GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 18 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 44 · price 1.32039

Tight consolidation near two-month lows after extended sell-off.

GBPUSD sold off through London-NY toward two-month lows after the BoE's dovish 7-2 hold, then flattened into a tight low-volume Asia range around 1.3204. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no momentum either way; price is pinned just under EMA20 and well below EMA50.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32238

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.31927 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.3200 psych
  • M15 close back above 1.32120 breaks the Asia range top
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could break this consolidation either way

23:46 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.32039

Tight consolidation after sell-off.

GBPUSD sold off through the London-NY session to 1.3193 after the dovish-hold BoE, then stabilised. Asia hours have coiled into a tight 1.3202–1.3206 range on thin volume, RSI flat near 47 just under EMA20.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3245

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.3200/1.3193 confirms continuation of the down leg
  • Reclaim of 1.3212 session high needed to ease the downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales 06:00 UTC could break the Asian range

23:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 46 · price 1.32031

Consolidation near session lows after sharp leg down.

London/NY sold GBP after the BoE dovish hold, driving GBPUSD to two-month lows near 1.31927 before a recovery into a tight 1.3203-1.3206 band through Asia hours. RSI(14) sits flat near neutral and ATR has compressed to ~6 pips, reflecting the low-liquidity consolidation. The 1.3200 psychological level (ING's downside marker) is acting as the near-term pivot.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3206, 1.3234

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.32060 range top eases the heavy tone
  • Break below 1.31927 session low extends the move through 1.3200 psych
  • UK Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC (~6h) could break this consolidation

23:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 43 · price 1.32031

Fresh lows then tight coil.

GBPUSD bled lower through London-NY, printing fresh two-month lows near 1.3193 after the dovish BoE hold left sterling heavy against a firm USD. Price has since coiled into a tight, low-volume Asia range around 1.3203, RSI(14) flat in the low 40s with no momentum either way.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3234

What it said to watch

  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could break the coil — a miss pressures the 1.3200 area
  • M15 close below 1.31927 confirms a lower low toward 1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.32120 needed to ease the downside pressure

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 46 · price 1.32051

Tight consolidation just above two-month lows.

GBPUSD slid to two-month lows near 1.3193 through the London-NY session after the dovish BoE hold, then went flat — the last few hours of Asia have coiled in a 1.3203-1.3206 micro-range. RSI(14) sits mid-band around 46 with ATR compressed, reflecting a quiet, low-volatility drift just above the 1.3200 psych level.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3234

What it said to watch

  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could break this Asian range either way
  • Close below 1.3193 swing low extends the down-leg toward the 1.3200 ING target zone
  • Reclaim of 1.32120 micro high would shift the near-term read off the lows

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.32051

Lower lows into a tight base near 1.3200.

GBPUSD bled to two-month lows through the London-NY sessions after the dovish BoE hold, printing 1.31927 before stabilising. The Asia session has gone flat, coiling in a tight 1.3195-1.3212 range with RSI(14) recovering toward neutral.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3225

What it said to watch

  • UK Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could break this Asian range
  • Close below 1.31927 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.3200 area
  • Reclaim of 1.3212 session high would ease the downside pressure

23:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 47 · price 1.32048

Consolidating near session lows after sell-off.

Cable bled from 1.3300 down to test 1.3200 through the prior sessions on the dovish-read BoE hold, then went into a tight 1.3193-1.3212 coil through thin Asian hours with ATR compressed to ~7 pips and RSI mid-zone. Price is hugging the 1.3200 two-month-low pivot, no directional impulse in play.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.32112, 1.3220

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.31927 confirms a lower low and exposes a clean 1.3200 break
  • Reclaim of 1.32112 needed to ease pressure off the lows
  • UK Retail Sales 06:00 UTC could break the coil

23:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flatlining · RSI 47 · price 1.32048

Stepped lower-lows into 1.3192, now flat near 1.3205.

Cable bled lower through London/NY to fresh two-month lows at 1.31927, GBP soft post-BoE as the inflation-outlook downgrade outweighed the 7-2 hawkish hold. Asian hours have flatlined in a tight 1.3200-1.3211 band on thin volume, holding just above the 1.3200 psych pivot.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.32112, 1.32238

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.31927 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.32112 needed to ease the downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.32046

Lower highs into 1.3200, now flat consolidation.

Cable sold off through the London-NY session into fresh two-month lows at 1.31927 after the market read the BoE hold as dovish overall, and is now drifting in a tight low-volume range around the 1.3200 psych level during Asia hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 after working off the downside extreme; price is pinned to EMA20 but capped below EMA50.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3211, 1.3225

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.31927 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.32110 minor high would challenge the 1.32250 swing high
  • UK Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.32046

Tight range above two-month low after sustained sell-off.

Cable slid through the session to fresh two-month lows near 1.3193 after the market read the BoE hold as dovish, then stalled into a tight 1.3193-1.3212 band through the Asia session. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-40s as the slide pauses; price hovering on EMA20 but capped beneath EMA50.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.3193 confirms a lower-low and opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.3212 needed to challenge the 1.3253 swing high
  • UK Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could break the current range

22:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.32045

Consolidating near two-month lows after sharp leg down.

Cable slid from 1.3325 to 1.3193 through the London-NY session on post-BoE GBP weakness, then flattened into a tight 1.3193-1.3212 range during quiet Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral near 46 after working off the downside; 1.3200 pivot holding as price churns just above the swing low.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32532, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.31927 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 1.32120 needed to challenge the 1.3253 lower high
  • UK Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could break this range

22:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.32045

Consolidating above session low after impulsive decline.

Cable sold off through the London-NY sessions to fresh two-month lows near 1.31927 after the dovish-read BoE hold, then stalled into thin post-NY trade. Now consolidating between 1.31927 and 1.32112 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.3200 round number is the immediate pivot.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32112, 1.32443

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.31927 confirms a lower-low and opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.32112 needed to ease the bearish structure
  • UK Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.32036

Lower highs, consolidating above two-month low.

Cable slid through the session to fresh two-month lows near 1.3193 after the dovishly-read BoE hold, then flattened into the Asia session, now coiling between 1.3193 and 1.3212 on thin volume. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to mid-40s as selling pressure eases; price holds just under EMA20 with 1.3200 acting as pivot.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.31927 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.3212 range top would relieve the immediate downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could break this consolidation

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing late · RSI 45 · price 1.32036

Lower highs/lows from 1.3325, flat into 1.3200.

Cable sold from 1.3325 through the NY session to a 1.31927 low, the slide driven by post-BoE GBP softness and a firm USD. Last few hours have flattened into a tight 1.3193-1.3212 base just above the 1.3200 psych pivot, RSI recovered to mid-40s.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200, 1.32049

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3234, 1.32527

What it said to watch

  • Clean M15 close below 1.3193 opens further downside toward ING's 1.3200 target zone
  • Reclaim of 1.3212 then 1.3234 would break the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could repricing GBP and shift this base

22:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.32041

Lower highs/lows, basing at lows.

Cable sold off through the London session to fresh two-month lows at 1.31927 after the dovish-read BoE hold, and has since gone flat just above the 1.3200 psych level into the NY-Asia transition. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to ~46 as price chops between 1.3193 and the 1.3212 session high.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32337

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.31927 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.32120 session high needed to ease the bearish structure
  • UK Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 1.32041

Lower highs/lows, now basing near 1.3200.

GBPUSD bled from 1.3324 to a 1.3193 low through the London-NY sessions as post-BoE softness and a firm USD pressed cable to fresh two-month lows. Price is now coiling 1.3193-1.3212 into the Asia session, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44 but still capped under EMA20.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • Clean break below 1.3200/1.3193 opens further downside (ING flags 1.3200 target)
  • Reclaim of 1.3212 session high would ease the immediate selling pressure
  • UK Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.32086

Lower highs/lows into consolidation above 1.3193.

Cable sold off through the NY session to fresh two-month lows at 1.31927 after the BoE's dovish-read hold and a firm USD, then stabilised into a tight 1.3204-1.3211 band in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) near 43 has unwound from oversold while price holds just above the 1.3200 pivot; no momentum either way in the current low-volume window.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32453

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.31927/1.3200 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.32453 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 46 · price 1.32086

Lower highs into a base above 1.3193.

GBP slid to fresh two-month lows near 1.3193 through the London-NY session after the market read the BoE hold as dovish, then based just above the 1.3200 pivot into the Asia handover. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold toward 46 as price holds the 1.3193 swing low; volume thinning into late session.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3234

What it said to watch

  • Clean break below 1.3193 swing low / 1.3200 pivot opens further downside (ING flags 1.3200 target)
  • Reclaim of 1.3234 prior high would negate the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.31993

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating just above session low.

Cable ground to fresh two-month lows near 1.3200 through the NY session after the market read the BoE's 7-2 hold as dovish overall. Price is now basing in a tight 1.3192-1.3211 band late session with RSI(14) in the low 40s, ATR cooling to ~8 pips.

Support: 1.3200, 1.3192

Resistance: 1.3211, 1.3225

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3192 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 1.3211 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.31993

Lower highs into 1.3200, range building.

Cable slid to two-month lows near 1.3200 through the NY session, extending the post-BoE downdraft as USD strength caps any bounce. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3192–1.3212 band into the Asia open, with RSI(14) mid-range after the decline.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32273

What it said to watch

  • Clean M15 close below 1.31927 confirms a lower-low and presses the 1.3200 pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.32120 session high would ease the immediate downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 1.32048

Consolidating just above session lows after sustained sell-off.

GBPUSD ground lower through the London-NY sessions to a fresh two-month low at 1.3193, the slide tracking the soft BoE hold and hawkish Fed read. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3193–1.3212 band into the late session, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50 with price under EMA20/50.

Support: 1.3193, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3240

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 1.3193 opens fresh lows toward the 1.3200 psych area break
  • Reclaim and hold above 1.3212 swing high needed to challenge the 1.3240 prior high
  • UK Retail Sales (Fri 06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 1.32048

Fresh lows, consolidating above 1.3200.

GBPUSD ground to fresh two-month lows near 1.3193 through the NY session after the hawkish-hold BoE/Fed combination kept sterling heavy, then steadied just above the 1.3200 psych level into Asia. RSI(14) near 44 with price pinned below EMA20/50; range has compressed to ~10 pip bars with the down leg stalling rather than reversing.

Support: 1.3200, 1.3193

Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3226

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 1.3193 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 1.3226 swing high needed to ease the bearish structure
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32041

Lower highs / lower lows, now consolidating above session low.

GBPUSD sold off through the London-NY session to two-month lows near 1.3193 after the soft BoE hold, with the pair printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. Price is now stalling in a tight 1.3199-1.3207 band just above that low into late NY hours, RSI(14) cooling around the mid-40s.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3211, 1.32337

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.31927 opens fresh lows and a test of the 1.3200 psych zone break
  • Reclaim above 1.32110 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales (Fri 06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

21:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32041

Lower highs, lower lows; basing above 1.3200.

GBPUSD ran a clean NY-session decline from 1.3325 to a 1.3193 swing low, pressing fresh two-month lows after the soft BoE hold and hawkish Fed. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3202-1.3206 range just above the 1.3200 psych level, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 43.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3233, 1.32532, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break below 1.3200 confirms continuation toward fresh lows
  • Reclaim of 1.3233 pivot would challenge the lower-high structure
  • UK Retail Sales (Fri 06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32039

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near 1.3200.

GBPUSD ground lower through the London-NY sessions to fresh two-month lows near the 1.3200 round level after soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed. Price is now consolidating 1.3193-1.3209 in thin late-NY hours, RSI mid-range and downside momentum cooling; the 1.3300 pivot caps from above.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3209, 1.3245, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break below 1.31927 swing low confirms continuation toward sub-1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.3245 would challenge the descending-highs structure
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 1.32039

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.

GBPUSD slid through NY hours to a fresh two-month low at 1.3193, extending the post-BoE/hawkish-Fed downdraft. The last two hours have based in a tight 1.3194-1.3207 range with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 1.3200 psych level is being tested from above.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.32453

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.3193 confirms continuation to fresh lows
  • Reclaim of 1.3245 needed to challenge the descending highs
  • UK Retail Sales (Fri 06:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 43 · price 1.32048

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

GBPUSD ground lower through NY hours to a session low at 1.3193 as post-Fed USD strength pinned sterling near two-month lows. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3195-1.3210 band into late NY, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 43.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3210, 1.3234

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3193 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.3200 ING target zone
  • Reclaim of 1.3210 would stall the downtrend read
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.32048

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off 1.3193.

GBPUSD bled from 1.3324 to a 1.3193 swing low through the NY session on broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed, with the BoE hold doing little to support sterling. Price has clawed back to 1.3205 into the late session but holds below EMA20/50, keeping the lower-high, lower-low structure intact.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3226, 1.3244

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32260 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 1.31927 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.3200 area
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst for this read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 1.32062

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

GBPUSD ground lower through London-NY toward two-month lows as USD held firm post-hawkish Fed, printing a clean chain of lower highs into 1.31927. Price is basing just above the 1.3200 psych level late in the NY session with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the descending sequence is intact while 1.3210 caps.

Support: 1.3200, 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3210, 1.3227

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.31927 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.3200 ING target
  • Reclaim of 1.3210 challenges the lower-high structure
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst that could shift this read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, holding near session low · RSI 42 · price 1.32062

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off 1.3193.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session to a fresh session low at 1.3193, sterling pinned near two-month lows on the hawkish-Fed USD bid. A shallow bounce to 1.3206 is unfolding into the close; the lower-high chain capped at 1.3253 remains intact.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32089, 1.32268, 1.32527

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.32089 needed to challenge the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.31927 extends the downtrend toward the 1.3200 ING target area
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst that could reset this read

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 37 · price 1.31981

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh lows.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session to fresh two-month lows at 1.31927 on broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed, slipping under the 1.3200 psych level. RSI(14) near 37 with a shallow bounce off the low; descending lower highs intact and ATR(14) compressed to ~9 pips.

Support: 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3200, 1.32273

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.32000 eases the immediate downside pressure
  • Failure to hold 1.31927 confirms a lower low and extends the down-leg
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for this read

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, grinding to session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.31981

Lower highs, lower lows; testing 1.3200.

GBPUSD ran a steady NY-session decline from 1.3325 to a fresh session low at 1.3193, with sterling pinned near two-month lows on post-Fed USD strength. Price now sits just under the 1.3200 psych level — ING's downside target — after a shallow bounce to 1.3204 was rejected. RSI(14) at 38 leaves room before oversold.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3160

Resistance: 1.3200, 1.32093, 1.32268

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.3200 would ease the downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst; a miss opens 1.3160
  • Sustained break of 1.31927 confirms continuation lower

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.32029

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session, posting a session low at 1.31927 on broad USD strength after the hawkish Warsh Fed, with sterling unable to capitalise on firm UK jobs data. Price holds the 1.3200 round number with RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not oversold — and stays pinned below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3227

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.31927 opens the path toward the 1.3200 round number break and ING's downside target
  • Reclaim of 1.32270 swing high would break the chain of lower highs
  • UK Retail Sales (Fri 06:00 UTC) is the next material catalyst for this read

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 40 · price 1.32029

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session on broad USD strength post-hawkish Fed, printing a fresh low at 1.3193 before a shallow bounce back to 1.3203. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; the 1.3200 psych line is the immediate pivot.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3210, 1.32337

What it said to watch

  • A close below 1.31927 confirms continuation toward the 1.3200 area and below
  • Reclaim of 1.32100 would stall the lower-low sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for this read

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.31971

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable ground lower through the NY session, slicing the 1.3200 psych level and printing a fresh session low at 1.31927 as the hawkish-Fed USD bid kept rallies capped. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold.

Support: 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3200, 1.3227, 1.32483

What it said to watch

  • UK Retail Sales 06:00 GMT (MoM f/c 0.5%) could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 1.3200 would challenge the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.31927 confirms continuation lower

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 1.31971

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable ground out a clean M15 downtrend through the NY session, slipping below the 1.3200 round number toward ING's 1.3200 area on a firm post-Fed USD. Sequence of lower highs and lower lows intact, current bar pinned near the 1.31927 session low with RSI(14) in the mid-30s, not yet oversold.

Support: 1.31927

Resistance: 1.3200, 1.32093, 1.32337

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.31927 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.3200 round number would neutralise the breakdown read
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 GMT (f/c 0.5% MoM) could materially shift this read

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 35 · price 1.31963

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.3200 round level and printing a fresh low at 1.31927 with USD firm post-hawkish Fed. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34 — momentum down but not yet extreme; bounces toward 1.3210 have been sold.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3210, 1.3227

What it said to watch

  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 GMT could extend losses or spark a bounce
  • Reclaim above 1.32100 challenges the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.31927 opens fresh lows

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, steady leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.31963

Lower highs and lower lows into 1.3200.

Cable bled lower through the NY session in a clean lower-high/lower-low channel, printing a fresh session low at 1.31927 and pressing the 1.3200 psych level — the ING downside target flagged after the hawkish-Fed USD bid. RSI(14) near 35, soft but not yet stretched, with price held under EMA20/50.

Support: 1.31927, 1.3200, 1.3160

Resistance: 1.32301

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 1.3200 keeps the path toward the 1.3160 round number open
  • Reclaim of 1.32301 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 37 · price 1.32024

Lower highs / lower lows, pressing fresh session lows.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session to fresh session lows at 1.32017, parking on the 1.3200 round number as a firm USD held the bid post-hawkish Fed. The descending sequence of lower highs off 1.33247 stays intact, with the last leg from the 1.32527 swing high uncontested; price action has compressed into a tight 1.3208–1.3202 band into the late session.

Support: 1.3200, 1.32017

Resistance: 1.32268, 1.32527

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.32527 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Sustained break below 1.32000 round number extends the down leg
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, grinding to lows · RSI 31 · price 1.32024

Lower highs, lower lows toward 1.3200.

Cable ground lower through the NY session, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into the 1.3200 round number — the ING-cited floor following the hawkish Fed. RSI(14) near 31 reflects an extended but not yet washed-out move; price is pinned just above 1.3200 with momentum stalling into late session.

Support: 1.3200, 1.32017

Resistance: 1.32273

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 confirms the lower-low and opens room lower
  • Reclaim of 1.32273 would break the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing at lows · RSI 37 · price 1.32095

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above session low.

Steady M15 downtrend through the NY session, GBP pinned near two-month lows after the in-line 7-2 BoE hold gave sterling no lift. Price slid from 1.3253 to print 1.3206, now coiling in a tight 1.3207-1.3210 band into late NY with RSI cooling off oversold.

Support: 1.32057, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3227, 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.32057 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3200 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.32270 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 1.32095

Lower highs into a base at the lows.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session to a 1.3205 swing low and is now basing in a tight 1.3205-1.3210 range, RSI(14) flat near 41. Sterling sits near two-month lows after the soft UK CPI and hawkish Fed; price stays pinned under the descending lower highs.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3238

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 1.3200 round number extends the downtrend
  • Reclaim of 1.3238 prior high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

18:32 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 37 · price 1.32084

Lower highs into fresh lows.

GBPUSD ground to fresh session lows near 1.3205 through the NY session, extending the slide that followed the hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI — Thursday's in-line BoE hold gave sterling no lift. Each bounce has capped lower, with the 1.32527 swing high and 1.3260 prior two-month low now overhead; price is pinned just above the 1.32049 low into a quiet, low-volume close.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3230, 1.32527, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.32049 opens the path toward the 1.3200 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.32527 swing high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, grinding at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.32084

Lower highs and lower lows into two-month low zone.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session toward the 1.3205 swing low, extending the post-Fed/soft-CPI slide that has GBP near two-month lows. Price is coiling in a tight 1.3205-1.3227 band late in the session with RSI(14) around 40 and price pinned below EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3227

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.3205 opens the 1.3200 round level
  • M15 close back above 1.3227 stalls the lower-low sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.32092

Lower highs, lower lows.

GBPUSD ground steadily lower through the NY session, slicing the 1.3260 two-month low and now pinned just above the 1.3200 psych level — selling consistent with the soft-CPI/hawkish-Fed backdrop and an in-line BoE hold that gave no relief. RSI(14) near 37, price capped under EMA20/50; recent bounces stalled at 1.3253.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32527, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms continuation toward the 1.3200 round level
  • Reclaim of 1.32527 would break the descending swing-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC and GfK tonight 23:01 UTC can shift this read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 39 · price 1.32092

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session ground GBPUSD steadily lower into a fresh session low at 1.32057, holding near two-month lows after the hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI; the 1.3200 psych level is now in view. Sequence of lower highs intact below the descending resistance off 1.32532.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3230, 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 confirms continuation toward ING's 1.3200 target
  • Reclaim of 1.3230 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.32079

Lower highs, lower lows pressing 1.3200.

GBPUSD grinding lower through the NY session toward the 1.3200 psych level, holding near two-month lows after soft UK CPI and the hawkish Fed. Each bounce has capped lower — 1.32337 then 1.32532 — and the late-session lean is back onto the session low around 1.3205.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200, 1.3160

Resistance: 1.32337, 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 opens the path toward 1.3160
  • Reclaim of 1.32337 breaks the chain of lower highs
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 37 · price 1.32079

Lower highs / lower lows, no base yet.

GBPUSD ground to fresh session lows near 1.3208 through NY hours, extending the leg down off 1.3354 after soft UK CPI and the hawkish Fed kept the bias toward 1.3200. Lower-high chain intact below 1.3253; RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3253, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 opens the ING 1.3200 target zone
  • Reclaim of 1.3253 breaks the lower-high chain
  • GfK Consumer Confidence tonight 23:01 UTC, then UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the read

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32179

Lower highs, consolidating just above session low.

GBPUSD ground to fresh session lows during NY hours, pressing toward the 1.3200 psych level flagged as the downside target after the hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI. Price is now coiling between 1.3215 and 1.3234 just above the 1.32049 low, RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR cooling to ~11 pips.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3234

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.32340 would break the descending-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 44 · price 1.32179

Lower highs, consolidating above 1.3205 low.

Cable slid through the NY session toward 1.3200, pinned near two-month lows after the hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI capped sterling. A bounce off 1.32049 stalled at 1.32532, and price has since drifted back to the lows with RSI(14) mid-40s — no thrust either way.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 opens path toward the cited 1.3200 target zone
  • Reclaim of 1.32532 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC and GfK tonight 23:01 UTC could shift this read

17:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 1.32252

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.

GBPUSD grinding along two-month lows, sub-1.3260 after the hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI kept sterling pinned. NY session bounced from 1.3205 but supply capped at 1.3253; price now drifting at 1.3225 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extension.

Support: 1.3205, 1.32101

Resistance: 1.3253, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.3260 needed to ease downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.32252

Lower highs, consolidating above 1.3205.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session toward the 1.3205 swing low, tracking the hawkish-Fed/soft-UK-CPI backdrop after the in-line BoE hold. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3215-1.3227 band, RSI(14) basing in the low 40s as the prior 1.3253 swing high caps any bounce.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3253

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 opens the path to the 1.3200 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.3253 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 1.32253

Lower highs into 1.3200, basing near session low.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session toward 1.3200 after soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed, with Thursday's in-line BoE hold giving no lift. Price bounced off the 1.3205 session low but stalled at 1.3253 — the 38.2% retrace of the day's drop — and is now drifting back toward the lows.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3253, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 opens the ING 1.3200 target zone
  • Reclaim of 1.3260 needed to ease downside pressure
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, near intraday lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32253

Lower highs, lower lows.

GBPUSD grinding along fresh two-month lows in late NY hours, having sliced through the 1.3260 level after the hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI; price faded from the 1.32532 swing high and is now consolidating just above the 1.32155 session low. RSI(14) near 43, no oversold extreme — downside structure intact while supply caps the 1.32383 swing high.

Support: 1.32155, 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32383, 1.32532, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms continuation toward the 1.3200 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.32383 would break the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 41 · price 1.32177

Lower highs and lower lows, near session lows.

GBPUSD sold off through London-NY with a sharp drop from the 1.3400 area, pushing toward two-month lows as soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed weigh on sterling. Price is grinding the lower edge of a descending channel into NY afternoon, holding just above the 1.32049 session low with RSI(14) near 41.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32345

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 opens the path to the 1.3200 area and two-month lows
  • Reclaim of 1.32345 would stall the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC and GfK tonight could shift this read

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 1.32177

Lower highs and lower lows, stabilising near session low.

GBPUSD trended lower through London and into the NY session, pressing two-month lows as the soft UK CPI and hawkish Fed read keeps sterling heavy. Price is now grinding sideways above the 1.32049 session low with RSI(14) flattening around 41; the descending sequence of lower highs stays intact below 1.32527.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32527

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.32000 psych level
  • Close above 1.32527 breaks the descending highs and challenges the downtrend
  • GfK Consumer Confidence at 23:01 UTC could add a marginal GBP headwind

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.3221

Lower highs, lower lows.

GBPUSD ground to fresh session lows near 1.3210 through the NY session after the BoE's in-line 7-2 hold failed to lift sterling, extending the slide off the 1.340 area. Lower highs intact with the 1.3253 swing capping the last bounce; RSI(14) near 41, holding above oversold.

Support: 1.3210, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3253

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 opens the path toward the 1.32 round level
  • Recovery above 1.3253 would break the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.3221

Lower highs and lower lows, grinding lower.

GBPUSD grinding lower through the NY session toward the 1.3200 psych level, pinned near two-month lows after a hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI. Lower-high chain intact; the 1.3253 recent high capped the last bounce and price now sits a few pips above the 1.3205 session low.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3245, 1.3253

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.3205 opens the 1.3200 psych level
  • M15 close back above 1.3253 breaks the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, grinding to new lows · RSI 37 · price 1.32194

Lower highs / lower lows intact.

GBPUSD extended its NY-session slide to a fresh session low at 1.3211, the chain of lower highs/lows unbroken as sterling presses two-month lows after the soft UK CPI and hawkish Fed. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s — pressured but not yet stretched — and price holds below EMA20/50. Bounces have capped under 1.3253.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3234, 1.32527

What it said to watch

  • Break of 1.3205 swing low opens the 1.3200 psych level
  • M15 close back above 1.3253 swing high breaks the descending highs
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 1.32194

Lower highs, lower lows toward range base.

GBPUSD grinding lower through the NY session, pinned near two-month lows around 1.3205 after the in-line 7-2 BoE hold gave sterling no lift. Lower highs intact below the 1.32532 swing, RSI(14) near 41 — soft but not yet oversold. The 1.3200 psych level is the next reference below the session low.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32532 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.32049 opens the path to the 1.3200 psych level
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 38 · price 1.32185

Lower highs and lower lows, grinding toward 1.3200.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session, extending a downtrend that began with the post-Fed/soft-UK-CPI slide and printing a fresh session low at 1.32049. Price hugs the lows near 1.3215 with RSI(14) around 37 — soft but not oversold — and the 1.3200 round number directly below.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32527

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 opens the 1.3200 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.32527 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.32185

Lower highs, lower lows.

GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing fresh session lows at 1.3205 with sterling pinned near 2-month lows after Wednesday's soft UK CPI and the hawkish Fed. Price stalls just above the 1.3200 psych level, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched; rallies into 1.3253 have been sold.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32448, 1.32527

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.3205 opens the 1.3200 psych level and ING's 1.3200 target
  • Reclaim of 1.3253 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 39 · price 1.32278

Lower highs, lower lows.

NY session extended the slide, driving GBPUSD to a fresh session low near 1.3205 before a bounce to 1.3253 faded back to 1.3228 — sterling stays heavy after the hawkish Fed and in-line BoE 7-2 hold. Structure remains a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows with RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched.

Support: 1.3225, 1.3205

Resistance: 1.3253

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.3253 needed to break the lower-high pattern
  • GfK Consumer Confidence tonight and UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.32278

Lower highs/lows, consolidating above session low.

Cable sold off through the NY session toward the two-month low zone, GBP soft after the in-line BoE 7-2 hold and a hawkish-Fed USD bid. Price is now chopping 1.3205-1.3253 just above the 1.32049 swing low, RSI(14) mid-40s with no extreme.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3200 extends the downleg toward 1.3100
  • Reclaim of 1.3253 needed to ease near-term pressure
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 1.32305

Lower highs, lower lows.

GBPUSD ground lower through London and NY, sliding from 1.339 to a 1.3205 session low, pressured by soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed. The NY bounce to 1.3253 was sold back, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s — no reversal signal, just a pause within the downtrend.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200, 1.3260

Resistance: 1.3253, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3253 breaks the lower-high series
  • Loss of 1.3205 opens the 1.3200 psych level
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32305

Lower highs/lows, ranging above 1.3205.

Cable extended its slide through the NY session to print a two-month low near 1.3205, GBP soft after the BoE's priced-in 7-2 hold and a firm USD. Price has since chopped 1.3205-1.3253 and is drifting back toward the low, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3253, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 opens the path toward 1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.3260 would negate the fresh lower-low read
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.32353

Lower highs, consolidating near session low.

Cable trended lower through the London-NY session, probing the two-month low region and printing 1.3205 before a shallow bounce. Now consolidating 1.3205–1.3252 just under EMA50, RSI(14) recovering off the lows around 43; soft UK CPI and a hawkish-Fed USD backdrop frame the weakness.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3252

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.3200 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.3252 session high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • GfK Consumer Confidence tonight and UK Retail Sales Friday are near-term risks

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 1.32353

Lower highs/lows, now consolidating above session low.

Cable slid through the NY session to a fresh window low at 1.32049, in line with the soft-CPI/hawkish-Fed GBP downside theme, then bounced into a tight 1.3235–1.3253 range. RSI(14) near 43 has lifted off oversold; supply capped the rebound at 1.32532.

Support: 1.32049, 1.32202

Resistance: 1.32532, 1.33019

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Close above 1.32532 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.33019
  • GfK confidence tonight and UK retail sales Friday could shift this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.32398

Lower highs and lower lows, base forming near 1.3205.

Cable trended lower through the London-NY sessions toward a two-month-low area, GBP pressured by soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed bid in USD. Buyers stepped in around 1.3205 and price is now chopping between 1.3205 and 1.3253; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3226

Resistance: 1.32532

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.3253 needed to challenge the descending highs
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, base attempt · RSI 44 · price 1.32398

Lower highs into 1.3205 low, now ranging.

Cable sold off through the NY session toward 1.3205, with GBP pinned near two-month lows after soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed. Price has since stabilised in a 1.3205–1.3253 range; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-40s but the lower-high sequence overhead remains intact.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3226

Resistance: 1.3253

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32050 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.32530 swing high needed to break the descending lower-high chain
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.3240

Lower highs into a 1.3205 base, corrective bounce underway.

Cable trended lower through the NY session to a 1.3205 base on the hawkish-Fed/soft-UK-CPI backdrop, then bounced to 1.3240 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.3205; the move sits below EMA50 but has reclaimed EMA20.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3260

Resistance: 1.3245, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 confirms a lower low toward the 1.3200 area
  • Reclaim of 1.3245 opens the path back to the 1.3300 pivot
  • GfK Consumer Confidence tonight and UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

15:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 46 · price 1.3240

Lower highs and lows, basing into NY.

Cable sold off through the NY session to a fresh session low at 1.3205, sliding below the 1.3268 two-month-low zone amid a firm USD on the hawkish Fed. Price has since stabilised, ranging 1.3205–1.3249 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; no clean direction in play.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3210

Resistance: 1.3249, 1.3268

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.3268 reclaims the prior-low zone and eases the lower-low read
  • Loss of 1.3205 session low confirms downside continuation
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 1.32415

Lower highs into a base above 1.3205.

Cable sold off through the London-NY session under broad GBP softness and a hawkish-Fed USD bid, bottoming at 1.3205 before recovering to chop around 1.3240. Price is consolidating above the session low, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53 after probing oversold.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3210

Resistance: 1.32492, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 confirms a lower low toward the 1.3200 area
  • Reclaim of 1.32492 session high needed to challenge the 1.3260 2-month low
  • GfK Consumer Confidence tonight and UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

14:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.32415

Lower highs/lows, consolidating above session low.

Cable sold off through the London-NY session toward two-month lows, GBP soft after this week's CPI miss and a hawkish Fed. Buyers stepped in at 1.32049 and price is now chopping 1.3230-1.3249 below the broken 1.3260 area; RSI(14) recovered off oversold into the mid-40s.

Support: 1.32049, 1.32106

Resistance: 1.32492, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms a fresh lower-low toward ING's 1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.3260 needed to ease the downside read
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC and GfK tonight could reset the move

14:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 1.32354

Lower highs/lows, basing near range low.

Cable extended its slide through the London-NY session, printing a fresh low at 1.32049 before buyers stepped in and dragged price back into a 1.3230-1.3249 range; the soft UK CPI and hawkish-Fed backdrop kept GBP heavy even after the in-line BoE 7-2 hold. RSI(14) near 47 after basing off oversold, momentum flattening near the lows.

Support: 1.32049, 1.32101

Resistance: 1.32492, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.32600 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.32049 confirms continuation lower
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could reset this read

14:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 1.32354

Lower highs into a base near 1.3205.

GBPUSD ground lower through the window, sterling pinned near two-month lows on soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed. A base is forming around 1.3205 after the latest leg down, with the bounce capped near 1.3248; price now sits back below the 1.3260 two-month low.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3260, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.3205 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.3260 needed before the 1.3300 pivot comes back in view
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

14:16 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.32375

Lower highs / lower lows, holding above 1.3205.

Cable trended lower through the London-NY sessions toward its two-month low zone, with sellers capping each bounce as soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed weigh. Price held the 1.3205 swing low and recovered into 1.3237; the 1.32490 session high is the immediate cap.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3210

Resistance: 1.3249

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.32490 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.32050 confirms continuation toward the 1.3200 area
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could reshape this read

14:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.32375

Lower highs/lows, bounce off session low.

Cable trended lower through the London-NY sessions, breaking the two-month low pivot near 1.3260 as soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed kept GBP heavy. NY hours printed a session low at 1.32049 before a bounce to 1.32490 was capped; price now consolidating around 1.3237 with RSI(14) recovering from the lows.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3210

Resistance: 1.3249, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.32490 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.32049 session low opens path toward 1.3200
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:01 UTC

Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 47 · price 1.32412

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near 2mo low.

Cable extended its NY-session slide toward the 1.3205 two-month low before buyers stepped in twice around 1.3205/1.3210, lifting price ~45 pips to 1.3249 and back to 1.3241. RSI(14) recovering off oversold as the soft UK CPI + hawkish-Fed backdrop keeps the broader structure pointed lower.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3210

Resistance: 1.32492, 1.3280

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.3200 area
  • Reclaim of 1.3249 swing high would stretch the bounce toward the 1.3280 pivot
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:01 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.32412

Lower highs, lower lows; recovering from session low.

Cable trended lower through the NY session, breaking the prior two-month low near 1.3260 to print 1.3205 before a recovery to 1.3249. Price now hovers at 1.3241 after a soft UK CPI print and hawkish-Fed USD bid; the descending sequence of lower highs is intact while 1.3249 caps.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3220

Resistance: 1.32492, 1.3266

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.32660 would neutralise the lower-high structure
  • Loss of 1.32049 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens 1.3200
  • UK Retail Sales tomorrow 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.32411

Lower highs / lower lows, fresh low then recovery.

Cable trended lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.32049 before buyers stepped in to reclaim 1.32400, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 43. Move sits in the GBP-soft backdrop after soft CPI and a hawkish Fed; bounce is corrective so far, with 1.32483 the nearest cap.

Support: 1.32247, 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32483 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.32049 extends the down leg toward 1.3200
  • GfK Consumer Confidence 23:01 UTC tonight could shift the read

13:45 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.32411

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.

Cable ground out a fresh two-month low at 1.32049 during NY hours then bounced to 1.3241, with GBP pressured by soft UK CPI and a hawkish Fed bidding USD. Sequence of lower highs intact; the recovery is so far corrective and capped under the 1.32483 swing high.

Support: 1.32049, 1.32101

Resistance: 1.32483

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.32483 breaks the descending-highs sequence
  • Loss of 1.32049 confirms a lower low toward the 1.3200 area
  • GfK Consumer Confidence tonight could shift GBP tone into Friday retail sales

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.32332

Lower highs and lower lows, intraday bounce in play.

Cable sold off through the NY session, slicing below 1.3300 on the hawkish-Fed/soft-UK-CPI backdrop and bottoming at 1.32049. A bounce reclaimed 1.32483 before fading back to 1.32330, where price is consolidating just above EMA20; RSI(14) has lifted off the lows but structure stays lower-high, lower-low.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3210

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.32619, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.3200 area
  • Close above 1.32483 puts the 1.32619 swing high and 1.3260 pivot back in play
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 44 · price 1.32332

Lower highs / lower lows, holding above 1.3205.

NY session extended the slide off 1.3410, cable tagging a two-month-area low at 1.32049 on hawkish-Fed USD strength before bouncing to 1.32483 and stalling near 1.32330. RSI(14) recovering from the lows around 43; descending highs still cap any recovery.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.32483 needed to ease downside pressure
  • US jobless claims / Philly Fed could shift the read this session

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.32337

Lower highs, lower lows; recent low at 1.32049 holding.

Cable extended its slide through the NY session to a fresh session low at 1.32049 before buyers stepped in, a largely USD-driven move after the hawkish Fed. Price has reclaimed the EMA20 near 1.3234 but a chain of lower highs into 1.32483 still caps; remains well below the broader 1.3260 two-month-low zone now acting as overhead resistance.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.32619

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32049 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.32483 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
  • US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-led read

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 44 · price 1.32337

Lower highs and lower lows into session lows.

Cable ground out a steady chain of lower highs through the NY session, bottoming at 1.3205 as post-Fed USD strength dragged GBP to fresh session lows. A bounce off 1.3205 stalled at 1.3248 and price is now consolidating near 1.3234, still below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.32049, 1.32247

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.3260 prior-low pivot would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.3205 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

13:01 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.32324

Lower highs, lower lows; minor double bottom near 1.3205.

NY session extended cable's slide to a fresh session low at 1.3205 on broad USD strength post-Fed, with GBP pinned near two-month lows. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.3205-1.3210, sparking a bounce to 1.32483 that has since faded back to ~1.3232. RSI(14) recovering off oversold but price still below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3205 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.3200
  • Reclaim of 1.32483 needed to extend the bounce toward the 1.3300 pivot
  • US jobless claims / Philly Fed prints could shift the USD-led move this session

13:01 UTC

Downtrend, extending to fresh lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32324

Lower highs and lower lows, bounce fading.

NY session ground GBPUSD to fresh session lows at 1.32049, below the 1.3260 two-month low, as the post-Fed USD bid dominated. The bounce to 1.32483 was rejected and price faded back to 1.323; structure stays a clean chain of lower highs.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3100

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.32483 session high needed to question the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.32049 swing low opens the path toward the 1.3100 psych level
  • US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed already in play — a soft print is the main relief valve for cable

12:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.32426

Lower highs and lower lows, intraday relief bounce.

Cable extended the post-FOMC, post-BoE slide to a fresh session low at 1.3205 before buyers stepped in, lifting it back to 1.3248. Price is reclaiming the EMA20 but the chain of lower highs from 1.3325 keeps the intraday structure offered into the NY session.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3210

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3284, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.32483 swing high opens room back toward the 1.3284 prior swing
  • Loss of the 1.3205 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.32426

Lower highs and lower lows, near-term recovery.

Cable sold off through the NY session on broad USD strength post-hawkish Fed, printing a fresh session low at 1.32049 before buyers stepped in. Price has recovered into 1.32483, the recent bounce high, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the lower-high, lower-low chain stays intact below the 1.32619 swing high.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.32619

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.32619 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.32049 session low reopens the 1.3200 psych level
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 41 · price 1.32342

Lower highs / lower lows, bounce off session low.

Cable extended to a fresh two-month/session low at 1.3205 through the NY session as post-Fed USD strength dominated. The last two bars snapped 25 pips off that low with RSI(14) lifting from the high-30s, but price remains capped well below the broken 1.3260 prior-low zone.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3100

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3260 needed to challenge the downtrend structure
  • Failure to hold 1.3205 opens the path toward 1.3100
  • US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could drive the next leg

12:30 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low then bounce · RSI 40 · price 1.32342

Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off 1.3205.

GBPUSD ground to a fresh session low at 1.32049 through the NY session as USD stayed bid post-hawkish Fed, then snapped back to 1.32342 on the latest bar. The recovery off 1.3205 is the first real bounce in the leg lower; momentum still tilts down with price under EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3245, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.32450 swing pivot would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.3205 reopens the 1.3200 psych level and the 1.3260 two-month low context
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.32125

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable ground lower through the NY session in a clean lower-high/lower-low chain, breaking the 1.3260 two-month low as the post-Fed USD bid persisted and printing a fresh session low at 1.32049. RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet extreme — with price extended below both EMAs.

Support: 1.32049, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3230, 1.32483

What it said to watch

  • US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 1.32300 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.32049 opens the path toward the 1.3200 round number

12:15 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.32125

Lower highs, lower lows; new session low.

NY session extended the cable slide, breaking below the 1.3260 two-month low on a broadly bid USD post-hawkish Fed. Price prints fresh lows near 1.3210 with RSI(14) around 35 — soft but not extreme; ATR(14) ~13 pips.

Support: 1.3205, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3226, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.3260 invalidates the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 1.3205 opens a test of the 1.3200 round number
  • UK Retail Sales Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read

12:01 UTC

Downtrend, extending into session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.32146

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Cable ground steadily lower through the London-NY session, breaking the 1.3260 two-month low and pressing toward 1.3210 after a dovish-leaning BoE hold added to the soft-CPI/hawkish-Fed backdrop. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet stretched. Last few bars are stalling in a tight 1.3210–1.3225 band after the latest leg down.

Support: 1.3210, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3262

What it said to watch

  • US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 1.3210 opens the 1.3200 psych level
  • Close back above 1.3240 would ease the downside momentum

12:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.32146

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable is in a clean M15 downtrend through the London-NY session, grinding to fresh lows near 1.3210 after the BoE hold digested as dovish-leaning against a firm USD. Sequence of lower highs/lows intact with RSI(14) in the low 30s — not yet at extreme.

Support: 1.32101, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.32624

What it said to watch

  • US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or stall the move
  • Sustained hold below 1.3210 keeps the lower-low sequence intact
  • M15 close back above 1.3260 would break the lower-high chain

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.32141

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable extended its slide through the London session, printing fresh session lows at 1.32101 as the soft-CPI/hawkish-Fed narrative kept GBP heavy into the BoE hold. Clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, price pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31 — stretched but not yet sub-20. 1.3200 round number is the next reference below.

Support: 1.32101, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32333, 1.32483

What it said to watch

  • BoE vote-split tone just out is the swing factor for the next bars
  • Loss of 1.32000 round number extends the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close back above 1.32333 pivot would break the lower-high chain

11:45 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 29 · price 1.32141

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable extended its slide into the BoE decision, printing a fresh session low at 1.3210 with RSI(14) pressed near oversold. The descending lower-high chain stays intact and price is hugging the lows as the rate verdict lands.

Support: 1.32101, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32333

What it said to watch

  • BoE vote split out now — a hawkish dissent could trigger a sharp reversal off these lows
  • M15 close below 1.3200 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.3233 would break the descending lower-high structure

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.3218

Lower highs, lower lows; just printed 2-month low.

Cable extended its downtrend through the BoE decision, breaking the prior 1.3260 two-month low and printing a fresh session low at 1.3212 before a thin bounce to 1.3218. RSI(14) near 33 is depressed but not extreme; sequence of lower highs into 1.3247 still intact.

Support: 1.3212, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.3247 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.3212 session low opens the path toward the 1.3200 psych level
  • BoE vote split / minutes digestion can still whip this read in the next bars

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 32 · price 1.3218

Sequence of lower highs and lower lows.

Cable extended its slide through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.3212 as the BoE decision and split landed dovish of the soft-CPI read. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 32, soft but not yet oversold.

Support: 1.3212, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3248

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.3248 would break the lower-high chain and ease downside pressure
  • Failure to hold 1.3212 confirms continuation toward 1.3200
  • US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

11:15 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 31 · price 1.32256

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh 2-month low.

NY session pushed cable to a fresh 2-month low at 1.32208, extending the steady chain of lower highs off 1.33247 with RSI(14) hovering near 31. Price is pinned to session lows with no bounce of note ahead of the BoE decision.

Support: 1.32208, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE Rate Decision + vote split in ~12 min is the binary driver for the next bars
  • Loss of 1.32208 confirms continuation toward the 1.3200 figure
  • M15 close back above 1.32483 breaks the lower-high sequence

11:15 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.32256

Lower highs, lower lows.

Cable is grinding to fresh 2-month lows near 1.3220 through the NY session, an unbroken chain of lower highs since the 1.3300 break, with RSI(14) in the low-30s but not yet washed out. The slide accelerated on USD firmness post-hawkish Fed, and price sits right above the prior 1.3260 low region into the BoE decision.

Support: 1.32208, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • BoE Rate Decision + vote split due in ~12 min — binary event that will redefine this read
  • A reclaim of 1.3300 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.3220 opens the 1.3200 psych level

11:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh 2-month lows · RSI 32 · price 1.32306

Lower highs / lower lows, no base yet.

Cable extended its NY-session slide to a fresh 2-month low at 1.32247, holding below 1.3300 after sticky UK wages failed to stem USD-led pressure. RSI(14) near 32, weak but not yet extreme, with price pinned at the lows into the BoE decision.

Support: 1.32247, 1.3226

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • BoE Rate Decision + Minutes in ~12 min will dominate this read
  • Loss of 1.32247 confirms continuation lower; reclaim of 1.32483 needed to ease the slide
  • Recovery back through 1.3300 would neutralise the downtrend read

11:00 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 30 · price 1.32306

Lower highs and lower lows, near session low.

London session drove a steep decline through the 1.33000 figure to a session low at 1.32247, RSI(14) pinned near 30. Cable is consolidating just above the low at 1.32306 ahead of the BoE decision, with each bounce capped under 1.32483.

Support: 1.32247, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.32619, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision + minutes due in ~12 min — binary risk that will define the next leg
  • M15 close back above 1.32619 would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 1.32247 confirms continuation toward 1.32000

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 1.32375

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

GBPUSD sold off hard through the London session, breaking the 1.3260 two-month low and printing a session low at 1.3225, RSI(14) near 31. Price stalled into the 1.3237 area on the last bars with the BoE decision imminent.

Support: 1.32247, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision/vote split at 11:00 GMT (~15min) will drive the next leg
  • Failure to reclaim 1.3260 keeps the broken low as resistance
  • M15 close below 1.3225 confirms continuation toward 1.3200

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into BoE · RSI 34 · price 1.32375

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

GBPUSD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.3260 two-month-low area and printing a fresh session low at 1.32247 with RSI(14) holding around 34. The slide tracks broad USD firmness post-FOMC; a steady chain of lower highs caps every bounce.

Support: 1.32247

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.32619

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 GMT could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 1.32619 prior pivot would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.32247 session low confirms continuation

10:31 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 32 · price 1.32365

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

GBPUSD broke below the 1.3260 two-month low and printed a fresh session low at 1.32247 during the London run-up to the BoE decision, RSI(14) near 32. Price holds just above the low on a low-volume doji; the broken 1.3260 area now caps as resistance.

Support: 1.32247, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision/vote split at 11:00 GMT (~30m) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 1.32600 would unwind the breakout below the two-month low
  • Loss of 1.32247 confirms continuation toward the 1.3200 psych level

10:30 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 30 · price 1.32365

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

GBPUSD sold off through the London session in a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, printing a fresh session low at 1.32247 as it grinds back toward the two-month base near 1.3260. RSI(14) near 30 reflects momentum stretched but not yet at an extreme, and price holds well below EMA20/50. BoE rate decision at 11:00 GMT is the immediate catalyst.

Support: 1.32247, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32483, 1.32624

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision and vote split at 11:00 GMT can override this read entirely
  • A reclaim of 1.32483 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.32247 opens the path toward 1.32000

10:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into BoE · RSI 28 · price 1.3239

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session lows.

London session sold GBPUSD into fresh lows at 1.3234, extending a clean lower-high/lower-low chain off 1.3324 with RSI(14) oversold near 28. Selloff lands minutes ahead of the BoE decision at 11:00 GMT, so structure is stretched into a binary event.

Support: 1.3234, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3248, 1.3262, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 GMT (~45m) could fully reset this read
  • M15 close back above 1.3248 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.3234 opens the path toward the 1.3200 round number

10:15 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.3239

Lower highs, lower lows.

GBPUSD ground to a fresh session low at 1.3235 through London, an unbroken lower-high/lower-low chain after Sterling failed to hold 1.3300 ahead of the BoE. RSI(14) near 33, hovering above oversold but not extended; price sits well below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.3235, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3248, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision/vote split at 11:00 GMT (~45m) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 1.3248 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.3235 opens the path toward 1.3200

10:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.32449

Lower highs, lower lows; broke 1.3260.

GBPUSD extended its decline through the London session, slicing the 1.3260 two-month low to print 1.32335 before stalling at 1.32449, RSI(14) near oversold. The slide tracks GBP softness ahead of the BoE despite firmer UK jobs data this morning.

Support: 1.32335, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.3262

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split ~1h out could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 1.32620 needed to ease downside pressure
  • M15 close below 1.32335 confirms continuation lower

10:00 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.32449

Lower highs, lower lows.

GBPUSD extended its slide through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.32335 as post-Fed USD strength kept pressure on. The chain of lower highs and lower lows is intact with RSI(14) near 33 but not yet stretched; price stalled just above the low into the BoE decision.

Support: 1.32335, 1.3226

Resistance: 1.32619

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
  • Close back above 1.32619 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.32335 confirms continuation lower

09:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.32369

Lower highs and lower lows, accelerating into NY.

GBPUSD extended the post-Fed slide through the 1.3260 two-month low, printing a fresh session low at 1.3235 as the hawkish-USD tone dominated. Descending highs cap every bounce and RSU(14) near 30 reflects the persistent pressure rather than an exhausted move. Last bar stalled just above the low ahead of the BoE.

Support: 1.32352, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32619

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~75 min) is the dominant near-term risk
  • Reclaim of 1.32619 swing would break the chain of lower highs
  • Failure to hold 1.32352 confirms continuation lower toward 1.3200

09:46 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 1.32369

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh two-month low.

GBPUSD sold off hard through the London session, breaking the 1.3260 two-month low and printing a fresh session low at 1.3235 as the post-Fed USD bid persisted. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 27 with the move stretched into the BoE decision; the broken 1.3260 prior-low now caps as resistance.

Support: 1.32352, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32619, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~75min) will dominate this read
  • Close back above 1.3260 prior low would ease the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 1.3235 opens the path toward the 1.3200 psych level

09:31 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 1.32418

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session lows.

GBPUSD extended its downtrend through the European morning, slicing the 1.3260 two-month low to print 1.3235 before stabilising near 1.3242. RSI(14) near oversold around 27 with ATR ~15 pips; sellers control the tape with no sign of basing yet.

Support: 1.32352, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32619

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~90 min) could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 1.32619 swing needed to ease downside pressure
  • Loss of 1.32352 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.3200 psych level

09:31 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 1.32418

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

GBPUSD sold off hard through the London session, breaking the 1.3260 two-month low and printing a fresh session low at 1.32352, RSI(14) deep near 27. Sequence of lower highs intact with the broken 1.3260 level now overhead as resistance ahead of the BoE.

Support: 1.32352, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32619, 1.3260

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~90 min) is the dominant near-term risk
  • M15 close back above 1.32619 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.32352 confirms continuation lower

09:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 27 · price 1.32434

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session lows.

London session pressing GBPUSD to fresh lows at 1.32411, taking out the 1.32619 swing and approaching the 1.3260 two-month base, RSI(14) near 27. The leg extends the hawkish-Fed-driven sell-off; the late-NY/overnight bounce to 1.333 has fully unwound ahead of the BoE.

Support: 1.32411, 1.3226

Resistance: 1.32619, 1.32969, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~2h) is the binary for this read
  • Close below 1.32260 confirms a break of the two-month base
  • Reclaim of 1.32619 would stall the lower-low sequence

09:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 1.32434

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh leg down.

GBPUSD broke the 1.3260 two-month low during the London session and extended a fresh leg lower to 1.3241, RSI(14) near 30 but not yet stretched given the pace. The slide is USD-led after the hawkish Fed; sterling found no support from firmer UK jobs data, and the broken low at 1.3262 now caps as resistance.

Support: 1.32411, 1.3200

Resistance: 1.32619

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~2h) is the binary that can reverse or extend this read
  • Reclaim of 1.3262 negates the range break lower
  • Failure to hold the 1.3241 session low opens the path toward 1.3200

09:01 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 32 · price 1.32615

Lower highs, lower lows; retesting 1.3260.

Cable ground lower through the London session into a retest of the 1.3260 two-month low, RSI(14) near 31 but not yet extreme. Sterling's earlier bounce was USD profit-taking off the US-Iran deal rather than GBP strength; the drift has resumed ahead of the BoE.

Support: 1.3262, 1.3250

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.3324

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision at 11:00 UTC (~2h) is the binary that overrides this read
  • M15 close below 1.3262 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.3250
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 needed to ease downside pressure

09:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.32615

Lower highs, lower lows into 2mo low.

Cable grinding to fresh session lows at 1.32615, retesting the 1.3260 two-month low after a steady NY-hours slide. The earlier London leg was USD-driven; RSI(14) near 33, soft but not yet oversold. Sequence of lower highs intact from 1.33247.

Support: 1.3260

Resistance: 1.32969, 1.33247, 1.3300

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~2h) is the binary into this read
  • US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
  • Loss of 1.3260 confirms continuation; reclaim of 1.32969 needed to break the lower-high chain

08:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 37 · price 1.32749

Lower highs and lower lows.

GBPUSD ground lower through the window, rejected at 1.33247 in the prior NY session and rolling over again into London to print a fresh low at 1.32749 — extending the slide toward the 1.3260 two-month low as USD stays bid post-Fed. RSI(14) near 37, no oversold extreme yet.

Support: 1.32619, 1.3260

Resistance: 1.3297, 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.32619 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.3260
  • Reclaim of 1.32970 needed to ease downside pressure

08:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.32749

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

GBPUSD grinding to a session low at 1.3275 after rejection at 1.3324, having lost the 1.3300 round number during European hours. Chain of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 33 but not yet extreme; 1.32619 swing low is the next reference. BoE decision at 11:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk.

Support: 1.32619, 1.3250

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~2h) can materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.32619 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 needed to ease downside pressure

08:31 UTC

Downtrend, fading toward session lows · RSI 41 · price 1.32825

Lower highs, retesting prior low.

GBPUSD is sliding back toward the session lows near 1.3280 after a recovery to 1.3325 was rejected in early London hours. The bounce off the two-month low at 1.3260 has stalled; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 40, having retaken sub-1.3300 ground after this morning's mixed-to-firm UK jobs data.

Support: 1.32697, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3299, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~2.5h) could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.32619 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of the 1.3300 pivot needed to ease downside pressure

08:30 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.32825

Lower highs and lower lows since London.

GBPUSD is sliding back toward the session lows in London hours, rejected at 1.33247 and now testing 1.32805 with RSI(14) near 38. Chain of lower highs intact as the pair drifts toward the 1.32619 base ahead of the BoE decision.

Support: 1.32805, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break of 1.32619 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.33000 would stall the downtrend read

08:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovery fading · RSI 42 · price 1.32949

Post-break drop, lower high under 1.3300.

GBPUSD cratered below 1.3300 to a two-month low at 1.3262 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then recovered to 1.3324 before fading back under the 1.3300 pivot. Price now sits mid-range of that move with RSI(14) around 42; BoE rate decision at 11:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk.

Support: 1.3280, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.3324

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 pivot would re-open the 1.3324 swing high
  • Failure to hold 1.3280 puts the 1.3262 two-month low back in play

08:16 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.32949

Rejection at session high, rolling back below 1.3300.

US session yesterday cratered to a 1.3262 two-month low on the hawkish Fed before recovering to range around 1.3300. London this morning rejected at the 1.33247 session high and has drifted back below the 1.3300 psych pivot, RSI(14) cooling toward 42.

Support: 1.3289, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision and vote split at 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.32890 swing low reopens the 1.3260 two-month low
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 psych pivot would neutralise the rollover

08:01 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 41 · price 1.32985

Range after post-Fed flush, lower high at 1.3324.

GBPUSD remains pinned near two-month lows after the post-Fed flush below 1.3300; recovery from the 1.32619 session low stalled at the 1.33247 swing high and price has rotated back under the 1.3300 psych level. RSI(14) near 41, ATR(14) compressed to ~10 pips as London holds a tight 1.3290-1.3324 range ahead of the BoE.

Support: 1.32861, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.3318, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision at 11:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 psych needed to retest 1.33247 swing high
  • Loss of 1.32619 session low extends the breakdown toward 1.3100

08:01 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.32985

Range below 1.3300 after FOMC breakdown.

GBP/USD cratered below 1.3300 during the NY FOMC session on hawkish Warsh, bottoming at 1.32620, then consolidated 1.3290–1.3325. The latest London bars rejected 1.33247 and are rolling back toward the 1.32889 session low with RSI in the mid-40s.

Support: 1.32889, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision at 11:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.32889 reopens the 1.32620 crash low
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 and a push through 1.33247 negates the lower-high sequence

07:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending lower · RSI 38 · price 1.32928

Post-FOMC breakdown, consolidation now resolving lower.

Cable broke below 1.3300 after Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, flushing to a two-month low at 1.32619 in the US session. Price then consolidated 1.3290-1.3325 through Asia, but the London open is selling it back below 1.3300 toward the swing low, RSI(14) near 38.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision at 11:00 UTC (~3.5h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.32619 confirms a fresh lower low and reopens the 1.3260 area
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 needed to neutralise the breakdown

07:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 1.32928

Post-FOMC breakdown, recovery rejected below 1.3300.

GBPUSD cratered ~1% during yesterday's NY session on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, bottoming at the 1.32619 two-month low. The London-session bounce stalled at 1.33247 and rolled over, with price now back below the 1.3300 psych handle; RSI(14) near 43.

Support: 1.32619, 1.3280

Resistance: 1.3300, 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision in ~3.5h (11:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.32619 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.3300 reopens the 1.33247 session high

07:31 UTC

Downtrend, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.33034

Range after sharp breakdown, pivoting at 1.3300.

Cable cratered sub-1.3300 to fresh two-month lows after soft UK CPI and a hawkish Warsh-led Fed, bottoming at 1.32619 before stabilising. Since then it has ranged ~1.3260–1.3325; the NY-session pop to 1.33247 was rejected and price slid back to the 1.3300 pivot, RSI(14) mid-range near 47.

Support: 1.3299, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33247, 1.3330

What it said to watch

  • BoE rate decision in ~3.5h (11:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
  • Close below 1.32619 confirms a lower-low extension
  • Reclaim of 1.33247 needed to flip the intraday range

07:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after crash · RSI 46 · price 1.33034

Range-bound above session low post-FOMC drop.

GBPUSD cratered below 1.3300 to a session low of 1.3262 on the hawkish Warsh-led Fed, then carved a 1.3262–1.3325 range through the Asia and early London hours. Price was rejected at 1.33247 and has slipped back to retest the 1.3300 psych level, RSI(14) hovering mid-zone with no momentum extreme.

Support: 1.32992, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision/vote in ~3.5h (11:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.32992 reopens the 1.3262 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.33247 swing high would break the range top

07:16 UTC

Consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 53 · price 1.33122

Range-bound recovery off two-month lows.

GBPUSD collapsed ~140 pips below 1.3300 to a 1.3262 low yesterday on the hawkish Warsh-led Fed and soft UK CPI, then clawed back into a tight range. The last push to 1.33247 was rejected back to 1.3312; RSI(14) neutral near 53 with ATR cooling to ~9 pips.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32992, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33247, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision 11:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.3300/1.32992 reopens the path toward the 1.3262 swing low
  • M15 close above 1.33247 session high tests the 1.3340 shelf

07:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.33122

Base built above session low, higher lows into NY.

GBPUSD cratered ~140 pips through 1.3300 to a 1.32619 session low after the hawkish FOMC-driven USD rally and soft UK CPI, then carved a rounded base and reclaimed 1.3300, tagging 1.33247 before easing back to 1.3312. Higher lows since the low keep the recovery intact while the 1.33247 session high caps for now.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32985, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33247

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision + minutes 11:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 1.3300 reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • M15 close above 1.33247 extends the recovery toward the pre-drop high

07:01 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 63 · price 1.33228

Sharp drop then basing, higher lows building.

GBPUSD collapsed ~140 pips below 1.3300 to two-month lows on the hawkish Fed hold and soft UK CPI, bottoming at the 1.3262 session low. Price has since based and clawed back above the 1.3300 psych level, now pressing the 1.33246 session high with RSI(14) around 63.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32985, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33246, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision 11:00 UTC (~4h) is the key risk to this read
  • Close above 1.33246 session high extends the recovery toward 1.3340
  • Loss of 1.3300 psych reopens the 1.3262 session low

07:01 UTC

Downtrend, near-term bounce · RSI 62 · price 1.33228

Base built post-drop, recovering.

GBP/USD collapsed below 1.3300 to two-month lows during the prior session on the hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI, then carved a base around 1.3290-1.3320. London hours pushed price back through 1.3320 to a session high at 1.33246, RSI(14) firming near 61.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32992, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33246, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision at 11:00 UTC (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
  • Failure to hold 1.3300 reopens the 1.32619 swing low
  • M15 close above 1.3340 extends the recovery toward prior supply

06:46 UTC

Recovering off lows, basing · RSI 60 · price 1.33228

Rebound from FOMC selloff, reclaiming EMAs.

GBPUSD cratered to 1.32619 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then based around 1.3300 through the Asia session and is now grinding back to the session high at 1.33243, reclaiming the EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 60 confirms the recovery momentum without being stretched.

Support: 1.3299, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33243, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • BoE decision at 11:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
  • Close above 1.33400 weekly pivot extends the recovery
  • Loss of 1.32990 swing low reopens the 1.32619 range low

06:46 UTC

Recovery off CPI low, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.33228

Consolidation above session low, recent push to range top.

GBP cratered on the soft UK CPI miss, dumping to a session low at 1.3262 before basing through the Asia session in a 1.3300-1.3318 band. Last hour broke to a session high at 1.3324 — a likely reaction to the UK labour data — with RSI(14) firming near 61.

Support: 1.3299, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33243, 1.3318

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3324 session high opens room toward the 50% retrace at 1.3333
  • Loss of 1.3299 swing low reopens the 1.3262 session low
  • BoE decision/minutes at 11:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, recovery stalling · RSI 53 · price 1.33167

Range after sharp selloff.

GBPUSD sold off hard from 1.3400 to 1.32619 on the soft UK CPI / hawkish Fed combination, then clawed back to range between 1.32990 and 1.33185. Price is mid-range near 1.3317 with RSI(14) neutral; no fresh directional impulse since the recovery.

Support: 1.3299, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3342

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33185 reclaims the range top
  • Loss of 1.32990 reopens the path toward the 1.32619 swing low
  • BoE decision at 11:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 55 · price 1.33167

Consolidating above the 1.3300 low.

GBPUSD cratered through 1.3300 to 1.3262 on the hawkish FOMC and soft UK CPI combo, then ground back to consolidate 1.3300–1.3320 into the London session. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR has cooled to ~6 pips as the post-shock range tightens.

Support: 1.32992, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32992 reopens the path to the 1.3262 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.33196 session high needed to extend the recovery
  • BoE decision at 11:00 UTC and US claims at 12:30 UTC can break this range

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after slide · RSI 40 · price 1.33036

Ranged near 1.3300 after sharp drop, edging lower.

Soft UK CPI yesterday plus a US retail-sales/FOMC-driven USD bid drove GBPUSD off 1.3400 to a session low at 1.3262; price then consolidated 1.3305–1.3318 through the Asian session. The last few bars slipped back to test 1.3300, RSI(14) sitting near 40 with no oversold extreme yet.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.3318, 1.3371

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.3300 opens the path back toward the 1.3262 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.3318 range high neutralises the downside drift
  • UK labour data (06:00 UTC) and BoE decision (11:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts and can override this read

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, leg lower resuming · RSI 43 · price 1.33036

Consolidation breaking below 1.3300.

GBPUSD knifed lower from 1.3400 into 1.3262 on the hawkish-Fed/soft-UK-CPI mix, then consolidated 1.3300-1.3320 through Asia. Price is now slipping back below 1.3300 into the UK jobs print, RSI(14) mid-40s with EMAs capping overhead.

Support: 1.32985, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.34033

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.32985 reopens the 1.3262 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.33196 range top negates the lower break
  • UK labour data (06:00 UTC) then BoE at 11:00 UTC dominate next bars

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after impulsive drop · RSI 44 · price 1.3308

Tight range above session low after sharp sell-off.

GBPUSD sold off sharply into the prior NY session, bottoming at 1.3262 as soft UK CPI and a hawkish-Fed-driven USD bid weighed. Price has since consolidated in a 1.3300–1.3320 band, RSI(14) flat near 44; rejection at the range top capped the recovery and the pair is drifting back toward 1.3300.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.3320, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is imminent and could break the 1.3300–1.3320 range
  • Loss of 1.3300 reopens the 1.3262 session low
  • M15 close above 1.3320 retakes the range top

06:01 UTC

Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.3308

Post-selloff base, capped below 1.3320.

GBPUSD cratered through 1.3400 to a session low at 1.3262 during NY hours, driven by soft UK CPI and a hawkish FOMC repricing the dollar higher. Price has since based and consolidated in a tight 1.3300–1.3318 range, now drifting back to 1.3308 with RSI(14) mid-zone. ATR sits near 4.5 pips — compressed after the volatility spike.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.3318, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst and can break this range either way
  • BoE decision at 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.3300 reopens the 1.3262 session low
  • M15 close above 1.3318 range top would end the consolidation read

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovery stalling · RSI 42 · price 1.33062

Consolidation under recovery high, drifting lower.

GBPUSD crashed from 1.3403 to a 1.3262 session low overnight on soft UK CPI plus post-FOMC USD strength, then recovered to 1.332. Price has consolidated 1.3306–1.3320 through the Asia-London transition and is now drifting toward 1.3300 with lower highs since 1.33196.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32861, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3334

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is imminent and dominates the next-bar read
  • BoE decision at 11:00 UTC is the session's main catalyst
  • Loss of 1.3300 reopens the 1.32861/1.32619 lows
  • M15 close above 1.33196 ends the lower-high sequence

05:46 UTC

Downtrend stalled, ranging · RSI 42 · price 1.33062

Consolidation above swing low after impulsive drop.

Soft UK CPI plus the post-FOMC USD bid drove the sharp leg down to 1.3262; price has since recovered into a 1.3300–1.3318 range and is now drifting back toward range low at 1.3306. RSI(14) near 42, sitting under both EMAs as the recovery stalls around the 38.2% retrace of the drop.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst and can break the range
  • M15 close below 1.3300 opens the path to the 1.3262 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.33185 range top needed to stall the downward drift

05:31 UTC

Downtrend, recovery stalling · RSI 49 · price 1.33115

Range break lower, now consolidating above weekly low.

Soft UK May CPI and a hot US retail sales beat drove GBPUSD through 1.3400 to a weekly low at 1.32619 during NY hours. Price has since clawed back to 1.331 and is consolidating in a tight 1.3305–1.3320 band, RSI(14) flat near 49 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips.

Support: 1.33045, 1.32619, 1.3300

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3342

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
  • M15 close above 1.33196 extends the recovery toward 1.3342
  • Loss of 1.33045 range low reopens the move toward 1.32619

05:31 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.33115

Tight range after sharp breakdown.

GBPUSD broke sharply through 1.3400 on the soft UK May CPI miss, printing a 1.3262 low before grinding back into a tight 1.3310-1.3320 consolidation. RSI(14) sits mid-range with momentum flat; price hugging EMA20 after the recovery stalled at the session high.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is imminent and the dominant near-term catalyst
  • M15 close below 1.3300 reopens the 1.3262 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.33196 session high needed to challenge 1.3340

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.33121

Tight range after sharp drop.

GBPUSD broke sharply lower mid-window to a swing low of 1.3262 on the soft UK CPI fallout and firm USD post-Fed, then recovered into a tight 1.3306–1.3320 consolidation. ATR is compressed to ~4 pips and RSI sits neutral near 45 — no directional impulse in the last hours ahead of UK jobs.

Support: 1.3306, 1.3300, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3342

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst and can break this range
  • M15 close above 1.3320 reclaims the recovery high
  • Loss of 1.3306 reopens the 1.3262 swing low

05:16 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.33121

Consolidation after CPI-driven drop.

GBPUSD sold off sharply through 1.3300 on the soft UK CPI print and bottomed at 1.32619 before clawing back into a tight Asian-session range between 1.3306 and 1.3320. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI near 47 — no directional impulse, just balance ahead of UK jobs.

Support: 1.3306, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
  • Close below 1.3306 range low reopens the 1.3262 swing low
  • Close above 1.3320 range top exposes 1.3340 prior level

05:01 UTC

Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.33143

Ranging after sharp drop and bounce.

GBPUSD sold off hard yesterday on the soft UK CPI miss and a hot US retail print, bottoming at 1.32619 before recovering toward 1.3310. Early London is quiet, grinding in a tight 1.3300–1.3320 band with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC could break the 1.3300-1.3320 range
  • M15 close below 1.3300 reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.33196 range top needed to extend the recovery

05:01 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.33143

Tight range after sharp drop and base.

GBPUSD was knocked to 1.3262 after the soft UK CPI miss, then based and recovered to grind in a tight 1.3306–1.3320 band through Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips with no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.3306, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is imminent and can break the range either way
  • Close below 1.3306 reopens the path toward the 1.3262 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.33196 session high needed to extend the recovery

04:46 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.33131

Ranging above the selloff low.

A sharp selloff on soft UK May CPI sliced GBPUSD from 1.3403 to a session low of 1.3262 in the prior session; price has since recovered and is now ranging tightly between the 1.3305 range floor and the 1.3320 range top, with RSI(14) neutral near 52. ATR has compressed to ~6 pips as the market coils ahead of UK jobs.

Support: 1.3305, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3334

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the imminent catalyst and could break this range
  • M15 close below 1.3305 reopens the path toward the 1.3262 session low
  • Close above 1.3320 range top extends the recovery toward fib 50% at 1.3334

04:46 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising into range · RSI 49 · price 1.33131

Lower-low at 1.3262, now ranging near 1.3310.

GBPUSD slid from 1.3430 to a 1.3262 swing low after the soft UK CPI miss, then clawed back into a tight Asia-session range around 1.3305–1.3320. RSI(14) is flat near 49 and the move has stalled below the prior swing at 1.3340.

Support: 1.33045, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340, 1.3417

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst and could break the range
  • Loss of 1.3305 range low reopens the path toward the 1.3262 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.3340 prior swing needed to challenge the 200-dma pivot at 1.3417

04:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.33146

Selloff low carved, consolidating above it.

GBP sold off through the session after soft UK CPI, bottoming at 1.3262 in the NY session before recovering to consolidate around 1.3315 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price is range-bound 1.3300–1.3320, holding above the round number with no setup in play. UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3320 session high opens the path toward the 1.3340 weekly low pivot
  • Loss of the 1.3300 round level reopens the 1.3262 session low
  • UK jobs at 06:00 UTC could break the range

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 54 · price 1.33146

Consolidation above selloff low.

GBPUSD sold off hard through 1.3400 on the soft UK May CPI miss, bottoming at 1.32619 before basing. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.3300-1.3320 range through the Asia session, holding the 1.3300 psych level with the 1.33196 session high capping.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33196, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst and can break this range
  • Loss of 1.3300 reopens the 1.32619 selloff low
  • M15 close above 1.3340 toward the 1.3400 breakdown level negates the basing read

04:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovery stalling · RSI 57 · price 1.33175

Consolidation above weekly low after sharp drop.

Cooler UK CPI plus a hot US retail sales beat drove a sharp leg down to a weekly low of 1.32619; price has since clawed back to 1.3315 and gone quiet through the Asian session, capped at the 1.33185 session high. RSI(14) near 57 reflects a stabilised but unconvincing recovery, with ATR compressed to ~6 pips in thin pre-London trade.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst and could break the consolidation
  • Close back below 1.3300 reopens the 1.32619 weekly low
  • Reclaim of 1.33400 needed to challenge the pre-drop shelf

04:16 UTC

Recovering off weekly low, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.33175

Tight consolidation after CPI slide.

GBPUSD slid hard through 1.3300 into a 1.32620 low after soft UK May CPI met USD strength on the retail-sales beat, then stabilised into Asia. Price now grinds a tight 1.3300–1.33185 range, RSI(14) neutral near 56, with the session high capping each push.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst and can break this range either way
  • M15 close above 1.33185 opens room back toward the 1.33400 weekly low
  • Loss of 1.33000 re-exposes the 1.32620 swing low

04:01 UTC

Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.33161

Impulsive NY drop, basing then ranging.

GBPUSD was knocked sharply lower during NY hours on soft UK CPI and a US retail sales beat, printing a low at 1.32619 before basing and recovering into a 1.3300-1.3318 range. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-territory as the bounce stalls just under the session high at 1.33185.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3371

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC could shift this read sharply
  • M15 close above 1.33185 extends the recovery toward 1.3371
  • Loss of 1.3300 reopens the 1.32620 swing low

03:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling, recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.33161

Consolidating after sharp NY drop, basing near 1.3310.

Cable sold off hard through the NY session to 1.3262 on the dovish UK CPI miss plus hawkish FOMC dots, then clawed back to range 1.3300–1.3318 in quiet Asia trade. RSI(14) has normalised near 54 and price is holding above EMA20 but capped under the session high at 1.3318.

Support: 1.33003, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.33714, 1.3417

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 1.3318 session high opens room toward 1.3340 and the 200-dma at 1.3417
  • Failure to hold the 1.3300 range floor reopens the 1.3262 swing low

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovery into consolidation · RSI 56 · price 1.33161

Ranging after sweep of weekly low.

Cable collapsed through 1.3340 into a 1.32619 low during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC dots and soft UK CPI combination, then clawed back. Asia session is now consolidating 1.3305-1.3318, sitting near a 38% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 1.33045, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33185 opens room back toward 1.3340 prior high
  • Loss of 1.33045 session low re-exposes the 1.32619 swing low
  • UK jobs at 06:00 UTC and BoE at 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:31 UTC

Prior downtrend, recovery consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.33152

Basing above weekly low after FOMC-driven flush.

Cable was hammered to a 1.3262 weekly-low area during NY hours as a hawkish Fed and soft UK CPI lined up against it, then clawed back to consolidate around 1.3315 — sitting on the 38.2% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with price holding above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3270, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.33464

What it said to watch

  • UK jobs 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 1.33185 session high extends the recovery
  • Loss of 1.33000 round number reopens the 1.32619 session low

03:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 56 · price 1.33152

Recovery off weekly low, higher lows into Asia.

Cable sold off hard through the NY session to a 1.32619 spike low on soft UK CPI and a hawkish FOMC, then carved a base. Asia hours have ground higher in a chain of higher lows, now testing the 1.33185 session high with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 1.33045, 1.32861, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3342

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 1.33185 extends the recovery toward the 200-DMA at 1.33420
  • Failure to hold 1.33045 reopens the 1.32861 swing low

03:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after sharp drop · RSI 50 · price 1.33121

Consolidation above session low post-breakdown.

NY session drove a sharp ~140 pip flush from 1.3403 to 1.3262 on the hawkish FOMC/firm USD read, with cable losing the 1.3417 200-DMA. Asia hours have since built a tight 1.3284-1.3318 range; price is hovering near the 38.2% retrace of the drop with RSI back to neutral.

Support: 1.3284, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3326, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33185 opens the 1.3326 50% fib
  • Loss of 1.3262 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • UK jobs 06:00 UTC then BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.33121

Sharp break lower, basing near 1.3300.

Cable was hammered through 1.3340 during NY hours on the soft UK CPI / hawkish-Fed combination, printing a session low at 1.3262 before a grinding recovery into the Asia session. Price now consolidates around 1.3312, holding a chain of higher lows off the low; 1.33185 caps the bounce.

Support: 1.33045, 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.33045 reopens the 1.3280–1.3262 lows
  • M15 close above 1.33185 extends the recovery toward 1.3340
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially reset this read

03:01 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce · RSI 54 · price 1.33151

Bounce off 1.32619, grinding higher lows.

Cable cratered from 1.3400 to a 1.32619 swing low after soft UK CPI unwound BoE hike bets, then clawed back to 1.33151 — roughly the 38.2% retrace of the drop. Price is grinding higher lows into the 1.33185 session high, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s.

Support: 1.3306, 1.3285, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3368

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33185 opens the path back toward 1.33680
  • Failure to hold 1.33060 reopens the 1.32619 swing low
  • UK jobs (06:00 UTC) and BoE decision (11:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

03:01 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.33151

Post-selloff base, ranging.

Cable was hammered ~140 pips through the session, sweeping from 1.34030 down to a 1.32619 session low on the soft UK CPI / hawkish-Fed combination. Price has since carved a rounded bottom and is now ranging 1.33045–1.33185 along a rising support line, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s.

Support: 1.33045, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.33185 range high opens the path back toward the 1.33400 round number
  • Loss of the rising support and 1.33045 range low re-exposes the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data (~06:00 UTC) and BoE decision (~11:00 UTC) ahead — material risk to this read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.33096

Lower low then recovery, now ranging.

Cable sold off hard through NY hours after soft UK CPI, slicing 1.3340 down to a session low at 1.32619 before buyers recovered to 1.331. Asia session is now consolidating roughly 1.3295–1.3318, with price stalling under the 1.33185 session high and around the 38.2% fib of the drop.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.33326, 1.33464

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 1.33185 session high opens path toward the 1.33326 fib 50%
  • Break below 1.32619 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 51 · price 1.33096

Consolidating above session lows.

Cable broke sharply lower through 1.330 during NY hours to a 1.32619 swing low, driven by soft UK CPI against a hawkish-FOMC dollar bid. Asia session has since clawed back to a tight range between the 1.33045 floor and 1.33185 top, RSI back near 51.

Support: 1.33045, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.34033

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33185 range top extends the recovery toward the 1.34033 prior swing
  • Loss of 1.33045 reopens the 1.32619 swing low
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 48 · price 1.3307

Sharp NY drop, higher lows building in Asia.

Cable was hammered through the NY session, sliding from ~1.3403 to a 1.3262 session low as hawkish FOMC repricing and soft UK CPI kept USD bid. Price has since based and recovered to 1.3307, holding the 1.3300 round number with RSI back to mid-range; Asia is ranging 1.3300–1.3318.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.3318, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.3300 reopens the 1.3262 session low
  • Reclaim of 1.3318 session high needed to extend the recovery
  • UK jobs 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 52 · price 1.3307

Sharp leg lower, then recovery into range.

Cable sold off hard into 1.3262 during late NY hours as soft UK CPI met a hawkish FOMC repricing, then based and recovered to a 1.3318 session high. Price has eased back to 1.3307 in thin Asia trade, holding above the 1.3280 base with RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 1.3280, 1.3262

Resistance: 1.3318, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.3280 reopens the 1.3262 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.3318 session high would extend the recovery toward the 1.3340 prior shelf
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC then BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.33122

Higher lows off the 1.32619 base.

Cable was hammered into the NY session on hawkish FOMC repricing and soft UK CPI, dumping from ~1.3400 to a session low of 1.32619 before basing. Price has since carved higher lows back to 1.33122, holding above EMA20 but capped by the 1.33185 session high; RSI(14) near 56, neutral.

Support: 1.33045, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33185 opens the path back toward 1.33400
  • Failure to hold rising support / 1.33045 reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data Thu 06:00 UTC then BoE Thu 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.33122

Sharp break lower, now consolidating.

Cable was hammered through the 1.3410 weekly low into 1.32619 during NY hours as a hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing lifted the dollar. Price has since clawed back to 1.331 and is consolidating in a tight 1.3305–1.3318 band, RSI(14) back near neutral after the washout.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.33714

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.33185 extends the recovery toward the 1.33714 bounce high
  • Loss of 1.32800 reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • UK jobs data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:01 UTC

Recovering off lows, base building · RSI 62 · price 1.33165

Sharp selloff then higher-low recovery.

Cable was hammered in the prior session — soft UK CPI plus a hawkish FOMC repricing drove a slide from 1.3400 to a 1.32619 session low. Price has since carved a higher-low recovery back to 1.33165, now stalling under the 1.33185 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • A close above 1.33185 extends the recovery toward 1.33400
  • Failure to hold 1.33000 reopens the 1.32800-1.32619 zone
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC are major risks to this read

02:01 UTC

Recovery off session low after sharp sell-off · RSI 59 · price 1.33165

Higher lows grinding back into the breakdown zone.

Cable was hammered mid-window, dropping from ~1.3403 to 1.32619 on the hawkish FOMC repricing and soft UK CPI backdrop. Price has since rounded a base and ground steadily higher into the NY-Asia transition, now pressing the recovery high at 1.33185 with RSI(14) near 59.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33185, 1.3354, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33185 extends the recovery toward the 1.33540 drop pivot
  • Failure to hold 1.32800 reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, near-term rebound underway · RSI 62 · price 1.33174

Sharp break to session low, grinding recovery.

Cable sold off hard through 1.3340 to a session low of 1.32619 as GBP stayed heavy after the soft UK May CPI miss. Price has since carved a rounded base in the 1.328-1.330 zone and is grinding back to 1.33174, stalling at the 38.2% retrace of the drop; RSI(14) recovered to ~62.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3320, 1.3337

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.33200 extends the recovery toward the 1.33370 swing high
  • Failure to hold 1.33000 reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read ahead of the BoE

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 61 · price 1.33174

Weekly-low break, recovery in progress.

Cable was slammed from the 1.3400 area to a 1.32619 session low after soft UK May CPI reinforced a dovish BoE read. Asian session has carved a rounded base above 1.32800 and is grinding back to the session high at 1.33177, RSI recovering off oversold.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33177 opens the path back toward the 1.33400 pre-drop area
  • Failure to hold 1.33000 risks a retest of the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data Thu 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 57 · price 1.33118

Sharp selloff then base-and-recovery.

Cable was knocked down through the NY-Asia transition after soft UK May CPI, dumping from ~1.340 to a 1.3262 session low. It has based and recovered through Asia hours to 1.33118, now pressing the 1.33177 session high with RSI(14) back near mid-range.

Support: 1.33003, 1.32619, 1.3280

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.33464, 1.3417

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33177 opens the path back toward the 1.33464 pre-drop area
  • Failure to hold the 1.33003 minor low reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC then BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, correcting higher · RSI 61 · price 1.33118

Basing recovery off session low.

Sharp NY-afternoon sell-off broke 1.3340 and bottomed at 1.32619 as GBP stayed heavy after soft UK CPI, followed by a steady Asian-session grind back to 1.33118. RSI(14) near 60 and price has reclaimed EMA20 but remains capped below EMA50; session high 1.33177 is the immediate cap.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.33464

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33177 extends the recovery toward 1.33464
  • Failure to hold 1.32800 reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 55 · price 1.33076

Recovering off weekly low, building higher lows.

Cable collapsed to a 1.32619 weekly-low area during NY hours as soft UK CPI reinforced a dovish BoE read, then based through the Asia session and is grinding back toward the 1.33177 session high. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range and price sits above EMA20 but under EMA50, marking a 38.2% retrace of the sell-off.

Support: 1.3300, 1.32685, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.3354

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33177 extends the recovery toward the 1.33540 drop pivot
  • Loss of 1.33000 and a break of 1.32619 confirms a fresh lower low
  • UK labour data Thu 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing after sweep · RSI 58 · price 1.33076

Swept weekly low, recovering into Asia.

Cable was hammered through 1.3340 into a 1.32619 sweep low during NY hours after soft UK May CPI undermined BoE hike bets. Price has since reclaimed the 1.3300 psych level and is grinding 1.3300–1.3318 in thin Asian trade; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the high-50s.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33177 opens a retest of the 1.33400 shelf
  • Loss of 1.32619 confirms a fresh weekly low
  • UK jobs 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:01 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.33074

Sharp break lower, basing and grinding up.

Cable was hit hard during NY hours, breaking through 1.330 to a 1.3262 session low as GBP stayed heavy after the soft UK CPI miss and a hawkish-leaning FOMC kept USD bid. Price has since based above 1.328 and ground back to 1.331, recovering roughly a third of the down-leg with RSI(14) lifting off its lows.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.33464

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.33177 session high opens the path back toward the 1.33464 breakdown level
  • Loss of 1.32800 base re-exposes the 1.32619 session low
  • UK jobs data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC are major risks that can reshape this read

01:01 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.33074

Sharp selloff then basing/consolidation.

GBP dumped to a 1.32619 session low after the soft UK CPI miss reinforced a steady BoE, then clawed back to consolidate around 1.330. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold near 56 and price has reclaimed EMA20, but supply caps below the 1.33177 session high with EMA50 still overhead.

Support: 1.3285, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.3340

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.33177 session high opens the 1.33400 prior swing
  • Loss of 1.32850 range floor reopens the 1.32619 session low
  • UK jobs at 06:00 UTC then BoE at 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after sharp drop · RSI 57 · price 1.33069

Based at session low, recovering.

Cable was hammered from the 1.340 area to a 1.32619 session low after soft UK CPI met a hawkish FOMC. Asia hours built a base around 1.32985 and broke up to 1.33177 before easing to 1.33070; RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s and ATR is thin at ~9 pips in the quiet session.

Support: 1.32985, 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.33464

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.32985 base re-exposes the 1.32619 session low
  • M15 close above 1.33177 session high extends the recovery toward 1.33464
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, attempting recovery · RSI 54 · price 1.33069

Selloff into session low, consolidating off the base.

Cable broke down through 1.3340 during NY hours after the soft UK CPI / hawkish FOMC combination, printing a session low at 1.32619 before grinding back to 1.33069 through Asia. Recovery has stalled into the 1.33177 session high, with momentum cooling rather than extending.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.3337

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33177 opens room toward the 1.33370 prior high
  • Loss of 1.32619 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • UK jobs (06:00 UTC) then BoE (11:00 UTC) can materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 61 · price 1.33091

Sharp NY-into-Asia drop, recovering off lows.

Cable cratered through the late-NY hours, dumping from 1.3395 to a 1.32619 session low as soft UK CPI weighed on GBP against a post-FOMC firm USD. Asia has carved a rounded base near 1.3285 and pushed back to 1.3310, RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 1.33177 session high caps for now.

Support: 1.32839, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33177, 1.33464

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.33177 session high opens the path back toward the 1.33464 drop origin
  • Failure to hold the 1.32839 asia base risks a retest of the 1.32619 session low
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.33091

Broke weekly low, basing with higher lows.

Cable cratered through the 1.3410 weekly low during NY hours after the soft UK CPI print, bottoming at 1.32619 before basing through the Asia session. Higher lows have built off 1.3262 toward 1.331, RSI(14) recovering near 58; the 1.33180 recent high caps for now.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3318, 1.3350

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33180 opens the path back toward 1.33500
  • Failure to hold 1.32800 reopens the 1.32619 swing low
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 58 · price 1.33026

Sharp breakdown then tight consolidation.

Cable sold off hard through NY hours on the soft UK CPI read, breaking down to 1.32619 before stabilising back near the 1.3300 psych level. Asian session is quiet, consolidating 1.32800–1.33035 with RSI recovering off its lows; price holding above EMA20 but well under EMA50.

Support: 1.3300, 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33035, 1.3337

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.32800 range floor reopens the 1.32619 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.33370 prior swing would unwind the breakdown
  • UK labour data Thu 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 57 · price 1.33026

Sharp NY break lower, Asia consolidating off the low.

Cable sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from ~1.3400 to a 1.3262 session low as soft UK CPI met post-FOMC dollar strength. Asia has stabilised and ground back to the 1.3303 session high; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s with price holding above the 1.3280 base.

Support: 1.32797, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33035, 1.3337

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 1.3337 would unwind the NY break read
  • Close back below 1.3280 reopens the 1.3262 session low
  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC then BoE 11:00 UTC can materially shift this read

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 57 · price 1.33005

Range break lower, basing near 1.3300.

Cable collapsed roughly 170 pips during NY hours through the 1.3410 weekly-low region down to 1.3262, on the hawkish FOMC dot plot and soft UK CPI. Since then the Asia session has consolidated 1.3280-1.3302, grinding back to the 1.3300 round number with RSI(14) recovering off its post-drop lows.

Support: 1.32685, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.33021, 1.3337

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close back above 1.33021 micro high opens room toward 1.3337
  • Failure to hold 1.32685 reopens the 1.32619 session low

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, basing after flush · RSI 52 · price 1.33005

Sharp leg down into 1.3262, now consolidating sub-1.3302.

Cable was flushed through 1.3346 in the NY-Asia transition on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing, bottoming at 1.32619 before basing twice near 1.3280. Price has since ground back to the 1.33020 session high with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; consolidating 1.3280–1.3302, no fresh extension yet.

Support: 1.3280, 1.32619

Resistance: 1.3302, 1.3370

What it said to watch

  • UK labour data 06:00 UTC and BoE decision 11:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 1.33020 opens the path back to 1.3370
  • Failure to hold 1.3280 reopens the 1.32619 session low

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