into a tight 1.1367-1.1373 coil. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips as the pair drifts into the FOMC window.
EUR/USD slid through the NY session from Monday's 1.1418 cap down to the 1.1369-1.1370 three-week low, then went flat as the DXY firmed. Now ticking sideways in a tight 1.1367-1.1382 band, RSI(14) muted mid-40s with no momentum.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1367
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a lower-low and breaks the 3-week low
Reclaim of 1.1382 swing high needed to challenge the 1.1400 pivot
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could break the deadlock
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, flattening into base · RSI 43 · price 1.13699
Consolidation at session lows after decline from 1.1418.
EUR faded through the NY session from 1.1418 down to a base around 1.1368, in line with a mild USD bounce after the risk-on lift stalled. Price is now ranging tight in the 1.1368-1.1372 zone into late NY, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 extends the leg toward the 1.1370 3-week low marker
Reclaim of 1.1382 swing high would break the descending sequence
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD risk and can override this intraday read
EUR slid through the NY session from 1.1418 to base around the 1.1370 3-week low, giving back the risk-on bounce as a mild USD bounce set in. Buyers stepped in near 1.1367 repeatedly into late NY; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1367, 1.13692
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1382 needed to break the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed and Thu EZ GDP/HICP are the dominant risks to this range
NY session leg lower dragged EUR from the 1.1417 high down to a session low at 1.1367, now consolidating in a tight 1.1367-1.1373 band. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1367 while a firmer USD, driven by risk-on de-escalation and FOMC positioning, capped rebounds under the descending highs.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13763, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a lower-low toward the 3-week low
Reclaim of 1.1376 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground EUR/USD down from the 1.1417 range high to a 1.1367 session low as a mild USD bounce trimmed the earlier risk-on bid. Price now consolidating 1.1367–1.1382 with RSI(14) mid-40s; a shallow bounce off the lows into the close.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.1417
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a lower low and extends the leg down
Reclaim of 1.1382 needed to challenge the 1.1400 pivot
FOMC this week is the dominant USD risk that could override this intraday read
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.1371
Lower highs into the 1.1370 3-week low, flattening.
EUR bled lower through the NY session from 1.1418 back to the 1.1370 3-week low, unwinding the earlier risk-on bounce as the USD steadied. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1367–1.1372 band, RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.1410
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 1.1367 3-week low confirms downside continuation
Reclaim of the 1.1400–1.1410 pivot needed to reopen upside
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, sliding off the 1.14177 high to test the 1.1367 3-week low as USD firmed slightly off its risk-on lows. Last two hours have coiled in a tight 1.1367–1.1375 range, RSI(14) mid-40s with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1382 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
FOMC Wed is the dominant risk that could reset this read
19:17 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13675
Lower highs, testing session low.
EURUSD has bled lower through the NY session off the 1.14177 London high, printing a chain of lower highs and now pinned at the session low around 1.1367. RSI(14) near 38 with momentum flat as price coils just above the low; the pair sits below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13849, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1376 needed to break the descending sequence
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for the pair
Lower highs, lower lows; grinding into recent low.
NY session drifting lower, EUR/USD grinding back into the recent low at 1.1367 as the dollar claws back ground into Wednesday's FOMC. Sequence of lower highs off 1.14177 intact; last few bars compressing near the lows with RSI(14) around 40.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1376 needed to break the string of lower highs
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst and can reshape this read
EUR faded from the 1.1418 NY high back to 1.1369 as the dollar clawed back ground into the FOMC week. Price is now consolidating a few pips off the lows in the 1.1368-1.1382 band; RSI(14) mid-range, no fresh momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1367
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.13836 session high would break the lower-high chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this range
EUR faded from the 1.14177 session high in a steady chain of lower highs and lows as the dollar clawed back ground into the FOMC, price now pressing session lows near 1.1367. RSI(14) is soft around 41 but not oversold; the ~1.1400 psych pivot capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the downtrend read
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this pair
18:47 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 41 · price 1.1369
Lower highs, testing lows.
M15 in a steady downtrend off the 1.1418 session high, printing lower highs into the late NY session with price pinned near the 1.1368 swing low. RSI(14) subdued around 41, ATR compressed to ~5 pips as the move loses pace.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this pair
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 44 · price 1.1369
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through NY hours off the 1.1418 day high, printing a chain of lower highs and settling on the 1.1368 session low as the dollar clawed back ground into the FOMC. Last few bars are consolidating tightly between 1.1368 and 1.1373; the 1.1382 swing high and 1.1400 pivot cap the topside.
Support: 1.1368
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
EURUSD faded through the NY session from the 1.1418 session high, printing a low at 1.1368 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1368-1.1382 band with RSI(14) recovering off its lows.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.1382 needed to challenge the 1.1400 psych pivot
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD-side catalyst and can reset this read
EUR bled lower through the NY session from the 1.1418 high, printing lower highs and now grinding along the 1.1368-1.137 lows. A bounce to 1.13849 was rejected before price slid back toward the recent low; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13849, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13849 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1418 session high through the NY session and is now probing the 1.1368 lows a second time, RSI(14) mid-40s. The pair softened as the dollar clawed back ground into the FOMC; the 1.1368/1.1369 zone is holding for now with a shallow bounce.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1369
Resistance: 1.1384, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1384 needed to ease the downside pressure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
EURUSD trended lower through the NY session, printing lower highs off 1.1418 and grinding into a 1.1369 session low as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. A shallow bounce to 1.1384 faded, and price is now retesting the lows with ATR compressing to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD-side catalyst this week
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, testing support · RSI 42 · price 1.13713
Lower highs into 1.1368 support.
EUR faded from the 1.1418 session high through NY, sliding to the 1.1369 recent low as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of FOMC. Lower highs are stacking (1.1385 the latest), RSI(14) in the low-40s and price probing the 1.1368 support for a second time.
Support: 1.1368
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1385 bounce high needed to break the lower-high sequence
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13713
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1417.
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1417 high down to 1.1368, and the bounce to 1.1382 was rejected, leaving the pair pinned near session lows into 1.1370. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-range; the earlier risk-on push above 1.1400 has faded as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1382 negates the latest lower-high
FOMC midweek is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1417 session high and is grinding back into the 1.1369 recent low as the dollar claws back ground ahead of the FOMC. The bounce to 1.1385 was sold, and price now sits on the marginal lows with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13849, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1385 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
17:47 UTC
Downtrend, drifting to lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13689
Lower highs, lower lows off the 1.1418 top.
EURUSD has bled lower through the NY session from the 1.14177 session high, giving back the risk-on bounce as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC. A brief pop to 1.13849 was sold and price is now probing the 1.13681 swing low with RSI near 41; sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1356
Resistance: 1.13849, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13849 swing high needed to stall the down structure
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
17:32 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13696
Lower highs, lower lows into 1.1369.
NY session drift lower: EUR/USD slid off the 1.1400 pivot back to the 1.1369 recent low as the dollar clawed back ground into FOMC. A bounce to 1.1382 was rejected and price rolled over, holding below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13686, 1.13721
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13686 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1382 needed to challenge the 1.1400 pivot
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
17:32 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13696
Lower highs, retesting 1.1368 low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1418, giving back the earlier risk-on pop as the dollar clawed back ground into the FOMC. A bounce to 1.1384 was rejected and price is now retesting the 1.1368 session low, holding below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1384, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1384 bounce high needed to ease the downside pressure
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this range
Sequence of lower highs/lows off 1.14177 session high.
EUR/USD slid through the NY afternoon from the 1.14177 session high to 1.13681 as the dollar clawed back ground into FOMC. The bounce stalled at 1.13836, a lower high, and price is rolling over again toward the session low with RSI(14) sub-45.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13836 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst this week
EUR sold off through the NY session from 1.1418 to a low of 1.1368 as the dollar clawed back ground into the FOMC. A bounce to 1.13849 was rejected and price is now retesting the session low around 1.1370, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13849, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
Lower highs from 1.1418; base building near 1.137.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from the 1.1418 high to a session low of 1.13681 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.137, lifting price to 1.13850 before it stalled; RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-range.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13850 opens the path to the 1.1400 pivot
Failure to hold 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC on Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this pair
EURUSD sold from the 1.14177 day high through NY, printing a 1.137 base where buyers stepped in twice around the session low. Bounce stalled at 1.13849 and faded to 1.13788; price now hovering near EMA20 while capped below the 1.140 pivot.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13849, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13849 opens the 1.14000 psych pivot
Failure to hold 1.13681 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this range
16:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.13823
Double bottom at session low, recovering.
NY session drifted from the 1.14177 high down to 1.137, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom during the afternoon. Price is recovering into 1.13823 with RSI(14) back at 52 from oversold; the 1.1385 swing high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13686
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1385 opens the path back toward the 1.1400 psych level
Failure to hold 1.137 confirms a lower-low and reopens the session low at 1.13686
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst that could reset this range
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1418 high down to 1.1368 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC. Price is now bouncing to 1.1382 with RSI(14) recovering from mid-30s; the 1.13850-1.1390 supply band is the immediate hurdle.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 pivot invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13681 session low confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
NY session slid from the 1.14177 day high to a 1.137 base, where buyers stepped in twice before a bounce to 1.13828. RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s; move stalled into the 1.1386 swing high with the 1.1400 psych pivot capping above.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13681
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.13700 confirms a lower-low toward 1.13681
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst — area to monitor into the decision
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13828
Lower highs into a double bottom near 1.1368.
EUR sold off through the NY session from the 1.1417 high to a 1.1368 low as the dollar clawed back ground into FOMC. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1370 forming a double bottom, and the current bar has recovered to 1.1383 back at the session high.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1395, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13836 opens the path toward 1.1395
Loss of 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this intraday read
16:17 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.13767
Lower highs into session low, recovering.
NY session slid from the 1.14177 high in a clean chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 1.13681 where buyers stepped in twice. Price has since ticked back to 1.13767, RSI(14) recovering from oversold but still below the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13681 session low confirms downtrend continuation
NY session dragged EURUSD off the 1.1418 high down to 1.13681 as the dollar firmed ahead of the FOMC. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1370, lifting price to 1.13767 with RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s; session high at 1.13835 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1395
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13835 session high needed to negate the basing
NY afternoon: EUR/USD leaked from the 1.1418 high back to 1.1368 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1370 and price is grinding back toward 1.1380; RSI(14) recovering off the lows around 43.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13863, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13863 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst that could override this intraday read
NY session sold EURUSD from the 1.1417 high down to 1.1368, with demand stepping in twice around 1.1370 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of FOMC. Price is below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) is basing near 43; the 1.1368 low is holding for now.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1395
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13836 needed to challenge the downtrend structure
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst that could reshape this read
EURUSD has ground lower through the NY session from the 1.1418 session high to the 1.1368 session low, USD clawing back ground ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Price stalled twice near 1.1368 and bounced to 1.1375, RSI recovering from mid-30s; the sequence of lower highs stays intact below 1.1383.
Support: 1.1368
Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych level negates the downtrend read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD-side catalyst
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, off the lows · RSI 40 · price 1.1375
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1418.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1418 session high down to 1.1368 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Price is off the lows at 1.1375 with RSI(14) near 39; the 1.1400 round number now caps.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1400 negates the intraday downside read
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this range
NY session extended an intraday downtrend off the 1.14177 high, dragging price to 1.1368 as the dollar firmed ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1368–1.1370, and RSI(14) near 41 has cooled without reaching an extreme.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13836 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
1.1400 pivot is the key area above — watch for rejection or reclaim
NY session ground lower from the 1.14177 swing high toward the session low at 1.13681 as the dollar clawed back ahead of the FOMC, capping the earlier EUR bounce above 1.140. RSI(14) sits mid-30s-40s with the final bar ticking back up to 1.1376 — a shallow bounce inside the down-leg, not a reversal.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1395
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13836 needed to challenge the downtrend structure
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst that could reshape this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13714
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1418.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, sliding from the 1.1418 high to a session low of 1.13681 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC. Price is pinned near lows with RSI(14) at 34; the 1.1380 swing has capped every bounce.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1365
Resistance: 1.13803, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13681 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1380 needed to ease downside pressure
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst and can reset this read
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1418 high down to session lows near 1.1368 as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of FOMC. RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s but not yet stretched; price hugging session lows.
Support: 1.13681, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1368 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1350 round number
Reclaim of 1.1380 swing would ease the downtrend read
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst into this range
Steady lower-lows through NY session off the 1.1418 high.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1418 high and printed a chain of lower-lows through the NY session, breaking the 1.1383 swing high level as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC. Price now sits at the 1.13686 session low with RSI(14) near 34; momentum firmly on the sell side but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.13686, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.13957, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13686 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.13835 swing high needed to stall the downtrend
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session off the 1.14177 high, printing a steady chain of lower highs and lows as the dollar clawed back ground into the FOMC. Price is holding just above the 1.13686 session low with RSI(14) near 37; a modest bounce is underway but sellers capped at 1.13760.
Support: 1.13686, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13835, 1.1391
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13835 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.13686 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1369 context marker
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD-side catalyst
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, extending into lows · RSI 33 · price 1.1372
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1418.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.1418 high into a 1.1369 recent low as the dollar clawed back ground ahead of the FOMC. Clean lower-high, lower-low chain with RSI(14) near 33; price is pinned to the lows, holding just above 1.1369.
Support: 1.1369, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1369 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1383 needed to challenge the 1.14 pivot
FOMC on Wednesday is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this range
EUR/USD is grinding lower through the NY session, printing lower highs from 1.1417 down to a fresh session low at 1.1369 as the dollar claws back ground ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not yet at extreme; the 1.1380 swing pivot capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.1369, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.1417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1380 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1369 confirms continuation lower
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, testing lows · RSI 32 · price 1.1371
Lower highs, lower lows into 3-week low.
NY session sold EUR from the 1.1418 session high in a steady staircase of lower highs, dragging price back to the 1.1370 three-week low with RSI(14) near 31. Move fits the USD firming into FOMC week as the risk-on geopolitical bid fades; supply capping at each retest of 1.1383.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1383, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1370 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1383 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed is the main USD driver and could reset this read
EUR/USD ground steadily lower through the NY session off the 1.14177 high, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows after losing the 1.14 pivot. Price is pressing the 1.1370 three-week low with RSI(14) near 31; USD firmed as risk-on faded into Fed week.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13683
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1390 would break the lower-high sequence
Sustained loss of 1.1370 confirms continuation to fresh three-week lows
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the main driver into next sessions
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1418 London high down to 1.13708, USD firming into FOMC week. Price is pinned near the session low around 1.1375, RSI in the mid-30s with each bounce capped at lower highs.
Support: 1.13708, 1.1367
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13708 opens the path toward the 1.1370 three-week low
Reclaim of 1.13836 would ease the downside pressure
FOMC this week is the main USD-side driver and could shift this read
NY session slid from the 1.1418 high toward the 1.1370 three-week low, breaking beneath the mid-range and printing fresh lows at 1.1372. RSI(14) near 35 as momentum stays heavy; price holds just above the round number ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.1372, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1370 confirms a break of the three-week low
Reclaim of 1.1386 session high would ease the downside pressure
FOMC this week is the main USD-side driver and could reshape this read
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from the 1.14177 high, breaking the 1.1400 pivot and printing a fresh session low at 1.13708. A clean lower-high chain remains intact with RSI(14) near 31, approaching the 1.1369 prior low.
Support: 1.13708, 1.1369
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13836 breaks the lower-high chain
Break of 1.1369 confirms continuation to fresh lows
FOMC Wed is the main catalyst that could reset this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the 1.14177 high to a fresh session low at 1.13708, RSI(14) around 31 but not yet extreme. Lower highs remain intact and price sits below EMA20/50, EUR unable to hold above the 1.1400 pivot despite the softer-dollar backdrop into FOMC.
Support: 1.13708, 1.1369, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13836 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.13690 confirms continuation to the downside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst that could reset this read
13:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 1.1379
Lower highs / lower lows through NY session.
EURUSD has slid off the 1.1418 session high through the London-NY transition, printing a clean chain of lower highs into the 1.1376 session low. Price sits just below the 1.1400 psych pivot; RSI(14) near 37 reflects soft momentum but no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1369
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 psych pivot invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.1369 prior low confirms continuation lower
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, intraday · RSI 38 · price 1.1379
Lower highs off 1.1418, testing session low.
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1418 NY-session high and is grinding lower into 1.1379, printing a chain of lower highs with RSI(14) near 38. Sellers keep capping bounces below 1.1386; the session low at 1.1376 is the immediate line, with the 1.1369 prior low just beneath.
Support: 1.13761, 1.1369
Resistance: 1.13863, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1376 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1369
Reclaim of 1.1386 breaks the sequence of lower highs
FOMC Wed and Jul 30 Eurozone HICP/GDP are the key catalysts ahead
NY session grinding lower off the 1.14177 high with a clean lower-high chain, EUR handing back its earlier IFO-driven pop. Buyers stepped in at 1.13761 and price recovered to 1.13824; the sequence of lower highs holds until 1.13863 gives way.
Support: 1.13761, 1.13695
Resistance: 1.13863, 1.1395, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13863 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.13761 confirms a lower low toward 1.13695
FOMC this week is the dominant catalyst for the next directional leg
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 1.13824
Sequence of lower highs / lower lows off 1.1417.
EUR/USD grinding lower through the NY session, printing lower highs off the 1.1417 peak with price now hugging the 1.13761 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-30s, no oversold extreme yet; move fits the soft-USD-but-two-way tone ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.13761, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13761 confirms continuation lower toward 1.13700
Reclaim of 1.13900 breaks the lower-high chain
FOMC this week is the main driver and could reset this read
13:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.13835
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.14177.
EURUSD is sliding off the session high at 1.14177, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into the NY session; the earlier risk-on/oil de-escalation EUR bid has faded. RSI(14) near 40 and price is probing the session low at 1.13761, with only a shallow bounce to 1.13835 so far.
Support: 1.13761, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1395, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13761 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14000 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
FOMC Wed is the dominant cross-asset driver and can reset this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 40 · price 1.13835
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.14177.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14177 session high into the NY session, printing a lower-high chain and now sitting on the session low near 1.13760. Move fits the tentative EUR grind flagged into FOMC; RSI(14) mid-30s, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1395, 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13760 confirms continuation and opens 1.13700
Reclaim of 1.13950 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk
13:01 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 1.13812
Lower highs since 1.14177 peak.
EUR faded steadily from the 1.14177 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs into 1.13812 with RSI(14) near 39. Sellers pressed the 1.13761 session low on the last leg; the risk-on/soft-USD EUR bid is grinding rather than breaking.
Support: 1.13761, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13761 confirms a lower low toward 1.13700
Reclaim of 1.13900 negates the pullback structure
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read
13:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend from session high · RSI 38 · price 1.13812
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.14177.
EURUSD has drifted steadily lower through the NY session off the 1.14177 high, losing the 1.1400 pivot and printing a fresh session low at 1.13761. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s as the pair holds below EMA20/EMA50; the bounce to 1.13833 is so far a shallow retrace of the down leg.
Support: 1.13761, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13761 confirms the next lower low
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
12:47 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.13805
Lower highs since 1.14177, testing session low.
EURUSD faded off the 1.14177 session high and broke back under the 1.1400 pivot as the risk-on USD unwind stalled ahead of FOMC. Sellers pressed into the NY session, printing lower highs and a fresh low at 1.13761; RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13761, 1.1367
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14000 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break and hold below 1.13761 session low confirms continuation lower
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override intraday structure
12:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, off highs · RSI 35 · price 1.13805
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1418.
NY session drifting lower from the 1.14177 session high, price sliding through 1.1390 into a fresh session low at 1.13761, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s. The move down tracks a firmer USD ahead of Wednesday's FOMC after the risk-on EUR pop stalled at the 1.14 pivot.
Support: 1.13761, 1.1368
Resistance: 1.13913, 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13913 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.13761 confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into this week
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 35 · price 1.13827
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.14177.
EUR/USD rolled over from the session high at 1.14177 and broke back below the 1.1400 pivot into NY hours, now probing session lows near 1.13824. RSI(14) at ~35 as the downleg extends; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13824, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the downside read
Failure to hold 1.13824 session low opens the path toward 1.1370
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 34 · price 1.13827
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14177 session high through NY hours, losing the 1.1400 pivot and grinding to fresh session lows at 1.1383. RSI(14) near 33, momentum firmly with the sellers as price stacks lower highs.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1380, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 invalidates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.13830 opens the 1.1370 area
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:17 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 31 · price 1.13841
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR/USD has rolled over from the 1.14177 session high in a clean chain of lower highs, now pressing the 1.13834 session low with RSI(14) near 30. The softer-USD, back-above-1.1400 theme has faded intraday as price gave back the entire London push.
Support: 1.13834, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14011, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13834 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.13800
Reclaim of 1.14000 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed and Durable Goods later today could reset this read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend off session high, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 1.13841
Lower highs since 1.14177 peak, testing session low.
EURUSD rejected the 1.14177 day high during NY hours and has trended lower into a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 1.13834 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38 — soft but not yet oversold — as the 1.1400 reclaim faded.
Support: 1.13834, 1.13695
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13834 confirms a lower low and opens 1.13695
Reclaim of 1.14000 psych level negates the intraday downtrend read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, pulling off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.13877
Lower highs, testing session low.
NY session grinding lower off the 1.14177 session high, with a fresh session low at 1.13849 and RSI(14) sub-40. Price sits below EMA20/50, hovering just above the 1.13800 psych level after sellers capped the 1.14000 round number.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14000 round number negates the pullback
Break below 1.13849 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 29 Jul is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
Lower highs since 1.14177, fading toward session low.
EURUSD reclaimed 1.1400 earlier in the session and tagged 1.14177 before fading; price has since carved lower highs and now sits back below 1.1390 near the session low at 1.13849. RSI(14) around 39 reflects the intraday drift lower, not an extreme.
Support: 1.13849, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13849 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.14030 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC in ~2 days is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read
11:47 UTC
Intraday rally reversed, back at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13906
Full retrace of London upmove, lower highs off 1.14177.
London session rallied to a session high of 1.14177 then fully retraced, dragging price back to the session low near 1.1390. Rejection at 1.14000 flipped it to resistance, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s with price beneath both EMAs.
Support: 1.13903
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13903 opens the path toward the 1.1370 area
Reclaim of the 1.14000 round number needed to negate the fade
FOMC this week is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
11:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.13906
Lower highs, back below 1.1400.
EUR/USD was rejected at the session high 1.14177 and rolled over, slipping back below the 1.1400 psych level and now probing the session low near 1.13903. Move follows a broadly softer USD on US-Iran de-escalation, but the intraday tape has flipped to lower highs into FOMC week.
Support: 1.13903, 1.13864, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 negates the pullback read
Break of 1.13903 session low opens 1.13864 prior low
FOMC this week is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
11:32 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 1.13928
Fading from session high, retesting lows.
EUR/USD gapped higher over the weekend and reclaimed 1.1400 on USD softness, with NY hours pushing to a session high at 1.14177 before fading. Price has since carved lower highs and slipped back below EMA20/50, now retesting session lows near 1.1390 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. FOMC this week remains the pivot for the read.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 opens the path toward the 1.13864 swing low and weekend gap
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to re-engage the session high at 1.14177
EUR reclaimed 1.1400 earlier on soft USD and a firm German IFO print, tagging 1.14177 before fading through the London session back to 1.1393. Price now presses the 1.1390 session low with a lower-high chain intact off the 1.1418 peak.
Support: 1.13909, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14031, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13864 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14031 needed to reset the pullback
FOMC this week is the dominant driver — can override intraday structure
11:17 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 42 · price 1.13919
Lower highs since 1.14177, fading toward session low.
EUR/USD reclaimed 1.1400 and ran to a 1.14177 session high on USD softness, but the move was rejected and price has since carved lower highs back below the 1.1400 pivot. Now sitting on the 1.1391 session low with RSI(14) at 42; the reclaim above 1.1400 is fading.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13910 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim and close above 1.1400 pivot reopens the 1.14177 high
FOMC this week is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
EUR tagged the session high at 1.14177 then faded back below the 1.1400 pivot, printing lower highs into NY hours as FOMC-week caution capped the USD-softness rally. Price now sits at the session low around 1.13912, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13912, 1.13864, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14031, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.1400 needed to repair the intraday bid
M15 close below 1.13864 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1370
FOMC this week is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
11:02 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 1.13944
Rejected at 1.14177, fading below 1.1400 pivot.
London session pushed EUR/USD to a session high of 1.14177 before sellers capped it, price fading back under the 1.1400 pivot to 1.13944. USD softness on Iran de-escalation drove the earlier reclaim, but the move stalled and RSI(14) near 43 reflects the cooling. Now churning around 1.13943 session low.
Support: 1.13943, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 pivot reopens the 1.14177 session high
Failure to hold 1.13943 session low exposes 1.13864 prior low
FOMC this week is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend fading, pullback in play · RSI 43 · price 1.13944
Faded back below 1.1400 after session-high rejection.
London session reclaimed 1.1400 on USD softness and pushed to a session high 1.14177, then faded back below the figure and is now retesting the 1.1400 pivot from below. RSI(14) has cooled toward mid-range as price consolidates around 1.1395; the 1.1400 pivot is capping.
Support: 1.1394, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 reopens the 1.14177 session high
loss of the 1.1394 session low exposes 1.1370 swing low
FOMC this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
10:46 UTC
Rally faded, momentum rolling over · RSI 45 · price 1.13985
Lower high after 1.14177 top, pullback below 1.1400 pivot.
EUR reclaimed 1.1400 and pushed to a session high of 1.14177 on USD softness, but stalled and faded back below the 1.1400 pivot as gains capped ahead of the FOMC. Price is now probing the 1.13945 session low with RSI(14) mid-range and price back under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13945, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14000 pivot reopens 1.14138–1.14177
Failure to hold 1.13945 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.13864 range base
FOMC this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.13985
Pullback from session high after 1.1400 reclaim faded.
EUR pushed above 1.1400 into London and printed a session high at 1.14177 on USD softness and the German IFO beat, but the move faded and price slipped back under the 1.1400 psych pivot. Currently basing near the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1386–1.1418 leg around 1.1398, RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.13932, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 reopens the 1.14138 swing high
Failure to hold 1.13932 session low exposes 1.13864 swing low
FOMC this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
10:32 UTC
Up-move stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.13982
Pullback into range after session-high rejection.
EUR reclaimed 1.1400 and pushed to a session high of 1.14177 on USD softness (Iran diplomacy, softer oil) before rejecting and pulling back. Price now consolidates 1.13945–1.14030 with RSI(14) mid-range near 47; the rally has lost momentum below EMA20.
Support: 1.13945, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14030 reopens the 1.14177 session high
Failure to hold 1.13945 confirms a lower-low toward 1.13864
FOMC this week is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
10:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.13982
Weekend gap up, rally rejected at 1.14177, retracing.
EURUSD gapped higher over the weekend and pushed to a session high of 1.14177 before rejection dragged it back under the 1.1400 pivot, on USD softness from Iran diplomacy hopes. Price now sits on the 61.8% retrace of the 1.13864-1.14177 leg, ranging 1.1395-1.1403 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1395, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 pivot reopens the 1.14177 session high
Failure to hold 1.1395 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC this week is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
10:17 UTC
Pullback after intraday rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.13966
Rejected 1.1418, back below 1.1400, consolidating.
EUR reclaimed 1.1400 and ran to a 1.14177 session high on USD softness (Iran diplomacy, softer oil) before rejecting back below the figure. Price now consolidates around 1.1396, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s and the 1.1400 pivot capping recovery attempts.
Support: 1.13945, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13945 confirms a lower-low toward the monday low
M15 close back above 1.1400 psych pivot reopens the 1.14177 session high
FOMC this week is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
10:16 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 45 · price 1.13966
Faded from 1.14177, back below 1.1400 pivot.
EUR/USD gapped higher into the week and pushed to a session high of 1.14177 on USD softness, but supply capped there and price faded back below the 1.1400 pivot, now hovering near 1.1396. RSI(14) sits mid-40s; consolidating between the 1.13932 session low and the 1.1400 psych level with no clean intraday direction.
Support: 1.13932, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13932 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.13864 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to challenge the 1.14177 session high
FOMC this week is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
10:02 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.13961
Off 1.14177 high, consolidating below 1.1400.
EUR reclaimed 1.1400 at the Monday open and pushed to a 1.14177 session high through London before rejection there dragged it back under the 1.1400 pivot. Now consolidating around 1.1396 into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) near 44 with price below EMA20 and EMA50. Weekend US-Iran de-escalation and a firm German IFO drove the reclaim, but hesitation persists ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.1394, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 pivot invalidates the pullback read
Failure to hold 1.1394 opens 1.1390
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
10:02 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 43 · price 1.13961
Faded off session high, consolidating below 1.1400.
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.14177 during London before fading back below the 1.1400 pivot, tracking the softer dollar on US-Iran de-escalation. Price is now consolidating around 1.1396, holding the 1.13945 session low with RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 1.13945, 1.1387
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1403, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above 1.1400 reopens the 1.14177 session high
Loss of 1.13945 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1387
FOMC this week is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
09:47 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.1397
Lower highs off 1.14177, testing 1.1394 support.
Session high at 1.14177 was rejected and price rolled back below the 1.1400 pivot, now grinding along 1.1394 support with RSI(14) mid-40s. Move follows the softer USD open on US-Iran de-escalation; a chain of lower highs (1.14177, 1.14029) caps the bounce.
Support: 1.13943, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14029, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 pivot re-opens 1.14029 and the 1.14177 high
Failure to hold 1.13943 confirms continuation toward the 1.13864 swing low
FOMC hold Wed is the dominant catalyst — read shifts on the statement tone
09:47 UTC
Pullback after session-high fade · RSI 44 · price 1.1397
Faded from 1.1418 high, holding above 1.1395.
London session drove EUR/USD to a session high at 1.1418 then faded back under the 1.1400 pivot, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers held twice at 1.13951/1.13952, a double-bottom base, but price is now capped by the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 pivot reopens the 1.1418 session high
Loss of the 1.1395 double bottom exposes the 1.1386 monday low
FOMC this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
Rejected at session high, retracing toward 1.1395.
EUR/USD pushed to a session high of 1.14177 before rejecting and rolling back under the 1.1400 psych cap, in line with the euro's inability to reclaim that level. Price now sits on 1.1395 session support with RSI cooling into the low 40s; the 1.14 handle is the pivot for any recovery.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych would reopen the 1.1418 session high
Failure to hold 1.1395 session low exposes the 1.1377 three-week low
US Durable Goods ~12:30 UTC could inject volatility into the range
09:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, short-term down · RSI 39 · price 1.1396
Lower highs off 1.1418, testing session low.
EUR/USD faded from the session high 1.1418 through London hours and is now pressing the 1.1395 low with RSI(14) in the mid-30s. The 1.1400 psych cap held on the way down; the three-week low at 1.1377 sits below as the next reference. Euro stays pinned sub-1.14 with USD firm into next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1395 opens the path toward the 1.1377 three-week low
Reclaim of 1.1400 would negate the intraday lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant EUR/USD driver this week
09:17 UTC
Intraday up-move pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.13967
Correcting from session high, holding above 1.1395.
London session rallied to 1.14177 then rolled over, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s and price slipping back below the 1.1400 psych level flagged as the active cap. Buyers stepped in at 1.1395 to hold the pullback; move now stalling between 1.1395 and the 1.1403 pivot.
Support: 1.1395, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1395 opens the path toward 1.13864
Reclaim of 1.1403 needed to retest the 1.14177 session high
Rejection off session high, retracing the up-move.
London session pushed to a session high of 1.14177 then rejected, and price has retraced most of the up-move back to 1.13967 with RSI cooling to the low 40s. Buyers stepped in near 1.1395 into the pullback; the euro remains unable to hold above the 1.1414 swing.
Support: 1.1395, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13950 opens the path toward the 1.13864 prior base
Reclaim of 1.14138 needed to re-engage the session high
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Up-leg faded, now ranging around 1.1400 · RSI 47 · price 1.14009
Session high rejected, pullback holding 1.1395.
London session pushed EUR/USD to a session high of 1.14177 before fading back through the 1.1400 psych level; buyers stepped in around 1.13945 and price is now consolidating at 1.14009. RSI(14) mid-range near 47 with ATR ~7 pips — no clean setup, EUR capped below 1.1400 amid a firm USD.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13945, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14140 reopens the session high at 1.14177
Failure to hold 1.13945 exposes the prior swing near 1.1386
FOMC next week the bigger EUR/USD driver
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.14009
HH into 1.14177, now retesting 1.1400 psych.
London session pushed to a session high of 1.14177 before rejection dragged price back to the 1.1400 psych level and a 1.13945 low. Buyers have since reclaimed 1.1400 with RSI(14) recovering off mid-40s; move sits around the 50% retrace of the 1.13864–1.14177 leg.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13945, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13945 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.13864
Reclaim of 1.14140 reopens the 1.14177 session high
Eurozone Q2 GDP Thu 30 Jul could shift the range read
08:47 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.13986
Rejected above 1.1400, lower highs into 1.1399.
London session pushed above the 1.1400 psych cap to a session high of 1.14177 before rejecting, and price has since faded back under 1.1400 to 1.13986. RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s as the move reversed; buyers stepped in at the 1.13950 session low on the first test.
Support: 1.1395, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14000 psych reopens the 1.14177 session high
Loss of 1.13950 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.13864 swing low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-side read
08:47 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.13986
Rejection below 1.1400 after London push, testing 1.1395.
London session pushed to 1.14177 then faded back below the 1.1400 psych level, a false break that has price now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the Monday rally near 1.1399. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback held above the 1.13945 session low.
Support: 1.13945, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14177 session high
Failure to hold 1.13945 exposes the 1.1389 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD-side risk for this pair
08:32 UTC
Intraday up, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.13958
Rejected session high, lower highs forming.
London session drove EUR/USD up to a session high of 1.14177 before sellers capped the move and price rolled back under the 1.1400 psych level, now at 1.1396. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the rally support gives way and price sits back below both EMAs.
Support: 1.13945
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13945 confirms a lower-low and opens the path back toward 1.1380
Reclaim of 1.1400 and a close above 1.14138 reasserts the intraday uptrend
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:32 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 42 · price 1.13958
Rejected at 1.14177, sliding back below 1.1400.
EUR/USD tagged the session high at 1.14177 then rejected, unwinding the whole overnight rally back to 1.13958 into London hours as the pair failed to hold above the 1.1400 cap flagged in the broader read. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s with price now pressing the session low around 1.13945.
Support: 1.13945, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13945 opens the path toward 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to reopen 1.14177
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could move USD in the next few hours
08:17 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.13955
Rejection below 1.1400, testing session low.
London pushed to a session high of 1.14177 early but was rejected back below the 1.1400 round number, EUR unable to hold gains while it stays capped per the broader read. Price now probing the 1.13955 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 41.
Support: 1.13955, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13955 opens the 1.13864 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.1400 round number needed to retest 1.14177 session high
Session high rejected, retracing toward range base.
London session drove EUR/USD to a session high 1.14177 before a sharp reversal snapped it back below the 1.1400 psych level, now testing 1.1395. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally into the low-40s as the up-leg unwinds; digest keeps EUR structurally heavy below 1.1400.
Support: 1.13864, 1.13695
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13864 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych needed to negate the rejection
London session pushed above 1.1400 to a session high of 1.1418 before a sharp rejection dragged price back below the psych cap to 1.1398. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the move rolled over; the 1.1400 level flipped from support to overhead resistance intraday.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1387
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
German IFO ~08:00 UTC could shift the read in the next bars
M15 close back above 1.1400 reopens the 1.1418 session high
Failure to hold 1.1395 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1387
08:02 UTC
Pullback after London push · RSI 43 · price 1.1398
Rejected above 1.1400 cap, retracing.
London session pushed EUR/USD above the 1.1400 cap to a session high of 1.14177, but the break failed and price has retraced to 1.1398, printing a session low at 1.1396. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the pair slips back under the psych cap flagged by desks.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 1.1400 re-opens 1.14177
Failure to hold 1.1396 confirms a lower low toward 1.1390
German IFO ~08:00 UTC could shift this read on release
07:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 1.14025
Higher high at 1.14177, pulling back.
London session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1400 psych cap to a session high of 1.14177 before rejecting back to 1.14025, dipping under EMA20 as RSI cooled to the mid-40s. The 1.1400 handle, previously a cap, is now the pivot being retested from above.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13871
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14177
What it said to watch
German IFO due ~08:00 UTC could shift this read
Close back below 1.1400 psych re-opens 1.13871
Reclaim of 1.14177 session high resumes the up-leg
07:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.14025
HH/HL chain into session high, now retracing.
London session drove EURUSD up to a session high 1.14177, poking above the 1.1400 cap before rejection dragged price back to 1.14025 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price now sits on the 1.1400 handle after a clean intraday advance off 1.14002.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1393, 1.14002
Resistance: 1.14177, 1.14138
What it said to watch
German IFO ~08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14177 resumes the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.1400 opens the path to 1.1393
07:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 1.14035
Higher highs into session high, now retracing.
European session drove EURUSD up to a session high of 1.14177 before sellers capped it, and price has since retraced to 1.14035 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. The 1.14009 session low is the immediate structural floor after the pop above the 1.1400 psych level.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14009 negates the intraday higher-low structure
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~30m) could shift this read
Post-gap rally, now consolidating below session high.
London session extended the post-weekend gap higher, tagging 1.14177 before fading back to 1.1403. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s and price is chopping around the 1.14000 round number after the rejection off the session high.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~30min) could shift this read
Loss of 1.14000 exposes the 1.13940 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14138 reopens the 1.14177 session high
London session drove EURUSD through the 1.1400 psych level to a session high at 1.14177, clearing the prior 1.14138 high. Price is now consolidating around 1.14070 above the 1.14030 base, RSI(14) cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14177, 1.14138
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
Loss of 1.14000 would negate the intraday breakout
London session drove EURUSD above 1.1400 to a session high of 1.14177 before rejecting back to 1.14068. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; the 1.14030 consolidation base is the near-term pivot after the breakout.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1394, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14030 breaks the rising structure and reopens 1.13940
Reclaim of 1.14138 puts the 1.14177 session high back in play
Higher highs into session top, pulling back from 1.14177.
London pushed EURUSD up through the 1.1400 cap to a session high at 1.14177, where price was rejected and eased back to 1.14084. RSI(14) cooling from the highs while price holds above EMA20/50; the 1.1400 pivot the digest flagged now sits as support.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14177, 1.14138
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14177 session high extends the move
Failure to hold 1.1400 psych opens a pullback toward 1.13864 swing low
German IFO ~08:00 UTC could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, breaking 1.1400 cap · RSI 63 · price 1.14084
Higher highs, higher lows off 1.1386.
EURUSD cleared the 1.1400 prior cap and printed a session high at 1.14177, holding above EMA20/50 as the London session pushed higher off 1.1386. Price is consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) mid-range, no exhaustion yet.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.14177, 1.1414
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read within the hour
M15 close back below 1.1400 reopens the recent range and negates the breakout
Close above 1.14177 extends the intraday higher-high sequence
06:47 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 67 · price 1.14145
Breakout from consolidation, higher highs.
London session pushed EUR/USD above the 1.1400 pivot, clearing the tight consolidation around 1.1403 and printing a session high at 1.14177. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet extreme; price holds just under the session high heading into German IFO.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14177
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14177 extends the leg
Loss of 1.1400 back into the consolidation invalidates the breakout
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 1.14145
Higher highs above 1.1400 pivot.
EUR broke above the 1.1400 pivot flagged as resistance during the London session and is now pressing the session high at 1.14177, RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme. Price held a rising support line off the 1.13864 low after the weekend gap up, with the 1.1400 handle now acting as support.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14177
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.13864 low
German IFO at 08:00 UTC is a near-term catalyst that could shift this read
06:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 61 · price 1.14106
Higher highs after 1.1400 break.
EUR/USD broke back above the 1.1400 pivot and printed a session high at 1.14140, with price now consolidating just underneath around 1.14106. Buyers defended the 1.14030 range low repeatedly through the Asian-to-London handover; RSI(14) mid-60s leaves room before hot.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1420
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bars
M15 close above 1.14140 opens the path toward 1.14200
Loss of 1.14000 pivot re-exposes the 1.13864 swing low
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 58 · price 1.14106
Higher lows, reclaimed 1.1400.
EUR/USD reclaimed the 1.1400 pivot this session and pushed to a session high of 1.14140 before easing into a tight consolidation around 1.1405. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; the 1.1400 pivot that has capped repeatedly is now acting as near-term support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14009
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 reopens the fade-in-EUR read toward the swing low
Break and hold above 1.14140 session high extends the intraday uptrend
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
06:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.14114
Higher lows into session high, above 1.1400 pivot.
London session lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1390 Asia base to a session high 1.14140, now holding 1.14110 back above the 1.1400 pivot. Price consolidated around 1.14030 mid-session before this fresh leg; RSI(14) firm near 63 but off the highs.
Support: 1.1401, 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14140 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.14000 reopens the 1.13864 session low
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (f/c 86.1) is a near-term catalyst
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.14114
Higher highs, tight range under session high.
EUR broke above the 1.1400 pivot during London hours, tagging a session high at 1.1414 before consolidating in a 1.1403–1.1407 range. RSI mid-60s with no divergence; the 1.1414 session high caps for now while 1.1400 flips to support.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14140 opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.1400 pivot invalidates the breakout read
Consolidating above 1.1400 after Asian-session breakout.
Asian session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1400 psych cap to a session high of 1.14140, then settled into a tight 1.1403-1.1407 range. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 57 — consolidation, no fresh drive yet.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13944
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 reopens the 1.13944 swing low
Break and hold above 1.14140 extends the intraday leg
Consolidating below session high after London rally.
London session pushed EURUSD up through 1.1400 to a session high of 1.14140, reclaiming the pivot the macro read flags as a cap. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1403-1.1407 band, RSI(14) mid-range around 56 as momentum flattens.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~2h) could break this consolidation
Price broke through the 1.1400 psych cap into a 1.14138 session high before fading, and has since gone into tight consolidation with a range floor around 1.14009. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s as the move stalls just above 1.1400.
Support: 1.14009, 1.13889
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14126
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14009 range floor opens a retest of the 1.13889 swing low
Close above 1.14138 session high resumes the leg up
Consolidating above 1.1400 after session-high rejection.
Price ran through the 1.1400 psych cap during the Asian session to a session high at 1.14140, then rejected and is now consolidating in a tight 1.14028–1.14066 band, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. The 1.1400 level flipped from cap to near-term floor.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 reopens the 1.13940 swing low
Break and hold above 1.14140 extends the intraday uptrend
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
Consolidating just above 1.1400 after push to 1.1414.
EURUSD gapped in above the 1.1400 psych cap and ran to a 1.1414 session high before stalling; price now grinds in a tight 1.1403-1.1406 range with RSI(14) cooling to the high-50s. The 1.1400 handle flipped from cap to floor on this window.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14126
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~2.5h) could break the consolidation
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout read
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst overhanging this range
Consolidation just above 1.1400 after push to session high.
EUR broke above the 1.1400 pivot into the London morning and tagged a session high at 1.14140, then rolled into a tight coil around 1.1403-1.1406. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the drive lost pace; the 1.1400 handle is being held on the pullback.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14118
What it said to watch
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~2.5h out) could break the coil
Loss of 1.14000 opens a retest of the pre-breakout range
M15 close above 1.14140 extends the session-high push
EURUSD cleared the 1.1400 cap during the London session and tagged a session high at 1.1414 before drifting back to consolidate tightly around 1.1403–1.1407. Range is compressing on ~5 pip ATR with RSI(14) neutral near 52; 1.1400 pivot holding as support so far.
Support: 1.1403, 1.1400, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens 1.1389
Break above 1.1414 session high extends the up-move
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could inject volatility into this range
EUR pushed through the 1.1400 psych cap during Asia and tagged a session high at 1.14138 before easing. Price is now coiling tight between 1.14009 and 1.14066, holding above the breakout level with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14118
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens 1.13930
German IFO in ~3h could break the consolidation either way
Rally to session high, now consolidating above 1.1400.
EURUSD broke above the 1.1400 pivot and pushed to a 1.14140 session high before stalling, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.14009–1.14050 range just above 1.1400, the cap flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14118
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14000 reopens the 1.13864 swing low
German IFO ~08:00 UTC (in ~3h) could break this range
Post-weekend gap higher extended through the 1.1400 cap to a session high at 1.14140, then faded into a tight consolidation around 1.1402-1.1404 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price is holding above the 1.1400 psych level but has slipped below EMA20 as the intraday advance loses steam.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 opens a retest of the 1.13864 post-gap low
Break and hold above 1.14140 resumes the intraday uptrend
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
Price pushed through the 1.1400 cap to a session high at 1.14138 before fading, and has since coiled tightly around 1.1403. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s as the move stalls into the Asian session, holding just above the 1.1400 psych level.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens 1.1389 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.14138 session high resumes the intraday advance
German IFO 08:00 UTC and US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could break this coil
04:47 UTC
Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 1.1403
Higher highs into tight range under session high.
EUR pushed through the 1.1400 round number and marked a session high at 1.14140 before fading back to a tight 1.1403 consolidation, RSI cooling to neutral. Price is holding just above the 1.1400 psych level, sitting under EMA20 but above EMA50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13888
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14000 reopens the session low at 1.13888
Break and hold above 1.14140 extends the intraday high sequence
Consolidation below session high after Asian-session rally.
EUR/USD rallied through the Asian session to a high of 1.14140, reclaiming the 1.1400 pivot, then stalled and drifted back to 1.14027 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1400–1.1405 range on thin ATR (~4 pips), no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14009, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
Close back below the 1.1400 pivot opens a retest of the 1.13864 swing low
Break above 1.14140 session high resumes the intraday upside
Rally into session high, now flagging above 1.1400.
Asia session: EUR/USD rallied off 1.13864 to a session high of 1.14140 before stalling and drifting back to consolidate ~1.14030, just above the 1.1400 psych pivot. Momentum has flattened — RSI(14) back to neutral near 50 as the tight range holds under 1.14140.
Consolidating below session high after Monday gap-up.
Monday gapped up ~21 pips from Friday's 1.13695 and rallied to a session high of 1.14140, but has since stalled and is consolidating between 1.14000 and 1.14140. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price drifts back to the low-1.1403s; the 1.1400 round level is holding as near-term support.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400, 1.13903
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 exposes the 1.13903 monday open
Break and hold above 1.14140 extends the intraday advance
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could inject volatility into this range
Monday opened with a weekend gap up and an Asian-session push to 1.14140, clearing the 1.1400 psych cap; price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 1.14030 with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Move stalled just under the session high — 1.1400 now flips to near-term support while sellers cap at 1.14140.
Support: 1.14009, 1.1400, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14009 and 1.1400 psych opens a return into the 1.13940 base
Close above 1.14140 resumes the intraday uptrend
German IFO ~08:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
Pullback from session high, holding above 1.1400 pivot.
EUR pushed through the 1.1400 cap into Asia to tag 1.14140 before fading; price now consolidating around 1.1403 near the 38.2% retrace of that leg. Move stalled just under the recent high — digest flags 1.1400 as the pivot and oil/USD as the dominant driver over ECB rate pricing.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 opens a retest of the 1.13864 session low
Break and hold above 1.14140 resumes the upside leg
German IFO in ~4h (08:00 UTC) could shift the read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 53 · price 1.1403
Broke 1.1400, easing back to retest.
EURUSD gapped up over the weekend and pushed through the 1.1400 cap in early Asian trade, tagging 1.14140 before easing back to 1.1403. Price is now consolidating just above the broken 1.1400 pivot, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as the rally stalls.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 turns the breakout into a false break
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
Sustained hold above 1.1400 keeps the session-high 1.14140 in play
EUR broke the 1.1400 psych cap during Asia hours and tagged a session high at 1.1414 before fading to consolidate near 1.1403. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 49 as the last six bars flatten just above the 1.1400 line.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14118
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.1400 reopens 1.1394 and the 1.1386 rally base
Session rally stalled, pulling back into consolidation.
Asia session pushed EUR/USD up from 1.1386 to a 1.14138 session high, but the move stalled below the well-worn 1.1400 area cap noted in the macro read. Price has since pulled back to 1.14035, sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the rally as it consolidates above the 1.1400 psych level.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14009, 1.13942
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14126
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 psych opens the 1.13942 prior low
Reclaim of 1.14138 session high revives the rally
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
EURUSD gapped up from Friday's 1.13695 close and rallied through the 1.1400 cap to a session high of 1.14138 in Asia hours, before drifting back to 1.14021. Pullback is holding above the 1.1400 round number, with RSI cooling to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13903, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14126
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14000 puts the 1.13903 monday open and 1.13864 session low back in play
Reclaim of 1.14138 session high extends the rally
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
03:32 UTC
Uptrend off Monday open, pulling back · RSI 54 · price 1.14021
Gap-up rally into 1.1414, easing toward 1.1400.
EUR/USD gapped higher on the Monday open and rallied through the Asian session to 1.14140 before rejecting the level; price now eases back toward the 1.1400 psych pivot flagged as this week's cap. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the pullback holds above the 1.13864 rally base.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13915, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 psych opens the 1.13915 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14140 session high resumes the up-leg
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
03:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.1403
Broke above 1.1400, now pulling back.
EUR/USD cleared the 1.1400 cap this session and ran to a high of 1.14140 before easing back toward 1.1403 (price_at_generation). RSI has cooled off the highs and the last three bars are corrective, but price still holds above the former cap.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1389
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 puts price under the reclaimed cap and reopens 1.1389
Break and hold above 1.14140 extends the session rally
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~5h out) could shift this read
03:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.1403
Higher highs into 1.1414, pulling back to 1.1400.
Price broke through the 1.1400 cap during the Asian session and tagged a session high at 1.14138 before sellers stepped in, now easing back to 1.1403. RSI(14) around 57 after cooling from the push; the 1.1400 psych level is the pivot into London.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13888
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14126
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.13888 swing low
M15 close above 1.14138 extends the intraday breakout
Price pushed through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged in the EUR digest, printing a session high at 1.14140 before easing back to 1.1406 as RSI cools from the rally peak. Move holds above the round number so far, with pullbacks shallow into early hours.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
EURUSD cleared the 1.1400 ceiling that capped all of last week, tagging a session high at 1.14138 before pulling back to 1.1406. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as price holds above the broken level; 1.1400 now the pivot on any retest.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 back into the prior range invalidates the breakout read
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift EUR tone
FOMC Wed is the week's pivotal risk event
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 65 · price 1.14083
Gap-up then higher highs, consolidating above 1.1400.
EURUSD gapped up from Friday's 1.13695 close and rallied through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged in context, tagging a session high at 1.14140 during early Asian hours. Price is consolidating just above the round number with RSI(14) cooling from its highs; the sub-1.1400 cap has flipped to support so far.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 reopens the gap-open zone at 1.13900
Asian session pushed EUR through the 1.1400 psych ceiling flagged in the macro read, tagging a session high at 1.14138 before easing back to 1.14083. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as the move consolidates just above the broken level.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14138
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14000 on a close would negate the breakout and confirm a false break
Close above 1.14138 extends the session high
German IFO 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed are the near-term risks to this read
Monday opened with a gap higher and pushed through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged in context, printing a session high at 1.14140 before easing to 1.14082. RSI(14) elevated near 69 as price consolidates just above the reclaimed 1.1400 psych level; the prior ceiling now acts as the pivot.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens the gap toward 1.13900
German IFO 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Hold above 1.1400 with a break of 1.14140 extends the intraday uptrend
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, cooling after breakout · RSI 62 · price 1.14082
Higher highs, above 1.1400.
EUR/USD punched through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged all week, tagging a session high at 1.14140 before easing to 1.14082. The break holds so far with price above EMA20/50; 1.1400 now the pivot on the pullback.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14000 turns the breakout into a false break
Reclaim and close above 1.14140 extends the up-leg
FOMC Wed and German IFO today could reset this read
EUR/USD broke above the 1.1400 psychological cap during the Asian session, printing a session high at 1.14140 with RSI(14) near 70. Price is holding above the round number after a clean run up from 1.13864, with 1.14000 the immediate reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14000 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior sub-1.1400 range
Early Monday session gapped higher and pushed EUR/USD through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged all last week, printing a session high at 1.14140 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Price has since eased to 1.1410, holding above the prior ceiling on a shallow pullback.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.1414
What it said to watch
Reclaim below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.1394 swing low
German IFO at 08:00 UTC (~6h out) could reshape this read
FOMC Wed is the dominant upcoming risk for the pair
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 72 · price 1.14131
Higher highs, break above 1.1400 ceiling.
Week opened with a gap higher and the Asia session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1400 psych ceiling to a session high at 1.14138, on mild dollar softening. RSI(14) near 72 is hot but consistent with the momentum leg; 1.1400 now acts as the reclaimed reference below.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14138
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 on a close would negate the breakout and reopen the swing low at 1.13932
German IFO 08:00 UTC and FOMC Jul 29 could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 1.14131
Breakout above 1.1400, fresh session highs.
EURUSD gapped higher over the weekend and pushed through the 1.1400 ceiling during early Monday Asia hours, printing a session high at 1.14138 with RSI(14) hot near 71. The 1.1400 level flipped from cap to support after the break; price is extended but holding the highs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13944, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14138
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and puts 1.13944 back in focus
German IFO (08:00 UTC) could shift the intraday read
Monday Asian session pushed EUR/USD through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged in the digest, rallying to a session high of 1.14126 before pulling back. Price is holding above 1.1400 with RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not stretched.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout read
German IFO 08:00 UTC could shift EUR direction into London
Thin Asia-session trade broke above the 1.1400 ceiling flagged all week, spiking to 1.14126 before pulling back and holding the prior cap as support. RSI(14) near 70 shows the move is hot but not extreme; price sits above rising EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14126
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.1400 puts the breakout into false-break territory
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could add volatility to this thin session
01:32 UTC
Uptrend, breakout in play · RSI 66 · price 1.14068
Break above 1.1400, higher highs.
Asia session gapped in and broke above the 1.1400 ceiling flagged in the EUR digest, tagging a session high at 1.14126 before easing to 1.14068. RSI(14) holds in the mid-60s and price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50; the breakout is intact while 1.1400 holds as support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and returns price to the prior range around 1.13920
Reclaim of the 1.14126 session high extends the move
Monday Asia open gapped higher and pushed through the 1.1400 psych ceiling to a session high at 1.14126, the level that capped price all last week. RSI(14) cooling from the spike as price consolidates around 1.1406; 1.1400 now the pivot on the retest.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13932, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14126, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Sustained close back below 1.1400 reopens the 1.13932 area and negates the breakout
Break and hold above 1.14126 extends the intraday uptrend toward 1.1420
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could reset the Asia-session read
01:17 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.14057
Higher highs, pullback from session high.
Monday open gapped higher and pushed through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged in the macro read, tagging a session high at 1.14126 before easing to 1.14057. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; price consolidating just above the 1.1400 round number in early Asia hours.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13903, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14126, 1.14069
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 puts the breakout retest in play toward the 1.13903 gap open
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift EUR direction into London
Reclaim of 1.14126 extends the higher-high sequence
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, Asia open push · RSI 67 · price 1.14057
Breakout above 1.1400, pulling back.
Monday Asia open drove EURUSD through the 1.1400 psych ceiling flagged as the pair's cap, tagging 1.14126 before easing to 1.14057. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; 1.1400 now the pivot on any pullback.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1392, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14000 puts the breakout at risk of a false break
Sustained hold above 1.14126 opens continuation higher
German IFO 08:00 UTC and Wed FOMC could reset this intraday read
Early Asian session broke above the 1.1390 range top and cleared the 1.1400 psych ceiling, spiking to a session high at 1.14126 before pulling back to retest 1.1400. RSI(14) near 68 after cooling from the spike; price holding just above the broken level.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1389, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14126
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1400 psych keeps the breakout intact; loss of it reopens the 1.1390 range top
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 67 · price 1.14036
Higher highs, holding above 1.1400 after break.
Asia session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1400 psych ceiling flagged all week, printing a session high at 1.14126 before easing to 1.14036. Move follows a weekend gap higher off 1.1370; RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extreme, and price holds above the 1.1400 breakout line.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1389, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14126
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 on a close would negate the breakout and reopen 1.13890
Break of session high 1.14126 extends the intraday leg
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could reshape this read
00:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 67 · price 1.1404
Week opened with gap up, break above 1.1400 ceiling.
New week opened with a gap up from 1.1370 into 1.1390, then a clean push through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged in the digest, printing a session high at 1.14126 before pulling back to 1.1404. RSI(14) cooling from the push but structure holds a higher-high chain.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1413
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1400 keeps the breakout intact; slip back below reopens the 1.1390 gap zone
German IFO at 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, breakout impulse · RSI 70 · price 1.1404
Break above 1.1400 ceiling, retesting.
EURUSD gapped higher into Monday's Asia session and pushed through the 1.1400 ceiling flagged all week, tagging 1.14126 before pulling back to retest the round number. RSI(14) near 69 after the spike; buyers stepped in through the 1.1389 area on the way up.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1389, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14126
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.1400 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below 1.1389 negates it
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
EURUSD gapped higher over the weekend and pushed through the 1.1400 ceiling early in the Asia session, tagging 1.14118 on strong momentum with RSI(14) around 74. The 1.1400 round level, capped for weeks per the EUR context, is now being tested from above as support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13886, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14118, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14118 opens the path toward 1.1420
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens downside toward the 1.13886 swing low
EUR/USD pushed through the 1.1400 ceiling into 1.1411 on thin Asian-session flow, RSI(14) hot near 74. The 1.1400 psych level, capped repeatedly last week, has flipped to first support; session high sits just overhead at 1.14118.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1392, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14118
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14000 negates the breakout and re-opens 1.1392
German IFO 08:00 UTC could reprice EUR through this level
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for the pair this week
Thin Sunday/Asian open lifted EURUSD through the 1.1400 cap to a session high of 1.14037, RSI(14) running hot near 71. The break is fresh but low-volume; 1.1400 now the pivot buyers are defending.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13878, 1.13864
Resistance: 1.14037
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and returns price to range
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD gapped higher into the Asia Monday open and pushed through the 1.1400 cap to a session high of 1.14037, with RSI(14) hot near 69. The move reclaimed the level that repeatedly capped EUR sub-1.1400 last week; price is holding just above it on thin early-session volume.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13864, 1.13773
Resistance: 1.14037, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout read
German IFO at 08:00 UTC could reprice this move
Failure to hold 1.13864 confirms a lower low
00:02 UTC
Mild grind up, thin Asia · RSI 61 · price 1.13967
Gapped up, capped near 1.1400.
Sunday/early Asia open gapped ~20 pips above Friday's 1.13695 close and drifted to 1.13967, stalling just under the 1.1400 psychological cap noted in the macro read. Volumes are thin and RSI(14) is mid-60s — grind rather than breakout, with the 1.1400 level still unbroken.
Support: 1.13864, 1.13695
Resistance: 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 clears the cap and reopens 1.14006 Friday high
Loss of 1.13864 session low points back toward the 1.13695 gap fill
Weekend gap up left price grinding higher into the early week, pressing the 1.1400 cap after tagging a 1.13998 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, no overbought stretch; price holds above EMA20/50 with the 1.1400 round number capping upside.
Support: 1.13864, 1.13773
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.13998
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 opens room beyond the cap
Failure to hold 1.13864 reopens the gap fill toward 1.13773