NZDUSD firmed midweek to a 0.5725 week high as a soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD, then faded back toward 0.5680 as commodities rolled over and the dollar recovered. Price has since ground back to 0.5703, sitting just above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering through the mid-50s; the week's 0.5660–0.5725 range still frames the read. The 0.5725 topside has capped every attempt this week.
Support: 0.5677, 0.5690, 0.5660
Resistance: 0.5725, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant driver — a hawkish path hold or dovish 'one-off' framing would materially shift this range read
H1 close above 0.5725 opens the path to 0.5750
Loss of the 0.5677 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.5660 range floor
The midweek push to 0.5727 was rejected and NZD/USD spent the back half of the week grinding in a 0.5677-0.5708 band. Post-weekend the pair dipped to 0.5677 where demand stepped in, recovering back toward the range top as price holds above EMA20 and EMA50. Kiwi remains capped ahead of Wednesday's RBNZ decision, with the June ANZ commodity miss (-1.0%) keeping the tone soft.
Support: 0.5677, 0.5660
Resistance: 0.5708, 0.5725
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5725 invalidates the range and reopens the week high
Failure to hold 0.5677 exposes the 0.5660 range floor
RBNZ rate decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD spiked to a week high near 0.5727 on Friday after the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), then faded through the weekend and dipped to 0.5686 early this week as the ANZ commodity index (-1.0%) and a firmer USD weighed. Price is back at 0.5701, hovering around EMA(20)/EMA(50) after a bounce, with RSI(14) cycling near the mid-50s. The 0.5725 week high has capped and remains the pivot into Wednesday's RBNZ decision.
Support: 0.5686, 0.5674, 0.5660
Resistance: 0.5725, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5725 reopens the path toward the 0.5750 barrier
Loss of 0.5686 confirms a lower low toward the 0.5674 weekly open
NZD/USD faded from Friday's 0.5725 weekly high — a level reached on the soft US NFP print — and dipped to 0.5677 early this week as the ANZ commodity index slipped and USD firmed. Price has since recovered toward 0.5701, sitting just under the weekly open with RSI back near neutral. The 0.5725 area has capped the tape since Friday and remains the range ceiling.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5660
Resistance: 0.5725, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC is the pivotal risk and can reset this range read
H1 close above 0.5725 weekly high opens the path to the 0.5750 psych barrier
Failure to hold 0.5680 swing low exposes the 0.5660 wk low
21:04 UTC
Recovery within week's range · RSI 55 · price 0.5700
Pulled back from weekly high, holding above swing low.
NZDUSD spent the week driven by USD: Thursday's soft NFP lifted the pair to a 0.5727 weekly high before commodity weakness and pre-RBNZ caution dragged it back to a 0.5677 swing low. Price has since recovered to 0.5700 and sits above EMA20, but the 0.5727 high capped the mid-week rally and the pair is now cycling inside this week's range. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s on the bounce.
Support: 0.56767, 0.5665
Resistance: 0.57271, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
H1 close above 0.57271 reopens the path toward 0.5750
Loss of 0.56767 swing low exposes the 0.5665 week low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
21:04 UTC
Recovery within week pullback · RSI 56 · price 0.5700
Pullback off weekly high, higher lows forming.
The week's impulse ran to a 0.5727 weekly high mid-week as the soft US NFP dragged the dollar, before commodity weakness and pre-RBNZ caution pulled NZD/USD back toward the 0.5677 day low. Price has since reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50, grinding higher into 0.5700 with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. The 0.5677–0.5657 support band held the pullback; 0.5727 is the level that capped the week.
Support: 0.5677, 0.5657
Resistance: 0.5727, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 0.5727 week high opens the path to 0.5750 psych
Failure to hold 0.5677 day low confirms a fresh lower low
20:03 UTC
Recovering within weekly range · RSI 62 · price 0.57023
Range, bouncing off week low.
NZD/USD rallied to a 0.5727 weekly high mid-week on the soft US NFP tailwind before commodity weakness and pre-RBNZ caution pulled it back to a 0.5677 low. Price has since recovered through the NY session to ~0.5702, retracing roughly half the decline and holding back above EMA20 with RSI cycling into the low 60s. The 0.5677 area held twice, capping the pullback.
Support: 0.56767, 0.5665, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.57271, 0.57155
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57155 puts the 0.5727 weekly high back in play
Loss of 0.5677 day low confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.5650
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
20:03 UTC
Range after mid-week high, momentum recovering · RSI 55 · price 0.57023
Pullback into consolidation, higher lows forming.
The week's swing was USD-led: a soft US NFP lifted NZD/USD to a 0.5727 weekly high mid-week before commodity weakness and pre-RBNZ caution dragged it back toward 0.5680. Price has since recovered off that low with RSI(14) cycling back above 50 and price reclaiming both H1 EMAs. The 0.5710-0.5727 band capped the advance and is the near-term ceiling into Wednesday's RBNZ decision.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5658, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5727, 0.5710, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 0.5727 opens the path to 0.5750
Failure to hold 0.5680 confirms a lower low back toward 0.5658
NZD/USD spent this week fading from the 0.5727 weekly high back to a 0.5677 week low as soft ANZ commodity prices and pre-RBNZ caution capped the Kiwi, despite the USD tailwind from last week's weak NFP. Price has since carved a rounded recovery off that low back above the H1 EMA20 to 0.5703, with RSI(14) lifting through the midline. 0.5715 prior high and the 0.5727 week high remain the ceiling on this range.
Support: 0.56767, 0.5690, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5715, 0.57271
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5715 opens the path to the 0.5727 week high
Failure to hold the 0.5677 week low confirms a lower low
RBNZ decision + MPS Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
19:03 UTC
Recovering off base, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 0.57028
Range, bouncing from swing low.
NZD/USD recovered off the 0.5678 swing-low base through the NY session, reclaiming the 0.5700 handle with RSI(14) cycling back above 55 and price holding above EMA20/50 after the weekend gap lower. The week's 0.5727 high — set mid-week on the soft US NFP-driven USD bid — capped the move and remains the ceiling. ANZ commodity weakness and pre-RBNZ caution pulled the pair back to this base earlier in the week.
Support: 0.5678, 0.56795, 0.56576
Resistance: 0.5713, 0.57271
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.57130 reopens the 0.57271 week high
Failure to hold 0.56780 swing low confirms a lower low toward 0.56576
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
18:03 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.56984
Pullback from weekly high holding above 0.5677 support.
Kiwi ran to a 0.5727 weekly high mid-week on the soft US NFP print, then faded to 0.5677 as the ANZ commodity index miss and pre-RBNZ caution weighed. Price has since recovered through EMA20 into the NY session and is pressing the 0.5700 round number, sitting near the 50% retrace of the weekly drop. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s off oversold.
Support: 0.5683, 0.56767, 0.5665
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5713, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift USD leg of the pair
H1 close above 0.5713 congestion opens the 0.57271 weekly high
Failure to hold 0.56767 confirms a lower low
18:03 UTC
Recovering off week's lows · RSI 55 · price 0.56984
Pullback from weekly high, consolidating.
NZDUSD ran to a 0.57271 weekly high mid-week as a soft US NFP (57K) undercut the USD, before an ANZ commodity-price miss and pre-RBNZ caution dragged it back toward the 0.56767 day low. Price is now recovering into the NY session, back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) lifting through 55, but capped under the 0.5700 round number. EMA(50) overhead near current price keeps the recovery contained for now.
Support: 0.56767, 0.56576, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC a secondary USD risk
H1 close above 0.57000 opens the 0.57271 week high
Failure to hold 0.56767 exposes the 0.56576 week low
NZD ran to a weekly high near 0.5727 mid-week on the soft US NFP print, then faded through Monday to bottom at 0.5677 as commodity prices softened and the USD firmed. Price has since clawed back to 0.5694, reclaiming the EMA20 but stalling below the EMA50 at 0.5702 where the descending sequence of lower highs still caps. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s as the recovery builds.
Support: 0.5688, 0.56767
Resistance: 0.5702, 0.57271
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5702 ema50 would reopen the 0.57271 weekly high
Failure to hold 0.56767 week low confirms a lower-low
RBNZ rate decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Kiwi ran to a weekly high near 0.5727 mid-week on the soft US NFP print, then faded through the weekend gap back into the 0.5680s as commodity prices softened. Price is now recovering toward the 50% retrace of that swing around 0.5692, sitting just above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50) and the 0.5706 post-gap level. RSI(14) has cycled back to the midline after the pullback.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5657, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5706, 0.5727, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ Rate Decision + MPS Wed 08 Jul 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 0.5706 reopens the path to the 0.5727 weekly high
Lower highs since Thursday peak, holding above 0.5677.
NZD/USD climbed to a weekly high near 0.5727 into Thursday's NY session as a soft US NFP (57K) briefly cooled USD, then rolled over through the back half of the week as the Dollar firmed. Price is now retracing toward 0.5690, sitting around the 61.8% of the Monday-Thursday impulse and back below EMA(50). Descending highs since the peak define the near-term pullback, with 0.5677 the last swing low still holding.
Support: 0.56767, 0.56576, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.57055, 0.57271, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the week's catalyst — guidance, not the priced hike, drives the read
H1 close below 0.5677 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.5650
Reclaim of 0.57055 would challenge the descending lower-highs line
NZDUSD ran from ~0.5658 to a 0.5727 weekly high on the soft US NFP print, then faded back toward 0.5690 as the USD firmed into midweek. Price is now sitting on EMA(20) but below EMA(50), with lower highs stacking since the peak and RSI(14) parked near the mid-line. The 0.5700 psych level and 0.5708 lower-high cap the topside while 0.5677 marks the near-term floor.
Support: 0.56767, 0.56576
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57084, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS on Jul 8 (~34h out) is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 0.57084 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.56767 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.5658 week low
FOMC minutes Jul 8 could shift USD leg
15:03 UTC
Pullback from weekly high, momentum down · RSI 44 · price 0.56848
Lower highs since 0.5727 peak.
NZD was bid off ~0.5658 early week after the soft US NFP print, tagging a weekly high at 0.5727 before rolling over ahead of Wednesday's RBNZ decision. Price has since retraced to roughly the 61.8% fib of that advance near 0.5684 and trades below EMA(20), with RSI(14) sagging into the mid-40s. The 0.5690 swing has capped the last bounce attempts.
Support: 0.56767, 0.56576
Resistance: 0.5690, 0.57271, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Close below 0.5677 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.5658
Reclaim of 0.5690 needed to challenge the descending lower-highs line
15:02 UTC
Pullback off weekly high, momentum down · RSI 44 · price 0.56848
Lower highs since 0.5727 peak.
The week's dominant move was a rally off ~0.5657 to a Friday high near 0.5727, driven by the soft US NFP print; that level capped and price has since bled lower, opening the post-weekend session near 0.5706 and grinding down to 0.5677. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with a string of lower highs, now hovering around the 61.8% retracement of the weekly impulse near 0.5685.
Support: 0.56767, 0.56576, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5710, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed Jul 8 02:00 UTC — guidance is the catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 0.56767 confirms a lower low toward the 0.5650 pivot
Reclaim of 0.5710 needed to re-expose the 0.5727 week high
Kiwi rallied off 0.5668 after Thursday's soft US NFP to a weekly high near 0.5727, then rolled over through this week's sessions and now trades below EMA20 at 0.5680. Price has printed successive lower highs and is pressing the 0.5677 swing low as the week's base; RSI has cycled down toward 40. RBNZ on Wed is the defining catalyst — the hike is priced, the guidance is not.
Support: 0.5677, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5688, 0.5710, 0.5727
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5677 confirms a lower low toward the 0.5650 pivot
Reclaim of the 0.5710 prior high needed to challenge the 0.5727 weekly high
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC can reset this read entirely
Since the weekly high near 0.5727 printed late Tuesday, price has carved lower highs and slipped back below EMA20 and EMA50, now trading around 0.5680. The Kiwi came off after the ANZ commodity miss and a firmer USD, giving back roughly two-thirds of the week's 0.5658-to-0.5727 impulse. Demand has held the 0.5677 area on today's dip.
Support: 0.56767, 0.5665, 0.56576
Resistance: 0.56912, 0.57084, 0.57271
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5691 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.56767 exposes 0.5665 then the 0.5658 weekly low
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 8 Jul 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
13:03 UTC
Pulling back from weekly high · RSI 41 · price 0.56787
Lower highs since Friday's peak.
NZD/USD topped at the 0.5727 weekly high during the NY session on Friday after the soft US NFP lifted the pair, but has since drifted lower into a sequence of lower highs and now sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) near the 0.5677 session low. The June ANZ Commodity Price miss (-1.0%) and steady Fed-hike pricing have kept the Kiwi capped. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) sitting in the low 40s.
Support: 0.5677, 0.5658, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5727
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Break below 0.5658 weekly low confirms a lower low toward the 0.5650 pivot
H1 close back above 0.5700 psych would challenge the lower-high structure
13:03 UTC
Downtrend since Friday's peak · RSI 38 · price 0.56787
Lower highs off 0.5727, weekend gap faded.
NZD/USD topped near 0.5727 into Friday's NY session, then rolled over; after the weekend gap opened around 0.5706 the pair has printed a steady sequence of lower highs back to 0.5678. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37, reflecting the soft ANZ commodity print and a firmer USD. Demand around 0.5677 is being tested for the second time this session.
Support: 0.5677, 0.5657, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5690, 0.5710, 0.5727
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5677 confirms a lower low toward the 0.5657/0.5650 zone
Reclaim of 0.5710 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — guidance, not the priced hike
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the next bars
12:03 UTC
Pullback from weekly high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 0.5685
Lower highs off 0.5727, consolidating near 0.5685.
The soft US NFP (57K) lifted NZD/USD off ~0.5660 to a weekly high near 0.5727, but a USD rebound this week has faded that move back to 0.5685, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the impulse. Price is below EMA20 with lower highs printing since the peak, and RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s. The 0.5706 shelf capped the latest bounce while 0.5680 is holding as near-term support.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5706, 0.5727
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5680 confirms a lower low toward 0.5650
Reclaim of 0.5706 negates the pullback and reopens 0.5727
RBNZ decision + MPS Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the week's catalyst
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift USD leg
Lower highs since 0.5727 peak, consolidating near 0.5685.
NZDUSD topped near 0.5727 midweek then rolled over into Monday's NY session as the USD firmed after the soft ANZ commodity print and renewed dollar demand. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 around 0.5685, holding a tight 0.5680/0.5690 band after the 0.5706 prior high capped the retest. The pullback has retraced roughly 62% of the week's advance off 0.5658.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5706, 0.5727, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
H1 close below 0.5680 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.5650 support zone
NZD/USD has faded from Thursday's 0.5727 weekly high back toward 0.5680 as ANZ commodity prices slipped and the USD firmed despite the soft June NFP print. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI holding in the low 40s and a sequence of lower highs; the 0.5700 pivot has capped the last two attempts. Demand around 0.5680 has so far held the slide.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5665, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5692, 0.5700, 0.5725
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 0.5680 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.5665/0.5650
Reclaim of the 0.5700 pivot needed to negate the lower-high sequence
11:02 UTC
Pullback from weekly high · RSI 41 · price 0.56844
Lower highs since Friday's peak.
NZD rallied off ~0.5650 midweek to a 0.5725 weekly high after the soft US NFP print, then faded into the week's end as ANZ commodity prices slipped 1% and the USD firmed. Price now sits near the 61.8% retracement of that impulse around 0.5684, having slipped back below the 0.5700 pivot and both EMAs. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) back into the low-40s.
Support: 0.5681, 0.5665, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5725
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot would ease the pullback read
Loss of 0.5681 opens 0.5665/0.5650
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
After posting the 0.5725 weekly high late last week, NZD/USD gapped in flat over the weekend and has bled lower through Monday, with the drop accelerating after softer US ISM Manufacturing knocked the pair from 0.5700 to 0.5686. Price now sits at 0.5681, below both EMA20 and EMA50, and RSI(14) has slipped into the mid-30s as the 0.5700 pivot capped the last bounce. The move retraces roughly 61.8% of the prior up-leg from 0.5655.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5688, 0.5700, 0.5725
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5680 opens the path toward 0.5650 support
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Kiwi has bled lower since the weekend gap, unwinding the mid-week rally to the 0.5725 weekly high as ANZ commodity prices slipped and the USD firmed. Price now trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38, having retraced roughly 60% of the 0.5657–0.5727 up-leg. The 0.5700 pivot is now overhead resistance, capping bounces through the NY session.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5665, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5725
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5700 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5680 exposes 0.5665/0.5650 support
RBNZ MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Kiwi ran to a 0.5727 weekly high late Friday on the soft US NFP print, then faded steadily through Monday's session back to 0.5681. Price now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, having reclaimed none of the 0.5690 prior high on the way down; the current session low sits right on the 61.8% retrace of the week's up-move.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5665, 0.5654
Resistance: 0.5690, 0.5706, 0.5727
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant risk that can reset this read
H1 close below 0.5680 opens the 0.5665 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5690 needed to ease the downside pressure
09:03 UTC
Pulling back from weekly high · RSI 38 · price 0.56811
Lower highs since Thursday peak.
Kiwi rolled over from Thursday's 0.5727 weekly high, drifting lower through the reopen and now sitting near 0.5681, back below both EMA20 and EMA50. The soft-NFP tailwind that carried NZD to the week high has faded, with price retracing roughly 60% of the Monday-Thursday impulse into midweek RBNZ. RSI holds in the lower half as the lower-high sequence extends.
Support: 0.5680, 0.5690, 0.5655
Resistance: 0.5706, 0.5725, 0.5750
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC is a genuine two-way risk that can reset this read
H1 close back above 0.5706 negates the near-term lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5680 opens the path toward 0.5655
08:03 UTC
Pullback from weekly high · RSI 41 · price 0.5689
Lower highs, 0.5700 pivot lost.
Kiwi rallied off Monday's open to a weekly high near 0.5727 midweek on the soft US NFP print and a weaker USD, then rolled over into consolidation around 0.5710. The post-holiday reopening saw price slip back below the 0.5700 psych pivot, printing a swing low at 0.5682, with 0.5689 now trading under both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) sub-45.
Support: 0.5682, 0.5665, 0.5651
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5715, 0.5727
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Jul 8 02:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot reopens 0.5715
Failure to hold 0.5682 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.5665
08:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.5689
Rolled off weekly high, below EMAs.
Kiwi climbed off Monday's 0.5650 open to a week high near 0.5727 mid-week as a soft US June NFP (57K vs 110K) weighed on the dollar, then rounded over. Price gapped lower into the new week and now sits at 0.5689 — the 50% retrace of that advance — trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI back near 43. Lower highs since the peak show the up-leg has lost pace ahead of Wednesday's RBNZ decision.
Support: 0.5682, 0.5665, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5706, 0.5727
What it said to watch
RBNZ MPS Jul 8 02:00 UTC is the swing factor for this read
H1 close below 0.5682 confirms a lower-low toward the weekly open
Reclaim of 0.5706 prior close would re-open the 0.5727 week high
07:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 37 · price 0.5683
Rejected weekly high, back under 0.5700 pivot.
The week rallied to a 0.5725 weekly high after Thursday's soft US NFP sank the dollar, but that level capped the move and price has since slipped back below the 0.5700 pivot into today's session, now trading 0.5683 under both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has cycled down toward 36 as the this-week up-leg unwinds. Demand at the mid-0.5600s and the 0.5665 swing area is the next reference below.
Support: 0.5665, 0.56576, 0.5650
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5709, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC — 25bp hike priced, tone is the catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot would negate the pullback
Failure to hold 0.5665 opens the mid-0.5600s range base
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could drive the USD leg into next bars
07:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 37 · price 0.5683
Rejection off weekly high, below 0.5700.
NZD/USD rode the soft US NFP shock up to a weekly high near 0.5725 midweek, but has since faded back below the 0.5700 pivot into the new week, dropping to 0.5683. Price now sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 37, reflecting the corrective leg. The 0.5700 handle that supported price for two days has flipped to overhead resistance.
Support: 0.5683, 0.5665
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5725
What it said to watch
H1 reclaim of 0.5700 pivot would neutralise the pullback read
Failure to hold 0.5683 opens the mid-0.5600s range base
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
06:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 0.56852
Lower highs off weekly high.
NZDUSD rallied to a 0.5727 weekly high after Thursday's soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) sank the USD, but the move stalled and price has rolled over through the NY-to-Asia transition. It now trades near 0.5685, below the EMA20 and EMA50 and back under the 0.5700 psych pivot, with RSI(14) sub-40. The pullback is holding the mid-0.5680s session low so far.
Support: 0.56823, 0.56464
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57271
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot reopens the path to the 0.5725 weekly high
Loss of 0.56823 session low exposes deeper retrace toward the 0.5646 week low
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
06:02 UTC
Pullback from weekly high, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 0.56852
Lower highs since peak, testing below 0.5700 pivot.
NZD/USD ran to a weekly high near 0.5727 after the soft US June NFP (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD, but has since faded back below the 0.5700 pivot into this week's RBNZ decision. Price now sits under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 40, having carved lower highs since the peak. The 0.56823 swing low is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 0.56823, 0.56772
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + MPS Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
An H1 close back above 0.5700 would neutralise the pullback
Failure to hold 0.56823 confirms a lower low toward the 0.5677 fib
NZD ran to a 0.5727 weekly high after Thursday's soft US NFP knocked the dollar, then rolled over and faded through the weekend gap. Price has since slipped back under the 0.5700 pivot and now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time this week, with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. The session low at 0.5682 is holding for now, but the rounded-top and lower-high sequence off the highs marks a clear loss of the earlier uptrend momentum.
Support: 0.5682, 0.5665, 0.5645
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5715, 0.5727
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot would neutralise the pullback read
Failure to hold 0.5682 session low opens the 0.5665 swing low
RBNZ rate decision Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant swing factor for this pair
05:03 UTC
Pullback from weekly high · RSI 40 · price 0.56892
Lower highs since weekly peak.
NZDUSD stalled at the 0.5727 weekly high set midweek — the rally fuelled by soft US NFP knocking the dollar — and has since drifted lower into thin US-holiday liquidity, printing lower highs. Price now trades below EMA20 near the 50% retrace of the week's advance, with the 0.5705 prior range floor capping the last bounce. RSI(14) has cooled toward 40 as momentum faded.
Support: 0.56823, 0.56644
Resistance: 0.57055, 0.57271
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.57055 reopens the 0.5727 weekly high
Failure to hold 0.56823 confirms a lower-low toward 0.5665
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC and ISM Services today 14:00 UTC could reset this read
NZDUSD rallied from Monday's 0.5647 open to a 0.5727 weekly high after Thursday's soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar. That peak has since been rejected and price has faded back through the 0.5700 pivot, now trading near the 50% retracement of the week's rally with RSI(14) rolling to the high 30s and price back below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.5682, 0.5665, 0.5647
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5720, 0.5727
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + statement Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can reset this read
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot would blunt the pullback
Failure to hold 0.5682 today low confirms extension toward 0.5665
04:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 39 · price 0.56873
Rejection at weekly high, lower highs forming.
The Kiwi rallied through the week to a 0.5725 weekly high after the soft US June payrolls print (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD, but that level capped two attempts and price has since slipped back below the 0.5700 pivot. Since Monday's open the pair has drifted lower, trading around the 50% retracement of the week's rally with RSI(14) cooling below 40 and price now under both EMAs. The 0.5682 session low is the near-term floor being tested.
Support: 0.5682, 0.5665, 0.5645
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5716, 0.5725
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5700 pivot re-opens the 0.5725 weekly high
Failure to hold the 0.5682 session low exposes 0.5665 swing low
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant risk to this read
03:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.56907
Range floor broken after weekly-high rejection.
NZDUSD rallied from Monday's 0.5646 open to a 0.5727 weekly high late last week as the soft US June payrolls miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar, then consolidated in a tight 0.5707-0.5713 band. Into the new week price has slipped through that floor, printing a fresh 0.5686 low with RSI(14) back near 40 and price below both EMAs. The 0.57055 shelf that capped supply now sits overhead.
Support: 0.56863, 0.5675, 0.56637
Resistance: 0.57055, 0.5713, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + statement Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this read
H1 close back above 0.57055 negates the range-floor breakdown
Failure to hold 0.56850 opens the path toward 0.56750
03:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.56907
Pullback from weekly high after rejection.
NZD/USD rallied off Monday's 0.5645 open to a fresh weekly high near 0.5725 as the soft US June payrolls print (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar. Price then coiled around 0.5710 for most of yesterday before breaking lower into the NY-Asia handover, slipping through EMA20 to test the 0.5687 session low. RSI(14) has faded toward 40 as momentum rolls over from the week's highs.
Support: 0.56863, 0.5670, 0.5665
Resistance: 0.5711, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + statement Wed 02:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.5687 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.5711 shelf negates the pullback and re-opens 0.5725
02:03 UTC
Weekly uptrend, pulling back · RSI 38 · price 0.56878
Peaked at 0.5727, retracing into new week.
Kiwi ground higher through last week from the mid-0.5640s to a 0.5727 peak as the soft US NFP print knocked the USD, but the move stalled and rolled over. This week opened soft near 0.5706 and has since slipped below the 0.5700 pivot and EMA(20) into the Monday session, with the latest bar dropping to 0.5686. RSI(14) has cycled down below 40 as the pullback develops.
Support: 0.5686, 0.5665, 0.5660
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5713, 0.5727
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5700 negates the pullback read
Failure to hold 0.5686 opens the 0.5665 swing low
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC could materially reset this read
02:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 0.56878
Weekly range break lower after plateau.
Kiwi ground higher from Monday's open into Friday's 0.5727 weekly high as the soft US NFP miss knocked the USD and revived antipodean risk appetite. Price then plateaued near 0.5710 through the thin holiday session before breaking lower into the current 0.5686 swing low, roughly the 50% retrace of the week's advance and back below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has rolled toward 40 as the upside momentum drains.
Support: 0.5686, 0.5665
Resistance: 0.5710, 0.5727
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5710 would repair the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.5686 opens the 0.5665 prior low
RBNZ decision + statement Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant risk for the next legs
01:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.56987
Consolidation off weekly high, drifting lower.
Kiwi ground higher through the week from mid-0.5600s and tagged a weekly high near 0.5727 into Thursday-Friday on the soft US NFP miss that knocked the USD. Price then consolidated along the 0.5708-0.5713 shelf and has slipped back below the 0.5700 pivot and EMA20 in Monday's thin, holiday-thinned Asia session, with RSI(14) easing into the mid-40s. The 0.5727 high capped the advance and now sits as clear resistance.
Support: 0.5693, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5713, 0.57271
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5693 confirms a lower-low and deeper retracement
Reclaim of the 0.5713 shelf reopens the 0.5727 weekly high
RBNZ decision Wed 02:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 0.56987
Pullback from weekly high.
Kiwi ground higher through the week from the mid-0.5640s to a 0.57271 weekly high after the soft US NFP miss knocked the dollar and revived antipodean risk appetite. Since that peak price has faded roughly 30 pips and slipped back under the weekly open at 0.5706 into Monday's thin open, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The pullback is so far holding above the 0.5693 swing low.
Support: 0.5693, 0.5665, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.57063, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ decision + statement Wed 02:00 UTC could materially reset this read given the hike is largely priced
H1 close below 0.5693 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 0.57063 weekly open re-opens the path to 0.5727
Higher highs into 0.5727, now easing back to pivot.
Kiwi ground higher all week from the mid-0.5600s, peaking at 0.5727 after the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar. That high has since capped the pair and price has drifted back into the 0.5700 pivot in thin US-holiday flows, slipping under both EMAs on the pullback. RSI(14) has cooled toward the low-40s as the advance loses steam.
Support: 0.5700, 0.5677, 0.56576
Resistance: 0.5710, 0.57271
What it said to watch
RBNZ rate decision + statement Wed 02:00 UTC is the dominant risk to this read
H1 close below 0.5700 opens the 0.5677 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5710 shelf needed to re-test the 0.5727 weekly high
00:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.56993
Consolidating below weekly high after week-long grind up.
Kiwi ground higher all week from the mid-0.5640s to a weekly high near 0.5727, driven by the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) that knocked the dollar. Price has since stalled and rolled back to 0.5699 in thin holiday/Asia flows, slipping under EMA20 with RSI easing toward 42. The 0.5710 range top capped the last push and 0.5700 is now the pivot being tested.
Support: 0.5700, 0.5677, 0.5665
Resistance: 0.5710, 0.5727
What it said to watch
RBNZ rate decision + statement Wed 8 Jul 02:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair
ISM Services today 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
H1 close below 0.5700 confirms the pullback and exposes 0.5677