EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13842

Faded off session high, consolidating in Asia.

NY session rallied from 1.1353 to a session high at 1.14048 before fading; price has since drifted back to 1.1384 and is consolidating tightly in low-volume Asia trade. Sitting around the 38–50% retracement of that leg with RSI mid-range and price back under both EMAs.

Support: 1.1382, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1382 range floor opens the path back toward the 1.1360 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to re-engage the session high
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

23:46 UTC

Pullback stalling, range-bound · RSI 44 · price 1.13842

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove a rally off 1.13557 to a session high at 1.14048 before fading back to the 1.1384 area. Price is now consolidating in thin Asian hours between 1.13818 and 1.13920, RSI(14) neutral near 44 and sitting just under both EMAs.

Support: 1.13818, 1.1374

Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13818 session low reopens the 1.13740 fib 61.8 zone
  • Reclaim of 1.13920 minor high needed to re-test the 1.14048 session high
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

23:32 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13849

Rally faded, tight consolidation.

NY session drove EUR/USD to 1.14048 before the move was rejected and price faded back toward EMA20. Asia is now consolidating a tight 1.13818–1.13918 band with RSI(14) mid-range near 44; USD firmness into FOMC keeps the recovery capped.

Support: 1.13818, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.13918, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13818 reopens the path toward 1.13557
  • M15 close above 1.13918 puts the 1.14048 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

23:31 UTC

Pullback from session high, flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13849

Consolidating below 1.1405 high after fade.

NY session rallied to 1.14048 before fading to 1.1385, and price has since gone flat through thin Asian hours ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Rejection at the 1.1400 round number capped the move; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and 1.1382 is holding on the downside.

Support: 1.1382, 1.13756, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1382 opens the path toward the 1.1360 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 reopens the 1.14048 session high
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read

23:16 UTC

Pullback after NY spike, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 1.13839

Faded from session high, drifting in quiet Asia.

NY session drove EUR/USD up to 1.14048 before sellers faded it back below EMA20/50 as USD held firm into Wednesday's FOMC. Price is now drifting near 1.1384 in thin Asian hours, mid-way through the retrace of the NY leg with RSI flat around 42.

Support: 1.13818, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1392 negates the pullback and reopens the ny high
  • Break below 1.13818 exposes the 1.1362 monthly low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

23:16 UTC

Pulled back off NY high, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.13839

Consolidating below 1.1392 after fading the 1.1405 high.

NY session rallied to 1.14047 then faded back below 1.1392, and Asia hours are grinding lower toward the 1.1382 session low on thin volume. Move is a pullback of the earlier USD-driven leg into Wednesday's FOMC; no clean setup while price hugs the lows.

Support: 1.1382, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1405

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.1392 session cap reopens the 1.1405 swing high
  • Break below 1.1382 session low exposes the 1.1360 monthly low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

23:01 UTC

Up-leg stalling, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.13841

Consolidation below session high after NY rally.

NY session rallied off the 1.1353 swing low to a 1.1405 session high, then rejected and rolled back to 1.1384. Price now consolidating on thin Asia-session volume, sitting on the 1.1383 floor with EMA20/50 just overhead.

Support: 1.1383, 1.1370, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1383 opens 1.1370 then the 1.1353 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to retest the 1.1405 session high
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

23:01 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.13841

Consolidating below 1.1400 after fade from session high.

NY session drove EUR/USD up to 1.14048 before rejection back toward 1.1384, and price has since consolidated into thin Asia hours with USD firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. A chain of lower highs sits under 1.13920, RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 1.13838, 1.1380, 1.1365

Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14048 session high
  • Break below 1.13838 session low exposes the 1.13800 round number
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this intraday read

22:46 UTC

Pulled back after NY rally, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13855

Consolidation below session high.

NY session rallied off 1.1353 to a session high of 1.14048, where price was rejected at the 1.1400 psych level. Since then it has drifted lower and is consolidating around 1.1385 into Asian hours, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1385 range low opens the 1.1362 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 psych needed to re-test the 1.14048 session high
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

22:46 UTC

Pullback from NY high, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13855

Ranging below 1.1405 session high.

NY session drove a leg up to 1.14048 before fading, and Asia hours have gone quiet ranging 1.1385-1.1392 on thin volume. Price sits near the 38.2% retracement of that rally with RSI mid-range; FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst overhanging the read.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1385 range floor opens the 1.1362 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.1405 session high needed to resume upside
  • FOMC Wed is the key USD driver and can reset this range

22:31 UTC

Intraday rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.13855

Pullback into range after NY rally.

NY session ran from the 1.13557 swing low up to a session high at 1.14048 before rejecting and fading back to 1.1385, where price has coiled through the thin-volume Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price back under both EMAs; the whole move is a positioning drift ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Wed is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
  • Loss of the 1.1385 range floor opens the path toward the 1.1362 monthly low
  • A close back above the 1.14048 session high reopens the upside

22:31 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, flat in Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.13855

Consolidation below session high.

NY session drove EUR/USD up to a session high of 1.14048 before rejection, and Asia has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 1.1386, holding well above the 1.1353 swing low. RSI(14) is neutral near 45 with ATR compressed in thin late-session trade; price is retracing into the 38.2% fib of the 1.1353–1.14048 leg.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1405 reopens the 1.1418 near cap
  • Loss of 1.1362 monthly low exposes 1.1353 swing low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

22:16 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.1388

Faded off session high, ranging near 1.1388.

NY session rallied to a session high at 1.1405 then faded; price is now consolidating 1.1385–1.1392 in thin late-session/Asia hours with RSI(14) flat near 46. No setup in play into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read
  • M15 break of 1.1385 range floor exposes the 1.1362 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 reopens the 1.1405 session high

22:16 UTC

Recovery stalling, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.1388

Range after rally, holding near 1.1388.

NY session pushed EUR from the 1.1353 session low up to 1.14048, where it was rejected and rolled back to consolidate around 1.1388 on thin late-session volume. Price is now pinned just below EMA20, holding above the 1.1385 swing low with the 1.1400 round number capping.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1370, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1400/1.14048 reopens the recovery leg
  • Failure to hold 1.1385 exposes the 1.1370 prior high and 1.1353 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

22:02 UTC

Pulled back from NY high, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13887

Consolidation under session high after rejection.

NY session drove EUR up off the 1.1353 session low to a 1.14048 high before rejection faded it back to 1.1388. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1385-1.1392 range through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 49.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1370, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 1.1385 range floor reopens 1.1370 then 1.1353 session low
  • A close back above 1.1400/1.14048 session high revives the NY rally
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

22:01 UTC

Up off session low, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.13887

Consolidation after NY rally.

NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1353 up to a 1.14048 session high before fading; price now consolidates around 1.1388 in thin, low-volume Asia trade. Sitting just above EMA50 with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1376, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.13920 reopens the 1.14048 session high
  • Loss of 1.13850 range floor exposes the 1.13760 area
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and will reshape this read

21:46 UTC

Rally faded, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13888

Consolidation after NY pullback.

NY session pushed EUR/USD to 1.14048 before supply capped it and price retraced ~40% of the rally. Asia hours are quiet, consolidating tight between 1.1385 and 1.1392 on thin volume with RSI flat around 49.

Support: 1.1385, 1.13789, 1.13657

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13850 opens the 1.1379 fib and 1.1366 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 puts the 1.14048 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

21:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 1.13888

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove EUR/USD off 1.1353 to a session high at 1.14048, part of the USD-long unwind ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Price has since retraced to the 38.2% area near 1.1385 and is drifting sideways on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) back to neutral around 48.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.14018

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14048 reopens the upside toward 1.1418
  • Loss of 1.1385 range floor exposes 1.1353 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

21:31 UTC

Pulled back from session high, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13901

Consolidation under 1.1400 after rejection.

EUR spiked to a session high at 1.14048 during the NY session then faded and rejected the 1.1400 handle, unwinding into a tight consolidation around 1.1389. Late-session volume has thinned to almost nothing with price flat ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13850 range low reopens 1.13530 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.14048 session high revives the earlier upside push
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

21:31 UTC

Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13901

Consolidation below session high.

EUR/USD rallied off 1.1353 through the NY session to peak at 1.14048, then faded and has consolidated in a tight 1.1385–1.1405 band on thin late-session volume. Rejection at 1.1405 held; price now sits mid-EMAs with RSI neutral near 49.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14048 opens the 1.1418 prior cap
  • Failure to hold 1.1385 range low reopens 1.1353 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could override this range read

21:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 1.13891

Consolidation below session high after NY rally.

NY session ran EUR/USD from ~1.1356 to a session high 1.1405 as USD longs eased, then the pair drifted into a tight 1.1385–1.1390 consolidation on very thin late-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 48; price is pinned to EMA20 while holding above EMA50.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1375, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1405 reopens the 1.1418 capping resistance
  • Loss of 1.1385 range floor exposes 1.1375 and the 1.1362 monthly low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD risk that can override this intraday read

21:16 UTC

Intraday bounce, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.13891

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove a rally off 1.1353 to a high at 1.14048, then faded to consolidate in a tight 1.1385-1.1390 band through the thin late/Asia hours on collapsing volume. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 48, no directional pressure in play.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14048 reopens the upside toward the 1.1400 round number
  • Break below 1.1385 range low exposes the 1.1353 swing low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and can override this intraday read

21:01 UTC

NY rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.13857

Pullback after rejection at 1.1405, ranging near 1.1387.

NY session pushed EURUSD to a 1.14048 session high before rejection dragged it back to 1.1387, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.1385 range low into the Asia open, holding a ~38% retrace of the intraday rally.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1385 opens the path back toward the 1.1353 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 puts the 1.14048 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD risk and could override intraday structure

21:01 UTC

Intraday rally rejected, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.13857

Pullback off session high into range.

NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.1356 low up to 1.14048, tagging the 1.1400 round number before rejection dragged price back to consolidate around 1.1386 — a shallow 38.2% retrace of the leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is pinned just below EMA20 as the late-session range tightens between 1.1385 and 1.1390.

Support: 1.1385, 1.13744, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.14000 reopens the session high at 1.14048
  • Loss of 1.13850 range low exposes the 1.13744 fib 61.8 level
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant upcoming risk for this pair

20:47 UTC

Intraday rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.13867

Pullback into range after session-high rejection.

NY session drove EUR/USD off 1.1356 to a session high at 1.14048 before rejecting and fading into a tight consolidation around 1.1387. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s and price is holding above the rally base but below EMA20, with the range floor at 1.1385 the near-term pivot.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1356

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.13975

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13850 range floor opens the path back toward the 1.1356 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.14048 session high needed to resume the intraday rally
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read

20:46 UTC

Up off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 1.13867

Consolidation after NY rally.

NY session ripped off the 1.1353 low to 1.14048, then rejected there and faded into a tight consolidation around 1.1387, RSI(14) back to neutral near 50. Price holding above the 1.1385 base but capped below 1.1398.

Support: 1.1385, 1.13728, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.13975, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13850 opens the 61.8% fib at 1.13728
  • Break back above 1.14048 resumes the NY rally
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

20:32 UTC

Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13857

Consolidation under 1.1400 after NY rejection.

EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14048 during NY hours then rolled over to 1.1386, rejected ahead of the 1.1400 round number. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1385-1.1390 range with RSI neutral near 44 as USD stays bid into FOMC.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.1400 reopens the session high at 1.14048
  • Loss of the 1.1385 session low exposes the 1.1362 swing low
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling after NY rally · RSI 46 · price 1.13857

Consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a sharp leg from 1.1356 to 1.14048 on the USD bid into FOMC, but the move was rejected at 1.1405 and price has since faded into a tight consolidation around 1.1386. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s as the pullback holds the 38% retrace of the rally.

Support: 1.13855, 1.13801, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.14018, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13855 opens the path back to the 1.13557 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.14018 prior high needed to re-engage the session high at 1.14048
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD risk and can override this intraday read

20:16 UTC

NY rally faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13887

Consolidation below session high after rejection.

NY session pushed EUR/USD up to 1.14048 — into the 1.1400/1.1418 area it has repeatedly failed at — before rejecting and pulling back to a tight consolidation near 1.1388, sitting around the 38.2% retrace of the rally. Momentum has cooled with RSI back to neutral; price is holding above EMA50 but slipped under EMA20 as the move stalled.

Support: 1.1386, 1.13728, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.13975, 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.14048 opens the 1.1418 cap zone
  • Failure to hold 1.13860 exposes the fib 61.8 at 1.13728
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant risk and can override this range

20:16 UTC

Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.13887

Pullback after NY rally to 1.14048.

NY session ripped off the 1.13557 session low to 1.14048, then rejected at the 1.1400 round number and unwound to a tight range floor near 1.1386. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 49 as the move consolidates into the late session.

Support: 1.1386, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14048 session high
  • Loss of the 1.13860 range floor points back toward 1.13557
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant risk and can override this intraday read

20:02 UTC

NY rally faded, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13872

Pullback consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a rally from 1.1353 to a session high of 1.14048 before fading back to 1.1387, where price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1386–1.1390 range. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s after the peak; the fade filled roughly a third of the rally. FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver.

Support: 1.13859, 1.1380, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.13859 session low opens 1.1380 then the 1.1360 monthly pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 needed to re-test the 1.14048 session high
  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

20:01 UTC

Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.13872

Pullback holding above session mid after rejection at 1.1405.

EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14048 during NY hours before rejection dragged it back to 1.13872, the bounce off 1.1353 faded in line with the USD-firm tone into FOMC. Price is now consolidating tightly around 1.1387-1.1390, RSI(14) neutral near 46 after cooling from the rally.

Support: 1.13859, 1.13655, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.13975, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.13975 reopens the 1.14048 session high
  • Loss of the 1.13859 range floor exposes 1.13655 swing low
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk into midweek

19:47 UTC

NY rally faded, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 1.13904

Pullback from session high, consolidating.

NY session drove a clean rally off 1.1356 to a session high of 1.14048, but the push above the 1.1400 round number was rejected and price faded back to 1.1390. Now coiling in a tight 1.1386–1.1390 range late in the session, RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s.

Support: 1.13859, 1.1356

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.14000 round number reopens the session high at 1.14048
  • Failure to hold 1.13859 swing low exposes the 1.1356 session low
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk that can override this intraday read

19:46 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13904

Consolidating below session high.

EUR/USD spiked into the London-NY overlap to a session high of 1.14048 before fading, and has since gone flat around 1.1390 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Rejection at the 1.1400 handle capped the move; price is now coiling above the 1.1386 swing low into the Asian handover.

Support: 1.1386, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1386 reopens the path toward 1.1360 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 puts the 1.14048 session high back in play
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk that can override this intraday read

19:31 UTC

Pulled back from session high, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.1389

Rejection at 1.1405, lower highs into late NY.

EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.1405 during NY hours then rejected, sliding back to 1.1388 where it's now consolidating on a chain of lower highs. USD stayed bid into Wednesday's FOMC; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s after the pullback.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1370, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1400 reopens the 1.14047 session high
  • Loss of 1.1385 exposes the 1.1370 base and 1.1353 swing low
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant driver — will override this intraday read

19:31 UTC

NY rally faded, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.1389

Consolidating below session high.

NY session pushed off 1.1353 to a 1.14048 session high before rejecting and fading back to 1.1388, USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1387–1.1392 band, RSI cooled to the mid-40s and EMA20 has flattened just overhead.

Support: 1.1387, 1.1370, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1387 range floor exposes 1.1370 and the 1.1360 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.14048 session high needed to re-engage the NY rally
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:16 UTC

Uptrend leg fading, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.13878

Rally to 1.14048 then lower highs into a grind.

NY session drove a sharp rally from 1.1353 to 1.14048 before supply capped it and price faded back to 1.1388, tracing lower highs. Move fits the firm-USD tone into Wednesday's FOMC; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback holds above 1.1386.

Support: 1.13859, 1.1380, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400, 1.1394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14000 negates the pullback and reopens 1.14048
  • Break below the 1.13859 swing low targets the 1.1353 session low
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and could reset this read

19:16 UTC

Rally faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13878

Pullback after NY rally, consolidating near 1.1388.

NY session pushed EUR/USD up to 1.14048 before the move faded, retracing roughly a third of the 1.1353–1.1405 leg to consolidate near 1.1388 into late NY hours. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral and price is now sitting just under EMA20 after the rejection at the session high.

Support: 1.13859, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1394, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13859 opens the 1.1353 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.13940 needed to re-engage the session high at 1.14048
  • FOMC ~23h away could materially shift this read

19:02 UTC

Rally faded, momentum cooling · RSI 43 · price 1.13873

Pullback after session-high rejection.

NY session drove a ~50 pip rally from 1.1356 to a session high at 1.14048, then rejected sharply back to 1.1387. Price is now consolidating below EMA20, holding around the 50% fib of that leg with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.

Support: 1.13803, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.14005

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14048 reopens the session high
  • Loss of 1.1380 (50% fib) exposes the session low at 1.1356
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant risk into midweek

19:01 UTC

NY rally faded, pullback underway · RSI 43 · price 1.13873

Session high rejection, retracing higher lows.

NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1353 up to a 1.14047 high before rejection at the 1.1400 round number, and price has since bled back to 1.1387 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. The pullback is holding the fib 50% at 1.1379 for now; upside momentum has stalled below 1.1400.

Support: 1.1386, 1.13789, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1380 opens the fib 50% at 1.1379
  • Reclaim of the 1.1400 round number reopens the 1.14047 session high
  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Intraday rally fading off highs · RSI 47 · price 1.13875

Rejection at session high, pullback in progress.

NY session drove a ~50 pip rally off 1.1355 into 1.14048 before rejecting at the round 1.1400 handle, EUR/USD now fading to 1.1388 as the buck stays firm into Wed's FOMC. Move has retraced to the 38.2% fib and RSI has cooled back below 50.

Support: 1.13873, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13873 opens a return toward the 1.1353 session low
  • M15 close back above 1.14000 revives the rally toward 1.14048
  • Wed FOMC (~24h out) can materially reset this read

18:46 UTC

Intraday bounce fading after rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.13875

Session-high rejection, pulling back.

NY session drove a sharp bounce off 1.13557 up to 1.14048, then supply capped the move and price faded to 1.13875, holding above the 1.13835 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally peak to the mid-40s as the leg stalls under 1.14000.

Support: 1.13835, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.13835 opens the 1.13557 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.14000 needed to retest the 1.14048 session high

18:32 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 1.13881

Higher lows into NY, now pulling back from session high.

NY session drove a sharp recovery off the 1.1353 session low to 1.14047 before supply capped the move, RSI(14) cooling back near 53. Pullback is holding around the 1.1385 fib 38.2 area of the rally.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14018

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14047 reopens the path to the 1.1418 cap
  • Failure to hold 1.1362 negates the intraday recovery structure
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and could override this read

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.13881

HH into 1.1405, now retracing.

NY session ripped EURUSD off the 1.1353 low to a session high of 1.14048 on broad USD softness, then rejected there and faded back to 1.1388 as RSI cooled to the mid-40s. Price is now sitting just below EMA20, holding above EMA50 with the pullback still shallow.

Support: 1.1387, 1.1365, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1387 exposes the 1.1365 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.1400 puts the 1.14048 session high back in play
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and could override this intraday read

18:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.13896

Pullback from session high after rejection at 1.14048.

NY session ran a sharp rally from 1.1353 to a session high at 1.14048 before rejection there, and price has faded back to 1.1390 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. The 1.13874 session low is the immediate pivot; below it opens the 1.1362 swing. Wed FOMC is the dominant risk overhanging this pair.

Support: 1.13874, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.14018

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13874 confirms a lower-low and deeper unwind of the NY rally
  • Reclaim of 1.14018/1.14048 re-opens the session high
  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Intraday up, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 1.13896

Rally rejected at 1.1405, pulling back.

NY session drove a sharp rally off the 1.1356 session low to 1.14047, stalling into the 1.1400/1.1418 zone that has capped this week. Price has since faded back to 1.1390, RSI cooling from the highs and slipping under EMA20.

Support: 1.13874, 1.1356

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.14048 resumes the intraday advance
  • Failure to hold 1.13874 opens the path back toward 1.1356
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk that can override this read

18:02 UTC

Up-leg stalling, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.13895

Double top near 1.1405, first lower highs forming.

NY session rallied into the 1.1400/1.1405 area and printed a double top near 1.14047 before rejecting; price is back at 1.13895 with RSI(14) cooled off the highs. This is the bounce the digest flagged capping at 1.1400 — the up-leg off the 1.1353 low is now fading.

Support: 1.1388, 1.1379

Resistance: 1.14047, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14047 negates the double top rejection
  • Loss of 1.13880 opens the fib 50% toward 1.13790
  • FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

18:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 53 · price 1.13895

Rally into 1.1405 then rejection, pulling back.

NY session drove a sharp rally off the 1.1353 session low to 1.14047, where supply capped price and the pair rejected back toward 1.1390. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to mid-range as the pullback fills into the EMA20; the 1.14047 session high remains the pivot.

Support: 1.1388, 1.1356, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.14047, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14047 reopens the path toward 1.1418
  • Failure to hold 1.1388 exposes the 1.1356 session low
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and can override this intraday read

17:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.1391

Higher lows into NY rally, rejected at session high.

NY session rallied roughly 50 pips off the 1.1353 session low to a high of 1.14048, then rejected there and is pulling back toward EMA20 near 1.1389. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought as the pullback develops; the 1.1375 range base is the first shelf below.

Support: 1.1375, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.1375 negates the NY rally and reopens the 1.1362 monthly low
  • Reclaim of the 1.1405 session high needed to extend toward the 1.1418 monday high
  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

17:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 1.1391

NY rally rejected at 1.1400, pulling back.

NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1353 low up to 1.14048, into Monday's 1.1400/1.1418 cap, where it stalled and rejected. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to ~51 as price pulled back to 1.1391; the 1.1400 area capped supply on the retest.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.14048 reopens the 1.1418 cap zone
  • Loss of 1.1362 monthly low resumes the broader downtrend
  • Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) can override this intraday read entirely

17:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.13925

Higher lows into session-high rejection.

NY session drove a clean rally off the 1.1353 low up to 1.14047, where price was rejected and is now pulling back toward the fib 38.2 near 1.1385, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-70s. Move fits the USD-specific bid noted in the context; the 1.1400/1.1418 area capped Monday and capped again here.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1356, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14047, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1385 puts the 1.1356 session low back in play
  • Reclaim of 1.14047 opens the path to the 1.1418 Monday high
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and could override this intraday read

17:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.13925

HH/HL off session low, pulling back from session high.

NY session lifted EURUSD off the 1.1353 session low to a fresh session high at 1.14048, clearing the 1.1376 breakout zone. Price has since eased to 1.1393 with RSI cooling from the highs; the pullback is holding above prior structure. Move runs against the broader USD-bid tone into FOMC.

Support: 1.1376, 1.1356

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14048 opens the path to the 1.1418 prior high
  • Loss of the 1.1376 breakout would signal the rally is fading
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read

17:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.13948

HH/HL chain off 1.1353, rejected at session high.

NY session drove a sharp push off the 1.1353 range low to a 1.14048 session high, before stalling and pulling back to 1.1395. The rally faded at the highs and the 1.1400 round number is back in play, RSI cooling from the impulse.

Support: 1.1384, 1.1365, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 1.13840 breakout area negates the intraday uptrend
  • Reclaim of 1.14048 session high needed to resume the push
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant driver and could override this intraday structure

17:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 1.13948

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1356 session low to a 1.14048 session high, before rejection there stalled the move and price eased back to 1.1394. RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak, but price holds above EMA20/50; the 1.14048/1.14180 zone caps upside.

Support: 1.1393, 1.1373, 1.1356

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14048 opens the path to Monday's 1.14180 high
  • Loss of 1.1393 recent low exposes 1.1373 swing low
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and can override this intraday read

17:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.13958

Higher highs off session low, pullback from top.

NY session rallied off the 1.1353 session low, breaking above 1.1375 and topping at the 1.14048 session high before rejecting back to 1.1396. RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak as price fades into the pullback low; EUR firmed on USD softness ahead of the FOMC. Move stands against the broader monthly downtrend.

Support: 1.1394, 1.1375, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.1375 retest invalidates the intraday uptrend
  • Break above 1.14048 session high opens the path to 1.1418 monday high
  • FOMC Wed is a USD-driving event that can reset this read

17:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 1.13958

Higher highs off 1.1353, pullback from session high.

NY session rally lifted EUR/USD off 1.1353 to a session high at 1.14048, before pulling back to 1.1395 with RSI(14) cooling from hot levels. The bounce is now probing Monday's 1.1400/1.1418 cap; breakout base at 1.1385 is the first pullback reference above the prior low at 1.1362.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.14048 opens the path to the 1.1418 monday high cap
  • Failure to hold 1.1385 breakout base signals the rally is fading
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stretched · RSI 73 · price 1.13994

NY-session breakout, higher highs and higher lows.

NY session drove a sharp rally off 1.1353 to a session high at 1.14048, filling into Monday's rejection zone as USD longs trimmed ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) near 73 with price now stalling and pulling back into 1.1394; the breakout above 1.1375 still holds.

Support: 1.1394, 1.1375, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 1.1375 negates the NY breakout
  • Break above session high 1.14048 opens the 1.1418 monday high
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and could reset this read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 71 · price 1.13994

HH/HL chain, breakout extending.

NY session drove a clean breakout from the mid-1.135s range low to a session high at 1.14048, filling toward Monday's 1.1418 reject cap despite the broader USD-bid backdrop. RSI(14) is hot near 71 and the last bar stalled at 1.1399, momentum cooling into resistance.

Support: 1.1385, 1.1376, 1.1356

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Rejection or break of session high 1.14048 defines next leg; 1.1418 is Monday's cap above
  • Failure to hold the 1.1385 swing low breaks the rising sequence
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant risk and could override this intraday read

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 78 · price 1.14037

Higher highs, fresh session high.

NY session drove a sharp reversal off the 1.1353 low, EUR/USD tearing through 1.1377 and the 1.1400 round number to a session high of 1.14048, RSI(14) near 78. The move contradicts the fading-bounce read into FOMC, but price is stretched at the highs with the 1.1418 Monday rejection just above.

Support: 1.1400, 1.13777, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1400 round number would signal the breakout is stalling
  • A push through 1.14048 opens the path to the 1.1418 monday high
  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 79 · price 1.14037

Impulsive rally, fresh session highs.

EUR/USD ripped through the NY session, rallying ~50 pips off the 1.1353 low to fresh session highs at 1.14047, filling into Monday's 1.1400/1.1418 cap. RSI(14) is hot near 78 with price extended above both EMAs; the move stalled into 1.14047 on the last bar.

Support: 1.1394, 1.1358, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14047, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.14047 opens the path to the 1.1418 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.1394 breakout signals the rally is fading
  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Sharp intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 76 · price 1.14026

Higher highs, breakout above prior range.

NY session ripped EUR/USD off the 1.1353 session low, breaking 1.1394 and reclaiming the 1.1400 psych level in a USD-specific unwind, RSI(14) running hot near 76. Price now presses toward Monday's 1.1418 rejection high after a near-vertical run.

Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.1418 monday high opens path higher
  • Failure to hold 1.1400 psych / 1.1394 breakout negates the reclaim
  • Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) can override this intraday read

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 78 · price 1.14026

Impulsive NY rally off session low, HH/HL chain.

NY session drove a sharp rally off the 1.1353 session low to tag 1.1403, RSI(14) running hot near 78. Price is pressing the 1.1400 round number with the 1.1418 Monday rejection high the next cap overhead.

Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14028, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.14180 monday high opens path higher
  • Failure to hold 1.14000 round number stalls the rally
  • Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Sharp upswing, RSI hot · RSI 74 · price 1.14011

Impulsive rally off session low into round-number resistance.

EUR/USD ripped off the 1.1353 session low through the NY afternoon to test the 1.1400 round number, RSI(14) running hot near 74. Price is now pressing the 1.1400/1.1418 resistance zone flagged into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1353, 1.1372

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 1.1400 keeps the near-term structure soft
  • M15 close above 1.1418 opens the path higher
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side driver for the pair

16:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 75 · price 1.14011

Higher highs off session low, breaking toward 1.1400.

EUR/USD staged a NY-session relief bounce off the 1.1353 session low, clearing 1.1394 and pressing the 1.1400 handle with RSI(14) running hot near 74. The move fits a soft-USD flow ahead of Wednesday's FOMC; price is now testing the 1.14018 session high after a clean run of higher highs.

Support: 1.1394, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14018, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 1.14018/1.1418 keeps rally capped below 1.1400 zone
  • Loss of 1.1394 breakout level signals momentum fading
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side driver for the next legs

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, strong intraday impulse · RSI 77 · price 1.13998

Range break to session high.

NY session drove a sharp impulse out of the day's 1.1360–1.1385 range, tagging a session high at 1.14018 and lifting EUR off the monthly-low area — a relief bounce ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) near 77 is hot but consistent with a fresh breakout; last bar stalling just under 1.1400 psych.

Support: 1.1378, 1.13561

Resistance: 1.14018, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.14018 opens the 1.14180 resist zone
  • Failure to hold 1.13780 breakout puts price back in range
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side driver for the next sessions

15:46 UTC

Sharp intraday rally off lows · RSI 74 · price 1.13998

Range break higher, HH/HL forming.

NY session drove a vertical relief bounce off the 1.1362 monthly low, EURUSD reclaiming the 1.1400 psych level in the last six bars with RSI(14) running hot near 74. Move stalls right at 1.1400 into Wednesday's FOMC; the breakout base sits at 1.1375.

Support: 1.1375, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 1.1400/1.1418 keeps the near-term push capped
  • Failure to hold 1.1375 unwinds the breakout
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side driver and can reset this read

15:31 UTC

Sharp intraday rally, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 1.13962

Higher highs off session low, testing 1.1400.

EURUSD ripped off the 1.1353 session low through the NY session, breaking the day's consolidation and pressing the 1.1399 session high into the 1.1400 psych level. RSI(14) near 73 shows the leg is hot but not yet extreme; the 1.1400/1.1418 zone has repeatedly capped rallies ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1387, 1.1365, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1399, 1.1400, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1400 opens the 1.1418 prior cap
  • Failure to hold the 1.1387 breakout base signals the rally is fading
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 75 · price 1.13962

Impulsive rally off session low, higher highs.

NY session ripped higher off the 1.1353 session low, clearing prior resistance at 1.13787 and stalling just under the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) running hot near 74. Rally is stretched into the 1.1400 area ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.13787, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.13989, 1.1400, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1400 opens the 1.1418 cap
  • Failure to hold 1.13787 negates the breakout
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver

15:15 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off session low · RSI 71 · price 1.13858

Higher lows into NY, breaking prior range top.

NY session pushed EUR/USD up off the 1.1353 session low and cleared the 1.1376 prior range top, with the current bar printing a session high at 1.13861 as RSI(14) runs hot near 71. The 1.1400/1.1418 zone that has repeatedly capped rallies remains the next area to watch overhead.

Support: 1.1376, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.13861, 1.1400, 1.1418

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13861 keeps the higher-low chain intact toward 1.1400
  • Failure to hold 1.1376 reopens the 1.1362 swing low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, pushing session high · RSI 69 · price 1.13782

Higher highs off session low, testing prior day high.

EURUSD rallied through the NY session off the 1.1353 low, printing higher lows and now pressing the session high at 1.13793 with RSI(14) near 69. The mid-1.1380s prior high is the next area to watch as price recovers off the monthly-low zone into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1365, 1.1353, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.13793, 1.1385

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.13850 extends the recovery toward the 1.1400 cap
  • Failure to hold 1.13650 reopens the 1.1353 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

14:45 UTC

Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 65 · price 1.13781

Rebound off session low, higher lows into NY.

NY session pushed back up after a sweep of the session low at 1.1353, with RSI(14) firming into the mid-60s. Price is pressing the 1.1380 round level, retracing most of the earlier drop from 1.13849; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1365.

Support: 1.1365, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13849

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13849 opens the topside toward the 1.1400 area
  • Loss of 1.13650 stalls the recovery and re-exposes the 1.1353 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and can override this intraday read

14:31 UTC

Recovering off session low, range-bound · RSI 61 · price 1.13731

Range with rising lows off 1.1353.

EUR/USD bounced off the session low near 1.1353 and clawed back to 1.1373 through NY hours, holding a broad 1.1353-1.1385 range. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme, and the recent high at 1.1375 caps the topside for now.

Support: 1.1366, 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1385

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1375 recent high opens the 1.1385 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.1362 monthly low exposes the 1.1353 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair

14:15 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off session low · RSI 59 · price 1.13724

Bounce from 1.1353 into intraday resistance.

EUR/USD sold off to a session low of 1.1353 during NY hours before buyers recovered price back to 1.13724, roughly the 61.8% retracement of the day's decline. RSI(14) near 59, sitting mid-range as the pair chops just under 1.1374 session resistance with FOMC risk keeping ranges tight.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1374, 1.1380

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13800 invalidates the recovery-into-resistance read
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 reopens the 1.1353 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure

14:01 UTC

Recovering off session low, ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.13681

Higher lows since London dip, capped near 1.1372.

EURUSD dumped to a session low of 1.1353 during London hours, poking below the 1.1362 monthly-low area, then recovered into NY and is now ranging 1.1362-1.1372. RSI(14) back near midline; price holding above EMA20 but capped under EMA50 with FOMC Wednesday keeping moves compressed.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1372, 1.13798

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1356 reopens the session low and mid-1.1300s
  • Close above 1.1372 swing high needed to extend the recovery toward 1.1380
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair

13:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling, basing near lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13676

Consolidation above session low.

EUR/USD slid through the London session to a session low near 1.1353, then based and recovered into the NY hours, now chopping around 1.1367 just above the 1.1362 monthly low. RSI(14) back to neutral ~51 after the flush; price is pinned between the 1.1362 low and the 1.1373 swing cap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.13849

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1353 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
  • Close above 1.1373 shifts the near-term structure back higher toward 1.1385
  • FOMC Wednesday is the primary driver and could override this intraday read

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 1.13665

Consolidation off session low after leg down.

EUR slid to a session low of 1.1353 during London as the USD firmed into Wednesday's FOMC, then based and recovered to 1.1366. Price is now consolidating between 1.1353 and 1.1372 with RSI(14) back near midline; the monthly-low zone around 1.1362 is holding as a pivot.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1372

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13720 negates the consolidation upper bound
  • Loss of 1.13530 opens fresh downside below the monthly low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the primary driver and could reshape this read

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13657

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above session low.

EUR/USD slid through London hours to a session low of 1.1353, just under the 1.1362 monthly low, then bounced to consolidate around 1.1365 into the FOMC. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral near 50; price is pinned in a tight 1.1353–1.1373 band with the pair capped below prior swing highs.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.13725

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1353 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.13725 swing high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 1.13645

Consolidation above session low after slide to monthly low.

EUR/USD slid into its monthly low near 1.1362 and printed a session low at 1.1353 during the London-NY transition, then recovered to consolidate around 1.1364 as USD firmed into FOMC. Lower highs cap the bounce below the 1.1373 swing high; RSI(14) has drifted back to neutral.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1380

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1353 session low extends the down-leg toward 1.1350
  • Reclaim of the 1.1373 swing high needed to challenge the 1.1380 prior high
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

12:45 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 1.13628

Consolidation above session low.

EUR/USD slid from 1.1372 to a 1.1353 session low during NY hours, pinned near the monthly low into Wednesday's FOMC. Price has since drifted back to 1.1363 and is chopping in a tight range, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.13674, 1.1372

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1353 opens room below 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.13674 needed to challenge the 1.1372 swing high
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 46 · price 1.13647

Lower low swept, bouncing off session low.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the window from 1.1386, sweeping the session low at 1.1353 during NY hours before recovering to 1.1365. Move is USD- and positioning-driven ahead of FOMC; RSI(14) has lifted off oversold territory but price holds below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1335

Resistance: 1.13731, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1353 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.1373 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD driver

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 48 · price 1.13644

Lower lows into 1.1353, recovering.

EUR/USD slid through London to a session low at 1.1353 before buyers stepped in during the NY hours, lifting price back to 1.1364. Move is corrective within a broader drift lower; RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s, price still capped below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13725

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1353 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.13725 needed to challenge the downtrend
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver for this pair

12:00 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.1363

Lower highs, session low probe.

EURUSD ground down through the London session to a fresh session low at 1.1353 before a modest bounce back to 1.1363, price holding below EMA20/50 as USD stays firm on pre-FOMC caution. Lower-high chain intact with the 1.1372 swing capping the recovery.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1372

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1372 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.1350 support extends the downtrend toward the mid-1.1300s pivot
  • FOMC tomorrow the dominant USD driver for this pair

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13651

Lower highs into session low, bounced.

London session ground lower into a fresh session low at 1.1353, just above the 1.1350 monthly low, before a sharp bounce lifted price ~10 pips into 1.1365. EUR remains pinned near the monthly trough with USD firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC; RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to ~46 but price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13728

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1350 opens fresh lows toward the USD-bid scenario
  • Reclaim of 1.13728 swing high needed to challenge the descending highs
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

11:30 UTC

Downtrend, pressing monthly low · RSI 43 · price 1.1360

Lower highs, lower lows into 1.1353 low.

EURUSD sold off through the London session into a fresh low at 1.1353, just above the 1.1350 monthly trough, then staged a shallow bounce to 1.136 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Downtrend structure intact — supply capping every recovery near 1.1373.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13728

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1350 opens cleaner downside from the monthly low
  • Close back above 1.13728 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

11:16 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13603

Lower highs, fresh session low then recovery.

M15 grinding lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.1353 just above the 1.1350 monthly low before buyers stepped in for a bounce to 1.1360. Sequence of lower highs intact; RSI(14) recovering from the mid-day flush but still sub-50.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13705

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1350 monthly low confirms the next lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.13705 pivot needed to break the lower-high chain
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can reset this read

11:00 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 32 · price 1.13585

Lower highs, lower lows into monthly low.

EURUSD broke the intraday range lower into the London-NY window, printing a fresh session low at 1.1353 just above the 1.1350 monthly low. RSI(14) near 31 as the leg down extends; price trades below EMA20/50 with sellers capping each bounce toward 1.1370.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13728

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1350 monthly low opens the path lower
  • Reclaim of 1.13700 would break the lower-high chain
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant EUR/USD catalyst

10:45 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 30 · price 1.13569

Lower highs, breakdown below 1.1362.

NY session extended lower, slicing through the 1.1362 prior support to a fresh session low at 1.1353, RSI(14) into oversold near 30. Price now pressing the 1.1350 monthly low with a chain of lower highs intact.

Support: 1.1353, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1362

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.1362 negates the breakdown read
  • Break and hold below 1.1350 monthly low opens further downside
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

10:30 UTC

Downtrend, pressing fresh lows · RSI 30 · price 1.13555

Lower highs and lower lows, breaking session support.

EURUSD ground down through the London session to a fresh session low at 1.13530, now pinned just above the 1.1350 monthly low with RSI(14) near 29. USD stayed firm as squaring ahead of Wednesday's FOMC kept EUR capped below the 1.13728 swing high.

Support: 1.1350, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.13728

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1350 monthly low confirms a lower-low and opens the path lower
  • Reclaim of 1.13728 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD catalyst

10:15 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 31 · price 1.13556

Lower highs and lower lows into session low.

EURUSD ground lower through the session, breaking the 1.1370 base and printing a fresh session low at 1.13555 just above the 1.1350 monthly floor. RSI(14) near 31 as the pair leaks toward support ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1350, 1.13555

Resistance: 1.13728

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1350 confirms a break of the monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.13728 recent swing would ease the downside pressure
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

10:00 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 37 · price 1.13609

Lower highs into monthly low.

London session grinding lower, EUR sliding to 1.1360 and pressing toward the 1.1350 monthly low as USD holds firm into Wednesday's FOMC. Chain of lower highs intact, capped at the 1.13730 pivot; price below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 37.

Support: 1.13604, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1373

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1350 monthly low confirms fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.13730 pivot would ease the bearish structure
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair

09:45 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13646

Grinding lower into a tight range just above the monthly trough.

EURUSD drifted from 1.1401 down to a session low at 1.13615 through the London session and is now consolidating just above it near 1.1365, RSI(14) subdued around 42. Price holds just above the 1.1350 monthly trough with rallies capped under 1.13730 as the market waits on Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.13798

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 opens the path to the 1.1350 monthly low
  • Reclaim of 1.13730 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

09:32 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 42 · price 1.13646

Lower highs, testing session low.

Price ground lower from 1.1401, consolidated near 1.1370 then broke down to the 1.13615 session low. The bounce stalled at 1.1373 and price is back near the lows, EUR capped by a firm USD ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.1373 negates the breakdown read
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term risk

09:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, grinding · RSI 42 · price 1.13646

Lower highs, testing session low.

EURUSD drifted lower through the London session, printing lower highs and slipping back toward the session low at 1.13615 as USD stays firm into FOMC. Rejections repeat around 1.13720-1.13760; RSI sits mid-40s with no extreme in play.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1376

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.13615 opens fresh EUR weakness toward the 1.1360 round
  • Close back above 1.13760 negates the lower-high structure
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant cross-market risk

09:16 UTC

Downtrend earlier, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.13669

Range after a session-long grind lower.

EURUSD ground lower from 1.1401 through the Asia-London window to a session low at 1.13615, then chopped sideways in a 1.13615–1.13775 band into the late window. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — pre-FOMC caution keeping ranges tight, consistent with EUR ceding direction ahead of Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1367

Resistance: 1.1374, 1.13775

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.13775 negates the consolidation-lower read
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

09:16 UTC

Downtrend fading into range · RSI 45 · price 1.13669

Ranging low-1.137s after leg lower.

EURUSD drifted from 1.1401 down to a session low at 1.13615 before stabilising in a tight range through the mid-1.137s, consistent with the pre-FOMC caution flagged in the digest. Price now sits at 1.13669, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 45 — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1337

Resistance: 1.1378, 1.1384

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 opens fresh EUR weakness toward the low-1.13s
  • Reclaim of 1.13780 session high needed to break the range top
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

09:01 UTC

Range after early decline · RSI 53 · price 1.13725

Consolidation low-1.137s, holding above swing low.

EUR/USD slid from 1.1397 through the Asian session and has since ranged in the low-1.137s, sweeping the 1.13615 swing low before recovering back to the 1.1370 pivot. Price is grinding sideways into pre-FOMC caution with no clear directional setup.

Support: 1.1370, 1.13615

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.1385

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower-low and opens fresh downside
  • Close above 1.13784 session high breaks the range
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant cross-market risk

09:01 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.13725

Range-bound after London-session slide off 1.1401.

EURUSD leaked lower through the prior London session from 1.1401 to a 1.1361 swing low, then coiled into a tight 1.1362-1.1373 range with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price is grinding back to the range top at 1.1373 into current London hours, but the corrective bounce remains capped below prior swings; FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1367

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.13784, 1.1380

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens weakness
  • Reclaim of 1.13800 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

08:47 UTC

Downtrend fading, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.1370

Consolidation after decline off 1.1400.

EUR slid from 1.1402 to a session low of 1.13615 through the Asian range, then chopped in a tight 1.1362-1.1378 band into the London session as the pair stayed capped well below the 1.1400 area flagged in the macro read. RSI(14) sits near 49 — no momentum edge, ATR only ~5 pips.

Support: 1.13615, 1.13667

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.13784 swing high opens the path toward 1.13836
  • German/EZ GDP Thu and Fed Wed are the dominant risks that could break this range

08:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 1.1370

Lower highs from 1.1403, basing above 1.1362.

EUR/USD ground lower through the window from 1.1403 to a session low at 1.1362, and has since chopped in a tight 1.1362-1.1373 range with RSI(14) hovering near mid. The pair remains capped well below the 1.1400 resistance flagged into Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1362 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.1373 puts the 1.1400 cap back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00Z is the dominant USD-side catalyst

08:32 UTC

Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 1.13689

Consolidating above session low after leg down.

EURUSD slid from 1.1402 to a session low of 1.13615 through the Asian hours, then stabilised into a tight 1.1362-1.1373 range as London opened. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 46 with no momentum extreme; price hugs EMA20 after failing to reclaim the 1.13730 pivot.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1365

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1380, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 1.13730 pivot opens the path back to 1.13800
  • Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this cross

08:31 UTC

Downtrend easing into range · RSI 48 · price 1.13689

Consolidation after leg down from 1.1400.

EUR/USD ground lower through the session from the 1.1400 cap and is now ranging roughly 1.1362-1.1373, RSI(14) neutral near 47. The 1.13615 session low held on the last dip and price recovered into the 1.1370 pivot; no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1367

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1380

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 session low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of the 1.13730 swing high opens the path to 1.13800
  • Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this cross

08:16 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.13685

Lower highs, ranging above session low.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the prior NY and Asia sessions, printing a fresh session low at 1.1362 before buyers stepped in on the bounce back to 1.13685. Price is now hovering around the 1.1370 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 45; EUR remains capped well below the 1.1400 area flagged in the wider read.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.1380, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1362 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close back above 1.1373 swing high reopens the 1.1380 area
  • FOMC Wednesday and EZ GDP Thursday are the key risks that could reset this range

08:16 UTC

Downtrend earlier, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.13685

Consolidation after a slide off 1.1400.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the London session from the 1.1400 area, bottoming at 1.13615 before stabilising into a 1.1362-1.1375 range. Price now sits at 1.13685 around the 1.1370 pivot, RSI(14) mid-range near 47 with no directional impulse; the 1.1400/1.1418 cap flagged by the digest stays well overhead.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Break and hold above 1.1375 range top reopens the 1.1400 cap
  • Fed decision Wed and EZ flash GDP Thu could reset this range

08:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 1.13659

Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1403.

EURUSD ground lower through the Asia and early London session, printing a session low at 1.13615 before a shallow bounce to 1.13730 that faded back to 1.13659. Downtrend structure intact with lower highs; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme, price capped below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.13615

Resistance: 1.1373

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13730 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver — read is intraday only ahead of it

08:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.13659

Lower highs after break below intraday consolidation.

EURUSD drifted lower through the London session, breaking below the 1.1368-1.1375 consolidation into a session low at 1.13615. Buyers pushed the bounce to 1.13730 but it faded, and price now sits near the lows with RSI(14) mid-40s and price under EMA20/50.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1357

Resistance: 1.1373

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close above 1.13730 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 1.13615 opens the path toward 1.1357
  • US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC and FOMC Wednesday could reshape this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 1.13679

Lower highs into a base near session low.

EUR/USD slid from the 1.1400 area through the Asian range to a session low of 1.13615, then based into early London and is now chopping 1.1362–1.1377. RSI(14) mid-range, ATR ~4.5 pips; USD firm sub-DXY 101.50 into Wednesday's FOMC keeps upside capped below 1.1400/1.1418.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1367

Resistance: 1.1377, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.13770 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver for this pair

07:46 UTC

Downtrend easing into range · RSI 45 · price 1.13679

Consolidation after sweep of session low.

EURUSD drifted lower through the prior day from 1.1403 and swept the 1.13615 swing low before recovering; London session now ranging tightly 1.1367-1.1373 with price pinned just under EMA20/50. EUR remains capped well below the 1.1400 barrier as the DXY firms into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.13665, 1.13615

Resistance: 1.1373, 1.13775, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1373 reopens 1.13775 and the descending highs
  • Loss of 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver for the next legs

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, drift stalling · RSI 49 · price 1.13701

Lower highs, consolidating near session low.

EUR has ground lower from 1.1402 under the 1.1400 cap, printing a session low at 1.13615 before a shallow bounce back to 1.1370. Price is now consolidating 1.1362-1.1378 with RSI mid-range; no clean setup in play ahead of the Fed.

Support: 1.13615, 1.13665

Resistance: 1.13775, 1.1382

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.13775 opens the path back to 1.13820
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver — this range read is provisional into it

07:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.13701

Consolidation above 1.1362 session low.

EUR/USD slid from 1.1403 through the NY session to a 1.1362 low, then stabilised. Price is now ranging 1.1362-1.1375 into the London open with RSI(14) flat near 47; the Asian range held tight overnight, no fresh direction yet.

Support: 1.1368, 1.13615

Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1382

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1375 range top would break the consolidation upward
  • Break below 1.1362 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1362-below
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver — read is short-lived into that

07:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13727

Session low swept, bounce underway.

EURUSD drifted lower overnight from 1.1406, swept the range floor to a session low of 1.13615 in early European hours, then recovered to 1.13727 with RSI(14) back near 50. Recent high 1.13774 caps the bounce; the 1.13683 swing low is the first support back below.

Support: 1.13615, 1.13683

Resistance: 1.13774, 1.13849

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13774 opens the path back toward 1.13849
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and can override this intraday read

07:17 UTC

Downtrend stalling, ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.13727

Consolidation after morning slide, base building near session low.

EURUSD slid from 1.14065 through the Asian session to a low of 1.13615, then based and recovered toward 1.13730 into the London open. Now ranging 1.13615–1.13775 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1367

Resistance: 1.13775, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 1.13836 shifts the intraday read back to the upside
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair

07:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.13671

Lower highs into a base near 1.1362.

M15 in a session-long downtrend from 1.1410, now basing near 1.1362. The session low at 1.13615 was swept then bought back to the 1.13725 swing high; price is consolidating just below EMA20 into pre-Fed caution.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1367

Resistance: 1.13725, 1.1380, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13725 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.13615 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver for this pair

07:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 1.13671

Consolidating near session lows after decline.

EURUSD faded from 1.1410 through the prior session and swept a session low at 1.13615 before recovering to 1.1367, RSI(14) near neutral. Price now consolidates just under EMA20/50 into the London open, with USD firm on pre-Fed caution capping the euro.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1367

Resistance: 1.1375, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.13615 confirms a lower-low continuation
  • Reclaim of 1.13750 breaks the near-term consolidation
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst — likely to reset this read

06:46 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 45 · price 1.1369

Swept range low, recovered into range.

Asia-into-London drifted lower and swept the session low at 1.13615 before buyers stepped in, dragging price back into the prior 1.1368-1.1375 range. Sits at 1.1369 just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 45; no clean setup while the range holds.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1368

Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower-low continuation
  • M15 close above 1.1375 reopens the 1.1400 cap
  • Fed decision Wed is the dominant driver into this week

06:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 1.1369

Lower highs, holding a tight range after session-low sweep.

EURUSD ground lower from 1.1409 through Asia and swept the session low at 1.1362 early London before recovering to the 1.1370 pivot. Price is now hugging EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 — no directional impulse, USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1362, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1380, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1362 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.1380 needed to unwind the downtrend read
  • US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could inject volatility
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for this pair

06:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 47 · price 1.13705

Lower highs into session low, minor bounce.

Steady grind lower through the Asian range, capped by descending highs from 1.13849. Early European hours broke the 1.13665-1.13775 shelf down to a session low at 1.13615 before a shallow bounce back to 1.13705; RSI(14) recovering from oversold but still sub-50.

Support: 1.13615, 1.13665

Resistance: 1.13775, 1.1380, 1.13849

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.13775 negates the range break lower
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver — could reset this read

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 48 · price 1.13705

Consolidation after session-low sweep.

EURUSD drifted lower from 1.1415 through London and coiled around 1.1370 into the Asia session, then swept the session low at 1.13615 before recovering to 1.13705 — sitting right on the 50% retrace of that drop. Range-bound and low-ATR (~3.5 pips) as the market waits on Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 1.13615, 1.13665

Resistance: 1.13798, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower low
  • M15 close above 1.13798 reopens the 1.1400 cap
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.1367

Lower highs and lower lows, range broke down.

EUR/USD ground lower through the window, breaking a 1.1368–1.1378 consolidation to print a session low at 1.13615 in late Asia before a shallow bounce to 1.1367. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41, consistent with the bearish-flag breakdown into the Fed noted in the macro read; 1.1400 remains the capping resistance above.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1374, 1.1382, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.1374 swing high negates the breakdown
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this pair

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 1.1367

Lower highs, session low swept.

London open swept the session low to 1.13615 before demand stepped in, price recovering to 1.1367 as RSI(14) lifts off oversold territory. The window traced a steady chain of lower highs — a bearish-flag breakdown into Wednesday's Fed — with 1.1376 capping recent bounces.

Support: 1.13615

Resistance: 1.1376

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1376 negates the breakdown structure
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this pair

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs holding · RSI 36 · price 1.13667

Sequence of lower highs and lower lows.

EUR/USD ground lower through the Asian session and into the London open, breaking the 1.1370 pivot to print a fresh session low at 1.13615. Rebounds have capped under 1.13780 and price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI at 36, consistent with the bearish-flag path flagged into the Fed.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1378

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.13780 would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.13615 confirms continuation toward 1.1350
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this pair

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 36 · price 1.13667

Lower highs, session low swept.

EUR/USD drifted lower through Asia into the Fed, a slow bearish-flag breakdown that swept the session low at 1.13615 before a shallow bounce to 1.13667. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36; the 1.1370 pivot now caps as resistance.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1370

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.13700 pivot invalidates the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst and could reset this read

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 37 · price 1.13654

Lower highs, lower lows.

Asia session drifted lower and broke prior support at 1.13683, printing a fresh low at 1.13615 before a shallow bounce to 1.13654. Chain of lower highs/lows intact with price below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 36 but not yet stretched.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.13683

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.13683 would invalidate the breakdown read
  • Loss of 1.13615 opens the path toward the 1.1360 round number
  • Fed decision Wed is the dominant swing factor for this pair

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.13654

Lower highs, breakdown from consolidation.

EUR/USD ground lower through the Asian session and broke a tight 1.1368-1.1375 consolidation, sliding to a session low of 1.13615 with RSI(14) near 35. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 as the bearish-flag path into Wednesday's Fed stays intact; the 1.1370 pivot now caps.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.13705

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.13705 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1360
  • Fed decision Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst for the pair

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 38 · price 1.1365

Lower highs, breaking to new lows.

EURUSD leaked lower through the Asian range and broke the 1.1369-1.1375 consolidation, printing a fresh session low at 1.13615 into early London. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 38, consistent with the sub-1.1400 fade flagged after the failed 1.1418 test.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.1376 swing high would negate the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 34 · price 1.1365

Lower highs, breaking to new low.

EURUSD slid into the London open, breaking the 1.1370 base to print a fresh session low at 1.13615 before a shallow bounce to 1.1365. The downtrend from 1.1418 stays intact with RSI(14) near 34, and price is holding below both EMAs; Fed-week caution keeps the dollar firm.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1380, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.1380 would negate the fresh lower-low read
  • Loss of 1.13615 opens the path toward the 1.1350 round number
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 33 · price 1.13618

Lower highs, lower lows into Asia low.

EURUSD ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 1.13615 on the final bar with RSI(14) cooling into the low 30s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a clean chain of lower highs; the 1.13760–1.13836 band capped every bounce overnight.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 1.13760 would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 extends the downtrend toward 1.1360
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 32 · price 1.13618

Lower highs, lower lows; broke consolidation floor.

EURUSD ground lower through a quiet Asian session and just broke the 1.13680 consolidation floor to print a fresh session low at 1.13615, RSI(14) near 31. Move fits the sub-1.1400 EUR cap noted this week, with price still filling the weekly-open gap.

Support: 1.13615, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.1376 negates the range break and the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.13615 opens the path toward 1.1350
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read

05:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.13684

Consolidation near session lows after London/NY decline.

EUR/USD sold off through London/NY from 1.1418 into the 1.1369 downside marker, then flattened into thin Asian-session trade with ATR compressed near 4 pips. Price is grinding along the session low at 1.13664, RSI mid-40s and still capped below the descending resistance off the 1.1418 high.

Support: 1.13664, 1.13369

Resistance: 1.13798, 1.13849, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • A close below the 1.13664 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of the 1.13798 swing high is needed to break the consolidation
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read

05:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13684

Grinding lower, now consolidating near session lows.

EUR/USD ground down from 1.1418 through the session and is now flat-lining just above the 1.1366 low, tracking the digest's fragile-EUR read into Fed. ATR has collapsed to ~3 pips as the Asian range coils below 1.1378; RSI mid-40s, no momentum either way.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1366 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.1378 needed to break the consolidation upward
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair

04:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13709

Sold from 1.1418 into a tight consolidation near session lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the prior London/NY sessions from 1.1418 to a 1.1366 low, then flattened into Asia between 1.1369 and 1.1378 with ATR compressed near 3 pips. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s — no directional impulse, matching the 1.1369 downside marker flagged pre-Fed.

Support: 1.13664, 1.13691

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1366 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1369 marker
  • Reclaim of 1.1378 swing high needed to break the consolidation upside
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair via USD

04:46 UTC

Downtrend faded to consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.13709

Ranging in lower band after decline.

EUR/USD sold off from 1.1418 through the session and has chopped sideways since, coiling 1.1366–1.1380 as USD firmed on pre-Fed caution. Price sits back at the range floor near 1.1371 with RSI(14) neutral around 47; no momentum in either direction currently.

Support: 1.13664, 1.13691

Resistance: 1.13798, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1366 confirms a lower-low and extends the decline
  • Reclaim of 1.1380 session high opens the 1.1400 pivot
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this range

04:32 UTC

Downtrend faded into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.13699

Tight Asian range near session lows.

EURUSD faded from the 1.1418 area to a 1.13663 low through the prior NY session, then coiled into a tight 1.1366–1.1378 Asian range on thin volume, USD firm pre-Fed. Price is drifting back toward the session low at 1.13699 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no directional break yet.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1369

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.13849, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13663 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • Reclaim above 1.13784 swing high reopens the 1.1400 pivot
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can override this range read

04:31 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.13699

Range after grind lower, flat overnight base.

EUR/USD ground down from the 1.1418 high through London-NY and has since flattened into a 1.1366-1.1380 range during the thin Asia/early-London hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and volume has dried up, consistent with pre-Fed caution; no setup in play at the range base.

Support: 1.13664, 1.13699

Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13664 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 1.13800 needed to challenge the 1.14000 pivot
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and can override this range

04:17 UTC

Downtrend faded to range · RSI 45 · price 1.13704

Ranging near lows after NY selloff.

EURUSD faded from the 1.14177 open-week high through the London-NY sessions to a 1.13663 swing low, then chopped into a tight 1.1367-1.1380 range through the Asian session. Price sits at the range low with RSI mid-40s, holding below EMA20/50 as USD stays firm pre-Fed.

Support: 1.1367, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1385, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13670 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 1.13800 needed to challenge the range top
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver for this pair

04:17 UTC

Downtrend faded, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.13704

Tight range after London-NY selloff.

EURUSD sold off from 1.1418 through London-NY toward 1.1366, then went quiet in the low-volume Asian session, coiling between 1.1366 and 1.1380. Price sits mid-range at 1.1370, RSI(14) flat near 46, no directional impulse ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.13664, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13798, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13800 reopens the 1.1384–1.1400 zone
  • Loss of 1.13664 confirms a fresh session lower-low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD catalyst

04:02 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.13723

Consolidation near session lows.

London selling dragged EURUSD off 1.1417 to a 1.1367 session low, and the Asian session has since coiled in a tight 1.1367–1.1380 band on thin volume. Price sits at 1.1372 with RSI(14) neutral near 49, hugging both EMAs — no directional setup in play pre-Fed.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1350

Resistance: 1.13798, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1367 opens 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.1380 needed to challenge the 1.1400 pivot
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst for this range

04:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 1.13723

Consolidation above session low after leg down from 1.1418.

EUR/USD faded from the 1.1418 open high through London-NY and has since gone quiet, ranging 1.1366-1.1380 through the Asia session on thin volume. Price is pinned near EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional impulse in the last 8 hours as USD holds firm pre-Fed.

Support: 1.1366, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1380 opens the path back to the 1.1400 pivot
  • Loss of 1.1366 confirms a lower low and resumes the downside
  • London open could inject volatility into the current range

03:47 UTC

Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 56 · price 1.13755

Range-bound low, basing above session low.

EURUSD slid from 1.1418 through London-NY into a 1.1366-1.1380 base, and the Asia session is grinding slightly higher off the session low with RSI(14) recovering toward mid-50s. ATR is compressed near 5 pips — no momentum, price coiling under the 1.1380 swing high as noted in the pre-Fed consolidation.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1369

Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1380 swing high opens the 1.1400 psych pivot
  • Failure to hold 1.1366 session low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this range read

03:46 UTC

Downtrend fading, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.13755

Base building above 1.1366 low.

EUR/USD sold from 1.1418 to a 1.1366 base through the London-NY sessions, USD firming into Fed. Asian session has ground back up toward 1.1380, holding 1.1366 twice; buyers stepping in but capped under the 1.13798 session high.

Support: 1.1370, 1.13664

Resistance: 1.13798, 1.1385, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.13798 opens the path back to 1.1385
  • Failure to hold 1.13664 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 58 · price 1.13781

Sold off then consolidating above session low.

London/NY faded EURUSD from 1.1418 down to a 1.1367 session low, with USD firm on pre-FOMC caution despite the German IFO beat. Asia session is grinding a shallow recovery to 1.1378 off a double-bottom base, RSI(14) back mid-range; the broader down-move remains unretraced beyond ~23%.

Support: 1.13664, 1.1372

Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1384 swing high opens the path back to the 1.1400 psych pivot
  • Failure to hold the 1.1367 session low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver into this pair

03:32 UTC

Recovering off session lows · RSI 62 · price 1.13781

Double bottom, higher lows forming.

EUR/USD carved a double bottom at 1.1366 through the Asia session and has ground back up to 1.13781 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) near 62. The 1.13836 swing high is the near cap; above it sits the 1.1400 pivot flagged into Fed week.

Support: 1.1370, 1.13665

Resistance: 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13836 opens the 1.1400 pivot
  • Loss of 1.1366 session low resumes the prior down leg
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver for this pair

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.13757

Recovery from session low, higher lows forming.

EUR/USD sold off through yesterday's London/NY into a 1.13664 session low as USD firmed pre-FOMC, then ground back up in the Asian session, tagging a 1.13784 session high. Move is small and compressed — ATR ~4 pips — with price now sitting above short EMAs and RSI recovering to the mid-50s; the 1.1400 pivot remains the broader cap.

Support: 1.13664, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.13784 session high opens the path back toward 1.13836 and the 1.1400 pivot
  • Failure to hold 1.13664 session low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD driver for this pair

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising into Asia · RSI 56 · price 1.13757

Consolidation near session lows after down leg.

EURUSD sold off from 1.1418 through the London-NY window down to 1.1366, tracking the pre-FOMC USD rebound. Asia session has stabilised with buyers holding twice near 1.1366 and a grind back to 1.13757; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-50s but ATR is thin at ~4 pips.

Support: 1.13664, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13836 breaks the descending resistance and negates the down-leg read
  • Failure to hold 1.13664 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Liquidity picks up into London open; ATR expansion likely to define direction

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 56 · price 1.13771

Tight consolidation above session low, minor bounce.

EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session toward 1.1366, then based in a tight overnight range on thin Asian volume; the last bar popped to 1.13784, lifting off the double-bottom lows. RSI has recovered into the mid-50s but price is still capped below 1.1382 swing resistance, consistent with the USD holding firm into FOMC.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1382 breaks the descending resistance and opens 1.1400
  • Loss of 1.1366 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling, shallow bounce · RSI 59 · price 1.13771

Consolidation above session low after decline.

EUR/USD sold from 1.14177 through the prior session and based near 1.13665, now ranging 1.1367–1.1378 in a quiet Asian session (last bar volume thin). Current bars are edging up to retest the session high at 1.13784, RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR just ~4 pips — no expansion in play.

Support: 1.13665, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13784, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13784 session high opens the 1.13836 swing high
  • Loss of 1.13665 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this range

02:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 53 · price 1.13724

Lower highs from 1.1418, now coiling near lows.

EUR/USD faded from the 1.1418 weekly open through NY on a firmer USD, printing lower highs down to 1.1366. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1366–1.1376 Asian range on thin volume, ATR compressed near 3 pips.

Support: 1.1366, 1.1358

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1385, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1376 session high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.1366 session low reopens the range floor toward 1.1358
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this range

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.13724

Range after leg lower into Asia.

EUR/USD ground down from the 1.14177 session high toward 1.1366 as the USD rebounded, then settled into a tight 1.1366–1.1377 range through the low-volume Asia session. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with price pinned around EMA20; no directional structure in play into the pre-London hours.

Support: 1.1366, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1377, 1.1382

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1366 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1369 downside marker
  • Break and hold above 1.1377 invalidates the consolidation read
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

02:32 UTC

Downtrend flattening into range · RSI 53 · price 1.13723

Consolidation near session lows after down-leg.

EURUSD faded from 1.1418 through London-NY and has since gone flat in late-Asia, coiling 1.1366-1.1377 on thin volume with USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) mid-range near 53, ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1377 opens the path back to the 1.1382 swing high
  • Failure to hold 1.1366 session low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD driver and could reset this range

02:32 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13723

Consolidation after London leg lower.

Price bled from 1.1408 through the London session down to 1.1366 as USD firmed pre-Fed, then went dead flat through Asia — tight 1.1366–1.1377 range on thinning volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51, no momentum in either direction.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1369

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13663 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1369 downside marker
  • Reclaim of 1.13768 needed to break the Asian range higher
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could invalidate this range read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.13734

Double bottom at session low, tight range.

Extended slide from 1.1418 through the prior London/NY sessions stalled into the 1.1366 session low, which held twice to form a double bottom. Price is now grinding a tight 1.1366–1.1376 range in thin Asian trade, RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR compressed near 3 pips.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1362

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1376 opens 1.1382 then the 1.1400 pivot
  • Loss of 1.1366 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1362
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst; range likely holds into it

02:17 UTC

Downtrend paused, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.13734

Basing in a tight range near session lows.

EUR/USD ground lower through the prior London/NY sessions from 1.1418 to a 1.1366 base, and is now consolidating in a ~10-pip range around 1.1373 through Asia. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips as price idles ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.13665, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1376 opens the 1.1382 swing high
  • Break below the 1.1366 session low resumes the down-leg
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst — range likely holds until then

02:02 UTC

Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 1.13725

Asian-session range after London/NY sell-off.

EUR bled from the 1.1418 open high toward 1.1366 through London/NY as the 1.1400 cap held, and the Asian session has since coiled into a tight 1.1366–1.1377 range on thin volume. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with price grinding back off the session low; no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.13665, 1.13585

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above the 1.13768 session high opens 1.13836
  • Loss of 1.13665 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC Wed and EZ GDP Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 50 · price 1.13725

Consolidation near session lows after sell-off.

EURUSD sold from 1.1418 through the NY session and bottomed twice near 1.1366 before stabilising. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1366–1.1377 range in early Asia, RSI(14) back to neutral around 49.

Support: 1.13665, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.13849

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13768 opens the 1.13849 swing high
  • Break below 1.13665 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant USD catalyst into midweek

01:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13735

Consolidating just off session low.

EUR/USD drifted from 1.1414 down to 1.1366 through London/NY after failing to hold above the 1.1400 pivot, and is now consolidating 1.1366–1.1376 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) is flat near 49 and ATR is compressed to ~3 pips, reflecting a low-volatility overnight range.

Support: 1.13664, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.1382

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13768 opens the 1.1382 prior high
  • Break below 1.13664 resumes the downtrend
  • German Buba Monthly Report at 10:00 UTC could add EUR volatility

01:47 UTC

Downtrend stalling, basing · RSI 53 · price 1.13735

Tight Asian-session range near lows.

After Monday's slide from 1.1414, EUR/USD is coiling in a tight Asian-session range between the 1.1366 base low and 1.13768 session high, RSI(14) flat near 53. Buyers have stabilised twice off 1.1366 but momentum is thin on low Asian volume.

Support: 1.1366, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.1384

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13768 opens the 1.1384 swing high
  • Failure to hold 1.1366 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

01:32 UTC

Downtrend stalling, tight consolidation · RSI 61 · price 1.13753

Lower highs into a flat Asian range.

EUR bled from 1.1418 through the London/NY session to a 1.1366 session low, then went flat in a tight Asian range as volume thinned. Price is edging up to the 1.1376 session high in the last hour, RSI(14) near 61; the descending highs from yesterday still cap the recovery.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1369

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13768 session high opens the path to the 1.13836 swing high
  • Failure to hold 1.13663 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

01:32 UTC

Downtrend faded, basing · RSI 60 · price 1.13753

Double-bottom base off session low, minor recovery.

EURUSD sold from 1.1418 through the London-NY sessions to a 1.1366 base, then twin lows near 1.1366 held into quiet Asia trade. Price is grinding back up to 1.1375, RSI recovered to ~60; still capped by the 1.13768 session high ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.1370, 1.13663

Resistance: 1.13768, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13768 opens the path to 1.13836
  • Failure to hold the 1.13663 base confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

01:17 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 52 · price 1.13739

Lower highs into a tight Asian range.

EURUSD bled from the 1.1418 Monday high down to a 1.13663 session low, then went dead in low-volume Asia hours, coiling in a ~10-pip band around 1.1374. Nearby resistance at 1.13770 caps the bounce; the descending highs from 1.14177 keep the near-term structure heavy.

Support: 1.1370, 1.13663

Resistance: 1.1377, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant risk and can reset this range
  • M15 close above 1.13836 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.13663 session low confirms continuation lower

01:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 1.13739

Based after lower lows, tight range near lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY sessions from 1.1418 to a 1.13665 session low as DXY rebounded, then based in a tight 1.1367-1.1375 range through the Asian session. Price has ticked back above the 1.1370 pivot with RSI recovering toward mid-range, but 1.1375 is capping.

Support: 1.1370, 1.13665

Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1382, 1.1395

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.1382 swing high opens the path back toward 1.1395
  • Loss of 1.13665 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • FOMC this week could materially shift this read

01:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.13745

Tight Asian range after NY sell-off.

EURUSD sold off through London/NY from 1.1418 to a 1.1366 session low, then compressed into a tight Asian range with price now nudging the 1.1374 range top. RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR just ~3 pips — Asian-hours drift, no clean setup with FOMC Wednesday still ahead.

Support: 1.1366, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1374, 1.1382, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1382 swing high reopens the 1.1400 psych level
  • Loss of 1.1366 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

01:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 54 · price 1.13745

Consolidation at session lows after sell-off.

EURUSD leaked from 1.1418 to 1.1366 through the London-NY move as DXY rebounded, and has since coiled into a tight 1.1366-1.1376 range in early Asia. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR is compressed to ~3.5 pips — no setup in play.

Support: 1.13665, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.1382, 1.1390

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1376 reopens the 1.1382 area
  • Loss of 1.13665 confirms a lower-low continuation
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Downtrend from Monday, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.13717

Lower highs into a tight Asian range.

London/NY sold EURUSD from Monday's 1.1418 down to a 1.1366 session low, and Asia is now consolidating in a tight 1.1366-1.1373 band on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum; the swing-high sequence at 1.13849 still caps.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13849, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13849 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.13663 confirms continuation of the down move
  • FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, now flat in Asia · RSI 51 · price 1.13717

Intraday lower highs, tight consolidation near session low.

Pair sold off through London-NY from 1.1418 toward the session low at 1.13663 as the USD steadied, then coiled into a tight low-volume Asia range around 1.1370. RSI(14) back at neutral after cooling from the down leg; consolidation between 1.13663 and 1.13760.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13849

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13663 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens the down leg
  • Close above 1.13760 breaks the Asia consolidation toward 1.13849
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:32 UTC

Downtrend flattening into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.13721

Tight Asian range at session lows after NY sell-off.

EURUSD sold from the 1.1418 area through London-NY down to a 1.13663 session low, then went flat in a tight 1.1366-1.1372 Asian range on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 after the earlier slide; no directional impulse in play.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13836 breaks the consolidation and negates the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 1.13663 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, flat into Asia · RSI 53 · price 1.13721

Consolidation at range lows.

EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY session from 1.1418 to 1.1366 as DXY firmed, then compressed into a tight 1.1366-1.1372 Asian range. Price is nudging the session high at 1.13725 with RSI(14) back to mid-range; no directional break yet.

Support: 1.13665, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.13725, 1.1376, 1.1382

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.13760 opens the path back toward 1.1382
  • Loss of 1.13665 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13683

Consolidating near session lows after decline.

M15 leg lower from 1.1418 stalled at the 1.1366 session low, printing a matched double bottom, and price now grinds sideways in a tight 1.1366–1.1372 band through quiet Asia hours with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. EUR handed back Monday's risk-on gains as the dollar firmed, and volume has thinned into single figures on the latest bars.

Support: 1.13663, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13663 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • Reclaim of 1.13760 needed to challenge the descending swing-high line
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13683

Descended then consolidating at session lows.

EUR ground down from 1.1410 through London/NY as DXY rebounded, and is now consolidating tightly around 1.1368 in thin Asian trade. Session low at 1.1366 is holding; RSI(14) neutral near 44 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips.

Support: 1.13663, 1.13721

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1366 opens the next leg lower toward 1.1350
  • Reclaim of 1.1376 swing high shifts the near-term read
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13673

Tight Asian consolidation after decline.

EUR slid through the London-NY window from 1.1418 to a 1.13665 low, then stalled into a tight Asian-hours range between 1.1367 and 1.1372 on thin volume. RSI(14) mid-40s and price pinned below EMA20/50; no setup in play while the range holds ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.13665, 1.1360

Resistance: 1.1372, 1.13836, 1.1400

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.13665 range low extends the down-leg
  • Reclaim of 1.13720 range top opens 1.13836 session high
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, flattening into Asia · RSI 46 · price 1.13673

Lower highs, coiling above session low.

EURUSD ground from the 1.1418 Monday high down to 1.1366 through London-NY, then went flat into early Asia with volume drying up. Now coiling in a 1.1367-1.1370 band just above the session low, RSI neutral near 46.

Support: 1.13665, 1.1370

Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13836

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.13665 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.13760 would break the recent lower-high chain
  • FOMC this week is the dominant risk for the next sessions

All markets that day · Today’s EUR/USD Live Scan in the terminal