Cable sold off hard through NY after the blowout US NFP (172K vs 85K), unwinding from ~1.3480 to test 1.3330. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3330–1.3343 band late in the session, RSI flattening in the low 40s as the slide stalls.
Support: 1.3330, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3343, 1.3360
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3330 opens the path to 1.3300
Reclaim of 1.3360 needed to neutralise the bearish tilt
20:30 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.33312
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above session low.
Blowout US NFP (172K vs 85K) drove Cable off the 1.3483 session high down through 1.3340, a clean run of lower highs and lower lows. Price is now basing just above the 1.3330 session low into late NY hours, RSI hovering in the low 40s with no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.3330, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33437, 1.3356
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33437 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.33300 opens the path toward the 1.3300 psych level
Thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves around the session low
Cable was knocked sharply lower from 1.3479 after the May NFP beat (172K vs 85K f/c), shedding ~140 pips in the NY session through 1.3330. Price is now consolidating between 1.3330 and 1.3380, RSI recovering off oversold near 42, ATR ~10 pips as the move cools into the late session.
Support: 1.3330, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3417, 1.3445
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3380 would break the descending lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.3330 opens the 1.3300 round number
The 172K NFP beat versus 85K forecast triggered a sharp USD bid, dropping Cable from 1.3470 to a 1.3330 session low in the NY session. Price is now consolidating between 1.3330 and 1.3356 with RSI cooling off its lows; lower highs persist below the EMAs.
Support: 1.3330, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.3390, 1.3405
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3356 needed to ease the bearish tilt
Failure to hold 1.3330 opens the path toward 1.3300
BoE Bailey speech could shift this read intraday
19:45 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 40 · price 1.33341
Lower highs, lower lows post-break.
Cable collapsed from ~1.3470 to 1.3330 during NY hours after the May NFP beat (172K vs 85K) drove a sharp USD bid. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3334-1.3356 band just above the session low, RSI(14) basing near 40.
Support: 1.3330, 1.33336
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.33495, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3356 needed to ease the bearish tilt
Failure to hold 1.3330 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.3300 break
Bailey speech could inject fresh GBP volatility into this read
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 36 · price 1.33334
Cable broke down hard after the US NFP beat (172K vs 85K), shedding roughly 150 pips from 1.3483 to sub-1.3340 during NY hours. Price is now basing in a tight 1.3333-1.3356 range with RSI(14) near 36, momentum still pointed lower.
Support: 1.3330, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.3390, 1.3405
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3390 needed to neutralise the bearish tilt
M15 close below 1.3300 opens the path toward 1.3010
Cable broke down hard from 1.3470 after the 172K NFP beat (vs 85K f/c), shedding ~130 pips into 1.3334 during NY hours. Sequence of lower highs intact with price pinned near the session low; RSI(14) compressed in the mid-30s as the slide decelerates into late NY.
Support: 1.33336, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33437, 1.33556, 1.3390
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.33556 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.33336 opens the path toward 1.3300
Bailey remarks and lingering NFP follow-through could extend the move
Cable was crushed from the 1.3483 session high after the hot US NFP beat (172K vs 85K), shedding roughly 150 pips into 1.3334 in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain. Price is grinding along session lows around 1.3336, with bounces capped at 1.3356; RSI(14) near 38, sub-trend but not yet washed out.
Support: 1.33336, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.3417
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3334 opens the path toward the 1.3300 psych level
A close back above 1.3356 would be the first sign of stalling downside
Reclaiming 1.3417 needed to neutralise the post-NFP break
Cable broke down from 1.3479 after the 172K US NFP beat crushed forecasts, shedding ~145 pips through the NY session and now grinding along session lows near 1.3334. RSI(14) sits oversold but is basing as the selling pace eases; 1.3356 caps the bounces.
Support: 1.33336, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.33876
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3356 needed to ease the bearish tilt
Break under 1.3334 opens 1.3300 psych
BoE Bailey speech (18:00 UTC) could shift GBP momentum
Cable collapsed from 1.3483 to a fresh session low of 1.3334 after the US NFP beat (172K vs 85K) flipped the dollar bid through the NY session. Each bounce has capped lower — 1.3356 the latest — keeping the structure a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 1.33336, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.33876, 1.3405
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3356 would stall the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.3334 opens the 1.3300 psych level
BoE Bailey speech (18:00 UTC) could shift Sterling tone
Cable cratered through NY hours after the hot US NFP print (172K vs 85K), shedding over 140 pips from 1.3470 to 1.3337 in a clean range break. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.33368 swing low with RSI(14) in the low 30s; each bounce has stalled below 1.33560.
Support: 1.33368, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.33368 confirms continuation toward the 1.33300 psych area
M15 close back above 1.33560 would break the lower-high chain
BoE Bailey speech remarks could inject fresh volatility into this read
18:00 UTC
Downtrend, steep · RSI 38 · price 1.33426
Lower highs, lower lows post-NFP.
Cable broke hard lower from 1.3470 into NFP (172K vs 85K f/c), shedding over 130 pips during the NY session on the USD bid. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.3341 forming a near double bottom, with a bounce capped at 1.3356; RSI(14) at 38, structure still firmly lower.
Support: 1.3341, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.3375
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3356 needed to ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.3341 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.3300
Bailey speech (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Cable was sold hard from 1.3467 after the US NFP beat (172K vs 85K), shedding ~125 pips into 1.33405 during the NY session. Price has based around 1.3340–1.3356 in the last hour with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, but the lower-high chain stays intact below 1.33742.
Support: 1.33405, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.33567, 1.33742, 1.3404
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.33742 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.33405 opens the 1.3300 round number
BoE Bailey at 18:00 UTC could shift the read in the next bar
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg cooling · RSI 40 · price 1.33494
Lower highs, lower lows post-NFP.
US NFP beat (172K vs 85K f/c) at 12:30 UTC slammed Cable from 1.3483 to 1.3340, breaking the prior NY range and stacking lower highs. Price is now basing 1.3340-1.3356 in the late NY session, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-40.
Support: 1.33405, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.3376, 1.3406
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 1.3356 keeps the post-NFP downtrend intact
Cable collapsed from 1.3483 through NY hours after the 172K NFP beat crushed the 85K forecast, printing a 1.33405 session low. Last two bars bounced to 1.33517 but price holds well below the broken structure; supply capped each retrace into 1.3376.
Support: 1.33405, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.33567, 1.3376, 1.3404
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.33760 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.33405 opens the path toward 1.3300
BoE Bailey (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since NFP, late-session bounce off lows.
Cable broke down hard from ~1.3467 on the 12:30 UTC US NFP beat (172K vs 85K), shedding over 120 pips into a 1.33405 session low. Price is mid-NY consolidating just off the lows; last two bars ticked up to 1.33560 but the lower-high, lower-low chain is intact and RSI is climbing off oversold.
Support: 1.33405, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3356, 1.33742, 1.3405
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.33742 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.33405 confirms continuation toward the 1.3300 psych level
BoE Bailey speech could add a fresh GBP catalyst into the next bars
Cable collapsed from 1.3483 after the 172K NFP beat (vs 85K f/c) revived USD bid, breaking the prior consolidation and printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into 1.3340. RSI(14) near 30 and ATR around 12 pips reflect the elevated downside pace; the last bar is stalling just above the 1.33405 session low.
Support: 1.33405, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33627, 1.33754, 1.34043
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 1.33754 keeps momentum bearish
M15 close below 1.33405 opens 1.3300 psych
BoE Bailey 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp impulsive leg · RSI 32 · price 1.33477
Lower highs, lower lows since NFP.
A hot US NFP print (172K vs 85K) sparked a sharp USD bid; cable broke down through 1.3460 and shed ~120 pips into a session low at 1.33414. Price is now grinding lower under both EMAs, RSI(14) near 31 with only a shallow stabilisation off the low.
Support: 1.33414, 1.3340, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33627, 1.33742, 1.3390
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.33627 would ease the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.33414 opens the 1.3340 round number then 1.3300
BoE Bailey at 18:00 UTC could shift the read into the next bars
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 1.3345
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
NFP printed 172K vs 85K, sparking a sharp USD bid that broke cable down from the 1.3470 ceiling to a fresh session low at 1.3345. Chain of lower highs intact through the NY drop, RSI(14) near 28 but not yet sub-20.
Support: 1.33447, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3376, 1.3390
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3390 would neutralise the bearish tilt
Loss of 1.3345 opens the 1.3300 round number
Bailey speech 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Cable collapsed from ~1.3467 to 1.3355 through the NY session after the blowout US NFP print (172K vs 85K f/c) forced a hawkish USD repricing. Price is carving a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, holding just above the 1.33548 session low with RSI(14) near 29.
Support: 1.33548, 1.3350, 1.3339
Resistance: 1.3376, 1.3391, 1.34085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33760 would ease the immediate selling pressure
Failure to hold 1.33548 opens 1.3390/1.3300 supports below
Bailey speech 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Cable broke hard lower at the 12:30 UTC NFP print (172K vs 85K f/c), collapsing from 1.3463 through the prior 1.3405/1.3390 supports to a fresh session low at 1.33609. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs/lower lows; RSI(14) is depressed near 28 but momentum has not yet reversed.
Support: 1.33609, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3376, 1.3390, 1.34043
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33900 would neutralise the post-NFP downside break
Failure to hold 1.33609 extends toward the 1.3300 area
Bailey speech at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A blowout US NFP (172K vs 85K) at 12:30 GMT slammed Cable from the 1.3470 ceiling down through 1.3400 to a 1.33709 session low. Price is grinding sideways near the lows with RSI(14) basing around 33; last two bars show buyers stepping in at 1.33709 but no reclaim yet.
Support: 1.33709, 1.3339
Resistance: 1.3390, 1.34108
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33900 needed to ease the post-NFP downtrend
Failure to hold 1.33709 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.33390
Bailey speech 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Cable collapsed from 1.3468 to 1.3380 after the 12:30 GMT NFP beat (172K vs 85K) fired a strong USD bid, slicing through 1.3405 and 1.3390. RSI(14) sits oversold near 31 with a shallow bounce off the 1.33795 session low; price holds well below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.33795, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34108, 1.34299
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.34000 would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.33795 confirms a lower low toward 1.3350
Bailey 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 1.33836
Range break lower, chain of lower lows.
Hot US NFP (172K vs 85K) triggered a sharp cable selloff in the NY session, slicing through the prior 1.3420-1.3470 range and printing successive lower lows into 1.33801. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 26 with no stabilisation yet; price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 1.33801, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3391, 1.34043, 1.3447
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.34043 would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 1.33801 extends the move toward 1.3330
BoE Bailey (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
The May NFP beat (172K vs 85K) drove cable off the 1.3483 session high in a waterfall to a 1.3380 swing low, slicing the 1.3404 prior support en route. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 26 and ATR has expanded sharply, reflecting the post-print volatility.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3404, 1.3431
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3404 would ease the breakdown pressure; failure keeps momentum heavy
Close under the 1.3380 swing low opens the 1.3300 psych level
BoE Bailey (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
US NFP beat (172K vs 85K) triggered a vertical selloff from the London high at 1.3483 to a session low of 1.33886, erasing the entire prior advance in under two hours. RSI(14) deeply oversold near 28; price is pinned at the lows with bounces capped under 1.34108.
Support: 1.33886, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.34108, 1.34309
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.34108 would ease the post-NFP pressure
Failure to hold 1.33886 opens the path toward 1.3300
Bailey speech (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Cable was grinding up toward the 1.3470 ceiling through NY hours before the 12:30 GMT US NFP beat (172K vs 85K) slammed it ~75 pips lower, breaking the prior range. Price is now basing around the 1.33943 session low with bounces capped at 1.34218; RSI(14) near 34 reflects the one-way move, no recovery in structure yet.
Support: 1.33943, 1.3390
Resistance: 1.34218, 1.3470
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.34218 bounce high would ease the post-NFP breakdown
Failure to hold 1.33943 session low opens the 1.33900 psych area
BoE Bailey (18:00 UTC) could re-shift this read
13:46 UTC
Sharp downturn after NFP · RSI 32 · price 1.34027
Range break lower, low formed.
The 12:30 GMT NFP beat (172K vs 85K) detonated a USD bid, dropping Cable ~70 pips from the 1.3470 ceiling through prior support to a 1.3394 session low. Price is now consolidating just above that low near 1.3403 with RSI(14) at 31, stretched but not yet sub-20.
Support: 1.33943, 1.3390
Resistance: 1.3411, 1.3431
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3411 needed to ease the post-NFP bearish tilt
M15 close below 1.3390 confirms a fresh lower-low, opens 1.3300
Cable rallied through the NY session to 1.3483 before the 172K NFP beat (vs 85K forecast) drove a vertical drop, slicing ~60 pips to a 1.3401 session low. Price is parked just above the low with RSI(14) near 27, the prior 1.3420s shelf now flipped to resistance overhead.
Support: 1.34006, 1.3390
Resistance: 1.3422, 1.3447
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3422 would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 1.3401 opens 1.3390 support flagged below
Bailey (18:00 UTC) and Dhingra (13:40 UTC) speeches could re-rate this move
US NFP smashed forecast (172K vs 85K) and cable cratered from 1.3467 to 1.3401 in three M15 bars on the dollar bid. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 22 after the breakdown; price now stalling around 1.3411 just above the fresh session low.
Support: 1.34006, 1.3390
Resistance: 1.3463, 1.3470
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3463/1.3470 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.3390 opens the path toward 1.3300
Dhingra (13:40 UTC) and Bailey (18:00 UTC) speeches could shift this read
NFP smashed forecasts (172K vs 85K) and cable collapsed ~80 pips in two M15 bars, slicing through the 1.3470 ceiling and the 1.34309 shelf to print a session low at 1.34006. RSI(14) is stretched near 27 after the impulse, with price now pinned at the 1.3400 round number.
Support: 1.34006, 1.3390
Resistance: 1.34309, 1.3470
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 1.34309 keeps momentum bearish
A close back under 1.3390 extends the leg toward 1.3300
Dhingra (13:40 UTC) and Bailey (18:00 UTC) speeches could shift the read
The 172K NFP beat (vs 85K forecast) drove cable from the 1.3470 area to 1.3430 in a single M15 bar, breaking the day's range and snapping the prior rally toward 1.3483. RSI(14) collapsed near 31 as price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, with the session base at 1.3420 the next downside reference.
Support: 1.3420, 1.3405
Resistance: 1.3483
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3470 needed to neutralise the bearish reversal
Failure to hold 1.3420 session base opens 1.3405 support
Bailey speech (18:00 UTC) could extend the move if it leans dovish
Cable climbed through the NY session from 1.3420 to a 1.3483 session high, then the NFP print at the bar close sent it spiking down from 1.3467 to 1.34406 before settling at 1.34454. Price is back below EMA20 with RSI cooling to mid-40s; the 1.3470 ceiling flagged in the macro read is again capping.
Support: 1.34406, 1.34157, 1.3405
Resistance: 1.3470, 1.3483
What it said to watch
NFP volatility still unwinding — read unstable for the next bar or two
Failure to reclaim 1.3470 keeps intraday momentum bearish
M15 close below 1.34406 opens the path to 1.34157 session low
BoE Dhingra (13:40 UTC) and Bailey (18:00 UTC) could shift GBP leg
Cable ran up through the London-NY transition to a session high at 1.3483 before fading to 1.3466, RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Price holding above the 1.3460 swing low with EMA20/50 below; structure still constructive but stalling right under the 1.3470-75 ceiling flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.3460, 1.3434, 1.3416
Resistance: 1.3475, 1.3483
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~15min) is the dominant driver and can void this read instantly
Failure to reclaim 1.3475 keeps the pre-NFP stall in play
M15 close below 1.3460 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.3434
London session rallied Cable off the 1.3416 swing low to a session high at 1.3483, reclaiming and breaking the 1.3470 ceiling. Price now consolidating near 1.3469 retesting that broken level as support, RSI cooling from the highs into US NFP at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.3470, 1.3466, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3483, 1.34791
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read in the next bar
Failure to hold 1.3470 reopens 1.3466 then the 1.3416 swing low
Higher highs off session low, pullback to ceiling.
London session lifted cable off the 1.3416 session low to a 1.3483 high, reclaiming the 1.3470 ceiling flagged as the line between bearish and neutral tilt. Price is now retesting 1.3470 with RSI cooling from the rally peak.
Support: 1.3466, 1.3434, 1.3416
Resistance: 1.3483, 1.3470
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is imminent and the dominant near-term driver — could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.3470 on close keeps the prior bearish momentum intact
Close above 1.3483 extends the intraday higher-high chain
11:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 59 · price 1.34665
Higher highs into session high, minor retrace.
Cable rallied through the 1.3470 ceiling during London hours, peaking at 1.3483 before easing to 1.34665. The move reclaimed the level the digest flags as the bearish/bullish pivot; pullback so far holding above the breakout zone, RSI cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.3455, 1.3434, 1.3424
Resistance: 1.3483, 1.3470
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is the dominant driver and can reset this read
Close back below 1.3470 negates the reclaim and revives the bearish tilt
Failure to hold 1.3455 breakout zone confirms a lower-high
London session rally lifted Cable off the 1.3420 base and broke back above the 1.3470 ceiling to a session high of 1.3483 before easing to 1.3474. RSI cooling from overbought as the move stretched; 1.3470 now flipped to support after the prior rejection there.
Support: 1.3470, 1.3460, 1.3420
Resistance: 1.3483
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~75min) is the dominant driver — could override this read
Loss of 1.3470 reopens the 1.3460 swing and the 1.3420 base
Close above 1.3483 extends the session high
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 1.34769
Higher highs off session low, reclaimed 1.3470.
Cable ground higher through the London session, rallying from the 1.3415 base to a 1.3483 high and reclaiming the 1.3470 ceiling flagged into NFP. RSI(14) near 71 — short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive leg. Move is stretched with US payrolls due ~12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.3470, 1.3460, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3483, 1.3500
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver — a hot print could pressure cable back below 1.3470
Failure to hold 1.3470 on a close back below neutralises the breakout read
NY-hours rally took Cable through the 1.3470 ceiling flagged earlier, printing a fresh session high at 1.3482 with RSI(14) hot near 76. The advance is a clean chain of higher highs off the 1.3416 London low; no rejection yet at the highs.
Support: 1.3470, 1.34532, 1.34247
Resistance: 1.34825
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver — could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.3470 on a close back below it neutralises the breakout
Loss of 1.3453 swing high confirms momentum stalling
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, testing ceiling · RSI 71 · price 1.34682
HH/HL chain into 1.3470 cap.
Cable ground higher through the London session, rallying off the 1.34157 low to test the 1.3470 ceiling flagged into NFP. RSI(14) is hot near 70 as price stalls just under the cap; the move sits well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3459, 1.3445, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3470
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2h) dominates the next leg — large move risk
Failure to reclaim 1.3470 keeps the ceiling intact
M15 close above 1.3470 opens room higher; loss of 1.3459 breaks the HL chain
London session lifted Cable off the 1.34157 swing low through a base near 1.3435, printing 1.3469 just under the 1.3470 ceiling flagged into NFP. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; the move is stalling right at resistance with US payrolls due at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.3435, 1.34157, 1.3405
Resistance: 1.3470
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 1.3470 keeps momentum capped
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver for the next bars
Loss of 1.3435 breakout reopens the 1.34157 swing low
10:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, near ceiling · RSI 70 · price 1.34612
Recovery off 1.3416, pressing 1.3470.
London session drove Cable off the 1.3416 base back up to a 1.3469 session high, stalling just under the 1.3470 ceiling with RSI(14) near 70. Price pulled back to 1.3461 after the spike — the ceiling is holding so far ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.3453, 1.3420, 1.3405
Resistance: 1.3470, 1.3469
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and can override this read
M15 close above 1.3470 neutralises the bearish tilt above
Failure to hold 1.3453 reopens the 1.3420 swing low
London session rallied off the 1.34157 swing low and the 1.34240 consolidation, pushing into the 1.3470 ceiling where the 1.34695 session high capped, RSI(14) near 69. Move ties to a softer USD squaring into NFP; price holding the upper end of the intraday range.
Support: 1.3424, 1.34157, 1.3405
Resistance: 1.34695, 1.3470
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver for the next bars
Failure to reclaim 1.3470 keeps prior momentum bearish per the broader read
Loss of 1.34240 reopens the 1.34157 swing low
09:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum picking up · RSI 71 · price 1.34622
Higher lows, pressing range top.
Cable ground out a base near 1.3416 through the quiet Asian hours, then ramped through the London morning to a 1.34695 session high, stalling just under the 1.3470 ceiling. RSI(14) is hot near 71 and price is extended above EMA20/50, with the move running straight into today's US NFP.
Support: 1.34525, 1.34188, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3470, 1.34695
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — likely overrides this read
Sustained M15 close above 1.3470 neutralises the prior bearish tilt
Failure to hold 1.34525 reopens 1.3420 and the 1.3416 range low
Higher highs off the session low into the 1.3470 ceiling.
Cable rallied off the 1.34157 session low through the European morning, breaking the 1.3425 consolidation and pushing into the 1.3470 ceiling before closing at 1.34624. RSI(14) near 68 and elevated but not extreme; price sits just under the 1.3465-1.3470 cap flagged in the broader read.
Support: 1.3445, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3470, 1.34695
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this structure
M15 close above 1.3470 opens the path higher; failure to reclaim keeps the move capped
Loss of 1.3445 reopens the 1.34157 session low
09:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 1.34551
Recovery off range lows, higher highs.
London session drove a clean recovery off the 1.3420 base, breaking back through 1.3450 with RSI(14) near 70. Price is pressing the session high at 1.34578 — area to watch for rejection or break — having printed a chain of higher lows through the morning.
Support: 1.3443, 1.3428
Resistance: 1.34578, 1.34624
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.34430 would break the higher-low chain
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h) is a cross-driver that could reset this read
A close above 1.34578 opens the path toward 1.34624
08:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 69 · price 1.34551
London rally broke back above Asian range, near session high.
London session rallied off the Asian range near 1.3420, breaking back above the breakout shelf at 1.3442 and pressing the session high at 1.34578, RSI(14) running hot near 69. Cable still set for a corrective week after failing above 1.3470 earlier; price is grinding into resistance ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.3442, 1.3420, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34578, 1.34624
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the swing risk and can override this read
Close above 1.34578 opens the path back toward the 1.34624 swing high
Loss of 1.3442 breakout reopens the Asian range toward 1.3420
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, RSI hot · RSI 71 · price 1.34553
Higher highs/lows off range base.
Cable rallied through the London session off the 1.3424 range base, clearing prior congestion and pushing into 1.3456, aided by a softer USD ahead of NFP. RSI(14) running hot near 70 as price approaches the session high at 1.3462.
Support: 1.34434, 1.3424, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34624 extends the rally beyond the session high
Loss of 1.34434 breaks the rising-low chain back toward the 1.3424 base
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the main external driver and could reset this read
Higher highs off the 1.3416 low, breaking overnight range.
London session pushed Cable up off the 1.34157 session low, breaking through the flat overnight range near 1.3426 to print a session high at 1.34536. RSI(14) around 71 — hot but normal in this kind of impulse — with ATR running thin near 5 pips into the event. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant external risk for the next leg.
Support: 1.34352, 1.34188, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34536, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34624 opens the path to fresh session extension
Failure to hold 1.34352 negates the breakout read
US NFP at 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Short-term uptrend, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.34455
Breakout above Asian consolidation.
Cable rebounded off the session low at 1.34157 through the London open, breaking out of the tight Asian consolidation around 1.3428 to print a fresh session high at 1.34482. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; ATR sits near 6 pips.
Support: 1.3428, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34482
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the main external driver and could shift this read
Close back below 1.3428 negates the breakout
07:46 UTC
Intraday reversal, momentum up · RSI 69 · price 1.34441
Day-long drift lower reversed; higher lows building into London hours.
Cable carved a double bottom near 1.34157 through the overnight grind, then broke the 1.34330 base in early London hours, rallying to 1.34482 with RSI(14) near 69. Price is back near the session high after a shallow softer-USD bounce; the bigger driver is US NFP at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.3433, 1.3424, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34482, 1.34623
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the main external driver for the next bars
Close above 1.34482 opens the path to the 1.34623 window high
Failure to hold the 1.34330 breakout base reopens the 1.34240 range floor
07:31 UTC
Recovery after intraday decline · RSI 67 · price 1.34421
Bouncing off session low, reclaiming mid-range.
Cable bottomed near 1.34157 in the Asian session and has pushed back up through its recent base around 1.3424, last trading 1.34421 with RSI(14) near 67. The bounce reclaims roughly half of the decline from the 1.34624 session high; swing high at 1.34514 is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.3424, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34514, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3424 negates the recovery and re-exposes 1.34157
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the main external driver and could reset this read
07:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.34395
Double bottom, higher lows forming.
Cable bottomed twice near 1.34160 during the London-NY transition and has clawed back to 1.34395, the 50% retrace of the prior 1.34624-1.34157 drop, aided by a softer USD on ceasefire headlines. Recent bars print higher lows with price reclaiming EMA20/50; bar high at 1.34410 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.3424, 1.3416, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3441, 1.3452, 1.34624
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant external driver and could override this read
Close above 1.34410 opens the path toward the 1.34520 swing high
Loss of 1.34240 retest re-exposes the 1.34160 double bottom
07:01 UTC
Recovering off overnight low · RSI 60 · price 1.34352
Consolidation breaking higher into London.
Cable drifted lower from the 1.34624 session high through the Asian session, then held a tight asian range around 1.3420-1.3424 overnight before lifting into the London open. Last bars pushed back above 1.3435 with RSI(14) near 60; the micro high at 1.34390 caps for now.
Support: 1.3424, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3439, 1.34624
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.34390 micro high opens path back to 1.34624 session high
Loss of 1.34240 reopens the 1.34157 overnight low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 58 · price 1.34351
Lower highs into 1.3416 base, recovery underway.
Cable ground lower through the NY session from the 1.3462 swing high to a 1.3416 base, twice holding the same shelf before this early-London bounce back toward 1.3440. RSI(14) has lifted to mid-range as price reclaimed the EMA20/50; soft UK data continues to undercut the hawkish BoE premium.
Support: 1.3420, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3441, 1.3462
What it said to watch
Close above 1.34410 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.34157 confirms a fresh lower-low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.34302
Tight Asian-session range after NY pullback.
Cable drifted off the London-NY high at 1.34624 and has spent the Asian session pinned in a tight 1.34183-1.34315 range with ATR compressed to a few pips. RSI is neutral and price is hugging EMA20; no directional structure in play ahead of the catalyst.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.34315, 1.3439, 1.34624
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the cross-asset catalyst and can break this range
M15 close below 1.34183 confirms a lower low and opens 1.34113
M15 close above 1.34315 reopens the 1.34390 swing
06:16 UTC
Pullback stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.34265
Consolidation after NY-session decline.
Cable sold off from the 1.34624 NY-session high to 1.34157 then settled into a tight Asian-session range between 1.34185 and 1.34315, now sitting mid-range at 1.34265 with RSI neutral. Low volume and shrinking ATR confirm range conditions, no setup in play.
Support: 1.34185, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34315, 1.3439
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the cross-asset focus and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.34315 reopens the path toward 1.34390
Break below 1.34157 confirms a lower low
06:01 UTC
Pullback off session high, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.3424
Lower highs into tight consolidation near 1.3424.
Cable rolled over from the 1.3462 session high and has coiled into a tight 1.3420-1.3430 range, price now pinned near the 0.786 retrace of that up-leg. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no momentum extreme; sterling stays capped by soft UK data despite a softer Dollar.
Support: 1.3420, 1.34157, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3430, 1.34453, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3420 confirms continuation toward 1.34113 session low
Reclaim of 1.3430 reopens 1.34453
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Consolidation in low 1.342s after decline from 1.3462.
Cable peaked at 1.34624 mid-window then bled lower through the Asian session, now consolidating in the low 1.342s with RSI back to neutral. Higher lows off the 1.34157 session low show mild stabilisation, but price sits below EMA50 and capped under 1.3432.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3432, 1.3443, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34320 reopens the path toward 1.34430
Failure to hold 1.34157 confirms a fresh lower-low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Range-bound, drifting up off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.34295
Tight Asian range after London-NY pullback.
Cable sold off from the London high at 1.34623 through NY and spent the Asian session compressing into a 1.3420–1.3430 range. Early London is nudging price back toward the 1.34315 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with ATR(14) cooled to ~18 pips.
Support: 1.34193, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34315, 1.34434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34315 opens the path back toward 1.34434
Failure to hold 1.34157 confirms a lower-low
US NFP 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.3428
Consolidation in lower third of session range.
Cable rallied to a session high of 1.3462 during London then bled back to grind sideways around 1.3424, holding the 1.3416 swing low. Price is pinned between 1.3420 and 1.3430 with RSI(14) flat near 53 — no setup in play ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.3416, 1.3420
Resistance: 1.3430, 1.3445, 1.3462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3416 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 1.3445 (50% of the down-leg) would shift the intraday read higher
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~7h) is the dominant near-term driver
05:02 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 1.34285
Consolidation after pullback from session high.
Cable pulled back from the London-NY session high at 1.34623 and has spent the Asia session coiling in a tight 1.3416-1.3430 band, now drifting back to 1.34285. RSI(14) mid-range near 54, no momentum extreme, with the market parked ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.34315, 1.3443, 1.34623
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34315 reopens the path toward 1.34430
Loss of 1.34157 confirms a lower low and reasserts the down leg
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~7.5h) is the dominant near-term risk to this range read
04:46 UTC
Pullback fading, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.34288
Range after fade from London high.
Cable peaked at 1.34624 during London then faded steadily, settling into a tight 1.3416-1.3430 range through the quiet Asia hours. Price is ticking up to the 1.34294 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR compressed.
Support: 1.34157, 1.3420, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.34294, 1.34434, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34294 reopens the path toward the 1.34434 swing pivot
Loss of 1.34157 confirms a lower-low and resumes the fade
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Corrective, range-bound · RSI 50 · price 1.34263
Ranging after fade from 1.3462.
GBPUSD faded from the 1.3462 day high during the London-NY session and has churned in a tight 1.3416-1.3439 band through the quiet Asia session, last 1.3426. RSI(14) flat near 49 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no setup in play ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34394, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3440 reopens the path toward the 1.3462 day high
Failure to hold 1.3416 confirms a lower-low and extends the corrective leg
US NFP 12:30 GMT could break this range sharply
04:16 UTC
Corrective, ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.34274
Tight Asian range near 1.3425.
Cable is grinding flat in a 1.3416–1.3429 Asian range after London-NY faded the push off 1.3462; GBP stays soft post weak UK services data. RSI hovers near neutral and ATR has compressed to under 9 pips into the session lull.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.3429, 1.34439
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3429 range top opens room toward the 1.3444 swing high
Loss of 1.3416 session low confirms a lower-low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~8h) is the key external test for this read
04:01 UTC
Corrective, range-bound near 1.3425 · RSI 53 · price 1.34267
Ranging after NY downleg, low swept.
Quiet Asian session, GBPUSD ranging 1.3416–1.3428 after sliding from the 1.3462 NY high as soft UK data kept sterling corrective. The 1.34157 session low was swept and recovered; RSI sits neutral near 53 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34188
Resistance: 1.34281, 1.3434
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~8.5h) is a key external test that could break this range
M15 close above 1.34281 opens the path back toward 1.34340
GBPUSD sold off from the London-NY high at 1.34624 and has since coiled in a tight 1.34157-1.34290 range through the Asia session, sterling soft on weak UK data and conflicting BoE signals. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with no momentum edge; price hovering just above EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34188
Resistance: 1.3429, 1.34624
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.34290 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 1.34157 confirms a lower low
03:31 UTC
Corrective, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 1.34256
Tight range after intraday selloff.
GBPUSD is grinding sideways in a tight 1.3420–1.3428 band through the Asia session after London-NY faded the 1.3462 peak back below 1.3430 on soft UK data. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressing to ~9 pips. US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant external risk for the next leg.
Support: 1.34203, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.3436
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34277 reopens the path toward the 1.34360 pivot
Loss of 1.34157 confirms a lower-low and extends the corrective leg
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially break this range
03:16 UTC
Corrective, range-bound · RSI 50 · price 1.34249
Consolidation after decline from 1.3462.
Asia session grinding in a tight 1.3416–1.3428 range after rolling off the 1.3462 London high, with ATR compressed to ~4 pips. RSI(14) neutral near 50; price hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50, consistent with the soft, corrective GBP tone into NFP.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34157
Resistance: 1.34281, 1.3434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34281 reopens the path toward 1.34340
Failure to hold 1.34157 confirms a lower-low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
GBPUSD is grinding in a tight Asian-session range between 1.3418 and 1.3428 after London/NY faded the move down from the 1.3462 high. ATR has compressed to ~4 pips and RSI sits mid-40s — no setup in play, with sterling soft into US NFP.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34183
Resistance: 1.34281, 1.3436
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is a high-impact external test that could break this range
M15 close below 1.34157 confirms a lower-low
M15 close above 1.34281 reopens the 1.34360 swing high
02:46 UTC
Corrective, range-bound after pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.34236
Ranging post lower-high sequence.
GBPUSD rolled over from the NY high at 1.34623 and printed lower highs, with sterling soft on contractionary UK data; price now grinds a tight Asian range 1.34157–1.34281. RSI(14) sits mid-zone near 47, ATR compressed to ~22 pips, no momentum in play.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34203
Resistance: 1.34281, 1.34373, 1.34623
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.34157 confirms a lower-low and extends the corrective leg
Close above 1.34281 reopens the path toward 1.34373
US NFP ~10h away is a key external test that can break the range
02:31 UTC
Corrective, ranging after pullback · RSI 52 · price 1.34266
Range-bound, holding above session low.
GBPUSD faded from the 1.34624 NY high through the session and is now chopping in a tight 1.34157–1.34291 Asian range, consistent with the soft, corrective GBP tone. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with price pinned around the EMAs — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34113, 1.3400
Resistance: 1.34291, 1.34434, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.34157 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.34113 london low
M15 close above 1.34291 breaks the Asian range toward 1.34434
US NFP ~12:30 UTC (~10h) is a high-impact external test that can override this range read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend faded into range · RSI 48 · price 1.3427
Ranging after pullback from 1.3462.
GBPUSD sold off from the 1.3462 day high through London-NY and has gone quiet in Asia, drifting in a tight 1.3416-1.3434 band on thinning volume. RSI(14) flat near 48 with price pinned around EMA20; no directional development in the last 8 hours.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34188
Resistance: 1.3434, 1.34623
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3434 prior pivot would re-open the path to 1.3462 day high
Loss of 1.3416 session low confirms continuation of the downleg
US NFP ~12:30 UTC (~10h) is a high-impact external test for this range
London pushed GBPUSD to 1.3462 before fading through NY on soft UK data and a firm Dollar, unwinding the move back toward 1.3420. Asia is now ranging 1.34157-1.34290 with RSI flat near 46; no setup in play into the US payrolls test.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3429, 1.34411, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.34157 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.34290 reopens the range top
US NFP ~12:30 UTC is high risk and can break this range
GBPUSD rolled over from the 1.3462 swing high through the NY session and has consolidated in a tight 1.3418–1.3424 band through Asia, price holding below EMA20/50. Sterling stays corrective near 1.34 on soft UK data and a firm USD into NFP; RSI(14) subdued around 43 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3429, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.34113 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.34290 breaks the run of lower highs
US NFP ~12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
GBPUSD rallied to a London-session high of 1.3462 then faded steadily, printing lower highs as soft UK data kept sterling capped. Price now drifting into the Asia session near 1.3418, pressing the 1.3416 session low with RSI(14) sub-40.
Support: 1.34157, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3424, 1.34623
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.34157 confirms continuation toward 1.34113
Reclaim of 1.34240 stalls the lower-high sequence
US NFP ~12:30 UTC is a key external test that could shift this read
London-NY pushed to 1.34624 before fading the entire move back to 1.342 on soft UK data and a firm USD into NFP. Asia session now coiling tight around 1.342, RSI(14) mid-range with price holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.34291, 1.34527, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.34291 reopens the range top toward 1.34527
Failure to hold 1.34183 confirms a lower-low toward 1.34113
Consolidating near session lows after fade from high.
Quiet Asia session; GBPUSD pinned around 1.3422 after fading the full London-NY rally that peaked at 1.34624. Sterling stays soft and corrective on weak UK data, with price grinding through lower highs back to the session-low zone at 1.34183.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3427, 1.34411, 1.34624
What it said to watch
Close below 1.34183 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.34113
Reclaim of 1.34270 stalls the corrective read
US NFP ~12:30 UTC is a key external test that could break this range
London/NY rally to 1.34623 was rejected and price has bled back to the 1.342 area, now ticking out a tight low-volume range into late Asia. RSI sits mid-40s and price holds below EMA20/50; GBP stays soft and corrective ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3429, 1.3447, 1.34623
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.34183 confirms a lower low and extends the corrective leg
Reclaim of 1.34290 would challenge the lower-high sequence
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is a key external test that could break this range
Cable topped at 1.34623 in the NY session then bled lower to consolidate around 1.3420 through Asia, with sterling soft on weak UK services data and a firm USD. Price is hugging the 1.34183 session low; RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to single digits in quiet Asian hours.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3425, 1.3444, 1.34623
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.34183 opens the path to 1.34113
Reclaim of 1.34250 needed to challenge the 1.34440 lower high
US NFP 12:30 UTC Friday is a key external test for this read
Lower highs since London peak, now ranging at lows.
GBPUSD drifted lower through a quiet Asian session after the London push to 1.3462 was rejected, leaving a chain of lower highs. Price now coils just above the 1.3418 session low with RSI(14) flat in the low 40s and price under both EMAs; soft UK data keeps the tone corrective.
Support: 1.34183, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3425, 1.3429, 1.34453
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3418 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.3425 range top would stall the lower-high sequence
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant external risk for this pair
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.34214
Pulled back from session high, ranging near lows.
GBPUSD rallied to a London high of 1.34624 then sold off steadily through NY, with corrective tone backed by soft UK data and a firm USD. Price has gone flat near 1.342 in low-volume Asian hours, RSI mid-40s, ATR compressing to ~14 pips.
Support: 1.3420, 1.34113
Resistance: 1.3429, 1.3439, 1.34624
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.342 opens the 1.34113 swing low
Reclaim of 1.3429 needed to challenge the 1.3439 lower high
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the key external test for this read