NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 10 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Downtrend within range, drifting to base · RSI 39 · price 0.57947
Consolidation rectangle, retesting lows.
The week opened near 0.5869 before Friday's NFP shock drove a slide to a two-month low around 0.5790; a partial recovery stalled at the 0.5848 week high and price has since drifted back to the rectangle base. RSI(14) is back sub-40 with price pinned below both EMA20 and EMA50, momentum tilted lower into the close. US CPI landing broadly in line yesterday left the pair trapped in its 0.5790–0.5848 consolidation.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5815, 0.5848
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 rectangle base opens the 0.5778 week low
Reclaim of EMA20 ~0.5815 needed before the 0.5848 week high comes back into play
US PPI Thu could shift this read
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range base · RSI 38 · price 0.57947
Consolidation between 0.5790 and 0.5847, testing the floor.
Since the weekly gap lower NZD/USD has been pinned in a 0.5790–0.5847 rectangle, with yesterday's in-line US CPI giving no clear lead and the pair drifting back to its two-month-low pivot. Price sits below both H1 EMAs with RSI(14) cycling near the lower end, and the consolidation has carved a series of lower highs into the 0.5825–0.5847 supply. The 0.5790 base is being probed again on this NY session.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5847
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of 0.5847 negates the descending lower-high structure
US PPI Thu is the next dominant driver for this read
NZDUSD has drifted back to the 0.5790 rectangle base through the NY session, slipping below both EMA20 and EMA50 after failing to hold the 0.5830 supply shelf. The pair has been boxed in a 0.5790–0.5895 consolidation since the post-NFP slide, with US CPI landing in line yesterday giving no fresh directional lead. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s as price retests the lower edge of the week's range.
Support: 0.57905, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5816, 0.58326, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 opens the path to the 0.5778 week low
Reclaim of the 0.5816 EMA20 would re-engage the 0.58326 supply shelf
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range base · RSI 38 · price 0.57921
Lower highs, testing two-month low.
NZD/USD has drifted lower through the NY session, slipping back under EMA(20) and EMA(50) and pressing the two-month low and rectangle base near 0.5790. The week's dominant move was Friday's NFP-driven slide; price has since chopped inside a 0.5790–0.5895 consolidation, with the in-line US CPI failing to spark a recovery and successive lower highs capping at 0.5825. RSI(14) sits in the upper-30s as the pair leans on range support.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.5778 week low
Reclaim of the 0.5853 ema barrier would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, rolling back to range base · RSI 40 · price 0.5795
Range, fading from week high toward 0.5790 base.
NZD/USD has rolled over from this week's 0.5847 high back toward the 0.5790 two-month low after an in-line US CPI print left the dollar firm near two-month highs. Price has slipped below EMA(20) on the latest NY-session bars with RSI(14) cycling down near 40, keeping the 0.5790–0.5847 consolidation rectangle intact. The recovery off 0.5778 has stalled at successive lower highs.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5778 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of 0.5847 reopens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at range base · RSI 39 · price 0.5795
Ranging 0.5790–0.5895, pressing lower edge.
NZD/USD slid roughly 3% on Friday's NFP shock to two-month lows and has spent the week trapped in a 0.5790–0.5895 consolidation. Price is back probing the range base near 0.5790, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) drifting toward the lower 30s after in-line US CPI yesterday gave no clear lead. The recovery into the 0.5848 swing high faded, and supply capped the upper half of the range.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5853, 0.5848, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5778 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of the 0.5853 EMA area reopens the upper range toward 0.5895
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD has churned in a 0.5778–0.5848 rectangle since Friday's NFP-driven slide to two-month lows, with this week's price action a slow drift back toward the base. The last few hours have leaked lower into the 0.5800 handle, leaving price under both the H1 EMA20 (~0.5816) and EMA50 with RSI in the low 40s. The in-line US CPI earlier today offered no fresh fuel, keeping the consolidation intact ahead of tomorrow's PPI.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5816, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and breaks the rectangle base
Reclaim of EMA20 ~0.5816 would ease the downward drift
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could break the 0.5778–0.5848 range
NZDUSD slid ~3% to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot NFP shock, then carved out a recovery into mid-week. Price has rolled back over since, slipping under EMA(20) and EMA(50) into the NY session today and pressing the 0.5801 range base after the in-line US CPI gave no fresh USD fuel. RSI(14) near 38 with price holding the base shows the two-month low so far respected.
Support: 0.5801, 0.57894, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5821
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 reopens the 0.5778 swing low and rectangle base break
Reclaim of 0.5821 EMA(20) needed to neutralise the downside drift
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Consolidation off two-month low · RSI 44 · price 0.58083
Rectangle range, drifting lower-half.
The week opened near 0.587 and slid to a two-month low at 0.5778 in the NFP fallout, then recovered into a 0.5790–0.5895 rectangle that has held since. Price has slipped back below EMA20 and EMA50 after stalling at the 0.5847 week high, and an in-line US CPI today drew only a muted reaction. RSI(14) sits mid-40s as the pair drifts toward the lower half of the range.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5832, 0.5847, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a rectangle break and lower low
Reclaim of 0.5847 / 0.5853 EMA needed to reopen the 0.5895 barrier
US PPI Thu and FOMC next week could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Range, drifting toward base · RSI 43 · price 0.58083
Consolidation rectangle post-NFP slide.
NZDUSD has held a 0.5790–0.5848 rectangle since Friday's NFP-driven slide to the two-month low, with this week's recovery capped at 0.58478 in yesterday's NY session. Price is now back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI sub-50, drifting toward the rectangle base after an in-line US CPI print left the dollar firm rather than spiking. The 0.5800 round number and 0.5790 floor are the levels in focus.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57894
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5885
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a break of the two-month low and rectangle base
Reclaim of 0.58478 reopens the path to the 0.5895 rectangle top
US PPI Thu and FOMC next week are the dominant upcoming risks to this range
18:03 UTC
Range after NFP slide, recovery stalling · RSI 49 · price 0.58172
Consolidation rectangle, two-month low base intact.
NZD/USD has been pinned in a 0.5790–0.5847 rectangle since Friday's NFP shock drove a ~3% slide to the two-month low near 0.5778. The bounce off that base retraced roughly 38% of the drop before stalling, with price now hugging EMA(20) and RSI(14) parked near 50 as traders sat on hands into an in-line US CPI print. Range top at 0.5847 and the 0.5853 EMA barrier capped the recovery; the rectangle base near 0.5790 remains the downside pivot.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5847 / 0.5853 barrier would break the rectangle top
Loss of 0.5790 rect base reopens the 0.5778 week low
US PPI Thu 12:30 GMT and looming FOMC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD spent the week digesting Friday's NFP-driven slide to a two-month low near 0.5790, building a rough rectangle between that base and the 0.5848 week high. The in-line US May CPI gave no fresh hawkish fuel, leaving price drifting back to mid-range around 0.5817, pinned just under EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50). Higher lows have formed off the 0.5778 swing, while supply at 0.5826 capped the latest NY-session bounce.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5826, 0.58478
What it said to watch
US PPI Thursday 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.58260 reopens the 0.5848 week high
Failure to hold 0.5800 exposes the 0.5790 two-month low
Close below 0.57778 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
17:03 UTC
Consolidating after slide, two-way · RSI 51 · price 0.58206
Rectangle range above two-month low.
NZDUSD has been consolidating in a 0.5800–0.5848 rectangle since Monday's open after Friday's NFP-driven slide dragged it to a two-month low near 0.5778. Price has reclaimed the EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around mid-range, and today's in-line US CPI with a softer core MoM kept the pair rangebound rather than extending. The 0.5833 prior high has capped the latest bounce while the 0.5800 round number holds the floor.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5833, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.58478 wk high opens path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5790 rectangle base confirms a lower low
US PPI Thursday could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Downtrend stabilising into range · RSI 53 · price 0.58206
Consolidation rectangle after NFP slide.
NZD/USD has flatlined in a 0.5790–0.5848 rectangle all week after Friday's 172K NFP shock drove a ~3% slide to a two-month low. Price is hovering just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range, holding the 0.5800 round level into the in-line US May CPI print (soft core MoM at 0.2%). Recovery attempts have been capped repeatedly near 0.5833 while higher lows have built off Monday's 0.5778 gap base.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5789, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5833, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5848 week high opens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5800/0.5790 reopens the two-month low at 0.5778
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this consolidation read
16:03 UTC
Range-bound, basing after slide · RSI 53 · price 0.58222
Consolidation rectangle off the 2-month low.
NZD/USD remains trapped in the 0.5790–0.5895 rectangle that formed after Friday's NFP-driven slide to the 2-month low at 0.5779. Price has based and ground back above the H1 EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s; the in-line US CPI today gave no decisive lead, leaving the pair drifting within range. The 0.58478 swing high has capped the recovery so far, while demand has stepped in repeatedly near 0.5800.
Support: 0.58004, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.58326, 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.58478 opens the path back toward the 0.5853 wk barrier
Failure to hold 0.5800 reopens the 0.5790 2mo low
US PPI Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this range read
16:03 UTC
Range after NFP slide, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.58222
Consolidation above two-month low.
NZDUSD shed ~3% Friday on the upside NFP shock, bottoming near 0.5778 before grinding back to the low-0.582s through this week. Price has since carved a range between 0.5800 support and the 0.5832 cap, with RSI(14) cycling around the midline as today's in-line US CPI gave no fresh impulse. Higher-lows off the week low keep the recovery structure intact while EMA20/50 sit just below price.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5832, 0.58478
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.58320 reopens the path to the 0.58478 week high
Loss of 0.5800 round level exposes the 0.5790 two-month low
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could break this range read
15:03 UTC
Range after NFP-driven slide · RSI 53 · price 0.58234
Consolidation off two-month low, higher lows building.
NZD/USD slid ~3% to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's NFP beat (172K vs 85K), and has since carved out a 0.5790–0.5847 consolidation rectangle. Price has built a sequence of higher lows off the base and sits above EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s. The in-line US CPI print today (4.2% YoY, core MoM a 0.2% miss) gave no fresh directional lead, leaving the pair drifting inside its range.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5895
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5847 swing high opens the path to the 0.5895 range top
Loss of 0.5790 rectangle base confirms a fresh lower low
Rectangle base above two-month low, higher lows building.
The week was defined by Friday's NFP-driven slide to a two-month low near 0.5778, with NZDUSD since carving out a base and grinding back through its H1 EMAs. Today's in-line US CPI kept the pair trapped in its 0.5790–0.5895 consolidation, with buyers stepping in on each dip toward 0.5800 and supply capping attempts near 0.5832. RSI(14) is cycling around the mid-50s as higher lows build off the base.
Support: 0.58004, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58326, 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5800 reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
Close above 0.5853 barrier extends the recovery toward 0.5895 rectangle top
US PPI Thursday and Business NZ PMI could shift this consolidation read
14:03 UTC
Stabilising after slide, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 0.58235
Consolidation rectangle above week low.
NZD/USD has clawed back from the two-month low near 0.5778 set after Friday's NFP shock, and is now ranging roughly 0.5790–0.5847 with price holding just above EMA(20). The recovery stalled at 0.58478 and an in-line US May CPI today kept the pair drifting rather than trending, RSI(14) cycling near neutral. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.5800–0.5810 on the latest pullbacks.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower-low and reopens the week-low region
Close above 0.58478 opens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
NZDUSD has been pinned in a 0.5790–0.5848 rectangle since Friday's NFP shock dragged it to a two-month low near 0.5778. Today's in-line US CPI gave no fresh lead, leaving price drifting just above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. Pullbacks into the 0.5810 EMA cluster have held this week, and the recovery off the week low has stalled below the 0.5848 swing high.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5835, 0.58478, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US PPI tomorrow could break this range
H1 close above 0.5848 opens the path to the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5790 confirms a lower low toward the week low
13:03 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 46 · price 0.58136
Consolidation rectangle after NFP slide.
NZDUSD remains trapped in a 0.5790–0.5895 rectangle after Friday's NFP shock drove a ~3% slide to the two-month low near 0.5778. Price recovered into the 0.58478 swing high mid-week but has since drifted back to pivot around the EMA20 near 0.5814 with RSI flat near 46. The pair is parked sideways ahead of the US CPI print, which is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI today is the key catalyst; a hot beat pressures toward the 0.5790 rectangle base, a soft miss opens the 0.58478 swing high
Hourly close below 0.5790 confirms a break of the rectangle base toward the 0.5778 week low
Hourly close above 0.58478 swing high reopens the 0.5895 rectangle top
13:03 UTC
Range-bound after weekly slide · RSI 48 · price 0.58136
Consolidation rectangle 0.5790-0.5847.
Friday's NFP shock drove a ~3% slide to a two-month low near 0.5778, and price has spent this week pinned in a 0.5790-0.5847 rectangle. NZD is hugging the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the midline as traders sit on hands into the US May CPI print. The range top at 0.5847 has capped recovery attempts; the range base at 0.5790 has held the downside.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI today is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
H1 close above 0.5847 opens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5790 reopens the 0.5778 week low
12:03 UTC
Range, drifting toward base · RSI 40 · price 0.58029
Consolidation rectangle after NFP slide.
NZD/USD has been boxed in a 0.5778–0.5848 rectangle since the Friday NFP-driven slide to two-month lows. The mid-week recovery off 0.5778 stalled at 0.5848 and price has since faded back below EMA20 toward the range base, with RSI(14) sub-40 into the US CPI print. Lower highs from 0.5848 to 0.5823 show the recovery losing traction.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57965, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58233, 0.58478
What it said to watch
US May CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver — likely to break the rectangle
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and a range break lower
Reclaim of 0.5823 day high is needed to ease the downside drift; 0.5848 caps the range
12:02 UTC
Downtrend stabilising into range · RSI 43 · price 0.58029
Rectangle consolidation above 2-month low.
NZD/USD slid roughly 3% to a two-month low near 0.5790 after Friday's hot NFP, then chopped sideways inside a 0.5790–0.5847 rectangle all week. Price has drifted back toward the range base, sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s as traders parked ahead of the US May CPI print.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI release today is the dominant near-term driver
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.5778
Reclaim of 0.5847 range top and the 0.5853 EMA barrier would open the path to 0.5895
NZD/USD slid ~3% to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US payrolls, then clawed back toward 0.5848 before stalling. Price has since drifted into a tight band around 0.5813, pinned below EMA20 with RSI hovering mid-40s as traders park ahead of US May CPI. The prior high at 0.5843 has capped the recovery while the 0.5800 round number is holding.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5843, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI release later today is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
H1 close below 0.5800 reopens the path toward the 0.5778 week low
Acceptance above 0.5843 would extend the recovery toward the 0.5895 barrier
11:02 UTC
Consolidation after sharp slide · RSI 45 · price 0.58134
Range-bound, holding above two-month low.
NZD/USD has flatlined in the 0.5790–0.5847 band all week after Friday's NFP shock drove a ~3% slide into the two-month low near 0.5790. The mid-week recovery stalled at 0.5847 and price has since drifted back beneath the H1 EMA20, with RSI(14) parked mid-range as traders sit on hands into today's US CPI. Demand has held the 0.5778 week low on each retest.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI release at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.5778
Reclaiming 0.5847 reopens the path toward the 0.5895 rectangle top
NZD/USD has chopped sideways in a 0.5800–0.5848 band since the Friday NFP shock (172K vs 85K) drove a ~3% slide to the 0.5779 two-month low, then a partial recovery into 0.5848. Price is hugging both H1 EMAs with RSI(14) parked near 46, and the latest bars drifted back to 0.5814 as traders sit on hands ahead of today's US CPI. China's mixed inflation gave no clear lead.
Support: 0.58004, 0.5779
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5842
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
Hourly close below 0.58004 reopens the 0.5779 two-month low
Close above 0.58478 swing high needed to extend the recovery
NZD/USD slid ~3% to a two-month low near 0.5790 after Friday's NFP shock, then stabilised and has chopped inside a 0.5790–0.5848 rectangle since the mid-week recovery. Price is pinned around EMA20/EMA50 near 0.5816 with RSI(14) drifting in the mid-40s, reflecting traders parked ahead of US CPI. The week high at 0.58478 capped the recovery, and the pair is now coiling in the lower half of the range.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI today is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range read
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and reopens the base
Close above 0.58478 week high opens the path to the 0.5895 barrier
09:03 UTC
Consolidation after NFP slide · RSI 44 · price 0.58098
Rangebound, drifting off week highs.
NZDUSD remains trapped in its 0.5790-0.5895 rectangle after Friday's 172K NFP shock drove the slide to two-month lows. The post-weekend bounce stalled at 0.5848 and price has since drifted back below both EMAs, with RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s. Trade has flatlined into the US May CPI print, the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI release today (12:30 UTC) is the key catalyst for this read
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and breaks the rectangle base
Reclaim of 0.5848 week high reopens the 0.5895 rect top
NZDUSD remains hemmed in its post-NFP range after Friday's ~3% slide to a two-month low near 0.5790; price has since carved out a 0.5800-0.5847 band with RSI(14) idling mid-range. The pair sits just under EMA(20) into the NY session, drifting on mixed China inflation with no clear lead. US May CPI later today is the dominant catalyst and traders are parked ahead of it.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.5828, 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US May CPI at 12:30 UTC is the key driver and could break this range either way
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens 0.5780
Reclaim of 0.5847 week high needed to challenge the 0.5853 ema barrier
Friday's 172K NFP shock drove a ~3% slide to a two-month low near 0.5779, and the pair has since chopped sideways inside a 0.5790–0.5847 band. The mid-week recovery stalled at 0.5847 and price has drifted back under EMA20 (~0.5819), with RSI(14) hovering near the midline as traders park ahead of US CPI. Each pullback this week has found demand around the 0.5790–0.5800 rectangle base.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.5779
Resistance: 0.5819, 0.5847, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI today (~6h) is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
H1 close above 0.5847 reopens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5790 exposes the 0.5779 week low
08:03 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 0.58117
Consolidation rectangle 0.5790-0.5895.
NZD/USD remains trapped in the 0.5790-0.5895 rectangle carved out after Friday's NFP slide to a two-month low near 0.5778. The Kiwi recovered to 0.58478 mid-week but has since drifted back below EMA20 as traders parked ahead of US CPI, with RSI(14) cycling around the 45-50 midline. The 0.5853 EMA barrier capped the latest push and price is now sitting in the lower half of the range.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI today ~12:30 UTC (~4h) is the dominant near-term driver and could force a range break
H1 close below 0.5790 rectangle base confirms a lower low toward the 0.5778 week low
Reclaim of the 0.5853 ema barrier reopens the 0.5895 rectangle top
Rectangle between 0.5810 and 0.5848 after rebound off two-month low.
Kiwi plunged to a two-month low near 0.5780 after Friday's hot US NFP, then clawed back through the week as China's trade beat and RBNZ July-hike pricing put a floor under it. Price has since gone sideways, capped under the 0.5853 supply cap and the 0.58478 week high while holding the 0.5810 range low; RSI(14) is mid-range and price is hugging both EMAs.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5853, 0.58478
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.5810 reopens the 0.5780 two-month low
Close above 0.5853 would invalidate the range cap toward the week high
Kiwi based out at the 0.5778 two-month low into Sunday's open, then rallied to 0.5848 through Tuesday's NY session on the China trade beat and RBNZ hike pricing. Price has since drifted back to the 50% retracement of that move, holding the 0.5810 range floor while capped under EMA20 and the 0.5848/0.5853 zone, with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. US CPI in ~6h is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5794, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5818, 0.5848, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5853 cap zone opens the path toward 0.5895
Loss of 0.5810 range support reopens 0.5794 weekly open then the 0.5778 low
Kiwi plunged to a two-month low near 0.5780 after Friday's hot US NFP, then rebounded to a 0.58478 swing high before settling into a tight consolidation around 0.5815, the China trade beat lending a floor. Price is pinned to the EMA20/EMA50 cluster with RSI hovering near 47, and the 0.5823 range top has capped the last attempts. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next driver into this balance.
Support: 0.58004, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5823, 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5823 reopens 0.58478 and the 0.5853 ema cap
Loss of 0.58004 range floor exposes the 0.5780 two-month low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation either way
06:02 UTC
Recovering from lows, capped · RSI 48 · price 0.58165
Range-bound between 0.5780 and 0.5850.
Kiwi plunged to a two-month low at 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP, then clawed back through this week as China's trade beat and aggressive RBNZ July-hike pricing put a floor under it. Price now coils near 0.5816, hugging EMA20 with RSI cycling around the midline; the 0.5847 week high and 0.5853 9-day EMA have capped every rally attempt. A firm USD into today's CPI keeps the rebound contained within the established rectangle.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5853 opens the path to 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5790 reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
05:03 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.58138
Rectangle between 0.5780 and 0.5853.
NZD rebounded from a two-month low at 0.5778 after Friday's hot-NFP selloff, lifting to 0.5848 before stalling under the 0.5853 EMA cap. Price has since settled back to 0.5814, consolidating mid-range with RSI(14) hovering near the midline. The 0.5810 range floor and the 0.5853 ceiling have framed the last two sessions.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5853 invalidates the range cap
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens the 0.5780 two-month low
NZDUSD plunged to a two-month low near 0.5779 after Friday's hot US NFP, then clawed back through Monday's session to print 0.5847 before stalling. Price now coils around 0.5814, hugging the H1 EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 46. The 0.5847/0.5853 zone has capped the recovery, while demand has stepped in twice around 0.5779/0.5810.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5779
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5847 opens the path to the 0.5853 cap then 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5810 risks a retest of the 0.5779 two-month low
Consolidation below recovery highs after lower-low.
Kiwi rebounded from the 0.5780 two-month low carved after Friday's hot NFP, finding demand twice near 0.578 and grinding higher on China's trade beat and RBNZ July-hike pricing. Price now consolidates around the EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range, capped under the 0.5848/0.5853 zone that aligns with the wider EMA resistance. The week's recovery has stalled rather than reversed.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5853 ema cap opens the path to 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5810 range floor reopens the 0.5780 two-month low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Kiwi rebounded off the two-month low at 0.5780 earlier this week on hawkish RBNZ July-hike pricing and a China trade beat, then settled into a tight range around 0.5820 capped under the 0.5847 week high and the 0.5853 supply cap. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with price hugging EMA20, no clear momentum either way. Range support at 0.5810 has held the latest pullback.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could break this range
Close above 0.5847 week high opens the path toward the 0.5853 cap
Failure to hold 0.5810 range support reopens 0.5780 two-month low
Kiwi rebounded ~3% off the 0.5778 two-month low after the China trade beat and aggressive RBNZ July-hike pricing, but the recovery has stalled into a 0.5810–0.5848 range, with the week high capping rallies. Price has drifted back toward the range floor and EMA50, trading below EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next major driver.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58004, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5848 opens the path toward 0.5895
Loss of 0.5810 range floor risks a retest of the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Kiwi plunged ~3% to a two-month low at 0.5778 on Friday's hot US NFP, then carved out a rounded base and has been consolidating in a 0.5810-0.5847 range since. Price sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s to low-50s, and the 0.5847/0.5853 EMA cap has rejected this week's recovery attempts. A second day of China-data support is providing a floor near 0.5810.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5853 opens the path back toward 0.5895
Loss of 0.5810 rectangle support exposes 0.5800 then the 0.5778 two-month low
Kiwi rebounded off the 0.5778 two-month low after Friday's NFP-driven plunge, helped by China's May trade beat, and has since consolidated in a 0.5810-0.5847 range. Price is drifting back toward the range floor with RSI mid-band and price sitting around EMA50, capped each time it approaches the 0.5853 rally cap. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate risk to this balance.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5847 week high opens the 0.5853 rally cap then 0.5895
Loss of 0.5810 range floor reopens 0.5800 and the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:03 UTC
Rangebound, basing after selloff · RSI 49 · price 0.5818
Consolidation between 0.5780 floor and 0.5853 cap.
Kiwi plunged to a two-month low at 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP, then clawed back through the week as China's May trade beat supported the risk proxy. Price has since stalled into a tight range, holding above EMA(50) but capped under the 0.5847/0.5853 shelf, with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. Two-way consolidation between the rectangle boundaries dominates ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5853 opens the path toward 0.5895
Kiwi clawed back from the 0.5778 two-month low into Tuesday's session as China's May trade beat and RBNZ July-hike pricing underpinned the bid, but the recovery has stalled under the 0.5847 week high. Price has since slipped back below EMA20 and is hugging EMA50, with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s as the rebound loses steam. The 0.5808/0.5778 band is holding the downside for now.
Support: 0.58004, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US May CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5847 week high opens the path to 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5808 recent low reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
NZD clawed back from the 0.5780 two-month low after China's trade beat and aggressive RBNZ July-hike pricing, recovering to 0.5847 into yesterday's NY session before stalling. Price has since drifted back to 0.5816, slipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The 0.5847/0.5853 EMA region has capped the rebound while 0.5810 range support is holding for now.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5790, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5847 opens the path toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens 0.5790/0.5780 two-month low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:03 UTC
Rangebound, fading from highs · RSI 42 · price 0.58072
Rectangle, lower-third.
After this week's sharp plunge to a 2-mo low at 0.5778 following the hot US NFP, NZD/USD recovered into a 0.5778–0.5853 rectangle. Price was rejected at the 0.5847 swing high and the 0.5853 rect top during the NY session and has faded back toward the lower third near 0.5807, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI sub-45. The recent low at 0.5800 is the immediate floor into Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5800 then 0.5780 2-mo low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.5853 rect top invalidates the fade read
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Kiwi plunged through the week off the hot US NFP print, bottoming at the 0.5778 two-month low before a China-trade-beat / RBNZ-hike-bid recovery carried it back to 0.5848. That bounce was rejected and price has since faded below the EMA20 to consolidate around 0.5807 in the lower half of the week's range. RSI sits mid-40s with no clear divergence — two-way grind into the next catalyst.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5848
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for this read
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low toward the 0.5778 extreme
Reclaim of the 0.5820 EMA20 reopens the 0.5848 week high