GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 21 September 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalled · RSI 48 · price 1.33689

Lower highs into a tight late-session coil above the session low.

Monday drifted down from the 1.33999 session high to a 1.33600 session low in thin post-NY hours, a dollar-led slide rather than a sterling story. The 1.336 spikes were immediately bought back and price has coiled in a 1.33685–1.33711 band at the Asia open, ATR(14) down to ~4 pips with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 1.3360, 1.33668

Resistance: 1.33711, 1.3374

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above the 1.33711 range top, then 1.33740 prior high, would end the lower-highs sequence
  • Loss of the 1.33600 session low on a closing basis extends the downtrend leg
  • Liquidity is minimal until London — the current 1.33685–1.33711 coil can void on the first real volume
  • UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT is the week's main sterling event risk and could reset this intraday read

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.33701

Lower highs into a 10-pip late-session consolidation.

NY hours ground GBPUSD down from the 1.3400 area — a Dollar-led slide on firmer October Fed hike odds — leaving a chain of lower highs capped at the 1.3374 swing high. Early Asia is thin: a small gap down printed the 1.3360 session low before price recovered into a 10-pip consolidation around 1.3370, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) under 5 pips.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3379

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3374 swing high breaks the lower-high chain; 1.3379 prior high is the next barrier
  • Loss of the 1.3360 session low extends the NY downleg
  • Liquidity is thin until London open — moves inside the 1.3367 low cluster carry little structural weight
  • UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst for this pair

23:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening in thin hours · RSI 46 · price 1.33692

Lower highs from 1.3400, session low swept and reclaimed.

London pushed into the 1.3400 psych cap at 1.33999 and was rejected for a third session, with the NY session grinding out a chain of lower highs into 1.3374 as the Dollar stayed bid on rising October Fed hike odds. Late in the window a sweep of the session low at 1.3360 was reclaimed and price is now flat at 1.33692 on very thin post-NY volume, RSI(14) ~46 and ATR(14) just over 4 pips.

Support: 1.3360, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • A reclaim of 1.3374 breaks the lower highs chain that has held since the 1.3400 rejection
  • Failure to hold 1.3360 session low exposes the 1.3355 prior low
  • ATR(14) near 4 pips reflects dead post-NY liquidity; Asia open can re-price the range quickly
  • UK and US flash PMIs later in the week are the next scheduled tests of this range

22:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum flat at the lows · RSI 46 · price 1.33694

Lower highs / lower lows from 1.3400, now basing 1.3360-1.3374.

Monday's NY session sold the 1.33999 high steadily lower, printing a session low of 1.3360 late on with USD firm after the hawkish Fed repricing. Last six bars are pinned in a 1.3360-1.3371 coil on collapsing post-NY-close volume, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) just 5.4 pips.

Support: 1.3360, 1.3355, 1.3336

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.3374 micro high would break the chain of lower highs off 1.3400
  • Acceptance below 1.3360 session low exposes the 1.3355 support shelf and Friday's 1.3336 low
  • Thin liquidity into the Asia session can distort the 1.3360-1.3374 coil before real volume returns

22:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 1.33694

Lower highs from 1.3400, twin lows at 1.3360.

Monday's 1.34000 day high was rejected into the NY open and the chain of lower highs held all session, price grinding to 1.33600 twice in the thin post-NY hours before snapping back to 1.33694 — dollar firmness off hawkish Fed speak was the driver. RSI(14) near 44 and ATR(14) around 5 pips: contraction, not impulse, with the 1.33740 intraday resistance capping every bounce.

Support: 1.3360, 1.3355, 1.3336

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3380, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33800 breaks the lower-high chain off the day high
  • Loss of the 1.33600 session low exposes the 1.33550 sup shelf and Friday's 1.33360 low
  • Asia-open liquidity is thin — wicks through 1.33600 may not hold on a close basis

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening into the close · RSI 46 · price 1.33678

Lower highs off 1.33999, basing above 1.33600.

Sterling ground lower through the NY session from the 1.33999 session high, with sellers pressing after the hawkish Fed repricing kept the dollar firm; the last hour swept the session low at 1.33600 in thin post-NY liquidity before closing back at 1.33678. Price sits just under EMA20 and well below EMA50 inside a tight 1.33600–1.33740 band, RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR only ~5 pips.

Support: 1.3360, 1.33647

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.33600 confirms continuation of the lower-high chain
  • A close back above the 1.33740 swing high would break the descending lower-highs line and neutralise the downtrend read
  • Liquidity is thinnest now around the daily rollover — Asia session range development will define the next reference levels
  • UK and US flash PMIs Wed are the week's high-impact prints and could reset this intraday structure

22:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.33693

Chain of lower highs, late-session range 1.3360-1.3374.

NY session bled lower from the 1.33999 London high, with every bounce capped under the 1.3374 lower high as the firm dollar post-hawkish Fed kept sterling offered. Thin late-session trade gapped price down to a 1.3360 session low before a shallow recovery to 1.33693, marginally above EMA20 but well under EMA50.

Support: 1.3360, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3380

What it said to watch

  • 15m close above the 1.3374 lower high, then the 1.3380 ny pivot, would break the descending sequence
  • Failure to hold the 1.3360 session low exposes 1.3355 prior sup
  • Thin Asia reopen liquidity can exaggerate the next move; no top-tier GBP or USD data scheduled in the next several hours

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading into thin hours · RSI 40 · price 1.33643

Lower highs / lower lows since NY morning, now compressing.

GBPUSD drifted lower all session, topping at the 1.33999 session high in the NY morning before a slow bleed into a 1.33600 session low on the thin rollover gap; price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) compressed to ~4 pips. Sterling remains capped below the 1.33800 round number after the hawkish Fed hike outweighed the 6-3 BoE hold.

Support: 1.3360, 1.33647, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3380, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.33740 swing high would break the chain of lower highs
  • Acceptance below the 1.33600 session low exposes 1.33550 prior sup
  • Liquidity is minimal around the daily rollover — ranges here are unrepresentative until Asia proper
  • UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst for this read

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower on thin flow · RSI 37 · price 1.33631

Lower highs from 1.33999, eight-hour range floor at 1.33670 just given way.

GBPUSD rolled over from 1.33999 at the London-NY transition and spent the back half of NY compressed between 1.33670 and 1.33740, with the hawkish-Fed dollar bid from last week still the backdrop. The final two bars gapped and slipped through the range floor to a 1.33600 session low on near-zero participation, so the break is happening in the thinnest part of the day rather than on impulse.

Support: 1.3360, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33675, 1.3374

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.33675 range floor would mark the break as a false move made in thin late-session liquidity
  • Acceptance below 1.33600 session low puts the 1.33550 psych level in play on the Asia open
  • First Asia-session bars with real volume will confirm or void the current range break

21:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 37 · price 1.33631

Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3400 rejection.

Rejection at the 1.3400 psych cap into the NY open started a steady grind lower, with each bounce capped beneath the 1.3379 NY swing and then the 1.3373 lower high — consistent with GBP staying on the defensive after the hawkish Fed repricing. Price is now pinned at the 1.336 session low after a small rollover gap, RSI(14) near 37 and ATR(14) just 4.3 pips in very thin late-session liquidity.

Support: 1.3360, 1.3336

Resistance: 1.3373, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance back above the 1.3373 lower high would break the lower-high chain built through NY
  • A sustained loss of the 1.336 session low exposes Friday's 1.3336 low
  • Thin post-NY liquidity distorts the last two bars; Asia re-open will confirm or reject the gap lower
  • No GBP or USD data in the next 8h; UK and US flash PMIs Wednesday are the next scheduled repricing risk

21:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling into late NY · RSI 41 · price 1.33679

Lower highs / lower lows since the 12:00 UTC high, now coiling above the session low.

GBPUSD faded the 1.3400 session high through the NY session as the USD held hawkish-Fed gains, printing a clean lower-high chain into a 1.3365 session low. Last eight bars are pinned in a 1.3365–1.3374 coil with ATR(14) down to ~4 pips and RSI(14) mid-40s — no impulse left in the late-NY tape.

Support: 1.3365, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above the 1.3374 lower high would break the descending sequence off the session high
  • Failure to hold the 1.3365 session low exposes 1.3355 initial sup
  • Thin Asia-session liquidity on 4-pip ATR makes early-Asia range breaks prone to false break behaviour

20:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.33694

Lower highs into a tight late-NY range at the lows.

GBPUSD was rejected at the 1.3400 area during the NY session and has spent the last eight hours compressing between the 1.33647 session low and a 1.33752 range top, with hawkish-Fed follow-through keeping the pair offered. ATR(14) is down to ~3.6 pips and RSI(14) is mid-range near 47 — no structural setup in play into the session close.

Support: 1.33647, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33752, 1.3379, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33752 range top would end the lower-high sequence off the 1.33999 day high
  • Loss of the 1.33647 session low puts 1.3355 next sup in play
  • Thin late-NY / early Asia liquidity can widen the range without changing structure

20:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.3367

Lower highs off 1.3400, flat consolidation above session low.

Pair faded from the 1.3400 day high through the NY open as the dollar found dip-buyers on hawkish Fed follow-through, printing a session low at 1.3365. Late NY hours have gone flat: last ten bars compress into a 1.3365–1.3374 range with ATR down to ~4 pips and RSI(14) mid-40s — no structure in play until one side of that box goes.

Support: 1.3365, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3374 range top would break the lower-highs sequence off 1.3400
  • Loss of the 1.3365 session low exposes 1.3355 next support
  • Liquidity thins after NY close — range breaks into the Asia handover often fail
  • Wed UK and US flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst that could reset this range

20:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 43 · price 1.33667

Lower highs off 1.3400, price pinned at base of a 15-pip late-NY range.

Cable was rejected at the 1.3400 session high just ahead of the NY open and has printed a chain of lower highs since, the latest at 1.3374, closing back at the base of a 1.3365-1.3380 late-NY range. Firm USD on hawkish Fed follow-through has capped every bounce; RSI(14) near 43 and ATR(14) around 4.4 pips point to compressing late-session ranges rather than fresh impulse.

Support: 1.33647, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3374, 1.33797, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3374 lower high, then 1.33797 ny high, would end the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 1.33647 session low confirms continuation toward next support at 1.3355
  • Thin late-NY and Asia liquidity ahead; Tuesday Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) can reprice USD and invalidate this range read

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat late in NY · RSI 50 · price 1.33717

Lower highs off 1.3400, base building above 1.3365.

NY session rejected the 1.3400 day high and stepped down in a chain of lower highs to a 1.33647 session low, with hawkish-Fed follow-through keeping the dollar bid. Last two hours have flattened into a 1.3365–1.3375 consolidation, price back above EMA20 but capped by EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips into the late-NY handoff.

Support: 1.33647, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33752, 1.33805, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above the 1.33805 swing high would end the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of the 1.33647 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 1.3355 next support
  • Thin late-NY/Asia liquidity keeps ranges tight until London; Wed UK flash PMIs are the week's first structural catalyst

19:46 UTC

Mild downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.33726

Lower highs off 1.3400, late-NY range 1.3365-1.3379.

Rejection at 1.3400 into the 12:00 UTC London-NY transition triggered a 35-pip slide, and NY hours have since chopped between 1.3365 and 1.3379 with the hawkish-Fed USD tone capping rallies. The 18:30 UTC dip to 1.33647 was reclaimed within two bars — a false break of the NY range low — leaving price back at the EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR(14) compressed to about 5 pips.

Support: 1.33647, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.3379, 1.33865, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Close above the 1.3379 ny range top would end the lower-highs sequence off the day high
  • A sustained break of the 1.33647 session low puts the 1.3360 round number in play
  • Late-NY liquidity is thin; the sub-5 pip ATR(14) range read is fragile into the Asia handover

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 48 · price 1.33716

Lower highs off 1.3400, tight late-NY compression above the session low.

Cable was rejected at the 1.3400 handle during the NY morning (1.33999 ny high) and has ground lower on hawkish-Fed USD follow-through, printing a session low at 1.33647. The last five hours are pure compression between that low and the 1.33752 recent high, with ATR(14) down to ~4 pips and RSI(14) mid-range near 48 — no structure in play into the late-NY tape.

Support: 1.33647, 1.33673

Resistance: 1.33752, 1.3379, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33752 recent high, then 1.3379 prior high, would break the lower-high chain built off 1.3400
  • Loss of the 1.33647 session low extends the downtrend toward the 1.3355 area flagged in the GBP read
  • Thin Asia reopen liquidity can widen the 1.33647-1.33752 range without changing structure
  • Fed speaker slate Tuesday and Wednesday's UK/US flash PMIs are the next catalysts capable of resetting this range

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat into late NY · RSI 41 · price 1.33682

Lower highs off 1.3400, price pinned at session lows.

GBPUSD faded from the 1.3400 psych level at the London-NY transition and has printed lower highs all through NY, with hawkish Fed follow-through keeping the dollar firm. Late NY is a 1.3365-1.3375 drift after a fresh session low at 1.33647; RSI(14) at 41, ATR(14) only ~4 pips, so ranges are thin into the Asia handover.

Support: 1.33647, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33752, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.33752 lower high would break the NY lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 1.33647 session low opens the 1.3355 initial supp area
  • Thin late-NY conditions: ATR ~4 pips means the Asia open can widen the range quickly
  • Tuesday's Fed speaker slate is the next scheduled driver for this read

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower late NY · RSI 36 · price 1.33654

Lower highs since the 1.3400 rejection; intraday range floor just broken.

Rejection at the 1.3400 day high into the NY open flushed the pair to 1.3368, and the 1.3367–1.3372 box that held for the following five hours gave way on the last two bars to a new session low at 1.33647 — consistent with the firm-USD, hawkish-Fed tone in the digest. Price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR(14) around 5 pips, so ranges are thin in late-NY hours.

Support: 1.33647, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33725, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.33725, the broken floor, would invalidate the range break read
  • Acceptance below the session low puts the 1.3355 prior support in play
  • A push back through 1.3379, the last lower high, would end the lower-high chain
  • Liquidity thins after NY close; UK flash PMIs Wed are the next scheduled catalyst for this pair

18:46 UTC

Intraday down, momentum flat · RSI 41 · price 1.3370

Lower highs off 1.3400, now compressed above 1.3367.

Sterling was rejected at the 1.3400 psych level into the London-NY transition (high 1.33999) and sold off to 1.3367 in the first NY hours as the dollar held its post-FOMC bid. Last ten bars are pinned in a 1.3367-1.3375 range top with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — late-NY compression, nothing structural in play.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3380, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.3375 range top breaks the lower-high chain off 1.3400
  • Failure to hold 1.3367 session low opens 1.3355 next support
  • Ranges this tight into late NY often resolve on Asia reopen liquidity
  • Wed UK and US flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalysts capable of resetting this range

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat-lining · RSI 44 · price 1.33701

Lower highs into a tight late-NY base above 1.3367.

Rejection at the 1.3400 day high early in the NY session gave way to a 33-pip slide into 1.3367, attributed to hawkish-Fed dollar demand. Since then price has gone inert: the last 12 bars hold a 1.3367–1.3375 micro cap with ATR(14) near 5 pips and RSI(14) mid-40s, and the final bar's volume collapse marks the late-NY fade.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 1.3367 session low reopens the 1.3355 prior low
  • Reclaim of the 1.3379 swing pivot would end the lower-high sequence
  • Fed speakers Tuesday and UK flash PMIs Wednesday are the next catalysts capable of breaking this range

18:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening out · RSI 38 · price 1.33692

Lower highs off 1.3400, now a tight 8-pip band above the session low.

NY session faded the 1.3400 area, printing a session high at 1.33999 before a stepped slide into the 1.33670 session low, consistent with the firm USD tone after last week's hawkish Fed. The last three hours have gone flat between 1.33670 and the 1.33752 range top with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) at roughly 5 pips — compressed, late-NY conditions and no fresh structure.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.33752, 1.3379, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 1.33670 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3360 psych level
  • Reclaim of the 1.33752 range top would end the flat read and put the 1.33790 swing high back in play
  • Thin liquidity after NY close can distort range edges; Tuesday's Fed speaker slate is the next scheduled risk to this read

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 35 · price 1.33692

Lower highs into a compressing late-NY range.

The London-NY transition stalled at the 1.3400 psych level (1.33999 high) and the pair was sold off to a 1.33670 session low as the USD found dip-buyers on hawkish Fed follow-through. Since then it has ground sideways under a 1.33750 range top with ATR(14) down to ~5.5 pips and RSI(14) at 35, price holding below EMA20 (~1.3374) and EMA50.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3380, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance below the 1.33670 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3355 prior support
  • A 15m close back above the 1.33750 range top and the 1.33800 supply area invalidates the lower-high chain
  • No high-impact GBP or USD releases in the next few hours; thin late-NY liquidity is keeping the range compressed

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 39 · price 1.33684

Lower highs into a tight 8-pip base at the session low.

GBPUSD was rejected at the 1.3400 session high early in NY hours and sold off in two impulses to 1.3367, with the firm post-FOMC dollar the driver. Late NY is now a 1.3367–1.3375 consolidation under EMA20, RSI(14) near 38 with no divergence; ATR(14) has compressed to roughly 5.5 pips.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3379, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3375 micro pivot, then 1.3379 prior bounce, would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 1.3367 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 1.3355 next support
  • Tuesday Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) are the next intraday catalyst; UK flash PMIs Wednesday are the larger risk to this range read

17:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 37 · price 1.33721

Lower highs off 1.3400, basing above 1.3367.

London pushed into the 1.3400 session high and was rejected, with the NY session unwinding the whole move to a 1.3367 session low as the USD held its post-Fed bid. Price has since coiled in a 1.3367–1.3376 band with ATR down to ~6 pips and RSI(14) at 37 — no fresh structure late in the NY session.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3376, 1.3380, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 1.3367 session low exposes 1.3355 prior support
  • Reclaim of the 1.3380 ny pivot would invalidate the lower-high chain off 1.3400
  • Tuesday's Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) are the next USD catalyst for this range

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 33 · price 1.33703

Lower highs off 1.3400, basing above session low.

London's push to 1.33999 was rejected and NY hours unwound it in a straight line to 1.3367 as the dollar held its post-Fed firmness. Last two hours have flatlined in a 1.3367–1.33752 box with ATR down to ~6 pips and RSI(14) near 33 — late-NY drift, no fresh structure.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.33752, 1.33845, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 1.3367 session low confirms the next lower low, with 1.3360 psych the next reference below
  • A close back above the 1.33752 micro high would break the lower-high chain; 1.33845 swing high is the level that would void the downtrend read
  • Thin late-NY liquidity: 5-6 pip ATR means the box can break on low follow-through
  • No high-impact GBP or USD prints in the next 8h; Fed speakers Tuesday are the first scheduled risk

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 31 · price 1.33678

Chain of lower highs and lower lows into late NY, last eight bars compressing above the session low.

GBPUSD gapped lower at the Monday open and, after a push to the 1.33999 session high early in NY, sold off some 33 pips as USD dip-buying resumed on the hawkish Fed read. Price has since ground sideways in a 1.3367–1.33752 band for the last two hours, holding just above the session low with RSI(14) near 31 and ATR(14) at roughly 5 pips.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33752, 1.3379, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold the 1.3367 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes the 1.3355 prior shelf
  • A close back above the 1.33752 range top and then the 1.3379 lower high breaks the lower-high chain
  • Late-NY liquidity thinning — ranges this tight often resolve on the next session handover rather than inside the current one

16:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling at the lows · RSI 38 · price 1.33714

Lower highs from 1.33999 into a tight base above 1.33670.

The NY drop from the 1.33999 session high accelerated at the 14:00 UTC handover, printing a 1.33670 session low as post-FOMC USD dip-buying resumed. Price has since gone flat in a 1.33670–1.33790 base, RSI(14) at 38 and 1.33750 the intraday cap on the last four hours; no resolution yet.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3379, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33790 bounce high would break the run of lower highs
  • Failure to hold the 1.33670 session low confirms a fresh lower-low, with 1.33600 psych the next reference
  • Thin late-NY liquidity can keep the base unresolved into the Asia handover

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling at session low · RSI 31 · price 1.33711

Lower highs off 1.34000, basing 1.33670-1.33790.

Cable was rejected just under 1.34000 at the London-NY transition and shed roughly 33 pips into the NY open as USD dip-buying resumed post-FOMC, printing a session low at 1.33670. Last two hours have flattened into a 1.33670-1.33752 hold with a chain of lower highs capped at the 1.33790 ny bounce hi; RSI(14) near 31, ATR(14) ~5.7 pips.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3379, 1.33862, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33790 breaks the lower-high chain and re-opens the pre-drop hi at 1.33862
  • Failure to hold the 1.33670 session low confirms a lower low toward the 1.33550 supp shelf
  • No tier-1 GBP or USD releases in the next 8h; Fed speakers Tuesday are the next scheduled catalyst

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, NY session leg lower · RSI 27 · price 1.33685

Chain of lower highs and lower lows since midday, price pinned at session low.

Cable was rejected at the 1.33999 session high at the NY open and has ground down in a clean lower-high sequence, breaking the 1.3380 band and printing a session low at 1.33670 — consistent with the renewed USD dip-buying flagged in the hawkish-Fed read. RSI(14) at ~27 is stretched into oversold with ATR(14) only ~5.6 pips, and the last two bars are stalling rather than extending; 1.33790 and the 1.33864 swing high mark the lower highs above.

Support: 1.3367, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3379, 1.33864, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close back above 1.33790 breaks the lower-high cluster and invalidates the intraday downtrend read
  • Failure to hold the 1.33670 session low into the late NY session opens the 1.3355 prior shelf
  • Fed speakers Tuesday (Williams/Jefferson/Barkin) are the next scheduled catalyst that could reset this intraday structure

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, session low under pressure · RSI 31 · price 1.33701

Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3400 rejection.

Cable was rejected a pip shy of 1.3400 into midday, then sold through the London low on the NY open and has since ground out a fresh session low at 1.33673 — consistent with the firm dollar on hawkish Fed pricing. Price is pinned under the 1.3379 lower high with RSI(14) near 31 and ATR only ~6 pips, so the leg lower is orderly rather than impulsive.

Support: 1.33673, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.3379, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade below 1.33673 extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3360 round number
  • A 15m close back above the 1.3379 lower high breaks the descending sequence and puts the day high at 1.33999 back in play
  • US PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next drivers that could reset this intraday read

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 32 · price 1.33713

Lower highs and lower lows since the NY open; consolidating just above the session low.

Cable held a tight 1.3385-1.3400 band through the London session before the NY open drove a clean range break, low 1.33687, with dollar dip-buying on hawkish Fed pricing doing the work. Since then price has churned 1.33700-1.33790 under a descending sequence of lower highs; RSI(14) near 32 and ATR(14) at ~5.6 pips shows the impulse has flattened rather than reversed.

Support: 1.33687, 1.3370, 1.33603

Resistance: 1.3379, 1.33864, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3379 lower high would break the descending sequence and invalidate the range break read
  • Failure to hold the 1.33687 session low confirms a fresh lower low with the 1.337 round number already breached
  • Reclaim of the 1.33864 breakdown point would put the 1.33999 session high back in play
  • Fed speakers Tue and US flash PMIs Wed are the near-term risk to this intraday structure

15:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stretched short-term · RSI 33 · price 1.33733

Lower highs since the NY-open rejection under 1.3400, basing above the session low.

Cable failed just under the 1.3400 round number at the NY open (1.33999) and sold off ~31 pips into 1.33687, the session low, with the firm dollar from hawkish Fed pricing capping every bounce. Price is now chopping in a 1.33687–1.3379 shelf, RSI(14) near 33 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) about 6 pips.

Support: 1.33687, 1.33632, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3379, 1.33935, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close back above the 1.3379 shelf would break the lower-highs chain off 1.34000
  • Loss of the 1.33687 session low exposes Friday's low at 1.33632 and the 1.3355 prior support
  • Thin late-NY liquidity plus Tuesday's Fed speakers ahead of Wednesday's US and UK flash PMIs can reset this intraday range

14:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend off the session high · RSI 34 · price 1.33754

Lower highs into a twice-tested 1.3368 floor.

Cable rolled over from the 1.33999 session high in the first hour of NY, the slide to 1.33687 forming a second test of the London double low at 1.33684 with RSI(14) near 34. Price is pinned under the EMA20 at roughly 1.3384 as dollar dip-buying on hawkish Fed pricing caps rallies; ATR(14) is a thin 5.7 pips.

Support: 1.33685, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.3384, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • A close below 1.33685 invalidates the double low and opens the 1.33600 round number
  • Reclaiming the EMA20 near 1.3384 would break the lower-high chain built off the session high
  • No top-tier GBP or USD releases in the remaining NY hours; Wednesday's flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst

14:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend after the 1.3400 rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.33772

Lower highs pressing a flat 1.3368 floor.

The NY open knocked cable off the 1.33999 day high — a rejection just under 1.3400 — down to 1.33687, matching the London-open low and leaving a double bottom at the day low. The bounce from that NY downswing has stalled near 1.3378, below the 1.3386 ema20, with RSI(14) around 41 and ATR(14) near 6 pips; USD stayed firm on October Fed hike pricing.

Support: 1.33734, 1.33687

Resistance: 1.3386, 1.3393, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.33687 day low confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.3355 area
  • Reclaim of the 1.3386 ema20 then the 1.3393 ny pivot would neutralise the NY downswing read
  • 1.33734 prior low is the first give-back level inside the bounce
  • No scheduled UK/US data in the next hours; Wed flash PMIs are the next catalyst that could reset this range

14:01 UTC

Intraday drift lower after 1.3400 rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.33784

Lower highs into NY; still inside the 1.3368-1.3400 day range.

The 1.3400 psych level was tagged at 1.33999 early in the NY session and rejected, and price has since cut back through the 1.3387 midrange and the ascending support off the 1.33684 session low. RSI(14) near 43 with ATR ~5 pips; the 1.3376 swing low is the first shelf, with the 1.3393 asia high now overhead as the dollar stays firm on hawkish Fed pricing.

Support: 1.3376, 1.33684, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3393, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 1.3393 asia high would negate the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of the 1.3376 swing low exposes the 1.33684 session low, then prior supp at 1.3355
  • No GBP or USD tier-1 data in the next bars; flow stays USD-led ahead of Wednesday's flash PMIs

13:46 UTC

Sideways with mild downward drift · RSI 47 · price 1.33826

Monday range 1.3368-1.3400, fading off session high.

Price slipped out of the Asia range to 1.33684 at the London open, then the first hour of NY lifted it to a 1.33999 session high before rejecting the 1.3400 psych level; it has since given back most of that leg to 1.33826, below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) near 47 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — a compressed, two-way tape with the USD still firm on October Fed hike pricing.

Support: 1.33794, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.3393, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 1.33794 range floor re-opens the 1.33684 london low
  • Reclaim of the 1.3393 asia high would put the 1.33999 session high back in play
  • No scheduled GBP or USD data in the next few hours; drift risk into the NY afternoon

13:31 UTC

Mild uptrend off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 59 · price 1.33904

Higher lows into a 1.34 rejection, now sideways.

First hour of NY: the push up from the 1.33684 session low stalled at the 1.33999 session high, and price has coiled into a ~10-pip consolidation just above the ema20 with RSI(14) back near 59. The 1.33937 asia high is capping the recovery, consistent with the Fed-BoE divergence keeping sterling heavy below the 1.3400 handle.

Support: 1.33875, 1.3379, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33999

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33999 session high reopens the 1.3400/1.3435 band
  • Failure to hold the 1.33790 swing low breaks the rising support drawn off the session low
  • ATR(14) ~4.4 pips — ranges compressed, no scheduled GBP or USD data in the next 8h; US and UK flash PMIs Wednesday are the next catalyst

13:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, stalling under 1.3400 · RSI 64 · price 1.3392

Higher lows since the London low, capped at round number.

Price based at 1.3368 in the London morning, ground higher through the session and tagged 1.33999 at the NY open before stalling — the 1.3400 round number capped it on the first attempt. Last 6 bars are a tight 1.3389–1.3394 consolidation above EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR(14) only ~4.5 pips, so the NY range is still narrow with the dollar firm on hawkish Fed pricing.

Support: 1.3389, 1.3380, 1.3368

Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3413

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3400 round number would extend the recovery toward 1.3413 prior high
  • Loss of the 1.3389 ny base puts the rising support line off the session low back in play
  • A move back under 1.3380 london base would negate the higher-low chain built since 1.3368 session low
  • Fed speakers from Tuesday are the next scheduled risk; calendar is empty for the remainder of this session

12:47 UTC

Intraday recovery, stalling at 1.3400 · RSI 60 · price 1.33912

Higher lows off the session low, capped by session high.

Asia drifted from 1.3393 to a session low of 1.33684 mid-London, then the London afternoon reclaimed the range and printed a session high of 1.33999 — a clean rejection at the 1.3400 round number with RSI(14) at 59.6, not stretched. Price is holding a chain of higher lows above the ema50 at 1.33840 into the pre-NY hour, with the dollar still bid on hawkish Fed pricing.

Support: 1.3384, 1.33684, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3435

What it said to watch

  • 15m close above 1.34000 opens the path toward the 1.3435 resist zone
  • Loss of 1.33840 (ema50) and the rising lows would put the 1.33684 session low back in play
  • Failure below 1.33684 re-exposes the 1.3355 prior low
  • NY open liquidity plus Fed speakers ahead could shift this read; ATR(14) at 4.7 pips shows a compressed intraday range

12:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, stalling at 1.3400 · RSI 65 · price 1.33938

Higher-low chain off the London low, capped under the psych level.

The London-NY transition lifted GBPUSD to 1.33999, a tick shy of the 1.3400 psych level, and price was rejected there — the leg began at the 1.33684 session low set in the London morning, with the Asian range high near 1.3393 now cleared. Price holds above EMA20 at ~1.3388 with RSI(14) near 65 and ATR(14) only ~4.6 pips: a tight grind higher against a dollar still firm on hawkish Fed pricing.

Support: 1.3388, 1.33794, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3435

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3400 psych level opens the 1.3435 strong res area
  • Failure to hold the 1.33794 higher low breaks the rising support off the session low
  • Close back under ema20 at 1.33880 neutralises the break of the Asian range high
  • No GBP/USD data in the next hours; UK and US flash PMIs Wed are the next structural catalyst

12:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend off the London low · RSI 63 · price 1.33931

Higher highs and higher lows since 07:00 UTC, Asia range high taken out.

Cable based at the 1.33684 day low into the 07:00 UTC London open, then built a clean higher-low chain back through the Asia range high and the friday high band, printing 1.33999 before stalling exactly under the 1.3400 psych level. RSI(14) at 63 with price holding above EMA20 near 1.33870; ATR(14) is a thin 5.2 pips in holiday-affected liquidity, so the London-NY transition is the first real test of the level.

Support: 1.3387, 1.3376, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33978, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above 1.34000 psych extends the leg and puts the 1.3435 area in range
  • Rejection at 1.3400 with a loss of the ema20 at 1.33870 turns the recovery into a false break
  • Failure to hold the london base at 1.33760 re-opens the 1.33684 day low
  • No scheduled GBP or USD data in the next few hours — NY open flow is the next liquidity event

12:01 UTC

Recovering intraday, higher lows since the London low · RSI 62 · price 1.33954

Range broken to the upside; price back at session high.

London session pressed down to 1.33684 before a grind of higher lows off the 1.33790 range base, and the last hour broke the 1.3386 cap to retest the session high at 1.33970 with RSI(14) near 62 and price holding above the EMA20 at 1.33845. Move is USD-led rather than GBP-driven — the Dollar stays firm on hawkish Fed pricing, leaving the 1.34000 round number as the area to watch for rejection or break. ATR(14) only ~4.6 pips, so ranges are thin in this pre-NY stretch.

Support: 1.33845, 1.3379, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.3397, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.34000 round number would extend the intraday recovery
  • Failure to hold 1.33845 (ema20) and then the 1.33790 range base would put the 1.33684 session low back in play
  • No GBP or USD releases due in the next 8h; Fedspeak and US flash PMIs later in the week are the drivers that could reset this read

11:46 UTC

Recovering off London low, momentum picking up · RSI 65 · price 1.33943

Higher lows since the london low, session range top just cleared.

Monday drifted lower through Asia and early London to 1.33684 before building a tight 1.3379-1.3388 consolidation, and the latest bar has broken the 1.3393 asia high on the widest range of the session. Sterling remains pinned in the mid-1.33s with a firm USD on hawkish Fed pricing, so 1.33978 (friday high) is the first real cap above.

Support: 1.3393, 1.33794, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33978, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 1.33978 friday high would extend the break toward the 1.3400 round number
  • A close back under 1.33794 range low negates the range break and returns price into consolidation
  • Loss of 1.33684 london low re-establishes the intraday lower-low sequence
  • NY session open within the hour and Fed speakers tomorrow can reshape intraday direction

11:32 UTC

Sideways, grinding higher off the london low · RSI 57 · price 1.33883

24h range 1.3368-1.3394; higher lows since London open.

Sunday-open strength stalled at the 1.33937 asia high, then price bled lower through Asia hours into a 1.33684 london low before buyers stepped in and recovered roughly 80% of that leg to 1.33883. Higher lows have built since 07:00 UTC — 1.33794 the latest — with RSI(14) near 57 and ATR(14) about 5 pips, so ranges are compressed with the USD holding post-FOMC gains and no data in the window.

Support: 1.33794, 1.33684, 1.3372

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33937 asia high would extend the range and expose the 1.33978 friday high
  • Loss of the 1.33794 higher low breaks the London recovery sequence and re-opens 1.33720 / the 1.33684 london low
  • US Fed speakers during NY hours are the only scheduled risk today; flash PMIs Wednesday are the week's main event for this pair

11:17 UTC

Drifting lower, downside momentum stalled · RSI 56 · price 1.33866

Compression between 1.33794 range low and 1.33885 london high, lower highs from asia.

Monday opened with a small weekend gap under Friday's 1.33975 high, faded from the 1.33937 asia high and bottomed at 1.33684 just before the London open — consistent with the firm-USD, hawkish-Fed backdrop keeping sterling pinned near its lows. London has since chopped in a ~9 pip-wide band between the 1.33794 range low and the 1.33885 london high, price now at the top of it with RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) about 5 pips.

Support: 1.33833, 1.33794, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.33937, 1.33975

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33885 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence and re-opens 1.33937 asia high
  • Loss of the 1.33794 range low re-exposes the 1.33684 session low
  • NY open is the next liquidity event capable of resolving this range; no scheduled GBP or USD data in the next 8h

11:02 UTC

Rangebound, mild downward drift · RSI 50 · price 1.33814

London false break of the asia low, recovery back into mid-range under a lower-highs sequence.

London hours poked below the asia low at 1.33734 down to 1.33684 and immediately reclaimed it — a false break — with the london bounce stalling at 1.33885 and price now coiling in a 5-pip band around 1.3381 with ATR(14) at just 4.6 pips. Sterling stays USD-led after the hawkish Fed repricing, and the monday high at 1.33937 marks the top of a lower-highs sequence off the Asian session.

Support: 1.33734, 1.33684, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33885 london high re-opens 1.33937 monday high and breaks the lower-highs sequence
  • Loss of 1.33684 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 1.3355 prior low
  • NY open within the next two hours is the likely catalyst out of this 20-pip coil; Fed speakers remain the main driver this session

10:47 UTC

No trend, drift lower stabilising · RSI 53 · price 1.33833

Range after recovery off session low; lower highs from Asia not yet broken.

Sterling opened the week with a small gap lower, sold off through Asia from the 1.33937 asian high to a 1.33684 session low around the London open as the post-Fed dollar bid resumed, then recovered to stall under the 1.33885 london high. The last two hours are a 1.33794–1.33885 range with price pinned to the EMA20/EMA50 cluster, RSI(14) at 53 and ATR(14) compressed to roughly 5 pips.

Support: 1.33794, 1.3376, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33885 london high re-opens the 1.33937 asian high
  • Loss of the 1.33794 range floor exposes the 1.33760 swing low then 1.33684 session low
  • Thin UK/US slate before the NY open; range expansion from the current 5-pip ATR would be the first sign the consolidation is resolving
  • Wed UK and US flash PMIs are the week's main events and could override this intraday read

10:32 UTC

Rangebound with a mild lower drift · RSI 56 · price 1.33823

Monday session carving a 25-pip box after a failed push below 1.3370.

Monday gapped ~10 pips below Friday's close, topped at the 1.33937 asia high, then leaked into a 1.33684 session low at the London open before the move was reclaimed within two bars. Price has since flattened at 1.3382 between the session low and the 1.33885 london high, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips; the drift is USD-led after last week's hawkish Fed repricing rather than any sterling-specific catalyst.

Support: 1.33684, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33885 london high would put the 1.33937 asia high back in play
  • Failure to hold the 1.33684 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 1.33550
  • ATR near 5 pips — range expansion into NY hours would resolve the box one way
  • Fed speakers through the US session are the only near-term driver; no UK data until Wednesday

10:17 UTC

Drifting lower, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 1.33836

Intraday range, Asia low swept and reclaimed.

Monday's Asia range (1.3379–1.3394) capped price before London pushed through the asia low to 1.3368 and immediately reclaimed it — a false break rather than a trend leg, in a USD-led tape after last week's hawkish Fed repricing. Price is back mid-range at 1.3384 with RSI(14) near 55 and ATR(14) compressed to roughly 5 pips; the london high at 1.3389 is the immediate cap into the NY session.

Support: 1.3379, 1.3368, 1.3336

Resistance: 1.3389, 1.3394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3389 london high re-opens the 1.3394 asia high
  • Loss of the 1.3368 session low confirms a lower low and re-exposes the 1.3336 friday low
  • NY open could break the 5-pip ATR compression in either direction
  • UK flash PMIs Wednesday are the week's main sterling risk to this range read

10:02 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery off session low · RSI 53 · price 1.33832

False break below Asia range, higher lows since London open.

London open pushed below the Asian range to a session low at 1.33684, then price was immediately reclaimed back inside and has built a shallow chain of higher lows up to 1.33794 — a USD-led grind after the hawkish Fed hike rather than fresh sterling supply. Now mid-range at 1.33832 with RSI(14) neutral at 53 and ATR(14) compressed to roughly 5 pips; the session high at 1.33885 is capping, asia high 1.33930 sits above.

Support: 1.33794, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.3393

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33885 session high opens the 1.33930 asia high
  • Loss of the 1.33794 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 1.33684 session low
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the nearest catalyst that could end the 5-pip ATR compression

09:47 UTC

Range-bound, mild downward drift · RSI 52 · price 1.33825

Asian range intact after London dipped below it and recovered.

Sterling gapped lower into the Sunday open on renewed USD demand after the hawkish Fed, capped at the asia high of 1.33937, then London probed to the london low at 1.33684 before snapping straight back inside the range — a false break rather than a trend leg. Price is now mid-range at 1.33825 with a chain of lower highs from 1.33937 down to the 1.33885 swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR(14) about 5.6 pips.

Support: 1.3376, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • 15m close above 1.33885 swing high, then 1.33937 asia high, would end the lower-highs sequence
  • Loss of the 1.3376 swing low and a close below the 1.33684 london low re-opens the 1.3355 area
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest scheduled risk to this intraday range

09:32 UTC

Sideways, mild intraday recovery · RSI 52 · price 1.33829

Monday range, higher lows off the day low.

Asia drifted lower from the 1.33937 day high and briefly broke the 1.33734 asia low into the 1.33684 day low just before the London open, then reclaimed the range as the hawkish-Fed dollar bid stalled; RSI(14) back to a neutral 52. Price is now mid-range and sat on the ema20, with the 1.33885 session high capping the bounce and ATR(14) a thin 5.5 pips.

Support: 1.33734, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 1.33684 day low confirms a lower low and re-opens 1.3355
  • Acceptance above the 1.33885 session high would put the 1.33937 day high back in play
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only near-term headline risk in this window

09:17 UTC

Sideways, grinding back up off the London low · RSI 56 · price 1.33853

Asia low broken at the London open then reclaimed; higher lows since.

Asia drifted lower all night from the 1.33937 asia high, and the London open flushed through the 1.33721 asia low to 1.33684 before price reclaimed the level within two bars — a false break, with 1.3385 now trading back above the ema20 near 1.3381. No UK or US data in the window; the slow bleed is USD-led with sterling parked near its seven-week lows and still below Friday's 1.33978 high. Range is tight, ATR(14) about 5 pips, RSI(14) mid-50s.

Support: 1.3381, 1.33721, 1.33684

Resistance: 1.33885, 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33684 confirms a lower low and voids the recovery off the london low
  • Acceptance above the 1.33885 session high puts the 1.33937 asia high back in play
  • Fed's Goolsbee (10:30 UTC) is the only scheduled catalyst in the next few hours; UK flash PMIs Wednesday are the week's main GBP event risk

09:02 UTC

Drift lower, recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 1.33838

Asian lower-high chain broken by London bounce; mid-range.

Asia ground down from 1.3394 in a clean lower-high sequence, then the 1.3368 session low printed right into the London open and was immediately bought back — a false break of the 1.3372 swing low rather than continuation, with the move USD-led as DXY holds above 100.00. Price has reclaimed the ema20 near 1.3380 and stalled at the 1.3388 london high, roughly the 78.6% retrace of the asia decline, RSI(14) back to a neutral 55 and ATR at ~5.6 pips.

Support: 1.3380, 1.3372, 1.3368

Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3394

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3388 london high opens the path back to the 1.3394 asian high
  • Loss of 1.3372 swing low re-exposes the 1.3368 session low and last week's 1.3355/1.3336 lows
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the only near-term event risk; UK flash PMIs Wednesday are the week's catalyst

08:46 UTC

Recovering within Monday's range, no directional break · RSI 61 · price 1.33864

Session range 1.3368–1.3394, price back at the top after a higher low.

Asia set the session high at 1.33937 and early London leaked down to the 1.33684 session low before demand stepped in twice around the 1.3377 intraday pivot, lifting price back to 1.33864 with RSI(14) near 60. Range-bound USD-led drift — no UK or US data inside the window, so the 1.3368–1.3394 session range is still intact with ATR(14) at just over 5 pips.

Support: 1.3377, 1.33684, 1.3372

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33975

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33937 breaks the session high and exposes Friday's 1.33975 high
  • Loss of the 1.3377 intraday pivot re-opens the 1.33684 session low and last week's 1.3372 swing low
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only scheduled risk in the next few hours

08:32 UTC

Sideways, drifting lower within the day's range · RSI 58 · price 1.33852

Range between 1.3368 and 1.3394, mid-range after bounce off session low.

Monday opened a touch below Friday's close and has held a 1.3368–1.3394 range through Asia and the first London hour, with the 1.3394 asia high rejecting twice. Price has recovered off the 1.33684 session low back above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 58 — the drag is USD-led after last week's hawkish Fed repricing rather than any sterling input, with ATR(14) at just under 5 pips showing compressed intraday ranges.

Support: 1.33684, 1.3356

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33937 asia high breaks the lower highs sequence and invalidates the range read, with Friday's 1.33978 prior high next
  • Loss of 1.33684 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.3356 swing low
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the only scheduled input in the next few hours and could reprice the USD leg

08:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, London bounce in progress · RSI 56 · price 1.33843

Lower highs off the Asia high, false break below the asia low then full reclaim.

Asia drifted lower in a clean lower-high chain from 1.3394, then the London open drove a false break of the 1.3376 asia low down to the 1.3368 london low before the entire leg was reclaimed into 1.3384 — the 61.8% retracement of the Asia decline. The backdrop stays USD-led after last week's hawkish Fed repricing, with sterling parked near 7-week lows; RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s and ATR(14) is a thin 4.9 pips.

Support: 1.3376, 1.33684, 1.33353

Resistance: 1.33866, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above the 1.3387 bounce high and then the 1.3394 asia high would end the intraday lower-highs sequence
  • Failure to hold the 1.3368 london low puts Friday's 1.3336 low back in play
  • Fed's Goolsbee around 10:30 UTC is the only scheduled event risk in the next few hours

08:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 1.33804

Lower highs off the asia high, now consolidating above the session low.

Monday's holiday-thinned tape drifted from the 1.33937 asia high down to a 1.33684 session low in the first hours of London, with a firm dollar post-Fed and Kashkari's inflation comments doing the work. Since then price has coiled in a 15-pip band between that session low and the 1.33831 micro high, ATR(14) around 5 pips and RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 after the earlier slide.

Support: 1.33684, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33831, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above the 1.33831 micro high would break the chain of lower highs off the asia high
  • Loss of the 1.33684 session low exposes next support at 1.33550
  • Fed's Goolsbee speaking later this morning is the nearest catalyst for this range

07:47 UTC

Drifting lower, chain of lower highs · RSI 45 · price 1.33777

Lower highs off the Asian high, session low probed then reclaimed.

Thin, holiday-affected Asia (Japan closed) rolled over from the 1.33937 asia high into a slow grind of lower highs, with a probe to 1.33684 in the first London hour immediately bought back to 1.33777. Cable sits pinned near seven-week lows with the dollar holding post-Fed gains; ATR(14) just 4.5 pips, so ranges are compressed and RSI(14) near 45 is neutral.

Support: 1.33684, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33831, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above 1.33831 breaks the lower highs sequence and reopens the asia high at 1.33937
  • Loss of the 1.33684 session low on a closing basis extends the decline toward the 1.33550 prior low
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only near-term USD catalyst in this session

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.33777

Chain of lower highs through Asia, bounce off session low at London open.

Cable topped at the 1.33937 asia high in the first hours of the Monday session and has ground out lower highs since, with the London open flushing to a 1.33684 session low before a 9-pip recovery into 1.3378 — consistent with the dollar-led drift flagged post-Fed. RSI(14) at 43 is neutral, ATR(14) just 4.8 pips, so this is a slow, low-range slide rather than an impulsive break.

Support: 1.33684, 1.3360

Resistance: 1.33831, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above the 1.33831 prior high would break the lower-highs chain
  • Failure to hold the 1.33684 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.3360 round number
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest catalyst able to reset the dollar tone

07:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 40 · price 1.33725

Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia-session high, price under EMA20/EMA50.

Cable gapped lower into the Monday open, tagged 1.33937 early in a thin, holiday-affected Asia session and has since stair-stepped down to a 1.33684 session low, closing 1.33725 with price under EMA20 and EMA50. Rejection at the asia high and the 1.33804 micro swing keeps the 24h structure one of lower highs, with the firm post-Fed dollar the driver; ATR(14) at just 4.6 pips shows how compressed ranges are.

Support: 1.33684, 1.3350

Resistance: 1.33804, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.33684 on a closing basis confirms the next lower low and opens the 1.3350 psych area
  • M15 close back above the 1.33804 micro swing would break the lower-high chain
  • Reclaiming 1.33937 asia high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only near-term catalyst in an otherwise thin session

07:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, thin drift lower · RSI 34 · price 1.33734

Lower highs into session lows inside a ~22 pip Asian range.

Thin, holiday-affected Asia session: cable topped at the 1.33937 session high early and has ground down in a chain of lower highs, with price now pinned near the 1.33721 session low. The 1.33831 bounce high was rejected within two bars and price trades below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 34 with ATR(14) only ~4.5 pips as the dollar holds post-Fed gains.

Support: 1.33721, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.33831, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33831 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 1.33721 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.3355 initial supp
  • London open typically expands the ~4.5 pip ATR seen through Asia hours

06:46 UTC

Drifting lower, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.33794

Lower highs off the Asia high, holding above session low.

Asia topped at 1.33937 and bled into early European hours in a clean lower-high chain, with 1.33721 marking the session low before a small bounce back to the EMA20 at ~1.3379. USD firmness post-Fed keeps the drift heavy; the Rightmove print was a non-event for price. ATR(14) at under 4 pips — ranges are thin and no directional structure is in play yet.

Support: 1.33721, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33835, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 1.33835 ema50 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of the 1.33721 session low exposes the 1.3370 round number
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk that could widen this range

06:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat at lows · RSI 37 · price 1.33784

Lower highs off the Asia high, holding just above the session low.

Monday's Asia session capped at 1.33937 and bled lower into the London open, where a break of the Asian range low left a session low at 1.33734 — a move consistent with the firm post-Fed Dollar tone. Price has since coiled in a 1.3373–1.3379 band directly under the ema20 with RSI(14) near 37 and ATR only ~4 pips, so ranges are compressed ahead of the European morning.

Support: 1.33734, 1.3355

Resistance: 1.3379, 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the asia high at 1.33937 would break the lower-high chain; Friday high 1.33978 the next reference above
  • Loss of the 1.33734 session low on a closing basis extends the decline toward the 1.3355 prior low
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only near-term event risk capable of resetting this range

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, low-volatility grind · RSI 32 · price 1.33744

Lower highs / lower lows since Asia high, sitting at session low.

Cable gapped marginally lower into Monday's Asia session, topped at the 1.33937 asia high in the first hours and has since ground out a chain of lower highs into the 1.33721 session low, with the Dollar staying firm after Kashkari's hawkish weekend remarks. Ranges are thin — ATR(14) just 4 pips — and price is pinned below the ema20 near 1.33800 with RSI(14) around 32 as London opens.

Support: 1.33721, 1.3370, 1.33353

Resistance: 1.3380, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close back above the 1.33800 ema20 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of the 1.33721 session low and the 1.33700 round number extends the downleg toward the 1.33353 friday low
  • Reclaiming the 1.33937 asia high is needed to neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk inside London hours

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading into stall · RSI 30 · price 1.33747

Chain of lower highs, price pinned at session low.

GBPUSD opened the week with a small weekend gap down from Friday's 1.3393 close, poked the asia high at 1.33937 and has since ground out lower highs as hawkish-Fed pricing keeps the dollar firm. Last four bars are compressed in a 3-pip band just above the 1.33734 session low, RSI(14) near 30 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips — a thin pre-London tape, no clean structure beyond the drift.

Support: 1.33734, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33835, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold below the 1.33734 session low extends the lower-high chain toward the 1.3370 round number
  • A close back above the 1.33835 lower high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
  • London open liquidity typically expands this 4-pip ATR range materially
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the first USD headline risk of the session

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower on thin flow · RSI 33 · price 1.33754

Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia session high.

Thin Monday Asia session: GBPUSD was rejected at the 1.33937 session high in the first hours and has stair-stepped lower to 1.33754, below EMA20 and EMA50, with USD firm on hawkish Fed pricing. ATR(14) is just 3.5 pips — ranges are compressed and the 1.33734 session low is the only structure beneath price ahead of the 1.337 psych level.

Support: 1.33734, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.3383, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.33734 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 1.337 psych
  • Reclaim of the 1.3383 asia open would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • London open typically expands the sub-4-pip ATR seen through Asia
  • Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 GMT is the first USD-side risk to this read

05:31 UTC

Drifting lower, thin-liquidity grind · RSI 32 · price 1.33764

Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high, price at the base of the session range.

GBPUSD gapped down through Friday's 1.3393 close area at the Monday open and has ground lower all Asia session in a tight descending channel, last 1.33764 just off the 1.33734 session low, with ATR(14) only ~4 pips. Kashkari's hawkish weekend remarks kept the dollar bid, and price is pinned below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 31 — soft but not extreme for this kind of low-volume drift.

Support: 1.33734, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.3383, 1.3393

What it said to watch

  • A 15-minute close below the 1.33734 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3370 psych area
  • Reclaiming the 1.3383 Monday open would invalidate the descending channel read and put the 1.3393 asia high back in play
  • London open in under an hour typically expands this 4-pip ATR range — current micro-structure is liquidity-thin and easily broken

05:17 UTC

Drifting lower, thin Asia momentum · RSI 31 · price 1.33782

Lower-high chain off 1.3393, price under EMA20.

Monday opened with a small weekend gap lower and, after a rejection at the 1.3393 asia high, price has stair-stepped down to a 1.33734 session low with RSI(14) near 31 and ATR only ~3.7 pips. Last closed bar at 05:15 UTC sits at 1.33782, capped by the 1.33825 ema20, consistent with the digest's hawkish-Fed dollar bid keeping cable heavy.

Support: 1.33734, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33825, 1.3387, 1.3393

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.3387 swing high would break the lower-high chain built since the asia high
  • Acceptance below the 1.33734 session low exposes the 1.3370 round number
  • London open within the next two bars is the first real test of the thin Asia range
  • Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the nearest USD-side risk to this read

05:01 UTC

Drifting lower, low volatility · RSI 33 · price 1.33775

Lower highs inside the Asian range, price at range lows.

Thin Monday Asia session: cable opened near 1.3384, tagged the asia high at 1.33937 early and has ground out lower highs since, now sitting just above the asia low at 1.33734 with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR only ~4 pips. Pressure is coming from the USD leg — hawkish Fed rhetoric over the weekend kept the dollar bid — rather than any UK input.

Support: 1.33734, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33734 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.3370 psych area
  • Reclaim of 1.33937 asia high would invalidate the lower-high sequence and put the 1.33978 fri high back in play
  • London open likely expands the ~4 pip ATR compression; Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the next dollar risk

04:46 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower in thin Asia · RSI 31 · price 1.33783

Lower highs off 1.3394, session low just taken at 1.3373.

Cable gapped down at the Monday open, popped to 1.3393 in early Asia and has since printed a clean chain of lower highs as the hawkish-Fed dollar bid holds. Price closed at 1.33783 below both EMA20 (~1.3388) and EMA50, with the 1.3373 session low tagged on the last impulse and RSI(14) near 31; ATR(14) is a thin 4 pips.

Support: 1.3373, 1.3370, 1.3336

Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3393

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance back above the 1.3393 asia high would invalidate the lower-high chain
  • A sustained break of the 1.3373 session low exposes the 1.3370 round number and Friday's 1.3336 low
  • Reclaiming the 1.3388 ema20 on a close would neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk after the London open and can reset this range

04:32 UTC

Drifting lower, Asia downtrend intact · RSI 25 · price 1.33749

Lower highs and lower lows through Asia after gapping under Friday's close.

GBPUSD gapped in below Friday's close and has ground down all Asia session, breaking the 1.3382–1.3393 band that contained the first half of the day and printing a fresh session low at 1.3375 on the last bar. RSI(14) is near 24 with ATR only ~3.8 pips — a slow, one-way drift in thin liquidity rather than an impulse, consistent with the firm dollar after last week's hawkish Fed.

Support: 1.3375, 1.3335

Resistance: 1.3382, 1.3393

What it said to watch

  • Recovery back above 1.3382 broken supp would negate the range break and put the asia high at 1.3393 back in play
  • Acceptance below the 1.3375 session low extends the sequence of lower lows toward the 1.3335 friday low
  • London open is the first real liquidity event after this 3.8-pip ATR Asia range — expansion either way would reset the intraday structure

04:17 UTC

Mild downward drift inside a tight range · RSI 38 · price 1.33825

Lower highs since the Asia high, range still intact.

Monday opened a touch below Friday's 1.3393 close and Asia has drifted lower, rejecting the 1.33937 asia high and building a chain of lower highs into 1.33825, with price under both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) at 38. Hawkish-Fed pricing (≈56.5% October odds) against a hawkish-hold BoE keeps sterling heavy, but ATR(14) of just 4 pips says this is thin Asian-range conditions, not a trend move.

Support: 1.33793, 1.33747

Resistance: 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.33937 asia high would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of the 1.33793 asia low exposes the 1.33747 fri swing lo
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first intraday catalyst that could widen this range

04:02 UTC

Mild drift lower inside a tight range · RSI 36 · price 1.33816

Lower highs since the Asia session high, range compressing.

Monday's Asia session opened a touch below Friday's close, printed 1.33937 early and has since ground out lower highs back to the 1.33792 asia low, with price under EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) at under 4 pips confirms thin, pre-London conditions; the backdrop stays a firm USD on hawkish Fed pricing, with sterling parked near 7-week lows.

Support: 1.33792, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • London open is the first real test of the asia low at 1.33792 — break there extends the drift, failure keeps the range intact
  • M15 close back above the asia high at 1.33937 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Reclaiming the friday high at 1.33978 would mark a full unwind of the session's decline
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT could inject volatility into an otherwise 15-pip band

03:47 UTC

Rangebound, drifting lower late Asia · RSI 40 · price 1.33834

Asian range 1.33792-1.33937, lower highs into London open.

Asia opened with a small gap lower from Friday's close and has held a tight 1.33792-1.33937 band, with the asia high rejected twice and price now back under the EMA20 at 1.33878. RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) at just 3.6 pips — dead-range conditions with the hawkish-Fed dollar bid keeping sterling pinned near 7-week lows.

Support: 1.33792, 1.33652

Resistance: 1.33878, 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.33792 asia low confirms a lower low and opens the 1.33652 swing pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.33937 asia high is needed before Friday high 1.33978 comes back into play
  • London open expansion out of the 14-pip asia range invalidates the range read

03:32 UTC

Sideways, drifting lower late Asia · RSI 37 · price 1.33814

Tight Asia range, price pinned to lower half after failed push at the session high.

GBPUSD gapped a few pips lower at the Sunday open, spiked to 1.33937 in early Asia and has since been capped there, rotating back toward the session low at 1.33793 with the hawkish-Fed dollar bid still keeping sterling heavy. Range is only ~14 pips wide with ATR(14) at 4 pips and RSI(14) near 37 — no structural break in play, price below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.33793, 1.3375

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close below the 1.33793 session low would extend the drift toward the 1.3375 round number
  • Reclaiming 1.33937 is needed to reopen the friday high at 1.33978
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk capable of breaking this Asia range

03:17 UTC

Sideways, drifting lower inside Asian range · RSI 42 · price 1.33844

Tight 15-pip Asian range, lower highs since the session high.

Monday opened with a 10-pip gap down from Friday's close, filled inside the first hour of Asia, and price has since been pinned in a 1.3379–1.3394 band with the hawkish-Fed dollar bid keeping sterling heavy. Last few bars have slipped back under the EMA20 at 1.33876 toward the session low, RSI(14) ~42 and ATR(14) just 3.5 pips — no structure in play until the Asian range resolves.

Support: 1.33792, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33876, 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 1.33792 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.3370 round number
  • Reclaim of the 1.33937 session high negates the lower-high sequence and puts the 1.33978 friday high back in focus
  • London open in ~3h is the first real liquidity test of this range; ATR at 3.5 pips reflects thin Asian conditions
  • Fed's Goolsbee later today could shift the dollar leg of this read

03:02 UTC

Drifting lower inside the Asian range · RSI 34 · price 1.33824

Lower highs since the 1.33937 session high, price back at the session low.

Cable gapped ~10 pips lower into the Monday Asia open and has been contained in a 1.33792–1.33937 range ever since, with rejection at the asia high on the last three attempts and price now grinding back to the session low. RSI(14) at 34 and ATR(14) of just 2.9 pips reflect thin pre-London conditions, with the hawkish-Fed dollar bid from last week still keeping sterling heavy.

Support: 1.33792, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33877, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • 15m close below 1.33792 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.3370 psych level
  • Reclaim of the 1.33877 ema20 would keep the range read intact rather than a downside break
  • London open liquidity typically resolves this Asian range — ATR near 3 pips understates post-open move size
  • Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the next scheduled input for the dollar leg

02:47 UTC

Flat, drifting lower late Asia · RSI 41 · price 1.33855

Tight Asia range, lower highs into the close of the session.

Monday opened with a small gap lower from Friday's 1.3393 close, then spent the whole Asia session boxed between 1.33792 and the 1.33937 asia high with ATR under 4 pips. Last six bars have slipped back under the ema20 at ~1.3389 and are pressing the 1.33845 swing low, consistent with the hawkish-Fed dollar bid keeping sterling heavy.

Support: 1.33845, 1.3382, 1.33792

Resistance: 1.3389, 1.33937

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.33845 swing low exposes the 1.33792 asia low and the monday open at 1.33820
  • Reclaiming the ema20 at 1.3389 and then the 1.33937 asia high would negate the late-Asia drift
  • London open typically expands the range — the Asia container is only ~15 pips wide
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first scheduled input that could shift this read

02:32 UTC

Rangebound, drifting lower into Asia close · RSI 42 · price 1.33856

Tight Asia range under Friday's highs, lower highs in the last 6 bars.

Monday's small gap lower was filled inside the first hour of Asia, but the 1.3393 asia high has capped four attempts and price is back to 1.33856, under EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) is only ~3 pips — a dead Asia range beneath Friday's 1.33978 high, with the hawkish-Fed bid still keeping sterling heavy.

Support: 1.3379, 1.33353

Resistance: 1.3393, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above the 1.3393 asia high would end the Asia range read and put Friday's high at 1.33978 back in play
  • Loss of the 1.3379 asia low extends the drift toward Friday's prior low at 1.33353
  • London open liquidity typically resolves this range; ATR of ~3 pips understates post-open expansion

02:16 UTC

Flat, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.33867

Tight Asian range, lower highs into the close of the window.

Thin Monday Asia tape: GBPUSD is boxed between the session low at 1.33792 and the range top at 1.33937, with ATR(14) down to roughly 3 pips and RSI(14) mid-range near 44. The hawkish-Fed dollar bid is keeping sterling pinned just under Friday's 1.33978 prior high — no structural development in play yet.

Support: 1.33792, 1.33662

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.33937 range top puts the 1.33978 prior high back in focus
  • Loss of the 1.33792 session low would extend the drift toward the 1.33662 fri pivot
  • London open liquidity typically resolves this Asian range; Fed's Goolsbee later today is the first event risk

02:01 UTC

Flat, no intraday trend · RSI 48 · price 1.33885

Tight Asian range under Friday's high.

Monday Asia has coiled into a 6-pip band between 1.33872 and the 1.33937 session high, with ATR(14) down to roughly 3.6 pips in a thin tape — price is pinned on the EMA20 and RSI(14) near 48. The dollar stayed bid over the weekend after Kashkari reinforced the post-FOMC hawkish line, capping sterling below Friday's 1.33978 prior high.

Support: 1.33872, 1.33792

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 1.33937 session high opens the 1.33978 prior high
  • Loss of the 1.33872 range floor puts the 1.33792 session low back in play
  • Fed's Goolsbee later today is the first scheduled catalyst capable of breaking this range
  • ATR near 3.6 pips means range-read holds until London volume arrives

01:47 UTC

Flat, momentum neutral at range top · RSI 54 · price 1.33919

Tight Asian range under Friday's high.

Monday's Asia session has done nothing but compress: a 14-pip band between the 1.3379 asia low and the 1.3394 asia high, with the last four hours pinned in a 5-pip sliver around 1.3389–1.3392 just under Friday's high at 1.3398. ATR(14) has collapsed to under 4 pips and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54, consistent with the thin weekend tape and a dollar still holding hawkish-Fed gains after Kashkari's weekend remarks.

Support: 1.33872, 1.33792

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33937 asia high exposes the 1.33978 friday high
  • Loss of the 1.33872 asia floor re-opens the 1.33792 asia low and confirms a lower-low
  • London open liquidity typically resolves this compression; a range break either way voids the consolidation read

01:32 UTC

Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 47 · price 1.33913

Monday gap filled, then tight consolidation under Friday's high.

Monday's Asia session opened about 10 pips below Friday's close, filled that gap within the first hour and has since compressed into a 1.3387–1.3394 band with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR(14) around 4 pips. The 1.33937 asia high has capped every attempt since, with the 1.33873 micro low holding on the downside; Friday's 1.33978 high remains the upper reference after the failed push above 1.3375 earlier in the week left GBP near seven-week lows.

Support: 1.33873, 1.33792

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33978 friday high would end the consolidation read
  • Loss of the 1.33873 micro low puts the 1.33792 asia low back in play
  • Thin Asia liquidity with no GBP or USD calendar events in the next 8h — range likely holds until London
  • UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC are the week's main sterling catalyst and could reprice this structure

01:16 UTC

Flat, neutral drift after Friday's rally · RSI 48 · price 1.33901

Tight Asia-open consolidation inside Friday's upper range.

Asia reopened with a small gap lower to 1.33831 versus Friday's 1.3393 close, filled it within the first hour and has since compressed into a 1.33873–1.33937 band. ATR(14) at ~3.5 pips and RSI(14) near 48 show thin, directionless early-week flow holding just under Friday's high at 1.33978.

Support: 1.33873, 1.33792, 1.3370

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 1.33937 session high opens the 1.33978 friday high and the 1.34000 round number
  • Loss of the 1.33873 range floor puts the 1.33792 session low back in scope
  • London open liquidity is the first real test of this consolidation; ATR of ~3.5 pips is unrepresentative of active hours
  • UK and US flash PMIs later in the week are the scheduled risk that could break this compression

01:02 UTC

Flat, post-rally consolidation · RSI 48 · price 1.33883

Tight Asia range under Friday's high.

Monday's Asia open gapped a touch below Friday's 1.3393 close, dipped to 1.33792 and has since coiled into an 11-pip band between the 1.33872 range floor and the 1.33937 session high, with price pinned on EMA20. ATR at ~4.6 pips shows how thin flow is; the Friday rally off 1.33353 is simply being digested below the 1.33978 friday high.

Support: 1.33872, 1.33792, 1.3374

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 1.33937 session high opens the 1.33978 friday high and the 1.34000 round number
  • Loss of the 1.33872 range floor exposes the 1.33792 sunday low and the 1.33740 swing low
  • Range is likely to stay compressed until London open adds volume
  • Wed UK flash PMIs and US PMIs are the week's structural risk; nothing on the calendar in the next 8h

00:47 UTC

Flat, no directional edge in Asia · RSI 55 · price 1.33904

Weekend gap down filled, price compressed into a 6-pip range.

Cable gapped ~10 pips lower at the Sunday reopen to 1.33792, filled it within four bars, and has since gone dead flat — the last ten bars sit inside 1.33872–1.33937 with ATR(14) near 5 pips. RSI(14) mid-50s, price hugging EMA20; nothing structural in play until the asia high or session low goes, with Friday's high at 1.33978 the next reference above.

Support: 1.33872, 1.33792

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.33937 asia high opens the path to the 1.33978 friday high
  • Loss of the 1.33872 session low re-exposes the 1.33792 gap low
  • Range is forming in thin early-week Asia liquidity; London open is the first real test of it

00:32 UTC

Mildly higher, momentum flat · RSI 58 · price 1.33904

Tight Asia range just under Friday's high.

Cable gapped ~9 pips lower at the Asia open, filled it inside the first hour and printed an asia high at 1.33937, then coiled into a 1.33872-1.33937 band with ATR down to ~5.5 pips. Friday's push off 1.33353 into 1.33978 is unresolved — price is parked in the top third of that leg with RSI(14) mid-range and no test of the round number at 1.34000 yet.

Support: 1.33872, 1.33792

Resistance: 1.33937, 1.33978, 1.3400

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the asia high at 1.33937 puts the friday high 1.33978 and 1.34000 round number back in play
  • Loss of the 1.33872 range floor, then the 1.33792 asia low, ends the consolidation read
  • Thin early-Asia liquidity: London open is the first real test of this range

00:17 UTC

Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 48 · price 1.33893

Tight Asia-session balance under Friday's high; weekend gap filled.

Monday Asia opened with a ~10-pip weekend gap down that was filled inside the first hour, price then pinning 1.3387–1.3393 for the last three hours with ATR(14) at just 5.5 pips. Ranging between the 1.3379 session low and the 1.3393 session high, RSI(14) mid-40s, price sitting on EMA20 — nothing structural in play until Friday's advance high at 1.3398 or the session low gives way.

Support: 1.33792, 1.33662

Resistance: 1.3393, 1.33978

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 1.3393 session high exposes the 1.3398 friday high
  • Loss of the 1.3379 session low puts the 1.3366 swing low and the ascending support off Friday's 1.3335 low back in focus
  • Liquidity is thin until London open; ranges likely stay compressed
  • Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first post-FOMC steer and could break this balance

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